Virtual urgent care is here to stay: driving toward safe, equitable, and sustainable integration within emergency medicine

BACKGROUND

Virtual care in Canada rapidly expanded during the COVID-19 pandemic in a low-rules environment in response to pressing needs for ongoing access to care amid public health restrictions. Emergency medicine specialists now face the challenge of advising on which virtual urgent care services ought to remain as part of comprehensive emergency care. Consideration must be given to safe, quality, and appropriate care as well as issues of equitable access, public demand, and sustainability (financial and otherwise). The aim of this project was to summarize current literature and expert opinion and formulate recommendations on the path forward for virtual care in emergency medicine.

METHODS

We formed a working group of emergency medicine physicians from across Canada working in a variety of practice settings. The virtual care working group conducted a scoping review of the literature and met monthly to discuss themes and develop recommendations. The final recommendations were circulated to stakeholders for input and subsequently presented at the 2023 Canadian Association of Emergency Physicians (CAEP) Academic Symposium for discussion, feedback, and refinement.

RESULTS

The working group developed and reached unanimity on nine recommendations addressing the themes of system design, equity and accessibility, quality and patient safety, education and curriculum, financial models, and sustainability of virtual urgent care services in Canada.

CONCLUSION

Virtual urgent care has become an established service in the Canadian health care system. Emergency medicine specialists are uniquely suited to provide leadership and guidance on the optimal delivery of these services to enhance and complement emergency care in Canada.

Combined cystourethroplasty and urethral sphincter occluder placement for treatment of urinary incontinence in a cat with genitourinary dysplasia

A 10-month-old female neutered domestic shorthair cat presented with a history of urinary incontinence and recurrent bacterial cystitis since 2 months of age. Physical examination was unremarkable other than vulval hypoplasia. Genitourinary dysplasia was diagnosed following a physical examination, CT imaging and retrograde positive contrast urethrocystography. Attempted medical management of the urinary incontinence was unsuccessful. Surgical treatment consisted of cystourethroplasty combined with artificial urethral sphincter placement, resulting in marked improvement of urinary continence. Following multiple adjustments of the artificial urethral sphincter near-total continence was achieved, which was maintained at 10 months post-surgery.

Previous fracture and subsequent fracture risk: a meta-analysis to update FRAX

A large international meta-analysis using primary data from 64 cohorts has quantified the increased risk of fracture associated with a previous history of fracture for future use in FRAX.

INTRODUCTION

The aim of this study was to quantify the fracture risk associated with a prior fracture on an international basis and to explore the relationship of this risk with age, sex, time since baseline and bone mineral density (BMD).

METHODS

We studied 665,971 men and 1,438,535 women from 64 cohorts in 32 countries followed for a total of 19.5 million person-years. The effect of a prior history of fracture on the risk of any clinical fracture, any osteoporotic fracture, major osteoporotic fracture, and hip fracture alone was examined using an extended Poisson model in each cohort. Covariates examined were age, sex, BMD, and duration of follow-up. The results of the different studies were merged by using the weighted β-coefficients.

RESULTS

A previous fracture history, compared with individuals without a prior fracture, was associated with a significantly increased risk of any clinical fracture (hazard ratio, HR = 1.88; 95% CI = 1.72-2.07). The risk ratio was similar for the outcome of osteoporotic fracture (HR = 1.87; 95% CI = 1.69-2.07), major osteoporotic fracture (HR = 1.83; 95% CI = 1.63-2.06), or for hip fracture (HR = 1.82; 95% CI = 1.62-2.06). There was no significant difference in risk ratio between men and women. Subsequent fracture risk was marginally downward adjusted when account was taken of BMD. Low BMD explained a minority of the risk for any clinical fracture (14%), osteoporotic fracture (17%), and for hip fracture (33%). The risk ratio for all fracture outcomes related to prior fracture decreased significantly with adjustment for age and time since baseline examination.

CONCLUSION

A previous history of fracture confers an increased risk of fracture of substantial importance beyond that explained by BMD. The effect is similar in men and women. Its quantitation on an international basis permits the more accurate use of this risk factor in case finding strategies.

Safety and Efficacy of Stereotactic Radiosurgery with Concurrent Targeted Systemic Therapy for Brain Metastases

PURPOSE/OBJECTIVE(S)

Data describing the safety and efficacy of central nervous system (CNS)-active targeted systemic therapies in combination with stereotactic radiosurgery (SRS, 1 fraction) and/or radiotherapy (SRT, 3-5 fractions) for brain metastases are emerging but limited. We report rates of local and intracranial failure and radiation necrosis in patients receiving CNS-active targeted systemic therapy and SRS/SRT.

MATERIALS/METHODS

We retrospectively identified patients with intact brain metastases at two institutions from 2009-2022 who were treated with SRS/SRT and CNS-active targeted systemic therapy in any sequence. Patients were followed for a minimum of 3 months after SRS/SRT with brain MRI. Patients typically stopped the targeted agent 2-4 days prior to radiation and resumed 2-4 days after. Targeted therapies included inhibitors of ALK/ROS1 (Alectinib, Ceritinib, Crizotinib, Lorlatinib), EGFR (Afatinib, Erlotinib, Gefitinib, Osimertinib), BRAF (Dabrafenib, Encorafenib, Vemurafenib), MEK (Binimetinib, Trametinib), CDK 4/6 (Abemaciclib, Palbociclib, Ribociclib), HER2 (Afatinib, Lapatinib, Neratinib, Pertuzumab, Trastuzumab, T-DM1, T-DXd, Tucatinib), KRAS (Adagrasib and Sotorasib), PARP (Niraparib, Olaparib), VEGF(R) (Axitinib, Bevacizumab, Ramucirumab), and less-selective tyrosine (receptor) kinase inhibitors (Bosutinib, Brigatinib, Entrectinib, Lenvatinib, Pazopanib, Sorafenib, Sunitinib). Local failure (LF) and radiation necrosis were determined radiographically with clinical impression (grade 2 (symptomatic) or higher (G2+)) and compared between different systemic agents.

RESULTS

The study included 95 patients with 310 metastases (SRS 246, SRT 64 metastases). Most common primary histologies were non-small cell lung cancer (36% 34/95), breast cancer (28% 27/95), and melanoma (16% 15/95). Overall survival at 1 and 2 years was 80% (76/95) and 55% (52/95), respectively. Median follow-up was 16.6 (range 3-91) months. Median tumor size was 7mm (range 1-75mm). Median number of brain metastases per patient was 2.5 (range 1-12). The G2+ radiation necrosis rate was 5.8% (18/310) while the LF rate was 9.7% (30/310) per metastasis. There was no significant difference in G2+ radiation necrosis by class of targeted therapy. Sixty-two percent (59/95) of patients experienced distant intracranial failure. Median intracranial progression free survival (PFS) was 8.0 (range 0.4-61.4) months.

CONCLUSION

Although heterogeneous, patients treated with SRS/SRT and ongoing CNS-active targeted systemic therapies have on average >6 month intracranial PFS and little evidence of significant toxicity. We observed <6% G2+ radiation necrosis for this cohort, and no particular class of agent was associated with a significantly higher rate of G2+ radiation necrosis.

Hippocampal-Sparing Radiotherapy in Primary Sinonasal and Cutaneous Head and Neck Malignancies: A Feasibility Study

PURPOSE/OBJECTIVE(S)

Patients with primary sinonasal and cutaneous head and neck (H&N) malignancies often receive meaningful hippocampal doses, but the hippocampus is not a classic avoidance structure in radiation planning of these primary sites. This series characterizes the feasibility and tradeoffs of hippocampal-sparing radiotherapy (HSRT) for patients with primary sinonasal and cutaneous H&N malignancies.

MATERIALS/METHODS

We retrospectively identified patients at a single institution treated definitively for primary sinonasal or cutaneous malignancies of the H&N. Each patient received (chemo)radiation and all received clinically-significant radiation dose to one or both hippocampi. We created new HSRT plans for each patient with intensity-modulated radiotherapy using original target and organ-at-risk (OAR) volumes. Hippocampi were contoured based on Radiation Therapy Oncology Group guidelines. Absolute and relative differences in radiation dose to the hippocampi, planning target volumes (PTV), and OARs were recorded. We used paired-samples t-tests to compare hippocampal and PTV dosimetric measures with and without HSRT.

RESULTS

Thirty-seven patients were included (22 sinonasal, 11 cutaneous H&N, and 4 parotid primary tumors). Median prescription dose was 6600cGy (range: 5000-7440cGy). The most common fractionation regimens were 200cGy/fraction daily (51%, 19/37 patients) and 120cGy/fraction twice daily (41%, 15/37 patients). There were significant decreases in hippocampal Dmax and D100% using HSRT without compromising PTV coverage (Table 1). HSRT resulted in a relative increase of mean lacrimal gland dose by an average of 3.8%, optic chiasm Dmax by 1.3%, and whole brain Dmax of 1.2%. However, other OAR doses were lower with HSRT, including parotid gland mean dose, lens Dmax, optic nerve Dmax, cochlea mean dose, brainstem Dmax, and whole brain mean dose.

CONCLUSION

HSRT is feasible and results in meaningful radiation dose reduction to the hippocampi without reducing PTV coverage or increasing dose to other OARs. The hippocampi should be regularly included as avoidance structures when treating primary sinonasal and cutaneous H&N tumors with radiation. We suggest target hippocampal constraints of Dmax < 1600cGy and D100% < 500cGy when feasible (without compromising PTV coverage). The clinical significance of HSRT in patients with primary H&N tumors should be investigated prospectively.

First Measurement of the Nuclear-Recoil Ionization Yield in Silicon at 100 eV

We measured the nuclear-recoil ionization yield in silicon with a cryogenic phonon-sensitive gram-scale detector. Neutrons from a monoenergetic beam scatter off of the silicon nuclei at angles corresponding to energy depositions from 4 keV down to 100 eV, the lowest energy probed so far. The results show no sign of an ionization production threshold above 100 eV. These results call for further investigation of the ionization yield theory and a comprehensive determination of the detector response function at energies below the keV scale.

Degeneracy in Intercalated Pb Phases under Buffer-Layer Graphene on SiC(0001) and Diffuse Moiré Spots in Surface Diffraction

First-principles density functional theory (DFT) is used to analyze the stability of Pb intercalated phases under buffer layer graphene on SiC(0001) as a function of the supercell size, Pb coverage, and degree of Pb ordering. By comparing the chemical potentials of such two-dimensional Pb structures, we find that there is a family of structurally distinct thermodynamically preferred Pb subsurface configurations with minute stability differences. These differences are comparable to the thermal energies at about 450 °C, where the Pb intercalated phases are grown. High-resolution surface-diffraction experiments using Spot Profile Analysis Low-Energy Electron Diffraction (SPA-LEED) confirm this high degree of degeneracy of the Pb intercalated phases from broad, low-intensity moiré spots observed exclusively from intercalated Pb. The low intensity of the moiré spots implies the coexistence of structurally different subsurface Pb phases.

Semiclassical Husimi Distributions of Schur Vectors in Non-Hermitian Quantum Systems

We construct a semiclassical phase-space density of Schur vectors in non-Hermitian quantum systems. Each Schur vector is associated to a single Planck cell. The Schur states are organized according to a classical norm landscape on phase space-a classical manifestation of the lifetimes which are characteristic of non-Hermitian systems. To demonstrate the generality of this construction we apply it to a highly nontrivial example: a PT-symmetric kicked rotor in the regimes of mixed and chaotic classical dynamics.

Genetic risk for schizophrenia is associated with increased proportion of indirect connections in brain networks revealed by a semi-metric analysis: evidence from population sample stratified for polygenic risk

Research studies based on tractography have revealed a prominent reduction of asymmetry in some key white-matter tracts in schizophrenia (SCZ). However, we know little about the influence of common genetic risk factors for SCZ on the efficiency of routing on structural brain networks (SBNs). Here, we use a novel recall-by-genotype approach, where we sample young adults from a population-based cohort (ALSPAC:N genotyped = 8,365) based on their burden of common SCZ risk alleles as defined by polygenic risk score (PRS). We compared 181 individuals at extremes of low (N = 91) or high (N = 90) SCZ-PRS under a robust diffusion MRI-based graph theoretical SBN framework. We applied a semi-metric analysis revealing higher SMR values for the high SCZ-PRS group compared with the low SCZ-PRS group in the left hemisphere. Furthermore, a hemispheric asymmetry index showed a higher leftward preponderance of indirect connections for the high SCZ-PRS group compared with the low SCZ-PRS group (PFDR < 0.05). These findings might indicate less efficient structural connectivity in the higher genetic risk group. This is the first study in a population-based sample that reveals differences in the efficiency of SBNs associated with common genetic risk variants for SCZ.

Can the Remote Use of a Peak Flow Meter Predict Severity of Subglottic Stenosis and Surgical Timing?

OBJECTIVE

We aimed to assess the relationship between patient-performed and patient-reported peak flow meter (PFM) measurements with pulmonary function testing (PFT) and Dyspnea Index (DI) scores as a tool for monitoring Subglottic stenosis (SGS) disease progression remotely.

METHODS

Thirty-five SGS patients were prospectively enrolled. Patients were given PFMs to report serial measurements from home. DI scores and PFT were recorded at serial clinic visits. Data were analyzed to determine the correlation between PFM measurements and PFT data. Pre-operative and post-operative PFM measurements, PFT, and DI scores were analyzed for patients who underwent operative intervention. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were created for PFM measurements, PFT data, and DI scores to predict the likelihood of surgery.

RESULTS

PFM measurements had a "strong" correlation with the peak expiratory flow rate (PEFR), r = 0.78. Means of PEFR, PIFR, EDI, PFM measurements, and DI scores all significantly improved after the operative intervention (p ≤ 0.05). The area under the curve for ROC curves for DI scores, PFM measurements, and EDI were highest in our cohort with values of 0.896, 0.823, and 0.806, respectively.

CONCLUSION

In our SGS cohort, PFM measurements correlate strongly with PEFR measurements. PFM measurements can adequately demonstrate disease progression and predict the need for surgery in this patient population. Together, DI scores and PFM measurements may be a useful tool to remotely follow patients with SGS and inform timing of in-person assessments.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE

2 Laryngoscope, 133:628-633, 2023.

Breaking of Inversion Symmetry and Interlayer Electronic Coupling in Bilayer Graphene Heterostructure by Structural Implementation of High Electric Displacement Fields

Controlling the interlayer coupling in two-dimensional (2D) materials generates novel electronic and topological phases. Its effective implementation is commonly done with a transverse electric field. However, phases generated by high displacement fields are elusive in this standard approach. Here, we introduce an exceptionally large displacement field by structural modification of a model system: AB-stacked bilayer graphene (BLG) on a SiC(0001) surface. We show that upon intercalation of gadolinium, electronic states in the top graphene layers exhibit a significant difference in the on-site potential energy, which effectively breaks the interlayer coupling between them. As a result, for energies close to the corresponding Dirac points, the BLG system behaves like two electronically isolated single graphene layers. This is proven by local scanning tunneling microscopy (STM)/spectroscopy, corroborated by density functional theory, tight binding, and multiprobe STM transport. The work presents metal intercalation as a promising approach for the synthesis of 2D graphene heterostructures with electronic phases generated by giant displacement fields.

Update of the fracture risk prediction tool FRAX: a systematic review of potential cohorts and analysis plan

We describe the collection of cohorts together with the analysis plan for an update of the fracture risk prediction tool FRAX with respect to current and novel risk factors. The resource comprises 2,138,428 participants with a follow-up of approximately 20 million person-years and 116,117 documented incident major osteoporotic fractures.

INTRODUCTION

The availability of the fracture risk assessment tool FRAX® has substantially enhanced the targeting of treatment to those at high risk of fracture with FRAX now incorporated into more than 100 clinical osteoporosis guidelines worldwide. The aim of this study is to determine whether the current algorithms can be further optimised with respect to current and novel risk factors.

METHODS

A computerised literature search was performed in PubMed from inception until May 17, 2019, to identify eligible cohorts for updating the FRAX coefficients. Additionally, we searched the abstracts of conference proceedings of the American Society for Bone and Mineral Research, European Calcified Tissue Society and World Congress of Osteoporosis. Prospective cohort studies with data on baseline clinical risk factors and incident fractures were eligible.

RESULTS

Of the 836 records retrieved, 53 were selected for full-text assessment after screening on title and abstract. Twelve cohorts were deemed eligible and of these, 4 novel cohorts were identified. These cohorts, together with 60 previously identified cohorts, will provide the resource for constructing an updated version of FRAX comprising 2,138,428 participants with a follow-up of approximately 20 million person-years and 116,117 documented incident major osteoporotic fractures. For each known and candidate risk factor, multivariate hazard functions for hip fracture, major osteoporotic fracture and death will be tested using extended Poisson regression. Sex- and/or ethnicity-specific differences in the weights of the risk factors will be investigated. After meta-analyses of the cohort-specific beta coefficients for each risk factor, models comprising 10-year probability of hip and major osteoporotic fracture, with or without femoral neck bone mineral density, will be computed.

CONCLUSIONS

These assembled cohorts and described models will provide the framework for an updated FRAX tool enabling enhanced assessment of fracture risk (PROSPERO (CRD42021227266)).

An olivine cumulate outcrop on the floor of Jezero crater, Mars

The geological units on the floor of Jezero crater, Mars, are part of a wider regional stratigraphy of olivine-rich rocks, which extends well beyond the crater. We investigate the petrology of olivine and carbonate-bearing rocks of the Séítah formation in the floor of Jezero. Using multispectral images and x-ray fluorescence data, acquired by the Perseverance rover, we performed a petrographic analysis of the Bastide and Brac outcrops within this unit. We find that these outcrops are composed of igneous rock, moderately altered by aqueous fluid. The igneous rocks are mainly made of coarse-grained olivine, similar to some Martian meteorites. We interpret them as an olivine cumulate, formed by settling and enrichment of olivine through multi-stage cooling of a thick magma body.

P-734 How common is spontaneous pregnancy after In vitro Fertilisation (IVF) Livebirth? Systematic review and meta-analysis

Study question

How common is spontaneous pregnancy after IVF resulting in livebirth? How can this evidence inform future pregnancy planning by women who have successful IVF?

Summary answer

Current evidence suggests that spontaneous pregnancy occurs in at least one in five women in the first three years after having a baby via IVF.

What is known already

It is known that some women having IVF go on to conceive naturally. This reproductive history is of media interest often described as “miracle” pregnancies (1). Women with this experience also identify themselves as a rarity, and their subsequent pregnancies include rapid-repeat, unplanned and unwelcomed pregnancies (2).

Study design, size, duration

An initial scoping review revealed few, heterogeneous studies reporting rates of spontaneous pregnancy or livebirth after successful IVF. These studies suggested that this event is not rare, prompting this first systematic review and meta-analysis. This aims to identify, appraise and synthesise the current evidence on the rate of spontaneous pregnancy after successful IVF.

Participants/materials, setting, methods

Ovid Medline, Embase and PsycINFO were searched on 24/09/2021 using a strategy containing thesaurus and free text terms for the concepts of spontaneous pregnancy, assisted reproduction and livebirth. The search was limited to English language, human studies and publications from 1980. Results were de-duplicated and managed in EndNote, screened by title/abstract and then full text. Random-effects meta-analyses were used to produce a pooled effect estimate of the incidence of spontaneous pregnancy after IVF livebirth.

Main results and the role of chance

1108 distinct references were identified, reducing to 54 when screened by title and abstract. On evaluation of full text, 11 studies were included in this review. Rates of spontaneous pregnancy after IVF livebirth ranged from 10-33% of women. However, studies varied widely according to methodology, population, cause of subfertility, type and outcome of fertility treatment and length of follow-up. Different covariates were investigated and inconsistently found to be associated with spontaneous conception after IVF including younger age, shorter duration of subfertility, fewer number of treatment cycles prior to first delivery and specific causes of subfertility (unexplained, no male factor). The pooled estimate for the rate of spontaneous pregnancy after IVF livebirth was 19% (95% CI, 16%-22%). The pooled estimate was robust when stratifying by IVF/intracytoplasmic sperm injection (ICSI), outcome measure and follow up period. It is a likely underestimate as some studies reported on livebirths (i.e. excluding adverse pregnancy outcomes) and did not include spontaneous births that occurred outside of the study region. Moreover, no studies gave due consideration to contraception, plannedness of pregnancies, change in partner, nor serial spontaneous pregnancies in the same woman.

Limitations, reasons for caution

The current evidence is relatively scarce and diverse. Sample sizes are typically small with only two studies of over a thousand women. Better evidence, in the form of national, data-linked studies, is needed to provide more accurate estimates of this rate, analysis of associated factors and trends over time.

Wider implications of the findings

These findings refute a widely held misconception that spontaneous pregnancy after IVF livebirth is a rare phenomenon. They should be used to counsel women having babies via IVF and inform their decision-making regarding the timing and mode of conception of future pregnancies and contraception use.

Trial registration number

N/A

Co-creating Digital Stories With UK-Based Stroke Survivors With the Aim of Synthesizing Collective Lessons From Individual Experiences of Interacting With Healthcare Professionals

Background

Stroke survivor narratives can provide valuable insight into experiences of healthcare and beyond. There is need to further understand collective lessons from stroke survivor narratives, yet prior studies utilizing digital storytelling tend to not synthesize lessons from individual experiences. This study aims to develop a novel method to co-create digital stories with stroke survivors that will aim to synthesize and portray important collective lessons from individual stroke survivors' experiences of interacting with healthcare professionals.

Methods

This study follows-up a qualitative study conducted with 30 stroke survivors exploring factors that help or hinder survivors to positively reconfigure their identity post-stroke. Five co-creation workshops were conducted with a subset of UK-based stroke survivors from this previous study. Participants were invited to join through: online workshops, an online bulletin board, and as an advisor. A four-stage workshop framework was developed through the integration of UK Design Council's Double Diamond method, digital storytelling strategies and the Behavior Change Wheel (BCW) framework for developing behavioral change interventions.

Findings

Six online workshop participants (three male, three female; aged 33–63; time since stroke 2–16 years) co-created digital stories that share six collective lessons aimed at increasing empathy and encouraging behavior change in healthcare professionals (HCPs) working with stroke survivors. Online bulletin board participants (n = 1) and advisors (n = 5) supported the co-creation process. Collective lessons identified were: (1) Stroke has a variety of symptoms that must all be considered; (2) Stroke can affect anyone of any age and not just the elderly; (3) Assumptions should not be made about a survivor's lifestyle or habits; (4) It is important to acknowledge the person behind the stroke and ensure that they are communicated with and listened to; (5) Stroke survivors can often feel unprepared for the reality of life after stroke; (6) Adapting to life after stroke is a long-term process requiring long-term support.

Conclusion

Stroke survivor stories highlighted preconceptions, attitudes and behaviors embedded within healthcare that negatively impacted their experiences and recovery. The novel methodology employed in this study enabled these stories to be synthesized into collective lessons to bring about improvements in these behaviors in future.

Accuracy and Clinical Utility of Reports from Outside Hospitals for CT of the Cervical Spine in Blunt Trauma

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

Multidetector CT is the workhorse for detecting blunt cervical spine injury. There is no standard of care for re-interpretation of radiology images for patients with blunt trauma transferred to a higher level of care. The clinical impact of discrepancies of cervical spine CT reads remains unclear. We evaluated the discordance between primary (from referring hospitals) and secondary radiology interpretations (from a receiving level I tertiary trauma center) of cervical spine CT scans in patients with blunt trauma and assessed the clinical implications of missed cervical spine fractures.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Medical records of patients with blunt trauma transferred to our institution between 2008 and 2015 were reviewed. Primary and secondary interpretations were compared and categorized as concordant and discordant. Two senior neuroradiologists adjudicated discordant reports. The benefit of re-interpretation was determined. For discordant cases, outcomes at discharge, injury severity pattern, treatment, and arrival in a cervical collar were assessed.

RESULTS

Six hundred fifty patients were included; 608 (94%) presented with concordant reports: 401 (61.7%) with fractures and 207 (31.8%) with no fractures. There were 42 (6.5%) discordant reports; 18 (2.8%) were cervical spine injuries undetected on the primary interpretation. Following adjudication, the secondary interpretation improved the sensitivity (99.3% versus 95.7%) and specificity (99.1% versus 91.7%) in detecting cervical spine fractures compared with the primary interpretation alone (P < .001).

CONCLUSIONS

There was an overall 6.5% discordance rate between primary and secondary interpretations of cervical spine CT scans. The secondary interpretation of the cervical spine CT increased the sensitivity and specificity of detecting cervical spine fractures in patients with blunt trauma transferred to higher-level care.

Impact of COVID-19 lockdowns on STEMI percutaneous interventions

Background

Measures taken to mitigate the spread of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) have been correlated to a decline in the number of patients seeking medical care for emergency cardiovascular illness. Here we evaluate the impact of a state-wide lockdown on ST-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) care.

Purpose

The purpose of this study is to help understand the impact of COVID-related lockdowns on STEMI interventions.

Methods

All consecutive adult patients admitted with an acute STEMI diagnosis and percutaneous intervention (PCI) performed between January 17, 2020, and July 14, 2020, at five sites across our health care network, were included in this study. Patient demographics, medical history and procedure details were collected retrospectively from electronic medical records. Data were segregated according to date into pre-lockdown, lockdown (March 17 to May 13, 2020) and post-lockdown groups.

Results

A total of 225 patients formed the study cohort. Median age was 62 (IQR: 53–71) years. Patients were predominantly male (n=154, 68%), white (n=208, 92%), hypertensive (n=139, 61%) and dyslipidemic (n=135, 60%). The average weekly rate of STEMI PCIs performed pre-lockdown decreased by 40% during the lockdown from 10.9 to 6.5 PCIs per week (p&lt;0.05). Door-to-balloon (D2B) times increased from 42 (IQR: 28–68) min pre-lockdown to 53 (IQR: 40–72) min during the lockdown (p=0.01). No significant differences were observed in in-hospital mortality or cardiac troponin measurements within 24 h of procedure between the three groups.

Conclusion

Adverse effects of COVID-19-related lockdowns on acute STEMI care include a decrease in PCI volumes and prolonged D2B times. Our results provide valuable data-driven criteria to help inform patient decisions to seek care and to find ways to protect healthcare workers without compromising timely critical intervention.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: None.

P–384 First trimester pregnancy outcomes after confirmed SARS-CoV–2 infection in the community; a nationwide prospective longitudinal study of 10,000 pregnant women from the COVID–19 pandemic

Study question

Are pregnant women in the community with confirmed diagnosis of SARS-CoV–2 infection, at increased risk of an early miscarriage?

Summary answer

Women diagnosed with COVID–19 in their first trimester were not at increased risk of an early miscarriage. What is known already: In the earliest stages of the pandemic, the Human Fertilisation and Embryology Authority and the European Society of Human Reproduction and Embryology, independently advised against starting assisted reproductive treatments. At the time of this recommendation, among other reasons, there were concerns about the complications of SARS-CoV–2 during pregnancy and the potential for vertical transmission.

We now having growing evidence that pregnant women are at an increased risk of severe illness along with higher rates of preterm births in those with severe acute respiratory syndrome. However, data on the impact of community infections of SARS-CoV–2 in early pregnancy has been sparse.

Study design, size, duration

This is an online survey study undertaken in the UK between May and November 2020. Pregnant women at any stage in their pregnancy were invited to participate in the study. Study participants were asked to complete online surveys at the end of each trimester. 10, 430 women were recruited to take part in the study. Participants/materials, setting, methods: We analysed pregnancy outcomes from women who were under 13 weeks gestation at the time of registration. We compared miscarriage rates among women with a confirmed diagnosis of SARS-CoV–2 infection to healthy controls. Those in the control group had not been diagnosed with or had symptoms of SARS-CoV–2 infection nor did they have any household contacts that were diagnosed with or had symptoms of SARS-CoV–2 infection.

Main results and the role of chance

10, 430 pregnant women were recruited to participate in the study. 2934 were under 13 weeks gestation at the time of registration. The median age was 32.6 [IQR 29.8–35.6]. The median gestational age at registration was 8 weeks [IQR [6–10]. 246 women reported a miscarriage before 13 weeks of gestation. The overall miscarriage rate before 13 weeks of gestation was 8.4% (95% CI 7.3%–9.4%).

68 women reported a confirmed diagnosis of SARS-CoV–2 infection in their first trimester. The overall rate of confirmed SARS-CoV–2 infections in the first trimester was 2.3% (95% CI 1.8–2.9%). 3/68 (4.4%) were asymptomatic. Among those reporting symptoms, the commonest symptoms were fatigue (82%), headache (69%) and loss of smell/taste (69%). Only 38% of those with a confirmed diagnosis reported a fever. None of the 68 women with confirmed diagnosis of SARS-CoV–2 infection were hospitalised.

The rate of miscarriage before 13 weeks of gestation in women who were diagnosed with SARS-CoV–2 infections was not significantly higher compared to healthy controls (11.8% versus 9.3%, p = 0.35). A further 35 women had household contacts with confirmed SARS-CoV–2 infection although they themselves had not been diagnosed. No miscarriages were reported in this group.

Limitations, reasons for caution

None of the 68 patients diagnosed with SARS-CoV–2 were hospitalised. We do not know whether the rate of miscarriage among hospitalised women with SARS-CoV–2 infection is the same as those with community infections.

Wider implications of the findings: The overall rate of miscarriage during the pandemic was not higher than rates occurring outside of the pandemic. The rate of miscarriage among women diagnosed with SARS-CoV–2 infection was not significantly higher compared to healthy controls. This data can be used to counsel women planning a pregnancy during this pandemic

Trial registration number

Not applicable

P–743 The fertility paradox: the need for contraception after in vitro fertilisation

Study question

What are a woman’s contraceptive needs after successful in vitro fertilisation (IVF) pregnancy? and how should services respond to help prevent unintended pregnancies?

Summary answer

Women who have IVF pregnancies require tailored, postnatal contraception counselling. Services must provide evidence-based information about the risks of spontaneous conception to engage them effectively.

What is known already

Women undergoing IVF are an increasingly heterogeneous group with a wide range of causative subfertility factors. Furthermore, increasingly, women are accessing treatment primarily for reasons other than subfertility. The evidence relating to rates of spontaneous conception post assisted conception varies widely according to population, cause of subfertility, type and outcome of fertility treatment and length of follow-up. A recent large retrospective UK cohort study estimated the treatment-independent live birth rate after IVF live birth over 5 year follow up as 15% [https://doi.org/10.1093/humrep/dez099]. We aim to explore the experiences and views about contraception among this diverse group of women.

Study design, size, duration

A qualitative study of the views of women who have had spontaneous pregnancies after successful IVF was conducted in September/October 2020. A qualitative approach of in-depth interviews was chosen to allow exploration of individual experiences in an area not much studied previously. The sample consisted of twenty interviewees from around the UK.

Participants/materials, setting, methods

Purposive and snowballing sampling methods were used with eligible participants recruited from a range of sources including social media and peer networks. The sample included a wide range of spontaneous pregnancy outcomes after successful IVF, including single and multiple livebirths, miscarriage, ectopic pregnancy and termination of pregnancy. The framework method was used for analysis using NVivo12 software.

Main results and the role of chance

Contraceptive choices were subject to a complex and dynamic interaction of influencing factors including i) beliefs regarding their own subfertility, ii) desire for more children and iii) their views on contraception. After IVF pregnancy, the majority of women (n = 15) used no contraception or ineffective methods (inconsistent condom use or withdrawal) before their next pregnancy with only two women using hormonal methods (progesterone-only pill). Spontaneous pregnancy was not universally welcomed in this group and the inter-pregnancy intervals were often short (n = 15, less than 18 months) or very short (n = 6, less than 12 months). After subsequent spontaneous pregnancy, use of contraception and the most effective (long-acting reversible) methods remained low. Women held persistent beliefs regarding their subfertility despite subsequent spontaneous pregnancy (or pregnancies). Women associated aspects of the IVF process (e.g. need for multiple cycles, low numbers of eggs collected etc.) with a sense of personal failure, despite an ultimately “successful” outcome resulting in livebirth. This may contribute to or reinforce their self-belief in subfertility. Other specific barriers to contraception use, in women having IVF, included lack of knowledge of the likelihood of spontaneous pregnancy, lack of contraceptive experience and inherent incentives towards shorter inter-pregnancy intervals.

Limitations, reasons for caution

There is potential recall bias with some women recalling experiences associated with IVF treatment more than ten years ago. However our sample included women who were currently pregnant as well as women who were further towards the end of their reproductive life to capture a range of experiences.

Wider implications of the findings: The contraceptive needs of women having IVF pregnancies are being overlooked. Fertility services should take responsibility for providing accurate information on the risks of subsequent spontaneous pregnancy in this population. Maternity and community healthcare professionals must address women’s perceptions of their fertility in order to engage them in contraception counselling.

Trial registration number

N/A

P–782 A natural language processing approach of global survey results on what the embryologist thinks and faces

Study question

What are the major problems faced by embryologists at 1) Clinic level, 2) Professional level, 3) Personal level, and 4) What are their career goals?

Summary answer

Embryologists, essential professionals of Fertility Centres, are less satisfied in many quantifiable aspects, but they love their profession and have many aspirational goals.

What is known already

IVF success depends in part on embryologists’ skills. The need to recognize clinical embryology as a specialty and clinical embryologists’ educational level, responsibilities, and workload have been addressed by a few national societies. However, data are lacking from the embryologists’ viewpoint at a global level about their profession. Qualitative data-analysis methods provide thick, rich descriptions of subjects’ thoughts, feelings, and lived experiences but can be time-consuming, labor-intensive, and prone to bias.

Study design, size, duration

A questionnaire was prepared using SurveyMonkey online software (SurveyMonkey, Inc., USA) and distributed to IVF lab professionals through embryology societies, online social media, and email databases. The questionnaire consisted of open-ended questions focused on identifying problems faced by embryologists at the clinic, in the profession, and in a personal level, as well as questions about their career outlook. The survey was active from May 2016 until February 2017. From 73 countries, 720 responses were obtained.

Participants/materials, setting, methods

Using natural language processing (NLP), the top 15 most frequently used keywords were identified and correlated with each other. Stronger correlation (≥0.5) between semantically similar words expressing a strong signal from each answer, and their usage was further analyzed for positive versus negative sentiment. By normalizing the frequency of positive/negative samples for each keyword as a percentage, “sentiment wheels” were produced, identifying the key concepts that respondents answered and quantifying how they felt about them.

Main results and the role of chance

The responses received were from 80% private, 17% public and 3% other ART settings distributed all over the world. From the embryologists’ viewpoints reported and after the NLP processing it was shown that the common topics related to strong negative sentiments were: embryologists’ remuneration (0.6) at the Clinic level; certification (0.7), recognition (0.5), respect (0.5), learn (0.5) and experience (0.5) at the Professional level; and remuneration (0.7), emotional (0.5) dealing (0.5) at the Personal level. Renumeration was reported and strongly related to embryologists’ viewpoint at both the clinic and personal level in combination with the need for certification, recognition and ongoing development at the Professional level. Moreover, the NLP processing demonstrated that the common topics on career goal analysis related to strong positive sentiments were: teaching (0.7), education (0.7), and continuation (0.5) all three topics are compatible with a professional orientation open to ongoing development and practice advancement. The NLP and the manual data analysis project an image of the typical embryologist as a knowledge seeking professional who is deeply dedicated to the job but feels the need for professional development and suffers some lack of recognition and feels in some cases not fairly treated as an employee.

Limitations, reasons for caution

The data obtained is limited. Only one natural language processing model was used to analyze the results. Different analysts using other methods may have different results. For these reasons, the results should be interpreted with caution.

Wider implications of the findings: It is important to focus on the lab as an organization and not just a service for the patients in treatment at the moment. The NLP results ultimately obtained may help streamline professional satisfaction efforts, and guide future quality management strategies

Trial registration number

Not applicable

P–228 AI-based assessment of embryo viability correlates with features of embryo ploidy

Study question

Do AI models used to assess embryo viability (based on pregnancy outcome) also correlate with known embryo quality measures such as ploidy status?

Summary answer

An AI for embryo viability assessment correlated with ploidy status, and with karyotypic features of aneuploidy, supporting its use for embryo selection.

What is known already

One factor that can influence pregnancy success is the genetic status of the embryo. PGT-A is commonly used to test for embryo ploidy, with the aim of identifying karyotypically normal embryos (euploid embryos), for preferential transfer. There is evidence suggesting that transfer of euploid embryos produces favorable clinical outcomes over aneuploid embryos.

Given the AI model was trained to evaluate clinical pregnancy, it was hypothesized that the score might also correlate with ploidy status, and with different types of aneuploidies. Little is known about morphological correlations with embryo ploidy status, so we also sought to explore this relationship.

Study design, size, duration

This study involved analysis of a retrospective dataset of single static Day 5 embryo (blastocyst) images with associated PGT-A results and AI viability scores. The dataset comprised images of 5,469 embryos from 2,615 consecutive patients treated at five US IVF clinics between February 2015 and April 2020. The AI was trained on thousands of Day 5 embryo images from multiple IVF laboratories in multiple countries, but was not trained on data used in this study.

Participants/materials, setting, methods

Average patient age was 36.2 years, and average embryo cohort size was 2.1/patient. PGT-A analysis was performed on embryos at time of evaluation. The dataset comprised 3,251 (59.4%) euploid embryos, 1,815 (33.2%) aneuploid embryos, and 403 (7.4%) mosaic embryos. The AI was retrospectively used to provide a score between 0 (predicted non-viable) and 10 (predicted viable) for each image. Correlation between the AI viability score and euploid, mosaic and aneuploid embryos was then assessed.

Main results and the role of chance

Results showed a statistically significant correlation between AI viability score and PGT-A outcome, consistent with a relationship between pregnancy outcome and ploidy status. The average score for euploid embryos was 8.20, which was significantly higher than the average score for aneuploid embryos of 7.80 (p &lt; 0.0001).

There was a significant linear increase in confidence score from full aneuploid embryos, through mosaic embryos (average score 7.97), to full euploid embryos (mosaic threshold of 20–80%). High mosaic embryos tended to have a lower average score (7.60) than low mosaic embryos (7.96), consistent with correlation of viability (pregnancy outcome) with the degree of mosaicism. AI viability score also correlated with ploidy features believed to affect pregnancy outcomes. Trisomic changes had higher average scores than monosomic changes. Segmental changes had higher average scores than full gain or loss. The AI score differentiated euploid from aneuploid status more efficiently in embryos with poorer morphology than those with good morphology.

Whilst there was an evident correlation between pregnancy outcome and ploidy status, the AI was only weakly predictive of euploidy, with an accuracy of 57.3% using an AI viability score threshold of 7.5/10.This suggests pregnancy-related morphological features are somewhat correlated with embryo ploidy, but not completely.

Limitations, reasons for caution

The PGT-A technique is held to have some limitations for evaluating ploidy status, therefore it would be of benefit to perform additional confirmatory studies on independent datasets. It would be of interest to conduct prospective studies evaluating correlations between the AI’s evaluation of morphology and pregnancy outcome with ploidy status.

Wider implications of the findings: The AI score correlated with genetic features of embryos that are known to correlate with pregnancy, which further supports the efficacy and use of AI for embryo viability assessment. The AI identified morphological features that are somewhat predictive of ploidy status, with potential application to embryos of poorer Gardner score.

Trial registration number

none

Investigation into clinicopathological and pathological findings, prognosis, and aetiology of lorikeet paralysis syndrome in rainbow lorikeets (Trichoglossus haematodus)

Objective

To report the temporal and spatial distribution of rainbow lorikeets presenting with lorikeet paralysis syndrome (LPS) and their clinicopathologic and pathologic findings, exposure to toxins, and response to treatment.

Methods

Records of lorikeets admitted in 2017 and 2018 to facilities in south‐east Queensland (QLD) were reviewed and LPS and non‐LPS cases were mapped and their distribution compared. Plasma biochemistries and complete blood counts were done on 20 representative lorikeets from south‐east QLD and Grafton, New South Wales (NSW). Tissues from 28 lorikeets were examined histologically. Samples were tested for pesticides (n = 19), toxic elements (n = 23), botulism (n = 15) and alcohol (n = 5).

Results

LPS occurred in warmer months. Affected lorikeets were found across south‐east QLD. Hotspots were identified in Brisbane and the Sunshine Coast. Lorikeets had a heterophilic leucocytosis, elevated muscle enzymes, uric acid and sodium and chloride. Specific lesions were not found. Exposure to cadmium was common in LPS and non‐LPS lorikeets. Treated lorikeets had a 60–93% See Table 2 depending on severity of signs.

Clinical significance

The primary differential diagnosis for lorikeets presenting with lower motor neuron signs during spring, summer and autumn in northern NSW and south‐east Queensland should be LPS. With supportive care, prognosis is fair to good.

POS1089 ASSOCIATION BETWEEN PAIN SEVERITY AND HEALTHCARE UTILIZATION IN AN OSTEOARTHRITIS POPULATION: AN 18-YEAR RETROSPECTIVE COHORT STUDY

Background:

Osteoarthritis (OA) is a common disease that varies in severity among patients. A standardized definition to classify patients into different severity levels is lacking, however, due to the disease’s complex pathogenesis and presentation. Prior studies have shown associations between pain severity and higher healthcare resource utilization (HRU) and costs. We investigated an association between pain severity and higher healthcare resource utilization by examining the use of specific OA-related treatments across pain intensity levels in a large, integrated health system’s OA population over an 18-year period.

Objectives:

Our aim was to compare use of medications and other treatments among OA patients experiencing mild, moderate, or severe pain.

Methods:

This was a retrospective study of electronic health records from 2001 to 2018 at Geisinger, an integrated health system in Pennsylvania. Patients were included with a diagnosis code for OA (ICD-9: 715.*, ICD-10 M15-19) on a problem list or encounter or an OA-specific procedure (hip or knee replacement, arthroscopy or injection). We examined pain scores (0-10 scale, with 10 being worst pain) taken after the first OA diagnosis date and defined pain episodes starting on the pain score’s date and lasting for 90 days. If a new pain score was measured before 90 days elapsed, the episode was extended for an additional 90 days, with this process repeated as necessary. Each episode was categorized as mild (pain score 0-3), moderate (4-6), or severe (7-10) based on initial score, and patients could contribute multiple episodes to the analysis. Descriptive statistics were used to quantify treatment utilization during each patients’ mild, moderate and severe episodes. Percentages of patients who had any use of 10 medication types (tramadol, non-tramadol opioids, nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs (NSAIDs), injectable corticosteroids, acetaminophen, salicylates, duloxetine, homeopathic medications, other topical medications, and other over-the-counter (OTC) medications were compared across pain episode types. Percentages of patients with knee or hip surgeries, spine or joint imaging procedures (x-ray, computed tomography or magnetic resonance) and consults to OA-related care (pain management, orthopedics or physical medicine and rehabilitation) were also compared. All analyses used logistic regression with p-values <0.05 considered significant.

Results:

We identified 290,897 patients with OA, representing 34% of the health system population in 2018; 58% were female with mean age of 49 years and mean BMI of 30.5 kg/m2. A total of 801,144 pain episodes were defined, with 75% of patients having at least one pain score. The two most frequently occurring pain scores were 0 (17%) and 5 (13%), and pain episodes were classified as 43% mild, 32% moderate and 25% severe. Significantly higher percentages of patients used certain medication types (NSAIDs, injectable corticosteroids, non-tramadol opioid, duloxetine) in both moderate and severe pain episodes as compared to mild episodes, but other medication types were less likely to be used as pain severity increased (acetaminophen, salicylates, homeopathic medications, other OTC medications). Knee or hip surgeries, imaging, and consults to OA-related specialists were all consistently significantly more likely to occur in patients during moderate or severe pain episodes versus mild episodes (relative risk ratios of 1.76, 1.25 and 1.35 for moderate vs mild, respectively, and 2.00, 1.44 and 1.46 for severe vs mild, all p-values <0.05).

Conclusion:

While pain is generally recognized to be a subjective measure that could be influenced by other unmeasured factors and can be confounded with treatment effectiveness, it is nevertheless the primary symptom of OA. It is important to understand the relationship between pain intensity and treatment utilization, and our results support an overall association between pain and utilization but provide new details on the extent to which it depends on specific utilization type.

Acknowledgements:

Pfizer and Eli Lilly and Company for sponsoring this study.

Disclosure of Interests:

Jove Graham Grant/research support from: I am an employee of Geisinger which received financial support from Pfizer and Eli Lilly and Company in connection with the development of this abstract, Tonia Novosat Grant/research support from: I am an employee of Geisinger which received financial support from Pfizer and Eli Lilly and Company in connection with the development of this abstract, Haiyan Sun Grant/research support from: I am an employee of Geisinger which received financial support from Pfizer and Eli Lilly and Company in connection with the development of this abstract, Brian Piper Grant/research support from: I am an employee of Geisinger which received financial support from Pfizer and Eli Lilly and Company in connection with the development of this abstract, Joseph Boscarino Grant/research support from: I am an employee of Geisinger which received financial support from Pfizer and Eli Lilly and Company in connection with the development of this abstract, Vanessa Duboski Grant/research support from: I am an employee of Geisinger which received financial support from Pfizer and Eli Lilly and Company in connection with the development of this abstract, Melissa Kern Grant/research support from: I am an employee of Geisinger which received financial support from Pfizer and Eli Lilly and Company in connection with the development of this abstract, Eric Wright Grant/research support from: I am an employee of Geisinger which received financial support from Pfizer and Eli Lilly and Company in connection with the development of this abstract, Rebecca Robinson Shareholder of: Eli Lilly & Co., Employee of: Eli Lilly & Co., Edward Casey Shareholder of: Pfizer, Inc., Paid instructor for: As an employee of Pfizer, Inc. this is part of my role., Employee of: Pfizer, Inc., Craig Beck Shareholder of: Pfizer, Inc., Employee of: Pfizer, Inc., Jerry Hall Shareholder of: Eli Lilly & Co., Employee of: Eli Lilly & Co., Patricia Schepman Shareholder of: Pfizer, Inc., Employee of: Pfizer, Inc.

POS1205 THE IMPACT OF COVID-19 ON PATIENT MANAGEMENT AND PRESCRIBING STRATEGY ACROSS THE EU AND US: A REAL-WORLD SURVEY OF RHEUMATOLOGISTS, DERMATOLOGISTS, AND GASTROENTEROLOGISTS

Background:

The COVID-19 pandemic is expected to have impacted patient management on a global level. However, the degree of impact on patient management and prescribing strategy in the fields of rheumatology, dermatology and gastroenterology is unclear.

Objectives:

Assess the impact of COVID-19 on patient management and prescribing strategy across the EU and US, as described by rheumatologists, dermatologists, and gastroenterologists.

Methods:

Data were drawn from physician surveys in France, Germany, Italy, Spain, UK and US between July and December 2020. Physicians completed an online or telephone survey assessing how COVID-19 has impacted type and frequency of consultations; choice and prescription of medication.

Results:

847 physicians took part; 355 rheumatologists, 200 dermatologists (Germany, Spain, UK, and US only), and 282 gastroenterologists. As a result of COVID-19, most physicians stated they have moved at least some patients to video or telephone consultations (70% rheumatologists; 55% dermatologists; 60% gastroenterologists) and reduced overall frequency of consultations with patients (59% rheumatologists; 64% dermatologists; 51% gastroenterologists) (Table 1).

35% of rheumatologists, 22% of dermatologists, and 14% of gastroenterologists described COVID-19 as changing the way they choose and prescribe medication, with differences observed between countries (Figure 1). Of those who stated they have made medication changes, rheumatologists stated changing medication to self-administration (62%) and not starting new patients on an advanced therapy (biologic DMARD or targeted synthetic DMARD) (58%) as most frequent. Dermatologists stated changes include changing treatment to more COVID-appropriate treatment (71%) and prescribing repeat prescriptions more regularly without consultation (56%). Gastroenterologists stated changes include changing medication to self-administration (55%) and prescribing a longer course of medication (48%).

Comparing across countries, for all specialties, the greatest changes were observed in the UK followed by Spain, with least changes in Germany and Italy.

Conclusion:

There have been changes in the process of how healthcare is delivered, although treatment prescription was impacted to a lesser extent than consultation type and frequency. This varies across geographies, which may be due to differences in reported prevalence of COVID-19. Differences are also observed across specialities, which may be due to guidance received from specialty bodies. It is unknown what the long-term impact of changes in the management of patients due to COVID-19 will be on patient outcomes, satisfaction, engagement and adherence, and further research is needed.

Table 1.

Rheumatologist, Dermatologist, and Gastroenterologist described impact on patient management, by country

Global(n=847)France(n=90)Germany(n=168)Italy(n=122)Spain(n=161)UK(n=133)US(n=163)Rheumatologistsn=365n=50n=58n=59n=57n=50n=81Moving to video/telephone consultation70%70% 36%47%86%94%84%Fewer visits for individual patients (reduced visiting schedule)59%80%0%41%96%76%65%Dermatologistsn=200-n=50-n=50n=50n=50Moving to video/telephone consultation55%-40%-58%66%56%Fewer visits for individual patients (reduced visiting schedule)64%-60%-54%72%72%Gastroenterologistsn=282n=40n=60n=63n=54n=33n=32Moving to video/telephone consultation60%63%18%54%83%100%69%Fewer visits for individual patients (reduced visiting schedule)51%35%43%51%43%79%69%Figure 1.

Proportion of rheumatologists, dermatologists, and gastroenterologists reporting changing the way they choose and prescribe medication as a result of COVID-19

Disclosure of Interests:

None declared.

Outcome following surgery to treat septic peritonitis in 95 cats in the United Kingdom

OBJECTIVES

To review the cause, management and outcome in cats with septic peritonitis within the United Kingdom (2008 to 2018) and to identify if previously identified prognostic factors were associated with survival in this population.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Clinical records from 10 referral hospitals in United Kingdom were reviewed. Data collected included signalment, clinicopathological data and management techniques. Serum albumin, glucose, lactate and ionised calcium concentration; presence of intraoperative hypotension and correct empirical antibiosis were analysed via logistic regression for association with survival.

RESULTS

Ninety-five cats were included. The overall survival rate was 66%. Lethargy (89%) and anorexia (75%) were the most common clinical signs, with abdominal pain and vomiting in 44% and 27% of cases, respectively. Gastro-intestinal leakage was the most common source of contamination. The presence of an abdominal mass on clinical examination was not strongly predictive of the presence of neoplasia on histology and did not confer a worse prognosis. Cats presenting with dehiscence of a previous enterotomy/enterectomy did not have a worse prognosis than those presenting with other aetologies. Intraoperative hypotension (adjusted odds ratio 0.173, 95% confidence intervals 0.034 to 0.866, P=0.033) was associated with non-survival. Cats that survived beyond 1 day postoperatively had an improved likelihood of survival (87.5%). All cats that survived beyond 6 days were successfully discharged.

CLINICAL SIGNIFICANCE

This study describes the largest group of cats with septic peritonitis with an overall survival rate of 66%. The presence of an abdominal mass on clinical examination or having dehiscence of a previous gastrointestinal surgery did not confer a worse prognosis.

Biomolecular Modeling and Simulation: A Prospering Multidisciplinary Field

We reassess progress in the field of biomolecular modeling and simulation, following up on our perspective published in 2011. By reviewing metrics for the field's productivity and providing examples of success, we underscore the productive phase of the field, whose short-term expectations were overestimated and long-term effects underestimated. Such successes include prediction of structures and mechanisms; generation of new insights into biomolecular activity; and thriving collaborations between modeling and experimentation, including experiments driven by modeling. We also discuss the impact of field exercises and web games on the field's progress. Overall, we note tremendous success by the biomolecular modeling community in utilization of computer power; improvement in force fields; and development and application of new algorithms, notably machine learning and artificial intelligence. The combined advances are enhancing the accuracy andscope of modeling and simulation, establishing an exemplary discipline where experiment and theory or simulations are full partners.

Genomics informed design of a suite of real-time PCR assays for the specific detection of each Xylella fastidiosa subspecies

AIMS

Existing methods for the identification of the subspecies of Xylella fastidiosa are time-consuming which can lead to delays in diagnosis and the associated plant health response to outbreaks and interceptions.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Diagnostic markers were identified using a comparative genomics approach to allow fine differentiation of the very closely related subspecies. Five qPCR assays were designed to allow specific detection of X. fastidiosa subsp. fastidiosa, X. fastidiosa subsp. multiplex, X. fastidiosa subsp. pauca, X. fastidiosa subsp. morus and X. fastidiosa subsp. sandyi. All assays were validated according to the European and Mediterranean Plant Protection Organisation (EPPO) standard PM7/98(2).

CONCLUSIONS

All of the assays were shown to be specific to the target subspecies and all the assays could be used to detect femtogram quantities of X. fastidiosa DNA.

SIGNIFICANCE AND IMPACT OF THE STUDY

At present, diagnosing the subspecies of X. fastidiosa requires multiple conventional PCR assays (although only available for three of the five subspecies) or multi-locus sequence typing which takes several days. By comparison, the new assays provide a substantial reduction in the turnaround time for direct identification to the subspecies level in as little as 75 min.

Designing family-centred preconception services

In order to support women and their partners to improve their health before pregnancy, we need to be able to identify who is likely to become pregnant within a given timeframe so that interventions can be targeted accordingly. There is no agreed, predictive tool currently available to do this. This presentation will describe the different ways of conceptualising the preconception population and how these populations can be identified to inform intervention delivery and development. We will overview what is known about the preferences of women and men with regards to preconception health services, with a particular focus on digital innovations, and will discuss how the effectiveness of preconception health interventions can be evaluated to contribute to the evidence base.

Inequity in healthcare use among the indigenous population living in non-remote areas of Australia

OBJECTIVES

Although several studies have examined the gap in healthcare use between indigenous and non-indigenous people, empirical evidence on inequity in healthcare use within indigenous populations is limited. This study aims to fill this gap in the literature by investigating income-related inequity (unequal use for equal need) in healthcare use among indigenous Australians living in non-remote areas.

STUDY DESIGN

This is a cross-sectional study.

METHODS

This study used data from the Australian Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander Health Survey, 2012-13. Logistic regression analysis was used to determine the association of income with the probability of a general practitioner (GP) visit, a specialist visit and inpatient admission. The horizontal inequity (HI) index and decomposition analysis were also used to quantify and explain inequity in healthcare use.

RESULTS

No consistent association was found between income and the probability of GP visit or inpatient admission after controlling for health need. However, the likelihood of visiting a specialist was about three times (odds ratio = 2.96, P = 0.028) higher for the richest compared with the poorest population subgroups. The inequity index was 0.016 (P < 0.001), indicating a pro-rich inequity for the probability of visiting a specialist. Income inequality, unequal distribution of private health insurance and inequality in education were the main factors explaining the pro-rich inequity in specialist utilisation.

CONCLUSIONS

Although there was no income-related inequity in GP visits or inpatient admissions, wealthier indigenous Australians had a higher probability of visiting a specialist than their poorer counterparts, after adjusting for need. Specific policies and initiatives are required to address the inequity faced by low-income indigenous people in Australia.

Sleep problems and associations with psychopathology and cognition in young people with 22q11.2 deletion syndrome (22q11.2DS)

BACKGROUND

Young people with 22q11.2 deletion syndrome (22q11.2DS) are at high risk for neurodevelopmental disorders. Sleep problems may play a role in this risk but their prevalence, nature and links to psychopathology and cognitive function remain undescribed in this population.

METHOD

Sleep problems, psychopathology, developmental coordination and cognitive function were assessed in 140 young people with 22q11.2DS (mean age = 10.1, s.d. = 2.46) and 65 unaffected sibling controls (mean age = 10.8, s.d.SD = 2.26). Primary carers completed questionnaires screening for the children's developmental coordination and autism spectrum disorder.

RESULTS

Sleep problems were identified in 60% of young people with 22q11.2DS compared to 23% of sibling controls (OR 5.00, p < 0.001). Two patterns best-described sleep problems in 22q11.2DS: restless sleep and insomnia. Restless sleep was linked to increased ADHD symptoms (OR 1.16, p < 0.001) and impaired executive function (OR 0.975, p = 0.013). Both patterns were associated with elevated symptoms of anxiety disorder (restless sleep: OR 1.10, p = 0.006 and insomnia: OR 1.07, p = 0.045) and developmental coordination disorder (OR 0.968, p = 0.0023, and OR 0.955, p = 0.009). The insomnia pattern was also linked to elevated conduct disorder symptoms (OR 1.53, p = 0.020).

CONCLUSIONS

Clinicians and carers should be aware that sleep problems are common in 22q11.2DS and index psychiatric risk, cognitive deficits and motor coordination problems. Future studies should explore the physiology of sleep and the links with the neurodevelopment in these young people.

Assessing the importance of Isle of Man waters for the basking shark Cetorhinus maximus

Satellite tracking of endangered or threatened animals can facilitate informed conservation by revealing priority areas for their protection. Basking sharks Cetorhinus maximus (n = 11) were tagged during the summers of 2013, 2015, 2016 and 2017 in the Isle of Man (IoM; median tracking duration 378 d, range: 89-804 d; median minimum straight-line distance travelled 541 km, range: 170-10406 km). Tracking revealed 3 movement patterns: (1) coastal movements within IoM and Irish waters, (2) summer northward movements to Scotland and (3) international movements to Morocco and Norway. One tagged shark was bycaught and released alive in the Celtic Sea. Basking sharks displayed inter-annual site fidelity to the Irish Sea (n = 3), a Marine Nature Reserve (MNR) in IoM waters (n = 1), and Moroccan waters (n = 1). Core distribution areas (50% kernel density estimation) of 5 satellite tracked sharks in IoM waters were compared with 3902 public sightings between 2005 and 2017, highlighting west and south coast hotspots. Location data gathered from satellite tagging broadly correspond to the current boundaries of MNRs in IoM waters. However, minor modifications of some MNR boundaries would incorporate ~20% more satellite tracking location data from this study, and protective measures for basking sharks in IoM waters could further aid conservation of the species at local, regional and international scales. We also show the first documented movement of a basking shark from the British Isles to Norway, and the longest ever track for a tagged basking shark (2 yr and 2 mo, 804 d).

Predicting Early Stages of Beef Respiratory Disease Using Thermal Imaging Technology

ObjectivesThe objective of this research was to utilize thermal imaging technology to estimate body temperature, so that an early stage of BRD can be detected.Materials and MethodsNinety-two steers were restrained in a squeeze chute that is housed in an indoor handling facility on 6 separate occasions. At least one image was taken of each side of the head using a thermal infrared camera (FLIR E8 WiFi, FLIR, Wilsonville, OR). The distance at which the images were taken was approximately 1 m from the steer. The rectal temperature was used as the control method to compare thermal imaging data. After thermal image acquisition, images were analyzed using the FLIR ResearchIR Max software (v. 4.40.8.28, FLIR, Wilsonville, OR), with the regions of interest being the eye and nasal cavity.ResultsThe analysis focused on minimum (MIN), maximum (MAX), mean, standard deviation (SD), and range of temperatures in the regions of interest. The REG procedure in SAS (v. 9.4, SAS Institute, Inc., Cary, NC) was used to perform stepwise regression to predict rectal temperature from the outdoor temperature (OTEMP) and all imaging features. When OTEMP was greater than –17.8°C, the regression model contained OTEMP, left nasal MAX, left nasal SD, and left eye MAX temperature and right eye temperature range, with an R2 of 0.24. When OTEMP was above freezing (0°C), the regression model contained left nasal temperature range, right eye temperature range, and average nasal mean temperature, with an R2 increase to 0.50. When using all data, the regression model fit left nasal MAX, right nasal MIN, average nasal mean, and left eye MAX temperatures and right eye temperature range, with an R2 of 0.08. These results show that thermal imaging technology has higher prediction accuracy in warmer temperature ranges than extreme cold conditions.ConclusionMore validation research on this thermal imaging technology needs to be conducted at warmer temperatures since all the current data was collected on cold winter days and a large portion of U.S. cattle are reared in more temperate and warmer areas than North Dakota such as Nebraska, Kansas, Texas, Oklahoma, and Florida. Overall, these results show promise for using thermal imaging technology to help detect BRD in an earlier stage by detecting fever before other clinical signs of BRD are present.

Associations between neutering and early-onset urinary incontinence in UK bitches under primary veterinary care

OBJECTIVES

To investigate association between neutering and early-onset urinary incontinence in bitches under primary veterinary care in the UK.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A retrospective cohort study of bitches within VetCompass born between January 1, 2010 and December 31, 2012 that were followed until March 31, 2018. The clinical records were automatically searched and manually validated for incontinence cases. Incidence risk and rate over the study period were calculated. Cox regression modelling separately evaluated the hazard of urinary incontinence and association with neutering: (1) from the date of birth for all bitches, both neutered and entire; and, (2) from the date of neutering for the neutered subset. Other variables considered included breed, bodyweight and veterinary practice group.

RESULTS

Overall, 492 bitches were identified with early-onset urinary incontinence from a total of 72,971 included in the study period. Incidence risk was 0.68% (95% confidence intervals 0.62 to 0.74), while incidence rate increased with age. After accounting for confounding factors, increased hazard of early-onset urinary incontinence was identified in: (1) neutered bitches, with the effect increasing with age; and, (2) bitches neutered before 6 months, within the first 2 years following neutering. In both models, increased hazard was additionally associated with increasing bodyweight and breed.

CLINICAL SIGNIFICANCE

Neutering itself and early-age neutering (<6 months) are major risk factors for early-onset urinary incontinence. These results should be taken into account in making evidence-based recommendations on neutering and its timing.

3325Incidence, outcomes and microbiology in patients with infective endocarditis

Introduction

Despite recent improvements in management, infective endocarditis remains associated with high morbidity and mortality. Over the last few decades, several factors have impacted on both the incidence and outcomes following infective endocarditis.

Purpose

Using a national linkage approach, we describe the changing age- and sex-stratified incidence and outcomes of infective endocarditis in Scotland over the last 25 years.

Methods

We conducted a consecutive retrospective individual patient linkage study across multiple national databases. Using data extracted from the Scottish hospital discharge dataset held by the Information Services Division of NHS National Services Scotland, we extracted episodes for all patients aged 20 years or older who were admitted with infective endocarditis between January 1, 1990, and December 31, 2014 in Scotland, UK. Patient episodes with infective endocarditis were linked to national prescribing and microbiology databases. The primary outcome was 1-year mortality following the index presentation. Generalised additive models were constructed to estimate the crude and age- and sex-stratified incidence rates (using a poison distribution) as well as trends in mortality (using a binomial distribution) adjusted for age, sex and comorbidity.

Results

Across 12,446 individual patients, there were a total of 12,667 hospitalisations (mean age 68±17 years, 55% females) with infective endocarditis using a 5-year look back period. The estimated crude rate of hospitalisation increased from 7.38 per 100,000 (95% CI 6.58 to 8.28) in 1990 to 15.09 per 100,000 (95% CI 13.90 to 16.39) in 2014 (p<0.001). Over the period of the study, 31% (3,877/12,667) of people admitted to hospital with infective endocarditis died within one year of admission. Case fatality fell markedly in both men and women from 1990 to 2014 (Figure). Microbiology was status was available for 34% of all hospitalisations with staphylococcus cultures associated with worse outcomes.

Conclusions

Despite the crude incidence of infective endocarditis doubling over the last 25 years and case fatality remaining high, the risk of death has markedly fallen over the last two decades. Staphylococcus cultures remain an independent marker of poor prognosis in this cohort.

Acknowledgement/Funding

British Heart Foundation

Using medico-legal claims for quality improvement in maternity care: application and revision of an NHSLA coding taxonomy

OBJECTIVE

To validate the NHSLA maternity claims taxonomy at the level of a single maternity service and assess its ability to direct quality improvement.

DESIGN

Qualitative descriptive study.

SETTING

Medico-legal claims between 1 January 2000 and 31 December 2016 from a maternity service in metropolitan Melbourne, Australia.

POPULATION

All obstetric claims and incident notifications occurring within the date range were included for analysis.

METHODS

De-identified claims and notifications data were derived from the files of the insurer of Victorian public health services. Data included claim date, incident date and summary, and claim cost. All reported issues were coded using the NHSLA taxonomy and the lead issue identified.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Rate of claims and notifications, relative frequency of issues, a revised taxonomy.

RESULTS

A combined total of 265 claims and incidents were reported during the 6 years. Of these 59 were excluded, leaving 198 medico-legal events for analysis (1.66 events/1000 births). The costs for all claims was $46.7 million. The most common claim issues were related to management of labour (n = 63, $17.7 million), cardiotocographic interpretation (n = 43, $24.4 million), and stillbirth (n = 35, $656,750). The original NHSLA classification was not sufficiently detailed to inform care improvement programmes. A revised taxonomy and coding flowchart is presented.

CONCLUSIONS

Systematic analysis of obstetric medico-legal claims data can potentially be used to inform quality and safety improvement.

TWEETABLE ABSTRACT

New taxonomy to target health improvement from maternity claims based on NHSLA Ten Years of Maternity Claims.