1
|
Srivathsan A, Abdou A, Al-Khatib T, Apadinuwe SC, Badiane MD, Bucumi V, Chisenga T, Kabona G, Kabore M, Kanyi SK, Bella L, M’po N, Masika M, Minnih A, Sitoe HM, Mishra S, Olobio N, Omar FJ, Phiri I, Sanha S, Seife F, Sharma S, Tekeraoi R, Traore L, Watitu T, Bol YY, Borlase A, Deiner MS, Renneker KK, Hooper PJ, Emerson PM, Vasconcelos A, Arnold BF, Porco TC, Hollingsworth TD, Lietman TM, Blumberg S. District-Level Forecast of Achieving Trachoma Elimination as a Public Health Problem By 2030: An Ensemble Modelling Approach. Clin Infect Dis 2024; 78:S101-S107. [PMID: 38662700 PMCID: PMC11045026 DOI: 10.1093/cid/ciae031] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 04/28/2024] Open
Abstract
Assessing the feasibility of 2030 as a target date for global elimination of trachoma, and identification of districts that may require enhanced treatment to meet World Health Organization (WHO) elimination criteria by this date are key challenges in operational planning for trachoma programmes. Here we address these challenges by prospectively evaluating forecasting models of trachomatous inflammation-follicular (TF) prevalence, leveraging ensemble-based approaches. Seven candidate probabilistic models were developed to forecast district-wise TF prevalence in 11 760 districts, trained using district-level data on the population prevalence of TF in children aged 1-9 years from 2004 to 2022. Geographical location, history of mass drug administration treatment, and previously measured prevalence data were included in these models as key predictors. The best-performing models were included in an ensemble, using weights derived from their relative likelihood scores. To incorporate the inherent stochasticity of disease transmission and challenges of population-level surveillance, we forecasted probability distributions for the TF prevalence in each geographic district, rather than predicting a single value. Based on our probabilistic forecasts, 1.46% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.43-1.48%) of all districts in trachoma-endemic countries, equivalent to 172 districts, will exceed the 5% TF control threshold in 2030 with the current interventions. Global elimination of trachoma as a public health problem by 2030 may require enhanced intervention and/or surveillance of high-risk districts.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Ariktha Srivathsan
- Francis I. Proctor Foundation, University of California, San Francisco, California, USA
| | - Amza Abdou
- Programme National de Santé Oculaire, Ministère De La Santé Publique, Niamey, Niger
| | - Tawfik Al-Khatib
- Prevention of Blindness Program, Ministry of Public Health & Population, Sana'a, Yemen
| | | | - Mouctar D Badiane
- Programme National de Promotion de La Santé Oculaire, Ministère de la Santé et de L'Action sociale, Dakar, Sénégal
| | - Victor Bucumi
- Département En Charge des Maladies Tropicales Négligées, Ministère De La Santé Publique Et De La Lutte Contre Le Sida, Bujumbura, Burundi
| | - Tina Chisenga
- Ministry of Health Public Health Department, Lusaka, Zambia
| | - George Kabona
- Neglected Tropical Disease Control Program, Ministry of Health and Social Welfare, Dar Es Salaam, United Republic of Tanzania
| | - Martin Kabore
- Programme national de lutte contre les maladies tropicales négligées, Ministère de la santé et de l'hygiène publique, Ouagadougou, Burkina Faso
| | - Sarjo Kebba Kanyi
- The National Eye Health Programme, Ministry of Health and Social Welfare, Banjul, Kanifing, The Gambia
| | - Lucienne Bella
- Programme National De Lutte Contre La Cécité, Ministère De La Santé Publique, Yaoundé, Cameroon
| | - Nekoua M’po
- Programme National De Lutte Contre Les Maladies Transmissibles, Ministère De La Santé, Cotonou, Benin
| | - Michael Masika
- Department of Clinical Services, Ministry of Health, Lilongwe, Malawi
| | - Abdellahi Minnih
- Département Des Maladies Transmissibles, Ministère De La Santé Nouakchott, Nouakchott, Mauritania
| | - Henis Mior Sitoe
- Direcção Nacional De Saúde Pública Ministerio Da Saude, Maputo, Mozambique
| | | | - Nicholas Olobio
- National Trachoma Elimination Programme, Federal Ministry of Health, Abuja, Nigeria
| | | | - Isaac Phiri
- Department of Epidemiology and Disease Control, Ministry of Health & Child Welfare, Harare, Zimbabwe
| | - Salimato Sanha
- Programa Nacional De Saúde De Visão, Minsap, Bissau, Guinea-Bissau
| | - Fikre Seife
- Federal Ministry of Health, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia
| | | | - Rabebe Tekeraoi
- Eye Department, Ministry of Health and Medical Services, South Tarawa, Kiribati
| | - Lamine Traore
- Programme National de la Santé Oculaire, Ministère de la Santé, Bamako, Mali
| | | | - Yak Yak Bol
- Neglected Tropical Diseases Programme, Ministry of Health, Juba, South Sudan
| | - Anna Borlase
- Department of Biology, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom
| | - Michael S Deiner
- Francis I. Proctor Foundation, University of California, San Francisco, California, USA
| | - Kristen K Renneker
- International Trachoma Initiative, The Task Force for Global Health, Decatur, Georgia, USA
| | - P J Hooper
- International Trachoma Initiative, The Task Force for Global Health, Decatur, Georgia, USA
| | - Paul M Emerson
- International Trachoma Initiative, The Task Force for Global Health, Decatur, Georgia, USA
| | - Andreia Vasconcelos
- Big Data Institute, Li Ka Shing Centre for Health Information and Discovery, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom
| | - Benjamin F Arnold
- Francis I. Proctor Foundation, University of California, San Francisco, California, USA
| | - Travis C Porco
- Francis I. Proctor Foundation, University of California, San Francisco, California, USA
| | - T Déirdre Hollingsworth
- Big Data Institute, Li Ka Shing Centre for Health Information and Discovery, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom
| | - Thomas M Lietman
- Francis I. Proctor Foundation, University of California, San Francisco, California, USA
| | - Seth Blumberg
- Francis I. Proctor Foundation, University of California, San Francisco, California, USA
- Department of Medicine, University of California, San Francisco, California, USA
| |
Collapse
|
2
|
Sullivan KM, Harding-Esch EM, Batcho WE, Issifou AAB, Lopes MDFC, Szwarcwald CL, Vaz Ferreira Gomez D, Bougouma C, Christophe N, Kabore M, Bucumi V, Bella AL, Epee E, Yaya G, Trujillo-Trujillo J, Dejene M, Gebretsadik FS, Gebru G, Kebede F, Mathewos T, Cassama ETDS, Sanha S, Barasa E, Sultani HM, Watitu T, Tekeraoi R, Kalua KM, Masika MP, Traoré L, Minnih AO, Abdala M, Massangaie ME, Win Y, Apadinuwe SC, Mishra SK, Sharma S, Amza A, Kadri B, Nassirou B, Mpyet CD, Olobio N, Hussain A, Khan AA, Jambi G, Ko R, Kello AB, Badiane MD, Sarr B, Dalmar A, Elshafie BE, Kabona GE, Kaitaba O, Mwingira U, Simon A, Kanyi S, Awoussi MS, Togbey K, Baayenda G, Francis M, Tukahebwa EM, Bakhtiari A, Keil AP, Maselko J, Westreich D, Garae M, Taleo F, Al-Khateeb TQ, Mwale C, Solomon AW, Gower EW. Gender differences in the surgical management of trachomatous trichiasis: an exploratory analysis of global trachoma survey data, 2015-2019. Int Health 2023; 15:ii58-ii67. [PMID: 38048383 PMCID: PMC10695456 DOI: 10.1093/inthealth/ihad067] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/14/2023] [Revised: 06/28/2023] [Accepted: 07/26/2023] [Indexed: 12/06/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Trachomatous trichiasis (TT) is a painful, potentially blinding eye condition that can be managed through epilation or surgery. Women are affected by TT approximately twice as often as men and are believed to face gendered barriers to receiving surgical care to prevent vision loss. METHODS We used data from 817 cross-sectional surveys conducted during 2015-2019 in 20 African countries to estimate the prevalence difference (PD) between female and male eyes for four outcomes potentially indicating gender-related differences in TT management: (1) received surgery and developed postoperative TT (PTT), (2) never offered surgery, (3) offered surgery but declined it, and (4) offered epilation but never offered surgery. RESULTS The prevalence was modestly elevated among female eyes compared with male eyes for having PTT (PD:1.8 [95% confidence limits (CL): 0.6, 3.0]) and having declined surgery for the eye (PD: 6.2 [95% CL: 1.8, 10.7]). The proportion offered epilation was similar by gender (PD:0.5 [95% CL: -0.4, 1.3]), while never having been offered surgery was somewhat more prevalent among male eyes (PD: -2.1 [95% CL: -3.5, -0.7]). CONCLUSIONS Our results suggest potential gender differences in TT management. More research is needed to determine the causes and implications of the observed differences.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Kristin M Sullivan
- Department of Epidemiology, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, North Carolina, USA
| | - Emma M Harding-Esch
- Clinical Research Department, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, UK
| | - Wilfrid E Batcho
- Programme National De Lutte Contre Les Maladies Transmissibles, Ministère De La Santé, Cotonou, Benin
| | | | | | - Celia Landmann Szwarcwald
- Institute of Scientific and Technological Communication and Information in Health, Oswaldo Cruz Foundation, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
| | | | - Clarisse Bougouma
- Direction de la Protection de la Santé de la Population, Ministère de la Santé, Burkina Faso
| | - Nassa Christophe
- Attaché de Santé en Épidémiologie, Programme National de Lutte Contre Les MTN, Burkina Faso
| | - Martin Kabore
- L'unité d'élimination du trachome, PNMTN, Ouagadougou, Burkina Faso
| | - Victor Bucumi
- Département En Charge des Maladies Tropicales, Négligées Ministère De La Santé Publique Et De La Lutte Contre Le Sida, Bujumbura, Burundi
| | - Assumpta L Bella
- Programme National de Lutte Contre La Cecite, Ministère de la Santé Publique, Yaoundé, Cameroun
| | - Emilienne Epee
- Department Of Ophthalmology, University of Yaoundé Yaounde Centre/Ministère de la Santé Publique, Yaoundé, Cameroun
| | - Georges Yaya
- Ministère de la Santé Publique, Bangui, Central African Republic
| | - Julian Trujillo-Trujillo
- Subdirectorate of Communicable Diseases, Ministry of Health and Social Protection, Bogotá, Colombia
| | | | - Fikre Seife Gebretsadik
- Neglected Tropical Disease Prevention and Control Program, Ministry of Health, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia
| | - Genet Gebru
- Neglected Tropical Disease Prevention and Control Program, Ministry of Health, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia
| | - Fikreab Kebede
- Neglected Tropical Disease Prevention and Control Program, Ministry of Health, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia
| | - Tsedeke Mathewos
- Neglected Tropical Disease Prevention and Control Program, Ministry of Health, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia
| | | | - Salimato Sanha
- Programa Nacional De Sau´de De Visão, Minsap, Bissau, Guinea-Bissau
| | | | | | | | | | - Khumbo M Kalua
- Blantyre Institute for Community Outreach, Blantyre, Malawi
| | - Michael P Masika
- Department of Clinical and Medical Rehabilitation Services, Ministry of Health, Lilongwe, Malawi
| | - Lamine Traoré
- National Eye Health Program, Ministry of Health and Social Development, Mali
| | - Abdallahi O Minnih
- Département Des Maladies Transmissibles, Ministère De La Santé Nouakchott, Nouakchott, Mauritania
| | - Mariamo Abdala
- Direção Nacional de Saúde Pública, Ministerio Da Saude, Maputo, Mozambique
| | | | - Ye Win
- Department of Public Health, Ministry of Health and Sports, Nay Pyi Taw, Myanmar
| | | | - Sailesh Kumar Mishra
- National Society for Comprehensive Eye Care, Nepal Netra Jyoti Sangh, Kathmandu, Nepal
| | | | - Abdou Amza
- Programme National De Santé Oculaire, Ministère De La Santé Publique, Niamey, Niger
| | - Boubacar Kadri
- Programme National De Santé Oculaire, Ministère De La Santé Publique, Niamey, Niger
| | - Beido Nassirou
- Programme National De Santé Oculaire, Ministère De La Santé Publique, Niamey, Niger
| | - Caleb D Mpyet
- Department of Ophthalmology, University of Jos, Jos, Plateau, Nigeria
| | - Nicholas Olobio
- Neglected Tropical Diseases Division, Department of Public Health, Federal Ministry of Health, Abuja, Nigeria
| | - Arif Hussain
- Community Ophthalmology, College of Ophthalmology & Allied Vision Sciences (COAVS), Mayo Hospital Lahore, Lahore, Pakistan
| | - Asad Aslam Khan
- College of Ophthalmology and Allied Vision Sciences, Mayo Hospital, Lahore, Pakistan
| | - Garap Jambi
- Prevention of Blindness Committee, PNG Eye Care, Boroko, Papua New Guinea
| | - Robert Ko
- National Department of Health, Waigani, Papua New Guinea
| | - Amir B Kello
- AF/UCU UHC/Communicable and Noncommunicable Diseases Unit, ESPEN, World Health Organization, Brazzaville, Republic of Congo
| | - Mouctar D Badiane
- Programme National de Promotion de La Santé Oculaire, Ministère de la Santé et de L'Action Sociale, Dakar, Senegal
| | - Boubacar Sarr
- Ministère de la Santé et de l'Action Sociale, Senegal
| | | | - Balgesa E Elshafie
- National Program for Prevention of Blindness, Federal Ministry of Health, Khartoum, Sudan
| | - George E Kabona
- Neglected Tropical Diseases Control Program, Ministry of Health, Dodoma, Tanzania
| | - Oscar Kaitaba
- Neglected Tropical Diseases Control Program, Ministry of Health, Dodoma, Tanzania
| | - Upendo Mwingira
- Neglected Tropical Diseases Control Program, Ministry of Health, Dodoma, Tanzania
| | - Alistidia Simon
- Neglected Tropical Diseases Control Program, Ministry of Health, Dodoma, Tanzania
| | - Sarjo Kanyi
- National Eye Health Programme, Ministry of Health and Social Welfare, Banjul, The Gambia
| | | | - Kwamy Togbey
- Programme National des Maladies Tropicales Negligées, Ministry of Health, Public Hygiene and Universal Access to Care, Lomé, Togo
| | - Gilbert Baayenda
- Neglected Tropical Diseases Control, Ministry of Health, Kampala, Uganda
| | - Mugume Francis
- Neglected Tropical Diseases Control, Ministry of Health, Kampala, Uganda
| | - Edridah M Tukahebwa
- Vector-Borne and Neglected Tropical Diseases, Ministry of Health, Kampala, Uganda
| | - Ana Bakhtiari
- International Trachoma Initiative, Task Force for Global Health, Decatur, Georgia, USA
| | - Alexander P Keil
- Department of Epidemiology, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, North Carolina, USA
| | - Joanna Maselko
- Department of Epidemiology, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, North Carolina, USA
| | - Daniel Westreich
- Department of Epidemiology, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, North Carolina, USA
| | - Mackline Garae
- Department of Neglected Tropical Diseases, Vanuatu Ministry of Health, Port Vila, Vanuatu
| | - Fasiah Taleo
- Department of Neglected Tropical Diseases, Vanuatu Ministry of Health, Port Vila, Vanuatu
| | | | - Consity Mwale
- Kitwe Teaching Eye Hospital, Ministry of Health, Kitwe, Zambia
| | - Anthony W Solomon
- Global Neglected Tropical Diseases Programme, World Health Organization, Geneva, Switzerland
| | - Emily W Gower
- Department of Epidemiology, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, North Carolina, USA
| |
Collapse
|
3
|
Harding-Esch EM, Burgert-Brucker CR, Jimenez C, Bakhtiari A, Willis R, Dejene Bejiga M, Mpyet C, Ngondi J, Boyd S, Abdala M, Abdou A, Adamu Y, Alemayehu A, Alemayehu W, Al-Khatib T, Apadinuwe SC, Awaca N, Awoussi MS, Baayendag G, Badiane Mouctar D, Bailey RL, Batcho W, Bay Z, Bella A, Beido N, Bol YY, Bougouma C, Brady CJ, Bucumi V, Butcher R, Cakacaka R, Cama A, Camara M, Cassama E, Chaora SG, Chebbi AC, Chisambi AB, Chu B, Conteh A, Coulibaly SM, Courtright P, Dalmar A, Dat TM, Davids T, DJAKER MEA, de Fátima Costa Lopes M, Dézoumbé D, Dodson S, Downs P, Eckman S, Elshafie BE, Elmezoghi M, Elvis AA, Emerson P, Epée EEE, Faktaufon D, Fall M, Fassinou A, Fleming F, Flueckiger R, Gamael KK, Garae M, Garap J, Gass K, Gebru G, Gichangi MM, Giorgi E, Goépogui A, Gómez DVF, Gómez Forero DP, Gower EW, Harte A, Henry R, Honorio-Morales HA, Ilako DR, Issifou AAB, Jones E, Kabona G, Kabore M, Kadri B, Kalua K, Kanyi SK, Kebede S, Kebede F, Keenan JD, Kello AB, Khan AA, KHELIFI H, Kilangalanga J, KIM SH, Ko R, Lewallen S, Lietman T, Logora MSY, Lopez YA, MacArthur C, Macleod C, Makangila F, Mariko B, Martin DL, Masika M, Massae P, Massangaie M, Matendechero HS, Mathewos T, McCullagh S, Meite A, Mendes EP, Abdi HM, Miller H, Minnih A, Mishra SK, Molefi T, Mosher A, M’Po N, Mugume F, Mukwiza R, Mwale C, Mwatha S, Mwingira U, Nash SD, NASSA C, Negussu N, Nieba C, Noah Noah JC, Nwosu CO, Olobio N, Opon R, Pavluck A, Phiri I, Rainima-Qaniuci M, Renneker KK, Saboyá-Díaz MI, Sakho F, Sanha S, Sarah V, Sarr B, Szwarcwald CL, Shah Salam A, Sharma S, Seife F, Serrano Chavez GM, Sissoko M, Sitoe HM, Sokana O, Tadesse F, Taleo F, Talero SL, Tarfani Y, Tefera A, Tekeraoi R, Tesfazion A, Traina A, Traoré L, Trujillo-Trujillo J, Tukahebwa EM, Vashist P, Wanyama EB, WARUSAVITHANA SD, Watitu TK, West S, Win Y, Woods G, YAJIMA A, Yaya G, Zecarias A, Zewengiel S, Zoumanigui A, Hooper PJ, Millar T, Rotondo L, Solomon AW. Tropical Data: Approach and Methodology as Applied to Trachoma Prevalence Surveys. Ophthalmic Epidemiol 2023; 30:544-560. [PMID: 38085791 PMCID: PMC10751062 DOI: 10.1080/09286586.2023.2249546] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/09/2023] [Accepted: 08/11/2023] [Indexed: 12/18/2023]
Abstract
PURPOSE Population-based prevalence surveys are essential for decision-making on interventions to achieve trachoma elimination as a public health problem. This paper outlines the methodologies of Tropical Data, which supports work to undertake those surveys. METHODS Tropical Data is a consortium of partners that supports health ministries worldwide to conduct globally standardised prevalence surveys that conform to World Health Organization recommendations. Founding principles are health ministry ownership, partnership and collaboration, and quality assurance and quality control at every step of the survey process. Support covers survey planning, survey design, training, electronic data collection and fieldwork, and data management, analysis and dissemination. Methods are adapted to meet local context and needs. Customisations, operational research and integration of other diseases into routine trachoma surveys have also been supported. RESULTS Between 29th February 2016 and 24th April 2023, 3373 trachoma surveys across 50 countries have been supported, resulting in 10,818,502 people being examined for trachoma. CONCLUSION This health ministry-led, standardised approach, with support from the start to the end of the survey process, has helped all trachoma elimination stakeholders to know where interventions are needed, where interventions can be stopped, and when elimination as a public health problem has been achieved. Flexibility to meet specific country contexts, adaptation to changes in global guidance and adjustments in response to user feedback have facilitated innovation in evidence-based methodologies, and supported health ministries to strive for global disease control targets.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | - Amza Abdou
- Programme National de Santé Oculaire, Niger
| | | | | | | | | | | | - Naomie Awaca
- Ministère de la Santé Publique, Democratic Republic of Congo
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | - Clarisse Bougouma
- Programme national de lutte contre les maladies tropicales négligées (PNMTN), Burkina Faso
| | | | - Victor Bucumi
- National Integrated Programme for the Control of Neglected Tropical Diseases and Blindness (PNIMTNC), Burundi
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | - Brian Chu
- International Trachoma Initiative, USA
| | | | | | - Paul Courtright
- Division of Ophthalmology, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa, South Africa
| | - Abdi Dalmar
- Ministry of Human Development and Public Services, Somalia
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | - Ange Aba Elvis
- Programme National de la Santé Oculaire et de la lutte contre l’Onchocercose, Côte d’Ivoire
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | - Jambi Garap
- Port Moresby General Hospital, Papua New Guinea
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | - Anna Harte
- London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, UK
| | - Rob Henry
- U.S. Agency for International Development, USA
| | | | | | | | | | | | - Martin Kabore
- Programme national de lutte contre les maladies tropicales négligées (PNMTN), Burkina Faso
| | | | - Khumbo Kalua
- Blantyre Institute for Community Outreach, Malawi
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | - Robert Ko
- Port Moresby General Hospital, Papua New Guinea
| | - Susan Lewallen
- Division of Ophthalmology, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa, South Africa
| | | | | | - Yuri A Lopez
- SACAICET / MINISTERIO DEL PODER POPULAR PARA LA SALUD, Venezuela
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | - Aboulaye Meite
- Ministère de la Santé et de l’Hygiène Publique, Cote d’Ivoire
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | - Aryc Mosher
- U.S. Agency for International Development, USA
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | - Cece Nieba
- Ministère de la Santé et de l’Hygiene Publique, Guinea
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | - Oliver Sokana
- Solomon Islands Ministry of Health and Medical Services, Solomon Islands
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Collapse
|
4
|
Sullivan KM, Harding-Esch EM, Keil AP, Freeman MC, Batcho WE, Bio Issifou AA, Bucumi V, Bella AL, Epee E, Bobo Barkesa S, Seife Gebretsadik F, Sanha S, Kalua KM, Masika MP, Minnih AO, Abdala M, Massangaie ME, Amza A, Kadri B, Nassirou B, Mpyet CD, Olobio N, Badiane MD, Elshafie BE, Baayenda G, Kabona GE, Kaitaba O, Simon A, Al-Khateeb TQ, Mwale C, Bakhtiari A, Westreich D, Solomon AW, Gower EW. Exploring water, sanitation, and hygiene coverage targets for reaching and sustaining trachoma elimination: G-computation analysis. PLoS Negl Trop Dis 2023; 17:e0011103. [PMID: 36780437 PMCID: PMC9925017 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pntd.0011103] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/08/2022] [Accepted: 01/14/2023] [Indexed: 02/15/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Trachoma is the leading infectious cause of blindness. To reduce transmission, water, sanitation, and hygiene (WaSH) improvements are promoted through a comprehensive public health strategy. Evidence supporting the role of WaSH in trachoma elimination is mixed and it remains unknown what WaSH coverages are needed to effectively reduce transmission. METHODS/FINDINGS We used g-computation to estimate the impact on the prevalence of trachomatous inflammation-follicular among children aged 1-9 years (TF1-9) when hypothetical WaSH interventions raised the minimum coverages from 5% to 100% for "nearby" face-washing water (<30 minutes roundtrip collection time) and adult latrine use in an evaluation unit (EU). For each scenario, we estimated the generalized prevalence difference as the TF1-9 prevalence under the intervention scenarios minus the observed prevalence. Data from 574 cross-sectional surveys conducted in 16 African and Eastern Mediterranean countries were included. Surveys were conducted from 2015-2019 with support from the Global Trachoma Mapping Project and Tropical Data. When modeling interventions among EUs that had not yet met the TF1-9 elimination target, increasing nearby face-washing water and latrine use coverages above 30% was generally associated with consistent decreases in TF1-9. For nearby face-washing water, we estimated a ≥25% decrease in TF1-9 at 65% coverage, with a plateau upon reaching 85% coverage. For latrine use, the estimated decrease in TF1-9 accelerated from 80% coverage upward, with a ≥25% decrease in TF1-9 by 85% coverage. Among EUs that had previously met the elimination target, results were inconclusive. CONCLUSIONS Our results support Sustainable Development Goal 6 and provide insight into potential WaSH-related coverage targets for trachoma elimination. Targets can be tested in future trials to improve evidence-based WaSH guidance for trachoma.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Kristin M. Sullivan
- Department of Epidemiology, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, North Carolina, United States of America,* E-mail:
| | - Emma M. Harding-Esch
- Clinical Research Department, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom
| | - Alexander P. Keil
- Department of Epidemiology, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, North Carolina, United States of America
| | - Matthew C. Freeman
- Gangarosa Department of Environmental Health, Emory University, Atlanta, Georgia, United States of America
| | - Wilfrid E. Batcho
- Programme National De Lutte Contre Les Maladies Transmissibles, Ministère De La Santé, Cotonou, Benin
| | | | - Victor Bucumi
- Département En Charge des Maladies Tropicales, Négligées Ministère De La Santé Publique Et De La Lutte Contre Le Sida, Bujumbura, Burundi
| | - Assumpta L. Bella
- Programme National De Lutte Contre La Cécité, Ministère De La Santé Publique, Yaounde, Cameroon
| | - Emilienne Epee
- Department Of Ophthalmology, University of Yaoundé 1 Yaounde Centre, Yaoundé, Cameroun
| | - Segni Bobo Barkesa
- Neglected Tropical Disease Prevention and Control Program, Federal Ministry of Health, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia
| | - Fikre Seife Gebretsadik
- Neglected Tropical Disease Prevention and Control Program, Federal Ministry of Health, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia
| | - Salimato Sanha
- Programa Nacional De Saúde De Visão, Minsap, Bissau, Guinea-Bissau
| | | | - Michael P. Masika
- Department of Clinical Services, Ministry of Health, Lilongwe, Malawi
| | - Abdallahi O. Minnih
- Département Des Maladies Transmissibles, Ministère De La Santé Nouakchott, Nouakchott, Mauritania
| | - Mariamo Abdala
- Direcção Nacional De Saúde Pública Ministerio Da Saude, Maputo, Mozambique
| | | | - Abdou Amza
- Programme National De Santé Oculaire Ministère De La Santé Publique, Niamey, Niger
| | - Boubacar Kadri
- Programme National De Santé Oculaire Ministère De La Santé Publique, Niamey, Niger
| | - Beido Nassirou
- Programme National De Santé Oculaire Ministère De La Santé Publique, Niamey, Niger
| | - Caleb D. Mpyet
- Department of Ophthalmology, University of Jos, Jos, Plateau, Nigeria
| | - Nicholas Olobio
- Neglected Tropical Diseases Division, Department of Public Health, Federal Ministry of Health, Abuja, Nigeria
| | - Mouctar D. Badiane
- Programme National de Promotion de La Santé Oculaire, Ministère de la Santé et de L’Action sociale, Dakar, Senegal
| | - Balgesa E. Elshafie
- National Program for Prevention of Blindness, Federal Ministry of Health, Khartoum, Sudan
| | | | - George E. Kabona
- Neglected Tropical Disease Control Program, Ministry of Health, Dodoma, United Republic of Tanzania
| | - Oscar Kaitaba
- Neglected Tropical Disease Control Program, Ministry of Health, Dodoma, United Republic of Tanzania
| | - Alistidia Simon
- Neglected Tropical Disease Control Program, Ministry of Health, Dodoma, United Republic of Tanzania
| | | | - Consity Mwale
- Provincial Health Office, Ministry of Health, Lusaka, Zambia
| | - Ana Bakhtiari
- International Trachoma Initiative, Task Force for Global Health, Decatur, Georgia, United States of America
| | - Daniel Westreich
- Department of Epidemiology, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, North Carolina, United States of America
| | - Anthony W. Solomon
- Department of Control of Neglected Tropical Diseases, World Health Organization, Geneva, Switzerland
| | - Emily W. Gower
- Department of Epidemiology, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, North Carolina, United States of America
| |
Collapse
|
5
|
Sahota RS, Sanha S, Last A, Cassama E, Goncalves A, Kelly AH, Street A, Harding-Esch EM. Acceptability and perceived utility of different diagnostic tests and sample types for trachoma surveillance in the Bijagos Islands, Guinea Bissau. Trans R Soc Trop Med Hyg 2021; 115:847-853. [PMID: 33444436 PMCID: PMC8382514 DOI: 10.1093/trstmh/traa179] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/24/2020] [Revised: 12/10/2020] [Accepted: 01/05/2021] [Indexed: 11/12/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Trachoma is the leading infectious cause of blindness worldwide and is nearing elimination as a public health problem in Guinea Bissau. It is imperative that elimination is followed by a successful postvalidation surveillance programme. The aim of this study was to determine the acceptability and perceived utility of different diagnostic tests and sample types that could be used for postvalidation trachoma surveillance in the Bijagos Islands, Guinea Bissau. METHODS Semistructured interviews with community members and stakeholders involved in trachoma elimination were followed by focus group discussions with community members, covering experiences with trachoma and views on trachoma diagnostic methods and sample types. RESULTS In this setting, all diagnostic tests and sample types used for trachoma surveillance were generally considered acceptable by communities. A preference for laboratory-based testing and finger-prick blood samples was expressed as these results were considered more accurate and applicable to a range of diseases beyond trachoma. CONCLUSIONS Appropriate community and stakeholder engagement and communication regarding the purpose and processes around diagnostic practice prior to trachoma programme implementation are crucial for long-term successful disease-elimination efforts.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Ramandeep Singh Sahota
- Faculty of Infectious and Tropical Diseases, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, WC1E 7HT, UK
| | - Salimato Sanha
- Programa Nacional de Saúde de Visão, Ministério de Saúde Publica, Bisssau, Guiné Bissau
| | - Anna Last
- Faculty of Infectious and Tropical Diseases, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, WC1E 7HT, UK
| | - Eunice Cassama
- Programa Nacional de Saúde de Visão, Ministério de Saúde Publica, Bisssau, Guiné Bissau
| | - Adriana Goncalves
- Faculty of Infectious and Tropical Diseases, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, WC1E 7HT, UK
| | - Ann H Kelly
- Faculty of Social Science and Public Policy, King's College London, London, WC2B 4BG, UK
| | - Alice Street
- School of Social and Political Science, Edinburgh University, Edinburgh, EH8 9LD, UK
| | - Emma M Harding-Esch
- Faculty of Infectious and Tropical Diseases, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, WC1E 7HT, UK
| |
Collapse
|