Immunogenicity of Current and Next-Generation Pneumococcal Conjugate Vaccines in Children: Current Challenges and Upcoming Opportunities

Global use of pneumococcal conjugate vaccines (PCVs) with increasingly broader serotype coverage has helped to reduce the burden of pneumococcal disease in children and adults. In clinical studies comparing PCVs, higher-valency PCVs have met noninferiority criteria (based on immunoglobulin G geometric mean concentrations and response rates) for most shared serotypes. A numeric trend of declining immunogenicity against shared serotypes with higher-valency PCVs has also been observed; however, the clinical relevance is uncertain, warranting additional research to evaluate the effectiveness of new vaccines. Novel conjugation processes, carriers, adjuvants, and vaccine platforms are approaches that could help maintain or improve immunogenicity and subsequent vaccine effectiveness while achieving broader protection with increasing valency in pneumococcal vaccines.

Extending the vision of adaptive point-of-care platform trials to improve targeted use of drug therapy regimens: An agile approach in the learning healthcare system toolkit

OBJECTIVES

Improving the targeted use of drug regimens requires robust real-world evidence (RWE) to address the uncertainties that remain regarding their real-world performance following market entry. However, challenges in the current state of RWE production limit its impact on clinical decisions, as well as its operational scalability and sustainability. We propose an adaptive point-of-care (APoC) platform trial as an approach to RWE production that improves both clinical and operational efficiencies.

METHODS AND FINDINGS

We explored design innovations, operational challenges, and infrastructure needs within a multi-stakeholder consortium to evaluate the potential of an APoC platform trial for studying chronic disease treatment regimens using rheumatoid arthritis as a case study. The concept integrates elements from adaptive clinical trials (dynamic treatment regimen strategies) and point-of-care trials (research embedded into routine clinical care) under a perpetual platform infrastructure. The necessary components to implement an APoC platform trial within outpatient settings exist, and present an opportunity for a cross-disciplinary, multi-stakeholder approach. Effective engagement of key stakeholders involved in and impacted by the platform is critical to success. Our collaborative design process identified three high-impact stakeholder-engagement areas: (1) focus on research question(s), (2) design and implementation planning such that it is feasible and fit-for-purpose, and (3) measurement, or meaningful metrics for both clinical (patient outcomes) and system (operational efficiencies) impact.

CONCLUSIONS

An APoC platform trial for rheumatoid arthritis integrating innovative design elements in a scalable infrastructure has the potential to reduce important uncertainties about the real-world performance of biomedical innovations and improve clinical decisions.

ACE inhibitor or ARB treatment among patients with diabetes and chronic kidney disease

OBJECTIVES

Many patients with type 2 diabetes (T2D) and chronic kidney disease (CKD) experience a delay in treatment or fail to initiate treatment with guideline-recommended angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors (ACEis) or angiotensin receptor blockers (ARBs) after CKD diagnosis. This study aimed to describe treatment patterns and treatment initiation after initial CKD diagnosis among patients with T2D.

STUDY DESIGN

Retrospective analysis using data from the Optum Clinformatics Data Mart administrative claims database (January 2014-September 2018).

METHODS

Adult patients with T2D entered the cohort if they met the criteria for CKD, defined as 2 laboratory test results 90 to 365 days apart (January 2014-September 2017) indicating CKD. Included were patients with no prior use of ACEis or ARBs or evidence of kidney disease in the 365 days prior to cohort entry (baseline). Patients were followed for a maximum of 365 days and were censored on death, disenrollment, or end of data. Patient demographics, comorbidities, and medication use were assessed at baseline, and treatments were assessed over a 1-year followup period. Multivariate logistic regression was used to identify factors associated with ACEi or ARB initiation.

RESULTS

Among 15,400 eligible patients without prior ACEi or ARB treatment, only 17% initiated such therapy within a year after meeting CKD criteria. Patients who were White, resided in the northeastern United States, had more comorbidities, had less advanced albuminuria, or used sodium-glucose cotransporter 2 inhibitors were less likely to initiate treatment.

CONCLUSIONS

A large proportion of patients with T2D meeting criteria for CKD do not initiate the recommended therapy within 1 year of CKD diagnosis, highlighting a need for new therapies that can slow the progression of CKD.

Chronic kidney disease progression among patients with type 2 diabetes identified in US administrative claims: a population cohort study

BACKGROUND

Chronic kidney disease (CKD), one of the most common complications of type 2 diabetes (T2D), is associated with poor health outcomes and high healthcare expenditures. As the CKD population increases, a better understanding of the prevalence and progression of CKD is critical. However, few contemporary studies have explored the progression of CKD relative to its onset in T2D patients using established markers derived from real-world care settings.

METHODS

This retrospective, population-based cohort study assessed CKD progression among adults with T2D and with newly recognized CKD identified from US administrative claims data between 1 January 2008 and 30 September 2018. Included were patients with T2D and laboratory evidence of CKD as indicated by the established estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) and urine albumin:creatinine ratio (UACR) criteria. Disease progression was described as transitions across the eGFR- and UACR-based stages.

RESULTS

A total of 65 731 and 23 035 patients with T2D contributed to the analysis of eGFR- and UACR-based CKD stage progression, respectively. CKD worsening was observed in approximately 10-17% of patients over a median follow-up of 2 years. Approximately one-third of patients experienced an increase in eGFR values or a decrease in UACR values during follow-up.

CONCLUSIONS

A relatively high proportion of patients were observed with disease progression over a short period of time, highlighting the need for better identification of patients at risk of rapidly progressive CKD. Future studies are needed to determine the clinical characteristics of these patients to inform earlier diagnostic and therapeutic interventions aimed at slowing disease progression.

Cardiovascular and Renal Outcomes in Patients with Type-2 Diabetes and Chronic Kidney Disease Identified in a United States Administrative Claims Database: A Population Cohort Study

INTRODUCTION

CKD, a common complication of type-2 diabetes (T2D), causes considerable disease burden. Patients with T2D and CKD are considered high-risk for complications; however, studies describing patients with T2D and incident CKD identified from real-world data using the diagnostic gold-standard criteria - estimated glomerular filtration rate and urine albumin-to-creatinine ratio (UACR) - are scarce.

METHODS

In this population-based cohort study, we sought to estimate the rates of cardiovascular and renal outcomes among patients with T2D and CKD by comorbidity subgroups and CKD severity. Patients were sampled between 2008 and 2017 from de-identified US administrative claims enriched with laboratory data. Analyses were stratified by prevalent heart failure (HF), anemia, and resistant hypertension and the KDIGO categories at index.

RESULTS

We identified 106,369 patients with T2D and incident CKD. The rate of all-cause hospitalization was 189 [95% CI: 187, 191] per 1,000 person-years with cardiovascular-related hospitalizations being more frequent than kidney-related outcomes. The rate of acute kidney failure was 77.3 [95% CI: 76.2, 78.5] per 1,000 person-years. Patients with HF experienced a 4-times higher rate for cardiovascular events compared to those without. Rates of hospitalization increased from 5- to 6-fold with increasing KDIGO severity.

CONCLUSIONS

Multimorbidity and advance stages of CKD increase the risk of cardiovascular and renal complications among patients with T2D diabetes. Earlier CKD diagnosis as well as interventions and coordinated care addressing other comorbid conditions present at diagnosis may reduce the overall disease burden in this population.

Chronic opioid use and complication risks in women with endometriosis: A cohort study in US administrative claims

Background

Women with endometriosis are prescribed opioids for pain relief but may be vulnerable to chronic opioid use given their comorbidity profile.

Methods

A cohort study was conducted in the Clinformatics™ DataMart database between 2006 and 2017 comparing women aged 18–50 years with endometriosis (N = 36 373) to those without (N = 2 172 936) in terms of risk of chronic opioid use, opioid dependence diagnosis, and opioid overdose. Chronic opioid use was defined as ≥120 days' supply dispensed or ≥10 fills of an opioid during any 365‐day interval. Among women with endometriosis, we evaluated factors associated with higher risk of chronic opioid use and quantified the risk of complications associated with the use of opioids.

Results

Women with endometriosis were at greater risk for chronic opioid use (OR: 3.76; 95%CI: 3.57–3.96), dependence (OR: 2.73, 95%CI: 2.38–3.13) and overdose (OR: 4.34, 95%CI: 3.06–6.15) compared to women without. Chronic users displayed dose escalation and increase in days supplied over time, as well as co‐prescribing with benzodiazepines and sedatives. Approximately 34% of chronic users developed constipation, 20% experienced falls, and 8% reported dizziness. Among endometriosis patients, women in younger age groups, those with other comorbidities associated with pain symptoms, as well as those with depression or anxiety were at a higher risk of developing chronic opioid use.

Conclusions

Women with endometriosis had a four times greater risk of chronic opioid use compared to women without. Multimorbidity among these patients was associated with the elevated risk of chronic opioid use and should be taken into account during treatment selection.

Outcomes Associated With Oral Anticoagulants Plus Antiplatelets in Patients With Newly Diagnosed Atrial Fibrillation

IMPORTANCE

Patients with nonvalvular atrial fibrillation at risk of stroke should receive oral anticoagulants (OAC). However, approximately 1 in 8 patients in the Global Anticoagulant Registry in the Field (GARFIELD-AF) registry are treated with antiplatelet (AP) drugs in addition to OAC, with or without documented vascular disease or other indications for AP therapy.

OBJECTIVE

To investigate baseline characteristics and outcomes of patients who were prescribed OAC plus AP therapy vs OAC alone.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

Prospective cohort study of the GARFIELD-AF registry, an international, multicenter, observational study of adults aged 18 years and older with recently diagnosed nonvalvular atrial fibrillation and at least 1 risk factor for stroke enrolled between March 2010 and August 2016. Data were extracted for analysis in October 2017 and analyzed from April 2018 to June 2019.

EXPOSURE

Participants received either OAC plus AP or OAC alone.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES

Clinical outcomes were measured over 3 and 12 months. Outcomes were adjusted for 40 covariates, including baseline conditions and medications.

RESULTS

A total of 24 436 patients (13 438 [55.0%] male; median [interquartile range] age, 71 [64-78] years) were analyzed. Among eligible patients, those receiving OAC plus AP therapy had a greater prevalence of cardiovascular indications for AP, including acute coronary syndromes (22.0% vs 4.3%), coronary artery disease (39.1% vs 9.8%), and carotid occlusive disease (4.8% vs 2.0%). Over 1 year, patients treated with OAC plus AP had significantly higher incidence rates of stroke (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR], 1.49; 95% CI, 1.01-2.20) and any bleeding event (aHR, 1.41; 95% CI, 1.17-1.70) than those treated with OAC alone. These patients did not show evidence of reduced all-cause mortality (aHR, 1.22; 95% CI, 0.98-1.51). Risk of acute coronary syndrome was not reduced in patients taking OAC plus AP compared with OAC alone (aHR, 1.16; 95% CI, 0.70-1.94). Patients treated with OAC plus AP also had higher rates of all clinical outcomes than those treated with OAC alone over the short term (3 months).

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE

This study challenges the practice of coprescribing OAC plus AP unless there is a clear indication for adding AP to OAC therapy in newly diagnosed atrial fibrillation.

Implementation of the uterine fibroids Option Grid patient decision aids across five organizational settings: a randomized stepped-wedge study protocol

BACKGROUND

Uterine fibroids are non-cancerous overgrowths of the smooth muscle in the uterus. As they grow, some cause problems such as heavy menstrual bleeding, pelvic pain, discomfort during sexual intercourse, and rarely pregnancy complications or difficulty becoming pregnant. Multiple treatment options are available. The lack of comparative evidence demonstrating superiority of any one treatment means that choosing the best option is sensitive to individual preferences. Women with fibroids wish to consider treatment trade-offs. Tools known as patient decision aids (PDAs) are effective in increasing patient engagement in the decision-making process. However, the implementation of PDAs in routine care remains challenging. Our aim is to use a multi-component implementation strategy to implement the uterine fibroids Option Grid™ PDAs at five organizational settings in the USA.

METHODS

We will conduct a randomized stepped-wedge implementation study where five sites will be randomized to implement the uterine fibroid Option Grid PDA in practice at different time points. Implementation will be guided by the Consolidated Framework for Implementation Research (CFIR) and Normalization Process Theory (NPT). There will be a 6-month pre-implementation phase, a 2-month initiation phase where participating clinicians will receive training and be introduced to the Option Grid PDAs (available in text, picture, or online formats), and a 6-month active implementation phase where clinicians will be expected to use the PDAs with patients who are assigned female sex at birth, are at least 18 years of age, speak fluent English or Spanish, and have new or recurrent symptoms of uterine fibroids. We will exclude postmenopausal patients. Our primary outcome measure is the number of eligible patients who receive the Option Grid PDAs. We will use logistic and linear regression analyses to compare binary and continuous quantitative outcome measures (including survey scores and Option Grid use) between the pre- and active implementation phases while adjusting for patient and clinician characteristics.

DISCUSSION

This study may help identify the factors that impact the implementation and sustained use of a PDA in clinic workflow from various stakeholder perspectives while helping patients with uterine fibroids make treatment decisions that align with their preferences.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

Clinicaltrials.gov , NCT03985449. Registered 13 July 2019, https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT03985449.

Comparative effectiveness of uterine fibroids procedures using linked medical record and claims data

AIMS

To compare durability of uterus-conserving procedures for symptomatic fibroids in terms of incidence and time to subsequent procedures.

PATIENTS & METHODS

We conducted a retrospective database study of 2648 patients having a uterus-conserving procedure for uterine fibroids from 2005 to 2011 with a minimum of 2 years follow-up.

RESULTS

Patients with myomectomy or uterine artery embolization as their index procedure had lower risk of a subsequent procedure during the study compared with patients who underwent endometrial ablation.

CONCLUSION

While subject to known limitations of using electronic medical record and administrative claims data, this research provides additional evidence regarding expectations for time to subsequent procedures that may be helpful for women and their healthcare providers to consider when making treatment choices.

The GRACE Checklist: A Validated Assessment Tool for High Quality Observational Studies of Comparative Effectiveness

BACKGROUND

Recognizing the growing need for robust evidence about treatment effectiveness in real-world populations, the Good Research for Comparative Effectiveness (GRACE) guidelines have been developed for noninterventional studies of comparative effectiveness to determine which studies are sufficiently rigorous to be reliable enough for use in health technology assessments.

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate which aspects of the GRACE Checklist contribute most strongly to recognition of quality.

METHODS

We assembled 28 observational comparative effectiveness articles published from 2001 to 2010 that compared treatment effectiveness and/or safety of drugs, medical devices, and medical procedures. Twenty-two volunteers from academia, pharmaceutical companies, and government agencies applied the GRACE Checklist to those articles, providing 56 assessments. Ten senior academic and industry experts provided assessments of overall article quality for the purpose of decision support. We also rated each article based on the number of annual citations and impact factor of the journal in which the article was published. To identify checklist items that were most predictive of quality, classification and regression tree (CART) analysis, a binary, recursive, partitioning methodology, was used to create 3 decision trees, which compared the 56 article assessments with 3 external quality outcomes: (1) expert assessment of overall quality, (2) citation frequency, and (3) impact factor. A fourth tree looked at the composite outcome of all 3 quality indicators.

RESULTS

The best predictors of quality included the following: use of concurrent comparators, limiting the study to new initiators of the study drug, equivalent measurement of outcomes in study groups, collecting data on most if not all known confounders or effect modifiers, accounting for immortal time bias in the analysis, and use of sensitivity analyses to test how much effect estimates depended on various assumptions. Only sensitivity analyses appeared consistently as a predictor of quality in all 4 trees. When a composite outcome of the 3 quality measures was used, the GRACE Checklist showed high sensitivity and specificity (71.43% and 80.95%, respectively).

CONCLUSIONS

The GRACE Checklist stands out from other consensus-driven and expert guidance documents because of its extensive validation efforts. This most recent work shows that the checklist has strong sensitivity and specificity, increasing its utility as a screening tool to identify high-quality observational comparative effectiveness research worthy of in-depth review and applicability for decision support.

DISCLOSURES

No outside funding supported this research. All authors are full-time employees of Quintiles, which provides research and consulting services to the biopharmaceutical industry. The authors have no other disclosures to report. Two of the 3 CART trees were presented at the International Society of Pharmacepidemiology in 2015 ("Article Citations per Year" and "Journal Impact Factor"). The original validation study was published in the March 2014 issue of the Journal of Managed Care & Specialty Pharmacy. The checklist questions and scoring were included using a table that was originally published by this journal in 2014. Study concept and design were primarily contributed by Dreyer and Velentgas, along with Bryant. Bryant took the lead in data collection and analysis, along with Dreyer and Velentgas, and data interpretation was performed by Dreyer, Velentgas, and Bryant. The manuscript was written and revised primarily by Dreyer, along with Bryant and Velentgas.

A call for comparative effectiveness research to learn whether routine clinical care decisions can protect from dementia and cognitive decline

Common diseases like diabetes, hypertension, and atrial fibrillation are probable risk factors for dementia, suggesting that their treatments may influence the risk and rate of cognitive and functional decline. Moreover, specific therapies and medications may affect long-term brain health through mechanisms that are independent of their primary indication. While surgery, benzodiazepines, and anti-cholinergic drugs may accelerate decline or even raise the risk of dementia, other medications act directly on the brain to potentially slow the pathology that underlies Alzheimer’s and other dementia. In other words, the functional and cognitive decline in vulnerable patients may be influenced by the choice of treatments for other medical conditions. Despite the importance of these questions, very little research is available. The Alzheimer’s Drug Discovery Foundation convened an advisory panel to discuss the existing evidence and to recommend strategies to accelerate the development of comparative effectiveness research on how choices in the clinical care of common chronic diseases may protect from cognitive decline and dementia.

Persistence with Medications in Glaucoma Management, Hypertension, and Dyslipidemia

Objective:

To summarize pharmacy database studies of persistence with ocular hypotensives and review the literature of adherence with 2 additional classes of medication—antihypertensives and antihyperlipidemics—comparing methods used to analyze adherence in the 3 treatment areas.

Data Sources:

A search of MEDLINE (1990–2004) was conducted, using search terms designed to identify English-language articles describing adherence or persistence with any of the 3 drug classes of interest.

Study Selection and Data Extraction:

All articles identified through MEDLINE were reviewed and screened for use of an automated pharmacy database as an information source, quantitative results provided, and follow-up duration of at least 90 days. Details of methods used to estimate adherence or persistence and estimates of persistence with ocular hypotensive therapy, antihypertensives, and lipid-lowering agents were extracted.

Data Synthesis:

All studies describing the use of ocular hypotensives, and the majority of studies in the other treatment areas, identified inception cohorts of drug initiators. Use of survival analysis techniques to analyze adherence to medication therapy was less common in the hypertension and hyperlipidemia treatment adherence literature than in literature about glaucoma. In the treatment of hypertension, use of angiotensin II receptor antagonists or angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors was associated with higher levels of adherence. Statins in treatment of hyperlipidemia and topical prostaglandins as ocular hypotensive medications were also associated with higher levels of adherence.

Conclusions:

Findings regarding the relative superiority of specific drug classes were consistent within each therapeutic area, with less consistency in identifying other predictors of adherence. Increased use of survival analysis in future studies of persistence might improve comparability of results across studies.

RiGOR: a prospective observational study comparing the effectiveness of treatment strategies for open-angle glaucoma

Aims: The RigOR study was designed to assess comparative effectiveness of medications, laser trabeculoplasty and incisional surgery in patients with open-angle glaucoma (OAG) in the community initiating a new or additional course of therapy as judged necessary by their ophthalmologist. This paper focuses specifically on demographic and clinical characteristics of OAG patients at enrollment. Patients & methods: A total of 2597 with OAG already on medical therapy were enrolled from 45 community and academic practices throughout the USA. Results: Overall, 784 (30%) patients were treated with laser surgery, 436 with other surgical procedures (17%), and 1377 with additional medication (53%). Patients had mild (35%) or moderate (31%) glaucoma, with 28% with severe glaucoma. Conclusion: The RiGOR study enrolled a diverse population and will provide valuable information regarding visual function and treatment patterns among different racial/ethnic populations. African–American and Hispanic patients entered the study with poorer visual acuity and more severe glaucoma.

Characterization of Missing Data in Clinical Registry Studies

Patterns of missing data are seldom well-characterized in observational research. This study examined the magnitude of, and factors associated with, missing data across multiple observational studies. Missingness was evaluated for demographic, clinical, and patient-reported outcome (PRO) data from a procedure registry (TOPS), a rare disease (cystic fibrosis) registry (Port-CF), and a comparative effectiveness registry (glaucoma, RiGOR). Generalized linear mixed effects models were fit to assess whether patient characteristics or follow-up methods predicted missingness. Data from 156,707 surgical procedures, 32,118 cystic fibrosis patients, and 2373 glaucoma patients were analyzed. Data were rarely missing for demographics, treatments, and outcomes. Missingness for clinical variables varied by registry and measure and depended on whether a variable was required. Within RiGOR, PRO forms were missing more often when collected by e-mail compared with office-based paper data collection. In Port-CF, missingness varied based on insurance status and sex. Strategic consideration of operational approaches affecting missing data should be performed prior to data collection and assessed periodically during study conduct.

Impact of treatment strategies for open angle glaucoma on intraocular pressure: the RiGOR study

AIMS

The RiGOR study's primary outcome measure was a 15% reduction in intraocular pressure (IOP) for patients with open-angle glaucoma at 1 year.

METHODS

Patients received treatment according to the ophthalmologist's usual practice.

RESULTS

A higher proportion of patients in the incisional and other surgery group achieved a 15% reduction in IOP than in the laser surgery or additional medication groups (82, 57, and 57% respectively). In multivariate regression analyses, incisional surgery patients were 2.7-times as likely as patients treated with additional medication to achieve a 15% reduction in IOP (odds ratio: 2.67; 95% CI: 2.01-3.57).

CONCLUSION

Incisional and other surgical procedures are effective treatments. There were no differences in treatment response by race or ethnicity.

Quality of life and visual acuity outcomes in the Registry in Glaucoma Outcomes Research study

AIMS

The RiGOR study evaluated the association of treatment and patient-reported outcomes for open-angle glaucoma patients.

METHODS

The Glaucoma Symptom Scale (National Eye Institute-Visual Function Questionnaire (NEI-VFQ) and visual acuity (VA) were collected as quality of life measures.

RESULTS

The proportion of patients with improvement of at least two lines of vision was highest in the incisional surgery group (14.2% compared with 9.9% for laser surgery and 10.9% for additional medication).

CONCLUSION

No clinically relevant differences were seen in benefit for the laser surgery or incisional surgery groups compared with additional medications for the Glaucoma Symptom Scale or NEI-VFQ measures or subscales. Differences in quality of life by race need to be explored in further studies.

Practice patterns and treatment changes for open-angle glaucoma: the RiGOR study

AIMS

The RiGOR study provides a current picture of the types of glaucoma treatment over 12 months.

METHODS

Patients were identified and enrolled at the time of decision to proceed with laser surgery procedure or other procedure such as incisional surgery or drainage device implantation, or initiation of a new or additional course of therapy with medication for glaucoma treatment.

RESULTS

The most frequent type of treatments were prostaglandin analogues (60%) among patients with additional medication, selective laser trabeculoplasty (87%) among patients with laser surgery and trabeculectomy (57%) among patients with incisional surgery.

CONCLUSION

For 36% of patients, a treatment cascade involves two or more therapies over a year. This demonstrates the complex nature of open-angle glaucoma treatment.

The GRACE checklist for rating the quality of observational studies of comparative effectiveness: a tale of hope and caution

BACKGROUND

While there is growing demand for information about comparative effectiveness (CE), there is substantial debate about whether and when observational studies have sufficient quality to support decision making.

OBJECTIVE

To develop and test an item checklist that can be used to qualify those observational CE studies sufficiently rigorous in design and execution to contribute meaningfully to the evidence base for decision support.

METHODS

An 11-item checklist about data and methods (the GRACE checklist) was developed through literature review and consultation with experts from professional societies, payer groups, the private sector, and academia. Since no single gold standard exists for validation, checklist item responses were compared with 3 different types of external quality ratings (N=88 articles). The articles compared treatment effectiveness and/or safety of drugs, medical devices, and medical procedures. We validated checklist item responses 3 ways against external quality ratings, using published articles of observational CE or safety studies: (a) Systematic Review-quality assessment from a published systematic review; (b) Single Expert Review-quality assessment made according to the solicited "expert opinion" of a senior researcher; and (c) Concordant Expert Review-quality assessments from 2 experts for which there was concordance. Volunteers (N=113) from 5 continents completed 280 article assessments using the checklist. Positive and negative predictive values (PPV, NPV, respectively) of individual items were estimated to compare testers' assessments with those of experts.

RESULTS

Taken as a whole, the scale had better NPV than PPV, for both data and methods. The most consistent predictor of quality relates to the validity of the primary outcomes measurement for the study purpose. Other consistent markers of quality relate to using concurrent comparators, minimizing the effects of bias by prudent choice of covariates, and using sensitivity analysis to test robustness of results. Concordance of expert opinion on the quality of the rated articles was 52%; most checklist items performed better.

CONCLUSIONS

The 11-item GRACE checklist provides guidance to help determine which observational studies of CE have used strong scientific methods and good data that are fit for purpose and merit consideration for decision making. The checklist contains a parsimonious set of elements that can be objectively assessed in published studies, and user testing shows that it can be successfully applied to studies of drugs, medical devices, and clinical and surgical interventions. Although no scoring is provided, study reports that rate relatively well across checklist items merit in-depth examination to understand applicability, effect size, and likelihood of residual bias. The current testing and validation efforts did not achieve clear discrimination between studies fit for purpose and those not, but we have identified a critical, though remediable, limitation in our approach. Not specifying a specific granular decision for evaluation, or not identifying a single study objective in reports that included more than one, left reviewers with too broad an assessment challenge. We believe that future efforts will be more successful if reviewers are asked to focus on a specific objective or question. Despite the challenges encountered in this testing, an agreed upon set of assessment elements, checklists, or score cards is critical for the maturation of this field. Substantial resources will be expended on studies of real-world effectiveness, and if the rigor of these observational assessments cannot be assessed, then the impact of the studies will be suboptimal. Similarly, agreement on key elements of quality will ensure that budgets are appropriately directed toward those elements. Given the importance of this task and the lessons learned from these extensive efforts at validation and user testing, we are optimistic about the potential for improved assessments that can be used for diverse situations by people with a wide range of experience and training. Future testing would benefit by directing reviewers to address a single, granular research question, which would avoid problems that arose by using the checklist to evaluate multiple objectives, by using other types of validation test sets, and by employing further multivariate analysis to see if any combination or sequence of item responses has particularly high predictive validity.

A prospective observational safety study on MF59(®) adjuvanted cell culture-derived vaccine, Celtura(®) during the A/H1N1 (2009) influenza pandemic

BACKGROUND

The present study was a prospective observational study to evaluate the safety profile of Celtura(®), a monovalent, cell culture-derived, inactivated subunit influenza vaccine prepared from A/California/07/2009(H1N1) with the adjuvant MF59(®). Subjects were enrolled prospectively during the H1N1 2009 influenza pandemic at medical centres in Colombia, Chile, Switzerland, and Germany during the period December 2009 to June 2010.

METHODS

Subjects ages 18 and older were followed for the occurrence of adverse events (AEs) for six months after vaccination. Adverse events of special interest (AESIs) were neuritis, convulsion (seizure), anaphylaxis, encephalitis, vasculitis, Guillain-Barre syndrome, demyelinating conditions, Bell's palsy, and laboratory-confirmed vaccination failure.

RESULTS

Overall, 7348 AEs were reported in 2296 of 3989 enrolled subjects (57.6%). Only two AEs were considered related to injection site reactions. No laboratory-confirmed cases of influenza were reported. There were 108 medically confirmed serious adverse events (SAEs) reported among 73 subjects with 6 such SAEs described as possibly or probably related to vaccination. Three fatal cases were reported and assessed as not related to vaccination. Two AESIs classified as convulsion were reported and assessed as not related to vaccination. Both AESIs occurred well outside the pre-specified 7 day risk window representing the likely timeframe of the occurrence of seizure following vaccination.

CONCLUSIONS

The results of this study support the overall good safety profile of MF59 adjuvanted cell culture-derived influenza vaccine as administered in adults during the 2009-2010 H1N1 influenza pandemic. No concern is raised regarding the occurrence of AESIs.

Incorporating stakeholder perspectives in developing a translation table framework for comparative effectiveness research

This project used a stakeholder-driven process to understand the factors that drive the selection of study designs for comparative effectiveness research (CER). The project assembled a diverse stakeholder committee to explore the basis of a translation framework and gathered input through surveys, interviews and an in-person meeting. Stakeholders recommended different study designs for the CER topic areas and identified different outcomes as the most important outcomes to study in each area. During the discussions, stakeholders described a variety of factors that influenced their study design recommendations. The stakeholder activities resulted in the identification of several key themes, including the need to have a highly specific detailed research question before discussing appropriate designs and the need to use multiple studies, potentially of different designs, to address the CER topic areas. The insights and themes from this project may inform efforts to develop a translation table.

A distributed research network model for post-marketing safety studies: the Meningococcal Vaccine Study

PURPOSE

We describe a multi-center post-marketing safety study that uses distributed data methods to minimize the need for covered entities to share protected health information (PHI). Implementation has addressed several issues relevant to creation of a large scale post-marketing drug safety surveillance system envisioned by the FDA's Sentinel Initiative.

METHODS

This retrospective cohort study of Guillain-Barré syndrome (GBS) following meningococcal conjugate vaccination incorporates the data and analytic expertise of five research organizations closely affiliated with US health insurers. The study uses administrative claims data, plus review of full text medical records to adjudicate the status of individuals with a diagnosis code for GBS (ICD9 357.0). A distributed network approach is used to create the analysis files and to perform most aspects of the analysis, allowing nearly all of the data to remain behind institutional firewalls. Pooled analysis files transferred to a central site will contain one record per person for approximately 0.2% of the study population, and contain PHI limited to the month and year of GBS onset for cases or the index date for matched controls.

RESULTS

The first planned data extraction identified over 9 million eligible adolescents in the target age range of 11-21 years. They contributed an average of 14 months of eligible time on study over 27 months of calendar time. MCV4 vaccination coverage levels exceeded 20% among 17-18-year olds and 16% among 11-13 and 14-16-year-old age groups by the second quarter of 2007.

CONCLUSION

This study demonstrates the feasibility of using a distributed data network approach to perform large scale post-marketing safety analyses and is scalable to include additional organizations and data sources. We believe these results can inform the development of a large national surveillance system.

Life expectancy in Gaucher disease type 1

We estimated life expectancy at birth for Gaucher disease type 1 (GD1) patients by comparing survival data from GD1 patients enrolled in ICGG Gaucher Registry to the U.S. population using standard life table methods. 2,876 GD1 patients had 102 reported deaths in 13,509 person-years of follow-up. Estimated life expectancy at birth was 68 y, compared with 77 y in reference population; splenectomized patients, 64 y; nonsplenectomized, 72 y. Causes of death for 63/102 patients were malignancy (17/63), cardiovascular (11/63), and cerebrovascular (8/63). Estimated life expectancy at birth for GD1 patients was approximately 9 y less than reference population. Malignancies did not contribute to shortened life expectancy.

Cardiovascular risk of selective cyclooxygenase-2 inhibitors and other non-aspirin non-steroidal anti-inflammatory medications

PURPOSE

The purpose of this study was to estimate rates of acute coronary syndrome (ACS), and sudden cardiac death in relation to use of rofecoxib, celecoxib, naproxen, diclofenac, and ibuprofen.

METHODS

We conducted a retrospective cohort study among 424,584 health plan enrollees ages 40-64 who used non-aspirin non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs (NANSAIDs) by prescription from 1999 to 2001. We used automated medical and pharmacy claims data to compute person-time exposed to study drugs, and to identify hospitalizations for ACS. The primary endpoint was ACS, inclusive of myocardial infarction (MI), unstable angina, and sudden cardiac death as identified through claims data and confirmed through hospital medical records, or through the National Death Index.

RESULTS

Compared with ibuprofen or diclofenac use, the relative risk (RR) of ACS during periods of current rofecoxib use was 1.35 (95%CI 1.09-1.68). For current use of celecoxib, the RR was 1.03 (95%CI 0.83-1.27). Risks in the first 30 days of rofecoxib and celecoxib use were modestly elevated. Rofecoxib use at the 25 mg/day (modal) dose was associated with an elevated risk of ACS (RR 1.54, 95%CI 1.15-2.04), while use at 26-50 mg/day (>modal) was not (RR 0.81, 95%CI 0.41-1.60). There were no increased risks with modal or greater than modal doses of celecoxib or naproxen compared with all doses of ibuprofen or diclofenac combined.

CONCLUSIONS

The incidence of ACS was 1.35 times greater during rofecoxib use than use of ibuprofen or diclofenac. No statistically significant elevation in risk was observed with celecoxib use. Naproxen use was not associated with risk of ACS.

Severe vascular events in migraine patients

OBJECTIVE

To estimate rates of vascular events in relation to dispensing of triptans and ergot alkaloids among migraineurs, and to compare these rates with those of nonmigraineurs.

CONTEXT

It has been speculated that the use of triptans or ergot alkaloid drugs might increase risk of ischemic events through vasoconstriction.

DESIGN

A retrospective cohort study of 130,411 migraineurs and 130,411 age-, sex-, and health plan-matched nonmigraineurs who were members of UnitedHealthcare during 1995 through 1999. The data source for this study was Ingenix's research database containing pharmacy and medical claims for UnitedHealthcare members, and the National Death Index.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Incidence of cardiovascular and cerebrovascular events and mortality.

RESULTS

Migraineurs and nonmigraineurs had identical rates of myocardial infarction: 1.4 per 1000 person-years. Migraineurs were 67% more likely to suffer a stroke than nonmigraineurs (adjusted relative risk [RR] 1.67, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.31-2.13), and had higher rates of unstable angina and transient ischemic attacks. There was no increase in risk of myocardial infarction with current (adjusted RR 0.80, 95% CI 0.58-1.11) or recent (adjusted RR 1.15, 95% CI 0.71-1.87) triptan use. Neither current (adjusted RR 0.90, 95% CI 0.64-1.26) nor recent (adjusted RR 0.84, 95% CI 0.46-1.55) triptan use was associated with risk of stroke. Current users of ergot alkaloids were somewhat more likely to have a stroke than other migraineurs (adjusted RR 1.49, 95% CI 0.93-2.41), but there was no dose-response relationship.

CONCLUSIONS

Use of triptans is not associated with increased risk of any ischemic events, including myocardial infarction and stroke, or mortality. Consistent with previous studies, migraineurs in general have an elevated risk of stroke, but not myocardial infarction, compared with nonmigraineurs.

Diabetes mellitus: subclinical cardiovascular disease and risk of incident cardiovascular disease and all-cause mortality

Previously diagnosed diabetes mellitus, newly diagnosed diabetes mellitus, and impaired glucose tolerance are important determinants of the risk of clinical cardiovascular disease (CVD). We have evaluated the relation of patients with subclinical CVD, diabetes, and impaired glucose tolerance and "normal" subjects and the risk of clinical CVD in the Cardiovascular Health Study. Diabetes (1343), impaired glucose tolerance (1433), and normal (2421) were defined by World Health Organization criteria at baseline in 1989 to 1990. The average follow-up was 6.4 years (mean age 73 years). Diabetics had a higher prevalence of clinical and subclinical CVD at baseline. Compared with diabetes in the absence of subclinical disease, the presence of subclinical CVD and diabetes was associated with significant increased adjusted relative risk of death (1.5, CI 0.93 to 2.41), relative risk of incident coronary heart disease (1.99, CI 1.25 to 3.19), and incident myocardial infarction (1.93, CI 0.96 to 3.91). The risk of clinical events was greater for participants with a history of diabetes compared with newly diagnosed diabetics at baseline. Compared with nondiabetic nonhypertensive subjects without subclinical disease, patients with a combination of diabetes, hypertension, and subclinical disease had a 12-fold increased risk of stroke. Fasting blood glucose levels were a weak predictor of incident coronary heart disease as were most other risk factors. Subclinical CVD was the primary determinant of clinical CVD among diabetics in the Cardiovascular Health Study.

Pregnancy after breast carcinoma: outcomes and influence on mortality

BACKGROUND

To the authors' knowledge, no previous studies have identified an adverse effect of pregnancy on patient survival after breast carcinoma. However, results are difficult to interpret because of failure to control for stage of disease at the time the pregnancy occurred.

METHODS

Study participants were women diagnosed with invasive breast carcinoma between 1983-1992 who previously had participated in a population-based case-control study or, if deceased, proxy respondents. Information regarding subsequent pregnancies was obtained by self-administered questionnaire or telephone interview. Information regarding breast carcinoma recurrences was obtained by questionnaire and from cancer registry abstracts. Women who became pregnant after a diagnosis of breast carcinoma (n = 53) were matched with women without subsequent pregnancies based on stage of disease at diagnosis and a recurrence free survival time in the comparison women greater than or equal to the interval between breast carcinoma diagnosis and onset of pregnancy in the women with a subsequent pregnancy.

RESULTS

Sixty-eight percent of women who became pregnant after being diagnosed with breast carcinoma delivered one or more live-born infants. Miscarriages occurred in 24% of the patients who became pregnant compared with 18% of the controls (women without breast carcinoma) of similar ages from the case-control study. Five of the 53 women who had been pregnant after breast carcinoma died of the disease. The age-adjusted relative risk (RR) of death associated with any subsequent pregnancy was 0.8 (95% confidence interval [95% CI], 0.3-2.3). All five deaths occurred among the 36 women who had a live birth (age-adjusted RR = 1.1; 95% CI, 0.4-3.7).

CONCLUSIONS

The findings of the current study are based on a small number of deaths but do not suggest that pregnancy after a diagnosis of breast carcinoma has an adverse effect on survival.

Variation in mammographic breast density by time in menstrual cycle among women aged 40-49 years

BACKGROUND

Mammography is less effective for women aged 40-49 years than for older women, which has led to a call for research to improve the performance of screening mammography for younger women. One factor that may influence the performance of mammography is breast density. Younger women have greater mammographic breast density on average, and increased breast density increases the likelihood of false-negative and false-positive mammograms. We investigated whether breast density varies according to time in a woman's menstrual cycle.

METHODS

Premenopausal women aged 40-49 years who were not on exogenous hormones and who had a screening mammogram at a large health maintenance organization during 1996 were studied (n = 2591). Time in the menstrual cycle was based on the woman's self-reported last menstrual bleeding and usual cycle length.

RESULTS

A smaller proportion of women had "extremely dense" breasts during the follicular phase of their menstrual cycle (24% for week 1 and 23% for week 2) than during the luteal phase (28% for both weeks 3 and 4) (two-sided P = .04 for the difference in breast density between the phases, adjusted for body mass index). The relationship was stronger for women whose body mass index was less than or equal to the median (two-sided P<.01), the group who have the greatest breast density.

CONCLUSIONS/IMPLICATIONS

These findings are consistent with previous evidence suggesting that scheduling a woman's mammogram during the follicular phase (first and second week) of her menstrual cycle instead of during the luteal phase (third and fourth week) may improve the accuracy of mammography for premenopausal women in their forties. Breast tissue is less radiographically dense in the follicular phase than in the luteal phase.

Human immunodeficiency virus infection in long-distance truck drivers in east Africa

BACKGROUND

A cross-sectional survey was performed to determine the seroprevalence and correlates of human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) infection among long-distance truck drivers in Kenya.

METHODS

Truck drivers along the Mombasa-Nairobi highway were enrolled at a roadside research clinic. A standardized interview and serologic evaluation for HIV and syphilis were conducted.

RESULTS

We enrolled 970 truck drivers and their assistants of whom 257 (27%) had HIV antibodies. In univariate analysis, HIV infection was correlated with older age, non-Kenyan nationality, Christian religion, longer duration of truck driving, travel outside of Kenya, less frequent visits to wives, and more frequent visits to prostitutes. Uncircumcised status, history of genital ulcer disease or urethritis during the previous 5 years, and a positive Treponema pallidum hemagglutination assay for syphilis were each associated with positive HIV serostatus. Univariate correlates of uncircumcised status included younger age, non-Kenyan nationality, Christian religion, travel outside of Kenya, and less frequent visits to prostitutes. There was a significant association between uncircumcised status and 5-year history of genital ulcer disease or serologic evidence of syphilis, but not with 5-year history of urethritis. In multivariate analysis, HIV infection was independently associated with uncircumcised status (adjusted odds ratio [OR], 4.9; 95% confidence interval [CI], 2.8 to 8.4), history of genital ulcer disease (adjusted OR, 2.4; 95% CI, 1.5 to 4.1), history of urethritis (adjusted OR, 1.8; 95% CI, 1.1 to 2.9), more frequent sex with prostitutes (more than once per month; adjusted OR, 1.7; 95% CI, 1.1 to 2.8), and positive T pallidum hemagglutination assay (adjusted OR, 1.2; 95% CI, 1.0 to 1.4). The attributable risk percentage for the association between HIV and uncircumcised status was 70%, and the population attributable risk was 25%.

CONCLUSIONS

Truck drivers in east Africa are at high risk of HIV infection. The strongest correlates of HIV seropositivity were uncircumcised status and history of both ulcerative and nonulcerative sexually transmitted diseases.

Chronic hypertension, pregnancy-induced hypertension, and low birthweight

We examined the associations between chronic hypertension, pregnancy-induced hypertension, and low birthweight in a retrospective cohort study using Washington birth certificate data. The adjusted prevalence ratio for low birthweight associated with chronic hypertension was 3.9 [95% confidence interval (CI) = 3.4-4.4]. The prevalence ratio for pregnancy-induced hypertension associated with chronic hypertension ranged from 3.6 (95% CI = 3.2-4.1) for primiparous women to 10.7 (95% CI = 8.7-13.2) for multiparous women. The association of chronic hypertension and low birthweight could not be explained by the increased risk of pregnancy-induced hypertension in these women.

Beta-2 microglobulin as a marker of HIV disease status in Nairobi, Kenya

Serum beta-2 microglobulin (beta 2-M) has prognostic value similar to lymphocyte profiles for predicting disease progression in those infected with the human immunodeficiency virus (HIV). However, the relationship between beta 2-M and HIV disease progression among inhabitants of countries with endemic tropical diseases has not been evaluated. To determine the relationship between serum beta 2-M levels and HIV infection and disease status in an African population, serum beta 2-M levels were measured in 369 patients attending a sexually transmitted disease (STD) clinic in Nairobi, Kenya. Mean serum beta 2-M was significantly higher in HIV seropositive than in HIV seronegative individuals. Among HIV infected patients, higher mean beta 2-M levels were observed in those with HIV associated symptoms or laboratory markers of advanced HIV disease. Significant inverse correlations between beta 2-M and the percentage of CD4 lymphocytes or CD4/CD8 ratio were found. These findings suggest that beta 2-M measurements may have prognostic value for HIV infected populations in developing countries.

Adult survivors of childhood sexual abuse and subsequent risk of HIV infection

BACKGROUND

Epidemiologic description of long-term adverse health effects of childhood sexual abuse is lacking, despite estimates that perhaps 30 percent of adults have experienced sexual assault in childhood.

METHODS

In an adult cohort enrolled to investigate causes of transmission of human immunodeficiency virus, we identified current behaviors affecting risk of infection that were associated with a history of early sexual abuse. One hundred and eighty-six individuals provided information on the occurrence of abuse and subsequent sexual and drug using activities.

RESULTS

Approximately half of the women and one-fifth of the men reported a history of rape during childhood or adulthood. Twenty-eight percent of the women and 15 percent of the men recalled that they had been sexually assaulted during childhood. People who reported childhood rape compared with people who did not were four times more likely to be working as prostitutes (90 percent confidence interval = 2.0, 8.0). Women were nearly three times more likely to become pregnant before the age of 18 (90% CI = 1.6, 4.1). Men who reported a history of sexual abuse had a twofold increase in prevalence of HIV infection relative to unabused men (90% CI = 1.0, 3.9).

CONCLUSIONS

The disturbing prevalence of early sexual abuse and its possible health-related consequences call for prompt and routine investigation of sexual abuse histories. Identification of sexual victimization may be an important component for management of risk factors for human immunodeficiency virus.

The buddy volunteer commitment in AIDS care

Buddy volunteers provide crucial assistance to people with HIV-related illnesses. Based on volunteers' self-administered questionnaires, our study describes the nature of buddy work. Volunteers indicated their satisfaction with both personal performance and buddy program administration. Several factors were associated with volunteer satisfaction. This report is a first attempt to describe this special relationship created in response to the human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) epidemic.