Risk of death, thrombotic and hemorrhagic events in anticoagulated patients with atrial fibrillation and systemic autoimmune diseases: an analysis from a global federated dataset

BACKGROUND

Growing evidence showing that systemic autoimmune diseases (SADs) are associated with a high risk of atrial fibrillation (AF). However, the impact of SAD on the clinical course of AF patients is largely unknown.

METHODS

Retrospective cohort study within a federated healthcare network (TriNetX). Using ICD codes, AF patients on anticoagulant therapy were categorized according to the presence of SAD (M32: Systemic Lupus Erythematosus (SLE); M33: Dermato-polymyositis (DMP); M34: Systemic Sclerosis (SSc); M35: Sjogren syndrome). The primary outcomes were the 5-year risks of (1) all-cause death, (2) thrombotic events (ischemic stroke, acute myocardial infarction, deep vein thrombosis, and pulmonary embolism), and (3) bleeding (intracranial (ICH) and gastrointestinal (GI)). Secondary outcomes were each component of the primary outcomes. Cox regression analysis after propensity score matching (PSM) was used to estimate hazard ratio (HR) and 95% confidence interval (95%CI).

RESULTS

We identified 16,098 AF patients with SAD (68.2 ± 13.4 years; 71.0% female) and 828,772 AF controls (70.7 ± 12.9 years, 41.1% females). After PSM, AF patients with SAD were associated with a higher risk of all-cause death (HR 1.13, 95%CI 1.09-1.71), thrombotic events (HR 1.37, 95%CI 1.32-1.43), and hemorrhagic events (HR 1.41, 95%CI 1.33-1.50) compared to AF controls without SAD. The highest risk of all-cause death and GI bleeding was associated with SSc, while the highest risk of thrombotic events and ICH was associated with SLE.

CONCLUSION

AF patients with SAD are associated with a high risk of all-cause death, thrombotic, and hemorrhagic events. These patients merit careful follow-up and integrated care management to improve their prognosis.

Lipid-based insulin-resistance markers predict cardiovascular events in metabolic dysfunction associated steatotic liver disease

BACKGROUND

Insulin resistance (IR) is the cornerstone of Metabolic Dysfunction Associated Steatotic Liver Disease (MASLD), pathophysiologically being the key link between MASLD, metabolic disorders, and cardiovascular (CV) diseases. There are no prospective studies comparing the predictive values of different markers of insulin resistance (IR) in identifying the presence of MASLD and the associated risk of cardiovascular events (CVEs).

METHODS

Post hoc analysis of the prospective Plinio Study, involving dysmetabolic patients evaluated for the presence of MASLD. The IR markers considered were Homeostatic Model Assessment for IR (HOMA-IR), Triglycerides-Glycemia (TyG) index, Triglycerides to High-Density Lipoprotein Cholesterol ratio (TG/HDL-C), Lipid Accumulation Product (LAP) and Visceral Adiposity Index (VAI). Receiver operative characteristic (ROC) analyses were performed to find the optimal cut-offs of each IR marker for detecting MASLD and predicting CVEs in MASLD patients. Logistic and Cox multivariable regression analyses were performed, after dichotomizing the IR markers based on the optimal cut-offs, to assess the factors independently associated with MASLD and the risk of CVEs.

RESULTS

The study included 772 patients (age 55.6 ± 12.1 years, 39.4% women), of whom 82.8% had MASLD. VAI (Area Under the Curve [AUC] 0.731), TyG Index (AUC 0.723), and TG/HDL-C ratio (AUC: 0.721) predicted MASLD but was greater with HOMA-IR (AUC: 0.792) and LAP (AUC: 0.787). After a median follow-up of 48.7 (25.4-75.8) months, 53 MASLD patients experienced CVEs (1.8%/year). TyG index (AUC: 0.630), LAP (AUC: 0.626), TG/HDL-C (AUC: 0.614), and VAI (AUC: 0.590) demonstrated comparable, modest predictive values in assessing the CVEs risk in MASLD patients.

CONCLUSION

In dysmetabolic patients HOMA-IR and LAP showed the best accuracy in detecting MASLD. The possible use of lipid-based IR markers in stratifying the CV risk in patients with MASLD needs further validation in larger cohorts.

Educational status affects prognosis of patients with heart failure with reduced ejection fraction: A post-hoc analysis from the WARCEF trial

AIMS

The influence of social determinants of health (SDOH) on the prognosis of Heart Failure and reduced Ejection Fraction (HFrEF) is increasingly reported. We aim to evaluate the contribution of educational status on outcomes in patients with HFrEF.

METHODS

We used data from the WARCEF trial, which randomized HFrEF patients with sinus rhythm to receive Warfarin or Aspirin; educational status of patients enrolled was collected at baseline. We defined three levels of education: low, medium and high level, according to the highest qualification achieved or highest school grade attended. We analysed the impact of the educational status on the risk of the primary composite outcome of all-cause death, ischemic stroke (IS) and intracerebral haemorrhage (ICH); components of the primary outcome were also analysed as secondary outcomes.

RESULTS

2295 patients were included in this analysis; of these, 992 (43.2%) had a low educational level, 947 (41.3%) had a medium education level and the remaining 356 (15.5%) showed a high educational level. Compared to patients with high educational level, those with low educational status showed a high risk of the primary composite outcome (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR]: 1.31, 95% confidence intervals [CI] 1.02-1.69); a non-statistically significant association was observed in those with medium educational level (aHR: 1.20, 95%CI: .93-1.55). Similar results were observed for all-cause death, while no statistically significant differences were observed for IS or ICH.

CONCLUSION

Compared to patients with high educational levels, those with low educational status had worse prognosis. SDOH should be considered in patients with HFrEF.

CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION

NCT00041938.

Association of antiseizure medications and adverse cardiovascular events: A global health federated network analysis

OBJECTIVE

A diagnosis of epilepsy has been associated with adverse cardiovascular events (CEs), but the extent to which antiseizure medications (ASMs) may contribute to this is not well understood. The aim of this study was to compare the risk of adverse CEs associated with ASM in patients with epilepsy (PWE).

METHODS

A retrospective case-control cohort study was conducted using TriNetX, a global health federated network of anonymized patient records. Patients older than 18 years, with a diagnosis of epilepsy (International Classification of Diseases, 10th Revision code G40) and a medication code of carbamazepine, lamotrigine, or valproate were compared. Patients with cardiovascular disease prior to the diagnosis of epilepsy were excluded. Cohorts were 1:1 propensity score matched (PSM) according to age, sex, ethnicity, hypertension, heart failure, atherosclerotic heart disease, atrial and cardiac arrythmias, diabetes, disorders of lipoprotein metabolism, obesity, schizophrenia and bipolar disorder, medications, and epilepsy classification. The primary outcome was a composite of adverse CEs (ischemic stroke, acute ischemic heart disease, and heart failure) at 10 years. Cox regression analyses were used to calculate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) following 1:1 PSM.

RESULTS

Of 374 950 PWE included; three cohorts were established after PSM: (1) carbamazepine compared to lamotrigine, n = 4722, mean age 37.4 years; (2) valproate compared to lamotrigine, n = 5478, mean age 33.9 years; and (3) valproate compared to carbamazepine, n = 4544, mean age 37.0 years. Carbamazepine and valproate use were associated with significantly higher risk of composite cardiovascular outcome compared to lamotrigine (HR = 1.390, 95% CI = 1.160-1.665 and HR = 1.264, 95% CI = 1.050-1.521, respectively). Valproate was associated with a 10-year higher risk of all-cause death than carbamazepine (HR = 1.226, 95% CI = 1.017-1.478), but risk of other events was not significantly different.

SIGNIFICANCE

Carbamazepine and valproate were associated with increased CE risks compared to lamotrigine. Cardiovascular risk factor monitoring and careful follow-up should be considered for these patients.

Morbidity and mortality risks associated with valproate withdrawal in young men and women with epilepsy

Valproate is the most effective treatment for idiopathic generalised epilepsy. Current guidance precludes its use in women of childbearing potential, unless other treatments are ineffective or not tolerated, because of high teratogenicity. This risk was recently extended to men. New guidance will limit use both in men and women aged <55 years, resulting in withdrawal of valproate from men already taking it, as occurs for women. Whether there are risks of personal harm (including injury or death) associated with valproate withdrawal has not yet been quantified for men or women on valproate, meaning clinicians cannot reliably counsel either sex when discussing valproate withdrawal with them, despite that this concern may be at the forefront of patients' and clinicians' minds. We assessed whether there are any morbidity or mortality risks associated with valproate withdrawal in young men and women. We performed a retrospective cohort study of internationally derived electronic health data within the TriNetX Global Collaborative Network. Included were men and women aged 16-54 years with ≥1 epilepsy disease or symptom code between 01/12/2017-01/12/2018 and ≥2 valproate prescriptions over the preceding two years (01/01/2015-30/11/2017). 5-year propensity-matched risks of mortality and a range of morbidity outcomes were compared between those remaining on vs. withdrawn from valproate during the 01/12/2017-01/12/2018 recruitment period, regardless of whether switched to another antiseizure medication. Survival analysis was undertaken using Cox-proportional hazard models, generating hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs). 8,991 men and 5,243 women taking valproate were recruited. 28% of men and 36% of women were subsequently withdrawn from valproate. Valproate withdrawal was associated with significantly increased risks of emergency department attendance (HRs overall: 1.236 (CI 1.159-1.319), men: 1.181 (CI 1.083-1.288), women: 1.242 (CI 1.125-1.371)), hospital admission (HRs overall: 1.160 (CI 1.081-1.246), men: 1.132 (CI 1.027-1.249), women: 1.147 (CI 1.033-1.274)), falls (HRs overall: 1.179 (CI 1.041-1.336), men: 1.298 (CI 1.090-1.546)), injuries (HRs overall: 1.095 (CI 1.021-1.174), men: 1.129 (CI 1.029-1.239)), burns (HRs overall: 1.592 (CI 1.084-2.337)), and new-onset depression (HRs overall 1.323 (CI 1.119-1.565), women: 1.359 (CI 1.074-1.720)). The risk of these outcomes occurring was 1-7% higher in those withdrawn from valproate than in those remaining on valproate. Overall, valproate withdrawal was not associated with increased mortality. These results may help patients and clinicians have a more informed discussion about personal safety when considering valproate withdrawal.

Risk of Death and Cardiovascular Events in Asian Patients With Atrial Fibrillation and Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease: A Report From the Prospective APHRS Registry

BACKGROUND

Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is associated with an increased risk of adverse events in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF); however, few data are available on this topic in Asian populations.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Prospective observational study conducted on patients with AF enrolled in the Asia-Pacific Heart Rhythm Society (APHRS) AF Registry. The diagnosis of COPD was based on data reported in the case report form by the investigators. Cox-regression models were used to assess the 1-year risk of a primary composite outcome of all-cause death, thromboembolic events, acute coronary syndrome, and heart failure. Analysis on single outcomes and cardiovascular death was also performed. Interaction analysis was used to assess the risk of composite outcome and all-cause death in different subgroups. The study included 4094 patients with AF (mean±SD age 68.5±12 years, 34.6% female), of whom 112 (2.7%) had COPD. Patients with COPD showed a higher incidence of the primary composite outcome (25.1% versus 6.3%, P<0.001), all-cause death (14.9% versus 2.6%, P<0.001), cardiovascular death (2.0% versus 0.6%, P<0.001), and heart failure (8.3% versus 6.0%, P<0.001). On multiple Cox-regression analysis, COPD was associated with a higher risk of the primary composite outcome (hazard ratio [HR], 3.17 [95% CI, 2.05-4.90]), all-cause death (HR, 3.59 [95% CI, 2.04-6.30]), and heart failure (HR, 3.32 [95% CI, 1.56-7.03]); no statistically significant differences were found for other outcomes. The association between COPD and mortality was significantly modified by the use of beta blockers (Pint=0.018).

CONCLUSIONS

In Asian patients with AF, COPD is associated with worse prognosis. In patients with AF and COPD, the use of beta blockers was associated with a lower mortality.

REGISTRATION INFORMATION

clinicaltrials.gov Identifier: NCT04807049.

Predicting stroke in Asian patients with atrial fibrillation using machine learning: A report from the KERALA-AF registry, with external validation in the APHRS-AF registry

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is a significant risk factor for stroke. Based on the higher stroke associated with AF in the South Asian population, we constructed a one-year stroke prediction model using machine learning (ML) methods in KERALA-AF South Asian cohort. External validation was performed in the prospective APHRS-AF registry. We studied 2101 patients and 83 were to patients with stroke in KERALA-AF registry. The random forest showed the best predictive performance in the internal validation with receiver operator characteristic curve (AUC) and G-mean of 0.821 and 0.427, respectively. In the external validation, the light gradient boosting machine showed the best predictive performance with AUC and G-mean of 0.670 and 0.083, respectively. We report the first demonstration of ML's applicability in an Indian prospective cohort, although the more modest prediction on external validation in a separate multinational Asian registry suggests the need for ethnic-specific ML models.

Efficacy and Safety of Combination Therapy with Low-Dose Rivaroxaban in Patients with Cardiovascular Disease: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis of Randomized Controlled Trials

Objectives: To review the evidence on the effectiveness and safety of low-dose-rivaroxaban 2.5 mg twice daily (LDR) in patients with coronary artery disease (CAD) and/or peripheral artery disease (PAD) taking antiplatelets. Methods: We performed a systematic review and meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials (RCTs). Efficacy endpoints were cardiovascular events (CVEs), myocardial infarction, stroke, all-cause, and cardiovascular death. Any, major, fatal bleeding, and intracranial hemorrhage (ICH) were safety endpoints. Numbers needed to treat (NNT), and numbers needed to harm (NNH) were also calculated. Results: Seven RCTs were included with 45,836 patients: 34,276 with CAD and 11,560 with PAD. Overall, 4247 CVEs and 3082 bleedings were registered. LDR in association with either any antiplatelet drug or aspirin (ASA) alone reduced the risk of CVEs (hazard ratio [HR] 0.86, 95% confidence interval [95%CI] 0.78-0.94) and ischemic stroke (HR 0.68, 95%CI 0.55-0.84). LDR + ASA increased the risk of major bleeding (HR 1.71, 95%CI 1.38-2.11) but no excess of fatal bleeding or ICH was found. The NNT to prevent one CVE for LDR + ASA was 63 (43-103) and the NNH to cause major bleeding was 107 (77-193). Conclusions: The combination of LDR with either antiplatelet drugs or low-dose aspirin reduces CVEs and ischemic stroke in patients with CAD/PAD. There was an increased risk of major bleeding but no excess of fatal or ICH was found. LDR seems to have a favorable net clinical benefit compared to ASA treatment alone.

Albumin Levels and Risk of Early Cardiovascular Complications After Ischemic Stroke: A Propensity-Matched Analysis of a Global Federated Health Network

BACKGROUND

No studies have investigated the association between albumin levels and the risk of early cardiovascular complications in patients with ischemic stroke.

METHODS

Retrospective analysis with a federated research network (TriNetX) based on electronic medical records (International Classification of Diseases-Tenth Revision-Clinical Modification and logical observation identifiers names and codes) mainly reported between 2000 and 2023, from 80 health care organizations in the United States. Based on albumin levels measured at admission to the hospital, patients with ischemic stroke were categorized into 2 groups: (1) reduced (≤3.4 g/dL) and (2) normal (≥3.5 g/dL) albumin levels. The primary outcome was a composite of all-cause death, heart failure, atrial fibrillation, ventricular arrhythmias, myocardial infarction, and Takotsubo cardiomyopathy 30 days from the stroke. Secondary outcomes were the risk for each component of the primary outcome. Cox regression analyses were used to calculate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% CIs following propensity score matching.

RESULTS

Overall, 320 111 patients with stroke had normal albumin levels (70.9±14.7 years; 48.9% females) and 183 729 (57.4%) had reduced albumin levels (72.9±14.3 years; 50.3% females). After propensity score matching, the primary outcomes occurred in 36.0% of patients with reduced and 26.1% with normal albumin levels (HR, 1.48 [95% CI, 1.46-1.50]). The higher risk in patients with reduced albumin levels was consistent also for all-cause death (HR, 2.77 [95% CI, 2.70-2.84]), heart failure (HR, 1.31 [95% CI, 1.29-1.34]), atrial fibrillation (HR, 1.11 [95% CI, 1.09-1.13]), ventricular arrhythmias (HR, 1.38 [95% CI, 1.30-1.46]), myocardial infarction (HR, 1.60 [95% CI, 1.54-1.65]), and Takotsubo cardiomyopathy (HR, 1.51 [95% CI, 1.26-1.82]). The association between albumin levels and the risk of cardiovascular events was independent of advanced age, sex, multimorbidity, and other causes of hypoalbuminemia. A progressively increased risk of adverse events was found in patients with mild and severe reduced compared to normal albumin levels.

CONCLUSIONS

Albumin levels are associated with the risk of early cardiovascular events and death in patients with ischemic stroke. The potential pathophysiological or therapeutic roles of albumin in patients with stroke warrant further investigation.

Diabetes mellitus in patients with heart failure and reduced ejection fraction: a post hoc analysis from the WARCEF trial

Patients with heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) and diabetes mellitus (DM) have an increased risk of adverse events, including thromboembolism. In this analysis, we aimed to explore the association between DM and HFrEF using data from the "Warfarin versus Aspirin in Reduced Cardiac Ejection Fraction" (WARCEF) trial. We analyzed factors associated with DM using multiple logistic regression models and evaluated the effect of DM on long-term prognosis, through adjusted Cox regressions. The primary outcome was the composite of all-cause death, ischemic stroke, or intracerebral hemorrhage; we explored individual components as the secondary outcomes and the interaction between treatment (warfarin or aspirin) and DM on the risk of the primary outcome, stratified by relevant characteristics. Of 2294 patients (mean age 60.8 (SD 11.3) years, 19.9% females) included in this analysis, 722 (31.5%) had DM. On logistic regression, cardiovascular comorbidities, symptoms and ethnicity were associated with DM at baseline, while age and body mass index showed a nonlinear association. Patients with DM had a higher risk of the primary composite outcome (Hazard Ratio [HR] and 95% Confidence Intervals [CI]: 1.48 [1.24-1.77]), as well as all-cause death (HR [95%CI]: 1.52 [1.25-1.84]). As in prior analyses, no statistically significant interaction was observed between DM and effect of Warfarin on the risk of the primary outcome, in any of the subgroups explored. In conclusion, we found that DM is common in HFrEF patients, and is associated with other cardiovascular comorbidities and risk factors, and with a worse prognosis.

Adverse Events and Clinical Correlates in Asian Patients with Atrial Fibrillation and Diabetes Mellitus: A Report from Asia Pacific Heart Rhythm Society Atrial Fibrillation Registry

Aims. To evaluate the adverse events (and its clinical correlates) in a large prospective cohort of Asian patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) and diabetes mellitus (DM). Material and Methods. We recruited patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) from the Asia-Pacific Heart Rhythm Society (APHRS) AF Registry and included those for whom the diabetic mellitus (DM) status was known. We used Cox-regression analysis to assess the 1-year risk of all-cause death, thromboembolic events, acute coronary syndrome, heart failure and major bleeding. Results. Of 4058 patients (mean age 68.5 ± 11.8 years; 34.4% females) considered for this analysis, 999 (24.6%) had DM (age 71 ± 11 years, 36.4% females). Patients with DM had higher mean CHA2DS2-VASc (2.3 ± 1.6 vs. 4.0 ± 1.5, p < 0.001) and HAS-BLED (1.3 ± 1.0 vs. 1.7 ± 1.1, p < 0.001) risk scores and were less treated with rhythm control strategies compared to patients without DM (18.7% vs. 22.0%). After 1-year of follow-up, patients with DM had higher incidence of all-cause death (4.9% vs. 2.3%, p < 0.001), cardiovascular death (1.3% vs. 0.4%, p = 0.003), and major bleeding (1.8% vs. 0.9%, p = 0.002) compared to those without DM. On Cox regression analysis, adjusted for age, sex, heart failure, coronary and peripheral artery diseases and previous thromboembolic event, DM was independently associated with a higher risk of all-cause death (HR 1.48, 95% CI 1.00-2.19), cardiovascular death (HR 2.33, 95% CI 1.01-5.40), and major bleeding (HR 1.91, 95% 1.01-3.60). On interaction analysis, the impact of DM in determining the risk of all-cause death was greater in young than in older patients (p int = 0.010). Conclusions. Given the high rates of adverse outcomes in these Asian AF patients with DM, efforts to optimize the management approach of these high-risk patients in a holistic or integrated care approach are needed.

Left Atrial Appendage Occlusion Versus Direct Oral Anticoagulants in the Prevention of Ischaemic Stroke in Patients with Atrial Fibrillation

Introduction Existing randomised controlled trials assessing the safety and efficacy of left atrial appendage occlusion (LAAO) in atrial fibrillation (AF) were of relatively small sample size, or included patients who could receive oral anticoagulant treatment after device implantation. We compared the outcomes of patients with newly diagnosed AF who received percutaneous LAAO or direct oral anticoagulants (DOAC) treatment, in a large population from a global federated health network (TriNetX). Methods Patients with AF treated with percutaneous LAAO were matched with those treated with DOAC between 1st December 2010 and 1st October 2018. Outcomes were all-cause mortality, ischaemic stroke and intracranial haemorrhage (ICH) at 5 years. Results We included 200 patients with AF, who received either LAAO or DOAC. The risk of all-cause mortality, ischaemic stroke and ICH at 5 years was not significantly different between the two groups (Risk Ratio [RR] for all-cause mortality: 1.52, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.97- 2.38, RR for ischaemic stroke: 1.09, 95% CI: 0.51- 2.36, and RR for ICH: 1.0, 95% CI: 0.44- 2.30). Conclusion Patients newly diagnosed with AF, eligible for DOAC, showed similar 5-year risk of death, ischemic stroke, and ICH when comparing those who underwent percutaneous LAAO to those receiving DOAC. Future randomised controlled trials are needed to confirm the findings and advise changes in guidelines.

Relevance of vein wall thickness in Behcet's disease: A systematic review and meta-analysis

OBJECTIVES

To perform a meta-analysis on articles evaluating the common femoral vein wall thickness (VWT) in Behcet's disease and its possible clinical, laboratory and treatment correlates (BD).

METHODS

Systematic search of EMBASE and PubMed databases from inception to October 2023; we employed random effect meta-analyses for continuous outcomes.

RESULTS

The meta-analysis included 9 case-control and 1 cohort study: the VWT was greater in BD (n = 650) than in controls (n = 396) (p < 0.0001) with wide heterogeneity (I2 = 94.4%); a sensitivity analysis that included mean age of BD participants, gender, disease duration and activity, C-reactive protein, smoking status, immune-suppressive and anti-inflammatory medication, revealed that the heterogeneity variance was partly explained by age (p < 0.0001), male gender (p = 0.03), disease duration (p < 0.0001) and smoking (p = 0.06). The VWT was greater in BD with thrombotic/vascular (n = 189) than in non-thrombotic/vascular BD (n = 140) (p = 0.006) with no heterogeneity.

CONCLUSION

VWT is greater in BD than controls: age, male gender, disease duration and smoking relate to VWT that was greater in BD patients with a history of thrombotic/vascular disease. Prospective studies are required to assess whether VWT may be considered a vascular marker of disease activity.

External Validation of COOL-AF Scores in the Asian Pacific Heart Rhythm Society Atrial Fibrillation Registry

Background

The COOL-AF (Cohort of Antithrombotic Use and Optimal International Normalized Ratio Levels in Patients with Atrial Fibrillation) risk scores for death, bleeding, and thromboembolic events (TEs) were derived from the COOL-AF cohort from Thailand and require external validation.

Objectives

The authors sought to externally validate the COOL-AF scores in the APHRS (Asia-Pacific Heart Rhythm Society) registry and to compare their performance in the ESC-EHRA (European Society of Cardiology-European Heart Rhythm Association) EORP-AF (EURObservational Research Programme in Atrial Fibrillation) General Long-Term Registry.

Methods

We studied 3,628 APHRS and 8,825 EORP-AF patients. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves and Cox regression analyses were used to test the predictive value of COOL-AF scores and to compared them with the CHA2DS2-VASc and HAS-BLED scores.

Results

Patients in the EORP-AF were older, had a higher prevalence of male sex, and were at higher thromboembolic and hemorrhagic risk than APHRS patients. After 1 year of follow-up in APHRS and EORP-AF, the following events were recorded: 87 (2.4%) and 435 (4.9%) death for any causes, 37 (1.0%) and 111 (1.3%) major bleeding, and 25 (0.7%) and 109 (1.2%) TEs, respectively. In APHRS, the COOL-AF scores showed moderate-to-good predictive value for all-cause mortality (area under the curve [AUC]: 0.77; 95% CI: 0.71-0.83), major bleeding (AUC: 0.68; 95% CI: 0.60-0.76), and TEs (AUC: 0.61; 95% CI: 0.51-0.71), and were similar to the CHA2DS2-VASc and HAS-BLED scores. In EORP-AF, the predictive value of COOL-AF for all-cause mortality (AUC: 0.68; 95% CI: 0.65-0.70) and major bleeding (AUC: 0.61; 95% CI: 0.60-0.62) was modest and lower than in APHRS. In EORP-AF, the COOL-AF score for TE was inferior to the CHA2DS2-VASc score.

Conclusions

The COOL-AF risk scores may be an easy tool to identify Asian patients with AF at risk for death and major bleeding and performs better in Asian than in European patients with AF. (Clinical Survey on the Stroke Prevention in Atrial Fibrillation in Asia [AF-Registry]; NCT04807049).

Impact of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease in patients with atrial fibrillation: an analysis from the GLORIA-AF registry

AIMS

Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) may influence management and prognosis of atrial fibrillation (AF), but this relationship has been scarcely explored in contemporary global cohorts. We aimed to investigate the association between AF and COPD, in relation to treatment patterns and major outcomes.

METHODS AND RESULTS

From the prospective, global GLORIA-AF registry, we analysed factors associated with COPD diagnosis, as well as treatment patterns and risk of major outcomes in relation to COPD. The primary outcome was the composite of all-cause death and major adverse cardiovascular events (MACEs). A total of 36 263 patients (mean age 70.1 ± 10.5 years, 45.2% females) were included; 2,261 (6.2%) had COPD. The prevalence of COPD was lower in Asia and higher in North America. Age, female sex, smoking, body mass index, and cardiovascular comorbidities were associated with the presence of COPD. Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease was associated with higher use of oral anticoagulant (OAC) [adjusted odds ratio (aOR) and 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.29 (1.13-1.47)] and higher OAC discontinuation [adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) and 95% CI: 1.12 (1.01-1.25)]. Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease was associated with less use of beta-blocker [aOR (95% CI): 0.79 (0.72-0.87)], amiodarone and propafenone, and higher use of digoxin and verapamil/diltiazem. Patients with COPD had a higher hazard of primary composite outcome [aHR (95% CI): 1.78 (1.58-2.00)]; no interaction was observed regarding beta-blocker use. Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease was also associated with all-cause death [aHR (95% CI): 2.01 (1.77-2.28)], MACEs [aHR (95% CI): 1.41 (1.18-1.68)], and major bleeding [aHR (95% CI): 1.48 (1.16-1.88)].

CONCLUSION

In AF patients, COPD was associated with differences in OAC treatment and use of other drugs; Patients with AF and COPD had worse outcomes, including higher mortality, MACE, and major bleeding.

Social determinants of health and clinical outcomes among patients with atrial fibrillation. Evidence from a global federated health research network

BACKGROUND

Few studies have investigated the role of SDoH in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF).

AIM

To investigate the relationship between SDoH and adverse events in a large multinational AF cohort.

DESIGN

Retrospective study utilizing a global federated health research network (TriNetX).

METHODS

Patients with AF were categorized as socially deprived defined according to ICD codes based on three SDoHs: i) extreme poverty; ii) unemployment; iii) and/or problems related with living alone. The outcomes were the five-year risk of a composite outcomes of all-cause death, hospitalization, ischemic heart disease, stroke, heart failure, or severe ventricular arrhythmias. Cox-regression was used to compute hazard rate ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) following 1:1 propensity score matching (PSM).

RESULTS

The study included 24,631 socially deprived (68.8 ± 16.0 years; females 51.8%) and 2,462,092 non-deprived AF patients (75.5 ± 13.1 years; females 43.8%). Before PSM, socially deprived patients had a higher risk of the composite outcome (HR 1.9, 95%CI 1.87-1.93), all-cause death (HR 1.34, 95%CI 1.28-1.39), hospitalization (HR 2.01, 95%CI 1.98-2.04), ischemic heart disease (HR 1.67, 95%CI 1.64-1.70), stroke (HR 2.60, 95%CI 2.51-2.64), heart failure (HR 1.91, 95%CI 1.86-1.96) and severe ventricular arrhythmias (HR 1.83, 95%CI 1.76-1.90) compared to non-deprived AF patients. The PSM based hazard ratios for the primary composite outcome were 1.54 (95%CI 1.49-1.60) for the unemployed AF patients; 1.39 (95%CI 1.31-1.47) for patients with extreme poverty or with low income; and 1.42 (95%CI 1.37-1.47) for those with problems related with living alone.

CONCLUSIONS

In patients with AF, social deprivation is associated with an increased risk of death and adverse cardiac events. The presence of possible unmeasured bias associated with the retrospective design requires confirmation in future prospective studies.

Low-grade endotoxemia and risk of recurrent thrombosis in primary antiphospholipid syndrome. The multicenter ATHERO-APS study

INTRODUCTION

Low-grade endotoxemia is associated with systemic inflammation, enhanced oxidative stress and cardiovascular events in different clinical settings, but its possible role as "second hit" in patients with primary antiphospholipid syndrome (PAPS) has never been investigated.

PURPOSE

To evaluate the relationship between plasma lipopolysaccharide (LPS) levels, oxidative stress markers and risk of thrombosis in the prospective multicenter ATHERO-APS study.

METHODS

Baseline LPS, soluble NADPH-oxidase 2-derived peptide (sNOX-dp), H2O2 production, hydrogen peroxide breakdown activity (HBA), and nitric oxide (NO) bioavailability were compared in 97 PAPS, 16 non-thrombotic aPL carriers and 21 controls (CTRL) matched for age and sex. Correlations among laboratory variables were explored by Rho Spearman's correlation (rS). Cox-regression analysis was performed to assess the association between LPS and risk for a composite outcome of cardiovascular death, venous and arterial thromboembolism.

RESULTS

In the whole cohort (median age 51 years (IQR 43-60), 72 % female), PAPS demonstrated higher levels of LPS, sNOX-dp and H2O2 and lower levels of NO and HBA compared to non-thrombotic aPL carriers and CTRL. LPS levels were inversely correlated with HBA (rS: -0.295, p = 0.001) and NO (rS: -0.322, p < 0.001) and directly correlated with sNOX-dp (rS:0.469, p < 0.001) and H202 (rS:0.282, p < 0.001). PAPS showed higher levels of LPS, sNOX-dp and H2O2 and lower levels of NO and HBA compared to aPL carriers and CTRL. After a 4.7 years follow-up of, 11 composite outcomes were reported in PAPS (2.5 per 100 patient-years) while none was observed in aPL carriers. On Cox-regression analysis, patients with LPS above the median (>23.1 pg/ml) had a 5-fold increased risk of composite outcome compared to those with LPS below the median, after adjustment for sex, age, diabetes, and global antiphospholipid syndrome score.

CONCLUSION

Low-grade endotoxemia is associated with an increased oxidative stress and a higher risk of thrombosis in PAPS. Its prognostic value in carriers needs to be investigated in larger cohorts.

Subclinical atherosclerosis in Behcet's disease and its inverse relation to azathioprine use: an updated meta-analysis

To evaluate the intima media thickness of carotid arteries (IMT) and its clinical, laboratory and treatment correlates in Behcet's disease (BD). Systematic search of EMBASE and PubMed databases from January 2016 to October 2022; we employed random effect meta-analyses for continuous outcomes and Peto's odds ratio for rare events. The meta-analysis included 36 case control studies: the IMT was greater in BD (n = 1103) than in controls (n = 832) (p < 0.0001) with wide heterogeneity (I2 = 86.9%); a sensitivity analysis that included mean age of BD participants, gender, disease duration and activity, atherogenic index of plasma, blood pressure, C-reactive protein, ethnicity, smoking status, anti-inflammatory and immune suppressive agents, revealed that male gender, mean age of participants and azathioprine use (the latter two in inverse fashion) partly explained the heterogeneity variance (p = 0.02, p = 0.005, and p = 0.01). The IMT was greater in vascular (n = 114) than in non-vascular BD (n = 214) (p = 0.006). BD patients (n = 782) had a greater pooled prevalence of carotid plaques than controls (n = 537) (13.1% vs. 2.97%, p < 0.0001). Subclinical carotid artery atherosclerosis represents a vascular feature of BD, independently of the traditional cardiovascular risk factors. The inverse correlations between IMT, age and azathioprine use suggest that thicker carotid arteries at disease onset eventually regress with immune suppressive treatment: this assumption needs verification on adequately designed clinical trials.

Sex-related differences in presentation, treatment, and outcomes of Asian patients with atrial fibrillation: a report from the prospective APHRS-AF Registry

We aimed to investigate the sex-related differences in the clinical course of patients with Atrial Fibrillation (AF) enrolled in the Asia-Pacific-Heart-Rhythm-Society Registry. Logistic regression was utilized to investigate the relationship between sex and oral anticoagulant, rhythm control strategies and the 1-year chance to maintain sinus rhythm. Cox-regression was utilized to assess the 1-year risk of all-cause, and cardiovascular death, thromboembolic events, acute coronary syndrome, heart failure, and major bleeding. In the whole cohort (4121 patients, 69 ± 12 years,34.3% female), females had different cardiovascular risk factors, clinical manifestations, and disease perceptions than men, with more advanced age (72 ± 11 vs 67 ± 12 years, p < 0.001) and dyslipidemia (36.7% vs 41.7%, p = 0.002). Coronary artery disease was more prevalent in males (21.1% vs 16.1%, p < 0.001) as well as the use of antiplatelet drugs. Females had a higher use of oral anticoagulant (84.9% vs 81.3%, p = 0.004) but this difference was non-significant after adjustment for confounders. On multivariable analyses, females were less often treated with rhythm control strategies (Odds Ratio [OR] 0.44,95% Confidence Interval [CI] 0.38-0.51) and were less likely to maintain sinus rhythm (OR 0.27, 95% CI 0.22-0.34) compared to males. Cox-regressions analysis showed no sex-related differences for the risk of death, cardiovascular, and bleeding. The clinical management of Asian AF patients should consider several sex-related differences.

Epilepsy-Heart Syndrome: Incidence and Clinical Outcomes of Cardiac Complications in patients with Epilepsy

The risks of cardiovascular events (CVEs) in people with epilepsy (PWE) are not well understood. To establish the short- and long-term burden of CVEs in PWE. Electronic health records from a global federated health research network (TriNetX) were used to establish a cohort of PWE. Primary outcomes were: (1) the proportion of people experiencing a composite outcome of cardiac arrest, acute heart failure (HF), acute coronary syndrome (ACS), atrial fibrillation (AF), severe ventricular arrhythmia or all-cause death within 30 days of a seizure; and (2) the 5-year risk for a composite outcome of ischemic heart diseases, stroke, hospitalization, or all-cause death in the PWE experiencing early CVEs. Cox-regression analyses with propensity score matching was used to produce hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CI). In 271,172 PWE (mean age 50 ± 20 years; 52% females), the 30-day risk of CVEs following seizure was: 8.7% for the composite outcome, 0.9% for cardiac arrest, 0.8% for HF, 1.2% for ACS, 4.1% for AF, 0.7% for severe ventricular arrhythmias, and 1.6% for all-cause death. For the 15,120 PWE experiencing CVEs within 30 days of seizure, the 5-year adjusted risks for all composite outcomes measured were significantly increased (overall HR: 2.44, 95% CI 2.37-2.51), ischemic heart diseases HR 3.23 (95% CI 3.10-3.36), stroke HR 1.56 (95% CI 1.48-1.64), hospitalization HR 2.03 (95% CI 1.97-2.10), and all-cause death HR 2.75 (95% CI 2.61-2.89). The large proportions of PWE with active disease that experience CVEs and the poor long-term outcome associated suggest the existence of an "epilepsy-heart syndrome."

C-reactive protein levels are associated with early cardiac complications or death in patients with acute ischemic stroke: a propensity-matched analysis of a global federated health from the TriNetX network

The role of inflammation in predicting early cardiac complications among stroke patients is unclear. Electronic medical records from TriNetX, a global federated health research network, were used for this retrospective analysis. Patients with ischemic stroke and C-Reactive Protein (CRP) levels measured within 24 h post-stroke were categorized into three groups: (i) < 1 mg/L, (ii)1-3 mg/L and (iii) > 3 mg/L. The primary outcome was a composite outcome of cardiac complications (heart failure (HF), ischemic heart disease, atrial fibrillation (AF), ventricular arrhythmias and Takotsubo cardiomyopathy) or death at 30 days from the index event. Cox-regression analyses were used to produce hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) following 1:1 propensity score matching (PSM). Of the 104,741 patients enrolled, 51% were female and the mean age was 66 ± 16 years. After PSM, a new cardiac complication or death within 30 days occurred in 5624 (33.1%) patients with CRP > 3 mg/L, in 4243 (25.6%) patients with CRP 1-3 mg/L and in 3891 (23.5%) patients with CRP < 1 mg/L. Patients with CRP levels of 1-3 mg/L and > 3 mg/L had higher risk of the composite outcome (HR 1.10, 95%CI 1.05-1.52; HR 1.51, 95%CI 1.45-1.58), death (HR 1.43, 95%CI 1.24-1.64; HR 3.50, 95%CI 3.01-3.96), HF (HR 1.08, 95%CI 1.01-1.16; HR 1.51, 95%CI 1.41-1.61), AF (HR 1.10, 95% CI:1.02-1.18; HR 1.42, 95%CI 1.33-1.52) and ventricular arrhythmias (HR 1.25, 95%CI 1.02-1.52; HR 1.67, 95% CI 1.38-2.01) compared to those with CRP < 1 mg/L. Ischemic heart disease were more common among patients with CRP levels > 3 mg/L compared to those with CRP < 1 mg/L (HR:1.33, 95% CI:1.26-1.40), while no association with Takotsubo cardiomyopathy was found in all the analyses. CRP levels within the first 24 h of an ischemic stroke predict 30-day cardiac complications or death.

Interleukin 18 and IL-18 BP response to Sars-CoV-2 virus infection

The immune response to the SARS-CoV-2 infection is crucial to the patient outcome. IL-18 is involved in the lymphocyte response to the disease and it is well established its important role in the complex developing of the host response to viral infection. This study aims at the analysis of the concentrations of IL-18, IL-18BP, INF-γ at the onset of the SARS-CoV-2 infection. The serum levels of measured interleukins were obtained through enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay. Furthermore, the free fraction of IL-18 was numerically evaluated. The enrolled patients were divided in two severity groups according to a threshold value of 300 for the ratio of arterial partial pressure of oxygen and fraction of inspired oxygen fraction and according to the parenchymal involvement as evaluated by computerized tomography at the admittance. In the group of patients with a more severe disease, a significant increase of the IL-18, INF-γ and IL-18BP levels have been observed, whereas the free IL-18 component values were almost constant. The results confirm that, at the onset of the disease, the host response keep the inflammatory cytokines in an equilibrium and support the hypothesis to adopt the IL-18BP modulation as a possible and effective therapeutic approach.

Integrated Care for Atrial Fibrillation Using the ABC Pathway in the Prospective APHRS-AF Registry

Background

The Atrial Fibrillation Better Care (ABC) has been proposed as an integrated approach to improve management in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF), based on 3 pillars: "A" Avoid stroke with Anticoagulation; "B" Better symptoms control; "C" Cardiovascular risk-factor and comorbidities management.

Objectives

This study sought to investigate the association with outcomes of ABC adherence in the prospective multinational Asia-Pacific Heart Rhythm Society (APHRS) Atrial Fibrillation registry.

Method

Cox-regression analyses adjusted for age, sex, CHA2DS2-VASc score, paroxysmal AF, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, chronic kidney disease, cancer, dyslipidemia, and dementia were performed to investigate the association with outcomes. Primary outcome was a composite of all-cause death, any thromboembolic events, acute coronary syndrome or percutaneous interventional procedures, and advancing heart failure.

Results

Of the 4,013 included patients with AF (mean age 68 ± 12 years; 34.4% female); 38.6% were adherent to all 3 main ABC pillars. After 1 year of follow-up, adherence to the ABC pathway was associated with a low incidence of composite outcome (4.0% vs 8.5%, P < 0.001), all-cause and cardiovascular death, and advancing heart failure. On Cox regression analysis, ABC adherence was associated with a lower risk of primary outcome (HR: 0.72; 95% CI: 0.53-0.97), with risk reduction progressively higher with a higher number of ABC criteria attained. No significant interaction in the association was seen according to the different geographic areas (Pint = 0.217).

Conclusions

In a large contemporary cohort of Asian patients with AF, adherence to ABC pathway was associated with a reduction of the risk for adverse outcomes. (Clinical Survey on the Stroke Prevention in Atrial Fibrillation in Asia (AF-Registry; NCT04807049).

Intima media thickness of carotid arteries in familial Mediterranean fever: a systematic review and meta-analysis

AIM

To perform a systematic review and meta-analysis of studies reporting data on atherosclerosis and inflammatory markers in familial Mediterranean fever (FMF).

METHODS

EMBASE and PubMed databases were screened according to PRISMA guidelines from inception to January 2022 for articles reporting measurements of the intima media thickness (IMT) of carotid arteries and eventually carotid plaques; random effect meta-analyses for continuous outcomes and Peto's odds ratio for rare events were employed.

RESULTS

The screening and selection search strategy yielded 18 case controls studies (16 full papers and 2 abstracts); the IMT was greater in FMF (n = 1112) than in controls (n = 901) (p < 0.0001) with wide heterogeneity (I2 = 86.4%); a sensitivity analysis according to mean age of participants, male to female ratio, disease duration, C-reactive protein (CRP), serum amyloid A (SAA), fibrinogen (FNG), atherogenic index of plasma (AIP), colchicine use and NOQAS revealed that the heterogeneity variance was partly explained by CRP (p = 0.01) and to a much lesser extent by the AIP (p = 0.10). The pooled prevalence of carotid plaques was greater in FMF (n = 137) than in controls (n = 156) (19% vs 8.3%, p = 0.02) with low heterogeneity.

CONCLUSION

FMF is characterised by premature atherosclerosis expressed as a thicker intima media and a greater prevalence of carotid plaques, partially related to the C-reactive protein, as expected by the autoinflammatory nature of FMF. Key Points • Familial Mediterranean fever is characterised by premature atherosclerosis. • C-reactive protein relates to intima media thickness in keeping with the autoinflammatory nature Familial Mediterranean fever. • Targeting the inter-critical low-grade inflammation may be relevant to minimise the additional cardiovascular risk posed by premature atherosclerosis.

Thrombocytopenia in antiphospholipid syndrome: a free radical perspective

Thrombosis associated with thrombocytopenia is an apparent paradox that is present across a wide spectrum of disorders. While thrombocytopenia has been a controversial clinical classification criterion for antiphospholipid syndrome because initial reports failed to demonstrate a relation between low platelet count with other clinical or laboratory manifestations of the syndrome, recent data highlight the association between mild to moderate thrombocytopaenia and the risk of thrombosis. Although antiphospholipid antibodies may induce platelet activation in vitro, additional stimuli may contribute to their activation in vivo, amongst which reactive oxygen and nitrogen species and lipid peroxidation products, elevated in patients with the antiphospholipid syndrome: an excess of the same stimuli may induce megakaryocyte and platelet apoptosis that leads to decreased platelet production and increased destruction, exposure resulting ultimately in thrombocytopaenia. Herein we provide a novel plausible framework involving free radicals that could add to the understanding of the thrombocytopenia/thrombosis paradox in the antiphospholipid syndrome.

Relationship between proprotein convertase subtilisin/kexin type 9 (PCSK9) and thrombotic events in primary antiphospholipid syndrome. The multicenter ATHERO-APS study

Background

The proprotein convertase subtilisin/kexin type 9 (PCSK9) is a novel cardiovascular risk factor. Levels of PCSK9 in thrombotic primary antiphospholipid syndrome (PAPS) have never been investigated.

Methods

Cross sectional comparison of baseline characteristics of 91 PAPS patients enrolled in the multicenter ATHERO-APS cohort study. PCSK9 levels were categorized into tertiles and the association with arterial and recurrent thrombosis were assessed by univariable and multivariable regression analysis.

Results

Median age was 51 years and 71.4% (n=65) were women. Overall, 33% (n=30) experienced an arterial event while 31% (n=28) had recurrent thrombotic events. Median PCSK9 levels were 1243 (1100–1650) pg/ml. Patients in the third PCSK9 tertile (&gt;1458 pg/ml) showed a higher prevalence of dyslipidemia, lupus anticoagulant positivity and a history of previous arterial and recurrent thrombosis than patients in the first and second tertile. PCSK9 levels were higher in arterial than venous thrombosis (1502 vs. 1180 pg/ml, p=0.002), and in patients with recurrent vs isolated thrombosis (1680 vs. 1150 pg/m, p&lt;0.001). High plasma PCSK9 levels were associated with a 4-fold increase risk for arterial events and with a 10-fold increase risk for recurrent thrombosis after adjustment for confounding factors.

Conclusion

These preliminary data suggest that in PAPS, PCSK9 levels are associated with arterial and recurrent thrombosis. Its role as a possible therapeutic target in PAPS needs further studies.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: None.

Fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) Index and mortality in COVID-19 patients admitted to the emergency department

Liver damage worsens the prognosis of coronavirus 19 disease (COVID-19). However, the best strategy to stratify mortality risk according to liver damage has not been established. The aim of this study is to test the predictive value of the validated Fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) Index and compared it to liver transaminases and to the AST-to-Platelet ratio index (APRI). Multicenter cohort study including 992 consecutive COVID-19 patients admitted to the Emergency Department. FIB-4 > 3.25 and APRI > 0.7 were used to define liver damage. Multivariable Cox regression and ROC curve analysis for mortality were performed. Secondary endpoints were (1) need for high-flow oxygen and (2) mechanical ventilation. 240 (24.2%) patients had a FIB-4 > 3.25. FIB-4 > 3.25 associated with an increased mortality (n = 119, log-rank test p < 0.001 and adjusted hazard ratio (HR) 1.72 (95% confidence interval [95%CI] 1.14-2.59, p = 0.010). ROC analysis for mortality showed that FIB-4 (AUC 0.734, 95% CI 0.705-0.761) had a higher predictive value than AST (p = 0.0018) and ALT (p < 0.0001). FIB-4 > 3.25 was also superior to APRI > 0.7 (AUC 0.58, 95% CI 0.553-0.615, p = 0.0008). Using an optimized cut-off > 2.76 (AUC 0.689, 95% CI 0.659-0.718, p < 0.0001), FIB-4 was superior to FIB-4 > 3.25 (p = 0.0302), APRI > 0.7 (p < 0.0001), AST > 51 (p = 0.0119) and ALT > 42 (p < 0.0001). FIB-4 was also associated with high-flow oxygen use (n = 255, HR 1.69, 95% CI 1.25-2.28, p = 0.001) and mechanical ventilation (n = 39, HR 2.07, 95% CI 1.03-4.19, p = 0.043). FIB-4 score predicts mortality better than liver transaminases and APRI score. FIB-4 score may be an easy tool to identify COVID-19 patients at worse prognosis in the emergency department.

Proprotein convertase subtilisin/kexin type 9 (PCSK9) levels in primary antiphospholipid syndrome. The multicenter ATHERO-APS study

BACKGROUND

The proprotein convertase subtilisin/kexin type 9 (PCSK9) is emerging as a novel cardiovascular risk factor. Levels of PCSK9 in thrombotic primary antiphospholipid syndrome (PAPS) have never been investigated.

METHODS

Cross sectional comparison of baseline characteristics of 91 PAPS patients enrolled in the multicenter prospective ATHERO-APS cohort study. PCSK9 levels were categorized into tertiles and the association with arterial and recurrent thrombosis were assessed by univariable and multivariable logistic regression analysis.

RESULTS

Median age was 51 years and 71.4% (n = 65) were women. Overall, 33% (n = 30) experienced an arterial event while 31% (n = 28) had recurrent thrombotic events. Median PCSK9 levels were 1243 (1100-1650) pg/ml. Patients in the third PCSK9 tertile (>1458 pg/ml) showed a higher prevalence of dyslipidemia, lupus anticoagulant positivity and a history of previous arterial and recurrent thrombosis than patients in the first and second tertile. PCSK9 levels were higher in arterial than venous thrombosis (1502 vs. 1180 pg/ml, p = 0.002), and in patients with recurrent vs isolated thrombosis (1680 vs. 1150 pg/m, p < 0.001). High plasma PCSK9 levels were associated with a 4-fold increase risk for arterial events and with a 10-fold increase risk for recurrent thrombosis after adjustment for confounding factors.

CONCLUSION

These preliminary data suggest that PCSK9 levels are increased in PAPS patients with arterial and recurrent thrombosis. Its role as a possible therapeutic target in PAPS needs further studies.

Prognostic Value of 12-Leads Electrocardiogram at Emergency Department in Hospitalized Patients with Coronavirus Disease-19

Background: Electrocardiogram (ECG) offers a valuable resource easily available in the emergency setting. Objective: Aim of the study was to describe ECG alterations on emergency department (ED) presentation or that developed during hospitalization in SARS-CoV-2-infected patients and their association with 28-day mortality. Methods: A retrospective, single-center study including hospitalized patients with SARS-CoV-2 was conducted. ECG was recorded on ED admission to determine: heart rhythm, rate, and cycle; atrio-ventricular and intra-ventricular conduction; right ventricular strain; and ventricular repolarization. A specialized cardiologist blinded for the outcomes performed all 12-lead ECG analyses and their interpretation. Results: 190 patients were included, with a total of 24 deaths (12.6%). Age (p < 0.0001) and comorbidity burden were significantly higher in non-survivors (p < 0.0001). Atrial fibrillation (AF) was more frequent in non-survivors (p < 0.0001), alongside a longer QTc interval (p = 0.0002), a lower Tp-e/QTc ratio (p = 0.0003), and right ventricular strain (p = 0.013). Remdesivir administration was associated with bradycardia development (p = 0.0005) but no increase in mortality rates. In a Cox regression model, AF (aHR 3.02 (95% CI 1.03−8.81); p = 0.042), QTc interval above 451 ms (aHR 3.24 (95% CI 1.09−9.62); p = 0.033), and right ventricular strain (aHR 2.94 (95% CI 1.01−8.55); p = 0.047) were associated with higher 28-day mortality risk. Conclusions: QTc interval > 451 ms, right ventricular strain, and AF are associated with higher mortality risk in SARS-CoV-2 hospitalized patients. ECG recording and its appropriate analysis offers a simple, quick, non-expensive, and validated approach in the emergency setting to guide COVID-19 patients’ stratification.

CURB-65 plus hypoalbuminemia: a new score system for prediction of the in-hospital mortality risk in patients with SARS-CoV-2 pneumonia

INTRODUCTION

There is the need of a simple but highly reliable score system for stratifying the risk of mortality and Intensive Care Unit (ICU) transfer in patients with SARS-CoV-2 pneumonia at the Emergency Room.

PURPOSE

In this study, the ability of CURB-65, extended CURB-65, PSI and CALL scores and C-Reactive Protein (CRP) to predict intra-hospital mortality and ICU admission in patients with SARS-CoV-2 pneumonia were evaluated.

METHODS

During March-May 2020, a retrospective, single-center study including all consecutive adult patients with diagnosis of SARS-CoV-2 pneumonia was conducted. Clinical, laboratory and radiological data as well as CURB-65, expanded CURB-65, PSI and CALL scores were calculated based on data recorded at hospital admission.

RESULTS

Overall, 224 patients with documented SARS-CoV-2 pneumonia were included in the study. As for intrahospital mortality (24/224, 11%), PSI performed better than all the other tested scores, which showed lower AUC values (AUC=0.890 for PSI versus AUC=0.885, AUC=0.858 and AUC=0.743 for expanded CURB-65, CURB-65 and CALL scores, respectively). Of note, the addition of hypoalbuminemia to the CURB-65 score increased the prediction value of intra-hospital mortality (AUC=0.905). All the tested scores were less predictive for the need of ICU transfer (26/224, 12%), with the best AUC for extended CURB-65 score (AUC= 0.708).

CONCLUSION

The addition of albumin level to the easy-to-calculate CURB-65 score at hospital admission is able to improve the quality of prediction of intra-hospital mortality in patients with SARS-CoV-2 pneumonia.

Plasma Homocysteine in Behcet's Disease: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

AIM

 To evaluate the relevance of plasma homocysteine (HC) in Behcet's disease (BD) and its clinical manifestations.

METHODS

 Systematic review of EMBASE and PubMed databases according to PRISMA guidelines from inception to July 2021; random-effects meta-analyses for continuous outcomes.

RESULTS

 The search strategy retrieved 48 case-control (2,669 BD and 2,245 control participants) and 5 cohort studies (708 BD participants). Plasma HC was higher in BD than in controls (p < 0.0001) with wide heterogeneity (I2  = 89.7%) that remained unchanged after sensitivity analysis according to year of article publication, age of BD participants, study size, study quality, method of HC determination, and male/female ratio >1.5; some pooled ethnicities explained a small part of the heterogeneity (I2  = 16.3%). Active BD participants had higher HC than inactive ones (p < 0.0001), with moderate heterogeneity (I2  = 49.2%) that disappeared after removal of an outlier study with very high disease activity. BD participants with any vascular involvement had higher HC than those without (p < 0.0001) with wide heterogeneity (I2  = 89.7%); subgroup analysis on venous thrombosis only changed neither effect size (p < 0.0001) nor heterogeneity (I2  = 72.7%). BD participants with ocular involvement had higher HC than those without (p < 0.0001) with moderate heterogeneity (I2  = 40.3%).

CONCLUSION

 Although causality cannot be inferred, the consistency of the elevation of plasma HC in BD, particularly in patients with active disease, with vascular and ocular involvement suggests an intrinsic involvement of HC in these clinical manifestations.

Cardiac and vascular features of arterial and venous primary antiphospholipid syndrome. The multicenter ATHERO-APS study

BACKGROUND

Patients with primary antiphospholipid syndrome (PAPS) may suffer from venous and/or arterial thrombosis, but studies addressing eventual clinical and laboratory features that may discriminate between arterial thromboembolism (ATE) from venous thromboembolism (VTE) have been poorly addressed.

METHODS

Cross sectional comparison of baseline characteristics of 100 patients enrolled in the multi center ATHERO-APS cohort study; patients with previous ATE and VTE were compared with regards to clinical and biochemical variables as well as to echocardiographic features and ankle-brachial index (ABI) measured at enrolment.

RESULTS

Mean age of patients was 51 years, 72 were women. 60 patients suffered VTE and 40 ATE. Compared to VTE, ATE patients displayed a higher prevalence of hypertension (43.3% vs. 65%, p = 0.034) and diabetes (3.3% vs. 17.5%, p = 0.015). Mean concentration of inflammation and complement activation markers were similar between the two groups as well as autoantibodies titres; mean D-dimer concentration was greater in VTE patients (184 ng/ml vs. 347 ng/ml; p = 0.024) whereas mean platelet count was greater in ATE patients (263 × 10⁹/L vs 216 × 10⁹/L, p = 0.044). By multivariable logistic regression analysis, adjusted for age, sex, hypertension and diabetes, ABI ≤ 0.9 (OR: 3.4; p = 0.041) and left atrial enlargement (OR: 3.5; p = 0.035) were associated with a history of ATE. ATE patients had a higher prevalence of ABI <0.9 (32.5% vs 10% p = 0.005) than VTE patients. At logistic regression analysis, IgG aCL >120 GPL U/ml was associated with an ABI ≤0.9 (OR: 5; p = 0.023) after adjustment for age and sex.

CONCLUSION

Clinical, laboratory and cardiovascular variables distinguish arterial from venous APS patients, amongst which the ABI and left atrial enlargement. Implications for these two distinct clinical phenotypes of APS patients need further investigation.

Prevalence of heart failure with preserved ejection fraction in antiphospholipid antibodies syndrome. The multicenter ATHERO-APS study

Background

The prevalence of heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) in patients with antiphospholipid syndrome (APS) is unknown.

Methods

Prospective multicenter cohort study including 125 patients: 91 primary APS (PAPS), 18 APS-SLE, and 16 carriers. HFpEF was diagnosed according to the 2019 European Society of Cardiology criteria: patients with ≥5 points among major and minor functional and morphological criteria including NT-ProBNP &gt;220 pg/ml, left atrial (LA) enlargement, increased left ventricular filling pressure.

Results

Overall, 18 (14.4%) patients were diagnosed with HFpEF; this prevalence increased from 6.3% in carriers to 13.2% in PAPS and 27.8% in APS-SLE (Figure). Patients with HFpEF were older and with a higher prevalence of hypertension and previous arterial events. At logistic regression analysis, age, arterial hypertension, anticardiolipin antibodies IgG &gt;40 GPL (odds ratio [OR] 3.43, 95% Confidence Interval [CI] 1.09–10.77, p=0.035), anti β-2-glycoprotein-I IgG &gt;40 GPL (OR 5.28, 1.53–18.27, p=0.009), lupus anticoagulants DRVVT &gt;1.25 (OR 5.20, 95% CI 1.10–24.68, p=0.038), (OR 3.56, 95% CI 1.11–11.47, p=0.033) and triple positivity (OR 3.56, 95% CI 1.11–11.47, p=0.033) were associated with HFpEF after adjustment for age and sex.

Discussion

HFpEF has a clinically relevant prevalence in patients with APS. The role of antiphospholipid antibodies in the pathogenesis and prognosis of HFpEF needs to be investigated.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: None.

Clinical Characteristics and Outcome of Patients with Suspected COVID-19 in Emergency Department (RESILIENCY Study II)

Objectives: COVID-19 may show no peculiar signs and symptoms that may differentiate it from other infective or non-infective etiologies; thus, early recognition and prompt management are crucial to improve survival. The aim of this study was to describe clinical, laboratory, and radiological characteristics and outcomes of hospitalized COVID-19 patients compared to those with other infective or non-infective etiologies. Methods: We performed a prospective study from March 2020 to February 2021. All patients hospitalized for suspected or confirmed COVID-19 were prospectively recruited. All patients were evaluated according to a predefined protocol for diagnosis of suspected SARS-CoV-2 infection. The primary endpoint was evaluation of clinical, laboratory, and radiological characteristics associated or not with COVID-19 etiology at time of hospitalization in an emergency department. Results: A total of 1036 patients were included in the study: 717 (69%) patients with confirmed COVID-19 and 319 (31%) without COVID-19, hospitalized for other causes. The main causes of hospitalization among non-COVID-19 patients were acute heart failure (44%) and bacterial pneumonia (45.8%). Overall, 30-day mortality was 9% among the COVID-19 group and 35% in the non-COVID-19 group. Multivariate analysis showed variables (fever > 3 days, dry cough, acute dyspnea, lymphocytes < 1000 × 10³/µL, and ferritin > 250 ng/mL) independently associated with COVID-19 etiology. A decision tree was elaborated to early detect COVID-19 patients in the emergency department. Finally, Kaplan–Meier curves on 30-day survival in COVID-19 patients during the first wave (March–May 2020, n = 289 patients) and the second wave (October–February 2021, n = 428 patients) showed differences between the two study periods (p = 0.021). Conclusions: Patients with confirmed diagnosis of COVID-19 may show peculiar characteristics at time of hospitalization that could help physicians to distinguish from other infective or non-infective etiologies. Finally, a different 30-day mortality rate was observed during different periods of the pandemic.

Antiphospholipid Antibodies and Heart Failure with Preserved Ejection Fraction. The Multicenter ATHERO-APS Study

Background. The prevalence of heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) in patients with antiphospholipid syndrome (APS) is unknown. Methods. A prospective multicenter cohort study including 125 patients was conducted: 91 primary APS (PAPS), 18 APS-SLE, and 16 carriers. HFpEF was diagnosed according to the 2019 European Society of Cardiology criteria: patients with ≥5 points among major and minor functional and morphological criteria including NT-ProBNP > 220 pg/mL, left atrial (LA) enlargement, increased left ventricular filling pressure. Results. Overall, 18 (14.4%) patients were diagnosed with HFpEF; this prevalence increased from 6.3% in carriers to 13.2% in PAPS and 27.8% in APS-SLE. Patients with HFpEF were older and with a higher prevalence of hypertension and previous arterial events. At logistic regression analysis, age, arterial hypertension, anticardiolipin antibodies IgG > 40 GPL (odds ratio (OR) 3.43, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.09–10.77, p = 0.035), anti β-2-glycoprotein-I IgG > 40 GPL (OR 5.28, 1.53–18.27, p = 0.009), lupus anticoagulants DRVVT > 1.25 (OR 5.20, 95% CI 1.10–24.68, p = 0.038), and triple positivity (OR 3.56, 95% CI 1.11–11.47, p = 0.033) were associated with HFpEF after adjustment for age and sex. By multivariate analysis, hypertension (OR 19.49, 95% CI 2.21–171.94, p = 0.008), age (OR 1.07, 95% CI 1.00–1.14, p = 0.044), and aβ2GPI IgG > 40 GPL (OR 8.62, 95% CI 1.23–60.44, p = 0.030) were associated with HFpEF. Conclusion. HFpEF is detectable in a relevant proportion of APS patients. The role of aPL in the pathogenesis and prognosis of HFpEF needs further investigation.

Risk of cardiovascular events in patients with atrial fibrillation and cancer. Data from the ATHERO-AF cohort

Background

Patients with non valvular atrial fibrillation (AF) and cancer represent a high-risk subgroup of patients in whom the management of oral anticoagulation may be challenging. The relationship between cancer type and the risk of cardiovascular events (CVEs) in patients with AF is unclear.

Purpose

To investigate the incidence of CVEs in patients with AF and cancer according to cancer type.

Methods

Prospective cohort study including 2,092 consecutive AF patients on vitamin K antagonists. Principal endpoint was the occurrence of CVEs including fatal/non-fatal myocardial infarction and ischemic stroke and cardiovascular death. We also performed a subgroup analysis of cardiac and thromboembolic events separately. Patients with cancer were divided in subgroups based on cancer site as follows: group 1 gastrointestinal tract; group 2 respiratory tract; group 3 genitourinary tract; group 4 other sites.

Results

Mean age was 73.7±9.1 years and 42.1% were woman; 367 (17.5%) had cancer, of these 21% gastro-intestinal, 10% respiratory, 28% genito-urinary and 41% had other localization. Patients with cancer were older than those without but with similar clinical characteristics.

During a mean follow up of 35.9±28.0 months (6264.5 patient-years), 203 CVEs occurred (3.24%/year, 95% CI 2.81–3.72) of whom 86 were cardiac ischemia (1.37%/year, 95% CI 1.10–1.69), 70 thromboembolic events (1.12%/year, 95% CI 0.87–1.41) and 47 cardiovascular deaths (0.75%/year, 95% CI 0.55–0.99). The incidence of CVEs for AF patients with and without cancer was respectively (n=45, 3.78%, 95% CI 2.76–5.06) and (n=158, 3.11%/year, 95% CI 2.65–3.64). In particular, compared to patients without cancer, a higher incidence rate of CVEs was found in patients with gastrointestinal tract cancer (5.61%/year, 95% CI 2.90–9.79, p=0.046), and in patients with respiratory tract cancer (6.15%/year, 95% CI 2.66–12.1, p=0.055), while no difference was found in patients with genito-urinary tract cancer (2.24%/year, 95% CI 0.97–4.41, p=0.362) and other site cancer (3.11%/year, 95% CI 2.65–3.64, p=0.512).

Cox regression multivariate analysis showed that factors associated with cardiac events were COPD, dyslipidemia, TTR &lt;70%, PPI drugs and gastrointestinal cancer (figure). Conversely, CHA2DS2VASc score and respiratory cancer were predictors of thromboembolic events.

Conclusions

Our findings suggest an association between cancer type and specific ischemic complications in AF patients. In particular, we found a higher risk of cardiac complications in patients with gastrointestinal cancer and of thromboembolic events in patients with respiratory cancer. These associations need to be confirmed in larger studies.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding source: None

Antiphospholipid antibodies and lower extremity peripheral artery disease: A systematic review and meta-analysis

AIM

To evaluate the clinical relevance of antiphospholipid antibodies (aPL) in patients with lower extremity peripheral artery disease (PAD).

DATA SOURCES

EMBASE and MEDLINE databases were searched from inception to March 2020 for clinical studies reporting on the association between of aPL [IgG/IgM anticardiolipin (aCL) and lupus anticoagulant (LA)] and PAD.

METHODS

We determined the pooled prevalence (PP) of patients positive for aPL in PAD or the PP of PAD in patients positive for aPL; we employed Peto's odds ratio with random effect for the meta-analysis.

RESULTS

Twenty-one studies comprising 6,057 patients were evaluated: in patients with PAD, the PP of IgG aCL was 12% vs 4.1% in those without, IgM aCL was 13.2% vs 2.1%, and LA 13.3% vs 3.3%, respectively. The PP of patients with LA was greater in critical limb ischemia than in the control group (19.3% vs 4.2%). Also, the PP of patients with LA was greater in the failed than in the successful revascularisation group (35.8% vs 15.8%). The PP of post-procedural revascularisation failures was similar in the groups given or not given oral anticoagulation (59.2% vs 61.9%).

CONCLUSION

All the aPL related to PAD regardless of diagnostic definition used, whereas LA related also to critical limb ischaemia and failed revascularisation. Data expressed as percentage of participants positive for aPL limit the interpretation of these relationships.

Antiphospholipid antibodies in end-stage renal disease: A systematic review and meta-analysis

INTRODUCTION

The relationship between autoimmune hemolytic anemia and antiphospholipid antibodies (aPL) and/or antiphospholipid syndrome has never been systematically addressed.

METHODS

Systematic review of EMBASE and PubMed databases performed according to PRISMA guidelines from inception to March 2020; meta-analysis performed by Peto's odds ratio for rare events.

FINDINGS

Forty-five studies with different outcomes met the inclusion/exclusion criteria. The pooled prevalence (PP) of IgG anticardiolipin antibodies (aCL) positivity was greater in end-stage renal disease (ESRD) than controls (20.2% vs. 2.6%, P = 0.001, I²  >80%; I² = heterogeneity), particularly in hemodialysis patients (18.3% vs. 8%, I² = 0%). The PP of lupus anticoagulant was greater in ESRD than controls (8.7% vs. 0.2%, P < 0.0001, I² = 0%). The standardized mean difference of IgG aCL favored ESRD rather than controls (P < 0.0001, I² =97%). The PP of fistula occlusion was greater in IgG aCL-positive patients than negative patients (39% vs. 27%, I² =97%); the PP of IgG aCL positivity was greater in patients with fistula occlusion than without fistula occlusion (26.9% vs. 23.2%, P = 0.01, I² =72%); the same applied to the PP of lupus anticoagulant positivity (23% vs. 0.3%, P < 0.0001, I² = 0%). The standardized mean difference of IgG aCL favored fistula occlusion (P = 0.004, I² = 91%).

DISCUSSION

Lupus anticoagulant relates to ESRD regardless of management whereas IgG aCL relates specifically to ESRD on hemodialysis, but only lupus anticoagulant associates with fistula occlusion. The expression of aPL as patients positive for aPL rather than as titers precludes further assumptions on the relationship.

Validity of Coagulation Activation Markers in Antiphospholipid Syndrome: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis with a Short Data Report

Prothrombin fragment F1 + 2 (F1 + 2) and thrombin–antithrombin (TAT) have been assessed in antiphospholipid syndrome (APS) but without evaluating a direct relationship with antiphospholipid (aPL) antibody titers. This article aims to investigate a direct relationship between aPL and F1 + 2 and perform a systematic review and meta-analysis of F1 + 2 and TAT in APS. Systematic search was performed using EMBASE and PubMed databases from January 1982 to December 2018 and random effects meta-analyses for continuous outcomes. This is a cross-sectional case–control study; immunoglobulin G/immunoglobulin M (IgG/IgM) anticardiolipin (aCL) anti-β2-glycoprotein-I, antiprothrombin (aPT) antibodies, F1 + 2, and lupus anticoagulants (LA) were measured in 25 thrombotic primary APS (PAPS), 9 nonthrombotic carriers of aPL, and 18 controls. The significant effect size (ES) for F1 + 2 between aPL +ve and aPL −ve systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) and between aPL +ve SLE and control displayed high heterogeneity. The significant ES for F1 + 2 between aPL −ve SLE and controls displayed no heterogeneity. The ES for TAT between aPL +ve and aPL −ve SLE patients and between aPL −ve SLE and controls was low, without heterogeneity. Mean F1 + 2 was greater in PAPS (p < 0.0001), inversely correlated with IgG aCL, IgM aPT, and LA (p = 0.001, 0.03, and 0.01, respectively), though only IgG aCL negatively predicted F1 + 2 (p = 0.01). IgG aCL inversely predicts F1 + 2. IgG aCL positivity introduces heterogeneity in the F1 + 2 ES, whereas the lack of heterogeneity in the ES for TAT may indicate poor TAT formation in aPL +ve group. Thus, F1 + 2 measurements may be unfounded as already demonstrated for TAT in the 1990s.

Immunoglobulin G (IgG) anticardiolipin antibodies and recurrent cardiovascular events. A systematic review and Bayesian meta-regression analysis

BACKGROUND

Anticardiolipin antibodies of the immunoglobulin G isotype (IgG aCL) have been suggested as risk factor for arterial and venous thrombosis. No conclusive data in patients with coronary artery disease (CAD) do exist. We investigate the risk of recurrent CAD according to the presence of IgG aCL.

METHODS

We performed a systematic review and meta-analysis to evaluate the risk of recurrent major adverse cardiac events (MACE) associated with the presence of IgG aCL in patients with CAD. MEDLINE and Cochrane databases were searched. We conducted a meta-analysis of the relative risk (RR) both at 12 and 24 months.

RESULTS

We included 11 eligible studies with a total of 2425 patients, 283 IgG aCL+ and 2142 IgG aCL-. The prevalence of IgG aCL+ ranged from 6.1% to 43.3%. A total of 341 cardiac events were reported: 71 (25.1%) in IgG aCL+ and 270 (12.6%) in IgG aCL- patients. We found an increased risk of recurrent MACE in patients with high IgG aCL both at 12 (RR 2.17, 2.5-97.5%CI, 1.54-3.00) and 24 months (RR 2.11, 2.5-97.5%CI, 1.62-2.66). This association was even stronger in patients with juvenile CAD (i.e. <50 years) at both 12 (RR 3.21, 2.5-97.5%CI, 1.74-5.41) and 24 months (RR 3.24, 2.5-97.5%CI, 1.84-5.21).

CONCLUSION

Patients with CAD and elevated IgG aCL have a doubled risk of recurrent MACE at 12 and 24 months. The presence of aCL should be suspected in patients with recurrent CAD events or in patients with juvenile CAD.

Oxidative/nitrative stress in the pathogenesis of systemic sclerosis: are antioxidants beneficial?

Systemic sclerosis (SSc) is a multisystem autoimmune disease: characterised from the clinical side by progressive vasculopathy and fibrosis of the skin and different organs and from the biochemical side by fibroblast deregulation with excessive production of collagen and increased expression of nicotinamide adenine dinucleotide phosphate oxidase 4 (NOX4). The latter contributes to an overproduction of reactive oxygen species that through an autocrine loop maintains NOX4 in a state of activation. Reactive oxygen and nitrogen species are implicated in the origin and perpetuation of several clinical manifestations of SSc having vascular damage in common; attempts to dampen oxidative and nitrative stress through different agents with antioxidant properties have not translated into a sustained clinical benefit. Objective of this narrative review is to describe the origin and clinical implications of oxidative and nitrative stress in SSc, with particular focus on the central role of NOX4 and its interactions, to re-evaluate the antioxidant approaches so far used to limit disease progression, to appraise the complexity of antioxidant treatment and to touch on novel pathways elements of which may represent specific treatment targets in the not so distant future.

Isoprostane in systemic sclerosis: A systematic review and meta-analysis

OBJECTIVES

To further the knowledge of oxidative stress in systemic sclerosis (SSc), we performed a systematic review and meta-analysis on studies measuring isoprostane, a vasoactive agent deriving from arachidonic acid and implicated in the vasculopathy of SSc.

METHODS

Systematic search following the PRISMA guidelines in PubMed and EMBASE between January-1990/December-2017 using the terms: oxidative stress, isoprostane, systemic sclerosis and scleroderma.

RESULTS

After the screening process, 8 studies including 240 SSc patients and 192 controls were included in the systematic review and meta-analysis, 6 investigating urinary and 2 serum isoprostane: random effect meta-analysis revealed isoprostane overgeneration in SSc (p < .001) with wide heterogeneity (I² = 75%). Subgroup analysis on urinary isoprostane favoured excess excretion in SSc (p = .009) with slightly lower heterogeneity (I² = 67%); further subgroup analysis according to unit of measurement revealed no increased isoprostane excretion when expressed as pg/mg creatinine but increased when expressed as pmol/mmol creatinine (p = .05) with medium heterogeneity (I² = 32%). Subgroup analysis on serum isoprostane favoured overproduction in SSc (p < .0001) with no heterogeneity.

CONCLUSION

There is some evidence for isoprostane overgeneration in SSc that confirms the occurrence of oxidative stress in this setting: further prospective studies with specified outcomes are needed to evaluate the prognostic value of this functional biomarker.

Long-term prediction of adherence to continuous positive air pressure therapy for the treatment of moderate/severe obstructive sleep apnea syndrome

BACKGROUND

Continuous positive airway pressure (CPAP) therapy is a highly effective treatment for obstructive sleep apnea syndrome (OSAS). However, poor adherence is a limiting factor, and a significant proportion of patients are unable to tolerate CPAP. The aim of this study was to determine predictors of long-term non-compliance with CPAP.

METHODS

CPAP treatment was prescribed to all consecutive patients with moderate or severe OSAS (AHI ≥15 events/h) (n = 295) who underwent a full-night CPAP titration study at home between February 1, 2002 and December 1, 2016. Adherence was defined as CPAP use for at least 4 h per night and five days per week. Subjects had periodical follow-up visits including clinical and biochemical evaluation and assessment of adherence to CPAP.

RESULTS

Median follow-up observation was 74.8 (24.2/110.9) months. The percentage of OSAS patients adhering to CPAP was 41.4% (42.3% in males and 37.0% in females), and prevalence was significantly higher in severe OSAS than in moderate (51.8% vs. 22.1%; p < 0.001; respectively). At multivariate analysis, lower severity of OSAS (HR = 0.66; CI 95 0.46-0.94) p < 0.023), cigarette smoking (HR = 1.72; CI 95 1.13-2.61); p = 0.011), and previous cardiovascular events (HR = 1.95; CI 95 1.03-3.70; p = 0.04) were the only independent predictors of long-term non-adherence to CPAP after controlling for age, gender, and metabolic syndrome.

CONCLUSIONS

In our cohort of patients with moderate/severe OSAS who were prescribed CPAP therapy, long-term compliance to treatment was present in less than half of the patients. Adherence was positively associated with OSAS severity and negatively associated with cigarette smoking and previous cardiovascular events at baseline.

Adherence to Mediterranean Diet and Non-Alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease: Effect on Insulin Resistance

OBJECTIVES

The prevalence of cardiometabolic disorders, including non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD), is increasing in western countries, because of changes in lifestyle and dietary habits. Mediterranean Diet (Med-Diet) is effective for cardiovascular prevention, but its relationship with NAFLD has been scarcely investigated.

METHODS

We included 584 consecutive outpatients presenting with one or more cardiovascular risk factor such as type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM), arterial hypertension, overweight/obesity, and dyslipidemia. Liver steatosis was assessed using ultrasonography. Med-Diet adherence was investigated by a validated semiquantitative nine-item dietary questionnaire; patients were divided into low, intermediate, and high adherence. Insulin resistance was defined by the 75th percentile of homeostasis model of insulin resistance (HOMA-IR; ≥3.8).

RESULTS

The mean age was 56.2±12.4 years and 38.2% were women. Liver steatosis was present in 82.7%, and its prevalence decreased from low to high adherence group (96.5% vs. 71.4%, P<0.001). In a multiple logistic regression analysis, hypertriglyceridemia (odds ratio (OR): 2.913; P=0.002), log (ALT) (OR: 6.186; P<0.001), Med-Diet adherence (intermediate vs. low OR: 0.115; P=0.041, high vs. low OR: 0.093; P=0.030), T2DM (OR: 3.940; P=0.003), and high waist circumference (OR: 3.012; P<0.001) were associated with NAFLD. Among single foods, low meat intake (OR: 0.178; P<0.001) was inversely significantly associated with NAFLD. In 334 non-diabetic NAFLD patients, age (OR: 1.035, P=0.025), high waist circumference (OR: 7.855, P<0.001), hypertriglyceridemia (OR: 2.152, P=0.011), and Log (ALT) (OR: 2.549, P=0.002) were directly associated with HOMA-IR, whereas Med-Diet score was inversely associated (OR: 0.801, P=0.018).

CONCLUSIONS

We found an inverse relationship between Med-Diet and NAFLD prevalence. Among NAFLD patients, good adherence to Med-Diet was associated with lower insulin resistance. Our findings suggest that Med-Diet may be a beneficial nutritional approach in NAFLD patients.