Granulocyte-colony stimulating factor in decompensated liver cirrhosis: a meta-analysis of four randomized controlled trials

BACKGROUND

Decompensated liver cirrhosis (DC) has high mortality, but liver transplantation is limited due to organ scarcity and contraindications for transplantation. Granulocyte-colony stimulating factor (GCSF) shows potential for liver disease treatment with its regenerative and immunomodulatory properties. To assess the controversial use of GCSF in DC, a meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials (RCTs) compared survival benefits in patients receiving GCSF plus standard medical therapy (SMT) versus SMT alone.

METHODS

A literature search was performed in four databases from data inception up to December 2022, and all registered randomized controlled (RCTs) evaluating GCSF-based therapies for cirrhotic patients were included.

RESULTS

A study combining four RCTs assessed the impact of GCSF with SMT in 595 patients with decompensated cirrhosis. The results indicated that GCSF + SMT led to higher odds of survival compared to SMT alone [risk ratio 1.28, 95% CI (1.08-1.5)]. Heterogeneity existed among the studies, but overall, GCSF showed potential in improving survival. The intervention group exhibited improved Child-Pugh-Turcotte scores [-2.51, CI (-4.33 to -0.70)], and increased CD34 levels, but no significant improvement in MELD scores. These findings suggest GCSF may benefit patients with decompensated cirrhosis in terms of survival and liver function.

CONCLUSION

These results suggest that the combination of GCSF and SMT may have a positive impact on the survival rate and improvement in CPT score in patients with DC. Further RCTs are needed to shed more light on this promising modality in end-stage liver disease.

Red Cell Distribution Width in Chronic Liver Disease: An Observational Study

BACKGROUND

Chronic liver diseases (CLDs) encompass a group of conditions that are marked by diminished liver function due to ongoing inflammation or damage. This study aimed to establish a relationship between the red cell distribution width (RDW) and two scoring systems, namely the Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) score and Child-Turcotte-Pugh (CTP) score, in individuals diagnosed with CLDs.

METHODS

 The study was carried out at Aarupadai Veedu Medical College & Hospital, Pondicherry, India, following approval from the Institutional Ethical Committee in the Department of General Medicine and Gastroenterology. It involved 50 patients aged 18 years and above who were diagnosed with CLD. The RDW of all selected patients was measured using a three-part autoanalyzer, and its correlation with the MELD and CTP scores was examined. Data analysis was performed using IBM SPSS (Statistical Package for Social Sciences), version 21.0 (IBM Corp., Armonk, NY), with a significance level set at p < 0.05.

RESULTS

When comparing the baseline characteristics including age, gender, and encephalopathy, no statistically significant differences were found between RDW-standard deviation (RDW-SD) and RDW-corpuscular value (RDW-CV) (p > 0.05). However, a statistically significant correlation was observed between the presence of ascites and RDW-CV values (p = 0.029). Furthermore, there was a significant association between the CTP score and RDW-SD (p < 0.0001). The association between the MELD score and RDW-SD was also found to be statistically significant (p = 0.006). Similarly, statistically significant results were obtained between the MELD score and RDW-CV (p = 0.034).

CONCLUSION

The utilization of RDW holds promise as a convenient and effective tool for evaluating the severity of individuals with CLD.

Model for End Stage Liver Disease (MELD) Score: A Tool for Prognosis and Prediction of Mortality in Patients With Decompensated Liver Cirrhosis

BACKGROUND

Decompensated liver disease has become a common occurrence in medical wards. It has become the third most common cause of death in medical wards. This high mortality rate has become a matter of concern. It is important that a reliable scoring system helps to stratify patients with liver cirrhosis who will require liver transplantation.

OBJECTIVE

To determine the value of the Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) score in assessing the mortality of patients with decompensated liver cirrhosis over one month period (30 days).

METHODS AND MATERIALS

A longitudinal study was conducted. A total of 110 patients diagnosed with decompensated liver cirrhosis were recruited from the gastroenterology clinic and medical wards of the University of Benin Teaching Hospital (UBTH), Benin City. The patients were recruited consecutively and met the inclusion criteria for the study. Demographic data, history, clinical, biochemical, ultrasonographic, and liver biopsy findings were evaluated in the patients who participated in this study.  Results: The mean age of the patients was 57 ± 11.06 years. Out of the 110 study participants, a 2.9:1 male-to-female ratio was appreciated in the patient population, with a total of 82 males and 28 females. Multiple logistic regression analysis identified MELD scores as an independent predictor of mortality in the studied patients. Predictive values of the MELD score for 1-month mortality which was analyzed using the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves showed that the MELD score had a sensitivity of 72.2% and positive predictive value of 93.6% with an area under the curve of 0.926 for all-cause mortality among decompensated liver cirrhosis patients.

CONCLUSION

MELD score is a good predictor of mortality among patients with decompensated liver cirrhosis over a 1-month (30 days) period.

Acute Liver Failure Prognostic Criteria: It's Time to Revisit

INTRODUCTION

Acute liver failure (ALF) is a devastating disease, and patients are at a higher risk of death without liver transplantation. Indicators are needed to identify the risk of death in ALF, which will help in the timely referral of patients to specialized centers. Clichy criteriaand King's College Hospital (KCH) criteria are the most widely used prognostic criteria. Real-life application of Clichy criteria is limited due to the non-availability of factor V level measurement. KCH criteria have good specificity but low sensitivity to predict outcomes. Therefore, we attempted to use the model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) score and chronic liver failure-sequential organ failure assessment (CLIF-SOFA) score in ALF patients as prognostic indicators and need for liver transplantation.

METHODS

Forty-one patients with ALF were enrolled in the study. On the day of admission, MELD and CLIF-SOFA scores were calculated for each patient. Area under receiver operating characteristics (AUROC) curve, sensitivity, specificity, negative predictive value (NPV), positive predictive value (PPV), and diagnostic accuracy (DA) of MELD and CLIF-SOFA score were calculated to predict the outcome of the patients.

RESULTS

Out of 41 patients, nine patients left against medical advice. The sensitivity, specificity, PPV, NPV, and DA for the MELD score of enrolled patients in the study were 81.5%, 62.5%, 59.5%, 83.3%, 70.1%, and for the CLIF-SOFA score of enrolled patients in the study were 88.9%, 90.0%, 85.7%, 92.3%, 89.6% respectively. Patients who did not survive had higher INR, MELD, CLIF-SOFA scores, and hepatic encephalopathy (HE) grades. Five patients who had a combination of MELD ≥30 and CLIF-SOFA ≥10, expired.

CONCLUSION

 In our study, we used MELD score and CLIF-SOFA as prognostic markers, and we concluded that CLIF-SOFA is a better predictor of mortality than MELD score in terms of sensitivity, specificity, NPV, PPV, and diagnostic accuracy. AUROC for CLIF-SOFA score is higher when compared to the MELD score.

Psoas muscle index predicts time to rehospitalization in liver cirrhosis: An observational study

Sarcopenia is frequent in liver cirrhosis (LC) where it is associated with morbidity and mortality. However, prognostic scores such as model for end-stage liver disease (MELD), MELD-sodium (MELD-Na), or Child-Turcotte-Pugh (CTP) do not contain sarcopenia as a variable. For this study, we utilized psoas muscle index (PMI) to objectively determine sarcopenia in hospitalized LC patients, and evaluated it as a predictor of time between discharge and readmission in LC. Abdominal computed tomography and magnetic resonance imaging scans of 65 consecutive LC patients were retrospectively examined to determine PMI. MELD, MELD-Na, and CTP were calculated from clinical data. PMI was then combined with CTP to form an experimental score: CTP sarcopenia (CTPS). For PMI alone and for each score, correlation with time between discharge and readmission for liver-related complications was calculated. PMI was also tested for correlation with sex, body mass index (BMI), MELD, MELD-Na, and CTP. CTPS was most closely correlated with time to readmission (R = 0.730; P < .001), followed by CTP (R = 0.696; P < .001), MELD-Na (R = 0.405; P = .009), and PMI alone (R = 0.388; P = .01). Correlation with MELD (R = 0.354; P = .05) was lowest. Additionally, there were significant differences in PMI between male and female individuals (5.16 vs 4.54 cm2/m2; P = .04) and in BMI between sarcopenic and nonsarcopenic individuals (29.63 vs 25.88 kg/m2; P = .009). Sarcopenia is an independent short-term prognostic factor in LC. By combining data on sarcopenia with CTP, we created an experimental score that predicts time to readmission better than MELD, MELD-Na, or CTP.

Predictors of survival in portopulmonary hypertension: a 20-year experience

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

Portopulmonary hypertension (PoPH) is a rare complication of portal hypertension associated with poor survival. Scarce data is available on predictors of survival in PoPH with conflicting results. We sought to characterize the outcomes and variables associated with survival in a large cohort of patients with PoPH in an American population of patients.

STUDY DESIGN AND METHODS

We identified PoPH patients from the Cleveland Clinic Pulmonary Hypertension Registry between 1998 and 2019. We collected prespecified data, particularly focusing on hepatic and cardiopulmonary assessments and tested their effect on long-term survival.

RESULTS

Eighty patients with PoPH with a mean ± SD age of 54 ± 10 years, (54% females) were included in the analysis. The median Model for End-Stage Liver Disease with sodium (MELD-Na) score was 13.0 (10.0-18.0) at PoPH diagnosis. World Health Association functional class III-IV was noted in 57%. Mean pulmonary arterial pressure was 47 ± 10 mmHg and pulmonary vascular resistance 6.0 ± 2.8 Woods units. A total of 63 (78.5%) patients were started on pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH)-specific treatment during the first 6 months of diagnosis. Survival rates at 1-, 3- and 5-year were 77, 52 and 34%, respectively. Cardiopulmonary hemodynamics as well as PAH-specific treatment did not affect survival. In the multivariable model, MELD-Na, resting heart rate and the presence of hepatic encephalopathy were independent predictors of survival.

CONCLUSION

PoPH patients have poor 5-year survival which is strongly associated to the severity of underlying liver disease and not to the hemodynamic severity of PoPH; therefore efforts should be focused in facilitating liver transplantation for these patients.

Uncertainty of Liver Cirrhosis Diagnosis and Use of Elastography

A case of severe jaundice in a patient with a long history of alcohol abuse led to a questionable diagnosis of liver cirrhosis. To determine its diagnostic utility in the setting of liver disease, elastography was utilized on our patient to confirm the clinically suspected diagnosis of cirrhosis.

A 59-year-old male presented to our emergency department (ED) with two days of progressive jaundice and right upper quadrant (RUQ) pain. The patient admitted to drinking > 500 mL of vodka daily for the last seven years, with his last drink on the morning of admission. Physical exam revealed a man in mild acute distress with severe jaundice and an abdomen diffusely tender to palpation. Two spider angiomas were present on the torso along with caput medusae and mild asterixis. Labs revealed aspartate aminotransferase (AST) 408, alanine aminotransferase (ALT) 69, prothrombin time (PT) 16.3, partial thromboplastin time (PTT) 36, total bilirubin 22.6, and direct bilirubin 19.9 mg/dL. While admitted, total bilirubin rose as high as 31.5 mg/dL. Examination showed a Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) score of 22 and a Maddrey score of 37. Ultrasound revealed moderate hepatosplenomegaly with no signs of pancreatitis.

Based on the patient’s history of alcohol abuse paired with physical exam findings and elevated laboratory markers, we were able to diagnose with a high level of suspicion that this patient was suffering from chronic alcoholic liver disease, exacerbated by an acute episode of alcoholic hepatitis, which led to hepatic encephalopathy. Based on these findings, a diagnosis of liver cirrhosis was suspected; however, this diagnosis required further confirmation. We utilized ultrasound elastography to measure the velocity of shear wave transmission in the liver of our patient. A literature review was conducted on the use of elastography for the diagnosis of liver disease, and a significant correlation between the velocity of shear wave transmission and hepatic histological findings was identified. Elastography revealed a mean velocity of shear wave transmission of 1.77 m/s in our patient. This finding is consistent with a Meta-analysis of Histological Data in Viral Hepatitis (METAVIR) score of F = 4, indicating significant fibrosis and confirming the suspected diagnosis of alcohol-induced liver cirrhosis.

As a non-invasive and inexpensive diagnostic tool, elastography demonstrates significant potential for clinical utility in patients with liver disease. Clinicians may benefit from the use of elastography in diagnosis, while patients may receive both therapeutic and prognostic benefits secondary to its use. In similar cases with clinical uncertainty, elastography can reliably identify the presence of fibrous tissue in the liver without tissue biopsy, thus aiding in clinical diagnoses and enabling the use of optimal therapeutic regimens for future patients.

MELD Score Predicts Outcomes in Patients Undergoing Venovenous Extracorporeal Membrane Oxygenation

Venovenous extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (VV ECMO) is increasingly being used in the management of severe acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS). The Respiratory ECMO Survival Prediction (RESP) score is most commonly used to predict survival of patients undergoing ECMO. However, the RESP score does not incorporate renal and hepatic dysfunction which are frequently a part of the constellation of multiorgan dysfunction associated with ARDS. The Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) incorporates both liver and kidney dysfunction and is used in the risk stratification of liver transplant recipients as well as those undergoing cardiac surgery. The aim of this study was to assess the prognostic value of the MELD score in patients undergoing VV ECMO. Patients undergoing VV ECMO from 2016 to 2019 were extracted from our prospectively maintained institutional ECMO database and stratified based on MELD score. Baseline clinical, laboratory, and follow-up data, as well as post-ECMO outcomes, were compared. Of 71 patients, 50 patients (70.4%) had a MELD score <12 and 21 (29.6%) had a MELD score ≥12. The higher MELD score was associated with increased post-ECMO mortality but reduced risk of dialysis and tracheostomy. In multivariate analysis, higher MELD score (HR 1.35, 95% CI = 1.07-2.75), lower body surface area (HR 0.16, 0.04-0.65), RESP score (HR 0.75, 95% CI = 0.64-0.87), and platelet count (HR 0.99, 95% CI = 0.98-0.99), were significant predictors of postoperative mortality. We conclude that MELD score can be used complementarily to the RESP score to predict outcomes in patients with ARDS undergoing VV ECMO.

Pre and post-liver transplant outcome of cirrhotic patients with acute on chronic liver failure

Acute on chronic liver failure (ACLF) is a dynamic syndrome, but frequently associated with a high 1 month mortality rate. This is the first study applying the new European Association for the Study of the Liver- chronic liver failure consortium criteria to explore mortality on the waiting list (WL) and early after liver transplantation (LT) in a cohort of Romanian cirrhotic patients that improved or recovered after an episode of ACLF.To assess frequency and waitlist mortality for different grades of ACLF.An observational study was conducted; 257 patients with liver cirrhosis included on the WL between 2015 and 2017 were analyzed. The cumulative incidence of waitlist mortality or removal was calculated for combination of competing events using multivariable competing risks regression.ACLF-1 occurred in 12.07%, ACLF-2 in 7.39% and ACLF-3 in 8.56% of patients. Median Model for End Stage Liver Diseases (MELD) score at the moment of ACLF was 29. The main event while on the WL was death, followed by ACLF; patients with ACLF-3 had a significantly greater subhazard ratio for mortality of 2.25 (1.55-3.26) compared to patients with ACLF-1 or 2. LT proved to be associated with a significantly lower risk of death on the WL at 6 months after inclusion. One and 12 months post-transplant survival of patients with or without ACLF was similar (P = .77).Occurrence of an ACLF episode while on the WL is associated with a significantly high mortality rate, as well as MELD score at inclusion on the WL, renal and liver failure, presence of hepatic encephalopathy. Overall patient short and long term survival after LT is similar to non-ACLF patients in good selected cases.

The Severity of Hepatitis D in Young Adults of Age 18-25 Years

Background

Current literature on the prevalence and characteristics of hepatitis D virus (HDV) infection in young adults is limited. This study aims to determine the disease characteristics and severity in young adults.

Methods

The case records of HDV RNA positive patients of age 18-25 years were analyzed.

Results

Out of 119 patients, 105 (88%) patients were male. HBV-DNA was detectable in 83 (70%). Hepatitis B e-antigen (HBeAg) was non-reactive in 99 (83%). Cirrhosis was identified in 45 (37.8%) individuals; nine (7.5%) were classified as Child class B or Child class C. Twenty-four (20.2%) had a Model For End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) score of ≥10, out of these 16 had a score of 15 or more. The risk of decompensation was calculated according to the Baseline-event-anticipation (BEA) score; eight (6.7%) patients were at BEA-A (mild risk), 105 (88.2%) were at BEA-B (moderate risk), and six (5.0%) were at BEA-C (severe risk). Notable findings in patients with cirrhosis included splenomegaly, low total leucocyte counts, low platelets, high bilirubin, elevated aspartate aminotransferase, gamma-glutamyl transferase and international normalization ratio, low albumin, high AST to Platelet Ratio Index (APRI), and high BEA score. The splenic size, platelet count, and albumin levels were independently associated with cirrhosis (p < 0.001, <0.001, and 0.003). A model using a combination of platelet count, albumin, and spleen size was developed to accurately predict cirrhosis in this cohort. It had an area under the receiver operating characteristics (AUROC) of 0.935.

Conclusions

HDV-infected young adults, age 18-25 years, were at moderate to severe risk of disease progression. About one-third of patients had already developed cirrhosis indicating the aggressive nature of the disease.

Comparison of CLIF-C ACLF Score and MELD Score in Predicting ICU Mortality in Patients with Acute-On-Chronic Liver Failure

Introduction Acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) is a serious complication of liver cirrhosis which presents with hepatic and/or extrahepatic organ failure and often needs admission to an Intensive Care Unit (ICU). This condition typically needs organ support and carries a high mortality rate. ICU care may not benefit these patients. There are many scores to assess prognosis in these patients, such as the Model for End-stage Liver Disease (MELD) score, the MELD score refined to take into account serum sodium level (MELD-Na), the chronic liver failure organ failure (CLIF-OF) score, the CLIF Consortium acute-on-chronic liver failure (CLIF-C ACLF) score and the Child-Turcotte-Pugh classification. This study was conducted to compare CLIF-C ACLF and MELD scores for selecting patients at risk of high mortality, as ICU care to these patients in the absence of liver transplantation may be of no value. Methods The data of 75 patients admitted to the ICU of Shifa International Hospital in Islamabad were prospectively analyzed. CLIF-C ACLF and MELD scores were calculated at admission and then at 24 and 48 hours after the ICU stay. Data were analyzed with the assistance of SPSS. Mortality was the primary outcome. Results Comparison of both scores showed that a CLIF-C ACLF score ≥ 70 at 48 hours predicts mortality more accurately, with an area under receiver operating curve (AUROC) of 0.643 (confidence interval [CI] 95% 0.505-0.781; p=0.046) which was significantly higher than MELD scores of 30,40 and 50 at 48 hours. Organ failure and the need for supportive care were strong predictors of mortality (p= < 0.05). Conclusion We concluded that a CLIF-C ACLF score ≥ 70 at 48 hours and organ failure are better predictors of mortality and that ICU care in these patients does not benefit them. Definitive therapy in the form of liver transplantation may have a promising role, if considered early.

A model predicting short-term mortality in patients with advanced liver cirrhosis and concomitant infection

Infection is a common cause of death in patients with advanced cirrhosis. We aimed to develop a predictive model in Child-Turcotte-Pugh (CTP) class C cirrhotics hospitalized with infection for optimizing treatment and improving outcomes.Clinical information was retrospectively abstracted from 244 patients at Tianjin Third Central Hospital, China (cohort 1). Factors associated with mortality were determined using logistic regression. The model for predicting 90-day mortality was then constructed by decision tree analysis. The model was further validated in 91 patients at Mayo Clinic, Rochester, MN (cohort 2) and 82 patients at Seoul St. Mary's Hospital, Korea (cohort 3). The predictive performance of the model was compared with that of the CTP, model for end-stage liver disease (MELD), MELD-Na, Chronic Liver Failure-Sequential Organ Failure Assessment, and the North American consortium for the Study of End-stage Liver Disease (NACSELD) models.The 3-month mortality was 58%, 58%, and 54% in cohort 1, 2, and 3, respectively. In cohort 1, respiratory failure, renal failure, international normalized ratio, total bilirubin, and neutrophil percentage were determinants of 3-month mortality, with odds ratios of 16.6, 3.3, 2.0, 1.1, and 1.03, respectively (P < .05). These parameters were incorporated into the decision tree model, yielding area under receiver operating characteristic (AUROC) of 0.804. The model had excellent reproducibility in the U.S. (AUROC 0.808) and Korea cohort (AUROC 0.809). The proposed model has the highest AUROC and best Youden index of 0.488 and greatest overall correctness of 75%, compared with other models evaluated.The proposed model reliably predicts survival of advanced cirrhotics with infection in both Asian and U.S.

Liver Transplantation (LT) for Cryptogenic Cirrhosis (CC) and Nonalcoholic Steatohepatitis (NASH) Cirrhosis: Data from the Scientific Registry of Transplant Recipients (SRTR): 1994 to 2016

Nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH)-related cirrhosis and cryptogenic cirrhosis (CC) have become leading indications for liver transplantation (LT) in the US. Our aim was to compare the trends, clinical presentation, and outcomes for transplant candidates with NASH and CC.The Scientific Registry of Transplant Recipients (1994-2016) was used to select adult LT candidates and recipients with primary diagnoses of NASH and CC without hepatocellular carcinoma.Two lakh twenty-three thousand three hundred ninety-one LT candidates were listed between 1994 and 2016. Of these, 16,214 (7.3%) were listed for CC and 11,598 (5.2%) for NASH. Before 2004, NASH was seldom coded for an indication for LT, but became more common after 2009. Averaged across the study period, CC candidates compared with NASH candidates were younger and had fewer conditions of metabolic syndrome (MS). CC patients were more likely to have MS components in comparison to candidates with other chronic liver diseases (CLDs) (all P < .0001). For most of the study period, patients with CC or NASH were similarly more likely to be taken off the list due to deterioration or death, with to patients with other CLDs. Post-LT data were available for 14,052 transplant recipients with NASH or CC. With the exception of post-transplant diabetes, the outcomes of patients transplanted for CC and NASH were similar to those of other CLD patients.Number of LT due to CC and NASH cirrhosis is increasing. In the past decade, there is a shift from LT listing diagnosis from CC to NASH potentially related to increased awareness about NASH in transplant centers in the US.

High early cardiovascular mortality after liver transplantation

Cardiovascular disease (CVD) contributes to excessive long-term mortality after liver transplantation (LT); however, little is known about early postoperative CVD mortality in the current era. In addition, there is no model for predicting early postoperative CVD mortality across centers. We analyzed adult recipients of primary LT in the Organ Procurement and Transplantation Network (OPTN) database between February 2002 and December 2012 to assess the prevalence and predictors of early (30-day) CVD mortality, which was defined as death from arrhythmia, heart failure, myocardial infarction, cardiac arrest, thromboembolism, and/or stroke. We performed logistic regression with stepwise selection to develop a predictive model of early CVD mortality. Sex and center volume were forced into the final model, which was validated with bootstrapping techniques. Among 54,697 LT recipients, there were 1576 deaths (2.9%) within 30 days. CVD death was the leading cause of 30-day mortality (40.2%), and it was followed by infection (27.9%) and graft failure (12.2%). In a multivariate analysis, 9 significant covariates (6 recipient covariates, 2 donor covariates, and 1 operative covariate) were identified: age, preoperative hospitalization, intensive care unit status, ventilator status, calculated Model for End-Stage Liver Disease score, portal vein thrombosis, national organ sharing, donor body mass index, and cold ischemia time. The model showed moderate discrimination (C statistic = 0.66, 95% confidence interval = 0.63-0.68). In conclusion, we provide the first multicenter prognostic model for the prediction of early post-LT CVD death, the most common cause of early post-LT mortality in the current transplant era. However, evaluations of additional CVD-related variables not collected by the OPTN are needed in order to improve the model's accuracy and potential clinical utility.

Reframing the impact of combined heart-liver allocation on liver transplant wait-list candidates

Simultaneous heart-liver (H-L) transplantation, although rare, has become more common in the United States. When the primary organ is a heart or liver, patients receiving an offer for the primary organ automatically receive the second, nonprimary organ from that donor. This policy raises issues of equity, such as whether liver transplantation alone candidates bypassed by H-L recipients are disadvantaged. No prior published analyses have addressed this issue, and few methods have been developed as means of measuring the impact of such allocation policies. We analyzed Organ Procurement and Transplantation Network match run data from 2007 to 2013 to determine whether this combined organ allocation policy disadvantages bypassed liver transplant wait-list candidates in a clinically meaningful way. Among 65 H-L recipients since May 2007, 42 had substantially higher priority for the heart versus the liver, and these 42 bypassed 268 liver-alone candidates ranked 1 to 10 on these match runs. Bypassed patients had a lower risk of wait-list removal for death or clinical deterioration in comparison with controls selected by the match Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) score [hazard ratio (HR) = 0.56, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 0.40-0.79] and a risk similar to that of controls selected by the laboratory MELD score (HR = 0.91, 95% CI = 0.63-1.33) or on match runs of similar graft quality (HR = 0.97, 95% CI = 0.73-1.37). The waiting time from bypass to subsequent transplantation was significantly longer among bypassed candidates versus controls on match runs of similar graft quality [median: 87 days (interquartile range = 27-192 days) versus 24 days (interquartile range = 5-79 days), P < 0.001]. Although transplantation was delayed, liver transplant wait-list candidates bypassed by H-L recipients did not have excess mortality in comparison with 3 sets of matched controls. These analytic methods serve as a starting point for considering other potential approaches to evaluating the impact of multiorgan transplant allocation policies.

Preoperative model for end-stage liver disease score as a predictor for posthemihepatectomy complications

BACKGROUND

As diagnostic techniques advance and surgical outcomes improve, the rate of utilization of liver hemihepatectomy for various indications will continue to increase.

OBJECTIVES

To explore the preoperative predictors of liver hemihepatectomy postoperative complications.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

This study included retrospective analysis of the clinical data of patients who underwent either liver hemihepatectomy or extended hemihepatectomy at Georg August University Hospital-Goettingen for the period 2002-2012. The outcomes were either postoperative complications or death of the patient (within 3 months from the end of the operation). Modified classification of surgical complications was adopted in the current study. The preoperative model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) score, aspartate aminotransferase, creatinine, international normalized ratio, and bilirubin in addition to the demographic characteristics of the patients and intraoperative blood loss were analyzed as predictive for postliver hemihepatectomy complications.

RESULTS

The study included 144 patients who underwent liver hemiheptectomy or extended hemihepatectomy through the study period (2002-2012). Postoperative complications were reported among patients out of 144 (52.1%). The most frequent complications were pleural effusion (26.7%), biliary leakage (21.3%), wound dehiscence (13.3%), ascites, and intra-abdominal abscess (6.7%). Death was reported among six patients of those who developed complications (8%). There were four cases of hepatic cirrhosis (one macroscopic and three microscopic). Two of the microscopic cases had no postoperative complications (grade 1), whereas one case had grade 3a and the macroscopic case had postoperative complication grade 1. Their MELD scores ranged between 6 and 10 preoperatively. The association between preoperative MELD score and development of posthemihepatetomy was statistically significant, P=0.002. Death was reported in six cases, yielding a mortality rate of 4.17%. MELD score preoperatively was the only significant predictor for postoperative complications.

CONCLUSION

The rate of complications following hemihepatectomy remains high, with 52.1% of the patients in the current study having at least one complication as all of our patients underwent either hemihepatectomy or extended hemihepatectomy. A 4.17% mortality rate has been reported. A higher preoperative MELD score is the only significant predictor for the development of posthemihepatectomy complications.

Simplified model for end-stage liver disease score predicts mortality for tricuspid valve surgery

OBJECTIVES

The model for end-stage liver disease score (MELD = 3.8*LN[total bilirubin] + 9.6*LN[creatinine] + 11.2*[PT-INR] + 6.4) predicts mortality for tricuspid valve surgery. However, the MELD is problematic in patients undergoing warfarin therapy, as warfarin affects the international normalized ratio (INR). This study aimed to determine whether a simplified MELD score that does not require the INR for calculation could predict mortality for patients undergoing tricuspid valve surgery. Simplified MELD score = 3.8*LN[total bilirubin] + 9.6*LN[creatinine] + 6.4.

METHODS

A total of 172 patients (male: 66, female: 106; mean age, 63.8 ± 10.3 years) who underwent tricuspid replacement (n = 18) or repair (n = 154) from January 1991 to July 2011 at a single centre were included. Of them, 168 patients in whom the simplified MELD score could be calculated were retrospectively analysed. The relationship between in-hospital mortality and perioperative variables was assessed by univariate and multivariate analysis.

RESULTS

The rate of in-hospital mortality was 6.4%. The mean admission simplified MELD score for the patients who died was significantly higher than for those surviving beyond discharge (11.3 ± 4.1 vs 5.8 ± 4.0; P = 0.001). By multivariate analysis, independent risk factors for in-hospital mortality included higher simplified MELD score (P = 0.001) and tricuspid valve replacement (P = 0.023). In-hospital mortality and morbidity increased along with increasing simplified MELD score. Scores <0, 0-6.9, 7-13.9 and >14 were associated with mortalities of 0, 2.0, 8.3 and 66.7%, respectively. The incidence of serious complications (multiple organ failure, P = 0.005; prolonged ventilation, P = 0.01; need for haemodialysis; P = 0.002) was also significantly higher in patients with simplified MELD score ≥ 7.

CONCLUSIONS

The simplified MELD score predicts mortality in patients undergoing tricuspid valve surgery. This model requires only total bilirubin and creatinine and is therefore applicable in patients undergoing warfarin therapy.

Second infections independently increase mortality in hospitalized patients with cirrhosis: the North American consortium for the study of end-stage liver disease (NACSELD) experience

Bacterial infections are an important cause of mortality in cirrhosis, but there is a paucity of multicenter studies. The aim was to define factors predisposing to infection-related mortality in hospitalized patients with cirrhosis. A prospective, cohort study of patients with cirrhosis with infections was performed at eight North American tertiary-care hepatology centers. Data were collected on admission vitals, disease severity (model for endstage liver disease [MELD] and sequential organ failure [SOFA] scores), first infection site, type (community-acquired, healthcare-associated [HCA] or nosocomial), and second infection occurrence during hospitalization. The outcome was mortality within 30 days. A multivariate logistic regression model predicting mortality was created. 207 patients (55 years, 60% men, MELD 20) were included. Most first infections were HCA (71%), then nosocomial (15%) and community-acquired (14%). Urinary tract infections (52%), spontaneous bacterial peritonitis (SBP, 23%) and spontaneous bacteremia (21%) formed the majority of the first infections. Second infections were seen in 50 (24%) patients and were largely preventable: respiratory, including aspiration (28%), urinary, including catheter-related (26%), fungal (14%), and Clostridium difficile (12%) infections. Forty-nine patients (23.6%) who died within 30 days had higher admission MELD (25 versus 18, P < 0.0001), lower serum albumin (2.4 g/dL versus 2.8 g/dL, P = 0.002), and second infections (49% versus 16%, P < 0.0001) but equivalent SOFA scores (9.2 versus 9.9, P = 0.86). The case fatality rate was highest for C. difficile (40%), respiratory (37.5%), and spontaneous bacteremia (37%), and lowest for SBP (17%) and urinary infections (15%). The model for mortality included admission MELD (odds ratio [OR]: 1.12), heart rate (OR: 1.03) albumin (OR: 0.5), and second infection (OR: 4.42) as significant variables.

CONCLUSION

Potentially preventable second infections are predictors of mortality independent of liver disease severity in this multicenter cirrhosis cohort.

Outcomes of living and deceased donor liver transplant recipients with hepatocellular carcinoma: results of the A2ALL cohort

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) represents an increasing fraction of liver transplant indications; the role of living donor liver transplant (LDLT) remains unclear. In the Adult-to-Adult Living Donor Liver Transplantation Cohort Study, patients with HCC and an LDLT or deceased donor liver transplant (DDLT) for which at least one potential living donor had been evaluated were compared for recurrence and posttransplant mortality rates. Mortality from date of evaluation of each recipient's first potential living donor was also analyzed. Unadjusted 5-year HCC recurrence was significantly higher after LDLT (38%) than DDLT (11%), (p = 0.0004). After adjustment for tumor characteristics, HCC recurrence remained significantly different between LDLT and DDLT recipients (hazard ratio (HR) = 2.35; p = 0.04) for the overall cohort but not for recipients transplanted following the introduction of MELD prioritization. Five-year posttransplant survival was similar in LDLT and DDLT recipients from time of transplant (HR = 1.32; p = 0.27) and from date of LDLT evaluation (HR = 0.73; p = 0.36). We conclude that the higher recurrence observed after LDLT is likely due to differences in tumor characteristics, pretransplant HCC management and waiting time.

Increase in mortality rate of liver transplant candidates residing in specific geographic areas: analysis of UNOS data

We sought to evaluate survival of liver transplant candidates living in geographic areas with limited access to specialized transplant centers (TxC). We analyzed survival outcome among candidates listed for liver transplant in United Network of Organ Sharing (UNOS) Region 4 from 2004 to 2010. Candidates were stratified into three groups according to the distance from the patient's residence to the closest hospital with a liver transplant program: Group 1 (Gr 1) <30 miles (m), Group 2 (Gr 2) 30-60 m and Group 3 (Gr 3) >60 m. Of the 5673 patients included in the study, 49% resided >30 m from a TxC. Eight percent of the cohort experienced death or dropped out of the list due to medical condition deterioration, with worse outcomes for Gr 2 and Gr 3 (8.5% and 9.9%, respectively, vs. 6.5% for Gr 1 [p < 0.001]). Among patients with a MELD score <20, mortality was higher in Gr 2 and Gr 3 compared to Gr 1 (p < 0.001). We conclude that for Region 4, the mortality risk in patients living >30 m from a TxC is higher. We suggest that the variable "distance from a TxC" should be used to improve the estimate of the mortality risk for patients on the waiting list.

Hyponatremia in cirrhosis and end-stage liver disease: treatment with the vasopressin V₂-receptor antagonist tolvaptan

Hyponatremia is common in patients with cirrhosis and portal hypertension, and is characterized by excessive renal retention of water relative to sodium due to reduced solute-free water clearance. The primary cause is increased release of arginine vasopressin. Hyponatremia is associated with increased mortality in cirrhotic patients, those with end-stage liver disease (ESLD) on transplant waiting lists, and, in some studies, posttransplantation patients. Clinical evidence suggests that adding serum sodium to model for ESLD (MELD) scoring identifies patients in greatest need of liver transplantation by improving waiting list mortality prediction. Hyponatremia is also associated with numerous complications in liver disease patients, including severe ascites, hepatic encephalopathy, infectious complications, renal impairment, increased severity of liver disease in cirrhosis, and increased hospital stay and neurologic/infectious complications posttransplant. Vasopressin receptor antagonists, which act to increase free water excretion (aquaresis) and thereby increase serum sodium concentration, have been evaluated in patients with hypervolemic hyponatremia (including cirrhosis and heart failure) and euvolemic hyponatremia (SIADH). Tolvaptan, a selective vasopressin V(2)-receptor antagonist, is the only oral agent in this class approved for raising sodium levels in hypervolemic and euvolemic hyponatremia. The SALT trials showed that tolvaptan treatment rapidly and effectively resolved hyponatremia in these settings, including cirrhosis, and it has been shown that this agent can be safely and effectively used in long-term treatment. Fluid restriction should be avoided during the first 24 h of treatment to prevent overly rapid correction of hyponatremia, and tolvaptan should not be used in patients who cannot sense/respond to thirst, anuric patients, hypovolemic patients, and/or those requiring urgent intervention to raise serum sodium acutely.

Waitlist survival of patients with primary sclerosing cholangitis in the model for end-stage liver disease era

The ability of the Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) score to capture the urgency of transplantation may not be generalizable to patients with primary sclerosing cholangitis (PSC) because these patients face unique risks of death or removal from the liver transplant waitlist due to disease-specific complications (eg, repeated bouts of bacterial cholangitis and cholangiocarcinoma). We constructed Cox regression models to determine whether disease-based differences exist in waitlist mortality before liver transplantation. We compared the times to death or withdrawal from the waitlist due to clinical deterioration among patients with or without PSC in the United States after the implementation of the MELD allocation score. Over an 8-year period, 14,073 non-PSC patients (20.5%) and 432 PSC patients (13.6%) died or were removed (P < 0.0001). The adjusted hazard ratio (HR) for PSC was 0.72 [95% confidence interval (CI) = 0.66-0.79], which indicated that these patients had a lower time-dependent risk of death or removal from the waitlist in comparison with patients without PSC. This difference was explained in part by the groups' different probabilities of portal hypertension complications at listing because adjustments for these intermediate endpoints moved the HR closer to the null (0.84, 95% CI = 0.74-0.97). In comparison with patients with other forms of end-stage liver disease, patients with PSC are less likely to die or be removed from the waitlist because of clinical deterioration; therefore, the prevailing practice in some centers and regions of preemptively referring PSC patients for living donor transplantation or exception points should be reconsidered.

MELD Exceptions and Rates of Waiting List Outcomes

Model for End-stage Liver Disease (MELD)-based allocation of deceased donor livers allows exceptions for patients whose score may not reflect their true mortality risk. We hypothesized that organ procurement organizations (OPOs) may differ in exception practices, use of exceptions may be increasing over time, and exception patients may be advantaged relative to other patients. We analyzed longitudinal MELD score, exception and outcome in 88 981 adult liver candidates as reported to the United Network for Organ Sharing from 2002 to 2010. Proportion of patients receiving an HCC exception was 0-21.4% at the OPO-level and 11.9-18.8% at the region level; proportion receiving an exception for other conditions was 0.0%-13.1% (OPO-level) and 3.7-9.5 (region-level). Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) exceptions rose over time (10.5% in 2002 vs. 15.5% in 2008, HR = 1.09 per year, p<0.001) as did other exceptions (7.0% in 2002 vs. 13.5% in 2008, HR = 1.11, p<0.001). In the most recent era of HCC point assignment (since April 2005), both HCC and other exceptions were associated with decreased risk of waitlist mortality compared to nonexception patients with equivalent listing priority (multinomial logistic regression odds ratio [OR] = 0.47 for HCC, OR = 0.43 for other, p<0.001) and increased odds of transplant (OR = 1.65 for HCC, OR = 1.33 for other, p<0.001). Policy advantages patients with MELD exceptions; differing rates of exceptions by OPO may create, or reflect, geographic inequity.

In-hospital mortality among a cohort of cirrhotic patients admitted to a tertiary hospital

BACKGROUND/AIM

To determine the mortality rate in a cohort of hospitalized patients with cirrhosis and examine their resuscitation status at admission.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A retrospective chart review was conducted of patients with cirrhosis who were admitted to a tertiary care hospital in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, from January 1, 2009, to December 31, 2009.

RESULTS

We reviewed 226 cirrhotic patients during the study period. The hospital mortality rate was 35%. A univariate analysis revealed that worse outcomes were seen in patients with advanced age or who had worse child-turcotte-pugh (CPT) scores, worse model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) scores, low albumin and high serum creatinine. Using a multivariate analysis, we found that advanced age (P=0.004) and high MELD (P=0.001) scores were independent risk factors for the mortality of cirrhotic patients. The end-of-life decision were made in 34% of cirrhotic patients, and the majority of deceased patients were "no resuscitation" status (90% vs. 4%, P<0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

The relatively high mortality in cirrhotic patients admitted for care in a tertiary hospital, Saudi Arabia was comparable to that reported in the literature. Furthermore, end-of-life discussions should be addressed early in the hospitalization of cirrhotic patients.

Portal vein thrombosis and liver transplant survival benefit

Portal vein thrombosis (PVT) complicates the liver transplant operation and potentially affects waiting list survival. The implications on calculations of survival benefit, which balance both waiting list and posttransplant survival effects of PVT, have not been determined. The objective of this study is to describe the effect of PVT on the survival benefit of liver transplantation. Using Scientific Registry of Transplant Recipients data on adult liver transplant candidates wait-listed between September 2001 and December 2007, Cox proportional hazard models were fitted to estimate the covariate-adjusted effect of PVT on transplant rate, waiting list survival, and posttransplant survival. We then used sequential stratification to estimate liver transplant survival benefit by cross-classifications defined by Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) score and PVT status. The prevalence of reported PVT among 22,291 liver transplant recipients was 4.02% (N = 897). PVT was not a predictor of waiting list mortality (hazard ratio = 0.90, P = 0.23) but was a predictor of posttransplant mortality (hazard ratio = 1.32, P = 0.02). Overall, transplant benefit was not significantly different for patients with PVT versus without PVT (P = 0.21), but there was a shift in the benefit curve. Specifically, the threshold for transplant benefit among patients without PVT was MELD score >11 compared to MELD score >13 for patients with PVT. PVT is associated with significantly higher posttransplant mortality but does not affect waiting list mortality. Among patients with low MELD score, PVT is associated with less transplant survival benefit. Clinicians should carefully consider the risks of liver transplantation in clinically stable patients who have PVT.

Hepatic resection for large hepatocellular carcinoma in the era of UCSF criteria

BACKGROUND

Treating patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) remains a challenge, especially when the disease presents at an advanced stage. The aim of this retrospective study was to determine the efficacy of liver resection in patients who fulfil or exceed University of California San Francisco (UCSF) criteria by assessing longterm outcome.

METHODS

Between 2002 and 2008, 59 patients with large HCC (>5 cm) underwent hepatectomy. Thirty-two of these patients fulfilled UCSF criteria for transplantation (group A) and 27 did not (group B). Disease-free survival and overall survival rates were compared between the two groups after resection and were critically evaluated with regard to patient eligibility for transplant.

RESULTS

In all patients major or extended hepatectomies were performed. There was no perioperative mortality. Morbidity consisted of biliary fistula, abscess, pleural effusion and pneumonia and was significantly higher in patient group B. Disease-free survival rates at 1, 3 and 5 years were 66%, 37% and 34% in group A and 56%, 29% and 26% in group B, respectively (P < 0.01). Survival rates at 1, 3 and 5 years were 73%, 39% and 35% in group A and 64%, 35% and 29% in group B, respectively (P= 0.04). The recurrence rate was higher in group B (P= 0.002).

CONCLUSIONS

Surgical resection, if feasible, is suggested in patients with large HCC and can be performed with acceptable overall and disease-free survival and morbidity rates. In patients eligible for transplantation, resection may also have a place in the management strategy when waiting list time is prolonged for reasons of organ shortage or when the candidate has low priority as a result of a low MELD (model for end-stage liver disease) score.

Child-Pugh versus MELD score in predicting survival in patients undergoing transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt

BACKGROUND

In patients undergoing transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS), prognostic scores may identify those with a poor prognosis or even those with a clear survival benefit. The Child-Pugh score (CPS) is well established but several drawbacks have led to development of the model of end stage liver disease (MELD).

AIM

The aim of the study was to compare the predictive power of CPS and MELD, to validate the original MELD formula, and to assess the predictive value of the determinants used in the two prognostic scores outside of a study setting.

PATIENTS

A total of 501 patients underwent elective TIPS placement and 475 patients fulfilled the inclusion criteria.

METHODS

Data of all patients undergoing elective TIPS in one university hospital and four community hospitals in Vienna, Austria, between 1991 and 2001, were analysed retrospectively. The main statistical tests were Cox proportional hazards regression model, the log rank test, Kaplan-Meier analysis, and concordance c statistics.

RESULTS

Median follow up was 5.2 years and median survival was 4.6 years. During follow up, 230 patients died, 75 within three months after TIPS placement. In stepwise proportional hazards analyses, independent predictors of death were creatinine level, bilirubin level, age, and refractory ascites. MELD was better in predicting survival in a stepwise Cox model but both scores were equally predictive in c statistics for one month, three month, and one year survival. Renal function was the strongest independent predictor of survival.

CONCLUSIONS

Although MELD was the primary predictor of overall survival in multivariate analysis, c statistics showed that both scores can be used for patients undergoing TIPS with equal accuracy. For assessing prognosis in patients undergoing TIPS implantation, there seems little reason to replace the well established Child-Pugh score.