Proteinuria is independently associated with heart failure events in patients with atrial fibrillation: the Fushimi AF registry

AIMS

Previous studies have shown that proteinuria is independently associated with the incidence of atrial fibrillation (AF), and is also associated with the incidence of cardiovascular events such as stroke and thromboembolism in patients with AF. However, the association of proteinuria with heart failure (HF) events in patients with AF remains unclear.

METHODS AND RESULTS

The Fushimi AF Registry is a community-based prospective study of patients with AF. Of the entire cohort of 4489 patients, 2164 patients had available data of proteinuria. We compared the clinical background and outcomes between patients with proteinuria (n = 606, 28.0%) and those without (n = 1558, 72.0%). Patients with proteinuria were older and had a higher prevalence of major co-morbidities. During the median follow-up of 5.0 years, the incidence rates of HF events (composite of cardiac death or HF hospitalization) were higher in patients with proteinuria than those without (4.1% vs. 2.1% person-year, P < 0.01). Multivariate analyses revealed that proteinuria was an independent risk factor of the incidence of HF events [adjusted hazard ratio (HR): 1.40, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.13-1.74]. This association was consistent among the various subgroups, except for the age subgroup in which there was a significant interaction (P < 0.01) between younger (<75 years) (unadjusted HR: 3.03, 95% CI: 2.12-4.34) and older (≥75 years) patients (unadjusted HR: 1.59, 95% CI: 1.23-2.05).

CONCLUSION

Our community-based large prospective cohort suggests that proteinuria is independently associated with the incidence of HF events in Japanese patients with AF.

The Incidence of Severe Radiation-Induced Lymphopenia during Chemoradiotherapy for Stage Ⅲ Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer: A Comparative Study of Proton Versus Photon-Based Radiotherapy

PURPOSE/OBJECTIVE(S)

To investigate the incidence of severe radiation-induced lymphopenia (SRL) and the survival in patients with stage Ⅲ non-small cell lung cancer treated with concurrent chemoradiotherapy with passive scattering proton beam (PSPT) or photon-based radiotherapy (XRT) including 3D-CRT and IMRT.

MATERIALS/METHODS

We conducted a retrospective cohort study including 355 patients who received definitive concurrent chemoradiotherapy with PSPT (n = 38) or XRT (n = 317) at our institution between January 2010 and December 2020. SRL during concurrent chemoradiotherapy was defined as absolute lymphocyte counts (ALCs) of <500 cells/mm3. Propensity score matching (PSM) analysis was performed to adjust for the patient characteristics between the PSPT and XRT groups. Propensity scores were calculated using age, sex, PS (0-1 vs. 2), primary tumor location (upper/middle vs. lower lobe), pathology (Adeno vs. Others), PTV volume, ALCs at pretreatment, year of treatment (before vs. after July 2018, when durvalumab approved in Japan), and platinum-based chemotherapy regimen (CDDP based vs. CBDCA based). After PSM, the incidence of SRL and the overall survival (OS) were analyzed.

RESULTS

The GTV and PTV volumes were significantly lower in the PSPT group than in the XRT group (median, 57 vs. 103 mm3; p < 0.05, 322 vs. 399 mm3; p < 0.05, respectively). ALCs at pretreatment were significantly lower in the PSPT group than in the XRT group (median, 1531 vs. 1718 cells/mm3; p < 0.05). SRL was observed in 275 patients (87%) in the XRT group and 27 patients (71%) in the PSPT group (p < 0.05). After PSM, PSPT significantly reduced the incidence of SRL compared to XRT (68.6 % vs. 88.6 %, p < 0.05), and the patients without SRL may have better 3-year OS than those with SRL (71.1 % vs. 55.3 %; p = 0.062).

CONCLUSION

Compared with XRT, PSPT significantly reduced the incidence of SRL, and the patients without SRL had a good prognosis.

Incidence and Prognostic Factors of Painful Vertebral Compression Fracture Caused by Spine Stereotactic Body Radiotherapy

PURPOSE/OBJECTIVE(S)

Most studies of vertebral compression fracture (VCF) caused by stereotactic body radiotherapy (SBRT) do not mention the symptoms. We aimed herein to determine the rate and prognostic factors of painful VCF caused by SBRT for spinal metastasis.

MATERIALS/METHODS

Between August 2013 and December 2021, spinal segments with VCF were retrospectively identified in patients treated with spine SBRT. Iatrogenic VCFs, excluding pathological fractures, were classified into a modified group and graded using CTCAE v5.0 as grade 1 (painless), grade 2 (mildly painful), or grade 3 (intensely painful, requiring hospitalization or surgery). The primary endpoint was the rate of painful VCF (grades 2-3). Moreover, various factors specific to the patient, tumor, and treatment were evaluated to determine their value in predicting the rate of painful VCF.

RESULTS

In total, 934 spinal segments in 387 patients were analyzed. The median follow-up after SBRT was 14 (range: 0-107) months. Sixty iatrogenic fractures (6.4%) comprising 31 de novo fractures and 29 existing VCF progressions were identified. The patients' median age was 68 (range: 38-79) years, and 31 (52%) spinal segments had a history of radiotherapy. Grade 1, 2, and 3 VCFs were confirmed in 41, four, and 15 segments, respectively. The rate of grade 3 VCF was 2.0% (19 / 934) of the spinal segments treated with SBRT. Eight (0.9%) VCFs required surgery for stabilization or decompression of spinal canal stenosis. None of the 17 VCFs treated with posterior decompression and fixation before SBRT developed into a painful VCF. On univariate analysis, the painful VCF rate was significantly higher in patients with no posterolateral tumor involvement than in those with bilateral or unilateral involvement (56.3% vs 22.7%; p = 0.026). Other spinal instability neoplastic score (SINS) components (Location, Pain, Bone lesion, Alignment, Vertebral body collapse), SINS (Stable/ Potentially unstable vs Unstable), age, number of spinal levels, radiation history, existing VCF, and interval between SBRT and VCF showed no significant correlation with painful VCF.

CONCLUSION

Although VCF is a known adverse effect of spine SBRT, 68% of the cases examined were painless (grade 1). Intensely painful VCFs (grade 3) were confirmed in only 1.6% of all the treated spinal segments. The absence of posterolateral tumor involvement was significantly associated with painful VCF.

Dosimetric Evaluation of Targets and Organs at Risk in Dose Escalation Study for Total Marrow and Lymphoid Irradiation

PURPOSE/OBJECTIVE(S)

Total marrow and lymphoid irradiation (TMLI) delivers radiation dose to the bone marrow and lymph nodal region while reducing the dose to non-target organs. We conducted a dose-escalation study of TMLI to improve treatment outcomes while reducing OAR doses using intensity-modulated radiation therapy. However, this dose escalation strategy may cause increasing risk of recurrence and adverse events because of dose uniformity compromises of the target. We hypothesized that the homogeneity index (HI) could become worse with increased target's dose while maintaining reduced OAR doses for the nine patients enrolled in the TMLI phase Ⅰ clinical trial.

MATERIALS/METHODS

Nine patients treated with TMLI using a treatment delivery system from September 2019 to August 2021 were included. The prescribed doses were 14 Gy/6 fr, 16 Gy/6 fr, and 18 Gy/6 fr twice daily for 3 days, with three patients allocated each prescription. Bone marrow, lymph nodal region, spleen, testis, brain, and liver were designated as targets. The bone marrow was divided into eight parts (see Table); an individual PTV margin was added to each structure. We intended to deliver the D80% prescription dose for PTV. For the brain and liver, the prescribed dose was 12 Gy in consideration of function preservation. Lenses, oral cavity, parotid glands, lungs, heart, esophagus, stomach, kidneys, intestines, and breasts were defined as OAR. Targets were evaluated with HI that was calculated using the formula HI = (D2%-D98%)/D50%, based on ICRU report 83. For OARs, Dmax, D2%, D10%, and mean dose constraint were evaluated.

RESULTS

The table lists HI for the PTV_ALL and each target. The HI of PTV_ALL rose with increasing prescription dose and was highest at 18 Gy. The highest HI was 0.632 for PTV_Rib at 18 Gy, and the lowest HI was 0.045 for PTV_testis at 14 Gy. OAR Dose constraints were achieved in all patients. The average OAR doses in all cases for lenses, oral cavity, parotid glands, lungs, heart, esophagus, intestines, kidneys, and breast were 4.7±0.80, 4.4±0.51, 6.7±0.48, 7.6±0.22, 7.8±0.19, 6.7±0.18, 7.4±1.12, 6.9±0.96, and 14.7 Gy, respectively. The Dmax of the lenes, D2% of the esophagus, and D10% of the stomach were 7.2 ± 1.09, 11.5 ± 0.47, and 10.9 ± 0.98 Gy, respectively.

CONCLUSION

In the TMLI phase I clinical trial, we evaluated the dose uniformity to the targets and the OAR dose constraints. Although the HI for PTV_ALL worsened with increasing prescription dose, compliance with OAR dose constraints was achieved in all patients.

Utility of left ventricular ejection fraction in atrial fibrillation patients without pre-existing heart failure

AIMS

Atrial fibrillation (AF) increases the risk of heart failure (HF); however, little focus has been placed on the prevention of HF in patients with AF. Left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) is an established echocardiographic parameter in HF patients. We sought to investigate the association of LVEF with HF events in AF patients without pre-existing HF.

METHODS AND RESULTS

The Fushimi AF Registry is a community-based prospective survey of AF patients in Fushimi-ku, Japan. In this analysis, we excluded patients with pre-existing HF (defined as having one of the following: prior HF hospitalization, New York Heart Association class ≥ 2 in association with heart disease, or LVEF < 40%). Among 3233 AF patients without pre-existing HF, we investigated 2459 patients with the data of LVEF at enrolment. We divided the patients into three groups stratified by LVEF [mildly reduced LVEF (40-49%), below normal LVEF (50-59%), and normal LVEF (≥60%)] and compared the backgrounds and incidence of HF hospitalization between the groups. Of 2459 patients [mean age: 72.4 ± 10.5 years, female: 917 (37%), paroxysmal AF: 1405 (57%), and mean CHA2 DS2 -VASc score: 3.0 ± 1.6], the mean LVEF was 66 ± 8% [mildly reduced LVEF: 114 patients (5%), below normal LVEF: 300 patients (12%), and normal LVEF: 2045 patients (83%)]. Patients with lower LVEF demonstrated lower prevalence of female and paroxysmal AF (both P < 0.01), but age and CHA2 DS2 -VASc score were comparable between the three groups (both P > 0.05). During the median follow-up period of 6.0 years, 255 patients (10%) were hospitalized for HF (annual incidence: 1.9% per person-year). Multivariable Cox regression analysis demonstrated that lower LVEF strata were independently associated with the risk of HF [mildly reduced LVEF (40-49%): hazard ratio = 2.98, 95% confidence interval = 1.99-4.45 and below normal LVEF (50-59%): hazard ratio = 2.01, 95% confidence interval = 1.44-2.82, compared with normal LVEF (≥60%)] after adjustment by age, sex, type of AF, and CHA2 DS2 -VASc score. LVEF < 60% was significantly associated with the higher risk of HF hospitalization across all major subgroups without significant interaction (P for interaction; all P > 0.05). LVEF had an independent and incremental prognostic value for HF hospitalization in addition to natriuretic peptide levels in AF patients without pre-existing HF.

CONCLUSIONS

Lower LVEF was significantly associated with the higher incidence of HF hospitalization in AF patients without pre-existing HF, leading to the future risk stratification for and prevention of incident HF in AF patients.

Nonlinear feedforward enabling quantum computation

Measurement-based quantum computation with optical time-domain multiplexing is a promising method to realize a quantum computer from the viewpoint of scalability. Fault tolerance and universality are also realizable by preparing appropriate resource quantum states and electro-optical feedforward that is altered based on measurement results. While linear feedforward has been realized and become a common experimental technique, nonlinear feedforward was unrealized until now. In this paper, we demonstrate that a fast and flexible nonlinear feedforward realizes the essential measurement required for fault-tolerant and universal quantum computation. Using non-Gaussian ancillary states, we observed 10% reduction of the measurement excess noise relative to classical vacuum ancilla.

Antithrombotic monotherapy for stable coronary artery disease and atrial fibrillation patients with and without prior coronary artery revascularization: Insights from the AFIRE trial

Funding Acknowledgements

Type of funding sources: Foundation. Main funding source(s): The Japan Cardiovascular Research Foundation under a contract with Bayer Yakuhin

Background

The AFIRE (Atrial Fibrillation and Ischemic Events With Rivaroxaban in Patients With Stable Coronary Artery Disease) trial demonstrated that rivaroxaban monotherapy was noninferior to combination therapy with rivaroxaban plus a single antiplatelet therapy regarding efficacy and superior for safety endpoints in patients with atrial fibrillation and stable coronary artery disease including patients not requiring revascularization [prior percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) or bypass grafting (CABG)].

Purpose

The aim of this post-hoc subgroup analysis was to investigate the efficacy and safety of rivaroxaban monotherapy compared to combination therapy in patients with and without prior revascularization.

Methods

Among 2,215 patients included in the modified intention-to-treat analysis in the AFIRE trial, 1445 patients (65.2%) had undergone previous PCI alone, and 252 (11.4%) had undergone previous CABG. The remaining 518 patients (23.4%) was categorized as a group without prior revascularization and then compared with a group with prior revascularization (PCI or CABG). The primary efficacy end point was a composite of stroke, systemic embolism, myocardial infarction, unstable angina requiring revascularization, or death from any cause. The primary safety end point was major bleeding, according to the criteria of the International Society on Thrombosis and Hemostasis.

Results

In 1697 patients with prior revascularization, efficacy and safety endpoints of rivaroxaban monotherapy were superior to combination therapy (efficacy: HR 0.62, 95%CI 0.45-0.85, p=0.003; safety: HR 0.62, 95%CI 0.39-0.98, p=0.040), whereas there were no significant differences in efficacy and safety endpoints among 518 patients without prior revascularization (efficacy: HR 1.19, 95%CI 0.67-2.11, p=0.553; safety: HR 0.47, 95%CI 0.18-1.26, p=0.125). There was a borderline interaction of efficacy endpoint (P for interaction=0.055) by randomized treatment assignment (Figure 1 and Figure 2). Compared with combination therapy, the safety benefit of rivaroxaban monotherapy on any bleeding was significant in patients without prior revascularization (HR 0.59, 95%CI 0.38-0.93, p=0.022).

Conclusions

In patients with prior PCI or CABG, rivaroxaban monotherapy resulted in more favorable safety and efficacy outcomes than combination therapy. There was a borderline interaction for primary efficacy outcome between prior revascularization and anti-thrombotic therapy.

Impact of baseline blood pressure on adverse outcomes in Japanese patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation: the J-RISK AF

Aims

This study aimed to investigate the impact of baseline blood pressure (BP) on adverse outcomes in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF), using a pooled analysis performed on data from J-RISK AF, a large-scale cohort of Japanese patients with AF.

Methods and results

Of the 16 918 patients from five major AF registries including the J-RHYTHM Registry, Fushimi AF Registry, Shinken Database, Keio interhospital Cardiovascular Studies, and Hokuriku-Plus AF Registry, 15 019 non-valvular AF (NVAF) patients with baseline BP values (age, 70.0 ± 11.0 years; men, 69.1%) were analysed. Incidence rates of adverse events were evaluated between patients divided into baseline systolic BP quartiles or at 150 mmHg. During the follow-up period of 730 days, ischaemic stroke, major bleeding, all-cause death, and cardiovascular death occurred in 277, 319, 718, and 275 patients, respectively. Hazard ratios (HRs) for ischaemic stroke and major bleeding were comparable among the quartiles, whereas HRs for all-cause and cardiovascular deaths in the lowest quartile with systolic BP <114 mmHg were significantly higher [HR 1.43, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.13-1.81; and HR 1.47, 95% CI 1.01-2.12, respectively] than in the third quartile, even after adjusting for known confounding factors. In patients with a systolic BP of ≥150 mmHg, adjusted HR for major bleeding was significantly higher than that of <150 mmHg (HR 1.64, 95% CI 1.12-2.40).

Conclusion

In Japanese patients with NVAF, a baseline systolic BP <114 mmHg was significantly associated with higher all-cause and cardiovascular mortality. In contrast, a systolic BP ≥150 mmHg was an independent risk factor for major bleeding.

Temporal Profiles of Symptom Scores After Palliative Radiotherapy for Bleeding Gastric Cancer With Adjustment for the Palliative Prognostic Index: An Exploratory Analysis of a Multicentre Prospective Observational Study (JROSG 17-3)

AIMS

Although palliative radiotherapy for gastric cancer may improve some symptoms, it may also have a negative impact due to its toxicity. We investigated whether symptoms improved after radiotherapy with adjustment for the Palliative Prognostic Index (PPI) considering that patients with limited survival tend to experience deterioration of symptoms.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

This study was an exploratory analysis of the Japanese Radiation Oncology Study Group study (JROSG 17-3). We assessed six symptom scores (nausea, anorexia, fatigue, shortness of breath, pain at the irradiated area and distress) at registration and 2, 4 and 8 weeks thereafter. We tested whether symptoms linearly improved after adjusting for the baseline PPI. Shared parameter models were used to adjust for potential bias in missing data.

RESULTS

The present study analysed all 55 patients enrolled in JROSG 17-3. With time from registration as the only explanatory variable in the model, a significant linear decrease was observed in shortness of breath, pain and distress (slopes, -0.26, -0.22 and -0.19, respectively). Given that the interaction terms (i.e. PPI × time) were not significantly associated with symptom scores in any of the six symptoms, only PPI was included as the main effect in the final multivariable models. After adjusting for the PPI, shortness of breath, pain and distress significantly improved (slope, -0.25, -0.19 and -0.17; P < 0.001, 0.002 and 0.047, respectively). An improvement in fatigue and distress was observed only in patients treated with a biologically effective dose ≤14.4 Gy.

CONCLUSION

Shortness of breath, pain and distress improved after radiotherapy. Moreover, a higher PPI was significantly associated with higher symptom scores at all time points, including baseline. In contrast, PPI did not seem to influence the improvement of these symptoms. Regardless of the expected survival, patients receiving radiotherapy for gastric cancer can expect an improvement in shortness of breath, pain and distress over 8 weeks. Multiple-fraction radiotherapy might hamper the improvement in fatigue and distress by its toxicity or treatment burden.

Machine Learning Risk Prediction for Incident Heart Failure in Patients With Atrial Fibrillation

BACKGROUND

Atrial fibrillation (AF) increases the risk of heart failure (HF); however, little focus is placed on the risk stratification for, and prevention of, incident HF in patients with AF.

OBJECTIVES

This study aimed to construct and validate a machine learning (ML) prediction model for HF hospitalization in patients with AF.

METHODS

The Fushimi AF Registry is a community-based prospective survey of patients with AF in Fushimi-ku, Kyoto, Japan. We divided the data set of the registry into derivation (n = 2,383) and validation (n = 2,011) cohorts. An ML model was built to predict the incidence of HF hospitalization using the derivation cohort, and predictive ability was examined using the validation cohort.

RESULTS

HF hospitalization occurred in 606 patients (14%) during a median follow-up period of 4.4 years in the entire registry. Data of transthoracic echocardiography and biomarkers were frequently nominated as important predictive variables across all 6 ML models. The ML model based on a random forest algorithm using 7 variables (age, history of HF, creatinine clearance, cardiothoracic ratio on x-ray, left ventricular [LV] ejection fraction, LV end-systolic diameter, and LV asynergy) had high prediction performance (area under the receiver operating characteristics curve [AUC]: 0.75) and was significantly superior to the Framingham HF risk model (AUC: 0.67; P < 0.001). Based on Kaplan-Meier curves, the ML model could stratify the risk of HF hospitalization during the follow-up period (log-rank; P < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

The ML model revealed important predictors and helped us to stratify the risk of HF, providing opportunities for the prevention of HF in patients with AF.

Association of beta blocker use with new-onset heart failure and mortality in atrial fibrillation without pre-existing heart failure: the Fushimi AF registry

Background

Heart failure (HF) is one of the major complications in atrial fibrillation (AF). We previously reported that not a few AF patients without pre-existing HF (defined as prior HF hospitalization, New York Heart Association functional class≥2, or left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF)&lt;40%) subsequently developed new-onset HF. Beta blockers are the established therapy for HF, but it remains unclear whether beta blockers prevent new-onset HF and improve outcomes in AF patients without preexisting HF.

Methods

In the Fushimi AF registry, 778 of 3,262 patients without pre-existing HF were receiving beta blockers at baseline. We investigated the incidence of new-onset HF defined as cardiac death or HF hospitalization, and all-cause death in a propensity-matched cohort (N=1,198; mean age, 71 years; 39% female; mean LVEF, 66%). Additionally, annual follow-up prescription data before the onset of events were collected in 294 of patients with beta blockers and 395 of those without beta blockers. We also investigated the association of starting or stopping beta blockers with the incidence of new-onset HF and all-cause death.

Results

During the median follow-up of 5.8 years, new-onset HF and all-cause death occurred in 77 (12.9%) and 118 (19.7%) of patients with beta blockers, and 70 (11.7%) and 131 (21.9%) of those without beta blockers, respectively. Incidence of new-onset HF was comparable between patients with and without beta blockers (Figure 1), and incidence of all-cause death was also comparable between the two groups (Figure 2). In exploratory subgroup analyses, there was no interaction in the association of beta blockers with the incidence of events, except for pulse rate for new-onset HF and left atrial size for all-cause death. Hazard ratio of beta blockers for new-onset HF tended to be lower in patients with higher pulse rates (&gt;84 bpm) (Figure 1), and that for all-cause death was lower in those without left atrial enlargement (Figure 2). Of patients with follow-up prescription data, beta blockers were stopped in 55 (18.7%) and started in 97 (24.6%) patients, respectively. Patients with starting beta blockers had higher pulse rate (78.5±17.3 vs 74.9±13.9 bpm; p=0.03) and more symptomatic AF (58.8% vs 46.0%; p=0.03) compared to those without starting beta blockers, while there was no difference in baseline characteristics between those with and without stopping beta blockers. During the follow-up, the incidences of new-onset HF and all-cause death were also comparable between the patients with and without stopping beta blockers and those with and without starting beta blockers.

Conclusion

Beta blockers were not associated with the incidence of new-onset HF and all-cause death in AF patients without pre-existing HF. However, the exploratory subgroup analyses suggested the existence of subjects who may benefit from beta blockers.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: Private company. Main funding source(s): Boehringer Ingelheim, Bayer Healthcare, Pfizer, Bristol-Myers Squibb, Astellas Pharma, AstraZeneca, Daiichi Sankyo, Novartis Pharma, MSD, Sanofi-Aventis, and Takeda Pharmaceutical.

Clinical characteristics and outcomes of atrial fibrillation patients with peripheral artery disease: the Fushimi AF Registry

Background

Atrial fibrillation (AF) represents the common arrhythmia and increases the risk of thromboembolism. Risk assessment for thromboembolism is important for the management of AF patients. Peripheral artery disease (PAD) is identified as a risk factor for thromboembolism in CHA2DS2-VASc score. However, there are little data on clinical characteristics and cardiovascular events of AF patients with PAD.

Purpose

In this study, we investigated the clinical characteristics and outcomes of AF patients with PAD.

Methods

The Fushimi AF Registry, a community-based prospective survey, was designed to enroll all of the AF patients who visited the participating medical institutions in Fushimi-ku, Kyoto, Japan. The inclusion criterion of the registry is the documentation of AF at 12-lead electrocardiogram or Holter monitoring at any time, and there are no exclusion criteria. We started to enroll patients from March 2011 and follow up data including prescription status were available in 4,464 patients from March 2011 to August 2021. Median follow-up period was 1,848 days.

Results

Of 4,464 patients, 183 patients had PAD (4.1%; PAD group). The mean age was higher in PAD group than no-PAD group (PAD group vs. no-PAD group: 76.7 vs. 73.5; p&lt;0.01). Patients with PAD had more co-morbidities such as stroke, systemic embolism, congestive heart failure, hypertension, diabetes mellitus, dyslipidemia coronary artery disease and chronic kidney disease than those without PAD. Thus, CHADS2 score, CHA2DS2-VASc score and HAS-BLED score were higher in PAD group than no-PAD group (2.81 vs. 2.00; p&lt;0.01, 5.17 vs. 3.30; p&lt;0.01, 2.42 vs. 1.71; p&lt;0.01, respectively). The proportion of patients with oral anticoagulant was similar between the two groups and the proportion of patients with antiplatelet drug was higher in PAD group than no-PAD group (59.0% vs. 55.6%; p=0.36, 62.9% vs. 24.7%; p&lt;0.01, respectively). The incidences of all-cause death, cardiac death and myocardial infarction were higher in PAD group than no-PAD group (11.4 vs. 4.6 per 100 person-years; log-rank p&lt;0.01, 1.7 vs. 0.8 per 100 person-years; log-rank p&lt;0.01, 1.2 vs. 0.2 per 100 person-years; log-rank p&lt;0.01). However, the incidence of stroke or systemic embolism was similar between the two groups (2.9 vs. 2.2 per 100 person-years, log-rank p=0.19). Finally, the incidence of composite of cardiac death, stroke, systemic embolism or myocardial infarction was higher in PAD group than no-PAD group (6.0 vs. 3.0 per 100 person-years; log-rank p&lt;0.01).

Conclusion

AF patients with PAD had significantly higher risk for death and cardiac events, whereas the incidence of thromboembolism was similar between AF patients with and without PAD.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: Public grant(s) – National budget only. Main funding source(s): Japan Agency for Medical Research and Development

Association of cardiothoracic ratio with heart failure hospitalization in patients with atrial fibrillation: the Fushimi AF Registry

Background

Chest radiography is the most common diagnostic imaging test in clinical medicine, and the cardiothoracic ratio (CTR) is a readily available and non-invasive tool with which to assess the volume status and cardiomegaly. However, it remains unknown whether CTR on chest radiography is associated with the incidence of HF hospitalization in AF patients remains unclear.

Methods

The Fushimi AF Registry is a community-based prospective survey of AF patients in Fushimi-ku, Kyoto, Japan. The inclusion criterion of the registry is the documentation of AF at 12-lead electrocardiogram or Holter monitoring at any time, and there are no exclusion criteria. We started to enroll patients from March 2011, and follow-up data were available for 4,489 patients by the end of August 2021. In the present study, 3,727 patients with available data of CTR were examined. We divided the patients into two groups according to their CTR at baseline; Higher group (CTR ≥50.0%, n=2,696) and Lower group (CTR &lt;50.0%, n=1,031), and compared the clinical background and outcomes between the two groups.

Results

The proportion of female was grater in Higher group, and the patients in Higher group were older. The patients in Higher group had higher prevalence of HF, hypertension and chronic kidney disease. During the median follow-up of 3,033 days, in Kaplan-Meier analysis, the incidence rates of HF hospitalization were higher in Higher group (Higher group: 2.5% per person-year vs. Lower group: 1.1%; p&lt;0.01). Multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression analysis revealed that higher CTR (≥50.0%) was an independent determinant of the incidence of HF hospitalization. Furthermore, when we divided the patients into four groups based on the quartile of CTR; Q1 (CTR&lt;49.0%), Q2 (49.0≤CTR&lt;53.8%), Q3 (53.8≤CTR&lt;59.0%), Q4 (59.0%≤CTR), the incidence of HF hospitalization was more frequent in patients with higher CTR, regardless of the presence or absence of prior hospitalization for HF (Figure).

Conclusion

In Japanese AF patients, patients with higher CTR had significantly higher incidence of HF hospitalization, regardless of the prevalence of prior hospitalization for HF.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: None.

Effect of rivaroxaban monotherapy vs. combination with anti-platelet therapy in patients with atrial fibrillation and stable coronary artery disease across different body mass index categories

Background

The AFIRE (Atrial Fibrillation and Ischemic Events With Rivaroxaban in Patients With Stable Coronary Artery Disease) trial showed both noninferiority for efficacy and superiority for safety endpoints of rivaroxaban monotherapy compared to rivaroxaban plus antiplatelet therapy (combination therapy) in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) and stable coronary artery disease (CAD). However, no accumulating evidence regarding efficacy and safety of these fixed-dose direct oral anticoagulant therapy was available in underweight and obese patients.

Purpose

The aim of this post-hoc analysis of the AFIRE trial was to evaluate outcomes of rivaroxaban monotherapy (vs. combination therapy) in patients with AF and stable CAD across body mass index (BMI) categories.

Methods

Patients were categorized into groups 1 (underweight: BMI of &lt;18.5 kg/m2), 2 (normal: BMI of 18.5 to &lt;25 kg/m2), 3 (overweight: BMI of 25 to &lt;30 kg/m2), and 4 (obesity: BMI of ≥30 kg/m2). Efficacy (a composite of all-cause death, myocardial infarction, unstable angina requiring revascularization, stroke, or systemic embolism) and safety (major bleeding defined according to International Society on Thrombosis and Haemostasis criteria) were compared between rivaroxaban monotherapy and combination therapy across BMI categories.

Results

We analyzed 2,054 patients with a median age of 75.0 (interquartile range [IQR], 69 to 80)) years old and CHA2DS2-VASc of 4 (IQR, 3 to 5). Group 1 through 4 included 72 (3.5%), 1,158 (56.4%), 680 (33.1%), 144 (7.0%) patients and 62.3%, 52.3%, 36.2%, and 30.3% were received reduced dose of rivaroxaban, respectively. Although the sample sizes for group 1 and 4 were limited, monotherapy was superior to combination therapy for efficacy in group 2 (hazard ratio [HR], 0.64; 95% CI, 0.44 to 0.95) and safety in group 3 (HR, 0.25; 95% CI, 0.10 to 0.62), whereas a significant difference in the endpoints was not observed in the other BMI categories. Impact of monotherapy on endpoints did not have a significant interaction in BMI.

Conclusions

Rivaroxaban monotherapy had similar effect on prognosis across all BMI categories in patients with AF and stable CAD.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: Foundation. Main funding source(s): The Japan Cardiovascular Research Foundation based on a contract with Bayer Yakuhin, Ltd

The association of left ventricular ejection fraction with incident heart failure in patients with atrial fibrillation

Background

Atrial fibrillation (AF) increases the risk of incident heart failure (HF). Left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) is an important prognostic parameter in patients with HF. However, little is known regarding the association of LVEF with incident HF in patients with AF.

Purpose

The aim of this study is to investigate the relationship between LVEF at enrollment and incidence of HF hospitalization during follow-up period in patients with AF.

Methods

The Fushimi AF Registry is a community-based prospective survey of patients with AF in Fushimi-ku, Kyoto, Japan. The inclusion criterion of the registry is the documentation of AF at 12-lead electrocardiogram or Holter monitoring at any time, and there are no exclusion criteria. We started to enroll patients from March 2011, and follow-up data were available for 4,489 patients by the end of August 2021. In the present study, we investigated 3,544 patients with the data of LVEF at enrollment. We divided the patients into 4 groups stratified by LVEF (reduced LVEF [LVEF &lt;40%], mildly reduced LVEF [LVEF: 40–49%], slightly reduced LVEF [LVEF: 50–59%], and normal LVEF [LVEF ≥60%]), and compared the backgrounds and outcomes between these 4 groups.

Results

Of 3,544 patients, the mean age was 73.6±10.7 years, 1,420 (40%) were female, 1,781 (50%) were paroxysmal AF, and 1,085 (30%) had pre-existing HF. The mean CHADS2 and CHA2DS2-VASc scores were 2.1±1.3 and 3.4±1.7, respectively. The mean LVEF at enrollment was 63±12% (reduced LVEF: 197 [6%], mildly reduced LVEF: 250 [7%], slightly reduced LVEF: 532 [15%] and normal LVEF: 2,565 [72%], respectively). Patients with lower LVEF demonstrated lower prevalence of female and paroxysmal AF, and had a higher CHADS2 and CHA2DS2-VASc scores (all P&lt;0.01). A total of 605 patients were hospitalized for HF during the median follow-up period of 5.5 years, corresponding to an annual incidence of 3.4% per person-year. Kaplan-Meier curves demonstrated that LVEF at enrollment could stratify the incidence of HF hospitalization during follow-up in patients with AF (Picture 1). Multivariable Cox regression analysis revealed that lower LVEF strata were significantly associated with the increased risk of HF hospitalization even after adjustment by age, sex, type of AF and CHA2DS2-VASc score (Picture 1). An increased risk of HF hospitalization was observed even in patients with mildly reduced LVEF (adjusted hazard ratio: 2.56, 95% CI: 1.99–3.29) as well as in those with slightly reduced LVEF (adjusted hazard ratio: 1.79, 95% CI: 1.45–2.22) compared with those with normal LVEF. These results were also the case in AF patients without pre-existing HF (Picture 2).

Conclusion

LVEF at enrollment could stratify the incidence of HF hospitalization in patients with AF, suggesting the importance of measuring LVEF in all patients with AF. Even mildly (LVEF: 40–49%) or slightly (LVEF: 50–59%) reduced LVEF was independently associated with the risk of incident HF in patients with AF.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: None.

Age-dependent risk for thromboembolism in atrial fibrillation: The Fushimi AF registry

Background

The risk for thromboembolism depending on the different age subgroups in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) has not been fully elucidated.

Methods

The Fushimi AF Registry is a community-based prospective survey of patients with AF in Fushimi-ku, Kyoto. Follow-up data were available for 4,466 patients by the end of 2019. Clinical determinants and the description of variables which interact and lead to the incidence of thromboembolism (the composite of ischemic stroke and systemic embolism [SE]) were identified in overall population and in age subgroups (≤64, 65–74, and ≥ 75 years).

Results

A total of 314 patients developed thromboembolism during the median follow-up of 1,610 days (1.56 per 100 person-years). The independent determinants were age advance (per 10 years, hazard ratio [HR]: 1.51, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.22–1.86, P < 0.001), low body weight (HR: 1.91, 95% CI: 1.35–2.70, P < 0.001), history of stroke or SE (HR: 2.06, 95% CI: 1.54–2.76, P < 0.001), chronic kidney disease (HR: 1.34, 95% CI: 1.01–1.78, P = 0.043), and left atrial enlargement (HR: 1.57, 95% CI: 1.18–2.10, P = 0.0021). With regard to the age subgroup analysis, diabetes mellitus (P = 0.043), vascular disease (P = 0.005), male sex (P = 0.022), and sustained AF (P = 0.014) indicated significantly relevant interactions between the age subgroups and thromboembolism.

Conclusion

The risk and the impact of baseline characteristics on thromboembolism in patients with AF varied depending on the age subgroups.

Association of Concomitant Coronary Artery Disease With Cardiovascular Events in Patients With Atrial Fibrillation - The Fushimi AF Registry

BACKGROUND

Atrial fibrillation (AF) patients often have concomitant coronary artery disease (CAD); however, there are little data on clinical characteristics and outcomes of such patients in daily clinical practice in Japan.Methods and Results: The Fushimi AF Registry is a community-based prospective survey of AF patients in Fushimi-ku, Kyoto, Japan. Follow-up data were available for 4,464 patients, and the median follow up was 5.1 (interquartile range: 2.3-8.0) years. History of CAD was present in 647 patients (14%); of those patients, 267 (41%) had history of myocardial infarction (MI). Patients with CAD were older and had more comorbidities than those without CAD. The crude incidences (% per patient-year) of cardiovascular events were significantly higher in patients with CAD than those without CAD (cardiac death: 1.8 vs. 0.7, stroke or systemic embolism [SE]: 2.9 vs. 2.1, MI: 0.6 vs. 0.1, composite of those events: 5.1 vs. 2.8, respectively, all log-rank P<0.01). After multivariate adjustment, concomitant CAD was associated with incidence of cardiac events, and history of MI was associated with incidence of MI; however, neither history of CAD nor MI was associated with the incidence of stroke/SE.

CONCLUSIONS

In Japanese AF patients, concomitant CAD was associated with higher prevalences of major co-morbidities and higher incidences of cardiovascular events; however, history of CAD was not associated with the incidence of stroke/SE.

Isometric Handgrip Stress Test during Right Heart Catheterization in Patients with Mitral Regurgitation -A Case Series Study

Objective The severity of mitral regurgitation (MR) dynamically changes during a stress test. Isometric handgrip is a readily-available stress test in daily practice; however, little is known regarding the response to isometric handgrip in MR patients during right heart catheterization. We aimed to evaluate this issue from our case-series study. Methods We retrospectively investigated consecutive MR patients using the isometric handgrip stress test during right heart catheterization at our institution between October 2019 and April 2021. After resting measurements were obtained, sustained maximum-effort hand dynamometer grasping was maintained for about 2-3 minutes. We investigated the differences in right heart catheterization data between at rest and during handgrip, and evaluated the individual response to the isometric handgrip stress test. Results We investigated a total of 15 patients (mean age: 75±6 years, moderate/severe MR: 7/8, primary/secondary MR: 8/7, mean left ventricular ejection fraction: 56±16%, exertional dyspnea: 10). During the handgrip test, the pulmonary capillary wedge pressure (PCWP) significantly increased [9 (8, 13) mmHg at rest to 20 (15, 27) mmHg during handgrip; p<0.001]. PCWP changes varied among individuals (range 2-22 mmHg) and were not correlated with patients' backgrounds including age, the natriuretic peptide levels, left ventricular ejection fraction, left atrial diameter or E/e' (all p>0.05). Patients with PCWP ≥25 mmHg during handgrip had a higher prevalence of exertional dyspnea than those without [6 (100%) vs. 4 (44%); p=0.04]. Conclusion We observed dynamic and varied hemodynamic changes during isometric handgrip in MR patients, suggesting that further research is needed to evaluate the clinical value of this maneuver.

Predicting cerebral infarction in patients with atrial fibrillation using machine learning: The Fushimi AF registry

The CHADS₂ and CHA₂DS₂-VASc scores are widely used to assess ischemic risk in the patients with atrial fibrillation (AF). However, the discrimination performance of these scores is limited. Using the data from a community-based prospective cohort study, we sought to construct a machine learning-based prediction model for cerebral infarction in patients with AF, and to compare its performance with the existing scores. All consecutive patients with AF treated at 81 study institutions from March 2011 to May 2017 were enrolled (n = 4396). The whole dataset was divided into a derivation cohort (n = 1005) and validation cohort (n = 752) after excluding the patients with valvular AF and anticoagulation therapy. Using the derivation cohort dataset, a machine learning model based on gradient boosting tree algorithm (ML) was built to predict cerebral infarction. In the validation cohort, the receiver operating characteristic area under the curve of the ML model was higher than those of the existing models according to the Hanley and McNeil method: ML, 0.72 (95%CI, 0.66-0.79); CHADS₂, 0.61 (95%CI, 0.53-0.69); CHA₂DS₂-VASc, 0.62 (95%CI, 0.54-0.70). As a conclusion, machine learning algorithm have the potential to perform better than the CHADS₂ and CHA₂DS₂-VASc scores for predicting cerebral infarction in patients with non-valvular AF.

Fine Fibrillatory Wave as a Risk Factor for Heart Failure Events in Patients With Atrial Fibrillation: The Fushimi Atrial Fibrillation (AF) Registry

Background

The clinical significance of fibrillatory wave on electrocardiography during atrial fibrillation (AF) is poorly understood. The aim of the current study was to explore the association of fine fibrillatory wave with heart failure (HF) in AF.

Methods and Results

The current study enrolled 2442 patients with AF whose baseline ECG during AF rhythm was available from a community‐based prospective survey, the Fushimi AF Registry. The impact of fine fibrillatory wave, defined as the amplitude of fibrillatory waves <0.1 mV, on the primary composite HF end point (a composite of hospitalization attributable to HF or cardiac death) was examined. Fine fibrillatory wave was observed in 589 patients (24.1%). Patients with fine fibrillatory wave were older, and had a higher prevalence of sustained AF, preexisting HF, and larger left atrial diameter than those with coarse fibrillatory wave. During the median follow‐up duration of 5.9 years, the cumulative incidence of the primary composite HF end point was significantly higher in patients with fine fibrillatory wave than in those with coarse fibrillatory wave (5.3% versus 3.6% per patient‐year, log‐rank P<0.001). The higher risk associated with fine fibrillatory wave was consistent even for individual components of the primary composite HF end point. On multivariable analysis, fine fibrillatory wave became an independent predictor for the primary composite HF end point (hazard ratio, 1.31; 95% CI, 1.07–1.61; P=0.01).

Conclusions

Compared with coarse fibrillatory wave, fine fibrillatory wave was more prevalent in patients with a larger left atrial diameter or those with sustained AF and was independently associated with a higher risk of HF events.

Registration

URL: https://www.umin.ac.jp/ctr/; Unique identifier: UMIN000005834.

Surface nanostructures on Nb-doped SrTiO3irradiated with swift heavy ions at grazing incidence

A single crystal of SrTiO₃doped with 0.5 wt% niobium (Nb-STO) was irradiated with 200 MeV Au³²⁺ions at grazing incidence to characterize the irradiation-induced hillock chains. Exactly the same hillock chains are observed by using atomic force microscopy (AFM) and scanning electron microscopy (SEM) to study the relation between irradiation-induced change of surface topography and corresponding material property changes. As expected, multiple hillocks as high as 5-6 nm are imaged by AFM observation in tapping mode. It is also found that the regions in between the adjacent hillocks are not depressed, and in many cases they are slightly elevated. Line-like contrasts along the ion paths are found in both AFM phase images and SEM images, indicating the formation of continuous ion tracks in addition to multiple hillocks. Validity of preexisting models for explaining the hillock chain formation is discussed based on the present results. In order to obtain new insights related to the ion track formation, cross-sectional transmission electron microscopy (TEM) observation was performed. The ion tracks in the near-surface region are found to be relatively large, whereas buried ion tracks in the deeper region are relatively small. The results suggest that recrystallization plays an important role in the formation of small ion tracks in the deep region, whereas formation of large ion tracks in the near-surface region is likely due to the absence of recrystallization. TEM images also show shape deformation of ion tracks in the near-surface region, suggesting that material transport towards the surface is the reason for the absence of recrystallization.

Is Progression From Paroxysmal to Sustained Atrial Fibrillation Bad News?

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most common sustained arrhythmia and associated with increased morbidity and mortality resulting from thromboembolism and heart failure. AF often presents initially as paroxysmal and may progress to a sustained form over time. Sustained forms of AF may be associated with increased symptoms and cardiovascular morbidity, and AF progression may be associated with increased risk of clinically adverse events and outcomes. The present review discusses the clinical factors of arrhythmia progression and risk stratification available to assess the probability of AF progression. Furthermore, currently available treatment options for preventing AF progression are explored and evaluated.

Clinical Characteristics and Outcomes of Very Elderly Patients With Atrial Fibrillation at High Bleeding Risk - The Fushimi AF Registry

Background: The ELDERCARE-AF trial demonstrated that low-dose edoxaban prevented stroke or systemic embolism (SE) in very elderly Japanese patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF) in whom standard oral anticoagulant therapy was inappropriate because of high bleeding risk. The aim of this study was to elucidate the characteristics and outcomes of such patients in routine clinical practice.

Methods and Results: Data were extracted from the Fushimi AF Registry for ELDERCARE-eligible NVAF patients aged ≥80 years, with a CHADS₂ score ≥2 and ≥1 bleeding risk factors, as shown in the ELDERCARE-AF trial. ELDERCARE-eligible patients (n=549; 12.8% of the entire cohort, 52.9% of those aged ≥80 years and with CHADS₂ score ≥2) were less often male, were older, had more comorbidity and higher risk scores than non-eligible patients from the entire cohort (n=3,734). The crude incidence (% per patient-year) of adverse events was significantly higher in ELDERCARE-eligible than non-eligible patients (stroke/SE, 4.8% vs. 2.0%; major bleeding, 3.6% vs. 1.9%; all-cause mortality, 15.5% vs. 3.9%; cardiovascular death, 2.7% vs. 0.6%; all log-rank P<0.001). Compared with non-eligible patients aged ≥80 years and with a CHADS₂ score ≥2 (n=488), the incidence of stroke/SE, all-cause mortality, and cardiovascular death remained significantly higher in ELDERCARE-eligible patients.

Conclusions: Patients with NVAF who met the inclusion criteria of the ELDERCARE-AF trial were common in routine clinical practice, and had poor clinical outcomes.

Ischemic Stroke in Acute Decompensated Heart Failure: From the KCHF Registry

Background Heart failure (HF) is a known risk factor for ischemic stroke, but data regarding ischemic stroke during hospitalization for acute decompensated HF (ADHF) are limited. Methods and Results We analyzed the data from a multicenter registry (Kyoto Congestive Heart Failure [KCHF] Registry) that enrolled 4056 consecutive patients with ADHF in Japan (mean age, 78 years; men, 2238 patients [55%]; acute coronary syndrome [ACS], 239 patients [5.9%]). We investigated the incidence and predictors of ischemic stroke during hospitalization for ADHF. During the hospitalization, 63 patients (1.6%) developed ischemic stroke. The median interval from admission to the onset of ischemic stroke was 7 [interquartile range: 2-14] days, and the most common underlying cause was cardioembolism (64%). Men (OR, 1.87; 95%CI, 1.11-3.24), ACS (OR, 2.31; 95%CI, 1.01-4.93), absence of prior HF hospitalization (OR, 2.21; 95%CI, 1.24-4.21), and high B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP)/N-terminal proBNP (NT-proBNP) levels (above the median) at admission (OR, 3.15; 95%CI, 1.84-5.60) were independently associated with ischemic stroke. In patients without ACS, the independent risk factors for ischemic stroke were fully consistent with those in the main analysis. Higher quartiles of BNP/NT-proBNP levels were significantly associated with higher incidence of ischemic stroke (P for trend, <0.001). Patients with ischemic stroke showed higher in-hospital mortality, longer length of hospital stay, and poorer functional status at discharge. Conclusions During hospitalization for ADHF, 1.6% of the patients developed ischemic stroke. Men, ACS, absence of prior HF hospitalization, and high BNP/NT-proBNP levels at admission were independently associated with ischemic stroke.

Colchicine protects against cartilage degeneration by inhibiting MMP13 expression via PLC-γ1 phosphorylation

OBJECTIVE

Low molecular weight compounds that reduce the expression of MMP13 at the mRNA level might serve as disease-modifying osteoarthritis (OA) drugs (DMOADs). The objective of this study was to identify a candidate DMOAD that targets MMP13 expression.

DESIGN

High-throughput screening was performed to identify compounds that suppress inflammatory cytokine-induced MMP13 expression. Ingenuity pathway analysis (IPA) using isobaric tags for relative and absolute quantification (iTRAQ)-based proteomic analysis was conducted to identify signaling pathways related to cytokines. MMP13 expression in chondrocytes was evaluated through RT-qPCR and western blotting analyses. Additionally, 10-week-old mice were subjected to destabilization of the medial meniscus (DMM) surgery to induce OA and were sacrificed 12 weeks post-surgery for pathological examination. OA was evaluated using the OARSI scoring system.

RESULTS

Colchicine was identified as a DMOAD candidate as it inhibited inflammatory cytokine-induced MMP13 expression in vitro, and the colchicine-administered mice with DMM presented significantly lower OARSI scores (adjusted P: 0.0242, mean difference: 1.6, 95% confidence interval (CI) of difference: 0.1651-3.035) and significantly lower synovial membrane inflammation scores (adjusted P: 0.0243, mean difference: 0.6, 95% CI of difference: 0.06158-1.138) than mice with DMM. IPA further revealed that components of the Rho signaling pathways are regulated by cytokines and colchicine. IL-1β and TNF-α activate RAC1 and SRC signals, respectively, leading to the phosphorylation of PLC-γ1 and synergistic induction of MMP13 expression. Most notably, colchicine abrogates inflammatory cytokine-induced phosphorylation of PLC-γ1, leading to the induction of MMP13 expression.

CONCLUSIONS

Colchicine is a potential DMOAD candidate that inhibits MMP13 expression and consequent cartilage degradation by disrupting the SRC/RAC1-phospho-PLCγ1-Ca2+ signaling pathway.

Association of low total cholesterol level with clinical outcomes in patients with atrial fibrillation: the Fushimi AF registry

Background

Hyperlipidemia is a well-established risk factor for cardiovascular disease. However, low cholesterol is also reported to be associated with poor outcome in patients with chronic disease, which is called “cholesterol paradox”, and the association of cholesterol level with the incidence of clinical outcomes in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) remains unclear.

Methods

In the Fushimi AF Registry, a community-based prospective survey of the AF patients in Fushimi-ku, Kyoto, Japan, follow-up data and baseline total cholesterol levels were available in 3,054 patients. We excluded 767 patients who were taking statins, and 2,267 patients were included in the analyses. We defined low cholesterol as total cholesterol &lt;150 mg/dl, and examined the incidence of all-cause death, stroke/systemic embolism (SE), heart failure (HF) hospitalization, and major bleeding.

Results

Patients with low cholesterol (N=464 (20.4%)) were older, more often male, and had higher prevalence of low body weight (&lt;50 kg), permanent/persistent AF, prior stroke/SE, HF, chronic kidney disease, and anemia (hemoglobin &lt;11 g/dl). CHA2DS2-VASc score was higher in patients with low cholesterol (low cholesterol vs others; 3.6±1.6 vs 3.2±1.7: P&lt;0.001). Prescription of oral anti-coagulants was comparable between the groups (50.0% vs 54.5%: P=0.09). During the median follow-up of 1,805 days, the incidence of all-cause death, stroke/SE, HF hospitalization, and major bleeding was significantly higher in patients with low cholesterol (all-cause death, 10.9 vs 3.8 /100 person-years; stroke/SE, 3.4 vs 1.9 /100 person-years; HF hospitalization, 4.7 vs 2.5 /100 person-years; major bleeding, 2.7 vs 1.4 /100 person-years) (Figure 1). After adjustment for the components of CHA2DS2-VASc score, low body weight, permanent/persistent AF, chronic kidney disease, anemia, and prescription of oral anti-coagulants, low cholesterol was significantly associated with the incidence of all-cause death and stroke/SE, but not with that of HF hospitalization or major bleeding (Figure 2, model 3). Total cholesterol levels were still significantly and inversely associated with the incidence of all-cause death (hazard ratio, 0.94; 95% confidence interval, 0.92–0.96 for 10 mg/dl increase) and stroke/SE (hazard ratio, 0.96; 95% confidence interval, 0.92–0.999 for 10 mg/dl increase), when analyzed as continuous variables. Subgroup analysis revealed that the risk of low cholesterol for all-cause death was more pronounced in female (interaction P, 0.049), patient without prior stroke/SE (interaction P, 0.01), those without HF (interaction P, 0.01), and those without vascular disease (interaction P, 0.001). The risk for stroke/SE was more pronounced in patients without vascular disease (interaction P, 0.01).

Conclusion

Low total cholesterol level was significantly associated with the incidence of all-cause and stroke/SE in AF patients not taking statins, suggesting the existence of cholesterol paradox in AF.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: Private grant(s) and/or Sponsorship. Main funding source(s): Boehringer Ingelheim, Bayer Healthcare, Pfizer, Bristol-Myers Squibb, Astellas Pharma, AstraZeneca, Daiichi-Sankyo, Novartis Pharma, MSD, Sanofi-Avent

The relationship between diastolic blood pressure and the risk of cardiovascular events in patients with atrial fibrillation whose systolic blood pressure was treated to less than 130 mmHg

Background

Hypertension is one of the major risk factors of cardiovascular events in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF). Low diastolic blood pressure (DBP) has been reported to be associated with the incidence of cardiovascular events, but current guidelines recommend an intensive blood pressure target of less than 130/80 mmHg for AF patients taking oral anticoagulants without mentioning the lower limits of DBP.

Methods

The Fushimi AF Registry is a community-based prospective survey of AF patients in a city of Japan. Follow-up data were available in 4,472 patients, and hypertensive patients who received prescription of any antihypertensive agents and whose systolic blood pressure was treated to less than 130 mmHg were available were examined (n=1,319). We divided the patients into four groups according to their DBP at baseline; G1 (DBP&lt;60 mmHg, n=349), G2 (60≤DBP&lt;70, n=434), G3 (70≤DBP&lt;80, n=386) and G4 (80≤DBP, n=150), and compared the clinical background and outcomes among groups.

Results

The proportion of female was grater in G1 group, and the patients in G1 group were older. During the median follow-up of 2,458 days, in Kaplan-Meier analysis, the incidence rates of cardiovascular events (composite of cardiac death, ischemic stroke, systemic embolism, non-fatal myocardial infarction and heart failure hospitalization during follow up) were the highest in G1 group and the lowest in G3 group (G1: 7.2% per person-year vs. G2: 4.9% vs. G3: 2.2% vs. G4: 4.4%; p&lt;0.01). Multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression analysis revealed that DBP was an independent determinant of cardiovascular events (G1 vs. G3; hazard ratio (HR): 1.96, 95% confidence intervals (CI): 1.39–2.76, G2 vs. G3; HR: 1.79, 95% CI: 1.28–2.50, G4 vs. G3; HR: 1.56, 95% CI: 0.99–2.45) (Figure 1). When we examined the association of DBP according to 10 mmHg increment, patients with excessively low DBP (&lt;50 mmHg) had significantly higher incidence of cardiovascular events than patients with DBP of 70–79 mmHg (HR: 2.80, 95% CI: 1.81–4.33), and DBP exhibited J curve association with higher incidence of cardiovascular events (Figure 2).

Conclusion

In Japanese AF patients whose systolic blood pressure was treated to less than 130 mmHg, patients with excessively low DBP had significantly higher incidence of cardiovascular events, and DBP exhibited J curve association with higher incidence of cardiovascular events.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: None.

Previous pacemaker therapy was not associated with the risk of clinical events in patients with atrial fibrillation: the Fushimi AF Registry

Background

Patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) occasionally require pacemaker implantation. Meanwhile, patients with implanted pacemaker are occasionally found to have subclinical AF and develop clinical AF. However, little is known about the clinical outcomes of AF patients with implanted pacemaker.

Purpose

We aimed to investigate the clinical outcomes in AF patients undergoing previous pacemaker therapy.

Methods

The Fushimi AF Registry is a community-based prospective survey of the AF patients in a city of Japan. Follow-up data including prescription status were available for 4,447 patients. After exclusion of patients with implantable cardioverter defibrillator and cardiac resynchronization therapy, we investigated 293 AF patients with pacemaker implantation at baseline. We performed propensity score-matching analysis to assess the impact of pacemaker therapy in AF patients.

Results

Of a total cohort, patients with pacemaker were more often female (51.2% vs. 39.7%; p&lt;0.01) and older (78.0 vs. 73.3 years of age; p&lt;0.01). Patients with pacemaker were more likely to have pre-existing heart failure (33.1% vs. 26.6%; p&lt;0.01), valvular heart disease (22.9% vs. 16.8%; p&lt;0.01), chronic kidney disease (48.8% vs. 34.7%; p&lt;0.01), and history of performing direct current cardioversion (7.2% vs. 3.1%; p&lt;0.01), compared with patients without pacemaker. Mean CHA2DS2-VASc score was higher in patients with pacemaker (3.80 vs. 3.34; p&lt;0.01). Patients with pacemaker were more often prescribed oral anticoagulants (62.1% vs. 55.2%; p=0.02), verapamil (13.3% vs. 9.4%; p=0.03), and loop diuretics (30.7% vs. 21.8%; p&lt;0.01). Using propensity score-matching, 291 patients with pacemaker and 291 without pacemaker were matched and baseline characteristics were comparable. The median follow-up period was 1,819 days. All-cause death occurred in 91 patients with pacemaker (6.0 /100 person-years) and 79 patients without pacemaker (5.9 /100 person-years), with a hazard ratio (HR) for patients with pacemaker of 1.01 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.75 to 1.37; p=0.93). Furthermore, HR of cardiac death for patients with pacemaker was 1.00 (95% CI, 0.23 to 4.32; p=0.99), that of stroke or systemic embolism was 0.69 (95% CI, 0.44 to 1.07; p=0.10) and that of hospitalization for heart failure was 0.94 (95% CI, 0.65 to 1.37; p=0.76).

Conclusion

We identified that patients undergoing previous pacemaker therapy were not associated with the incidence of various adverse clinical events in Japanese AF patients.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: Private company. Main funding source(s): Boehringer Ingelheim, Bayer Healthcare, Pfizer, Bristol-Myers Squibb, Astellas Pharma, AstraZeneca, Daiichi Sankyo, Novartis Pharma, MSD, Sanofi-Aventis, Takeda Pharmaceutical, and the Practical Research Project for Life-Style related Diseases including Cardiovascular Diseases and Diabetes Mellitus from Japan Agency for Medical Research and Development.

Association of the degree of thrombocytopenia with cause of death in patients with atrial fibrillation: the Fushimi AF Registry

Background

Thrombocytopenia is sometimes found in routine blood tests and is associated with an increased risk of mortality in general population. We have previously reported that atrial fibrillation (AF) patients with thrombocytopenia have a higher mortality than those without thrombocytopenia. However, association of the degree of thrombocytopenia with cause of death in AF patients is unknown.

Purpose

We aimed to investigate the association of baseline platelet count with cause of death including cardiac death, intracranial death, malignancy, infection, extracranial bleeding death, renal failure death, respiratory failure death and undetermined death.

Methods

The Fushimi AF Registry was designed to enroll all of the AF patients in Fushimi-ku, Kyoto. Fushimi-ku is densely populated with a total population of 283,000 and is assumed to represent a typical urban community in Japan. We started to enroll patients from March 2011, and follow-up data with baseline platelet counts less than 150,000/μL were available in 853 patients by the end of September 2020. We divided them into 3 groups according to baseline platelet level: Mild thrombocytopenia (100,000–149,999/μL, n=703), Moderate thrombocytopenia (50,000–99,999/μL, n=120), and Severe thrombocytopenia (&lt;50,000/μL, n=30).

Results

In the entire cohort, the mean age was 76 years, 34% were women, the mean body weight and body mass index was 59.3 kg and 22.9 kg/m2, and the median platelet count were 121,000/μL (interquartile range 109,000 to 141,000/μL). Compared to Mild thrombocytopenia, patients with Moderate or Severe thrombocytopenia were more likely to have chronic kidney disease (42.2% vs 54.2% vs 73.3%, p=0.0003), have higher HAS-BLED score (1.90 vs 2.14 vs 2.00, p=0.047) and lower hemoglobin (12.8g/dL vs 11.7g/dL vs 11.2g/dL, p&lt;0.0001) and were less often prescribed anti platelet drugs. Age, sex, body weight, systolic blood pressure, previous stroke, previous major bleeding, hypertension, diabetes mellitus, CHADS2 score and CHA2DS2-VASc score were comparable between three groups. During the median follow-up period, the incidence rate (per 100 person-years) of all-cause death was 6.82 vs 15.27 vs 9.64. (p&lt;0.001) On univariate analysis, the incidence of all-cause death was higher in Moderate group than Mild group. (HR: 2.15; 95% CI 1.61–2.87, p&lt;0.0001), but there was no significant difference between Mild and Severe groups. (HR: 1.44; 95% CI 0.78–2.64, p=0.243). The incidence of cardiac death was comparable between three groups. (Mild vs Moderate: HR 0.65; 95% CI 0.15–2.75, p=0.56, Mild vs Severe: HR 1.11; 95% CI 0.15–8.23, p=0.92) Regarding other causes of death such as intracranial bleeding, extracranial bleeding, malignancy, infection, renal failure, respiratory failure and undetermined cause, there was no significant difference.

Conclusion

Mortality was higher according to the degree of thrombocytopenia in AF patients, but the cause of death was not different among three groups.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: None.

Predictors and risk model for heart failure hospitalization in atrial fibrillation patients without pre-existing heart failure: the Fushimi AF Registry

Background

Atrial fibrillation (AF) increases the risk of hospitalization for heart failure (HF), as well as that of thromboembolism. The strategy for prediction of thromboembolism has been well-established; however, little focus has been placed on the risk stratification for and prevention of HF hospitalization in AF patients.

Purpose

The aim of this study is to investigate the predictors and risk model of HF hospitalization in non-valvular AF patients without pre-existing HF.

Methods

The Fushimi AF Registry is a community-based prospective survey of AF patients in Fushimi-ku, Kyoto, Japan. The inclusion criterion of the registry is the documentation of AF at 12-lead electrocardiogram or Holter monitoring at any time, and there are no exclusion criteria. We started to enroll patients from March 2011, and follow-up data were available for 4,472 patients by the end of October 2020. From the registry, we excluded patients without a pre-existing HF (defined as having one of the following; prior hospitalization for HF, New York Heart Association class ≥2, or left ventricular ejection fraction [LVEF] &lt;40%), and those with valvular AF (mitral stenosis or prosthetic heart valve). Among 3,188 non-valvular AF patients without pre-existing HF, we explored the risk factors for the HF hospitalization during follow-up period. The risk model for predicting HF hospitalization was determined by the cumulative numbers of risk factors which were significant on multivariate analysis.

Results

The mean age was 72.4±10.8 years, 1197 were female and 1787 were paroxysmal AF. The mean CHADS2 and CHA2DS2-VASc scores were 1.7±1.2 and 2.9±1.6, respectively. During the median follow-up period of 5.1 years, HF hospitalization occurred in 285 (8.9%), corresponding to an annual incidence of 1.8 events per 100 person-years. In multivariable Cox regression analysis, advanced age (≥75 years), valvular heart disease, coronary artery disease, reduced LVEF (&lt;60%), chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) and anemia were independently associated with the higher incidence of HF hospitalization (all P&lt;0.001) (Picture 1). A risk model based on these 6 variables could stratify the incidence of HF hospitalization during follow-up period (log-rank; P&lt;0.001) (Picture 2). Patients with ≥3 risk factors had an 11-fold higher incidence of HF hospitalization compared with those not having any of these risk factors (hazard ratio: 11.3, 95% confidence interval: 7.0–18.4; P&lt;0.001).

Conclusions

Advanced age, coronary artery disease, valvular heart disease, reduced LVEF, COPD and anemia were independently associated with the risk of HF hospitalization in AF patients without pre-existing HF. There was good prediction for endpoint of HF hospitalization using these 6 variables, providing the opportunities for the implementation of strategies to reduce the incidence of HF among AF patients.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: None.

Aspirin vs. P2Y12 inhibitors with anticoagulation therapy for atrial fibrillation: insights from the AFIRE trial

Background

Patients with coronary artery disease (CAD) and atrial fibrillation (AF) can be treated with multiple antithrombotic therapies including antiplatelets and oral anticoagulants; however, this has the potential to increase bleeding risk.

Purpose

This sub-analysis aimed to evaluate the efficacy and safety of P2Y12 inhibitors and aspirin in patients also receiving oral anticoagulant therapy.

Methods

We evaluated patients from the Atrial Fibrillation and Ischemic Events with Rivaroxaban in Patients with Stable Coronary Artery Disease (AFIRE) trial who received combination therapy (rivaroxaban plus a single antiplatelet agent). The choice of antiplatelets was left to the physician's discretion. The primary efficacy endpoint was a composite of stroke, systemic embolism, myocardial infarction, unstable angina requiring revascularization, and death from any cause. The primary safety endpoint was major bleeding according to the International Society on Thrombosis and Haemostasis criteria.

Results

A total of 1,075 patients were included (P2Y12 inhibitor group, n=297; aspirin group, n=778). Approximately 60% of patients were administered proton pump inhibitors (PPIs), and there was no significant difference in PPI use in the P2Y12 inhibitor and aspirin groups. Regarding the primary efficacy endpoint, there was no significant difference between the P2Y12 inhibitor and aspirin groups (hazard ratio, 1.31; 95% confidence interval, 0.88–1.94; p=0.178). Likewise, the primary safety endpoint was not different between the groups (hazard ratio, 0.79; 95% confidence interval, 0.43–1.47; p=0.456). In the detailed subgroup analysis, there were no differences in the efficacy and safety endpoints.

Conclusions

There were no significant differences between P2Y12 inhibitors and aspirin in cardiovascular events in patients with AF and stable CAD taking rivaroxaban in the chronic phase.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: Public Institution(s). Main funding source(s): The Japan Cardiovascular Research Foundation based on a contract with Bayer Yakuhin, Ltd. Summary of this study

Single-loop bi-atrial tachycardia with presumed conduction block across an anteroseptal mitral ablation line: A case report: Bi-AT after septal mitral isthmus ablation

A 64-year-old man with no previous medical history underwent catheter ablation (CA) by right pulmonary vein isolation and creation of an anteroseptal mitral isthmus (MI) line for peri-mitral atrial flutter. Since atrial tachycardia (AT) recurred with palpitation 4 months later, a second CA session was performed. Although the differential pacing method appeared to confirm the conduction block across the MI line previously created, single-loop bi-atrial AT (Bi-AT) involving both atria through the septum was induced. When the upper septum of the right atrium was ablated, Bi-AT was terminated. Of note, the time from the onset of the P-wave to activation of the left atrial appendage increased after the ablation compared to before. Learning objective: The anteroseptal mitral isthmus line between the right superior pulmonary vein and the septal mitral annulus is an effective therapy for peri-mitral atrial flutter. However, there are some problems such as difficulty in assessing the bidirectional block of this line and the occurrence of bi-atrial tachycardia via the Bachmann bundle. Further investigation needs to clarify whether conduction block of this interatrial bundle is an appropriate endpoint, as the clinical impacts of conduction delay of left atrial appendage remain uncertain. <Learning objective: The anteroseptal mitral isthmus line between the right superior pulmonary vein and the septal mitral annulus is an effective therapy for peri-mitral atrial flutter However, there are some problems such as difficulty in assessing the bidirectional block of this line and the occurrence of biatrial atrial tachycardia via the Bachmann bundle. Further investigation needs to clarify whether conduction block of this interatrial bundle is an appropriate endpoint as the clinical impacts of conduction delay of left atrial appendage remain uncertain.>.

A Novel Risk Stratification System for Ischemic Stroke in Japanese Patients With Non-Valvular Atrial Fibrillation

BACKGROUND

Recently, identification of independent risk factors for ischemic stroke in Japanese non-valvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF) patients was made by analyzing the 5 major Japanese registries: J-RHYTHM Registry, Fushimi AF Registry, Shinken Database, Keio interhospital Cardiovascular Studies, and the Hokuriku-Plus AF Registry.Methods and Results:The predictive value of the risk scheme in Japanese NVAF patients was assessed. Of 16,918 patients, 12,289 NVAF patients were analyzed (mean follow up, 649±181 days). Hazard ratios (HRs) of each significant, independent risk factor were determined by using adjusted Cox-hazard proportional analysis. Scoring system for ischemic stroke was created by transforming HR logarithmically and was estimated by c-statistic. During the 21,820 person-years follow up, 241 ischemic stroke events occurred. Significant risk factors were: being elderly (aged 75-84 years [E], HR=1.74), extreme elderly (≥85 years [EE], HR=2.41), having hypertension (H, HR=1.60), previous stroke (S, HR=2.75), type of AF (persistent/permanent) (T, HR=1.59), and low body mass index <18.5 kg/m²(L, HR=1.55) after adjusting for oral anticoagulant treatment. The score was assigned as follows: 1 point to H, E, L, and T, and 2 points to EE and S (HELT-E₂S₂score). The C-statistic, using this score, was 0.681 (95% confidence interval [CI]=0.647-0.714), which was significantly higher than those using CHADS₂(0.647; 95% CI=0.614-0.681, P=0.027 for comparison) and CHA₂DS₂-VASc scores (0.641; 95% CI=0.608-0.673, P=0.008).

CONCLUSIONS

The HELT-E₂S₂score may be useful for identifying Japanese NVAF patients at risk of ischemic stroke.

Association of relative wall thickness of left ventricle with incidence of thromboembolism in patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation: The Fushimi AF Registry

AIMS

Atrial fibrillation (AF) increases the risk of thromboembolism, such as ischaemic stroke or systemic embolism (SE). The aim of this study was to investigate the relationship between left ventricular relative wall thickness (RWT) and the risk of thromboembolism in patients with non-valvular AF.

METHODS AND RESULTS

The Fushimi AF Registry is a community-based prospective survey of the patients with AF in Japan. Analyses were performed on 3067 non-valvular AF patients, in which RWT values determined by transthoracic echocardiography were available at the baseline. The high-RWT group (RWT above the median) was more often female, older, and had higher systolic blood pressure, CHADS2 and CHA2DS2-VASc scores, as compared with low-RWT group. During the median follow-up period of 1309 days, there was a higher incidence of ischaemic stroke/SE in the high-RWT group [unadjusted hazard ratio (HR), 1.91; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.42-2.59]. On multivariate Cox regression analysis, including the components of CHA2DS2-VASc score, left atrial diameter, oral anticoagulant prescription at baseline, and type of AF, high RWT was independently associated with ischaemic stroke/SE (adjusted HR, 1.81; 95% CI, 1.34-2.47). Stratified analysis demonstrated no significant interaction for any subgroups. In Kaplan-Meier analysis, ordinal RWT quartiles stratified the incidence of ischaemic stroke/SE. Finally, addition of RWT to CHA2DS2-VASc score increased the performance of risk stratification for the incidence of stroke/SE.

CONCLUSION

Relative wall thickness was independently associated with ischaemic stroke/SE among Japanese patients with non-valvular AF, suggesting the importance of left ventricular morphology in contributing to adverse outcomes, particularly thromboembolism.

Development of a fast response neutron detector for the supersonic FRC collision process

The collisional merging experiments of the field-reversing configuration (FRC) at supersonic/Alfvénic velocities have been performed in the FRC Amplification via Translation-Collisional Merging device only in Japan. This experiment may excite shockwaves and cause particle acceleration. To obtain supporting evidence of particle acceleration by shockwaves, we have proposed to observe neutrons originating from the D-D fusion reaction of accelerated non-thermal particles. A plastic scintillation detector has been developed for the supersonic/Alfvénic collision/merging FRC experiment. The developed neutron detector has sufficient performance of neutron sensitivity and nanosecond response time. In the collisional merging process, we obtained a signal that could be considered a neutron, which is not predicted by the adiabatic compression process in the two-dimensional magnetohydrodynamics simulation.

Association of inverted T wave during atrial fibrillation rhythm with subsequent cardiac events

OBJECTIVE

The clinical significance of ECG abnormalities during atrial fibrillation (AF) rhythm is poorly understood. The aim of the current study was to explore the impact of inverted T wave on cardiac prognosis in patients with AF.

METHODS

The current study enrolled 2709 patients with AF whose baseline ECG was available from a Japanese community-based prospective survey, the Fushimi AF Registry, and the impact of inverted T wave in baseline ECG at AF rhythm on the composite of cardiac death, myocardial infarction and hospitalisation due to heart failure was examined.

RESULTS

Intraventricular conduction delay, ST segment depression and inverted T wave were observed in 15.8%, 24.7% and 41.4% of baseline ECG with a mean heart rate of 94.7 beats per minute. The median follow-up duration was 5.0 years. The incidence rate of the composite cardiac endpoint was significantly higher in patients with inverted T wave than those without (5.8% vs 3.3% per patient-year, log-rank p<0.01). The higher risk associated with inverted T wave was consistent even for individual components of the composite cardiac endpoint. By multivariable analysis, inverted T wave was an independent predictor of the composite cardiac endpoint (HR 1.53, 95% CI 1.26 to 1.85, p<0.01). Inverted T wave was detected in 15.7% at anterior leads, 19.8% at inferior leads and 26.6% at lateral leads. The location of inverted T wave was not associated with risk of composite cardiac endpoint.

CONCLUSIONS

Inverted T wave was commonly observed in patients with AF and its presence during AF rhythm was associated with subsequent cardiac events.