A randomised clinical trial of awake prone positioning in COVID-19 suspects with acute hypoxemic respiratory failure

Background

Awake prone position (APP) has been reported to improve oxygenation in patients with COVID-19 disease and to reduce the requirement for invasive mechanical ventilation for patients requiring support with high flow nasal cannula. There is conflicting data for patients requiring lower-level oxygen support.

Research question

Does APP reduce escalation of oxygen support in COVID-19 patients requiring supplementary oxygen?The primary outcome was defined as an escalation of oxygen support from simple supplementary oxygen (NP, HM, NRB) to NIV (CPAP or BiPAP), HFNC or IMV; OR from NIV (CPAP or BiPAP) or HFNC to IMV by day30.

Study design

Two center, prospective, non-blind, randomised controlled trial. Patients with confirmed or suspected COVID-19 pneumonia requiring ≥ 5 liters/min oxygen to maintain saturations ≥ 94 % were randomised to either APP or control group. The APP group received a 3-h APP session three times per day for three days.

Results

Between 9 May and July 13, 2021, 89 adults were screened and 61 enrolled, 31 to awake prone position and 30 controls. There was no difference in the primary outcome, 7 (22.6 %) patients randomised to APP and 9 (30.0 %) controls required escalation of oxygen support (OR 0.68 (0.22-2.14), P = 0.51). There were no differences in any secondary outcomes, in APP did not improve oxygenation.

Interpretation

In COVID-19 patients, the use of APP did not prevent escalation of oxygen support from supplementary to invasive or non-invasive ventilation or improve patient respiratory physiology.

Trial registration

NCT04853979 (clinicaltrials.gov).

Epidemiological profile of stroke in Qatar: Insights from a seven-year observational study

OBJECTIVES

Stroke prevalence is progressively increasing in developing countries due to increased vascular risk factors. This study aims to describe the epidemiology, prevalent risk factors, and outcomes of stroke in a multi-ethnic society of Qatar.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We conducted a retrospective analysis of all patients with suspected stroke admitted to stroke services between January 2014 and September 2020.

RESULTS

A total of 11,892 patients were admitted during this period with suspected stroke. Of these, the diagnosis was ischemic stroke (48.8 %), transient ischemic attack (10.3 %), intracerebral hemorrhage (10.9 %), cerebral venous sinus thrombosis (1.3 %), and stroke mimics (28.6 %). The median age was 52 (43-62), with a male-female ratio of 3:1. The study population was predominantly Asian (56.8 %) and Arab (36 %). The majority of the patients were hypertensive (66.8 %), diabetic (47.9 %), and dyslipidemic (45.9 %). A history of prior stroke was observed in 11.7 %, while 0.9 % had prior transient ischemic attack. Among ischemic strokes, 31.7 % arrived within 4.5 h, 12.5 % received thrombolysis, and 4.6 % underwent thrombectomy. Median Door-to-Needle time was 51 (33-72) minutes. The average length of stay was 5.2 ± 9.0 days, with 71.5 % discharged home, 13.8 % transferred to rehabilitation, 9.3 % to other specialties, 3 % to long-term care, and 2.4 % suffered in-hospital mortality.

CONCLUSION

Stroke in Qatar is characterized by a younger, expatriate-dominant cohort, with notable prevalence of ischemic and hemorrhagic stroke and a distinct risk factor profile. Further analysis of epidemiological differences among different population groups can inform targeted policies for prevention and management to reduce the burden of disease.

Abstract TP195: A Comprehensive Epidemiology Of Stroke In A Multi Ethnic Society: An Analysis Of A Nationwide Stroke Data From 2014 - 2020

Introduction: The prevalence of stroke is progressively increasing in developing countries owing to the increase in vascular risk factors in the population. Risk factors vary significantly in different population groups leading to variations in disease progression, management and outcomes. This study aims to describe the epidemiology, prevalent risk factors and outcomes in a multi ethnic society of Qatar.

Methods: We conducted a retrospective cohort study that included all patients with suspected stroke admitted to Hamad General Hospital, Doha Qatar between April 30, 2014 till September 15, 2020.

Results: A total of 11,892 patients were admitted during this period with suspected stroke. Of these, Ischemic stroke (IS; 48.8%), Transient ischemic attack (TIA; 10.3%), Intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH; 10.9%), Stroke mimics (28.6%) and Cerebral venous sinus thrombosis (CVST; 1.3%). Mean age was 53.1 + 14.1 and a male to female ratio of 3:1. Study population was majorly Asian (56.8%) and Arab (36%); while African (4.5%), Caucasian (2.6%) and Others (0.1%) formed minority of the population. Asian population (South Asian; 49.7 + 11.6 and Far Eastern; 47.4 + 9.9) were younger as compared to Arabs (58.9 + 15.9). Majority of the patients were hypertensive (66.8%), diabetic (47.9%) and dyslipidemic (45.9%) on admission, while cardiac diseases (14.7%) and DVT (0.3%) were observed in fewer patients. Patients with a history of prior stroke were 11.7%, while 0.9% had a prior TIA. In IS patients, 31.7% of the patients arrived ED within the 4.5-hour thrombolysis window, 12.5% received thrombolysis and 4.6% received thrombectomy. The average Door-to-Needle time for IS patients was 58.9 + 39.5 minutes. The average length of stay was 5.2 + 9.0 days with 71.5% discharged home, 13.8% transferred to rehabilitation, 9.3% to other specialties, 3% to long term care and 2.4% suffered in-hospital mortality.

Conclusion: The patients suffering Stroke in Qatar are relatively younger than western population. Highly prevalent vascular risk factors could explain younger presentation and relatively high burden of stroke. Further analysis of epidemiological differences between ethnic subgroups can help tailoring effective preventive and management policies to reduce the burden of disease.

Abstract TP71: Characteristics And Demographics Of Patients Using Emergency Medical Services For Suspected Acute Stroke And Its Impact On Long-term Outcomes In A Multi Ethnic Population

Introduction: Acute ischemic stroke (IS) patients who receive IV thrombolysis are more likely to have good long-term prognosis. Unfortunately, more than two-third of IS patients present outside the therapeutic window. The use of emergency medical services (EMS) can reduce pre-hospital delay and increase likelihood of treatment with t-PA. We aim to determine the characteristic variations amongst the suspected acute stroke patients using EMS.

Methods: In this retrospective observational study, all suspected acute stroke patients admitted to Hamad General Hospital from April 30, 2014 to September 15, 2020 were included. We evaluated demographics, clinical features, impact on treatment and associated factors in EMS versus non-EMS group.

Results: During the study period, 11892 patients presented as suspected acute stroke. Of these, 65.1% used EMS (EMS-group). Mean age in EMS group was 53.4 + 14.1 versus 52.6 + 14.0 in non-EMS group (p = 0.003). Male to female ratio in both groups was 3:1. The proportion of patients who used EMS were higher in the Asian (66.8%), African (66.8%) and Caucasian (66.6%) population as compared to Arabs (61.9%). EMS use in Qatari population (59.2%) was relatively low. Intracerebral hemorrhage patients (82.4%) had a significantly higher EMS use followed by IS (65.7%) and cerebral venous thrombosis (64.7%); p<0.001. Symptom onset time of less than 4.5 hours at presentation was reported by 41% in EMS-group versus 24.3% in Non-EMS group. Patients with prior stroke (65.5%) and transient ischemic attack (58.4%) preferred EMS as compared to Non-EMS group (34.5% and 41.5%). Patients with unilateral weakness (66.4%) aphasia (78.2%), neglect (78.2%), dysarthria (68.4%), loss of consciousness (83.3%) and seizures (83.9%) had a higher use of EMS versus non-EMS group. The thrombolysis rate in EMS group was high vs non-EMS (82.4% vs 17.6%; p<0.001) with a door-to-needle time significantly lower in the EMS group (56.4 + 38.2 vs 75.7 + 43.8; p<0.001).

Conclusion: EMS use facilitate rapid transfer, timely stroke evaluation and management of patients who need time-critical care. Patient characteristics and demographics, clinical symptoms and stroke type are associated with early stroke recognition and EMS use leading to higher recanalization rate.

Q-DEPICT: Qatar Determining Emergency Physician Incidence of COVID-Positive Testing

Despite protective measures such as personal protective equipment (PPE) and a COVID airway management program (CAMP), some emergency physicians will inevitably test positive for COVID. We aim to develop a model predicting weekly numbers of emergency physician COVID converters to aid operations planning.

The data were obtained from the electronic medical record (EMR) used throughout the national healthcare system. Hamad Medical Corporation's internal emergency medicine workforce data were used as a source of information on emergency physician COVID conversion and numbers of emergency physicians completing CAMP training. The study period included the spring and summer months of 2020 and started on March 7 and ran for 21 whole weeks through July 31. Data were extracted from the system's EMR database into a spreadsheet (Excel, Microsoft, Redmond, USA). The statistical software used for all analyses and plots was Stata (version 16.1 MP, StataCorp, College Station, USA). All data definitions were made a priori.

A total of 35 of 250 emergency physicians (14.0%, 95% CI 9.9%–19.9%) converted to a positive real-time reverse transcriptase-polymerase chain reaction (PCR) during the study's 21-week period. Of these. only two were hospitalized for having respiratory-only disease, and none required respiratory support. Both were discharged within a week of admission. The weekly number of newly COVID-positive emergency physicians was zero and was seen in eight of 21 (38.1%) weeks. The peak weekly counts of six emergency physicians with new COVID-positive were seen in week 14. The mean weekly number of newly COVID-positive emergency physicians was 1.7 ± 1.9, and the median was 1 (IQR, 0 to 3).

This study demonstrates that in the State of Qatar's Emergency Department (ED) system, knowing only four parameters allows the reliable prediction of the number of emergency physicians likely to convert COVID PCR tests within the next week. The results also suggest that attention to the details of minimizing endotracheal intubation (ETI) risk can eliminate the expected finding of the association between ETI numbers and emergency physician COVID numbers.

Qatar Prediction Rule Using ED Indicators of COVID-19 at Triage

INTRODUCTION

The presence of Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus-2 (SARS-CoV-2) and its associated disease, COVID-19 has had an enormous impact on the operations of the emergency department (ED), particularly the triage area. The aim of the study was to derive and validate a prediction rule that would be applicable to Qatar's adult ED population to predict COVID-19-positive patients.

METHODS

This is a retrospective study including adult patients. The data were obtained from the electronic medical records (EMR) of the Hamad Medical Corporation (HMC) for three EDs. Data from the Hamad General Hospital ED were used to derive and internally validate a prediction rule (Q-PREDICT). The Al Wakra Hospital ED and Al Khor Hospital ED data formed an external validation set consisting of the same time frame. The variables in the model included the weekly ED COVID-19-positivity rate and the following patient characteristics: region (nationality), age, acuity, cough, fever, tachypnea, hypoxemia, and hypotension. All statistical analyses were executed with Stata 16.1 (Stata Corp). The study team obtained appropriate institutional approval.

RESULTS

The study included 45,663 adult patients who were tested for COVID-19. Out of these, 47% (n = 21461) were COVID-19 positive. The derivation-set model had very good discrimination (c = 0.855, 95% Confidence intervals (CI) 0.847-0.861). Cross-validation of the model demonstrated that the validation-set model (c = 0.857, 95% CI 0.849-0.863) retained high discrimination. A high Q-PREDICT score ( ≥ 13) is associated with a nearly 6-fold increase in the likelihood of being COVID-19 positive (likelihood ratio 5.9, 95% CI 5.6-6.2), with a sensitivity of 84.7% (95% CI, 84.0%-85.4%). A low Q-PREDICT ( ≤ 6) is associated with a nearly 20-fold increase in the likelihood of being COVID-19 negative (likelihood ratio 19.3, 95% CI 16.7-22.1), with a specificity of 98.7% (95% CI 98.5%-98.9%).

CONCLUSION

The Q-PREDICT is a simple scoring system based on information readily collected from patients at the front desk of the ED and helps to predict COVID-19 status at triage. The scoring system performed well in the internal and external validation on datasets obtained from the state of Qatar.

Fetal cerebellar growth and Sylvian fissure maturation: international standards from Fetal Growth Longitudinal Study of INTERGROWTH-21st Project

OBJECTIVE

To construct international ultrasound-based standards for fetal cerebellar growth and Sylvian fissure maturation.

METHODS

Healthy, well nourished pregnant women, enrolled at < 14 weeks' gestation in the Fetal Growth Longitudinal Study (FGLS) of INTERGROWTH-21^st , an international multicenter, population-based project, underwent serial three-dimensional (3D) fetal ultrasound scans every 5 ± 1 weeks until delivery in study sites located in Brazil, India, Italy, Kenya and the UK. In the present analysis, only those fetuses that underwent developmental assessment at 2 years of age were included. We measured the transcerebellar diameter and assessed Sylvian fissure maturation using two-dimensional ultrasound images extracted from available 3D fetal head volumes. The appropriateness of pooling data from the five sites was assessed using variance component analysis and standardized site differences. For each Sylvian fissure maturation score (left or right side), mean gestational age and 95% CI were calculated. Transcerebellar diameter was modeled using fractional polynomial regression, and goodness of fit was assessed.

RESULTS

Of those children in the original FGLS cohort who had developmental assessment at 2 years of age, 1130 also had an available 3D ultrasound fetal head volume. The sociodemographic characteristics and pregnancy/perinatal outcomes of the study sample confirmed the health and low-risk status of the population studied. In addition, the fetuses had low morbidity and adequate growth and development at 2 years of age. In total, 3016 and 2359 individual volumes were available for transcerebellar-diameter and Sylvian-fissure analysis, respectively. Variance component analysis and standardized site differences showed that the five study populations were sufficiently similar on the basis of predefined criteria for the data to be pooled to produce international standards. A second-degree fractional polynomial provided the best fit for modeling transcerebellar diameter; we then estimated gestational-age-specific 3^rd , 50^th and 97^th smoothed centiles. Goodness-of-fit analysis comparing empirical centiles with smoothed centile curves showed good agreement. The Sylvian fissure increased in maturation with advancing gestation, with complete overlap of the mean gestational age and 95% CIs between the sexes for each development score. No differences in Sylvian fissure maturation between the right and left hemispheres were observed.

CONCLUSION

We present, for the first time, international standards for fetal cerebellar growth and Sylvian fissure maturation throughout pregnancy based on a healthy fetal population that exhibited adequate growth and development at 2 years of age. © 2020 The Authors. Ultrasound in Obstetrics & Gynecology published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd on behalf of International Society of Ultrasound in Obstetrics and Gynecology.

Ethnic differences in out-of-hospital cardiac arrest among Middle Eastern Arabs and North African populations living in Qatar

Aims: There are very few studies comparing epidemiology and outcomes of out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) in different ethnic groups. Previous ethnicity studies have mostly determined OHCA differences between African American and Caucasian populations. The aim of this study was to compare epidemiology, clinical presentation, and outcomes of OHCA between the local Middle Eastern Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) Arab and the migrant North African populations living in Qatar.Methods: This was a retrospective cohort study of Middle Eastern GCC Arabs and migrant North African patients with presumed cardiac origin OHCA resuscitated by Emergency Medical Services (EMS) in Qatar, between June 2012 and May 2015.Results: There were 285 Middle Eastern GCC Arabs and 112 North African OHCA patients enrolled during the study period. Compared with the local GCC Arabs, univariate analysis showed that the migrant North African OHCA patients were younger and had higher odds of initial shockable rhythm, pre-hospital interventions (defibrillation and amioderone), pre-hospital scene time, and decreased odds of risk factors (hypertension, respiratory disease, and diabetes) and pre-hospital response time. The survival to hospital discharge had greater odds for North African OHCA patients which did not persist after adjustment. Multivariable logistic regression showed that North Africans were associated with lower odds of diabetes (OR 0.48, 95% CI 0.25-0.91, p = 0.03), and higher odds of initial shockable rhythm (OR 2.86, 95% CI 1.30-6.33, p = 0.01) and greater scene time (OR 1.02 95% CI 1.0-1.04, p = 0.02).Conclusions: North African migrant OHCA patients were younger, had decreased risk factors and favourable OHCA rhythm and received greater ACLS interventions with shorter pre-hospital response times and longer scene times leading to better survival.

Randomized double-blinded placebo-controlled trial of hydroxychloroquine with or without azithromycin for virologic cure of non-severe Covid-19

BACKGROUND

Hydroxychloroquine (HC) ± azithromycin (AZ) is widely used for Covid-19. The Qatar Prospective RCT of Expediting Coronavirus Tapering (Q-PROTECT) aimed to assess virologic cure rates of HC±AZ in cases of low-acuity Covid-19.

METHODS

Q-PROTECT employed a prospective, placebo-controlled design with blinded randomization to three parallel arms: placebo, oral HC (600 mg daily for one week), or oral HC plus oral AZ (500 mg day one, 250 mg daily on days two through five). At enrollment, non-hospitalized participants had mild or no symptoms and were within a day of Covid-19 positivity by polymerase chain reaction (PCR). After six days, intent-to-treat (ITT) analysis of the primary endpoint of virologic cure was assessed using binomial exact 95% confidence intervals (CIs) and χ2 testing. (ClinicalTrials.gov NCT04349592, trial status closed to new participants.).

FINDINGS

The study enrolled 456 participants (152 in each of three groups: HC+AZ, HC, placebo) between 13 April and 1 August 2020. HC+AZ, HC, and placebo groups had 6 (3·9%), 7 (4·6%), and 9 (5·9%) participants go off study medications before completing the medication course (p = 0·716). Day six PCR results were available for all 152 HC+AZ participants, 149/152 (98·0%) HC participants, and 147/152 (96·7%) placebo participants. Day six ITT analysis found no difference (p = 0·821) in groups' proportions achieving virologic cure: HC+AZ 16/152 (10·5%), HC 19/149 (12·8%), placebo 18/147 (12·2%). Day 14 assessment also showed no association (p = 0·072) between study group and viral cure: HC+AZ 30/149 (20·1%,), HC 42/146 (28·8%), placebo 45/143 (31·5%). There were no serious adverse events.

INTERPRETATION

HC±AZ does not facilitate virologic cure in patients with mild or asymptomatic Covid-19.

FUNDING

The study was supported by internal institutional funds of the Hamad Medical Corporation (government health service of the State of Qatar).

A case of aortic dissection with highly suggestive features of COVID-19

Introduction: Aortic dissection is a cardiovascular emergency with an overall in-hospital mortality rate of 27.4%, and with every hour without intervention, the mortality rate increases by 1%–2% in the first 48 hours. Thoracic aortic dissection typically presents with tearing chest, back, or abdominal pain. Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is a viral disease caused by severe acute respiratory syndrome–coronavirus 2 (SARS–Cov2), which has been declared a pandemic by the World Health Organization (WHO) and usually manifests with respiratory symptoms, including cough, shortness of breath, flu-like symptoms, and fever. This case report highlights an important impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the identification and management of aortic dissection in the emergency department.

Case report: A 35-year-old Bahraini male, a suspected case of Marfan syndrome, presented with complaints of shortness of breath and worsening productive cough after returning from the United States (U.S). He denied any chest, back, or abdominal pain, dizziness, weakness in any limb, gait disturbance, headache, or change in vision. He was considered high risk for COVID-19 because of the recent travel and respiratory symptoms and was diagnosed incidentally with ascending aortic dissection along with a right lung consolidation. His SARS–Cov2 PCR came negative thrice during hospital stay, and he underwent elective cardiothoracic surgery.

Conclusion: The COVID-19 pandemic has been a major stressor for the healthcare system worldwide, inflicting serious threats. Aortic dissection is one of the major life-threatening diseases that needs to be identified early on in the emergency department; however, in this case delayed diagnosis raised significant concerns due to underlying evolving triaging system for COVID-19 and atypical and overlapping clinical presentation. Further research is needed to look for COVID-19–associated factors, affecting the standard of care in the emergency department. Improving handover can directly impact patient care; therefore, it should be optimized.

International standards for fetal brain structures based on serial ultrasound measurements from Fetal Growth Longitudinal Study of INTERGROWTH-21st Project

OBJECTIVE

To create prescriptive growth standards for five fetal brain structures, measured using ultrasound, in healthy, well-nourished women at low risk of impaired fetal growth and poor perinatal outcome, taking part in the Fetal Growth Longitudinal Study (FGLS) of the INTERGROWTH-21^st Project.

METHODS

This was a complementary analysis of a large, population-based, multicenter, longitudinal study. The sample analyzed was selected randomly from the overall FGLS population, ensuring an equal distribution among the eight diverse participating sites and of three-dimensional (3D) ultrasound volumes across pregnancy (range: 15-36 weeks' gestation). We measured, in planes reconstructed from 3D ultrasound volumes of the fetal head at different timepoints in pregnancy, the size of the parieto-occipital fissure (POF), Sylvian fissure (SF), anterior horn of the lateral ventricle, atrium of the posterior horn of the lateral ventricle (PV) and cisterna magna (CM). Fractional polynomials were used to construct the standards. Growth and development of the infants were assessed at 1 and 2 years of age to confirm their adequacy for constructing international standards.

RESULTS

From the entire FGLS cohort of 4321 women, 451 (10.4%) were selected at random. After exclusions, 3D ultrasound volumes from 442 fetuses born without a congenital malformation were used to create the charts. The fetal brain structures of interest were identified in 90% of cases. All structures, except the PV, showed increasing size with gestational age, and the size of the POF, SF, PV and CM showed increasing variability. The 3^rd , 5^th , 50^th , 95^th and 97^th smoothed centiles are presented. The 5^th centiles for the POF and SF were 3.1 mm and 4.7 mm at 22 weeks' gestation and 4.6 mm and 9.9 mm at 32 weeks, respectively. The 95^th centiles for the PV and CM were 8.5 mm and 7.5 mm at 22 weeks and 8.6 mm and 9.5 mm at 32 weeks, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

We have produced prescriptive size standards for fetal brain structures based on prospectively enrolled pregnancies at low risk of abnormal outcome. We recommend these as international standards for the assessment of measurements obtained using ultrasound from fetal brain structures. © 2020 Authors. Ultrasound in Obstetrics & Gynecology published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd on behalf of International Society of Ultrasound in Obstetrics and Gynecology.

Characterizing Agreement in the Level of Interarm Blood Pressure Readings of Adults in the Emergency Department (CALIBRATE Study)

Background: Increased interarm systolic blood pressure difference (IASBPD) is one of the major predictors of cardiovascular disease. An IASBPD of >10 mmHg is of clinical significance. However, studies have reported a high number of patients visiting the emergency department (ED) with high IASBPD and varying correlation of IASBPD to age, ethnic background, and comorbidities such as hypertension and diabetes. Objective: The CALIBRATE study aimed to measure the IABPDs in the multiethnic patient population presenting to the ED in Qatar and to assess the distribution of IASBPD in this population. Methods: In a sitting position, two consecutive blood pressure (BP) measurements were recorded from the right and left arms for each participant using a calibrated automated machine and appropriate cuff sizes. The data were recorded using predefined data fields, including patient demographics, past medical, and social and family history. The continuous variables were reported as mean or median based on the distribution of data. The data were analyzed using Stata MP 14.0. Results: A total of 1800 patients, with a mean age of 34 (10) years, were prospectively recruited from the ED. The median absolute systolic BP difference (ΔSBP) between the right and left arms was 6 (3-10) mmHg, and it was the same for the first (ΔSBP1) and the second readings (ΔSBP2). The absolute average of ΔSBP1 and ΔSBP2 was 7 (4-10) mmHg. The difference in systolic BP difference (SBP) of < 20 mmHg for interarm blood pressure was seen in the 95th percentile of the population. No meaningful association could be detected between the IABPD and the study variables such as age, demographics, regions of interest, and risk factors. Conclusion: In population presenting to the ED, the IASBPD of at least 20 mmHg reached at the 95th percentile, validating the known significant difference. The utility of SBP difference can be improved further by taking the average of two individual readings.

A comparative, epidemiological study of acute renal colic presentations to emergency departments in Doha, Qatar, and Melbourne, Australia

Background

This study aimed to compare the epidemiology, clinical presentations, management, and outcomes of renal colic presentations in two major academic centers from geographically diverse populations: Qatar (a country in the Afro-Asian stone belt) and South-Eastern Australia (not within a stone belt).

Methods

We undertook a retrospective cohort study of patients with renal colic who presented to the Hamad General Hospital Emergency Department (HGH-ED), Qatar, and The Alfred ED, Melbourne, Australia, during a period of 1 year from August 1, 2012, to July 31, 2013. Cases were identified using ICD-9-CM codes, and an electronic template was used to record the data on predefined clinical variables.

Results

A total of 12,223 from the HGH-ED and 384 from The Alfred ED were identified as renal colic presentations during the study period. The rate of renal colic presentations at the HGH-ED was 27.9 per 1000 ED visits compared to 6.7 per 1000 ED visits at The Alfred ED. Patients presenting to the HGH-ED were significantly younger [34.9 years (29.0–43.4) than The Alfred ED [48 years (37–60); P < 0.001].

The median stone size was larger in the HGH-ED group [6 (4–8) mm] versus The Alfred ED group [4 (3–6) mm, P < 0.001]. The intervention rate in the stone-positive population was significantly higher in the HGH-ED group as opposed to The Alfred ED group (38.7 versus 11.9%, P < 0.001). At the time of discharge, The Alfred ED group received fewer analgesic prescriptions (55.8 versus 83.5%, P < 0.001) and more tamsulosin prescriptions (25.3 versus 11.7%, P < 0.001).

Conclusions

Renal colic presentations to the HGH-ED, Qatar, were younger, with larger stone size mostly located in the lower ureter, compared to The Alfred ED, Melbourne, Australia. The findings suggest that the benefits of treatment including medical expulsion therapy will vary between the two populations. Differences in epidemiology and patient mix should be considered while tailoring strategies for effective management of patients with renal colic in a given setting.

Abstract P491: Characterizing Agreement in Level of Inter-extremity Blood-Pressure Readings of Adults in the Emergency Department (CALIBRATE Study)

Introduction: Inter-arm blood-pressure difference (IBPD) has been studied previously in multiple settings, but few reports are available from the Emergency department (ED) setting, where BP varies significantly due to acute medical conditions or stress from various factors. CALIBRATE aims to study the inter-arm blood pressure differences in the patients presenting to the ED in Qatar and to assess the IBPD distribution in this population.

Methods: In sitting position, two consecutive BP measurements were obtained from the right and left arm for each participant using calibrated automated machines and appropriate cuff sizes. Considering the demographic mix of the population presenting to the ED, a 1:1 of male to female and 2:1 for GCC (Gulf Cooperation Council) to non-GCC recruitment strategy was predefined. The data were recorded using predefined data fields including patient demographics, past medical, social and family history. The continuous variables were reported as mean (SD) or median (IQR) based on the distribution of data. The data was analyzed using Stata MP 14.0 (College Station, Texas).

Results: A total of 1800 patients were prospectively recruited from the ED. The mean age was 34 (10) years. The absolute systolic blood pressure (ΔSBP) difference between the right and left arm was same for the first (ΔSBP1) and the second reading (ΔSBP2), as 6 mmHg (3-10). The absolute average of ΔSBP1 and ΔSBP2 was 7 mmHg (4-10). The difference in SBP of less than 20 mmHg for IBP was seen in 95 th percentile of the population with single reading, whereas, with the average of two individual readings it was observed in 97 th percentile. No meaningful association could be detected between the significant IBPD and the study variables such as age, demographics, regions of interest and risk factors. Although, patients with diagnosed hypertension met the pre-defined criterion for significance, this difference was not clinically significant. There was no significant difference between IBPD noted for the Asia-pacific or Arab population.

Conclusion: In population presenting to the ED, the IBPD of at least 20 mmHg reached at 95 th percentile validating the known significant difference. The utility of SBP difference can be improved further by taking the average of two individual readings.

Partial replacement of board-certified specialist-grade physicians with emergency medicine trainees in a busy emergency department: Lack of adverse effect on time to physician

Objectives: Standard emergency department (ED) operation goals include minimization of the time interval between patients' initial ED presentation and initial emergency physician (EP) evaluation. Following up on previous work defining factors influencing the “time to physician” (tMD) in a busy ED, the current study was undertaken to evaluate whether tMD was adversely impacted by the ED's partial replacement of specialist-grade EPs with emergency medicine (EM) trainees (at the resident and fellow level). Methods: This retrospective study was conducted for four months (September–December 2015) using an ED administrative database (EDAD) in an urban academic tertiary ED with an annual census of approximately 500,000; during the four study months, the ED census was 165,969. To minimize confounding by time of day and related factors, data analysis focused solely on the “day shift” (0600–1400) of each of the study period's 122 days. EDAD data were combined with EP rostering data to generate a multivariate linear regression model that assessed the dependent variable tMD, for significant changes associated with increasing proportion – not necessarily always the same as increasing the absolute number of trainees (i.e., summed residents and fellows as a total percent of all on-duty EPs). There were trainees in the study ED throughout the study, but the trainee numbers as a proportion of the overall physician staffing fluctuated, thus providing a basis for analysis. The model adjusted for covariates previously demonstrated to impact tMD at the study center. Analyses were conducted with Stata 14MP, with statistical significance defined at p < 0.05 and confidence intervals (CIs) reported at the 95% level. Results: In an acceptable regression model that adjusted for multiple parameters influencing tMD, the introduction of a covariate representing the proportion of on-duty trainee physicians was very small in magnitude (β estimate 0.07, 95% CI − 0.16 to 0.30) and not statistically significant (p = 0.53). Conclusions: A multivariate analysis adjusting for variables contributing to tMD showed no indication of adverse tMD impact from partial replacement of board-certified specialist-grade EPs with EM trainees given adequate supervision by properly trained faculty.

Marginal analysis in assessing factors contributing time to physician in the Emergency Department using operations data

Background: Standard Emergency Department (ED) operations goals include minimization of the time interval (tMD) between patients' initial ED presentation and initial physician evaluation. This study assessed factors known (or suspected) to influence tMD with a two-step goal. The first step was generation of a multivariate model identifying parameters associated with prolongation of tMD at a single study center. The second step was the use of a study center-specific multivariate tMD model as a basis for predictive marginal probability analysis; the marginal model allowed for prediction of the degree of ED operations benefit that would be affected with specific ED operations improvements. Methods: The study was conducted using one month (May 2015) of data obtained from an ED administrative database (EDAD) in an urban academic tertiary ED with an annual census of approximately 500,000; during the study month, the ED saw 39,593 cases. The EDAD data were used to generate a multivariate linear regression model assessing the various demographic and operational covariates' effects on the dependent variable tMD. Predictive marginal probability analysis was used to calculate the relative contributions of key covariates as well as demonstrate the likely tMD impact on modifying those covariates with operational improvements. Analyses were conducted with Stata 14MP, with significance defined at p < 0.05 and confidence intervals (CIs) reported at the 95% level. Results: In an acceptable linear regression model that accounted for just over half of the overall variance in tMD (adjusted r² 0.51), important contributors to tMD included shift census (p = 0.008), shift time of day (p = 0.002), and physician coverage n (p = 0.004). These strong associations remained even after adjusting for each other and other covariates. Marginal predictive probability analysis was used to predict the overall tMD impact (improvement from 50 to 43 minutes, p < 0.001) of consistent staffing with 22 physicians. Conclusions: The analysis identified expected variables contributing to tMD with regression demonstrating significance and effect magnitude of alterations in covariates including patient census, shift time of day, and number of physicians. Marginal analysis provided operationally useful demonstration of the need to adjust physician coverage numbers, prompting changes at the study ED. The methods used in this analysis may prove useful in other EDs wishing to analyze operations information with the goal of predicting which interventions may have the most benefit.

Abstract TP135: Late Decompressive Hemicraniectomy for Malignant Middle Cerebral Artery Stroke: Role of Infarct Growth

Objective: The purpose of this multi-institutional pooled data analyses from three countries was to determine the impact of DHC timing on the functional outcomes in patients operated beyond 48 hours in comparison with DHC under 48 hours. In addition factors leading to early or late DHC were also identified.

Methods: Retrospective, multicenter cross-sectional study to measure outcome following DHC <48 or >48 hours using the modified Rankin Scale [mRS] and dichotomized as favorable ≤4 or unfavorable >4, at three months.

Results: In total 137 patients underwent DHC. There was no significant difference in the functional outcome [P=0.140] and mortality [P=0.975] but with a trend towards better outcome in patients operated over 48 hours. Multivariate analysis showed age ≥ 55, MCA with additional infarction, septum pellucidum deviation ≥1cm, and uncal herniation was independent predictor of poor functional outcome at three months. In the ‘‘best’’ multivariate model IGR >7.5ml/hr, MCA with additional infarction, and patients with temporal lobe involvement were independently associated with surgery under 48 hours. Both first infarct growth rate [IGR1] [DHC<48 hours, 15.2± 8.1ml/hr vs. >48 hours, 7.1 ± 5.03ml/hr] [P<0.001] and second infarct growth rate [IGR2] [DHC 48 13.64 ±8.76 ml/hr, > 48 hours 7.15 ±6.23 ml/hr [P<0.001] were nearly double in patients with early surgery [<48 hours].

Conclusions: There was no significant difference in the functional outcome and mortality in patients operated >48 hours of stroke onset compared to early [<48 hours]. Time to surgery had no impact on functional outcome. Our data identifies IGR, temporal lobe involvement and MCA with additional infarct were independent predictors of early surgery.

Abstract TP62: To Determine the Evolution of Stroke Volume Overtime Using ANFIS

Background: There is limited information on evolution of temporal lesion volumetric changes in acute ischemia. Though infarct evolves in natural logarithmic or linear pattern in acute phase [24 hrs] both fail to predict the lesion volume in later phase [48,96,200 hours]. Maximum infarct volume [MIV] measured by these methods don’t reach a plateau at the infinite point in time, not true in clinical medicine. Instead of probability based statistical methods we used Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System [ANFIS]. ANFIS utilizes features of human brain fundamental to the learning process, pattern modeling and perceptive inference. The purpose is to identify the best method to predict stroke volume at various time intervals.

Methods: We used pooled hemicraniectomy database to select patients with three CT scans. Measurement of the infarct volume [IV] was done using ABC/2 method. Maximum infarct volume [MIV] was calculated using last CT before DHC. Time was measured from stroke onset to CT. Mean measured MIV was used as standard to compare the outcome by various methods. A Pseudo-Monte-Carlo scheme was utilized in improving the accuracy of the classification.

Results: There were 66 patients with 3 CT-scans. We used MATLAB-2015 with Fuzzy Logic Toolbox functions to determine the pattern of infarct growth [Linear, Logarithmic, Exponential and ANFIS] and to determine the best predictive method at various time intervals. Of the measured IV on CT 1 and 2, 40 patients [60%] data set was used for training the ANFIS system while remaining 26 [40%] was used for testing. Mean measured MIV was 332±112.21 cm 3 [min 112.86 cm 3 , max 650 cm 3 ] at mean time 67.75±67.39 hour [min 21.30 hours, max 350 hours]. Mean MIV measured by ANFIS 319.05±94.58 cm 3 [p=0.32], Linear 251.77±154.46 cm 3 [p=0.01], Logarithmic 259.68±88.76 cm 3 [p=0.00], and Exponential 157.80±84.05 cm 3

Conclusion: ANFIS predicted the third infarct volume with high degree of accuracy across various time intervals. ANFIS method can provide an excellent model for forecasting infarct volume and growth rate, characterizing the evolution of lesion and pathological stages for mechanistic studies and therapeutic interventions of stroke disease.

Abstract TP124: Decompressive Hemicraniectomy for Malignant Middle Cerebral Artery Stroke: South Asian Experience

Objective: The randomized trials and pooled analysis showed improved outcome and reduced mortality in malignant middle cerebral artery [MMCA] undergoing decompressive hemicraniectomy (DHC) within 48 hours of stroke onset. This could be due to highly selective patient population in trials, not reflecting real world practice. Furthermore, with ischemic stroke being so common in the South Asian and Middle Eastern population, there still exists very little published data on DHC in MMCA stroke patients.

Methods: Retrospective, multicenter cross-sectional study to measure outcome following DHC using the modified Rankin Scale [mRS] and dichotomized as favorable ≤4 or unfavorable >4, at three months.

Results: In total 137 patients underwent DHC. At 90 days, mortality was 16.8%, 61.3% of patients survived with an mRS ≤4 and 38.7% had an mRS of >4. Age (55 years), diabetes [p=0.004], hypertension [p=0.021], pupillary abnormality [p=0.048], uncal herniation [p=0.007], temporal lobe involvement [p=0.016], additional infarction [MCA + ACA, PCA] [P=0.001], and infarction growth rates [P=0.025] was significantly higher in patients with unfavorable prognosis in univariate analysis. Multivariate analysis showed age, additional infarction, septum pellucidum deviation >1cm and uncal herniation to be associated with a significantly poor prognosis. Time to surgery had no impact on outcome [p=0.109].

Conclusions: Similar to the effects observed in the studies from the West, DHC improves functional outcome in predominantly South Asian patients with MMCA stroke. Increasing age, MCA with additional infarctions, septum pellucidum deviation 1cm and uncal herniation were significant predictors of disability and poor functional outcomes. Time to surgery had no impact on functional outcome.

The antepartum stillbirth syndrome: risk factors and pregnancy conditions identified from the INTERGROWTH-21st Project

OBJECTIVES

To identify risk factors for antepartum stillbirth, including fetal growth restriction, among women with well-dated pregnancies and access to antenatal care.

DESIGN

Population-based, prospective, observational study.

SETTING

Eight international urban populations.

POPULATION

Pregnant women and their babies enrolled in the Newborn Cross-Sectional Study of the INTERGROWTH-21^st Project.

METHODS

Cox proportional hazard models were used to compare risks among antepartum stillborn and liveborn babies.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Antepartum stillbirth was defined as any fetal death after 16 weeks' gestation before the onset of labour.

RESULTS

Of 60 121 babies, 553 were stillborn (9.2 per 1000 births), of which 445 were antepartum deaths (7.4 per 1000 births). After adjustment for site, risk factors were low socio-economic status, hazard ratio (HR): 1.6 (95% CI, 1.2-2.1); single marital status, HR 2.0 (95% CI, 1.4-2.8); age ≥40 years, HR 2.2 (95% CI, 1.4-3.7); essential hypertension, HR 4.0 (95% CI, 2.7-5.9); HIV/AIDS, HR 4.3 (95% CI, 2.0-9.1); pre-eclampsia, HR 1.6 (95% CI, 1.1-3.8); multiple pregnancy, HR 3.3 (95% CI, 2.0-5.6); and antepartum haemorrhage, HR 3.3 (95% CI, 2.5-4.5). Birth weight <3rd centile was associated with antepartum stillbirth [HR, 4.6 (95% CI, 3.4-6.2)]. The greatest risk was seen in babies not suspected to have been growth restricted antenatally, with an HR of 5.0 (95% CI, 3.6-7.0). The population-attributable risk of antepartum death associated with small-for-gestational-age neonates diagnosed at birth was 11%.

CONCLUSIONS

Antepartum stillbirth is a complex syndrome associated with several risk factors. Although small babies are at higher risk, current growth restriction detection strategies only modestly reduced the rate of stillbirth.

TWEETABLE ABSTRACT

International stillbirth study finds individual risks poor predictors of death but combinations promising.

Marginal analysis in assessing factors contributing time to physician in Emergency Department using operations data

Background: Standard Emergency Department (ED) operations goals include minimization of the time interval (hereafter tMD) between patients' initial ED presentation and initial physician evaluation.

Methods: The study was conducted using one month (May 2015) of an ED administrative database (EDAD), in HGH-ED, during the study month the ED saw 39,593 cases. The first step was generation of a multivariate model identifying the parameters associated with delay in tMD. In the second step, predictive marginal probability analysis was used to calculate the relative contributions of key covariates as well as demonstrate the likely tMD impact on modifying those covariates with operational improvements. Analyses were conducted with STATA 14 MP, with significance defined at p <  .05 and confidence intervals (CIs) reported at the 95% level.

Results: In an acceptable linear regression model that accounted for just over half of the overall variance in tMD (adjusted r2 .51), important contributors to tMD included shift census (p = .008), shift time of day (p = .002), and physician coverage n (p = .004). Marginal predictive probability analysis was used to predict the overall tMD impact (improvement from 50 to 43 minutes, p <  .001) of consistent staffing with 22 physicians.

Conclusions: The analysis identified expected variables contributing to tMD with regression demonstrating significance and effect magnitude of alterations in covariates including patient census, shift time of day, and physician n. Marginal analysis provided operationally useful demonstration of the need to adjust physician coverage numbers, prompting changes at the study ED.

ED case presentations during the largest sandstorm in the Middle East

Background: The State of Qatar experienced a sandstorm on 1 April 2015, lasting approximately 12 hours, with winds blowing at more than 100 km/hr and average particulate matter of approximately 10 μm in diameter. The Emergency Department of the main tertiary hospital in Qatar managed 62% of the total emergency calls. The peak load of patients during the event manifested approximately 6 hours after the onset.

Methods: A retrospective review of patient mix and case load was performed for patients presenting to Emergency Department during and after the sandstorm.

Results: A total of 254 cases with respiratory illness presented to the Emergency Department within 12 hours of sandstorm onset. Of these cases, 42 had respiratory failure, of which 19 required intubation and 23 were managed conservatively. Of the remaining 212 cases, 28 with severe respiratory exacerbation of asthma, 15 with COPD exacerbation and 169 with minor asthma exacerbation were managed conservatively. In addition, a total of 26 patients presented with ophthalmological complaints. Of these, 12 had foreign body removed from the eye under slit lamp and took topical medication and antibiotics. The remaining 14 patients with anterior eye chamber emergencies were managed conservatively.

Conclusions: Patients presented mainly with exacerbations of asthma and respiratory distress, ophthalmic emergencies and vehicular trauma. Surprisingly, incidence of pedestrian injuries did not vary. With the outline of adaptations and specific areas for improvement identified in this review, we hope that future sandstorm emergencies will be better positioned to respond with optimum efficiency and effectiveness.

The development and evaluation of a community-based clinical diagnosis tool and treatment regimen for postpartum sepsis in Bangladesh and Pakistan

BACKGROUND

Postpartum sepsis accounts for most maternal deaths between three and seven days postpartum, when most mothers, even those who deliver in facilities, are at home. Case fatality rates for untreated women are very high. Newborns of ill women have substantially higher infection risk.

METHODS/DESIGN

The objectives of this study are to: (1) create, field-test and validate a tool for community health workers to improve diagnostic accuracy of suspected puerperal sepsis; (2) measure incidence and identify associated risk factors and; (3) describe etiologic agents responsible and antibacterial susceptibility patterns. This prospective cohort study builds on the Aetiology of Neonatal Infection in South Asia study in three sites: Sylhet, Bangladesh and Karachi and Matiari, Pakistan. Formative research determined local knowledge of symptoms and signs of postpartum sepsis, and a systematic literature review was conducted to design a diagnostic tool for community health workers to use during ten postpartum home visits. Suspected postpartum sepsis cases were referred to study physicians for independent assessment, which permitted validation of the tool. Clinical specimens, including urine, blood, and endometrial material, were collected for etiologic assessment and antibiotic sensitivity. All women with puerperal sepsis were given appropriate antibiotics.

DISCUSSION

This is the first large population-based study to expand community-based surveillance for diagnoses, referral and treatment of newborn sepsis to include maternal postpartum sepsis. Study activities will lead to development and validation of a diagnostic tool for use by community health workers in resource-poor countries. Understanding the epidemiology and microbiology of postpartum sepsis will inform prevention and treatment strategies and improve understanding of linkages between maternal and neonatal infections.

Urban and rural comparison of vitamin D status in Pakistani pregnant women and neonates

We undertook a cross-sectional study in rural Jehlum and urban Karachi to evaluate the prevalence of vitamin D deficiency in Pakistani pregnant women and neonates and to assess any association of serum 25(OH) vitamin D [25(OH)D] concentration with vitamin D binding protein (Gc) genotypes. Altogether, 390 women and 266 neonates were recruited from urban and rural sites, respectively. Serum 25(OH)D was measured by an immunoassay, while Gc genotypes were identified using polymerase chain reaction followed by restriction fragment length polymorphism or PCR-RFLP. One-way analysis of variance or ANOVA and linear regression were used for statistical analysis. In urban Karachi, 99.5% of women and 97.3% of neonates were vitamin D deficient (< 50 nmol/L), while 89% of women and 82% of neonates were deficient in rural Jehlum. Gc genotypes were not associated with serum 25(OH)D concentrations in both women and their neonates. We conclude that vitamin D deficiency is highly prevalent in Pakistani women and their neonates, and Gc genotypes are not associated with serum 25(OH)D concentrations.

Strategies to avert preventable mortality among mothers and children in the Eastern Mediterranean Region: new initiatives, new hope

We conducted an assessment of maternal, newborn and child health and progress towards achieving Millennium Development Goals (MDG) 4 and 5 in the Eastern Mediterranean Region (EMR). We provide recommendations for scaling up and sustaining gains post-2015. Data were obtained from global data repositories. We constructed time trends from 1990 to 2013 and evaluated inequities across the Region. Under-5, neonatal and maternal mortality rates decreased 46%, 35%, and 50% respectively from 1990 to 2013. Pneumonia and diarrhoea accounted for 50% of all post-neonatal deaths; pregnancy- and delivery-related complications were the leading causes of neonatal and maternal deaths. Coverage of maternal, newborn and child health interventions is suboptimal, and poverty, food insecurity and conflict are pervasive across the Region. The EMR has made progress but is unlikely to attain MDG 4 and 5 targets. To sustain and further accelerate gains, the Region must reduce inequities and scale up implementation of recommendations made by the independent Expert Review Group.

The effectiveness of regionalization of perinatal care services--a systematic review

BACKGROUND

Several reports recommend the implementation of perinatal regionalization for improvements in maternal and neonatal outcomes, while research evidence on the effectiveness of perinatal regionalization has been limited. The interventional studies have been assessed for robust evidence on the effectiveness of perinatal regionalization on improving maternal and neonatal health outcomes.

METHODS

Bibliographic databases of Medline, EMbase, EconLit, HMIC have been searched using sensitive search terms for interventional studies that reported important patient or process outcomes. At least two authors assessed eligibility for inclusion and the risk of biases and extracted data from the included studies. As meta-analysis was not possible, a narrative analysis as well as a 'vote-counting' analysis has been conducted for important outcomes.

RESULTS

After initial screenings 53 full text papers were retrieved. Eight studies were included in the review from the USA, Canada and France. Studies varied in their designs, and in the specifications of the intervention and setting. Only three interrupted time series studies had a low risk of bias, of which only one study reported significant reductions in neonatal and infant mortality. Studies of higher risk of bias were more likely to report improvements in outcomes.

CONCLUSIONS

Implementing perinatal regionalization programs is correlated with improvements in perinatal outcomes, but it is not possible to establish a causal link. Despite several high profile policy statements, evidence of effect is weak. It is necessary to assess the effectiveness of perinatal regionalization using robust research designs in a more diverse range of countries.

International standards for early fetal size and pregnancy dating based on ultrasound measurement of crown-rump length in the first trimester of pregnancy

OBJECTIVES

There are no international standards for relating fetal crown-rump length (CRL) to gestational age (GA), and most existing charts have considerable methodological limitations. The INTERGROWTH-21(st) Project aimed to produce the first international standards for early fetal size and ultrasound dating of pregnancy based on CRL measurement.

METHODS

Urban areas in eight geographically diverse countries that met strict eligibility criteria were selected for the prospective, population-based recruitment, between 9 + 0 and 13 + 6 weeks' gestation, of healthy well-nourished women with singleton pregnancies at low risk of fetal growth impairment. GA was calculated on the basis of a certain last menstrual period, regular menstrual cycle and lack of hormonal medication or breastfeeding in the preceding 2 months. CRL was measured using strict protocols and quality-control measures. All women were followed up throughout pregnancy until delivery and hospital discharge. Cases of neonatal and fetal death, severe pregnancy complications and congenital abnormalities were excluded from the study.

RESULTS

A total of 4607 women were enrolled in the Fetal Growth Longitudinal Study, one of the three main components of the INTERGROWTH-21(st) Project, of whom 4321 had a live singleton birth in the absence of severe maternal conditions or congenital abnormalities detected by ultrasound or at birth. The CRL was measured in 56 women at < 9 + 0 weeks' gestation; these were excluded, resulting in 4265 women who contributed data to the final analysis. The mean CRL and SD increased with GA almost linearly, and their relationship to GA is given by the following two equations (in which GA is in days and CRL in mm): mean CRL = -50.6562 + (0.815118 × GA) + (0.00535302 × GA(2) ); and SD of CRL = -2.21626 + (0.0984894 × GA). GA estimation is carried out according to the two equations: GA = 40.9041 + (3.21585 × CRL(0.5) ) + (0.348956 × CRL); and SD of GA = 2.39102 + (0.0193474 × CRL).

CONCLUSIONS

We have produced international prescriptive standards for early fetal linear size and ultrasound dating of pregnancy in the first trimester that can be used throughout the world.

A cross sectional study of newborn care practices in Gilgit, Pakistan

OBJECTIVE

The purpose of this article is to explore the traditional newborn-care beliefs and practices and to identify factors that affect newborn health, aiming to design an appropriate, culturally-sensitive and acceptable intervention to reduce neonatal morbidity and mortality.

METHODS

A cross sectional study was conducted in the district of Gilgit in Pakistan. A structured questionnaire was administered to 708 mothers who gave birth to a live child in the past one year. Descriptive and inferential analysis was performed to identify socio-economic and health care factors associated with newborn care practices.

RESULTS

Illiterate mothers were more likely to use harmful newborn care practices, while those seeking health care from private sector were less likely to use harmful newborn care practices. Ninety-four percent of the newborns were given a bath soon after birth, likelihood to be 2 times more amongst illiterate mothers. Cord application was a very common practice, mostly with matti (crashed apricot seed), and a majority of the mothers reported newborn massage generally with mustard oil. The administration of colostrum as the first feed was relatively common in the study area. Twenty-seven percent of mothers reported giving pre-lacteals; from which prominent feeds included salt water (44%) and cow's milk (26%). Initiation of breastfeeding within 1 hour after birth was (71%), while (29%) reported to breastfeed their newborn within 24 hours. Thirty-seven percent newborns were exclusively breastfed for six months.

CONCLUSION

This study underscores the existence and predominance of risky practices in newborn care; that stresses the need for health education programs to ensure safety of the newborn.

A rapid questionnaire assessment of environmental exposures to pregnant women in the INTERGROWTH-21st Project

Impaired fetal growth and preterm birth are the leading causes of neonatal and infant mortality worldwide and there is a growing scientific literature suggesting that environmental exposures during pregnancy may play a causal role in these outcomes. Our purpose was to assess the environmental exposure of the Fetal Growth Longitudinal Study (FGLS) participants in the multinational INTERGROWTH-21(st) Project. First, we developed a tool that could be used internationally to screen pregnant women for such exposures and administered it in eight countries on a subsample (n = 987) of the FGLS participants. The FGLS is a study of fetal growth among healthy pregnant women living in relatively affluent areas, at low risk of adverse pregnancy outcomes and environmental exposures. We confirmed that most women were not exposed to major environmental hazards that could affect pregnancy outcomes according to the protocol's entry criteria. However, the instrument was able to identify some women that reported various environmental concerns in their homes such as peeling paint, high residential density (>1 person per room), presence of rodents or cockroaches (hence the use of pesticides), noise pollution and safety concerns. This screening tool was therefore useful for the purposes of the project and can be used to ascertain environmental exposures in studies in which the primary aim is not focused on environmental exposures. The instrument can be used to identify subpopulations for more in-depth assessment, (e.g. environmental and biological laboratory markers) to pinpoint areas requiring education, intervention or policy change.

A cross sectional survey of newborn care practices in rural Sindh, Pakistan: implications for research and policy

INTRODUCTION

Of annual four million neonatal deaths, majority in the developing world, approximately three-quarters die within the first week of life. Pakistan has one of the highest newborn mortality rates.

STUDY DESIGN

We conducted a cross sectional study to assess knowledge, attitudes and practices of women of reproductive age in rural Pakistan.

RESULTS

Of 1490 mothers interviewed, prevalence of newborn care practices ranged between 32% (early bathing of newborn) and 69% (use of traditional cord applications). Uptake of antenatal care services was identified as a strong predictor of good newborn care after controlling for skilled birth attendance, socio-economic status, age of mother and sex of infant (OR = 1.26; 95% CI: 1.00-1.57).

CONCLUSIONS

The association of uptake of antenatal care services with good newborn care highlights the necessity to improve coverage of services with the integration of counseling about newborn care in order to reduce the burden of neonatal morbidity and mortality.

Adherence to the European Society of Cardiology (ESC) guidelines for chronic heart failure--a national survey of the cardiologists in Pakistan

BACKGROUND

The aims of this study were to evaluate the awareness of and attitudes towards the 2005 European Society of Cardiology (ESC) guidelines for Heart Failure (HF) of the cardiologists in Pakistan and assess barriers to adherence to guidelines.

METHODS

A cross-sectional survey was conducted in person from March to July 2009 to all cardiologists practicing in 4 major cities in Pakistan (Karachi, Lahore, Quetta and Peshawar). A validated, semi-structured questionnaire assessing ESC 2005 Guidelines for HF was used to obtain information from cardiologists. It included questions about awareness and relevance of HF guidelines (See Additional File 1). Respondents' management choices were compared with those of an expert panel based on the guidelines for three fictitious patient cases. Cardiologists were also asked about major barriers to adherence to guidelines.

RESULTS

A total of 372 cardiologists were approached; 305 consented to participate (overall response rate, 82.0%). The survey showed a very high awareness of CHF guidelines; 97.4% aware of any guideline. About 13.8% considered ESC guidelines as relevant or very relevant for guiding treatment decisions while 92.8% chose AHA guidelines in relevance. 87.2% of respondents perceived that they adhered to the HF guidelines. For the patient cases, the proportions of respondents who made recommendations that completely matched those of the guidelines were 7% (Scenario 1), 0% (Scenario 2) and 20% (Scenario 3). Respondents considered patient compliance (59%) and cost/health economics (50%) as major barriers to guideline implementation.

CONCLUSION

We found important self reported departures from recommended HF management guidelines among cardiologists of Pakistan.

Conceptual issues related to the construction of prescriptive standards for the evaluation of postnatal growth of preterm infants

Monitoring and interpreting the growth of preterm infants is a major clinical task for neonatologists. The effectiveness of this process depends upon the robustness of the standard selected. Concerns have been raised regarding the nature of the charts currently being used, as well as their appropriateness for present-day neonatal care. To overcome these problems, there is a need for new prescriptive standards based on a population of preterm infants without evidence of impaired fetal growth and born to low-risk women followed up since early pregnancy for precise gestational age dating. Preterm infants contributing to the new standards should be free of congenital malformations and major clinical conditions associated with impaired postnatal growth. These infants should receive standardised, evidence-based clinical care and should follow current feeding recommendations based on exclusive/predominant breastfeeding. This strategy should provide a population that is conceptually as close as possible to the prescriptive approach used for the construction of the WHO infant and child growth standards. New international standards constructed in this way should contribute to the evidence-based care of these preterm infants.

Indoor carbon monoxide and PM2.5 concentrations by cooking fuels in Pakistan

In developing countries biomass combustion is a frequently used source of domestic energy and may cause indoor air pollution. Carbon monoxide (CO)and particulate matter with an aerodynamic diameter of 2.5 lm or less (PM2.5)were measured in kitchens using wood or natural gas (NG) in a semi-rural community in Pakistan. Daytime CO and PM2.5 levels were measured for eight continuous hours in 51 wood and 44 NG users from December 2005 to April 2006. The laser photometer PM2.5 (Dustrak, TSI) was calibrated for field conditions and PM2.5 measurements were reduced by a factor of 2.77. CO was measured by an electrochemical monitor (Model T15v, Langan). The arithmetic mean for daytime CO concentration was 29.4 ppm in wood users; significantly higher than 7.5 ppm in NG users (P < 0.001). The arithmetic mean for daytime PM2.5 concentrations was 2.74 mg/m3 in wood users; significantly higher than 0.38 mg/m3 in NG users (P < 0.001). Higher peak levels of CO and PM2.5 were also observed in wood users. Time spent in the kitchen during fuel burning was significantly related to increasing CO and PM2.5 concentrations in wood users.These findings suggest that cooking with wood fuel may lead to hazardous concentrations of CO and PM2.5.

PRACTICAL IMPLICATIONS

Biomass combustion is frequently used in developing countries for cooking. This study showed very high level of air pollution in kitchens using wood as the cooking fuel. Many people, especially women and children, are vulnerable to exposure to very high levels of air pollutants as they spend time in the kitchen during cooking hours.

Human placental IGF-I and IGF-II expression: correlating maternal and infant anthropometric variables and micronutrients at birth in the Pakistani population

AIM

To correlate infant birth weight with maternal and infant biometric data, including the expression of placental IGF-I and IGF-II at birth, and levels of serum zinc and ferritin.

METHODS

The data consisted of observations from 89 women from Karachi, Pakistan. Placental and cord blood samples were taken immediately following delivery and were subsequently divided into two groups, small and large for gestational age (SGA and LGA).

RESULTS

The mean birth weight was 2.79 kg; the prevalence of SGA being 13.4% (< or =10th percentile); the prevalence of LGA being 23.6% (> or =90th percentile). Placental IGF-I and IGF-II mRNA expression was greater in the LGA group (p < 0.05). Furthermore, a significant correlation was noted between infant birth weight and maternal anthropometric parameters (p < 0.01). Cord zinc levels were also significantly higher in the LGA group (p < 0.05).

CONCLUSION

Maternal anthropometry, along with placental IGF-I and IGF-II mRNA levels, correlated significantly with infant birth weight suggesting the importance of these growth factors for birth weight outcomes. The higher zinc levels in the LGA group also suggest the importance of this micronutrient in foetal growth. Our results suggest that growth problems have a multifactorial aetiology arising from within the infant rather than due to maternal constraint alone.

Rise in childhood obesity with persistently high rates of undernutrition among urban school-aged Indo-Asian children

BACKGROUND

Childhood obesity is an emerging global public health challenge. Evidence for the transition in nutrition in Indo-Asian developing countries is lacking. We conducted these analyses to determine the trends in nutritional status of school-aged children in urban Pakistan.

METHODS

Data on the nutritional status of children aged 5 to 14 years from two independent population-based representative surveys, the urban component of the National Health Survey of Pakistan (NHSP; 1990-1994) and the Karachi survey (2004-2005), were analysed. Using normative data from children in the United States as the reference, trends for age- and gender-standardised prevalence (95% CI) of underweight (more than 2 SD below the weight-for-age reference), stunted (more than 2 SD below the height-for-age reference) and overweight and obese (body mass index (BMI) 85(th) percentile or greater) children were compared for the two surveys. The association between physical activity and being overweight or obese was analysed in the Karachi survey using logistical regression analysis.

RESULTS

2074 children were included in the urban NHSP and 1675 in the Karachi survey. The prevalence of underweight children was 29.7% versus 27.3% (p = 0.12), stunting was 16.7% versus 14.3% (p = 0.05), and prevalence of overweight and obese children was 3.0 versus 5.7 (p<0.001) in the NHSP and Karachi surveys, respectively. Physical activity was inversely correlated with being overweight or obese (odds ratio, 95% CI, 0.51, 0.32-0.80 for those who engaged in more than 30 minutes of physical activity versus those engaged in less than 30 minutes' activity).

CONCLUSIONS

Our study highlights the challenge faced by Pakistani school-aged children. There has been a rapid rise in the number of overweight and obese children despite a persistently high burden of undernutrition. Focus on prevention of obesity in children must include strategies for promoting physical activity.

Enhanced detection rate of typhoid fever in children in a periurban slum in Karachi, Pakistan using polymerase chain reaction technology

OBJECTIVE

Yield of blood culture in clinically suspected cases of typhoid fever is low, whereas indirect serological diagnostic tests are unreliable. Hence, polymerase chain reaction (PCR)-based detection of Salmonella enterica Serovar typhi was used as an aid for diagnosis of typhoid fever in addition to other diagnostic tests. Two periurban communities in Karachi were selected for an epidemiological study of typhoid fever. The aim of the study was to assess whether PCR increased the detection rate of typhoid fever in children in the community.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

Children aged 2 to 14 years presenting with fever lasting for three or more days were selected. PCR using Hashimoto's protocol based on ViaB gene sequence was used in addition to blood culture and other serological tests.

RESULTS

Of the 214 children included in the study, blood culture was found positive for S. enterica S. typhi in 26 (12.4%) cases, whereas 24 children (11.7%) were diagnosed as suffering from typhoid fever when the PCR-based method was used. Both tests were positive in only 10 (4.9%) children. The number of children found positive for either test was 40. PCR increased the rate of detection of typhoid fever by 51%.

CONCLUSION

The sensitivity, specificity, +ve and -ve predictive values of PCR in this study were 40%, 93%, 45% and 92%, respectively.

Multiple-micronutrient supplementation for women during pregnancy

BACKGROUND

Multiple-micronutrient deficiencies often coexist in low- to middle-income countries. They are exacerbated in pregnancy due to the increased demands, leading to potentially adverse effects on the mother. Substantive evidence regarding the effectiveness of multiple-micronutrient supplements (MMS) during pregnancy is not available.

OBJECTIVES

To evaluate the benefits to mother and infant of multiple-micronutrient supplements in pregnancy and assess the risk of excess supplementation and potential adverse interactions between micronutrients.

SEARCH STRATEGY

We searched the Cochrane Pregnancy and Childbirth Group's Trials Register (30 December 2005).

SELECTION CRITERIA

All prospective randomised controlled trials evaluating micronutrient supplementation during pregnancy and its effects on the pregnancy outcome.

DATA COLLECTION AND ANALYSIS

Two review authors independently assessed trial quality and extracted the data.

MAIN RESULTS

Nine trials (15,378 women) are included. When compared with supplementation of two or less micronutrients or no supplementation or a placebo, multiple-micronutrient supplementation resulted in a statistically significant decrease in the number of low birthweight babies (relative risk (RR) 0.83; 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.76 to 0.91), small-for-gestational-age babies (RR 0.92; 95% CI 0.86 to 0.99) and in maternal anaemia (RR 0.61; CI 0.52 to 0.71). However, these differences lost statistical significance when multiple-micronutrient supplementation was compared with iron folic acid supplementation alone. No statistically significant differences were shown for the outcomes of preterm births and perinatal mortality in any of the comparisons. A number of prespecified clinically important outcomes could not be assessed due to insufficient or non-available data from the included trials. These include placental abruption, congenital anomalies including neural tube defects, premature rupture of membranes, pre-eclampsia, miscarriage, maternal mortality, neurodevelopmental delay, very preterm births, cost of supplementation, side-effects of supplements, maternal wellbeing or satisfaction and nutritional status of children.

AUTHORS' CONCLUSIONS

The evidence provided in this review is insufficient to suggest replacement of iron and folate supplementation with a multiple-micronutrient supplement. A reduction in the number of low birthweight and small-for-gestational-age babies and maternal anaemia has been found with a multiple-micronutrient supplement against supplementation with two or less micronutrients or none or a placebo, but analyses revealed no added benefit of multiple-micronutrient supplements compared with iron folic acid supplementation. These results are limited by the small number of studies available. There is also insufficient evidence to identify adverse effects and to say that excess multiple-micronutrient supplementation during pregnancy is harmful to the mother or the fetus. Further research is needed to find out the beneficial maternal or fetal effects and to assess the risk of excess supplementation and potential adverse interactions between the micronutrients.

Pyridoxine (vitamin B6) supplementation in pregnancy

BACKGROUND

Vitamin B6 plays vital roles in numerous metabolic processes in the human body, such as nervous system development and functioning. It has been associated with some benefits in non-randomised studies, such as higher Apgar scores, higher birthweights, and reduced incidence of pre-eclampsia and preterm birth. Recent studies also suggest a protection against certain congenital malformations.

OBJECTIVES

To evaluate the clinical effects of vitamin B6 supplementation during pregnancy and/or labour.

SEARCH STRATEGY

We searched the Cochrane Pregnancy and Childbirth Group Trials Register (30 December 2005).

SELECTION CRITERIA

We included randomised controlled trials comparing vitamin B6 administration in pregnancy and/or labour with: placebos, no supplementations, or supplements not containing vitamin B6.

DATA COLLECTION AND ANALYSIS

Two authors independently extracted data and assessed trials for methodological quality. We used relative risk and weighted mean difference with 95% confidence intervals.

MAIN RESULTS

Five trials (1646 women) were included. Four trials used blinding. One had adequate method of randomisation and allocation concealment; four did not report this. Three trials had large losses to follow up. Vitamin B6 as oral capsules or lozenges resulted in decreased risk of dental decay in pregnant women (capsules: relative risk (RR) 0.84; 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.71 to 0.98; one trial, n = 371; lozenges: RR 0.68; 95% CI 0.56 to 0.83; one trial, n = 342). A small trial showed reduced mean birthweights with vitamin B6 supplementation (weighted mean difference -0.23 kg; 95% CI -0.42 to -0.04; n = 33; one trial). We did not find any statistically significant differences in the risk of eclampsia (capsules: n = 1242; three trials; lozenges: n = 944; one trial), pre-eclampsia (capsules n = 1197; two trials; lozenges: n = 944; one trial) or low Apgar scores at one minute (oral pyridoxine: n = 45; one trial), between supplemented and non-supplemented groups. No differences were found in Apgar scores at one or five minutes, or breastmilk production between controls and women receiving oral (n = 24; one trial) or intramuscular (n = 24; one trial) loading doses of pyridoxine at labour.

AUTHORS' CONCLUSIONS

There were few trials, reporting few clinical outcomes and mostly with unclear trial methodology and inadequate follow up. There is not enough evidence to detect clinical benefits of vitamin B6 supplementation in pregnancy and/or labour other than one trial suggesting protection against dental decay. Future trials assessing this and other outcomes such as orofacial clefts, cardiovascular malformations, neurological development, preterm birth, pre-eclampsia and adverse events are required.

Profile and factors determining outcome in a cohort of cystic fibrosis patients seen at the Aga Khan University Hospital, Karachi, Pakistan

Cystic fibrosis is the most common potentially lethal autosomal recessive, genetic disease associated with pulmonary and pancreatic insufficiency. It is caused by variations in the CFTR (cystic fibrosis transmembrane regulator) gene. The most common mutation in the CFTR gene designated DeltaF508, is found in only 33 per cent of CF patients in Pakistan. The variability in presentation and clinical severity of disease may be a function of genotypic-phenotypic factors. Our aim was to attempt to define the disease in this region and to lay the ground work for future mutational analysis. This study was a retrospective chart review was conducted to identify cystic fibrosis patients seen at the Aga Khan University Hospital over a 10-year period. Our study identified 56 patients diagnosed by a pilocarpine iontophoresis sweat test. A chart review was then done to look at the various clinical profiles. 58.3 per cent of our patients presented in the first 6 months of life supporting the hypothesis that CF may be a severe disease in Asians with an earlier age of presentation. Most of the patients (80.6 per cent) presented with pulmonary problems while 83.9 per cent had failure to thrive. The most frequently isolated pathogen was Pseudomonas aeruginosa in 87.5 per cent of the patients tested. 70 per cent of the patients died in the first year of life. The clinical parameters studied suggest a severe form of CF in Pakistani patients and provides a foundation for future studies to define genotype/phenotype correlations of the specific mutations involved in Pakistani CF patients.

Fluoroquinolones for treating typhoid and paratyphoid fever (enteric fever)

BACKGROUND

Fluoroquinolones are recommended as first-line therapy for typhoid and paratyphoid fever, but how they compare with other cheaper antibiotics and different fluoroquinolones is unclear.

OBJECTIVES

To evaluate fluoroquinolone antibiotics for treating enteric fever in children and adults compared with other antibiotics, different fluoroquinolones, and different treatment durations of the same fluoroquinolone.

SEARCH STRATEGY

We searched the Cochrane Infectious Diseases Group Specialized Register (August 2004), CENTRAL (The Cochrane Library Issue 3, 2004), MEDLINE (1966 to August 2004), EMBASE (1974 to August 2004), LILACS (1982 to August 2004), conference proceedings, reference lists, and contacted researchers.

SELECTION CRITERIA

Randomized controlled trials of fluoroquinolones in people with blood or bone marrow culture-confirmed enteric fever.

DATA COLLECTION AND ANALYSIS

Two reviewers independently assessed the methodological quality of trials and extracted data. We calculated the odds ratio (OR) for dichotomous data with 95% confidence intervals. We analysed norfloxacin separately.

MAIN RESULTS

Thirty-three trials met the inclusion criteria; 22 had unclear allocation concealment, and 29 were not blinded. Three trials exclusively included children, and two studied outpatients. The main analysis examined clinical failure, microbiological failure, and relapse. Compared with chloramphenicol, fluoroquinolones were not statistically significantly different for clinical (544 participants) or microbiological failure (378 participants) in adults; they reduced clinically diagnosed relapse in adults (OR 0.14, 0.04 to 0.50; 467 participants, 6 trials), but this was not statistically significant in participants with blood culture-confirmed relapse (121 participants, 2 trials). Compared with co-trimoxazole, we detected no statistically significant difference (82 participants, 2 trials). Among adults, fluoroquinolones reduced clinical failure compared with ceftriaxone (OR 0.08, 0.01 to 0.45; 120 participants, 3 trials), but showed no difference for microbiological failure or relapse. We detected no statistically significant difference between fluoroquinolones and cefixime (80 participants, 1 trial) or azithromycin (152 participants, 2 trials). In trials of hospitalized children, fluoroquinolones were not statistically significantly different from ceftriaxone (60 participants, 1 trial, involving norfloxacin) or cefixime (82 participants, 1 trial). Norfloxacin had more clinical failures than other fluoroquinolones (417 participants, 5 trials). Trials comparing different durations of fluoroquinolone treatment showed no statistically significant differences (693 participants, 8 trials).

AUTHORS' CONCLUSIONS

Many trials were small, and methodological quality varied widely. Although enteric fever most commonly affects children, trials in this group were particularly sparse. Insufficient data in all comparisons preclude any firm conclusions to be made regarding superiority of fluoroquinolones over first-line antibiotics in children and adults.

Beyond Bellagio: addressing the challenge of sustainable child health in developing countries

Despite the hype and ostensible investments in child survival strategies, the state of child health in much of the developing world is alarming. Not only are global investments and support programmes for child health by the development agencies declining, but commensurate support for maternal and child health by poor countries themselves is poor. In order to make a meaningful contribution to maternal and child health and survival, a multi-pronged approach is needed which not only focuses on the proximal determinants of child health but also some of the underlying factors governing the status of women in society and expenditures on health and development.