Change in abdominal obesity after colon cancer surgery - effects of left-sided and right-sided colonic resection

BACKGROUND

Excess abdominal visceral adipose tissue (VAT) is associated with metabolic diseases and poor survival in colon cancer (CC). We assessed the impact of different types of CC surgery on changes in abdominal fat depots.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

Computed tomography (CT)-scans performed preoperative and 3 years after CC surgery were analyzed at L3-level for VAT, subcutaneous adipose tissue (SAT) and total adipose tissue (TAT) areas. We assessed changes in VAT, SAT, TAT and VAT/SAT ratio after 3 years and compared the changes between patients who had undergone left-sided and right-sided colonic resection in the total population and in men and women separately.

RESULTS

A total of 134 patients with stage I-III CC undergoing cancer surgery were included. Patients who had undergone left-sided colonic resection had after 3 years follow-up a 5% (95% CI: 2-9%, p < 0.01) increase in abdominal VAT, a 4% (95% CI: 2-6%, p < 0.001) increase in SAT and a 5% increase (95% CI: 2-7%, p < 0.01) in TAT. Patients who had undergone right-sided colonic resection had no change in VAT, but a 6% (95% CI: 4-9%, p < 0.001) increase in SAT and a 4% (95% CI: 1-7%, p < 0.01) increase in TAT after 3 years. Stratified by sex, only males undergoing left-sided colonic resection had a significant VAT increase of 6% (95% CI: 2-10%, p < 0.01) after 3 years.

CONCLUSION

After 3 years follow-up survivors of CC accumulated abdominal adipose tissue. Notably, those who underwent left-sided colonic resection had increased VAT and SAT, whereas those who underwent right-sided colonic resection demonstrated solely increased SAT.

Pancreatic cancer symptom trajectories from Danish registry data and free text in electronic health records

Pancreatic cancer is one of the deadliest cancer types with poor treatment options. Better detection of early symptoms and relevant disease correlations could improve pancreatic cancer prognosis. In this retrospective study, we used symptom and disease codes (ICD-10) from the Danish National Patient Registry (NPR) encompassing 6.9 million patients from 1994 to 2018,, of whom 23,592 were diagnosed with pancreatic cancer. The Danish cancer registry included 18,523 of these patients. To complement and compare the registry diagnosis codes with deeper clinical data, we used a text mining approach to extract symptoms from free text clinical notes in electronic health records (3078 pancreatic cancer patients and 30,780 controls). We used both data sources to generate and compare symptom disease trajectories to uncover temporal patterns of symptoms prior to pancreatic cancer diagnosis for the same patients. We show that the text mining of the clinical notes was able to complement the registry-based symptoms by capturing more symptoms prior to pancreatic cancer diagnosis. For example, 'Blood pressure reading without diagnosis', 'Abnormalities of heartbeat', and 'Intestinal obstruction' were not found for the registry-based analysis. Chaining symptoms together in trajectories identified two groups of patients with lower median survival (<90 days) following the trajectories 'Cough→Jaundice→Intestinal obstruction' and 'Pain→Jaundice→Abnormal results of function studies'. These results provide a comprehensive comparison of the two types of pancreatic cancer symptom trajectories, which in combination can leverage the full potential of the health data and ultimately provide a fuller picture for detection of early risk factors for pancreatic cancer.

Methods for the purification and detection of single nucleotide KRAS mutations on extrachromosomal circular DNA in human plasma

BACKGROUNDS

Despite recent advances, many cancers are still detected too late for curative treatment. There is, therefore, a need for the development of new diagnostic methods and biomarkers. One approach may arise from the detection of extrachromosomal circular DNA (eccDNA), which is part of cell-free DNA in human plasma.

AIMS

First, we assessed and compared two methods for the purification of eccDNA from plasma. Second, we tested for an easy diagnostic application of eccDNA liquid biopsy-based assays.

MATERIALS & METHODS

For the comparison we tested a solid-phase silica purification method and a phenol/chloroform method with salt precipitation. For the diagnostic application of eccDNA we developed and tested a qPCR primer-based SNP detection system, for the detection of two well-established cancer-causing KRAS mutations (G12V and G12R) on circular DNA. This investigation was supported by purifying, sequencing, and analysing clinical plasma samples for eccDNAs containing KRAS mutant alleles in 0.5 mL plasma from 16 pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma patients and 19 healthy controls.

RESULTS

In our method comparison we observed, that following exonuclease treatment a lower eccDNA yield was found for the phenol/chloroform method (15.7%-26.7%) compared with the solid-phase purification approach (47.8%-65.9%). For the diagnostic application of eccDNA tests, the sensitivity of the tested qPCR assay only reached ~10-3 in a background of 105 wild type (wt) KRAS circular entities, which was not improved by general amplification or primer-based inhibition of wt KRAS amplification. Furthermore, we did not detect eccDNA containing KRAS in any of the clinical samples.

DISCUSSION

A potential explanation for our inability to detect any KRAS mutations in the clinical samples may be related to the general low abundance of eccDNA in plasma.

CONCLUSION

Taken together our results provide a benchmark for eccDNA purification methods while raising the question of what is required for the optimal fast and sensitive detection of SNP mutations on eccDNA with greater sensitivity than primer-based qPCR detection.

A randomized phase II study of full dose gemcitabine versus reduced dose gemcitabine and nab-paclitaxel in vulnerable patients with non-resectable pancreatic cancer (DPCG-01)

BACKGROUND

According to current evidence, the best treatment for fit patients with non-resectable pancreatic cancer (PC) is combination chemotherapy, whereas frail patients are recommended gemcitabine (Gem) monotherapy. Randomized controlled trials in colorectal cancer and a post-hoc analysis of gemcitabine and nab-paclitaxel (GemNab) in PC suggest, however, that reduced dose of combination chemotherapy may be feasible and more efficient compared to monotherapy in frail patients. The aim of this study is to investigate whether reduced dose GemNab is superior to full dose Gem in patients with resectable PC, who are not candidates for full dose combination chemotherapy in first line.

METHODS

The Danish Pancreas Cancer Group (DPCG)-01 trial is a national multicenter prospective randomized phase II trial. A total of 100 patients in ECOG performance status 0-2 with non-resectable PC, not candidate for full dose combination chemotherapy in first line, but eligible for full dose Gem, will be included. Patients are randomized 1:1 to either full dose Gem or GemNab in 80% of recommended dose. The primary endpoint is progression-free survival. Secondary endpoints are overall survival, overall response rate, quality of life, toxicity and rate of hospitalizations during treatment. The correlation between blood inflammatory markers, including YKL-40 and IL-6, circulating tumor DNA, and tissue biomarkers of resistance to chemotherapy and outcome will be explored. Finally, the study will include measures of frailty (G8, modified G8, and chair-stand-test) to assess whether scoring would enable a personalized allocation to different treatments or indicates a possibility for interventions.

DISCUSSION

Single-drug treatment with Gem has for frail patients with non-resectable PC been the main treatment option for more than thirty years, but the impact on outcome is modest. If improved results and sustained tolerability with reduced dose combination chemotherapy can be shown, this could change the future practice for this increasing group of patients.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT05841420. Secondary Identifying No: N-20210068. EudraCT No: 2021-005067-52.

PROTOCOL VERSION

1.5, 16-MAY-2023.

Promoter hypermethylation of SFRP1 as a prognostic and potentially predictive blood-based biomarker in patients with localized pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma

Introduction

Current prognostic blood-based biomarkers for pancreatic adenocarcinoma (PDAC) are limited. Recently, promoter hypermethylation of SFRP1 (phSFRP1) has been linked to poor prognosis in patients with gemcitabine-treated stage IV PDAC. This study explores the effects of phSFRP1 in patients with lower stage PDAC.

Methods

Based on a bisulfite treatment process, the promoter region of the SFRP1 gene was analyzed with methylation-specific PCR. Kaplan-Meier curves, log-rank tests, and generalized linear regression analysis were used to assess restricted mean survival time survival at 12 and 24 months.

Results

The study included 211 patients with stage I-II PDAC. The median overall survival of patients with phSFRP1 was 13.1 months, compared to 19.6 months in patients with unmethylated SFRP1 (umSFRP1). In adjusted analysis, phSFRP1 was associated with a loss of 1.15 months (95%CI -2.11, -0.20) and 2.71 months (95%CI -2.71, -0.45) of life at 12 and 24 months, respectively. There was no significant effect of phSFRP1 on disease-free or progression-free survival. In stage I-II PDAC, patients with phSFRP1 have worse prognoses than patients with umSFRP1.

Discussion

Results could indicate that the poor prognosis may be caused by reduced benefit from adjuvant chemotherapy. SFRP1 may help guide the clinician and be a possible target for epigenetically modifying drugs.

Transient Changes in Serum CEA, CA19-9, CRP, YKL-40, and IL-6 during Adjuvant Chemotherapy and Survival of Patients with Colorectal Cancer

Serum carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) is frequently monitored to detect colorectal cancer (CRC) recurrence after surgery. The clinical significance of transiently increased CEA during adjuvant chemotherapy is poorly understood. Serum CEA, CA19-9, CRP, YKL-40, and IL-6 were measured before, during, and after adjuvant 5-fluorouracil-based chemotherapy in the randomised LIPSYT study population. The biomarker kinetic patterns were classified into three groups: no increase, a transient increase (≥10% increase followed by a decrease), and a persistent increase during the adjuvant treatment, and the associations of these patterns with disease free-survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS) were investigated by using Cox regression analyses. The findings were validated in two single-centre cohorts that received modern adjuvant chemotherapy. A transient increase in CEA occurred in about a half of the patients during chemotherapy, in all the cohorts. The patients with a transient increase had a roughly similar DFS and OS to the patients with no increase, and a more favourable survival compared to the patients with a persistent increase. In the LIPSYT cohort, the hazard ratio was 0.21 for DFS (CI_95% 0.07-0.66) and 0.24 for OS (CI_95% 0.08-0.76). Transient increases in CA19-9 and YKL-40 tended to be associated with a favourable survival. A transient increase in CEA during adjuvant chemotherapy is associated with a favourable survival when compared with a persistent increase.

The prevalence of sarcopenia and cachexia in older patients with localized colorectal cancer

INTRODUCTION

The incidence of colorectal cancer (CRC) increases with age. In combination with an ageing population, the number of older patients undergoing surgical treatment for CRC is therefore expected to increase. Sarcopenia and cachexia are potentially modifiable risk factors of a negative surgical outcome. Sarcopenia can be categorized into primary (age-related) and secondary where diseases, such as malignancy, are influential factors. We aimed to investigate the prevalence of preoperative sarcopenia and cachexia in older (≥65 years) vulnerable patients with localized CRC.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Patients included in the randomized study "Geriatric assessment and intervention in older vulnerable patients undergoing resection for colorectal cancer," were screened for sarcopenia and cachexia prior to surgery. All patients in the present cohort were considered vulnerable with Geriatric 8 ≤ 14 points. Sarcopenia was defined according to European Guidelines (EWGSOP2), based on low muscle strength-low handgrip-strength and/or slow 5xChair-Stand-Test-and low appendicular lean mass assessed by dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry. Cachexia was defined as self-reported unintended weight loss >5% within three months or 2-5% with body mass index <20 kg/m².

RESULTS

Sixty-four patients (mean age 79.6 years ±6.4 years, 36 women) were assessed. Of these, 28% (n = 18, 11 women) had low muscle strength and 13% (n = 8, 4 women) fulfilled the criteria for sarcopenia, however, 33% (n = 21, 13 women) had low muscle mass. There was no correlation between low muscle strength and low muscle mass (r = 0.16, P = 0.22). The prevalence of cachexia was 36% (n = 23, 16 women). Low muscle mass was associated with cachexia (φ = 0.38, P = 0.005), but there was no association between sarcopenia and cachexia (φ = 0.01, P = 1.0).

DISCUSSION

Despite the included patients who fulfilled the criteria for vulnerability according to G8, relatively few (28%) had low muscle strength. Moreover, there was poor overlap between the prevalence of sarcopenia according to the EWGSOP2 guidelines (13%) and prevalence of low muscle mass (33%) in older patients with CRC. Of note also, there was no association between sarcopenia and cachexia, but an association between cachexia and low muscle mass, which highlights the importance of assessing muscle mass in patients with cancer.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

The GEPOC trial has been prospectively registered at http://clinicaltrials.gov (NCT03719573).

Physical exercise program to older frail patients receiving chemotherapy for colorectal cancer - feasibility and experiences from the GERICO study

INTRODUCTION

Older and frail patients with cancer are at high risk of physical and functional decline during chemotherapy. Exercise interventions can often counteract chemotherapy related toxicity and may help patients to improve or retain physical function and quality of life. Studies evaluating feasibility and the effect of exercise in older patients are lacking. The aim of this study was to investigate the feasibility and effect of an exercise intervention in older frail patients during chemotherapy for colorectal cancer (CRC).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

This is a secondary analysis from the GERICO study investigating the effect of geriatric interventions in frail patients ≥70 years receiving chemotherapy for CRC. All patients in the present analysis were patients randomized to geriatric interventions and who were found physically frail (low handgrip strength or slow 10 m gait speed) and therefore offered referral to the exercise program for twelve weeks. We evaluated reasons for dropping out and feasibility of an individually tailored exercise program twice a week for twelve weeks. Each 60 min session comprised warm-up followed by progressive resistance training and cool-down followed by an oral protein supplement. Baseline characteristics and the effect of exercise for patients with high and low adherence (attendance of <50% of exercise sessions) were compared.

RESULTS

Of 71 patients in the intervention group, 47 (66%) were found physically frail and were offered referral to the exercise program. Seven patients were referred to municipal physiotherapy before study start. In the remaining population (N = 40) 19 had exercise adherence >50% and 21 had no or low exercise adherence. Baseline characteristics were similar between patients with high and low/no adherence, except for sex (68% and 33% were men in high and low/ no adherence group, respectively). Patients with >50% attendance had significant improvements in physical tests after twelve weeks of exercise.

DISCUSSION

Low adherence to the exercise program was seen due to lack of energy and/or treatment related adverse events. Patients with high adherence benefitted from exercise during chemotherapy but did not differ from patients with low adherence at baseline. Consequently, exercise should be offered to all older frail patients receiving chemotherapy for CRC.

Systematic review and meta-analysis of C-reactive protein as a biomarker in breast cancer

Inflammation is an enabling characteristic of the hallmarks of cancer. There has therefore been increasing interest in the clinical value of circulating inflammatory biomarkers in cancer. In this review, we summarize results on C-reactive protein (CRP), alone or as part of the Glasgow Prognostic Score (GPS, composed of CRP and serum albumin), as a biomarker of prognosis or prediction and monitoring of therapeutic response in patients with breast cancer. A systematic literature search was performed in Medline and Embase from 1990 to August 2021. The association of serum CRP and overall survival and disease/progression-free survival was summarized in meta-analyses using a random effects model. The results from a total of 35 included studies (20,936 patients) were divided according to three identified patient settings (metastatic, non-metastatic, and general setting). Most of the studies examined prognostic utility. Several larger studies observed associations between high serum CRP and poor survival, but the meta-analyses suggested a limited value in a non-metastatic and general breast cancer setting (populations with unknown or varied disease stage). In metastatic patients, however, more consistent findings supported an association between serum CRP and prognosis (hazard ratio for overall survival: 1.87 (95% CI 1.31-2.67). Only five studies examined a role in prediction or monitoring of therapeutic response. One study reported a significant association between serum CRP levels and response to chemotherapy. Findings regarding serum CRP as a biomarker in breast cancer appear inconsistent, particularly in non-metastatic and general breast cancer, where the prognostic value could not be confirmed. In patients with metastatic breast cancer we suggest that high serum CRP is an indicator of poor prognosis. Too few studies assessed the role of serum CRP in prediction or monitoring of treatment response to allow conclusions.

COLAR: open-label clinical study of IL-6 blockade with tocilizumab for the treatment of immune checkpoint inhibitor-induced colitis and arthritis

Background

Immune-related adverse events due to immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) are not always effectively treated using glucocorticoids and it may negatively affect the antitumor efficacy of ICIs. Interventional studies of alternatives to glucocorticoids are lacking. We examined whether interleukin-6 blockade by tocilizumab reduced ICI-induced colitis and arthritis.

Patients and methods

Patients with solid cancer experiencing Common Terminology Criteria for Adverse Events (CTCAE v5.0) grade >1 ICI-induced colitis/diarrhea (n=9), arthritis (n=9), or both (n=2) were recruited and treated with tocilizumab (8 mg/kg) every 4 weeks until worsening or unacceptable toxicity. Patients were not allowed to receive systemic glucocorticoids and other immunosuppressive drugs within the 14-day screening period. The primary endpoint was clinical improvement of colitis and arthritis, defined as ≥1 grade CTCAE reduction within 8 weeks. Secondary endpoints were improvements and glucocorticoid-free remission at week 24; safety; radiologic, endoscopic, and histological changes; and changes in plasma concentrations of C reactive protein, cytokines (IL-6, IL-8, and IL-17), and YKL-40.

Results

Nineteen patients were available for efficacy analysis; one patient was excluded due to pancreatic insufficiency-induced diarrhea. Patients received treatment with pembrolizumab (n=10) or nivolumab (n=4) as monotherapy or ipilimumab and nivolumab (n=5) combined. Seven patients had been initially treated with glucocorticoids, and two of them also received infliximab. Ten patients continued ICI therapy during tocilizumab treatment. The primary endpoint was achieved in 15 of 19 (79%) patients. Additional one patient had ≥1 grade reduction at week 10, and another patient had stabilized symptoms. At week 24, ongoing improvement without glucocorticoids (n=12), including complete remission (n=10), was noted. Five patients had grades 3–4 treatment-related adverse events, which were manageable and reversible.

Conclusions

Tocilizumab showed promising clinical efficacy and a manageable safety profile in the treatment of ICI-induced colitis and arthritis. Our findings support the feasibility of randomized trials of immune-related adverse events.

Trial registration number

NCT03601611.

Regional and age differences in specialised palliative care for patients with pancreatic cancer

BACKGROUND

Despite national recommendations, disparities in specialised palliative care (SPC) admittance have been reported. The aims of this study were to characterize SPC admittance in patients with pancreatic cancer in relation to region of residence and age.

METHOD

The data sources were two nationwide databases: Danish Pancreatic Cancer Database and Danish Palliative Care Database. The study population included patients (18+ years old) diagnosed with pancreatic cancer from 2011 to 2018. We investigated admittance to SPC, and time from diagnosis to referral to SPC and first contact with SPC to death by region of residence and age.

RESULTS

In the study period (N = 5851) admittance to SPC increased from 44 to 63%. The time from diagnosis to referral to SPC increased in the study period and overall, the median time was 67 days: three times higher in Southern (92 days) than in North Denmark Region. The median number of days from diagnosis to referral to SPC was lower in patients ≥70 years (59 days) vs patients < 70 years (78 days), with regional differences between the age groups. Region of residence and age were associated with admittance to SPC; highest for patients in North Denmark Region vs Capital Region (OR = 2.03 (95%CI 1.67-2.48)) and for younger patients (< 60 years vs 80+ years) (OR = 2.54 (95%CI 2.05-3.15)). The median survival from admittance to SPC was 35 days: lowest in Southern (30 days) and highest in North Denmark Region (41 days). The median number of days from admittance to SPC to death was higher in patients < 70 years (40 days) vs ≥ 70 years (31 days), with a difference between age groups in the regions of 1-14 days.

CONCLUSIONS

From 2011 to 2018 more patients with pancreatic cancer than previously were admitted to SPC, with marked differences between regions of residence and age groups. The persistently short period of time the patients are in SPC raises concern that early integrated palliative care is not fully integrated into the Danish healthcare system for patients with pancreatic cancer, with the risk that the referral comes so late that the patients do not receive the full benefit of the SPC.

Associations between YKL-40 and markers of disease severity and death in patients with necrotizing soft-tissue infection

Background

Necrotizing soft-tissue infection (NSTI) is a severe and fast-progressing bacterial infection. Prognostic biomarkers may provide valuable information in treatment guidance and decision-making, but none have provided sufficient robustness to have a clinical impact. YKL-40 may reflect the ongoing pathological inflammatory processes more accurately than traditional biomarkers as it is secreted by the activated immune cells, but its prognostic yields in NSTI remains unknown. For this purpose, we investigated the association between plasma YKL-40 and 30-day mortality in patients with NSTI, and assessed its value as a marker of disease severity.

Methods

We determined plasma YKL-40 levels in patients with NSTI (n = 161) and age-sex matched controls (n = 65) upon admission and at day 1, 2 and 3.

Results

Baseline plasma YKL-40 was 1191 ng/mL in patients with NSTI compared with 40 ng/mL in controls (p < 0.001). YKL-40 was found to be significantly higher in patients with septic shock (1942 vs. 720 ng/mL, p < 0.001), and in patients receiving renal-replacement therapy (2382 vs. 1041 ng/mL, p < 0.001). YKL-40 correlated with Simplified Acute Physiology Score II (Rho 0.33, p < 0.001). Baseline YKL-40 above 1840 ng/mL was associated with increased risk of 30-day mortality in age-sex-comorbidity adjusted analysis (OR 3.77, 95% CI; 1.59–9.24, p = 0.003), but after further adjustment for Simplified Acute Physiology Score II no association was found between YKL-40 and early mortality.

Conclusion

High plasma YKL-40 to be associated with disease severity, renal-replacement therapy and risk of death in patients with NSTI. However, YKL-40 is not an independent predictor of 30-day mortality.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12879-021-06760-x.

Pretreatment Plasma IL-6 and YKL-40 and Overall Survival after Surgery for Metastatic Bone Disease of the Extremities

Simple Summary

Estimating postoperative survival in patients undergoing surgery for metastatic bone disease of the extremities is important in order to choose an implant that will outlive the patient. The present study suggests that plasma IL-6, reflecting the inflammatory state of the patient, is predictive for postoperative overall survival (OS).

Abstract

Background: Plasma IL-6 and YKL-40 are prognostic biomarkers for OS in patients with different types of solid tumors, but they have not been studied in patients before surgery of metastatic bone disease (MBD) of the extremities. The aim was to evaluate the prognostic value of plasma IL-6 and YKL-40 in patients undergoing surgery for MBD of the extremities. Patients and Methods: A prospective study included all patients undergoing surgery for MBD in the extremities at a tertiary referral center during the period 2014–2018. Preoperative blood samples from index surgery were included. IL-6 and YKL-40 concentrations in plasma were determined by commercial ELISA. A total of 232 patients (median age 66 years, IQR 58–74; female 51%) were included. Results: Cox regression analysis was performed to identify independent prognostic factors for OS. IL-6 correlated with YKL-40 (rho = 0.46, p < 0.01). In univariate analysis (log₂ continuous variable) IL-6 (HR = 1.26, 95% CI 1.16–1.37), CRP (HR = 1.20, 95% CI 1.12–1.29) and YKL-40 (HR = 1.25, 95% CI 1.15–1.37) were associated with short OS. In multivariable analysis, adjusted for known risk factors for survival, only log₂(IL-6) was independently associated with OS (HR = 1.24, 95% CI 1.08–1.43), whereas CRP and YKL-40 were not. Conclusion: High preoperative plasma IL-6 is an independent biomarker of short OS in patients undergoing surgery for MBD.

Plasma IL-8 and ICOSLG as prognostic biomarkers in glioblastoma

Background

CNS immune privilege has been challenged in recent years. Glioblastoma (GBM) immune dysfunction includes complex interactions with the immune system outside the CNS. The aim of this study was to determine diagnostic and prognostic potential of immune-related proteins in plasma in GBM and interrogate biomarker presence in the brain tumor microenvironment (TME).

Methods

One hundred and fifty-eight patients with glioma WHO grade II–IV were included. Plasma collected at surgery was screened for 92 proteins using proximity extension assay technology and related to clinical outcome. Secretion and expression of candidate prognostic biomarkers were subsequently analyzed in 8 GBM cell lines and public RNAseq data.

Results

Plasma levels of 20 out of 92 screened proteins were significantly different in patients with GBM compared to patients with astrocytoma WHO grade II–III. High plasma interleukin-8 (IL-8) (hazard ratio [HR] = 1.52; P = .0077) and low CD244 (HR = 0.36; P = .0004) were associated with short progression-free survival and high plasma IL-8 (HR = 1.40; P = .044) and low ICOS ligand (ICOSLG) (HR = 0.17; P = .0003) were associated with short overall survival (OS) in newly diagnosed patients with GBM. A similar trend was found for ICOSLG (HR = 0.34; P = .053) in recurrent GBM. IL-8 was mostly secreted and expressed by mesenchymal GBM cell lines and expressed by vascular cells and immune cells in the TME. This was also the case for ICOSLG, although less consistent, and with additional expression in tumor-associated oligodendrocytes.

Conclusions

High plasma IL-8 and low ICOSLG at surgery are associated with short OS in newly diagnosed GBM. Source of plasma ICOSLG may be found outside the TME.

The effect of geriatric intervention in frail older patients receiving chemotherapy for colorectal cancer: a randomised trial (GERICO)

BACKGROUND

Older patients with colorectal cancer (CRC) experience chemotherapy dose reductions or discontinuation. Comprehensive geriatric assessment (CGA) predicts survival and chemotherapy completion in patients with cancer, but the benefit of geriatric interventions remains unexplored.

METHODS

The GERICO study is a randomised Phase 3 trial including patients ≥70 years receiving adjuvant or first-line palliative chemotherapy for CRC. Vulnerable patients (G8 questionnaire ≤14 points) were randomised 1:1 to CGA-based interventions or standard care, along with guideline-based chemotherapy. The primary outcome was chemotherapy completion without dose reductions or delays. Secondary outcomes were toxicity, survival and quality of life (QoL).

RESULTS

Of 142 patients, 58% received adjuvant and 42% received first-line palliative chemotherapy. Interventions included medication changes (62%), nutritional therapy (51%) and physiotherapy (39%). More interventional patients completed scheduled chemotherapy compared with controls (45% vs. 28%, P = 0.0366). Severe toxicity occurred in 39% of controls and 28% of interventional patients (P = 0.156). QoL improved in interventional patients compared with controls with the decreased burden of illness (P = 0.048) and improved mobility (P = 0.008).

CONCLUSION

Geriatric interventions compared with standard care increased the number of older, vulnerable patients with CRC completing adjuvant chemotherapy, and may improve the burden of illness and mobility.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

ClinicalTrials.gov ID: NCT02748811.

Perspective: targeting VEGF-A and YKL-40 in glioblastoma - matter matters

Glioblastomas (GBM) are heterogeneous highly vascular brain tumors exploiting the unique microenvironment in the brain to resist treatment and anti-tumor responses. Anti-angiogenic agents, immunotherapy, and targeted therapy have been studied extensively in GBM patients over a number of decades with minimal success. Despite maximal efforts, prognosis remains dismal with an overall survival of approximately 15 months.

Bevacizumab, a humanized anti-vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF) antibody, underwent accelerated approval by the U.S. Food and Drug Administration in 2009 for the treatment of recurrent GBM based on promising preclinical and early clinical studies. Unfortunately, subsequent clinical trials did not find overall survival benefit. Pursuing pleiotropic targets and leaning toward multitarget strategies may be a key to more effective therapeutic intervention in GBM, but preclinical evaluation requires careful consideration of model choices. In this study, we discuss bevacizumab resistance, dual targeting of pro-angiogenic modulators VEGF and YKL-40 in the context of brain tumor microenvironment, and how model choice impacts study conclusions and its translational significance.

Postoperative serum CA19-9, YKL-40, CRP and IL-6 in combination with CEA as prognostic markers for recurrence and survival in colorectal cancer

BACKGROUND

In colorectal cancer (CRC) patients, guidelines only recommend measurement of preoperative carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA), although postoperative CEA may be more informative. However, the sensitivity of both preoperative and postoperative CEA in identifying relapse is limited. We studied whether CA19-9, YKL-40, C-reactive protein (CRP) and interleukin (IL)-6 add prognostic information combined with postoperative CEA.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

This post-hoc analysis included 147 radically resected stage II (n = 38), III (n = 91) and IV (n = 18) CRC patients treated with adjuvant 5-fluorouracil (5-FU)-based therapy in the phase III LIPSYT study (ISRCTN98405441). We collected postoperative blood samples a median of 48 days after surgery. We analysed relapses, sensitivity, positive predictive value (PPV) and disease-free (DFS) and overall survival (OS) by bootstrap, Kaplan-Meier and adjusted Cox-models in the elevated vs. normal biomarker groups.

RESULTS

Elevated postoperative CEA associated with impaired DFS (HR 7.23; CI_95% 3.85-13.58), impaired OS (HR 7.16; CI_95% 3.76-13.63), and more relapses (HR 7.9; CI_95% 3.4-18.2); but sensitivity for CEA in finding relapses was only 31% (CI_95% 21-48%). Normal CEA combined with an elevated YKL-40 or elevated CRP showed more relapses (HR for YKL-40 2.13 [CI_95% 1.10-4.13], HR for CRP 3.14 [CI_95% 1.21-8.16]), impaired DFS (HR 2.18 [CI_95% 1.12-4.24] or 3.23 [CI_95% 1.34-7.82]), and impaired OS (2.33 [CI_95%1.24-4.40] or 2.68 [CI_95%1.12-6.44]). Elevated CEA combined with a concomitantly elevated CA19-9, YKL-40, CRP or IL-6 showed a respective PPV of 100, 90, 100, and 100%.

CONCLUSION

In radically operated stage II to IV CRC patients who received adjuvant 5-FU-based chemotherapy, a postoperatively elevated CEA alone or in combination with CA19-9, YKL-40, CRP, or IL-6, or a normal CEA combined with an elevated YKL-40 or with an elevated CRP, may indicate patients at high risk of relapse.

Prognostic utility of serum YKL-40 in patients with cervical cancer

Inflammation is one of the hallmarks of cancer and plays a crucial role in the development and progression. The objective of the present study was to investigate if high serum YKL-40 is related to poor prognosis in cervical cancer (CC) patients. A prospective biomarker study of 116 patients with CC (FIGO stage Ia: n = 4; Ib: n = 55; II: n = 26; III: n = 26; IV: n = 5) and 152 patients with cervical intraepithelial neoplasia (CIN). The patients received primary surgery, radiotherapy and chemotherapy according to standard guidelines during the period 2001-2004. Seventy patients died during the follow-up period (median 117 months, range 104-131). Serum concentrations of YKL-40 were measured by ELISA. Serum concentrations of YKL-40 were increased (p < .001) in CC patients (median 76 µg/L, IQR 45-148) compared to CIN patients (44 µg/L, IQR 30-61) and healthy women (41 µg/L, IQR 29-58). YKL-40 was elevated (>age-corrected 95th percentile of YKL-40 in healthy women) in 30 (26%) of the CC patients. Univariate Cox analysis demonstrated that YKL-40 (included as a log-transformed continuous variable (base 2)) was associated with recurrence-free survival (RFS) (HR = 1.48, 95% CI: 1.11-1.98, p = .008) and overall survival (OS) (HR = 1.74, 1.44-2.10, p < .0001). Multivariate Cox analysis showed that stage (II + III vs. I: HR = 2.92, 1.37-6.20, p = .005), YKL-40 (HR = 1.35, 1.06-1.73, p = .018) and age (HR = 1.56, 1.21-1.99, p = .0005) were independent prognostic variables of OS. During treatment, a 2-fold increase in YKL-40 compared to baseline level was associated with short RFS (HR = 1.87, 1.27-2.77, p = .0016) and OS (HR = 1.78, 1.26-2.50, p = .0010). Serum YKL-40 is an independent biomarker of OS in patients with cervical cancer.

Exercise in older women with breast cancer during systemic therapy: study protocol of a randomised controlled trial (BREACE)

INTRODUCTION

Exercise interventions have been widely investigated in patients with cancer and demonstrate beneficial effects. However, intervention studies that include older women with breast cancer exercising during medical treatment are scarce. Hence, the aim of this study is to investigate the effect of a 12-week exercise-based intervention in older women (≥65 years) with breast cancer receiving (neo)adjuvant or first-line or second-line systemic therapy.

METHODS AND ANALYSIS

This is a single-centre, two-armed randomised controlled trial. We anticipate including 100 patients, who will be randomised 1:1 to exercise-based intervention or control stratified by treatment setting ((neo)adjuvant or metastatic) and treatment (chemotherapy or endocrine therapy + cyclin-dependent kinase (CDK) 4/6 inhibitors). The intervention group will receive standard oncological treatment and a 12-week supervised exercise-based intervention comprising a progressive resistance exercise programme two times per week, a protein supplement after exercise and a home-based walking programme based on daily step counts. The control group will receive standard oncological treatment. Assessments will be performed at baseline and 6, 12 and 24 weeks after start of the intervention. Primary outcome is physical function, measured by the 30-second Chair Stand Test. Secondary outcomes are feasibility (compliance and adherence to intervention), objective and patient-reported functional measures (6-meter and 10-meter gait speed; 6-min Walk Test; Handgrip Strength; Stair Climb Test; Physical Activity Questionnaire), symptom burden and well-being (MD Anderson Symptom Inventory; Hospital Anxiety and Depression Scale), quality of life (European Organization for Research and Treatment of Cancer Quality of Life Questionnaire Core-30 and B23), body composition (dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry scan), side effects, inflammatory biomarkers, hospitalisation and survival.

ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION

The protocol was reviewed and accepted by the Scientific Ethics Review Committee of the Capital Region of Denmark, 17 June 2018 (VEK ref.: H-18021013). Trial results will be submitted for publication in a peer-reviewed journal and presented on conferences, in oncology wards, exercise centres in municipalities and patient organisations, ensuring dissemination to relevant stakeholders.

TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER

https://clinicaltrials.gov/ on 3 September 2018. Identifier: NCT03656731.

Systemic Immune Modulation in Gliomas: Prognostic Value of Plasma IL-6, YKL-40, and Genetic Variation in YKL-40

Background: Complex local and systemic immune dysfunction in glioblastoma (GBM) may affect survival. Interleukin (IL)-6 and YKL-40 are pleiotropic biomarkers present in the tumor microenvironment and involved in immune regulation. We therefore analyzed plasma IL-6, YKL-40, and genetic variation in YKL-40 and explored their ability to distinguish between glioma subtypes and predict survival in GBM. Methods: One hundred fifty-eight patients with glioma WHO grade II-IV were included in the study. Plasma collected at surgery was analyzed for IL-6 and YKL-40 (CHI3L1) by ELISA. CHI3L1 rs4950928 genotyping was analyzed on whole-blood DNA. Results: Neither plasma IL-6 nor YKL-40 corrected for age or rs4950928 genotype could differentiate GBM from lower grade gliomas. GC and GG rs4950928 genotype were associated with lower plasma YKL-40 levels (CC vs. GC, p = 0.0019; CC vs. GG, p = 0.01). Only 10 and 14 out of 94 patients with newly diagnosed GBM had elevated IL-6 or YKL-40, respectively. Most patients received corticosteroid treatment at time of blood-sampling. Higher pretreatment plasma IL-6 was associated with short overall survival (OS) [HR = 1.19 (per 2-fold change), p = 0.042] in univariate analysis. The effect disappeared in multivariate analysis. rs4950928 genotype did not associate with OS [HR = 1.30, p = 0.30]. In recurrent GBM, higher YKL-40 [HR = 2.12 (per 2-fold change), p = 0.0005] but not IL-6 [HR = 0.99 (per 2-fold change), p = 0.92] were associated with short OS in univariate analysis. Conclusion: In recurrent GBM high plasma YKL-40 may hold promise as a prognostic marker. In newly diagnosed GBM perioperative plasma IL-6, YKL-40, and genetic variation in YKL-40 did not associate with survival. Corticosteroid use may complicate interpretation of results.

Elevated plasma YKL-40 and risk of infectious disease: a prospective study of 94665 individuals from the general population

OBJECTIVES

YKL-40 is an acute phase protein elevated in patients with infectious and inflammatory diseases. We tested the hypothesis that baseline elevated YKL-40 is associated with increased risk of future infectious disease in healthy individuals in the general population.

METHODS

We prospectively followed 94 665 individuals from the Danish general population for up to 23 years and analysed for plasma YKL-40 levels (n = 21 584) and CHI3L1 rs4950928 genotype (n = 94 184). Endpoints were any infection, bacterial pneumonia, urinary tract infection, skin infection, sepsis, diarrhoeal disease, and other infections.

RESULTS

For YKL-40 percentile category 91-100% versus 0-33%, the multifactorially and C-reactive protein (CRP) adjusted hazard ratios were 1.71 (95% confidence interval 1.50-1.96; p 4 × 10^-14) for any infection, 1.97 (1.64-2.37; p 4 × 10^-13) for bacterial pneumonia, 1.62 (1.24-2.11; p 0.002) for urinary tract infection, 1.74 (1.31-2.32; p 2 × 10^-4) for skin infection, 1.76 (1.25-2.46; p 0.004) for sepsis, 1.90 (1.29-2.78; p 0.002) for diarrhoeal disease and 2.71 (1.38-5.35; p 0.01) for other infections. In multifactorially and CRP-adjusted models, a twofold increase in YKL-40 was associated with increased risk of all infectious disease endpoints. Mendelian randomization did not support causality, as CHI3L1 rs4950928 was associated with 94% and 190% higher YKL-40 levels (for CG and CC versus GG genotype), but not with increased risk of any infectious disease endpoint.

DISCUSSION

Baseline elevated plasma YKL-40 was not a cause but a strong marker of increased risk of future infectious diseases in individuals in the general population.

EPID-06. IMMUNE-RELATED PLASMA BIOMARKERS IN GLIOBLASTOMA

BACKGROUND

Glioblastoma (GBM) is an aggressive and malignant primary brain tumor with limited treatment options and a dismal prognosis. Immunotherapy is advancing in other types of cancer but has not yet proven effective in glioblastoma. Prognostic and predictive biomarkers and new treatment targets are urgently needed.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

158 patients with glioma WHO grade II-IV were included in the study. Plasma was analyzed for interleukin (IL)-6, YKL-40 (Gene: CHI3L1) and 91 other immune-related protein biomarkers by ELISA or/and Olink technology. CHI3L1 rs4950928 genotyping was analyzed on DNA extracted from whole-blood.

RESULTS

Fourteen of 92 immune-related biomarkers in plasma detected with the Olink immuno-oncology array were related with tumor grade or/and type (p< 0.05) (corrected for age), whereas plasma IL-6 and YKL-40 did not change with tumor grade. In univariate analysis of plasma from 94 patients with newly diagnosed GBM higher baseline IL-6 was associated with short OS (HR=1.19 (per 2-fold change in IL-6), p=0.04), YKL-40 showed a similar trend (HR=1.20 (per 2-fold change in YKL-40), p=0.056) and high/low baseline levels of additional 15 immune-related biomarkers (e.g. CD244, Granzyme B, ICOS ligand, IL-8 and Pleiotrophin) were associated with short OS (p< 0.05). Genetic variation in YKL-40 was associated with plasma YKL-40 levels (+/+ vs. -/+ vs. -/-, p=0.0004) but not with OS in patients with GBM (HR= 0.78 (+/+ vs. -/+), p=0.32).

CONCLUSION

High levels of several immune-related biomarkers in plasma including IL-6, IL-8, CD244, Granzyme B, ICOS ligand, and Pleiotrophin from patients with glioblastoma were related or inversely related to OS.

Total circulating cell-free DNA as a prognostic biomarker in metastatic colorectal cancer before first-line oxaliplatin-based chemotherapy

BACKGROUND

Metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC) is a heterogeneous disease where prognosis is dependent both on tumor biology and host factors. Total circulating cell-free DNA (cfDNA) has shown to harbor prognostic information in mCRC, although less is known about the biological correlates of cfDNA levels in this patient group. The primary objective was to evaluate the prognostic value of pretreatment cfDNA in patients receiving the first-line oxaliplatin-based chemotherapy for mCRC, by using a predefined upper limit of normal (ULN) from a cohort of presumed healthy individuals. The secondary objective was to model cfDNA levels as a function of predefined tumor and host factors.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

This was a retrospective post hoc study based on a prospective multicenter phase III trial, the NORDIC-VII study. DNA was purified from 547 plasma samples and cfDNA quantified by a droplet digital PCR assay (B2M, PPIA) with controls for lymphocyte contamination. Main clinical end point was overall survival (OS).

RESULTS

cfDNA was quantified in 493 patients, 54 were excluded mainly due to lymphocyte contamination. Median cfDNA level was 7673 alleles/ml (1050-1 645 000) for B2M and 5959 alleles/ml (555-854 167) for PPIA. High cfDNA levels were associated with impaired outcome; median OS of 16.6 months for levels above ULN and 25.9 months for levels below ULN (hazard ratio = 1.83, 95% confidence interval 1.51-2.21, P < 0.001). The result was confirmed in multivariate OS analysis adjusting for established clinicopathological characteristics. A linear regression model predicted cfDNA levels from sum of longest tumor diameters by RECIST, the presence of liver metastases and systemic inflammatory response as measured by interleukin 6 (F(6, 357) = 62.7, P < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

cfDNA holds promise as a minimally invasive and clinically relevant prognostic biomarker in mCRC before initiating first-line oxaliplatin-based chemotherapy and may be a complex entity associated with tumor burden, liver metastases and systemic inflammatory response.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT00145314.

Circulating cell-free DNA as predictor of treatment failure after neoadjuvant chemo-radiotherapy before surgery in patients with locally advanced rectal cancer

Background

Treatment of patients with locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC) is based on a combination of chemo-radiotherapy (CRT) and surgery. The rate of distant recurrences remains over 25%. Circulating cell-free DNA (cfDNA) in plasma is a mixture of normal and cancer-specific DNA segments and is a promising biomarker in patients with colorectal cancer. The aim of our study was to investigate plasma cfDNA as a prognostic marker for outcome in patients with LARC treated with neoadjuvant CRT and surgery.

Patients and methods

In total, 123 patients with LARC were included in 2 biomarker studies. Patients were treated with neoadjuvant CRT before TME surgery. Fifty-two (42%) of the patients received induction chemotherapy with capecitabine + oxaliplatin. Total cfDNA was measured by direct fluorescent assay in EDTA plasma samples obtained at baseline, after induction chemotherapy, and after CRT. Serial samples 5 years after surgery were collected in 51 patients (41%).

Results

Median follow-up was 55 months. Distant or local recurrence was seen in 30.9% of the patients. Patients with baseline cfDNA levels above the 75th quartile had a higher risk of local or distant recurrence and shorter time to recurrence compared with patients with plasma cfDNA below the 75th percentile (HR = 2.48, 95% CI: 1.3-4.8, P = 0.007). The same applied to disease-free survival (DFS) (HR = 2.43, 95% CI: 1.27-4.7, P = 0.015). In multivariate analysis, a high cfDNA level was significantly associated with time to progression and DFS. During follow-up, the association remained significant regardless of time point for sample analysis.

Conclusion

We have demonstrated an association between a high baseline plasma level of cfDNA and increased risk of recurrence, shorter time to recurrence, and shorter DFS in patients with LARC. Consequently, cfDNA could potentially improve pre- and post-treatment risk assessment and facilitate individualized therapy for patients with LARC.

Engaging the older cancer patient; Patient Activation through Counseling, Exercise and Mobilization - Pancreatic, Biliary tract and Lung cancer (PACE-Mobil-PBL) - study protocol of a randomized controlled trial

Background

Several intervention studies have demonstrated that exercise training has beneficial effects among cancer patients. However, older cancer patients are underrepresented in clinical trials, and only few exercise-based studies have focused specifically on older patients with cancer. In particular, research investigating the effects of exercise training among older patients with advanced cancer is lacking. The purpose of the current study is to investigate the effect of a 12-week multimodal and exercise-based intervention among older patients (≥65 years) with advanced pancreatic, biliary tract or lung cancer, who are treated with first-line palliative chemotherapy, immunotherapy or targeted therapy.

Methods

PACE-Mobil-PBL is a two-armed randomized controlled trial. Participants will be randomized 1:1 to an intervention group (N = 50) or a control group (N = 50). Participants in the intervention group will receive standard oncological treatment and a 12-week multimodal intervention, comprised of: (I) supervised exercise training, twice weekly in the hospital setting, (II) home-based walking with step counts and goal-setting, (III) supportive and motivational nurse-led counseling, and (IV) protein supplement after each supervised training session. Participants in the control group will receive standard oncological treatment. The primary outcome is physical function measured by the 30-s chair stand test. Secondary outcomes include measures of feasibility, activity level, physical capacity and strength, symptom burden, quality of life, toxicity to treatment, dose reductions, inflammatory biomarkers, body weight and composition, hospitalizations and survival. Assessments will be conducted at baseline, and after 6, 12 and 16 weeks.

Discussion

The current study is one of the first to investigate the effect of an exercise-based intervention specifically targeting older patients with advanced cancer. PACE-Mobil-PBL supports the development of health promoting guidelines for older patients with cancer, and the study results will provide new and valuable knowledge in this understudied field.

Trial registration

The study was prospectively registered at ClinicalTrials.gov on January 26, 2018 (ID: NCT03411200).

Electronic supplementary material

The online version of this article (10.1186/s12885-018-4835-2) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.

Methodological development and biological observations of cell free DNA with a simple direct fluorescent assay in colorectal cancer

BACKGROUND

Cell free DNA (cfDNA) has shown promising utility as prognostic biomarker for patients with colorectal cancer (CRC), with an ongoing need to optimize and validate the laboratory methodology. Here, we report our optimization and validation of a direct fluorescent assay and display the potential utility in patients with colorectal cancer.

METHODS

Plasma cfDNA was analyzed by a direct fluorescent assay (DFA) and compared to quantification by droplet digital PCR (ddPCR). For clinical validation, baseline blood samples were available for a total of 273 patients from six different Nordic trials, covering patients with locally advanced rectal cancer (n = 176, cohorts A + B), liver limited metastatic CRC (n = 75C + D) and wide spread metastatic CRC (n = 22 E + F).

RESULTS

Validating the DFA analysis with ddPCR revealed a strong correlation with an R2 of 0.81. For the clinical cohorts, the levels of cfDNA were: 0.8 ng/uL (95%CI 0.75-0.83) (A + B), 0.93 ng/uL (95%CI 0.86-1.02) (C + D) and 1.2 ng/uL (95%CI 0.85-1.47) (E + F), respectively (p < 0.01). All cohorts of colorectal cancer had higher levels of cell free DNA than healthy individuals (n = 94) (p < 0.01).

CONCLUSION

Analysis of cell free DNA by a direct fluorescent assay could be an attractive laboratory option for a rapid inexpensive quantification of cell free DNA.

Predictive value of a multi-biomarker disease activity score for clinical remission and radiographic progression in patients with early rheumatoid arthritis: a post-hoc study of the OPERA trial

OBJECTIVES

Measurement of serum biomarkers at disease onset may improve prediction of disease course in patients with early rheumatoid arthritis (RA). We evaluated the multi-biomarker disease activity (MBDA) score and early changes in MBDA score for prediction of 28-joint Disease Activity Score based on C-reactive protein (DAS28-CRP) remission and radiographic progression in the double-blinded OPERA trial.

METHOD

Treatment-naïve RA patients (N = 180) with moderate or high DAS28 were randomized to methotrexate (MTX) + adalimumab (n = 89) or MTX + placebo (n = 91) in combination with glucocorticoid injection into swollen joints. X-rays of hands and feet were evaluated at months 0 and 12 (n = 164) by the total Sharp van der Heijde score (TSS). The smallest detectable change (1.8 TSS units) defined radiographic progression (∆TSS ≥ 2). Clinical remission (DAS28-CRP < 2.6) was assessed at baseline and 6 months. MBDA score was determined at 0 and 3 months and tested in a multivariable logistic regression model for predicting DAS28 remission at 6 months and radiographic progression at 1 year.

RESULTS

Baseline MBDA score was independently associated with radiographic progression at 1 year [odds ratio (OR) = 1.03/unit, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 1.01-1.06], and changes in MBDA score from baseline to 3 months with clinical remission at 6 months [OR = 0.98/unit, 95% CI 0.96-1.00). In anti-cyclic citrullinated peptide antibody (anti-CCP)-positive patients, 35 of 89 with high MBDA score (> 44) showed radiographic progression (PPV = 39%), compared with 0 of 15 patients (NPV = 100%) with low/moderate MBDA score (≤ 44) (p = 0.003).

CONCLUSION

Early changes in MBDA score were associated with clinical remission based on DAS28-CRP at 6 months. In anti-CCP-positive patients, a non-high baseline MBDA score (≤ 44) had a clinical value by predicting very low risk of radiographic progression at 12 months.

Identification of new biomarkers to promote personalised treatment of patients with inflammatory rheumatic disease: protocol for an open cohort study

INTRODUCTION

The introduction of biological disease-modifying antirheumatic drugs (bDMARDs) has improved the treatment of inflammatory rheumatic diseases dramatically. However, bDMARD treatment failure occurs in 30%-40% of patients due to lack of effect or adverse events, and the tools to predict treatment outcomes in individual patients are currently limited. The objective of the present study is to identify diagnostic, prognostic and predictive biomarkers, which can be used to (1) diagnose inflammatory rheumatic diseases early in the disease course with high sensitivity and specificity, (2) improve prognostication or (3) predict and monitor treatment effectiveness and tolerability for the individual patient.

METHODS AND ANALYSIS

The present study is an observational and translational open cohort study with prospective collection of clinical data and biological materials (primarily blood) in patients with inflammatory rheumatic diseases treated in routine care. Patients contribute with one cross-sectional blood sample and/or are enrolled for longitudinal follow-up on initiation of a new DMARD (blood sampling after 0, 3, 6, 12, 24, 36, 48, 60 months of treatment). Other biological materials will be collected when accessible and relevant. Demographics, disease characteristics, comorbidities and lifestyle factors are registered at inclusion; DMARD treatment and outcomes are collected repeatedly during follow-up. Currently (July 2017), >5000 samples from approximately 3000 patients have been collected. Data will be analysed using appropriate statistical analyses.

ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION

The protocol is approved by the Danish Ethics Committee and the Danish Data Protection Agency. Participants give written and oral informed consent. Biomarkers will be evaluated and published according to the Reporting Recommendations for Tumour Marker (REMARK) prognostic studies, Strengthening the Reporting of Observational Studies in Epidemiology (STROBE) and the Standards for Reporting of Diagnostic Accuracy (STARD) guidelines. Results will be published in peer-reviewed scientific journals and presented at international conferences.

TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER

NCT03214263.

Pre-Treatment Prediction of Chemoresistance in Second-Line Chemotherapy of Ovarian Carcinoma: Value of Serological Tumor Marker Determination (Tetranectin, YKL-40, CASA, CA 125)

Objective

To examine if the determination of the levels of serological tumor markers at time of relapse had any predictive value for chemoresistance in the second-line treatment of ovarian cancer patients.

Methods

From a registry of consecutive single-institution patients with epithelial ovarian carcinoma pretreated with paclitaxel plus platinum, we selected 82 patients with (a) solid tumor recurrence, and (b) second-line chemotherapy consisting of topotecan (platinum-resistant disease) or paclitaxel plus carboplatin (platinum-sensitive disease). Stored serum samples were analyzed for the biochemical tumor markers tetranectin, YKL-40, CASA (cancer-associated serum antigen), and CA 125. The serum tumor marker levels at time of relapse were correlated with response status at landmark time after 4 cycles of second-line chemotherapy. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses (chemoresistant vs non-chemoresistant disease) were performed.

Results

At landmark time, 26% of patients had progression according to the GCIG (Gynecologic Cancer Intergroup) progression criteria. In univariate logistic regression analysis, the tumor markers tetranectin (OR 0.4; 95% CI: 0.2–0.8; p=0.008), YKL-40 (OR 1.8; 95% CI: 1.0–3.3; p=0.045), and CASA (OR 1.8; 95% CI: 1.2–2.7; p=0.007) had predictive value for second-line chemoresistance, whereas serum CA 125 had no predictive value. In a multivariate logistic regression analysis, serum tetranectin and CASA both had independent predictive value for chemoresistance. The combined determination of tetranectin and CASA had a specificity of 90% with 33% sensitivity for the prediction of chemoresistance (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve = 0.78; 95% CI: 0.66–0.91; p=0.001).

Conclusion

Low serum levels of tetranectin, or high serum levels of CASA or YKL-40, are associated with increased risk of second-line chemoresistance in patients with ovarian cancer.

Circulating serum interleukin-6, serum chitinase-3-like protein-1, and plasma vascular endothelial growth factor are not predictive for remission and radiographic progression in patients with early rheumatoid arthritis: post-hoc explorative and validation studies based on the CIMESTRA and OPERA trials

OBJECTIVE

To investigate serum interleukin-6 (IL-6), serum chitinase-3-like protein-1 (YKL-40), and plasma vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF) as measures of disease activity and predictors of clinical remission and radiographic progression in two early rheumatoid arthritis (RA) randomized controlled trials (RCTs).

METHOD

Treatment-naïve patients with early RA (< 6 months' duration) and active disease, participating in two investigator-initiated RCTs, were treated according to a predefined treat-to-target algorithm aiming at inflammatory control, using methotrexate (MTX) + cyclosporine versus MTX + placebo (CIMESTRA study, n = 150, 5 year follow-up) or MTX + adalimumab versus MTX + placebo (OPERA study, n = 180, 2 year follow-up). The 28-joint Disease Activity Score (DAS28) and conventional radiography [bilateral hands and feet at baseline, 2 years and 5 years (only CIMESTRA)] were obtained at baseline and during follow-up. Serum IL-6, serum YKL-40, and plasma VEGF were measured in baseline blood samples and during follow-up. Hypotheses regarding the biomarkers' relation with DAS28 and ability to predict clinical remission (DAS28 < 2.6) and radiographic progression (change in total Sharp van der Heijde score ≥ 2) were generated in CIMESTRA and validated in OPERA, by Spearman's correlation and logistic regression analyses.

RESULTS

Baseline IL-6, YKL-40, and VEGF correlated significantly with DAS28 in CIMESTRA (r = 0.50, r = 0.36, r = 0.36, respectively, all p < 0.01) and these results were confirmed in OPERA patients (r = 0.52, p < 0.01; r = 0.18, p = 0.01; r = 0.23, p = 0.002, respectively). None of the biomarkers (absolute values or change) was predictive of clinical remission or radiographic progression at 2 or 5 years in either study.

CONCLUSION

Serum IL-6, serum YKL-40, and plasma VEGF were significantly correlated with DAS28 at baseline, but did not have consistent predictive value for clinical remission or radiographic progression in two early RA RCTs.

The effect of geriatric intervention in frail elderly patients receiving chemotherapy for colorectal cancer: a randomized trial (GERICO)

Background

Better surgical techniques, chemotherapy and biological therapy have improved survival in patients with colorectal cancer (CRC), most markedly in younger patients. About half of patients over 70 years receive dose reductions or early treatment discontinuation of the planned adjuvant or first-line treatment due to side effects. The Comprehensive Geriatric Assessment (CGA) is a multidisciplinary evaluation of an elderly individual’s health status. This assessment in older patients with cancer can predict survival, chemotherapy toxicity and morbidity.

Methods

This randomized phase II trial (GERICO) is designed to investigate whether comprehensive geriatric assessment and intervention before and during treatment with chemotherapy in frail elderly patients with stages II–IV CRC will increase the number of patients completing chemotherapy. All patients ≥70 years in whom chemotherapy for CRC is planned to start at Herlev and Gentofte Hospital are screened for frailty using the G8 questionnaire at the first visit to the outpatient clinic. The G8 questionnaire is a multi-domain screening tool to identify frail or vulnerable patients at risk of increased toxicity and morbidity. Frail patients are offered inclusion and are then randomized to two groups (the intervention group and the control group). Patients in the intervention group receive a full geriatric assessment of comorbidity, medication, psycho-cognitive function, physical, functional and nutrition status, and interventions are undertaken on identified health issues. Simultaneously, they are treated for their cancer according to international guidelines. Patients in the control group receive the same chemotherapy regimens and standard of care. Primary outcome is number of patients completing scheduled chemotherapy at starting dose. Secondary outcomes are dose reductions, treatment delays, toxicity, time to recurrence, survival, cancer-related mortality and quality of life.

Discussion

This ongoing trial is one of the first to evaluate the effect of geriatric intervention in frail elderly patients with CRC. The trial will provide new and valuable knowledge about whether it is beneficial for the elderly patient undergoing chemotherapy to be treated simultaneously by a geriatrician.

Trial registration

ClinicalTrials.gov ID: NCT02748811. The trial was registered retrospectively; registration date 04/28/2016.

Stroma-regulated HMGA2 is an independent prognostic marker in PDAC and AAC

Background:

The HMGA2 protein has experimentally been linked to EMT and cancer stemness. Recent studies imply that tumour–stroma interactions regulate these features and thereby contribute to tumour aggressiveness.

Methods:

We analysed 253 cases of pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) and 155 cases of ampullary adenocarcinoma (AAC) for HMGA2 expression by IHC. The data were correlated with stroma abundance and supplemented by experimental studies.

Results:

HMGA2 acts as an independent prognostic marker associated with a significantly shorter overall survival in both tumour types. Overall, HMGA2-positivity was more frequent in patients with PDAC than with AAC. The HMGA2 status in tumour cells significantly correlated with the abundance of PDGFRβ-defined stroma cells. In vivo co-injection of Panc-1 cancer cells with pancreatic stellate cells increased tumour growth in a manner associated with increased HMGA2 expression. Furthermore, in vitro treatment of Panc-1 with conditioned media from PDGF-BB-activated stellate cells increased their ability to form tumour spheroids.

Conclusions:

This study identifies HMGA2 expression in tumour cells as an independent prognostic marker in PDAC and AAC. Correlative data analysis gives novel tissue-based evidence for a heterotypic cross-talk with stroma cells as a possible mechanism for HMGA2 induction, which is further supported by experimental models.

Efficacy and toxicity of adjuvant chemotherapy in elderly patients with colorectal cancer: the ACCORE study

Background

Elderly patients with primary colorectal cancer (CRC) are less frequently treated with adjuvant chemotherapy than younger patients due to concerns regarding toxicity and efficiency. We investigated how age, performance status (PS) and comorbidity influence treatment outcomes.

Patients and methods

A retrospective single-centre study of 529 patients with stages II–III CRC treated with adjuvant chemotherapy (5-fluorouracil/capecitabine+/÷oxaliplatin) from 2001 to 2011 at Herlev Hospital, Denmark. Baseline characteristics, chemotherapy and outcome were analysed with respect to age after adjusting for PS and comorbidity.

Results

Elderly patients (>70 years) had significantly more comorbidity (p<0.001) and poorer PS (p=0.001) than younger patients. Elderly were more frequently treated with single-agent therapy (p=0.001) and at lower initial dose (p<0.001). There was no age-dependent difference in 3-year disease-free survival (DFS; HR 1.09, 95% CI 0.80 to 1.47, p=0.59), in grade 3–5 toxicity (29% vs 28%, p=0.86) or in 10-year CRC mortality (28%, HR 1.07, p=0.71). In elderly patients, a reduction in chemotherapy dose intensity compared with full dose had no impact on DFS or CRC mortality. Elderly patients receiving <50% of planned cycles had shorter DFS (HR=1.78, p=0.020) and higher CRC mortality (HR=2.17, p=0.027) than elderly receiving all cycles. Poor PS in younger and elderly patients was related to shorter DFS (HR=1.95, p=0.002; HR=1.6, p=0.035, respectively) and overall survival (OS; HR=2.28, p<0.001; HR=2.03, p=0.002). Comorbidity in younger patients was significantly related to shorter DFS (HR 2.72, p<0.001), OS (HR 3.16, p<0.001) and higher CRC mortality (HR 2.70, p=0.001).

Conclusions

Choice of regimen, primary dose reduction and given dose intensity in patients treated with adjuvant chemotherapy for CRC were highly dependent on age. However, age had no impact on DFS and CRC mortality. Comorbidity in younger patients and PS in all patients were associated with shorter DFS and higher CRC mortality.

YKL-40 in allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplantation after AML and myelodysplastic syndrome

YKL-40, also called chitinase-3-like-1 protein, is an inflammatory biomarker that has been associated with disease severity in inflammatory and malignant diseases, including AML, multiple myeloma and lymphomas. The objective of the current study was to assess the prognostic value of pretransplant recipient and donor plasma YKL-40 concentrations in patients with AML (n=624) or myelodysplastic syndrome (n=157) treated with allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplantation (HCT). In recipients, the plasma YKL-40 concentrations were increased when the HCT-comorbidity index was ⩾5 (P=0.028). There were no significant associations between plasma YKL-40 concentrations in recipients and any outcome measures. In donors with YKL-40 plasma concentrations above the age-adjusted 95th percentile, a trend toward increased grade II-IV acute GvHD in recipients was observed (adjusted hazard ratio 1.39 (95% confidence interval 1.00-1.94), P=0.050), with no significant associations with overall survival, treatment-related mortality or relapse. In conclusion, our study shows that YKL-40 does not aid risk stratification of patients undergoing allogeneic HCT, but suggests that YKL-40 may aid donor selection when multiple, otherwise equal, donors are available.

Role of inflammatory marker YKL-40 in the diagnosis, prognosis and cause of cardiovascular and liver diseases

This review summarizes present evidence for the role of YKL-40 in the diagnosis, prognosis and cause of cardiovascular and alcoholic liver disease. The question of whether YKL-40 is merely a marker or a causal factor in the development of cardiovascular and liver disease is addressed, with emphasis on the Mendelian randomization design. The Mendelian randomization approach uses genetic variants associated with lifelong high plasma YKL-40 levels that are largely unconfounded and not prone to reverse causation. Thus, the approach mimics a controlled double-blind randomized trial, but it uses genetic variants rather than a drug and placebo, and like a blinded trial, it allows inference about causality. Moreover, the review also covers background on the molecular biology and functions of YKL-40, YKL-40 levels in healthy individuals and reference range, and the role of YKL-40 as a biomarker of cardiovascular and alcoholic liver disease. YKL-40 is a plasma protein named after its three N-terminal amino acids, Y (tyrosine), K (lysine) and L (leucine), and its molecular weight of 40 kDa. It is produced by local inflammatory cells in inflamed tissues, such as lipid-laden macrophages inside the vessel wall and perhaps also hepatic stellate cells. Observational studies show that plasma YKL-40 levels are elevated in patients with cardiovascular and liver disease and are associated with disease severity and prognosis. Furthermore, elevated plasma YKL-40 levels in apparently healthy individuals are associated with a 2-fold increased risk of future ischemic stroke and venous thromboembolism, but not with myocardial infarction, suggesting that YKL-40 could play a role in the formation of embolisms rather than atherosclerosis per se. Further, elevated YKL-40 levels combined with excessive alcohol consumption are associated with 10-years risk of alcoholic liver cirrhosis of up to 7%, suggesting that YKL-40 can be used as a strong noninvasive marker of predicting alcoholic liver cirrhosis. Importantly, in Mendelian randomization studies, genetically elevated plasma YKL-40 levels were not associated with risk of cardiovascular and alcoholic liver disease, thus suggesting that plasma YKL-40 does not play a causal role in the development of these diseases. Despite this, plasma YKL-40 levels may play a role in disease progression after diagnosis, and inhibition of YKL-40 activity might be a novel therapy in some cardiovascular and liver diseases.

Circulating microRNAs as Prognostic and Predictive Biomarkers in Patients with Colorectal Cancer

MiRNAs are suggested as promising cancer biomarkers. They are stable and extractable from a variety of clinical tissue specimens (fresh frozen or formalin fixed paraffin embedded tissue) and a variety of body fluids (e.g., blood, urine, saliva). However, there are several challenges that need to be solved, considering their potential as biomarkers in cancer, such as lack of consistency between biomarker panels in independent studies due to lack of standardized sample handling and processing, use of inconsistent normalization approaches, and differences in patients populations. Focusing on colorectal cancer (CRC), divergent results regarding circulating miRNAs as prognostic or predictive biomarkers are reported in the literature. In the present review, we summarize the current data on circulating miRNAs as prognostic/predictive biomarkers in patients with localized and metastatic CRC (mCRC).

MicroRNA Expression in Formalin-fixed Paraffin-embedded Cancer Tissue: Identifying Reference MicroRNAs and Variability

Background

Archival formalin-fixed paraffin-embedded (FFPE) cancer tissue samples are a readily available resource for microRNA (miRNA) biomarker identification. No established standard for reference miRNAs in FFPE tissue exists. We sought to identify stable reference miRNAs for normalization of miRNA expression in FFPE tissue samples from patients with colorectal (CRC) and pancreatic (PC) cancer and to quantify the variability associated with sample age and fixation.

Methods

High-throughput miRNA profiling results from 203 CRC and 256 PC FFPE samples as well as from 37 paired frozen/FFPE samples from nine other CRC tumors (methodological samples) were used. Candidate reference miRNAs were identified by their correlation with global mean expression. The stability of reference genes was analyzed according to published methods. The association between sample age and global mean miRNA expression was tested using linear regression. Variability was described using correlation coefficients and linear mixed effects models. Normalization effects were determined by changes in standard deviation and by hierarchical clustering.

Results

We created lists of 20 miRNAs with the best correlation to global mean expression in each cancer type. Nine of these miRNAs were present in both lists, and miR-103a-3p was the most stable reference miRNA for both CRC and PC FFPE tissue. The optimal number of reference miRNAs was 4 in CRC and 10 in PC. Sample age had a significant effect on global miRNA expression in PC (50 % reduction over 20 years) but not in CRC. Formalin fixation for 2–6 days decreased miRNA expression 30–65 %. Normalization using global mean expression reduced variability for technical and biological replicates while normalization using the expression of the identified reference miRNAs reduced variability only for biological replicates. Normalization only had a minor impact on clustering results.

Conclusions

We identified suitable reference miRNAs for future miRNA expression experiments using CRC- and PC FFPE tissue samples. Formalin fixation decreased miRNA expression considerably, while the effect of increasing sample age was estimated to be negligible in a clinical setting.

Electronic supplementary material

The online version of this article (doi:10.1186/s12885-015-2030-2) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.

Clinical and radiographic outcome of a treat-to-target strategy using methotrexate and intra-articular glucocorticoids with or without adalimumab induction: a 2-year investigator-initiated, double-blinded, randomised, controlled trial (OPERA)

OBJECTIVES

To study clinical and radiographic outcomes after withdrawing 1 year's adalimumab induction therapy for early rheumatoid arthritis (eRA) added to a methotrexate and intra-articular triamcinolone hexacetonide treat-to-target strategy (NCT00660647).

METHODS

Disease-modifying antirheumatic drug (DMARD)-naive patients with eRA started methotrexate (20 mg/week) and intra-articular triamcinolone (20 mg/ml) for 2 years. In addition, they were randomised to receive placebo adalimumab (DMARD group, n=91) or adalimumab (40 mg/every other week) (DMARD+adalimumab group, n=89) during the first year. Sulfasalazine and hydroxychloroquine were added if disease activity persisted after 3 months. During year 2, synthetic DMARDs continued. Adalimumab was (re)initiated if active disease reoccurred. Clinical response, remission, disability, quality of life and radiographic changes were assessed.

RESULTS

One year after adalimumab withdrawal, treatment profiles and clinical responses did not differ between groups. In the DMARD/DMARD+adalimumab groups, the median 2-year methotrexate dose was 20/20 mg/week (p=0.45), triple DMARD therapy had been initiated in 33/27 patients (p=0.49), adalimumab was (re)initiated in 12/12 patients and cumulative triamcinolone dose was 160/120 mg (p=0.15). The treatment target (disease activity score, 4 variables, C-reactive protein (DAS28CRP) ≤3.2 or DAS28>3.2 without swollen joints) was achieved at all visits in ≥85% of patients in year 2; remission rates were DAS28CRP<2.6:69%/66%; Clinical Disease Activity Index ≤2.8:55%/57%; Simplified Disease Activity Index <3.3:54%/49%; American College of Rheumatology/European League against Rheumatism (28 joints):44%/45% (p=0.66-1.00). Radiographic progression (Δtotal Sharp score/year) was similar 1.31/0.53 (p=0.12). Erosive progression (Δerosion score (ES)/year) was year 1:0.57/0.06 (p=0.02); year 2:0.38/0.05 (p=0.005). Proportion of patients without erosive progression (ΔES≤0) was year 1: 59%/76% (p=0.03); year 2:64%/79% (p=0.04).

CONCLUSIONS

An aggressive triamcinolone and synthetic DMARD treat-to-target strategy in eRA provided excellent 2-year clinical and radiographic disease control independent of adalimumab induction therapy. ES progression was slightly less during and following adalimumab induction therapy.

TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER

NCT00660647.

A treat-to-target strategy with methotrexate and intra-articular triamcinolone with or without adalimumab effectively reduces MRI synovitis, osteitis and tenosynovitis and halts structural damage progression in early rheumatoid arthritis: results from the OPERA randomised controlled trial

OBJECTIVES

To investigate whether a treat-to-target strategy with methotrexate and intra-articular glucocorticosteroid injections suppresses MRI inflammation and halts structural damage progression in patients with early rheumatoid arthritis (ERA), and whether adalimumab provides an additional effect.

METHODS

In a double-blind, placebo-controlled trial, 85 disease-modifying antirheumatic drug-naïve patients with ERA were randomised to receive methotrexate, intra-articular glucocorticosteroid injections and placebo/adalimumab (43/42). Contrast-enhanced MRI of the right hand was performed at months 0, 6 and 12. Synovitis, osteitis, tenosynovitis, MRI bone erosion and joint space narrowing (JSN) were scored with validated methods. Dynamic contrast-enhanced MRI (DCE-MRI) was carried out in 14 patients.

RESULTS

Synovitis, osteitis and tenosynovitis scores decreased highly significantly (p<0.0001) during the 12-months' follow-up, with mean change scores of -3.7 (median -3.0), -2.2 (-1) and -5.3 (-4.0), respectively. No overall change in MRI bone erosion and JSN scores was seen, with change scores of 0.1 (0) and 0.2 (0). The tenosynovitis score at month 6 was significantly lower in the adalimumab group, 1.3 (0), than in the placebo group, 3.9 (2), Mann-Whitney: p<0.035. Furthermore, the osteitis score decreased significantly during the 12-months' follow-up in the adalimumab group, but not in the placebo group, Wilcoxon: p=0.001-0.002 and p=0.062-0.146. DCE-MRI parameters correlated closely with conventional MRI inflammatory parameters. Clinical measures decreased highly significantly during follow-up.

CONCLUSIONS

A treat-to-target strategy with methotrexate and intra-articular glucocorticosteroid in patients with ERA effectively decreased synovitis, osteitis and tenosynovitis and halted structural damage progression as judged by MRI. The findings suggest that addition of adalimumab is associated with further suppression of osteitis and tenosynovitis.

Primary tumor location and bevacizumab effectiveness in patients with metastatic colorectal cancer

BACKGROUND

There is an unmet need for predictive markers for the antiangiogenic agent bevacizumab in metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC). We aimed to assess whether the location of the primary tumor is associated with bevacizumab effectiveness when combined with capecitabine and oxaliplatin (CAPEOX) in the first-line treatment of patients with mCRC.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

A cohort of 667 consecutive patients with mCRC from the general community treated from 2006 to 2011 with CAPEOX and bevacizumab as standard first-line therapy was compared with a cohort of 213 patients treated with CAPEOX from 2003 to 2006, before bevacizumab was approved. Main outcome measures were progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS). Differences in outcome were tested using Kaplan-Meier curves and log-rank tests, and multivariate analyses were carried out using Cox Proportional Hazards models.

RESULTS

Patients treated with CAPEOX and bevacizumab with primary tumors originating in the sigmoid colon and rectum had a significantly better outcome than patients with primary tumors originating from the cecum to the descending colon, both for PFS (median PFS 9.3 versus 7.2 months; hazard ratio (HR) 0.68, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.56-0.82) and for OS (median OS 23.5 versus 13.0 months; HR 0.47, 95% CI 0.38-0.57). This difference was confirmed in multivariate analyses after adjustment for other potentially prognostic factors. For patients treated with CAPEOX, there was no association between primary tumor location and outcome, neither in unadjusted nor adjusted analyses.

CONCLUSIONS

The addition of bevacizumab to CAPEOX in first-line treatment of patients with mCRC may primarily benefit patients with primary tumors originating in the rectum and sigmoid colon. This hypothesis needs to be validated in data from completed randomized trials.

CLINICALTRIALSGOV IDENTIFICATION NUMBER

NCT00212615.

The inflammatory biomarker YKL-40 at admission is a strong predictor of overall mortality

OBJECTIVES

YKL-40 is an inflammatory biomarker associated with disease activity and mortality in patients with diseases characterized by inflammation and tissue remodelling. The aim of this study was to describe the prognostic value of YKL-40 in an unselected patient population.

DESIGN

In consecutive patients admitted to hospital during a 1-year period, blood was collected and information regarding final diagnosis and mortality was collected. Median follow-up time was 11.5 years.

SETTING

District hospital, Copenhagen, Denmark.

PATIENTS

A total of 1407 patients >40 years of age were admitted acutely.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE

All-cause mortality.

RESULTS

Median YKL-40 was increased in patients (157 μg L(-1) , range 13-7704 μg L(-1) ) compared to healthy controls (40 μg L(-1) , range 29-58 μg L(-1) ; P < 0.001). Patients with YKL-40 in the highest quartile had a hazard ratio (HR) of 7.1 [95% confidence interval (CI) 4.2-12.0] for all-cause mortality in the first year and 3.4 (95% CI 2.8-4.2) in the total study period, compared to those in the lowest quartile (HR = 1). The HR for death for all patients with YKL-40 above the normal age-corrected 95th percentile was 2.1 (95% CI 1.6-2.7) after 1 year and 1.5 (95% CI 1.3-1.7) during the total study period, compared to patients with YKL-40 below the age-corrected 95th percentile. The results of multivariable analysis showed that YKL-40 was an independent biomarker of mortality; this was most significant in the first year. YKL-40 was a marker of prognosis in all disease categories. The HR for death was increased in patients with YKL-40 above the normal age-corrected 95th percentile in healthy subjects independent of type of disease (all P < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

The level of YKL-40 at admission is a strong predictor of overall mortality, independent of diagnosis and could be useful as a biomarker in the acute evaluation of all patients.

Bone edema on magnetic resonance imaging is an independent predictor of rheumatoid arthritis development in patients with early undifferentiated arthritis

OBJECTIVE

To study magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) as a tool for early diagnosis of rheumatoid arthritis (RA) in patients with early undifferentiated arthritis (UA).

METHODS

Patients (n = 116) without a specific rheumatologic diagnosis, but with ≥2 tender joints and/or ≥2 swollen joints among the metacarpophalangeal, proximal interphalangeal, wrist, or metatarsophalangeal (MTP) joints for >6 weeks but <24 months, underwent clinical, biochemical, conventional radiographic, and MRI examinations and were followed up for >12 months for the final diagnosis of RA or non-RA. Based on univariate analyses, clinical, biochemical, and imaging parameters were selected for inclusion as explanatory variables in multiple logistic regression analysis, with development of RA as the dependent variable. A prediction model was developed, and its performance was tested and compared with that of a previous model developed by van der Helm-van Mil et al (the vdHvM model).

RESULTS

Of the 116 patients with early UA, 27 (23.3%) developed RA. When the prediction model was applied, which included as explanatory variables presence of hand arthritis, positivity for rheumatoid factor (RF), morning stiffness lasting >1 hour, and the Outcome Measures in Rheumatology Clinical Trials MRI summary score for bone edema in the MTP and wrist joints, the outcome of RA or non-RA was correctly identified in 82% of the patients (sensitivity 81%, specificity 82%). Another cutoff value for the prediction index in the model would allow a higher specificity (98%) and higher accuracy (83%), but lower sensitivity (36%). With the vdHvM model, RA/non-RA was predicted in 60.2% of the population.

CONCLUSION

MRI evidence of bone edema in the MTP and wrist joints is an independent predictor of future RA in patients with early UA. A prediction model that includes the variables clinical hand arthritis, morning stiffness, positivity for RF, and bone edema on MRI in the MTP and wrist joints correctly identified the development or lack of development of RA in 82% of patients.

ASDAS, BASDAI and different treatment responses and their relation to biomarkers of inflammation, cartilage and bone turnover in patients with axial spondyloarthritis treated with TNFα inhibitors

OBJECTIVES

To investigate the relation between ankylosing spondylitis disease activity score (ASDAS), Bath ankylosing spondylitis disease activity index (BASDAI) and treatment response and biomarkers of inflammation (C-reactive protein (CRP), interleukin-6 (IL-6), YKL-40), angiogenesis (vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF)), cartilage (C-terminal crosslinking telopeptide of type II collagen (CTX-II), matrix metalloproteinase-3 (MMP-3), total aggrecan, cartilage oligomeric matrix protein) and bone (C-terminal crosslinking telopeptide of type I collagen, osteocalcin) turnover in 60 patients with axial spondyloarthritis initiating tumour necrosis factor alpha (TNFα) inhibitor therapy.

METHODS

ASDAS (CRP-based), BASDAI and biomarkers were determined before and seven times during 46 weeks of TNFα inhibitor therapy.

RESULTS

Very high ASDAS were associated with high levels of inflammatory biomarkers, while high BASDAI were not related to any biomarkers. Mixed modeling demonstrated significant longitudinal associations between ASDAS and IL-6, VEGF, MMP-3 and osteocalcin and between BASDAI and CRP, IL-6 and VEGF. Major improvement in ASDAS was associated with larger percentage decreases in biomarkers of inflammation, angiogenesis, MMP-3 and increases in aggrecan and osteocalcin. BASDAI response was associated with larger decreases in CRP and IL-6. Biomarkers with moderate/high differences in responsiveness for major versus no/clinically important improvement in ASDAS were CRP, IL-6, VEGF, aggrecan and osteocalcin, and VEGF and CTX-II for BASDAI response versus non-response.

CONCLUSION

Levels and changes of 10 biomarkers in patients with axial spondyloarthritis during anti-TNFα therapy were documented. Construct validity and responsiveness of IL-6, VEGF, MMP-3, total aggrecan and osteocalcin were demonstrated. ASDAS was more associated with these biomarkers than BASDAI, and may better reflect the inflammatory disease processes. ClinicalTrials.gov identifier NCT00133315.

YKL-40 and mast cells are associated with detrusor fibrosis in patients diagnosed with bladder pain syndrome/interstitial cystitis according to the 2008 criteria of the European Society for the Study of Interstitial Cystitis

AIMS

Bladder pain syndrome/interstitial cystitis (BPS/IC), diagnosed according to the new 2008 criteria of the European Society for the Study of Interstitial Cystitis (ESSIC), may lead to detrusor fibrosis. In some inflammatory diseases, fibrosis is related to YKL-40. The aims were to examine YKL-40 antigenic expression in bladder tissue and levels in serum and urine in BPS/IC and to evaluate whether YKL-40 could be a non-invasive, prognostic biomarker for bladder fibrogenesis and treatment intensity.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Immunohistochemistry, immunoelectron microscopy and enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA) analyses in 45 patients showed YKL-40 expression in detrusor mast cell granules and submucosal macrophages, and elevated YKL-40 levels in serum and urine compared to healthy individuals (median 72 versus 7 μg/l, P < 0.001). Clinicopathological parameters showed associations of detrusor fibrosis with YKL-40-positive cells (P = 0.001), mast cells (P = 0.014) and urine YKL-40 (P = 0.009). Bladder capacity correlated inversely with YKL-40-positive cells (P < 0.001) and mast cells (P = 0.029). Treatment intensity was not associated with YKL-40.

CONCLUSION

Serum and urine levels of YKL-40 may be used as non-invasive biomarkers in BPS/IC for the evaluation of bladder fibrogenesis.

Circulating levels of interleukin-6, vascular endothelial growth factor, YKL-40, matrix metalloproteinase-3, and total aggrecan in spondyloarthritis patients during 3 years of treatment with TNFα inhibitors

The objectives of the study were to investigate short and long-term changes and relations to treatment response of plasma interleukin-6 (IL-6), vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF), YKL-40, matrix metalloproteinase-3 (MMP-3), and total aggrecan in patients with spondyloarthritis (SpA) treated with tumor necrosis factor-alpha (TNFα) inhibitors and to compare with levels in healthy subjects. Biomarkers were measured in an observational cohort of 49 SpA patients (ankylosing spondylitis, n=32, and psoriatic arthritis, n=17) initiating TNFα inhibitor therapy (infliximab, n=38; etanercept, n=8; and adalimumab, n=3) and compared with levels in healthy subjects. Clinical parameters and biomarkers were measured at baseline, weeks 2, 6, and every 6-12 weeks for up to 3 years. Patients with co-morbidities (n=4), missing baseline samples (n=3), and adverse events (n=5) were excluded. Patients with SpA had compared with healthy subjects elevated IL-6 (median 8.5 ng/l (range, 0.98-64) vs. 1.3 (0.33-26)), VEGF (105 ng/l (22-752) vs. 45 (12-351)), YKL-40 (74 μg/l (14-572) vs. 43 (20-184)), and MMP-3 (43 μg/l (9.1-401) vs. 16 (2.5-47), p≤0.001), whereas total aggrecan was lower (662 μg/l (223-2,219) vs. 816 (399-2,190), p≤0.001). Two weeks after first treatment, all biomarker levels changed towards normal levels (p≤0.03) in clinical responders (n=24), and persistent reductions over 3 years were found in IL-6, VEGF, YKL-40, and MMP-3. Only MMP-3 decreased (p≤0.02) in non-responders (n=13). The study demonstrated changes of plasma IL-6, VEGF, YKL-40, MMP-3, and total aggrecan and a potential value for monitoring disease activity and treatment response in SpA patients. Larger prospective studies are required to clarify clinical utility of these biomarkers.

Changes in plasma IL-6, plasma VEGF and serum YKL-40 during Treatment with Etanercept and Methotrexate or Etanercept alone in Patients with Active Rheumatoid Arthritis Despite Methotrexate Therapy

Changes in plasma IL-6, plasma VEGF and serum YKL-40 were determined in rheumatoid arthritis (RA) patients during treatment with etanercept alone or in combination with methotrexate. Twenty-five patients with active RA (DAS28 ≥ 3.2) were randomized to receive etanercept (25 mg sc. biweekly) plus methotrexate (n = 12) or etanercept alone (n = 13). Plasma IL-6, plasma VEGF and serum YKL-40 were determined by ELISA. The 3 biomarkers and DAS28 scores were evaluated at baseline and after 4, 8, 12 and 16 weeks of treatment. At inclusion all patients had significantly (p < 0.001) elevated plasma IL-6, plasma VEGF and serum YKL-40 compared to healthy subjects. Eighteen patients responded to treatment (pooled data from both treatment groups), and they had significant (p < 0.05 to p < 0.001) decreases in plasma IL-6, plasma VEGF, serum YKL-40, ESR and DAS28 after 4 weeks of treatment and throughout the study (except serum YKL-40 at week 16). Plasma IL-6 showed the largest reductions. Non-responders had unchanged biomarkers. At week 16 the patients with DAS28 < 3.2 had lower levels compared to baseline values in plasma IL-6 (p = 0.005), plasma VEGF (p = 0.014), and ESR (p = 0.024).

Plasma IL-6, plasma VEGF and serum YKL-40, which reflect different aspects of the inflammatory process, may provide useful information regarding early differentiation of responders from non-responders.