Spatial epidemiology of yellow fever: Identification of determinants of the 2016-2018 epidemics and at-risk areas in Brazil

Optimise control strategies of infectious diseases, identify factors that favour the circulation of pathogens, and propose risk maps are crucial challenges for global health. Ecological niche modelling, once relying on an adequate framework and environmental descriptors can be a helpful tool for such purposes. Despite the existence of a vaccine, yellow fever (YF) is still a public health issue. Brazil faced massive sylvatic YF outbreaks from the end of 2016 up to mid-2018, but cases in human and non-human primates have been recorded until the beginning of 2020. Here we used both human and monkey confirmed YF cases from two epidemic periods (2016/2017 and 2017/2018) to describe the spatial distribution of the cases and explore how biotic and abiotic factors drive their occurrence. The distribution of YF cases largely overlaps for humans and monkeys, and a contraction of the spatial extent associated with a southward displacement is observed during the second period of the epidemics. More contributive variables to the spatiotemporal heterogeneity of cases were related to biotic factors (mammal richness), abiotic factors (temperature and precipitation), and some human-related variables (population density, human footprint, and human vaccination coverage). Both projections of the most favourable conditions showed similar trends with a contraction of the more at-risk areas. Once extrapolated at a large scale, the Amazon basin remains at lower risk, although surrounding forest regions and notably the North-West region, would face a higher risk. Spatial projections of infectious diseases often relied on climatic variables only; here for both models, we instead highlighted the importance of considering local biotic conditions, hosts vulnerability, social and epidemiological factors to run the spatial risk analysis correctly: all YF cases occurring later on, in 2019 and 2020, were observed in the predicted at-risk areas.

Recent sylvatic yellow fever virus transmission in Brazil: the news from an old disease

Yellow fever (YF) is an acute viral disease, affecting humans and non-human primates (NHP), caused by the yellow fever virus (YFV). Despite the existence of a safe vaccine, YF continues to cause morbidity and mortality in thousands of people in Africa and South America. Since 2016, massive YF outbreaks have taken place in Brazil, reaching YF-free zones, causing thousands of deaths of humans and NHP. Here we reviewed the main epidemiological aspects, new clinical findings in humans, and issues regarding YFV infection in vectors and NHP in Brazil. The 2016-2019 YF epidemics have been considered the most significant outbreaks of the last 70 years in the country, and the number of human cases was 2.8 times higher than total cases in the previous 36 years. A new YFV lineage was associated with the recent outbreaks, with persistent circulation in Southeast Brazil until 2019. Due to the high number of infected patients, it was possible to evaluate severity and death predictors and new clinical features of YF. Haemagogus janthinomys and Haemagogus leucocelaenus were considered the primary vectors during the outbreaks, and no human case suggested the occurrence of the urban transmission cycle. YFV was detected in a variety of NHP specimens presenting viscerotropic disease, similar to that described experimentally. Further studies regarding NHP sensitivity to YFV, YF pathogenesis, and the duration of the immune response in NHP could contribute to YF surveillance, control, and future strategies for NHP conservation.

MicroRNAs 145 and 148a Are Upregulated During Congenital Zika Virus Infection

Zika virus (ZIKV) is an arthropod-borne virus (arbovirus) member of the Flaviviridae family, which has been associated with the development of the congenital Zika syndrome (CZS). RNA viruses, such as flaviviruses, have been reported to exert a profound impact on host microRNAs (miRNAs). Cellular miRNAs modulated by ZIKV may help identify cellular pathways of relevance to pathogenesis. Here, we screened 754 human cellular miRNAs modulated by ZIKV infection (Brazilian PE strain) in a neuroblastoma cell line. Seven miRNAs (miR-99a*, miR-126*, miR-190b, miR-361-3p, miR-522-3p, miR-299-5p, and miR-1267) were downregulated during ZIKV infection, while miR-145 was upregulated. Furthermore, 11 miRNAs were exclusively expressed in ZIKV-infected (miR-148a, miR-342-5p, miR-598, and miR-708-3p) or mock cells (miR-208, miR-329, miR-432-5p, miR-488, miR-518b, miR-520g, and miR-767-5p). Furthermore, in silico analysis indicated that some central nervous system, cellular migration, and adhesion function-related biological processes were overrepresented in the list of target genes of the miRNAs regulated in ZIKV-infected cells, especially for miR-145 and miR-148a. The induction of miR-145 and miR-148a was confirmed in postmortem brain samples from stillborn with severe CZS. Finally, we determined the expression regulation of microcephaly related genes through RNA interference pathway caused by ZIKV directly on neuron cells.