Effectiveness of BNT162b2 COVID-19 primary series vaccination in children aged 5-17 years in the United States: a cohort study

BACKGROUND

COVID-19 vaccines are authorized for use in children in the United States; real-world assessment of vaccine effectiveness in children is needed. This study's objective was to estimate the effectiveness of receiving a complete primary series of monovalent BNT162b2 (Pfizer-BioNTech) COVID-19 vaccine in US children.

METHODS

This cohort study identified children aged 5-17 years vaccinated with BNT162b2 matched with unvaccinated children. Participants and BNT162b2 vaccinations were identified in Optum and CVS Health insurance administrative claims databases linked with Immunization Information System (IIS) COVID-19 vaccination records from 16 US jurisdictions between December 11, 2020, and May 31, 2022 (end date varied by database and IIS). Vaccinated children were followed from their first BNT162b2 dose and matched to unvaccinated children on calendar date, US county of residence, and demographic and clinical factors. Censoring occurred if vaccinated children failed to receive a timely dose 2 or if unvaccinated children received any dose. Two COVID-19 outcome definitions were evaluated: COVID-19 diagnosis in any medical setting and COVID-19 diagnosis in hospitals/emergency departments (EDs). Propensity score-weighted hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were estimated with Cox proportional hazards models, and vaccine effectiveness (VE) was estimated as 1 minus HR. VE was estimated overall, within age subgroups, and within variant-specific eras. Sensitivity, negative control, and quantitative bias analyses evaluated various potential biases.

RESULTS

There were 453,655 eligible vaccinated children one-to-one matched to unvaccinated comparators (mean age 12 years; 50% female). COVID-19 hospitalizations/ED visits were rare in children, regardless of vaccination status (Optum, 41.2 per 10,000 person-years; CVS Health, 44.1 per 10,000 person-years). Overall, vaccination was associated with reduced incidence of any medically diagnosed COVID-19 (meta-analyzed VE = 38% [95% CI, 36-40%]) and hospital/ED-diagnosed COVID-19 (meta-analyzed VE = 61% [95% CI, 56-65%]). VE estimates were lowest among children 5-11 years and during the Omicron-variant era.

CONCLUSIONS

Receipt of a complete BNT162b2 vaccine primary series was associated with overall reduced medically diagnosed COVID-19 and hospital/ED-diagnosed COVID-19 in children; observed VE estimates differed by age group and variant era.

REGISTRATION

The study protocol was publicly posted on the BEST Initiative website ( https://bestinitiative.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/03/C19-VX-Effectiveness-Protocol_2022_508.pdf ).

Effectiveness of monovalent COVID-19 booster/additional vaccine doses in the United States

Background

Monovalent booster/additional doses of COVID-19 vaccines were first authorized in August 2021 in the United States. We evaluated the real-world effectiveness of receipt of a monovalent booster/additional dose of COVID-19 vaccine compared with receiving a primary vaccine series without a booster/additional dose.

Methods

Cohorts of individuals receiving a COVID-19 booster/additional dose after receipt of a complete primary vaccine series were identified in 2 administrative insurance claims databases (Optum, CVS Health) supplemented with state immunization information system data between August 2021 and March 2022. Individuals with a complete primary series but without a booster/additional dose were one-to-one matched to boosted individuals on calendar date, geography, and clinical factors. COVID-19 diagnoses were identified in any medical setting, or specifically in hospitals/emergency departments (EDs). Propensity score-weighted hazards ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) were estimated with Cox proportional hazards models; vaccine effectiveness (VE) was estimated as 1 minus the HR by vaccine brand overall and within subgroups of variant-specific eras, immunocompromised status, and homologous/heterologous booster status.

Results

Across both data sources, we identified 752,165 matched pairs for BNT162b2, 410,501 for mRNA-1273, and 11,398 for JNJ-7836735. For any medically diagnosed COVID-19, meta-analyzed VE estimates for BNT162b2, mRNA-1273, and JNJ-7836735, respectively, were: BNT162b2, 54% (95% CI, 53%-56%); mRNA-1273, 58% (95% CI, 56%-59%); JNJ-7836735, 34% (95% CI, 23%-44%). For hospital/ED-diagnosed COVID-19, VE estimates ranged from 70% to 76%. VE was generally lower during the Omicron era than the Delta era and for immunocompromised individuals. There was little difference observed by homologous or heterologous booster status.

Conclusion

The original, monovalent booster/additional doses were reasonably effective in real-world use among the populations for which they were indicated during the study period. Additional studies may be informative in the future as new variants emerge and new vaccines become available.Registration: The study protocol was publicly posted on the BEST Initiative website (https://bestinitiative.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/03/C19-VX-Effectiveness-Protocol_2022_508.pdf).

Intravenous Immunoglobulin Treatment Patterns and Outcomes in Patients with Chronic Inflammatory Demyelinating Polyradiculoneuropathy: A US Claims Database Analysis

INTRODUCTION

Chronic inflammatory demyelinating polyradiculoneuropathy (CIDP) is a rare progressive or relapsing inflammatory disease. Intravenous immunoglobulin (IVIG) is recommended as a first-line therapy. The aim of this study was to describe real-world treatment patterns and outcomes of patients with CIDP in the Define initiating IVIG treatment.

METHODS

This cohort study used health insurance claims data from the Merative MarketScan Research Databases (2008-2018). Adult patients (≥ 18 years old) with CIDP without prior immunoglobulin treatment were identified using International Statistical Classification of Diseases and Related Health Problems (ICD) codes, and patients subsequently initiating IVIG were included in the analysis. Real-world IVIG treatment patterns and treatment and safety outcomes (assessed via ICD codes) were described.

RESULTS

In total, 3975 patients (median age 58 years) with CIDP who initiated IVIG were identified. After the initial IVIG loading period, patients received IVIG at a median dosing interval of 21 days (quartile [Q]1, Q3: 7, 28), and continued treatment for a median of 129 days (Q1, Q3: 85, 271). After the 2-year follow-up period, 55% of patients had discontinued all IVIG treatment; more than one-half of these discontinuations occurred within 4 months. Diagnoses of impaired functional status were evident in more than 30% of patients at baseline, but at lower rates during follow-up. Rates of new-onset safety outcomes after IVIG treatment were low.

CONCLUSION

This real-world analysis of IVIG treatment patterns and treatment and safety outcomes of patients with CIDP who initiated IVIG highlights the unmet need for improved long-term management. Further research is needed to evaluate the use of functional status measures as endpoints for immunoglobulin treatment effectiveness.

Intravenous Immunoglobulin Initiation in Patients with Chronic Inflammatory Demyelinating Polyradiculoneuropathy: A US Claims-based Cohort Study

INTRODUCTION

Intravenous immunoglobulin (IVIG) is recommended as first-line therapy for chronic inflammatory demyelinating polyradiculoneuropathy (CIDP), an immune-mediated neuropathy. The clinical profile of patients with CIDP newly initiating IVIG is poorly characterized. This claims-based cohort study describes characteristics of US patients with CIDP initiating IVIG treatment.

METHODS

Adult immunoglobulin (IG)-naïve patients with CIDP diagnosed between 2008 and 2018 and a subgroup of patients subsequently initiating IVIG were identified in the Merative MarketScan Research Databases. Demographics, clinical characteristics, and diagnostic procedures were described for patients initiating IVIG.

RESULTS

Of 32,090 patients with CIDP identified, 3975 (mean age 57 years) subsequently initiated IVIG. In the 6 months prior to IVIG initiation, diagnoses of comorbidities including neuropathy (75%), hypertension (62%), and diabetes (33%) were frequent, as were CIDP features/symptoms/markers of functional status including chronic pain (80%), difficulty walking (30%), and weakness (30%). CIDP-related laboratory/diagnostic procedures were performed in approximately 20- > 40% of patients in the 3 months prior to IVIG initiation (63.7% underwent electrodiagnostic/nerve conduction testing in the 6 months prior to IVIG initiation). Patient characteristics by initial IVIG product differed only in IVIG initiation year, US geographic region, and insurance type. Comorbidities, CIDP severity or functional status markers, and other clinical variables were generally well balanced across initial IVIG product groups.

CONCLUSION

A heavy burden of symptoms, comorbidities, and diagnostic testing exists in patients with CIDP initiating IVIG. Characteristics of patients with CIDP initiating different IVIG products are well balanced, suggesting an absence of clinical or demographic determinants underlying IVIG selection.

Mortality in Patients with Parkinson's Disease-Related Psychosis Treated with Pimavanserin Compared with Other Atypical Antipsychotics: A Cohort Study

INTRODUCTION

Pimavanserin is approved in the USA to treat hallucinations and delusions associated with Parkinson's disease psychosis (PDP).

OBJECTIVES

We evaluated mortality in patients with PDP after initiation of pimavanserin or comparator atypical antipsychotics, overall, over time, and across subgroups.

METHODS

A cohort of patients aged ≥65 years in the USA with PDP newly initiating pimavanserin or a comparator atypical antipsychotic (clozapine, quetiapine, risperidone, olanzapine, aripiprazole, brexpiprazole) was identified in 2016-2019 Medicare claims data. All-cause mortality in the propensity score-matched treatment groups was compared with hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) estimated with Cox-proportional hazards models. Cumulative incidence curves and time period-specific models evaluated risk over time. Subgroup and sensitivity analyses were performed, including a sub-cohort of long-term care (LTC) or skilled nursing facility (SNF) residents.

RESULTS

We identified 2892 pimavanserin initiators and 19,083 comparator initiators (overall 47% female, mean age = 80.9 years, LTC/SNF residents = 30%). Before matching, pimavanserin users had fewer severe comorbidities and more anti-Parkinson medication use than comparators. Matching resulted in 2891 patients in both groups, and all covariates were well balanced. In the matched cohort, the HR for mortality for pimavanserin versus comparator was 0.78 (95% CI 0.67-0.91), with the lowest time period-specific HRs in the first 180 days. Hazard ratios were similar across sensitivity analyses and subgroups. In LTC/SNF residents, the HR was 0.78 (95% CI 0.60-1.01).

CONCLUSION

The observed mortality rates were lower among patients treated with pimavanserin compared with those treated with other atypical antipsychotics.

STUDY REGISTRATION

European Union Post-authorization Study (EU PAS) register number 46331.

Post-Authorization Safety Studies of Acute Liver Injury and Severe Complications of Urinary Tract Infection in Patients with Type 2 Diabetes Exposed to Dapagliflozin in a Real-World Setting

INTRODUCTION

At the time of dapagliflozin's approval in Europe (2012) to treat patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus, concerns regarding acute liver injury and severe complications of urinary tract infection (sUTI) led to two post-authorization safety (PAS) studies of these outcomes to monitor the safety of dapagliflozin in real-world use.

OBJECTIVE

To investigate the incidence of hospitalization for acute liver injury (hALI) or sUTI (pyelonephritis or urosepsis) among patients initiating dapagliflozin compared with other glucose-lowering drugs (GLDs).

METHODS

These two noninterventional cohort studies identified initiators of dapagliflozin and comparator GLDs in November 2012-February 2019 using data from three longitudinal, population-based data sources: Clinical Practice Research Datalink (UK), the HealthCore Integrated Research Database (USA), and the Medicare database (USA). Outcomes (hALI and sUTI) were identified with electronic algorithms. Incidence rates were estimated by exposure group. Incidence rate ratios (IRRs) were calculated comparing dapagliflozin to comparator GLDs, using propensity score trimming and stratification to address confounding. The sUTI analyses were conducted separately by sex.

RESULTS

In all data sources, hALI and sUTI incidence rates were generally lower in dapagliflozin initiators than comparator GLD initiators. The adjusted IRR (95% confidence interval) pooled across data sources for hALI was 0.85 (0.59-1.24) and for sUTI was 0.76 (0.60-0.96) in females and 0.74 (0.56-1.00) in males. Findings from sensitivity analyses were largely consistent with the primary analyses.

CONCLUSIONS

These real-world studies do not suggest increased risks of hALI or sUTI, and they suggest a potential decreased risk of sUTI with dapagliflozin exposure compared with other GLDs.

Clinical outcomes and treatment patterns of older adults with dementia-related psychosis by dementia type in the United States

Background

Little is known about the incidence of clinical events and treatment patterns among older adults with dementia-related psychosis. Given that dementia-related psychosis comprises various dementia types, this study describes the incidence of clinical events and treatment patterns by dementia type after patients with dementia are diagnosed with psychosis.

Methods

Adults aged ≥ 65 years with dementia and newly diagnosed with psychosis were identified in US Medicare claims during 2013–2018. Baseline characteristics were evaluated at the time of the psychosis diagnosis. After the initial psychosis diagnosis, incidence rates (IRs) of clinical events (e.g., falls/fractures, infections, healthcare utilization), mortality, and patterns of antipsychotic treatment were described for each dementia type (Alzheimer’s disease [AD], Parkinson’s disease dementia [PDD], dementia with Lewy bodies [DLB], frontotemporal dementia [FTD], vascular dementia [VD], and unspecified dementia). Daily mean cumulative counts were estimated to describe the incidence of recurrent events over time. Mortality was described using Kaplan–Meier survival curves.

Results

We identified 484,520 patients with dementia-related psychosis: mean age, 84 years (standard deviation, 7.8); female, 66%. At the time of psychosis diagnosis, the most prevalent type of dementia was unspecified dementia (56%), followed by AD (31%), VD (12%), PDD (10%), DLB (3%), and FTD (< 1%), and most patients had scores indicating severe illness on the Charlson Comorbidity Index (71%) and frailty index (62%). Across all dementia types, IRs (per 100 person-years) were high for emergency department visits, oral anti-infective use, and urinary tract infections after the initial psychosis diagnosis. Patients with DLB had the highest incidence of most clinical outcomes. After 1 year of follow-up, the cumulative probability of death was about 30% for all dementia types, and after 5 years, was about 80% among patients with DLB, VD, AD, or PDD and about 60%-65% among patients with FTD or unspecified dementia.

Conclusions

Patients with dementia-related psychosis had a high burden of comorbidities, frailty, emergency department visits, infections, and death. Specifically, after DRP diagnosis, patients with DLB and VD had the highest burden of clinical events of interest.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12877-022-03489-3.

Increased risk of falls and fractures in patients with psychosis and Parkinson disease

Objective

Evaluate whether the risk of falls and fractures differs between patients with Parkinson disease with psychosis (PDP) and patients with Parkinson disease (PD) without psychosis at similar disease stages.

Methods

Patients with PD without psychosis were identified in the Medicare claims databases (2008–2018) and followed from the first PD diagnosis date during the study period. Patients with a subsequent diagnosis of psychosis were included in the PDP group. Patients with PDP and PD without psychosis were propensity score-matched based on characteristics within blocks of time since cohort entry. The incidence rates (IRs), expressed per 100 person-years, and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) of falls and fractures were evaluated as composite and separate outcomes. Incidence rate ratios (IRRs) were used to compare patients with PDP and PD without psychosis in the matched cohort.

Results

154,306 patients had PD without psychosis and no falls or fractures before cohort entry; the IR for falls and fractures was 11.41 events (95% CI, 11.29–11.53). 12,127 patients (7.8%) had a subsequent PDP diagnosis. PDP patients had a higher prevalence of most comorbidities and risk factors for falls and fractures than those without psychosis. The crude IR for falls and fractures among PDP patients was 29.03 events (95% CI, 28.27–29.81). PD without psychosis and PDP groups had more falls than fractures. After matching, 24,144 PD patients without psychosis (15.6%) and 12,077 PDP patients (99.6%) were retained. Matched PDP patients had a higher incidence of falls and fractures than PD patients without psychosis (IRR = 1.44; 95% CI, 1.39–1.49). The higher increased rate was noted separately for falls (IRR = 1.48; 95% CI, 1.43–1.54) and any fractures (IRR = 1.17; 95% CI, 1.08–1.27) as well as within specific types of fracture, including pelvis and hip fractures.

Conclusions

Our findings suggest a modest but consistently higher increased risk of falls and fractures in PDP patients compared with PD patients without psychosis.

Heatwaves, medications, and heat-related hospitalization in older Medicare beneficiaries with chronic conditions

Background

Heatwaves kill more people than floods, tornadoes, and earthquakes combined and disproportionally affect older persons and those with chronic conditions. Commonly used medications for chronic conditions, e.g., diuretics, antipsychotics disrupt thermoregulation or fluid/electrolyte balance and may sensitive patients to heat. However, the effect of heat-sensitizing medications and their interactions with heatwaves are not well-quantified. We evaluated effects of potentially heat-sensitizing medications in vulnerable older patients.

Methods

US Medicare data were linked at the zip code level to climate data with surface air temperatures for June-August of 2007–2012. Patients were Medicare beneficiaries aged ≥65 years with chronic conditions including diabetes, dementia, and cardiovascular, lung, or kidney disease. Exposures were potentially heat-sensitizing medications including diuretics, anticholinergics, antipsychotics, beta blockers, stimulants, and anti-hypertensives. A heatwave was defined as ≥2 days above the 95^th percentile of historical zip code-specific surface air temperatures. We estimated associations of heat-sensitizing medications and heatwaves with heat-related hospitalization using self-controlled case series analysis.

Results

We identified 9,721 patients with at least one chronic condition and heat-related hospitalization; 42.1% of these patients experienced a heatwave. Heatwaves were associated with an increase in heat-related hospitalizations ranging from 21% (95% CI: 7% to 38%) to 33% (95% CI: 14% to 55%) across medication classes. Several drug classes were associated with moderately elevated risk of heat-related hospitalization in the absence of heatwaves, with rate ratios ranging from 1.16 (95% CI: 1.00 to 1.35) to 1.37 (95% CI: 1.14 to 1.66). We did not observe meaningful synergistic interactions between heatwaves and medications.

Conclusions

Older patients with chronic conditions may be at heightened risk for heat-related hospitalization due to the use of heat-sensitizing medications throughout the summer months, even in the absence of heatwaves. Further studies are needed to confirm these findings and also to understand the effect of milder and shorter heat exposure.

The comparative risk of acute kidney injury of vancomycin relative to other common antibiotics

The glycopeptide antibiotic vancomycin is a mainstay in the treatment of Gram-positive infection. While its association with acute kidney injury (AKI) has waxed and waned, recent data suggest nephrotoxicity, even as mono-therapy. Our study aimed to evaluate the 2-week risk of AKI after at least 3 days of intravenous vancomycin mono-therapy initiated within 5 days of hospitalization compared to other intravenous antibiotics used for similar indications. We used a new user-active comparator study design and identified patients with a first hospitalization during which they received vancomycin or comparator, from commercial claims based in the United States. We estimated incidence rates, hazard ratios using adjusted cox-regression models, and standardized mortality/morbidity ratio weighted cox-regression models. In the 32,997 patients vancomycin was used in 17% of patients and 129 cases of AKI were observed. Overall incidence of AKI was 9.3 (95% CI 0.78-1.22) per 100 person-years. The adjusted hazard ratio for vancomycin versus all other comparators was 0.74 (95% CI 0.45-1.21). Separate models for respective comparators resulted in hazard ratios below the null, except for vancomycin vs. cefazolin. Intravenous vancomycin mono-therapy does not increase the risk of AKI compared to other intravenous antibiotics used for similar indication in this cohort of hospitalized patients.

Association Between an Acute, Drug-Induced Decrease in High-Density Lipoprotein Cholesterol Levels and Risk of Cardiovascular Events

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE: The literature describing the long-term effect of an acute, drug-induced decrease in high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C) and cardiovascular (CV) risk is limited. We aimed to further explore this potential association.

METHODS

A retrospective cohort study was conducted using the Clinical Practice Research Datalink (CPRD) between 2006 and 2014. The study enrolled patients who initiated statin therapy for a short term, to identify patients with an acute, short-term decrease in HDL levels rather than to assess sustained treatment. HDL-C measurements were assessed within 9 months before and after statin initiation and patients were followed up for up to 5 years for CV events, comparing those with a decrease in HDL-C with those with constant HDL-C levels. The primary composite endpoint of major adverse cardiac events (MACE) was defined as CV death, myocardial infarction, revascularisation, and hospitalised ischaemic stroke. We estimated crude and propensity score weighted 5-year cumulative risk differences and hazard ratios (HR) comparing both groups.

RESULTS

A total of 17,543 patients (HDL-C decrease group, n = 6454; HDL-C constant group, n = 11,089) were included in the study. The 5-year cumulative incidence of MACE in the HDL-C constant cohort was 5.91%. The corresponding risk differences for HDL-C decrease versus the constant group was 1.23% (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.28-2.18) and the HR was 1.20 (95% CI 1.04-1.39). This was mainly driven by an increased risk in ischaemic stroke (HR 1.44, 95% CI 1.08-1.90) and CV death (HR 1.23, 95% CI 0.93-1.63).

CONCLUSION

Patients with a short-term, drug-induced decrease in HDL-C had a moderately increased long-term risk of CV events compared with those with constant HDL-C levels.

TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER

207595 (GlaxoSmithKline Trial registry; https://www.gsk-studyregister.com/ ).

Comparative safety of high-dose versus standard-dose influenza vaccination in patients with end-stage renal disease

BACKGROUND

High-dose influenza vaccine (HDV) is an alternative vaccination strategy in patients with end-stage renal disease (ESRD), though the safety of HDV has not been evaluated in this population. The objective of this study was to estimate the relative occurrence of adverse vaccine reactions in patients with ESRD following vaccination with HDV compared with standard-dose influenza vaccine (SDV).

METHODS

Using data from the United States Renal Data System, we identified patients with ESRD aged ≥ 65 years at influenza vaccination during yearly influenza seasons from 2010 through 2016. Patients were followed after vaccination to observe serious (anaphylaxis, angioedema, seizure, encephalopathy, Guillain-Barré syndrome [GBS], and short-term, all-cause mortality) and milder (urticaria/hives, rash, pain in limb, cellulitis, myalgia/myositis, fever, nausea and vomiting, diarrhea, and syncope) adverse events. Propensity score-weighted hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for HDV versus SDV were estimated with Cox proportional hazards models.

RESULTS

Of 520,876 vaccinations observed (mean age = 74.7 years at vaccination; 63% white race), 7.4% were HDV. For serious events, the weighted HRs were null for seizure, encephalopathy, and mortality and inestimable due to too few cases for anaphylaxis, angioedema, and GBS. For milder vaccine reactions, the weighted HRs demonstrated generally increased risks in the HDV group, including rash (HR = 1.86; 95% CI, 1.34-2.57), diarrhea (HR = 1.26; 95% CI, 1.07-1.50), pain in limb (HR = 1.23; 95% CI, 1.12-1.34), and myalgia/myositis (HR = 1.16; 95% CI, 1.04-1.30).

CONCLUSIONS

The risks of serious adverse events were low and similar between treatment groups; however, HDV recipients had increased risks of several milder adverse events compared with SDV recipients, consistent with clinical trial findings in the general population of older adults. These results add important information to inform the risk-benefit tradeoff of the use of HDV versus SDV in patients with ESRD.

Comparative Effectiveness of High-Dose Versus Standard-Dose Influenza Vaccine Among Patients Receiving Maintenance Hemodialysis

RATIONALE & OBJECTIVE

Studies of patients on maintenance dialysis therapy suggest that standard-dose influenza vaccine (SDV) may not prevent influenza-related outcomes. Little is known about the comparative effectiveness of SDV versus high-dose influenza vaccine (HDV) in this population.

STUDY DESIGN

Cohort study using data from the US Renal Data System.

SETTING & PARTICIPANTS

507,552 adults undergoing in-center maintenance hemodialysis between the 2010 to 2011 and 2014 to 2015 influenza seasons.

EXPOSURES

SDV and HDV.

OUTCOMES

All-cause mortality, hospitalization due to influenza or pneumonia, and influenza-like illness during the influenza season.

ANALYTIC APPROACH

Patients were eligible for inclusion in multiple yearly cohorts; thus, our unit of analysis was the influenza patient-season. To examine the relationship between vaccine dose and effectiveness outcomes, we estimated risk differences and risk ratios using propensity score weighting of Kaplan-Meier functions, accounting for a wide range of patient- and facility-level characteristics. For nonmortality outcomes, we used competing-risk methods to account for the high mortality rate in the dialysis population.

RESULTS

Within 225,215 influenza patient-seasons among adults 65 years and older, 97.4% received SDV and 2.6% received HDV. We observed similar risk estimates for HDV and SDV recipients for mortality (risk difference, -0.08%; 95% CI, -0.85% to 0.80%), hospitalization due to influenza or pneumonia (risk difference, 0.15%; 95% CI, -0.69% to 0.93%), and influenza-like illness (risk difference, 0.00%; 95% CI, -1.50% to 1.08%). Our findings were similar among adults younger than 65 years, as well as within other subgroups defined by influenza season, age group, dialysis vintage, month of influenza vaccination, and vaccine valence.

LIMITATIONS

Residual confounding and outcome misclassification.

CONCLUSIONS

The HDV does not appear to provide additional protection beyond the SDV against all-cause mortality or influenza-related outcomes for adults undergoing hemodialysis. The additional cost and side effects associated with HDV should be considered when offering this vaccine. Future studies of HDV and other influenza vaccine strategies are warranted.

Cardiovascular Outcomes and All-cause Mortality Following Measurement of Endogenous Testosterone Levels

Although reduced testosterone levels are common in aging populations, the clinical consequences remain to be further explored. We examined whether low total testosterone levels are associated with stroke (ischemic and hemorrhagic), myocardial infarction (MI), venous thromboembolism (VTE), and all-cause mortality in adult men. We conducted a cohort study in the Central Denmark Region (2000 to 2015). We included all men with a first-ever laboratory testosterone result and computed the 5-year risks of cardiovascular outcomes and all-cause mortality. Propensity score-weighted hazard ratios were computed, comparing persons with normal versus low testosterone levels. Individuals were censored at testosterone treatment during follow-up (3%). We identified 4,771 men with low testosterone levels and 13,467 with normal levels. Persons with low testosterone levels were older (median ages, 55 years vs 50 years) and had more co-morbidities than men with normal testosterone levels. Persons with low testosterone had higher 5-year risks of stroke (2.4% vs 1.5%), MI (1.5% vs 1.2%), VTE (1.4% vs 0.9%), and all-cause mortality (17.8% vs 6.8%) than persons with normal testosterone levels. After propensity score-weighting, the associations with cardiovascular outcomes reached unity. The 5-year hazard ratios were 1.14 (95% confidence intervals [CIs] 0.87 to 1.49) for stroke, 0.95 (95% CI 0.70 to 1.30) for MI, 1.10 (95% CI 0.78 to 1.55) for VTE, whereas it was 1.48 (95% CI 1.32 to 1.64) for all-cause mortality. In conclusion, low testosterone level was a strong predictor for cardiovascular outcomes and all-cause mortality in unadjusted models, however only the association between low testosterone and all-cause mortality persisted after adjustment for age and co-morbidity.

Variation in rotavirus vaccination coding in state US Medicaid data

Differences in state Medicaid policies and practices may result in variation in the recording of individual-level vaccination claims, which may present challenges for vaccination research using state Medicaid data. We describe differences in procedure coding for rotavirus vaccination in four states' Medicaid programs by identifying rotavirus vaccine-specific codes and oral vaccine administration codes. The proportion of vaccinated children with vaccine-specific and oral vaccine administration codes differed substantially across states: two states used vaccine-specific codes almost exclusively (95.9% and 99.0%); one had exclusively oral vaccine administration codes (>99.9%); another had a mixture (32.1% vaccine-specific codes, 40.0% oral vaccine administration codes, and 27.9% both). Depending on the research question, studies using Medicaid data in states without (or with incomplete) vaccine-specific coding may be infeasible. Prior to initiating research, investigators should carefully evaluate state Medicaid policies and patterns of vaccination uptake, as vaccine reimbursement policies and availability of vaccine claims may vary.

Testosterone therapy and venous thromboembolism: A systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Testosterone prescribing for men has dramatically increased, and there have been concerns about inappropriate use and adverse events. While regulatory bodies have warned about increased risk of venous thromboembolism (VTE), published clinical data supporting an increased risk for VTE are limited.

OBJECTIVE

To conduct a systematic review of studies examining the association between testosterone therapy in men and VTE.

METHODS

Comprehensive searches of multiple databases were performed from inception through October 3rd, 2018. Randomized control trials (RCTs) and observational studies examining the association between exogenous testosterone (any route) and VTE. Study selection and data extraction were performed by two independent investigators. Random-effect model meta-analyses were used to estimate pooled odds ratios (OR) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs). Heterogeneity among studies was evaluated using the I2 statistic. Risk of bias was assessed using the Cochrane and Newcastle-Ottawa tools.

RESULTS

Six RCTs (n = 2236) and 5 observational studies (n = 1,249,640) were included. Five RCTs were performed in men with documented hypogonadism. The observational studies included: 2 case-control studies, 2 retrospective cohorts, and 1 retrospective cohort with a nested case-control study. There was no evidence of a statistically significant association between VTE and testosterone (OR 1.41, 95%CI 0.96-2.07). Heterogeneity was high (I-squared = 84.4%). The association remained nonsignificant when the analysis was stratified by study design: RCTs (2.05, 95% CI 0.78-5.39); cohort (1.06, 95% CI 0.85-1.33); and case-control (1.34, 95% CI 0.78-2.28). The overall risk of bias was moderate.

CONCLUSIONS

The current evidence is of low certainty but does not support an association between testosterone use and VTE in men.

Risk of Incident Osteoarthritis of the Hand in Statin Initiators: A Sequential Cohort Study

OBJECTIVE

To investigate the association between statin therapy initiation and incident hand osteoarthritis (OA).

METHODS

We performed a propensity score-matched cohort study using data from the UK-based Clinical Practice Research Datalink. Statin initiators had ≥1 statin prescription between 1996 and 2015 and were matched 1:1 on their propensity score to noninitiators within 10 sequential 2-year cohort entry blocks. After a 180-day run-in period, patients were followed in an as-treated approach until a recorded diagnosis of hand OA or until censoring (change in exposure status, development of an exclusion criterion, or maximum follow-up of 5.5 years). We applied Cox proportional hazard regression to calculate hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% confidence intervals (95% CIs) overall and in subgroups of sex, age, statin dose, statin agent, preexisting dyslipidemia, and treatment duration. To compare results, we ran all analyses with negative and positive control outcomes and assessed generalized OA as a secondary outcome. We further performed the overall analysis with an active comparator (topical glaucoma therapy initiators).

RESULTS

Among 233,608 statin initiators and the same number of noninitiators, we observed an overall HR for hand OA of 0.98 (95% CI 0.88-1.09). The observed null result remained unchanged in all subgroups. Results were highly similar for generalized OA and negative control outcomes. In addition, the active comparator analysis showed a null result with an HR for hand OA of 0.85 (95% CI 0.56-1.29). Previously known associations with positive control outcomes were observed.

CONCLUSION

There was no association between statin initiation and incident hand OA in this study.

High-dose influenza vaccine use among patients receiving hemodialysis in the United States, 2010-2013

BACKGROUND

Standard influenza vaccines may be of limited benefit to patients with end-stage renal disease (ESRD). These patients may benefit from high-dose influenza vaccine, currently indicated for patients aged ≥65 years. Studies in other populations have demonstrated that high-dose vaccine elicits a stronger immunological response. We compared vaccine uptake in the United States and predictors of receipt for high-dose and standard influenza vaccines.

METHODS

Using data from the United States Renal Data System (2010-2013), we conducted a cohort study of 421,482 adult patients on hemodialysis. We examined temporal trends in uptake of high-dose or standard trivalent influenza vaccine each influenza season, and used multivariate logistic regression to assess the association between individual-level variables (e.g., demographics, comorbidities) and facility-level variables (e.g., facility size and type) with vaccine receipt.

RESULTS

The proportion of patients with ESRD who were vaccinated with any influenza vaccine increased from 68.3% in 2010 to 72.4% in 2013. High-dose vaccines were administered to 0.9% of patients during the study period, and 16.7% of high-dose vaccines were administered to patients <65 years of age. Among patients aged ≥65 years, older patients (>79 vs. 65-69 years: OR, 1.29; 95% CI, 1.19-1.41) and patients at hospital-based versus free-standing dialysis facilities (OR, 2.31; 95% CI, 2.13-2.45) were more likely to receive high-dose vaccine, while blacks (vs. whites [OR, 0.66; 95% CI, 0.61-0.71]) and patients with longer duration of ESRD (>9 vs. 0 years: OR, 0.66; 95% CI, 0.55-0.78) were less likely to receive the high-dose vaccine.

CONCLUSIONS

While the overall influenza vaccination rate has increased, use of high-dose vaccine among patients with ESRD was very low. Being an older patient, living in the Midwest, and receiving care at hospital-based facilities were the strongest predictors of receiving high-dose vaccine.

A Comparative Study of Carvedilol Versus Metoprolol Initiation and 1-Year Mortality Among Individuals Receiving Maintenance Hemodialysis

BACKGROUND

Carvedilol and metoprolol are the β-blockers most commonly prescribed to US hemodialysis patients, accounting for ∼80% of β-blocker prescriptions. Despite well-established pharmacologic and pharmacokinetic differences between the 2 medications, little is known about their relative safety and efficacy in the hemodialysis population.

STUDY DESIGN

A retrospective cohort study using a new-user design.

SETTING & PARTICIPANTS

Medicare-enrolled hemodialysis patients treated at a large US dialysis organization who initiated carvedilol or metoprolol therapy from January 1, 2007, through December 30, 2012.

PREDICTOR

Carvedilol versus metoprolol initiation.

OUTCOMES

All-cause mortality, cardiovascular mortality, and intradialytic hypotension (systolic blood pressure decrease ≥ 20mmHg during hemodialysis plus intradialytic saline solution administration) during a 1-year follow-up period.

MEASUREMENTS

Survival models were used to estimate HRs and 95% CIs in mortality analyses. Poisson regression was used to estimate incidence rate ratios (IRRs) and 95% CIs in intradialytic hypotension analyses. Inverse probability of treatment weighting was used to adjust for several demographic, clinical, laboratory, and dialysis treatment covariates in all analyses.

RESULTS

27,064 individuals receiving maintenance hemodialysis were included: 9,558 (35.3%) carvedilol initiators and 17,506 (64.7%) metoprolol initiators. Carvedilol (vs metoprolol) initiation was associated with greater all-cause (adjusted HR, 1.08; 95% CI, 1.02-1.16) and cardiovascular mortality (adjusted HR, 1.18; 95% CI, 1.08-1.29). In subgroup analyses, similar associations were observed among patients with hypertension, atrial fibrillation, heart failure, and a recent myocardial infarction, the main cardiovascular indications for β-blocker therapy. During follow-up, carvedilol (vs metoprolol) initiators had a higher rate of intradialytic hypotension (adjusted IRR, 1.10; 95% CI, 1.09-1.11).

LIMITATIONS

Residual confounding may exist.

CONCLUSIONS

Relative to metoprolol initiation, carvedilol initiation was associated with higher 1-year all-cause and cardiovascular mortality. One potential mechanism for these findings may be the increased occurrence of intradialytic hypotension after carvedilol (vs metoprolol) initiation.

Rotavirus vaccination and short-term risk of adverse events in US infants

BACKGROUND

The aim of this study was to evaluate the short-term risk of adverse events associated with rotavirus vaccine (RV) in infants, overall and by vaccine formulation (three-dose pentavalent, RV5; two-dose monovalent, RV1).

METHODS

We identified US newborns with commercial insurance during 2006-2014 receiving a diphtheria-tetanus-pertussis vaccine (DTaP) dose and assessed if RV was administered concurrently. We followed infants for 30 days after each dose for diagnoses of intussusception, other gastrointestinal events, seizures, Kawasaki disease, thrombocytopenia, otitis media, all-cause emergency department visits, and all-cause hospitalisations. We estimated adjusted hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) with multivariable Cox proportional hazards models comparing: (a) those receiving DTaP+RV vs those receiving DTaP alone; and (b) RV5 vs RV1. Analyses were performed separately within DTaP doses and then meta-analysed across doses.

RESULTS

We identified 1 031 431 first DTaP doses, 821 833 second doses, and 615 293 third doses; 79.2% had a concurrent RV, 94.1% of which were RV5. Absolute risks of serious outcomes were very low. Compared to infants who received DTaP alone, infants who received RV+DTaP did not experience consistently increased risk of intussusception (hazard ratio [HR] 1.13, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.68, 1.88) or any other outcome except for otitis media after dose 2: HR 1.11, 95% CI 1.08, 1.15. This increased otitis media risk was not as pronounced in RV5 when comparing RV5 to RV1; HR 0.92, 95% CI 0.89, 0.95.

CONCLUSIONS

These data were not consistent with an increased risk of intussusception or other adverse events following vaccination with RV, except potentially for a small increased risk of otitis media, particularly in RV1.

Incidence of Heart Failure Observed in Emergency Departments, Ambulatory Clinics, and Hospitals

Reports on the burden of heart failure (HF) have largely omitted HF diagnosed in outpatient settings. We quantified annual incidence rates ([IR] per 1,000 person years) of HF identified in ambulatory clinics, emergency departments (EDs), and during hospital stays in a national probability sample of Medicare beneficiaries from 2008 to 2014, by age and race/ethnicity. A 20% random sample of Medicare beneficiaries ages ≥65 years with continuous Medicare Parts A, B, and D coverage was used to estimate annual IRs of HF identified using International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Revision, Clinical Modification codes. Of the 681,487 beneficiaries with incident HF from 2008 to 2014, 283,451 (41%) presented in ambulatory clinics, 76,919 (11%) in EDs, and 321,117 (47%) in hospitals. Overall, incidence of HF in ambulatory clinics decreased from 2008 (IR 22.2, 95% confidence interval [CI] 22.0, 22.4) to 2014 (IR 15.0, 95% CI 14.8, 15.1). Similarly, incidence of HF-related ED visits without an admission to the hospital decreased somewhat from 2008 (IR 5.5, 95% CI 5.4, 5.6) to 2012 (IR 4.2, 95% CI 4.1, 4.3) and stabilized from 2013 to 2014. Similar to previous reports, HF hospitalizations, both International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Revision, Clinical Modification code 428.x in the primary and any position, decreased over the study period. More than half of all new cases of HF in Medicare beneficiaries presented in an ambulatory clinic or ED. The overall incidence of HF decreased from 2008 to 2014, regardless of health-care setting. In conclusion, consideration of outpatient HF is warranted to better understand the burden of HF and its temporal trends.

Injection testosterone and adverse cardiovascular events: A case-crossover analysis

CONTEXT

Exogenous testosterone administration may affect blood clotting, polycythaemia, and may increase atherosclerosis, though any association with cardiovascular events is unclear. While the literature is inconclusive, some studies have suggested testosterone use may increase short-term risk of cardiovascular events and stroke, and injection testosterone may convey higher risks than other dosage forms.

OBJECTIVE

We sought to evaluate the short-term cardiovascular risk of receiving injection testosterone.

DESIGN

We conducted a case-crossover analysis comparing injection testosterone exposure in the 7 days prior to an outcome event to referent windows in the past to estimate the acute association of cardiovascular outcomes with the receipt of testosterone injections.

PATIENTS

We identified adult male testosterone users hospitalized with myocardial infarction (MI), stroke or a composite of MI, stroke or unstable angina in US commercial claims (2000-2013) or Medicare (2007-2010) databases.

MEASUREMENTS

We identified testosterone use for the patients from pharmacy dispensing claims or in-office procedure codes in the insurance billing data.

RESULTS

We identified 2898 commercially insured men with events and recent testosterone use, and 339 from Medicare. Injected testosterone was associated with an increased risk of adverse events (composite outcome of myocardial infarction, stroke or unstable angina) in the immediate postinjection period for the older, Medicare population only: commercial insurance, odds ratios (OR) = 0.98 (95% confidence intervals [CI]: 0.86-1.12); Medicare, OR = 1.45 (1.07, 1.98). This association was either greatly attenuated or not present when evaluating receipt of any testosterone dosage forms (injection, gel, patch, implant): commercial insurance, OR = 1.01 (0.92, 1.11); Medicare, OR = 1.26 (95% CI: 0.98-1.63).

CONCLUSIONS

Testosterone injections were uniquely associated with short-term risk of acute cardio- and cerebrovascular events in older adult men following injection receipt.

Timing of renal replacement therapy and long-term risk of chronic kidney disease and death in intensive care patients with acute kidney injury

Background

The optimal time to initiate renal replacement therapy (RRT) in intensive care unit (ICU) patients with acute kidney injury (AKI) is unclear. We examined the impact of early RRT on long-term mortality, risk of chronic kidney disease (CKD), and end-stage renal disease (ESRD).

Methods

This cohort study included all adult patients treated with continuous RRT in the ICU at Aarhus University Hospital, Skejby, Denmark (2005–2015). Data were obtained from a clinical information system and population-based registries. Early treatment was defined as RRT initiation at AKI stage 2 or below, and late treatment was defined as RRT initiation at AKI stage 3. Inverse probability of treatment (IPT) weights were computed from propensity scores. The IPT-weighted cumulative risk of CKD (estimated glomerular filtration rate < 60 ml/minute/1.73 m²), ESRD, and mortality was estimated and compared using IPT-weighted Cox regression.

Results

The mortality, CKD, and ESRD analyses included 1213, 303, and 617 patients, respectively. The 90-day mortality in the early RRT group was 53.6% compared with 46.0% in the late RRT group (HR 1.24, 95% CI 1.03–1.48). The 90-day to 5-year mortality was 37.7% and 41.5% in the early and late RRT groups, respectively (HR 0.95, 95% CI 0.70–1.29). The 5-year risk of CKD was 35.9% in the early RRT group and 44.9% in the late RRT group (HR 0.74, 95% CI 0.46–1.18). The 5-year risk of ESRD was 13.3% in the early RRT group and 16.7% in the late RRT group (HR 0.79, 95% CI 0.47–1.32).

Conclusions

Early initiation was associated with increased 90-day mortality. In patients surviving to day 90, early initiation was not associated with a major impact on long-term mortality or risk of CKD and ESRD. Despite potential residual confounding due to the observational design, our findings do not support that early RRT initiation is superior to late initiation.

Electronic supplementary material

The online version of this article (doi:10.1186/s13054-017-1903-y) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.

The Risk of Achilles or Biceps Tendon Rupture in New Statin Users: A Propensity Score-Matched Sequential Cohort Study

INTRODUCTION

Case reports and pharmacovigilance data reported cases of tendon ruptures in statin users, but evidence from observational studies is scarce and inconclusive. We aimed to assess the association between new statin use and tendon rupture.

METHODS

We performed a propensity score (PS)-matched sequential cohort study, using data from the Clinical Practice Research Datalink. Patients aged ≥45 years with at least one new statin prescription between 1995 and 2014 were PS-matched within 2-year entry blocks to patients without a statin prescription during the block. We followed patients until they had a recorded Achilles or biceps tendon rupture, completed 5 years of follow-up, or were censored for change in exposure status or another censoring criterion. We calculated hazard ratios (HRs) with 95 % confidence intervals (CIs), applying Cox proportional hazard analyses in the overall cohort (crude and multivariable) and in the PS-matched cohort. We performed subgroup analyses by sex, age, treatment duration, and statin dose.

RESULTS

We observed a crude HR of 1.32 (95 % CI 1.21-1.44) in the overall cohort, which attenuated after multivariable adjustment (HR 1.02, 95 % CI 0.92-1.12) and after PS-matching (HR 0.95, 95 % CI 0.84-1.08). Crude HRs were higher in women than in men, but remained around null in both sexes after multivariable adjustment and PS-matching. Subgroup analyses by age, treatment duration, and statin dose revealed null results across all subgroups.

CONCLUSION

The results of this cohort study suggest that statin use does not increase the risk of tendon rupture, irrespective of gender, age, statin dose, or treatment duration.

Effectiveness of Prenatal Tdap Immunization in the Prevention of Infant Pertussis in the United States

Background

The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention recommends that all pregnant women in the United States receive tetanus-diphtheria-acellular pertussis (Tdap) immunization to prevent infant pertussis. While the vaccine may be administered at any time during pregnancy, the recommendations define administration at 27 to 36 weeks of gestation as optimal timing to prevent infant pertussis. These recommendations were primarily based on immunogenicity studies. The objective of this study was to examine the clinical effectiveness of prenatal Tdap, and to understand whether effectiveness varies by gestational age at immunization.

Methods

We performed a nationwide cohort study of pregnant women with deliveries in 2010–2014 and their infants. Commercial insurance claims data were used to identify receipt of Tdap immunization in the pregnant women, and hospitalizations and outpatient visits for pertussis in their infants until 18 months of age. To address the difficulties in diagnosing pertussis, we also employed a “probable pertussis” definition, as an inpatient or outpatient diagnosis of pertussis, plus antibiotic treatment with a macrolide or trimethoprim/sulfamethoxazole within 7 days of diagnosis. Pertussis occurrence was compared between infants of mothers who received prenatal Tdap (overall, and stratified by gestational age at administration) and infants of unvaccinated mothers.

Results

There were 675,167 mother–infant pairs included in the cohort. Among infants whose mothers received Tdap at any time during pregnancy, the rate of pertussis hospitalization was 50% lower (adjusted hazards ratio (HR) = 0.50, 95% CI: 0.23, 1.09), and the rate of probable pertussis was 42% lower (HR = 0.58, 95% CI: 0.38, 0.89) than infants of unimmunized mothers. Pertussis rates were also lower for infants whose mothers received prenatal Tdap during the third trimester. Infants whose mothers received Tdap before the third trimester also tended to have lower rates of pertussis, but these estimates were imprecise.

Conclusion

Infants of mothers who received prenatal Tdap experienced half the rate of pertussis as compared with infants of unimmunized mothers. Our results do not provide evidence to support changing the currently recommended timing of Tdap administration in pregnancy.

Disclosures

S. Becker-Dreps, Pfizer: Consultant and Grant Investigator, Consulting fee and Research grant; A. M. Butler, Astra Zeneca: Consultant, Support to institution; Amgen: Grant Investigator, Investigator initiated grant to institution; 
D. J. Weber, Merck: Consultant and Speaker’s Bureau, Consulting fee and Speaker honorarium; Pfizer: Consultant, Consulting fee; J. B. Layton, Merck: Member of Center for Pharmacoepidemiology, Support to institution; GlaxoSmithKline: Member of Center for Pharmacoepidemiology, Support to institution; UCB Biosciences: Member of Center for Pharmacoepidemiology, Support to institution

Accuracy of Self-Reported Heart Failure. The Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) Study

OBJECTIVE

The aim of this work was to estimate agreement of self-reported heart failure (HF) with physician-diagnosed HF and compare the prevalence of HF according to method of ascertainment.

METHODS AND RESULTS

ARIC cohort members (60-83 years of age) were asked annually whether a physician indicated that they have HF. For those self-reporting HF, physicians were asked to confirm their patients' HF status. Physician-diagnosed HF included surveillance of hospitalized HF and hospitalized and outpatient HF identified in administrative claims databases. We estimated sensitivity, specificity, positive predicted value, kappa, prevalence and bias-adjusted kappa (PABAK), and prevalence. Compared with physician-diagnosed HF, sensitivity of self-report was low (28%-38%) and specificity was high (96%-97%). Agreement was poor (kappa 0.32-0.39) and increased when adjusted for prevalence and bias (PABAK 0.73-0.83). Prevalence of HF measured by self-report (9.0%), ARIC-classified hospitalizations (11.2%), and administrative hospitalization claims (12.7%) were similar. When outpatient HF claims were included, prevalence of HF increased to 18.6%.

CONCLUSIONS

For accurate estimates HF burden, self-reports of HF are best confirmed by means of appropriate diagnostic tests or medical records. Our results highlight the need for improved awareness and understanding of HF by patients, because accurate patient awareness of the diagnosis may enhance management of this common condition.

Prenatal Tdap immunization and risk of maternal and newborn adverse events

Many countries recommend combined tetanus toxoid, reduced diphtheria toxoid and acellular pertussis immunization (Tdap) during pregnancy to stimulate transplacental transmission of pertussis antibodies to newborns. The immune system can be altered during pregnancy, potentially resulting in differing immunization risks in pregnant women. The safety of widespread Tdap immunization during pregnancy needs to be established. Our objective was to assess whether prenatal Tdap immunization was associated with adverse birth outcomes, and to evaluate the effect of timing of Tdap administration on these outcomes. We identified pregnancies at delivery in a large insurance claims database (2010-2014). Tdap immunization was categorized as optimal prenatal (27+weeks), early prenatal (<27weeks), postpartum (≤7days post-delivery), or none. Medical claims were searched to identify maternal adverse immunization reactions (e.g. anaphylaxis, fever, Guillian-Barre syndrome [GBS]), adverse birth outcomes (e.g. preeclampsia/eclampsia, premature rupture or membranes, chorioamnionitis) and newborn outcomes (e.g. respiratory distress, pulmonary hypertension, neonatal jaundice). Women with optimal or early prenatal Tdap were compared to those not immunized in pregnancy, using propensity score-weighted log-binomial regression and Cox proportional hazards models to estimate risk ratios (RR) and hazard ratios (HR). We identified 1,079,034 deliveries and 677,075 linked newborns; 11.5% were immunized optimally and 2.3% immunized early. There were 1 case of post-immunization anaphylaxis, and 12 cases of maternal encephalopathy (all post- delivery); there were no cases of GBS. Optimally-timed immunization was associated with small increased relative risks of: chorioamnionitis [RR=1.11, (95% CI: 1.07-1.15), overall risk=2.8%], and postpartum hemorrhage [RR=1.23 (95% DI: 1.18-1.28), overall risk=2.4%]; however, these relative increases corresponded to low absolute risk increases. Tdap was not associated with increased risk of any adverse newborn outcome. Overall, prenatal Tdap immunization was not associated with newborn adverse events, but potential associations with chorioamnionitis consistent with one previous study and postpartum hemorrhage require further investigation.

Association Between Direct-to-Consumer Advertising and Testosterone Testing and Initiation in the United States, 2009-2013

IMPORTANCE

Testosterone initiation increased substantially in the United States from 2000 to 2013, especially among men without clear indications. Direct-to-consumer advertising (DTCA) also increased during this time.

OBJECTIVE

To investigate associations between televised DTCA and testosterone testing and initiation in the United States.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND POPULATION

Ecologic study conducted in designated market areas (DMAs) in the United States. Monthly testosterone advertising ratings were linked to DMA-level testosterone use data from 2009-2013 derived from commercial insurance claims. Associations between DTCA and testosterone testing, initiation, and initiation without recent baseline tests were estimated using Poisson generalized estimating equations.

EXPOSURES

Monthly Nielsen ratings for testosterone DTCA in the 75 largest DMAs.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES

(1) Rates of new serum testosterone testing; (2) rates of testosterone initiation (in-office injection, surgical implant, or pharmacy dispensing) for all testosterone products combined and for specific brands; and (3) rates of testosterone initiation without recent serum testosterone testing.

RESULTS

Of 17 228 599 commercially insured men in the 75 DMAs, 1 007 990 (mean age, 49.6 [SD, 11.5] years) had new serum testosterone tests and 283 317 (mean age, 51.8 [SD, 11.3] years) initiated testosterone treatment. Advertising intensity varied by geographic region and time, with the highest intensity seen in the southeastern United States and with months ranging from no ad exposures to a mean of 13.6 exposures per household. Nonbranded advertisements were common prior to 2012, with branded advertisements becoming more common during and after 2012. Each household advertisement exposure was associated with a monthly increase in rates of new testosterone testing (rate ratio [RR], 1.006; 95% CI, 1.004-1.008), initiation (RR, 1.007; 95% CI, 1.004-1.010), and initiation without a recent test (RR, 1.008; 95% CI, 1.002-1.013). Mean absolute rate increases were 0.14 tests (95% CI, 0.09-0.19), 0.05 new initiations (95% CI, 0.03-0.08), and 0.02 initiations without a recent test (95% CI, 0.01-0.03) per 10 000 men for each monthly ad exposure over the entire period.

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE

Among US men residing in the 75 designated market areas, regional exposure to televised direct-to-consumer advertising was associated with greater testosterone testing, new initiation, and initiation without recent testing.

Observational Research Using Propensity Scores

In most observational studies, treatments or other "exposures" (in an epidemiologic sense) do not occur at random. Instead, treatments or other such interventions depend on several patient-related and patient-independent characteristics. Such factors, associated with the receipt vs nonreceipt of treatment, may also be-independently-associated with outcomes. Thus, confounding exists making it difficult to ascertain the true association between treatments and outcomes. Propensity scores (PS) represent an intuitive set of approaches to reduce the influence of such "confounding" factors. PS is a computed probability of treatment, a value that is estimated for each patient in an observational study and then applied (in a variety of ways such as matching, stratification, weighting, etc.) to reduce distortion in the true nature of the association between treatment (or any similar exposure) and outcomes. Despite several advantages, PS-based methods cannot account for unmeasured confounding, ie, for factors that are not being included in the computation of PS.

Comparative Safety of Testosterone Dosage Forms

IMPORTANCE

Increases in testosterone use and mixed reports of adverse events have raised concerns about the cardiovascular safety of testosterone. Testosterone is available in several delivery mechanisms with varying pharmacokinetics; injections cause spikes in testosterone levels, and transdermal patches and gels cause more subtle but sustained increases. The comparative cardiovascular safety of gels, injections, and patches has not been studied.

OBJECTIVE

To determine the comparative cardiovascular safety of testosterone injections, patches, and gels.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

A retrospective cohort study was conducted using administrative claims from a commercially insured (January 1, 2000, to December 31, 2012) and Medicare (January 1, 2007, to December 31, 2010) population in the United States and general practitioner records from the United Kingdom (January 1, 2000, to June 30, 2012). Participants included men (aged ≥18 years) who initiated use of testosterone patches, gels, or injections following 180 days with no testosterone use. Our analysis was conducted from December 11, 2013, to November 12, 2014.

EXPOSURES

New initiation of a testosterone dosage form, with use monitored for up to 1 year.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES

Inpatient or outpatient medical records, diagnoses, or claims for cardiovascular and cerebrovascular events including myocardial infarction (MI), unstable angina, stroke, and composite acute event (MI, unstable angina, or stroke); venous thromboembolism (VTE); mortality; and all-cause hospitalization.

RESULTS

We identified 544,115 testosterone initiators between the 3 data sets: 37.4% injection, 6.9% patch, and 55.8% gel. The majority of men in the Medicare cohort were injection initiators (51.2%), most in the US commercially insured population were gel initiators (56.5%), and the UK database included equal proportions of injections and gel users (approximately 41%). With analysis conducted using hazard ratios and 95% CIs, compared with men using gels, injection initiators had higher hazards of cardiovascular events (ie, MI, unstable angina, and stroke) (1.26; 1.18-1.35), hospitalization (1.16; 1.13-1.19), and death (1.34; 1.15-1.56) but not VTE (0.92; 0.76-1.11). Compared with gels, patches did not confer increased hazards of cardiovascular events (1.10; 0.94-1.29), hospitalization (1.04; 1.00-1.08), death (1.02; 0.77-1.33), or VTE (1.08; 0.79-1.47).

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE

Testosterone injections were associated with a greater risk of cardiovascular events, hospitalizations, and deaths compared with gels. Patches and gels had similar risk profiles. However, this study did not assess whether patients met criteria for use of testosterone and did not assess the safety of testosterone among users compared with nonusers of the drug.

Fracture rate associated with quality metric-based anti-osteoporosis treatment in glucocorticoid-induced osteoporosis

Anti-osteoporosis medication (AOM) use in patients exposed to glucocorticoids is thought to reduce fractures. We found post-menopausal women using glucocorticoids for at least 90 days who also used an AOM within 90 days had 48 % fewer fractures by 1 year and 32 % fewer fractures by 3 years compared to non-AOM users.

INTRODUCTION

The purpose of this study is to explore the effectiveness of adherence to quality measures by estimating the effect of anti-osteoporosis medication (AOM) initiation within 90 days after chronic (≥90 days) glucocorticoid (GC) therapy on osteoporotic fracture.

METHODS

A new-user cohort was assembled using the MarketScan databases between 2000 and 2012. Included patients were female, age ≥50 at GC initiation, had a first GC fill daily dose ≥10 mg and persisted for at least 90 days. During a 365-day baseline period, patients were excluded for prior GC or AOM (bisphosphonate, denosumab, teriparatide) use, fracture, or cancer diagnosis. Initiators of an AOM in the 14 days pre- or 90 days post-GC fill were characterized as AOM users; those without, AOM non-users. Follow-up began 91 days after GC fill with patients followed until fracture, loss of continuous enrollment, initiation of AOM by AOM non-users, or end of study period. A propensity score was estimated for AOM receipt using all measured covariates and converted to a stabilized inverse probability of treatment weights (IPTW). Weighted hazard ratios (HR) and associated 95% confidence intervals (95% CI) were estimated using weighted Cox proportional hazard models.

RESULTS

Of the 7885 women eligible for the study, 12.1% were AOM users. AOM use was associated with lower fracture incidence: weighted HR of 0.52 (95% CI 0.29, 0.94) at 1 year and weighted HR of 0.68 (95% CI 0.47, 0.99) at 3 years.

CONCLUSIONS

AOM initiation within 90 days of chronic GC use was associated with a fracture reduction of 48% at 1 year and 32% at 3 years.

Sodium phosphate does not increase risk for acute kidney injury after routine colonoscopy, compared with polyethylene glycol

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Oral sodium phosphate (OSP) is a common bowel purgative administered before colonoscopy; the Food and Drug Administration has warned against its use because of concerns about acute kidney injury (AKI) from the absorbed phosphate and dystrophic calcification. However, it is not clear if OSP is associated with AKI in the general population or in high-risk subgroups undergoing colonoscopy. We estimated the risk of AKI among patients undergoing a screening colonoscopy using OSP vs polyethylene glycol (PEG) for bowel cleansing in a large, US-based claims database.

METHODS

We used an insurance database to identify a cohort of patients ages 50 to 75 years who underwent screening colonoscopies as outpatients from January 2000 through November 2008 (before the Food and Drug Administration warning), receiving OSP (n = 121,266) or PEG (n = 429,430) within 30 days beforehand, without prior use of either drug. We collected data from patients for 6 months afterward to identify those who developed AKI or renal failure, or received dialysis. Adjusted and propensity score-matched hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) were estimated using Cox proportional hazards models. We investigated the effects in subgroups with higher AKI risk (patients with chronic kidney disease, kidney stones, hypertension, or diabetes, or using antihypertensive or nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs).

RESULTS

AKI occurred in 0.2% of OSP users and in 0.3% of PEG users (adjusted HR, 0.86; 95% CI, 0.75-0.99). OSP users matched well with PEG users, producing similar estimates (HR, 0.85; 95% CI, 0.72-1.01). We did not observe a consistent increase in the risk of AKI or other outcomes in any subgroups analyzed.

CONCLUSIONS

In a large database analysis, we did not associate administration of OSP before colonoscopy with increased risk of postprocedure AKI, even in high-risk clinical subgroups.

Testosterone lab testing and initiation in the United Kingdom and the United States, 2000 to 2011

CONTEXT

New formulations, increased marketing, and wider recognition of declining testosterone levels in older age may have contributed to wider testosterone testing and supplementation in many countries.

OBJECTIVE

Our objective was to describe testosterone testing and testosterone treatment in men in the United Kingdom and United States.

DESIGN

This was a retrospective incident user cohort.

SETTING

We evaluated commercial and Medicare insurance claims from the United States and general practitioner healthcare records from the United Kingdom for the years 2000 through 2011.

PARTICIPANTS

We identified 410,019 US men and 6858 UK men who initiated a testosterone formulation as well as 1,114,329 US men and 66,140 UK men with a new testosterone laboratory measurement.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Outcome measures included initiation of any injected testosterone, implanted testosterone pellets, or prescribed transdermal or oral testosterone formulation.

RESULTS

Testosterone testing and supplementation have increased pronouncedly in the United States. Increased testing in the United Kingdom has identified more men with low levels, yet US testing has increased among men with normal levels. Men in the United States tend to initiate at normal levels more often than in the United Kingdom, and many men initiate testosterone without recent testing. Gels have become the most common initial treatment in both countries.

CONCLUSIONS

Testosterone testing and use has increased over the past decade, particularly in the United States, with dramatic shifts from injections to gels. Substantial use is seen in men without recent testing and in US men with normal levels. Given widening use despite safety and efficacy questions, prescribers must consider the medical necessity of testosterone before initiation.

Post-operative acute kidney injury and five-year risk of death, myocardial infarction, and stroke among elective cardiac surgical patients: a cohort study

INTRODUCTION

The prognostic impact of acute kidney injury (AKI) on long-term clinical outcomes remains controversial. We examined the five-year risk of death, myocardial infarction, and stroke after elective cardiac surgery complicated by AKI.

METHODS

We conducted a cohort study among adult elective cardiac surgical patients without severe chronic kidney disease and/or previous heart or renal transplant surgery using data from population-based registries. AKI was defined by the Acute Kidney Injury Network (AKIN) criteria as a 50% increase in serum creatinine from baseline level, acute creatinine rise of ≥26.5 μmol/L (0.3 mg/dL) within 48 hours, and/or initiation of renal replacement therapy within five days after surgery. We followed patients from the fifth post-operative day until myocardial infarction, stroke or death within five years. Five-year risk was computed by the cumulative incidence method and compared with hazards ratios (HR) from a Cox proportional hazards regression model adjusting for propensity score.

RESULTS

A total of 287 (27.9%) of 1,030 patients developed AKI. Five-year risk of death was 26.5% (95% CI: 21.2 to 32.0) among patients with AKI and 12.1% (95% CI: 10.0 to 14.7) among patients without AKI. The corresponding adjusted HR of death was 1.6 (95% CI: 1.1 to 2.2). Five-year risk of myocardial infarction was 5.0% (95% CI: 2.9 to 8.1) among patients with AKI and 3.3% (95% CI: 2.1 to 4.8) among patients without AKI. Five-year risk of stroke was 5.0% (95% CI: 2.8 to 7.9) among patients with AKI and 4.2% (95% CI: 2.9 to 5.8) among patients without AKI. Adjusted HRs were 1.5 (95% CI: 0.7 to 3.2) of myocardial infarction and 0.9 (95% CI: 0.5 to 1.8) of stroke.

CONCLUSIONS

AKI, within five days after elective cardiac surgery, was associated with increased five-year mortality and a statistically insignificant increased risk of myocardial infarction. No association was seen with the risk of stroke.

Effects of aggregation of drug and diagnostic codes on the performance of the high-dimensional propensity score algorithm: an empirical example

BACKGROUND

The High-Dimensional Propensity Score (hd-PS) algorithm can select and adjust for baseline confounders of treatment-outcome associations in pharmacoepidemiologic studies that use healthcare claims data. How hd-PS performance is affected by aggregating medications or medical diagnoses has not been assessed.

METHODS

We evaluated the effects of aggregating medications or diagnoses on hd-PS performance in an empirical example using resampled cohorts with small sample size, rare outcome incidence, or low exposure prevalence. In a cohort study comparing the risk of upper gastrointestinal complications in celecoxib or traditional NSAIDs (diclofenac, ibuprofen) initiators with rheumatoid arthritis and osteoarthritis, we (1) aggregated medications and International Classification of Diseases-9 (ICD-9) diagnoses into hierarchies of the Anatomical Therapeutic Chemical classification (ATC) and the Clinical Classification Software (CCS), respectively, and (2) sampled the full cohort using techniques validated by simulations to create 9,600 samples to compare 16 aggregation scenarios across 50% and 20% samples with varying outcome incidence and exposure prevalence. We applied hd-PS to estimate relative risks (RR) using 5 dimensions, predefined confounders, ≤ 500 hd-PS covariates, and propensity score deciles. For each scenario, we calculated: (1) the geometric mean RR; (2) the difference between the scenario mean ln(RR) and the ln(RR) from published randomized controlled trials (RCT); and (3) the proportional difference in the degree of estimated confounding between that scenario and the base scenario (no aggregation).

RESULTS

Compared with the base scenario, aggregations of medications into ATC level 4 alone or in combination with aggregation of diagnoses into CCS level 1 improved the hd-PS confounding adjustment in most scenarios, reducing residual confounding compared with the RCT findings by up to 19%.

CONCLUSIONS

Aggregation of codes using hierarchical coding systems may improve the performance of the hd-PS to control for confounders. The balance of advantages and disadvantages of aggregation is likely to vary across research settings.

Acute kidney injury in statin initiators

PURPOSE

Statins are widely used for preventing cardiovascular disease, yet recent reports suggest an increased risk of acute kidney injury (AKI). We estimated the one-year risk of AKI associated with statin initiation and determined the comparative safety of individual statin formulations.

METHODS

We performed a cohort study in insurance billing data from commercial and Medicare insurance plans in the United States for the years 2000-2010. We identified statin initiators and non-users with histories of medication use and healthcare utilization. AKI diagnosis codes were identified in the one year following the index date. We estimated hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) with adjusted and propensity score (PS)-matched Cox-proportional hazards models. Models were run separately in insurance groups and adjusted for cardiovascular and renal risk factors, markers of healthcare utilization, and other medication use.

RESULTS

We identified 3,905,155 statin initiators and 2,817,621 eligible non-users. The adjusted HR of AKI in statin initiators compared to non-users was: commercial, HR = 1.04 (95% CI: 0.99, 1.09); Medicare, HR = 0.72 (95% CI: 0.70, 0.75). PS-matching yielded: commercial, HR = 0.82 (95% CI: 0.78, 0.87); Medicare, HR = 0.66 (95% CI: 0.63, 0.69). As individual formulations, higher-potency simvastatin was associated with an increased risk of AKI over lower-potency simvastatin in adjusted models: commercial, HR = 1.42 (95% CI: 1.28, 1.58); Medicare, HR = 1.24 (95% CI: 1.15, 1.35).

CONCLUSIONS

As a class, statin initiation was not associated with an increase in AKI. However, higher-potency simvastatin did exhibit an increased AKI risk.

Effect of statin use on acute kidney injury risk following coronary artery bypass grafting

Acute kidney injury (AKI) is a serious complication of cardiovascular surgery. Although some nonexperimental studies suggest that statin use may reduce postsurgical AKI, methodologic differences in study designs leave uncertainty regarding the reality or magnitude of the effect. The aim of this study was to estimate the effect of preoperative statin initiation on AKI after coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) using an epidemiologic approach more closely simulating a randomized controlled trial in a large CABG patient population. Health care claims from large, employer-based and Medicare insurance databases for 2000 to 2010 were used. To minimize healthy user bias, patients were identified who underwent nonemergent CABG who either newly initiated a statin <20 days before surgery or were unexposed for ≥200 days before CABG. AKI was identified <15 days after CABG. Multivariate-adjusted risk ratios (RRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated using Poisson regression. Analyses were repeated using propensity score methods adjusted for clinical and health care utilization variables. A total of 17,077 CABG patients were identified. Post-CABG AKI developed in 3.4% of statin initiators and 6.2% of noninitiators. After adjustment, a protective effect of statin initiation on AKI was observed (RR 0.78, 95% CI 0.63 to 0.96). This effect differed by age, with an RR of 0.91 (95% CI 0.68 to 1.20) for patients aged ≥65 years and an RR of 0.62 (95% CI 0.45 to 0.86) for those aged <65 years, although AKI was more common in the older group (7.7% vs 4.0%). In conclusion, statin initiation immediately before CABG may modestly reduce the risk for postoperative AKI, particularly in younger CABG patients.

A clinical tool to measure the components of health-care transition from pediatric care to adult care: the UNC TR(x)ANSITION scale

OBJECTIVE

To describe the development of the University of North Carolina (UNC) TR(x)ANSITION Scale that measures the health-care transition and self-management skills by youth with chronic health conditions.

METHODS

Item and scale development of the UNC TR(x)ANSITION Scale was informed by two theoretical models, available literature, and expert opinion interviews and feedback from youth with chronic conditions, their parents, and interdisciplinary collaboration. Through an iterative process, three versions of the scale were piloted on a total of 185 adolescents and emerging adults with different chronic illnesses. This clinically administered scale relies on a semi-structured interview format of the patient and does not rely solely on patient report, but is verified with information from the medical record to validate responses.

RESULTS

Following the item development and the three iterations of the scale, version 3 was examined in a more intensive fashion. The current version of the UNC TR(x)ANSITION Scale comprises 33 items scattered across the following 10 domains: Type of illness, Rx=medications, Adherence, Nutrition, Self-management, Informed-reproduction, Trade/school, Insurance, Ongoing support, and New health providers. It requires approximately 7-8 min to administer. With a sample of 128 adolescents and young adults, ranging in age from 12 to 20, inter-rater reliability was strong (r = 0.71) and item-total correlation scores were moderate to high. Content and construct validity were satisfactory, and the overall score was sensitive to advancing age. The univariate linear regression yielded a beta coefficient of 1.08 (p < 0.0001), indicating that the total score increased with advancing age. Specifically, there was about a one point increase in the total score for each year of age.

CONCLUSION

The UNC TR(x)ANSITION Scale is a disease-neutral tool that can be used in the clinical setting. Initial findings suggest that it is a reliable and valid tool that has the potential to measure health-care transition skill mastery and knowledge in a multidimensional fashion.

Discrepancy between Medical Evidence Form 2728 and renal biopsy for glomerular diseases

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

The United States Renal Data System (USRDS) is a commonly utilized database for epidemiologic research of ESRD patients. USRDS uses Medical Evidence Form 2728 to collect medical information about ESRD patients. The validity of the Form 2728 "primary cause of renal failure" field for glomerular diseases has not been evaluated, although inconsistencies between Form 2728 information and medical records have been documented previously with respect to comorbidities.

DESIGN, SETTING, PARTICIPANTS, & MEASUREMENTS

Form 2728 information was linked with renal biopsy results from the Glomerular Disease Collaborative Network (GDCN) for 217 patients with biopsy-confirmed glomerular diseases who had reached ESRD. Biopsy results were compared with the Form 2728 "primary cause of renal failure" field. Diseases were considered individually, and also categorized into commonly used disease groups. Percentage of agreement and disease-specific measures of validity were calculated.

RESULTS

Overall agreement between renal biopsy and Form 2728 was low (14.8% overall, 23.0% when categorized). Agreement was better after Form 2728 was revised in 1995 (10.0% before versus 23.2% after overall). The cause of ESRD field was left blank in 57% of the forms submitted for glomerular disease patients. Individual glomerular diseases had very low specificities, but tended to have high positive predictive values.

CONCLUSIONS

Form 2728 does not accurately reflect the renal pathology diagnosis as captured by biopsy. The large degree of missing data and misclassification should be of concern to those performing epidemiologic research using Form 2728 information on glomerular diseases.

Social relationships and mortality risk: a meta-analytic review

BACKGROUND

The quality and quantity of individuals' social relationships has been linked not only to mental health but also to both morbidity and mortality.

OBJECTIVES

This meta-analytic review was conducted to determine the extent to which social relationships influence risk for mortality, which aspects of social relationships are most highly predictive, and which factors may moderate the risk.

DATA EXTRACTION

Data were extracted on several participant characteristics, including cause of mortality, initial health status, and pre-existing health conditions, as well as on study characteristics, including length of follow-up and type of assessment of social relationships.

RESULTS

Across 148 studies (308,849 participants), the random effects weighted average effect size was OR = 1.50 (95% CI 1.42 to 1.59), indicating a 50% increased likelihood of survival for participants with stronger social relationships. This finding remained consistent across age, sex, initial health status, cause of death, and follow-up period. Significant differences were found across the type of social measurement evaluated (p<0.001); the association was strongest for complex measures of social integration (OR = 1.91; 95% CI 1.63 to 2.23) and lowest for binary indicators of residential status (living alone versus with others) (OR = 1.19; 95% CI 0.99 to 1.44).

CONCLUSIONS

The influence of social relationships on risk for mortality is comparable with well-established risk factors for mortality. Please see later in the article for the Editors' Summary.

Social relationships and mortality risk: a meta-analytic review

BACKGROUND

The quality and quantity of individuals' social relationships has been linked not only to mental health but also to both morbidity and mortality.

OBJECTIVES

This meta-analytic review was conducted to determine the extent to which social relationships influence risk for mortality, which aspects of social relationships are most highly predictive, and which factors may moderate the risk.

DATA EXTRACTION

Data were extracted on several participant characteristics, including cause of mortality, initial health status, and pre-existing health conditions, as well as on study characteristics, including length of follow-up and type of assessment of social relationships.

RESULTS

Across 148 studies (308,849 participants), the random effects weighted average effect size was OR = 1.50 (95% CI 1.42 to 1.59), indicating a 50% increased likelihood of survival for participants with stronger social relationships. This finding remained consistent across age, sex, initial health status, cause of death, and follow-up period. Significant differences were found across the type of social measurement evaluated (p<0.001); the association was strongest for complex measures of social integration (OR = 1.91; 95% CI 1.63 to 2.23) and lowest for binary indicators of residential status (living alone versus with others) (OR = 1.19; 95% CI 0.99 to 1.44).

CONCLUSIONS

The influence of social relationships on risk for mortality is comparable with well-established risk factors for mortality. Please see later in the article for the Editors' Summary.