2023 EULAR recommendations on imaging in diagnosis and management of crystal-induced arthropathies in clinical practice

OBJECTIVE

To formulate evidence-based recommendations and overarching principles on the use of imaging in the clinical management of crystal-induced arthropathies (CiAs).

METHODS

An international task force of 25 rheumatologists, radiologists, methodologists, healthcare professionals and patient research partners from 11 countries was formed according to the EULAR standard operating procedures. Fourteen key questions on the role of imaging in the most common forms of CiA were generated. The CiA assessed included gout, calcium pyrophosphate deposition disease and basic calcium phosphate deposition disease. Imaging modalities included conventional radiography, ultrasound, CT and MRI. Experts applied research evidence obtained from four systematic literature reviews using MEDLINE, EMBASE and CENTRAL. Task force members provided level of agreement (LoA) anonymously by using a Numerical Rating Scale from 0 to 10.

RESULTS

Five overarching principles and 10 recommendations were developed encompassing the role of imaging in various aspects of patient management: making a diagnosis of CiA, monitoring inflammation and damage, predicting outcome, response to treatment, guided interventions and patient education. Overall, the LoA for the recommendations was high (8.46-9.92).

CONCLUSIONS

These are the first recommendations that encompass the major forms of CiA and guide the use of common imaging modalities in this disease group in clinical practice.

The clinical benefits of sodium-glucose cotransporter type 2 inhibitors in people with gout

Gout is the most common form of inflammatory arthritis worldwide and is characterized by painful recurrent flares of inflammatory arthritis that are associated with a transiently increased risk of adverse cardiovascular events. Furthermore, gout is associated with multiple cardiometabolic-renal comorbidities such as type 2 diabetes, chronic kidney disease and cardiovascular disease. These comorbidities, potentially combined with gout flare-related inflammation, contribute to persistent premature mortality in gout, independently of serum urate concentrations and traditional cardiovascular risk factors. Although better implementation of standard gout care could improve gout outcomes, deliberate efforts to address the cardiovascular risk in patients with gout are likely to be required to reduce mortality. Sodium-glucose cotransporter type 2 (SGLT2) inhibitors are approved for multiple indications owing to their ability to lower the risk of all-cause and cardiovascular death, hospitalizations for heart failure and chronic kidney disease progression, making them an attractive treatment option for gout. These medications have also been shown to lower serum urate concentrations, the causal culprit in gout risk, and are associated with a reduced risk of incident and recurrent gout, potentially owing to their purported anti-inflammatory effects. Thus, SGLT2 inhibition could simultaneously address both the symptoms of gout and its comorbidities.

An updated systematic review and meta-analysis of randomised controlled trials on the effects of urate-lowering therapy initiation during a gout flare

BACKGROUND

There is uncertainty about the optimal time to start urate-lowering therapy (ULT) in the setting of a gout flare. The aim was to perform a systematic review and meta-analysis of randomised controlled trials (RCTs) assessing the effects of ULT initiation during a gout flare.

METHODS

This systematic review was conducted in accordance with PRISMA methodology. MEDLINE, EMBASE and The Cochrane Library were searched for studies published between database inception to 1 March 2023. RCTs published in English that examined ULT initiation during a gout flare in adults ≥18 years were included. The quality of included studies was assessed using the revised Cochrane Risk of Bias tool 2.0. Data were extracted for the following outcomes: patient-rated pain score, duration of gout flare, recurrent gout flares, time to achieve target serum urate, adherence to ULT, patient satisfaction with treatment and adverse events. Meta-analyses were performed using Review Manager v5.4. This study is registered on PROSPERO, number CRD42023404680.

RESULTS

A total of 972 studies were identified and of these, six RCTs met the criteria for inclusion in the analysis. Three studies were assessed as having high risk of bias, one study as having some concerns, and two studies as having low risk of bias. In total, there were 445 pooled participants; 226 participants randomised to early initiation of ULT and 219 to placebo or delayed initiation of ULT. Allopurinol was used in three studies, febuxostat in two studies and probenecid in one study. Few participants (n = 62, 13.9 %) had tophaceous gout. Participants with renal impairment were excluded from most studies. There were no differences in patient-rated pain scores at baseline, days 3-4, days 7-8, day 10 or days 14-15 (p ≥ 0.42). Additionally, there was no significant difference in time to resolution of gout flare (standardised mean difference 0.77 days; 95 % CI -0.26 to 1.79; p = 0.14) or the risk of recurrent gout flare in the subsequent 28 to 30 days (RR 1.06; 95 % CI 0.59 to 1.92; p = 0.84). Adverse events were similar between groups. The included studies did not report time to achieve target serum urate, long-term adherence to ULT, or patient satisfaction with treatment.

CONCLUSION

There appears to be no evidence for harm or for benefit to initiating ULT during a gout flare. These findings have limited applicability to patients with tophaceous gout, or those with renal impairment.

Discontinuation of anti-tumour necrosis factor alpha treatment owing to blood test abnormalities, and cost-effectiveness of alternate blood monitoring strategies

BACKGROUND

There is no evidence base to support the use of 6-monthly monitoring blood tests for the early detection of liver, blood and renal toxicity during established anti-tumour necrosis factor alpha (TNFα) treatment.

OBJECTIVES

To evaluate the incidence and risk factors of anti-TNFα treatment cessation owing to liver, blood and renal side-effects, and to estimate the cost-effectiveness of alternate intervals between monitoring blood tests.

METHODS

A secondary care-based retrospective cohort study was performed. Data from the British Association of Dermatologists Biologic and Immunomodulators Register (BADBIR) were used. Patients with at least moderate psoriasis prescribed their first anti-TNFα treatment were included. Treatment discontinuation due to a monitoring blood test abnormality was the primary outcome. Patients were followed-up from start of treatment to the outcome of interest, drug discontinuation, death, 31 July 2021 or up to 5 years, whichever came first. The incidence rate (IR) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) of anti-TNFα discontinuation with monitoring blood test abnormality was calculated. Multivariate Cox regression was used to examine the association between risk factors and outcome. A mathematical model evaluated costs and quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) associated with increasing the length of time between monitoring blood tests during anti-TNFα treatment.

RESULTS

The cohort included 8819 participants [3710 (42.1%) female, mean (SD) age 44.76 (13.20) years] that contributed 25 058 person-years (PY) of follow-up and experienced 125 treatment discontinuations owing to a monitoring blood test abnormality at an IR of 5.85 (95% CI 4.91-6.97)/1000 PY. Of these, 64 and 61 discontinuations occurred within the first year and after the first year of treatment start, at IRs of 8.62 (95% CI 6.74-11.01) and 3.44 (95% CI 2.67-4.42)/1000 PY, respectively. Increasing age (in years), diabetes and liver disease were associated with anti-TNFα discontinuation after a monitoring blood test abnormality [adjusted hazard ratios of 1.02 (95% CI 1.01-1.04), 1.68 (95% CI 1.00-2.81) and 2.27 (95% CI 1.26-4.07), respectively]. Assuming a threshold of £20 000 per QALY gained, no monitoring was most cost-effective, but all extended periods were cost-effective vs. 3- or 6-monthly monitoring.

CONCLUSIONS

Anti-TNFα drugs were uncommonly discontinued owing to abnormal monitoring blood tests after the first year of treatment. Extending the duration between monitoring blood tests was cost-effective. Our results produce evidence for specialist society guidance to reduce patient monitoring burden and healthcare costs.

Risk-stratified monitoring for sulfasalazine toxicity: prognostic model development and validation

BACKGROUND

Sulfasalazine-induced cytopenia, nephrotoxicity and hepatotoxicity is uncommon during long-term treatment. Some guidelines recommend 3 monthly monitoring blood tests indefinitely during long-term treatment while others recommend stopping monitoring after 1 year. To rationalise monitoring, we developed and validated a prognostic model for clinically significant blood, liver or kidney toxicity during established sulfasalazine treatment.

DESIGN

Retrospective cohort study.

SETTING

UK primary care. Data from Clinical Practice Research Datalink Gold and Aurum formed independent development and validation cohorts.

PARTICIPANTS

Age ≥18 years, new diagnosis of an inflammatory condition and sulfasalazine prescription.

STUDY PERIOD

1 January 2007 to 31 December 2019.

OUTCOME

Sulfasalazine discontinuation with abnormal monitoring blood-test result.

ANALYSIS

Patients were followed up from 6 months after first primary care prescription to the earliest of outcome, drug discontinuation, death, 5 years or 31 December 2019. Penalised Cox regression was performed to develop the risk equation. Multiple imputation handled missing predictor data. Model performance was assessed in terms of calibration and discrimination.

RESULTS

8936 participants were included in the development cohort (473 events, 23 299 person-years) and 5203 participants were included in the validation cohort (280 events, 12 867 person-years). Nine candidate predictors were included. The optimism adjusted R2 D and Royston D statistic in the development data were 0.13 and 0.79, respectively. The calibration slope (95% CI) and Royston D statistic (95% CI) in validation cohort was 1.19 (0.96 to 1.43) and 0.87 (0.67 to 1.07), respectively.

CONCLUSION

This prognostic model for sulfasalazine toxicity uses readily available data and should be used to risk-stratify blood-test monitoring during established sulfasalazine treatment.

Effect of a 2-week interruption in methotrexate treatment on COVID-19 vaccine response in people with immune-mediated inflammatory diseases (VROOM study): a randomised, open label, superiority trial

BACKGROUND

Methotrexate is the first-line treatment for immune-mediated inflammatory diseases and reduces vaccine-induced immunity. We evaluated if a 2-week interruption of methotrexate treatment immediately after COVID-19 booster vaccination improved antibody response against the S1 receptor binding domain (S1-RBD) of the SARS-CoV-2 spike protein and live SARS-CoV-2 neutralisation compared with uninterrupted treatment in patients with immune-mediated inflammatory diseases.

METHOD

We did a multicentre, open-label, parallel-group, randomised, superiority trial in secondary-care rheumatology and dermatology clinics in 26 hospitals in the UK. Adults (aged ≥18 years) with immune-mediated inflammatory diseases taking methotrexate (≤25 mg per week) for at least 3 months, who had received two primary vaccine doses from the UK COVID-19 vaccination programme were eligible. Participants were randomly assigned (1:1) using a centralised validated computer program, to temporarily suspend methotrexate treatment for 2 weeks immediately after COVID-19 booster vaccination or continue treatment as usual. The primary outcome was S1-RBD antibody titres 4 weeks after COVID-19 booster vaccination and was assessed masked to group assignment. All randomly assigned patients were included in primary and safety analyses. This trial is registered with ISRCTN, ISRCTN11442263; following a pre-planned interim analysis, recruitment was stopped early.

FINDING

Between Sept 30, 2021, and March 7, 2022, we screened 685 individuals, of whom 383 were randomly assigned: to either suspend methotrexate (n=191; mean age 58·8 years [SD 12·5], 118 [62%] women and 73 [38%] men) or to continue methotrexate (n=192; mean age 59·3 years [11·9], 117 [61%] women and 75 [39%] men). At 4 weeks, the geometric mean S1-RBD antibody titre was 25 413 U/mL (95% CI 22 227-29 056) in the suspend methotrexate group and 12 326 U/mL (10 538-14 418) in the continue methotrexate group with a geometric mean ratio (GMR) of 2·08 (95% CI 1·59-2·70; p<0·0001). No intervention-related serious adverse events occurred.

INTERPRETATION

2-week interruption of methotrexate treatment in people with immune-mediated inflammatory diseases enhanced antibody responses after COVID-19 booster vaccination that were sustained at 12 weeks and 26 weeks. There was a temporary increase in inflammatory disease flares, mostly self-managed. The choice to suspend methotrexate should be individualised based on disease status and vulnerability to severe outcomes from COVID-19.

FUNDING

National Institute for Health and Care Research.

Retention, safety and efficacy of off-label conventional treatments and biologics for chronic calcium pyrophosphate crystal inflammatory arthritis

OBJECTIVES

Very little is known on the efficacy and safety of drugs for the management of chronic calcium pyrophosphate (CPP) crystal inflammatory arthritis. The objectives of this work were to describe the drugs used in the management of chronic CPP crystal inflammatory arthritis in expert European centres, and to examine treatment retention.

METHODS

This was a retrospective cohort study. Charts from patients with a diagnosis of persistent inflammatory and/or recurrent acute CPP crystal arthritis were reviewed in seven European centres. Baseline characteristics were collected, and visits at months 3, 6, 12 and 24 included an assessment of treatment response and safety.

RESULTS

One hundred and ninety-four treatments were initiated in 129 patients. Colchicine (used first-line in n = 73/86), methotrexate (used first-line in n = 14/36), anakinra (n = 27) and tocilizumab (n = 25) were the most prescribed treatments, while long-term corticosteroids, hydroxychloroquine, canakinumab and sarilumab were used occasionally. The 24-month on-drug retention was higher for tocilizumab (40%) than anakinra (18.5%) (P < 0.05), while the difference between colchicine (29.1%) and methotrexate (44.4%) was not statistically significant (P = 0.10). Adverse events led to 14.1% of colchicine discontinuations (100% of diarrhoea), 4.3% for methotrexate, 31.8% for anakinra and 20% for tocilizumab; all other discontinuations were related to insufficient response or losses to follow-up. Efficacy outcomes did not differ significantly between treatments throughout follow-up.

CONCLUSION

Daily colchicine is the first-line therapy used in chronic CPP crystal inflammatory arthritis, which is considered efficient in a third to half of cases. Second-line treatments include methotrexate and tocilizumab, which have higher retention than anakinra.

Assessment of the solar energy-agriculture-water nexus in the expanding solar energy industry of India: An initiative for sustainable resource management

The rapid expansion of solar energy in India poses challenges in the context of cropland encroachment and water-resource scarcity. To help address these challenges, we used open access satellite observations and GIS technologies over Earth Engine platform to devise the Solar Panel Index (SPI) for efficient detection of solar farms, achieving a Land use/Land cover classification accuracy of 89 %. We have used cropland, water availability, power grid and land surface temperature data-sets for generation of land suitability map. Sentinel-2 data-sets along with SPI were used to develop solar farm locations and their estimated installed capacity within the study area. The outcomes from the study depicted that over 40 % of all solar farms in the country are located on agricultural land, with the highest seen in Karnataka (73.55 %) followed by Tamil Nadu (68.81 %). Furthermore, high installed capacity coincides with low groundwater depths, exacerbating local water strain. Madhya Pradesh was found to have almost no power plant located within 5 km of surface water bodies. Our findings emphasize the significance of the solar-agriculture-water (SAW) nexus for sustainable development. Using high-resolution Land Suitability Map (LSM) as a decision-making criteria for allocating land for power generation reveals that Rajasthan holds the highest potential for solar energy installation. Our integrated approach considering the interplay between solar-energy production, agriculture, and water-resource management contributes to the sustainable growth of the solar-energy sector and regional development.

Prognostic factors for liver, blood and kidney adverse events from glucocorticoid sparing immune-suppressing drugs in immune-mediated inflammatory diseases: a prognostic systematic review

BACKGROUND

Immune-suppressing drugs can cause liver, kidney or blood toxicity. Prognostic factors for these adverse-events are poorly understood.

PURPOSE

To ascertain prognostic factors associated with liver, blood or kidney adverse-events in people receiving immune-suppressing drugs.

DATA SOURCES

MEDLINE, Web of Science, EMBASE and the Cochrane library (01 January 1995 to 05 January 2023), and supplementary sources.

DATA EXTRACTION AND SYNTHESIS

Data were extracted by one reviewer using a modified CHARMS-PF checklist and validated by another. Two independent reviewers assessed risk of bias using Quality in Prognostic factor Studies tool and assessed the quality of evidence using a Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development and Evaluation-informed framework.

RESULTS

Fifty-six studies from 58 papers were included. High-quality evidence of the following associations was identified: elevated liver enzymes (6 studies) and folate non-supplementation (3 studies) are prognostic factors for hepatotoxicity in those treated with methotrexate; that mercaptopurine (vs azathioprine) (3 studies) was a prognostic factor for hepatotoxicity in those treated with thiopurines; that mercaptopurine (vs azathioprine) (3 studies) and poor-metaboliser status (4 studies) were prognostic factors for cytopenia in those treated with thiopurines; and that baseline elevated liver enzymes (3 studies) are a prognostic factor for hepatotoxicity in those treated with anti-tumour necrosis factors. Moderate and low quality evidence for several other demographic, lifestyle, comorbidities, baseline bloods/serologic or treatment-related prognostic factors were also identified.

LIMITATIONS

Studies published before 1995, those with less than 200 participants and not published in English were excluded. Heterogeneity between studies included different cut-offs for prognostic factors, use of different outcome definitions and different adjustment factors.

CONCLUSIONS

Prognostic factors for target-organ damage were identified which may be further investigated for their potential role in targeted (risk-stratified) monitoring.

PROSPERO REGISTRATION NUMBER

CRD42020208049.

Social disparities in cardiovascular mortality of patients with cancer in the USA between 1999 and 2019

Background

Temporal trends of the impact of social determinants on cardiovascular outcomes of cancer patients has not been previously studied.

Objectives

This study examined social disparities in cardiovascular mortality of people with and without cancer in the US population between 1999 and 2019.

Methods

Primary cardiovascular deaths were identified from the Multiple Cause of Death database and grouped by cancer status. The cancer cohort was subcategorized into breast, lung, prostate, colorectal, and haematological. The number of cardiovascular deaths, crude cardiovascular mortality rate, cardiovascular age-adjusted mortality rate (AAMR), and percentage change in cardiovascular AAMR were calculated by cancer status and cancer type, and stratified by sex, race, ethnicity, and urban-rural setting.

Results

17.9 million cardiovascular deaths were analysed. Of these, 572,222 occurred in patients with a record of cancer. The cancer cohort were older and included more men and White racial groups. Regardless of cancer status, cardiovascular AAMR was higher in men, rural settings, and Black or African American races. Cardiovascular AAMR declined over time, with greater reduction in those with cancer (-51.6% vs -38.3%); the greatest reductions were in colorectal (-68.4%), prostate (-60.0%), and breast (-58.8%) cancers. Sex, race, and ethnic disparities reduced over time, with greater narrowing in the cancer cohort. There was increase in urban-rural disparities, which appeared greater in those with cancer.

Conclusions

While most social disparities narrowed over time, urban-rural disparities widened, with greater increase in those with cancer. Healthcare plans should incorporate strategies for reduction of health inequality equitable access to cardio-oncology services.

Impact of Frailty on Emergency Department Encounters for Cardiovascular Disease: A Retrospective Cohort Study

Data are limited on whether the causes of emergency department (ED) encounters for cardiovascular diseases (CVDs) and associated clinical outcomes vary by frailty status. Using the United States Nationwide ED Sample, selected CVD encounters (acute myocardial infarction [AMI], ischemic stroke, atrial fibrillation [AF], heart failure [HF], pulmonary embolism, cardiac arrest, and hemorrhagic stroke) were stratified by hospital frailty risk score (HFRS). Logistic regression was used to determine the adjusted odds ratios (aORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) of ED mortality among the different frailty groups. A total of 8,577,028 selected CVD ED encounters were included. A total of 5,120,843 (59.7%) had a low HFRS (<5), 3,041,699 (35.5%) had an intermediate HFRS (5 to 15), and 414,485 (4.8%) had a high HFRS (>15). Ischemic stroke was the most common reason for the encounter in the high HFRS group (66.9%), followed by hemorrhagic stroke (11.7%) and AMI (7.2%). For the low HFRS group, AF was the most common reason for the encounter (30.2%), followed by AMI (23.6%) and HF (16.8%). Compared with the low-risk group, high-risk patients had a decreased ED mortality and an increased overall mortality across most CVD encounters (p <0.001). The strongest association with overall mortality was observed among patients with a high HFRS admitted for AF (aOR 27.14, 95% CI 25.03 to 29.43) and HF (aOR 13.71, 95% CI 12.95 to 14.51) compared with their low-risk counterparts. In conclusion, patients presenting to the ED with acute CVD have a significant frailty burden, with different patterns of CVD according to frailty status. Frailty is associated with an increased all-cause mortality in patients for most CVD encounters.

Diagnosis of calcium pyrophosphate crystal deposition disease by ultrasonography: how many and which sites should be scanned?

OBJECTIVE

To develop the optimal US scanning protocol for the diagnosis of CPPD disease.

METHODS

In this cross-sectional study, consecutive patients with a crystal-proven diagnosis of CPPD disease, and age-, sex-matched disease controls and with a negative synovial fluid analysis were prospectively enrolled in two Italian Institutions. Four rheumatologists, blinded to patients' clinical details, performed US examinations using a standardised scanning protocol including 20 joints (shoulders, elbows, wrists, metacarpophalangeal joints from 2nd to 5th fingers, hips, knees, ankles). CPPD was identified as presence/absence, according to the OMERACT definitions. Reduced US scanning protocols were developed by selecting the most informative joints to be imaged by US using the LASSO technique. Patients were randomly divided into training and validation sets. Their diagnostic accuracy was tested comparing the area under the ROC curves.

RESULTS

204 participants were enrolled: 102 with CPPD disease and 102 disease controls [age (mean±standard deviation) 71.3 ± 12.0 vs 71.1 ± 13.5 years, female: 62.8% vs 57.8%].The median number of joints with US evidence of CPPD was 5 (IQR: 4-7) and 0 (IQR: 0-1) in patients with CPPD disease and controls, respectively (p< 0 01).The detection of CPPD in ≥ 2 joints using a reduced scanning protocol (bilateral assessment of knees, wrists, and hips) showed a sensitivity of 96.7% (95%CI: 82.8-99.9) and a specificity of 100 (95%CI: 88.8-100.0) for the diagnosis of CPPD disease and had good feasibility [(mean±standard deviation) 12.5 ± 5.3 min].

CONCLUSION

Bilateral US assessment of knees, wrists, and hips had excellent accuracy and good feasibility for the diagnosis of CPPD disease.

The 2023 ACR/EULAR Classification Criteria for Calcium Pyrophosphate Deposition Disease

OBJECTIVE

Calcium pyrophosphate deposition (CPPD) disease is prevalent and has diverse presentations, but there are no validated classification criteria for this symptomatic arthritis. The American College of Rheumatology (ACR) and EULAR have developed the first-ever validated classification criteria for symptomatic CPPD disease.

METHODS

Supported by the ACR and EULAR, a multinational group of investigators followed established methodology to develop these disease classification criteria. The group generated lists of candidate items and refined their definitions, collected de-identified patient profiles, evaluated strengths of associations between candidate items and CPPD disease, developed a classification criteria framework, and used multi-criterion decision analysis to define criteria weights and a classification threshold score. The criteria were validated in an independent cohort.

RESULTS

Among patients with joint pain, swelling, or tenderness (entry criterion) whose symptoms are not fully explained by an alternative disease (exclusion criterion), the presence of crowned dens syndrome or calcium pyrophosphate crystals in synovial fluid are sufficient to classify a patient as having CPPD disease. In the absence of these findings, a score >56 points using weighted criteria, comprising clinical features, associated metabolic disorders, and results of laboratory and imaging investigations, can be used to classify as CPPD disease. These criteria had a sensitivity of 92.2% and specificity of 87.9% in the derivation cohort (190 CPPD cases, 148 mimickers), whereas sensitivity was 99.2% and specificity was 92.5% in the validation cohort (251 CPPD cases, 162 mimickers).

CONCLUSION

The 2023 ACR/EULAR CPPD disease classification criteria have excellent performance characteristics and will facilitate research in this field.

Risk-stratified monitoring for thiopurine toxicity in immune-mediated inflammatory diseases: prognostic model development, validation, and, health economic evaluation

Background

Patients established on thiopurines (e.g., azathioprine) are recommended to undergo three-monthly blood tests for the early detection of blood, liver, or kidney toxicity. These side-effects are uncommon during long-term treatment. We developed a prognostic model that could be used to inform risk-stratified decisions on frequency of monitoring blood-tests during long-term thiopurine treatment, and, performed health-economic evaluation of alternate monitoring intervals.

Methods

This was a retrospective cohort study set in the UK primary-care. Data from the Clinical Practice Research Datalink Aurum and Gold formed development and validation cohorts, respectively. People age ≥18 years, diagnosed with an immune mediated inflammatory disease, prescribed thiopurine by their general practitioner for at-least six-months between January 1, 2007 and December 31, 2019 were eligible. The outcome was thiopurine discontinuation with abnormal blood-test results. Patients were followed up from six-months after first primary-care thiopurine prescription to up to five-years. Penalised Cox regression developed the risk equation. Multiple imputation handled missing predictor data. Calibration and discrimination assessed model performance. A mathematical model evaluated costs and quality-adjusted life years associated with lengthening the interval between blood-tests.

Findings

Data from 5982 (405 events over 16,117 person-years) and 3573 (269 events over 9075 person-years) participants were included in the development and validation cohorts, respectively. Fourteen candidate predictors (21 parameters) were included. The optimism adjusted R2 and Royston D statistic in development data were 0.11 and 0.76, respectively. The calibration slope and Royston D statistic (95% Confidence Interval) in the validation data were 1.10 (0.84-1.36) and 0.72 (0.52-0.92), respectively. A 2-year period between monitoring blood-test was most cost-effective in all deciles of predicted risk but the gain between monitoring annually or biennially reduced in higher risk deciles.

Interpretation

This prognostic model requires information that is readily available during routine clinical care and may be used to risk-stratify blood-test monitoring for thiopurine toxicity. These findings should be considered by specialist societies when recommending blood monitoring during thiopurine prescription to bring about sustainable and equitable change in clinical practice.

Funding

National Institute for Health and Care Research.

The 2023 ACR/EULAR classification criteria for calcium pyrophosphate deposition disease

OBJECTIVE

Calcium pyrophosphate deposition (CPPD) disease is prevalent and has diverse presentations, but there are no validated classification criteria for this symptomatic arthritis. The American College of Rheumatology (ACR) and EULAR have developed the first-ever validated classification criteria for symptomatic CPPD disease.

METHODS

Supported by the ACR and EULAR, a multinational group of investigators followed established methodology to develop these disease classification criteria. The group generated lists of candidate items and refined their definitions, collected de-identified patient profiles, evaluated strengths of associations between candidate items and CPPD disease, developed a classification criteria framework, and used multi-criterion decision analysis to define criteria weights and a classification threshold score. The criteria were validated in an independent cohort.

RESULTS

Among patients with joint pain, swelling, or tenderness (entry criterion) whose symptoms are not fully explained by an alternative disease (exclusion criterion), the presence of crowned dens syndrome or calcium pyrophosphate crystals in synovial fluid are sufficient to classify a patient as having CPPD disease. In the absence of these findings, a score>56 points using weighted criteria, comprising clinical features, associated metabolic disorders, and results of laboratory and imaging investigations, can be used to classify as CPPD disease. These criteria had a sensitivity of 92.2% and specificity of 87.9% in the derivation cohort (190 CPPD cases, 148 mimickers), whereas sensitivity was 99.2% and specificity was 92.5% in the validation cohort (251 CPPD cases, 162 mimickers).

CONCLUSION

The 2023 ACR/EULAR CPPD disease classification criteria have excellent performance characteristics and will facilitate research in this field.

Protocol for a multicentre randomised controlled trial examining the effects of temporarily pausing Bruton tyrosine kinase inhibitor therapy to coincide with SARS-CoV-2 vaccination and its impact on immune responses in patients with chronic lymphocytic leukaemia

INTRODUCTION

People who are immunocompromised have a poor biological response to vaccinations. This study aims to determine in patients with chronic lymphocytic leukaemia (CLL) if a 3-week pause in Bruton tyrosine kinase inhibitor therapy (BTKi) starting 1 week before delivery of SARS-CoV-2 vaccine booster, improves vaccine immune response when compared with continuation of BTKi.

METHODS AND ANALYSIS

An open-label, randomised controlled superiority trial will be conducted in haematology clinics in approximately 10 UK National Health Service (NHS) hospitals. The sample size is 120, randomised 1:1 to intervention and usual care arms. The primary outcome is anti-spike-receptor binding domain (RBD) antibody level at 3 weeks post-SARS-CoV-2 booster vaccination. Secondary outcomes are RBD antibody levels at 12 weeks postbooster vaccination, participant global assessments of disease activity, blood films, full blood count and lactate dehydrogenase levels, impact on quality of life, self-reported adherence with request to temporarily pause or continue BTKi, T cell response against spike protein and relative neutralising antibody titre against SARS-CoV-2 viral variants. Additionally, there will be an investigation of any effects in those given influenza vaccination contemporaneously versus COVID-19 alone.The primary analysis will be performed on the as randomised groups ('intention to treat'). The difference between the study arms in anti-spike-RBD antibody level will be estimated using a mixed effects regression model, allowing for repeated measures clustered within participants. The model will be adjusted for randomisation factor (first line or subsequent line of therapy), and prior infection status obtained from prerandomisation antinucleocapsid antibodies as fixed effects.

ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION

This study has been approved by Leeds East Research Ethics Committee and Health Research Authority (REC Reference:22/YH/0226, IRAS ID: 319057). Dissemination will be via peer-review publications, newsletters and conferences. Results will be communicated to participants, the CLL patient and clinical communities and health policy-makers.

TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER

ISRCTN14197181.

Risk of Venous Thromboembolism With Gout Flares

OBJECTIVE

Previous studies demonstrated that the risk of venous thromboembolism (VTE) is increased in patients with gout, but not whether there was a temporal association between gout flare and VTE. This study was undertaken to evaluate potential temporal associations between gout flare and VTE.

METHODS

Data were obtained from electronic primary-care records from the UK's Clinical Practice Research Datalink, which links data from hospitalization and mortality registers. Using self-controlled case series analysis adjusted for season and age, we evaluated the temporal association between gout flare and VTE. The 90 days after primary-care consultation or hospitalization for gout flare was designated the exposed period. This was divided into three 30-day intervals. The baseline period was up to 2 years before the start of and up to 2 years after the end of the exposed period. The association between gout flare and VTE was measured using adjusted incidence rate ratios (IRRs) with 95% confidence intervals (95% CIs).

RESULTS

In total, 314 patients met the inclusion criteria (age ≥18 years, incident gout, no presence of VTE or use of a primary-care anticoagulant prescription before the start of the pre-exposure period). Among the 314 patients, VTE incidence was significantly higher in the exposed period than in the baseline period (adjusted IRR 1.83, 95% CI 1.30-2.59). The adjusted IRR of VTE during the first 30 days after gout flare was 2.31 (95% CI 1.39-3.82) relative to the baseline period. No increase in the adjusted IRRs was observed in days 31-60 (adjusted IRR 1.49, 95% CI 0.79-2.81) and days 61-90 (adjusted IRR 1.67, 95% CI 0.91-3.06) relative to baseline. Results were consistent across sensitivity analyses.

CONCLUSION

Among patients with gout, there was a transient increase in the rate of VTE within 30 days after primary-care consultation or hospitalization for gout flare.

Feasibility of conducting a cohort randomised controlled trial assessing the effectiveness of a nurse-led package of care for knee pain

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the feasibility of conducting a cohort randomised-controlled trial (RCT) of a nurse-led package of care for knee pain and determine treatment sequence for use in a future trial.

METHODS

Open label, three-arm, single-centre, mixed-methods, feasibility cohort RCT. Adults aged ≥40 years with moderate-to-severe knee pain for ≥3 months were eligible. Participants were randomised into groups A (non-pharmacological treatment first), B (pharmacological treatment first), or group C (usual care). The intervention was delivered over 26-weeks. Outcomes were dropout rate, recruitment rate, intervention fidelity, ability to collect outcome data and treatment acceptability.

RESULTS

Seventeen participants were randomised and enrolled into each of groups A and B (5.2% recruitment rate), and 174 randomised to group C. Participant characteristics at randomisation were comparable across the three arms. COVID-19 paused the study from March-November-2020. Participants enrolled in groups A and B before March-2020 were withdrawn at restart. Of the 20 participants enrolled after restart, 18 completed the study (10% dropout). The nurse reported delivering most aspects of the intervention with high fidelity. Participants viewed the package of care as structured, supportive and holistic, they learnt about self-managing knee pain, and could engage with and follow the non-pharmacological treatment. Most found the non-pharmacological treatment more useful than the pharmacological treatment, preferring to receive it before or alongside analgesia. Many self-reported questionnaires were not fully completed.

CONCLUSIONS

The nurse-led package of care for knee pain was acceptable with low dropout, although the cohort RCT design may not be feasible for a definitive trial.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

clinicaltrials.gov; NCT03670706.

Is Vaccination Against COVID-19 Associated With Inflammatory Bowel Disease Flare? Self-Controlled Case Series Analysis Using the UK CPRD

INTRODUCTION

To investigate the association between vaccination against coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) and inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) flare.

METHODS

Patients with IBD vaccinated against COVID-19 who consulted for disease flare between December 1, 2020, and December 31, 2021, were ascertained from the Clinical Practice Research Datalink. IBD flares were identified using consultation and corticosteroid prescription records. Vaccinations were identified using product codes and vaccination dates. The study period was partitioned into vaccine-exposed (vaccination date and 21 days immediately after), prevaccination (7 days immediately before vaccination), and the remaining vaccine-unexposed periods. Participants contributed data with multiple vaccinations and IBD flares. Season-adjusted incidence rate ratios (aIRR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) were calculated using self-controlled case series analysis.

RESULTS

Data for 1911 cases with IBD were included; 52% of them were female, and their mean age was 49 years. Approximately 63% of participants had ulcerative colitis (UC). COVID-19 vaccination was not associated with increased IBD flares in the vaccine-exposed period when all vaccinations were considered (aIRR [95% CI] 0.89 [0.77-1.02], 0.79 [0.66-0.95], and 1.00 [0.79-1.27] in IBD overall, UC, and Crohn's disease, respectively). Analyses stratified to include only first, second, or third COVID-19 vaccinations found no significant association between vaccination and IBD flares in the vaccine-exposed period (aIRR [95% CI] 0.87 [0.71-1.06], 0.93 [0.75-1.15], and 0.86 [0.63-1.17], respectively). Similarly, stratification by COVID-19 before vaccination and by vaccination with vectored DNA or messenger RNA vaccine did not reveal an increased risk of flare in any of these subgroups.

DISCUSSION

Vaccination against COVID-19 was not associated with IBD flares regardless of prior COVID-19 infection and whether messenger RNA or DNA vaccines were used.

Risk stratified monitoring for methotrexate toxicity in immune mediated inflammatory diseases: prognostic model development and validation using primary care data from the UK

OBJECTIVE

To develop and validate a prognostic model to inform risk stratified decisions on frequency of monitoring blood tests during long term methotrexate treatment.

DESIGN

Retrospective cohort study.

SETTING

Electronic health records within the UK's Clinical Practice Research Datalink (CPRD) Gold and CPRD Aurum.

PARTICIPANTS

Adults (≥18 years) with a diagnosis of an immune mediated inflammatory disease who were prescribed methotrexate by their general practitioner for six months or more during 2007-19.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE

Discontinuation of methotrexate owing to abnormal monitoring blood test result. Patients were followed-up from six months after their first prescription for methotrexate in primary care to the earliest of outcome, drug discontinuation for any other reason, leaving the practice, last data collection from the practice, death, five years, or 31 December 2019. Cox regression was performed to develop the risk equation, with bootstrapping used to shrink predictor effects for optimism. Multiple imputation handled missing predictor data. Model performance was assessed in terms of calibration and discrimination.

RESULTS

Data from 13 110 (854 events) and 23 999 (1486 events) participants were included in the development and validation cohorts, respectively. 11 candidate predictors (17 parameters) were included. In the development dataset, the optimism adjusted R² was 0.13 and the optimism adjusted Royston D statistic was 0.79. The calibration slope and Royston D statistic in the validation dataset for the entire follow-up period was 0.94 (95% confidence interval 0.85 to 1.02) and 0.75 (95% confidence interval 0.67 to 0.83), respectively. The prognostic model performed well in predicting outcomes in clinically relevant subgroups defined by age group, type of immune mediated inflammatory disease, and methotrexate dose.

CONCLUSION

A prognostic model was developed and validated that uses information collected during routine clinical care and may be used to risk stratify the frequency of monitoring blood test during long term methotrexate treatment.

Imaging Features of Calcium Pyrophosphate Deposition Disease: Consensus Definitions From an International Multidisciplinary Working Group

OBJECTIVE

To develop definitions for imaging features being considered as potential classification criteria for calcium pyrophosphate deposition (CPPD) disease, additional to clinical and laboratory criteria, and to compile example images of CPPD on different imaging modalities.

METHODS

The American College of Rheumatology and European Alliance of Associations for Rheumatology CPPD classification criteria Imaging Advisory Group (IAG) and Steering Committee drafted definitions of imaging features that are characteristic of CPPD on conventional radiography (CR), conventional computed tomography (CT), dual-energy CT (DECT), and magnetic resonance imaging (MRI). An anonymous expert survey was undertaken by a 35-member Combined Expert Committee, including all IAG members. The IAG and 5 external musculoskeletal radiologists with expertise in CPPD convened virtually to further refine item definitions and voted on example images illustrating CR, CT, and DECT item definitions, with ≥90% agreement required to deem them acceptable.

RESULTS

The Combined Expert Committee survey indicated consensus on all CR definitions. The IAG and external radiologists reached consensus on CT and DECT item definitions, which specify that calcium pyrophosphate deposits appear less dense than cortical bone. The group developed an MRI definition and acknowledged limitations of this modality for CPPD. Ten example images for CPPD were voted acceptable (4 CR, 4 CT, and 2 DECT), and 3 images of basic calcium phosphate deposition were voted acceptable to serve as contrast against imaging features of CPPD.

CONCLUSION

An international group of rheumatologists and musculoskeletal radiologists defined imaging features characteristic of CPPD on CR, CT, and DECT and assembled a set of example images as a reference for future clinical research studies.

Dynamic assessment of the double contour sign by ultrasonography helps to distinguish between gout and calcium pyrophosphate deposition disease

OBJECTIVE

To test whether the double contour (DC) sign has a different dynamic behaviour in gout and calcium pyrophosphate deposition (CPPD) and whether the dynamic assessment of the DC sign increases its accuracy in gout diagnosis.

METHODS

This cross-sectional analysis included patients with gout meeting the 2015 ACR/EULAR classification criteria and patients with crystal-proven diagnosis of CPPD. Hyaline cartilages were explored by ultrasound (US) to detect the DC sign (ie, abnormal hyperechoic band over the superficial margin of hyaline cartilages) and its dynamic behaviour during joint movement was evaluated ((ie, movement of the DC sign together with subchondral bone (DC sign), or in the opposite direction (pseudo DC sign)).

RESULTS

Eighty-one patients with gout and 84 patients with CPPD underwent US assessment. Among them, 47 patients with gout and 9 patients with CPPD had evidence of the DC sign. During dynamic assessment, in all 47/47 patients with gout there was a DC sign. Conversely, in 7/9 (77.8%) patients with CPPD, there was a pseudo DC sign (p<0.01).The presence of DC sign during static assessment had a sensitivity, specificity and accuracy of 58.0% (95% CI 46.5% to 68.9%), 89.3% (95% CI 80.6% to 95.0%) and 73.9% (95% CI 66.5% to 80.5%) for gout, respectively. The dynamic evaluation improved the DC sign's diagnostic performance (p=0.01) as the specificity (97.6% (95% CI 91.7% to 99.7%)) and the accuracy (78.2% (95% CI 71.1% to 84.2%)) increased without loss in sensitivity.

CONCLUSION

The dynamic US assessment of the DC sign may help to differentiate the DC sign due to MSU crystals from the pseudo DC sign seen in CPPD, as they move in opposite directions.

Ultrasonography in the prediction of gout flares: a 12-month prospective observational study

OBJECTIVES

To evaluate whether US findings indicating MSU deposits and US-detected inflammation (i.e. power Doppler signal) predict gout flares over 12 months.

METHODS

Gout patients on urate-lowering therapy for at least the preceding 6 months were enrolled consecutively in this 12-month prospective, observational, single-centre study. A nested case-control analysis was performed. Cases were participants with at least one flare in the follow-up period, while controls did not self-report any gout flare. The US assessment included elbows, wrists, second MCP joints, knees, ankles, and first MTP joints. The US findings indicating MSU deposits [i.e. aggregates, double contour (DC) sign and tophi] were identified as present/absent according to the Outcome Measure in Rheumatology definitions. Power Doppler signal was scored semiquantitatively. Summated scores were calculated for each US finding.

RESULTS

Eighty-one gout participants were enrolled, and 71 completed the study. Thirty (42.3%) of 71 participants experienced at least one flare over 12 months, with a median of 2.0 flares. Cases had a greater US burden of MSU deposits (6.7 ± 4.7 vs 2.9 ± 2.6, P = 0.01) and power Doppler signal (3.73 ± 3.53 vs 0.82 ± 1.44, P < 0.01) than controls, at baseline. The baseline US scores indicating MSU deposits and US-detected inflammation were significantly associated with the occurrence (total MSU score, adjusted odds ratio:1.75, 95% CI: 1.26, 2.43; power Doppler score, adjusted odds ratio: 1.63, 95% CI: 1.12, 2.40) and the number (total MSU score, adjusted incidence risk ratio: 1.17, 95% CI: 1.08, 1.26; power Doppler score, adjusted incidence risk ratio: 1.29, 95% CI: 1.19, 1.40) of flares over 12 months in multivariate analyses.

CONCLUSIONS

Baseline US findings indicating MSU deposits and US-detected inflammation are independent predictors of gout flares over 12 months.

Upregulated expression of FFAR2 and SOC3 genes is associated with gout

OBJECTIVE

To examine the expression of Free fatty acid receptor 2 (FFAR2) and Suppressor of cytokine signalling 3 (SOCS3) genes in asymptomatic hyperuricaemia (AH), AH with MSU crystal deposition, inter-critical gout and gout flare.

METHODS

Study participants (n = 120) comprised 34 people with serum urate (SU) <360 μmol/l, 69 with AH ± MSU crystal deposition and 17 with a gout flare. Sixteen of the 17 patients with a gout flare attended a second visit 6-12 weeks later. Gene expression levels were assessed using RT-qPCR and results computed as fold changes (FC) after normalization to the reference gene.

RESULTS

FFAR2 was significantly upregulated during gout flares (FC = 2.9) compared with normal SU, AH, and AH + MSU crystal deposition (FC = 1.1, P < 0.0001 for each comparison). FFAR2 was also significantly upregulated during inter-critical gout (FC = 1.8) compared with normal SU, AH and AH + MSU (FC = 1.1, P < 0.001 for each comparison). SOCS3 was significantly upregulated during gout flares (FC = 3.4) compared with normal SU, AH, and AH + MSU crystal deposition (FC = 1.1, 1.1 and 1.2, respectively, P < 0.0001 for each comparison). SOCS3 was also upregulated during inter-critical gout (FC = 2.1) compared with normal SU (P = 0.02) and AH (P = 0.006) (FC = 1.1 and 1.2, respectively). FFAR2 expression was upregulated during gout flare compared with inter-critical gout and SOCS3 expression showed negative correlation with flare duration (r = -0.49, P < 0.05).

CONCLUSION

FFAR2 upregulation is associated with gout and may trigger gout flares. SOCS3 may have a role in amelioration of gout flares.

International, multidisciplinary Delphi consensus recommendations on non-pharmacological interventions for fibromyalgia

OBJECTIVES

To develop evidence-based expert recommendations for non-pharmacological treatments for pain, fatigue, sleep problems, and depression in fibromyalgia.

METHODS

An international, multidisciplinary Delphi exercise was conducted. Authors of EULAR and the Canadian Fibromyalgia Guidelines Group, members of the American Pain Society and clinicians with expertise in fibromyalgia were invited. Participants were asked to select non-pharmacological interventions that could be offered for specific fibromyalgia symptoms and to classify them as either core or adjunctive treatments. An evidence summary was provided to aid the decision making. Items receiving >70% votes were accepted, those receiving <30% votes were rejected and those obtaining 30-70% votes were recirculated for up to two additional rounds.

RESULTS

Seventeen experts participated (Europe (n = 10), North America (n = 6), and Israel (n = 1)) in the Delphi exercise and completed all three rounds. Aerobic exercise, education, sleep hygiene and cognitive behavioural therapy were recommended as core treatments for all symptoms. Mind-body exercises were recommended as core interventions for pain, fatigue and sleep problems. Mindfulness was voted core treatment for depression, and adjunctive treatment for other symptoms. Other interventions, namely music, relaxation, hot bath, and local heat were voted as adjunctive treatments, varying between symptoms.

CONCLUSIONS

This study provided evidence-based expert consensus recommendations on non-pharmacological treatments for fibromyalgia that may be used to individualise treatments in clinical practice targeting the diverse symptoms associated with fibromyalgia.

Association of Gout Polygenic Risk Score With Age at Disease Onset and Tophaceous Disease in European and Polynesian Men With Gout

OBJECTIVE

To determine whether a gout polygenic risk score (PRS) is associated with age at gout onset and tophaceous disease in European, East Polynesian, and West Polynesian men and women with gout.

METHODS

A 19-variant gout PRS was produced in 7 European gout cohorts (N = 4,016), 2 East Polynesian gout cohorts (N = 682), and 1 West Polynesian gout cohort (N = 490). Sex-stratified regression models were used to estimate the relationship between the PRS and age at gout onset and tophaceous disease.

RESULTS

The PRS was associated with earlier age at gout onset in men (β = -3.61 in years per unit PRS [95% confidence interval (95% CI) -4.32, -2.90] in European men; β = -6.35 [95% CI -8.91, -3.80] in East Polynesian men; β = -3.51 [95% CI -5.46, -1.57] in West Polynesian men) but not in women (β = 0.07 [95% CI -2.32, 2.45] in European women; β = 0.20 [95% CI -7.21, 7.62] in East Polynesian women; β -3.33 [95% CI -9.28, 2.62] in West Polynesian women). The PRS showed a positive association with tophaceous disease in men (odds ratio [OR] for the association 1.15 [95% CI 1.00, 1.31] in European men; OR 2.60 [95% CI 1.66, 4.06] in East Polynesian men; OR 1.53 [95% CI 1.07, 2.19] in West Polynesian men) but not in women (OR for the association 0.68 [95% CI 0.42, 1.10] in European women; OR 1.45 [95% CI 0.39, 5.36] in East Polynesian women). The PRS association with age at gout onset was robust to the removal of ABCG2 variants from the PRS in European and East Polynesian men (β = -2.42 [95% CI -3.37, -1.46] and β = -6.80 [95% CI -10.06, -3.55], respectively) but not in West Polynesian men (β = -1.79 [95% CI -4.74, 1.16]).

CONCLUSION

Genetic risk variants for gout also harbor risk for earlier age at gout onset and tophaceous disease in European and Polynesian men. Our findings suggest that earlier gout onset involves the accumulation of gout risk alleles in men but perhaps not in women, and that this genetic risk is shared across multiple ancestral groups.

Mortality in ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction patients without standard modifiable risk factors: A race disaggregated analysis

Background

Individuals who present with STEMI without the standard cardiovascular risk factors (SMuRFs) of diabetes, hypercholesterolemia, hypertension, and smoking, coined SMuRF-less are not uncommon. Little is known about their outcomes as a cohort and how they differ by race.

Methods & Results

We identified 431,615 admissions with STEMI in the National Inpatient Sample (NIS) database 2015–2018, including patients with ≥ 1 SMuRF (n = 369,870) and those who were SMuRF-less (n = 234,745). SMuRF-less patients presented at a similar age (median age 63y vs 63y), were less likely to be female (33.6 % vs 34.6 %) and were almost twice as likely to present as a cardiac arrest (13.7 % vs 7.0 %), than those with ≥ 1 SMuRFs. SMuRF-less patients were less frequently in receipt of ICA (71.3 % vs 83.8 %) and PCI (58.0 % vs 72.2 %) compared to those with ≥ 1 SMuRF. Our race disaggregated analysis showed ethnic minority SMuRF-less patients were less likely than White patients to receive ICA and PCI, which was most apparent in Black patients with reduced odds of ICA (OR: 0.47, 95 % CI: 0.43–0.52) and PCI (OR: 0.46, 95 % CI: 0.52–0.50). Similarly, in ethnic minority subgroups within the SMuRF-less cohort, mortality and MACCE were significantly higher than in White patients. This was most profound in Black patients with in-hospital mortality (OR: 1.90, 95 % CI: 1.72–2.09) and MACCE (OR: 1.63, 95 % CI: 1.49–1.78) compared to White patients.

Conclusion

Ethnic Minority SMuRF-less patients were less likely than White SMuRF-less patients to receive ICA and PCI and had worse mortality outcomes.

Physical activity, sedentary behaviour and well-being: experiences of people with knee and hip osteoarthritis

Living with knee and hip osteoarthritis (OA) means living with pain and difficulty in movement. Given the beneficial effects of physical activity (PA) and reduction of sedentary behaviour (SB), these behaviours need to be understood in the context of individuals' daily lives and sense of well-being. Twelve individuals (age: 43-79 years; 67% female) with knee and/or hip OA purposively selected (e.g., age, OA duration, OA severity) participated in semi-structured interviews. Data was analysed using inductive thematic analysis. PA and SB were narrated as multifaceted experiences with two overarching themes, PA negotiations (valuing mobility, the burden of osteoarthritis, keep going, the feel-good factor), SB negotiations (the joy of sitting, a lot is too bad, the osteoarthritis confines), and two overlapping themes (the life context, finding a balance). Physical and psychological aspects of PA and SB experiences were interwoven. Participants valued mobility and were proactively trying to preserve it by keeping active. A constant negotiation among the OA burden, the need to enjoy life and life circumstances was underlying PA behaviour. Prescription and encouragement of a physically active lifestyle in this population should be linked to mobility-related personal values and sense of well-being, while addressing concerns around OA-safety and normalizing PA trade-offs.

Identifying Potential Classification Criteria for Calcium Pyrophosphate Deposition Disease: Item Generation and Item Reduction

OBJECTIVE

Classification criteria for calcium pyrophosphate deposition (CPPD) disease will facilitate clinical research on this common crystalline arthritis. Our objective was to report on the first 2 phases of a 4-phase process for developing CPPD classification criteria.

METHODS

CPPD classification criteria development is overseen by a 12-member steering committee. Item generation (phase I) included a scoping literature review of 5 literature databases and contributions from a 35-member combined expert committee and 2 patient research partners. Item reduction and refinement (phase II) involved a combined expert committee meeting, discussions among clinical, imaging, and laboratory advisory groups, and an item-rating exercise to assess the influence of individual items toward classification. The steering committee reviewed the modal rating score for each item (range -3 [strongly pushes away from CPPD] to +3 [strongly pushes toward CPPD]) to determine items to retain for future phases of criteria development.

RESULTS

Item generation yielded 420 items (312 from the literature, 108 from experts/patients). The advisory groups eliminated items that they agreed were unlikely to distinguish between CPPD and other forms of arthritis, yielding 127 items for the item-rating exercise. Fifty-six items, most of which had a modal rating of +/- 2 or 3, were retained for future phases. As numerous imaging items were rated +3, the steering committee recommended focusing on imaging of the knee and wrist and 1 additional affected joint for calcification suggestive of CPP crystal deposition.

CONCLUSION

A data- and expert-driven process is underway to develop CPPD classification criteria. Candidate items comprise clinical, imaging, and laboratory features.

Reliability and Diagnostic Accuracy of Radiography for the Diagnosis of Calcium Pyrophosphate Deposition: Performance of the Novel Definitions Developed by an International Multidisciplinary Working Group

OBJECTIVE

To assess the reliability and diagnostic accuracy of new radiographic imaging definitions developed by an international multidisciplinary working group for identification of calcium pyrophosphate deposition (CPPD).

METHODS

Patients with knee osteoarthritis scheduled for knee replacement were enrolled. Two radiologists and 2 rheumatologists twice assessed radiographic images for presence or absence of CPPD in menisci, hyaline cartilage, tendons, joint capsule, or synovial membrane, using the new definitions. In case of disagreement, a consensus decision was made and considered for the assessment of diagnostic performance. Histologic examination of postsurgical specimens under compensated polarized light microscopy was the reference standard. Prevalence-adjusted bias-adjusted kappa values were used to assess reliability, and diagnostic performance statistics were calculated.

RESULTS

Sixty-seven patients were enrolled for the reliability study. The interobserver reliability was substantial in most of the assessed structures when considering all 4 readers (κ range 0.59-0.90), substantial to almost perfect among radiologists (κ range 0.70-0.91), and moderate to almost perfect among rheumatologists (κ range 0.46-0.88). The intraobserver reliability was substantial to almost perfect for all the observers (κ range 0.70-1). Fifty-one patients were included in the accuracy study. Radiography demonstrated an overall specificity of 92% for CPPD, but sensitivity remained low for all sites and for the overall diagnosis (54%).

CONCLUSION

The new radiographic definitions of CPPD are highly specific against the gold standard of histologic diagnosis. When the described radiographic findings are present, these definitions allow for a definitive diagnosis of CPPD, rather than other calcium-containing crystal depositions; however, a negative radiographic finding does not exclude the diagnosis.

Barriers and facilitators to vaccination uptake against COVID-19, influenza, and pneumococcal pneumonia in immunosuppressed adults with immune-mediated inflammatory diseases: A qualitative interview study during the COVID-19 pandemic

Objectives

To explore barriers and facilitators to COVID-19, influenza, and pneumococcal vaccine uptake in immunosuppressed adults with immune-mediated inflammatory diseases (IMIDs).

Methods

Recruiting through national patient charities and a local hospital, participants were invited to take part in an in-depth, one-to-one, semi-structured interview with a trained qualitative researcher between November 2021 and January 2022. Data were analysed thematically in NVivo, cross-validated by a second coder and mapped to the SAGE vaccine hesitancy matrix.

Results

Twenty participants (75% female, 20% non-white) were recruited. Barriers and facilitators spanned contextual, individual/group and vaccine/vaccination-specific factors. Key facilitators to all vaccines were higher perceived infection risk and belief that vaccination is beneficial. Key barriers to all vaccines were belief that vaccination could trigger IMID flare, and active IMID. Key facilitators specific to COVID-19 vaccines included media focus, high incidence, mass-vaccination programme with visible impact, social responsibility, and healthcare professionals’ (HCP) confirmation of the new vaccines’ suitability for their IMID. Novel vaccine technology was a concern, not a barrier. Key facilitators of influenza/pneumococcal vaccines were awareness of eligibility, direct invitation, and, clear recommendation from trusted HCP. Key barriers of influenza/pneumococcal vaccines were unaware of eligibility, no direct invitation or recommendation from HCP, low perceived infection risk, and no perceived benefit from vaccination.

Conclusions

Numerous barriers and facilitators to vaccination, varying by vaccine-type, exist for immunosuppressed-IMID patients. Addressing vaccine benefits and safety for IMID-patients in clinical practice, direct invitation, and public-health messaging highlighting immunosuppression as key vaccination-eligibility criteria may optimise uptake, although further research should assess this.

Feasibility of conducting a randomized, placebo-controlled study assessing whether omega-3 fatty acids prevent gout flares when starting urate-lowering treatment

Objective

The aim was to test the feasibility of a randomized controlled trial exploring whether omega-3 fatty acid supplementation limits gout flares during treat-to-target urate-lowering treatment (T2T-ULT).

Methods

Adults with at least one gout flare in the past 12 months and serum urate (SU) ≥360 μmol/l were recruited from general practices (primary method) and randomly assigned 1:1 to receive omega-3 fatty acid supplementation (4 g/day) or placebo for 28 weeks. At week 5, participants began T2T-ULT. The primary outcome was drop-out rate. Secondary outcomes were recruitment rate, outcome data completeness, the number, severity and duration of gout flares between weeks 5 and 28, and study drug compliance.

Results

Ninety-five per cent of randomized participants (n = 60) completed all study visits. The primary method recruitment rate was 2.2%. Fifty and 42 participants achieved SU &lt; 360 and 300 μmol/l (6 and 5 mg/dl), respectively. The number of gout flares [median (interquartile range): active 1 (0–2) and placebo 1 (0–2)], flare duration [mean (s.d.): active 7.00 (4.52) days and placebo 7.06 (8.14) days] and time to first flare [hazard ratio (95% CI) 0.97 (0.50, 1.86)] were comparable between both arms. Study drug compliance was high and comparable in both arms [median (interquartile range) returned capsule count: active 57 (26–100) and placebo 58 (27–154)]; red blood cell omega-3 fatty acid index increased twofold in the active arm and remained unchanged in the control arm.

Conclusion

The study demonstrated feasibility and provided useful metrics for conducting a community-based gout flare prophylaxis trial.

Study registration

ISRCTN; https://www.isrctn.com/; ISRCTN79392964.

Is vaccination against Covid-19 associated with autoimmune rheumatic disease flare? A self-controlled case series analysis

OBJECTIVES

To investigate the association between vaccination against Covid-19 and autoimmune rheumatic disease (AIRD) flare.

METHODS

Patients with AIRDs vaccinated against Covid-19 who consulted for disease flare between 01/12/2020 and 31/12/2021 were ascertained in Clinical Practice Research Datalink (Aurum). AIRD flare was defined as consultation for AIRD with corticosteroid prescription on the same day or the next day. Vaccination was defined using date of vaccination and product code. The observation period was partitioned into vaccine-exposed (21-days after vaccination), pre-vaccination (7-days before vaccination), and remaining vaccine-unexposed periods. Participants contributed data with multiple vaccinations and outcomes. Season adjusted incidence rate ratios (aIRR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) were calculated using self-controlled case-series analysis.

RESULTS

Data for 3554 AIRD cases, 72% female, mean age 65 years, and 68.3% with rheumatoid arthritis were included. Covid-19 vaccination was associated with significantly fewer AIRD flares in the 21-day vaccine-exposed period when all vaccinations were considered (aIRR(95%CI) 0.89(0.80-0.98)). Using dose-stratified analyses there was a statistically significant negative association in 21-days after first Covid-19 vaccination but no association after the second or third Covid-19 vaccinations (aIRR(95%CI) 0.76(0.66-0.89), 0.94(0.79-1.11) and 1.01(0.85-1.20) respectively). On AIRD type stratified analyses, vaccination was not associated with disease flares. Vaccination without or after SARS-CoV-2 infection, and with vectored DNA or mRNA vaccines associated with comparable reduced risk of AIRD flares in the vaccine-exposed period after first Covid-19 vaccination.

CONCLUSION

Vaccination against Covid-19 was not associated with increased AIRD flares regardless of prior Covid-19, AIRD type, and whether mRNA or DNA vaccination technology were used.

Are polymorphisms affecting serum urate, renal urate handling and alcohol intake associated with co-morbidities in gout cases? A case-control study using data from the UK Biobank

To examine the association between common comorbidities, eGFR and loci involved in the hyperuricaemia-gout transition. This study was conducted in people with gout from the UK Biobank. Logistic regression was used to examine the association between self-reported physician-diagnosed hypertension, diabetes, hypercholesterolemia and ischaemic heart disease (IHD) with the following variants: rs1260326(GCKR), rs16890979(SLC2A9), rs2231142(ABCG2), rs1229984(ADH1B) and rs2078267(SLC22A11) and adjusted for age, sex and 10-principal components. Linear regression was used to examine the association with eGFR. 7,049 participants with gout were included. After adjusting for multiple testing, there was a statistically significant positive association between urate lowering allele at SLC2A9 and hypertension, and negative association between urate raising allele at ABCG2 and hypertension (OR 1.17 and OR 0.86, respectively). Number of urate lowering risk alleles associated with hypertension [OR (95%CI) 1.13 (1.06-1.21)]. High eGFR associated with urate raising allele at rs2231142 (β = 1.38). The SNP in ADH1B that protects from alcohol excess showed a negative association with IHD (OR 0.53). Unlike in general population studies urate lowering genetic variants associate with hypertension in gout patients with dose-response. This may be due to high prevalence of other risk factors of hypertension such as obesity, poor diet etc. and needs validation in independent datasets.

Effect of a 2-week interruption in methotrexate treatment versus continued treatment on COVID-19 booster vaccine immunity in adults with inflammatory conditions (VROOM study): a randomised, open label, superiority trial

BACKGROUND

Immunosuppressive treatments inhibit vaccine-induced immunity against SARS-CoV-2. We evaluated whether a 2-week interruption of methotrexate treatment immediately after the COVID-19 vaccine booster improved antibody responses against the S1 receptor-binding domain (S1-RBD) of the SARS-CoV-2 spike protein compared with uninterrupted treatment in patients with immune-mediated inflammatory diseases.

METHODS

We did an open-label, prospective, two-arm, parallel-group, multicentre, randomised, controlled, superiority trial in 26 hospitals in the UK. We recruited adults from rheumatology and dermatology clinics who had been diagnosed with an immune-mediated inflammatory disease (eg, rheumatoid arthritis, psoriasis with or without arthritis, axial spondyloarthritis, atopic dermatitis, polymyalgia rheumatica, and systemic lupus erythematosus) and who were taking low-dose weekly methotrexate (≤25 mg per week) for at least 3 months. Participants also had to have received two primary vaccine doses from the UK COVID-19 vaccination programme. We randomly assigned the participants (1:1), using a centralised validated computer randomisation program, to suspend methotrexate treatment for 2 weeks immediately after their COVID-19 booster (suspend methotrexate group) or to continue treatment as usual (continue methotrexate group). Participants, investigators, clinical research staff, and data analysts were unmasked, while researchers doing the laboratory analyses were masked to group assignment. The primary outcome was S1-RBD antibody titres 4 weeks after receiving the COVID-19 booster vaccine dose, assessed in the intention-to-treat population. This trial is registered with ISRCT, ISRCTN11442263; following the pre-planned interim analysis, recruitment was stopped early.

FINDINGS

Between Sept 30, 2021 and March 3, 2022, we recruited 340 participants, of whom 254 were included in the interim analysis and had been randomly assigned to one of the two groups: 127 in the continue methotrexate group and 127 in the suspend methotrexate group. Their mean age was 59·1 years, 155 (61%) were female, 130 (51%) had rheumatoid arthritis, and 86 (34%) had psoriasis with or without arthritis. After 4 weeks, the geometric mean S1-RBD antibody titre was 22 750 U/mL (95% CI 19 314-26 796) in the suspend methotrexate group and 10 798 U/mL (8970-12 997) in the continue methotrexate group, with a geometric mean ratio (GMR) of 2·19 (95% CI 1·57-3·04; p<0·0001; mixed-effects model). The increased antibody response in the suspend methotrexate group was consistent across methotrexate dose, administration route, type of immune-mediated inflammatory disease, age, primary vaccination platform, and history of SARS-CoV-2 infection. There were no intervention-related serious adverse events.

INTERPRETATION

A 2-week interruption of methotrexate treatment for people with immune-mediated inflammatory diseases resulted in enhanced boosting of antibody responses after COVID-19 vaccination. This intervention is simple, low-cost, and easy to implement, and could potentially translate to increased vaccine efficacy and duration of protection for susceptible groups.

FUNDING

National Institute for Health and Care Research.

In patients with acute mono-oligoarthritis, a targeted ultrasound scanning protocol shows great accuracy for the diagnosis of gout and CPPD

OBJECTIVES

To determine an ultrasound (US) scanning protocol with the best accuracy for the diagnosis of gout and CPPD in patients with acute mono/oligoarthritis of unknown origin.

METHODS

Patients with acute mono/oligoarthritis, in whom a joint aspiration at the most clinically involved joint (target joint) was requested, were consecutively enrolled. US was performed in each patient before the arthrocentesis. The accuracy of different US findings and scanning protocols for the diagnosis of gout and CPPD was calculated.

RESULTS

161 subjects were included (32 gout patients, 30 CPPD patients and 99 disease-controls).US findings had a high specificity for gout (0.92-0.96) and CPPD (0.90-0.97), while the sensitivity ranged from 0.73 to 0.85 in gout (double contour sign and tophi, respectively) and from 0.60 to 0.90 in CPPD (hyaline and fibrocartilage deposits, respectively). The US assessment of two joints bilaterally (gout: knees, MTP1js, CPPD: knees, wrists) + the target joint had an excellent diagnostic sensitivity (gout:0.91, CPPD:0.93) and specificity (gout:0.91, CPPD:0.89). This targeted US scanning protocol yielded to higher diagnostic accuracy compared to the US evaluation of the target joint (gout, AUC:0.91 vs AUC:0.84, p = 0.03; CPPD, AUC:0.93, vs AUC:0.84, p = 0.04) unless the target joint was the knee or the MTP1j in gout, and the knee or the wrist in CPPD.

CONCLUSIONS

A targeted US scanning protocol of two joints bilaterally + the target joint (unless this was the knee, MTP1j or the wrist) showed an excellent accuracy (>90%) for the diagnosis of crystal arthritis in patients with acute mono/oligoarthritis.

Association Between Gout Flare and Subsequent Cardiovascular Events Among Patients With Gout

IMPORTANCE

Gout is associated with cardiovascular diseases. The temporal association between gout flares and cardiovascular events has not been investigated.

OBJECTIVE

To investigate whether there is a transient increase in risk of cardiovascular events after a recent gout flare.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

A retrospective observational study was conducted using electronic health records from the Clinical Practice Research Datalink in England between January 1, 1997, and December 31, 2020. A multivariable nested case-control study was performed among 62 574 patients with gout, and a self-controlled case series, adjusted for season and age, was performed among 1421 patients with gout flare and cardiovascular event.

EXPOSURES

Gout flares were ascertained using hospitalization, primary care outpatient, and prescription records.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES

The primary outcome was a cardiovascular event, defined as an acute myocardial infarction or stroke. Association with recent prior gout flares was measured using adjusted odds ratios (ORs) with 95% CIs in a nested case-control study and adjusted incidence rate ratios (IRRs) with 95% CIs in a self-controlled case series.

RESULTS

Among patients with a new diagnosis of gout (mean age, 76.5 years; 69.3% men, 30.7% women), 10 475 patients with subsequent cardiovascular events were matched with 52 099 patients without cardiovascular events. Patients with cardiovascular events, compared with those who did not have cardiovascular events, had significantly higher odds of gout flare within the prior 0 to 60 days (204/10 475 [2.0%] vs 743/52 099 [1.4%]; adjusted OR, 1.93 [95% CI, 1.57-2.38]) and within the prior 61 to 120 days (170/10 475 [1.6%] vs 628/52 099 [1.2%]; adjusted OR, 1.57 [95% CI, 1.26-1.96]). There was no significant difference in the odds of gout flare within the prior 121 to 180 days (148/10 475 [1.4%] vs 662/52 099 [1.3%]; adjusted OR, 1.06 [95% CI, 0.84-1.34]). In the self-controlled case series (N = 1421), cardiovascular event rates per 1000 person-days were 2.49 (95% CI, 2.16-2.82) within days 0 to 60; 2.16 (95% CI, 1.85-2.47) within days 61 to 120; and 1.70 (95% CI, 1.42-1.98) within days 121 to 180 after a gout flare, compared with cardiovascular event rates of 1.32 (95% CI, 1.23-1.41) per 1000 person-days within the 150 days before or the 181 to 540 days after the gout flare. Compared with 150 days before or the 181 to 540 days after a gout flare, incidence rate differences for cardiovascular events were 1.17 (95% CI, 0.83-1.52) per 1000 person-days, and adjusted IRRs were 1.89 (95% CI, 1.54-2.30) within days 0 to 60; 0.84 (95% CI, 0.52-1.17) per 1000 person-days and 1.64 (95% CI, 1.45-1.86) within days 61 to 120; and 0.38 (95% CI, 0.09-0.67) per 1000 person-days and 1.29 (95% CI, 1.02-1.64) within days 121 to 180 after a gout flare.

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE

Among individuals with gout, those who experienced a cardiovascular event, compared with those who did not experience such an event, had significantly higher odds of a recent gout flare in the preceding days. These findings suggest gout flares are associated with a transient increase in cardiovascular events following the flare.

Efficacy of nonpharmacological interventions for individual features of fibromyalgia: a systematic review and meta-analysis of randomised controlled trials

ABSTRACT

Fibromyalgia is a highly heterogeneous condition, but the most common symptoms are widespread pain, fatigue, poor sleep, and low mood. Nonpharmacological interventions are recommended as first-line treatment of fibromyalgia. However which interventions are effective for the different symptoms is not well understood. The objective of this study was to assess the efficacy of nonpharmacological interventions on symptoms and disease-specific quality of life. Seven databases were searched from their inception until June 1, 2020. Randomised controlled trials comparing any nonpharmacological intervention to usual care, waiting list, or placebo in people with fibromyalgia aged >16 years were included without language restriction. Fibromyalgia Impact Questionnaire (FIQ) was the primary outcome measure. Standardised mean difference and 95% confidence interval were calculated using random effects model. The risk of bias was evaluated using the modified Cochrane tool. Of the 16,251 studies identified, 167 randomised controlled trials (n = 11,012) assessing 22 nonpharmacological interventions were included. Exercise, psychological treatments, multidisciplinary modality, balneotherapy, and massage improved FIQ. Subgroup analysis of different exercise interventions found that all forms of exercise improved pain (effect size [ES] -0.72 to -0.96) and depression (ES -0.35 to -1.22) except for flexibility exercise. Mind-body and strengthening exercises improved fatigue (ES -0.77 to -1.00), whereas aerobic and strengthening exercises improved sleep (ES -0.74 to -1.33). Psychological treatments including cognitive behavioural therapy and mindfulness improved FIQ, pain, sleep, and depression (ES -0.35 to -0.55) but not fatigue. The findings of this study suggest that nonpharmacological interventions for fibromyalgia should be individualised according to the predominant symptom.

Treatment and Outcomes of Acute Myocardial Infarction in Patients With Polymyalgia Rheumatica With and Without Giant Cell Arteritis

This study analyzed the characteristics, management, and outcomes of patients with polymyalgia rheumatica (PMR) hospitalized with acute myocardial infarction (AMI), including sensitivity analysis for presence of giant cell arteritis (GCA). Using the National Inpatient Sample (January 2004 to September 2015) and International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Revision, all AMI hospitalizations were stratified into main groups: PMR and no-PMR; and subsequently, PMR, PMR with GCA, and GCA and no-PMR. Outcomes were all-cause mortality, major adverse cardiovascular/cerebrovascular events (MACCEs), major bleeding, and ischemic stroke as well as coronary angiography (CA) and percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI). Multivariable logistic regression was used to determine adjusted odds ratios with 95% confidence interval (95% CI). A total of 7,622,043 AMI hospitalizations were identified, including 22,597 patients with PMR (0.3%) and 5,405 patients with GCA (0.1%). Patients with PMR had higher rates of mortality (5.8% vs 5.4%, p = 0.013), MACCEs (10.2% vs 9.2%, p <0.001), and stroke (4.6% vs 3.5%, p <0.001) and lower receipt of CA (48.9% vs 62.6%, p <0.001) and PCI (30.6% vs 41.0%, p <0.001) than the no-PMR group. After multivariable adjustment, patients with PMR had decreased odds of mortality (0.75, 95% CI 0.71 to 0.80), MACCEs (0.78, 95% CI 0.74 to 0.81), bleeding (0.79, 95% CI 0.73 to 0.86), and stroke (0.88, 95% CI 0.83 to 0.93); no difference in use of CA (1.01, 95% CI 0.98 to 1.04) and increased odds of PCI (1.07 95% CI 1.03 to 1.10) compared with the no-PMR group. Similar results were observed for patients with concomitant PMR and GCA, whereas patients with GCA only showed increased odds of bleeding (1.51 95% CI 1.32 to 1.72) and stroke (1.31 95% CI 1.16 to 1.47). In conclusion, patients with AMI with PMR have an increased incidence of crude adverse in-hospital outcomes than those without PMR; however, these differences do not persist after adjusting for age and comorbidities.

Incidence and pattern of mycophenolate discontinuation associated with abnormal monitoring blood-test results: cohort study using data from the Clinical Practice Research Datalink Aurum

Objective

To examine the incidence and pattern of mycophenolate discontinuation associated with abnormal monitoring blood-tests.

Methods

Data from people prescribed mycophenolate for common inflammatory conditions in the Clinical Practice Research Datalink was used. Participants were followed from first mycophenolate prescription. Primary outcome was drug discontinuation with an associated abnormal blood-test result within 60 days. Secondary outcomes were drug discontinuation for any reason, and discontinuations associated with severely abnormal blood-test results within 60 days. Multivariable cox-regression was used to examine factors associated with primary outcome.

Results

The cohort included 992 participants (68.9% female, mean age 51.95 years, 47.1% with SLE) contributing 1,885 person-years of follow-up. The incidence of mycophenolate discontinuation associated with any (severely) abnormal blood-test results was 153.46 (21.07) per 1000 person-years in the first, and 32.39 (7.91) per 1000 person-years in later years of prescription, respectively. 11.5% (1.7%) patients prescribed mycophenolate discontinued treatment with any (severely) abnormal blood-test results in the first year of prescription. After this period mean 2.6% (0.7%) patients discontinued treatment with any (severely) abnormal blood-test results per year. Increased serum creatinine and cytopenia were more commonly associated with mycophenolate discontinuation than elevated liver enzymes. CKD-stage ≥3 was significantly associated with mycophenolate discontinuation with any blood-test abnormalities (aHR (95%CI) 2.22 (1.47–3.37)).

Conclusion

Mycophenolate is uncommonly discontinued for blood-test abnormalities, and, even less often discontinued for severe blood-test abnormalities after the first year of prescription. Consideration may be given for less frequent monitoring after one-year of treatment, especially in those without CKD-stage ≥3.

OP0167 ULTRASONOGRAPHY IN THE PREDICTION OF GOUT FLARES: A 12-MONTH PROSPECTIVE OBSERVATIONAL STUDY

Background

Gout flares are a distinctive feature of gout. Although imaging techniques, such as ultrasonography (US), can visualise monosodium urate (MSU) crystals and synovial inflammation and estimate their burden, the role of imaging in predicting gout flares has not been fully investigated.

Objectives

To evaluate whether US findings indicative of MSU deposits and subclinical inflammation predict gout flares over 12 months.

Methods

Participants with gout on urate-lowering therapy (ULT) for at least the preceding six months were enrolled consecutively in this 12-month prospective, observational, single-centre study.

A nested case-control analysis was performed. Cases were participants with at least one gout flare in the follow-up period while controls did not self-report any gout flares.

Clinical assessment was scheduled at 6-month intervals. In addition, at baseline, each patient underwent an US examination using a standardised scanning protocol including the following sites: knees, ankles, 1st metatarsophalangeal joints, elbows, wrists and 2nd metacarpophalangeal joints. The US findings indicating MSU deposits [i.e., aggregates, double contour (DC) sign and tophi] and inflammation [i.e., Power Doppler (PD) signal] were identified according to the 2015 Outcome Measure in Rheumatology definitions (Figure 1).

Figure 1.

Summated scores were calculated for each US finding.

During follow-up visits, patients were asked to report any gout flares using an internationally-validated definition [1].

Multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to measure the association between baseline US findings and the occurrence of gout flares over 12 months. US scores were tested separately, including the following covariates: age, gender, disease duration, presence of subcutaneous tophi, current serum urate>360 μmol/l, increasing dose of ULT during the study period and ongoing flare prophylaxis. In addition, multivariate zero-inflated Poisson regression analysis was used to investigate the association between US findings and the number of flares over 12 months.

Results

Eighty-one gout participants were enrolled, and 71 completed the study. Thirty (42.3%) of 71 participants experienced at least one flare over 12 months, with a median of 2.0 flares. There was no difference among baseline clinical and laboratory characteristics of patients with and without flares except for the presence of subcutaneous tophi (23.3% vs 4.9%; p=0.02) and higher current SU levels (360.8 vs 301.4 μmol/l mol/L, p=0.01).

Participants with flares had a greater baseline US burden of MSU deposits (2.0±1.8 vs 0.5±0.9, p=0.01 for DC sign; 2.1±2.3 vs 0.8±1.0, p=0.01 for tophi; 2.6±2.0 vs 1.6±1.6, p=0.03 for aggregates) and of subclinical inflammation (3.73±3.53 vs 0.82±1.44, p<0.01).

The baseline extent of MSU deposits and subclinical inflammation estimated by US was significantly associated with gout flares over 12 months in multivariate logistic regression analyses. DC sign score (aOR: 2.20, 95%CI: 1.22-4.34; p=0.01), tophi score (aOR: 2.16, 95%CI: 1.12-4.18; p=0.02) and PD score (aOR: 1.63, 95%CI: 1.12-2.40; p=0.01) predicted gout flares, whereas aggregates score (aOR: 1.40, 95%CI: 0.94-2.10; p=0.10) did not reach the statistical significance. Similar results were obtained in multivariate Poisson regression models (aIRR for DC score: 1.39, 95%CI: 1.18-1.64, p<0.01, aIRR for tophi score: 1.30, 95%CI: 1.17-1.45, p<0.01, aIRR for PD score: 1.29, 95%CI: 1.19-1.40, p<0.01, aIRR for aggregates score: 1.13, 95%CI: 1.00-1.29, p=0.05).

Conclusion

Baseline US findings indicating MSU deposits and subclinical inflammation are independent predictors of gout flares over 12 months.

References

[1]Gaffo AL, et al. Brief Report: Validation of a Definition of Flare in Patients With Established Gout. Arthritis Rheumatol. 2018;70:462-7.

Disclosure of Interests

None declared

POS0276 TRADITION VS INNOVATION! CONVENTIONAL RADIOGRAPHY AND ULTRASOUND IN THE DIAGNOSIS OF CPPD: INSTRUCTIONS FOR USE

Background

Conventional radiography (CR) is widely used as the first-line investigation for calcium pyrophosphate deposition (CPPD) disease, given its widespread use and the low cost. Next to it a series of advanced imaging techniques have been evaluated for accuracy and reliability. Among them, ultrasound (US) has been thoroughly tested and demonstrated to be accurate and reliable for CPPD diagnosis. However, even if there are data on the diagnostic accuracy of US and CR alone, it is not clear if performing both diagnostic tests and in which sequential order provides an added value for the diagnosis of CPPD.

Objectives

The aim of this study was to assess which diagnostic test performs better for the diagnosis of CPPD and if a combination of the two exams provides an additional value.

Methods

This is an ancillary study of the criterion validity of US in CPPD study1. Consecutive patients with knee osteoarthritis requiring total joint replacement were enrolled in 8 centres. Participants underwent US and CR of the affected knee prior to surgery. US was performed by experienced sonographers following the same scanning protocol described in the main study, while CR were performed in weight bearing AP and lateral views and were read by 2 experienced radiologists that reached a consensus on the presence/absence of CPPD. The evaluation of CPPD at the level of menisci and hyaline cartilage (HC) was based on the OMERACT definitions for US and on the new definitions developed by the ACR/EULAR CPPD classification criteria working group for CR [paper under submission]. Patients were classified as having CPPD considering histological examination as reference standard. Diagnostic indexes were calculated for US and CR alone and combined. Poisson models with robust estimation were used to estimate the best sequence of these diagnostic methods for a more accurate diagnosis of CPPD.

Results

51 pts were enrolled (63% F, mean age 74y ± 8). Diagnostic indexes of US and CR alone and combined are indicated in Table 1. Compared to histology, US demonstrated to be a sensitive tool for identification of CPPD at the knee, with a good sensitivity in all sites and in the overall evaluation. Instead, CR was less sensitive, but it was a highly specific exam for CPPD identification. Combining US and CR led to a higher sensitivity compared with CR alone, but a lower specificity compared to both CR and US alone, and it offered no additional increase in diagnostic accuracy. The Figure 1 shows the results of the appropriate sequence of use of US and CR in patients with suspected CPPD: in case of a positive CR at any of the 3 sites (menisci and HC) no additional exam is necessary, and the same in case of a positive US in at least two sites; however in case of a negative CR, US could help in a statistically significant way to identify CPPD patients, and further in case of a positive US in a single site CR can offer additional information.

Table 1.

diagnostic indexes of US, CR and US + CR in the identification of CPPD. MM: medial meniscus, LM: lateral meniscus, HC: hyaline cartilage, SN: sensitivity, SP: specificity, PPV: positive predictive value, NPV: negative predictive value, ACC: accuracy.

USSNSPPPVNPVACCMM0.880.810.820.880.84LM0.880.730.760.860.80HC0.780.860.820.830.82Overall0.920.640.730.890.78CRMM0.32110.610.67LM0.400.960.910.630.69HC0.480.930.850.680.73Overall0.540.920.880.660.73US + CRMM0.880.810.820.880.84LM0.920.690.740.900.80HC0.870.820.800.890.84Overall0.920.560.670.880.75Figure 1.

evaluation of sequence of US and CR

Conclusion

US confirmed a high diagnostic accuracy in identifying patients affected by CPPD at knee level, while CR demonstrated a high specificity but a low sensitivity. Performing both diagnostic tests could make sense in case of a negative CR or in case of an inconclusive US (only one positive site). To our knowledge, this is the first study that investigates the role of the combination of the two exams in CPPD. Further studies in a large number of patients and in different joints would be helpful to address this point.

References

[1]Filippou G. et al, Ann Rheum Dis, 2020

Disclosure of Interests

None declared

POS1172 RISK OF VENOUS THROMBOEMBOLISM AFTER GOUT FLARES

Background

Several population-based cohort studies have reported an increased risk of venous thromboembolism (VTE) in gout patients. However, none of these studies has investigated the temporal relationship between gout flares and VTE.

Objectives

To explore whether gout flares increase the risk of VTE in the short-term using the self-controlled case series (SCCS) method.

Methods

We identified participants with incident gout from the Clinical Practice Research Datalink (CPRD). Participants having less than one year of registration in CPRD and patients with a history of VTE or anticoagulant prescription more than one year before the first gout consultation were excluded.

Participants with at least one gout flare and a diagnosis of VTE were selected. VTEs and gout flares were ascertained using primary care data, hospitalisation and mortality records, using previously validated algorithms (positive predictive value of 94% for VTE [1] and 68-95% for gout flares [2,3]).

SCCS method involves fitting a Poisson model conditioned on the number of VTEs, and it calculates the adjusted incidence risk ratio (aIRR) and its 95% confidence interval (95%CI) for each stratum of the “at-risk” period as compared with the “baseline” period (Figure 1). The analysis was adjusted for age and calendar season.

Figure 1.

Schematic description of the observation period (“at-risk” and baseline periods).

The “at-risk” period (in red) was defined as the period following the exposure (the gout flare), and it was subdivided as follows: days 0-30, 31-60 and 61-120 after each gout flare. The baseline period (in green) consisted of a pre-exposure and a post-exposure period of 365 days each.

The length of each period varied according to the occurrence of the next flare and its timing. Panel A and panel B provide a schematic representation of patients with a single observation period and with multiple “non-overlapping” observation periods, respectively. In such cases, the length of the “at risk” period was 120 days, while the length of the pre-exposure and post-exposure period was 365 days each.

Results

Among the 104,962 patients with an incident diagnosis of gout in CPRD between 1997 and 2020, we identified 2,678 VTE (4.0 events/1,000 person-years).

There were 53 VTE (13.3 events/month) during the “at-risk” period and 143 (6.0 events/month) during the “baseline” period (crude incidence rate ratio, 1.75; 95%CI: 1.27-2.42). The rates were highest in the first month after gout flares and then fell progressively (Table 1). Sensitivity analyses were consistent with the main analysis (Table 1).

Table 1.Gout flareNumber of events per monthaIRR (95%CI)ptrendMain analysis0-30 days17.02.11 (1.27-3.50)0.0131-60 days14.01.86 (1.07-3.24)61-90 days11.01.50 (0.95-2.37)Baseline period6.0ReferenceSensitivity analysis (excluding participants with risk factors for VTE) [4]0-30 days14.03.13 (1.77-5.53)0.0131-60 days7.01.66 (0.76-3.61)61-90 days8.01.75 (0.94-3.37)Baseline period3.4Reference

Conclusion

A transitory increase in the risk of VTE was observed after gout flares.

References

[1]Huerta C, et al. Risk factors and short-term mortality of venous thromboembolism diagnosed in the primary care setting in the United Kingdom. Arch Intern Med. 2007;167:935-43.

[2]Zheng C, et al. Using natural language processing and machine learning to identify gout flares from electronic clinical notes. Arthritis Care Res (Hoboken). 2014;66:1740-8.

[3]MacFarlane LA, Liu et al. Validation of claims-based algorithms for gout flares. Pharmacoepidemiol Drug Saf. 2016;25:820-6.

[4]Konstantinides SV, et al. 2019 ESC Guidelines for the diagnosis and management of acute pulmonary embolism developed in collaboration with the European Respiratory Society (ERS). Eur Heart J. 2020;41:543-603.

Disclosure of Interests

None declared