Is There a Survival Difference Between Male and Female Breast Cancer Subtypes According to the Prognostic Staging System? A Population-Based Cohort Study

BACKGROUND

In retrospective studies investigating the difference in survival by gender, there are conflicting results. It was aimed to compare overall survival (OS) and breast cancer-specific survival (BCSS) in male and female breast cancer subtypes according to the prognostic staging system.

METHODS

Overall survival rates and BCSS rates of patients diagnosed with breast cancer between 2010 and 2019 compared by gender for all cohorts, stages, and molecular subtypes using the SEER Database. The stage has been rearranged according to the eighth edition of the AJCC.

RESULTS

364 039 patients were included in the study. .7% (n = 2503) of all breast cancers were male breast cancer. Overall survival (male: 5-year OS 73.9%, female = 5-year OS 86%) and BCSS rates (male: 5-year BCSS 78.9%, female = 5-year BCSS 94.7%) were significantly higher in females than in males for all cohorts. OS (male: 5-year OS 66.2% vs female: 5-year OS 88.3%), and BCSS (male: 5-year BCSS 88.4% vs female: 5-year 93.6%) rates were higher in hormone receptor (HR)-positive/Her2-negative female patients. Overall survival rate is higher in females in stage I (male: 5-year OS 81.5%, female: 5-year OS 92.8%), and BCSS rate is higher in stage I (male: 5-year BCSS 94.8%, female: 5-year BCSS 97.5%). Males have 2 times (HR = 2.023) higher overall mortality risk than females, but the risk of dying from breast cancer is only 1.6 times (HR = 1.596) higher.

CONCLUSIONS

Breast cancer-specific mortality is significantly higher in male breast cancers, especially in the early stage, and HR-positive subtype than females.

HER2-Low Status Was Associated With Better Breast Cancer-Specific Survival in Early-Stage Triple-Negative Breast Cancer

BACKGROUND

Based on the association between the hormone receptor and the status of human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2)-low, we investigated the clinicopathological and prognostic characteristics of the HER2-low status in early-stage triple-negative breast cancer (TNBC).

METHODS

We collected the data of patients with TNBC who received treatment at our hospital and compared the pathological complete response (pCR) rate, overall survival (OS), and breast cancer-specific survival (BCSS) between the HER2-0 and HER2-low subtypes.

RESULTS

A total of 1445 patients were included in the study, of which 698 patients (48.3%) showed HER2-low status. A similar pCR rate was observed between HER2-0 and HER2-low patients (34.9% vs. 37.4%; P = .549). T staging, N staging, and HER2 status were associated with BCSS, whereas T staging and N staging were associated with OS. Patients with the HER2-low status showed better BCSS than those with the HER2-0 status (96.6% vs. 93.7%; log-rank P = .027). In patients with non-pCR, the BCSS of the HER2-low subgroup was better than that of the HER2-0 subgroup (log-rank P = .047); however, no similar result was observed in patients with pCR. In patients with stage III, the BCSS and OS of the HER2-low subgroup were better than those of the HER2-0 subgroup (BCSS, log-rank P = .010; OS, log-rank P = .047). No similar results were observed in patients with stages I and II.

CONCLUSION

The HER2-low expression was associated with better BCSS in TNBC, especially in the high-risk groups, suggesting that HER2-low breast cancer is a potential independent biological subtype.

Nomograms predict survival in elderly women with triple-negative breast cancer: A SEER population-based study

BACKGROUND

The effective treatment of breast cancer in elderly patients remains a major challenge.

OBJECTIVE

To construct a nomogram affecting the overall survival of triple-negative breast cancer (TNBC) and establish a survival risk prediction model.

METHODS

A total of 5317 TPBC patients with negative expression of estrogen receptor (ER), progesterone receptor (PR) and human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2) who were diagnosed and received systematic treatment from 2010 to 2015 were collected from the American Cancer Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) database. They were randomly divided into training set (n= 3721) and validation set (n= 1596). Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analysis were used to identify prognostic features, and a nomogram was established to predict the probability of 1-year, 3-year and 5-year OS and BCSS. We used consistency index (C-index), calibration curve, area under the curve (AUC) and decision curve analysis (DCA) to evaluate the predictive performance and clinical utility of the nomogram.

RESULTS

The C-indices of the nomograms for OS and BCSS in the training cohort were 0.797 and 0.825, respectively, whereas those in the validation cohort were 0.795 and 0.818, respectively. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves had higher sensitivity at all specificity values as compared with the Tumor Node Metastasis (TNM) system. The calibration plot revealed a satisfactory relationship between survival rates and predicted outcomes in both the training and validation cohorts. DCA demonstrated that the nomogram had clinical utility when compared with the TNM staging system.

CONCLUSION

This study provides information on population-based clinical characteristics and prognostic factors for patients with triple-negative breast cancer, and constructs a reliable and accurate prognostic nomogram.

A Nomogram and Risk Classification System Predicting the Prognosis of Patients with De Novo Metastatic Breast Cancer Undergoing Immediate Breast Reconstruction: A Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results Population-Based Study

Background The lifespan of patients diagnosed with de novo metastatic breast cancer (dnMBC) has been prolonged. Nonetheless, there remains substantial debate regarding immediate breast reconstruction (IBR) for this particular subgroup of patients. The aim of this study was to construct a nomogram predicting the breast cancer-specific survival (BCSS) of dnMBC patients who underwent IBR. Methods A total of 682 patients initially diagnosed with metastatic breast cancer (MBC) between 2010 and 2018 in the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database were included in this study. All patients were randomly allocated into training and validation groups at a ratio of 7:3. Univariate Cox hazard regression, least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO), and best subset regression (BSR) were used for initial variable selection, followed by a backward stepwise multivariate Cox regression to identify prognostic factors and construct a nomogram. Following the validation of the nomogram with concordance indexes (C-index), receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, calibration curves, and decision curve analyses (DCAs), risk stratifications were established. Results Age, marital status, T stage, N stage, breast subtype, bone metastasis, brain metastasis, liver metastasis, lung metastasis, radiotherapy, and chemotherapy were independent prognostic factors for BCSS. The C-indexes were 0.707 [95% confidence interval (CI), 0.666-0.748] in the training group and 0.702 (95% CI, 0.639-0.765) in the validation group. In the training group, the AUCs for BCSS were 0.857 (95% CI, 0.770-0.943), 0.747 (95% CI, 0.689-0.804), and 0.700 (95% CI, 0.643-0.757) at 1 year, 3 years, and 5 years, respectively, while in the validation group, the AUCs were 0.840 (95% CI, 0.733-0.947), 0.763 (95% CI, 0.677-0.849), and 0.709 (95% CI, 0.623-0.795) for the same time points. The calibration curves for BCSS probability prediction demonstrated excellent consistency. The DCA curves exhibited strong discrimination power and yielded substantial net benefits. Conclusions The nomogram, constructed based on prognostic risk factors, has the ability to provide personalized predictions for BCSS in dnMBC patients undergoing IBR and serve as a valuable reference for clinical decision making.

Patterns of de novo metastasis and survival outcomes by age in breast cancer patients: a SEER population-based study

Background

The role of age in metastatic disease, including breast cancer, remains obscure. This study was conducted to determine the role of age in patients with de novo metastatic breast cancer.

Methods

Breast cancer patients diagnosed with distant metastases between 2010 and 2019 were retrieved from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database. Comparisons were performed between young (aged ≤ 40 years), middle-aged (41-60 years), older (61-80 years), and the oldest old (> 80 years) patients. Adjusted hazard ratios (aHRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were estimated using multivariate Cox proportional hazard models. Survival analysis was performed by the Kaplan-Meier method.

Results

This study included 24155 (4.4% of all patients) de novo metastatic breast cancer patients. The number of young, middle-aged, older, and the oldest old patients were 195 (8.3%), 9397 (38.9%), 10224 (42.3%), and 2539 (10.5%), respectively. The 5-year OS rate was highest in the young (42.1%), followed by middle-aged (34.8%), older (28.3%), and the oldest old patients (11.8%). Multivariable Cox regression analysis showed that middle-aged (aHR, 1.18; 95% CI, 1.10-1.27), older (aHR, 1.42; 95% CI, 1.32-1.52), and the oldest old patients (aHR, 2.15; 95% CI, 1.98-2.33) had worse OS than young patients. Consistently, middle-aged (aHR, 1.16; 95% CI, 1.08-1.25), older (aHR, 1.32; 95% CI, 1.23-1.43), and the oldest old patients (aHR, 1.86; 95% CI, 1.71-2.03) had worse BCSS than young patients.

Conclusion

This study provided clear evidence that de novo metastatic breast cancer had an age-specific pattern. Age was an independent risk factor for mortality in patients with de novo metastatic breast cancer.

Age has a U-shaped relationship with breast cancer outcomes in women: a cohort study

Background and Objectives

Age is a significant determinant of susceptibility to breast cancer. Currently, the available evidence regarding the non-linear correlation between the age of diagnosis and the prognosis of breast cancer patients is contradictory. Insufficient data currently exist regarding the influence of age at diagnosis on the prognosis of breast cancer. The objective of our investigation was to examine the relationship between age at diagnosis and overall survival (OS), breast cancer-specific survival (BCSS), and disease-free survival (DFS).

Methods

This retrospective cohort study included 1054 patients diagnosed with breast cancer between March 7, 2013 and December 31, 2019. The hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence interval (CI) for OS, BCSS, DFS were assessed using Cox proportional hazard ratio models and restricted cubic splines (RCS).

Results

The study included 1054 breast cancer patients who met the criteria. With a median follow-up of 4.86 years, 71 patients (6.74%) died and 144 patients (13.66%) relapsed. After multivariable adjustment, age showed a U-shaped association with OS, BCSS, and DFS, with significantly higher risk at two ends, with age inflection points of 44, 44, and 41 years for OS, BCSS, and DFS, respectively. For OS, Quartile 1 (HR, 2.09; 95% CI: 0.90-4.84), Quartile 3 (HR, 2.44; 95% CI: 1.05-5.65) and Quartile 4 (HR, 3.38; 95% CI: 1.51-7.54) had poorer OS compared with Quartile 2. Similar results were found for BCSS and DFS.

Conclusions

This study confirmed a U-shaped association between age at diagnosis and breast cancer outcome.

Efficacy of breast reconstruction for N2-3M0 stage female breast cancer on breast cancer-specific survival: A population-based propensity score analysis

BACKGROUND

The efficacy of breast reconstruction for patients with N2-3M0 stage female breast cancer (FBC) remained unclear due to the lack of randomized clinical trials. This retrospective study aimed to explore the efficacy of breast reconstruction for patients with N2-3M0 stage FBC.

METHODS

Two thousand five hundred forty-five subjects with FBC staged by N2-3M0 from 2010 to 2016 were retrieved from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database. Generalized boosted model (GBM) and propensity score matching (PSM) analyses and multivariable Cox analyses were employed to assess the clinical prognostic effect of postmastectomy reconstruction for patients with N2-3M0 stage FBC in breast cancer-specific survival (BCSS).

RESULTS

Totally, 1784 candidates underwent mastectomy alone (mastectomy group), and 761 candidates underwent postmastectomy reconstruction (PMbR group), with 418 breast-specific deaths after a median follow-up time of 57 months (ranging from 7 to 227 months). BCSS in the mastectomy group showed no statistical difference from that in the PMbR group in the PSM cohort (HR = 0.93, 95% CI: 0.70-1.25, p = 0.400) and GBM cohort (HR = 0.75, 95% CI: 0.56-1.01, p = 0.057). In the multivariate analyses, there was no difference in the effect of PMbR and mastectomy on BCSS in the original cohort (HR = 0.85, 95% CI: 0.66-1.09, p = 0.197), PSM cohort (HR = 0.86, 95% CI: 0.64-1.15, p = 0.310), and GBM cohort (HR = 0.84, 95% CI: 0.61-1.17, p = 0.298). Triple-negative breast cancer (TNBC) was a detrimental factor affecting BCSS for patients in the PMbR group.

CONCLUSIONS

Our study demonstrated that PMbR is an oncologically safe surgical treatment and can be widely recommended in clinics for females with non-TNBC staged by T0-3N2-3M0.

Novel nomograms for predicting survival for immediate breast reconstruction patients diagnosed with invasive breast cancer-a single-center 15-year experience

Background

Immediate breast reconstruction is widely accepted following oncologic mastectomy. This study aimed to build a novel nomogram predicting the survival outcome for Chinese patients undergoing immediate reconstruction following mastectomy for invasive breast cancer.

Methods

A retrospective review of all patients undergoing immediate reconstruction following treatment for invasive breast cancer was performed from May 2001 to March 2016. Eligible patients were assigned to a training set or a validation set. Univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazard regression models were used to select associate variables. Two nomograms were developed based on the training cohort for breast cancer-specific survival (BCSS) and disease-free survival (DFS). Internal and external validations were performed, and the C-index and calibration plots were generated to evaluate the performance (discrimination and accuracy) of the models.

Results

The 10-year estimated BCSS and DFS were 90.80% (95% CI: 87.30%-94.40%) and 78.40% (95% CI: 72.50%-84.70%), respectively, in the training cohort. In the validation cohort, they were and 85.60% (95% CI, 75.90%-96.50%) and 84.10% (95% CI, 77.80%-90.90%), respectively. Ten independent factors were used to build a nomogram for prediction of 1-, 5- and 10-year BCSS, while nine were used for DFS. The C-index was 0.841 for BCSS and 0.737 for DFS in internal validation, and the C-index was 0.782 for BCSS and 0.700 for DFS in external validation. The calibration curve for both BCSS and DFS demonstrated acceptable agreement between the predicted and actual observation in the training and the validation cohorts.

Conclusion

The nomograms provided valuable visualization of factors predicting BCSS and DFS in invasive breast cancer patients with immediate breast reconstruction. The nomograms may have tremendous potential in guiding individualized decision-making for physicians and patients in choosing the optimized treatment methods.

The Association between Early-Onset Diagnosis and Clinical Outcomes in Triple-Negative Breast Cancer: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

Early-onset diagnosis, defined by age <40 years, has historically been associated with inferior outcomes in breast cancer. Recent evidence suggests that this association is modified by molecular subtype. We performed a systematic review and meta-analysis of the literature to synthesize evidence on the association between early-onset diagnosis and clinical outcomes in triple-negative breast cancer (TNBC). Studies comparing the risk of clinical outcomes in non-metastatic TNBC between early-onset patients and later-onset patients (≥40 years) were queried in Medline and EMBASE from inception to February 2023. Separate meta-analyses were performed for breast cancer specific survival (BCSS), overall survival (OS), and disease-free survival (DFS), locoregional recurrence-free survival (LRRFS), distant recurrence-free survival (DRFS), and pathological complete response (pCR). In total, 7581 unique records were identified, and 36 studies satisfied inclusion criteria. The pooled risk of any recurrence was significantly greater in early-onset patients compared to later-onset patients. Better BCSS and OS were observed in early-onset patients relative to later-onset patients aged >60 years. The pooled odds of achieving pCR were significantly higher in early-onset patients. Future studies should evaluate the role of locoregional management of TNBC and the implementation of novel therapies such as PARP inhibitors in real-world settings, and whether they improve outcomes.

Evaluation of the efficacy of chemotherapy for tubular carcinoma of the breast: A Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results cohort study

BACKGROUND

The use of systematic treatment for tubular carcinoma (TC) of the breast remained controversial. This study aimed to explore the efficacy of chemotherapy on TC to develop individualized treatment strategies.

METHODS

Using the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database, 6486 eligible cases with TC and 309,304 with invasive ductal carcinoma (IDC) were collected. Breast cancer-specific survival (BCSS) was assessed through multivariable Cox analyses and Kaplan-Meier analyses. Differences between groups were balanced using propensity score matching (PSM) and inverse probability of treatment weighting (IPTW).

RESULTS

Compared with IDC patients, TC patients had a more favorable long-term BCSS after PSM (hazard ratio = 0.62, p = 0.004) and IPTW (hazard ratio = 0.61, p < 0.001). Chemotherapy was an unfavorable predictor of BCSS for TC (hazard ratio = 3.20, p < 0.001). After stratifying by hormone receptor (HR) and lymph node (LN) status, chemotherapy was correlated with worse BCSS in the HR+/LN- subgroup (hazard ratio = 6.95, p = 0.001) but showed no impact on BCSS in the HR+/LN+ (hazard ratio = 0.75, p = 0.780) and HR-/LN- (hazard ratio = 7.87, p = 0.150) subgroups.

CONCLUSIONS

Tubular carcinoma is a low-grade malignant tumor with favorable clinicopathological features and excellent long-term survival. Adjuvant chemotherapy was not recommended for TC regardless of HR and LN status, while the therapy regimens should be carefully individualized.

Is repeat sentinel lymph node biopsy possible for surgical axillary staging among patients with ipsilateral breast tumor recurrence?

BACKGROUND

There is a lack of studies assessing the survival of repeat sentinel lymph node biopsy (rSLNB) versus axillary lymph node dissection (ALND) for surgical axillary staging among patients with ipsilateral breast tumor recurrence (IBTR).

METHODS

We retrospectively identified patients with IBTR from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database from 2000 to 2017. The primary outcome was overall survival (OS) between the rSLNB and ALND groups.

RESULTS

Of the 2141 women with IBTR after lumpectomy and SLNB, 524 did not receive surgical axillary staging (nonsurgery group) and 1617 patients who did undergo axilla surgery received either rSLNB or ALND as axillary staging (1268 with rSLNB and 349 with ALND). The 10-year OS rates were 61.9% for the nonsurgery and 73.8% for axilla surgery groups (p = .001). In the 1:1 matched cohorts, the 10-year OS rates were 61.4% for the nonsurgery and 69.1% for axilla surgery groups (p = .072). After adjusting for other factors, axillary surgery treatment of IBTR was an independent favorable factor for OS (hazard ratio [HR], 0.71; 95% CI, 0.56-0.90; p = .004). Within the axilla surgery group, rSLNB presented a comparable 10-year OS to the ALND cohort (log-rank test p = .054). Multivariate Cox analysis, as well as subgroup analysis, showed that rSLNB had a similar benefit to ALND (10-year OS; HR, 1.18; 95% CI, 0.88-1.58; p = .268).

CONCLUSIONS

The results of this cohort study suggested that receiving surgical axillary staging was associated with better survival of IBTR patients, and rSLNB had a similar long-term survival outcome as ALND. rSLNB might be considered for surgical axillary staging among patients with IBTR after lumpectomy and initial SLNB.

The relationship between immediate postmastectomy reconstruction modalities and survival benefits in patients with triple negative breast cancer

INTRODUCTION

Immediate postmastectomy reconstruction for breast cancer has been widely used due to its unique esthetic and psychological effects. However, no other population-based study has investigated the effects of different reconstruction types on the survival in patients with triple negative breast cancer (TNBC).

METHODS

We selected patients who met the eligibility criteria from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results cancer registry (N = 9760). We then assessed the effect of different reconstructive surgical approaches (implant, autologous, implant and autologous combined reconstruction) on the overall survival (OS) and breast cancer-specific survival (BCSS) by using the Kaplan-Meier survival curve and Cox proportional hazard regression analyses. The nomograms were used to predict OS and BCSS. And the competitive risk model was used to assess breast cancer-specific death (BCSD) and non-breast cancer-specific death (NBCSD).

RESULTS

Statistical analysis suggested that the three reconstruction methods had better OS and BCSS with lower hazard than mastectomy alone (log-rank test, p < 0.05). Multivariate stratified analysis showed that patients aged 40-60 years had the greatest improvement in OS (Adjusted hazard ratio [AHR], 0.646; 95% Confidence Interval [CI], 0.439-0.950; p = 0.026) with combined reconstruction. BCSS could be improved only by implant reconstruction (AHR, 0.672; 95% CI, 0.514-0.878; p = 0.004). In addition, autologous reconstruction (AHR, 0.570; 95% CI, 0.350-0.929; p = 0.024) and implant reconstruction (AHR, 0.538; 95% CI, 0.339-0.853; p = 0.008) improved OS in patients >60 years of age. The survival prediction model quantified the survival benefits of TNBC patients undergoing different surgeries. Moreover, the C-indexes showed the good predictive ability of the nomograms.

CONCLUSIONS

Our results suggest that for TNBC patients, there is a survival benefit of immediate postmastectomy reconstruction compared with mastectomy alone. Among them, implant reconstruction has the most obvious advantage.

Breast-conserving surgery versus mastectomy for older women with triple-negative breast cancer: population-based study

Purpose: To assess whether the poor prognosis of triple-negative breast cancer (TNBC) necessitates a more aggressive surgical approach. Methods: We examined the association of: breast-conserving surgery (BCS); BCS plus radiotherapy; mastectomy; and mastectomy plus radiotherapy with overall and breast cancer-specific survival of stage I-III TNBC patients aged 66 years and older. We used unweighted and inverse probability of treatment weighted Cox proportional hazards regression and the Fine and Gray sub-distribution model. Results: Among 4333 women, individuals who were selected for BCS, mastectomy or mastectomy plus radiotherapy had lower adjusted overall and breast cancer-specific survival compared with women who had BCS plus radiotherapy. Conclusion: In this population-based study, women with TNBC treated with BCS plus radiotherapy have a better prognosis than those treated with BCS, mastectomy or mastectomy plus radiotherapy. Given the poor prognosis of TNBC and selection bias inherent in observational studies, these findings should be confirmed in further studies such as randomized clinical trials.

[Effect of postmastectomy radiotherapy on survival outcomes of patients with metaplastic breast cancer]

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the effect of postmastectomy radiotherapy (PMRT) on the overall survival (OS) and breast cancer-specific survival (BCSS) of patients with metaplastic breast cancer (MpBC) in comparison with those of patients with invasive ductal breast carcinoma (IDC).

METHODS

We selected the patients with pathologically confirmed MpBC and IDC who either received PMRT or not from the archived cases (from January, 1998 to December, 2016) in the National Cancer Institute's Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database. In total, 31 982 patients were selected, including 308 patients with MpBC and PMRT, 629 with MpBC and PMRT, and 31 045 with IDC and PMRT. All the included patients were above 18 years of age without distant metastases or a second primary cancer and underwent radical surgery. Baseline characteristics of the patients were compared among the 3 subgroups, and multivariate Cox regression and Kaplan-Meier analyses were performed for analyzing the prognostic factors of MpBC, OS, and BCSS.

RESULTS

The majority (81.2%) of patients with MpBC were older than 50 years, had pathological grade III (68%), and were negative for ER (75.9%) and PR (79.8%) and in stage T2-3 (71.3%) and N0-1 (85.6%). Multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that age, T stage, N stage, PMRT, and chemotherapy were significantly associated with the prognosis of patients with MpBC (P < 0.05), while pathological grade, ER status, or PR status did not significantly affect the prognosis (P>0.05). Kaplan-Meier analysis showed that the patients with MpBC and PMRT had better OS (HR=1.394, 95% CI: 1.125-1.727; P < 0.05) and BCSS (HR=1.390, 95% CI: 1.074-1.800; P < 0.05) than those with MpBC who did not receive PMRT; but after PMRT, the patients with MpBC had worse OS (HR=1.626, 95%CI: 1.386-1.908; P < 0.001) and BCSS (HR=1.710, 95% CI: 1.418-2.062; P < 0.001) as compared with those with IDC.

CONCLUSION

MpBC has unique clinicopathological features. In patients with MpBC, age, T stage, N stage, radiotherapy and chemotherapy are all the prognostic factors affecting the survival outcomes, and PMRT can improve the OS and BCSS of the patients.

Nonmetastatic breast cancer patients subsequently developing second primary malignancy: A population-based study

Background

With life span extending, breast cancer (BC) survivors may face the possibility of developing second primary cancer (SPC) and considerably shorten survivorship. However, little is known about multiple primary cancer (MPC) patients with nonmetastatic breast cancer as a first primary malignancy (BCFPM).

Methods

Here, we retrospectively analyzed data on cancer survivors with BCFPM diagnosed between 2010 and 2015 from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database. The prognostic factors for breast cancer‐specific survival (BCSS) were ascertained by the stepwise regression analysis and a competing risk model, and were integrated to the establishment of prognostic nomogram, of which the accuracy was measured by the calibration curve and the concordance index (C‐index).

Results

In total, 8616 patients were identified with 4.6% of 3‐year breast cancer‐ specific death (BCSD) and 8.6% of 5‐year BCSD. The most common SPC among BCFPM patients were female BC and lung cancer. Besides, the median latency time between BC and SPC was 22 months. At a ratio of 7:3, all patients were randomly categorized into a training cohort (n = 6032) and a validation cohort (n = 2584). By a proportional subdistribution hazards regression analysis, the following factors were considered to own independent prognostic abilities of BCSS: subtypes, grade, T classification, N classification, radiation, and sites of SPC. The nomogram could accurately predict 3‐year and 5‐year breast cancer‐associated survival of BCFPM patients with high internal and external validated C‐index, 0.715 (95% CI, 0.691–0.739), and 0.683 (95% CI, 0.642–0.724), respectively.

Conclusions

BC survivors remained a high risk of developing SPC and considerably shortened survival time. In this study, a favorable nomogram was constructed to as a prediction model for 3‐year and 5‐year BCSS of BCFPM patients, largely intending to prolong the life of these patients by assisting clinicians to make individualized follow‐up plans.

Clinical features of patients with HER2-positive breast cancer and development of a nomogram for predicting survival

Background

Different estrogen receptor (ER) and progesterone receptor (PR) expression patterns have important biological and therapeutic implications in patients with human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2)-positive breast cancer. However, little is known about hormone receptor (HR)-positive and triple-positive subtypes, making therapy selection and survival prognosis difficult. This study investigated the clinical characteristics and nomogram-predicted survival of patients with HER2-positive breast cancer.

Materials and methods

Data on patients with HER2-positive breast cancer were retrieved from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database. Comparisons were carried out between single HR-positive and double HR-positive/double HR-negative subtypes. A nomogram-based model of predicted outcomes was developed.

Results

This cohort study included 34 819 patients with breast cancer (34 606 women and 213 men). Single HR-positive and double HR-positive/double HR-negative subtypes showed distinct clinicopathological characteristics. Multivariable Cox regression analysis showed that patients with ER-positive/PR-negative/HER2-positive [hazard ratio (HR) = 1.24; 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.14-1.39], ER-negative/PR-positive/HER2-positive (HR = 1.56; 95% CI: 1.23-1.97), and ER-negative/PR-negative/HER2-positive (HR = 1.56; 95% CI: 1.43-1.70) subtypes had worse breast cancer-specific survival than patients with the triple-positive subtype. Thirteen clinical parameters were included as prognostic factors in the nomogram: age, sex, race, grade, histology type, bone, brain, liver, and lung metastasis, TNM (tumor–node–metastasis) staging, and molecular subtype. The C-index was 0.853 (95% CI: 0.845-0.861). Calibration plots indicated that the nomogram-predicted survival was consistent with the recorded 3-year and 5-year prognoses.

Conclusions

Significant differences in survival rates were observed between single HR-positive and double HR-positive/double HR-negative subtypes. A nomogram accurately predicted survival. Different treatment strategies may be required for HER2-positive patients with single HR-positive and double HR-positive tumors to ensure optimal treatment and benefits.

•

Significant differences in survival were observed in single HR-positive and double HR-positive/double HR-negative subtypes.

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A nomogram based on molecular subtypes of HER2-positive breast cancer accurately predicted breast cancer-specific survival.

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Different treatment strategies may be required for HER2-positive breast cancer to ensure optimal treatment and benefits.

Construction and Validation of Nomograms Predicting Survival in Triple-Negative Breast Cancer Patients of Childbearing Age

Background

Triple-negative breast cancer (TNBC) is one of the most aggressive subtypes of breast cancer with poorest clinical outcomes. Patients of childbearing age have a higher probability of TNBC diagnosis, with more demands on maintenance and restoration of physical and psychosocial function. This study aimed to design effective and comprehensive nomograms to predict survival in these patients.

Methods

We used the SEER database to identify patients with TNBC aged between 18 and 45 and randomly classified these patients into a training (n=2,296) and a validation (n=2,297) cohort. Nomograms for estimating overall survival (OS) and breast cancer-specific survival (BCSS) were generated based on multivariate Cox proportional hazards models and competing-risk models in the training cohort. The performances of the nomograms were quantified in the validation cohort using calibration curves, time-dependent receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves and Harrell’s concordance index (C-index).

Results

A total of 4,593 TNBC patients of childbearing age were enrolled. Four prognostic factors for OS and six for BCSS were identified and incorporated to construct nomograms. In the validation cohort, calibration curves showed excellent agreement between nomogram-predicted and actual survival data. The nomograms also achieved relatively high Harrell’s C-indexes and areas under the time-dependent ROC curves for estimating OS and BCSS in both training and validation cohorts.

Conclusions

Independent prognostic factors were identified, and used to develop nomograms to predict OS and BCSS in childbearing-age patients with TNBC. These models could enable individualized risk estimation and risk-adapted treatment for these patients.

Breast conservation among older patients with early-stage breast cancer: Locoregional recurrence following adjuvant radiation or hormonal therapy

BACKGROUND

For patients with breast cancer undergoing breast-conserving surgery (BCS), adjuvant radiation (RT) and hormonal therapy (HT) reduce the risk of locoregional recurrence (LRR). Although several studies have evaluated adjuvant HT ± RT, the outcomes of HT versus RT monotherapy remain less clear. In this study, the risk of LRR is characterized among older patients with early-stage breast cancer following adjuvant RT alone, HT alone, neither, or both.

METHODS

This study included female patients from the Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center (New York, New York) who were aged ≥65 years with estrogen receptor-positive (ER+)/human epidermal growth factor receptor 2-negative (HER2-) T1N0 breast cancer treated with BCS. The primary endpoint was time to LRR evaluated by Cox regression analysis.

RESULTS

There were 888 women evaluated with a median age of 71 years (range, 65-100 years) and median follow-up of 4.9 years (range, 0.0-9.5 years). There were 27 LRR events (3.0%). Five-year LRR was 11% for those receiving no adjuvant treatment, 3% for HT alone, 4% for RT alone, and 1% for HT and RT. LRR rates were significantly different between the groups (P < .001). Compared with neither HT nor RT, HT or RT monotherapy each yielded similar LRR reductions: HT alone (HR, 0.27; 95% CI, 0.10-0.68; P = .006) and RT alone (HR, 0.32; 95% CI, 0.11-0.92; P = .034). Distant recurrence and breast cancer-specific survival rates did not significantly differ between groups.

CONCLUSIONS

LRR risk following BCS is low among women aged ≥65 years with T1N0, ER+/HER2- breast cancer. Adjuvant RT and HT monotherapy each similarly reduce this risk; the combination yields a marginal improvement. Further study is needed to elucidate whether appropriate patients may feasibly receive adjuvant RT monotherapy versus the current standards of HT monotherapy or combined RT/HT.

Different Clinicopathological Characteristics and Prognostic Factors for Occult and Non-occult Breast Cancer: Analysis of the SEER Database

Purpose: The aim of our study was to evaluate the different clinicopathological characteristics and prognostic factors for occult and non-occult breast cancer. Methods: 572 OBC cases and 117,217 non-OBC patients between 2004 and 2015 was selected from Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database. We analyzed the clinicopathological characteristics and survival outcomes between OBC and non-OBC patients. Furthermore, the propensity score matching method was utilized to reduce the influences of baseline differences in demographic and clinical characteristics on outcome differences. Univariable and multivariable analyses were used to evaluate the prognostic factors of OBC patients. Results: Compared with non-OBC patients, OBC patients in this study presented a higher proportion of older age, American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) N3 stage, estrogen receptor (ER)-negative status, progesterone receptor (PR)-negative status, and human epidermal growth factor receptor-2 (HER-2)-positive status, and underwent more chemotherapy. Multivariate analysis revealed a better survival in overall patients with OBC patients according to breast cancer-specific survival (BCSS) and overall survival (OS). Propensity score analysis also achieved a similar result for OBC patients. Stratified analyses by nodal status and molecular subtypes indicated that these survival advantage were mainly presented in patients with AJCC N2/N3 stage or hormone receptor (HR)-positive tumors. In addition, nodal status, HER-2 status, and radiation status were demonstrated to be three independent prognostic factors for OBC patients. Conclusion: Patients with OBC retained exclusive clinical characteristics and were shown to have a better outcome compared with non-OBC patients, especially for those with N2/N3 stage or HR-positive tumors.

Impact of neoadjuvant and adjuvant chemotherapy on invasive lobular carcinoma: A propensity score-matched analysis of SEER data

Invasive lobular carcinoma (ILC) has a different treatment response from invasive ductal carcinoma (IDC). We assessed whether perioperative chemotherapy was associated with improved prognosis in patients with ILC. Retrospective data of women who underwent surgery for ILC were extracted from the SEER database. Subjects were divided into non-chemotherapy and chemotherapy groups. Overall, 10 537 patients were included, and 2107 patients were stratified into each group after propensity score matching. Perioperative chemotherapy significantly improved 10-year survival rates for ILC, particularly in patients with large tumor size and lymph node metastases. Perioperative chemotherapy is effective for ILC patients with proper selection.

Effect of postmastectomy radiotherapy on triple-negative breast cancer with T1-2 and 1-3 positive axillary lymph nodes: a population-based study using the SEER 18 database

There is consensus on the routine use of postmastectomy radiotherapy (PMRT) in patients with four or more positive axillary lymph nodes. However, the benefits of PMRT in patients with T1-2 and 1-3 involved lymph nodes still remain controversial. Data from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results Program (SEER) of the United States between 2010 and 2012 were used to analyze the outcomes of 675 triple-negative breast cancer (TNBC) patients with T1-2 and 1-3 lymph nodes involved. Those patients were subdivided into radiotherapy (RT) (312) and no-RT groups (363). After a median follow-up time of 37 months, Kaplan-Meier analysis showed that PMRT significantly improved overall survival (OS) but not breast cancer-specific survival (BCSS) in the total cohort of 675 patients (P=0.033 and P=0.063). And it was demonstrated that PMRT were independently associated with increased OS according to univariate and multivariate analyses. However, no significant differences in BCSS or OS were observed between the groups stratified by the number of positive lymph nodes. In conclusion, PMRT significantly improved OS for TNBC patients with T1-2 and 1-3 lymph nodes involved. Additional prospective studies are needed to provide a stronger evidence base for choosing patients for PMRT.

Decreased survival in patients with carcinoma of axillary tail versus upper outer quadrant breast cancers: a SEER population-based study

Background

Carcinoma of the axillary tail of Spence (CATS) is a poorly studied type of breast cancer. The clinicopathological characteristics and prognostic features of CATS are unclear.

Methods

Using the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database, we identified 149,026 patients diagnosed with upper outer quadrant breast cancer (UOBC) (n=146,343) or CATS (n=2,683). The median follow-up was 88 months. The primary and secondary outcomes were breast cancer-specific survival (BCSS) and overall survival. The survival outcomes of UOBC and CATS were compared using competing risks analysis, log-rank test, Cox proportional hazards regression model, and propensity score matching method. Multivariate logistic regression was utilized to present the relationship between CATS and lymph node (LN) metastasis.

Results

CATS presented a higher grade, higher negative hormone receptor rate, and more positive nodal metastasis. The 10-year BCSS rate was worse for CATS than for UOBC (85.1% vs 87.3%, P=0.001). The multivariate Cox analysis showed a higher hazard ratio (HR) for CATS over UOBC (BCSS: HR =1.20, P=0.001; overall survival: HR =1.11, P=0.019). The difference in the BCSS was also observed in a 1:1 matched cohort (BCSS P=0.019). A subgroup analysis revealed the inferior outcomes of CATS in the metastatic LN subgroup and the hormone receptor-negative subgroup. The multivariate logistic regression indicated that CATS is an independent contributing factor to LN metastasis.

Conclusion

CATS had distinct clinicopathological characteristics and was more likely associated with LN metastasis. Compared to UOBC, CATS had adverse impacts on BCSS.

Similar outcomes between adenoid cystic carcinoma of the breast and invasive ductal carcinoma: a population-based study from the SEER 18 database

Adenoid cystic carcinoma of the breast (breast-ACC) is a rare and indolent tumor with a good prognosis despite its triple-negative status. However, we observed different outcomes in the present study. Utilizing the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database, we enrolled a total of 89,937 eligible patients with an estimated 86 breast-ACC cases and 89,851 invasive ductal carcinoma (IDC) patients. In our study, breast-ACC among women presented with a higher proportion of triple-negative breast cancer (TNBC), which was more likely to feature well-differentiated tumors, rare regional lymph node involvement and greater application of breast-conserving surgery (BCS). Kaplan-Meier analysis revealed that patients with breast-ACC and breast-IDC patients had similar breast cancer-specific survival (BCSS) and overall survival (OS). Moreover, using the propensity score matching method, no significant difference in survival was observed in matched pairs of breast-ACC and breast-IDC patients. Additionally, BCSS and OS did not differ significantly between TNBC-ACC and TNBC-IDC after matching patients for age, tumor size, and nodal status. Further subgroup analysis of molecular subtype indicated improved survival in breast-ACC patients with hormone receptor-positive and human epidermal growth factor receptor 2-negative (HR+/Her2-) tumors compared to IDC patients with HR+/Her2- tumors. However, the survival of ACC-TNBC and IDC-TNBC patients was similar. In conclusion, ACCs have an indolent clinical course and result in similar outcomes compared to IDC. Understanding these clinical characteristics and outcomes will endow doctors with evidence to provide the same intensive treatment for ACC-TNBC as for IDC-TNBC and lead to more individualized and tailored therapies for breast-ACC patients.

The different outcomes between breast-conserving surgery and mastectomy in triple-negative breast cancer: a population-based study from the SEER 18 database

Breast-conserving surgery (BCS) including radiotherapy (RT) has been demonstrated to provide at least equivalent prognosis to mastectomy in early-stage breast cancer. However, studies on triple-negative breast cancer (TNBC) patients are relatively scarce. The current population-based study aimed to investigate the distinct outcomes between BCS+RT and mastectomy in patients with TNBC. Utilizing the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database, we enrolled 11,514 female TNBC cases diagnosed during the years 2010-2013. Those patients were subdivided into BCS+RT (5,469) and mastectomy groups (6,045), and we conducted a survival comparison between the two groups. The endpoints were breast cancer-specific survival (BCSS) and overall survival (OS). In the overall cohort, patients with BCS+RT exhibited distinctly better breast cancer-specific survival (BCSS) (log-rank, p < 0.001) and overall survival (OS) (log-rank, p < 0.001) than did mastectomy patients. When stratifying the TNBC patients according to age, histology grade, TNM stage, tumor size, and lymph node (LN) status, most patients in the BCS+RT group presented with better survival than did the patients in the mastectomy group, except for the grade I (log-rank, p = 0.830, both BCSS and OS) and stage I (log-rank, BCSS, p = 0.127; OS, p = 0.093) patients. In addition, after adjusting for confounding variables by multivariable Cox proportional hazard analysis, BCS+RT still tended to present with higher BCSS and OS. In conclusion, from our study on SEER data, BCS+RT displayed elevated BCSS and OS in TNBC patients compared to mastectomy, at least equally. Our study provided further evidence for surgeons that BCS with RT is available for TNBC patients.

Effect of nodal status on clinical outcomes of triple-negative breast cancer: a population-based study using the SEER 18 database

Triple-negative breast cancer (TNBC) is an aggressive malignancy with a poor prognosis. Data from the Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results database (2010-2012) were used to identify 10,771 patients with TNBC, and we assessed the effects of lymph node (LN) status on breast cancer-specific survival (BCSS) and overall survival (OS). In our study, a Kaplan-Meier plot showed that LN-negative patients (N0) had better survival outcomes than LN-positive patients and that patients with ≥10 positive LNs (N3) exhibited the worst survival outcomes regardless of tumor size. A pairwise comparison showed no difference in survival outcomes among each group stratified by tumor size. Further, for LN-positive patients with a tumor size ≤2 cm (T1) or >5 cm (T3), there were similar outcomes between patients with one to three LNs (N1) and those with four to nine LNs (N2), whereas N1 patients experienced significantly better survival outcomes than N3 patients (P<0.001). Therefore, ten metastatic lymph nodes was the cut-off value for poor prognosis. Nevertheless, for patients with a tumor size of 2-5 cm (T2), the extent of LN involvement contributed prognostic value to OS but not BCSS. In summary, we found that nodal status and tumor size exhibited distinct interaction patterns for predicting the outcomes of TNBC. These results provide deeper insight into the prognostic value of nodal status in TNBC.

Nomograms to estimate long-term overall survival and breast cancer-specific survival of patients with luminal breast cancer

Luminal breast cancer constitutes a group of highly heterogeneous diseases with a sustained high risk of late recurrence. We aimed to develop comprehensive and practical nomograms to better estimate the long-term survival of luminal breast cancer.

Patients with luminal breast cancer diagnosed between 1990 and 2006 were retrieved from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database and randomly divided into the training (n = 87,867) and validation (n = 88,215) cohorts. The cumulative incidence function (CIF) and a competing-risks model were used to estimate the probability of breast cancer-specific survival (BCSS) and death from other causes. We integrated significant prognostic factors to build nomograms and subjected the nomograms to bootstrap internal validation and to external validation.

We screened 176,082 luminal breast cancer cases. The 5- and 10-year probabilities of overall death were 0.089 and 0.202, respectively. The 5- and 10-year probabilities of breast cancer-specific mortality (BCSM) were 0.053 and 0.112, respectively. Nine independent prognostic factors for both OS and BCSS were integrated to construct the nomograms. The calibration curves for the probabilities of 5- and 10-year OS and BCSS showed excellent agreement between the nomogram prediction and actual observation. The C-indexes of the nomograms were high in both internal validation (0.732 for OS and 0.800 for BCSS) and external validation (0.731 for OS and 0.794 for BCSS).

We established nomograms that accurately predict OS and BCSS for patients with luminal breast cancer. The nomograms can identify patients with higher risk of late overall mortality and BCSM, helping physicians in facilitating individualized treatment.

Difference in characteristics and outcomes between medullary breast carcinoma and invasive ductal carcinoma: a population based study from SEER 18 database

Medullary breast carcinoma (MBC) is a unique histological subtype of breast cancer. Our study was designed to identify difference in characteristics and outcomes between MBC and invasive ductal carcinoma (IDC), and further confirm the prognostic factors of MBC. Utilizing Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER), we identified 84,764 eligible patients, including 309 MBC and 84,455 IDC. Compared with the IDC group, the MBC group was associated with younger age at diagnosis, higher grade, more advanced stage, larger tumor size, and higher proportion of triple-negative breast cancer (TNBC). Kaplan-Meier analysis and univariate Cox proportional hazard regression model showed that patients with IDC had significantly better breast cancer-specific survival (BCSS) compared to MBC, but they had similar overall survival (OS). However, MBC histology was no longer a surrogate for worse BCSS or OS after 1:1 matching by age, American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) stage, grade and breast subtype. In addition, it was exposed that not married status, high grade, large tumor size, positive nodal status, the subtype of TNBC and no receipt of radiation therapy were significantly associated with poor BCSS and OS. In conclusion, MBC demonstrated more aggressive behavior but similar outcomes compared to IDC, which may be determined by prognostic factors such as breast subtype. These results not only confer deeper insight into MBC but contribute to individualized and tailored therapy, and thereby may improve clinical management and outcomes.

Invasive lobular breast cancer: the prognostic impact of histopathological grade, E-cadherin and molecular subtypes

Aims

The aim of this study was to compare breast cancer specific survival (BCSS) for invasive lobular carcinoma (ILC) and invasive ductal carcinoma (IDC) and, further, to evaluate critically the prognostic value of histopathological grading of ILC and examine E-cadherin as a prognostic marker in ILC.

Methods and results

The study comprised 116 lobular and 611 ductal breast carcinomas occurring between 1961 and 2008. All cases had been classified previously according to histopathological type and grade, stained for oestrogen receptor (ER), progesterone receptor (PR), antigen Ki67 (Ki67), epithelial growth factor receptor (EGFR), cytokeratin 5 (CK5) and human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2) and classified into molecular subtypes. For the present study, immunohistochemical staining for E-cadherin was performed. The Kaplan–Meier method and Cox proportional hazards models were used in the analyses. Grade 2 tumours comprised 85.3% of the lobular tumours and 51.9% of the ductal tumours. BCSS in ILC grade 2 was comparable to that of IDC grade 3. E-cadherin-negative ILC had a poorer prognosis compared to E-cadherin positive ILC and to IDC regardless of E-cadherin status.

Conclusions

The implication of histopathological grading may differ in ILC compared to IDC. E-cadherin may be useful in prognostication in ILC and thereby influence the determination of treatment strategies for this group of women.

Polymorphisms in oxidative stress-related genes and mortality in breast cancer patients--potential differential effects by radiotherapy?

We assessed whether variants in 22 oxidative stress-related genes are associated with mortality of breast cancer patients and whether the associations differ according to radiotherapy. Using a prospective cohort of 1348 postmenopausal breast cancer patients, we estimated hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) for 109 single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) using Cox proportional hazards regression. Validation of results was attempted using two Scandinavian studies. Eleven SNPs in MT2A, NFE2L2, NQO1, PRDX1, and PRDX6 were significantly associated with overall mortality after a median follow-up of 5.7 years. Three SNPs in NQO1 (rs2917667) and in PRDX6 (rs7314, rs4916362) were consistently associated with increased risk of dying across all three study populations (pooled: HRNQO1_rs2917667 1.20, 95% CI 1.00-1.44, p = 0.051; HRPRDX6_rs7314 1.16, 95% CI 1.00-1.35, p = 0.056, HRPRDX6_rs4916362 1.14 95% CI 1.00-1.32, p = 0.062). Potential effect modification by radiotherapy was found for CAT_rs769218. In conclusion, genetic variants in NQO1 and PRDX6 may modify breast cancer prognosis.

Inflammatory and non-inflammatory breast cancer survival by socioeconomic position in the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database, 1990-2008

Although it has been previously reported that patients with inflammatory breast cancer (IBC) experience worse survival than patients with other breast cancer (BC) types, the socioeconomic and ethnic factors leading to this survival difference are not fully understood. The association between county-level percent of persons below the poverty level and BC-specific (BCS) survival for cases diagnosed from 1990 to 2008 in the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database linked to census derived county attributes was examined. A sub-analysis of cases from 2000 to 2008 also examined BCS survival by an index combining percent below poverty and less than high school graduates as well as metropolitan versus non-metropolitan county of residence. The Kaplan-Meier estimator was used to construct survival curves by stage, inflammatory status, and county-level socioeconomic position (SEP). Stage and inflammatory status stratified proportional hazards models, adjusted for age, race/ethnicity, tumor and treatment characteristics were used to determine the hazard of BCS death by county-level SEP. Kaplan-Meier survival curves indicated IBC has worse survival than stage matched non-IBC, (stage III IBC median survival = 4.75 years vs. non-IBC = 13.4 years, p < 0.0001). Residing in a lower SEP, non-metro county significantly worsens BCS survival for non-IBC in multivariate proportional hazards models. African American cases appear to have worse survival than non-Hispanic Whites regardless of inflammatory status, stage, county-level SEP, tumor, or treatment characteristics. This is the first study to examine IBC survival by SEP in a nation-wide population-based tumor registry. As this analysis found generally poorer survival for IBC, regardless of SEP or race/ethnicity, it is important that interventions that help educate women on IBC symptoms target women in various SEP and race/ethnicity groups.