Neighbourhood factors and tuberculosis incidence in Cape Town: A negative binomial regression and spatial analysis

OBJECTIVES

Although the link between poverty and tuberculosis (TB) is widely recognised, limited studies have investigated the association between neighbourhood factors and TB incidence. Since the factors influencing different episodes of TB might be different, this study focused on the first episode of TB disease (first-episode TB).

METHODS

All first episodes in previously linked and geocoded TB notification data from 2007 to 2015 in Cape Town, South Africa, were aggregated at the neighbourhood level and merged with the 2011 census data. We conducted an ecological study to assess the association between neighbourhood incidence of first-episode TB and neighbourhood factors (total TB burden [all episodes] in the previous year, socioeconomic index, mean household size, mean age, and percentage males) using a negative binomial regression. We also examined the presence of hotspots in neighbourhood TB incidence with the Global Moran's I statistic and assessed spatial dependency in the association between neighbourhood factors and TB incidence using a spatial lag model.

RESULTS

The study included 684 neighbourhoods with a median first-episode TB incidence rate of 114 (IQR: 0-345) per 100,000 people. We found lower neighbourhood socioeconomic index (SEI), higher neighbourhood total TB burden, lower neighbourhood mean household size, and lower neighbourhood mean age were associated with increased neighbourhood first-episode TB incidence. Our findings revealed a hotspot of first-episode TB incidence in Cape Town and evidence of spatial dependency in the association between neighbourhood factors and TB incidence.

CONCLUSION

Neighbourhood TB burden and SEI were associated with first-episode TB incidence, and there was spatial dependency in this association. Our findings can inform targeted interventions to reduce TB in high-risk neighbourhoods, thereby reducing health disparities and promoting health equity.

Achievement of Target Gain Larger than Unity in an Inertial Fusion Experiment

On December 5, 2022, an indirect drive fusion implosion on the National Ignition Facility (NIF) achieved a target gain G_{target} of 1.5. This is the first laboratory demonstration of exceeding "scientific breakeven" (or G_{target}>1) where 2.05 MJ of 351 nm laser light produced 3.1 MJ of total fusion yield, a result which significantly exceeds the Lawson criterion for fusion ignition as reported in a previous NIF implosion [H. Abu-Shawareb et al. (Indirect Drive ICF Collaboration), Phys. Rev. Lett. 129, 075001 (2022)PRLTAO0031-900710.1103/PhysRevLett.129.075001]. This achievement is the culmination of more than five decades of research and gives proof that laboratory fusion, based on fundamental physics principles, is possible. This Letter reports on the target, laser, design, and experimental advancements that led to this result.

An in situ digital synthesis strategy for the discovery and description of ocean life

Revolutionary advancements in underwater imaging, robotics, and genomic sequencing have reshaped marine exploration. We present and demonstrate an interdisciplinary approach that uses emerging quantitative imaging technologies, an innovative robotic encapsulation system with in situ RNA preservation and next-generation genomic sequencing to gain comprehensive biological, biophysical, and genomic data from deep-sea organisms. The synthesis of these data provides rich morphological and genetic information for species description, surpassing traditional passive observation methods and preserved specimens, particularly for gelatinous zooplankton. Our approach enhances our ability to study delicate mid-water animals, improving research in the world's oceans.

Implementation of the WHO core components of an infection prevention and control programme in two sub-saharan African acute health-care facilities: a mixed methods study

BACKGROUND

The coronavirus pandemic again highlighted the need for robust health care facility infection prevention and control (IPC) programmes. WHO guidelines on the core components (CCs) of IPC programmes provides guidance for facilities, but their implementation can be difficult to achieve in resource-limited settings. We aimed to gather evidence on an initial WHO IPC implementation experience using a mixed methods approach.

METHODS

A five-day training on the WHO IPC CCs was conducted at two reference acute health care facilities in the Democratic Republic of Congo and Burkina Faso. This was accompanied by a three-part mixed-methods evaluation consisting of a: (1) baseline and follow-up survey of participants' knowledge, attitudes and practices (KAP), (2) qualitative assessment of plenary discussion transcripts and (3) deployment of the WHO IPC assessment framework (IPCAF) tool. Results were analysed descriptively and with a qualitative inductive thematic approach.

RESULTS

Twenty-two and twenty-four participants were trained at each facility, respectively. Baseline and follow-up KAP results suggested increases in knowledge related to the necessity of a dedicated IPC focal person and annual evaluations of IPC training although lack of recognition on the importance of including hospital leadership in IPC training and hand hygiene monitoring recommendations remained. Most participants reported rarely attending IPC meetings or participating in IPC action planning although attitudes shifted towards stronger agreement with the feeling of IPC responsibility and importance of an IPC team. A reocurring theme in plenary discussions was related to limited resources as a barrier to IPC implementation, namely lack of reliable water access. However, participants recognised the importance of IPC improvement efforts such as practical IPC training methods or the use of data to improve quality of care. The facilities' IPCAF scores reflected a 'basic/intermediate' IPC implementation level.

CONCLUSIONS

The training and mixed methods evaluation revealed initial IPC implementation experiences that could be used to inform stepwise approaches to facility IPC improvement in resource-limited settings. Implementation strategies should consider both global standards such as the WHO IPC CCs and specific local contexts. The early involvement of all relevant stakeholders and parallel efforts to advocate for sufficient resources and health system infrastructure are critical.

Parenteral support and micronutrient deficiencies in children with short bowel syndrome: A comprehensive retrospective study

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Short bowel syndrome (SBS) is the leading cause of chronic intestinal failure. The duration of parenteral support (PS) and the long-term micronutrient needs in children with SBS vary, based on their clinical and anatomical characteristics. Our study aimed to review the clinical course and identify high risk patient groups for prolonged PS and long-term micronutrient supplementation.

METHODS

A retrospective review was conducted on electronic medical records of children with SBS and chronic intestinal failure who were enrolled in the multidisciplinary intestinal rehabilitation program at Manchester Children's Hospital, UK. Children were included in the review if they required PN for more than 60 days out of 74 consecutive days and had at least 3 years of follow-up. Statistical analysis was performed using IBM SPSS Statistics 24.0.

RESULTS

40 children with SBS achieved enteral autonomy (EA) and 14 remained dependent on PS after 36 months of follow up. Necrotizing enterocolitis was the most common cause for intestinal resection (38.9%) followed by gastroschisis (22.2%), malrotation with volvulus (20.4%), segmental volvulus (9.3%) and long segment Hirschsprung disease (1.9%). Those who achieved EA had significantly longer intestinal length 27.5% (15.0-39.3) than those who remained on PS 6.0% (1.5-12.5) (p < 0.001). Type I SBS was only found in the PS cohort. Median PN dependence was 10.82 months [IQR 5.73-20.78]. Congenital diagnosis was associated with longer PN dependence (21.0 ± 20.0) than acquired (8.7 ± 7.8 months), (p = 0.02). The need for micronutrient supplementation was assessed after the transition to EA; 87.5% children had at least one micronutrient depletion, most commonly Vitamin D (64.1%), followed by iron (48.7%), Vitamin B12 (34.2%), and vitamin E (28.6%). Iron deficiency and vitamin A depletion were correlated with longer PS after multivariate analysis (OR: 1.103, 1.006-1.210, p = 0.037 and OR: 1.048, 0.998-1.102, p = 0.062 respectively).

CONCLUSION

In our cohort, small bowel length was the main predictor for EA. Children on longer PS, had more often a congenital cause of resection and were at risk for micronutrient deficiencies in EA.

Cognition-Enhanced Machine Learning for Better Predictions with Limited Data

The fields of machine learning (ML) and cognitive science have developed complementary approaches to computationally modeling human behavior. ML's primary concern is maximizing prediction accuracy; cognitive science's primary concern is explaining the underlying mechanisms. Cross-talk between these disciplines is limited, likely because the tasks and goals usually differ. The domain of e-learning and knowledge acquisition constitutes a fruitful intersection for the two fields' methodologies to be integrated because accurately tracking learning and forgetting over time and predicting future performance based on learning histories are central to developing effective, personalized learning tools. Here, we show how a state-of-the-art ML model can be enhanced by incorporating insights from a cognitive model of human memory. This was done by exploiting the predictive performance equation's (PPE) narrow but highly specialized domain knowledge with regard to the temporal dynamics of learning and forgetting. Specifically, the PPE was used to engineer timing-related input features for a gradient-boosted decision trees (GBDT) model. The resulting PPE-enhanced GBDT outperformed the default GBDT, especially under conditions in which limited data were available for training. Results suggest that integrating cognitive and ML models could be particularly productive if the available data are too high-dimensional to be explained by a cognitive model but not sufficiently large to effectively train a modern ML algorithm. Here, the cognitive model's insights pertaining to only one aspect of the data were enough to jump-start the ML model's ability to make predictions-a finding that holds promise for future explorations.

Severe maternal morbidity in Scotland

Using a cohort study design, we analysed 17 diagnoses and 9 interventions (including critical care admission) as a composite measure of severe maternal morbidity for pregnancies recorded over 14 years in Scotland. There were 762,918 pregnancies, of which 7947 (10 in 1000 pregnancies) recorded 9345 severe maternal morbidity events, 2802 episodes of puerperal sepsis being the most common (30%). Severe maternal morbidity incidence increased from 9 in 1000 pregnancies in 2012 to 17 in 1000 pregnancies in 2018, due in part to puerperal sepsis recording. The odds ratio (95%CI) for severe maternal morbidity was higher for: older women, for instance 1.22 (1.13-1.33) for women aged 35-39 years and 1.44 (1.27-1.63) for women aged > 40 years compared with those aged 25-29 years; obese women, for instance 1.13 (1.06-1.21) for BMI 30-40 kg.m-2 and 1.32 (1.15-1.51) for BMI > 40 kg.m-2 compared with BMI 18.5-24.9 kg.m-2 ; multiple pregnancy, 2.39 (2.09-2.74); and previous caesarean delivery, 1.52 (1.40-1.65). The median (IQR [range]) hospital stay was 3 (2-5 [1-8]) days with severe maternal morbidity and 2 (1-3 [1-5]) days without. Forty-one women died during pregnancy or up to 42 days after delivery, representing mortality rates per 100,000 pregnancies of about 365 with severe maternal morbidity and 1.6 without. There were 1449 women admitted to critical care, 807 (58%) for mechanical ventilation or support of at least two organs. We recorded an incidence of severe maternal morbidity higher than previously published, possibly because sepsis was coded inaccurately in our databases. Further research may determine the value of this composite measure of severe maternal morbidity.

Lawson Criterion for Ignition Exceeded in an Inertial Fusion Experiment

For more than half a century, researchers around the world have been engaged in attempts to achieve fusion ignition as a proof of principle of various fusion concepts. Following the Lawson criterion, an ignited plasma is one where the fusion heating power is high enough to overcome all the physical processes that cool the fusion plasma, creating a positive thermodynamic feedback loop with rapidly increasing temperature. In inertially confined fusion, ignition is a state where the fusion plasma can begin "burn propagation" into surrounding cold fuel, enabling the possibility of high energy gain. While "scientific breakeven" (i.e., unity target gain) has not yet been achieved (here target gain is 0.72, 1.37 MJ of fusion for 1.92 MJ of laser energy), this Letter reports the first controlled fusion experiment, using laser indirect drive, on the National Ignition Facility to produce capsule gain (here 5.8) and reach ignition by nine different formulations of the Lawson criterion.

Delivery of Cancer Care in Ontario, Canada, During the First Year of the COVID-19 Pandemic

IMPORTANCE

The COVID-19 pandemic has impacted cancer systems worldwide. Quantifying the changes is critical to informing the delivery of care while the pandemic continues, as well as for system recovery and future pandemic planning.

OBJECTIVE

To quantify change in the delivery of cancer services across the continuum of care during the COVID-19 pandemic.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

This population-based cohort study assessed cancer screening, imaging, diagnostic, treatment, and psychosocial oncological care services delivered in pediatric and adult populations in Ontario, Canada (population 14.7 million), from April 1, 2019, to March 1, 2021. Data were analyzed from May 1 to July 31, 2021.

EXPOSURES

COVID-19 pandemic.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES

Cancer service volumes from the first year of the COVID-19 pandemic, defined as April 1, 2020, to March 31, 2021, were compared with volumes during a prepandemic period of April 1, 2019, to March 31, 2020.

RESULTS

During the first year of the pandemic, there were a total of 4 476 693 cancer care services, compared with 5 644 105 services in the year prior, a difference of 20.7% fewer services of cancer care, representing a potential backlog of 1 167 412 cancer services. While there were less pronounced changes in systemic treatments, emergency and urgent imaging examinations (eg, 1.9% more parenteral systemic treatments) and surgical procedures (eg, 65% more urgent surgical procedures), major reductions were observed for most services beginning in March 2020. Compared with the year prior, during the first pandemic year, cancer screenings were reduced by 42.4% (-1 016 181 screening tests), cancer treatment surgical procedures by 14.1% (-8020 procedures), and radiation treatment visits by 21.0% (-141 629 visits). Biopsies to confirm cancer decreased by up to 41.2% and surgical cancer resections by up to 27.8% during the first pandemic wave. New consultation volumes also decreased, such as for systemic treatment (-8.2%) and radiation treatment (-9.3%). The use of virtual cancer care increased for systemic treatment and radiation treatment and psychosocial oncological care visits, increasing from 0% to 20% of total new or follow-up visits prior to the pandemic up to 78% of total visits in the first pandemic year.

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE

In this population-based cohort study in Ontario, Canada, large reductions in cancer service volumes were observed. While most services recovered to prepandemic levels at the end of the first pandemic year, a substantial care deficit likely accrued. The anticipated downstream morbidity and mortality associated with this deficit underscore the urgent need to address the backlog and recover cancer care and warrant further study.

Complete response of a colonic high-grade neuroendocrine carcinoma to platinum-based therapy: Insights from comprehensive genomic profiling

Introduction/Objective

Comprehensive genomic profiling (CGP) is an essential tool in precision medicine, providing diagnostic, prognostic, and predictive (therapeutic) information to enable personalized and optimized care for cancer patients. We present the case of a patient with a metastatic high-grade tumor of the colon who showed an impressive response to systemic therapy and discuss the role of CGP in cancer management.

Methods/Case Report

A 54-year-old woman with was diagnosed with stage IV large-cell neuroendocrine carcinoma (LCNEC) of the colon with large volume liver and nodal metastases with imminent hepatic failure. CGP was performed on the resected tumor (TSO500 panel, 523 cancer-related genes, Illumina), showing pathogenic mutations in multiple oncogenes and tumor suppressor genes, including BRCA1, BAP1, and BRAF. Additionally, global parameters revealed a very high tumor mutation burden (TMB, 351 / Mb), and high-degree microsatellite instability (MSI-H). Treatment of the patient’s metastases with platinum-based systemic therapy resulted in a complete radiographic response, with no evidence of disease recurrence after 6.5 years. This type of complete response to therapy is rarely reported in colonic LCNEC. Assessment by Medical Genetics did not identify a germline mutation suggestive of hereditary breast/ovarian cancer or Lynch syndrome.

Results (if a Case Study enter NA)

NA

Conclusion

The patient’s extraordinary response to therapy is likely due to loss of BRCA1 and/or BAP1 function, as deleterious mutations in both genes predict sensitivity to platinum-based therapy through exploitation of deficient homologous recombination repair (HRR). The high TMB and MSI-H status suggest the immune system may have contributed to tumor clearance through neoantigen activation of T-cells. The information provided by CGP also suggested potential tumor sensitivity to poly(ADP-Ribose) polymerase inhibitors (PARPi), immunotherapy (IT), and BRAF/MEK inhibitor therapy, should the tumor recur. This case highlights the value of CGP in guiding management of rare and aggressive tumors.

Novel quantification of the regional strain distribution in the anterior cruciate ligament in response to simulated loading using micro-CT imaging

Purpose

A large percentage of anterior cruciate ligament (ACL) surgical reconstructions experience sub-optimal outcomes within 2 years. A potential factor contributing to poor outcomes is an incomplete understanding of micro-level, regional ACL biomechanics. This research aimed to demonstrate a minimally invasive method that uses micro-CT imaging to quantify regional ACL strains under clinically relevant joint loading.

Methods

A pattern of 0.8 mm diameter zirconium dioxide beads were arthroscopically inserted into four regions of the ACL of four cadaveric knee specimens (mean [SD] age = 59 [9] years). A custom micro-CT compatible joint motion simulator then applied clinically relevant joint loading conditions, while an image was acquired at each condition. From the resulting images, strains within each region were calculated using the centroid coordinates of each tissue-embedded bead. Strain repeatability was assessed using the mean intra-specimen standard deviation across repeated load applications. A one-way repeated measures ANOVA (α = 0.05) was used to determine regional strain variations.

Results

The mean intra-specimen standard deviation across repeated load application was ±0.003 strain for all specimens. No statistically significant differences were found between tissue regions, although medium and large effect sizes (0.095–0.450) suggest that these differences may be clinically relevant.

Conclusions

The method presented here demonstrates a minimally invasive measurement of regional ACL strain under clinically relevant joint loads using micro-CT imaging. The strain measurements demonstrated excellent reliability across the five repeated load applications and suggest a non-homogenous distribution of strain through the ACL.

National population prevalence of antibodies to SARS-CoV-2 among pregnant women in Scotland during the second wave of the COVID-19 pandemic: a prospective national serosurvey

OBJECTIVES

This study aimed to determine SARS-CoV-2 seroprevalence among pregnant women in the Scottish population during the second wave of the COVID-19 pandemic.

STUDY DESIGN

Prospective national serosurvey.

METHODS

We tested 13,428 residual samples retrieved from pregnant women participating in the first trimester combined ultrasound and biochemical screening for fetal trisomy across Scotland for SARS-CoV-2 antibodies over a 6-month period from November 2020 to April 2021. Seroprevalence estimates were adjusted for the sensitivity and specificity of the assays and weighted to reference populations.

RESULTS

Seroprevalence rates in the antenatal samples significantly increased from 5.5% (95% confidence interval [CI] 4.7%-6.5%) in the 5-week period up to and including International Organization for Standardization (ISO) Week 51 (w/b Monday 14 December 2020) to 11.3% (95% CI 10.1%-12.6%) in the 5-week period up to and including ISO Week 14 (w/b Monday 5 April 2021). Increasing seroprevalence trends across the second wave were observed among all age groups.

CONCLUSIONS

By the end of the second wave of the COVID-19 pandemic, approximately one in 10 women tested around the end of the first trimester of pregnancy had antibodies to SARS-CoV-2, suggesting that the vast majority were still susceptible to COVID-19 as they progressed to the later stages of pregnancy, when risks from infection are elevated for both mother and baby.

Comprehensive Genetic Analysis of DGAT2 Mutations and Gene Expression Patterns in Human Cancers

DGAT2 is a transmembrane protein encoded by the DGAT2 gene that functions in lipid metabolism, triacylglycerol synthesis, and lipid droplet regulation. Cancer cells exhibit altered lipid metabolism and mutations in DGAT2 may contribute to this state. Using data from the Catalogue of Somatic Mutations in Cancer (COSMIC), we analyzed all cancer genetic DGAT2 alterations, including mutations, copy number variations and gene expression. We find that several DGAT2 mutations fall within the catalytic site of the enzyme. Using the Variant Effect Scoring Tool (VEST), we identify multiple mutations with a high likelihood of contributing to cellular transformation. We also found that D222V is a mutation hotspot neighboring a previously discovered Y223H mutation that causes Axonal Charcot-Marie-Tooth disease. Remarkably, Y223H has not been detected in cancers, suggesting that it is inhibitory to cancer progression. We also identify several single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNP) with high VEST scores, indicating that certain alleles in human populations have a pathogenic predisposition. Most mutations do not correlate with a change in gene expression, nor is gene expression dependent on high allele copy number. However, we did identify eight alleles with high expression levels, suggesting that at least in certain cases, the excess DGAT2 gene product is not inhibitory to cellular proliferation. This work uncovers unknown functions of DGAT2 in cancers and suggests that its role may be more complex than previously appreciated.

First-dose ChAdOx1 and BNT162b2 COVID-19 vaccines and thrombocytopenic, thromboembolic and hemorrhagic events in Scotland

Reports of ChAdOx1 vaccine-associated thrombocytopenia and vascular adverse events have led to some countries restricting its use. Using a national prospective cohort, we estimated associations between exposure to first-dose ChAdOx1 or BNT162b2 vaccination and hematological and vascular adverse events using a nested incident-matched case-control study and a confirmatory self-controlled case series (SCCS) analysis. An association was found between ChAdOx1 vaccination and idiopathic thrombocytopenic purpura (ITP) (0-27 d after vaccination; adjusted rate ratio (aRR) = 5.77, 95% confidence interval (CI), 2.41-13.83), with an estimated incidence of 1.13 (0.62-1.63) cases per 100,000 doses. An SCCS analysis confirmed that this was unlikely due to bias (RR = 1.98 (1.29-3.02)). There was also an increased risk for arterial thromboembolic events (aRR = 1.22, 1.12-1.34) 0-27 d after vaccination, with an SCCS RR of 0.97 (0.93-1.02). For hemorrhagic events 0-27 d after vaccination, the aRR was 1.48 (1.12-1.96), with an SCCS RR of 0.95 (0.82-1.11). A first dose of ChAdOx1 was found to be associated with small increased risks of ITP, with suggestive evidence of an increased risk of arterial thromboembolic and hemorrhagic events. The attenuation of effect found in the SCCS analysis means that there is the potential for overestimation of the reported results, which might indicate the presence of some residual confounding or confounding by indication. Public health authorities should inform their jurisdictions of these relatively small increased risks associated with ChAdOx1. No positive associations were seen between BNT162b2 and thrombocytopenic, thromboembolic and hemorrhagic events.

Influence of the posterior cruciate ligament on kinematics of the knee during experimentally simulated clinical tests and activities of daily living

Clinical outcomes following posterior cruciate ligament (PCL) reconstruction are often suboptimal. A better understanding of the biomechanical contributions of the PCL to knee stability under physiologic, clinically-relevant loading conditions could improve reconstruction techniques and outcomes. We employed a servohydraulic joint motion simulator to investigate the kinematics of intact and PCL-deficient knees during simulated clinical tests and activities of daily living(ADL), including gait, stair ascent and descent. PCL transection caused the tibia to be displaced posterior, relative to the intact joint, throughout flexion. PCL transection also increased the amount of posterior tibial displacement measured during posterior laxity testing by up to 9.6 ± 1.7 mm at 75° (p = 0.001). During internal-external rotational laxity testing, PCL transection increased the allowable internal and external rotation of the tibia, by up to 2.9 ± 0.5°at90° (p = 0.001) and 1.0 ± 0.2° at45°(p = 0.001), respectively. PCL transection did not have a significant effect on abduction-adduction kinematics or laxity, regardless of flexion angle. PCL transection resulted in a relative posterior displacement of the tibia during the stance phase of gait when the knee was extended (2.2 ± 2.2 mm, p = 0.045), and when the knee was flexed during stair ascent (2.4 ± 2.2 mm, p = 0.035) and descent (1.6 ± 1.4 mm, p = 0.037). Our results support previous studies of the role of the PCL on neutral joint kinematics and laxity, and provide new data quantifying the effect of PCL transection on AP kinematics during simulated ADL.

False Negative Rate (2%) of Lynch Syndrome Screening Utilizing A Two-Antibody (PMS2/MSH6) Immunohistochemistry Panel: Failure To Detect a Subset of MSH2-Deficient Endometrial Carcinomas

Introduction/Objective

Lynch syndrome (LS) is an inherited condition caused by defective DNA mismatch repair (MMR), leading to a higher incidence of cancers of multiple sites. Screening for LS is now recommended for new diagnoses of endometrial cancer (EC) using either two- (PMS2, MSH6) or four-antibody (2/4Ab) (PMS2, MSH6, MSH2, MLH1) immunohistochemical (IHC) panels. The 2Ab panel assumes consistent loss of expression of the minor dimer component, PMS2 or MSH6, when the major component, MLH1 or MSH2, respectively, is lost due to mutation. Recent studies have indicated that 2Ab testing may lead to underdiagnosis of MSH2-deficient tumors in cases where MSH6 staining is weak or focal, potentially leading to underdiagnosis of LS.

Methods

We conducted a retrospective study using archived slides for 293 cases of EC (identified via LIS search from 2016-2019) that were screened using the 2Ab panel (expanded to 4Ab when PMS2 or MSH6 were negative). MSH6 expression was reviewed; if weak, focal (less than 10% staining), or both, MSH2 IHC was performed. When a previously undetected loss of MSH2 expression was found, the attending clinician was informed such that referral to medical genetics could be arranged.

Results

Results Overall, 68 (23.2%) tumors were MMR deficient, with 54 (18.4%) showing MLH1/PMS2 loss, 7 (2.4%) with MSH2/MSH6 loss, 2 (0.7%) with isolated PMS2 loss, 4 (1.4%) with isolated MSH6 loss, and 6 (2.0%) with isolated MSH2 loss (i.e. intact but weak/focal MSH6, seen in biopsy and hysterectomy specimens). Interestingly, 1 tumor (1.5%) demonstrated loss of MSH6, MLH1 and PMS2. Two tumors (0.7%) with isolated MSH2 loss were previously unrecognized as MMR-deficient and hence at high risk for LS. Both cases were evaluated by PCR for microsatellite instability (MSI) and confirmed to have high-degree MSI.

Conclusion

This study identifies the frequency of mismatch repair deficient endometrial cancers in Atlantic Canada, highlights a potential pitfall of using two-stain IHC screening for Lynch syndrome, and supports emerging recommendations for universal Lynch syndrome screening in EC.

Parents' experiences of care and support after stillbirth in rural and urban maternity facilities: a qualitative study in Kenya and Uganda

OBJECTIVE

To explore parents' lived experiences of care and support following stillbirth in urban and rural health facilities.

DESIGN

Qualitative, interpretative, guided by Heideggerian phenomenology.

SETTING

Nairobi and Western Kenya, Kampala and Central Uganda.

SAMPLE

A purposive sample of 75 women and 59 men who had experienced the stillbirth of their baby (≤1 year previously) and received care in the included facilities.

METHODS

In-depth interviews, analysed using Van Manen's reflexive approach.

RESULTS

Three main themes were identified; parents described devastating impacts and profound responses to their baby's death. Interactions with health workers were a key influence, but poor communication, environmental barriers and unsupportive facility policies/practices meant that needs were often unmet. After discharge, women and partners sought support in communities to help them cope with the death of their baby but frequently encountered stigma engendering feelings of blame and increasing isolation.

CONCLUSIONS

Parents in Kenya and Uganda were not always treated with compassion and lacked the care or support they needed after the death of their baby. Health workers in Kenya and Uganda, in common with other settings, have a key role in supporting bereaved parents. There is an urgent need for context and culturally appropriate interventions to improve communication, health system and community support for African parents.

TWEETABLE ABSTRACT

Health-system response and community support for parents after stillbirth in Kenya and Uganda are inadequate.

Implementation of the WHO hand hygiene strategy in Faranah regional hospital, Guinea

BACKGROUND

Healthcare-associated infections are the most frequent adverse events in healthcare worldwide, with limited available evidence suggesting highest burden in resource-limited settings. Recent Ebola epidemics emphasize the disastrous impact that spread of infectious agents within healthcare facilities can have, accentuating the need for improvement of infection control practices. Hand hygiene (HH) measures are considered to be the most effective tool to prevent healthcare-associated infections. However, HH knowledge and compliance are low, especially in vulnerable settings such as Guinea. The aim of PASQUALE (Partnership to Improve Patient Safety and Quality of Care) was to assess knowledge and compliance with HH and improve HH by incorporating the WHO HH Strategy within the Faranah Regional Hospital (FRH), Guinea.

METHODS

In a participatory approach, a team of FRH staff and leadership was invited to identify priorities of the hospital prior to the start of PASQUALE. The local hygiene committee was empowered to increase its activities and take ownership of the HH improvement strategy. A baseline assessment of knowledge, perception and compliance was performed months before the intervention. The main intervention consisted of local alcohol-based-hand-rub (ABHR) production, with final product efficacy testing, in conjunction with a training adapted to the needs identified in the baseline assessment. A follow-up assessment was conducted directly after the training. Effectiveness of the intervention was assessed via uncontrolled before-and-after comparison.

RESULTS

Baseline knowledge score (13.0/25) showed a significant increase to 19.0/25 in follow-up. Baseline-Compliance was 23.7% and increased significantly to 71.5% in follow-up. Compliance rose significantly across all professional groups except for midwifes and in all indications for HH, with the largest in the indication "Before aseptic tasks". The increase in compliance was associated with the intervention and remained significant after adjusting for confounders. The local pharmacy successfully supplies the entire hospital. The local supply resulted in a ten-fold increase of monthly hospital disinfectant consumption.

CONCLUSION

The WHO HH strategy is an adaptable and effective method to improve HH knowledge and compliance in a resource-limited setting. Local production is a feasible method for providing self-sufficient supply of ABHR to regional hospitals like the FRH. Participatory approaches like hygiene committee ownership builds confidence of sustainability.

Seasonal drivers of tuberculosis: evidence from over 100 years of notifications in Cape Town

BACKGROUND: Tuberculosis incidence varies seasonally in many settings. However, the role of seasonal variation in reactivation vs. transmission is unclear.METHODS: We reviewed data on TB notifications in Cape Town, South Africa, from 1903 to 2017 (exclusive of 1995-2002, which were unavailable). Data from 2003 onward were stratified by HIV status, age and notification status (new vs. retreatment). We performed seasonal decomposition and time-dependent spectral analysis using wavelets to assess periodicity over time. We estimated monthly peak-to-peak seasonal amplitude of notifications as a percentage of the annual notification rate.RESULTS: A seasonal trend was intermittently detected between 1904 and 1994, particularly during periods of high notification rates, but was consistently and strongly evident between 2003 and 2017, with peaks in September through November, following winter. Among young children, a second, higher seasonal peak was observed in March. Seasonal variation was greater in children (<5 years, 54%, 95% CI 47-61; 5-14 years, 63%, 95% CI 58-69) than in adults (36%, 95% CI 33-39).CONCLUSIONS: Stronger seasonal effects were seen in children, in whom progression following recent infection is known to be the predominant driver of disease. These findings may support increased transmission in the winter as an important driver of TB in Cape Town.

Temporal trends in the prevalence of Mycobacterium tuberculosis infection in South African adolescents

<sec id="st1"> <title>SETTING</title> South Africa. </sec> <sec id="st2"> <title>OBJECTIVE</title> 1) To measure changes in the adolescent prevalence of latent tuberculous infection (LTBI) between 2005 and 2015, and 2) to evaluate medium-term impact of TB control measures on LTBI prevalence. </sec> <sec id="st3"> <title>DESIGN</title> We compared baseline data from a cohort study (2005-2007) and a vaccine trial (2014-2015) which enrolled adolescents from the same eight South African high schools. LTBI was defined based on QuantiFERON^®-TB Gold In-Tube test positivity. </sec> <sec id="st4"> <title>RESULTS</title> We analysed data from 4880 adolescents between 2005 and 2007, and 1968 adolescents between 2014 and 2015, when the average LTBI prevalence was respectively 43.8% (95%CI 28.4-59.1) vs. 48.5% (95%CI 41.1-55.8). Age-specific LTBI prevalence increased between the ages 12 and 18 years by 13% only in lower socio-economic quintile schools, where the average LTBI prevalence was unchanged between the two periods (54% vs. 53%). In the highest socio-economic quintile schools, LTBI prevalence did not increase with age; however, the average LTBI prevalence increased from 20% to 38% between the two periods. </sec> <sec id="st5"> <title>CONCLUSION</title> Adolescent LTBI prevalence remained high and constant over a decade, suggesting that Mycobacterium tuberculosis transmission to children was not impacted in the medium term by effective TB control efforts. Trends in adolescent LTBI prevalence should be interpreted in the context of the sociodemographic factors that affect the risk of transmission before and during adolescence. </sec>.

Ultrasound-enhanced hair dye application for natural dyeing formulations

Advances made in recent years have allowed the application of colorants obtained from natural sources into textile dyeing. The use of ultrasound in the dyeing method is reported to increase dye uptake and decrease dyeing times. The aim of this work is to further extend the knowledge of natural hair dyes considering the use of ultrasound in the dyeing method with commercially available herbal dyes and using goat hair as a model for human hair. Optimal ultrasonic parameters were selected by considering the effects of sonication times (5, 10 and 15 min), frequencies (44, 400 and 1000 kHz) and total dyeing times (30, 60 and 120 min) in the morphology of the dyed hair and the colour intensity. Damage to the hair surface was evaluated by scanning electron microscopy (SEM) images, differences in colour of the dyed hair was obtained by ImageJ analysis and quantification of dye uptake was determined by UV-visible spectroscopy. The evidence from this study suggests an increase in goat hair coloration with the use of ultrasonic energy. Optimal dyeing conditions in consideration of colouration efficacy without hair damage were identified as sonication at 400 kHz for 10 min with a total dyeing time of 60 min.

Anatomic Posterolateral Corner Reconstruction Using Single Graft Plus Adjustable-Loop Suspensory Fixation Device

The original description of the LaPrade technique for anatomic posterolateral corner reconstruction addresses the 3 main stabilizing structures: the fibular collateral ligament, the popliteus, and the popliteofibular ligament. The use of two separate grafts (originally described with a tendo-Achilles allograft) may restrict the utility of the technique when sources of allograft may be limited and autografts must be used, particularly in the context of multiligament reconstruction. We present a modification of the technique, in which an adjustable cortical button is used for tibial fixation, which allows for the use of a single graft while maintaining the ability to independently tension the popliteus, popliteofibular ligament, and fibular collateral ligament limbs of the graft.

Anterolateral Complex Reconstruction: Another Fad or Method to Improve ACL Outcomes?

Anterolateral rotational laxity of the knee is a persistent problem following anterior cruciate ligament reconstruction (ACLR) that can lead to increased rates of graft failure. Renewed interest in the anterolateral complex of the knee has led to a resurgence in the use of adjunctive techniques such as lateral extra-articular tenodesis and anterolateral ligament reconstruction. Use of these techniques can restore normal knee kinematics and potentially thereby reduce the rate of graft failure. Historically, experience with modified ACLR techniques such as the double-bundle ACLR have shown that improved biomechanics is not always reflected in clinical outcome trials. Additional procedures also come with additional costs and further economic analysis needs to be performed to clarify whether these additional costs are offset by improved clinical and societal outcomes in the longer-term.

Tests of a full-scale ITER toroidal interferometer and polarimeter (TIP) prototype on the DIII-D tokamak (invited)

A full-scale ITER toroidal interferometer and polarimeter (TIP) prototype, including an active feedback alignment system, has been installed and tested on the DIII-D tokamak. In the TIP prototype, a two-color interferometry measurement of line-integrated density is carried out at 10.59 μm and 5.22 μm using a CO₂ and quantum cascade laser, respectively, while a separate polarimetry measurement of the plasma-induced Faraday effect is made at 10.59 μm. The TIP prototype is equipped with a piezo tip/tilt stage active feedback alignment system that minimizes noise in the measurement and keeps the diagnostic aligned throughout DIII-D discharges. The measured phase resolution for the polarimeter and interferometer is 0.05° (100 Hz bandwidth) and 1.9° (1 kHz bandwidth), respectively. The corresponding line-integrated density resolution for the vibration-compensated interferometer is δnL = 1.5 × 10¹⁸ m^-2, and the magnetic field-weighted line-integrated density from the polarimeter is δnBL = 1.5 × 10¹⁹ Tm^-2. Both interferometer and polarimeter measurements during DIII-D discharges compare well with the expectations based on calculations using Thomson scattering measured density profiles and magnetic equilibrium reconstructions. Additionally, larger bandwidth interferometer measurements show that the diagnostic is a sensitive monitor of core density fluctuations with demonstrated measurements of Alfvén eigenmodes and tearing modes.

A systematic review of adaptations of evidence-based public health interventions globally

BACKGROUND

Adaptations of evidence-based interventions (EBIs) often occur. However, little is known about the reasons for adaptation, the adaptation process, and outcomes of adapted EBIs. To address this gap, we conducted a systematic review to answer the following questions: (1) What are the reasons for and common types of adaptations being made to EBIs in community settings as reported in the published literature? (2) What steps are described in making adaptations to EBIs? and (3) What outcomes are assessed in evaluations of adapted EBIs?

METHODS

We conducted a systematic review of English language publications that described adaptations of public health EBIs. We searched Ovid PubMed, PsycINFO, PsycNET, and CINAHL and citations of included studies for adapted public health EBIs. We abstracted characteristics of the original and adapted populations and settings, reasons for adaptation, types of modifications, use of an adaptation framework, adaptation steps, and evaluation outcomes.

RESULTS

Forty-two distinct EBIs were found focusing on HIV/AIDS, mental health, substance abuse, and chronic illnesses. More than half (62%) reported on adaptations in the USA. Frequent reasons for adaptation included the need for cultural appropriateness (64.3%), focusing on a new target population (59.5%), and implementing in a new setting (57.1%). Common adaptations were content (100%), context (95.2%), cultural modifications (73.8%), and delivery (61.9%). Most study authors conducted a community assessment, prepared new materials, implemented the adapted intervention, evaluated or planned to evaluate the intervention, determined needed changes, trained staff members, and consulted experts/stakeholders. Most studies that reported an evaluation (k = 36) included behavioral outcomes (71.4%), acceptability (66.7%), fidelity (52.4%), and feasibility (52.4%). Fewer measured adoption (47.6%) and changes in practice (21.4%).

CONCLUSIONS

These findings advance our understanding of the patterns and effects of modifications of EBIs that are reported in published studies and suggest areas of further research to understand and guide the adaptation process. Furthermore, findings can inform better reporting of adapted EBIs and inform capacity building efforts to assist health professionals in adapting EBIs.

An integrated community TB-HIV adherence model provides an alternative to DOT for tuberculosis patients in Cape Town

SETTING

Cape Town, South Africa.

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate anti-tuberculosis treatment outcomes and rate of antiretroviral therapy (ART) initiation using weekly community-based adherence support compared to daily directly observed therapy (DOT).

METHODS

This was a retrospective analysis comparing two cohorts treated for tuberculosis (TB) in 70 TB clinics during 6-month periods before and after the introduction of a new adherence model comprising treatment literacy sessions during 2 weeks of DOT, followed by weekly home visits by community care workers to eligible patients managing their own treatment. Odds ratios (ORs) of treatment success and ART initiation were calculated using multivariable random effects logistic regression models. Hazard ratios (HRs) of default and death were calculated using multivariable random effects Cox regression models.

RESULTS

The pre-intervention cohort comprised 11 896 patients with TB and the post-intervention cohort 11 314. There was no difference in pre- and post-intervention anti-tuberculosis treatment success rates (respectively 82.8% and 82.5%, adjusted OR [aOR] 1.02, 95%CI 0.89-1.17, P = 0.76) nor an increased hazard of death (adjusted HR [aHR] 0.98, 95%CI 0.80-1.21, P = 0.87) or default (aHR 0.97, 95%CI 0.81-1.15, P = 0.69). The ART initiation rate increased from 67% to 74% (aOR 1.43; 95%CI 1.01-1.85, P < 0.01).

CONCLUSION

Weekly community-based adherence support was a viable alternative to daily DOT, with no deterioration in anti-tuberculosis treatment outcomes and an increase in ART initiation.

Use of cloud radar Doppler spectra to evaluate stratocumulus drizzle size distributions in large-eddy simulations with size-resolved microphysics

A case study of persistent stratocumulus over the Azores is simulated using two independent large-eddy simulation (LES) models with bin microphysics, and forward-simulated cloud radar Doppler moments and spectra are compared with observations. Neither model is able to reproduce the monotonic increase of downward mean Doppler velocity with increasing reflectivity that is observed under a variety of conditions, but for differing reasons. To a varying degree, both models also exhibit a tendency to produce too many of the largest droplets, leading to excessive skewness in Doppler velocity distributions, especially below cloud base. Excessive skewness appears to be associated with an insufficiently sharp reduction in droplet number concentration at diameters larger than ~200 μm, where a pronounced shoulder is found for in situ observations and a sharp reduction in reflectivity size distribution is associated with relatively narrow observed Doppler spectra. Effectively using LES with bin microphysics to study drizzle formation and evolution in cloud Doppler radar data evidently requires reducing numerical diffusivity in the treatment of the stochastic collection equation; if that is accomplished sufficiently to reproduce typical spectra, progress toward understanding drizzle processes is likely.

Linking routinely collected social work, education and health data to enable monitoring of the health and health care of school-aged children in state care ('looked after children') in Scotland: a national demonstration project

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

Children in state care ('looked after children') have poorer health than children who are not looked after. Recent developments in Scotland and elsewhere have aimed to improve services and outcomes for looked after children. Routine monitoring of the health outcomes of looked after children compared to those of their non-looked after peers is currently lacking. Developing capacity for comparative monitoring of population-based outcomes based on linkage of routinely collected administrative data has been identified as a priority. To our knowledge there are no existing population-based data linkage studies providing data on the health of looked after and non-looked after children at national level. Smaller scale studies that are available generally provide very limited information on linkage methods and hence do not allow scrutiny of bias that may be introduced through the linkage process.

STUDY DESIGN AND METHODS

National demonstration project testing the feasibility of linking routinely collected looked after children, education and health data.

PARTICIPANTS

All children in publicly funded school in Scotland in 2011/12.

RESULTS

Linkage between looked after children data and the national pupil census classified 10,009 (1.5%) and 1757 (0.3%) of 670,952 children as, respectively, currently and previously looked after. Recording of the unique pupil identifier (Scottish Candidate Number, SCN) on looked after children returns is incomplete, with 66% of looked after records for 2011/12 for children of possible school age containing a valid SCN. This will have resulted in some under-ascertainment of currently and, particularly, previously looked after children within the general pupil population. Further linkage of the pupil census to the National Health Service Scotland master patient index demonstrated that a safe link to the child's unique health service (Community Health Index) number could be obtained for a very high proportion of children in each group (94%, 95% and 95% of children classified as currently, previously, and non-looked after, respectively). In general, linkage rates were higher for older children and those living in more affluent areas. Within the looked after group, linkage rates were highest for children with the fewest placements and for those in permanent fostering.

CONCLUSIONS

This novel data linkage demonstrates the feasibility of monitoring population-based health outcomes of school-aged looked after and non-looked after children using linked routine administrative data. Improved recording of the unique pupil identifier number on looked after data returns would be beneficial. Extending the range of personal identifiers on looked after children returns would enable linkage to health data for looked after children who are not in publicly funded schooling (i.e. those who are preschool or postschool, home schooled or in independent schooling).

Hominid visitation of the Moravian Karst during the Middle-Upper Paleolithic transition: New results from Pod Hradem Cave (Czech Republic)

In 1956-1958, excavations of Pod Hradem Cave in Moravia (eastern Czech Republic) revealed evidence for human activity during the Middle-Upper Paleolithic transition. This spanned 25,050-44,800 cal BP and contained artefacts attributed to the Aurignacian and Szeletian cultures, including those made from porcelanite (rarely used at Moravian Paleolithic sites). Coarse grained excavation techniques and major inversions in radiocarbon dates meant that site chronology could not be established adequately. This paper documents re-excavation of Pod Hradem in 2011-2012. A comprehensive AMS dating program using ultrafiltration and ABOx-SC pre-treatments provides new insights into human occupation at Pod Hradem Cave. Fine-grained excavation reveals sedimentary units spanning approximately 20,000 years of the Early Upper Paleolithic and late Middle Paleolithic periods, thus making it the first archaeological cave site in the Czech Republic with such a sedimentary and archaeological record. Recent excavation confirms infrequent human visitation, including during the Early Aurignacian by people who brought with them portable art objects that have no parallel in the Czech Republic. Raw material diversity of lithics suggests long-distance imports and ephemeral visits by highly mobile populations throughout the EUP period.

The cost of warfarin treatment for stroke prevention in patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation in Russia from a collective perspective

AIMS

Vitamin K antagonists (VKAs) are used for stroke prevention in patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF), but necessitate regular monitoring of prothrombin time via international normalized ratio (INR) testing. This study explores the economic burden of VKA therapy for Russian patients with NVAF.

METHOD

Cardiologists provided clinical characteristics and healthcare resource use data relating to the patient's first year of treatment. Data were used to quantify direct medical costs (INR testing, consultations, drug costs). The same patients completed a questionnaire providing data on direct non-medical costs (travel/expenses for attendance at VKA appointments) and indirect costs (opportunity cost and reduced work productivity). Mean costs per patient per year are described (US dollars).

RESULTS

Cardiologists (n = 50) provided data on 400 patients (mean age = 63, 47% female), and 351 patients (88%) completed the patient questionnaire. Patients had a mean of nine INR tests. Estimated direct medical costs totaled $151.06, and 18.5% of direct medical costs were attributable to drug costs. Estimated annual direct non-medical costs were $22.89 per patient, and indirect costs were $275.59 per patient.

LIMITATIONS

Included patients had been treated for 12-24 months, so are not fully representative of the broader treatment population.

CONCLUSION

Although VKA drugs costs are relatively low, regular INR testing and consultations drive the economic burden for Russian NVAF patients treated with VKA.

Anaemia in patients with HIV-associated TB: relative contributions of anaemia of chronic disease and iron deficiency

BACKGROUND: Anaemia commonly complicates both human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) infection and tuberculosis (TB), contributing substantially to morbidity and mortality. The mechanisms underlying anaemia and corresponding treatments in co-infected patients are poorly defined.

OBJECTIVE: To determine the relative contributions of anaemia of chronic disease (ACD) and iron deficiency to anaemia in patients with HIV-associated TB.

DESIGN: Consecutively recruited hospitalised (n = 102) and matched ambulatory patients (n = 51) with microbiologically confirmed HIV-associated TB in Cape Town, South Africa, were included. Haemoglobin levels, iron status markers, hepcidin and pro-inflammatory cytokines in blood were measured. We determined the prevalence of ACD and iron-deficiency anaemia (IDA) using seven different published definitions of IDA.

RESULTS: More than 80% of enrolled HIV-associated TB patients were anaemic, and anaemia was more severe among in-patients. Over 95% of anaemic HIV-associated TB patients had ACD, whereas the proportion with IDA using a range of seven different definitions was low overall (median < 3%, range 0–32.6) in both patient groups. The proportion with IDA and hepcidin concentration ⩽ 20.0 ng/ml (predictive of responsiveness to oral iron supplementation) was also very low (median < 3%, range 0–15.1).

CONCLUSIONS: ACD was the predominant cause underlying anaemia in HIV-associated TB patients, and IDA was very uncommon in this setting. The majority of anaemic HIV-associated TB patients were unlikely to benefit from oral iron supplementation.

Sweat Facilitated Amino Acid Losses in Male Athletes during Exercise at 32-34°C

Sweat contains amino acids and electrolytes derived from plasma and athletes can lose 1-2L of sweat per hour during exercise. Sweat may also contain contributions of amino acids as well as urea, sodium and potassium from the natural moisturizing factors (NMF) produced in the stratum corneum. In preliminary experiments, one participant was tested on three separate occasions to compare sweat composition with surface water washings from the same area of skin to assess contributions from NMF. Two participants performed a 40 minute self-paced cycle session with sweat collected from cleansed skin at regular intervals to assess the contributions to the sweat load from NMF over the period of exercise. The main study investigated sweat amino acid composition collected from nineteen male athletes following standardised endurance exercise regimes at 32–34°C and 20–30% RH. Plasma was also collected from ten of the athletes to compare sweat and plasma composition of amino acids. The amino acid profiles of the skin washings were similar to the sweat, suggesting that the NMF could contribute certain amino acids into sweat. Since the sweat collected from athletes contained some amino acid contributions from the skin, this fluid was subsequently referred to as “faux” sweat. Samples taken over 40 minutes of exercise showed that these contributions diminished over time and were minimal at 35 minutes. In the main study, the faux sweat samples collected from the athletes with minimal NMF contributions, were characterised by relatively high levels of serine, histidine, ornithine, glycine and alanine compared with the corresponding levels measured in the plasma. Aspartic acid was detected in faux sweat but not in the plasma. Glutamine and proline were lower in the faux sweat than plasma in all the athletes. Three phenotypic groups of athletes were defined based on faux sweat volumes and composition profiles of amino acids with varying relative abundances of histidine, serine, glycine and ornithine. It was concluded that for some individuals, faux sweat resulting from exercise at 32–34°C and 20–30% RH posed a potentially significant source of amino acid loss.

Prevalence and burden of dyspnoea among COPD patients in Japan

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Dyspnoea is the most common symptom of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) significantly affecting activity, impairing patients' well-being and contributing to the economic burden of COPD. The objective of this study was to estimate the prevalence of dyspnoea and its impact on COPD management costs in Japan.

METHODS

A cross-sectional survey was conducted among 82 internal medicine physicians and 85 respiratory specialists representing 420 patients with COPD in Japan. Information was collected on demographic and clinical characteristics, dyspnoea (mMRC scale), and healthcare resource use. Dyspnoea prevalence was estimated among all patients and those on specific COPD treatments. The economic burden was derived from two cohorts based on their level of dyspnoea that were matched by propensity scores balancing their demographic and disease burden characteristics.

RESULTS

Moderate-severe dyspnoea (mMRC score ≥ 2) was reported by 37.5% of COPD patients and ranging from 21.5% among patients treated with a mono bronchodilator to 59.8% among patients treated with triple therapy. Descriptive analysis showed that dyspnoeic patients have higher annual costs attributable to consultations (€2999 vs. €1906), medications (€1139 vs. €716), exacerbations (€674 vs. €36), other resources (€1789 vs. €140) and in total (€6348 vs. €2797) (p < 0.0001 for all comparisons) compared to patients with mild or no dyspnoea (mMRC score < 2). The total costs remained significantly higher in a propensity-matched cohort adjusted for severity and cardiovascular comorbidity [€6776.1 vs. €4461.3, p = 0.0236].

CONCLUSION

Moderate-severe dyspnoea is common among consulting COPD patients in Japan and is a significant cost driver for the healthcare system.

First Measurement of Several β-Delayed Neutron Emitting Isotopes Beyond N=126

The β-delayed neutron emission probabilities of neutron rich Hg and Tl nuclei have been measured together with β-decay half-lives for 20 isotopes of Au, Hg, Tl, Pb, and Bi in the mass region N≳126. These are the heaviest species where neutron emission has been observed so far. These measurements provide key information to evaluate the performance of nuclear microscopic and phenomenological models in reproducing the high-energy part of the β-decay strength distribution. This provides important constraints on global theoretical models currently used in r-process nucleosynthesis.

A New Pragmatic Classification System for Varicose Veins

Objective:

An anatomical classification system for varicose veins which has a direct and pragmatic bearing on treatment.

Methods:

A group of trial participants from the two vascular units involved met to design a system. A consensus on the form and content of the system was reached. This process included forming a set of ideal classification criteria, a literature review of existing classification systems and a pilot study of the proposed system.

Results:

The identified classification systems were felt to be unsatisfactory for a number of reasons including being difficult to understand and use, requiring special investigations and not linking through to clinical management options. The pilot study demonstrated consensus between clinicians when using our system.

Conclusion:

A system has been developed that is easy to learn, use and understand. It can be employed in a busy outpatient setting and produces an acceptable degree of agreement regarding the anatomical nature of varicose veins.

Inter-group violence among early Holocene hunter-gatherers of West Turkana, Kenya

The nature of inter-group relations among prehistoric hunter-gatherers remains disputed, with arguments in favour and against the existence of warfare before the development of sedentary societies. Here we report on a case of inter-group violence towards a group of hunter-gatherers from Nataruk, west of Lake Turkana, which during the late Pleistocene/early Holocene period extended about 30 km beyond its present-day shore. Ten of the twelve articulated skeletons found at Nataruk show evidence of having died violently at the edge of a lagoon, into which some of the bodies fell. The remains from Nataruk are unique, preserved by the particular conditions of the lagoon with no evidence of deliberate burial. They offer a rare glimpse into the life and death of past foraging people, and evidence that warfare was part of the repertoire of inter-group relations among prehistoric hunter-gatherers.

Climate relationships to fecal bacterial densities in Maryland shellfish harvest waters

Coastal states of the United States (US) routinely monitor shellfish harvest waters for types of bacteria that indicate the potential presence of fecal pollution. The densities of these indicator bacteria in natural waters may be related to climate in several ways, including through runoff from precipitation and survival related to water temperatures. The relationship between interannual precipitation and air temperature patterns and the densities of fecal indicator bacteria in shellfish harvest waters in Maryland's portion of the Chesapeake Bay was quantified using 34 years of data (1979-2013). Annual and seasonal precipitation totals had a strong positive relationship with average fecal coliform levels (R(2) = 0.69) and the proportion of samples with bacterial densities above the FDA regulatory criteria (R(2) = 0.77). Fecal coliform levels were also significantly and negatively related to average annual air temperature (R(2) = -0.43) and the average air temperature of the warmest month (R(2) = -0.57), while average seasonal air temperature was only significantly related to fecal coliform levels in the summer. River and regional fecal coliform levels displayed a wide range of relationships with precipitation and air temperature patterns, with stronger relationships in rural areas and mainstem Bay stations. Fecal coliform levels tended to be higher in years when the bulk of precipitation occurred throughout the summer and/or fall (August to September). Fecal coliform levels often peaked in late fall and winter, with precipitation peaking in summer and early fall. Continental-scale sea level pressure (SLP) analysis revealed an association between atmospheric patterns that influence both extratropical and tropical storm tracks and very high fecal coliform years, while regional precipitation was found to be significantly correlated with the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation and the Pacific North American Pattern. These findings indicate that management of shellfish harvest waters should account for changes in climate conditions and that SLP patterns may be particularly important for predicting years with extremely high levels of fecal coliforms.