Achievement of Target Gain Larger than Unity in an Inertial Fusion Experiment

On December 5, 2022, an indirect drive fusion implosion on the National Ignition Facility (NIF) achieved a target gain G_{target} of 1.5. This is the first laboratory demonstration of exceeding "scientific breakeven" (or G_{target}>1) where 2.05 MJ of 351 nm laser light produced 3.1 MJ of total fusion yield, a result which significantly exceeds the Lawson criterion for fusion ignition as reported in a previous NIF implosion [H. Abu-Shawareb et al. (Indirect Drive ICF Collaboration), Phys. Rev. Lett. 129, 075001 (2022)PRLTAO0031-900710.1103/PhysRevLett.129.075001]. This achievement is the culmination of more than five decades of research and gives proof that laboratory fusion, based on fundamental physics principles, is possible. This Letter reports on the target, laser, design, and experimental advancements that led to this result.

Incidence and risk factors of heat-related illness in dogs from New South Wales, Australia (1997-2017)

Heat Related Illness (HRI) in dogs is expected to increase as heatwaves surge due to global warming. The most severe form of HRI, heat stroke, is potentially fatal in dogs. The current study investigated the incidence and risk factors for HRI in dogs in NSW, Australia, from 1997 to 2017. We identified 119 HRI cases during this period, with a fatality rate of 23%. Dog breeds at elevated risk of HRI were Australian Stumpy Tail Cattle Dog, British Bulldog, French Bulldog, Maremma Sheepdog, Italian Greyhound, Chow Chow, Airedale Terrier, Pug, Samoyed, English Springer Spaniel, Labrador Retriever, Golden Retriever, Cavalier King Charles Spaniel, Border Collie, Staffordshire Bull Terrier, and pooled non-Australian National Kennel Council breeds (which included the American and Australian Bulldog) when compared with cross breeds (i.e., the reference variable). As expected, HRI cases were more likely in December and January, during the Australian summer and during hotter years (e.g., 2016). There were no differences in the risk of HRI between males and females nor between desexed or un-desexed dogs; but older dogs were at increased risk of HRI. These findings underscore the need for data collection that will enable the incidence of HRI in dogs to be monitored and to better understand canine risk factors particularly as temperatures will continue to rise due to global warming. The risk of mortality from HRI underpins the need for education programs focussed on prevention and early identification of HRI so that owners present affected dogs to their veterinarian as promptly as possible.

Differential impact of test performance characteristics on burden-to-benefit tradeoffs for blood-based colorectal cancer screening: A microsimulation analysis

OBJECTIVES

To inform the development and evaluation of new blood-based colorectal cancer (CRC) screening tests satisfying minimum United States (US) coverage criteria, we estimated the impact of the different test performance characteristics on long-term testing benefits and burdens.

METHODS

A novel CRC-Microsimulation of Adenoma Progression and Screening (CRC-MAPS) model was developed, validated, then used to assess different screening tests for CRC. We compared multiple, hypothetical blood-based CRC screening tests satisfying minimum coverage criteria of 74% CRC sensitivity and 90% specificity, to measure how changes in a test's CRC sensitivity, specificity, and adenoma sensitivity (sizes 1-5 mm, 6-9 mm, ≥10 mm) affect total number of colonoscopies (COL), CRC incidence reduction (IR), CRC mortality reduction (MR), and burden-to-benefit ratios (incremental COLs per percentage-point increase in IR or MR).

RESULTS

A blood test meeting minimum US coverage criteria for performance characteristics resulted in 1576 lifetime COLs per 1000 individuals, 46.7% IR and 59.2% MR compared to no screening. Tests with increased CRC sensitivity of 99% ( + 25%) vs. increased ≥10 mm adenoma sensitivity of 13.6% ( + 3.6%) both yielded the same MR, 62.7%. Test benefits improved the most with increases in all-size adenoma sensitivity, then size-specific adenoma sensitivities, then specificity and CRC sensitivity, while increases in specificity or ≥10 mm adenoma sensitivity resulted in the most favorable burden-to-benefit tradeoffs (ratios <11.5).

CONCLUSIONS

Burden-to-benefit ratios for blood-based CRC screening tests differ by performance characteristic, with the most favorable tradeoffs resulting from improvements in specificity and ≥10 mm adenoma sensitivity.

Effects of heat stress on markers of skeletal muscle proteolysis in dairy cattle

Heat stress (HS) markedly affects postabsorptive energetics and protein metabolism. Circulating urea nitrogen increases in multiple species during HS and it has been traditionally presumed to stem from increased skeletal muscle proteolysis; however, this has not been empirically established. We hypothesized HS would increase activation of the calpain and proteasome systems as well as increase degradation of autophagosomes in skeletal muscle. To test this hypothesis, lactating dairy cows (∼139 d in milk; parity ∼2.4) were exposed to thermal neutral (TN) or HS conditions for 7 d (8 cows/environment). To induce HS, cattle were fitted with electric blankets for the duration of the heating period and the semitendinosus was biopsied on d 7. Heat stress increased rectal temperature (1.3°C) and respiratory rate (38 breaths per minute) while it decreased dry matter intake (34%) and milk yield (32%). Plasma urea nitrogen (PUN) peaked following 3 d (46%) and milk urea nitrogen (MUN) peaked following 4 d of environmental treatment and while both decreased thereafter, PUN and MUN remained elevated compared with TN (PUN: 20%; MUN: 27%) on d 7 of HS. Contrary to expectations, calpain I and II abundance and activation and calpain activity were similar between groups. Likewise, relative protein abundance of E3 ligases, muscle atrophy F-box protein/atrogin-1 and muscle ring-finger protein-1, total ubiquitinated proteins, and proteasome activity were similar between environmental treatments. Finally, autophagosome degradation was also unaltered by HS. Counter to our hypothesis, these results suggest skeletal muscle proteolysis is not increased following 7 d of HS and call into question the presumed dogma that elevated skeletal muscle proteolysis, per se, drives increased AA mobilization.

Delivery of Immobilized IFN-γ With PCN-333 and Its Effect on Human Mesenchymal Stem Cells

Interferon-gamma (IFN-γ) plays a vital role in modulating the immunosuppressive properties of human mesenchymal stem/stromal cells (hMSCs) used in cell therapies. However, IFN-γ suffers from low bioavailability and degrades in media, creating a challenge when using IFN-γ during the manufacturing of hMSCs. Metal-organic frameworks (MOFs), with their porous interiors, biocompatibility, high loading capacity, and ability to be functionalized for targeting, have become an increasingly suitable platform for protein delivery. In this work, we synthesize the MOF PCN-333(Fe) and show that it can be utilized to immobilize and deliver IFN-γ to the local extracellular environment of hMSCs. In doing so, the cells proliferate and differentiate appropriately with no observed side effects. We demonstrate that PCN-333(Fe) MOFs containing IFN-γ are not cytotoxic to hMSCs, can promote the expression of proteins that play a role in immune response, and are capable of inducing indoleamine 2,3-dioxygenase (IDO) production similar to that of soluble IFN-γ at lower concentrations. Overall, using MOFs to deliver IFN-γ may be leveraged in the future in the manufacturing of therapeutically relevant hMSCs.

The gendered impacts of delayed parenthood: A dynamic analysis of young adulthood

Young adulthood is a dynamic and demographically dense stage in the life course. This poses a challenge for research on the socioeconomic consequences of parenthood timing, which most often focuses on women. We chart the dynamics of delayed parenthood and its implications for educational and labor market trajectories for young adult women and men using a novel longitudinal analysis approach, the parametric g-formula. This method allows the estimation of both population-averaged effects (among all women and men) and average treatment effects (among mothers and fathers). Based on high-quality data from Finnish registers, we find that later parenthood exacerbates the educational advantage of women in comparison to men and attenuates the income advantage of men in comparison to women across young adult ages. Gender differences in the consequences of delayed parenthood on labor market trajectories are largely not explained by changes in educational trajectories. Moreover, at the time of entering parenthood, delayed parenthood improves the incomes of fathers more than those of mothers, thereby exacerbating existing gender differences. The results provide population-level evidence on how the delay of parenthood has contributed to the strengthening of women's educational position relative to that of men. Further, the findings on greater increases in fathers' than mothers' incomes at the time of entering parenthood, as followed by postponement, may help explain why progress in achieving gender equality in the division of paid and unpaid work in families has been slow.

Lawson Criterion for Ignition Exceeded in an Inertial Fusion Experiment

For more than half a century, researchers around the world have been engaged in attempts to achieve fusion ignition as a proof of principle of various fusion concepts. Following the Lawson criterion, an ignited plasma is one where the fusion heating power is high enough to overcome all the physical processes that cool the fusion plasma, creating a positive thermodynamic feedback loop with rapidly increasing temperature. In inertially confined fusion, ignition is a state where the fusion plasma can begin "burn propagation" into surrounding cold fuel, enabling the possibility of high energy gain. While "scientific breakeven" (i.e., unity target gain) has not yet been achieved (here target gain is 0.72, 1.37 MJ of fusion for 1.92 MJ of laser energy), this Letter reports the first controlled fusion experiment, using laser indirect drive, on the National Ignition Facility to produce capsule gain (here 5.8) and reach ignition by nine different formulations of the Lawson criterion.

Radiofrequency and microwave ablation for treatment of recurrent gynecologic malignancies

OBJECTIVE

Radiofrequency ablation and microwave ablation are used to vaporize tumors not amenable to surgical resection. We sought to evaluate the safety and efficacy of radiofrequency and microwave ablation for the treatment of isolated lesions in patients with recurrent gynecologic malignancy.

METHODS

Patients with gynecologic malignancies treated with radiofrequency or microwave ablation at a university-affiliated cancer center from April 2007 to January 2020 were evaluated. Clinical records were reviewed for number of prior chemotherapy regimens, response to ablation, time to progression, and location of progression.

RESULTS

Thirty-two patients received ablative therapy for treatment of isolated recurrences. Seventeen (53%) patients had ovarian cancer, seven (22%) had endometrial cancer, and eight (25%) had cervical cancer. Thirteen (41%) patients received radiofrequency ablation and 19 (59%) received microwave ablation. Patients had a median of 2 (range 1-12) prior lines of chemotherapy. Sixteen (50%) patients achieved a partial or complete response with two patients experiencing no progression at time of submission. Six (19%) patients had stable disease and 10 (31%) patients had progression at time of initial follow-up imaging. Median progression-free survival for the cohort was 7.3 months (range 1.4-64.7). No significant improvement in median progression-free survival was seen with the addition of adjuvant systemic therapy to radiofrequency or microwave ablation (6.9 vs 7.7 months; HR 0.7, 95% CI 0.3 to 1.7). Clinical benefit, defined as absence of definitive progression at the site of ablation or new target lesions at 4 months, was seen in 22 (68.8%) patients. No major complications occurred, with two patients reporting pain or weakness at the site of ablation.

CONCLUSION

Radiofrequency and microwave ablation demonstrated that 68.8% (n=22) of patients experienced clinical benefit at 4 months. Ablative therapy may be considered for the treatment of isolated lesions in patients with recurrent gynecologic malignancies.

A rare case of follicular dendritic sarcoma of the vagina

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Follicular dendritic cell sarcoma of the vagina is a rare tumor.

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Follicular dendritic cell sarcoma has characteristic clinicopathologic findings.

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Awareness of follicular dendritic cell sarcoma can aide in diagnosis.

Follicular dendritic sarcoma of the vagina is an exceptionally rare malignancy. Here, we present a reproductive-aged female with no pertinent past medical history who initially presented with a protruding vaginal mass. Pathology from initial excision was consistent with follicular dendritic sarcoma of the vagina. This was ultimately treated with wide radical resection of the mass leading to iatrogenic vaginal stenosis.

Forced Migration and the Childbearing of Women and Men: A Disruption of the Tempo and Quantum of Fertility?

It is well known that migrant fertility is associated with age at migration, but little is known about this relationship for forced migrants. We study an example of displacement in which the entire population of Finnish Karelia was forced to move elsewhere in Finland in the 1940s. This displacement was unique because of its size and scale, because we have data on almost the whole population of both men and women who moved, and because of the similarity between origin and destination. These aspects enable us to investigate the disruptive impact of forced migration, net of other factors such as adaptation and selection. For all ages at migration from one to 20, female forced migrants had lower levels of completed fertility than similar women born in present-day Finland, which suggests a permanent impact of migration. However, women born in the same year as the initial forced migration showed no difference, which may indicate the presence of a counterbalancing fertility-increasing effect, as observed elsewhere for people born during a humanitarian crisis. There is less evidence of an impact for men, which suggests a gendered impact of forced migration-and its timing-on fertility. Results are similar after controlling for social and spatial mobility, indicating that there may be no major trade-off between reproduction and these forms of mobility.

Transcription shifts in gut bacteria shared between mothers and their infants

The infant gut microbiome contains a portion of bacteria that originate from the maternal gut. In the infant gut these bacteria encounter a new metabolic environment that differs from the adult gut, consequently requiring adjustments in their activities. We used pilot community RNA sequencing data (metatranscriptomes) from ten mother-infant dyads participating in the NiPPeR Study to characterize bacterial gene expression shifts following mother-to-infant transmission. Maternally-derived bacterial strains exhibited large scale gene expression shifts following the transmission to the infant gut, with 12,564 activated and 14,844 deactivated gene families. The implicated genes were most numerous and the magnitude shifts greatest in Bacteroides spp. This pilot study demonstrates environment-dependent, strain-specific shifts in gut bacteria function and underscores the importance of metatranscriptomic analysis in microbiome studies.

Parental age gaps among immigrants and their descendants: Adaptation across time and generations?

Age gaps between partners have undergone dramatic changes in high-income countries over the past century. Yet, there has been little focus on age gaps for immigrants and their descendants. This is an important omission because age gaps can be interpreted as a macro-level indicator of intergenerational adaptation. We examine the age gaps of biological parents (childbearing partners) among immigrants and their descendants in Sweden, a country with high gender equality and a stable mean age gap. Using longitudinal, whole-population data, we examine changes in age gaps for cohorts born 1950-86. Cohort trends in age gaps often follow very different patterns for male and female immigrants, with limited evidence of adaptation across cohorts. However, there is considerable evidence of adaptation towards the Swedish norm among the second generation, including from direct comparison between immigrants and their children. The largest differences between women and men are seen among the first generation with a Swedish-born partner.

Curation of the CANDID-PTX Dataset with Free-Text Reports

Supplemental material is available for this article. Keywords: Conventional Radiography, Thorax, Trauma, Ribs, Catheters, Segmentation, Diagnosis, Classification, Supervised Learning, Machine Learning © RSNA, 2021.

The Fertility of Immigrants From Low-Fertility Settings: Adaptation in the Quantum and Tempo of Childbearing?

Immigrant women who have lived longer in a destination often have relatively low levels of fertility, which is sometimes taken as evidence of the adaptation of behavior. This evidence is almost exclusively based on studies of immigrants from high-fertility settings, while the fertility of immigrants from low-fertility settings has been largely overlooked. Research has also rarely studied the fertility of immigrants who migrated as children, despite the methodological advantages of applying such an approach. This study focuses on women who grew up in Sweden with a migration background from low-fertility origins. We expect that Sweden's welfare regime makes it easier for women to combine childbearing and working life, regardless of migration background, thereby facilitating an adaptation of fertility behavior toward that prevailing in Sweden. We find evidence of adaptation in terms of birth timing for at least half of the country-origin groups that we study, but very little evidence of adaptation in terms of completed fertility. Further, we find that, in comparison with ancestral Swedes, completed fertility differentials are larger for second-generation individuals than for immigrants who arrived during childhood. This is evidence against the notion of "straight-line" adaptation for immigrants and the children of immigrants who are born in Sweden.

Impact of Removing Race Adjustment When Estimating GFR on Chronic Kidney Disease Staging

Introduction/Objective

Determination of glomerular filtration rate (GFR) is essential in assessment of kidney function, particularly in patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD). Formulas were developed to calculate estimated GFR (eGFR), as direct measurement is cumbersome and not amenable to routine monitoring. CKD-EPI is the most widely used formula for eGFR, using parameters of serum creatinine, gender, race, and age. A race adjustment was added from an unfounded assumption that Black patients have more muscle mass, increasing their eGFR by about 16%. There is concern on the impact of “correcting” for Black race on patient management, utility of eGFR, and its possible contribution to healthcare disparities. This study examined the impact of eliminating race adjustment from the CKD- EPI formula on CKD staging in patients at a large safety-net hospital in an academic medical center.

Methods/Case Report

80090 serum creatinine values from 56676 adult patients (31.4% Black, 67.5% female, median age 51 yrs) were collected from the electronic medical record (Epic, Verona, WI) over a 16-month timeframe. Values were excluded if they lacked age, gender, self-identified race, or serum creatinine. eGFR was calculated using the CKD-EPI equation with and without race modifier, and CKD staging was performed using 2012 Kidney Disease: Improving Global Outcomes guidelines.

Results (if a Case Study enter NA)

In our cohort, only 50.8% of Black patients are in CKD1, indicative of no CKD, compared to 67.9% of non-Black patients. Given that these two cohorts are demographically similar, this shows a discrepancy in kidney function even before removing the race adjustment. After removal of the race modifier, 28.1% of Black patients were reclassified into a more severe CKD stage. The most restaging occurred from CKD3A to 3B (39%).

Conclusion

Many Black patients in our study were reclassified to a more severe CKD stage, with the highest percentage of patients restaged to CKD3B, which would have attracted clinical attention for nephrology referral. We recommend removal of the race adjustment in eGFR, given its basis in the incorrect belief in biological differences between races. It perpetuates systemic racism and discrimination in healthcare, and its removal will provide more equitable care and reduce healthcare disparities. Future studies should examine the increase in resources required to provide adequate medical care to patients who will be placed into a more severe CKD stage.

1703 The Walking Thread – What Happens to Fistula-In-Ano Patients Who Are Lost to Follow Up? A Service Improvement Study

Aim

1/3 of idiopathic cryptoglandular abscesses can result in fistula-in-ano. Current practice is to incise and drain primary abscesses and safety net for patients to return as necessary. Known fistula patients will be appointed for Examination Under Anaesthetic at 6-12 weeks.Is this best management or do they become “elective emergencies”?

Method

We performed a retrospective audit of management of fistula-in-ano over 4 years. We used a precollected data set of Cryptoglandular abscesses, excluding inflammatory, radiation or malignant causes and collected data for patients lost to follow up, including presentation, fistula diagnosed at first or subsequent attendance, number of operations, number of attendances and seton placement.

Results

512 patients were operated on for cryptoglandular abscess causing fistula-in-ano between 2013 and 2017. 10% (N = 50) were lost to follow up. 32 had documented follow up plans, that were not fulfilled (eg elective theatre not booked). Of these, 18 were elective attendances, 14 emergency. 24 of the 32 had a Seton sited prior to being lost to follow up

Conclusions

The various presentations (emergency, elective, clinic or day surgery) and long waiting lists mean many of these patients are presenting as emergencies still awaiting follow up. Many are lost to follow-up, with Setons in situ. We propose a fortnightly hot-clinic system, registrar led to assess and manage these patients. This would provide an elective clinic to allow single point of access to fistula-in-ano patients ensuring prompt follow up and reduction in unnecessary EUA, as well as improving senior colorectal trainees exposure to perianal disease and its management.

400 A Comparative Study of Intracapsular & Extracapsular Coblation Paediatric Tonsillectomy in A Tertiary Centre

Background

Intracapsular tonsillectomy has emerged as a novel alternative to traditional tonsillectomy where the tonsillar capsule is left intact with a small amount of overlying tonsillar tissue. There is growing evidence to suggest that intracapsular tonsillectomy is associated with reduced post-operative pain, haemorrhage and readmission rates. The aim of this study was to assess the reported benefits of intracapsular tonsillectomy within the ENT department at a tertiary paediatric hospital.

Method

Retrospective analysis comparing two cohorts of 72 consecutive paediatric patients undergoing coblation intracapsular and extracapsular tonsillectomy between March-2019 and November-2020. Patient age at procedure, removal of adenoids, indication, surgeon grade, and discharge time were recorded. Post-tonsillectomy bleeding and 30-day readmission rates were used as the main outcome measures.

Results

The median age in both groups was 5 years. The intracapsular cohort demonstrated a lower 30-day readmission rate (8.3% vs. 15.3%), lower primary (&lt;24 hours) post-op bleed rate (0% vs. 2.78%) and lower secondary (&gt;24hours) post-op bleed rate (4.2% vs. 12.5%) when compared to the extracapsular cohort. Eight cases were conducted as day cases in total, all Intracapsular, with none of these patients requiring readmission within 30 days.

Discussion

Coblation Intracapsular tonsillectomy is an effective and low-risk alternative to extracapsular techniques. It is hoped with the reduced associated risks and morbidity associated with the procedure, the department can move towards day case tonsillectomy procedures resulting in a reduction in overall healthcare costs and improved patient experience.

O-105 High prevalence of obesity and polycystic ovary syndrome in an online community seeking assistance with fertility

Study question

What are the characteristics of a large online community of women trying to conceive and what are the factors that predict infertility in this group?

Summary answer

The cohort was not characterized by increased age, though age, obesity and PCOS strongly correlated with fertility. PCOS may be under-recognized within some ethnic groups.

What is known already

Obesity, polycystic ovary syndrome (PCOS), and age are among the primary predictors of infertility in women. However, most studies assessing reproductive health employ populations who have sought medical assistance for infertility or associated disorders, potentially leading to populations more likely to exhibit disorders such as PCOS or to be of increased age. Characterization of factors affecting fertility in a general population may highlight epidemiological influences that should be better addressed to aid women trying to conceive.

Study design, size, duration

This study employed users of the mobile application, FertilityAnswers, for people searching for answers to fertility problems. Users answered a short survey describing themselves, their fertility history and goals. Recruitment for this study began in March 2017 and ended in January 2021. 61814 participants downloaded the application during this period, and 56878 at least provided their age. The primary inclusion criteria were that study participants be US females over eighteen years of age.

Participants/materials, setting, methods

Regression models estimated beta coefficients and corresponding confidence intervals. Multivariable models determined independence of variables. To model PCOS, the available data in January 2020 was split randomly into discovery and validation subsets. Missing value imputation using random forests was performed in the discovery dataset. Minimal feature selection used a linear regression model penalized with a lasso and elastic net. The model was then validated on samples collected after the model was trained and tested.

Main results and the role of chance

Age was a significant predictor of fertility in this study (p &lt; 1x10-10). However, the distribution of age in the cohort was very similar to that of women at first birth in the United States, therefore we did not observe the majority of study participants to be of an age where in a typical clinical setting age-related concerns would be addressed (i.e., approaching 35 years). Using National Center for Health Statistics data, the mean age of 1,433,604 women at first birth in 2018 in the US was younger than the study population (restricted to those without children) by only one month. Obesity was of increased prevalence in this cohort, with 55% being obese, compared to 37% in an age-matched US population. Participants reported a variety of fertility-related disorders, with polycystic ovary syndrome (PCOS) being most prevalent (19.0%), followed by endometriosis (6.0%). Prediction of PCOS, performed by modeling on training and test sets (10476 and 5312 participants) and then validating with an additional 21097 participants collected after the model creation, found that African-Americans and Latino members of this cohort had a lower self-reported rate of the disorder than was anticipated by the model, in contrast to those of Asian or European descent.

Limitations, reasons for caution

All health data was self-reported. Additionally, as this is the initial survey of this population, no a priori hypotheses were made as to the expected relationships to be observed. Instead, all associations were examined, and measurements of false discovery rate were estimated.

Wider implications of the findings

We found that women were seeking answers about infertility at ages coincident with that of their peers achieving first pregnancies. ART is often not a first-line treatment for women of this age, but there may be a disconnect between traditional clinical response to this group and their desire for assistance.

Trial registration number

not applicable

Same-day discharge after robotic surgery for endometrial cancer

To assess the safety of same-day discharge (SDD) following robotic-assisted endometrial cancer staging and identify risk factors for postoperative admission in a diverse population. A review of patients who underwent robotic-assisted endometrial cancer staging from April 1, 2017 to April 1, 2019 was performed. Patients were evaluated for SDD if they met the following criteria: tolerating oral intake, voiding spontaneously, ambulating, negative orthostatic vitals, postoperative hemoglobin ≤ 2 g/dL from baseline, pain controlled on oral medications, and desire to be discharged. Risk factors for admission were identified. One hundred eighty-seven patients were identified. SDD criteria were met in 158, of which 132 (83.5%) were discharged same day. Median length of stay was 4.5 h. Reasons for admission despite meeting criteria were late surgery time (n = 15), abnormal vitals (n = 9), and personal concerns (n = 2), with risk factors being age ≥ 68 years (OR 2.72; 95% CI, 1.13-6.59), start time 1400 or later (OR = 11.25; 95% CI, 4.35-29.10), ASA ≥ 4 (OR 23.82; 95% CI, 2.54-223.15), history of CVA/MI (OR 5.61; 95% CI, 1.07-29.52), and operative time ≥ 120 min (OR = 3.83; 95% CI 1.36-10.77). Of the SDD cohort, 2 patients (1.3%) presented to the emergency room within 30 days (postoperative day 5 and 23). SDD following robotic-assisted endometrial cancer staging is safe and feasible. Age ≥ 68 years, surgery start time after 1400, ASA ≥ 4, history of CVA/MI, and operative time ≥ 120 min appear predictive of inpatient admission despite meeting SDD criteria.

Marine mammal conservation: over the horizon

Marine mammals can play important ecological roles in aquatic ecosystems, and their presence can be key to community structure and function. Consequently, marine mammals are often considered indicators of ecosystem health and flagship species. Yet, historical population declines caused by exploitation, and additional current threats, such as climate change, fisheries bycatch, pollution and maritime development, continue to impact many marine mammal species, and at least 25% are classified as threatened (Critically Endangered, Endangered or Vulnerable) on the IUCN Red List. Conversely, some species have experienced population increases/recoveries in recent decades, reflecting management interventions, and are heralded as conservation successes. To continue these successes and reverse the downward trajectories of at-risk species, it is necessary to evaluate the threats faced by marine mammals and the conservation mechanisms available to address them. Additionally, there is a need to identify evidence-based priorities of both research and conservation needs across a range of settings and taxa. To that effect we: (1) outline the key threats to marine mammals and their impacts, identify the associated knowledge gaps and recommend actions needed; (2) discuss the merits and downfalls of established and emerging conservation mechanisms; (3) outline the application of research and monitoring techniques; and (4) highlight particular taxa/populations that are in urgent need of focus.

Educational Differences in Cohort Fertility Across Sub-national Regions in Europe

Educational differences in female cohort fertility vary strongly across high-income countries and over time, but knowledge about how educational fertility differentials play out at the sub-national regional level is limited. Examining these sub-national regional patterns might improve our understanding of national patterns, as regionally varying contextual conditions may affect fertility. This study provides for the first time for a large number of European countries a comprehensive account of educational differences in the cohort fertility rate (CFR) at the sub-national regional level. We harmonise data from population registers, censuses, and large-sample surveys for 15 countries to measure women’s completed fertility by educational level and region of residence at the end of the reproductive lifespan. In order to explore associations between educational differences in CFRs and levels of economic development, we link our data to regional GDP per capita. Empirical Bayesian estimation is used to reduce uncertainty in the regional fertility estimates. We document an overall negative gradient between the CFR and level of education, and notable regional variation in the gradient. The steepness of the gradient is inversely related to the economic development level. It is steepest in the least developed regions and close to zero in the most developed regions. This tendency is observed within countries as well as across all regions of all countries. Our findings underline the variability of educational gradients in women’s fertility, suggest that higher levels of development may be associated with less negative gradients, and call for more in-depth sub-national-level fertility analyses by education.

Age variations and population over-coverage: Is low mortality among migrants merely a data artefact?

The migrant mortality advantage has been observed extensively, but its authenticity is debated. In particular, concerns persist that the advantage is an artefact of the data, generated by the problems of recording mobility among foreign-born populations. Here, we build on the intersection of two recent developments: the first showing substantial age variation in the advantage-a deep U-shaped advantage at peak migration ages-and the second showing high levels of population over-coverage, the principal source of data artefact, at the same ages. We use event history analysis of Sweden's population registers (2010-15) to test whether this over-coverage can explain age variation in the migrant mortality advantage. We document its U-shape in Sweden and, crucially, demonstrate that large mortality differentials persist after adjusting for estimated over-coverage. Our findings contribute to ongoing debate by demonstrating that the migrant mortality advantage is real and by ruling out one of its primary mechanisms.

Collision risk modelling for tidal energy devices: A flexible simulation-based approach

The marine renewable energy industry is expanding as countries strive to reach climate targets as set out in the Paris Agreement. For tidal energy devices, the potential risk for animals to collide with a device, particularly its moving parts such as rotor blades, is often a major barrier in the consenting process. Theoretical work surrounding collision risk has commonly made use of a formulaic modelling approach. However, whilst providing a platform to assess conventional horizontal axis tidal turbines, the frameworks applied lack the flexibility to incorporate novel device designs or more complex animal movement parameters (e.g. dive trajectories). To demonstrate the novel simulation-based approach to estimating collision probabilities a hypothetical case study was used to demonstrated how the approach can assess the influence that variations in ecological and behavioural data had on collision probabilities. To do this, a tidal kite moving in a 3D figure-of-eight trajectory and a seal-shaped object were modelled and variations to angle of approach, speed and size of the animal were made. To further improve the collision risk estimates, results of the simulations were post-processed by integrating a hypothetical dive profile. The simulations showed how variation in the input parameters and additional post-processing influence collision probabilities. Our results demonstrate the potential for using this simulation-based approach for assessing collision risk, highlighting the flexibility it offers by way of incorporating empirical data or expert elicitation to better inform the modelling process. This framework, where device type, configuration and animal-related parameters can be varied with relative simplicity, on a case-by-case basis, provides a more tailored tool for assessing a diverse range of interactions between marine renewable energy developments and receptors. In providing a robust and transparent quantitative approach to addressing collision risk this flexible approach can better inform the decision-making process and aid progress with respect to developing a renewable energy industry in a sustainable manner. Therefore, the approach outlined has clear applications that are relevant to many stakeholders and can contribute to our ability to ensure we achieve sustainable growth in the marine renewable energy industry as part of a global strategy to combat climate change.

Exiting Medicine Faculty Want the Organizational Culture and Climate to Change

National data indicate about 50% of junior faculty leave a School of Medicine (SOM) within eight years of hire. The long-term goal of the study was to determine innovative strategies for promoting SOM faculty retention. The study objective was to determine factors influencing SOM faculty to exit, and what would encourage them to stay or return. All faculty exiting the University of New Mexico (UNM) SOM were surveyed and their responses analyzed to the following items: (a) If something could have been done differently that might have resulted in staying at UNM, what would it have been? (b) What would need to change at UNM SOM for you to return? and (c) general comments offered. Qualitative analysis of open-ended responses used an iterative process and systematic thematic approach and NVivo software. 173 faculty respondents surveyed between July 2017 and June 2019 included 86 women, 33 non-Caucasians, and 14 Hispanics. A total of 110 faculty reported an MD degree and 117 were assistant professors. Seventy-eight faculty were on clinician educator track. The 367 responses to the three questions were categorized into 10 themes. The most common themes included (a) people (leadership and others) and workplace culture (25.1% of responses); (b) extent of career support and resources (15.3%); (c) organizational systems and administration (13.6%); and (d) faculty feelings of autonomy and value (10.9%). Exiting faculty frequently discussed the need for a change of leadership and changes in organizational climate and culture, which may have influenced their willingness to stay or to return to UNM SOM. To retain faculty, SOM leaders need to strengthen and/or modify organizational climate and culture components. Innovative strategies for this purpose may include organizational interventions followed by evidence-based leadership training programs, and the use of exit surveys for monitoring interventions.

Factors Related to Faculty Retention in a School of Medicine: A Time to Event Analysis

National data indicate that 50% of assistant professors leave a School of Medicine (SOM) within eight years of hire. At-risk for attrition in some studies are women, racial/ethnic underrepresented minorities (URM), and clinical faculty. Retention of faculty is not adequately studied in the Southwestern US, where at-risk faculty constitute the majority group. The study hypothesized that at-risk faculty have lower retention rates than those not at-risk. Identification of factors predicting retention of at-risk faculty may help institutions devise novel and targeted retention strategies. Prospective time to event analyses studied assistant professors hired at the University of New Mexico's (UNM) SOM from 2008-2019. Eight factors, measured at the time of hire, included: rank, race/ethnicity, gender, MD degree, academic track, department type, salary, and fiscal year of hire. Univariate analyses included graphical analysis of Kaplan-Meier analysis and Cox proportional hazard ratios with years to departure measuring the main event to resignation. 844 full-time junior faculty included 50% women, 81% physicians, 42% clinician educators, and 18% racial/ethnic URM. Compared to non-Hispanic Whites, Black faculty (HR = 2.24, 1.25-4.03) and faculty with non-US degree (1.53, 1.19-1.94) had a higher risk of leaving. Faculty in clinician educator (2.01, 1.06-3.82) or visiting research tracks (2.41, 1.20-4.84) both had higher risk of leaving than tenure track faculty. Although URM faculty did not have an overall higher risk of departure, male faculty had higher risk of leaving than women when they are URM or unknown-URM status. In our analysis of junior faculty, we showed that faculty who were Black, had an international education, and in clinician educator or visiting research tracks were at greater risk of leaving, but women and Hispanic faculty had similar retention rates as their respective counterparts at UNM SOM. The differential retention rates among several at-risk subgroups of junior faculty may indicate the need to refocus the existing diversity and faculty development programs at UNM SOM.

Towards the Prediction of Antimicrobial Efficacy for Hydrogen Bonded, Self-Associating Amphiphiles

Herein we report 50 structurally related supramolecular self-associating amphiphilic (SSA) salts and related compounds. These SSAs are shown to act as antimicrobial agents, active against model Gram-positive (methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus) and/or Gram-negative (Escherichia coli) bacteria of clinical interest. Through a combination of solution-state, gas-phase, solid-state and in silico measurements, we determine 14 different physicochemical parameters for each of these 50 structurally related compounds. These parameter sets are then used to identify molecular structure-physicochemical property-antimicrobial activity relationships for our model Gram-negative and Gram-positive bacteria, while simultaneously providing insight towards the elucidation of SSA mode of antimicrobial action.

Design and feasibility of a novel program of cervical screening in Nigeria: self-sampled HPV testing paired with visual triage

Background

Accelerated global control of cervical cancer would require primary prevention with human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccination in addition to novel screening program strategies that are simple, inexpensive, and effective. We present the feasibility and outcome of a community-based HPV self-sampled screening program.

Methods

In Ile Ife, Nigeria, 9406 women aged 30-49 years collected vaginal self-samples, which were tested for HPV in the local study laboratory using Hybrid Capture-2 (HC2) (Qiagen). HPV-positive women were referred to the colposcopy clinic. Gynecologist colposcopic impression dictated immediate management; biopsies were taken when definite acetowhitening was present to produce a histopathologic reference standard of precancer (and to determine final clinical management). Retrospective linkage to the medical records identified 442 of 9406 women living with HIV (WLWH).

Results

With self-sampling, it was possible to screen more than 100 women per day per clinic. Following an audio-visual presentation and in-person instructions, overall acceptability of self-sampling was very high (81.2% women preferring self-sampling over clinician collection). HPV positivity was found in 17.3% of women. Intensive follow-up contributed to 85.9% attendance at the colposcopy clinic. Of those referred, 8.2% were initially treated with thermal ablation and 5.6% with large loop excision of transformation zone (LLETZ). Full visibility of the squamocolumnar junction, necessary for optimal visual triage and ablation, declined from 68.5% at age 30 to 35.4% at age 49. CIN2+ and CIN3+ (CIN- Cervical intraepithelial neoplasia), including five cancers, were identified by histology in 5.9 and 3.2% of the HPV-positive women, respectively (0.9 and 0.5% of the total screening population), leading to additional treatment as indicated. The prevalences of HPV infection and CIN2+ were substantially higher (40.5 and 2.5%, respectively) among WLWH. Colposcopic impression led to over- and under-treatment compared to the histopathology reference standard.

Conclusion

A cervical cancer screening program using self-sampled HPV testing, with colposcopic immediate management of women positive for HPV, proved feasible in Nigeria. Based on the collected specimens and images, we are now evaluating the use of a combination of partial HPV typing and automated visual evaluation (AVE) of cervical images to improve the accuracy of the screening program.

Deep learning-based image evaluation for cervical precancer screening with a smartphone targeting low resource settings - Engineering approach

Cervical cancer is the fourth most common cancer among women and still one of the major causes of women's death around the world. Early screening of high grade Cervical Intraepithelial Neoplasia (CIN), precursors to cervical cancer, is vital to efforts aimed at improving survival rate and eventually eliminating cervical cancer. Visual Inspection with Acetic acid (VIA) is an assessment method which can inspect the cervix and potentially detect lesions caused by human papillomavirus (HPV), which is a major cause of cervical cancer. VIA has the potential to be an effective screening method in low resource settings when triaged with HPV test, but it has the drawback that it depends on the subjective evaluation of health workers with varying levels of training. A new deep learning algorithm called Automated Visual Evaluation (AVE) for analyzing cervigram images has been recently reported that can automatically detect cervical precancer better than human experts. In this paper, we address the question of whether mobile phone-based cervical cancer screening is feasible. We consider the capabilities of two key components of a mobile phone platform for cervical cancer screening: (1) the core AVE algorithm and (2) an image quality algorithm. We consider both accuracy and speed in our assessment. We show that the core AVE algorithm, by refactoring to a new deep learning detection framework, can run in ~30 seconds on a low-end smartphone (i.e. Samsung J8), with equivalent accuracy. We developed an image quality algorithm that can localize the cervix and assess image quality in ~1 second on a low-end smartphone, achieving an area under the ROC curve (AUC) of 0.95. Field validation of the mobile phone platform for cervical cancer screening is in progress.

The socioeconomic dynamics of trends in female genital mutilation/cutting across Africa

BACKGROUND

The majority of women who undergo female genital mutilation/cutting (FGM/C) live in Africa. Although the UN Sustainable Development Goals call for intensified efforts to accelerate the abandonment of FGM/C, little is known about where in Africa the declines in prevalence have been fastest and whether changes in prevalence differ by women's socioeconomic status.

METHODS

We use data from Demographic and Health Surveys and Multiple Indicator Cluster Surveys for 23 African countries, collected between 2002 and 2016, and covering 293 170 women. We reconstruct long-term cohort trends in FGM/C prevalence spanning 35 years, for women born between 1965 and 1999. We compute absolute and relative changes in FGM/C prevalence and differentials in prevalence by women's education and urban-rural residence. We examine whether socioeconomic differences in FGM/C are converging or diverging.

FINDINGS

FGM/C prevalence has declined fastest (in relative terms) in countries with lower initial prevalence, and more slowly in countries with higher initial prevalence. Although better-educated women and those living in urban areas tend to have lower prevalence, in some countries the opposite pattern is observed. Socioeconomic differentials in FGM/C have grown in the majority of countries, particularly in countries with moderate-to-higher overall prevalence.

CONCLUSIONS

The documented relationship between absolute and relative FGM/C prevalence rates suggests that in settings with higher initial prevalence, FGM/C practice is likely to be more entrenched and to change more slowly. There is substantial variation between countries in socioeconomic differentials in prevalence and their changes over time. As countries change from higher to lower overall prevalence, socioeconomic inequalities in FGM/C are increasing.

Offshore multi-purpose platforms for a Blue Growth: A technological, environmental and socio-economic review

"Blue Growth" and "Blue Economy" is defined by the World Bank as: "the sustainable use of ocean resources for economic growth, improved livelihoods and jobs, while preserving the health of ocean ecosystem". Multi-purpose platforms (MPPs) can be defined as offshore platforms serving the needs of multiple offshore industries (energy and aquaculture), aim at exploiting the synergies and managing the tensions arising when closely co-locating systems from these industries. Despite a number of previous projects aimed at assessing, from a multidisciplinary point of view, the feasibility of multipurpose platforms, it is here shown that the state-of-the-art has focused mainly on single-purpose devices, and adopting a single discipline (either economic, or social, or technological, or environmental) approach. Therefore, the aim of the present study is to provide a multidisciplinary state of the art review on, whenever possible, multi-purpose platforms, complementing it with single-purpose and/or single discipline literature reviews when not possible. Synoptic tables are provided, giving an overview of the multi-purpose platform concepts investigated, the numerical approaches adopted, and a comprehensive snapshot classifying the references discussed by industry (offshore renewables, aquaculture, both) and by aspect (technological, environmental, socio-economic). The majority of the multi-purpose platform concepts proposed are integrating only multiple offshore renewable energy devices (e.g. hybrid wind-wave), with only few integrating also aquaculture systems. MPPs have significant potential in economizing CAPEX and operational costs for the offshore energy and aquaculture industry by means of concerted spatial planning and sharing of infrastructure.

Visualising Immigrant Fertility -- Profiles of Childbearing and their Implications for Migration Research

Different measures of fertility have strengths and limitations when used to describe the fertility of immigrants, and no single measure captures every aspect of this complex phenomenon. This paper introduces a novel visual framework that shows life course profiles of immigrant childbearing in a multifaceted way. It develops the well-known cohort fertility curve—showing the average number of children ever born over the life course—and adds lines for immigrant women arriving at different ages, using their average number of children born on arrival as a starting point. These immigrant fertility profiles can illustrate a number of important aspects of childbearing simultaneously, including children born before arrival, fertility after arrival and completed fertility at the end of childbearing. In addition to showing numbers of children born (i.e. fertility quantum), the slopes of each profile indicate the tempo of fertility and how this changes by age and duration of residence. The fertility profiles of different immigrant groups can be plotted in the same graph, and can be compared and contrasted with non-immigrant groups—at origin as well as destination—through the augmentation of each visualisation. Using Nordic register data, we illustrate how these fertility profiles can be used to expand our knowledge of immigrant childbearing and to investigate various hypotheses of migrant fertility, giving a novel overview of the relationships between fertility measures such as period and quantum, before and after arrival.

Characterisation of underwater operational sound of a tidal stream turbine

The underwater sound emitted during the operation of the Atlantis AR1500 turbine, a 1.5 MW three bladed horizontal axis tidal-stream turbine, was measured in the Pentland Firth, Scotland. Most sound was concentrated in the lower frequencies, ranging from 50 to 1000 Hz. Within 20 m of the turbine, third-octave band sound pressure levels were elevated by up to 40 dB relative to ambient conditions. In comparison, ambient noise at these frequencies fluctuated by about 5-10 dB between different tidal states. At the maximum recording distance of 2300 m from the turbine, median sound pressure levels when the turbine was operational were still over 5 dB higher than ambient noise levels alone. A higher frequency, tonal signal was observed at 20 000 Hz. This signal component appears at a constant level whenever the turbine is operational and did not change with turbine rotation rate. It is most likely produced by the turbine's generator. This study highlights the importance of empirical measurements of turbine underwater sound. It illustrates the utility and challenges of using drifting hydrophone systems to spatially map operational turbine signal levels with reduced flow noise artefacts when recording in high flow environments.

Rebleeding in Variceal and Nonvariceal Gastrointestinal Bleeds in Cirrhotic Patients Using Vitamin K1: The LIVER-K Study

ABSTRACTBackground: Gastroesophageal varices are the most common cause of upper gastrointestinal bleeding (UGIB) in patients with cirrhosis. Vitamin K1 is commonly administered to patients presenting with UGIB andelevated international normalized ratio, despite limited evidence to support this practice.Objectives: The primary objective was to describe the incidence of rebleeding within 30 days after vitamin K1 administration in patients with cirrhosis and UGIB. The secondary objective was to describe prescribing patterns for vitamin K1.Methods: This retrospective, descriptive multicentre study involved patients with cirrhosis and UGIB who were admitted to any of the 4 adult acute care hospitals in Calgary, Alberta, from January 1, 2014, to December 31, 2016. Patients were divided into 2 groups: those who received vitamin K1 and those who did not.Results: A total of 370 patients met the inclusion criteria, of whom 243 received vitamin K1 and 127 did not. Baseline characteristics were similar between the groups. Greater proportions of patients in the vitamin K1 group received transfusions of packed red blood cells, fresh frozen plasma, platelets, cryoprecipitate, or prothrombin concentrate during their admissions. There was no significant difference in the duration of octreotide and pantoprazole infusions. Among patients in the vitamin K1 group, there were more admissions to the intensive care unit and longerlengths of stay. More patients in the no vitamin K1 group had esophageal varices evident on endoscopy that required endoscopic treatment. Forty of the patients (16.5%) in the vitamin K1 group and 7 (5.5%) in the novitamin K1 group had rebleeding within 30 days of the initial bleed. The median total vitamin K1 dose administered was 25 mg.Conclusions: The study results suggest that vitamin K1 does not reduce the incidence of rebleeding within 30 days of the initial bleed in patients with cirrhosis and UGIB.RÉSUMÉContexte : Les varices oesophagiennes sont la cause la plus fréquente de l’hémorragie gastro-intestinale supérieure (HGIS) parmi les patients atteints de cirrhose. On administre communément de la vitamine K1 aux patientsprésentant une HGIS et dont la mesure du rapport international normalize (RIN) est élevée, malgré le manque de preuves soutenant cette pratique.Objectifs : L’objectif principal consistait à décrire la fréquence de la reprise du saignement dans les 30 jours après l’administration de la vitamine K1 à des patients atteints de cirrhose et de HGIS. L’objectif secondaire consistait à décrire les schémas de prescription de la vitamine K1.Méthode : Cette étude multicentrique, descriptive et rétrospective comprenait des patients atteints de cirrhose et de HGIS, ayant été admis à n’importe lesquels des quatre hôpitaux de soins actifs pour adultes de Calgary, Alberta, du 1er janvier 2014 au 31 décembre 2016. Les patients étaient répartis en deux groupes : ceux ayant reçu de la vitamin K1 et ceux n’en ayant pas reçu.Résultats : Le nombre total de 370 patients correspondait aux critères d’inclusion. Parmi ceux-ci, 243 avaient reçu de la vitamine K1 et 127 n’en n’avaient pas reçu. Les caractéristiques de base étaient similaires entre lesgroupes. Un plus grand nombre de patients du groupe « Vitamine K1 » avaient reçu une transfusion d’un concentré de globules rouges, de plasma frais congelé, de plaquettes, de cryoprécipité ou de concentré de prothrombine au cours de leur séjour hospitalier. On n’a noté aucune différence significative dans la durée des injections de pantoprazole et d’octréotide. Le nombre d’admissions de patients du groupe « Vitamine K1 » à l’unité de soins intensifs était plus élevé et le séjour de ceux-ci était plus long. L’endoscopie a montré qu’un plus grand nombre de patients du groupe « Sans vitamine K1 » présentaient des varices oesophagiennes nécessitant un traitement endoscopique. Dans les 30 jours après le saignement initial, quarante (16,5 %) patients du groupe « Vitamine K1 » et 7 (5,5 %) du groupe « Sans vitamine K1 » ont subi une nouvelle hémorragie. La dose moyenne totale de vitamine K1 administrée était de 25 mg.Conclusions : Les résultats de l’étude tendent à démontrer que la vitamin K1 ne réduit pas la fréquence de la reprise du saignement dans les 30 jours qui suivent le saignement initial parmi les patients atteints de cirrhose et de HGIS.

Simultaneous Determination of Multiple Tetracycline Residues in Milk by Metal Chelate Affinity Chromatography: Collaborative Study

To meet federal and state regulatory needs, a liquid chromatographic (LC) method with ultraviolet (UV) detection was developed for determination of 7 tetracyclines at 30 ng/mL in milk. Raw milk samples are defatted, acidified, and centrifuged to remove proteins, and tetracyclines are specifically absorbed from the milk by chelation with metal ions bound to small Chelating Sepharose Fast Flow columns. Tetracyclines are removed from these columns with EDTA-containing buffer, and extracts are further cleaned by ultrafiltration. Finally, extracts are concentrated and analyzed simultane ously by using on-line concentration. This method was validated in a collaborative study that involved 11 laboratories, including the authors’ laboratory. Each laboratory was asked to prepare and analyze known control and fortified milk samples, as well as 18 coded blind samples. Eight laboratories completed all analyses. Average interlaboratory recoveries for the known fortified samples ranged from 59% (methacycline at 15 ng/mL) to 78% (oxytetracy cline at 60 ng/mL). Average recovery for each of 7 residues at 30 ng/mL were between 60 and 110%, meeting single-residue guidelines for accuracy set by the U.S. Food and Drug Administration. Reproducibility relative standard deviation (RSDR) for the known fortified samples varied from 11 to 39%, with 6 of 7 residues at the 30 ng/mL level having RSDR values at or below 20%. Seven of 8 laboratories correctly identified blind control milk samples and all 28 residues present in blind samples. The metal chelate affinity—LC method for determination of multiple tetracycline residues in milk has been adopted first action by AOAC INTERNATIONAL.

Rebleeding in Variceal and Nonvariceal Gastrointestinal Bleeds in Cirrhotic Patients Using Vitamin K1: The LIVER-K Study

BACKGROUND

Gastroesophageal varices are the most common cause of upper gastrointestinal bleeding (UGIB) in patients with cirrhosis. Vitamin K₁ is commonly administered to patients presenting with UGIB and elevated international normalized ratio, despite limited evidence to support this practice.

OBJECTIVES

The primary objective was to describe the incidence of rebleeding within 30 days after vitamin K₁ administration in patients with cirrhosis and UGIB. The secondary objective was to describe prescribing patterns for vitamin K₁.

METHODS

This retrospective, descriptive multicentre study involved patients with cirrhosis and UGIB who were admitted to any of the 4 adult acute care hospitals in Calgary, Alberta, from January 1, 2014, to December 31, 2016. Patients were divided into 2 groups: those who received vitamin K₁ and those who did not.

RESULTS

A total of 370 patients met the inclusion criteria, of whom 243 received vitamin K₁ and 127 did not. Baseline characteristics were similar between the groups. Greater proportions of patients in the vitamin K₁ group received transfusions of packed red blood cells, fresh frozen plasma, platelets, cryoprecipitate, or prothrombin concentrate during their admissions. There was no significant difference in the duration of octreotide and pantoprazole infusions. Among patients in the vitamin K₁ group, there were more admissions to the intensive care unit and longer lengths of stay. More patients in the no vitamin K₁ group had esophageal varices evident on endoscopy that required endoscopic treatment. Forty of the patients (16.5%) in the vitamin K₁ group and 7 (5.5%) in the no vitamin K₁ group had rebleeding within 30 days of the initial bleed. The median total vitamin K₁ dose administered was 25 mg.

CONCLUSIONS

The study results suggest that vitamin K₁ does not reduce the incidence of rebleeding within 30 days of the initial bleed in patients with cirrhosis and UGIB.

Assigning mentors for new HSC faculty hires: A preliminary policy evaluation

Effective practices for selecting mentors for new faculty at academic health centers (AHC) are currently unknown. The University of New Mexico's School of Medicine assigns a mentor to all new faculty at the time of hire. The effectiveness of this policy measure has not been previously evaluated. The research question was to determine the proportion of new faculty mentees who meet with their assigned mentors before their mandatory orientation held within their first year of hire. At the orientation, faculty are surveyed about their response to the institutional policy of assigning mentors upon their hire. The proportion of new faculty mentees who met their assigned mentors prior to the orientation event constituted the primary study outcome. Of the 289 new faculty surveyed, 79.9% met their assigned mentors prior to the orientation - most meetings were weekly (48.8%) or monthly (27.9%). Among those who had not yet met their mentors, 65% planned to meet them within the month of the survey. 5.5% of all faculty reported a change of mentor from their initial assignment and 2.8% stated that they needed a different mentor. Physicians were less likely to meet with their assigned mentors than non-physician faculty (p=0.02). The preliminary policy evaluation demonstrates that most new faculty either meet or plan to meet their assigned mentors. Most participants stated that they did not need to be assigned a different mentor. Assigning mentors for new faculty hires may be considered a best practice at an AHC.

Diffuse osteosclerosis as a presentation of recurrent breast cancer: role of endothelin 1

We report a 46-yr-old woman with a history of breast cancer who presented with diffuse myalgias, bone pain, and osteosclerosis. She was found to have recurrent breast cancer producing endothelin-1.

INTRODUCTION

Acquired osteosclerosis can be caused by various disorders. Endothelin -1 is believed to contribute to osteosclerosis caused by breast cancer.

METHODS

Although the bone marrow biopsy did not reveal breast cancer, she developed skin lesions consistent with metastatic breast cancer. She ultimately died from progressive disease. At autopsy immunohistochemistry for endothelin-1 was performed on a section from the L5 vertebral body.

RESULTS

The section from the L5 vertebral body showed small foci of cells consistent with metastatic carcinoma and a prominent sclerotic response. Immunohistochemistry for endothelin-1 was strongly positive.

CONCLUSIONS

Recurrent breast cancer may present with diffuse osteosclerosis. Endothelin-1 may be a paracrine factor responsible for increased bone formation and osteosclerosis.

Impact of predictive medicine on therapeutic decision making: a randomized controlled trial in congenital heart disease

Computational modelling has made significant progress towards clinical application in recent years. In addition to providing detailed diagnostic data, these methods have the potential to simulate patient-specific interventions and to predict their outcome. Our objective was to evaluate to which extent patient-specific modelling influences treatment decisions in coarctation of the aorta (CoA), a common congenital heart disease. We selected three cases with CoA, two of which had borderline indications for intervention according to current clinical guidelines. The third case was not indicated for intervention according to guidelines. For each case, we generated two separate datasets. First dataset included conventional diagnostic parameters (echocardiography and magnetic resonance imaging). In the second, we added modelled parameters (pressure fields). For the two cases with borderline indications for intervention, the second dataset also included pressure fields after virtual stenting simulations. All parameters were computed by modelling methods that were previously validated. In an online-administered, invitation-only survey, we randomized 178 paediatric cardiologists to view either conventional (control) or add-on modelling (experimental) datasets. Primary endpoint was the proportion of participants recommending different therapeutic options: (1) surgery or catheter lab (collectively, "intervention") or (2) no intervention (follow-up with or without medication). Availability of data from computational predictive modelling influenced therapeutic decision making in two of three cases. There was a statistically significant association between group assignment and the recommendation of an intervention for one borderline case and one non-borderline case: 94.3% vs. 72.2% (RR: 1.31, 95% CI: 1.14-1.50, p = 0.00) and 18.8% vs. 5.1% (RR: 3.09, 95% CI: 1.17-8.18, p = 0.01) of participants in the experimental and control groups respectively recommended an intervention. For the remaining case, there was no difference between the experimental and control group and the majority of participants recommended intervention. In sub-group analyses, findings were not affected by the experience level of participating cardiologists. Despite existing clinical guidelines, the therapy recommendations of the participating physicians were heterogeneous. Validated patient-specific computational modelling has the potential to influence treatment decisions. Future studies in broader areas are needed to evaluate whether differences in decisions result in improved outcomes (Trial Registration: NCT02700737).