Navigating the future of diabetes: innovative nomogram models for predicting all-cause mortality risk in diabetic nephropathy

OBJECTIVE

This study aims to establish and validate a nomogram model for the all-cause mortality rate in patients with diabetic nephropathy (DN).

METHODS

We analyzed data from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) spanning from 2007 to 2016. A random split of 7:3 was performed between the training and validation sets. Utilizing follow-up data until December 31, 2019, we examined the all-cause mortality rate. Cox regression models and Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (LASSO) regression models were employed in the training cohort to develop a nomogram for predicting all-cause mortality in the studied population. Finally, various validation methods were employed to assess the predictive performance of the nomogram, and Decision Curve Analysis (DCA) was conducted to evaluate the clinical utility of the nomogram.

RESULTS

After the results of LASSO regression models and Cox multivariate analyses, a total of 8 variables were selected, gender, age, poverty income ratio, heart failure, body mass index, albumin, blood urea nitrogen and serum uric acid. A nomogram model was built based on these predictors. The C-index values in training cohort of 3-year, 5-year, 10-year mortality rates were 0.820, 0.807, and 0.798. In the validation cohort, the C-index values of 3-year, 5-year, 10-year mortality rates were 0.773, 0.788, and 0.817, respectively. The calibration curve demonstrates satisfactory consistency between the two cohorts.

CONCLUSION

The newly developed nomogram proves to be effective in predicting the all-cause mortality risk in patients with diabetic nephropathy, and it has undergone robust internal validation.

Comparison Between Conventional and Patch Carotid Endarterectomy: A Single-Center Retrospective Study

OBJECTIVE

To compare perioperative and long-term safety and effectiveness between conventional carotid endarterectomy (cCEA) and patch carotid endarterectomy (pCEA) under current medical conditions.

METHODS

Data on baseline characteristics as well as perioperative and long-term postoperative complications from patients who underwent cCEA or pCEA at the Department of Vascular Surgery, Xuanwu Hospital of Capital Medical University, from 2013 to 2022, were retrospectively collected and analyzed.

RESULTS

A total of 248 CEA patients were included in our study. The majority of patients (87.3%) were male, and mean age was 63.6 ± 7.6 (range, 40-81) years; 104 patients (41.9%) underwent cCEA, while 144 (58.1%) underwent pCEA. Between the cCEA and pCEA groups, there were no significant differences in clinical baseline characteristics, occurrence of perioperative or long-term (median, 42.5 [range, 7 to 120] months) complications, and survival whether restenosis-free, asymptomatic or overall.

CONCLUSIONS

In a single-center experience, conventional and patch CEA approaches appear similarly safe and effective.

Unveiling the Hidden Burden: Estimating All-Cause Mortality Risk in Older Individuals with Type 2 Diabetes

Background

The mortality rate among older persons with diabetes has been steadily increasing, resulting in significant health and economic burdens on both society and individuals. The objective of this study is to develop and validate a predictive nomogram for estimating the 5-year all-cause mortality risk in older persons with T2D (T2D).

Methods

We obtained data from the National Health and Nutrition Survey (NHANES). A random 7 : 3 split was made between the training and validation sets. By linking the national mortality index up until December 31, 2019, we ensured a minimum of 5 years of follow-up to assess all-cause mortality. A nomogram was developed in the training cohort using a logistic regression model as well as a least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression model for predicting the 5-year risk of all-cause mortality. Finally, the prediction performance of the nomogram is evaluated using several validation methods.

Results

We constructed a comprehensive prediction model based on the results of multivariate analysis and LASSO binomial regression. These models were then validated using data from the validation cohort. The final model includes four independent predictors: age, gender, estimated glomerular filtration rate, and white blood cell count. The C-index values for the training and validation cohorts were 0.748 and 0.762, respectively. The calibration curve demonstrates satisfactory consistency between the two cohorts.

Conclusions

The newly developed nomogram proves to be a valuable tool in accurately predicting the 5-year all-cause mortality risk among older persons with diabetes, providing crucial information for tailored interventions.

Association of prognostic nutritional index with the risk of all-cause mortality and cardiovascular mortality in patients with type 2 diabetes: NHANES 1999-2018

INTRODUCTION

There is little bulk clinical evidence on nutritional status and mortality in patients with diabetes. The purpose of this study was to examine the relationship between prognostic nutritional index (PNI) and all-cause mortality and cardiovascular mortality in adults with diabetes.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

This study included 5916 adult patients with diabetes from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey 1999-2018. Cox proportional risk models were used to estimate risk ratios (HRs) and 95% CIs for all-cause mortality, cardiovascular disease (CVD) mortality.

RESULTS

During a mean follow-up of 8.17 years, there were 1248 deaths from all causes and 370 deaths from CVD. After multivariate adjustment, the risk of all-cause mortality was reduced by 24%, 38%, and 28% in Q2 (49.0-52.99), Q3 (53.0-57.99), and Q4 (≥58.0), respectively, compared with Q1 (PNI<49.0). The risk of cardiovascular mortality was reduced by 30%, 27%, and 26%, respectively. Consistent results were observed in the subgroup analysis.

CONCLUSIONS

Lower serum PNI levels were significantly associated with higher all-cause and CVD mortality. These findings suggest that maintaining an appropriate range of serum PNI status may reduce the risk of death in patients with diabetes.

[Clinicopathological analysis of primary gastric (gastrointestinal)-type mucoglandular lesion of endometrium]

Objective: To investigate the clinical and pathological features of primary gastric (gastrointestinal)-type mucoglandular lesions of the endometrium. Methods: Eight cases of primary gastric (gastrointestinal)-type mucoglandular lesions of endometrium diagnosed between 2014 to 2022 were retrieved from pathology archives of the Obstetrics and Gynecology Hospital Affiliated to Fudan University, Shanghai, China. The clinical history, pathological sections and follow-ups were analyzed. Results: The eight patients ranged in age from 35 to 67 years, with an average age of 55.5 years. Seven patients were examined for high-risk human papillary virus (HPV) before operation. Only one of them was positive for high-risk HPV52. No cervical mucinous lesions were found in any of the patients. Two cases were invasive gastric (gastrointestinal)-type adenocarcinoma, 2 cases were benign gastric (gastrointestinal)-type mucinous metaplasia, and the other 4 cases were atypical gastric (gastrointestinal)-type mucinous gland hyperplasia. Microscopically, tumor cells showed mucous epithelium with gastrointestinal differentiation. Immunophenotyping showed that MUC6 was diffusely or focally positive in 5 cases, CK20 and CDX2 were positive in 3 cases. And p16 was negative or focally positive in 5 cases and strongly positive in 1 case. ER was expressed in both benign and atypical lesions, and weakly positive or negative in the invasive adenocarcinoma. p53 showed mutant expression in one case and wild-type expression in the rest. HPV in situ hybridization was negative. Conclusions: Primary gastric (gastrointestinal)-type mucoglandular lesions of the endometrium show various forms of gastrointestinal differentiation, which are high-risk HPV independent. Morphology combined with immunohistochemistry is helpful for the diagnosis, which can only be made on exclusion of cervical gastrointestinal glandular lesion, gastrointestinal metastatic carcinoma and the mucinous subtype of endometrioid carcinoma.

[Study of incubation period of infection with 2019-nCoV Omicron variant BA.5.1.3]

Objective: To study the incubation period of the infection with 2019-nCoV Omicron variant BA.5.1.3. Methods: Based on the epidemiological survey data of 315 COVID-19 cases and the characteristics of interval censored data structure, log-normal distribution and Gamma distribution were used to estimate the incubation. Bayes estimation was performed for the parameters of each distribution function using discrete time Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithm. Results: The mean age of the 315 COVID-19 cases was (42.01±16.54) years, and men accounted for 30.16%. A total of 156 cases with mean age of (41.65±16.32) years reported the times when symptoms occurred. The log-normal distribution and Gamma distribution indicated that the M (Q₁, Q₃) of the incubation period from exposure to symptom onset was 2.53 (1.86, 3.44) days and 2.64 (1.91, 3.52) days, respectively, and the M (Q₁, Q₃) of the incubation period from exposure to the first positive nucleic acid detection was 2.45 (1.76, 3.40) days and 2.57 (1.81, 3.52) days, respectively. Conclusions: The incubation period by Bayes estimation based on log-normal distribution and Gamma distribution, respectively, was similar to each other, and the best distribution of incubation period was Gamma distribution, the difference between the incubation period from exposure to the first positive nucleic acid detection and the incubation period from exposure to symptom onset was small. The median of incubation period of infection caused by Omicron variant BA.5.1.3 was shorter than those of previous Omicron variants.

The efficacy and safety of different endovascular modalities for infrapopliteal arteries lesions: A network meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials

Background

Endovascular treatment has become the first-line therapy for infrapopliteal artery occlusive disease (IPOD), while the optimal endovascular method remains to be determined. We performed a network meta-analysis (NWM) of randomized controlled trials (RCTs) to simultaneously compare the outcomes of different endovascular modalities for IPOD.

Methods and results

The Pubmed, Embase, and Cochrane databases were used as data sources. The NWM approach used random-effects models based on the frequentist framework. In total, 22 eligible RCTs (44 study arms; 1,348 patients) involving nine endovascular modalities or combinations [balloon angioplasty (BA), drug-coated balloon (DCB), drug-eluting stent (DES), atherectomy device + BA (AD + BA), AD + DCB, balloon-expandable bare metal stent (BMS), self-expanding stent (SES), absorbable metal stents (AMS), and inorganics-coated stent (ICS)] were included. BA had a lower 12-month primary patency rate than DCB (RR 0.50, CI 0.27, 0.93) and AD + DCB (RR 0.34, CI 0.12, 0.93). AD + DCB decreased 6-month TLR compared with AMS (RR 0.15, CI 0.03, 0.90), and DES decreased it compared with BMS (RR 0.25, CI 0.09, 0.71). DCB had a lower 6-month TLR rate than AMS (RR 0.26, CI 0.08, 0.86) and BA (RR 0.51, CI 0.30, 0.89). BA had a higher 12-month TLR rate than DCB (RR 1.76, CI 1.07, 2.90). According to the value of the surface under the cumulative ranking curve (SUCRA), AD + DCB was considered the best treatment in terms of primary patency at 6 months (SUCRA = 87.5) and 12 months (SURCA = 91). AD + BA was considered the best treatment in terms of 6-month TLR (SUCRA = 83.1), 12-month TLR (SURCA = 75.8), and 12-month all-cause mortality (SUCRA = 92.5). In terms of 12-month major amputation, DES was considered the best treatment (SUCRA = 78.6), while AD + DCB was considered the worst treatment (SUCRA = 28.8). Moreover, AD + BA always ranks higher than AD + DCB in the comparison including these two combinations. Subgroup analyses of modalities without stenting did not significantly change the primary outcomes.

Conclusion

ADs showed noteworthy advantages in multiple terms for IPOD except for 12-month major amputation. AD + BA may be a better method for IPOD than AD + DCB. The efficacy and safety of ADs are worthy of further investigation.

Systematic review registration

[https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/prospero/], identifier [CRD42022331626].

Case Report: Respiratory paralysis associated with polymyxin B therapy

Polymyxin B (PMB) and colistin are bactericidal polypeptide antibiotics discovered in 1947 and 1949 for the treatment of gram-negative bacterial infections. Polymyxin was used clinically in the 1950s, but it was gradually replaced by other antibiotics in the 1980s because of its high nephrotoxicity and neurotoxicity. In recent years, the increase of multidrug-resistant negative bacteria has led to the resurgence of polymyxin use. However, its side effects are not clear. Respiratory paralysis caused by PMB-related neuromuscular blockade is a rare but potentially fatal effect. We report a case of respiratory paralysis probably caused by polymyxin B infusion.

Spatial origin of the extracellular ATP-induced cytosolic calcium signature in Arabidopsis thaliana roots: wave formation and variation with phosphate nutrition

Extracellular ATP (eATP) increases cytosolic free calcium ([Ca²⁺ ]_cyt ) as a specific second messenger 'signature' through the plasma membrane DORN1/P2K1 receptor. Previous studies revealed a biphasic signature in Arabidopsis thaliana roots that is altered by inorganic phosphate (Pi) deprivation. The relationship between the two phases of the signature and possible wave formation have been tested as a function of Pi nutrition. The bioluminescent aequorin and intensiometric GCaMP3 reporters were used to resolve the spatial origin of the eATP [Ca²⁺ ]_cyt signature in Arabidopsis root tips. Application of eATP only to the root apex allowed [Ca²⁺ ]_cyt wave resolution without the confounding effects of eATP delivery by superfusion. The first apical millimetre of the root generates the first [Ca²⁺ ]_cyt increase by eATP, regardless of nutritional status. The second increase occurs sub-apically in the root hair zone, has some autonomy and is significantly reduced in Pi-starved roots. A significant component of the Pi-replete signature does not require DORN1/P2K1, but Pi-starved roots appear to have an absolute requirement for that receptor. Application of eATP specifically to the root apex provides evidence for cell-to-cell propagation of a [Ca²⁺ ]_cyt wave that diminishes sub-apically. The apex maintains a robust [Ca²⁺ ]_cyt increase (even under Pi starvation) that is the basis of a propagative wave, with implications for the ability of the root's eATP signalling systems to signal systemically. Partial autonomy of the sub-apical region may be relevant to the perception of eATP from microbes. eATP-induced [Ca²⁺ ]_cyt increase may not have always have an obligate requirement for DORN1/P2K1.

[Study of development of public health safety literacy scale in China]

Objective: To develop a suitable scale for assessing the public health safety literacy in residents in China. Methods: The initial scale of Chinese public health safety literacy was developed through theoretical conceptualization, item pooling, field verifying and item inclusion and exclusion. Then the initial scale was converted into an electronic questionnaire. A total of 2 809 residents from 4 provinces were randomly selected for field testing. Classical test theory (CTT) and item response theory (IRT) were used for item reduction. SPSS 23.0 was used for exploratory factor analysis (EFA) and unidimensional testing. Package R 4.1.1 ltm and mirt were used for the analysis of the psychometric properties of items and generate the ICC, IIC and TIF. Results: The initial scale had 30 items (B1-B30), and the test took 9.8 s to complete one item averagely. According to the CTT, B2 was deleted due to coefficient of total correlation (CITC) <0.3 and the item-dimension correlation coefficient (IDCC) <0.4. B23 was deleted due to CITC<0.3, IDCC<0.4 and difficulty index (W) <0.2. B30 was deleted due to CITC<0.3 and W<0.2. The total Cronbach's α of the scale was 0.923 after deletion. EFA indicated that 14 items should be deleted due to lower factor loadings <0.7. EFA was conducted for remaining 13 items and 2 common factors were extracted, the factor loadings of all items were >0.7, the accumulated variance contribution of the 2 common factors was 63.361%, and the total Cronbach's α was 0.891, showing unidimensionality, IRT was used to test the remaining items. B14 and B20 were deleted due to discrimination coefficient (a) <0.3, difficulty threshold coefficient (b) ∉[-3,3], the small amount of information and the flat, crowded, non-monotonic ICC, and IIC. Finally, the Cronbach's α of the 11-itemed scale was 0.936 with TLI=0.97, CFI=0.99, and RMSEA=0.03. Conclusion: The final scale has good reliability, validity, discrimination, difficulty level and feasibility, and can be applied for the rapid assessment of public health safety literacy in China.

Identification of hub genes and regulatory networks in histologically unstable carotid atherosclerotic plaque by bioinformatics analysis

Objective

This study identified underlying genetic molecules associated with histologically unstable carotid atherosclerotic plaques through bioinformatics analysis that may be potential biomarkers and therapeutic targets.

Methods

Three transcriptome datasets (GSE41571, GSE120521 and E-MTAB-2055) and one non-coding RNA dataset (GSE111794) that met histological grouping criteria of unstable plaque were downloaded. The common differentially expressed genes (co-DEGs) of unstable plaques identified from three mRNA datasets were annotated by Gene Ontology (GO) and Kyoto Encyclopedia of Genes and Genomics (KEGG). A protein–protein interaction (PPI) network was constructed to present the interaction between co-DEGs and screen out hub genes. MiRNet database and GSE111794 dataset were used to identify the miRNAs targeting hub genes. Associated transcription factors (TFs) and drugs were also predicted. These predicted results were used to construct miRNA/TFs-hub gene and drug-hub gene regulatory networks.

Results

A total of 105 co-DEGs were identified, including 42 up-regulated genes and 63 down-regulated genes, which were mainly enriched in collagen-containing extracellular matrix, focal adhesion, actin filament bundle, chemokine signaling pathway and regulates of actin cytoskeleton. Ten hub genes (up-regulated: HCK, C1QC, CD14, FCER1G, LCP1 and RAC2; down-regulated: TPM1, MYH10, PLS3 and FMOD) were screened. HCK and RAC2 were involved in chemokine signaling pathway, MYH10 and RAC2 were involved in regulation of actin cytoskeleton. We also predicted 12 miRNAs, top5 TFs and 25 drugs targeting hub genes. In the miRNA/TF-hub gene regulatory network, PLS3 was the most connected hub genes and was targeted by six miRNAs and all five screened TFs. In the drug-hub gene regulatory network, HCK was targeted by 20 drugs including 10 inhibitors.

Conclusions

We screened 10 hub genes and predicted miRNAs and TFs targeting them. These molecules may play a crucial role in the progression of histologically unstable carotid plaques and serve as potential biomarkers and therapeutic targets.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12920-022-01257-1.

Risk factors for in-stent restenosis after vertebral artery stenting of V1 segment: A systematic review and meta-analysis

OBJECTIVE

In-stent restenosis (ISR) remains a challenge in the treatment of vertebral artery V1 segment stenosis. The aim of this meta-analysis is to identify the risk factors of ISR.

METHODS

Studies eligible for inclusion criteria were found in PubMed, Embase, and Cochrane Library databases. Data related to risk factors of ISR were extracted from the included studies, and pooled analysis was performed when data of the same factor were available in ≥2 studies. Dichotomous outcomes were analyzed with odds ratios (OR) and continuous outcomes were analyzed with a weighted mean difference (WMD). The Stata 14.0 program was used for the meta-analysis.

RESULTS

A total of 11 studies involving 1356 patients were included in our analysis. Pooled analyses showed that younger age (p = 0.01; WMD= -1.958; 95% confidence interval [CI], -3.453 to -0.463) and V1 tortuosity (p = 0.004; OR = 4.145; 95% CI, 1.56-11.012) significantly associated with higher risk of ISR in V1 segment stenting. While bare-metal stents, stent diameter and length, diabetes mellitus, coronary artery disease, and smoking were not found to increase ISR rates.

CONCLUSIONS

This meta-analysis showed that young age and V1 tortuosity increase the ISR rates after vertebral V1 segment stenting.

Carotid revascularization improves cognitive function in patients with asymptomatic carotid artery stenosis

OBJECTIVE

To investigate cognitive changes after carotid revascularization in elderly patients with asymptomatic carotid artery stenosis. We also compared cognitive outcomes of carotid endarterectomy with stenting in asymptomatic patients.

METHODS

From April 2019 to December 2019, patients with ≥70% asymptomatic carotid stenosis who were treated with CEA or CAS were recruited for this study. The Montreal cognitive assessment (MoCA) instrument was used to evaluate cognitive function preoperatively and postoperatively at 3, 6, and 12 months. The incidence of ipsilateral ischemic cerebrovascular events and restenosis were analyzed within 12 months.

RESULTS

In 50 patients treated with CEA or CAS, baseline cognitive function was not different between CEA and CAS groups (P > 0.05). There was no difference in the incidence of ipsilateral ischemic cerebrovascular events and restenosis within the first 12 months between the two groups. There was a significant improvement in the total MoCA score, scores of attention, and delayed recall at 3, 6 and 12 months after revascularization compared with scores at baseline (all p<0.001). At 12 months, scores of cube copying and clock drawing were significantly improved (P=0.014, P=0.020). The clock drawing score was improved at 12 months after CAS compared with CEA (P=0.040).

CONCLUSIONS

Carotid revascularization has a beneficial effect on cognition in asymptomatic patients within 12 months of the procedure. Compared with CEA, CAS show improved test scores of executive functioning by 1 year.

[Study on the development of public health and safety literacy assessment scale for university freshmen]

Objective: To develop a measurement scale for the public health and safety literacy of university freshmen. Methods: Item pooling was conducted through literature review and in-depth interview with public health experts, and a nominal group was organized to develop the initial items to form the questionnaire. A total of 250 freshmen were randomly selected to complete the questionnaire, and the assessment of psychometric properties were performed to carry out item reduction by using classical test theory and item response theory. Exploratory factor analysis method (EFA) was employed to calculate the item-factor loadings. The data collected from another 318 freshmen were analyzed using confirmatory factor analysis method (CFA). Results: The scale contained 3 dimensions and 9 items with all content validity index ≥0.8. The difficulty coefficient of 9 items was 1.18-2.43. The discriminative validity analysis showed that the difficulty index was 0.41-0.78, and the discrimination index was 0.38-0.64. Each of the remaining items had a statistically significant difference in the score value between the top 27% and lowest 27% of respondents (t>3, P<0.05). The item's Cronbach's α was 0.72-0.77, corrected item-total correlation was 0.33-0.60 and the overall α of the scale was 0.77. EFA indicated all item-factor loading were higher than 0.680, and the accumulated variance contribution of the 3 factors was 62.484%. Results of CFA showed that the overall fitness index of the model reached the fitness standard except for the χ² value. There was no statistical significance in the total score of the scale and the scores of each item among groups with different demographic characteristics (P>0.05). Conclusions: The newly developed public health safety literacy scale had a good reliability,validity,stability and item constancy.It can be used in measurement of the public health and safety literacy of university freshmen.

[Transitions on frailty status and related risk factors for its status worsening: finding from the Beijing MJ Health Screening Center]

Objective: To evaluate the transitions of frailty status and related factors influencing its worsening in middle-aged and elderly adults. Methods: Data was obtained from the Beijing MJ Health Screening Center. A total of 13 689 participants who attended health checkups at least twice during 2008-2019 and had more than three years' intervals during these two health checkups were included in the study. The frailty index comprising 28 variables was used to measure frailty status. Frailty was defined as frailty index ≥0.25, and prefrailty was defined as frailty index >0.10 and <0.25. Logistic regression analysis was performed to investigate the association of socio-demographic factors and lifestyle characteristics with the worsening of frailty status, stratified by frailty status at the first health checkup. Results: The mean age at the first and last health checkups were (42.3±9.2) and (47.9±9.3) years, respectively. The mean interval during these two health checkups was (5.7±1.9) years. At the first health checkup, the prevalence of frailty and prefrailty were 2.5% and 50.3%, respectively. While at the last health checkup, the prevalence of frailty and prefrailty rose to 3.9% and 55.4%. Of all participants, 67.3% remained in the same frailty state, 21.2% worsening, and 12.5% improving. In robust participants at the first health checkup, older age, female, low education level, smoking cessation, daily smoking, being general obesity measured by BMI or central obesity measured by WHR showed an increased the risk of worsening frailty status. However, in prefrail participants at the first health checkup, older age, female, general, or central obesity presented as risk factors for worsening frailty status. Conclusion: Modifiable factors such as low education level, smoking, and obesity may increase the risk of worsening frailty status.

[Characteristics of human papillomavirus infection and abnormal cervical cytology in health check-up females in Shenzhen]

Objective: To describe the characteristics of human papillomavirus infection and thinprep cytologic test (TCT) outcome in health check-up females in Shenzhen. Methods: Use cross-sectional design, collect information from data from health check-up females in Shenzhen and describe characteristics of HPV infections screening and TCT outcomes. Results: We collected the data of 75 754 females, 103 508 females and 69 964 females received HPV detection, TCT and combined detection respectively. HPV standardized infection rate was 19.89% (95%CI: 19.45%-20.33%) and showed a "U-shaped" pattern in age distribution. The most prevalent HPV genotypes were 52, 51, 16, 58 and 53. Infection rate was higher for high-risk HPV than low-risk HPV genotype. Single infection was more common than its multiple infection. In addition, 7.48% (95%CI: 7.22%-7.75%) women were TCT positive, of whom 4.58% (95%CI: 4.40%-4.76%), 2.54% (2.40%-2.69%), 0.27% (95%CI: 0.23%-0.31%) had atypical squamous cells, low-grade squamous intraepithelial lesions and high-grade squamous intraepithelial lesions, respectively. Overall and subtype HPV infection rates increased with severity of abnormal cervical cytology. The most prevalent HPV genotypes were 52, 58 and 16 in women with abnormal cervical cytology. Conclusions: HPV prevalence remains at a high level in Shenzhen. This study suggests that attention should be paid to HPV screening, especially in young, perimenopausal women and in high risk HPV genotype infection. Timely follow-up and cervical cytology screening are required for women with high-risk HPV infection or persistent infection. Future vaccination strategies should take account of prevalent HPV genotype.

[Experience and challenge on interoperability of big data in health care]

Problems in interoperability is the biggest barrier limiting the use of big data in health care worldwide. Interoperability contains five dimensions: business, security, ethics, semantics and technology. Based on the comparison of the three common interoperability models led by government, enterprise or research institution, and the current status of big data development in China, this paper proposes a new operation model which can be led by university, aided by enterprise and supported by government, and summarizes the three major challenges in the development of big data interoperability in China: professional standard and specification, data security and ethics, incentive mechanism and assessment. Only when a feasible model is adopted, technical difficulties are overcome and data are truly shared, we can achieve maximized integration of multi-source data, expanding its application fields and establish a multi-business mode to comprehensively improve the population based health decision-making and management.

Association between depression subtypes and response to repeated-dose intravenous ketamine

OBJECTIVE

About half or more of treatment-resistant depressed patients do not respond to ketamine, and few clinical predictors to gauge the most likely antidepressant response have been proposed. We explored whether depression subtypes are associated with response to ketamine.

METHOD

Ninety-seven participants with depression were administered six repeated-dose intravenous ketamine and assessed for depression (Montgomery-Åsberg Depression Rating Scale, MADRS), anxiety (Hamilton Anxiety Rating Scale, HAMA), and suicidal ideation (Beck Scale for Suicidal Ideation, SSI) at baseline, 24 h after each infusion, and 2 weeks after the whole treatment. Participants were classified by melancholic/anxious subtype. Individuals who met criteria for neither or both subtypes were classified separately, resulting in four mutually exclusive groups.

RESULTS

Patients with melancholic or melancholic-anxious features were less likely to respond (e.g., day 13, melancholic-anxious vs. anxious, OR 0.138, 95% CI 0.032-0.584, P = 0.007) or remit (e.g., day 26, melancholic vs. no subtype, OR 0.182, 95% CI 0.035-0.960, P = 0.045) and took longer to achieve response/remission than those with anxious or no subtype features. Faster HAMA score reductions were observed in patients with anxious or melancholic-anxious features, and faster SSI score reductions were observed among those with melancholic-anxious features.

CONCLUSION

Our study shows promising results for ketamine as a novel antidepressant preferentially for the treatment of non-melancholic or anxious depression.

P4621Incidence, management, and in-hospital mortality of cardiogenic shock complicating ST-elevated myocardial infarction in China: insights from the China Acute Myocardial Infarction Registry

Background and purpose

Limited data is available on the situation of cardiogenic shock (CS) complicating ST-elevated myocardial infarction (STEMI) in China. This study aims to disclose the incidence, management and in-hospital mortality (IHM) of patients with STEMI complicated by CS (STEMICS) in China and at different levels of hospitals.

Methods

We queried the 2013–2016 China Acute Myocardial Infarction (CAMI) registry databases to identify patients with STEMI and/or CS (developing before or during hospitalization). The overall and different hospital-level incidence of STEMICS and IHM were analyzed.

Results

Of 28230 STEMI patients, 2273 patients (8.05%) had CS. The incidence of STEMICS in provincial, prefectural and county-level hospitals were 5.23%, 8.46% and 13.76% (p<0.001), respectively. Primary PCI (PPCI) was performed on 675 patients (29.7%) with STEMICS. The proportion of STEMICS patients undertaking PPCI in provincial, prefectural and county-level hospitals were 46.53%, 31.48% and 8.00% (p<0.001). The overall IHM rate of patients with STEMICS was 49.8% with no difference among the different hospital levels. However, the IHM rate of prehospital STEMICS in county-level hospitals were significantly higher than that in prefectural and provincial hospitals (42.3% versus 33.3% and 28.3%, respectively; p<0.01), while that of in-hospital STEMICS were similar among the different hospital levels (66.5%, 66.9% and 62.2%; provincial, prefectural and county-level hospitals, respectively). After adjustment, the difference of IHM in prehospital STEMICS between county-level hospitals and the other two levels no longer existed. However, once PPCI was excluded from the multivariable adjustment model, the IHM of prehospital STEMICS remained higher in county-level hospitals.

Table 1. Differences in IHM of prehospital STEMICS between county-level hospitals and other two levels of hospitals before or after adjustment Provincial hospitals/ County-level hospitals Prefectural hospitals/ County-level hospitals Unadjusted OR (95% CI) 0.54 (0.36, 0.80); P=0.0019 0.68 (0.49, 0.94); P=0.0193 Adjusted OR* (95% CI) 0.63 (0.34, 1.17); P=0.1455 0.64 (0.38, 1.08); P=0.0962 Adjusted OR† (95% CI) 0.49 (0.27, 0.90); P=0.0214 0.54 (0.32, 0.91); P=0.0198 IHM: in-hospital mortality; OR: odd ratio; CI: confidence interval. *Adjusted for baseline characteristics, in-hospital medications and primary PCI; †adjusted for baseline characteristics and in-hospital medications.

Figure 1. Flowchart

Conclusion

The overall incidence and IHM rate of STEMICS in China are still high. Especially, higher IHM rate of prehospital STEMICS is observed in county-level hospitals, which may be attributed to the lower implementation rate of PPCI.

Acknowledgement/Funding

CAMS Innovation Fund for Medical Sciences (CIFMS) (2016-I2M-1-009)

[Combining relative alpha variability and electroencephalogram reactivity to predict the prognosis of hypoxic-ischemic encephalopathy in adult patients]

Objective: To evaluate the role of combining relative alpha variability and electroencephalogram (EEG) reactivity to predict the prognosis of hypoxic-ischemic encephalopathy(HIE) in adult patients. Methods: A total of 28 adult patients with HIE admitted to general intensive care unit at Xiangya Hospital in Central South University were enrolled in this observational study from January2016 to April 2017. These patients with body temperature over 35℃ after 72-hour admission could be continuously monitored at least 12 hours byEEG.At the same time,each patient was assessed for EEG reactivity.Then we analyzed the correlation between EEG reactivity, relative alpha variability and clinical prognosis. Results: EEG reactivity was elicited in 15/28 patients, among whom 12 patients had a good outcome. While in the other 13 patients, EEG reactivity was not elicited, among whom only 3 patients had a good outcome. As to the results ofrelative alpha variability,11/13 patients with degree 3-4were of good prognosis; while only 3/15 patients with degree 1-2 were of good prognosis. Glasgow coma scale(GCS), EEG reactivity, and relative alpha variability were correlated with clinical outcome(χ(2)=5.073,9.073,-3.626, respectively,all P<0.05). The sensitivity of GCS, EEG reactivity, and relative alpha variability to predict the poor prognosis were 69.2%, 76.9%, 84.6%, respectively. The specificity were 73.3%, 80.0%, 73.3%, respectively. The consistency rates were 71.4%, 78.6%, 78.6%, respectively. The positive predictive values were 69.2%, 76.9%, 73.3%, respectively. The negative predictive values were 73.3%, 80.0%, 84.6%, respectively. More importantly, the accuracy of the relative alpha variability combined with EEG reactivity for the prediction of poor prognosis was much higher with the positive predictive value of 90.0%,the specificity of 93.3%, the sensitivity of 69.2%, the consistency rate of 82.1%,and the negative predictive values of 77.8%. Conclusions: The combination of relative alpha variability and EEG reactivityis reliable to predict clinical outcome of patients with HIE.

[Incidence of Lower Limb Deep Venous Thrombosis and Coagulation Status in Severe Patients after Thoracic Surgery]

BACKGROUND

The aim of this study was to analyze the incidence of lower limb deep venous thrombosis (DVT) and the corresponding coagulation status in severe patients after thoracic surgery.

METHODS

Severe patients after thoracic surgery who received mechanical prophylaxis of lower limb DVT between July 2016 and June 2018 were analysed retrospectively. Their general information, disease species, surgical treatment, and coagulation index were reviewed.

RESULTS

Fifty patients were finally included. There were 34 male and 16 female, aging from 22 to 80 years. The incidence of DVT was 22.0%, all of them were isolated calf DVT. The incidence was 29.4% in male patients, while 6.3% in female; 23.5% in malignant diseases and 18.6% in benign. All coagulation index presented no statistical difference between patients with and without DVT, except activated partial thromboplastin time (APTT).

CONCLUSIONS

Even on the basis of adequate mechanical prophylaxis, lower limb DVT is common in severe patients after thoracic surgery. Meanwhile, male patients and malignant diseases are more suscepted.

[Synchronous mucinous metaplasia and neoplasia of the female genital tract]

Objective: To describe the clinicopathological features of synchronous mucinous metaplasia and neoplasia of the female genital tract (SMMN-FGT). Methods: The sample consisted of 7 cases of SMMN-FGT recorded from November 2014 to September 2017 at Obstetrics and Gynecology Hospital, Fudan University.PAP method was used in immunohistochemistry.Clinical histories were retrieved and pathological slides were reviewed. Results: The patients were 37 to 70 years old(mean 54 years old). All patients showed endometrial mucinous lesions associated with cervical lesions. Three cases were an admixture of minimal deviation adenocarcinoma(MDA) and gastrictype adenocarcinoma(GAS). Three cases were an admixture of lobular endocervical glandular hyperplasia (LEGH), atypical LEGH and focal gastrictype adenocarcinoma in situ, one of which had early invasive gastrictype adenocarcinoma.Endometrium showed a structure of LEGH in one patient with focal simple gastric mucinous metaplasia in her cervix. Gastric mucinous differentiation was found in unilateral fallopian tube in 6 patients. Ovarian mucinous lesions were found in 3 patients. p16 was negative staining in 6 cases and positive in 1 case. CK7 was diffusely positive in all lesions. CK20 and CDX2 were negative or only focally positive.The expression of MUC6 was strongly positive staining or focal staining. p53 in GAS and GAS in situ had mutant expression, but wild expression in MDA region. Patients were followed up for 2 to 34 months and no recurrence was found. Conclusions: SMMN-FGT is a series of rare mucinous lesions involving multiple areas of the female genital tract, including benign or malignant lesions with gastric differentiation. It is not related to infection with high-risk human papilloma virus. When cervical gastrictype lesions are found, SMMN-FGT should be considered and should be differentiated from metastatic mucinous adenocarcinoma.

[Ovarian clear cell borderline tumour: a clinicopathologic analysis]

Objective: To investigate the clinical and pathological characteristics and prognosis of ovarian clear cell borderline tumor. Methods: A total of 12 cases of ovarian clear cell borderline tumors recorded were collected from May 2011 to December 2017 at Obstetrics and Gynecology Hospital, Fudan University.Clinical histories were retrieved and pathological slides were reviewed. Results: The age of the patients ranged from 35 to 65 years with a mean age of 52 years. Seven cases were associated with cystic endometriosis of the ovary. All tumors consisted of irregular and crowded glands or cysts embedded in a fibromatous stroma. The cysts and glands were lined by mild to moderate atypical cells.CK7 and HNF-1β were expressed in all cases, and Naspin A was expressed in 11 cases. ARID1A expression was absent in 5 cases and p53 showed wild-type expression. None of the cases developed recurrence during follow-up ranging from 7 to 79 months. Conclusions: Ovarian clear cell borderline tumor may be associated with endometriosis and tumor suppressor gene ARIDA. The tumor has a good prognosis without recurrence and progression to carcinoma.