Longitudinal associations between socioeconomic position and overall health of children with chronic kidney disease and their carers

BACKGROUND

Disadvantaged socioeconomic position (SEP) is an important predictor of poor health in children with chronic kidney disease (CKD). The time course over which SEP influences the health of children with CKD and their carers is unknown.

METHODS

This prospective longitudinal study included 377 children, aged 6-18 years with CKD (stages I-V, dialysis, and transplant), and their primary carers. Mixed effects ordinal regression was performed to assess the association between SEP and carer-rated child health and carer self-rated health over a 4-year follow-up.

RESULTS

Adjusted for CKD stage, higher family household income (adjusted odds ratio (OR) (95% CI) 3.3, 1.8-6.0), employed status of primary carers (1.7, 0.9-3.0), higher carer-perceived financial status (2.6, 1.4-4.8), and carer home ownership (2.2, 1.2-4.0) were associated with better carer-rated child health. Household income also had a differential effect on the carer's self-rated health over time (p = 0.005). The predicted probabilities for carers' overall health being 'very good' among lower income groups at 0, 2, and 4 years were 0.43 (0.28-0.60), 0.34 (0.20-0.51), and 0.25 (0.12-0.44), respectively, and 0.81 (0.69-0.88), 0.84 (0.74-0.91), and 0.88 (0.76-0.94) for carers within the higher income group.

CONCLUSIONS

Carers and their children with CKD in higher SEP report better overall child and carer health compared with those in lower SEP. Carers of children with CKD in low-income households had poorer self-rated health compared with carers in higher-income households at baseline, and this worsened over time. These cumulative effects may contribute to health inequities between higher and lower SEP groups over time. Graphical abstract A higher resolution version of the Graphical abstract is available as Supplementary information.

School attendance and sport participation amongst children with chronic kidney disease: a cross-sectional analysis from the Kids with CKD (KCAD) study

BACKGROUND

School attendance and life participation, particularly sport, is a high priority for children with chronic kidney disease (CKD). This study is aimed at assessing the association between CKD stage, sports participation, and school absences in children with CKD.

METHODS

Using data from the binational Kids with CKD study (ages 6-18 years, n = 377), we performed multivariable regression to evaluate the association between CKD stage, school absences, and sports participation.

RESULTS

Overall, 62% of participants played sport with the most frequent sport activities engaged in being swimming (17%) and soccer (17%). Compared to children with CKD 1-2, the incidence rate ratios (IRR) (95% CI) for sports participation amongst children with CKD 3-5, dialysis, or transplant were 0.84 (0.64-1.09), 0.59 (0.39-0.90), and 0.75 (0.58-0.96), respectively. The median (IQR) days of school absences within a four-week period were 1 day (0-1), with children on dialysis reporting the highest number of school absences (9 days (5-15)), followed by transplant recipients (2 days (1-7)), children with CKD 3-5 (1 day (0-3)), and with CKD 1-2 (1 day (0-3)). Duration of CKD modified the association between CKD stage and school absences, with children with a transplant experiencing a higher number of missed school days with increasing duration of CKD, but not in children with CKD 1-5 or on dialysis (p-interaction < 0.01).

CONCLUSIONS

Children receiving dialysis and with a kidney transplant had greater school absences and played fewer sports compared to children with CKD stages 1-2. Innovative strategies to improve school attendance and sport participation are needed to improve life participation of children with CKD.

The search for gastrointestinal inflammation in autism: a systematic review and meta-analysis of non-invasive gastrointestinal markers

BACKGROUND

Gastrointestinal symptoms and inflammatory gastrointestinal diseases exist at higher rates in the autistic population. It is not clear however whether autism is associated with elevated gastrointestinal inflammation as studies examining non-invasive faecal biomarkers report conflicting findings. To understand the research landscape and identify gaps, we performed a systematic review and meta-analysis of studies measuring non-invasive markers of gastrointestinal inflammation in autistic and non-autistic samples. Our examination focused on faecal biomarkers as sampling is non-invasive and these markers are a direct reflection of inflammatory processes in the gastrointestinal tract.

METHODS

We extracted data from case-control studies examining faecal markers of gastrointestinal inflammation. We searched PubMed, Embase, Cochrane CENTRAL, CINAHL, PsycINFO, Web of Science Core Collection and Epistemonikos and forward and backwards citations of included studies published up to April 14, 2023 (PROSPERO CRD42022369279).

RESULTS

There were few studies examining faecal markers of gastrointestinal inflammation in the autistic population, and many established markers have not been studied. Meta-analyses of studies examining calprotectin (n = 9) and lactoferrin (n = 3) were carried out. A total of 508 autistic children and adolescents and 397 non-autistic children and adolescents were included in the meta-analysis of calprotectin studies which found no significant group differences (ROM: 1.30 [0.91, 1.86]). Estimated differences in calprotectin were lower in studies with siblings and studies which did not exclude non-autistic controls with gastrointestinal symptoms. A total of 139 autistic participants and 75 non-autistic controls were included in the meta-analysis of lactoferrin studies which found no significant group differences (ROM: 1.27 [0.79, 2.04]).

LIMITATIONS

All studies included in this systematic review and meta-analysis examined children and adolescents. Many studies included non-autistic controls with gastrointestinal symptoms which limit the validity of their findings. The majority of studies of gastrointestinal inflammation focused on children under 12 with few studies including adolescent participants. Most studies that included participants aged four or under did not account for the impact of age on calprotectin levels. Future studies should screen for relevant confounders, include larger samples and explore gastrointestinal inflammation in autistic adolescents and adults.

CONCLUSIONS

There is no evidence to suggest higher levels of gastrointestinal inflammation as measured by calprotectin and lactoferrin are present in autistic children and adolescents at the population level. Preliminary evidence suggests however that higher calprotectin levels may be present in a subset of autistic participants, who may be clinically characterised by more severe gastrointestinal symptoms and higher levels of autistic traits.

Protocol for a nested case-control study design for omics investigations in the Environmental Determinants of Islet Autoimmunity cohort

Background: The Environmental Determinants of Islet Autoimmunity (ENDIA) pregnancy-birth cohort investigates the developmental origins of type 1 diabetes (T1D), with recruitment between 2013 and 2019. ENDIA is the first study in the world with comprehensive data and biospecimen collection during pregnancy, at birth and through childhood from at-risk children who have a first-degree relative with T1D. Environmental exposures are thought to drive the progression to clinical T1D, with pancreatic islet autoimmunity (IA) developing in genetically susceptible individuals. The exposures and key molecular mechanisms driving this progression are unknown. Persistent IA is the primary outcome of ENDIA; defined as a positive antibody for at least one of IAA, GAD, ZnT8 or IA2 on two consecutive occasions and signifies high risk of clinical T1D.Method: A nested case-control (NCC) study design with 54 cases and 161 matched controls aims to investigate associations between persistent IA and longitudinal omics exposures in ENDIA. The NCC study will analyse samples obtained from ENDIA children who have either developed persistent IA or progressed to clinical T1D (cases) and matched control children at risk of developing persistent IA. Control children were matched on sex and age, with all four autoantibodies absent within a defined window of the case's onset date. Cases seroconverted at a median of 1.37 years (IQR 0.95, 2.56). Longitudinal omics data generated from approximately 16,000 samples of different biospecimen types, will enable evaluation of changes from pregnancy through childhood.Conclusions: This paper describes the ENDIA NCC study, omics platform design considerations and planned univariate and multivariate analyses for its longitudinal data. Methodologies for multivariate omics analysis with longitudinal data are discovery-focused and data driven. There is currently no single multivariate method tailored specifically for the longitudinal omics data that the ENDIA NCC study will generate and therefore omics analysis results will require either cross validation or independent validation.KEY MESSAGESThe ENDIA nested case-control study will utilize longitudinal omics data on approximately 16,000 samples from 190 unique children at risk of type 1 diabetes (T1D), including 54 who have developed islet autoimmunity (IA), followed during pregnancy, at birth and during early childhood, enabling the developmental origins of T1D to be explored.

Application of specific ELISAs for BMP15 and GDF9 to cumulus cell extracts from infertile women

Bone morphogenetic protein 15 (BMP15) and growth differentiation factor 9 (GDF9) are oocyte-specific paracrine factors which regulate ovarian cumulus cell (CC) functions. This study aimed to investigate if BMP15 and GDF9 bound to CCs can be characterized, quantified, and show an association with IVF outcomes in infertile women. BMP15 and GDF9 ELISAs were validated and applied to discarded CC extracts. Pooled CCs from individual patients were collected from 120 (cohort 1; BMP15 only) and 81 infertility patients (cohort 2; BMP15 and GDF9) undergoing superovulation. BMP15 and GDF9 levels expressed per CC DNA were correlated with maternal age, clinical and embryology data. Total BMP15 and GDF9 were highly correlated with each other (r = 0.9, p < 0.001). The GDF9:BMP15 ratio was unrelated to oocyte number or age. BMP15/CC DNA and GDF9/CC DNA were unaffected by the type of superovulation and were not related to oocyte/embryo outcomes.

Sociodemographic Drivers of Donor and Recipient Gender Disparities in Living Kidney Donation in Australia

Background

Females account for 60% of all living kidney donors worldwide. We defined the proportion of female to male donors for living donor kidney transplantation stratified by recipient gender, and explored the factors associated with female kidney donation.

Methods

Data from the ANZDATA (Australian and New Zealand Dialysis and Transplantation) and ANZOD (Australian and New Zealand Organ Donor) registries (2002-2019) were used to identify the sociodemographic characteristics and their interactions associated with living donation from female donors. We derived the predicted probabilities from adjusted logistic models using marginal means.

Results

Of 3523 living donor pairs, 2203 (63%) recipients were male, and 2012 (57%) donors were female. Male recipients were more likely to receive kidneys from female donors than male donors. Donor and recipient sex association was modified by donor-recipient relationship (P < 0.01), with sensitivity analysis suggesting that spousal donor-recipient pairs drive this interaction. Older recipients residing in regional or remote areas were more likely to receive kidneys from female donors compared with those from major cities (aged ≥60 years: 0.67 [0.63-0.71] vs. aged <60 years: 0.57 [0.53-0.60]).

Conclusions

Factors associated with female donation include recipient sex, with spousal donors contributing to the interaction between recipient gender and donor-recipient relationship. Recipient age and location of residence have interactive effects on the likelihood of living donor transplantation from female donors.

Longitudinal assessment of the health-related quality of life of children and adolescents with chronic kidney disease

In this multi-center longitudinal cohort study conducted in Australia and New Zealand, we assessed the trajectories of health-related quality of life (HRQoL) in children with chronic kidney disease (CKD) over time. A total of 377 children (aged 6-18 years) with CKD stages 1-5 (pre-dialysis), dialysis, or transplant, were followed biennially for four years. Multi Attribute Utility (MAU) scores of HRQoL were measured at baseline and at two and four years using the McMaster Health Utilities Index Mark 3 tool, a generic multi-attribute, preference-based system. A multivariable linear mixed model was used to assess the trajectories of HRQoL over time in 199 children with CKD stage 1-5, 43 children receiving dialysis and 135 kidney transplant recipients. An interaction between CKD stage at baseline and follow-up time indicated that the slopes of the HRQoL scores differed between children by CKD stage at inception. Over half of the cohort on dialysis at baseline had received a kidney transplant by the end of year four and the MAU scores of these children increased by a meaningful amount averaging 0.05 (95% confidence interval 0.01 to 0.09) per year in comparison to those who were transplant recipients at baseline. The mean difference between baseline and year two MAU scores was 0.09 (95% confidence interval -0.05, 0.23), (Cohen's d effect size 0.31). Thus, improvement in HRQoL over time of children on dialysis at baseline was likely to have been driven by their transition from dialysis to transplantation. Additionally, children with CKD stage 1-5 and transplant recipients at baseline had no changes in their disease stage or treatment modality and experienced stable HRQoL over time.

Gene-Expression Profiling of Mucinous Ovarian Tumors and Comparison with Upper and Lower Gastrointestinal Tumors Identifies Markers Associated with Adverse Outcomes

PURPOSE

Advanced-stage mucinous ovarian carcinoma (MOC) has poor chemotherapy response and prognosis and lacks biomarkers to aid stage I adjuvant treatment. Differentiating primary MOC from gastrointestinal (GI) metastases to the ovary is also challenging due to phenotypic similarities. Clinicopathologic and gene-expression data were analyzed to identify prognostic and diagnostic features.

EXPERIMENTAL DESIGN

Discovery analyses selected 19 genes with prognostic/diagnostic potential. Validation was performed through the Ovarian Tumor Tissue Analysis consortium and GI cancer biobanks comprising 604 patients with MOC (n = 333), mucinous borderline ovarian tumors (MBOT, n = 151), and upper GI (n = 65) and lower GI tumors (n = 55).

RESULTS

Infiltrative pattern of invasion was associated with decreased overall survival (OS) within 2 years from diagnosis, compared with expansile pattern in stage I MOC [hazard ratio (HR), 2.77; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.04-7.41, P = 0.042]. Increased expression of THBS2 and TAGLN was associated with shorter OS in MOC patients (HR, 1.25; 95% CI, 1.04-1.51, P = 0.016) and (HR, 1.21; 95% CI, 1.01-1.45, P = 0.043), respectively. ERBB2 (HER2) amplification or high mRNA expression was evident in 64 of 243 (26%) of MOCs, but only 8 of 243 (3%) were also infiltrative (4/39, 10%) or stage III/IV (4/31, 13%).

CONCLUSIONS

An infiltrative growth pattern infers poor prognosis within 2 years from diagnosis and may help select stage I patients for adjuvant therapy. High expression of THBS2 and TAGLN in MOC confers an adverse prognosis and is upregulated in the infiltrative subtype, which warrants further investigation. Anti-HER2 therapy should be investigated in a subset of patients. MOC samples clustered with upper GI, yet markers to differentiate these entities remain elusive, suggesting similar underlying biology and shared treatment strategies.

Is slide-based or video-based eLearning better at achieving behavioural change in bronchiolitis management? A cluster-based randomised control trial

AIM

This cluster-based randomised control trial examines the comparative efficacy of two eLearning programs that teach clinicians evidence-based bronchiolitis management for children less than 12 months of age.

METHODS

Six hospitals, matched for size, were randomly allocated to either video-based (arm A) or slide-based (arm B) eLearning programs. To assess behavioural change, participants (doctors and nurses) were asked to declare how they would manage a video scenario of an infant with bronchiolitis, before and after either eLearning method. Measured outcomes included the number of investigations and treatments ordered, admissions to hospital and discharge planning. Confidence scores and change in understanding for bronchiolitis management were also measured.

RESULTS

Both methods of eLearning instruction resulted in reductions in unnecessary investigations and treatments performed, as well as improved confidence and understanding of bronchiolitis management on the video scenario. Video-based eLearning instruction additionally demonstrated a significant reduction in unnecessary hospital admissions and better discharge planning, based on learners' declarations to the video scenario, relative to slide-based learning.

CONCLUSION

Slide-based and video-based eLearning both demonstrate improvements in reported bronchiolitis management. However, video-based eLearning may yield more significant practice changes, improved clinician confidence in management, as well as improved patient experience.

Dietary intake in children on the autism spectrum is altered and linked to differences in autistic traits and sensory processing styles

Diets of children and adolescents on the autism spectrum often differ when compared to their non-autistic peers. Most dietary studies have been limited by small sample sizes and rarely assess the heterogeneity of autism. Addressing this gap, this study compared the anthropometrics, dietary composition, dietary quality, and food variety of 154 Australian children and adolescents on the spectrum and 213 non-autistic children (71 siblings and 142 unrelated controls). Beyond the case-control approach, within-group comparisons assessed the influence of autism clinical presentations and sensory processing styles on body mass index (BMI) and measures of dietary intake among those on the spectrum. In this word first study of diet that included between-group comparisons with non-autistic peers (siblings and an unrelated comparison group) and within-autism group comparisons, we found that children on the spectrum consumed limited variety and lower quality of food and non-autistic siblings also ate comparably higher levels of energy-dense, nutrient poor food, and less diary. This may be due to autistic traits influencing family's diets or shared sensory sensitivities driving dietary intake. Within the autism group, higher autistic traits were associated with lower BMIs and a specific dietary pattern higher in simple carbohydrates and lower in unprocessed protein. Contrastingly, greater sensitivity to sensory stimuli was associated with a healthier diet. Increased age was linked to more varied diets but also diets higher in saturated fats and energy-dense, nutrient poor foods. Overall, this research highlights that potential mediators of dietary intake, such as familial influences, autistic traits, sensory processing styles, age and sex, need to be considered when assessing diet in the autistic population. LAY SUMMARY: In this study of dietary differences linked to autism, children, and teenagers on the spectrum ate fewer different foods and were less likely to eat recommended amounts of fruits and vegetables when compared to non-autistic siblings and unrelated children and teenagers. There were also family differences, in that those on the spectrum and their siblings ate more unhealthy foods and less dairy. Among those on the spectrum, dietary differences were linked to age, sex, autistic traits and sensory processing styles.

Do doctors preferring forceps encounter more obstetric anal sphincter injuries: A retrospective analysis

BACKGROUND

Obstetric anal sphincter injuries (OASIS) is a hospital-acquired injury and can affect a woman's quality of life with problems such as anal incontinence, perineal pain, dyspareunia, mental health, psychosexual issues, and concerns about future childbirth choices.

AIMS

The aim of this study was to determine whether there is a correlation between a doctor's preference for instruments, their individual OASIS rate and whether factors such as their fully dilated caesarean section rate, rate of double instrumental and seniority, influences their individual rate of OASIS.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A population-based retrospective cohort study was performed on 1340 term nulliparous women with singleton pregnancies who underwent an instrumental delivery or fully dilated caesarean section. A survey of doctors involved in these deliveries was performed. The risk of OASIS was analysed for maternal age, ethnicity, birth position, level of training and doctor's instrument preference using a generalised linear mixed model. Doctors' instrument preferences were established in two ways: a self-reported survey and data-inferred preference based on the most used instrument per doctor. The OASIS rate for individual doctors was calculated.

RESULTS

The overall risk of OASIS is higher for forceps compared to vacuum deliveries. Doctors with a preference for forceps compared to vacuum, correlated with both a lower OASIS rate and a higher fully dilated caesarean section rate.

CONCLUSIONS

Doctors preferring forceps report a lower OASIS and higher fully dilated caesarean section rate. Doctors preferring vacuum must consider carefully whether forceps should follow if a vacuum fails as OASIS is more likely to occur.

Propranolol's effects on the sleep of infants with hemangiomas: A prospective pilot study

OBJECTIVE

To assess propranolol's impact on sleep when used in infants and toddlers with infantile hemangioma (80% under 6 months old).

METHODS

Parents and caregivers of infants and toddlers with infantile hemangioma presenting to a tertiary pediatric hospital's dermatology clinic and assessed by their dermatologist as requiring propranolol treatment were invited to participate. All participants completed an extended version of the Brief Infant Sleep Questionnaire (BISQ) prior to propranolol treatment initiation, which acted as the control, and 5 weeks after treatment commencement. Objective data were gathered through actigraphy, which utilizes a small wristwatch-like device that measures sleep-wake patterns, for 1 week prior to initiation and again 5 weeks after commencement. BISQ responses and actigraphy values from the two time points were compared.

RESULTS

55 infants and toddlers (aged 0-2.8 years, 80% under 6 months) were included. Sleep was reported as only a minor problem by most parents 5 weeks after starting propranolol (P = .049). Subgroup analysis of 45 infants <6 months old showed no significant difference in sleep while taking propranolol. Whole cohort BISQ data analysis showed a statistically significant increase in night-time sleep (P = .024), and a decrease in the number (P = .003) and duration of daytime naps (P = .025) following commencement of propranolol. Actigraphy data completed in 10 infants showed no significant difference in sleep quality before and 5 weeks after commencing propranolol.

CONCLUSION

Propranolol did not significantly impair sleep quality and pattern in our cohort of infants and toddlers with infantile hemangioma. Most parents considered the impact on sleep to be only a minor problem.

Evaluation of an educational video providing key messages for doctors to counsel families following a first afebrile seizure

AIM

The aim was to evaluate an educational video in educating doctors on the key messages and follow-up pathways following a first afebrile seizure presentation. A multidisciplinary expert team developed the video (http://www.pennsw.org.au/families/resources/first-seizure-pack-and-video) based on available evidence and best-practice. It contains a role-play between the parent/child and physician. It addresses: key messages to impart following a first seizure, seizure first aid, safety messages including necessary precautions post-discharge, contents of the First Seizure Pack for families, follow-up pathway and issues for discussion with the paediatrician at a later appointment.

METHODS

Paediatric/Emergency department (ED) trainees across three Australian sites were recruited during terms 1 and 2, 2019. A repeated measures design was used. Multilevel modelling analyses were performed. The primary outcome was clinician knowledge. Secondary outcomes were confidence in answering questions and counselling families. Qualitative data on the utility, strengths and weaknesses of the video were evaluated.

RESULTS

A total of 127 participants consented, one withdrew prior to commencing. A total of 126 baseline surveys, 115 follow-up surveys and 45 1-month follow-up surveys were returned. Viewing the video significantly improved knowledge of key messages at immediate follow-up (P < 0.001) and 1-month follow-up (P = 0.048). Likewise, confidence was significantly improved; 96.5% of responders found the video useful, 90.3% were likely to use the resource in the future and 82% would change their approach to counselling. Most liked aspects of the resource were clarity/conciseness of the information (n = 70) and comprehensiveness (n = 38).

CONCLUSION

This education video significantly improved clinician knowledge and confidence in counselling families following first seizure.

Early PARacetamol (EPAR) Trial: A Randomized Controlled Trial of Early Paracetamol to Promote Closure of the Ductus Arteriosus in Preterm Infants

INTRODUCTION

This study aimed to investigate whether early treatment with paracetamol reduces the number of infants requiring intervention for patent ductus arteriosus (PDA) and assess the safety profile of paracetamol during the early postnatal period.

METHODS

This was a double-blind, parallel, randomized, placebo-controlled trial. Preterm infants born at <29-week gestation with a ductus arteriosus >0.9 mm at 6 h of life were randomized to either (1) intravenous paracetamol (15 mg/kg initially and then 7.5 mg/kg every 6 h) or (2) intravenous dextrose for 5 days. The primary outcome was the need for any intervention for PDA up to 5 days. Secondary outcomes included ductal closure at 5 days, ductal size at 48 h, ductal reopening, mortality, and significant morbidities.

RESULTS

Of 58 infants randomized, 29 were allocated to the intervention and 29 to the control group. The trial was stopped for benefit at 50% recruitment after reaching the prespecified stopping criteria. Less infants in the intervention group required intervention for PDA up to 5 days (6 [21%] vs. 17 [59%] infants [p = 0.003]; relative risk reduction 0.35 [95% CI 0.16-0.77; NNT 2.6]). The intervention group had a higher rate of ductal closure (20 [69%] vs. 8 [28%] infants [p = 0.002]) and smaller ductal size (1.0 mm [±0.8] vs. 1.4 mm [±0.9]; p = 0.04). Three deaths occurred (2 in the intervention group), which were not attributed to the intervention. No other adverse events were reported.

DISCUSSION/CONCLUSION

Early paracetamol treatment reduced the number of infants requiring intervention for PDA. Short-term safety data were reassuring, acknowledging the small number of infants involved in the study.

A randomized controlled trial comparing video-assisted informed consent with standard consent for Mohs micrographic surgery

Background

There is a need for improvement in informed medical consent to address the lack of standardization and to increase patient engagement.

Objective

To investigate the use of a video to aid informed consent for Mohs micrographic surgery and evaluate patient understanding, satisfaction, anxiety, and time savings relative to verbal consent.

Methods

A 2-armed randomized controlled trial involving 102 patients compared video-assisted consent with a control group who underwent consent in the standard verbal manner. All participants underwent questionnaire-based testing of knowledge, satisfaction, and anxiety, and the time of each consultation was measured.

Results

Patients who watched the video performed significantly better in the knowledge questionnaire compared with the control group (P = .02), were more satisfied with their understanding of the risks of Mohs micrographic surgery (P = .013), and spent less time with their physician (P = .008). Additionally, 78.4% of video group patients reported that they preferred seeing the video before speaking with their physician.

Limitations

The study design may not replicate day-to-day clinical practice.

Conclusion

Video-assisted consent for Mohs micrographic surgery improves patient knowledge, leads to a better understanding of the risks, and saves physicians time without compromising patient satisfaction and anxiety levels in this study setting.

Postpartum anal incontinence in women with and without obstetric anal sphincter injuries

INTRODUCTION AND HYPOTHESIS

Postpartum anal incontinence is common and distressing for women. We sought to look at the prevalence of anal incontinence in women who sustained obstetric anal sphincter injuries (OASI) compared with women who did not, and factors leading to these symptoms during the postpartum period.

METHODS

A total of 129 primiparous women sustaining OASI were compared with 131 women who did not (controls). They were contacted at approximately 6-10 weeks postpartum to obtain information on their symptoms of anal incontinence (AI). The data underwent univariate and multivariate analysis.

RESULTS

There was no difference in the prevalence of AI symptoms, occurring in 30% of women with OASI, and 23% of women without at 6-10 weeks postpartum; however, in women with high-grade tears the prevalence was 59%. Severe OASI (grade 3c and 4) was associated with an increased prevalence of both AI and severe AI, whereas forceps delivery and increasing maternal age were associated with an increased prevalence of severe AI only.

CONCLUSION

Women with less severe (grade 3a and 3b) OASI do not experience a higher prevalence of AI than women without OASI in the postpartum period. Higher grade (3c and 4) tears, forceps delivery and increasing maternal age are associated with higher rates of AI. These factors should be avoided where possible to reduce postpartum AI. All women should be warned of the 23-30% chance of experiencing some mild AI in this period. Whether these symptoms are transient or long-lasting requires further investigation.

Variables associated with grief and personal growth following the death of a child from cancer: A mixed method analysis

This mixed method study explored parent and child characteristics that impact grief and personal growth in parents (n = 119) after a child dies from cancer in Australia. Medical components of a child's cancer care including radiation treatment, referral to palliative care, and location of death had a significant impact on levels of grief. Parents' gender, religious affiliation, and education level had a significant impact on levels of personal growth. This study further enhances our understanding of the impact of specific parent and child characteristics throughout a child's cancer treatment and end of life that may influence their families' experience of bereavement.

Reducing emergency department presentations among chronically ill patients in Western Sydney: a key role for coordinated primary care

Coordination of health services is thought to improve health outcomes for patients with chronic and complex illness; however, there is limited quantitative evidence for the effectiveness of coordinated care programs. HealthOne Mount Druitt (HOMD) is a coordinated care program operating in a disadvantaged area of Western Sydney, Australia. It operates as a combination 'virtual' and 'hub and spoke' model, with care coordination provided by liaison nurses. We aimed to determine whether there were changes in the number of emergency department (ED) presentations, length of stay, and community health referrals in the 12 months following enrolment in HOMD, compared to the 12 months prior. A quantitative survey was also conducted to determine the perspectives of service providers on key aspects of HOMD. Enrolment in HOMD was followed by reductions in both the number of ED presentations and the amount of time spent by patients in the ED. Community health referrals were increased, and the pattern of referral to different types of community health services was altered. This study provides quantitative evidence that a coordinated care intervention improves patient health outcomes.

Identifying missed clinical opportunities for the earlier diagnosis of HIV in Australia, a retrospective cohort data linkage study

Background

Treatment as prevention approaches for HIV require optimal HIV testing strategies to reduce undiagnosed HIV infections. In most settings, HIV testing strategies still result in unacceptably high rates of missed and late diagnoses. This study aimed to identify clinical opportunities for targeted HIV testing in persons at risk to facilitate earlier HIV diagnosis in New South Wales, Australia; and to assess the duration between the diagnosis of specific conditions and HIV diagnosis.

Methods

The Australian National HIV registry was linked to cancer diagnoses, notifiable condition diagnoses, emergency department presentations and hospital admissions for all HIV diagnoses between 1993 and 2012 in NSW. Date of HIV acquisition was estimated from back-projection models and people with a likely duration from infection to diagnosis of less than 180 days were excluded. Risk factors associated with clinical opportunities for the earlier diagnosis of HIV were identified.

Results

Sexually transmitted infection diagnoses (particularly gonorrhoea and syphilis) and some hospital admissions (mental health and drug-related diagnoses, and non-infective digestive disorder diagnoses) were prominent among people estimated to be living with undiagnosed HIV. The length of time between a clinical opportunity for the earlier HIV diagnosis and actual HIV diagnosis was 13.3 months for notifiable conditions, and 15.2 months for hospital admissions. People with lower CD4+ cell count at diagnosis, and older people were significantly less likely to have a missed opportunity for earlier HIV diagnosis.

Conclusions

Additional targeted clinical HIV testing strategies are warranted for people with gonorrhoea and syphilis; and hospital presentations or admissions for mental health, drug-related and gastrointestinal diagnoses.

Clinical Importance of Myc Family Oncogene Aberrations in Epithelial Ovarian Cancer

Background

The Myc oncogene family has been implicated in many human malignancies and is often associated with particularly aggressive disease, suggesting Myc as an attractive prognostic marker and therapeutic target. However, for epithelial ovarian cancer (EOC), there is little consensus on the incidence and clinical relevance of Myc aberrations. Here we comprehensively investigated alterations in gene copy number, expression, and activity for Myc and evaluated their clinical significance in EOC.

Methods

To address inconsistencies in the literature regarding the definition of copy number variations, we developed a novel approach using quantitative polymerase chain reaction (qPCR) coupled with a statistical algorithm to estimate objective thresholds for detecting Myc gain/amplification in large cohorts of serous (n = 150) and endometrioid (n = 80) EOC. MYC, MYCN, and MYCL1 mRNA expression and Myc activity score for each case were examined by qPCR. Kaplan–Meier and Cox-regression analyses were conducted to assess clinical significance of Myc aberrations.

Results

Using a large panel of cancer cell lines (n = 34), we validated the statistical algorithm for determining clear thresholds for Myc gain/amplification. MYC was the most predominantly amplified of the Myc oncogene family members, and high MYC mRNA expression levels were associated with amplification in EOC. However, there was no association between prognosis and increased copy number or gene expression of MYC/MYCN/MYCL1 or with a pan-Myc transcriptional activity score, in EOC, although MYC amplification was associated with late stage and high grade in endometrioid EOC.

Conclusion

A systematic and comprehensive analysis of Myc genes, transcripts, and activity levels using qPCR revealed that although such aberrations commonly occur in EOC, overall they have limited impact on outcome, suggesting that the biological relevance of Myc oncogene family members is limited to certain subsets of this disease.

Diagnosis incidence of autism spectrum disorders is underestimated in Australian children, and there are inequalities in access to diagnosis and treatment services: a data linkage study of health service usage

IntroductionThe prevalence and diagnosis incidence of autism spectrum disorders (ASD) are difficult to determine. Estimates of ASD burden in Australia are produced from sample surveys of disability, and government records of welfare disability payments. While disability does affect many people with ASD, ASD itself is not a disability. Objectives and ApproachFor our retrospective population-based cohort study of breast cancer survivors diagnosed from 2007 to 2010 in British Columbia (BC), 2007-2011 in Manitoba (MB), 2007-2010 in Ontario (ON), and 2007-2012 in Nova Scotia (NS), we linked provincial cancer registries, clinical and health administrative databases, and followed cases alive at 30 months post-diagnosis to five years from diagnosis.  For each province, we calculated percent adherence, overuse, and underuse of recommended follow-up care, including surveillance for recurrent and new cancer, surveillance for late effects, and general preventive care.  We also examined variation among provinces and over time. ResultsSurvivor numbers were 23,700 (ON), 9493 (BC), 2688 (MB), and 2735 (NS). Annual oncologist visit guideline compliance varied provincially (e.g. Year 2 ON=32.7%, BC=15.0%). For most provinces and follow-up years, the majority of survivors had fewer oncologist visits than recommended.  However, survivors had additional annual breast cancer-related visits to a primary care provider.  Surveillance breast imaging guideline compliance was high (e.g. Year 2, ON=81.1%, MB=72.0%, NS=52.8%, BC =49.7%), with rates declining in ON and MB (to approximately 64%), but increasing in NS and BC (to approximately 58%) by Year 5. Overuse of breast imaging was identified in NS (9.1%-20.7% overuse in follow-up years 2-5).  As per the guideline, 72.9%-79.7% (Years 2-5) of BC survivors had no imaging for metastastic disease, highest among all provinces. Conclusion/ImplicationsThe diagnosis incidence of ASD in Australian children is higher than previously estimated. The prevalence of ASD is therefore also underestimated. Multidisciplinary ASD assessment and treatment services are underutilised, likely due to out-of-pocket co-payments reducing affordability. These findings have significant implications for government health service planning for ASD.

Multiresistant E. coli urine infections in children: a case-control study

OBJECTIVE

Urinary tract infections (UTIs) caused by resistant organisms are increasing which poses challenges when selecting empirical antimicrobial therapy. The aim of this study is to determine risk factors for multiresistant Escherichia coli UTIs in children.

DESIGN

We included all reported urinary isolates from a children's hospital collected between January 2010 and June 2013. Patients who had multiresistant E. coli UTIs were identified and a retrospective review of medical records performed. Patient-specific clinical and demographic factors were compared with age-matched and gender-matched controls with non-multiresistant E. coli UTIs. Univariable and multivariable statistical analysis were performed to determine significant risk factors for multiresistant organism E.coli UTIs.

RESULTS

In total, there were 2692 positive urine cultures, 1676 (62.3%) from 1169 patients were E. coli. Multiresistant E. coli was isolated from 139 (8.3% of all E. coli) cultures in 99 patients. Thirteen incomplete medical records were excluded, leaving 86 patients, matched with 86 controls. In multivariable regression, the only significant risk factor was antibiotic use in the previous month (adjusted OR 3.0, 95% CI 1.4 to 6.2), but not previous hospital admission (adjusted OR 1.4, 95% CI 0.6 to 2.9), being an inpatient at the time of diagnosis (adjusted OR 2.4, 95% CI 0.8 to 7.4) and previous instrumentation (adjusted OR 1.0, 95% CI 0.4 to 2.4).

CONCLUSIONS

This is the first case-control study to examine multiresistant UTI in Australian children. Clinicians should be judicious in the use of antibiotics in treatment and prophylaxis of UTIs. In children presenting with UTI and recent antibiotic exposure, amoxicillin-clavulanic acid appears to be an appropriate empiric antibiotic choice in our population.

Changes in body mass index in long-term survivors of childhood acute lymphoblastic leukemia treated without cranial radiation and with reduced glucocorticoid therapy

BACKGROUND

Cranial radiation and glucocorticoids are associated with an increase in body mass index (BMI) z-score in survivors of childhood acute lymphoblastic leukemia (ALL). We aimed to investigate the impact of a contemporary treatment protocol that omitted prophylactic cranial radiation and glucocorticoids from the maintenance phase on longitudinal BMI, height, and weight z-scores in children with ALL.

METHOD

We retrospectively studied 184 children with standard- and medium-risk ALL treated without cranial radiation or glucocorticoids. Height, weight, and BMI z-scores were collected from diagnosis to 7 years after diagnosis. Longitudinal changes in anthropometric data were compared to diagnosis using separate linear mixed models, adjusting for age, sex, and socioeconomic status (SES).

RESULTS

Relative to diagnosis, there was a significant increase in estimated marginal mean BMI z-score during dexamethasone-containing re-induction (1.08, P < 0.001) that persisted throughout intensification (0.85, P < 0.001) and maintenance phases (0.81, P < 0.001), and up to 7 years after diagnosis (0.76, P = 0.002). Height z-scores decreased over the same time (P < 0.001), whereas weight z-scores fluctuated during treatment and declined thereafter (P = 0.007). A higher BMI z-score at diagnosis was associated with a younger age (P < 0.001), male sex (P < 0.001), and lower SES (P < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Children who did not receive cranial radiation or glucocorticoids during maintenance remain at increased risk of treatment-related increases in BMI z-score, which is associated with a loss of height z-score. Interventions designed to mediate this risk should begin early, even while children are on treatment because of the association with cardiovascular risk. Monitoring of survivors of ALL should include anthropometric measures.

Screening and Primary Care Access for Newly Arrived Paediatric Refugees in Regional Australia: A 5 year Cross-sectional Analysis (2007-12)

This study aimed to determine the prevalence of health conditions in newly arrived refugee children and access to timely heath screening. Methods: Cross-sectional data from screening of refugee children in regional Australia (2007-12) were analysed for health conditions and timeliness of primary care access. The health of 376 newly arrived refugee children (0-15 years) was assessed. Refugee children came from African (45%), Southeast Asian (29%) and Eastern Mediterranean (10%) regions. Access to primary care screening was present in 367 children (97% of arrivals). Completion of all recommended screening tests was 72%. Of 188 children with arrival and screening dates recorded, 88% were screened within 1 month and 96% within 6 months of arrival. Timely access of remaining children could not be assessed. Conclusion: Primary care was highly accessible to almost all newly arrived refugee children. Health screening was timely in those children with complete medical records.

Risk factors associated with RSV hospitalisation in the first 2 years of life, among different subgroups of children in NSW: a whole-of-population-based cohort study

BACKGROUND

Data on risk factors for respiratory syncytial virus (RSV)-associated hospitalisation in Australian children may be informative for preventive measures.

METHODS

A whole-of-population-based study was conducted to identify comparable risk factors for RSV hospitalisation in different subgroups of children aged <2 years in New South Wales. The cohort was divided into Indigenous children and high-risk and standard risk non-Indigenous children. Data on risk factors were obtained from the Perinatal Data Collection. RSV hospitalisations were ascertained from the Admitted Patient Data Collection. Adjusted HRs were calculated for each subgroup. Population-attributable risk associated with risk factors was estimated.

RESULTS

Four factors were associated with increased risk of RSV hospitalisation: maternal smoking during pregnancy, male sex, multiparity and birth during the first half of the RSV season. Increase in relative socioeconomic advantage was associated with decreased risk of hospitalisation. Among high and standard risk non-Indigenous children, the hazard was approximately double for children born to multiparous women compared to those born to primiparous women and among Indigenous children the hazard was approximately double among those born during the first half of the RSV season. Maternal smoking during pregnancy was associated with a 26-45% increased risk across subgroups and accounted for 17% (95% CI 9.3% to 24%) of RSV hospitalisations in Indigenous children, 5% (95% CI 2.5% to 8%) in high-risk and 6% (95% 5% to 7%) in standard risk non-Indigenous children.

DISCUSSION

Promoting avoidance of smoking during pregnancy may help in lowering the disease burden, with Indigenous children likely to benefit most.

Use of external orthotic helmet therapy in positional plagiocephaly

Positional plagiocephaly is the most common type of cranial asymmetry affecting infants. We aimed to investigate the effectiveness of helmet therapy compared to no helmet therapy in treating positional plagiocephaly in infants under the age of 1year. This retrospective review was conducted in an Australian paediatric hospital and included 171 patients recruited from outpatient clinics. Only 30 patients had positional plagiocephaly scores recorded at first and final consultations while 39 patients had diagonal measurements recorded at both visits. The mean age was 7.38months at initial consultation with a mean follow-up duration of 5.85months. Those who had helmet therapy had a significantly greater reduction in diagonal difference than those who did not use helmets (p=0.011). Therefore, there may be a role for helmet therapy in the treatment of severe positional plagiocephaly.

Coordinated care versus standard care in hospital admissions of people with chronic illness: a randomised controlled trial

OBJECTIVE

To determine whether Care Navigation (CN), a nurse-led hospital-based coordinated care intervention, reduced the use of hospital services and improved quality of life for patients with chronic illness.

DESIGN

Randomised controlled trial; participants were allocated to CN or standard care.

PARTICIPANTS AND SETTING

Patients with chronic illness presenting to the emergency department of Nepean Hospital, Sydney, New South Wales. High-risk status for an unplanned admission was defined as i) three or more unplanned hospital admissions in 12 months for patients aged ≥ 70 or at least one admission for cardiac or respiratory disease in patients aged 16-69 years; or ii) judged by a CN nurse to be high risk and likely to benefit.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Numbers of re-presentations or readmissions, quality of life, time to re-presentation, readmission or death, length of stay, and access to hospital and community health services.

RESULTS

500 participants were randomised between May 2010 and February 2011; 359 by previous unplanned admission and 141 by clinical impression. The CN group received more community health services (rate ratio, 1.94; 95% CI, 1.35-2.81; P < 0.001) than participants receiving standard care; however, this did not result in statistically significant differences in number of re-presentations (rate ratio, 0.83; 95% CI, 0.68-1.01; P = 0.07), number of readmissions (rate ratio, 0.85; 95% CI, 0.70-1.04; P = 0.11), quality of life at 24 months (mean difference, 0; 95% CI, - 0.10 to 0.09, P = 0.93), or other measures.

CONCLUSIONS

CN did not improve quality of life or reduce unplanned hospital presentations or admissions despite community health services almost doubling. Future service development should explore potential benefits of linking navigated intrahospital care to ongoing, proactive care planning and delivery in the community.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

ACTRN12609000554268.

Demographic and clinical predictors of unplanned hospital utilisation among chronically ill patients: a prospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

In urban Australia, patients with serious and continuing illnesses make frequent use of hospital emergency department (ED) services. However, the risk factors for hospital utilisation among the broad population of people with chronic illness are not well known. The aim of this study was to assess the predictors of hospital utilisation (either inpatient admissions or ED visits) in a cohort of 308 patients with chronic illness.

METHODS

We studied patients with serious and continuing chronic illnesses presenting to an ED in a large periurban hospital in western Sydney, Australia, between 2010 and 2013. ED presentations and hospital admissions were observed over two years. Multivariate negative-binomial regression analyses were used to identify risk factors for the number of presentations to hospital.

RESULTS

The main risk factors for hospital utilisation were having a live-in carer, and a history of hospital utilisation. Having a live-in carer was associated with an increase in number of ED presentations by 88% (RR 1.88; 95% CI 1.41-2.51), and of admissions by 116% (RR 2.16; 95% CI 1.61-2.92). Seventy-seven percent of hospital utilisation in the cohort was attributable to carer status. Each additional ED presentation that a person had in the 12 months prior to the study led to an increased risk of an ED presentation in the follow-up period by 6% (RR = 1.06, 95% CI = 1.03-1.08). Between 20% and 25% of variability in hospital utilisation in the cohort was attributable to the number of hospital admissions or ED presentations in the previous 12 months.

CONCLUSIONS

Patients with a live-in carer and with a history of hospital utilisation are at high risk for future hospital use.

Determinants of antiretroviral therapy initiation and treatment outcomes for people living with HIV in Vietnam

OBJECTIVES

This study explores patient characteristics that are significantly associated with very late combination antiretroviral therapy (cART) initiation (CD4 count ≤100 cells/mm³) and examines the association between patient characteristics and treatment outcomes, CD4 recovery, and mortality.

DESIGN

Data were obtained from the clinical records of 2,198 HIV/AIDS patients in 13 outpatient clinics across 6 provinces in Vietnam.

METHODS

Multivariate logistic regression and Cox proportional hazards regression were used to identify patient characteristics that are significantly associated with very late cART initiation and to measure relationships between patient characteristics and treatment outcomes.

RESULTS

Very late cART initiation was significantly associated with being male compared with female (odds ratio [OR], 0.36; 95% CI, 0.23-0.58), becoming HIV infected through injecting drugs (OR, 2.13; 95% CI, 1.09-4.14), and having opportunistic infections at cART initiation (OR, 1.69; 95% CI, 1.02-2.86). Being male (female vs male: hazard ratio [HR], 0.45; 95% CI, 0.20-0.98), very late cART initiation (timely vs late: HR, 0.18; 95% CI, 0.04-0.72), low baseline body mass index (BMI) (HR, 0.95; 95% CI, 0.92-0.98), and later baseline WHO clinical stage (WHO clinical stage IV vs combined group of stage I and II: HR, 5.70; 95% CI, 3.90-7.80) were significantly associated with death, whereas being female compared with male (HR, 1.51; 95% CI, 1.14-1.99) and timely cART initiation (HR, 35.45; 95% CI, 13.67-91.91) were significant predictors of CD4 recovery.

CONCLUSIONS

Timely testing of patients for HIV, increasing use of CD4 count testing services, and starting cART earlier are essential to reduce mortality and improve treatment outcomes.

HIV service capacity: identifying current and future areas of clinical shortage

Background The capacity of HIV services to meet the clinical needs of people living with HIV (PLHIV) has not been evaluated. Similarly, whether HIV services are positioned to respond to increases in patient demand outside metropolitan centres over the next decade is unknown. Methods: A novel statistical methodology was used to estimate HIV clinical service capacity in Australia. A survey of HIV services was conducted. Geostatistical analysis was used to identify significant regions of clinical service undersupply relative to the estimated number of PLHIV in 2010 and 2020. Results: In 2010, an estimated 2074 PLHIV (9.7% of all PLHIV) resided in regions more than 15 km from a clinical service provider; 485 PLHIV (2.3% of all PLHIV) live >50 km away. By 2020, this is estimated to rise to 3419 and 807 (11.5% and 2.7% of estimated PLHIV) for 15 km and 50 km, respectively. To meet this demand, the establishment of new HIV services are required in the areas of greatest HIV clinical undersupply. In 2010, these are northern Sydney and western New South Wales, the Queensland mid-north coast and the outer suburbs of Melbourne. At the current estimated rate of increase in PLHIV, areas that will become critically undersupplied by 2020 include south-west Sydney, the outer suburbs of Brisbane and Western Australia. Conclusions: This study provides a quantitative assessment using modern statistical techniques to identify HIV clinical service gaps that is applicable in developed and nondeveloped settings. Training of new HIV clinicians should be directed towards undersupplied areas.

Implementation and effectiveness of 'care navigation', coordinated management for people with complex chronic illness: rationale and methods of a randomised controlled trial

Background

Chronic illness is a significant driver of the global burden of disease and associated health care costs. People living with severe chronic illness are heavy users of acute hospital services; better coordination of their care could potentially improve health outcomes while reducing hospital use. The Care Navigation trial will evaluate an in-hospital coordinated care intervention on health service use and quality of life in chronically ill patients.

Methods/Design

A randomised controlled trial in 500 chronically ill patients presenting to the emergency department of a hospital in Western Sydney, Australia. Participants have three or more hospital admissions within a previous 12 month period and either aged ≥70 years; or aged ≥45 years and of Aboriginal or Torres Strait Islander descent; or aged ≥ 16 with a diagnosis of a respiratory or cardiology related illness. Patients are randomised to either the coordinated care program (Care Navigation), or to usual care. The Care Navigation program consists of dedicated nurses who conduct patient risk assessments, oversee patient nursing while in hospital, and guide development of a care plan for the management of chronic illness after being discharged from hospital. These nurses also book community appointments and liaise with general practitioners. The main outcome variables are the number of emergency department re-presentations and hospital readmissions, and quality of life during a 24 month follow-up. Secondary outcomes are length of hospital stay, mortality, time to first hospital re-admission, time to first emergency department re-presentation, patient satisfaction, adherence to prescribed medications, amount and type of in-hospital referrals made for consultations and diagnostic testing, and the number and type of community health referrals. A process evaluation and economic analysis will be conducted alongside the randomised trial.

Discussion

A trial of in-hospital care coordination may support recent evidence that engaging primary health services in care plans linked to multidisciplinary team support improves patient outcomes and reduces costs to the health system. This will inform local, national and international health policy.

Trial registration

Australia New Zealand Clinical Trials Registry ACTRN12609000554268

Demand for HIV clinical services is increasing in Australia but supply is decreasing

Background HIV clinical service planning requires accurate estimates of the number of people living with HIV (PLHIV) and the capacity of existing clinical services, each by geographical location. The aim of this study was to quantify current HIV clinical service capacity in Australia. Methods: This study was a retrospective analysis of records of HIV clinical service capacity in Australia. Participants were general practitioners who completed an annual survey in 2007–2009. Information on the number of hospital departments, sexual health services, antiretroviral-prescribing general practitioners (ARV-GPs) and shared-care services providing expertise in HIV management from 2007 to 2010 were also available. Results: From 2007 to 2009, the proportion of ARV-GP survey respondents treating 2–9 patients with HIV per week increased from 36.5% to 49.1%, with a corresponding decrease in the average proportion who saw less than one patient with HIV per week. The estimated number of PLHIV has increased by 12.5% in metropolitan areas, and 16.5% in rural and remote areas over the period 2007–2010; however, the total number of services with at least one HIV ARV-GP has decreased over the same period. Conclusions: Current methods to estimate clinical service capacity reveal decreasing supply in the workforce in Australia despite increasing numbers of PLHIV. Further training of HIV clinicians and their placement in regions of greatest supply–demand deficits are required. Further studies are required to precisely quantify and locate the capacity of the HIV clinical workforce with expertise in HIV case-management to enable efficient service planning.

Is back-projection methodology still relevant for estimating HIV incidence from national surveillance data?

Accurate estimates of HIV incidence are crucial to understand the extent of transmission of the infection, evaluate intervention strategies and effectively plan new public health control measures. HIV/AIDS surveillance systems in numerous industrialised countries record the number of known new HIV and/or AIDS diagnoses, which are often used as a surrogate marker for HIV incidence. HIV/AIDS diagnosis data have been used to reconstruct historical HIV incidence trends using modified back-projection methods. Estimates of HIV incidence are most robust when reliable data on the number of incident infections, a subset of all diagnoses, is widely available, and surveillance systems should prioritise the collection of these data. Back-projection alone provides reliable estimates of HIV incidence in the past, but is not useful when estimating current or future HIV incidence. However, back-projection methodology should be used in conjunction with other corroborative methods to estimate current HIV incidence, and methods to combine the various techniques should be investigated.

HIV incidence trends vary between jurisdictions in Australia: an extended back-projection analysis of men who have sex with men

BACKGROUND

Trends in HIV diagnoses differ across Australia and are primarily driven by men who have sex with men (MSM). We use national population surveillance data to estimate the incidence of HIV infections among MSM by jurisdiction and infer the proportion of undiagnosed infections.

METHODS

Annual surveillance data for AIDS diagnoses, HIV diagnoses and recently acquired HIV infections were obtained from 1980 to 2009. A modified statistical back-projection method was used to reconstruct HIV incidence by jurisdiction.

RESULTS

HIV incidence among MSM peaked for all jurisdictions in the early 1980s and then declined into the early 1990s, after which incidence increased. Trends then differ between jurisdictions. In New South Wales (NSW) and South Australia, estimated HIV incidence peaked at 371 and 50 cases respectively in 2003, and has since decreased to 258 and 24 cases respectively in 2009. HIV infections in Queensland (Qld) have more than doubled over the past decade, from 84 cases in 2000 to 192 cases in 2009. Victoria and Western Australia have seen a rise in HIV incidence from 2000 to 2006 (to a peak of 250 and 38 incident cases respectively), followed by a plateau to 2009. HIV incidence in the Northern Territory, Tasmania and Australian Capital Territory have increased since 2000; however, case numbers remain small (<20 per year). The estimated proportion of HIV infections not yet diagnosed to 2009 ranges from 10% (NSW) to 18% (Qld), with an average of 12% across Australia.

CONCLUSIONS

HIV diagnosis trends among MSM in Australia reflect changes in estimated incidence to 2009, and reveal the largest increase in the past 10 years in Qld.

Gay men's use of condoms with casual partners depends on the extent of their prior acquaintance

Unprotected anal intercourse with casual partners (UAIC) is the strongest predictor of HIV incidence among gay men. Familiarity between sex partners has been associated with likelihood to engage in UAIC, but the decision to use condoms with partners who are previously acquainted is complex and multifaceted. Using data from the Pleasure and Sexual Health survey 2009, we investigated the association between aspects of familiarity with casual partners and disclosure of HIV serostatus. Compared with occasions when they engaged in protected anal intercourse (PAIC), when men engaged in UAIC they were more likely to report having previously met their partners (PAIC 45.9%; UAIC 54.9%), knowing them very well (PAIC 7.9%; UAIC 19.7%), and having previously had sex with them (PAIC 32.2%; UAIC 44.8%) (McNemar P < 0.001). Men were also more likely to disclose their HIV serostatus to their casual partners on occasions of UAIC, were more confident they knew their partner’s HIV serostatus and trusted them more. Overall, UAIC was associated with both the broad concept of ‘familiarity’ (composed of elements of prior acquaintance and trust) and HIV disclosure. When men engage in UAIC without some prior familiarity, disclosure of HIV serostatus, or confidence and trust in their partners, they are probably at greater risk than on occasions when they engage in UAIC with partners with whom they do have these qualities. However, for some men, their trust in knowing specific details about their partners may not always be well-informed or reliable. These different circumstances are challenging for HIV prevention work.

Oncogenic PIK3CA mutations in colorectal cancers and polyps

Oncogenic PIK3CA mutations contribute to colorectal tumorigenesis by activating AKT signaling to decrease apoptosis and increase tumor invasion. A synergistic association of PIK3CA mutation with KRAS mutation has been suggested to increase AKT signaling and resistance to antiepidermal growth factor receptor inhibitor therapy for advanced colorectal cancer, although studies have been conflicting. We sought to clarify this by examining PIK3CA mutation frequency in relation to other key molecular features of defined pathways of tumorigenesis. PIK3CA mutation was assessed by high resolution melt analysis in 829 colorectal cancer samples and 426 colorectal polyps. Mutations were independently correlated with clinicopathological features including patient age, sex and tumor location as well as molecular features including microsatellite instability, KRAS and BRAF mutation, MGMT methylation and the CpG Island Methylator Phenotype (CIMP). Mutation of the helical (Exon 9) and catalytic (Exon 20) domain mutation hotspots were also examined independently. Overall, PIK3CA mutation was positively correlated with KRAS mutation (p < 0.001), MGMT methylation (p = 0.007) and CIMP (p < 0.001). Novel, exon-specific associations linked Exon 9 mutations to a subgroup of cancers characterized by KRAS mutation, MGMT methylation and CIMP-Low, whilst Exon 20 mutations were more closely linked to features of serrated pathway tumors including BRAF mutation, microsatellite instability and CIMP-High or Low. PIK3CA mutations were uncommonly, but exclusively, seen in tubulovillous adenomas (4/124, 3.2%) and 1/4 (25.0%) tubulovillous adenomas with a focus of cancer. These data provide insight into the molecular events driving traditional versus serrated pathway tumorigenesis.

p53 mutation is common in microsatellite stable, BRAF mutant colorectal cancers

The majority of "serrated pathway" colorectal cancers have mutation of the BRAF oncogene and display the CpG island methylator phenotype (CIMP). Half these cancers have microsatellite instability (MSI) and an excellent prognosis. In the absence of MSI (microsatellite stable, MSS), BRAF mutation has been associated with a particularly poor prognosis. "Traditional pathway" cancers are BRAF wild type. Mutation of p53 is common and this correlates with advanced stage. We therefore hypothesized that p53 mutation would be common in MSS/BRAF mutant colorectal cancer. One thousand and eighty-one colorectal cancers were screened for BRAF mutation to identify two BRAF mutant study groups (MSI: n = 77; MSS: n = 69) and a BRAF wild type control group (n = 101). These were screened for p53 mutation by high resolution melt analysis and classified for CIMP and MGMT methylation by quantitative methylation specific PCR. Molecular data were compared to patient age, gender, tumor location and stage. p53 was mutated significantly more frequently in MSS/BRAF mutant (28/69, 40.6%) compared to MSI/BRAF mutant cancers (13/77, 16.9%), but this mutation rate did not differ from MSS/BRAF wild type cancers (47/101, 46.5%)(p < 0.0001). CIMP was less common in MSS/BRAF mutant (26/47, 55.3%) compared to MSI/BRAF mutant cancers (41/54, 75.9%), but was more common than in MSS/BRAF wild type cancers (3/85, 3.5%) (p < 0.0001). MSS/BRAF mutant cancers were more commonly proximal (38/54, 70.3%), but were similar to MSS/BRAF wild type cancers in terms of patient age, gender distribution and stage at presentation. MSS/BRAF mutant cancers share molecular and clinical features of both the serrated and traditional pathways of colorectal tumorigenesis.

Lifetime alcohol consumption and risk of Barrett's Esophagus

OBJECTIVES

Alcohol is a carcinogen that may increase the risk of Barrett's esophagus (BE) through direct contact with esophageal mucosa. However, few studies have investigated this association and findings have been inconsistent. We sought to examine the association between measures of total and beverage-specific alcohol consumption and BE risk.

METHODS

We conducted a large population-based case-control study that collected information on lifetime alcohol consumption and other exposures from 285 patients with nondysplastic BE, 108 patients with dysplastic BE, and two separate control groups: 313 endoscopy patients with acute inflammatory changes ("inflammation controls") and 644 population controls. We calculated odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for categories of average alcohol consumption using unconditional multivariate logistic regression.

RESULTS

Relative to life-long nondrinkers and consumption of <1 drink/week, consumption of 7-20 drinks/week (OR=0.53, 95% CI: 0.31-0.91) and 21-41 drinks/week (OR=0.37, 95% CI: 0.19-0.73) of total alcohol throughout the life was inversely associated with nondysplastic BE, for comparisons with population controls. Lifetime total alcohol consumption was also inversely associated with dysplastic BE (7-20 drinks/week OR=0.52, 95% CI: 0.19-1.43; 21-41 drinks/week OR=0.22, 95% CI: 0.07-0.73). Similarly, reduced risk estimates were found for comparisons with inflammation controls. The inverse associations were observed separately for beer and wine consumption, with a significant linear trend observed with beer consumption. The risks associated with liquor consumption were up to twofold higher; however, they were not statistically significant. We found no evidence for effect modification by factors known (or suspected) to cause BE.

CONCLUSIONS

Overall, alcohol consumption does not increase the risk of BE. Significant inverse associations were observed for beer consumption, the underlying reasons for which remain unclear.

DNA methylation in the rectal mucosa is associated with crypt proliferation and fecal short-chain fatty acids

BACKGROUND

DNA methylation varies throughout the normal colorectal mucosa and DNA methylation in normal appearing mucosa is associated with serrated and adenomatous neoplasia elsewhere within the colorectum.

AIMS

The purpose of this study was to measure luminal chemistry, rectal proliferation and mucosal DNA methylation and thus determine whether regional and pathological patterns of DNA methylation could be explained by luminal and epithelial factors.

METHODS

Twenty healthy subjects had normal rectal mucosal biopsies and a 24-h fecal collection. Rectal biopsies were analyzed for epithelial proliferation (Ki67 immunohistochemistry) and DNA methylation at 17 different markers, including "type A" markers (ESR1, GATA5, HIC1, HPP1, SFRP1), "type C" markers (MGMT, MLH1, CDKN2A, MINT1, MINT2, MINT31, IGF2, CACNA1G, NEUROG1, SOCS1, RUNX3), and LINE-1. Fecal analysis included short-chain fatty acids (SCFA), pH and ammonia. Mean "type A" and CIMP panel methylation Z-scores were calculated.

RESULTS

Rectal proliferation was significantly correlated with methylation at ESR1 (ρ = 0.81, P = 0.003) and GATA5 (ρ = 0.78, P = 0.012). LINE-1 methylation was 71.7 vs. 74.1%, in patients with "low" and "high" fecal total SCFA concentration (defined by the median value), respectively (P = 0.0019). On multivariate linear regression "type A" methylation was independently associated with rectal proliferation (P = 0.001). LINE-1 methylation was directly associated with rectal proliferation (P = 0.038) and total fecal SCFA concentration (P = 0.002), and inversely associated with fecal NH(3) concentrations (P = 0.003).

CONCLUSIONS

DNA methylation in normal rectal mucosa is associated with crypt proliferation and fecal SCFA concentration. These associations may help to explain regional differences in DNA methylation as well as providing a possible link between the colorectal lumen and carcinogenesis.

Repeat six-minute walk tests in patients with chronic heart failure: are they clinically necessary?

BACKGROUND

Owing to a reported learning effect in patients with chronic cardiopulmonary disease, performance of at least two six-minute walk tests (6MWT) are recommended as standard practice. Patients with chronic heart failure (CHF) are typically elderly and frail and it is unknown whether current guidelines are practical in a clinical setting.

AIMS

The aim of this study was to determine whether repeat performance of 6MWTs in patients with CHF is related to between-test interval or baseline performance.

METHODS

This was a multisite observational study enrolling participants entering into heart failure rehabilitation programmes. Participants performed two 6MWTs with randomly allocated inter-test intervals between 15 and 90 minutes. Distance walked in the second test was compared with the first test using a paired t test.

RESULTS

Eighty-eight participants (45 females, age 65 ± 14 years) with stable CHF were enrolled. Mean distance walked increased from 301 metres in test 1 to 313 metres in test 2 (p < 0.001). No significant change was recorded between test 1 and test 2 for those whose baseline distance was <300 metres. The interval between tests had no significant effect on the distance walked.

CONCLUSION

The change in 6MWT distance was significantly associated with better baseline performance but not with the interval between tests.

Lack of association between the presence and persistence of betapapillomavirus DNA in eyebrow hairs and betapapillomavirus L1 antibodies in serum

Betapapillomavirus (betaPV) DNA and seroresponses are highly prevalent in the general population and both are frequently used as infection markers in epidemiological studies to elucidate an association with cutaneous squamous cell carcinoma (SCC). Little is known about the natural history of betaPV infection and the aspects of infection that drive antibody responses. To investigate the relationship between these markers, this study assessed whether the presence or persistence of betaPV DNA in eyebrow hairs and L1 antibodies of the same betaPV type co-occurred more frequently than would be expected by chance in both a cross-sectional assessment and a longitudinal study. betaPV DNA in plucked eyebrow hairs and L1 antibodies in serum were measured in 416 participants of the Australian community-based Nambour Skin Cancer Study in 1996. Similar data were available for a subset of 148 participants in 2003. Observed co-occurrence of betaPV DNA and antibodies was compared with expected values based on prevalence. A case-wise concordance index was used to calculate the overall concordance of betaPV DNA and antibodies of the same type. No significant associations were found between the presence or persistence of betaPV DNA and antibody responses. The age and sex of the host did not influence the association, and nor did SCC status or a history of sunburns. It was concluded that betaPV antibody responses in adults are not primarily driven by betaPV infection as measured in eyebrow hairs. Other factors, such as viral load, may play a more pivotal role in the induction of detectable seroresponses.

An analysis of clustering of betapapillomavirus antibodies

Betapapillomaviruses (betaPVs) may contribute to the aetiology of cutaneous squamous cell carcinoma. However, no high-risk types have yet been identified, possibly because the high frequency of co-infection prevents a straightforward analysis of the independent effects of individual viruses. This study aimed to determine whether specific virus types were more likely to co-occur than others, thereby reducing the number of parameters needed in statistical models. Antibody data were analysed from controls who participated in case-control studies in The Netherlands, Italy and Australia and from participants in the German Nutrition Survey. Cluster analysis and two ordination techniques were used to identify patterns. Evidence of clustering was found only according to the number of viruses to which antibodies were detected. The lack of clustering of specific viral types identified suggests that if there are betaPV types that are independently related to skin carcinogenesis, they are unlikely to be identified using standard epidemiological methods.

Maternal ethanol consumption alters the epigenotype and the phenotype of offspring in a mouse model

Recent studies have shown that exposure to some nutritional supplements and chemicals in utero can affect the epigenome of the developing mouse embryo, resulting in adult disease. Our hypothesis is that epigenetics is also involved in the gestational programming of adult phenotype by alcohol. We have developed a model of gestational ethanol exposure in the mouse based on maternal ad libitum ingestion of 10% (v/v) ethanol between gestational days 0.5-8.5 and observed changes in the expression of an epigenetically-sensitive allele, Agouti viable yellow (A(vy)), in the offspring. We found that exposure to ethanol increases the probability of transcriptional silencing at this locus, resulting in more mice with an agouti-colored coat. As expected, transcriptional silencing correlated with hypermethylation at A(vy). This demonstrates, for the first time, that ethanol can affect adult phenotype by altering the epigenotype of the early embryo. Interestingly, we also detected postnatal growth restriction and craniofacial dysmorphology reminiscent of fetal alcohol syndrome, in congenic a/a siblings of the A(vy) mice. These findings suggest that moderate ethanol exposure in utero is capable of inducing changes in the expression of genes other than A(vy), a conclusion supported by our genome-wide analysis of gene expression in these mice. In addition, offspring of female mice given free access to 10% (v/v) ethanol for four days per week for ten weeks prior to conception also showed increased transcriptional silencing of the A(vy) allele. Our work raises the possibility of a role for epigenetics in the etiology of fetal alcohol spectrum disorders, and it provides a mouse model that will be a useful resource in the continued efforts to understand the consequences of gestational alcohol exposure at the molecular level.

A human, double-blind, placebo-controlled, crossover trial of prebiotic, probiotic, and synbiotic supplementation: effects on luminal, inflammatory, epigenetic, and epithelial biomarkers of colorectal cancer

BACKGROUND

Diet is an important factor in colorectal carcinogenesis; thus, dietary supplements may have a role in colorectal cancer prevention.

OBJECTIVE

The objective was to establish the relative luminal, epithelial, and epigenetic consequences of prebiotic, probiotic, and synbiotic dietary supplementation in humans.

DESIGN

This was a randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled, 4-wk crossover trial of resistant starch and Bifidobacterium lactis, either alone or as a combined synbiotic preparation, in 20 human volunteers. Rectal biopsy, feces, and serum samples were collected. The rectal mucosal endpoints were DNA methylation at 16 CpG island loci and LINE-1, epithelial proliferation (Ki67 immunohistochemistry), and crypt cellularity. The fecal endpoints were short-chain fatty acid concentrations, pH, ammonia, and microbiological profiles (by denaturing gradient gel electrophoresis and sequencing). Serum endpoints were a panel of cytokines and high-sensitivity C-reactive protein.

RESULTS

Seventeen subjects completed the entire study. The synbiotic intervention fostered a significantly different fecal stream bacterial community than did either the prebiotic (P = 0.032) or the probiotic (P = 0.001) intervention alone, in part because of a greater proportion of patients harboring fecal Lachnospiraceae spp. These changes developed in the absence of any significant differences in fecal chemistry. There were no differences in epithelial kinetics.

CONCLUSIONS

This synbiotic supplementation with B. lactis and resistant starch, in the doses used, induced unique changes in fecal microflora but did not significantly alter any other fecal, serum, or epithelial variables. This trial was registered in the Australian New Zealand Clinical Trials Registry at www.anzctr.org.au as ACTRN012606000115538.