Examining mental health and autonomic function as putative mediators of the relationship between sleep and trajectories of cognitive function: findings from the Irish longitudinal study on ageing (TILDA)

OBJECTIVES

This study investigates the mediating roles of autonomic function and mental health in the association between sleep and cognitive decline in adults aged 50 and above.

METHOD

A total of 2,697 participants with observations on sleep and mediators at baseline and repeated measures of cognitive function (MMSE) were included. Clusters of individuals with similar cognitive trajectories (high-stable, mid-stable and low-declining) were identified. Multinomial logistic regressions were used to estimate the likelihood of membership to each trajectory group based on sleep duration and disturbance. Finally, mediation analysis tested potential mediating effects of autonomic function and mental health underpinning the sleep-cognition relationship.

RESULTS

Short (p = .028), long (p =.019), and disturbed sleep (p =.008) increased the likelihood of a low-declining cognitive trajectory. Mental health measures fully attenuated relationships between cognitive decline and short or disturbed sleep but not long sleep. No autonomic function mediation was observed.

CONCLUSION

Older adults with short or disturbed sleep are at risk of cognitive decline due to poor mental health. Individuals with long sleep are also at risk, however, the acting pathways remain to be identified. These outcomes have clinical implications, potentially identifying intervention strategies targeting mental health and sleep as prophylactic measures against dementia.

Social Vulnerability, Frailty and Self-Perceived Health: Findings from The Irish Longitudinal Study on Ageing (TILDA)

BACKGROUND

Social vulnerability interacts with frailty and influences individuals' health status. Although frailty and social vulnerability are highly predictive of adverse outcomes, their relationship with self-perceived health(SPH) has been less investigated.

METHODS

Data are from the Irish Longitudinal Study on Ageing(TILDA), a population-based longitudinal study of ageing. We included 4,222 participants aged ≥50 years (age 61.4±8.5 years;women 56%) from Wave 1 (2009-2011) followed over three longitudinal waves (2012,2014-2015,2016). Participants responded to single questions with five response options to rate their 1)physical health, 2)mental health, and 3)health compared to peers. 30-item Frailty (FI) and Social Vulnerability (SVI) indices were calculated using standardised methods. Multivariable regression analyses were performed to establish the association between FI and SVI cross-sectionally and longitudinally over 6 years.

RESULTS

Cross-sectionally, SVI (mean:0.40±0.08; range:0.14-0.81) and FI (mean: 0.13±0.08; range:0.10-0.58) were modestly correlated (r=0.256), and independently associated with poor physical health (SVI: OR 1.43, 95%CI 1.15-1.78; FI: OR 3.16, 95%CI 2.54-3.93), poor mental health (SVI: OR 1.65, 95%CI 1.17-2.35; FI: OR 3.64, 95%CI 2.53-5.24), and poor health compared to peers (SVI: OR 1.41,95%CI 1.06-1.89; FI: OR 3.86, 95%CI 2.9-5.14). Longitudinally, FI and SVI were independently and positively associated with poor physical health (SVI: β 1.08, 95%CI 0.76-1.39; FI: β 1.97, 95%CI 1.58-2.36), poor mental health (SVI: β 1.18, 95%CI 0.86-1.5; FI: β 1.58, 95%CI 1.2-1.97), and poor overall health compared to peers (SVI: β 0.78, 95%CI 0.89-1.33; FI: β 1.74, 95%CI 0.47-1.1).

CONCLUSIONS

In a large cohort of community-dwelling older adults, frailty and social vulnerability were associated with poor SPH and with risk of SPH decline over six years.

An investigation of what protective individual- and community-level factors are associated with life satisfaction in middle-aged and older family carers in Ireland

Background

Family care plays an essential role in providing care in society. However, caring can cause stress, and mental and physical responses to caring vary widely. Different outcomes for carers may reflect different approaches or adaptability to caring and their ability to maintain or recover their mental health and wellbeing following an adverse event (psychosocial resilience). We aim to identify factors that may promote psychosocial resilience, conceptualized as maintaining or recovering subjective wellbeing and operationalized as satisfaction with life, among carers.

Methods

Data were from 6 Waves (2009-2021) of The Irish Longitudinal Study on Aging (TILDA), a prospective biennial nationally representative longitudinal study of older adults aged ≥50 in Ireland. Family caregiving was assessed in Waves 3-6. Participants were asked if they cared for someone, their relationship to the recipient, and the number of hours per week that they provided care. We used growth mixture modeling to identify latent trajectories of satisfaction with life (SWL) before and after caring was initiated. Regression modeling was then used to identify protective factors (at the individual, family, and community levels) associated with resilient trajectories.

Results

Overall, 731 (12.2%) participants became carers during follow-up. We identified three trajectories in SWL in carers following initiation of caring, namely, Resilient-Stable (81%), Resilient-Recovery (12%), and Non-recovery (6%). Membership in Resilient-Stable and Resilient-Recovery trajectories was associated with fewer depressive symptoms (OR = 0.86, 95% CI 0.78, 0.94) and chronic conditions (OR = 0.21, 95% CI 0.06, 0.74), larger social networks (OR = 2.03, 95% CI 1.06, 3.86), more close friends and relatives (OR = 1.15, 95% CI 1.01, 1.32), and caring for someone other than a child (OR = 0.19, 95% CI 0.07, 0.51) compared to the Non-recovery group.

Conclusion

Becoming a family carer was associated with a decline in SWL over time in some carers. However, most carers either did not experience a decline in SWL or recovered their SWL over time. We found that both individual and community-level supports may be protective for carers' wellbeing. These results will inform the priorities for social and community-level services and support for older carers and contribute to the design of new projects and programs to meet these needs.

The bi-directional association between loneliness and depression among older adults from before to during the COVID-19 pandemic

BACKGROUND

Older adults have both the highest risk of contracting SARS-CoV-2 and in many jurisdictions have had additional restrictions placed on the social interactions. As a result, the COVID-19 pandemic has led to increased depression and loneliness among older adults. Using data from an established cohort of older adults, the aims of this study was to describe changes in loneliness and depression and to examine the directionality of the association between depression and loneliness over a 5-year period that included the early months of the pandemic.

METHODS

Data were from The Irish Longitudinal Study on Ageing (TILDA), a large cohort of community-dwelling adults aged 54+. We applied an auto-regressive cross-lagged panel modelling approach to estimate the effect of depression on loneliness and vice versa over three time points.

RESULTS

Both depression and loneliness increased significantly in the early months of the pandemic. While the association between loneliness and depression was bi-directional, loneliness was a stronger predictor of depression.

CONCLUSION

The strength and bi-directionality of the association between loneliness and depression suggests that interventions to alleviate loneliness may also help reduce depressive symptoms and vice versa.

Religiosity and Quality of Life in Older Christian Women in Ireland: A Mixed Methods Analysis

This study used a mixed methods approach to understand the ways in which religion and quality of life (QoL) are associated in later life in Ireland. Longitudinal quantitative data from 2112 Christian women aged 57 and over at baseline (2009-10) participating in the Irish Longitudinal Study on Ageing (TILDA), as well as qualitative data from semi-structured interviews from 11 Christian women aged 65 and over in 2018, were used. The quantitative data showed an association between lower religiosity and lower QoL. Qualitative data supported an effect of religious involvement on QoL although certain aspects of being religious in Ireland were accompanied by distress. The data suggested that the relationship between religious attendance and higher QoL could be driven by multifactorial pathways, including psychological, social, and practical benefits.

Negative aging perceptions and cognitive and functional decline: Are you as old as you feel?

BACKGROUND

Research has shown the associations between negative aging perceptions and cognitive and physical decline may be mediated through behavioral and psychological pathways, but they are rarely examined simultaneously. We aimed at assessing the difference in the probability of following a high-, mid-, or low-performing cognitive trajectory, and a high- or low-performing physical function trajectory by negative aging perceptions. We sought to test two competing pathway mechanisms for the associations.

METHODS

This longitudinal study used data from the Irish Longitudinal Study on Ageing (TILDA), a nationally representative study of community-dwelling adults in Ireland. Adults aged ≥50 years who participated in two or more waves of TILDA (n = 6121) were included. An analysis of the population aged 65 years and above was also conducted (n = 2359). We identified latent class trajectories of Mini-Mental State Examination (MMSE), Instrumental Activities of Daily Living (IADL), ADL, and Timed-Up-and-Go (TUG) performance using Latent Growth Class Analysis (LGCA) on data collected every 2 years over 5 waves. Multinomial logistic regression was used to estimate the likelihood of membership to each trajectory class by negative aging perceptions (APQ). Finally, we tested possible behavioral, psychological, and social mechanisms.

RESULTS

LCGA identified three trajectory classes in cognitive and two in each physical function measure. People with the highest tertile of negative APQ were more likely to be in the declining MMSE class and the increasing IADL, ADL, and TUG classes. These associations for cognitive function were partially mediated by psychosocial pathways and for physical function were fully mediated by both psychosocial and health behavior pathways.

CONCLUSIONS

Negative aging perceptions were associated with cognitive and physical function declines. Poor self-rated health, depressive symptoms, loneliness, and low exercise seem to explain the relationships; however, the possibility of reverse causation remains.

Higher Parity Is Associated With Lower Mortality in a European Population of Women With High Fertility: Results From Ireland

Research has often found a U- or J-shaped association between parity and mortality. Many researchers have suggested repeated pregnancy, childbirth, and lactation taxes the body beyond a certain parity level. Available research has concentrated on populations with controlled fertility or historic populations. Ireland presents an opportunity to explore these associations in a modern sample with high fertility. We use data from the Irish Longitudinal Study on Ageing (TILDA) to test whether parity is associated with mortality in women aged 50 years or over (n = 4177). We use Cox proportional hazards models to model survival and adjust for demographics and early life circumstances. We test whether a number of health characteristics mediate these effects. Models were also stratified by birth cohort to test possible cohort effects. Higher parity was associated with lower risk of mortality, even after adjustment for early life and socioeconomic circumstances. This effect was not mediated by current health characteristics. The effects were largely driven by those born between 1931 and 1950. Increasing parity is associated with decreasing mortality risk in this sample. The effects of parity could not be explained through any of the observed health characteristics. These findings are in contrast to much of the literature on this question in similar populations. Lack of fertility control in Ireland may have "selected" healthier women into high parity. Social explanations for these associations should be further explored.

Study protocol for TILDA COVID-19 survey. Altered lives in a time of crisis: preparing for recovery from the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the lives of older adults

Background: Older adults are the most at-risk of contracting severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), and among the most affected by measures put in place to prevent the spread of the virus. While the full effect of the public health measures, such as social distancing and wearing masks in public spaces, implemented since March 2020 are not yet known, it is expected that they will have a severely damaging effect on physical and psychological wellbeing. The Irish Longitudinal Study on Ageing (TILDA) has been researching the lives of older adults in Ireland since 2008 with data collection conducted at two-year intervals. With an established research infrastructure, TILDA was ideally placed to examine the effect of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic on older adults. The aim of this study is to document the lives of older adults during the COVID-19 pandemic to understand the effect of the pandemic and public health responses on their wellbeing. Methods: Data was collected from TILDA participants via self-completion-questionnaire (SCQ). The SCQ contains ten sections that capture information on many aspects of people’s lives during the pandemic including, changes in behaviour and social interactions, physical and psychological wellbeing indicators, healthcare utilisation, and exposure to SARS-CoV-2. Ethical approval was granted by the National Research Ethics Committee (NREC). Conclusions: Research findings will be shared in a variety of formats including research reports and briefs, presentations, and academic papers. Data will be archived in the Irish Social Science Data Archive (ISSDA) and the Inter-university Consortium for Political and Social Research (ICPSR). As well as documenting the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on older adults, findings from this study will provide important information to policy-makers as we respond to the damage caused by the COVID-19 pandemic.

Translating Frailty Assessment Methodologies and Research-based Evidence to Clinical Education and Practice

Frailty is a common clinical syndrome that predisposes older adults to an increased risk of adverse health outcomes. With population aging, this will become an increasing challenge for the healthcare services; therefore, different models of healthcare training and provision are required to address these increasing demands. In Ireland, the National Clinical Programme for Older People (NCPOP) has partnered with The Irish Longitudinal Study on Ageing (TILDA) to deliver the National Frailty Education Programme. This demonstrates an innovative way in which evidence-based longitudinal research can be translated into clinical education and practice to improve patient care, following a Knowledge to Action (KTA) process. To the authors' knowledge, it is the first time that a longitudinal research study such as TILDA has employed such methods of translation and therefore, this collaboration could serve as an international model of translation and implementation for frailty and other areas of clinical priority.

End-of-life experience for older adults in Ireland: results from the Irish longitudinal study on ageing (TILDA)

BACKGROUND

End-of-life experience is a subject of significant policy interest. National longitudinal studies offer valuable opportunities to examine individual-level experiences. Ireland is an international leader in palliative and end-of-life care rankings. We aimed to describe the prevalence of modifiable problems (pain, falls, depression) in Ireland, and to evaluate associations with place of death, healthcare utilisation, and formal and informal costs in the last year of life.

METHODS

The Irish Longitudinal Study on Ageing (TILDA) is a nationally representative sample of over-50-year-olds, recruited in Wave 1 (2009-2010) and participating in biannual assessment. In the event of a participant's death, TILDA approaches a close relative or friend to complete a voluntary interview on end-of-life experience. We evaluated associations using multinomial logistic regression for place of death, ordinary least squares for utilisation, and generalised linear models for costs. We identified 14 independent variables for regressions from a rich set of potential predictors. Of 516 confirmed deaths between Waves 1 and 3, the analytic sample contained 375 (73%) decedents for whom proxies completed an interview.

RESULTS

There was high prevalence of modifiable problems pain (50%), depression (45%) and falls (41%). Those with a cancer diagnosis were more likely to die at home (relative risk ratio: 2.5; 95% CI: 1.3-4.8) or in an inpatient hospice (10.2; 2.7-39.2) than those without. Place of death and patterns of health care use were determined not only by clinical need, but other factors including age and household structure. Unpaid care accounted for 37% of all care received but access to this care, as well as place of death, may be adversely affected by living alone or in a rural area. Deficits in unpaid care are not balanced by higher formal care use.

CONCLUSIONS

Despite Ireland's well-established palliative care services, clinical need is not the sole determinant of end-of-life experience. Cancer diagnosis and access to family supports were additional key determinants. Future policy reforms should revisit persistent inequities by diagnosis, which may be mitigated through comprehensive geriatric assessment in hospitals. Further consideration of policies to support unpaid carers is also warranted.

Orthostatic blood pressure variability is associated with lower visual contrast sensitivity function: Findings from The Irish Longitudinal Study on Aging

BACKGROUND

Hypertension is established to cause vascular end-organ damage. Other forms of dysregulated blood pressure (BP) behaviour, such as orthostatic hypotension have also been associated with cardiovascular (CV) events. The eye is potentially vulnerable to dysregulated systemic BP if ocular circulation autoregulation is impaired. We investigated whether phenotypes of abnormal BP stabilisation after orthostasis, an autonomic stressor, had a relationship with contrast sensitivity (CS), an outcome measure of subtle psychophysical visual function.

METHODS

This was a cross-sectional study from wave 1 of The Irish Longitudinal Study on Ageing (TILDA). From beat-to-beat orthostatic BP (BP), measured by digital photoplethysmography during active stand, 4 phenotypes have been defined 1) normal stabilisation 2) orthostatic hypotension, 3) orthostatic hypertension 4) BP variability. Contrast sensitivity was measured using a Functional Visual Analyzer. Multivariable linear regression models investigated the relationship between orthostatic BP phenotypes and contrast sensitivity in 4289 adults aged ≥50 years adjusting for, demographics, cardiovascular risk factors, self-reported eye pathologies, objective hypertension and antihypertensives. A sensitivity analysis adjusted for age-related macular degeneration, glaucoma, diabetic retinopathy and maculopathy identified on retinal photographs. Finally models were compared, adjusting for alternative measures of cataract versus not, to examine the potential effect of cataract on any associations.

RESULTS

Systolic orthostatic BP variability was associated with worse contrast sensitivity, in the primary and the sensitivity analysis. Adjusting for alternative measures of clinical cataract attenuated the association by 18%.

CONCLUSIONS

Orthostatic BP variability is associated with worse contrast sensitivity, independent of hypertension and retinal pathology and may be a cardiovascular biomarker of early ocular pathology.

Choice and Constraint in the Negotiation of the Grandparent Role: A Mixed-Methods Study

Few studies have examined how the allocation and consequences of grandchild care vary across different socioeconomic groups. We analyze qualitative data alongside data from The Irish Longitudinal Study on Ageing (TILDA), in a convergent mixed-methods approach. Regression models examined characteristics associated with grandchild care, and the relationship between grandchild care and depressive symptoms and well-being. Qualitative data shed light on processes and choices that explain patterns of grandchild care provision. Tertiary-educated grandparents provided less intensive grandchild care compared with primary educated. Qualitative data indicated that this pattern stems from early boundary-drawing among higher educated grandparents while lower socioeconomic groups were constrained and less able to say no. Intensive grandchild care was associated with more depressive symptoms and lower well-being and was moderated by participation in social activities and level of education attainment. The effect of grandchild care on well-being of grandparents depends on whether it is provided by choice or obligation.

Neurocardiovascular instability may modulate end-organ damage: A review of this hypothesis investigating the eye and manifestations of NCVI

Neurocardiovascular instability (NCVI) represents age-related changes in blood pressure and heart rate behaviour. It has been associated with increased leukoaraiosis in the brain and also conditions which are likely to be are related to cerebral end-organ damage, such as stroke and falls. The eye is a 'window' into the brain and cardiovascular (CV) system, changes in retinal microvasculature being independently predictive of cardiovascular events. The eye is highly vascular, having two circulatory systems and as such the ideal target end-organ to investigate NCVI and early end-organ damage. The retinal and choroidal circulations of the eye would be vulnerable to NCVI if ocular vasoregulation becomes impaired with age, particularly given the high metabolic activity of the retina. The choroid is predominantly extrinsically regulated by the autonomic nervous system. In patients with NCVI, autonomic dysfunction is more common and thus impairment of the tightly regulated ocular microcirculation may indeed be compromised. We review the evidence for the hypothesis that NCVI may modulate end-organ cardiovascular pathology and that the eye is the ideal target organ to monitor this.

Risky sexual behaviour in context: qualitative results from an investigation into risk factors for seroconversion among gay men who test for HIV

OBJECTIVES

The INSIGHT case-control study confirmed that HIV serodiscordant unprotected anal intercourse (SdUAI) remains the primary risk factor for HIV infection in gay men in England. This paper uses qualitative follow-up data to examine the contexts of SdUAI and other risk factors among the case-control study participants.

METHODS

In-depth interviews were conducted with 26 recent HIV seroconverters and 22 non-converters. Purposive selection was used to provide diversity in demographics and sexual behaviour and to facilitate exploration of risk factors identified in the case-control study.

RESULTS

Condoms were perceived as barriers to intimacy, trust and spontaneity. The potential consequences of the loss of these were traded off against the consequences of HIV infection. Previous negative HIV tests and the adoption of risk reduction strategies diminished the perceived threat of HIV infection, supporting beliefs that HIV was something that happened to others. Depression and low self-esteem, often combined with use of alcohol or other drugs, led to further risk taking and loss of control over risk reduction strategies.

CONCLUSIONS

A range of psychosocial reasons led some men to engage in UAI with serodiscordant or unknown partners, despite high levels of risk awareness. Men in their mid-life, those in serodiscordant relationships and men that had experienced bereavement or other significant, negative, life events revealed factors related to these circumstances that contributed to increases in risky UAI. A diverse portfolio of interventions is required to build confidence and control over safer sex practices that are responsive to gay men's wider emotional needs.

Sexual behaviour and HIV infection in black-Africans in England: results from the Mayisha II survey of sexual attitudes and lifestyles

OBJECTIVES

To estimate HIV prevalence and the distribution of high risk sexual behaviours, sexual health service use, and HIV testing among black Africans aged 16 years or over in England. To determine demographic, behavioural and service use factors associated with HIV prevalence.

METHODS

A cross-sectional community-based survey (Mayisha II) in London, Luton and the West Midlands. A short (24-item) anonymous self-completion questionnaire with linked voluntary anonymous oral fluid sampling, using an Orasure device for HIV testing.

RESULTS

A total of 1359 eligible black African men (51.9%) and women (48.1%) were recruited, of whom 74% (1006) provided a sufficient oral fluid sample for HIV testing. 42.9% of men and 50.9% of women reported ever having had an HIV test. Overall, 14.0% (141, 95% CI 11.9 to 16.3) of respondents tested HIV positive (13.1% of men and 15.0% of women); 9.2% (93) had undiagnosed HIV infection, while 4.8% (48) had a diagnosed HIV infection. HIV prevalence was significantly higher in men: born in East Africa; who had had a previous STI diagnosis; or who were recruited in bars and clubs; and in women: born in East or Southern Africa; aged 25 years and over; who had had two new sexual partners in the past 12 months; or who had had a previous STI diagnosis.

CONCLUSIONS

Despite about half the sample having had an HIV test at some time in the past, 9.2% of respondents had an undiagnosed HIV infection. This study supports current policy efforts to further promote HIV testing and serostatus awareness.

Factors associated with HIV seroconversion in gay men in England at the start of the 21st century

OBJECTIVES

To detect and quantify current risk factors for HIV seroconversion among gay men seeking repeat tests at sexual health clinics.

DESIGN

Unmatched case control study conducted in London, Brighton and Manchester, UK.

METHODS

75 cases (recent HIV positive test following a negative test within the past 2 years) and 157 controls (recent HIV negative test following a previous negative test within the past 2 years) completed a computer-assisted self interview focused on sexual behaviour and lifestyle between HIV tests.

RESULTS

Cases and controls were similar in socio-demographics, years since commencing sex with men, lifetime number of HIV tests, reasons for seeking their previous HIV tests and the interval between last HIV tests (mean = 10.5 months). Risk factors between tests included unprotected receptive anal intercourse (URAI) with partners not believed to be HIV negative (adjusted odds ratio (AOR) and 95% confidence interval 4.1, 1.8 to 9.3), where increased risk was associated with concomitant use of nitrite inhalants, receiving ejaculate and increasing numbers of partners. Independent risk was also detected for unprotected insertive anal intercourse (UIAI) with more than one man (AOR 2.7, 1.3 to 5.5) and use of nitrite inhalants (AOR 2.4, 1.1 to 5.2).

CONCLUSIONS

HIV serodiscordant unprotected anal intercourse remains the primary context for HIV transmission among gay men, with increased risk associated with being the receptive partner, receiving ejaculate and use of nitrite inhalants. Although the HIV transmission risk of URAI is widely acknowledged, this study highlights the risk of UIAI and that nitrite inhalants may be an important facilitator of transmission when HIV exposure occurs.

Mayisha II: Pilot of a community-based survey of sexual attitudes and lifestyles and anonymous HIV testing within African communities in London

The pilot aim was to assess the feasibility and acceptability of undertaking anonymous HIV testing using oral fluid samples as part of a community-based survey of sexual attitudes and lifestyles of black African communities in London. The three components of the study were administered in various venues across London: (1) a cross-sectional self-completion anonymous questionnaire survey, (2) an optional oral fluid sample for anonymous HIV testing and (3) a nested in-depth interview study in a sub-set of respondents. A total of 114 black African men and women were recruited. A large number of African countries were represented among respondents from newly-migrant and well-established communities. The response rate to the oral fluid sample was high at 82% and all samples collected were of sufficient quality to be tested for HIV. In-depth interviews with respondents revealed positive views and experiences about participating in the study whilst understanding of the questionnaire was good. We therefore conclude that anonymous HIV testing as part of a community-based survey is feasible and acceptable, whilst a set of recommendations was produced to refine the survey methodology and questionnaire. Participatory research methods are essential for achieving successful community-based surveys among black Africans in Britain.

Estimating adult HIV prevalence in the UK in 2003: the direct method of estimation

BACKGROUND

Estimates of the total number of prevalent HIV infections attributable to the major routes of infection make an important contribution to public health policy, as they are used for planning services.

METHODS

In the UK, estimates were derived through the "direct method" which estimated the total number of diagnosed and undiagnosed HIV infections in the population. The direct method has been improved over a number of years since first used in 1994, as further data became available such as the inclusion of newly available behavioural survey data both from the National Survey of Sexual Attitudes and Lifestyles (Natsal 2000) and community surveys of men who have sex with men (MSM). These data were used to re-estimate numbers of people unaware of their infection and provided ethnic breakdowns within behavioural categories. The total population was divided into 10 mutually exclusive behavioural categories relevant to HIV risk in the UK-for example, MSM and injecting drug users. Estimates of the population size within each group were derived from Natsal 2000 and National Statistics mid-year population estimates. The total number of undiagnosed HIV infections was calculated by multiplying the undiagnosed HIV prevalence for each group, derived from the Unlinked Anonymous HIV Prevalence Monitoring Programme surveys (UAPMP), by the population size. These estimates were then added to the prevalent diagnosed HIV infections within each group derived from the national census of diagnosed HIV infections, the Survey of Prevalent HIV Infections Diagnosed (SOPHID). The estimates were then adjusted to include all adults in the UK. Because undiagnosed HIV prevalence estimates were not available for each of the behavioural categories, the UAPMP prevalence estimates were adjusted using available data to provide the best estimates for each group.

RESULTS

It is estimated that 53,000 individuals are infected with HIV in the UK in 2003, of whom 27% were unaware of their infection. Of the total of 53,000, an estimated 26,000 were among heterosexually infected and 24,500 among MSM.

CONCLUSION

The direct method uses an explicit framework and data from different components of the HIV surveillance system to estimate HIV prevalence in the UK, allowing for a comprehensive picture of the epidemic.

Investigating the relationship between HIV testing and risk behaviour in Britain: National Survey of Sexual Attitudes and Lifestyles 2000

OBJECTIVES

To estimate the prevalence of, and identify factors associated with, HIV testing in Britain.

DESIGN

A large, stratified probability sample survey of sexual attitudes and lifestyles.

METHODS

A total of 12,110 16-44 year olds completed a computer-assisted face-to-face interview and self-interview. Self-reports of HIV testing, i.e. the timing, reasons for and location of testing, were included.

RESULTS

A total of 32.4% of men and 31.7% of women reported ever having had an HIV test, the majority of whom were tested through blood donation. When screening for blood donation and pregnancy were excluded, 9.0% of men and 4.6% of women had had a voluntary confidential HIV test (VCT) in the past 5 years. However, one third of injecting drug users and men who have sex with men had a VCT in the past 5 years. VCT in the past 5 years was significantly associated with age, residence, ethnicity, self-perceived HIV risk, reporting greater numbers of sexual partners, new sexual partners from abroad, previous sexually transmitted infection diagnosis, and injecting non-prescribed drugs for men and women, and same-sex partners (men only). Whereas sexually transmitted disease clinics were important sites for VCT, general practice accounted for almost a quarter of VCT.

CONCLUSION

HIV testing is relatively common in Britain; however, it remains largely associated with population-based blood donation and antenatal screening programmes. In contrast, VCT remains highly associated with high-risk (sexual or drug-injecting) behaviours or population sub-groups at high risk. Strategies to reduce undiagnosed prevalent HIV infection will require further normalization and wider uptake of HIV testing.

Recent trends in diagnoses of HIV and other sexually transmitted infections in England and Wales among men who have sex with men

OBJECTIVES

To examine trends in rates of diagnoses of HIV and other sexually transmitted infections (STIs) in men who have sex with men (MSM) in England and Wales between 1997 and 2002.

METHODS

Estimates of the MSM population living in England and Wales, London and the rest of England and Wales were applied to surveillance data, providing rates of diagnoses of HIV and STIs and age group specific rates for HIV and uncomplicated gonorrhoea.

RESULTS

Between 1997 and 2002, rates of diagnoses of HIV and acute STIs in MSM increased substantially. Rates in London were higher than elsewhere. Rises in acute STIs were similar throughout England and Wales, except for uncomplicated gonorrhoea and infectious syphilis, with greater increases outside London. Rates of gonorrhoea diagnoses doubled between 1999 and 2001 (661/100,000, 1271/100,000, p<0.001) in England and Wales followed by a slight decline to 1210/100,000 (p=0.03) in 2002-primarily the result of a decline in diagnoses among men aged 25-34 (1340/100,000, 1128/100,000, p<0.001) and 35-44 (924/100,000, 863/100,000, p=0.03) in London. HIV was the third most common STI diagnosed in MSM in England and Wales and the second in London, with the highest rate (1286/100,000) found among men aged 35-44 in London in 2002.

CONCLUSIONS

Rates of diagnosis of HIV and other STIs have increased substantially among MSM in England and Wales. Increases show heterogeneity by infection, geography, and age over time. Rates in London were twice those seen elsewhere, with greatest changes over time. The observed changes reflect concomitant increases in high risk behaviour documented in behavioural surveillance survey programmes.

Recent trends in HIV and other STIs in the United Kingdom: data to the end of 2002

Sexual health in the United Kingdom has deteriorated in recent years with further increases in HIV and other sexually transmitted infections (STIs) reported in 2002. This paper describes results from the available surveillance data in the United Kingdom from the Health Protection Agency and its national collaborators. The data sources range from voluntary reports of HIV/AIDS from clinicians, CD4 cell count monitoring, a national census of individuals living with HIV, and the Unlinked Anonymous Programme, to statutory reports of STIs from genitourinary medicine (GUM) clinics and enhanced STI surveillance systems. In 2002, an estimated 49500 adults aged over 15 years were living with HIV in the United Kingdom, of whom 31% were unaware of their infection. Diagnoses of new HIV infections have doubled from 1997 to 2002, mainly driven by heterosexuals who acquired their infection abroad. HIV transmission also continues within the United Kingdom, particularly among homo/bisexual men who, in 2002, accounted for 80% of all newly diagnosed HIV infections acquired in the United Kingdom. New diagnoses of syphilis have increased eightfold, and diagnoses of chlamydia and gonorrhoea have doubled from 1997 to 2002 overall; STI rates disproportionately affect homo/bisexual men and young people. Effective surveillance is essential in the provision of timely information on the changing epidemiology of HIV and other STIs; this information is necessary for the targeting of prevention efforts and through providing baseline information against which progress towards targets can be monitored.

Trends in, and determinants of, HIV testing at genitourinary medicine clinics and general practice in England, 1990-2000

OBJECTIVES

To describe the trends in and determinants of HIV testing and positivity at genitourinary medicine (GUM) clinics and in general practice (GP) in England between 1990 and 2000.

METHODS

Data on all first HIV specimens from GUM and GP clinics and tested at seven sentinel laboratories were related to key demographic, clinical, and behavioural variables.

RESULTS

During the observation period, 202 892 eligible first HIV tests were reported. 90% (182 746) of specimens were from GUM clinics, of which 55% were from heterosexuals, 12% from men who have sex with men (MSM), and 3% from injecting drug users (IDU). In contrast, only 3% of GP specimens were from MSM and 13% from IDUs. The total number of first HIV tests increased threefold between 1990 and 2000. Overall, 1.6% of GUM and 0.9% of GP first testers were diagnosed HIV positive. In GUM clinics, HIV positivity was highest among heterosexuals who have lived in Africa (11.7%), MSM (6.9%), and IDUs (2.8%) and lowest among heterosexuals with no other specified risk (0.3%). Consistently lower prevalences were observed in GP settings. HIV positivity among GUM first testers declined in MSM, from 13.6% in 1990 to 5.2% in 2000 (p<0.01), and in IDUs, from 7.5% in 1990 to 2.0% in 2000 (p = 0.03). Prevalence remained constant in the groups heterosexually exposed to HIV infection.

CONCLUSIONS

HIV testing in GUM settings increased over the decade, with a concomitant reduction in HIV positivity among MSM and IDUs. Increased testing among heterosexual first testers overall was not associated with declining positivity.

A comparison of sexual behaviour and attitudes of healthy adolescents in a Danish high school in 1982, 1996, and 2001

AIM: To assess changes in sexual behaviour among students at a high school in Denmark from 1982 to 2001. METHODS: An anonymous self-administered questionnaire was used to compare data from three identical cross-sectional surveys performed in 1982, 1996, and 2001. RESULTS: Girls: More girls reported their first sexual intercourse before their 16th birthday in 2001 (42%) than in 1996 (29%) In 1982 it was also 42% (Chi-square for trend: p = 0.003). Fewer girls with no regular partner used condoms for their personal protection in 2001 (2%) than in 1996 (9%) and 1982 (0%) (Chi-square for trend p = 0.016). The proportion of girls with no regular partner who considered protection from sexually transmitted disease important for their choice of contraception was 39% in 2001 compared with 71% in 1996 and only 10% in 1982 (Chi-square for trend: p < 0.0001).Boys: More boys reported sexual debut before their 16th birthday in 2001 (40%) than in 1996 (37%) and 1982 (24%) (Chi-square for trend: p = 0.023). For boys with no regular partner, condom was preferred for personal protection by 85% in 2001, 91% in 1996 and 61% in 1982 (Chi-square for trend p = 0.007). Protection against sexually transmitted infection declined, especially among boys with no regular partner, from 51% in 2001 to 72% in 1996 and 21% in 1982 Chi-square for trend: p < 0.0001).The tendency towards earlier sexual debut and less use of safe sex practices to protect against sexually transmitted infections (STI) was accompanied by a rise in the number of detected STIs during this period. CONCLUSIONS: The period from 1982 to 1996 during which sexual attitudes were directed toward safer sex seems to have given way to a reverse trend in the period from 1996 to 2001. These findings may have significant implications for health care authorities organising preventive strategies for healthy adolescents.

Behavioural surveillance: the value of national coordination

Behavioural surveillance programmes have enabled the description of population patterns of risk behaviours for STI and HIV transmission and aid in the understanding of how epidemics of STI are generated. They have been instrumental in helping to refine public health interventions and inform the targeting of sexual health promotion and disease control strategies. The formalization and coordination of behavioural surveillance in England and Wales could optimise our ability to measure the impact of interventions and health promotion strategies on behaviour. This will be particularly useful for monitoring the progress towards specific disease control targets set in the Department of Health's new Sexual Health and HIV Strategy.

Trends in undiagnosed HIV-1 infection among attenders at genitourinary medicine clinics, England, Wales, and Northern Ireland: 1990-6

OBJECTIVE

To describe trends in seroprevalence of undiagnosed HIV-1 infection among attenders at 15 genitourinary medicine clinics in England, Wales, and Northern Ireland between 1990 and 1996.

METHOD

Prospective, cross sectional sentinel serosurvey. Unlinked anonymous testing of remnant serum drawn for routine syphilis screening.

RESULTS

In 1996, the seroprevalence of undiagnosed HIV-1 infection was 5% in homosexual men, 0.48% in heterosexual men, and 0.33% in heterosexual women. Between 1990 and 1996, there was a significant linear decrease in the seroprevalence of undiagnosed HIV-1 infection among homosexual and bisexual men within and outside London (p < 0.0001; p = 0.0141), equivalent to yearly decreases of 7.65% and 10.73% respectively. However, seroprevalence among homosexual and bisexual men under 25 years of age did not decline either inside or outside London. Seroprevalence among heterosexual men declined outside London (p < 0.005), equivalent to an average annual decrease of 14.54%. There was a significant increase among male heterosexuals inside London (p < 0.05) equivalent to a 8.09% increase per annum. Seroprevalence over time was unchanging among female heterosexuals both inside and outside London. Seroprevalence was significantly higher among those who injected drugs than those who did not report injecting in the following groups: homosexual and bisexual males within London (p < 0.005), male heterosexuals both within and outside London (p < 0.05; p < 0.05) and female heterosexuals within London (p < 0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

The study highlights a significant burden of undiagnosed HIV-1 infection more than 15 years since the HIV epidemic began. Methods of offering HIV testing need to be reassessed to extend the practice of routinely testing for HIV in GUM clinics. HIV transmission among young homosexual and bisexual men continues. The contrasting trends between homosexual and bisexual men, injecting drug users, and heterosexuals attending GUM clinics indicate these groups should be considered separately. The substantial HIV seroprevalence in each group indicates that they should be priorities for targeted HIV prevention.

Prevalence of HIV-1 among attenders at sexually transmitted disease clinics: analyses according to country of birth

OBJECTIVES

To determine the importance of world region of birth as a risk factor for HIV-1 infection, the likelihood of having an HIV-1 infection diagnosed and the likelihood of having another coexisting acute sexually transmitted infection (STI) among attenders at genitourinary medicine clinics.

SUBJECTS

Specimens from attenders having routine syphilis serology at 15 sexually transmitted disease clinics in England, Wales, and Northern Ireland participating in the unliked anonymous seroprevalence monitoring programme from 1994 to 1996.

METHODS

Limited data were collected with specimens that were irreversibly unlinked from the source patients before testing for antibodies to HIV-1. Numbers of specimens, the prevalence of HIV-1, the proportions of infections clinically diagnosed, and the presence of coexisting acute STIs were analysed according to world region of birth, sexual orientation, and injecting drug use.

RESULTS

Between 1994 and 1996, 173,075 specimens were collected; 16.9% were from people born outside the United Kingdom. Risk of being HIV-1 positive was significantly higher overall for both men and women born abroad, but this was not the case for those born in south Asia (India, Pakistan, and Bangladesh). Homosexual and bisexual males born abroad were almost twice as likely to be HIV infected as their counterparts born in the United Kingdom. However, homosexual and bisexual men born in the United Kingdom accounted for almost three quarters of the 1174 HIV-1 positive specimens detected. Among 158,728 non-drug injecting heterosexuals the highest prevalence was observed in specimens from those men (4.0%) and women (5.8%) born in sub-Saharan Africa. The 6991 heterosexual men and women born in other European countries were also more likely to provide HIV-1 positive specimens than UK born heterosexuals. However, 39% of the HIV-1 positive specimens in heterosexuals come from clinic attenders born in the United Kingdom. Heterosexual males were generally less likely to have their infection diagnosed than females. There were 182 attendances (mostly from London clinics) non-drug injecting heterosexual men and women who were infected with both HIV-1 and an acute sexually transmitted infection; only 12% of whom had had their HIV-1 infection diagnosed.

CONCLUSION

Among most people attending genitourinary medicine clinics, being born abroad is associated with an increased likelihood for HIV-1 infection. HIV-1 infected heterosexuals, of whom 46% are people from sub-Saharan Africa, are unlikely to have their infection clinically diagnosed and thus are unable to obtain appropriate treatment. The presence of HIV-1 infected heterosexual men and women with acute STI represents a potential source of heterosexual HIV transmission both for those born in the United Kingdom and born abroad.