Challenges of Incorporating Life Cycle Drug Pricing in Cost-Effectiveness Models: A Review of Methods and Modeling Suggestions

OBJECTIVES

This study aimed to conduct a review of existing methods used to incorporate life cycle drug pricing (LCDP) in cost-effectiveness analyses (CEAs), identify common methodological challenges, and suggest modeling approaches for prospectively implementing LCDP in CEA.

METHODS

Two complementary searches were conducted in PubMed, combined with hand searching and reference mining, to identify English language full-text articles that explored (1) how drug prices change over time and (2) methods used to apply dynamic pricing in cost-effectiveness models (CEMs). Relevant articles were reviewed, and authors discussed the common methodological practices used in the literature and their associated challenges on prospectively implementing LCDP in CEMs. For each key challenge identified, we provide modeling suggestions to address the issue.

RESULTS

We screened 1200 studies based on title and abstract; 117 were reviewed for eligibility, and 47 individual studies were included across both searches. Variations in prices over a product's life cycle are complex and multifactorial, and models applying LCDP in CEA varied in their methodology. We identified 4 key challenges to modeling LCDP in CEA, including how to model price trends before and after loss of exclusivity, how to capture the effect of price changes on future patient cohorts, and how to report results.

CONCLUSION

Accurately quantifying the impact of LCDP requires careful consideration of multiple aspects pertaining to both the evolution of drug prices and how to reflect these in CEA. Although uncertainties remain, our findings can aid implementation and evaluation of LCDP in economic evaluations.

Scintillation light detection in the 6-m drift-length ProtoDUNE Dual Phase liquid argon TPC

DUNE is a dual-site experiment for long-baseline neutrino oscillation studies, neutrino astrophysics and nucleon decay searches. ProtoDUNE Dual Phase (DP) is a 6  ×  6  ×  6 m 3 liquid argon time-projection-chamber (LArTPC) that recorded cosmic-muon data at the CERN Neutrino Platform in 2019-2020 as a prototype of the DUNE Far Detector. Charged particles propagating through the LArTPC produce ionization and scintillation light. The scintillation light signal in these detectors can provide the trigger for non-beam events. In addition, it adds precise timing capabilities and improves the calorimetry measurements. In ProtoDUNE-DP, scintillation and electroluminescence light produced by cosmic muons in the LArTPC is collected by photomultiplier tubes placed up to 7 m away from the ionizing track. In this paper, the ProtoDUNE-DP photon detection system performance is evaluated with a particular focus on the different wavelength shifters, such as PEN and TPB, and the use of Xe-doped LAr, considering its future use in giant LArTPCs. The scintillation light production and propagation processes are analyzed and a comparison of simulation to data is performed, improving understanding of the liquid argon properties.

Prospects for beyond the Standard Model physics searches at the Deep Underground Neutrino Experiment: DUNE Collaboration

The Deep Underground Neutrino Experiment (DUNE) will be a powerful tool for a variety of physics topics. The high-intensity proton beams provide a large neutrino flux, sampled by a near detector system consisting of a combination of capable precision detectors, and by the massive far detector system located deep underground. This configuration sets up DUNE as a machine for discovery, as it enables opportunities not only to perform precision neutrino measurements that may uncover deviations from the present three-flavor mixing paradigm, but also to discover new particles and unveil new interactions and symmetries beyond those predicted in the Standard Model (SM). Of the many potential beyond the Standard Model (BSM) topics DUNE will probe, this paper presents a selection of studies quantifying DUNE's sensitivities to sterile neutrino mixing, heavy neutral leptons, non-standard interactions, CPT symmetry violation, Lorentz invariance violation, neutrino trident production, dark matter from both beam induced and cosmogenic sources, baryon number violation, and other new physics topics that complement those at high-energy colliders and significantly extend the present reach.

First Measurement of Differential Charged Current Quasielasticlike ν_{μ}-Argon Scattering Cross Sections with the MicroBooNE Detector

We report on the first measurement of flux-integrated single differential cross sections for charged-current (CC) muon neutrino (ν_{μ}) scattering on argon with a muon and a proton in the final state, ^{40}Ar (ν_{μ},μp)X. The measurement was carried out using the Booster Neutrino Beam at Fermi National Accelerator Laboratory and the MicroBooNE liquid argon time projection chamber detector with an exposure of 4.59×10^{19} protons on target. Events are selected to enhance the contribution of CC quasielastic (CCQE) interactions. The data are reported in terms of a total cross section as well as single differential cross sections in final state muon and proton kinematics. We measure the integrated per-nucleus CCQE-like cross section (i.e., for interactions leading to a muon, one proton, and no pions above detection threshold) of (4.93±0.76_{stat}±1.29_{sys})×10^{-38}  cm^{2}, in good agreement with theoretical calculations. The single differential cross sections are also in overall good agreement with theoretical predictions, except at very forward muon scattering angles that correspond to low-momentum-transfer events.

First Measurement of Inclusive Muon Neutrino Charged Current Differential Cross Sections on Argon at E_{ν}∼0.8 GeV with the MicroBooNE Detector

We report the first measurement of the double-differential and total muon neutrino charged current inclusive cross sections on argon at a mean neutrino energy of 0.8 GeV. Data were collected using the MicroBooNE liquid argon time projection chamber located in the Fermilab Booster neutrino beam and correspond to 1.6×10^{20} protons on target of exposure. The measured differential cross sections are presented as a function of muon momentum, using multiple Coulomb scattering as a momentum measurement technique, and the muon angle with respect to the beam direction. We compare the measured cross sections to multiple neutrino event generators and find better agreement with those containing more complete treatment of quasielastic scattering processes at low Q^{2}. The total flux integrated cross section is measured to be 0.693±0.010(stat)±0.165(syst)×10^{-38}  cm^{2}.

The Pandora multi-algorithm approach to automated pattern recognition of cosmic-ray muon and neutrino events in the MicroBooNE detector

The development and operation of liquid-argon time-projection chambers for neutrino physics has created a need for new approaches to pattern recognition in order to fully exploit the imaging capabilities offered by this technology. Whereas the human brain can excel at identifying features in the recorded events, it is a significant challenge to develop an automated, algorithmic solution. The Pandora Software Development Kit provides functionality to aid the design and implementation of pattern-recognition algorithms. It promotes the use of a multi-algorithm approach to pattern recognition, in which individual algorithms each address a specific task in a particular topology. Many tens of algorithms then carefully build up a picture of the event and, together, provide a robust automated pattern-recognition solution. This paper describes details of the chain of over one hundred Pandora algorithms and tools used to reconstruct cosmic-ray muon and neutrino events in the MicroBooNE detector. Metrics that assess the current pattern-recognition performance are presented for simulated MicroBooNE events, using a selection of final-state event topologies.

First measurement of neutrino and antineutrino coherent charged pion production on argon

We report on the first cross section measurements for charged current coherent pion production by neutrinos and antineutrinos on argon. These measurements are performed using the ArgoNeuT detector exposed to the NuMI beam at Fermilab. The cross sections are measured to be 2.6(-1.0)(+1.2)(stat)(-0.4)(+0.3)(syst)×10(-38)  cm(2)/Ar for neutrinos at a mean energy of 9.6 GeV and 5.5(-2.1)(+2.6)(stat)(-0.7)(+0.6)(syst)×10(-39)  cm(2)/Ar for antineutrinos at a mean energy of 3.6 GeV.

Successful pregnancy outcome in a woman with Turner's syndrome

Women with Turner's syndrome have a high incidence of cardiovascular complications, endocrine and hypertensive disorders. Those with the 45X chromosome complement require oocyte donation and in vitro fertilisation to conceive. Pregnancies in such women are challenging to manage due to the high risk of pregnancy-related hypertensive disorders, impaired glucose tolerance, fetal growth restriction and preterm birth. Women also need to be aware of the significant risk of aortic dilatation, dissection or rupture in pregnancy, which may be fatal. Despite these risks, favourable obstetric outcomes are achievable with careful pre-pregnancy counselling and cardiovascular assessment, intensive multidisciplinary antenatal monitoring and individualised delivery planning. We report the case of a 33-year-old woman with Turner's syndrome, pre-existing hypertension, insulin-dependent diabetes and primary hypoparathyroidism who had a successful pregnancy with good maternal and fetal outcomes despite the complexity of her medical conditions.

A rare case of aggressive squamous cell carcinoma of the bladder in pregnancy

We report a rare case of an aggressive squamous cell carcinoma of the bladder in a young primigravid woman with recurrent urinary tract infections and microscopic haematuria. An emergency caesarean section was performed at 37 weeks gestation for suspected placental abruption; however, she was found to have frank haematuria. Postnatally, an advanced bladder tumour was diagnosed. She required renal dialysis, a radical cystectomy and radiotherapy but sadly died seven months after diagnosis. This case illustrates the importance of thorough investigation of haematuria in pregnancy. Cystoscopy and even tumour resection can be safely performed in pregnancy. Although squamous cell carcinomas account for only 2% of bladder tumours in developed countries, they tend to be large and deeply invasive, requiring radical surgery and chemotherapy or radiotherapy. Management should be multidisciplinary and treatment individualized due to the significant clinical and emotional challenges which arise when a woman develops a malignancy in pregnancy or the puerperium.

First measurements of inclusive muon neutrino charged current differential cross sections on argon

The ArgoNeuT Collaboration presents the first measurements of inclusive muon neutrino charged current differential cross sections on argon. Obtained in the NuMI neutrino beam line at Fermilab, the flux-integrated results are reported in terms of outgoing muon angle and momentum. The data are consistent with the Monte Carlo expectation across the full range of kinematics sampled, 0°<θ(μ)<36° and 0<P(μ)<25 GeV/c. Along with confirming the viability of liquid argon time projection chamber technology for neutrino detection, the measurements allow tests of low-energy neutrino scattering models important for interpreting results from long baseline neutrino oscillation experiments designed to investigate CP violation and the orientation of the neutrino mass hierarchy.

Cloning and expression of CSAL2, a new member of the spalt gene family in chick

In this study we describe cloning and expression of CSAL2, a second member of the spalt gene family in chick. All spalt proteins are characterized by the presence of multiple zinc-finger motifs, which are highly conserved. Mutations in HSAL1, a human spalt gene result in Townes-Brocks syndrome (TBS). We show here that CSAL2 is expressed in many of the tissues affected in TBS, including neural tissue, limb buds, mesonephros and cloaca.

Developing mental health services in a primary care setting: Liverpool Primary Care Mental Health Project

The Liverpool Primary Care Mental Health Project (PCMHP) was set up in 1996 to provide mental health services in a primary care setting. This study describes and evaluates an impact of a working model of a multi-disciplinary team in close association with five Liverpool practices. The data were collected on all patients who came in contact with the PCMHP team during a three-year period and compared with the data available for the five neighboring teams on waiting time between referral and assessment, clinical outcome, in-patient bed usage, GPs' and patients' satisfaction with services. The number of new referrals remained the same over three years. The usage of inpatient beds dropped by 38% in the same period. Waiting time between referral and assessment for new patients reduced from six weeks to one-two weeks. GP's were highly satisfied with access to CMH Nurses, overall communication with the team and overall delivery of the services. Over 80% of patients were satisfied with the services. Integrated mental health services with primary care proved to be effective and satisfactory to GPs as well as to patients. This approach did not increase the workload of the mental health team.

No psychiatry? Assessment of family medicine residents' training in mental health issues

OBJECTIVE

To assess whether the mental health component of the family medicine residency program at Memorial University of Newfoundland, which contains no formal mental health training with psychiatrists, adequately prepares residents for practice, and to assess which aspects of their training enhanced their mental health skills most.

DESIGN

Cross-sectional mailed survey.

SETTING

A 2-year family practice residency program with a focus on training for rural practice offering integrated and eclectic multidisciplinary mental health training rather than formal psychiatry experience.

PARTICIPANTS

Graduates of the family practice residency program, 1990 to 1995. Completed questionnaires were returned by 62 of 116 physicians.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE

Confidence of respondents in dealing with 23 mental health problems.

RESULTS

Respondents felt prepared to address most of the mental health needs of their patients. Higher levels of confidence were associated with lower referral rates. There was no significant relationship between time spent in practice and confidence in dealing with mental health problems. Graduates' confidence correlated with areas in the program identified as strong.

CONCLUSIONS

The program appears to train family doctors effectively to meet the mental health needs of their patients.

Intracranial neurological injuries associated with orbital fracture

We attempted to define the central nervous system (CNS) concomitants of various types of orbital fractures in children by reviewing the records of 95 inpatients with admission diagnoses including orbital fracture who presented to the Children's National Medical Center from 1987 through 1994. Patients were divided into three age groups: group I: 0-5 years; group II: 6-12 years; group III: older than 12 years. Orbital fractures were classified by location: roof alone (A); orbital roof plus another orbital wall (B), and orbital fractures sparing the roof (C). Mechanisms of injury included falls (F), motor vehicle accidents (M), and blunt injuries (S). Admission Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS), neurosurgical intervention, nature of associated intracranial injury, and presence of residual neurologic deficit were recorded. Group I included 38 patients, while groups II and III included 28 and 29, respectively. There were 61 boys and 34 girls. Most fractures confined to the roof occurred in group I patients (12 of 16 fractures; 75%). Twenty-four of the 38 group I patients (63%) sustained orbital fractures involving the roof compared to 12 (43%) and 6 (21%) in groups II and III, respectively. Children with orbital fractures involving the roof and another orbital wall, regardless of age, had lower admission GCS. Over half of type B fracture patients (19/26) were involved in motor vehicle accidents. Intracranial injuries were identified in 26 of the 73 patients (36%) whose CT included the brain. Fifteen of 26 patients (58%) with intracranial injuries sustained fractures involving the orbital roof, but only 3 of these had a type A fracture. Seven of the patients with intracranial injury required emergent neurosurgical procedures. Younger children with maxillofacial injury sparing the orbital roof appear more likely to have coexisting intracranial injury, as reflected by CT findings and GCS on admission, than their older cohorts with similar injuries. Fracture of more than one orbital wall greatly increases risk of concurrent intracranial injury in all age groups.

Public health and economics in tandem: programme budgeting, marginal analysis and priority setting in practice

In the wake of the reforms of the UK National Health Service there has been increased interest in 'getting it right' with respect to priority setting in health care. This article examines the way in which programme budgeting and marginal analysis (PBMA) were introduced into North Mersey. It provides a very practical introduction to the topic and indicates the actual processes that were gone through. It is suggested that, in terms of getting participants in the PBMA exercise to think through what programmes comprise, what they cost, what they are trying to achieve and to focus on relevant possible changes, there was considerable merit in the approach. However there are problems, particularly at the level of determining the costs of different programmes.

Lack of changes in histomorphometric, bone mass, and biochemical parameters in ovariohysterectomized dogs

A predictable animal model with skeletal remodeling characteristics similar to those of humans is needed to facilitate the understanding of the mechanism of postmenopausal osteoporosis. We have utilized the ovariohysterectomized (Ovh) dog to examine cellular and biochemical responses to estrogen depletion and PTH stimulation. Histomorphometric measurements of bone biopsies taken prior to (first biopsy) and five months after the operation (second biopsy) showed no significant differences in static and dynamic parameters. Bone mineral density of the excised vertebrae displayed the same values between the two groups six months after surgery. Between the second biopsy and sacrifice, two infusion studies were performed. A two-hour infusion of EDTA followed by a two-hour recovery period elicited a rapid response in PTH production, highly correlated to the changes in ionized calcium, but no significant difference in response was observed between Sham and Ovh groups. A short-term (24-h) infusion of 1-34 hPTH increased circulating ionized calcium and 1,25-(OH)2-D levels to a similar extent in both groups. The levels of alkaline phosphatase were constant and both groups showed a small but nonsignificant increase in osteocalcin. The lack of sizable responses in histomorphometric, bone mass, and biochemical parameters may limit the utility of dogs for the study of cancellous bone loss in ovarian-dysfunction osteoporosis.