Kidney transplantation without prior dialysis in children: the Eurotransplant experience

Kidney transplantation without prior dialysis may prevent dialysis-associated morbidity. We analyzed the outcome of 1113 first kidney transplants in children performed between 1990 and 2000 in the Eurotransplant community. Enlistment for a deceased donor kidney before start of dialysis (127/895, 14%) made dialysis redundant in 55% of cases. Mean residual creatinine clearance at transplantation of these patients was 8 mL/min/1.73 m(2). Pre-emptive transplantations of deceased donor kidneys showed less acute rejections (52% vs. 37% rejection-free at 3 years, p = 0.039), compared to transplantations following dialysis. The difference in graft survival between non-dialyzed and dialyzed patients (82% vs. 69% at 6 year) did not reach statistical significance (p = 0.055). No differences were noted after living donor transplantation. Multivariate analysis showed that the period of transplantation was the strongest predictor of graft survival (p < 0.001). Congenital structural abnormalities such as primary kidney disease predominated in nondialyzed patients as compared to dialyzed patients (p < 0.001); this factor did not influence graft survival. Based on our conclusion that pre-emptive transplantation is at least as good as post-dialysis transplantation, as well as on quality of life arguments, we recommend to consider pre-emptive transplantation in children with end-stage renal failure.

Allocation of Organs, Particularly Kidneys, Within Eurotransplant

Allocation of scarce donor organs is an important discussion topic among ethical, medical, and legal experts, the public at large, and politicians. Since 1996, a new kidney allocation system based on primarily medical and patient-oriented criteria was introduced in Eurotransplant (ET). This point-scoring system takes the following factors into account: HLA-A,B,DR mismatch, mismatch probability, waiting period, i.e., time on dialysis, distance between donor/transplantation center, and balance between import/export of the six participating countries. Extra points are given to high urgency patients and to children. During the first 9 years of the new ET kidney allocation system (ETKAS) almost 30,000 deceased donor kidneys have been allocated of which 22.3% have been transplanted without HLA-A,B,DR mismatches. Twice as many long-waiting patients, i.e., >5 years, have been transplanted as compared with the pre-ETKAS period. Also substantially more children and highly sensitized patients received kidney transplants. Importantly, the balances between import and export of donor kidneys among the different ET countries remained among very well-accepted levels. Finally, overall kidney transplant survival was 78% after 3 years and a significant HLA-matching effect was noticed, i.e., 83% at 3 years for the HLA-A,B,DR mismatched combinations. In conclusion, the new ETKAS has reached its aims and goals. The main problem remains, however, the continuing shortage of deceased donor kidneys.

Acceptance criteria of pancreas grafts: how do surgeons decide in Europe?

OBJECTIVES

Some donor factors, such as age, cause of death, and obesity, affect the outcomes of pancreas transplantation. Donors with a high-risk profile are usually not declined for pancreas donation. The purpose of our study was to investigate differences between accepted and refused pancreata after being procured and offered.

METHODS

In a retrospective study we analyzed all offered pancreata (n = 1360) in the "Eurotransplant Area" between May 25, 2002 and September 18, 2003. Included in this study were 525 pancreata transplanted (38.6%) and 608 pancreata refused for medical reasons (44.7%). A total of 227 pancreata (16.7%) refused for other than medical reasons were excluded from this analysis.

RESULTS

The significant differences in the donor profiles between transplanted and refused pancreata were cause of death (P < .001), donor age (P < .001), body mass index (BMI, P < .001), serum lipase and amylase (P < .05) at the time of procurement, and a history of smoking (P = .001) or alcohol abuse (P < .001). No differences were found for serum sodium (P = .188), blood leukocytes (P = .349), serum glucose at the time of procurement (P = .155), amylase and lipase at the time of admission (P = .34; P = .758), and vasopressor use at the time of admission or at the procedure (P = .802; P = .982).

CONCLUSION

Even after procuring and offering potentially good pancreata, nearly half the organs are refused for medical reasons. Acceptance criteria in the Eurotransplant region reveal a conservative attitude toward pancreas acceptance.

Predictors of lung transplant survival in eurotransplant

This study was undertaken to assess the influence of patient/donor and center factors on lung transplantation outcome. Outcomes of all consecutive first cadaveric lung transplants performed at 21 Eurotransplant centers in 1997-99 were analyzed. The risk-adjusted center effect on mortality was estimated. A Cox model was built including donor and recipient age and gender, primary disease, HLA mismatches, patient's residence, cold ischemic time, donor's cause of death, serum creatinine, type of lung transplant, respiratory support status, clinical condition and percentage predicted FEV1. The center effect was calculated (expressed as the standardized difference between the observed and expected survival rates), and empirical and full Bayes methods were applied to evaluate between-center differences. A total of 590 adults underwent lung transplantation. The primary disease (p=0.01), HLA-mismatches (p = 0.02), clinical condition(p < 0.0001) and the patient's respiratory support status (p = 0.05) were significantly associated with survival. After adjusting for case-mix, no between-center differences could be found. An in-depth empirical Bayes analysis showed the between-center variation to be zero. Similar results were obtained from the full Bayes analysis. Based on these data, there is no scientific basis to support a hypothesis of possible association between center volume and lung survival rates.

Histocompatibility and corneal transplantation

BACKGROUND

HLA typing and matching have been poorly implemented in corneal transplantation, mainly because of inconclusive or contradictory analytical results. Consequently, we studied the immune response of corneal transplant recipients to HLA histoincompatibilities in a large homogeneous study.

METHODS

All corneal transplantations were performed by a single surgeon in a single center between 1976 and 1996. Population genetic and other statistical analyses were performed. Simulation studies assessed the effects of HLA-DR mistypings on analytical results.

RESULTS

Mono- and multivariate analyses identified retransplantation, degree of vascularization, HLA-AB and -DR match grades, endothelial cell count, graft size, recipient gender, storage method and panel-reactive antibodies as significantly influencing the survival of corneal transplants. Simulation studies showed that the beneficial effect of HLA-DR matching is abrogated by HLA-DR mistypings.

CONCLUSIONS

Corneal transplant recipients have a normal immune response to HLA incompatibilities. Demonstration of that fact requires accurate HLA typings.

Horseshoe kidney transplantation within the eurotransplant region: a case control study

BACKGROUND

The horseshoe kidney is the most common anatomic renal variation, with an incidence of 1 in 600 to 800. It represents a fusion anomaly, usually of the lower poles. Horseshoe kidneys can be transplanted en bloc or after division of the renal isthmus. However, the great variation in origin, number, and size of renal arteries and veins leads to some reluctance to use horseshoe kidneys for transplantation. The aim of this study is to assess the results of horseshoe kidney transplantation.

METHODS

All data concerning horseshoe kidney transplantations within the Eurotransplant region were collected and were divided into en bloc and split transplantations. A matched control group was defined, and the three groups were analyzed with respect to the occurrence of primary nonfunction, graft survival, patient survival, and finally posttransplant serum creatinine values.

RESULTS

From 1983 to 2000, 8 horseshoe kidneys were transplanted en bloc and 26 were split and transplanted into 47 recipients. The results of these transplantations were compared with 110 transplantations in the control group. No significant differences among the three groups could be found, either in the short- or long-term posttransplant results.

CONCLUSIONS

The results of horseshoe kidney transplantation, either en bloc or split, are equal to the posttransplant results of kidneys with a normal anatomy. Bearing in mind the shortage of donors, horseshoe kidneys should certainly be used for transplantation.

Iso-risk curves as a tool for clinical decision-making: donor factors and medical urgency in cardiac transplantation

BACKGROUND; No significant improvement of overall graft survival in cardiac transplantation has occurred during the past decade, notwithstanding the identification of several prognostic donor and recipient risk factors. By translating multivariate results into iso-risk curves plots, stratified for medical urgency, we attempt to present results in a more practical manner, to be used as guidelines at the time of donor heart offer and of allocation.

METHODS

We analyzed all first heart-only transplants performed in adults and carried out between January 1, 1997, and June 30, 1998 (N = 1120). Before transplant, 687 patients were at home, 233 on hospital wards, and 200 on the intensive care unit. The overall Cox model yielded 5 independent factors associated with 1-year graft outcome: donor age, donor:recipient weight ratio, medical urgency, end-stage heart disease, and transplant country. We used the significant donor variables of donor age and donor:recipient weight ratio for the iso-risk curves; we calculated relative risks for all combinations of donor age and donor:recipient weight ratio. We obtained iso-risk curves by linking equal relative risks.

RESULTS

All iso-risk curves showed that with older donor age, the donor:recipient weight ratio must be higher to obtain the same relative risk for all 3 medical urgency groups. The more urgent the heart transplant candidate, the higher the course of the iso-risk curve for all donor ages.

CONCLUSIONS

Iso-risk curve is an elegant tool for presenting multivariate analyses in a more practical and patient-oriented manner. The more understandable prognostic factors become the more likely we are to achieve better results in cardiac transplantation and to use more optimally donor hearts. As an example, we have demonstrated the interaction between donor age, donor:recipient size ratio, and medical urgency.

The relevance of proficiency testing for laboratories involved in cadaveric organ transplantation and its consequences for graft survival

Organ exchange organizations such as Eurotransplant allocate organs on the basis of histocompatibility testing results. For this reason it is essential that all data reported by the affiliated laboratories are accurate and reliable. The Eurotransplant Reference Laboratory (ETRL) organizes proficiency testing schemes for the tissue-typing centers of the respective renal transplantation units participating in Eurotransplant. Each year, the ETRL sends out 8 peripheral blood samples of healthy blood donors for serological typing and crossmatching, 16 sera to screen for the presence and definition of HLA alloantibodies and 20 DNA samples for molecular typing to the 49 participating centers. The results are collected centrally and reported back to the participants in an open way. These exercises show that the quality of HLA typing, screening and crossmatching improved significantly over the years. In particular, the introduction of molecular typing for HLA-DR resulted in an increase of reliability. The clinical relevance of a reliable HLA typing was demonstrated in a selected group of transplants, the zero HLA-A,-B,-DR- mismatched group. After retyping the donors, 146 of the 3,458 matched transplants appeared to have a mismatch and those transplants had a significantly lower graft survival rate. A continuing problem, however, is the result of screening for panel reactive antibodies (PRA), where the percentage PRA reported for each serum varies significantly from center to center. The results indicate that the use of a PRA value for classification of patients and allocation of organs should be revisited.

Renal retransplantation of children: is a policy 'first cadaver donor, then live donor' an acceptable option?

Retransplantation is often a necessity for children with end-stage renal disease (ESRD), as kidney graft survival is still not infinite. If a suitable live donor is present, the current policy is to use the live donor first, in order to obtain excellent long-term outcome and to prevent human leucocyte antigen (HLA) sensitization. Data from the Eurotransplant International Foundation were analyzed to determine whether the sequence, first a cadaveric donor then a live donor, is acceptable. Between January 1 1983 and December 31 1995, 1305 children received a first renal transplant; 269 of them had a second transplant during the same period. Follow-up of at least 1 yr was available. Categories were made according to the sequence of renal donor source: 217 patients were classified as first cadaver and second cadaver (1cad-2cad) transplant, 26 as first cadaver and second live (1cad-2liv) donor transplant, 23 as first live donor and second cadaver (1liv-2cad) transplant and three patients had two subsequent live donor transplants (1liv-2liv). When a live donor transplant was carried out, either first or second, the donor age was always higher, and the chance of a pre-emptive transplantation or short stay on dialysis was higher, compared with a cadaver transplant. The re-graft survival rate of the '1cad-2liv' was better than the '1cad-2cad' and '1liv-2cad' transplants. At 5 yr, the survival was 76%, 49%, and 61%, respectively. These data suggest that, when a suitable live donor is not available for a first transplantation owing to medical and/or familial reservations, a policy of 'first a cadaver donor then a live donor' transplantation is a viable option and should even be promoted. The pre-emptive stage of the second transplant, probably with a live donor, is additionally advantageous.

Listing for lung transplantation: life expectancy and transplant effect, stratified by type of end-stage lung disease, the Eurotransplant experience

BACKGROUND

Increased referral for lung transplantation, persistent shortage of donor lungs, and moderate transplant outcome call not only for adequate listing criteria, but also for an optimal allocation scheme. We used global cohort survival after listing and survival benefit from transplantation to study the effect of a lung allocation scheme, primarily driven by waiting time, on the different types of end-stage lung disease.

METHODS

We followed all adult patients consecutively listed for first, lung-only transplantation between 1990 and 1996 (n = 1,208) for at least 2 years, with an additional 2-year follow-up after transplantation (n = 744). We used the competing risk method, the Kaplan-Meier method, and a time-dependent non-proportional hazards model to analyze waiting-list outcome and global mortality after listing, post-transplant survival, and transplant effect, respectively. Each analysis was stratified for type of end-stage lung disease.

RESULTS

At 2 years, 57% of the total cohort had received lung transplants, whereas 25% had died on the waiting list. The 2-year survival post-transplant was 55%. The global mortality of the cohort, since listing, amounted to 46% at 2 years. Compared with continued waiting, patients experienced benefit from transplantation by Day 100, which lasted until the end of the 2-year analysis period. We noticed the highest global mortality rates for patients with pulmonary fibrosis and pulmonary hypertension (54% and 52%); emphysema patients had the lowest (38%). Patients with pulmonary fibrosis and cystic fibrosis had much earlier benefit from transplantation, 55 and 90 days, respectively. Transplantation also benefited emphysema patients by Day 260.

CONCLUSIONS

Lung transplantation conferred transplant benefit in a Western European cohort of adults, in particular for patients with pulmonary fibrosis and cystic fibrosis, but also for patients with emphysema. The global survival rate, reflecting the real life expectancy for a newly listed transplant candidate, is poor for patients with pulmonary fibrosis and pulmonary hypertension. Allocation algorithms that lessen the impact of waiting time and take into account the type of end-stage lung disease should be developed.

Acceptable HLA mismatches for highly immunized patients

Highly sensitized patients have developed antibodies against many different HLA antigens due to previous pregnancies, blood transfusions or failed transplants. These antibodies cause a positive crossmatch with almost all potential organ donors. As a positive crossmatch is a contra-indication for transplantation, highly sensitized patients have a low chance of transplantation unless special strategies are introduced. One such strategy is the acceptable mismatch program, which has led to transplantation of more than 300 of these highly sensitized patients within Eurotransplant. Centers are participating in the program on a voluntary basis. Before a patient can be included in this program, extensive antibody screening is necessary to define those HLA-A and -B antigens towards which the patient has never formed antibodies. Organ donor selection is based on complete compatibility with the patients own HLA antigens in combination with the acceptable mismatches. If such a combination is identified, mandatory exchange takes place. Despite the success of the acceptable mismatch program, about 25% of the patients will never receive a donor offer. These are patients with rare HLA antigens or rare combinations of HLA antigens. In the last few years, this group of patients has had the advantage of two additional programs running within Eurotransplant. In the HIT (highly immunized tray) program, sera of highly sensitized patients are sent to the different centers and crossmatched with all ABO compatible donors. In the case of a negative crossmatch, mandatory exchange takes place. Secondly, these patients can benefit from the extra points they receive for their waiting time, high antibody reactivity and rare HLA type in the standard Eurotransplant allocation system. We conclude that the application of these three strategies will lead to a significantly increased transplantation rate of highly sensitized patients.

Protective and susceptible HLA polymorphisms in IgA nephropathy patients with end-stage renal failure

Idiopathic immunoglobulin A (IgA) nephropathy is characterised by an extreme variability in clinical course, leading to end-stage renal failure in 15-20% of adults. This subgroup of patients with IgA nephropathy is usually included in the waiting lists of organ exchange organisations. The frequency of HLA-A,B,DR antigens of this subset of IgA nephropathy patients was calculated and compared to controls. The antigens HLA-B35 and DR5 were significantly increased in the patients with relative risk values of 1.385 and 1.487, respectively. The antigens HLA-B7, B8, DR2, and DR3 were found in a significantly lower frequency in the patients as compared to the controls. The relative risk (RR) values ranged between 0.695 and 0.727. Consequently, the haplotypes HLA-A1, B8, DR3, HLA-A3, B7, DR2, HLA-A2, B7, DR2 together with HLA-A1, B15, DR4, HLA-A9, B12, DR7, and HLA-A10, B18, DR2 were found to be protective with RR values ranging from 0.309 to 0.587. The only susceptible haplotype observed was HLA-A2-B5, DR5 (RR=2.990).

Beneficial effect of HLA-DR matching on the survival of corneal allografts

BACKGROUND

Although HLA typing and matching have been used for 3 decades, that practice has been poorly implemented in corneal transplantation, mainly because of inconclusive or contradictory analytical results. Consequently, we studied the immune response of corneal transplant recipients to HLA histoincompatibilities in a large homogeneous study.

METHODS

All corneal transplantations performed by a single surgeon between 1976 and 1996 were studied. HLA-AB matching was used for recipient selection. All HLA typings were performed by a single experienced laboratory. Population genetic techniques were used to assess the validity of the HLA typings. Mono- and multivariate analyses were performed to identify the factors which significantly influence the survival of corneal allografts. Simulation studies were carried out to demonstrate the effects of mis-typed donor and recipient HLA-DR typings on analytical results.

RESULTS

Retransplantation, degree of vascularization, HLA-AB and DR matching, endothelial cell count, graft size, recipient gender, and storage method were identified as significant factors by our monovariate analyses. A Cox proportional hazards survival analysis model identified degree of vascularization and HLA-AB and DR matching as significant prognostic factors when all immunological rejection episodes were used, P=0.000001. When only irreversible immunological rejection episodes were used, panel reactive antibodies, retransplantation, and number of rejection events were also identified, P=0.000001. Simulation studies showed that the effects of HLA-DR matching are abrogated by poor HLA-DR typings.

CONCLUSIONS

Corneal allograft recipients have a normal alloimmune response to histoincompatibilities. Demonstration of that fact requires accurate HLA typings.

Permanent detrimental effect of nonimmunological factors on long-term renal graft survival: a parsimonious model of time-dependency

PURPOSE

We attempted to model and test the pattern of effects of prognostic factors on renal graft survival during the posttransplantation time course.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Patients who received a cadaveric kidney-only transplant between January 1990 and December 1995 in Eurotransplant, who received cyclosporine as induction therapy, and who had a complete follow-up at the time of analysis were included in the study (n= 10614). An index summarizing all covariate information was calculated and used for modeling the time-dependent effects with relation to graft failure.

RESULTS

The immunological factors (HLA mismatch and % panel-reactive antibody) were seen to have a slowly decreasing negative effect on renal graft survival. The cold ischemic trauma (>24 hr) exerted a permanent detrimental effect on the grafts. The use of organs obtained from old donors was associated with a constant higher risk of graft loss.

CONCLUSIONS

An analysis of determinants of human allograft dysfunction should also study the interaction between the effects and time. Nonimmunological factors had a constant detrimental effect on graft failure, whereas the impact of the immunological factors--although remaining important for late graft loss--very slowly decreased. In the context of marginal transplants, clustering of unfavorable factors should be avoided to prevent late graft losses.

Eurotransplant randomized multicenter kidney graft preservation study comparing HTK with UW and Euro-Collins

The aim was to evaluate the effect of HTK compared to UW and Euro-Collins (EC) on the initial graft function and long term graft survival in two prospective randomized studies. Only kidneys from heart-beating, kidney-only or kidney + heart donors were eligible for entry. Initial non-function (INF) was defined as the absence of life-sustaining renal function, requiring dialysis treatment on two or more occasions, during the first week after transplantation. To evaluate the contribution of the preservation solutions on INF in relation to other factors, a multivariate, 2-step logistic regression model was used. Randomization was performed between July 1990 and September 1992. The UW-HTK study comprised 342 donors and 611 transplants (UW: 168 donors and 297 transplants, HTK: 174 donors and 314 transplants). In the EC-HTK study 317 donors and 569 transplants were included (EC: 155 donors and 277 transplants, HTK: 162 donors and 292 transplants). INF occurred in 33% of either HTK-(n = 105) or UW-(n = 99) preserved kidneys (P = NS), and in 29% of the HTK-(n = 85) and in 43% of the EC-(n = 119) preserved kidneys (P = 0.001). Multivariate analysis showed no significant influence of the preservation solution on the incidence of INF in the UW-HTK study, but factors contributing to INF were donor age, cause of death, retransplantation, and cold ischemic period. The EC-HTK study showed a significantly higher risk of INF, using EC as preservation, in addition to cold ischemic period and donor quality. The 3-year graft survival of HTK-preserved kidneys was 73%, compared to 68% for UW-preserved kidneys in the UW-HTK study (P = NS); while the 3-year graft survival of HTK preserved kidneys was 70% compared to 67% for EC-preserved kidneys in the EC-HTK study (P = NS). We can conclude that HTK is comparable to UW in its preservative abilities, using kidneys from heart-beating kidney-only donors, whereas EC as renal preservation solution should be avoided.

Commerce in transplantation: how does it affect European legislation?

Commerce in transplantation is well known, if not well defined. Although the word commerce suggests an exchange of money, in reality it often simply signifies a non-profit-making transaction. Nevertheless, money, and therefore profit, may be involved in some human organ transactions, and the buying and selling of organs for transplantation remains common in too many countries. Clearly, if such transactions were allowed to continue only those who could afford to pay would benefit. They would probably also lead to an increase in the number of media horror stories. A number of such stories have appeared in the past. Although they are rarely based on hard evidence, they do influence politicians and, as a consequence, affect legislation and the availability of organs for transplant. They may also diminish the willingness of the general public to become organ donors and contribute to the persistent poor supply of organ donors. Organ exchange organizations, such as Eurotransplant, have made many efforts to prevent unethical transactions. Nevertheless, stories of such transactions continue to appear and are unlikely to abate while there is a high demand and poor supply of organs for transplantation. An international donor surveillance committee--a clearing house for information on malpractice--could be one solution to the problem as it would prevent doctors from taking part in unethical transplant procedures.

The impact of special programs for kidney transplantation of highly sensitized patients in Eurotransplant

Highly immunized patients will continue to accumulate on the waiting list of many registries unless special allocation programs are introduced. In Eurotransplant such patients can benefit from 2 programs, the Acceptable Mismatch (AM) and the Highly Immunized Tray (HIT) programs. Kidney exchange is mandatory in these programs. In addition, highly immunized patients who do not participate in these programs profit from additional points in the allocation procedure (ET-HI). In the past 18 months the 3 programs have run in parallel. Here, we show that the AM and HIT programs are highly effective with respect to increasing the patient's chance of finding a crossmatch negative donor in an adequate time course. Furthermore, the transplantation results of AM and HIT are at least comparable to those of the ET-HI. The main gain at present seems to be the significantly shorter waiting time in the AM and HIT programs.

Lung transplant waiting list: differential outcome of type of end-stage lung disease, one year after registration

BACKGROUND

Donor lung scarcity, distinct natural courses of the different types of end-stage lung diseases, and lung allocation schemes demand appropriate candidate acceptance for a lung transplant and time of listing. This study was undertaken to investigate the association between type of end-stage lung disease and outcome, 1 year after a lung transplant candidate was put on the waiting list.

METHODS

From 1990 to 1995, 1376 adult patients were registered for a first lung (n = 1006) or heart-lung (n = 370) transplantation in Eurotransplant. All patients were followed for at least 1 year. For each type of end-stage lung disease (cystic fibrosis, pulmonary fibrosis, emphysema, pulmonary hypertension, congenital heart disease, and other), chances of transplantation, of death on the waiting list, and of removal for other reasons, 1 year after listing, were calculated with the competing risks method. A multivariate Cox regression model was used to assess the influence of the type of end-stage lung disease on the waiting list outflow among other prognostic variables.

RESULTS

Lung transplant candidates with emphysema and with pulmonary fibrosis had the highest chance of a transplant; however, patients with pulmonary fibrosis had also the highest probability of dying while waiting, while the emphysema patients and those with the type "other" had the lowest probability. In the multivariate analysis, the type of end-stage lung disease appeared as an independent prognostic factor for both outcomes. Compared to the patients with cystic fibrosis (reference group), only patients with pulmonary fibrosis had a significantly higher chance of a transplant (RR = 1.50); the lowest chance of death for the emphysema and the "other" patients was confirmed (RR = 0.53 and RR = 0.51, respectively). Recipient size, ABO blood group, country and epoch of listing also had a significant impact on the transplant chance, while country of listing and recipient age were the other factors independently influencing the chance of dying on the waiting list. On the heart-lung waiting list, the type of end-stage lung disease solely affected the chance of death prior to transplant. Compared with cystic fibrosis, pulmonary fibrosis had a significantly higher risk (RR = 2.93), closely followed by pulmonary hypertension (RR = 2.57). Factors crucial for the chance of a heart-lung transplant were recipient size, ABO blood group and country of listing.

CONCLUSIONS

The type of end-stage lung disease is a distinctive factor for predicting survival on the lung and heart-lung transplant waiting list, and should be taken into account whenever assessing waiting list outcomes. When developing lung allocation schemes, it is medically justified to incorporate the type of end-stage lung disease.

Demand, supply and allocation in Eurotransplant

The main problem in organ transplantation is the continuing shortage of organ donors. Despite all efforts no major significant increases in organ availability are observed during the year 1996 in the participating Eurotransplant counties, while the demand i.e. the waiting lists are still increasing. Shortage of organs will also have its effects and constraints on the distribution i.e. the allocation of scarce organs. To meet the demand of the renal transplantation programs a special kidney allocation system was designed based upon many simulation studies. Already a few months after implementation of the new system very promising results were observed i.e. the discrepancies between the different countries in terms of kidney procurement and transplantation frequencies disappeared. Furthermore, twice as much long waiting kidney patients have been transplanted as previously and the percentage of well matched HLA donor-recipient combinations remained surprisingly high, nearly 24%.

Trends in organ donation

Renal and extrarenal transplant data were collected for seven geographical regions for the period 1989-1996. In Western Europe and North America the number of kidney donors increased by 926 and 2743, respectively. The total number of transplants also increased in both regions by 3756 and 6936, respectively. Renal transplants accounted for approximately 60% of the total number of transplants and, although the number of renal transplants did not alter in Western Europe, the number rose by 3055 in North America. Outside of these regions the number of extrarenal transplants was 3-18% of the total. The number of living kidney donors in North America increased each year and was higher than the number recruited in Western Europe (3389 vs 943 in 1996). With the exception of Eastern Europe, where virtually no renal transplants were carried out using organs from living donors, the number of living kidney donors rose in other regions: for example, in Latin America, the proportion of living kidney donors rose from 29% in 1970-88 to 51% in 1995, and, in Asia, 90% of kidneys were donated by living donors. As the quality of cadaveric donor organs is often sub-optimal, the use of living donors is likely to increase in both Western Europe and North America, but is unlikely to become the most important source of organs in these regions.

Analysis of the renal transplant waiting list: application of a parametric competing risk method

BACKGROUND

The strong competition for scarce renal graft resources jeopardizes an individual patient's chances of a transplantation within a reasonable time scale. This study was undertaken to quantify these chances of receiving a transplant.

METHODS

All patients registered for their first renal allograft between January 1980 and December 1993 (n=40,636) in Eurotransplant were selected. The influence of patient characteristics, such as age, HLA phenotype frequency, % panel-reactive antibodies, period of registration, and ABO blood group, on the waiting list outflow was studied. The competing risk method was applied, and Poisson models were built to estimate the risk factor effects.

RESULTS

The chance of transplantation within 10 years after registration was overestimated by Kaplan-Meier (84%); using the competing risk method it was only 74%. The predicted chance for death on the waiting list was overestimated by 33% (45% Kaplan-Meier vs. 12% competing risk). A time-varying covariate effect on the chances of waiting list outflow was observed. Favorable factors for quick transplantation, such as blood group AB or a common HLA phenotype, were no longer seen to be driving forces for transplantation once 5 to 6 years of waiting time had been accrued.

CONCLUSION

When multiple outcomes exist, Kaplan-Meier estimates should not be interpreted as survival rates, while competing risk estimates yield appropriate chances. A significantly decaying effect of the usual allocation parameters is observed with ongoing waiting time. This phenomenon is the statistical basis for redesigning allocation strategies. Organ exchange algorithms should have the potential to adapt to these time-varying effects.

The new Eurotransplant Kidney Allocation System: report one year after implementation. Eurotransplant International Foundation

BACKGROUND

Upon the availability of a cadaveric donor kidney, a delicate allocation process precedes every transplantation. A remodeled Eurotransplant Kidney Allocation System (ETKAS)-derived from simulation studies-was installed in March 1996. The purpose was to adjust long waiting times and international exchange balances, while aiming at an optimal HLA-mismatch distribution. The new ETKAS consisted of a point-score system that was 100% patient oriented.

METHODS

The impact of the new ETKAS on the composition of the waiting list, and the outcome of the allocation procedures during its first year, were evaluated and compared with the results obtained in 1995.

RESULTS

The percentage of long-waiting patients and of patients with poorly matchable HLA phenotype increased significantly, from 9% to 19% and from 19% to 29%, respectively. Zero HLA-A-, HLA-B-, HLA-DR-mismatched patients still comprised 23% of the kidney transplant activity. The kidney exchange of the different Eurotransplant countries became balanced within 4 months; this persisted during the rest of the year. Pediatric patients had a high transplantation rate due to an assignment of extra points. The composition of the waiting list showed, after 1 year, fewer long-waiting patients and fewer patients with rare HLA phenotypes.

CONCLUSIONS

The new ETKAS was able in its first year to meet the goals set at its introduction. In comparison with the old ETKAS, there was a better trade-off between HLA matching and waiting time. The value of computer simulation studies has been demonstrated impressively in the context of organ allocation.

Long-term graft survival after liver transplantation in the UW era: late effects of cold ischemia and primary dysfunction. European Multicentre Study Group

The use of University of Wisconsin (UW) solution in liver transplantation (LTX) has significantly prolonged preservation times and facilitated semielective transplant procedures. Despite this advantage potential risk factors related to the donor, recipient, or cold storage method will persist in the UW era and detrimental effects will be reflected by primary dysfunction (PDF) after LTX. Concern has been voiced about the maximum period of UW preservation in LTX and various cold ischemia times (CIT) are mentioned. To evaluate the effect of UW solution in LTX, a prospective European multicenter study was initiated in 1988 and short-term results have been reported previously. This report focuses on the long-term effects and survival of prolonged preservation with UW solution and primary function after LTX. Three hundred and fifteen LTXs were performed in 288 patients in participating European centers. Complete follow up of at least 6 years was available for 296 grafts in 277 patients. Effects of donor, preservation, and recipient risk factors on PDF including primary non-function (PNF) and initial poor function (IPF) were evaluated. Next, the effect of risk factors on graft survival (GS) was analyzed including the long-term impact of PNF and IPF using multivariate analyses and the Kaplan-Meyer method. PDF occurred in 15.2% (45/296) with PNF in 7.8% and IPF in 7.4%. Patients with IPF had a 34% lower GS at 3 months those with immediate function (IF; 58% vs 91%; P < 0.001). This difference persisted up to 6 years for patients with IPF with a 39% GS vs 72% after IF (P < 0.001). Median CIT was significantly longer in grafts with PNF compared to IPF or IF (P = 0.03). Long-term GS, however, was significantly influenced at a lower CIT threshold with a 6-year GS for CIT < or = 16 h of 67%, compared to a CIT > 16 h of 51% (P = 0.02). Other independent risk factors for the 6-year survival rate were re-LTX, ABO incompatibility, and recipient diagnosis of acute hepatic failure. In conclusion, liver patients with PNF, but not with IPF, have a significantly lower CIT. IPF is associated with a significantly lower 3 month GS compared to IF, but this difference of 34% does not further increase during a 6-year follow up. Although a short term follow up (3 months) shows that with UW solution CIT up to 18 h has no adverse effect on GS, the 6-year data clearyl suggest that CIT should be kept to less than < 16 h to avoid tetrimental effects on lang-term GS after LTX.

Do noninherited maternal antigens (NIMA) enhance renal graft survival?

To test the hypothesis that noninherited maternal antigens (NIMA) can modulate the alloreactivity of infant cells and provide protection for renal transplant recipients, a study of renal transplantations performed between 1980 and 1991 was undertaken. The survival rate of grafts with a mismatched antigen identical to the NIMA was compared to that of grafts in which the mismatched antigen was not identical to the NIMA. In the case of HLA-A mismatches, graft survival rates were significantly better for NIMA-mismatched transplants: 94% and 83% at 1 and 3 years, respectively, for single NIMA HLA-A mismatched transplants, and 83% and 67% when both HLA-A antigens were mismatched, compared to 76% and 68% (one non NIMA HLA-A mismatch) and 67% and 45% (two non-NIMA HLA-A mismatches). Our results suggest that some class I NIMA-mismatched antigens are not harmful to renal transplant recipients.

Trends in organ donation

Presumed consent legislation produces more donors and in particular more organs per donor. In cadaveric donation, the number of elderly donors is increasing, so the quality of organs available is getting poorer. There will be no substantial rise in transplantation unless there is a major breakthrough in the current programs. There will be an increase in the proportion of living (un)related donors and debate about ethics of transplantation. Adverse publicity and debate may affect cadaveric donation and refusal rates.

Risk factors for delayed graft function in cadaveric kidney transplantation: a prospective study of renal function and graft survival after preservation with University of Wisconsin solution in multi-organ donors. European Multicenter Study Group

BACKGROUND

Delayed graft function (DGF) remains an important complication in renal transplantation. In this multicenter study, we investigated the influence of donor and recipient factors on the occurrence of DGF and DGF's effect on long-term graft survival.

METHODS

A total of 547 transplanted kidney allografts, retrieved from multi-organ donors, were analyzed, and results were compared with literature on kidney-only donors.

RESULTS

Median follow-up of patients without graft failure was 3.4 years. Twenty-four percent of the recipients developed DGF. In univariate analysis, the following factors significantly increased the incidence of DGF: (a) among the donor factors, mean creatinine level >120 micromol/L and prolonged cold ischemia time (CIT); and (b) among the recipient factors, previous transplant(s), no intraoperative use of mannitol, poor quality of reperfusion, absence of intraoperative diuresis, and pretransplant anuria or oliguria. After stepwise logistic regression, donor age, CIT, recipient's number of previous transplants, and intraoperative diuresis proved to be of independent prognostic value for the occurrence of DGF. Overall graft survival was 91%, 87%, and 72% at 3 months, 1 year, and 4 years after transplantation, respectively. In case of DGF, graft survival was approximately 10% lower when compared with cases with immediate graft function (P<0.001). No difference in incidence of DGF was found between grafts of multi-organ donors and kidney-only donors.

CONCLUSIONS

DGF results in an approximately 10% higher rate of graft failure. DGF incidence can be reduced by the administration of mannitol during transplantation, which minimizes CIT and optimizes donor management. Grafts from multi-organ donors and kidney-only donors appear to be of equal quality.

Transplant rejection associated with the presence of human leucocyte antigen antibodies detected by the Fc gamma R inhibition test but not by the lymphocytotoxicity test

The unselected sera from 869 human leucocyte antigen (HLA) immunized patients awaiting a kidney transplant were analysed using the complement-dependent lymphocytotoxicity test (LCT) with peripheral mononuclear blood cells and the complement-independent immune phagocytosis inhibition test (IPI) with monocytes derived from between five and 10 donors. Sera from 659 patients were LCT and IPI negative when tested against this small panel. Seventy-nine patients had HLA immunoglobulin-G (IgG) antibodies, detectable by the IPI only. Sera from 117 patients had concordantly positive IPI and LCT reactivity with cells from certain donors and concordantly negative IPI and LCT reactivity with cells from other donors (no isolated IPI and no isolated LCT reactions). Fourteen patients had a mixed type of reactivity. Laboratory findings were interpreted along with the transplantation history of the respective patients. Group 1 comprised patients for whom negative results were obtained in both the LCT and the IPI; group 2 patients who were also LCT negative but IPI positive. These two groups showed a significantly different history with respect to the number of irreversible immunological transplant rejections. In group 1, 25.3% of the transplanted kidneys had been rejected whereas in group 2, 56.0% of the kidneys had been rejected (p = 5 x 10(-5)). The high incidence of rejections in the group showing only IPI reactions was comparable with that of group 4 comprising patients with concordant IPI and LCT reactions (59.4%). It is inferred from this retrospective study that renal allograft rejection is associated with the development of IPI reactive antibodies which are not detectable by the LCT. The presence of these antibodies prior to transplantation could be detrimental to the transplanted organ. This being the case, the incidence of transplant failures could be reduced by pretransplant screening using the IPI and by avoiding crossmatch positive donors identified by IPI, especially in patients waiting for a retransplantation.

Association between specific HLA combinations and probability of kidney allograft loss: the taboo concept

BACKGROUND

HLA matching improves the outcome of cadaveric renal transplantation. However, many allografts function well even in the presence of one or more HLA mismatches, which raises the question of whether some mismatches are better recognised by the recipient's immune system than others. We aimed to identify mismatched HLA donor-recipient combinations that were associated with increased graft loss.

METHODS

We selected 2877 first, unrelated renal transplants with a single HLA A, B, or DR mismatch, undertaken between 1982 and 1992, from the Eurotransplant database. To enhance statistical power the analysis was restricted to mismatches of an HLA antigen that occurred in 100 or more donors. 1342 transplants met this criterion and were grouped into a definition set (n = 873) and a validation set (n = 469). In the definition set, we studied further only those recipient HLA antigens that occurred in at least 30 cases within each donor antigen mismatch subset. By a Cox proportional hazards model, donor-recipient combinations that led to significantly higher graft loss than in the whole group were defined. Such combinations were classified as taboo; the remaining combinations were classified as indifferent.

FINDINGS

106 individual recipient antigens were found at least 30 times with a corresponding donor mismatch in the definition set; 11 of the 106 had a significant effect on graft survival. Seven combinations were classified as taboo. Taboo combinations, confirmed as such in the validation set, were associated with graft survival of 81% at one year and 50% at 5 years, significantly lower than the rates in the group with indifferent combinations (89% and 69%; p = 0.04) or among 1190 recipients with no mismatches (89% and 72%; p = 0.03). The findings were substantiated by a multivariate analysis that included the effect of patient immunisation, cold ischaemia time, age, and sex.

INTERPRETATION

Mismatched donor antigens are differentially recognised depending on the HLA phenotype of the recipient. The findings may have important clinical consequences for graft survival after transplantation.

The outcome of kidney grafts from multiorgan donors and kidney only donors

From 1988 to 1994, 15356 renal cadaveric transplantations have been performed within the Eurotransplant area (Austria, Belgium, Germany, Luxembourg and The Netherlands); 8746 kidneys were obtained from multiorgan donors and 6610 from kidney only donors. To evaluate the impact of the procurement policy, multiorgan donor (MOD) versus kidney only donor (KOD), on renal graft survival, an observational study has been performed. Multivariate analysis using Cox's proportional hazards model served to quantify the role of the procurement policy on renal graft survival after adjustment for other prognostic factors. The kidneys obtained from MODs had a significantly better graft survival at 1, 3, and 5 years after transplantation than the kidneys obtained from KODs (85%, 75%, and 58% versus 78%, 68%, and 46% (P=0.0001). In the Cox model, patients transplanted with a KOD kidney had a 1.28 times higher risk of losing their graft than patients transplanted with a MOD kidney. This benefit in graft survival for MOD kidneys could not be explained by the fact that the MODs were younger and male, and that UW was used as preservation solution. A plausible explanation is that MODs, on average, because of the nonrenal transplants, are better supervised. We expect that optimal donor management will contribute to a better outcome of all renal grafts.

Multiorgan donation in The Netherlands: limited by consent and policy

The percentage of multiorgan donors (MOD) versus single organ donors of kidneys only (SOD-K) has remained markedly low in the Netherlands compared to the other countries in the Eurotransplant region. This suggests a possible loss of donor organs. We investigated the causes of this persisting low percentage of MOD by studying the reasons for kidney donation only. All kidney donors in the Eurotransplant region in 1992 were studied retrospectively. In order to be able to make a comparison between all countries investigated, non heart-beating donors and donors older than 55 years were excluded. Medical reasons were the most frequent cause for kidney donation only in the Netherlands, but this was not significantly different from the other countries in the Eurotransplant region. Multiorgan donation in the Netherlands was restricted by upper age limits for heart and liver transplantation and by the consent system.

The impact of HLA-A matching on long-term survival of renal allografts

An important contribution of HLA-A antigen matching in renal transplantation was reported initially, hut later publications showed a minor or absent role. We analyzed the contribution of HLA-A locus matching to graft survival in 17,672 first renal transplants from unrelated, nonliving donors. We show that an independent HLA-A matching effect still exists. Due to its relative weakness and late appearance, large numbers and longer follow-up periods are required. The HLA-A matching effect is a significant factor in first renal allograft survival up to 6 years after transplantation, with an increasing effect over time. This is in contrast to the strong, short-lived, effects of HLA-DR and -B matching, which can only be detected up to 6 months and 2 years after transplantation, respectively. A clear additive beneficial effect of HLA-A matching is shown in the group without B and DR mismatches. Therefore, prospective matching for the HLA-A antigens remains important for renal allograft survival.