Hospitalization and mortality for acute exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD): an Italian population-based study

OBJECTIVE

Patients with acute exacerbation of Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease (COPD) have a significant mortality and morbidity. Previous studies have identified a number of independent prognostic factors. However, information on hospital admission databases is limited and data regarding short-term prognosis of these patients in Italian hospitals are lacking. Thus, we performed an epidemiological study on hospital admission for COPD acute exacerbation in Italy.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Patients were identified using clinical Modification (ICD-9-CM) codes. Information was collected on baseline characteristics, vital status at discharge, duration of hospitalization, and up to five secondary discharge diagnoses. Comorbidity was evaluated using the Charlson comorbidity index (CCI).

RESULTS

During the observation period (2013-2014), 170,684 patients with COPD acute exacerbation were hospitalized. Mean length of hospitalization (LOH) was 9.95±8.69 days and mean in-hospital mortality was 5.30%. These data correspond to the 4.1% of all hospitalizations and to the 2.8% of all the days of hospitalization in Italy during the study period. In-hospital mortality and LOH varied among different regions (from 3.13 to 7.59% and from 8.22 to 11.28 days respectively). Old age, male gender, low discharge volume, previous hospitalization for COPD exacerbation and CCI resulted as significantly associated with higher in-hospital mortality.

CONCLUSIONS

Hospitalization for COPD exacerbation is extremely frequent even in contemporary Italian population. COPD exacerbation is clinically demanding with a not negligible short-term mortality rate and a mean LOH approaching 10 days. These latter findings were quite variable in different regions but should be further analyzed to set up appropriate health-care policies on COPD patients.

Comparative clinical prognosis of massive and non-massive pulmonary embolism: A registry-based cohort study

AIMS

Little is known about the prognosis of patients with massive pulmonary embolism (PE) and its risk of recurrent venous thromboembolism (VTE) compared with non-massive PE, which may inform clinical decisions. Our aim was to compare the risk of recurrent VTE, bleeding, and mortality after massive and non-massive PE during anticoagulation and after its discontinuation.

METHODS AND RESULTS

We included all participants in the RIETE registry who suffered a symptomatic, objectively confirmed segmental or more central PE. Massive PE was defined by a systolic hypotension at clinical presentation (<90 mm Hg). We compared the risks of recurrent VTE, major bleeding, and mortality using time-to-event multivariable competing risk modeling. There were 3.5% of massive PE among 38 996 patients with PE. During the anticoagulation period, massive PE was associated with a greater risk of major bleeding (subhazard ratio [sHR] 1.72, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.28-2.32), but not of recurrent VTE (sHR 1.15, 95% CI 0.75-1.74) than non-massive PE. An increased risk of mortality was only observed in the first month after PE. After discontinuation of anticoagulation, among 11 579 patients, massive PE and non-massive PE had similar risks of mortality, bleeding, and recurrent VTE (sHR 0.85, 95% CI 0.51-1.40), but with different case fatality of recurrent PE (11.1% versus 2.4%, P = .03) and possibly different risk of recurrent fatal PE (sHR 3.65, 95% CI 0.82-16.24).

CONCLUSION

In this large prospective registry, the baseline hemodynamic status of the incident PE did not influence the risk of recurrent VTE, during and after the anticoagulation periods, but was possibly associated with recurrent PE of greater severity.

What gastroenterologists should know about direct oral anticoagulants

Direct oral anticoagulants are being increasingly used in patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation and venous thromboembolism, due to their improved efficacy/ safety ratio, a predictable anticoagulant effect without need for routine coagulation monitoring, and fewer food and drug interactions compared with vitamin K antagonists. Gastrointestinal bleeding remains a serious complication, whose management is challenging for gastroenterologists due to the lack of a standardized clinical approach. Clinical experience on periendoscopic management of these drugs is still limited and there is a paucity of clinical data supporting guidelines recommendations', and this ultimately turns out in different, unsubstantiated and potentially harmful practices of patient management. Present study will provide a thorough revision on the risk of GI bleeding for DOAC therapy and the identification of patient risk factors to individualize treatment. Moreover, the approach to management of DOACs in case of bleeding complications is discussed, and an algorithm of different strategies in presence or not of plasma level measurement is proposed. Finally the periendoscopic management for elective procedures will be reviewed, at the light of the guideline recommendations and new evidences from observational studies.

Diabetes and CoViD-19: Experience from the frontline of Internal Medicine wards in Italy

Available data suggest that the issue of CoViD-19 is particularly critical in patients with diabetes. In Italy, Internal Medicine (IM) wards have played a pivotal role in contrasting the spread of SARS-Cov2. During this pandemic, FADOI submitted a brief questionnaire to a group of its members acting as Head of IM units. Considering 38 units, 58% of beds dedicated to CoViD patients in CoViD Hospitals were in charge of IM, and globally cared for 6650 patients during a six-week period. Of these patients, 1264 (19%) had diabetes. Mortality rate in CoViD patients with or without diabetes were 20.5% and 14%, respectively (p < 0.001). Our survey seems to confirm that diabetes is a major comorbidity of CoViD-19, but it does not support an increased incidence of CoViD-19 infection in people with diabetes, if compared with the figures of patients with diabetes and hospitalized before the outbreak. On the other side, patients with diabetes appeared at a significantly increased risk of worse outcome. This finding underlines the importance of paying special attention to this patient population and its management.

D-dimer levels and risk of recurrence following provoked venous thromboembolism: findings from the RIETE registry

BACKGROUND

Patients with venous thromboembolism (VTE) secondary to transient risk factors may develop VTE recurrences after discontinuing anticoagulation. Identifying at-risk patients could help to guide the duration of therapy.

METHODS

We used the RIETE database to assess the prognostic value of d-dimer testing after discontinuing anticoagulation to identify patients at increased risk for recurrences. Transient risk factors were classified as major (postoperative) or minor (pregnancy, oestrogen use, immobilization or recent travel).

RESULTS

In December 2018, 1655 VTE patients with transient risk factors (major 460, minor 1195) underwent d-dimer measurements after discontinuing anticoagulation. Amongst patients with major risk factors, the recurrence rate was 5.74 (95% CI: 3.19-9.57) events per 100 patient-years in those with raised d-dimer levels and 2.68 (95% CI: 1.45-4.56) in those with normal levels. Amongst patients with minor risk factors, the rates were 7.79 (95% CI: 5.71-10.4) and 3.34 (95% CI: 2.39-4.53), respectively. Patients with major risk factors and raised d-dimer levels (n = 171) had a nonsignificantly higher rate of recurrences (hazard ratio [HR]: 2.14; 95% CI: 0.96-4.79) than those with normal levels. Patients with minor risk factors and raised d-dimer levels (n = 382) had a higher rate of recurrences (HR: 2.34; 95% CI: 1.51-3.63) than those with normal levels. On multivariate analysis, raised d-dimers (HR: 1.74; 95% CI: 1.09-2.77) were associated with an increased risk for recurrences in patients with minor risk factors, not in those with major risk factors.

CONCLUSIONS

Patients with raised d-dimer levels after discontinuing anticoagulant therapy for VTE provoked by a minor transient risk factor were at an increased risk for recurrences.

Early alert from the microbiology laboratory improves the outcome of elderly patients with Enterococcus spp. bloodstream infection: Results from a multicentre prospective study

OBJECTIVES

This study describes the clinical features and outcomes of patients with bloodstream infection (BSI) due to Enterococcus spp. and identified factors predictive of mortality.

METHODS

This analysis is part of a prospective multicentre observational study of consecutive hospitalised patients with BSI conducted from March 2012 to December 2012 in 31 internal medicine wards in Italy. Patients with enterococcal BSI were selected from the entire cohort. Patient characteristics, therapeutic interventions and outcome were reviewed. Cox regression analysis was performed to identify factors associated with in-hospital mortality. Hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% interval confidences (CIs) were calculated.

RESULTS

Among 533 patients with BSI, 41 (7.7%) had BSI by Enterococcus spp. (28 Enterococcus faecalis, 4 Enterococcus faecium and 3 each of Enterococcus avium, Enterococcus casseliflavus and Enterococcus gallinarum). Six BSIs (14.6%) were polymicrobial. Median (IQR) patient age was 73 (66-85.5) years. In-hospital mortality was 24.4%. Polymicrobial infection (HR = 9.100, 95% CI 1.295-63.949; P = 0.026), age (HR = 1.261, 95% CI 1.029-1.546; P = 0.025) and SOFA score (HR = 1.244, 95% CI 1.051-1.474; P = 0.011) were risk factors for in-hospital mortality. Conversely, receiving an alert from the microbiology laboratory before obtaining final antimicrobial susceptibility results was associated with survival (HR = 0.073, 95% CI 0.007-0.805; P = 0.033).

CONCLUSION

BSI due to Enterococcus spp. in elderly patients is associated with high mortality. Polymicrobial infection, age and SOFA score are factors associated with poor outcome. Conversely, early alert from the microbiology laboratory improves patient survival.

Intracranial bleeding risk after minor traumatic brain injury in patients on antithrombotic drugs

BACKGROUND

Intracranial haemorrhage (ICH) risk after minor traumatic brain injury (mTBI) in patients on antithrombotic treatment is unclear. We compared ICH rates in mTBI patients on single, double and no antithrombotic therapy. Antithrombotic drugs encompassed vitamin K antagonists (VKAs), direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs) and antiplatelets. Secondary aim was to identify potential predictors of ICH.

METHODS

We retrospectively analysed consecutive adults referred to our emergency department for mTBI. All clinical information was retrieved by patients' charts review. Patients were divided in 5 groups: 1) no antithrombotic users, 2) antiplatelet users, 3) vitamin K antagonist users, 4) direct oral anticoagulants users, and 5) double antithrombotic users.

RESULTS

A total of 1846 patients were enrolled, mean age 71 years (IQR 46-83); 1222 (66.2%) were in group 1, 407 (22.0%) in group 2, 120 (6.5%) in group 3, 51 (2.7%) in group 4 and 46 (2.5%) in group 5. At entry, 1387 (75.1%) patients underwent brain CT, 787 (64.4%) in group 1, 387 (95.1%) in group 2, 119 (99.2%) in group 3 and 51 (100%) in group 4 and 43 (93.5%) in group 5. ICH was documented in 36 patients (4.6%; CI 95%: 3.2-6.3) in group 1, 22 (5.9%; CI 95%: 3.6-8.5) in group 2, 5 (4.2%; CI 95%: 1.4-9.5) in group 3, 2 (3.9%; CI 95%: 0.5-13.5) in group 4 and 3 (7.0%; CI 95%: 1.5-19.1) in group 5 (p-value for across groups comparison = 0.86). At multivariable analysis GCS < 15 (OR 7.95 CI 95%: 3.12-20.28), post-traumatic amnesia (OR 6.49; CI 95%:3.57-11.82), vomiting (OR 4.45 CI 95%:1.47-13.50), clinical signs of cranial fractures (OR 8.41 CI 95%: 2.12-33.33), scalp lesions (OR 2.31 CI 95%: 1.09-4.89), but none of antithrombotic drugs were independently associated with ICH.

CONCLUSION

mTBI-related ICH rate was similar in patients with and without antithrombotic use. Potential predictors of ICH can be drawn from patients' clinical examination.

Ultrasound elastography is useful to distinguish acute and chronic deep vein thrombosis

Essentials Ultrasound elastography uses tissue deformation to assess the relative quantification of its elasticity. Compression and duplex ultrasonography may be unable to correctly determine the thrombus age. Ultrasound elastography may be useful to distinguish between acute and chronic deep vein thrombosis. The exact determination of the thrombus age could have both therapeutic and prognostic implications. BACKGROUND: Background Ultrasound elastography (UE) imaging is a novel sonographic technique that is commonly employed for relative quantification of tissue elasticity. Its applicability to venous thromboembolic events has not yet been fully established; in particular, it is unclear whether this technique may be useful in determining the age of deep vein thrombosis (DVT). Thus, the aim of this study was to assess the role of UE in distinguishing acute from chronic DVT. Methods Consecutive patients with a first unprovoked acute and chronic (3 months old) DVT of the lower limbs were analyzed. Patients with recurrent DVT or with a suspected recurrence were excluded. The mean elasticity index (EI) values of acute and chronic popliteal and femoral vein thrombosis were compared. The accuracy of the EI in distinguishing acute from chronic DVT was also assessed by measuring the sensitivity, specificity, positive and negative predictive values, and likelihood ratios. Results One-hundred and forty-nine patients (mean age 63.9 years, standard deviation 13.6; 73 males) with acute and chronic DVT were included. The mean EI of acute femoral DVT was higher than that of chronic femoral DVT (5.09 versus 2.46), and the mean EI of acute popliteal DVT was higher than that of chronic popliteal DVT (4.96 versus 2.48). An EI value of > 4 resulted in a sensitivity of 98.9% (95% confidence interval [CI] 93.3-99.9), a specificity of 99.1% (95% CI 94.8-99.9), a positive predictive value of 91.1% (95% CI 77.9-97.1), a negative predictive value of 98.6% (95% CI 91.3-99.9), a positive likelihood ratio of 13.23 (95% CI 93-653) and a negative likelihood ratio of 0.001 (95% CI 0.008-0.05) for acute DVT. Conclusions UE appears to be a promising technique for distinguishing between acute and chronic DVT. Larger prospective studies are warranted to confirm our preliminary findings.

McMaster RARE-Bestpractices clinical practice guideline on diagnosis and management of the catastrophic antiphospholipid syndrome

Background The McMaster RARE-Bestpractices project group selected the catastrophic antiphospholipid syndrome (CAPS) for a pilot exercise in guideline development for a rare disease. Objectives The objectives of this exercise were to provide a proof of principle that guidelines can be developed for rare diseases and assist in clinical decision making for CAPS. Patients/Methods The GIN-McMaster Guideline Development checklist and GRADE methodology were followed throughout the guideline process. The CAPS guideline was coordinated by a steering committee, and the guideline panel was formed with representation from all relevant stakeholder groups. Systematic reviews were performed for the key questions. To supplement the published evidence, we piloted novel methods, including use of an expert-based evidence elicitation process and ad hoc analysis of registry data. Results This paper describes the CAPS guideline recommendations, including evidence appraisal and discussion of special circumstances and implementation barriers identified by the panel. Many of these recommendations are conditional, because of subgroup considerations in this heterogeneous disease, as well as variability in patient values and preferences. Conclusions The CAPS clinical practice guideline initiative met the objective of the successful development of a clinical practice guideline in a rare disease using GRADE methodology. We expect that clinicians caring for patients with suspected CAPS will find the guideline useful in assisting with diagnosis and management of this rare disease.

The effect of recanalization on long-term neurological outcome after cerebral venous thrombosis

Essentials The role of cerebral venous thrombosis (CVT) recanalization on neurologic outcome is still debated. We studied a large cohort of 508 CVT patients with 419 patient years of radiological follow-up. Recanalization rate is high during the first months after CVT and neurologic outcome is favorable. High recanalization grade of CVT independently predicts good neurological outcome.

SUMMARY

Background Studies with limited sample size and with discordant results described the recanalization time-course of cerebral venous thrombosis (CVT). The neurological outcome after a first episode of CVT is good, but the role of recanalization on neurological dependence is still debated. Objectives The aim of the study is to assess the recanalization rate after cerebral venous thrombosis (CVT) and its prognostic role in long-term neurological outcome. Patients/Methods In a retrospective observational multicenter cohort study, patients with an acute first episode of CVT with at least one available imaging test during follow-up were enrolled. Patency status of the vessels was categorized as complete, partial or not recanalized. Neurological outcome was defined using the modified Rankin scale (mRS) as good (mRS = 0-1) or poor (mRS = 2-6). Results Five-hundred and eight patients (median [IQR] age, 39 [28.5-49] years; 26% male) were included. Complete or partial recanalization was not differently represented in patients undergoing scans at different periods of time (from 28-day to 3 month-period up to a 1-3 year-period). mRS at the time of follow-up imaging was available in 483 patients; 92.8% of them had a mRS of 0-1. CVT recanalization (odds ratio [OR], 2.56; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.59-4.13) was positively associated, whereas cancer (OR, 0.29; 95% CI, 0.09-0.88), and personal history of venous thromboembolism (VTE) (OR, 0.36; 95% CI, 0.14-0.92) were negatively associated as independent predictors of favorable (mRS = 0-1) outcome at follow-up. Conclusions Most patients with a first CVT had complete or partial recanalization at follow-up. Recanalization was independently associated with a favorable neurological outcome.

Risk of recurrence of unusual site venous thromboembolism

The term unusual site venous thrombosis defines uncommon clinical manifestations of venous thromboembolism occurring in sites different from the lower limbs or the lungs, with peculiar pathophysiological features and clinical history. Information on long-term outcomes of unusual site thrombosis is generally scant, because most studies are small and usually retrospective.

Recurrence rate of cerebral vein thrombosis is about 2/100 patient-years; the only identified predisposing factors have been male gender and personal history of thrombosis. Retinal vein occlusion showed a recurrence in the same eye of 2.5% and in the fellow eye of 11.9% within four years. Hypercholesterolemia, hypertriglyceridaemia and hyperhomocysteinaemia were significantly associated with recurrent events. Recurrence rates of splanchnic vein thrombosis are difficult to estimate given the heterogeneity of patient populations; higher recurrence rates are reported in the cirrhotic population (from 27% to 38.5%). Hormone therapy, myeloproliferative neoplasm or other prothrombotic states, and absence of anticoagulant therapy emerged as independent prognostic factors. Future studies should aim at better assessing the risk of recurrence in different patients subgroups and at identifying more accurate prognostic markers.

Low Dose Oral Vitamin K to Reverse Acenocoumarol-induced Coagulopathy: A Randomized Controlled Trial

Low dose oral vitamin K rapidly reverses warfarin-associated coagulopathy. Its effect in patients receiving acenocoumarol is uncertain. We compared the effect of withholding acenocoumarol and administering 1 mg oral vitamin K with simply withholding acenocoumarol in asymptomatic patients presenting with INR values between 4.5 and 10.0. The primary end-point of the study was the INR value on the day following randomisation. We found that patients receiving oral vitamin K had more sub-therapeutic INR levels than controls (36.6% and 13.3%, respectively; RR 1.83, 95% confidence interval 1.16, 2.89) and a lower, but non-significant, proportion of INR values in range (50% and 66.6%, respectively) on the day following randomisation. After 5 ± 1 days, there were more patients with an INR value in range in the vitamin K group than in controls (74.1% and 44.8%, respectively). There were no clinical events during 1 month follow-up. We conclude that the omission of a single dose of acenocoumarol is associated with an effective reduction of the INR in asymptomatic patients presenting with an INR value of 4.5 to 10.0. Furthermore, the use of a 1 mg dose of oral vitamin K results in an excessive risk of overreversal of the INR.

Clinical course of patients with symptomatic isolated superficial vein thrombosis: the ICARO follow-up study

Essentials Late sequelae of isolated superficial vein thrombosis (iSVT) have rarely been investigated. We studied 411 consecutive outpatients with acute iSVT with a median follow-up of three years. Male sex and cancer are risk factors for future deep vein thrombosis or pulmonary embolism. Patients without cancer appear to be at a negligible risk for death.

SUMMARY

Background Studies of long-term thromboembolic complications and death following acute isolated superficial vein thrombosis (iSVT) of the lower extremities are scarce. Objectives To investigate the course of iSVT in the setting of an observational multicenter study. Methods We collected longitudinal data of 411 consecutive outpatients with acute, symptomatic, objectively diagnosed iSVT who were previously included in the cross-sectional ICARO study. Four patients followed for < 30 days and 79 with concomitant deep vein thrombosis (DVT) or pulmonary embolism (PE) were excluded from the present analysis. The primary outcome was symptomatic DVT or PE. The safety outcomes were major bleeding and all-cause death. Results The median follow-up time was 1026 days (interquartile range 610-1796). Symptomatic DVT/PE occurred in 52 (12.9%) patients, giving annualized rates of 1.3% (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.3-3.9%) on anticoagulant treatment and 4.4% (95% CI 3.2-5.8%) off anticoagulant treatment. Male sex (adjusted hazard ratio [HR] 2.03 [95% CI 1.16-3.54]) and active solid cancer (adjusted HR 3.14 [95% CI 1.11-8.93]) were associated with future DVT/PE, whereas prior DVT/PE failed to show significance, most likely because of bias resulting from prolonged anticoagulant treatment. Three major bleeding events occurred on treatment, giving an annualized rate of 1.4% (95 CI 0.3-4.0%). Death was recorded in 16 patients (annualized rate: 1.1% [95% CI 0.6-1.7%]), and was attributable to cancer (n = 8), PE (n = 1), cardiovascular events (n = 3), or other causes (n = 4). Conclusions The long-term risk of DVT/PE after anticoagulant discontinuation for acute iSVT is clinically relevant, especially in males and in the presence of active cancer. The risk of death appears to be negligible in patients without cancer.

External validation of the DASH prediction rule: a retrospective cohort study

Essentials Predicting recurrences may guide therapy after unprovoked venous thromboembolism (VTE). We evaluated the DASH score in 827 patients with unprovoked VTE to verify prediction accuracy. A DASH score ≤ 1 had a cumulative recurrence risk at 1 year of 3.6%, as predicted by the model. The DASH score performed better in younger (< 65 years old) subjects.

SUMMARY

Background The DASH prediction model has been proposed as a guide to identify patients at low risk of recurrence of venous thromboembolism (VTE), but has never been validated in an independent cohort. Aims To validate the calibration and discrimination of the DASH prediction model, and to evaluate the DASH score in a predefined patient subgroup aged > 65 years. Methods Patients with a proximal unprovoked deep vein thrombosis (DVT) or pulmonary embolism (PE) who received a full course of vitamin K antagonist or direct oral anticoagulant (> 3 months) and had D-dimer measured after treatment withdrawal were eligible. The DASH score was computed on the basis of the D-dimer level after therapy withdrawal and personal characteristics at the time of the event. Recurrent VTE events were symptomatic proximal or distal DVT/PE, and were analyzed with a time-dependent analysis. Observed 12-month and 24-month recurrence rates were compared with recurrence rates predicted by the DASH model. Results We analyzed a total of 827 patients, of whom 100 (12.1%) had an objectively documented recurrence. As compared with the original DASH cohort, there was a greater proportion of subjects with a 'low-risk' (≤ 1) DASH score (66.3% versus 51.6%, P < 0.001). The slope of the observed versus expected cumulative incidence at 2 years was 0.71 (95% confidence interval 0.51-1.45). The c-statistic was lower for subjects aged > 65 years (0.54) than for younger subjects (0.72). Conclusions These results confirm the validity of DASH prediction model, particularly in young subjects. The recurrence risk in elderly patients (> 65 years) was, however, > 5% even in those with the lowest DASH scores.

Clinical course of isolated distal deep vein thrombosis in patients with active cancer: a multicenter cohort study

Essentials Isolated distal deep vein thrombosis (IDDVT) is frequently associated with cancer. No study has specifically evaluated the long-term clinical course of cancer-associated IDDVT. Patients with cancer-associated IDDVT are at very high risk of symptomatic recurrence and death. We observed low rates of major bleeding during anticoagulation.

SUMMARY

Background Although isolated distal deep vein thrombosis (IDDVT) is frequently associated with cancer, no study has specifically evaluated the long-term clinical course of IDDVT in this setting. Aim To provide data on the rate of recurrent venous thromboembolism (VTE), major bleeding events and death in IDDVT patients with active cancer. Patients and Methods Consecutive patients with active cancer and an objective IDDVT diagnosis (January 2011 to September 2014) were included from our files. We collected information on baseline characteristics, IDDVT location and extension, VTE risk factors, and type and duration of anticoagulant treatment. Results A total of 308 patients (mean age 66.2 [standard deviation (SD), 13.2 years]; 57.1% female) with symptomatic IDDVT and a solid (n = 261) or hematologic (n = 47) cancer were included at 13 centers. Cancer was metastatic in 148 (48.1%) patients. All but three (99.0%) patients received anticoagulant therapy, which consisted of low-molecular-weight heparin in 288 (93.5%) patients. Vitamin K antagonists were used for the long-term treatment in 46 (14.9%) patients, whereas all others continued the initial parenteral agent for a mean treatment duration of 4.2 months (SD, 4.6 months). During a total follow-up of 355.8 patient-years (mean, 13.9 months), there were 47 recurrent objectively diagnosed VTEs for an incidence rate of 13.2 events per 100 patient-years. During anticoagulant treatment, the annual incidence of major bleeding was 2.0 per 100 patient-years. Conclusions Cancer patients with IDDVT have a high risk of VTE recurrence. Additional studies are warranted to investigate the optimal intensity and duration of anticoagulant treatment for these patients.

European Stroke Organization guideline for the diagnosis and treatment of cerebral venous thrombosis - endorsed by the European Academy of Neurology

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

Current guidelines on cerebral venous thrombosis (CVT) diagnosis and management were issued by the European Federation of Neurological Societies in 2010. We aimed to update the previous European Federation of Neurological Societies guidelines using a clearer and evidence-based methodology.

METHOD

We followed the Grading of Recommendations, Assessment, Development and Evaluation system, formulating relevant diagnostic and treatment questions, performing systematic reviews and writing recommendations based on the quality of available scientific evidence.

RESULTS

We suggest using magnetic resonance or computed tomographic angiography for confirming the diagnosis of CVT and not routinely screening patients with CVT for thrombophilia or cancer. We recommend parenteral anticoagulation in acute CVT and decompressive surgery to prevent death due to brain herniation. We suggest preferentially using low-molecular-weight heparin in the acute phase and not direct oral anticoagulants. We suggest not using steroids and acetazolamide to reduce death or dependency. We suggest using antiepileptics in patients with an early seizure and supratentorial lesions to prevent further early seizures. We could not make recommendations concerning duration of anticoagulation after the acute phase, thrombolysis and/or thrombectomy, therapeutic lumbar puncture, and prevention of remote seizures with antiepileptic drugs. We suggest that, in women who have suffered a previous CVT, contraceptives containing oestrogens should be avoided. We suggest that subsequent pregnancies are safe, but use of prophylactic low-molecular-weight heparin should be considered throughout pregnancy and puerperium.

CONCLUSIONS

Multicentre observational and experimental studies are needed to increase the level of evidence supporting recommendations on the diagnosis and management of CVT.

Survival and recurrent venous thromboembolism in patients with first proximal or isolated distal deep vein thrombosis and no pulmonary embolism

Essentials The long-term risk of recurrence and death after distal deep vein thrombosis (DVT) is uncertain. We included subjects with first proximal or isolated distal DVT (IDDVT) and no pulmonary embolism. The risk of symptomatic and asymptomatic recurrence is lower after IDDVT (vs. proximal). IDDVT may be associated with a lower long-term risk of death, especially after unprovoked DVT.

SUMMARY

Background A few studies have focused on the risk of recurrence after first acute isolated distal deep vein thrombosis (IDDVT) compared with proximal DVT (PDVT), whereas the incremental risk of death has never been explored beyond the first 3 years after acute event. Methods Our single-center cohort study included patients with first symptomatic acute PDVT or IDDVT. Patients were excluded if they had concomitant pulmonary embolism (PE) or prior venous thromboembolism. The primary outcomes were symptomatic objectively diagnosed recurrent PDVT or PE and all-cause death. Results In total, 4759 records were screened and 831 subjects included: 202 had symptomatic IDDVT and 629 had PDVT. The median age was 66 years and 50.5% were women. A total of 125 patients had recurrent PDVT or PE during 3175 patient-years of follow-up: 109 events occurred after PDVT (17.3%) and 16 after IDDVT (7.9%). Annual recurrence rates were 4.5% (95% confidence interval [CI], 3.7-5.4%) and 2.0% (95% CI, 1.1-3.2%), respectively, for an adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) for IDDVT patients of 0.32 (95% CI, 0.19-0.55). Death occurred in 263 patients (31.6% [95% CI, 28.6-34.9%]) during 5469 patient-years of follow-up for an overall annual incidence rate of 4.8% (95% CI, 4.2-5.4%). The mortality rate was 33.5% (n = 211) in PDVT patients and 25.7% (n = 52) in IDDVT patients. The long-term hazard of death appeared lower for IDDVT patients (aHR, 0.75 [95% CI, 0.55-1.02]), especially after unprovoked events (aHR, 0.58 [95% CI, 0.26-1.31]). Conclusions Compared with PDVT, IDDVT patients were at a lower risk of recurrent VTE. The risk of death appeared lower after IDDVT during a median follow-up of 7.6 years.

Evaluation of the threshold value for the modified early warning score (MEWS) in medical septic patients: a secondary analysis of an Italian multicentric prospective cohort (SNOOPII study)

BACKGROUND

Due to aging and resources limitation, septic patients are often admitted to medical wards (MWs). Early warning deterioration is a relevant issue in this setting. Unfortunately, a suitable prognostic score has not been identified, yet.

AIM

To explore the ability of Modified Early Warning Score (MEWS) to predict the in-hospital mortality in septic patients admitted to MWs.

DESIGN

Secondary analysis of a multicentric prospective study.

METHODS

Consecutive septic patients with positive blood culture admitted to 31 Italian MWs were included. Baseline characteristics, clinics, isolates, rate of transfer to ICU, MEWS was collected on admission according to the study protocol. The accuracy of MEWS in predicting the in-hospital mortality was assessed with the area under the receiver-operating characteristic curves. Sensitivity, specificity, positive and negative predictive value (PPV and NPV), likelihood ratio (LR) were calculated for different MEWS cut-offs and age/comorbidities subgroups.

RESULTS

In total 526 patients were included in this analysis. Median MEWS was (range 0-11). In-hospital mortality was 14.8% and transfer to ICU 1.3%. Mortality progressively increased according to MEWS (3% in MEWS 0 vs. 27% in MEWS >5; Chi square for trend P < 0.05). The AUC of MEWS in predicting in-hospital mortality was 0.596 (95% CI, 0.524, 0.669). MEWS did not appear to have an adequate sensitivity, sensibility, PPV, NPV and LR both in the whole population and in the pre-specified subgroups.

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings do not seem to support the use of MEWS to predict the in-hospital mortality risk of sepsis in MWs.

Prevalence of deep vein thrombosis and pulmonary embolism in patients with superficial vein thrombosis: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Essentials The association of superficial vein thrombosis (SVT) with venous thromboembolism (VTE) is variable. We performed a meta-analysis to assess the prevalence of concomitant VTE in patients with SVT. Deep vein thrombosis was found in 18.1%, and pulmonary embolism in 6.9%, of SVT patients. Screening for VTE may be worthy in some SVT patients to plan adequate anticoagulant treatment.

SUMMARY

Background Some studies have suggested that patients with superficial vein thrombosis (SVT) have a non-negligible risk of concomitant deep vein thrombosis (DVT) or pulmonary embolism (PE) at the time of SVT diagnosis. Unfortunately, the available data on this association are widely variable. Objectives To perform a systematic review and meta-analysis of the literature in order to evaluate the prevalence of concomitant DVT/PE in patients with SVT of the lower limbs. Methods Studies reporting on the presence of DVT/PE in SVT patients were systematically searched for in the PubMed, Web of Science, Scopus and EMBASE databases. The weighted mean prevalence (WMP) of DVT and PE was calculated by use of the random effect model. Results Twenty-one studies (4358 patients) evaluated the prevalence of DVT and 11 studies (2484 patients) evaluated the prevalence of PE in patients with SVT. The WMP of DVT at SVT diagnosis was 18.1% (95%CI: 13.9%, 23.3%) and the WMP of PE was 6.9% (95%CI: 3.9%, 11.8%). Heterogeneity among the studies was substantial. Selection of studies including outpatients only gave similar results (WMP of DVT, 18.2%, 95% CI 12.2-26.3%; and WMP of PE, 8.2%, 95% CI 3.3-18.9%). Younger age, female gender, recent trauma and pregnancy were inversely associated with the presence of DVT/PE in SVT patients. Conclusions The results of our large meta-analysis suggest that the prevalence of DVT and PE in patients presenting with SVT is not negligible. Screening for a major thromboembolic event may be worthwhile in some SVT patients, in order to allow adequate anticoagulant treatment to be planned. Other high-quality studies are warranted to confirm our findings.

Pulmonary embolism severity index accurately predicts long-term mortality rate in patients hospitalized for acute pulmonary embolism

BACKGROUND

The Pulmonary Embolism (PE) Severity Index (PESI) is a clinical prognostic rule that accurately classifies PE patients into five risk classes with increasing mortality. PESI score has been validated in studies with a relatively short-term follow-up and its accuracy in predicting long-term prognosis has never been established.

METHODS

Consecutive patients admitted to the tertiary care hospital of Varese (Italy) with an objectively diagnosed PE between January 2005 and December 2009 were retrospectively included. Information on clinical presentation, diagnostic work-up, risk factors, treatment and mortality during a 1-year follow-up was collected.

RESULTS

Five hundred and thirty-eight patients were enrolled in this study. The mean age was 70.6 years (± SD 15.2), 44.4% of patients were male, and 27.9% had known cancer. One-year follow-up was available for 96.1% of patients. The overall mortality rate was 23.2% at 3 months, 30.2% at 6 months and 37.1% at 12 months. The discriminatory power of the PESI score to predict long-term mortality, expressed as the area under the ROC curve, was 0.77 (95%CI, 0.72-0.81) at 3 months, 0.77 (95%CI, 0.73-0.81) at 6 months and 0.79 (95%CI, 0.75-0.82) at 12 months. The PESI score confirmed its accurate prediction in patients without cancer. Simplified PESI had a similar overall accuracy to the original PESI at 3 and 6 months, but this was significantly lower at 1 year.

CONCLUSIONS

The results of this study suggest that PESI score may also be an accurate tool to define the 6-month and 1-year mortality rates in PE patients.

Left ventricular remodeling in patients with metabolic syndrome: influence of gender

AIM

The study was aimed to evaluate the influence of gender on left ventricular (LV) remodeling in metabolic syndrome (MetS).

METHODS AND RESULTS

We enrolled 200 subjects without diabetes or overt cardiovascular diseases, never treated with anti-hypertensive drugs or statins: 60 men and 40 women with MetS matched by age, gender and 24 h systolic and diastolic blood pressure (BP) with 60 men and 40 women without MetS. The patients underwent blood tests, 24 h our BP monitoring, LV echocardiographic examination. LV mass indexed by eight(2.7) was significantly greater in men and women with MetS than without MetS. Compared with women without MetS, women with MetS had significantly higher posterior wall thickness and relative wall thickness, greater prevalence of LV concentric remodeling/hypertrophy and lower indices of LV diastolic function, whereas all these parameters were not significantly different between men with and without MetS. MetS was an independent predictor of relative wall thickness and LV mass index in women, but not in men.

CONCLUSION

The impact of MetS on LV remodeling is significantly influenced by gender: the effects of MetS are more pronounced in women, with development of LV concentric hypertrophy/remodeling and preclinical diastolic dysfunction.

Diagnostic accuracy of lung ultrasound for pulmonary embolism: a systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Computed tomographic pulmonary angiography (CTPA) has simplified the diagnostic approach to patients with suspected pulmonary embolism (PE). However, PE diagnosis is still probabilistic and CTPA should be used with caution in some patient groups, such as patients with severe renal insufficiency and pregnant women. Among alternative imaging tests, lung ultrasound is the most promising technique. We aimed to systematically assess the diagnostic accuracy of lung ultrasound for PE diagnosis.

METHODS

Studies evaluating the diagnostic accuracy of lung ultrasound for the diagnosis of PE were systematically searched for in the MEDLINE and EMBASE databases (up to June 2012). The QUADAS-2 tool was used for the quality assessment of the primary studies. A bivariate random-effects regression approach was used for summary estimates of both sensitivity and specificity.

RESULTS

Ten studies, for a total of 887 patients, were included. A composite reference test was used in six studies, with single-row detector CTPA as the principal imaging test in four studies. Overall, seven studies used a proper reference test. Lung ultrasound bivariate weighted mean sensitivity was 87.0% (95% confidence interval [CI] 79.5, 92.0%), whereas bivariate weighted mean specificity was 81.8% (95% CI 71.0, 89.3%).

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings suggest that lung ultrasound may be a useful diagnostic tool in the management of patients with suspected PE. However, several methodological drawbacks of the primary studies limit any definite conclusion. Further well-designed accuracy studies are necessary before planning diagnostic management studies, in particular in those with a contraindication for CTPA.

Optimal treatment duration of venous thrombosis

Randomized controlled trials have shown that patients with venous thromboembolism benefit from a minimum of three months of anticoagulant therapy. After this period, it was suggested that patients with an expected annual recurrence rate of < 5% could safely discontinue treatment. Using a population-based approach for stratification, these patients are those with major transient risk factors, and represent the minority. For all other patients, including those with previous episodes of venous thromboembolism, cancer, or unprovoked events, this treatment duration may not be sufficiently protective. Because extending anticoagulation for additional three to nine months does not result in further, long-term reduction of recurrences, indefinite treatment duration should be considered. However, case-fatality rate for major bleeding in patients taking warfarin for more than three months is higher than case-fatality rate of recurrent venous thromboembolism. Thus, an individual patient approach to improve and increase the identification of those who can safely discontinue treatment at three months becomes necessary. Clinical prediction rules or management strategies based on D-dimer levels or residual vein thrombosis have been proposed and need further refinement and validation. Specific bleeding scores are lacking. Meanwhile, the oral direct inhibitors have been proposed as potential alternatives to the vitamin K antagonists, and aspirin may provide some benefit in selected patients who discontinue anticoagulation. Deep vein thrombosis in unusual sites is associated with less, but potentially more severe recurrences, in particular in patients with splanchnic vein thrombosis who also face an increased risk of bleeding complications while on treatment.

Anticoagulant therapy for venous thromboembolism during pregnancy: a systematic review and a meta-analysis of the literature

Venous thromboembolism (VTE) is one of the most relevant causes of maternal death in industrialized countries. Low molecular weight heparin (LMWH), continued throughout the entire pregnancy and puerperium, is currently the preferred treatment for patients with acute VTE occurring during pregnancy. However, information on the efficacy and safety of anticoagulant drugs in this setting is extremely limited. We carried out a systematic review and a meta-analysis of the literature to provide an estimate of the risk of bleeding complications and VTE recurrence in patients with acute VTE during pregnancy treated with antithrombotic therapy. The weight mean incidence (WMI) of bleeding and thromboembolic events and the corresponding 95% confidence interval (CI) were calculated. Eighteen studies, giving a total of 981 pregnant patients with acute VTE, were included. LMWH was prescribed to 822 patients; the remainder were treated with unfractionated heparin. Anticoagulant therapy was associated with WMIs of major bleeding of 1.41% (95% CI 0.60-2.41%; I) antenatally and 1.90% (95% CI 0.80-3.60%) during the first 24 h after delivery. The estimated WMI of recurrent VTE during pregnancy was 1.97% (95% CI 0.88-3.49%; I(2) 39.5%). Anticoagulant therapy appears to be safe and effective for the treatment of pregnancy-related VTE, but the optimal dosing regimens remain uncertain.

Safety and efficacy of low-dose fondaparinux (1.5 mg) for the prevention of venous thromboembolism in acutely ill medical patients with renal impairment: the FONDAIR study

BACKGROUND

Renal impairment is common, affecting around 40% of acutely ill medical patients, and is associated with an increased risk of both venous thromboembolism (VTE) and bleeding. The clinical benefit of effective thromboprophylactic strategies may be outweighed in these patients by an excessive rate of hemorrhage.

OBJECTIVE

To assess the safety and efficacy of lower prophylactic doses of fondaparinux in acutely ill medical patients with renal impairment.

PATIENTS/METHODS

We carried out a multicenter, investigator-initiated, prospective cohort study. Patients at risk of VTE with a creatinine clearance between 20 and 50 mL min(-1) were treated with fondaparinux 1.5 mg qd for a minimum of 6 to a maximum of 15 days. The primary outcome was the incidence of major bleeding; secondary outcomes were clinically relevant non-major bleeding (CRNMB) and symptomatic VTE.

RESULTS

We enrolled 206 patients with a mean age of 82 years, mean creatinine clearance of 33 mL min(-1) , and a mean Charlson co-morbidity index of 8.2. One patient had major bleeding (0.49%, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.03-3.10), eight had CRNMB (3.88%, 95% CI 1.81-7.78) and three developed symptomatic VTE (1.46%, 0.38-4.55). Twenty-three patients (11.17%, 7.36-16.48) died. No independent predictors of bleeding were found at univariate analysis.

CONCLUSIONS

The addition of moderate to severe renal impairment to patients with traditional risk factors for VTE identified a population of very elderly acutely ill medical patients potentially at high risk of both VTE and bleeding complications. The recently approved lower prophylactic dose of fondaparinux appears to be a safe and relatively effective strategy in these patients.

Low-dose aspirin for in vitro fertilization or intracytoplasmic sperm injection: a systematic review and a meta-analysis of the literature

BACKGROUND

It was hypothesized that low-dose aspirin could improve implantation rates in subsequent pregnancies in women undergoing in vitro fertilization (IVF)/intracytoplasmic sperm injection (ICSI). Previous studies have shown inconclusive results or focused on surrogate endpoints. We therefore conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis of the literature investigating the effect of low-dose aspirin on hard outcomes, including live birth rate, pregnancy rate and miscarriage.

METHODS

MEDLINE and EMBASE databases were searched up to November 2011. Randomized controlled trials comparing low-dose aspirin with placebo/no treatment in IVF/ICSI women were included. Pooled odds ratios (ORs) and 95%confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated.

RESULTS

Seventeen studies with 6403 patients were included. The use of aspirin did not improve live birth pregnancy rate compared with placebo or no treatment (1.08; 95% CI, 0.90, 1.29). Pregnancy rates were significantly increased in patients randomized to low-dose aspirin (OR, 1.19; 95% CI, 1.01, 1.39), but miscarriage rates were not (OR, 1.18; 95% CI, 0.82, 1.68). Results of sensitivity analyses including high-quality studies did not show statistically significant differences in all considered endpoints.

CONCLUSIONS

The results of this study do not show a substantial efficacy of aspirin inwomen undergoing IVF/ICSI and do not support the use of low-dose aspirin to improve the success of IVF/ICSI in terms of pregnancy outcomes. Further high-quality studies evaluating the possible efficacy of aspirin in selected groups of patients are warranted.

Long-term outcomes of patients with cerebral vein thrombosis: a multicenter study

BACKGROUND

Little information is available on the long-term clinical outcome of cerebral vein thrombosis (CVT).

OBJECTIVES AND METHODS

In an international, retrospective cohort study, we assessed the long-term rates of mortality, residual disability and recurrent venous thromboembolism (VTE) in a cohort of patients with a first CVT episode.

RESULTS

Seven hundred and six patients (73.7% females) with CVT were included. Patients were followed for a total of 3171 patient-years. Median follow-up was 40 months (range 6, 297 months). At the end of follow-up, 20 patients had died (2.8%). The outcome was generally good: 89.1% of patients had a complete recovery (modified Rankin Score [mRS] 0-1) and 3.8% had a partial recovery and were independent (mRS 2). Eighty-four per cent of patients were treated with oral anticoagulants and the mean treatment duration was 12 months. CVT recurred in 31 patients (4.4%), and 46 patients (6.5%) had a VTE in a different site, for an overall incidence of recurrence of 23.6 events per 1000 patient-years (95% confidence Interval [CI] 17.8, 28.7) and of 35.1 events/1000 patient-years (95% CI, 27.7, 44.4) after anticoagulant therapy withdrawal. A previous VTE was the only significant predictor of recurrence at multivariate analysis (hazard ratio [HR] 2.70; 95% CI 1.25, 5.83).

CONCLUSIONS

The long-term risk of mortality and recurrent VTE appears to be low in patients who survived the acute phase of CVT. A previous VTE history independently predicts recurrent events.

Prognostic clinical prediction rules to identify a low-risk pulmonary embolism: a systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Prognostic assessment is important for the management of patients with a pulmonary embolism (PE). A number of clinical prediction rules (CPRs) have been proposed for stratifying PE mortality risk. The aim of this systematic review was to assess the performance of prognostic CPRs in identifying a low-risk PE.

METHODS

MEDLINE and EMBASE databases were systematically searched until August 2011. Derivation and validation studies that assessed the performance of prognostic CPRs in predicting adverse events-risk in PE patients were included. Weighted mean proportion and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) of adverse events were then calculated and pooled using a fixed and a random-effects model. Statistical heterogeneity was evaluated through the use of I(2) statistics.

RESULTS

Of 1125 references in the original search, 33 relevant articles were included. Nine CPRs were assessed in 37 cohorts, for a total of 35,518 patients. Pulmonary Embolism Severity Index and prognostic Geneva CPR were investigated in 22 and 6 cohorts, respectively. Eleven (29.7%) cohorts were of high quality. The median follow-up was 30 days. In low-risk PE patients, pooled short-term mortality (within 14 days or less) was 0.7% (95% CI 0.3-1.1%, random-effects model; I(2) = 49.6%), 30-day mortality was 1.7% (95% CI 1.1-2.3%, random-effects model; I(2) = 82.4%) and 90-day mortality was 2.2% (95% CI 1.2-3.4%, random-effects model; I(2) = 59.8%).

CONCLUSIONS

Prognostic CPRs efficiently identify PE patients at a low risk of mortality. Before implementing prognostic CPRs in the routine care of PE patients, well-designed management studies are warranted.

D-dimer testing in the diagnosis of cerebral vein thrombosis: a systematic review and a meta-analysis of the literature

BACKGROUND

Quantitative measurement of circulating D-dimer, a product of fibrin degradation, has been shown to be a very useful diagnostic tool in the management of patients with suspected deep vein thrombosis and/or pulmonary embolism. Whether D-dimer can play a similar role in the diagnostic approach to patients with suspected cerebral vein thrombosis (CVT) remains controversial.

METHODS

Studies evaluating the diagnostic accuracy of the D-dimer test in the diagnosis of CVT were systematically searched for in the MEDLINE and EMBASE databases (up to July 2011). Weighted mean sensitivity and specificity with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated with a bivariate random-effects regression approach.

RESULTS

Fourteen studies, for a total of 1134 patients, were included. D-dimer accuracy was good, with a resulting weighted mean sensitivity of 93.9% (95% CI 87.5-97.1) and weighted mean specificity of 89.7% (95% CI 86.5-92.2), calculated with a bivariate approach. Potential risk factors for false-negative D-dimer results included isolated headache, longer duration of symptoms, and limited sinus involvement.

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings suggest that D-dimer may be a useful diagnostic tool in the management of patients with suspected CVT. Future prospective studies are warranted to confirm our preliminary findings.