Global burden of 288 causes of death and life expectancy decomposition in 204 countries and territories and 811 subnational locations, 1990-2021: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021

BACKGROUND

Regular, detailed reporting on population health by underlying cause of death is fundamental for public health decision making. Cause-specific estimates of mortality and the subsequent effects on life expectancy worldwide are valuable metrics to gauge progress in reducing mortality rates. These estimates are particularly important following large-scale mortality spikes, such as the COVID-19 pandemic. When systematically analysed, mortality rates and life expectancy allow comparisons of the consequences of causes of death globally and over time, providing a nuanced understanding of the effect of these causes on global populations.

METHODS

The Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2021 cause-of-death analysis estimated mortality and years of life lost (YLLs) from 288 causes of death by age-sex-location-year in 204 countries and territories and 811 subnational locations for each year from 1990 until 2021. The analysis used 56 604 data sources, including data from vital registration and verbal autopsy as well as surveys, censuses, surveillance systems, and cancer registries, among others. As with previous GBD rounds, cause-specific death rates for most causes were estimated using the Cause of Death Ensemble model-a modelling tool developed for GBD to assess the out-of-sample predictive validity of different statistical models and covariate permutations and combine those results to produce cause-specific mortality estimates-with alternative strategies adapted to model causes with insufficient data, substantial changes in reporting over the study period, or unusual epidemiology. YLLs were computed as the product of the number of deaths for each cause-age-sex-location-year and the standard life expectancy at each age. As part of the modelling process, uncertainty intervals (UIs) were generated using the 2·5th and 97·5th percentiles from a 1000-draw distribution for each metric. We decomposed life expectancy by cause of death, location, and year to show cause-specific effects on life expectancy from 1990 to 2021. We also used the coefficient of variation and the fraction of population affected by 90% of deaths to highlight concentrations of mortality. Findings are reported in counts and age-standardised rates. Methodological improvements for cause-of-death estimates in GBD 2021 include the expansion of under-5-years age group to include four new age groups, enhanced methods to account for stochastic variation of sparse data, and the inclusion of COVID-19 and other pandemic-related mortality-which includes excess mortality associated with the pandemic, excluding COVID-19, lower respiratory infections, measles, malaria, and pertussis. For this analysis, 199 new country-years of vital registration cause-of-death data, 5 country-years of surveillance data, 21 country-years of verbal autopsy data, and 94 country-years of other data types were added to those used in previous GBD rounds.

FINDINGS

The leading causes of age-standardised deaths globally were the same in 2019 as they were in 1990; in descending order, these were, ischaemic heart disease, stroke, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, and lower respiratory infections. In 2021, however, COVID-19 replaced stroke as the second-leading age-standardised cause of death, with 94·0 deaths (95% UI 89·2-100·0) per 100 000 population. The COVID-19 pandemic shifted the rankings of the leading five causes, lowering stroke to the third-leading and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease to the fourth-leading position. In 2021, the highest age-standardised death rates from COVID-19 occurred in sub-Saharan Africa (271·0 deaths [250·1-290·7] per 100 000 population) and Latin America and the Caribbean (195·4 deaths [182·1-211·4] per 100 000 population). The lowest age-standardised death rates from COVID-19 were in the high-income super-region (48·1 deaths [47·4-48·8] per 100 000 population) and southeast Asia, east Asia, and Oceania (23·2 deaths [16·3-37·2] per 100 000 population). Globally, life expectancy steadily improved between 1990 and 2019 for 18 of the 22 investigated causes. Decomposition of global and regional life expectancy showed the positive effect that reductions in deaths from enteric infections, lower respiratory infections, stroke, and neonatal deaths, among others have contributed to improved survival over the study period. However, a net reduction of 1·6 years occurred in global life expectancy between 2019 and 2021, primarily due to increased death rates from COVID-19 and other pandemic-related mortality. Life expectancy was highly variable between super-regions over the study period, with southeast Asia, east Asia, and Oceania gaining 8·3 years (6·7-9·9) overall, while having the smallest reduction in life expectancy due to COVID-19 (0·4 years). The largest reduction in life expectancy due to COVID-19 occurred in Latin America and the Caribbean (3·6 years). Additionally, 53 of the 288 causes of death were highly concentrated in locations with less than 50% of the global population as of 2021, and these causes of death became progressively more concentrated since 1990, when only 44 causes showed this pattern. The concentration phenomenon is discussed heuristically with respect to enteric and lower respiratory infections, malaria, HIV/AIDS, neonatal disorders, tuberculosis, and measles.

INTERPRETATION

Long-standing gains in life expectancy and reductions in many of the leading causes of death have been disrupted by the COVID-19 pandemic, the adverse effects of which were spread unevenly among populations. Despite the pandemic, there has been continued progress in combatting several notable causes of death, leading to improved global life expectancy over the study period. Each of the seven GBD super-regions showed an overall improvement from 1990 and 2021, obscuring the negative effect in the years of the pandemic. Additionally, our findings regarding regional variation in causes of death driving increases in life expectancy hold clear policy utility. Analyses of shifting mortality trends reveal that several causes, once widespread globally, are now increasingly concentrated geographically. These changes in mortality concentration, alongside further investigation of changing risks, interventions, and relevant policy, present an important opportunity to deepen our understanding of mortality-reduction strategies. Examining patterns in mortality concentration might reveal areas where successful public health interventions have been implemented. Translating these successes to locations where certain causes of death remain entrenched can inform policies that work to improve life expectancy for people everywhere.

FUNDING

Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation.

The impact of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease on inflammatory bowel disease-related hospitalization outcomes: a systematic review

Evidence suggests that patients with inflammatory bowel disease are at higher risk of developing nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). However, there is limited information currently available on how NAFLD may affect the clinical course of IBD. Thus, we conducted a systematic review to evaluate the impact of NAFLD on IBD-related hospitalization outcomes. All observational studies assessing IBD-related hospitalization outcomes in patients with NAFLD were included. Exclusion criteria were studies published in languages other than English or French, or those involving pediatric population. Outcomes included IBD-related hospitalization and readmission rates, need for surgery, length of stay, inpatient mortality, and costs. Overall, 3252 citations were retrieved and seven studies met the inclusion criteria (1 574 937 patients); all were observational, of high quality, and originated in the United States. Measurable outcomes reported in these studies were few and with insufficient similarity across studies to complete a quantitative assessment. Only one study reports NAFLD severity. Two studies suggested a higher rate of hospitalization for patients with both NAFLD and IBD compared to IBD alone (incidence rate ratio of 1.54; 95% confidence interval: 1.33-1.79). This is the first systematic review to date that evaluates any possible association of NAFLD with IBD-related hospitalization outcomes. Despite the paucity and low quality of available data, our findings indicate that NAFLD may be associated with worse outcomes amongst IBD patients (especially Crohn's disease). Further and higher certainty of evidence is needed for better characterization of such clinical impact.

Prevalence of autoimmune, cholestatic and nonalcoholic fatty liver disease in celiac disease

BACKGROUND

While there is higher prevalence of autoimmune, cholestatic and fatty liver disease in celiac disease (CeD), most data is from small-scale studies. We evaluated the prevalence and risk factors of the same using large cohort data.

METHODS

A population-based cross-sectional study was conducted using Explorys, a multi-institutional database. Prevalence and risk factors of autoimmune hepatitis (AIH), primary biliary cholangitis (PBC), primary sclerosing cholangitis (PSC) and nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) in CeD were assessed.

RESULTS

Out of 70 352 325 subjects, 136 735 had CeD (0.19%). The prevalence of AIH (0.32%), PBC (0.15%), PSC (0.004%) and NAFLD (0.7%) were high in CeD. After adjusting for age, gender, Caucasian race and anti-tissue transglutaminase antibody (anti-TTG), CeD subjects had higher odds of AIH [adjusted odds ratio (aOR) 7.06, 95% confidence interval (CI) 6.32-7.89] and PBC (aOR 4.16, 95% CI 3.46-5.0). Even after adjusting for CeD, anti-TTG positivity concurred with higher odds of AIH (aOR 4.79, 95% CI 3.88-5.92) and PBC (aOR 9.22, 95% CI 7.03-12.1). After adjusting for age, gender, Caucasian race, diabetes mellitus (DM), obesity, hypothyroidism and metabolic syndrome, there was higher prevalence of NAFLD in CeD, with the aOR in the presence of DM type 1 being 2.1 (95% CI 1.96-2.25), and in the presence of DM type 2 being 2.92 (95% CI 2.72-3.14).

CONCLUSION

Subjects with CeD are more likely to have AIH, PBC, PSC and NAFLD. AIH and PBC have higher odds in the presence of anti-TTG. The odds of NAFLD in CeD are high regardless of type of DM.

Pre-Endoscopic Scores Predicting Low-Risk Patients with Upper Gastrointestinal Bleeding: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

BACKGROUND

Several risk scores have attempted to risk stratify patients with acute upper gastrointestinal bleeding (UGIB) who are at a lower risk of requiring hospital-based interventions or negative outcomes including death. This systematic review and meta-analysis aimed to compare predictive abilities of pre-endoscopic scores in prognosticating the absence of adverse events in patients with UGIB.

METHODS

We searched MEDLINE, EMBASE, Central, and ISI Web of knowledge from inception to February 2023. All fully published studies assessing a pre-endoscopic score in patients with UGIB were included. The primary outcome was a composite score for the need of a hospital-based intervention (endoscopic therapy, surgery, angiography, or blood transfusion). Secondary outcomes included: mortality, rebleeding, or the individual endpoints of the composite outcome. Both proportional and comparative analyses were performed.

RESULTS

Thirty-eight studies were included from 2153 citations, (n = 36,215 patients). Few patients with a low Glasgow-Blatchford score (GBS) cutoff (0, ≤1 and ≤2) required hospital-based interventions (0.02 (0.01, 0.05), 0.04 (0.02, 0.09) and 0.03 (0.02, 0.07), respectively). The proportions of patients with clinical Rockall (CRS = 0) and ABC (≤3) scores requiring hospital-based intervention were 0.19 (0.15, 0.24) and 0.69 (0.62, 0.75), respectively. GBS (cutoffs 0, ≤1 and ≤2), CRS (cutoffs 0, ≤1 and ≤2), AIMS65 (cutoffs 0 and ≤1) and ABC (cutoffs ≤1 and ≤3) scores all were associated with few patients (0.01-0.04) dying. The proportion of patients suffering other secondary outcomes varied between scoring systems but, in general, was lowest for the GBS. GBS (using cutoffs 0, ≤1 and ≤2) showed excellent discriminative ability in predicting the need for hospital-based interventions (OR 0.02, (0.00, 0.16), 0.00 (0.00, 0.02) and 0.01 (0.00, 0.01), respectively). A CRS cutoff of 0 was less discriminative. For the other secondary outcomes, discriminative abilities varied between scores but, in general, the GBS (using cutoffs up to 2) was clinically useful for most outcomes.

CONCLUSIONS

A GBS cut-off of one or less prognosticated low-risk patients the best. Expanding the GBS cut-off to 2 maintains prognostic accuracy while allowing more patients to be managed safely as outpatients. The evidence is limited by the number, homogeneity, quality, and generalizability of available data and subjectivity of deciding on clinical impact. Additional, comparative and, ideally, interventional studies are needed.

INCREASED RISK OF COLORECTAL CANCER IN PATIENTS WITH CHRONIC TOPHACEOUS GOUT: A POPULATION-BASED STUDY

•The study aims to investigate the risk of developing Colorectal cancer in patients with a history of chronic tophaceous gout. •A retrospective cohort analysis of adults extracted from a validated multicenter and research platform database from hospitals in the United States was utilized. •The risk of Colorectal cancer was statistically significantly increased in male gender, smokers, alcoholics, obese, type 2 Diabetic, and chronic tophaceous gout patients. •The risk of developing Colorectal cancer was significantly higher in patients who have a history of Chronic tophaceous gout while accounting for potential confounding variables. Background - Colorectal cancer is the third most common type of cancer in both men and women and ranks second as the most common cause of cancer death in the United States. Classic risk factors include tobacco smoking, high alcohol consumption, physical inactivity and excess body weight. A prospective study found that an elevated serum uric acid was associated with higher rates of cancer-associated polyps. Interestingly, other studies found an association between elevated levels of serum uric acid and other types of cancer including colorectal cancer. Objective - Our study aimed to evaluate whether patients with chronic tophaceous gout had an increased risk of developing colorectal cancer. Methods - A validated multicenter and research platform database of more than 360 hospitals from 26 different healthcare systems across the United States was utilized to construct this study. Patients aged 18 years and above were included. Individuals who have had a history of familial adenomatous polyposis, a family history of colon cancer, and those diagnosed with inflammatory bowel disease were excluded from the analysis. The risk of developing colon cancer was calculated using a multivariate regression analysis to account for potential confounders. Results - 80,927,194 individuals were screened in the database and 70,177,200 were selected in the final analysis after accounting for inclusion and exclusion criteria. Type 2 diabetics (28.57%), smokers (10.98%), obese individuals (18.71%), alcoholics (3.13%), and patients who have had a diagnosis of chronic tophaceous gout were more common in the colon cancer group compared to those without the malignancy. Using multivariate regression analysis, risk of colon cancer was calculated for male gender (OR: 1.02; 95%CI: 1.01-1.03), smokers (OR: 1.54; 95%CI: 1.52-1.56), alcoholics (OR: 1.40; 95%CI: 1.37-1.43), obese patients (OR: 1.52; 95%CI: 1.50-1.54), type 2 diabetic individuals (OR: 3.53; 95%CI: 3.50-3.57), and those who have had a diagnosis of chronic tophaceous gout (OR: 1.40; 95%CI: 2.48-3.23). Conclusion - As expected, patients with colon cancer were found to have a higher prevalence in males, obese, tobacco and alcohol users. We also demonstrated that patients with gout have a significantly higher prevalence of CRC than those who do not before and after adjusting for metabolic risk factors. In fact, uric acid was found to induce production of reactive oxygen species, thus potentially promoting tumorigenesis. It would be interesting to assess the prevalence of colon cancer in patients with gout who have a serum uric acid that is less than 7 mg/dL. This might promote a tighter control of serum uric acid levels in this population in order to decrease the risk of colon cancer.

ANTIDEPRESSANT MEDICATIONS ARE ASSOCIATED WITH INCREASED RISK OF HOSPITAL-ACQUIRED CLOSTRIDIOIDES DIFFICILE INFECTION: A POPULATION-BASED STUDY

WHAT IS ALREADY KNOWN

•The rate and severity of Clostridioides difficile infection (CDI) has increased throughout North America, the United Kingdom, and Europe. •Scattered evidence about the association of CDI with antidepressant medications use exists in the literature so far. What are the new findings: •The risk of Clostridioides difficile infection is higher in patients who are on mirtazapine, nortriptyline, or trazodone. •The prevalence rate of Clostridioides difficile infection in patients who were using antidepressant medications and the ones who did not, increased with age. Background - During the past decade, Clostridioides difficile infection (CDI) has become the most common cause of antibiotic-associated diarrhea. Several risk factors have been implicated. Scattered evidence about the association of CDI with antidepressant medications use exists in the literature so far. Therefore, we aim to investigate whether the risk of developing CDI is increased in hospitalized patients using antidepressant medications.Methods - Patients who were hospitalized were included in our cohort. We excluded individuals aged less than 18 years. A multivariate regression analysis was performed to calculate the risk of CDI accounting for potential confounders. Results - The risk of CDI in hospitalized patients was increased in individuals diagnosed with inflammatory bowel disease (OR: 4.44; 95%CI: 4.35-4.52), and in patients using clindamycin (OR: 1.55; 95%CI: 1.53-1.57), beta-lactam antibiotics (OR: 1.62; 95%CI: 1.60-1.64), PPI (OR: 3.27; 95%CI: 3.23-3.30), trazodone (OR: 1.31; 95%CI: 1.29-1.33), nortriptyline (OR: 1.25; 95%CI: 1.21-1.28), and mirtazapine (OR: 2.50; 95%CI: 2.46-2.54). After controlling for covariates, the risk of CDI was not increased in patients who were taking fluoxetine (OR: 0.94; 95%CI: 0.92-0.96). Conclusion - In contrary to fluoxetine; mirtazapine, nortriptyline, and trazodone were associated with increased risk of CDI in hospitalized patients.

Strengths and limitations of risk stratification tools for patients with upper gastrointestinal bleeding: a narrative review

INTRODUCTION

Despite advances in the management of patients with upper gastrointestinal bleeding (UGIB), associated morbidity and mortality remain significant. Most patients, however, will experience favorable outcomes without a need for hospital-based interventions. Risk assessment scores may assist in such early risk-stratification. These scales may optimize identification of low-risk patients, resulting in better resource utilization, including a reduced need for early endoscopy and fewer hospital admissions. The aim of this article is to provide an updated detailed review of risk assessment scores in UGIB.

AREA COVERED

A literature review identified past and currently available pre-endoscopic risk assessment scores for UGIB, with a focus on low-risk prediction. Strengths and weaknesses of the different scales are discussed as well as their impact on clinical decision-making.

EXPERT OPINION

The current evidence supports using the Glasgow Blatchford Score as it is the most accurate tool available when attempting to identify low-risk patients who can be safely managed on an outpatient basis. Currently, no risk assessment tool appears accurate enough in confidently classifying patients as high risk. Future research should utilize more standardized methodologies, while favoring interventional trial designs to better characterize the clinical impact attributable to the use of such risk stratification schemes.

Cirrhotic patients on proton pump inhibitors are at a twofold risk of spontaneous bacterial peritonitis independently of gastrointestinal bleeding: a population-based retrospective study

Background

Recent findings suggest that cirrhotic patients on proton pump inhibitors (PPIs) are at a higher risk for developing spontaneous bacterial peritonitis (SBP) than non-PPI users. We aimed to identify whether PPI use is an independent risk factor for the development of SBP among cirrhotic patients in the United States (US).

Methods

We enrolled a retrospective cohort using a validated multicenter database. Patients with a SNOMED-CT diagnosis of "cirrhosis" between 1999 and 2022 were identified. All patients below 18 years of age were excluded. We calculated the prevalence of individuals using PPIs in the total US population and in cirrhotic patients from 1999 to date, and the incidence of SBP in the past year. Finally, we constructed a multivariate regression model, controlling for multiple covariates.

Results

The final analysis included 377,420 patients. The 20-year-period prevalence of SBP in patients with cirrhosis was 3.54% and the prevalence of patients using PPIs in the US population was 12,000 per 100,000 people (12.00%). The 1-year incidence of SBP in cirrhotic patients using PPIs was 2500 per 100,000 people. After accounting for confounders, the risk of SBP was higher among males, patients with a diagnosis of gastrointestinal bleeding, and those using β-blockers and PPIs.

Conclusions

To date, this is the largest cohort used to examine the prevalence of SBP among cirrhotic patients in the US. PPI use and hepatic encephalopathy offered the highest risk for the development of SBP, independently of gastrointestinal bleeding. Focusing on judicious PPI use should be encouraged among cirrhotic patients.

Splenic Subcapsular Hematoma After Endoscopic Retrograde Cholangiopancreatography

The complications of endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography (ERCP) are numerous and mainly intraluminal. We present a unique case of a patient who developed splenic hematoma after ERCP. A 41-year-old woman was hospitalized for evaluation of chronic abdominal pain, for which she underwent an ERCP. The next day, the patient developed hemorrhagic shock. She was found to have a large ruptured subcapsular splenic bleed. Splenic artery embolization was performed, and the patient was stabilized. In conclusion, a high index of suspicion should be kept when managing patients presenting with unstable vital signs and/or acute anemia after ERCP.

Non-alcoholic steatohepatitis is independently associated with a history of gestational diabetes mellitus

BACKGROUND AND AIM

A recent study has demonstrated that women with gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM) are more likely to develop non-alcoholic fatty liver disease than those without GDM. In contrary to non-alcoholic fatty liver, the association of GDM with non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) has still not been well established in the current literature. Therefore, we aim to evaluate the association of a history of GDM and the development of NASH throughout their lives independently of type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM).

METHODS

A validated research database of more than 360 hospitals was utilized to construct this study. Adult females included were divided into two groups: those with NASH (case) and individuals without NASH (control). Regression analysis was performed to account for potential cofounders.

RESULTS

There were 70 632 640 individuals above the age of 18 years screened in the database. In patients with a history of GDM, NASH was most prevalent in middle age people compared with NASH alone, which was more prevalent in people aged 65 years and above. Compared with those without, patients with NASH tend to be Caucasian (odds ratio [OR]: 2.13), obese (OR: 4.83), have a history of GDM (OR: 1.23), diagnosed with hyperlipidemia (OR: 2.59), T2DM (OR: 4.52), metabolic syndrome (OR: 3.07), polycystic ovaries disease (OR: 1.72), and hypothyroidism (OR: 1.59).

CONCLUSION

We demonstrated for the first time an increased odd of developing NASH in women who have had a diagnosis of gestational diabetes mellitus throughout their lives independently of any other factors that could interfere with the results.

Integration Strategy for e-Intensive Care Unit: A Narrative Review and Implementation Plan

Introduction: The objectives of this article are to review previously established tele-intensive care unit (ICU) services describing their impact at the technical and medical level, and to propose an implementation plan to equip health care facilities in need of telehealth. Materials and Methods: We searched MEDLINE, EMBASE, PubMed, and ISI web of knowledge, using terms related to "e-ICU" and "tele-ICU" from inception to May 2021. Discussion: At the technical level, an increase in private insurance enrollment and routine checkups, as well as a reduction in hospital utilization rates and improvement in health outcomes was seen in the aftermath of the adoption of telehealth insurance mandates. Moreover, e-ICU helped reducing mortality and length of hospital stay of critically ill patients. The main approach to implementation should include features that are widely accepted for quality improvement, including being focused on patient-centered outcomes, having strong executive support, and targeting changes that were known to improve outcomes. HL7 Fast Healthcare Interoperability Resources stands out as one of the best candidates to achieve structural interoperability for patient health records. Conclusions: Adoption of tele-ICU services requires a substantial up-front investment and ongoing cost of maintenance. This could be challenging for hospitals with low budgets. Hence the importance of further investigating more efficient strategies of e-ICU services integration and implementation.

Increased Risk of Non-Alcoholic Steatohepatitis in Patients With Inflammatory Bowel Disease: A Population-Based Study

Background and objective The global health burden of inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) stems from its increasing incidence over the years. Comprehensive studies on the topic hypothesize that IBD plays a more dominant in the development of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) and non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH). In light of this, we conducted this study with the aim of assessing the prevalence and risk factors of developing NASH in patients who have had a diagnosis of ulcerative colitis (UC) and Crohn's disease (CD). Methodology A validated multicenter and research platform database of more than 360 hospitals from 26 different healthcare systems across the United States from 1999 to September 2022 was utilized for conducting this study. Patients aged 18-65 years were included. Pregnant patients and individuals diagnosed with alcohol use disorder were excluded. The risk of developing NASH was calculated using a multivariate regression analysis to account for potential confounding variables including male gender, hyperlipidemia, hypertension, type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM), and obesity. A two-sided p-value <0.05 was considered statistically significant, and all statistical analyses were performed using R version 4.0.2 (R Foundation for Statistical Computing, Vienna, Austria, 2008). Results A total of 79,346,259 individuals were screened in the database and 46,667,720 were selected for the final analysis based on the inclusion and exclusion criteria. Using multivariate regression analysis, the risk of developing NASH among patients with UC and CD was calculated. The odds of having NASH among patients with UC was 2.37 (95% CI: 2.17-2.60, p<0.001). Similarly, the odds of having NASH were high in patients with CD as well, at 2.79 (95% CI: 2.58-3.02, p<0.001). Conclusion Based on our findings, patients with IBD have an increased prevalence and higher odds of developing NASH after controlling for common risk factors. We believe that a complex pathophysiological relationship exists between both disease processes. Further research is required to establish appropriate screening times to enable earlier disease identification and thereby improve patient outcomes.

Epidemiology and risk of colorectal cancer in patients with a history of Helicobacter pylori infection: a population-based study

Background

Numerous modifiable risk factors have been associated with colon cancer. Helicobacter pylori (H. pylori) is the most common bacterial infection worldwide and the strongest known risk factor for gastric cancer. We aim to assess whether the risk of colorectal cancer (CRC) is higher in patients with a history of H. pylori infection.

Methods

A validated multicenter and research platform database of more than 360 hospitals was queried. Patients aged 18-65 years were included in our cohort. We excluded all patients who had previously had a diagnosis of inflammatory bowel disease or celiac disease. Univariate and multivariate regression analyses were used to calculate CRC risk.

Results

A total of 47,714,750 patients were selected after application of the inclusion and exclusion criteria. The 20-year-period prevalence rate of CRC in the United States population from 1999 to September 2022 was 370 of 100,000 individuals (0.37%). According to multivariate analysis, the risk of CRC was higher in smokers (odds ratio [OR] 2.52, 95% confidence interval [CI] 2.47-2.57), obese patients (OR 2.26, 95%CI 2.22-2.30), those with irritable bowel syndrome (OR 2.02, 95%CI 1.94-2.09), or type 2 diabetes mellitus (OR 2.89, 95%CI 2.84-2.95), and patients who had a diagnosis of H. pylori infection (OR 1.89, 95%CI 1.69-2.10).

Conclusion

We provide the first evidence from a large population-based study demonstrating an independent association between a history of H. pylori infection and CRC risk.

Prevalence of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease in patients with nephrotic syndrome: A population-based study

BACKGROUND

Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is a global health concern with a prevalence of about 25% amongst United States adults. Its increased prevalence is attributed to increase in patients with obesity and metabolic syndrome, partly due to similar mechanisms of injury. Nephrotic syndrome (NS) is a clinical entity resulting from extensive proteinuria leading to hypoalbuminemia, hyperlipidemia, edema, and other complications. Given its association with hyperlipidemia, there is concern that patients with NS may be at increased risk of NAFLD.

AIM

To perform a cross-sectional population-based study to investigate the prevalence and risk factors of NAFLD in patients with NS.

METHODS

A large multicenter database (Explorys Inc., Cleveland, OH, United States) was utilized for this retrospective cohort study. A cohort of 49700 patients with a diagnosis of “Non-Alcoholic fatty liver disease” using the Systematized Nomenclature of Medicine-Clinical Terms (SNOMED-CT) between 1999-2022 was identified. Inclusion criteria were age ≥ 18 years, presence of NAFLD, presence of NS. There were no specific exclusion criteria. Univariate and multivariate analysis were performed to adjust for multiple risk factors including age, gender, Caucasian race, NS, type II diabetes mellitus, hypothyroidism, dyslipidemia, obesity, metabolic syndrome and chronic kidney disease. Statistical analysis was conducted using R, and for all analyses, a 2-sided P value of < 0.05 was considered statistically significant.

RESULTS

Among the 78734750 individuals screened in this database, there were a total of 49700 subjects with NAFLD. In univariate analysis, the odds of having NAFLD in patients with NS, type 2 diabetes mellitus, hypothyroidism, dyslipidemia, obesity, metabolic syndrome and chronic kidney disease were 14.84 [95% confidence interval (95%CI) 13.67-16.10], 17.05 (95%CI 16.78-17.32), 6.99 (95%CI 6.87-7.11), 13.61 (95%CI 13.38-13.84), 19.19 (95%CI 18.89-19.50), 29.09 (95%CI 28.26--29.95), and 9.05 (95%CI 8.88-9.22), respectively. In multivariate analysis, the odds of having NAFLD amongst patients with NS were increased to 1.85 (95%Cl 1.70-2.02), while the odds were also remained high in patients that have type 2 diabetes mellitus [odds ratio (OR) 3.84], hypothyroidism (OR 1.57), obesity (OR 5.10), hyperlipidemia (OR 3.09), metabolic syndrome (OR 3.42) and chronic kidney disease (OR 1.33).

CONCLUSION

Patients with NS are frequently found to have NAFLD, even when adjusting for common risk factors. Hence, clinicians should maintain a high index of suspicion regarding presence of NAFLD in patients with NS.

Epidemiology and prevalence of lean nonalcoholic fatty liver disease and associated cirrhosis, hepatocellular carcinoma, and cardiovascular outcomes in the United States: a population-based study and review of literature

BACKGROUNDS

Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is linked to obesity and metabolic syndrome conditions. However, a subset of NAFLD patients express a normal or low body mass index (lean NAFLD [L-NAFLD]). Our aim is to compare the prevalence of L-NAFLD to the obesity-associated NAFLD in the United States by assessing prevalence, potential risk factors, liver-related complications, and coronary artery disease outcomes.

METHODOLOGY

A multicenter database (Explorys Inc.) of >70 million patients across the United States was screened. A cohort of patients with "nonalcoholic fatty liver" between 1999 and 2021 was identified. Two sub-cohorts of NAFLD patients were identified: those with a body mass index (BMI) < 25 kg/m² (L-NAFLD) and those with a BMI > 30 kg/m² (obesity-associated NAFLD). We excluded patients with age <18 and those who have viral hepatitis, hemochromatosis, Wilson's disease, biliary cirrhosis, alcoholic liver disease, cystic fibrosis, alpha-1-antitrypsin deficiency, and autoimmune hepatitis. Multivariate analysis was performed to adjust for confounders.

RESULTS

68 892 260 individuals were screened. NAFLD prevalence was four per 100 000, and L-NAFLD prevalence was 0.6 per 100 000. Compared with those without, patients with L-NAFLD tended to be older (OR 2.16), females (OR 1.28), and smokers (OR 4.67) and of Asian race (OR 2.12). L-NAFLD patients were more likely to have acute coronary syndromes (OR 30.00) and metabolic syndrome (OR 2.31) despite the normal/low BMI. Esophageal varices and hepatocellular carcinoma risks were high in both cirrhosis patients.

CONCLUSION

This is the largest study to assess L-NAFLD prevalence in the United States. L-NAFLD are at a significantly higher risk for acute coronary syndromes, esophageal varices, and hepatocellular carcinoma.

A Case of Concomitant Plasmodium falciparum Malaria and Bacillus cereus Bacteremia in a Returning Traveler From Tanzania

Malaria has been associated with bacterial co-infections, but the importance of bacterial co-infections in uncomplicated malaria is poorly described. We report a unique case of a 27-year-old female with concomitant Plasmodium falciparum and Bacillus cereus bacteremia who acquired those infections while traveling in Tanzania but became ill only after returning to the United States. Blood parasites screen revealed Plasmodium falciparum and blood cultures obtained at presentation showed Bacillus cereus. Even after completing treatment for malaria, she continued to have abdominal pain and watery diarrhea, which improved only after IV vancomycin. Bacillus cereus bacteremia cases are reported in travelers and immigrants returning from countries where malaria transmission occurs, mainly from sub-Saharan Africa but co-infection with Plasmodium falciparum and Bacillus cereus has not been described in the literature yet. In this case, malaria symptoms resolved after targeted treatment was initiated but persistent diarrhea improved only after appropriate therapy against Bacillus cereus. Persistent watery diarrhea and dehydration in patients with malaria should raise concerns about Bacillus cereus co-infection.

Migratory movements, depth preferences, and thermal biology of Atlantic bluefin tuna

The deployment of electronic data storage tags that are surgically implanted or satellite-linked provides marine researchers with new ways to examine the movements, environmental preferences, and physiology of pelagic vertebrates. We report the results obtained from tagging of Atlantic bluefin tuna with implantable archival and pop-up satellite archival tags. The electronic tagging data provide insights into the seasonal movements and environmental preferences of this species. Bluefin tuna dive to depths of >1000 meters and maintain a warm body temperature. Western-tagged bluefin tuna make trans-Atlantic migrations and they frequent spawning grounds in the Gulf of Mexico and eastern Mediterranean. These data are critical for the future management and conservation of bluefin tuna in the Atlantic.