The effect of oseltamivir use in critically ill patients with COVID-19: A multicenter propensity score-matched study

Background

Oseltamivir has been used as adjunctive therapy in the management of patients with COVID-19. However, the evidence about using oseltamivir in critically ill patients with severe COVID-19 remains scarce. This study aims to evaluate the effectiveness and safety of oseltamivir in critically ill patients with COVID-19.

Methods

This multicenter, retrospective cohort study includes critically ill adult patients with COVID-19 admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU). Patients were categorized into two groups based on oseltamivir use within 48 hours of ICU admission (Oseltamivir vs. Control). The primary endpoint was viral load clearance.

Results

A total of 226 patients were matched into two groups based on their propensity score. The time to COVID-19 viral load clearance was shorter in patients who received oseltamivir (11 vs. 16 days, p = 0.042; beta coefficient: -0.84, 95%CI: (-1.33, 0.34), p = 0.0009). Mechanical ventilation (MV) duration was also shorter in patients who received oseltamivir (6.5 vs. 8.5 days, p = 0.02; beta coefficient: -0.27, 95% CI: [-0.55,0.02], P = 0.06). In addition, patients who received oseltamivir had lower odds of hospital/ventilator-acquired pneumonia (OR:0.49, 95% CI:(0.283,0.861), p = 0.01). On the other hand, there were no significant differences between the groups in the 30-day and in-hospital mortality.

Conclusion

Oseltamivir was associated with faster viral clearance and shorter MV duration without safety concerns in critically ill COVID-19 patients.

Developing an explainable machine learning model to predict the mechanical ventilation duration of patients with ARDS in intensive care units

BACKGROUND

Acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) is common in intensive care units with high mortality rate and mechanical ventilation (MV) is the most important related treatment. Early prediction of MV duration has benefit for patients risk stratification and care strategies support.

OBJECTIVE

To develop an explainable model for predicting mechanical ventilation (MV) duration in patients with ARDS using the machine learning (ML) approach.

METHOD

The number of 1,148, 1,697, and 29 ARDS patients admitted to intensive care units (ICU) in the MIMIC-IV, eICU-CRD, and AmsterdamUMCdb databases were included in the study. Features at MV initiation from the MIMIC-IV dataset were used to train prediction models based on seven supervised machine learning algorithms. After 5-fold cross-validation for hyperparameters tuning, the hyperparameters- optimized model of different algorithms was tested by external datasets extracted from eICU-CRD and Amsterdamumcdb. Finally, three descriptive machine learning explanation methods were conducted for the model explanation.

RESULT

The XGBoosting model showed the most stable and accurate performance among two testing datasets (RMSE= 5.57 and 5.46 days in eICU-CRD and AmsterdamUMCdb) and was selected as the optimal model. The model explanation based on SHAP, LIME, and DALEX results showed a consistent result, vasopressor, PH, and SOFA score had the highest effect on MV duration prediction.

CONCLUSION

ML models with features at MV initiation can accurate predict MV duration in patients with ARDS in ICUs. Among seven algorithms, XGB models showed the best performance (RMSE= 5.57 and 5.46 in two external datasets). LIME, SHAP, and Breakdown methods showed good performance as AXI methods.

Early rehabilitation reduces the likelihood of developing intensive care unit-acquired weakness: a systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Intensive care unit-acquired weakness (ICUAW) is associated with significant impairments in body structure and function, activity limitation, and participation restriction. The etiology and management of ICUAW remain uncertain.

OBJECTIVE

To estimate the extent to which early rehabilitation interventions (early mobilization [EM] and/or neuromuscular electrical stimulation [NMES]) compared to usual care reduce the incidence of ICUAW in critically ill patients.

DATA SOURCES

We searched MEDLINE, EMBASE, CINAHL, Cochrane Central and Physiotherapy Evidence Database databases from inception to May 1st, 2017.

ELIGIBILITY CRITERIA

Randomized controlled trials of EM and/or NMES interventions in critically ill adults.

DATA EXTRACTION AND DATA SYNTHESIS

Data on the incidence of ICUAW and secondary outcomes were extracted. Both odds and risk ratios for ICUAW were pooled using the random-effects model.

RESULTS

We identified 1421 reports after duplicate removal. Nine studies including 841 patients (419 intervention and 422 usual care) were included in the final analysis. The interventions involved EM in five trials, NMES in three trials, and both EM and NMES in one trial. Early rehabilitation decreased the likelihood of developing ICUAW: odds ratio of 0.63 (95% CI: 0.43 to 0.92) in the screened population, and 0.71 (95% CI: 0.53 to 0.95) in the randomized population.

CONCLUSION, IMPLICATIONS OF KEY FINDINGS

Early rehabilitation was associated with a decreased likelihood of developing ICUAW. Our findings support early rehabilitation in the ICU. While results were consistent in both the screened and randomized populations, the wide confidence intervals suggest that well-conducted trials are needed to validate our findings.

SYSTEMATIC REVIEW REGISTRATION NUMBER

PROSPERO registration ID: CRD42017065031.

Faltering growth in the critically ill child: prevalence, risk factors, and impaired outcome

Low body mass index (BMI) z score is commonly used to define undernutrition, but faltering growth allows for a complementary dynamic assessment of nutritional status. We studied the prevalence of undernutrition and faltering growth at admission in the pediatric intensive care (PICU) setting and their impacts on outcome. All (685) consecutive children (aged 0 to 18 years old) admitted in a single-center PICU over a 1-year period were prospectively enrolled. Nutritional status assessment was based on anthropometric measurements performed at admission and collected from medical files. Undernutrition was considered when z score BMI for age was < - 2SD. Faltering growth was considered when the weight for age curve presented a deceleration of > - 1 z score in the previous 3 months. Undernutrition was diagnosed in 13% of children enrolled, and faltering growth in 13.7% mostly in children with a normal BMI. Faltering growth was significantly associated with a history of underlying chronic disease, and independently with extended length of PICU stay in a multivariate analysis.

CONCLUSION

Assessment of nutritional status in critically ill children should include both undernutrition and faltering growth. This study highlights that faltering growth is independently associated with suboptimal outcome in PICU. What is Known: • Malnutrition, defined according to BMI-for-age z score, is correlated with poor outcome in the critically ill child. • In this setting, nutritional assessment should consist not only of a static assessment based on BMI-for-age z score but also of a dynamic assessment to identify recent faltering growth. What is New: • Critically ill children frequently present with faltering growth at admission. • Faltering growth is a newly identified independent associated factor of suboptimal outcome in this setting (extended length of stay).

Symptom burden and health-related quality of life among intensive care unit survivors in Argentina: A prospective cohort study

PURPOSE

Our goal was to describe the evolution of selected physical and psychologic symptoms and identify the determinants of health-related quality of life (HRQOL) after intensive care unit (ICU) discharge.

METHODS

The study is a prospective cohort of consecutive adult patients admitted to a mixed ICU in a university-affiliated hospital, mechanically ventilated for more than 48 hours. During ICU stay, epidemiological data and events probably associated to worsening outcomes were recorded. After discharge, patients were interviewed at 1, 3, 6, and 12 months. Health-related quality of life was assessed with EuroQoL Questionnaire-5 Dimensions, which includes the EQ-index and EQ-Visual Analogue Scale.

RESULTS

One hundred twelve patients were followed up, aged 33 [24-49] years, 68% male, 76% previously healthy, and cranial trauma was the main diagnosis. Physical and psychologic symptoms and moderate/severe problems according to the EQ index progressively decreased after discharge, yet were still highly prevalent after 1 year. EQ index improved from 0.22 [0.01-0.69] to 0.52 [0.08-0.81], 0.66 [0.17-0.79], and 0.68 [0.26-0.86] (P < .001, for all vs month 1). EQ-Visual Analogue Scale remained stable, within acceptable values. Independent determinants of EQ-index were time, duration of mechanical ventilation, shock, weakness, and return to study/work.

CONCLUSIONS

Determinants of HRQOL after ICU discharge were both related to late sequelae of critical illness and to some events occurring in the ICU. Notwithstanding the high symptom burden, patients still perceived their HRQOL as good.