Increasing Medication Use and Polypharmacy in Type 2 Diabetes: The Danish Experience From 2000 to 2020

OBJECTIVE

Type 2 diabetes often coexists with other conditions that are amenable to pharmacological treatment. We hypothesized that polypharmacy among individuals with type 2 diabetes has increased since 2000.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

Using Danish national registries, we established a cohort of all Danish individuals (aged ≥18 years) with type 2 diabetes between 2000 and 2020. We analyzed their medication use and prevalence of varying degrees of polypharmacy (≥5 or ≥10 medications), stratifying by age, sex, number of chronic diseases, and socioeconomic status.

RESULTS

The cohort grew from 84,917 patients in 2000 to 307,011 in 2020, totaling 461,849 unique patients. The number of daily medications used per patient increased from (mean ± SD) 3.7 ± 2.8 (in 2000) to 5.3 ± 3.2 (in 2020). The lifetime risk of polypharmacy was substantial, with 89% (n = 409,062 of 461,849) being exposed to ≥5 medications at some point and 47% (n = 217,467of 461,849) to ≥10 medications. The increases were driven by an expanding group of medications, with analgesics, antihypertensives, proton pump inhibitors, and statins having the largest net increase. Advanced age, male sex, lower socioeconomic status, and Danish ethnicity positively correlated with polypharmacy but could not explain the overall increase in polypharmacy.

CONCLUSIONS

Medication use and polypharmacy have increased among patients with type 2 diabetes. Although the implications and appropriateness of this increased medication use are uncertain, the results stress the increasing need for health care personnel to understand the potential risks associated with polypharmacy, including medication interactions, adverse effects, and over- and underprescribing.

Association Between First-time Neurologic Events and Metronidazole Treatment: A Case-time Control Study

PURPOSE

Metronidazole, a widely used antimicrobial medication, has been linked to neurologic adverse drug reactions. This study investigates the association between metronidazole use and first-time neurologic events.

METHODS

We conducted a case-time-control study using data from the Danish National Patient Register and the National Prescription Register in years 2013 to 2021. Patients with a first-time diagnosis of encephalopathy, cerebellar dysfunction, or peripheral neuropathy were included. Conditional logistic regression analyses were performed to estimate the risk of neurologic events associated with metronidazole use.

FINDINGS

Out of 476,066 first-time metronidazole prescriptions, the 100-day cumulative incidence of peripheral neuropathy was 0.016%, and 0.002% for cerebellar dysfunction or encephalopathy. In the case-time control study, we identified 17,667 persons with a first-time neurologic event and were included for the analysis. The estimated odds ratio for the combined neurologic events was 0.98 (95% CI, 0.59-1.64, P = 0.95) with no statistically significant association across different subgroups and time windows.

IMPLICATIONS

Our findings suggest that metronidazole-induced neurologic events may be rarer than previously described, and we did not find any consistent or statistically significant association between metronidazole exposure. Nonetheless, clinicians should remain vigilant to potential neurologic risks in patients receiving metronidazole, to ensure its safe and effective use.

Temporal trends and regional variability in BRAF and KRAS genetic testing in Denmark (2010-2022): Implications for precision medicine

OBJECTIVE

This study aims to evaluate the developments in the testing of Kirsten Rat Sarcoma viral oncogene homolog (KRAS) and v-Raf murine sarcoma viral oncogene homolog B1 (BRAF) mutations across different cancer types and regions in Denmark from 2010 to 2022.

STUDY DESIGN AND SETTING

Using comprehensive data from the Danish health registries, we linked molecular test results from the Danish Pathology Registry with cancer diagnoses from the Danish National Patient Registry between 2010 and 2022. We assessed the frequency and distribution of KRAS and BRAF mutations across all cancer types, years of testing, and the five Danish regions.

RESULTS

The study included records of KRAS testing for 30 671 patients and BRAF testing for 30 860 patients. Most KRAS testing was performed in colorectal (78%) and lung cancer (18%), and BRAF testing in malignant melanoma (13%), colorectal cancer (67%), and lung cancer (12%). Testing rates and documentation mutational subtypes increased over time. Reporting of wildtype results varied between lung and colorectal cancer, with underreporting in lung cancer. Regional variations in testing and reporting were observed.

CONCLUSION

Our study highlights substantial progress in KRAS and BRAF testing in Denmark from 2010 to 2022, evidenced by increased and more specific reporting of mutational test results, thereby improving the precision of cancer diagnosis and treatment. However, persistent regional variations and limited testing for cancer types beyond melanoma, colorectal, and lung cancer highlight the necessity for a nationwide assessment of the optimal testing approach.

Paliperidone poisoning and measurable plasma concentrations 2.5 years after last administered dose: A case report

We report a poisoning with paliperidone palmitate, a once-monthly, long-acting injectable antipsychotic. The patient suffered from deep sedation and dystonia. She had been treated with extended release intramuscular paliperidone for several years and had received her last injection 8 days prior to admission. The plasma paliperidone was nearly five times higher than the upper reference range. Paliperidone is a substrate of p-glycoprotein and we therefore aimed to increase its elimination by inducing p-glycoprotein through treatment with St John's wort. This seemed to have a limited effect on paliperidone clearance. Plasma concentration levels decreased with time as did the dystonia. All antipsychotic treatment was discontinued after this unfortunate event, and the patient did specifically not receive any prescriptions of paliperidone or risperidone. However, the plasma paliperidone concentration was in the low end of the normal therapeutic range 2.5 years after the last dose of paliperidone was administered, and the patient still had some extrapyramidal symptoms.

Age disparities in glucose-lowering treatment for Danish people with type 2 diabetes: a cross-sectional study between 2019 and 2020

BACKGROUND

The pharmacotherapeutic guidelines for type 2 diabetes have changed considerably during the past decades. SGLT2 inhibitors and GLP-1 receptor agonists have emerged as first-line agents by preventing cardiovascular events within a few years of treatment. In contrast, sulphonylureas and insulin have been deprioritised due to less beneficial effects and the risk of hypoglycaemia-particularly in older people who are frail. We hypothesised that medications with a high risk of hypoglycaemia were used more often in older people compared with younger people.

METHODS

In a nationwide cohort of people with type 2 diabetes in Denmark from 2019 to 2020, we described the use of specific glucose-lowering medications in relation to age and glycated haemoglobin A1C (HbA1c) by descriptive statistics and regression models adjusted for sex, socioeconomic factors, renal function, and several comorbidities.

FINDINGS

Among 290 890 people with type 2 diabetes, glucose-lowering medication usage peaked at age 70 years. Increasing age was associated with relatively less use of metformin, GLP-1 receptor agonists, and SGLT2 inhibitors and more use of basal insulin, DDP-4 inhibitors, and sulphonylureas. When comparing 80-year-olds with 60-year-olds at similar HbA1c levels of 6·5% (48 mmol/mol), 80-year-olds used 8% (95% CI 7-10%) fewer glucose-lowering medications, were 55% less likely to receive GLP-1 receptor agonists or SGLT2 inhibitors (relative ratio 0·45, 95% CI 0·42-0·48), and 65% more likely to receive sulphonylureas (1·65, 1·54-1·76). Among 23 032 individuals aged 80 years or older with HbA1c levels of less than 6·5% (<48 mmol/mol), 2291 (10%) used sulphonylureas or insulin.

INTERPRETATION

In Danish people with type 2 diabetes, the likelihood of using glucose-lowering medications with a high risk of hypoglycaemia (eg, sulphonylureas and basal insulin) increased with age, whereas the likelihood of using GLP-1 receptor agonists and SGLT2 inhibitors decreased. Some people aged 80 years or older with an HbA1c level of less than 6·5% (48 mmol/mol) were potentially overtreated with sulphonylureas or insulin. These findings emphasise the importance of frequently re-evaluating glucose-lowering treatments.

FUNDING

None.

TRANSLATION

For the Danish translation of the abstract see Supplementary Materials section.

Methodological Considerations for Describing Medication Changes in Relation to Clinical Events and Death: An Applied Example in Patients with Type 2 Diabetes and Cancer

INTRODUCTION

Certain clinical events reduce life expectancy and necessitate a reassessment of patient treatment.

OBJECTIVE

To describe medication changes in relation to a cancer diagnosis and the end of life and to highlight challenges and limitations with such descriptions.

METHODS

From a cohort with all Danish patients with type 2 diabetes, we matched patients with incident cancer during 2000-2021 (n = 41,745) with patients without cancer (n = 166,994) using propensity scores. We described their medication usage from cancer diagnosis until death.

RESULTS

The 1- and 5-year mortality were 51% and 86%, respectively, in the cancer group, and 13% and 59% in the non-cancer group. In relation to cancer diagnosis and death, the use of symptomatic medications (e.g., opioids, benzodiazepines) increased (10-60 incident medications per 100 patient-months), and the use of preventive medications (e.g., antihypertensives, statins) decreased (5-30% fewer users). The changes in relation to the diagnosis were driven by patients with short observed lengths of survival (< 2 years). In contrast, changes occurring within a year before death were less dependent on survival strata, and > 60% used preventive medications in their last months.

CONCLUSIONS

Medication changes in relation to a cancer diagnosis were frequent and correlated to the length of survival. The results showcase the challenges and limited clinical utility of anchoring analyses on events or death. While the former diluted the results by averaging changes across patients with vastly different clinical courses, the latter leveraged information unavailable to the treating clinicians. While medication changes were common near death, preventive medications were often used until death.

Medication changes implemented during medication reviews and factors related to deprescribing: Posthoc analyses of a randomized clinical trial in geriatric outpatients with polypharmacy

AIMS

To provide posthoc analyses of a clinical trial that reported beneficial effects of medication reviews on health-related quality of life. Specifically, to describe the medication changes with a focus on deprescribing and to explore patient- and medication-related factors that may identify patients most likely to benefit from medication reviews.

METHODS

Posthoc analyses of data from a pragmatic, nonblinded, randomized clinical trial investigating a medication review intervention (NCT03911934) in 408 geriatric outpatients treated with ≥9 medicines.

RESULTS

In the medication review group (n = 196), 26% of the medicines prescribed at baseline were discontinued with 82% still being discontinued after 13 months. The most common reason for discontinuation was lack of indication (72% of discontinuations). The medicines most often discontinued in the medication review group compared with usual care included: metoclopramide (11/15 = 73% discontinued vs. 1/12 = 8% in usual care), acetylsalicylic acid (20/48 = 42% vs. 2/47 = 4%), simvastatin (18/48 = 38% vs. 2/58 = 3%), zopiclone (23/59 = 39% vs. 4/54 = 7%), quinine (9/14 = 64% vs. 6/16 = 38%), citalopram (4/18 = 22% vs. 0/20 = 0%) and tramadol (18/37 = 49% vs. 8/30 = 27%). Factors associated with number of deprescribed medicines included: number of prescribed medicines, Drug Burden Index, patient motivation for medicine changes, and prescriptions of metoclopramide, iron preparations, antidepressants other than selective serotonin reuptake inhibitors, nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs, or drugs for urinary incontinence.

CONCLUSION

Physician-led medication reviews resulted in persistent deprescribing of medicines in older polypharmacy patients treated with ≥9 medicines. Motivation for having their medicine changed, treatment with more medicines, and a higher burden of sedative and anticholinergic medicines characterized the patients most likely to benefit from physician-led medication reviews.

Repeated poisonings in Denmark - a nationwide study

OBJECTIVE

Poisonings contribute significantly to morbidity and mortality of patients. Some patients have numerous contacts to a poison information center, indicating repeated poisoning exposures. Information on the involved substances is necessary to explore methods to prevent self-harm and reduce mortality. The objective of this study was to characterize the patient population with repeated poison exposures in Denmark and identify the substances involved.

METHODS

This study was a retrospective cohort study of enquiries to the nationwide Danish Poison Information Centre and the Danish National Patient Registry. The databases were used to identify patients with more than five individual poisoning episodes within a 12-month-period between 1 January 2013, and 31 December 2017.

RESULTS

One hundred and thirty-seven patients and 995 patients met the inclusion criteria in the Danish Poison Information Centre and the Danish National Patient Registry, respectively. The majority were women (82.5% and 66.3% for the Danish Poison Information Centre and the Danish National Patient Registry cohorts, respectively). The mean age was 24.7 and 29.5 years. Psychiatric comorbidities were frequent with 74.5% and 67.0% suffering from personality disorders and 70.1% and 54.5% from affective disorders in the Danish Poison Information Centre and the Danish National Patient Registry cohorts, respectively. One thousand seven hundred and fifty-two poisoning episodes were identified in the Danish Poison Information Centre database, and the most common types of substance were 'pharmaceuticals' (1,420 episodes). The most common medications ingested were quetiapine, paracetamol and cyclizine. Median number of contacts to the Danish Poison Information Centre was 10. Patients with one or more poisoning episodes involving cyclizine had on average 11.4 poisoning episodes involving cyclizine. In the Danish National Patient Registry cohort 80.9% were alive after 10 years compared to 97.7% in the background population.

CONCLUSION AND IMPLICATIONS

Most poisonings were intentional and occurred among younger women. Psychiatric comorbidity was frequent. Most often, pharmaceuticals were the toxic substance, mainly quetiapine, paracetamol and cyclizine. Changing the status of cyclizine from over the counter to prescription only medication, and implementing stricter rules for prescribing quetiapine, could limit future poisoning incidences.

Physician-led medication reviews in polypharmacy patients treated with at least 12 medications in a type 2 diabetes outpatient clinic: A randomised trial

AIMS

Medication reviews can be used to promote appropriate pharmacotherapy and negate the harmful consequences of polypharmacy. This study aimed to evaluate the effect of physician-led medication reviews and increased cross-sectoral communication as a supplement to standard care in a type 2 diabetes outpatient clinic.

METHODS

This pragmatic randomised clinical trial enrolled patients with type 2 diabetes treated with at least 12 medications. The subjects were randomised to either standard care (standard care consultation at the outpatient clinic) or standard care plus a medication review consultation and increased cross-sectoral communication. The primary outcome was the number of medications used after six months. Health-related quality of life was quantified using the EuroQoL 5-dimension 5-level (EQ5D-5 L) questionnaire.

RESULTS

We recruited 50 participants with a median age of 72 (IQR 67-75) years. The mean number of medications per patient changed from 17.9 to 14.3 in the intervention group and 17.6 to 17.2 in the control group (rate ratio 0.81). The reasons for discontinuations were medication no longer indicated (60%), safety issues (20%), efficacy issues (15%) or patient preferences (5%). There was a significant difference in the change in health-related quality of life (EQ5D-5 L index score) in favour of the intervention (0.111, 95% CI 0.001 to 0.221).

CONCLUSIONS

Physician-led medication reviews and increased cross-sectoral communication in patients with type 2 diabetes treated with at least 12 medications reduced the number of medications used and improved health-related quality of life. Implementing and further investigating similar interventions as standard care seems reasonable.

KRAS G12C mutated advanced non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC): Characteristics, treatment patterns and overall survival from a Danish nationwide observational register study

OBJECTIVES

We aimed to characterize the advanced NSCLC population in terms of KRAS G12C prevalence, patient characteristics, and survival outcomes after the introduction of immunotherapies.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We identified adult patients diagnosed with advanced NSCLC between January 1, 2018 and June 30, 2021 using the Danish health registries. Patients were grouped by mutational status (any KRAS mutation, KRAS G12C, and KRAS/EGFR/ALK wildtype [Triple WT]). We analyzed KRAS G12C prevalence, patient and tumor characteristics, treatment history, time-to-next-treatment (TTNT), and overall survival (OS).

RESULTS

We identified 7,440 patients of whom 40% (n = 2,969) were KRAS tested prior to the first line of therapy (LOT1). Among the KRAS tested, 11% (n = 328) harbored KRAS G12C. More KRAS G12C patients were women (67%), smokers (86%), had a high (≥50%) level of PD-L1 expression (54%), and more frequently received anti-PD-L1 treatment than any other group. From the date of the mutational test result, OS (7.1-7.3 months) was similar between the groups. OS from LOT1 (14.0 months) and LOT2 (10.8 months), and TTNT from LOT1 (6.9 months) and LOT2 (6.3 months) was numerically longer for the KRAS G12C mutated group compared to any other group. However, from LOT1 and LOT2, the OS and TTNT were comparable when stratifying the groups by PD-L1 expression level. Regardless of the mutational group, OS was markedly longer for patients with high PD-L1 expression.

CONCLUSION

In patients diagnosed with advanced NSCLC after the implementation of anti-PD-1/L1 therapies, the survival in KRAS G12C mutated patients is comparable to patients with any KRAS mutation, Triple WT, and all NSCLC patients.

Experience with sotrovimab treatment of SARS-CoV-2-infected patients in Denmark

AIMS

To evaluate the experience with use of sotrovimab following severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus-2 (SARS-CoV-2) infection in high-risk groups.

METHODS

In a nationwide, population-based cohort study, we identified all individuals treated with sotrovimab (N = 2933) and stratified them by 4 high-risk groups: (A) malignant haematological disease, (B) solid organ transplantation, (C) anti-CD20 therapy ≤1 year and (D) other risks. Cox regression analysis was used to calculate hazard ratios for hospitalization, death and associated prognostic factors.

RESULTS

Of 2933 sotrovimab-treated individuals, 83% belonged to high-risk groups (37.6% haematological malignancy, 27.4% solid organ transplantation and 17.5% treatment with anti-CD20 ≤1 year). Only 17.8% had other risks (11.8% were pregnant, 10.7% primary immunodeficiency, 21.2% other malignancy, 4.3% received anti-CD20 >1 year and 52.0% other/unknown causes). Within 90 days of infusion, 30.2% were hospitalized and 5.3% died. The main prognostic factors were the predefined high-risk groups, mainly malignant haematological disease and age ≥65 years. Number of COVID-19 vaccines (≥3) was associated with a decreased risk of hospitalization. The Delta but not the Omicron BA.2 variant was associated with a higher risk of death compared to the BA.1 variant.

CONCLUSION

More than 90% of the patients treated with sotrovimab belonged to the very high-risk groups as described in the Danish guidelines. Sotrovimab-treated individuals remained at a high risk of hospitalization and death which was strongly associated with the underlying immunocompromised state and age. Having received >3 COVID-19 vaccines was association with decreased risk of death and hospitalization.

Short-term mortality following tramadol poisonings in Denmark

Tramadol is a commonly used opioid with a potential of addiction and abuse. Using Danish nationwide registers, we aimed to (1) characterise opioid poisonings; (2) assess the 30-day mortality following morphine, oxycodone, and mixed poisonings compared to tramadol poisonings; and (3) assess the development in tramadol poisonings during a 12-year period. Poisonings were identified from 2006 to 2017. A Cox proportional hazards regression model was used to estimate adjusted hazard ratios (aHRs) along with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for 30-day mortality following morphine, oxycodone or mixed poisonings compared to tramadol poisonings. We identified 7718 opioid poisonings among 6365 patients. The patients with a tramadol poisoning were younger and had less comorbidities than the patients with a morphine, oxycodone or mixed poisoning. Within 30 days, a total of 205 patients died. The 30-day mortality risk was higher following morphine (aHR 3.2, 95% CI 2.0-5.1), oxycodone (aHR 2.1, 95% CI 1.2-3.6) and mixed poisonings (aHR 1.6, 95% CI 1.0-2.7) compared to tramadol poisonings. The annual number of tramadol poisonings increased from 233 in 2006 to 501 in 2013 and declined to 348 in 2017. In conclusion, despite a lower mortality risk compared to other opioid poisonings, physicians should consider the poisoning and abuse risks when prescribing tramadol.

Mirtazapine exposure in pregnancy and fetal safety: A nationwide cohort study

OBJECTIVE

To investigate the association between mirtazapine exposure in pregnancy and risk of specific adverse pregnancy outcomes.

METHODS

A register-based nationwide cohort study was conducted including all registered pregnancies in Denmark from 1997 to 2016. Mirtazapine-exposed pregnancies were compared with mirtazapine unexposed pregnancies in a 1:4 ratio matched according to propensity scores. Outcomes were major congenital malformations analyzed using log binomial models, and spontaneous abortion, stillbirth and neonatal death analyzed using Cox proportional hazard regression.

RESULTS

From a source population of 1,650,649 pregnancies, the propensity score-matched cohort included 4475 pregnancies (895 mirtazapine exposed) in the analysis of major congenital malformations. The analyses of spontaneous abortion included 9 500 pregnancies (1900 mirtazapine exposed), and for the analyses of stillbirths and neonatal deaths 9725 (1 945 mirtazapine-exposed) and 4485 pregnancies (897 mirtazapine-exposed) were included, respectively. Thirty-one (3.5%) children were diagnosed with major congenital malformation among the mirtazapine exposed compared with 152 (4.3%) among the unexposed pregnancies (OR=0.81, 95% CI 0.55-1.20). Spontaneous abortion occurred in 237 (12.5%) of the mirtazapine exposed compared with 931 (12.3%) of the unexposed pregnancies (HR = 1.04%, 95% CI 0.91-1.20). The analyses revealed no increased risk of stillbirth (HR = 0.88%, 95% CI 0.34-2.29) or neonatal death (HR = 0.60%, 95% CI 0.18-2.02).

CONCLUSIONS

In this nationwide Danish register study, mirtazapine exposure in pregnancy was not associated with major congenital malformations, spontaneous abortion, stillbirth, or neonatal death. Clinicians and patients can be reassured that mirtazapine is safe in pregnancy.

Effects of a Comprehensive Medication Review Intervention on Health‐Related Quality of Life and Other Clinical Outcomes in Geriatric Outpatients with Polypharmacy: A Pragmatic Randomized Clinical Trial

Aim

To investigate the effects of a comprehensive medication review intervention on health‐related quality of life (HRQoL) and clinical outcomes in geriatric outpatients exposed to polypharmacy.

Methods

Pragmatic, nonblinded, randomized clinical trial with follow‐up after 4 and 13 months. Participants were geriatric outpatients taking ≥9 medicines. The intervention was an additional consultation with a physician focusing on reviewing medication, informing patients about their medicines and increasing cross‐sectoral communication as supplement to and compared with usual care. The primary outcome was change in HRQoL after 4 months measured with the EuroQoL 5‐dimension 5‐level (EQ‐5D‐5L) questionnaire. Secondary outcomes were HRQoL after 13 months, mortality, admissions, falls and number of medicines after 4 and 13 months.

Results

Of 785 eligible patients, 408 were included (age: mean 80.6 [standard deviation 7.22] years; number of medicines: median 12 [interquartile range 10–14]; females 71%). After 4 months, the adjusted between‐group difference in EQ‐5D‐5L index score was 0.066 in favour of the medication consultation (95% confidence interval 0.01 to 0.12, P = .02). After 4 months, two (1%) participants had died in the medication‐consultation group and nine (4%) in the usual‐care group (log‐rank test, P = .045). The medication consultation reduced the number of medicines by 2.0 (15.8%) after 4 months and 1.3 (10.7%) after 13 months. There were no statistically significant differences in mortality or HRQoL after 13 months, and no differences in falls or admissions.

Conclusions

An additional consultation with medication review and increased communication as supplement to usual geriatric outpatient care improved HRQoL and reduced mortality after 4 months.

Clozapine- and non-clozapine-associated neutropenia in patients with schizophrenia: a retrospective cohort study

INTRODUCTION

The antipsychotic drug clozapine remains underutilized partly because of the risk of life-threatening adverse effects, such as neutropenia. Therefore, an extensive hematological monitoring program was set up to detect neutropenia.

METHODS

In this retrospective cohort study, we used registry-based data from the Capital Region of Denmark to investigate incidence rates of neutropenia among patients with a diagnosis of schizophrenia or other psychotic disorders and treated with clozapine for the first time. In a within-subject design, we compared rates of neutropenia in time periods where patients were exposed to clozapine versus time periods, where they were not exposed to clozapine. We also investigated whether the lengths of clozapine-associated neutropenia (CAN) were related to discontinuation of clozapine treatment.

RESULTS

Data from 520 clozapine users were included. The incidence rate of CAN was 3.2 cases per 100 person-years (95% confidence interval [CI]: 2.1-4.8) throughout the entire study. There was no significant difference in incidence rates of neutropenia during clozapine exposure and non-clozapine exposure, with an incidence rate ratio of 0.7 (95% CI: 0.4-1.3). One episode of severe neutropenia was detected. Episodes of CAN with only one sub-threshold neutrophil count were not associated with higher clozapine discontinuation (26%) than CAN episodes of more than one sub-threshold neutrophil count (28%).

CONCLUSION

In the present study, we could not confirm that clozapine treatment was associated with neutropenia.

Using machine learning for predicting intensive care unit resource use during the COVID-19 pandemic in Denmark

The COVID-19 pandemic has put massive strains on hospitals, and tools to guide hospital planners in resource allocation during the ebbs and flows of the pandemic are urgently needed. We investigate whether machine learning (ML) can be used for predictions of intensive care requirements a fixed number of days into the future. Retrospective design where health Records from 42,526 SARS-CoV-2 positive patients in Denmark was extracted. Random Forest (RF) models were trained to predict risk of ICU admission and use of mechanical ventilation after n days (n = 1, 2, …, 15). An extended analysis was provided for n = 5 and n = 10. Models predicted n-day risk of ICU admission with an area under the receiver operator characteristic curve (ROC-AUC) between 0.981 and 0.995, and n-day risk of use of ventilation with an ROC-AUC between 0.982 and 0.997. The corresponding n-day forecasting models predicted the needed ICU capacity with a coefficient of determination (R2) between 0.334 and 0.989 and use of ventilation with an R2 between 0.446 and 0.973. The forecasting models performed worst, when forecasting many days into the future (for large n). For n = 5, ICU capacity was predicted with ROC-AUC 0.990 and R2 0.928, and use of ventilator was predicted with ROC-AUC 0.994 and R2 0.854. Random Forest-based modelling can be used for accurate n-day forecasting predictions of ICU resource requirements, when n is not too large.

Medication errors in residential facilities based on Danish Poison Information Center inquiries

INTRODUCTION

This study describes the types and health consequences of medication errors in residential facilities for which the Danish Poison Information Center (DPIC) was contacted.

METHODS

This study is based on all inquiries made by residential facilities to the DPIC during a 13-month period. Information about inquirers and residents, data related to the medication error, symptoms, risk assessments and recommendations was collected, and a follow-up phone call was made to evaluate the clinical outcomes, preferably within one week.

RESULTS

During the study period, the DPIC received 146 inquiries concerning medication errors in residential facilities. Nearly all inquiries concerned excess administration of medication (96%) and often involved medications targeting the nervous system (65%). In 9% of cases, the DPIC recommended hospitalisation. Most medication errors (92%) were considered of "no or minor risk". Administration of medication to the wrong resident is a frequent reason for consulting the DPIC (45%) in cases with medication errors.

CONCLUSIONS

In this study, we inventoried the inquiries made to the DPIC about medication errors in residential facilities in Denmark. Most medication errors did not carry a risk of serious health consequences, but continued monitoring is warranted to minimise risk in this vulnerable population.

FUNDING

Copenhagen Center for Health Technology (5001105002), Department of Clinical Pharmacology (Bispebjerg Hospital, The Capital Region) (1152871001).

TRIAL REGISTRATION

not relevant.

[Local anaesthetic systemic toxicity]

Local anaesthetic systemic toxicity (LAST) gives rise to symptoms from the central nervous and cardiovascular systems. Knowledge about symptoms and risk factors is crucial in preventing LAST. Treatment of severe symptoms should often include vasopressors and sodium bicarbonate. In cardiac arrest the guidelines for advance life support including high-quality cardiopulmonary resuscitation (CPR) should be followed - emphasising prolonged CPR and extracorporeal life support (ECLS) in case of LAST. The conclusion of this review is that intravenous lipid emulsion should only be considered, when other interventions fail, and ECLS is unavailable.

A poison information centre can provide important assessment and guidance regarding medication errors in nursing homes: A prospective cohort study

The Danish Poison Information Centre (DPIC) regularly receives inquiries about nursing home residents who have been exposed to a medication error. The aim of this prospective cohort study was to describe and discuss the types and consequences of these errors. Data were collected from 1 March 2018 to 31 March 2019. Registered data included characteristics of caller and resident, data related to the suspected medication error, risk assessment and recommendation. Consequences and clinical outcomes were assessed by follow-up telephone calls. Over the study period, the DPIC was consulted about 145 medication errors occurring at Danish nursing homes. The median number of substances administered by error was two (interquartile range 1-5). Hospitalization was recommended in 21% of cases. In one-third of the cases where consultation with the DPIC was done with the resident either on his/her way to or in hospital, hospitalization was found unnecessary, and the resident could have stayed in accustomed surroundings for observation. Follow-up demonstrated that very few medication errors had a severe outcome. This prospective study illustrates that consulting with a poison information centre can qualify risk assessment and potentially reduce hospital admissions following medication errors in a nursing home setting.

Validating the effect of Ondansetron and Mirtazapine In Treating hyperemesis gravidarum (VOMIT): protocol for a randomised placebo-controlled trial

INTRODUCTION

Current pharmacological treatment options for hyperemesis gravidarum have been introduced based on scarce evidence and are often not sufficiently effective. Several case reports suggest that mirtazapine, an antidepressant, may be an effective treatment for hyperemesis gravidarum, but so far there are no controlled trials investigating the potential effect of mirtazapine on hyperemesis gravidarum. The antiemetic ondansetron is currently widely used to treat hyperemesis gravidarum despite sparse evidence of effect in pregnant women. This study aims to investigate the effect of mirtazapine on hyperemesis gravidarum while also providing data on the effect of ondansetron.

METHODS AND ANALYSIS

This randomised double-blind placebo-controlled multicentre trial will be conducted in eight Danish hospitals. One hundred and eighty pregnant women referred to secondary care for hyperemesis gravidarum will be randomly allocated to 14-day treatment with either mirtazapine, ondansetron or placebo. Main inclusion criterion will be Pregnancy Unique Quantification of Emesis (PUQE-24) score ≥13 or PUQE-24 score ≥7 if accompanied by weight loss >5% of pre-pregnancy weight or hospitalisation. Participants are eligible regardless of whether other antiemetics, including ondansetron, have been tried. The coprimary outcomes are effects of mirtazapine and ondansetron, respectively, on PUQE-24 score tested hierarchically on day 2 and day 14. Secondary outcomes include, but are not limited to, differences between the three groups in number of daily vomiting episodes, dropout due to treatment failure, use of rescue medication, weight change and side effects.

ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION

The trial has been approved by the Regional Committees on Health Research Ethics in the Capital Region of Denmark, the Danish Medicines Agency and the Danish Data Protection Agency. Results will be published in peer-reviewed journals and submitted to relevant conferences.

TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER

NCT03785691.

[A young woman's loperamide abuse for the achievement of euphoric effect]

Loperamide is an over-the-counter anti-diarrhoeal agent. In supratherapeutic doses, loperamide penetrates the blood-brain barrier, exceeds the efflux capacity of P-glycoprotein and binds to central opioid receptors. We report a case of a 33-year-old woman with a history of opioid abuse, who had a long-term excessive daily intake of loperamide in order to achieve a euphoric effect. Cardiac arrhythmias, respiratory depression and death have been reported in relation to excessive loperamide use.

Two-bag intravenous N-acetylcysteine, antihistamine pretreatment and high plasma paracetamol levels are associated with a lower incidence of anaphylactoid reactions to N-acetylcysteine

Context: N-acetylcysteine (NAC) is used worldwide to prevent liver injury after paracetamol overdoses. Anaphylactoid reactions to NAC occur frequently and often lead to treatment interruptions or discontinuations. In Denmark in 2013, the NAC treatment regimen was simplified from a three-bag to a two-bag NAC regimen. Factors of importance for the development of anaphylactoid reaction to this new regimen are poorly explored. Previous studies have suggested a protective effect of high plasma levels of paracetamol on the development of anaphylactoid reactions. Likewise, exposure to antihistamines prior to NAC treatment may protect against these reactions.Methods: This is a retrospective cohort study of patients treated with NAC and with at least one plasma paracetamol sample performed in the Capital Region of Denmark from 2010 to 2017. The primary outcome was the incidence of anaphylactoid reactions to NAC requiring intravenous treatment with antihistamines and/or glucocorticoids. Logistic regression analyses were carried out to identify the risk of developing an anaphylactoid reaction to NAC affected by influencing factors.Results: Of 4315 admissions included in the study, 259 (6.0%) developed an anaphylactoid reaction to NAC. The two-bag regimen (adjusted OR 0.44 [95%CI: 0.32-0.60]), increasing age (adjusted OR 0.84 [95%CI: 0.78-0.90] per 10-year increase) or children <10 years (adjusted OR 0.14 [95%CI: 0.04-0.36]) and antihistamine co-ingestion in overdose (adjusted OR 0.17 [95%CI: 0.02-0.64]) were associated with significantly fewer anaphylactoid reactions. High plasma paracetamol concentrations protected against development of anaphylactoid reactions during the two-bag regimen (adjusted OR 0.59 [95%CI: 0.47-0.71] and three-bag regimen 0.82 [95%CI: 0.72-0.94] per doubling of paracetamol concentration). The effect differed between the two regimens (p = .004 for interaction).Conclusion: In this retrospective cohort, a high peak plasma paracetamol concentration, age, antihistamine co-ingestion and use of the two-bag NAC regimen were associated with fewer anaphylactoid reactions to NAC.

Pharmacokinetics of ferric bepectate-a new intravenous iron drug for treating iron deficiency

IV iron is indicated in clinical conditions, where rapid anaemia alleviation and repletion of iron stores are required. The acute toxicity of IV iron is ascribed to the presence of labile iron in plasma. Thus, shorter plasma residence time might improve the safety profile, even for compounds holding‐on the iron tightly. In this single‐centre, open‐label, single‐dose escalation study, we evaluated the elimination kinetics of ferric bepectate (FBP) compared to those of ferric carboxymaltose (FCM). Thirty‐three iron‐depleted anaemic patients who had undergone cardiac surgery were included and received 200, 500 or 1500 mg FBP or 500 mg FCM. Plasma drug curves were subjected to model‐free analysis. Because saturation kinetics was found, a compartmental model with limited elimination capacity was applied. Urinary iron excretion was also analysed. The initial non‐compartmental analysis revealed an increasing AUC/dose ratio for FBP. For both drugs, the central distribution compartment corresponded to plasma volume, and elimination followed Michaelis‐Menten saturation kinetics. Maximal elimination rates (V_max) were 224 mg/h and 81 mg/h for FBP 500 mg and FCM 500 mg, respectively; drug concentrations at half V_max (K_m), 99 mg/L and 212 mg/L, respectively; and terminal plasma half‐life (T½), 3.05 h and 8.96 h, respectively. Both drugs were equally effective in eliciting an early ferritin rise. Urinary iron excretion was measurable in all patients receiving FCM but not in those receiving FBP, which was well tolerated. Intravenous iron drugs are subject to capacity‐limited elimination with different saturation thresholds. Urinary iron excretion can be used as a surrogate for labile plasma iron.

Transcription profile of the insulin-like growth factor signaling pathway during human ovarian follicular development

PURPOSE

The IGF signaling cascade exerts important regulatory functions in human ovarian folliculogenesis. The scope of this study was to evaluate the transcription profile of insulin-like growth factor (IGF) genes during human ovarian follicle development and to analyze follicle fluid levels of key IGF proteins.

METHODS

Gene expression profiling was performed with microarray gene analysis. The analysis was assessed from ovarian follicles and granulosa cells (GCs) obtained from isolated stage-specific human ovarian follicles, including preantral follicles, small antral follicles, and preovulatory follicles. Numerous genes involved in the IGF signaling pathway was evaluated and key genes were validated by qPCR from GCs. Protein levels of various IGF components of human follicular fluid (FF) were measured by ELISA and time-resolved immunofluorometric assays (TRIFMA).

RESULTS

The gene expression levels of PAPPA, IGF2, IGF receptors and intracellular IGF-activated genes increased with increasing follicle size. This was especially prominent in the late preovulatory stage where IGF2 expression peaked. Protein levels of intact IGF binding protein-4 decreased significantly in FF from large preovulatory follicles compared with small antral follicles concomitant with higher protein levels of PAPP-A. The IGF modulators IGF-2 receptor, IGFBPs, stanniocalcins, and IGF-2 mRNA binding proteins were all observed to be expressed in the different follicle stages.

CONCLUSIONS

This study confirms and highlights the importance of PAPP-A regulating bioactive IGF levels throughout folliculogenesis and especially for the high rate of granulosa cell proliferation and expression of key ovarian hormones important in the last part of the follicular phase of the menstrual cycle.

[Limited evidence for effect and safety of propranolol for exam-related anxiety]

Propranolol is often prescribed to younger people with exam-related performance anxiety. Evidence for effect as well as safety is, however, sparse for this non-approved indication. Furthermore, only relatively large pack sizes are available in Denmark. This may spur an unnecessary, permanent overuse and increase the risk of overdosing and poisoning. The aim of this review is to examine the evidence for the effect as well as safety of propranolol for exam-related performance anxiety and to discuss, whether the use of this drug for this unapproved indication is rational.

[Indications for orogastric emptying in poisonings are rarely present]

Orogastric aspiration (OA) without orogastric lavage has been the traditional gastric emptying method of choice in Denmark; this being based on national historic studies on poisoned patients. The treatment is still observed to be initiated prior to consultations with the Danish poisons information centre. In this review, we present relevant knowledge in the field of OA. The procedure should only be considered in very limited cases and never routinely. Also, an algorithm is presented for its rare use in relation to other more effective gastrointestinal decontamination methods.

Hemodynamic Effects of Intravenous, High-Dose Lipid Emulsion With and Without Metoprolol Infusion in Healthy Volunteers: A Randomized Clinical Trial

In a double-blinded, randomized, crossover trial, we investigated the hemodynamic effects of high-dose intravenous lipid emulsion (ILE) with/without metoprolol. Ten healthy volunteers each completed 4 trial days (placebo + ILE; metoprolol + placebo; metoprolol + ILE; placebo + placebo) in random order. Metoprolol was administered as an initial bolus (10 mg), followed by an infusion (50 mg) from 5 to 30 minutes. ILE was administered as a bolus at 12.5 minutes (2.5 mL/kg), followed by a 15-minute infusion (0.25 mL/kg per minute). On metoprolol + ILE days (compared with metoprolol + placebo) after 120 minutes, mean heart rates were significantly higher (difference, 5.5 beats per minute (bpm); 95% confidence interval (CI), 3.0-8.1 bpm; P < 0.001), and average relative cardiac output was higher (difference, 10 percentage points; 95% CI, 5-15 percentage points; P < 0.001). The hemodynamic effect of ILE developed gradually. ILE had no effect on plasma metoprolol or major adverse events. In conclusion, high-dose ILE has relatively marginal and delayed hemodynamic effects that may have limited clinical relevance in the short-term clinical toxicological setting.

Higher chlorzoxazone clearance in obese children compared with nonobese peers

AIMS

To test the in vivo activity of Cytochrome P450 (CYP) 2E1 in obese children vs. nonobese children, aged 11-18 years. Secondly, whether the activity of CYP2E1 in these patients is associated with NALFD, diabetes or hyperlipidaemia.

METHODS

Seventy children were divided into groups by body mass index (BMI) standard deviation score (SDS). All children received 250 mg oral chlorzoxazone (CLZ) as probe for CYP2E1 activity. Thirteen blood samples and 20-h urine samples were collected per participant.

RESULTS

Obese children had an increased oral clearance and distribution of CLZ, indicating increased CYP2E1 activity, similar to obese adults. The mean AUC_0-∞ value of CLZ was decreased by 46% in obese children compared to nonobese children. The F was was increased twofold in obese children compared to nonobese children, P < 0.0001. Diabetic biomarkers were significantly increased in obese children, while fasting blood glucose and Hba1c levels were nonsignificant between groups. Liver fat content was not associated with CLZ Cl.

CONCLUSION

Oral clearance of CLZ was increased two-fold in obese children vs. nonobese children aged 11-18 years. This indicates an increased CYP2E1 activity of clinical importance, and dose adjustment should be considered for CLZ.

Content and validation of the Electronic Patient Medication module (EPM)—the administrative in-hospital drug use database in the Capital Region of Denmark

Aims: Registries on in-hospital drug use are sparse, especially those that can be linked to nationwide registries. In this study, we present and validate the Electronic Patient Medication module (EPM)—the electronic administrative database on in-hospital drug use covering the Capital Region of Denmark. Methods: The research database (EPM-research) is an adaptation of the database underlying the electronic administrative database for in-hospital drug use (EPM-clinic). The validation study was comprised of two sub-studies. Sub-study 1: Accordance of registration between EPM-clinic and EPM-research was investigated by analyzing randomly chosen retrospective patient records. Sub-study 2: Workflows and real-life registration practices were investigated through visits to three different (two medical and one emergency) departments. An observer followed a nurse while dispensing and administering drugs. This information was compared with EPM-research. The primary endpoint for both sub-studies was accordance of generic name between registrations. Secondary endpoints were exact brand name, dose, and time of each administration. Accordance (proportions) with 95% confidence intervals (CI) using the Clopper-Pearson method were calculated. The study was approved by the Danish Data Protection Agency (BFH-2016-058-04906) and the Danish Patient Safety Authority (3-3013-1884/1/). Results: In sub-study 1 227 retrospective drug administrations were reviewed. Accordance of generic name was 100.0% (CI 98.4%−100.0%). In sub-study 2 176 drug administrations were observed of which 173 were recorded with identical generic name, resulting in 98.3% (CI 95.1%-99.6%) accordance of data. Conclusions: Our validation of the EPM-research showed very high accordance. With detailed information on in-hospital drug use, the EPM-research may be a useful tool in pharmacoepidemiological research.

[Treatment of gamma-hydroxybutyrate withdrawal]

Gamma-hydroxybutyrate (GHB) is a drug of abuse, for which physical addiction develops quickly. GHB withdrawal can develop into a life-threatening condition and has previously been treated mainly with benzodiazepines. These have not always proven effective, leading to long hospitalizations in intensive care units. Based on successful Dutch treatment results for using GHB to treat GHB withdrawal symptoms, we propose to implement a similar method in Denmark. The method requires an interdisciplinary effort for which The Danish Poison Information Centre should be consulted for expertise.

NBOMe hallucinogenic drug exposures reported to the Danish Poison Information Centre

INTRODUCTION

N-benzylmethoxy (NBOMe) is a new class of hallucinogenic designer drugs sold on cheap blotter papers. They are potent 5-hydroxytryptamine-2A-receptor agonists, and since their recent entry into the drug market there have been worldwide reports of severe intoxications and even fatalities. This study reviews suspected NBOMe drug exposures reported to the Danish Poison Information Centre (DPIC).

METHODS

Data from the DPIC database were extracted, including all enquiries with NBOMe exposures reported from 1 January 2013 to 30 June 2016. The following data were extracted: age, sex, date of exposure, risk assessment, co-exposures, geography and reported symptoms.

RESULTS

A total of 43 cases were identified: one in 2013, five in 2014, 32 in 2015 and five in the first six months of 2016. The mean patient age was 21 years (range: 15-34 years) with 32 (74%) male and 11 (26%) female patients. The patients most frequently presented with hallucinations/psychosis (n = 18), tachycardia (n = 18) and agitation (n = 15). A total of 16 patients were admitted with co-exposures to other drugs such as alcohol (n = 9), cannabis (n = 7), amphetamine (n = 5) cocaine (n = 3), benzodiazepines (n = 1) and 3,4-methylenedioxymethamphetamine (n = 1). The cases were distributed evenly across the entire country with only ten cases having a postal address in one of the three major cities of Denmark.

CONCLUSIONS

This study has shown a steep and sudden rise in reported NBOMe exposures in Denmark within 3-4 years. Geographical data demonstrate an even distribution throughout the country. However, our results also suggest that the use has started to decline.

FUNDING

none.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

This study was approved by the Danish Data Protection Agency. (BFH-2016-070/04985).

Phosphodiesterases in the rat ovary: effect of cAMP in primordial follicles

Phosphodiesterases (PDEs) are important regulators of the intracellular cAMP concentration, which is a central second messenger that affects a multitude of intracellular functions. In the ovaries, cAMP exerts diverse functions, including regulation of ovulation and it has been suggested that augmented cAMP levels stimulate primordial follicle growth. The present study examined the gene expression, enzyme activity and immunolocalization of the different cAMP hydrolysing PDEs families in the rat ovary. Further, the effect of PDE4 inhibition on primordial follicle activation in cultured neonatal rat ovaries was also evaluated. We found varied expression of all eight families in the ovary with Pde7b and Pde8a having the highest expression each accounting for more than 20% of the total PDE mRNA. PDE4 accounted for 15-26% of the total PDE activity. Immunoreactive PDE11A was found in the oocytes and PDE2A in the corpora lutea. Incubating neonatal rat ovaries with PDE4 inhibitors did not increase primordial follicle activation or change the expression of the developing follicle markers Gdf9, Amh, Inha, the proliferation marker Mki67 or the primordial follicle marker Tmeff2. In addition, the cAMP analogue 8-bromo-cAMP did not increase AKT1 or FOXO3A phosphorylation associated with follicle activation or increase the expression of Kitlg known to be associated with follicle differentiation but did increase the Tmeff2, Mki67 and Inha expression in a dose-dependent manner. In conclusion, this study shows that both Pde7b and Pde8a are highly expressed in the rodent ovary and that PDE4 inhibition does not cause an increase in primordial follicle activation.

Distribution and function of 3',5'-Cyclic-AMP phosphodiesterases in the human ovary

The concentration of the important second messenger cAMP is regulated by phosphodiesterases (PDEs) and hence an attractive drug target. However, limited human data are available about the PDEs in the ovary. The aim of the present study was to describe and characterise the PDEs in the human ovary. Results were obtained by analysis of mRNA microarray data from follicles and granulosa cells (GCs), combined RT-PCR and enzymatic activity analysis in GCs, immunohistochemical analysis of ovarian sections and by studying the effect of PDE inhibitors on progesterone production from cultured GCs. We found that PDE3, PDE4, PDE7 and PDE8 are the major families present while PDE11A was not detected. PDE8B was differentially expressed during folliculogenesis. In cultured GCs, inhibition of PDE7 and PDE8 increased basal progesterone secretion while PDE4 inhibition increased forskolin-stimulated progesterone secretion. In conclusion, we identified PDE3, PDE4, PDE7 and PDE8 as the major PDEs in the human ovary.

Uric acid in patients with angiographically documented coronary heart disease

OBJECTIVE

High serum uric acid levels have been associated with coronary heart disease (CHD). Hyperuricaemia is known to be related to several of the established aetiologic risk factors of CHD, such as obesity, insulin resistance, raised serum triglycerides, and hypertension, but it is still uncertain whether this relationship may cause the association between CHD and uric acid. We have investigated whether uric acid was an independent risk factor for CHD.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Two-hundred and ninety patients with suspected CHD referred to elective coronary angiography were enrolled. The association between angiographically detected coronary stenosis > 50% in one or more of the 3 major coronary arteries and uric acid levels was examined. A significant association between high uric acid levels and the presence of one or more diseased vessels in women (p = 0.02) was observed, while no association was found in men (p = 0.25). After adjustment for several possible confounders such as smoking, triglycerides, HDL cholesterol, and a diagnosis of diabetes mellitus the association among women disappeared.

CONCLUSION

The results indicate that uric acid should not be viewed as an independent risk factor for CHD, but more likely as a biological marker reflecting other causative parameters.