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Soderstrom CI, Larsen J, Owen C, Gifondorwa D, Beidler D, Yong FH, Conrad P, Neubert H, Moore SA, Hassanein M. Development and Validation of a Western Blot Method to Quantify Mini-Dystrophin in Human Skeletal Muscle Biopsies. AAPS J 2022; 25:12. [PMID: 36539515 PMCID: PMC10034579 DOI: 10.1208/s12248-022-00776-0] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/17/2022] [Accepted: 12/05/2022] [Indexed: 12/24/2022] Open
Abstract
Duchenne muscular dystrophy (DMD) is a degenerative muscular disease affecting roughly one in 5000 males at birth. The disease is often caused by inherited X-linked recessive pathogenic variants in the dystrophin gene, but may also arise from de novo mutations. Disease-causing variants include nonsense, out of frame deletions or duplications that result in loss of dystrophin protein expression. There is currently no cure for DMD and the few treatment options available aim at slowing muscle degradation. New advances in gene therapy and understanding of dystrophin (DYS) expression in other muscular dystrophies have opened new opportunities for treatment. Therefore, reliable methods are needed to monitor dystrophin expression and assess the efficacy of new therapies for muscular dystrophies such as DMD and Becker muscular dystrophy (BMD). Here, we describe the validation of a novel Western blot (WB) method for the quantitation of mini-dystrophin protein in human skeletal muscle tissues that is easy to adopt in most laboratory settings. This WB method was assessed through precision, accuracy, selectivity, dilution linearity, stability, and repeatability. Based on mini-DYS standard performance, the assay has a dynamic range of 0.5-15 ng protein (per 5 µg total protein per lane), precision of 3.3 to 25.5%, and accuracy of - 7.5 to 3.3%. Our stability assessment showed that the protein is stable after 4 F/T cycles, up to 2 h at RT and after 7 months at - 70°C. Furthermore, our WB method was compared to the results from our recently published LC-MS method. Workflow for our quantitative WB method to determine mini-dystrophin levels in muscle tissues (created in Biorender.com). Step 1 involves protein extraction from skeletal muscle tissue lysates from control, DMD, or BMD biospecimen. Step 2 measures total protein concentrations. Step 3 involves running gel electrophoresis with wild-type dystrophin (wt-DYS) from muscle tissue extracts alongside mini-dystrophin STD curve and mini-DYS and protein normalization with housekeeping GAPDH.
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Affiliation(s)
| | - Jennifer Larsen
- Early Clinical Development, Precision Medicine, Cambridge, MA, USA
| | - Carolina Owen
- Early Clinical Development, Precision Medicine, Cambridge, MA, USA
| | - David Gifondorwa
- Clinical Assay Group, Global Product Development (GPD), Pfizer Inc, Groton, Connecticut, USA
| | - David Beidler
- Early Clinical Development, Precision Medicine, Pfizer Inc., 1 Portland, Cambridge, Massachusetts, 02139, USA
| | - Florence H Yong
- Biostatistics, Early Clinical Development, Worldwide Research & Development, Pfizer Inc., Cambridge, MA, USA
| | - Patricia Conrad
- Early Clinical Development, Precision Medicine, Cambridge, MA, USA
| | - Hendrik Neubert
- Biomedicine Design, Worldwide Research & Development, Pfizer Inc., Andover, Massachusetts, USA
| | - Steven A Moore
- Senator Paul D. Wellstone Muscular Dystrophy Specialized Research Center, Department of Pathology, Roy J. and Lucille A. Carver College of Medicine, The University of Iowa, Iowa City, Iowa, 52242, USA
| | - Mohamed Hassanein
- Early Clinical Development, Precision Medicine, Pfizer Inc., 1 Portland, Cambridge, Massachusetts, 02139, USA.
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Abstract
A common practice in predictive medicine is to use current study data to construct a
stratification procedure, which groups subjects according to baseline information and
forms stratum-specific prevention or intervention strategies. A desirable stratification
scheme would not only have small intra-stratum variation but also have a clinically
meaningful discriminatory capability. We show how to obtain optimal stratification rules
with such desirable properties from fitting a set of regression models relating the
outcome to baseline covariates and creating scoring systems for predicting potential
outcomes. We propose that all available optimal stratifications be evaluated with an
independent dataset to select a final stratification. Lastly, we obtain inferential
results for this selected stratification scheme with a holdout dataset. When only one
study of moderate size is available, we combine the first two steps via crossvalidation.
Extensive simulation studies are used to compare the proposed stratification strategy with
alternatives. We illustrate the new proposal using an AIDS clinical trial for binary
outcomes and a cardiovascular clinical study for censored event time outcomes.
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Affiliation(s)
- Florence H Yong
- Department of Biostatistics, Harvard University, 655 Huntingdon Avenue, Boston, Massachusetts 02115,
| | - Lu Tian
- Department of Biomedical Data Science, Stanford University, 150 Governor's Lane, Stanford, California 94305, U.S.A
| | - Sheng Yu
- Center for Statistical Science, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084,
| | - Tianxi Cai
- Department of Biostatistics, Harvard University, 655 Huntingdon Avenue, Boston, Massachusetts 02115, @hsph.harvard.edu
| | - L J Wei
- Department of Biostatistics, Harvard University, 655 Huntingdon Avenue, Boston, Massachusetts 02115, @hsph.harvard.edu
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Brundage RC, Yong FH, Fenton T, Spector SA, Starr SE, Fletcher CV. Intrapatient variability of efavirenz concentrations as a predictor of virologic response to antiretroviral therapy. Antimicrob Agents Chemother 2004; 48:979-84. [PMID: 14982792 PMCID: PMC353062 DOI: 10.1128/aac.48.3.979-984.2004] [Citation(s) in RCA: 45] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/20/2022] Open
Abstract
Intrapatient variability of drug concentrations over time has not been evaluated as a predictor of drug response but may provide information on the onset and maintenance of response and a patient's adherence to therapy. Our objective was to develop a pharmacologically based measure of intrapatient variability of concentrations and investigate its association with a patient's response to antiretroviral therapy. Efavirenz concentrations were obtained for 50 children enrolled in Pediatric AIDS Clinical Trials Group study 382, a concentration-controlled trial of efavirenz plus nelfinavir and at least one nucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitor. Efavirenz pharmacokinetic parameters were determined from 24-h concentration-time profiles at weeks 2 and 6 and used to predict trough concentrations obtained during 1 year of therapy. A concentration predictability score, defined as the fraction of measured trough concentrations that fell within a +/-50% range of the predicted concentration, was used to place subjects into high and low concentration predictability groups. Relationships between this score and human immunodeficiency virus RNA levels in plasma were investigated. Eight of 33 children (24%) in the high-predictability group experienced viral rebound, compared with 9 of 17 children (53%) in the low-predictability group (P = 0.042). Children with low predictability scores exhibited a significantly shorter time to their first viral rebounds and were significantly more likely to experience viral rebound; the latter finding persisted after adjustment for baseline viral load and efavirenz exposure at week 6. This novel method for the quantitation of intrapatient concentration variability was independently predictive of virologic rebound. This measure may allow interventions to minimize therapeutic failure and is applicable to other drugs.
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Carey VJ, Yong FH, Frenkel LM, McKinney RM. Growth velocity assessment in paediatric AIDS: smoothing, penalized quantile regression and the definition of growth failure. Stat Med 2003; 23:509-26. [PMID: 14748042 DOI: 10.1002/sim.1578] [Citation(s) in RCA: 13] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/11/2022]
Abstract
The analysis of growth records in paediatric anti-HIV clinical trials plays an important role in trial evaluation. Growth failure may be a manifestation of progressive disease or treatment toxicity, and is commonly specified as a major trial outcome event indicating poor treatment performance. Despite new therapeutic advances against HIV proliferation in infected patients, accurate monitoring and interpretation of somatic growth in paediatric AIDS remains clinically important, in light of uncertainties regarding relationship between viral load reductions and achievement of favourable somatic growth profiles. Our aim in this paper is to construct a criterion for growth failure that discriminates patients whose risk of death subsequent to growth failure is elevated to a clinically significant degree. To construct the criterion, individual growth curves and velocities are modelled using loess smoothing, penalized likelihood quantile regressions are fit to model age-specific growth velocity distributions for gender-stratified cohorts, and proportional hazards model selection is conducted to identify features of velocity series that are informative on the survival distribution. The resulting growth-failure criterion is expected to be useful for disease staging in resource-limited medical environments where T-cell counts and viral load measures are unavailable.
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Affiliation(s)
- V J Carey
- Center for Biostatistics in AIDS Research, Harvard School of Public Health, 655 Huntington Avenue, Boston MA 02115, U.S.A.
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Starr SE, Fletcher CV, Spector SA, Brundage RC, Yong FH, Douglas SD, Flynn PM, Kline MW. Efavirenz liquid formulation in human immunodeficiency virus-infected children. Pediatr Infect Dis J 2002; 21:659-63. [PMID: 12237599 DOI: 10.1097/00006454-200207000-00011] [Citation(s) in RCA: 27] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/25/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND This study determined the safety, pharmacokinetics, antiviral activity and immunologic effects of efavirenz liquid formulation, nelfinavir and nucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitors (NRTIs) in HIV-infected children, 3 to 9 years of age. METHODS Plasma HIV-1 RNA and lymphocyte subsets were measured at various intervals after initiation of therapy. Pharmacokinetic studies were performed at Week 2, and doses of efavirenz and nelfinavir were adjusted if area under the curve values fell outside specified target ranges. RESULTS This combination of antiretrovirals was well-tolerated. Pharmacokinetic values were similar to those observed in a previous study of older children who received efavirenz capsules in combination with nelfinavir and NRTIs. After 48 weeks of therapy 63% of subjects had plasma HIV RNA levels of <400 copies/ml, and 58% had <50 copies/ml in an intent-to-treat analysis. CD4 cell count and percentage rose significantly over this time, whereas the number of activated CD8 cells declined. CONCLUSIONS Combination therapy with efavirenz liquid formulation, nelfinavir and NRTIs is an attractive treatment option for HIV-infected children >3 years of age who are unable to take efavirenz capsules.
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Affiliation(s)
- Stuart E Starr
- Division of Infectious and Immunologic Diseases, Abramson Research Center, The Children's Hospital of Philadelphia, PA 19104, USA.
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Naugler WE, Yong FH, Carey VJ, Dragavon JA, Coombs RW, Frenkel LM. T69D/N pol mutation, human immunodeficiency virus type 1 RNA levels, and syncytium-inducing phenotype are associated with CD4 cell depletion during didanosine therapy. J Infect Dis 2002; 185:448-55. [PMID: 11865396 DOI: 10.1086/338831] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/18/2001] [Revised: 10/22/2001] [Indexed: 11/03/2022] Open
Abstract
The contribution of virologic and host factors to CD4 cell depletion associated with human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) type 1 was evaluated in children drawn from a larger efficacy trial of 2 doses of didanosine (ddI) monotherapy (Pediatric AIDS Clinical Trials Group 144). Thirty children, half with stable CD4 cell counts (non-progressors) and half with a marked decline in CD4 cells (progressors), were studied during 60-72 weeks of ddI therapy. The children were matched for age and CD4 cell counts at study entry. Three viral parameters, syncytium-inducing phenotype, higher virus load, and mutation in HIV-1 pol encoding the T69D/N mutation, were associated with disease progression. Disease progression was not associated with mutations in the reverse-transcriptase gene previously associated with resistance to ddI (L74V, K65R, or M184V). The selection of the T69D/N mutation in children with HIV-1 disease progression during ddI therapy suggests that this mutation confers a fitness advantage to the virus that may include resistance to ddI.
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Spector SA, Hsia K, Yong FH, Cabral S, Fenton T, Fletcher CV, McNamara J, Mofenson LM, Starr SE. Patterns of plasma human immunodeficiency virus type 1 RNA response to highly active antiretroviral therapy in infected children. J Infect Dis 2000; 182:1769-73. [PMID: 11069252 DOI: 10.1086/317621] [Citation(s) in RCA: 25] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/15/2000] [Revised: 08/29/2000] [Indexed: 11/03/2022] Open
Abstract
This study examined the rate of decline in plasma human immunodeficiency virus type 1 (HIV-1) RNA levels to <400 and <50 copies/mL in children receiving highly active antiretroviral therapy (HAART) consisting of efavirenz, nelfinavir, and 1 or 2 nucleoside reverse-transcriptase inhibitors. Children receiving HAART achieved a plasma HIV-1 RNA level <400 copies/mL by a median of 4 weeks after initiation of therapy and a decline to <50 copies/mL by 20 weeks. Baseline plasma HIV-1 RNA levels affected the likelihood of achieving potent and sustained virus suppression, and children whose CD4 lymphocyte counts increased >70 cells/microL by 20 weeks on therapy were more likely to achieve durable virological and immunological benefit. These data provide time frames for virus suppression after the initiation of HAART that should be useful in evaluating the potential efficacy and durability of response of newly instituted combination antiretroviral therapy in HIV-1-infected children.
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Affiliation(s)
- S A Spector
- Dept. of Pediatrics, University of California, San Diego, La Jolla, CA 92093-0672, USA.
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Stevens RC, Rodman JH, Yong FH, Carey V, Knupp CA, Frenkel LM. Effect of food and pharmacokinetic variability on didanosine systemic exposure in HIV-infected children. Pediatric AIDS Clinical Trials Group Protocol 144 Study Team. AIDS Res Hum Retroviruses 2000; 16:415-21. [PMID: 10772527 DOI: 10.1089/088922200309070] [Citation(s) in RCA: 23] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/12/2022] Open
Abstract
The effect of food on didanosine bioavailability and interpatient pharmacokinetic variability was examined in children infected with human immunodeficiency virus type 1 (HIV-1). Didanosine pharmacokinetics were determined during fasting and fed conditions in HIV-infected children enrolled in the Pediatric AIDS Clinical Trials Group Protocol 144 randomized to receive didanosine at 50 mg/m2 or 150 mg/m2 orally every 12 hr. Pharmacokinetic parameters from patients in the low (n = 39) and high (n = 38) dosing groups were not significantly different, but intersubject variability was substantial. The fraction absorbed was higher while fasting than with food (0.27+/-0.13 versus 0.19+/-0.09, p < 0.0001); the zero order absorption rate was faster (0.48+/-0.31 versus 0.76+/-0.72 hr, p = 0.003); and the plasma half-life was shorter (0.93+/-0.43 versus 1.39+/-0.65 hr, p < 0.0001). The lower fraction absorbed with food was offset by the absorption rate becoming rate limiting for elimination, resulting in similar areas under the concentration-time curves (normalized to 100 mg/m2) when fasted (853.9+/-465.8 microg/liter-hr) versus fed (796.3+/-367.5 microg/liter x hr). Oral clearances during fasting (152.5+/-81.7 liters/hr/m2) and fed states (163.6+/-99.3 liters/hr/m2) were similar, but these values in children are substantially higher than previously reported for adults. The systemic exposure (i.e., AUC) of didanosine was highly variable in children but similar in the presence and absence of food. Administration of didanosine with food in children may be permissible if total systemic exposure rather than maximum plasma concentration is sufficient for antiretroviral activity. The higher oral clearance and substantial pharmacokinetic variability suggest the need to reexamine current didanosine dose recommendations for HIV-infected children.
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Affiliation(s)
- R C Stevens
- Department of Pharmaceutical Sciences, St. Jude Children's Hospital, Memphis, Tennessee 38015, USA
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Starr SE, Fletcher CV, Spector SA, Yong FH, Fenton T, Brundage RC, Manion D, Ruiz N, Gersten M, Becker M, McNamara J, Mofenson LM, Purdue L, Siminski S, Graham B, Kornhauser DM, Fiske W, Vincent C, Lischner HW, Dankner WM, Flynn PM. Combination therapy with efavirenz, nelfinavir, and nucleoside reverse-transcriptase inhibitors in children infected with human immunodeficiency virus type 1. Pediatric AIDS Clinical Trials Group 382 Team. N Engl J Med 1999; 341:1874-81. [PMID: 10601506 DOI: 10.1056/nejm199912163412502] [Citation(s) in RCA: 165] [Impact Index Per Article: 6.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/19/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Consistent long-term viral suppression has been difficult to achieve in children with human immunodeficiency virus type 1 (HIV-1) infection. We tested the safety and antiviral efficacy of a novel combination consisting of efavirenz, nelfinavir, and one or more nucleoside reverse-transcriptase inhibitors in 57 children previously treated with only nucleoside reverse-transcriptase inhibitors. METHODS The children were monitored for 48 weeks after the initiation of therapy. We assessed plasma concentrations of efavirenz and nelfinavir, plasma HIV-1 RNA levels, and lymphocyte subpopulations. RESULTS At base line, the 57 HIV-1-infected children (age range, 3.8 to 16.8 years) had a median of 699 CD4 cells per cubic millimeter and 10,000 copies of HIV-1 RNA per milliliter of plasma. The most common treatment-related effects of at least moderate severity were rash (in 30 percent of children), diarrhea (in 18 percent), neutropenia (in 12 percent), and biochemical abnormalities (in 12 percent). Serious side effects were uncommon. The mean values for the area under the curve for efavirenz and nelfinavir corresponded to expected values. In an intention-to-treat analysis, 76 percent of children had plasma HIV-1 RNA levels of less than 400 copies per milliliter after 48 weeks of therapy and 63 percent had levels of less than 50 copies per milliliter. A high plasma HIV-1 RNA level at base line significantly decreased the likelihood that plasma levels of HIV-1 RNA would become undetectable during treatment. CONCLUSIONS In HIV-1-infected children who were previously treated with nucleoside reverse-transcriptase inhibitors, the combination of efavirenz, nelfinavir, and nucleoside reverse-transcriptase inhibitors was generally well tolerated and had a potent and sustained antiviral effect.
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Affiliation(s)
- S E Starr
- Division of Immunologic and Infectious Diseases, Children's Hospital of Philadelphia, PA 19104, USA.
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McKinney RE, Johnson GM, Stanley K, Yong FH, Keller A, O'Donnell KJ, Brouwers P, Mitchell WG, Yogev R, Wara DW, Wiznia A, Mofenson L, McNamara J, Spector SA. A randomized study of combined zidovudine-lamivudine versus didanosine monotherapy in children with symptomatic therapy-naive HIV-1 infection. The Pediatric AIDS Clinical Trials Group Protocol 300 Study Team. J Pediatr 1998; 133:500-8. [PMID: 9787687 DOI: 10.1016/s0022-3476(98)70057-5] [Citation(s) in RCA: 82] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 10/25/2022]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE The Pediatric AIDS Clinical Trials Group (PACTG) Protocol 300 assessed the clinical efficacy and safety of combination zidovudine/lamivudine (ZDV/3TC) compared with either didanosine (ddI) alone or combination ZDV/ddI. STUDY DESIGN Children with symptomatic human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) infection, 6 weeks through 15 years of age, were stratified according to age and randomly assigned to receive ddI, ZDV/3TC, or ZDV/ddI. The primary endpoint was time to first progression of HIV disease or death. Enrollment in the ZDV/ddI arm stopped after 11 months on the basis of results of PACTG Protocol 152, but blinded follow-up continued. RESULTS For the 471 children who could be evaluated, the median age was 2.7 years, median CD4 cell count was 699 cells/mm3, and median log10 HIV RNA was 5.1/mL. Median follow-up was 9.4 months. Patients receiving ZDV/3TC had a lower risk of HIV disease progression or death than those receiving ddI alone (15 vs 38 failures, P = .0006) and a lower risk of death (3 vs 15 deaths, P = .0039). Weight and height growth rates, CD4+ cell counts, and RNA concentrations showed results favoring ZDV/3TC. For patients concurrently randomized to all 3 treatment arms, both ZDV/3TC and ZDV/ddI recipients had lower risk of HIV disease progression than those who received ddI alone (P = .0026 and P = .0045). CONCLUSIONS Combination therapy with either ZDV/3TC or ZDV/ddI was superior, as determined by clinical and laboratory measures, to monotherapy with ddI.
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Affiliation(s)
- R E McKinney
- Department of Pediatrics and Psychiatry, Duke University Medical Center, Durham, North Carolina 27710, USA
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Abstract
OBJECTIVE To describe the natural history of somatic growth in HIV infection by constructing age-specific growth velocity norms and to assess specific prognostic information available using these norms. DESIGN Observations on 1338 HIV-infected children aged 3 months to 15 years who participated in one of four US clinical trials of pediatric anti-HIV therapies were pooled; baseline growth velocity data were obtained using the first 6 months of observation for each child. METHODS Distributions of physical growth velocities in HIV-infected children in the Pediatric AIDS Clinical Trials Group were computed. Statistical smoothing of growth histories was employed to derive velocity estimates, and quantile regression analysis of growth velocities was performed to allow comparisons of growth rates in age- and gender-heterogeneous cohorts in the context of HIV infection. The quantile regressions provide corrected z-scores for growth velocity that appropriately compare HIV-infected children with one another for the purpose of distinguishing more from less favorable prognoses. RESULTS Consistent deficits in growth velocity amongst HIV-infected children were revealed when compared with the Fels Institute velocity standards. Approximately 33% of height (and 20% of weight) age- and sex-corrected velocity measurements obtained in the first 6 months of clinical trial participation lay beneath the corresponding third percentiles of the Fels reference distributions, which are commonly regarded as critical indicators of growth failure. Proportional hazards regression tests indicated that both weight and height velocity contributed significant information on the risk of death among children with AIDS after adjusting for antiretroviral therapy received, CD4 cell counts, and age at trial enrollment. Comparing subjects who differ in initial weight velocity by one age- and sex-corrected SD, the relative hazard of death was 0.63 (95% confidence interval, 0.55-0.72; P < or = 0.0001) in favor of the child with greater weight velocity, controlling for antiretroviral therapy received, age and CD4 cell count at baseline. The analogous hazard ratio for height velocity was 0.68 (95% confidence interval, 0.57-0.79; P < or = 0.0001). CONCLUSIONS Suitably normalized growth velocities are informative and inexpensive criteria for pediatric AIDS prognosis; the growth velocity distributions presented will be useful for comparing growth effects of new therapeutic strategies to those of single and combination antiretrovirals employed for maintenance of pediatric HIV infection in the mid-1990s.
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Affiliation(s)
- V J Carey
- Channing Laboratory, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts 02115, USA
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Abstract
OBJECTIVE To investigate the dependence of the hazard of symptomatic AIDS on various markers using a non-parametric method. The markers we consider are measures of time (time since infection and calendar date), measures of immune function (numbers and percentage of CD4 T cells) and serological activation markers (neopterin and beta 2-microglobulin). METHODS We adapted a non-parametric statistical method to estimate the hazard of AIDS. We considered both univariate analyses, in which each marker was considered separately and bivariate analyses of pairs of markers. CONCLUSIONS Using data from 356 seroconverters from the Multicenter AIDS Cohort Study, we found that in the univariate analyses the hazard of AIDS is dependent on all markers, with the strongest dependence for CD4 count and CD4 percentage. In the bivariate analyses we found that the time since infection is of little importance in determining the hazard of AIDS if the CD4 count or percentage are known, and is of minor additional value if one of the serological markers is known. In contrast, we found that both beta 2-microglobulin and neopterin do add some additional information to the hazard of AIDS if CD4 count or CD4 percentage are known.
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Affiliation(s)
- F H Yong
- Center for Biostatistics in AIDS Research, Harvard School of Public Health, Boston, Massachusetts 02115, USA
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