Short- and Long-Term Mortality of Hospitalized Patients With Autoimmune Rheumatic Diseases and Serious Infections: A National Cohort Study

OBJECTIVE

Infectious conditions are a significant cause of mortality in autoimmune rheumatic diseases (ARD). Among patients hospitalized with an infection, we compared in-hospital and long-term (3-year) mortality between those with and without ARD.

METHODS

This retrospective analysis included members of the largest health maintenance organization in Israel, aged > 18 years at the first episode of infection, who required hospitalization during 2003-2019. We compared in-hospital mortality and the results of a 3-year landmark analysis of those who survived the index hospitalization between patients with ARD, according to disease subgroups, and patients without ARD. Additionally, we compared mortality outcomes among patients with ARD, according to subgroup diagnosis, matched in a 1:3 ratio by age, sex, and ethnicity to patients without ARD.

RESULTS

Included were 365,247 patients who were admitted for the first time with the diagnosis of a serious infection. Of these, we identified 9755 with rheumatoid arthritis (RA), 1351 with systemic lupus erythematosus, 2120 with spondyloarthritis (SpA), 584 with systemic sclerosis, and 3214 with vasculitis. In a matched multivariate analysis, the risk for in-hospital mortality was lower among patients with RA (odds ratio [OR] 0.89, 95% CI 0.81-0.97) and SpA (OR 0.77, 95% CI 0.63-0.94). In a similar analysis, the risk of 3-year mortality was lower among patients with RA (hazard ratio [HR] 0.82, 95% CI 0.78-0.86) and vasculitis (HR 0.86, 95% CI 0.80-0.93).

CONCLUSION

Among patients hospitalized for an infection, the risk of in-hospital and 3-year mortality was not increased among those with ARD compared to those without ARD.

Effect of procalcitonin on the severity and prognostic value of elderly patients with a severe infection of oral and maxillofacial space

This study aimed to investigate the effect on the severity and prognostic value of serum procalcitonin for elderly patients with oral and maxillofacial infections. We divided 163 elderly patients with severe oral and maxillofacial infection into survival and death groups according to the prognosis between June 2015 and May 2021, measured serum procalcitonin by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay on the 1st, 2nd, 3rd, 5th, and 7th day after admission for the dynamic changes of serum procalcitonin level, collected the general physiological and biochemical indexes for the scores of acute physiology and general chronic condition, compared the correlation between serum procalcitonin, mean platelet count and APACHE score, analyzed the prognostic value of serum procalcitonin levels at different time after admission by ROC curve. The serum procalcitonin level increased significantly in both groups after admission, sharply increased at first and then rapidly decreased in the survival group, and continued to rise or declined slowly with fluctuation of high level in the death group. There was a negative correlation between serum procalcitonin level and mean platelet count (r = -0.698, P < .05) and a positive correlation between serum procalcitonin and APACHE II (R = 0.803, P < .05). The ROC curve showed that the serum procalcitonin level had little value on the first day and great value on the third day in predicting the prognosis of elderly patients with severe oral and maxillofacial infection (PCT1d = 0.539, PCT3d = 0.875, P < .05). The serum procalcitonin level is correlated with the severity of the disease in elderly patients with severe oral and maxillofacial space infection. Dynamic observation of it is helpful for the prognosis judgment of patients. After admission, serum procalcitonin level on the third day has a great value for the prognosis judgment of elderly patients with severe oral and maxillofacial space infection.

Admission Lymphopenia Predicts Infectious Complications and Mortality in Traumatic Brain Injury Victims

BACKGROUND

Traumatic brain injury (TBI) is a major cause of mortality and disability associated with increased risk of secondary infections. Identifying a readily available biomarker may help direct TBI patient care. Herein, we evaluated whether admission lymphopenia could predict outcomes of TBI patients.

METHODS

This is a 10-year retrospective review of TBI patients with a head Abbreviated Injury Score 2 to 6 and absolute lymphocyte counts (ALC) collected within 24 h of admission. Exclusion criteria were death within 24 h of admission and presence of bowel perforation on admission. Demographics, admission data, injury severity score, mechanism of injury, and outcomes were collected. Association between baseline variables and outcomes was analyzed.

RESULTS

We included 2,570 patients; 946 (36.8%) presented an ALC ≤1,000 on admission (lymphopenic group). Lymphopenic patients were significantly older, less likely to smoke, and more likely to have heart failure, hypertension, or chronic kidney disease. Lymphopenia was associated with increased risks of mortality (OR = 1.903 [1.389-2.608]; P < 0.001) and pneumonia (OR = 1.510 [1.081-2.111]; P = 0.016), increased LOS (OR = 1.337 [1.217-1.469]; P < 0.001), and likelihood of requiring additional healthcare resources at discharge (OR = 1.669 [1.344-2.073], P < 0.001). Additionally, lymphopenia increased the risk of early in-hospital death (OR = 1.459 [1.097-1.941]; P = 0.009). Subgroup analysis showed that lymphopenia was associated with mortality in polytrauma patients and those who presented with two or more concurrent types of TBI. In all subgroup analyses, lymphopenia was associated with longer length of stay and discharge requiring higher level of care.

CONCLUSION

A routine complete blood count with differential for all TBI patients may help predict patient outcomes and direct care accordingly.

Indirect effects of the covid-19 pandemic on childhood infection in England: population based observational study

OBJECTIVE

To assess the impact of the covid-19 pandemic on hospital admission rates and mortality outcomes for childhood respiratory infections, severe invasive infections, and vaccine preventable disease in England.

DESIGN

Population based observational study of 19 common childhood respiratory, severe invasive, and vaccine preventable infections, comparing hospital admission rates and mortality outcomes before and after the onset of the pandemic in England.

SETTING

Hospital admission data from every NHS hospital in England from 1 March 2017 to 30 June 2021 with record linkage to national mortality data.

POPULATION

Children aged 0-14 years admitted to an NHS hospital with a selected childhood infection from 1 March 2017 to 30 June 2021.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

For each infection, numbers of hospital admissions every month from 1 March 2017 to 30 June 2021, percentage changes in the number of hospital admissions before and after 1 March 2020, and adjusted odds ratios to compare 60 day case fatality outcomes before and after 1 March 2020.

RESULTS

After 1 March 2020, substantial and sustained reductions in hospital admissions were found for all but one of the 19 infective conditions studied. Among the respiratory infections, the greatest percentage reductions were for influenza (mean annual number admitted between 1 March 2017 and 29 February 2020 was 5379 and number of children admitted from 1 March 2020 to 28 February 2021 was 304, 94% reduction, 95% confidence interval 89% to 97%), and bronchiolitis (from 51 655 to 9423, 82% reduction, 95% confidence interval 79% to 84%). Among the severe invasive infections, the greatest reduction was for meningitis (50% reduction, 47% to 52%). For the vaccine preventable infections, reductions ranged from 53% (32% to 68%) for mumps to 90% (80% to 95%) for measles. Reductions were seen across all demographic subgroups and in children with underlying comorbidities. Corresponding decreases were also found for the absolute numbers of 60 day case fatalities, although the proportion of children admitted for pneumonia who died within 60 days increased (age-sex adjusted odds ratio 1.71, 95% confidence interval 1.43 to 2.05). More recent data indicate that some respiratory infections increased to higher levels than usual after May 2021.

CONCLUSIONS

During the covid-19 pandemic, a range of behavioural changes (adoption of non-pharmacological interventions) and societal strategies (school closures, lockdowns, and restricted travel) were used to reduce transmission of SARS-CoV-2, which also reduced admissions for common and severe childhood infections. Continued monitoring of these infections is required as social restrictions evolve.

Diabetes and the risk of hospitalisation for infection: the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS

The aim of this work was to assess the association between diabetes and risk for infection-related hospitalisation and mortality.

METHODS

We conducted a prospective cohort analysis of the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study. Diabetes was defined as a fasting glucose ≥7 mmol/l or non-fasting glucose ≥11.1 mmol/l, self-report of a diagnosis of diabetes by a physician, or current diabetes medication use. Hospitalisation for infection was ascertained from hospital discharge records. Participants were followed from 1987-1989 to 2019.

RESULTS

We included 12,379 participants (mean age 54.5 years; 24.7% Black race; 54.3% female sex). During a median follow-up of 23.8 years, there were 4229 new hospitalisations for infection. After adjusting for potential confounders, people with (vs without) diabetes at baseline had a higher risk for hospitalisation for infection (HR 1.67 [95% CI 1.52, 1.83]). Results were generally consistent across infection type but the association was especially pronounced for foot infection (HR 5.99 [95% CI 4.38, 8.19]). Diabetes was more strongly associated with hospitalisation for infection in younger participants and Black people. Overall infection mortality was low (362 deaths due to infection) but the adjusted risk was increased for people with diabetes (HR 1.72 [95% CI 1.28, 2.31]).

CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION

Diabetes confers significant risk for infection-related hospitalisation. Enhancing prevention and early treatment of infection in those with diabetes is needed to reduce infection-related morbidity and mortality.

Infections and demanding endocrine care contribute to increased mortality in patients with APECED

OBJECTIVE

Autoimmune polyendocrinopathy-candidiasis-ectodermal dystrophy (APECED) has variable clinical course. Overall mortality is increased but reasons for this remain largely unknown. Our objective was to assess the causes of death and factors contributing to increased mortality.

DESIGN

A follow-up study of the Finnish APECED cohort in 1970-2019.

METHODS

In 33 deceased patients with APECED, causes of death and clinical course preceding the death were analyzed using national registry data, death certificates, autopsy reports, and patient records.

RESULTS

Most common causes leading to death were infections (24%), oral and esophageal malignancies (15%; median age at death 36.7 years; median survival 1.5 years), and diseases of the circulatory system (18%). Adrenal crisis was an independent cause of death in two patients. In addition, in four patients, the adrenal crisis was a complicating factor during a fatal infection. Other APECED manifestations leading to death were hypoparathyroidism, diabetes, and hepatitis. Other causes of death included accidents (12%), alcohol-related causes, and amyotrophic lateral sclerosis. Challenges in overall, and especially in the endocrine, care contributed to deaths related to carcinomas and adrenal crisis. Age at death and year of death correlated (r = 0.345, P = 0.045), suggesting improved longevity.

CONCLUSIONS

Infections, malignancies, and diseases of the circulatory system are the most common primary causes of death in patients with APECED. Adrenal crisis is an independent cause of death but more often a contributing factor in fatal infections. Despite the high overall mortality and the demanding care, our results suggest improved patient survival in recent years.

The association between deaths from infection and mutations of the BRAF, FBXW7, NRAS and XPO1 genes: a report from the LRF CLL4 trial

Causes of death, in particular deaths due to infection, have not been widely studied in randomised trials in chronic lymphocytic leukaemia. With long-term follow-up (median 13 years) we examined the cause of death in 600/777 patients in the LRF CLL4 trial. Blood samples, taken at randomisation from 499 patients, were available for identifying gene mutations. Infection was a cause of death in 258 patients (43%). Patients dying of infection were more likely than those who died of other causes to have received ≥2 lines of treatment (194/258 [75%] versus 231/342 [68%], P = 0.04) and to have died in the winter months (149/258 [58%] versus 166/342 [49%], P = 0.03), respectively. In patients with mutation data, the factors significantly associated with death from infection versus all other deaths were 11q deletion (47/162 [29%] versus 40/209 [19%], P = 0.03) and mutations of the BRAF, FBXW7, NRAS and XPO1 genes. Death was caused by an infection in 46/67 assessable patients (69%) who had a mutation of one or more of these four genes versus only 129/333 patients (39%) without any of these mutations (odds ratio: 3.46 [95% CI 1.98-6.07] P < 0.0001). Careful management of infection risk, including prophylaxis against infection, may be important in patients who carry these mutations.

Safety Profile of Ceftazidime-Avibactam: Pooled Data from the Adult Phase II and Phase III Clinical Trial Programme

INTRODUCTION

Ceftazidime-avibactam combines the established anti-pseudomonal cephalosporin, ceftazidime, with the novel non-β-lactam β-lactamase inhibitor, avibactam.

OBJECTIVES

The aim of this study was to evaluate the safety of ceftazidime-avibactam in adults using pooled data from two phase II (NCT00690378, NCT00752219) and five phase III (NCT01499290, NCT01726023, NCT01644643, NCT01808093 and NCT01595438/NCT01599806) clinical studies.

METHODS

Safety data from seven multicentre, randomised, active-comparator studies were pooled by study group at the patient level for descriptive analyses, comprising patients with complicated urinary tract infection (cUTI), including pyelonephritis, complicated intra-abdominal infection (cIAI), or nosocomial pneumonia (NP), including ventilator-associated pneumonia (VAP), treated with ceftazidime-avibactam ± metronidazole or comparator.

RESULTS

In total, 4050 patients (ceftazidime-avibactam ± metronidazole, n = 2024; comparator, n = 2026) were included in the pooled analysis. Adverse events (AEs) up to the last study visit occurred in 996 (49.2%) and 965 (47.6%) patients treated with ceftazidime-avibactam ± metronidazole and comparator, respectively. The most common AEs across treatment groups were diarrhoea, nausea, headache, vomiting and pyrexia. There were few discontinuations due to AEs (2.5% and 1.7% for ceftazidime-avibactam ± metronidazole and comparators, respectively). Overall rates of serious AEs were 8.7% for ceftazidime-avibactam ± metronidazole and 7.2% for comparators; respective rates of AEs with an outcome of death were 2.0% and 1.8%. AEs considered causally related to the study drug or procedures occurred in 10.7% and 9.6% of patients treated with ceftazidime-avibactam ± metronidazole and comparators; the most common drug-related AEs in both groups were diarrhoea, headache, nausea and increased alanine aminotransferase. No impact to the safety profile of ceftazidime-avibactam ± metronidazole was found with regard to intrinsic factors, such as age or renal function at baseline, or extrinsic factors, such as geographical origin. Potentially clinically significant changes in laboratory parameters were infrequent with no trends or safety concerns identified.

CONCLUSION

The observed safety profile of ceftazidime-avibactam across infection types is consistent with the established safety profile of ceftazidime monotherapy and no new safety findings were identified. This analysis supports the use of ceftazidime-avibactam as a treatment option in adults with cUTI, cIAI and NP, including VAP.

History of anemia and long-term mortality due to infection: a cohort study with 12 years follow-up in South Korea

BACKGROUND

Anemia, which is a condition with reduced healthy red blood cells, is reported to be closely related to the development of infectious diseases. We aimed to investigate the association between history of anemia and 12-year mortality rate due to infections, and compare it with that among non-anemic individuals.

METHODS

Data from the National Health Insurance Service Health Screening Cohort were used in this population-based cohort study. Adults who underwent standardized medical examination between and 2002-2003 were included, and the mortality rate due to infection between 2004 and 2015 was analyzed. Individuals were considered to have a history of anemia if the serum hemoglobin level in 2002-2003 was < 12 g/dL for women and < 13 g/dL for men. The severity of anemia at that time was categorized as mild (12 g/dL > hemoglobin ≥11 g/dL in women and 13 g/dL > hemoglobin ≥11 g/dL in men), moderate (hemoglobin 8-10.9 g/dL), or severe (hemoglobin < 8 g/dL). Propensity score (PS) matching and Cox regression analysis were used as statistical methods.

RESULTS

Overall, 512,905 individuals were included in this study. The mean age of the participants was 54.5 years old (range: 40-98), and 49,042 (9.6%) individuals were classified in the anemic group, which comprised of 36,383 (7.1%), 11,787 (2.3%), and 872 (0.2%) participants in the mild, moderate, and severe sub-groups, respectively. After PS matching, 49,039 individuals in each group were included in the analysis. The risk of mortality due to infection in the anemic group was 1.77-fold higher (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.77, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.52-2.60; P < 0.001) than that in the non-anemic group. In the subgroup analysis, the mild and moderate anemia groups had 1.38-fold (HR: 1.38, 95% CI: 1.23 to 1.55; P < 0.001) and 2.02-fold (HR: 2.02, 95% CI: 1.62 to 2.50; P < 0.001) risk of mortality due to infection compared to that of the non-anemic group, respectively. The severe anemia group did not have a significantly different risk of mortality due to infection (P = 0.448).

CONCLUSIONS

History of anemia was associated with increased mortality rate due to infection at 12-year follow-up.

Long-term mortality due to infection associated with elevated liver enzymes: a population-based cohort study

We aimed to investigate whether elevated liver enzymes in the adult population were associated with mortality due to infection. As a population-based cohort study, data from the National Health Insurance Service Health Screening Cohort were used. Adult individuals (aged ≥ 40 years) who underwent standardized medical examination between 2002 and 2003 were included, and infectious mortality was defined as mortality due to infection between 2004 and 2015. Aspartate transaminase (AST), alanine aminotransferase (ALT), γ-glutamyl transpeptidase (γ-GTP), AST/ALT ratio, and dynamic AST/ALT ratio (dAAR) were included in multivariable Cox modeling. A total of 512,746 individuals were included in this study. Infectious mortality occurred in 2444 individuals (0.5%). In the multivariable model, moderate and severe elevation in AST was associated with 1.94-fold [hazard ratio (HR):1.94, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.71-2.19; P < 0.001] and 3.93-fold (HR: 3.93, 95% CI 3.05-5.07; P < 0.001) higher infectious mortality respectively, compared with the normal AST group. Similar results were observed for moderate and severe elevation in ALT and mild, moderate, and severe elevation in γ-GTP. Additionally, a 1-point increase in the AST/ALT ratio and dAAR was associated with higher infection mortality. Elevated liver enzymes (AST, ALT, AST/ALT ratio, γ-GTP, and dAAR) were associated with increased infectious mortality.

Impact of anti-thymocyte globulin dose for graft-versus-host disease prophylaxis in allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplantation from matched unrelated donors: a multicenter experience

Despite the widespread use of rabbit anti-thymocyte globulin (ATG) to prevent acute and chronic graft-versus-host disease (aGVHD, cGVHD) after allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplantation (allo-HCT), convincing evidence about an optimal dose is lacking. We retrospectively evaluated the clinical impact of two different ATG doses (5 vs 6-7.5 mg/kg) in 395 adult patients undergoing HSCT from matched unrelated donors (MUD) at 3 Italian centers. Cumulative incidence of aGVHD and moderate-severe cGVHD did not differ in the 2 groups. We observed a trend toward prolonged overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS) with lower ATG dose (5-year OS and DFS 56.6% vs. 46.3%, p=0.052, and 46.8% vs. 38.6%, p=0.051, respectively) and no differences in relapse incidence and non-relapse mortality. However, a significantly increased infection-related mortality (IRM) was observed in patients who received a higher ATG dose (16.7% vs. 8.8% in the lower ATG group, p=0.019). Besides, graft and relapse-free survival (GRFS) was superior in the lower ATG group (5-year GRFS 43.1% vs. 32.4%, p=0.014). The negative impact of higher ATG dose on IRM and GRFS was confirmed by multivariate analysis. Our results suggest that ATG doses higher than 5 mg/kg are not required for MUD allo-HCT and seem associated with worse outcomes.

Encapsulating Peritoneal Sclerosis and Mortality Related to Infection in Patients on Combination Once-Weekly Hemodialysis with Peritoneal Dialysis

INTRODUCTION

Previous studies showed that the combination of peritoneal dialysis (PD) and once-weekly hemodialysis is associated with lower all-cause and cardiovascular mortality. This study aimed to compare the incidence of encapsulating peritoneal sclerosis (EPS) and infection-related mortality among those on combination therapy and those on PD alone.

METHODS

This prospective study on the Japanese Renal Data Registry included patients on PD from 2010 to 2014. Subjects were followed up until the end of 2015. Exposure of interest was combination therapy compared with PD alone. Patients who transitioned to combination therapy were matched with those on PD alone by propensity scores. Outcomes were EPS and infection-related mortality. Data were analyzed using Cox regression models.

RESULTS

Among the matched cohort, 608 and 869 patients were on combination therapy and on PD alone, respectively. Dialysate-to-plasma creatinine (D/P Cr) ratio decreased over time among those on combination therapy, while the ratio increased among those on PD alone (p = 0.01 by the mixed-effects model). During a median follow-up of 2.5 years, 33 experienced EPS and 55 died of infection. Combination therapy was associated with lower infection-related mortality (HR [95% CI]: 0.52 [0.28-0.95]) but not with EPS (HR: 1.21 [0.61-2.40]). Lower mortality was not limited to intra-abdominal infection but also observed for pulmonary infection. Sensitivity analyses considering the effects of dialysis facilities yielded similar results.

CONCLUSIONS

Combination therapy was associated with lower infection-related mortality. It was also associated with a decline in the D/P Cr ratio over time but not with lower incidence of EPS during the short observation period.

Acute and Life-threatening Complications in Cushing Syndrome: Prevalence, Predictors, and Mortality

CONTEXT

Cushing syndrome (CS) results in significant morbidity and mortality.

OBJECTIVE

To study acute and life-threatening complications in patients with active CS.

METHODS

We performed a retrospective cohort study using inpatient and outpatient records of patients with CS in a tertiary center. A total of 242 patients with CS were included, including 213 with benign CS (pituitary n = 101, adrenal n = 99, ectopic n = 13), and 29 with malignant disease. We collected acute complications necessitating hospitalization, from appearance of first symptoms of hypercortisolism until 1 year after biochemical remission. Mortality data were obtained from the national registry. Baseline factors relating to and predicting acute complications were tested using uni- and multivariate analysis.

RESULTS

The prevalence of acute complications was 62% in patients with benign pituitary CS, 40% in patients with benign adrenal CS, and 100% in patients with ectopic CS. Complications observed in patients with benign CS included infections (25%), thromboembolic events (17%), hypokalemia (13%), hypertensive crises (9%), cardiac arrhythmias (5%), and acute coronary events (3%). Among these patients, 23% had already been hospitalized for acute complications before CS was suspected, and half of complications occurred after the first surgery. Glycated hemoglobin (HbA1c) and 24-hour urinary free cortisol positively correlated with the number of acute complications per patient. Patients with malignant disease had significantly higher rates of acute complications. Mortality during the observation period was 2.8% and 59% in benign and malignant CS, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

This analysis highlights the whole spectrum of acute and life-threatening complications in CS, and their high prevalence even before disease diagnosis and after successful surgery.

Evolution of pathogen-specific improved survivorship post-infection in populations of Drosophila melanogaster adapted to larval crowding

The environment experienced by individuals during their juvenile stages has an impact on their adult stages. In holometabolous insects like Drosophila melanogaster, most of the resource acquisition for adult stages happens during the larval stages. Larval-crowding is a stressful environment, which exposes the larvae to scarcity of food and accumulation of toxic waste. Since adult traits are contingent upon larval stages, in larval-crowding like conditions, adult traits are prone to get affected. While the effect of resource limited, poor-developmental environment on adult immune response has been widely studied, the effect of adaptation to resource-limited developmental environment has not been studied, therefore in this study we assayed the evolution of ability to survive infection in adult stages as a correlated response to adaptation to larval crowding environments. Using four populations of Drosophila melanogaster adapted to larval crowding for 240 generations and their respective control populations, we show that populations adapted to larval crowding show an improved and evolved post-infection survivorship against a gram-negative bacteria Pseudomonas entomophila. Whereas, against a gram-positive bacteria Enterococcus faecalis, no difference in post-infection survivorship was observed across control and selected populations. In this study, we report the co-related evolution of pathogen-specific increased survivorship post-infection in populations of Drosophila melanogaster as a result of adaptation to larval crowding environment.

Predictors of Survival in Chronic Hemodialysis Patients: A 10-Year Longitudinal Follow-Up Analysis

BACKGROUND

Risk factors of mortality in chronic hemodialysis patients have not yet been sufficiently evaluated. In particular, chronological transits and interactions of the impact of risk factors have rarely been described.

METHODS

This study is a post hoc analysis of the participants in the Olme-sartan Clinical Trial in Okinawan Patients under OKIDS (OCTOPUS) study conducted between June 2006 and June 2011. We additionally followed up on the prognosis of the participants until July 31, 2018. Standardized univariable and multivariable Cox regression analyses were used to evaluate the influences of the participants' baseline characteristics on all-cause mortality. We also evaluated chronological changes in the impacts of risk factors, interactions among predictors, and the influence of missing values using sensitivity analyses.

RESULTS

Of the 469 original trial participants, 461 participants were evaluated. The median time of follow-up was 10.2 years. A total of 211 (45.8%) participants were deceased. The leading causes of death were infection (n = 72, 34.1%) and cardiovascular disease (n = 66, 31.3%). Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses revealed that the impact of diabetes mellitus, history of coronary intervention, and hypoalbuminemia were significant risk factors for mortality during the whole follow-up period. During the early follow-up period (≤3 years), standardized univariate Cox regression analyses revealed that history of amputation (hazard ratio [HR] = 4.61, p < 0.001), lower dry weight, higher cardiothoracic ratio, and lower potassium levels were statistically significant risks. In those who survived for longer than 3 years, a history of stroke (HR = 1.73, p = 0.006), higher systolic blood pressure, lower serum sodium levels, and higher levels of hemoglobin, and serum phosphate were significant risks. We also observed a stable interaction between the impacts of serum phosphate and albumin on all-cause mortality.

CONCLUSION

In chronic hemodialysis patients, targets to improve the short-term prognosis and long-term prognosis are not equivalent. Hyperphosphatemia was a significant risk factor for the all-cause mortality among patients with normal serum albumin levels but not among patients with compromised albumin levels.

Factors associated with neonatal mortality in a tertiary hospital in Phnom Penh, Cambodia

This study aimed to identify hospital neonatal mortality rate (NMR) and the causes of neonatal deaths, and to understand risk factors associated with neonatal mortality in a national tertiary hospital in Cambodia. The study included all newborn infants, aged 0-28 days old, hospitalized in the Pediatrics department of Khmer-Soviet Friendship Hospital between January 2016 and December 2017. In total, 925 infants were included in the study. The mean gestational age was 35.9 weeks (range, 24-42 weeks). Preterm infants and low birth weight accounted for 47.5% and 56.7%, respectively. With respect to payment methods, the government (53.5%) and non-governmental organizations (NGO) (13.7%) paid the fees as the families were not in a financial position to do so. The hospital NMR at the Pediatrics department was 9.3%. Respiratory distress syndrome (37.2%) was the main cause of deaths followed by hypoxic-ischemic encephalopathy (31.4%) and neonatal infection (21.0%). Factors associated with neonatal mortality were Apgar score at 5th minute <7 (adjusted odds ratio (AOR) = 3.57), payment by the government or NGO (AOR = 11.32), admission due to respiratory distress (AOR = 11.94), and hypothermia on admission (AOR = 9.41). The hospital NMR in the Pediatrics department was 9.3% (95% confidence interval 7.50-11.35) at Khmer-Soviet Friendship Hospital; prematurity and respiratory distress syndrome were the major causes of neonatal mortality. Introducing continuous positive airway pressure machine for respiratory distress syndrome and creating neonatal resuscitation guidelines and preventing hypothermia in delivery rooms are required to reduce the high NMR.

Cause of death in spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage survivors: Multistate longitudinal study

OBJECTIVE

To determine the leading causes of death in intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) survivors, we used administrative data from 3 large US states to identify adult survivors of a first-time spontaneous ICH and track all hospital readmissions resulting in death.

METHODS

We performed a longitudinal analysis of prospectively collected claims data from hospitalizations in California (2005-2011), New York (2005-2014), and Florida (2005-2014). Adult residents admitted with a nontraumatic ICH who survived to discharge were included. Patients were followed for a primary outcome of any readmission resulting in death. The cause of death was defined as the primary diagnosis assigned at discharge. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards and multinomial logistic regression were used to determine factors associated with the risk for and cause of death.

RESULTS

Of 72,432 ICH survivors (mean age 68 years [SD 16], 48% female), 12,753 (18%) died during a median follow-up period of 4.0 years (interquartile range 2.3-6.3). The leading causes of death were infection (34%), recurrent intracranial hemorrhage (14%), cardiac disease (8%), respiratory failure (8%), and ischemic stroke (5%). Death in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) was more likely to be caused by ischemic stroke (odds ratio [OR] 2.4, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.9-2.9, p < 0.001) and less likely to be caused by recurrent intracranial hemorrhage (OR 0.7, 95% CI 0.6-0.8, p < 0.001) compared to patients without AF.

CONCLUSIONS

Infection is the leading cause of death in all ICH survivors. Survivors with AF were at increased risk for death from ischemic stroke. These findings will help prioritize interventions aimed to improve long-term survival and recovery in ICH survivors.

Uremic pruritus and long-term morbidities in the dialysis population

Background

Uremic pruritus (UP) is a multifactorial problem that contributes to low quality of life in dialysis patients. The long-term influences of UP on dialysis patients are still poorly understood. This study aims to elucidate the contribution of UP to long-term outcomes.

Materials and method

We used the Taiwan National Health Insurance Research Database to conduct this study. Patients on chronic dialysis were included and divided into UP and non-UP groups according to the long-term prescription of antihistamine in the absence of other indications. The outcomes include infection-related hospitalization, catheter-related infection, major adverse cardiac and cerebrovascular events (MACCE) and parathyroidectomy.

Results

After propensity score matching, 14,760 patients with UP and 29,520 patients without UP were eligible for analysis. After a mean follow-up of 5 years, we found that infection-related hospitalization, MACCE, catheter-related infection, heart failure and parathyroidectomy were all slightly higher in the UP than non-UP group (hazard ratio: 1.18 [1.16–1.21], 1.05 [1.01–1.09], 1.16 [1.12–1.21], 1.08 [1.01–1.16] and 1.10 [1.01–1.20], respectively). Subgroup analysis revealed that the increased risk of adverse events by UP was generally more apparent in younger patients and patients who underwent peritoneal dialysis.

Conclusion

UP may be significantly associated with an increased risk of long-term morbidities.

Development of a predictive model for hospital mortality and re-admission in a cohort of infected patients that require hospitalization

Introducción

Los objetivos del estudio fueron: identificar variables asociadas a mortalidad intrahospitalaria y reingreso hospitalario a 3 meses; identificar el impacto de la demora en el inicio de la antibioticoterapia en la mortalidad y reportar la tasa de antibioticoterapia inapropiada.

Material y métodos

Estudio observacional de cohortes retrospectivo realizado en el Hospital Universitario HM Sanchinarro en Madrid. Los criterios de inclusión fueron: edad> 18 años de edad, hospitalización desde urgencias durante el periodo 1 de septiembre 2012 al 31 de marzo del 2013 con diagnóstico de infección bacteriana. Los criterios de exclusión fueron: sospecha de infección viral y cultivos bacteriológicos negativos, expectativa de vida inferior a 6 meses, falta de información clínica, asistencia exclusivamente por el servicio de urgencias traumatológicas. Se realizaron dos modelos logísticos (mortalidad y reingreso hospitalarios).

Resultados

Se incluyeron 517 pacientes. Variables asociadas a mortalidad (30 fallecidos): frecuencia respiratoria (OR 1,12; IC95% 1,02; 1,22), saturación de oxígeno (OR 0,92; IC95% 0,87; 0,98), creatinina (OR 2,33; IC95% 1,62; 3,36), EPOC (OR 3,02; IC95% 1,06; 8,21), cáncer OR 3,34; IC95% 1,07; 9,98) y quimioterapia en los últimos 3 meses (OR 4,83; IC95% 1,54; 16,41). Variables asociadas a reingreso hospitalario (28 fallecidos): hepatopatía, GPT, antecedente de ictus e hipertensión arterial. Ambos modelos se destacan por su elevada especificidad y capacidad discriminativa pero baja sensibilidad. La demora en el inicio de la antibioticoterapia no influyo en la mortalidad ni reingreso. En 56 pacientes se identificó el microorganismo causal y el tratamiento antibiótico fue inapropiado en 11.

Conclusiones

Se registro un 5,8% de mortalidad hospitalaria y un 5,7% de reingresos. Las variables asociadas a la mortalidad intrahospitalaria difieren de las asociadas al reingreso. La demora en el inicio de la antibioticoterapia no se asoció a un efecto deletéreo. La antibioticoterapia inadecuada fue de casi el 20%.

De-escalation of empiric broad spectrum antibiotics in hematopoietic stem cell transplant recipients with febrile neutropenia

Febrile neutropenia (FN) is a common serious complication in patients undergoing hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (HSCT) requiring urgent evaluation and initiation of empiric broad spectrum antibiotics (BSA). The appropriate duration of BSA for FN in patients with negative cultures and no identifiable infection remains undefined. We retrospectively analyzed allogenic and autologous HSCT patients with FN and negative infectious work-up at our facility from 2012 to 2018. The early de-escalation group (EDG) included those who had BSA de-escalation to fluoroquinolone prophylaxis at least 24 h prior to absolute neutrophil count (ANC) recovery after the patient was fever-free for at least 48 h. Among 297 patients undergoing their first HSCT who experienced FN with negative infectious work-up, 83 patients were de-escalated early with the remaining 214 in the standard of care group (SCG) whose BSA were continued until ANC was > 500. Duration of broad-spectrum antibiotics was shorter in EDG compared to SCG (3.86 days vs. 4.62 days, p = 0.03). Rates of mortality, new infections, and clinical decompensation requiring intensive care unit transfer and/or pressor use within 30 days were all similar between the two groups (0% vs. 0.4% p = 1.00, 0% vs. 1.4% p = 0.56, 13.2% vs. 8.4% p = 0.27). This indicates that it is safe to de-escalate antibiotics prior to ANC recovery, leading to less BSA exposure.

Comparison of Early Warning Scoring Systems for Hospitalized Patients With and Without Infection at Risk for In-Hospital Mortality and Transfer to the Intensive Care Unit

IMPORTANCE

Risk scores used in early warning systems exist for general inpatients and patients with suspected infection outside the intensive care unit (ICU), but their relative performance is incompletely characterized.

OBJECTIVE

To compare the performance of tools used to determine points-based risk scores among all hospitalized patients, including those with and without suspected infection, for identifying those at risk for death and/or ICU transfer.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

In a cohort design, a retrospective analysis of prospectively collected data was conducted in 21 California and 7 Illinois hospitals between 2006 and 2018 among adult inpatients outside the ICU using points-based scores from 5 commonly used tools: National Early Warning Score (NEWS), Modified Early Warning Score (MEWS), Between the Flags (BTF), Quick Sequential Sepsis-Related Organ Failure Assessment (qSOFA), and Systemic Inflammatory Response Syndrome (SIRS). Data analysis was conducted from February 2019 to January 2020.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES

Risk model discrimination was assessed in each state for predicting in-hospital mortality and the combined outcome of ICU transfer or mortality with area under the receiver operating characteristic curves (AUCs). Stratified analyses were also conducted based on suspected infection.

RESULTS

The study included 773 477 hospitalized patients in California (mean [SD] age, 65.1 [17.6] years; 416 605 women [53.9%]) and 713 786 hospitalized patients in Illinois (mean [SD] age, 61.3 [19.9] years; 384 830 women [53.9%]). The NEWS exhibited the highest discrimination for mortality (AUC, 0.87; 95% CI, 0.87-0.87 in California vs AUC, 0.86; 95% CI, 0.85-0.86 in Illinois), followed by the MEWS (AUC, 0.83; 95% CI, 0.83-0.84 in California vs AUC, 0.84; 95% CI, 0.84-0.85 in Illinois), qSOFA (AUC, 0.78; 95% CI, 0.78-0.79 in California vs AUC, 0.78; 95% CI, 0.77-0.78 in Illinois), SIRS (AUC, 0.76; 95% CI, 0.76-0.76 in California vs AUC, 0.76; 95% CI, 0.75-0.76 in Illinois), and BTF (AUC, 0.73; 95% CI, 0.73-0.73 in California vs AUC, 0.74; 95% CI, 0.73-0.74 in Illinois). At specific decision thresholds, the NEWS outperformed the SIRS and qSOFA at all 28 hospitals either by reducing the percentage of at-risk patients who need to be screened by 5% to 20% or increasing the percentage of adverse outcomes identified by 3% to 25%.

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE

In all hospitalized patients evaluated in this study, including those meeting criteria for suspected infection, the NEWS appeared to display the highest discrimination. Our results suggest that, among commonly used points-based scoring systems, determining the NEWS for inpatient risk stratification could identify patients with and without infection at high risk of mortality.

Iron metabolism imbalance at the time of listing increases overall and infectious mortality after liver transplantation

BACKGROUND

Liver transplantation (LT) is the best treatment for patients with liver cancer or end stage cirrhosis, but it is still associated with a significant mortality. Therefore identifying factors associated with mortality could help improve patient management. The impact of iron metabolism, which could be a relevant therapeutic target, yield discrepant results in this setting. Previous studies suggest that increased serum ferritin is associated with higher mortality. Surprisingly iron deficiency which is a well described risk factor in critically ill patients has not been considered.

AIM

To assess the impact of pre-transplant iron metabolism parameters on post-transplant survival.

METHODS

From 2001 to 2011, 553 patients who underwent LT with iron metabolism parameters available at LT evaluation were included. Data were prospectively recorded at the time of evaluation and at the time of LT regarding donor and recipient. Serum ferritin (SF) and transferrin saturation (TS) were studied as continuous and categorical variable. Cox regression analysis was used to determine mortality risks factors. Follow-up data were obtained from the local and national database regarding causes of death.

RESULTS

At the end of a 95-mo median follow-up, 196 patients were dead, 38 of them because of infections. In multivariate analysis, overall mortality was significantly associated with TS > 75% [HR: 1.73 (1.14; 2.63)], SF < 100 µg/L [HR: 1.62 (1.12; 2.35)], hepatocellular carcinoma [HR: 1.58 (1.15; 2.26)], estimated glomerular filtration rate (CKD EPI Cystatin C) [HR: 0.99 (0.98; 0.99)], and packed red blood cell transfusion [HR: 1.05 (1.03; 1.08)]. Kaplan Meier curves show that patients with low SF (< 100 µg/L) or high SF (> 400 µg/L) have lower survival rates at 36 mo than patients with normal SF (P = 0.008 and P = 0.016 respectively). Patients with TS higher than 75% had higher mortality at 12 mo (91.4% ± 1.4% vs 84.6% ± 3.1%, P = 0.039). TS > 75% was significantly associated with infection related death [HR: 3.06 (1.13; 8.23)].

CONCLUSION

Our results show that iron metabolism imbalance (either deficiency or overload) is associated with post-transplant overall and infectious mortality. Impact of iron supplementation or depletion should be assessed in prospective study.

Incidence and etiology of chronic pulmonary infections in patients with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis

BACKGROUND

The incidence and etiologies of chronic pulmonary infection (CPI) in patients with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) have been poorly investigated.

METHODS

We conducted a retrospective study of 659 patients with IPF to assess the incidence, etiologies, and risk factors of CPI development. CPI was defined if the etiology of infection was diagnosed one or more months after the onset of symptoms or upon the appearance of new shadows on pulmonary radiological images.

RESULTS

At IPF diagnosis, 36 (5.5%) patients had CPI, and 46 (7.0%) patients without CPI at IPF diagnosis developed CPI over a median follow-up period of 6.1 years. The incidence density of CPI development was 18.90 cases per 1000 person-years. Detected organisms from these 46 patients were Mycobacterium avium complex in 20 patients, other nontuberculous mycobacteria in 4, M. tuberculosis in 7, Aspergillus spp. in 22, and Nocardia sp. in one. In a multivariate Cox regression hazard model, PaO2 <70 Torr and KL-6 ≥2000 U/mL were associated with CPI development.

CONCLUSIONS

Nontuberculous mycobacteria, M. tuberculosis, and Aspergillus and Nocardia spp. were the four most frequent etiologies of CPI in patients with IPF. During follow-up of IPF, clinicians should pay attention to the development of CPI, especially in patients with PaO2 <70 Torr or KL-6 ≥2000 U/mL.

Performance of the MEDS score in predicting mortality among emergency department patients with a suspected infection: a meta-analysis

OBJECTIVES

To carry out a meta-analysis to examine the prognostic performance of the Mortality in Emergency Department Sepsis (MEDS) score in predicting mortality among emergency department patients with a suspected infection.

METHODS

Electronic databases-PubMed, Embase, Scopus, EBSCO and the Cochrane Library-were searched for eligible articles from their respective inception through February 2019. Sensitivity, specificity, likelihood ratios and receiver operator characteristic area under the curve were calculated. Subgroup analyses were performed to explore the prognostic performance of MEDS in selected populations.

RESULTS

We identified 24 studies involving 21 246 participants. The pooled sensitivity of MEDS to predict mortality was 79% (95% CI 72% to 84%); specificity was 74% (95% CI 68% to 80%); positive likelihood ratio 3.07 (95% CI 2.47 to 3.82); negative likelihood ratio 0.29 (95% CI 0.22 to 0.37) and area under the curve 0.83 (95% CI 0.80 to 0.86). Significant heterogeneity was seen among included studies. Meta-regression analyses showed that the time at which the MEDS score was measured and the cut-off value used were important sources of heterogeneity.

CONCLUSION

The MEDS score has moderate accuracy in predicting mortality among emergency department patients with a suspected infection. A study comparison MEDS and qSOFA in the same population is needed.

Infection at diagnosis-a unique challenge in acute myeloid leukemia treatment in developing world

PURPOSE

A large number of AML patients present with infection at the time of initial presentation in Indian settings. There is lack of published data on the proportion of patients with infection at initial presentation and its impact on induction mortality.

METHODS

A retrospective audit of patients with newly diagnosed AML more than 14 years of age, who underwent standard induction chemotherapy between the periods of January 2011 to December 2018, was done. Infection at presentation if any was documented. Induction mortality was defined as death happening within 28 days of starting induction chemotherapy.

RESULTS

Among a total of 315 cases of AML, 96 (30%) patients underwent induction chemotherapy with 7 + 3 regimen. Documented infection at baseline was present in 30 (31%) of patients. Another 10 patients had fever at the time of presentation but without any documented infection focus. Fifteen patients died within 4 weeks of induction amounting to induction mortality of 15.6%. Induction mortality was 28% among patients with infection at baseline compared with 7% without baseline infections (P = 0.01).

CONCLUSION

Around 40% of patients had fever at the time of presentation, and 31% had documented infections. Baseline infections led to increase in induction mortality. We would like to propose that infection at baseline is to be considered as one of the potential variables in the predictive scoring system for induction mortality in developing countries.

Prognostic Performance of SOFA, qSOFA, and SIRS in Kidney Transplant Recipients Suffering from Infection: A Retrospective Observational Study

INTRODUCTION

The prognostic performance of scoring systems for illness severity in infectious kidney transplant recipients (KTRs) is rarely reported. We investigated the ability of the scores for the quick Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (qSOFA), Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) and Systemic Inflammatory Response Syndrome (SIRS) to predict in-hospital mortality, intensive care unit (ICU) admission and mechanical ventilation (MV) requirement.

METHODS

This was a second analysis of a retrospective observational study. Scores for SIRS, SOFA and qSOFA were calculated upon hospitalization (infection onset was before hospitalization) or on the day of infection onset (infection episodes were during hospitalization). The primary outcome was in-hospital mortality. The secondary outcomes were ICU admission and MV requirement. Binary logistic regression and area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) were employed to assess prognostic performance.

RESULTS

A total of 161 infectious episodes occurred in 97 KTRs. Forty patients (41%) experienced more than one episode. The SOFA score was available in 161 infections, and scores for qSOFA and SIRS were available in 160 infections. The SIRS score was not different between KTRs with opposite outcomes. The qSOFA score was higher in infections necessitating MV. The SOFA score was significantly higher in the deceased, those needing ICU admission, MV, and for those with positive etiology results. The SOFA score was the only independent predictor of in-hospital mortality, ICU admission, and MV requirement, and the AUCs were 0.879, 0.815, and 0.784, respectively. The optimum cutoff value of predicting the three outcomes was SOFA score ≥ 3.

CONCLUSIONS

The SOFA score (but not those for SIRS and qSOFA) independently predicted in-hospital mortality, ICU admission, and MV requirement in infectious KTRs.

Intravenous immunoglobulin for suspected or proven infection in neonates

BACKGROUND

Neonates are at higher risk of infection due to immuno-incompetence. Maternal transport of immunoglobulins to the fetus mainly occurs after 32 weeks' gestation, and endogenous synthesis begins several months after birth. Administration of intravenous immunoglobulin (IVIG) provides immunoglobulin G (IgG) that can bind to cell surface receptors, provide opsonic activity, activate complement, promote antibody-dependent cytotoxicity and improve neutrophilic chemo-luminescence. Theoretically, infectious morbidity and mortality could be reduced by the administration of IVIG.

OBJECTIVES

To assess the effects of IVIG on mortality and morbidity caused by suspected or proven infection at study entry in neonates. To assess in a subgroup analysis the effects of IgM-enriched IVIG on mortality from suspected infection.

SEARCH METHODS

For this update, MEDLINE, EMBASE, The Cochrane Library, CINAHL, trial registries, Web of Science, reference lists of identified studies, meta-analyses and personal files were searched in 2013. No language restrictions were applied.

SELECTION CRITERIA

Randomised or quasi-randomised controlled trials involving newborn infants (< 28 days old); IVIG for treatment of suspected or proven bacterial or fungal infection compared with placebo or no intervention; and where one of the following outcomes was reported, mortality, length of hospital stay or psychomotor development at follow-up.

DATA COLLECTION AND ANALYSIS

Statistical analyses included typical risk ratio (RR), risk difference (RD), weighted mean difference (WMD), number needed to treat for an additional beneficial outcome (NNTB) or an additional harmful outcome (NNTH), all with 95% confidence intervals (CIs), and the I² statistic to examine for statistical heterogeneity.

MAIN RESULTS

The updated search identified one published study that was previously ongoing. A total of 9 studies evaluating 3973 infants were included in this review. Mortality during hospital stay in infants with clinically suspected infection was not significantly different after IVIG treatment (9 studies (n = 2527); typical RR 0.95, 95% CI 0.80 to 1.13; typical RD -0.01, 95% CI - 0.04 to 0.02; I² = 23% for RR and 29% for RD). Death or major disability at 2 years corrected age was not significantly different in infants with suspected infection after IVIG treatment (1 study (n = 1985); RR 0.98, 95% CI 0.88 to 1.09; RD -0.01, 95% CI -0.05 to 0.03). Mortality during hospital stay was not significantly different after IVIG treatment in infants with proven infection at trial entry (1 trial (n = 1446); RR 0.95, 95% CI 0.74 to 1.21; RD -0.01, 95% CI -0.04 to 0.03). Death or major disability at 2 years corrected age was not significantly different after IVIG treatment in infants with proven infection at trial entry (1 trial (n = 1393); RR 1.03, 95% CI 0.91 to 1.18; RD 0.01, 95% CI -0.04 to 0.06). Mortality during hospital stay in infants with clinically suspected or proven infection at trial entry was not significantly different after IVIG treatment (1 study (n = 3493); RR 1.00, 95% CI 0.86 to 1.16; RD 0.00, 95% CI - 0.02 to 0.03). Death or major disability at 2 years corrected age was not significantly different after IVIG treatment in infants with suspected or proven infection at trial entry (1 study (n = 3493); RR 1.00, 95% CI 0.92 to 1.09; RD -0.00, 95% CI -0.03 to 0.03). Length of hospital stay was not reduced for infants with suspected or proven infection at trial entry (1 study (n = 3493); mean difference (MD) 0.00 days, 95% CI -0.61 to 0.61). No significant difference in mortality during hospital stay after administration of IgM-enriched IVIG for suspected infection at trial entry was reported in 4 studies (n = 266) (typical RR 0.68, 95% CI 0.39 to 1.20; RD -0.06, 95% CI -0.14 to 0.02; I² = 17% for RR and 53% for RD).

AUTHORS' CONCLUSIONS

The undisputable results of the INIS trial, which enrolled 3493 infants, and our meta-analyses (n = 3973) showed no reduction in mortality during hospital stay, or death or major disability at two years of age in infants with suspected or proven infection. Although based on a small sample size (n = 266), this update provides additional evidence that IgM-enriched IVIG does not significantly reduce mortality during hospital stay in infants with suspected infection. Routine administration of IVIG or IgM-enriched IVIG to prevent mortality in infants with suspected or proven neonatal infection is not recommended. No further research is recommended.

Opportunities for antibiotic optimisation and outcome improvement in patients with negative blood cultures: study protocol for a cluster-randomised crossover trial, the NO-BACT study

INTRODUCTION

Patients with negative blood cultures (BCx) represent 85%-90% of all patients with BCx taken during hospital admission. This population usually includes a heterogeneous group of patients admitted with infectious diseases or febrile syndromes that require a blood culture. There is very little evidence of the clinical characteristics and antibiotic treatment given to these patients.

METHODS AND ANALYSIS

In a preliminary exploratory prospective cohort study of patients with BCx taken, the clinical/therapeutic characteristics and outcomes/antimicrobial stewardship opportunities of a population of patients with negative BCx will be analysed. In the second phase, using a cluster randomised crossover design, the implementation of an antimicrobial stewardship intervention targeting patients with negative BCx will be evaluated in terms of quality of antimicrobial use (duration and de-escalation), length of hospital stay and mortality.

ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION

This study has been and registered with clinicaltrials.gov. The findings of our study may support the implementation in clinical practice of an antimicrobial stewardship intervention to optimise the use of antibiotics in patients with negative BCx. The results of this study will be published in peer-reviewed journals and disseminated at national and international conferences.

TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER

NCT03535324.

Cause-specific late mortality after allogeneic stem cell transplantation

Conditional on surviving the first 2 to 5 years after allogeneic blood or marrow transplantation (BMT), the 10-year overall survival approaches 80%. Nonetheless, the risk of late mortality remains higher than the age- and sex-matched general population for several years after BMT. The higher mortality rates in transplant recipients translate into shorter projected life expectancies compared with the general population. Risk of relapse-related mortality reaches a plateau within 10 years after BMT. With increasing time from BMT, nonrelapse-related mortality becomes the leading cause of death, and continues to increase with time after BMT. The major causes of nonrelapse mortality include infection (with or without chronic graft-versus-host disease), subsequent neoplasms, and cardiopulmonary compromise. In this review, findings from large cohorts are summarized, identifying opportunities for risk-based anticipatory intervention strategies to reduce mortality.

High mortality within 90 days of diagnosis in patients with Cushing's syndrome: results from the ERCUSYN registry

OBJECTIVE

Patients with Cushing's syndrome (CS) have increased mortality. The aim of this study was to evaluate the causes and time of death in a large cohort of patients with CS and to establish factors associated with increased mortality.

METHODS

In this cohort study, we analyzed 1564 patients included in the European Registry on CS (ERCUSYN); 1045 (67%) had pituitary-dependent CS, 385 (25%) adrenal-dependent CS, 89 (5%) had an ectopic source and 45 (3%) other causes. The median (IQR) overall follow-up time in ERCUSYN was 2.7 (1.2-5.5) years.

RESULTS

Forty-nine patients had died at the time of the analysis; 23 (47%) with pituitary-dependent CS, 6 (12%) with adrenal-dependent CS, 18 (37%) with ectopic CS and two (4%) with CS due to other causes. Of 42 patients whose cause of death was known, 15 (36%) died due to progression of the underlying disease, 13 (31%) due to infections, 7 (17%) due to cardiovascular or cerebrovascular disease and 2 due to pulmonary embolism. The commonest cause of death in patients with pituitary-dependent CS and adrenal-dependent CS were infectious diseases (n = 8) and progression of the underlying tumor (n = 10) in patients with ectopic CS. Patients who had died were older and more often males, and had more frequently muscle weakness, diabetes mellitus and ectopic CS, compared to survivors. Of 49 deceased patients, 22 (45%) died within 90 days from start of treatment and 5 (10%) before any treatment was given. The commonest cause of deaths in these 27 patients were infections (n = 10; 37%). In a regression analysis, age, ectopic CS and active disease were independently associated with overall death before and within 90 days from the start of treatment.

CONCLUSION

Mortality rate was highest in patients with ectopic CS. Infectious diseases were the commonest cause of death soon after diagnosis, emphasizing the need for careful clinical vigilance at that time, especially in patients presenting with concomitant diabetes mellitus.

The Association Between Decompensated Liver Cirrhosis and Deep Neck Infection: Real-World Evidence

BACKGROUND

Deep neck infection (DNI) can progress to become a life-threatening complication. Liver cirrhosis, which is related to poor immune conditions, is a likely risk factor for DNI. This study investigated the risk and mortality of DNI in patients with decompensated liver cirrhosis (DLC).

METHODS

We performed a nationwide cohort study using the National Health Insurance Research Database (NHIRD) in Taiwan. We included a total of 33,175 patients with DLC between 2000 and 2013, from the Catastrophic Illness Patient Database, a subsection of the NHIRD, along with 33,175 patients without cirrhosis who were matched in a 1:1 proportion for age, sex, and socioeconomic status. The occurrence of DNI was the primary study outcome. The risk, treatment, and mortalities of DNI were evaluated in the study and comparison cohorts.

RESULTS

DLC Patients had a significantly higher incidence of DNI than noncirrhotic patients (p < 0.001). The adjusted Cox proportional hazard regression showed that DLC was associated with a significantly higher risk of DNI (adjusted hazard ratio, 4.11; 95% confidence interval, 3.16-5.35, p < 0.001). The mortality rate in cirrhotic patients with DNI was not significantly higher than that in noncirrhotic patients with DNI (11.6% vs. 9.8%; p = 0.651).

CONCLUSIONS

This study is the first to investigate the correlation between DLC and DNI. The study findings strongly indicate that DLC is an independent risk factor for DNI. Cirrhotic patients with DNI do not have a significantly poorer survival rate than noncirrhotic patients with DNI. Therefore, physicians should be alert to potential DNI occurrence in DLC patients. Besides this, intensive care and appropriate surgical drainage can yield similar survival outcomes in DLC-DNI and noncirrhosis-DNI patients.

Emergency department visits during outpatient parenteral antimicrobial therapy: a retrospective cohort study

Objectives

Patients receiving outpatient parenteral antimicrobial therapy (OPAT) may require emergency department (ED) visits to manage complications. This study's purpose was to identify risk factors for ED visits during OPAT and risk factors for hospitalization among patients with ED visits.

Methods

All OPAT courses initiated between 1 January 2013 and 1 January 2017 at Cleveland Clinic were identified. The first OPAT course per patient was included. For these, ED visits within 30 days were identified. Reasons and risk factors for these visits were sought, as were risk factors for hospitalization among patients visiting the ED.

Results

Among 8263 patients on OPAT, 381 (4.6%) had at least one ED visit, an additional 1133 (14%) were hospitalized and an additional 50 (0.6%) died, within 30 days. One hundred and ninety-three ED visits (51%) were OPAT related. In a multivariable subdistribution proportional hazards competing risks regression model, prior ED visit (preceding year) was most strongly associated with ED visits (HR 2.29, 95% CI 1.76-2.98, P = 8.1 × 10-10). Eighty-five visits (22%) led to hospitalization. Compared with non-OPAT-related reasons, visits for vascular access complications were associated with lower odds of hospitalization (OR 0.36, 95% CI 0.14-0.83, P = 0.022) and visits for worsening infection with higher odds (OR 18.95, 95% CI 5.50-79.85, P = 1.2 × 10-7).

Conclusions

Compared with patients without, patients with prior ED visit have a 2.3-fold higher hazard of an ED visit within 30 days of OPAT initiation. Visits for worsening infection are much more likely to result in hospitalization than those for vascular access complications.

Monthly variance in UK renal transplantation activity: a national retrospective cohort study

OBJECTIVE

To identify whether renal transplant activity varies in a reproducible manner across the year.

DESIGN

Retrospective cohort study using NHS Blood and Transplant data.

SETTING

All renal transplant centres in the UK.

PARTICIPANTS

A total of 24 270 patients who underwent renal transplantation between 2005 and 2014.

PRIMARY OUTCOME

Monthly transplant activity was analysed to see if transplant activity showed variation during the year.

SECONDARY OUTCOME

The number of organs rejected due to healthcare capacity was analysed to see if this affected transplantation rates.

RESULTS

Analysis of national transplant data revealed a reproducible yearly variance in transplant activity. This activity increased in late autumn and early winter (p=0.05) and could be attributed to increased rates of living (October and November) and deceased organ donation (November and December). An increase in deceased donation was attributed to a rise in donors following cerebrovascular accidents and hypoxic brain injury. Other causes of death (infections and road traffic accidents) were more seasonal in nature peaking in the winter or summer, respectively. Only 1.4% of transplants to intended recipients were redirected due to a lack of healthcare capacity, suggesting that capacity pressures in the National Health Service did not significantly affect transplant activity.

CONCLUSION

UK renal transplant activity peaks in late autumn/winter in contrast to other countries. Currently, healthcare capacity, though under strain, does not affect transplant activity; however, this may change if transplantation activity increases in line with national strategies as the spike in transplant activity coincides with peak activity in the national healthcare system.

Outcomes of paediatric liver transplant for biliary atresia

BACKGROUND

Despite the widespread use of Kasai Portoenterostomy (KPE) for biliary atresia, more than two thirds of these patients require liver transplant. Liver transplantation is not widely available in South Africa, and Wits Donald Gordon Medical Centre is one of two centres performing paediatric liver transplantation in the country, and the only centre performing living related donor transplants.

METHOD

A retrospective review was performed at the centre. Demographic data were collected, and tabulated. Survival analysis was performed using the Kaplan Meier method. Complication rates were categorised into biliary, vascular and enteric, and classified as early and late.

RESULTS

Sixty-seven first time liver transplants were performed for biliary atresia at WDGMC from 2005 to 2017. Sixty-nine percent were female patients and thirty-one percent were male patients. Forty-eight percent of patients under the age of 5 years had a z-score of -2 or worse for mid upper arm circumference (MUAC). One year overall survival of the cohort is 84.5%, and overall graft survival is 82.9%. Overall mortality was 22%, with infection being the most common cause of death.

CONCLUSION

Early referral of all patients with biliary atresia to a paediatric liver transplant centre is essential for early assessment of indications, and medical and nutritional optimisation of patients. Primary liver transplant should be considered for a select group of patients with unique clinical indications.

Remote sensing application to estimate fish kills by Saprolegniasis in a reservoir

Saprolegniasis is one of the most economical and ecologically harmful diseases in different species of fish. Low water temperature is one of the most important factors which increases stress and creates favourable conditions for the proliferation of Saprolegniasis. Therefore, the monitoring of water surface temperature (WST) is fundamental for a better understanding of Saprolegniasis. The objective of this study was to develop a predictive algorithm to estimate the probability of fish kills caused by Saprolegniasis in Río Tercero reservoir (Argentina). WST was estimated by Landsat 7 and 8 imagery using the Single-Channel method. Logistic regression was used to relate WST estimated from 2007 to 2017 with different episodes of fish kills by Saprolegniasis registered in the reservoir during this period of time. Results showed that the algorithm created with the first quartile (25th percentile) of the WST values estimated by Landsat sensors was the most suitable model to estimate Saprolegniasis in the studied reservoir.

Can we validate a clinical score to predict the risk of severe infection in patients with systemic lupus erythematosus? A longitudinal retrospective study in a British Cohort

OBJECTIVE

Severe infections are a major cause of morbidity and mortality in patients with systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE). Our primary objective was to use data from a large Spanish cohort to develop a risk score for severe infection in SLE, the SLE Severe Infection Score (SLESIS) and to validate SLESIS in a separate cohort of 699 British patients.

DESIGN AND SETTING

Retrospective longitudinal study in a specialist tertiary care clinic in London, UK.

PARTICIPANTS

Patients fulfilling international classification criteria for SLE (n=209). This included 98 patients who had suffered severe infections (defined as infection leading to hospitalisation and/or death) and 111 randomly selected patients who had never suffered severe infections.

OUTCOMES

We retrospectively calculated SLESIS at diagnosis for all 209 patients. For the infection cases we also calculated SLESIS just prior to infection and compared it to SLESIS in 98 controls matched for disease duration. We carried out receiver operator characteristic (ROC) analysis to quantify predictive value of SLESIS for severe infection.

RESULTS

Median SLESIS (IQR) at diagnosis was higher in the infection group than in the control group (4.27 (3.18) vs 2.55 (3.79), p=0.0008). Median SLESIS prior to infection was higher than at diagnosis (6.64 vs 4.27, p<0.001). In ROC analysis, predictive value of SLESIS just before the infection (area under the curve (AUC)=0.79) was higher than that of SLESIS at diagnosis (AUC=0.63).

CONCLUSIONS

We validated the association of SLESIS with severe infection in an independent cohort. Calculation of SLESIS at each clinic visit may help in management of infection risk in patients with SLE. Prospective studies are needed to confirm these findings.

[Mortality among hospitalized patients did not appear to increase during the summer]

A retrospective review of medical records (2017-2018) at Linköping University Hospital compared hospital mortality for the 2-month period of summer vacations (group A) with two months of regular activity (group B). The mortality was 163 patients in group A and 216 in group B. Emergency admittance dominated (95%) in both groups. Comorbidity was found in 81%, and at admittance the risk for death during the hospital stay was estimated to more than 50% in three out of four patients. There was no difference between the groups regarding demography, hospital stay, or diagnosis. Due to a 30% reduction of hospital beds during the summer some patients were relocated to other specialties. No relocated patient died in group A but six in group B. Eight deaths were judged as probably preventable, but none definitely preventable. The similarity between the groups regarding mortality does not allow estimations of differences in adverse events in general. Low mortality among relocated patients is probably due to identification of high-risk patients not suitable for relocation.

Risk of infection associated with intravenous iron preparations: protocol for updating a systematic review

INTRODUCTION

The benefits and risk of intravenous iron have been documented in previous systematic reviews and continue to be the subject of randomised controlled trials (RCTs). An ongoing issue that continues to be raised is the relationship between administering iron and developing infection. This is supported by biological plausibility from animal models. We propose an update of a previously published systematic review and meta-analysis with the primary focus being infection.

METHODS AND ANALYSIS

We will include RCTs and non-randomised studies (NRS) in this review update. We will search the relevant electronic databases. Two reviewers will independently extract data. Risk of bias for RCTs and NRS will be assessed using the relevant tools recommended by The Cochrane Collaboration. Data extracted from RCTs and NRS will be analysed and reported separately. Pooled data from RCTs will be analysed using a random effects model. We will also conduct subgroup analyses to identify any patient populations that may be at increased risk of developing infection. We will provide a narrative synthesis on the definitions, sources and responsible pathogens for infection in the included studies. Overall quality of evidence on the safety outcomes of mortality and infection will be assessed using the Grading of Recommendations, Assessment, Development and Evaluation approach.

ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION

This systematic review will only investigate published studies and therefore ethical approval is not required. The results will be broadly distributed through conference presentations and peer-reviewed publications.

TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER

PROSPERO (CRD42018096023).

Hepatitis C virus and mortality among patients on dialysis: A systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND AND RATIONALE

The role of hepatitis C virus (HCV) as an independent risk factor for death in dialysis population is unclear.

DESIGN

A systematic review of the published medical literature was performed to evaluate the impact of positive anti-HCV serologic status on all-cause and disease-specific mortality in patients on regular dialysis. The risk of all-cause, cardiovascular and liver disease-related mortality was regarded as the most reliable outcome end-point. Study-specific relative risks were weighted by the inverse of their variance to obtain fixed- and random-effects pooled estimates for mortality with HCV across the published studies.

RESULTS

Twenty-three observational studies (n = 574,081 patients on long-term dialysis) were identified. Pooling of study results demonstrated that HCV positive status was an independent and significant risk factor for death in patients on maintenance dialysis. The summary estimate for adjusted death risk (all-cause mortality) with HCV was 1.26 (95% CI: 1.18; 1.34) (P < 0.0001). Between-study heterogeneity was found (Q value 52.8, P = 0.001). The overall estimate for adjusted death risk (liver disease-related mortality) was 5.05 (95% CI: 2.53; 10.0) (P < 0.0001); heterogeneity statistics, Q value 8.2, P = 0.04. The overall estimate for adjusted death risk (cardiovascular mortality) was 1.18 (95% CI: 1.085; 1.29) (P < 0.0001) (no heterogeneity). Meta-regression showed that the effect of HCV on all-cause mortality was more evident in those studies provided with a greater size (P = 0.0001), a higher prevalence of diabetics (P = 0.0005) and HCV-infected individuals (P = 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

An association between HCV positive serologic status and increased risk of either liver or cardiovascular disease-related mortality exists among dialysis patients.

Restrictive compared with liberal red cell transfusion strategies in cardiac surgery: a meta-analysis

AIMS

To determine whether a restrictive strategy of red blood cell (RBC) transfusion at lower haemoglobin concentrations is inferior to a liberal strategy of RBC transfusion at higher haemoglobin concentrations in patients undergoing cardiac surgery.

METHODS AND RESULTS

We conducted a systematic review, meta-analysis, and trial sequential analysis of randomized controlled trials of the effect of restrictive and liberal RBC transfusion strategies on mortality within 30 days of surgery as the primary outcome. Secondary outcomes were those potentially resulting from anaemia-induced tissue hypoxia and transfusion outcomes. We searched the electronic databases MEDLINE, EMBASE, and the Cochrane Library until 17 November 2017. Thirteen trials were included. The risk ratio (RR) of mortality derived from 4545 patients assigned to a restrictive strategy when compared with 4547 transfused according to a liberal strategy was 0.96 [95% confidence interval (CI) 0.76-1.21, I2 = 0]. A restrictive strategy did not have a statistically significant effect on the risk of myocardial infarction (RR 1.01, 95% CI 0.81-1.26; I2=0), stroke (RR 0.93, 95% CI 0.68-1.27, I2 = 0), renal failure (RR 0.96, 95% CI 0.76-1.20, I2 = 0), or infection (RR 1.12, 95% CI 0.98-1.29, I2 = 0). Subgroup analysis of adult and paediatric trials did not show a significant interaction. At approximately 70% of the critical information size, the meta-analysis of mortality crossed the futility boundary for inferiority of the restrictive strategy.

CONCLUSION

The current evidence does not support the notion that restrictive RBC transfusion strategies are inferior to liberal RBC strategies in patients undergoing cardiac surgery.

Renal Transplantation and Survival Among Patients With Lupus Nephritis: A Cohort Study

Background

Patients with end-stage renal disease (ESRD) due to lupus nephritis (LN) have high rates of premature death.

Objective

To assess the potential effect on survival of renal transplant among patients with ESRD due to LN (LN-ESRD) in the United States.

Design

Nationwide cohort study.

Setting

United States Renal Data System, the national database of nearly all patients with ESRD.

Participants

Patients with incident LN-ESRD who were waitlisted for a renal transplant.

Measurements

First renal transplant was analyzed as a time-varying exposure. The primary outcomes were all-cause and cause-specific mortality. Time-dependent Cox regression analysis was used to estimate the hazard ratio (HR) of these outcomes associated with renal transplant in the primary analysis. Sequential cohort matching was used in a secondary analysis limited to patients with Medicare, which allowed assessment of time-varying covariates.

Results

During the study period, 9659 patients with LN-ESRD were waitlisted for a renal transplant, of whom 5738 (59%) had a transplant. Most were female (82%) and nonwhite (60%). Transplant was associated with reduced all-cause mortality (adjusted HR, 0.30 [95% CI, 0.27 to 0.33]) among waitlisted patients. Adjusted HRs for cause-specific mortality were 0.26 (CI, 0.23 to 0.30) for cardiovascular disease, 0.30 (CI, 0.19 to 0.48) for coronary heart disease, 0.41 (CI, 0.32 to 0.52) for infection, and 0.41 (CI, 0.31 to 0.53) for sepsis.

Limitation

Unmeasured factors may contribute to the observed associations; however, the E-value analysis suggested robustness of the results.

Conclusion

Renal transplant was associated with a survival benefit, primarily due to reduced deaths from cardiovascular disease and infection. The findings highlight the benefit of timely referral for transplant to improve outcomes in this population.

Primary Funding Source

National Institutes of Health.

Neonatal Mortality in Hospitalized Chinese Population: A Meta-Analysis

OBJECTIVE

In this meta-analysis, we aim to investigate the neonatal mortality in hospitalized Chinese population in the recent 20 years in China, which may provide basis for decreasing the neonatal mortality.

METHODS

The merged mortality was estimated based on the random effect model, and subgroup analysis was performed for the gender, publication year, gestational age, and birth weight. Sensitivity analysis was utilized to evaluate the effects of research type and research quality on the effects.

RESULTS

The neonatal mortality in eastern China was lower than that of the central and western China (2.3% versus 2.9; 2.3% versus 26.%). The mortality in neonates with a gestational age of 28-32 weeks (0.6%) was significantly higher than that of <28 weeks (0.1%), 32-37 weeks (0.3%), 37-42 weeks (0.4%), and >42 weeks (0.1%). The mortality in those with a body weight of 1.0-2.5 kg (0.3%) was significantly higher than that of 2.5-4.0 kg (0.2%) and >4.0 kg (0.0%). Sensitivity analysis revealed that the findings of meta-analysis were stable. The major causes for neonatal death included asphyxia, respiratory distress syndrome, and infection.

CONCLUSIONS

The hospitalized neonatal mortality showed a tendency of decrease, which differed based on gender, region, gestational age, and birth weight.

Mathematical modeling of energy consumption in the acute inflammatory response

When a pathogen invades the body, an acute inflammatory response is activated to eliminate the intruder. In some patients, runaway activation of the immune system may lead to collateral tissue damage and, in the extreme, organ failure and death. Experimental studies have found an association between severe infections and depletion in levels of adenosine triphosphate (ATP), increase in nitric oxide production, and accumulation of lactate, suggesting that tissue energetics is compromised. In this work we present a differential equations model that incorporates the dynamics of ATP, nitric oxide, and lactate accompanying an acute inflammatory response and employ this model to explore their roles in shaping this response. The bifurcation diagram of the model system with respect to the pathogen growth rate reveals three equilibrium states characterizing the health, aseptic and septic conditions. We explore the domains of attraction of these states to inform the instantiation of heterogeneous virtual patient populations utilized in a survival analysis. We then apply the model to study alterations in the inflammatory response and survival outcomes in metabolically altered conditions such as hypoglycemia, hyperglycemia, and hypoxia.

Procalcitonin Is a Prognostic Marker of Hospital Outcomes in Patients with Critical Limb Ischemia and Diabetic Foot Infection

AIM

To evaluate the prognostic role of procalcitonin (PCT) in patients with diabetic foot infection (DFI) and critical limb ischemia (CLI).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

The study group was composed of diabetic patients with DFI and CLI. All patients were treated according to a preset limb salvage protocol which includes revascularization, wound debridement, antibiotic therapy, and offloading. Inflammatory markers, including PCT, were evaluated at admission. Only positive values of PCT, greater than 0.5 ng/ml, were considered. Hospital outcomes were categorized as limb salvage (discharge with preserved limb), major amputation (amputation above the ankle), and mortality.

RESULTS

Eighty-six patients were included. The mean age was 67.3 ± 11.4 years, 80.7% were male, 95.1% had type 2 diabetes, and the mean diabetes duration was 20.5 ± 11.1 with a mean HbA1c of 67 ± 16 mmol/mol. 66/86 (76.8%) of patients had limb salvage, 7/86 (8.1%) had major amputation, and 13/86 (15.1%) died. Patients with positive PCT baseline values in comparison to those with normal values showed a lower rate of limb salvage (30.4 versus 93.6%, p = 0.0001), a higher rate of major amputation (13 versus 6.3%, p = 0.3), and a higher rate of hospital mortality (56.5 versus 0%, p < 0.0001). At the multivariate analysis of independent predictors found at univariate analysis, positive PCT was an independent predictor of major amputation [OR 3.3 (CI 95% 2.0-5.3), p = 0.0001] and mortality [OR 4.1 (CI 95% 2.2-8.3), p < 0.0001].

DISCUSSION

Positive PCT at admission increased the risk of major amputation and mortality in hospital patients with DFI and CLI.

Outcomes in patients with infections and augmented renal clearance: A multicenter retrospective study

Recently, augmented renal clearance (ARC), which accelerates glomerular filtration of renally eliminated drugs thereby reducing the systemic exposure to these drugs, has started to receive attention. However, the clinical features associated with ARC are still not well understood, especially in the Japanese population. This study aimed to evaluate the clinical characteristics and outcomes of ARC patients with infections in Japanese intensive care unit (ICU) settings. We conducted a retrospective observational study from April 2013 to May 2017 at two tertiary level ICUs in Japan, which included 280 patients with infections (median age 74 years; interquartile range, 64–83 years). We evaluated the estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) at ICU admission using the Japanese equation, and ARC was defined as eGFR >130 mL/min/1.73 m². Multivariable logistic regression analysis was performed to identify the independent risk factors for ARC and to determine if it was a predictor of ICU mortality. In addition, a receiver operating curve (ROC) analysis was performed, and the area under the ROC (AUROC) was determined to examine the significant variables that predict ARC. In total, 19 patients (6.8%) manifested ARC. Multivariable logistic regression analysis identified younger age as an independent risk factor for ARC (odds ratio [OR], 0.94; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.91–0.96). However, ARC was not found to be a predictor of ICU mortality (OR, 0.57; 95% CI, 0.11–2.92). In addition, the AUROC of age was 0.79 (95% CI, 0.68–0.91), and the optimal cut off age for ARC was ≤63 years (sensitivity, 68.4%; specificity, 78.9%). The incidence of ARC was, therefore, low among patients with infections in the Japanese ICUs. Although younger age was associated with the incidence of ARC, it was not an independent predictor of ICU mortality.

Postoperative Infectious Complications Impact Long-Term Survival in Patients Who Underwent Hepatectomies for Colorectal Liver Metastases: a Propensity Score Matching Analysis

OBJECTIVE

Postoperative complications strongly impact the postoperative course and long-term outcome of patients who underwent liver resection for colorectal liver metastases (CRLM). Among them, infectious complications play a relevant role. The aim of this study was to evaluate if infectious complications still impact overall and disease-free survival after liver resection for CRLM once patients were matched with a propensity score matching analysis based on Fong's criteria.

METHODS

A total of 2281 hepatectomies were analyzed from a multicentric retrospective cohort of hepatectomies. Patients were matched with a 1:3 propensity score analysis in order to compare patients with (INF+) and without (INF-) postoperative infectious complications.

RESULTS

Major resection (OR = 1.69 (1.01-2.89), p = 0.05) and operative time (OR = 1.1 (1.1-1.3), p = 0.05) were identified as risk factors of infectious complications. After propensity score matching, infectious complications are associated with overall survival (OS), with 1-, 3-, 5-year OS at 94, 81, and 66% in INF- and 92, 66, and 57% in INF+ respectively (p = 0.01). Disease-free survival (DFS) was also different with regard to 1-, 3-, 5-year survival at 65, 41, and 22% in R0 vs. 50, 28, and 17% in INF+ (p = 0.007).

CONCLUSION

Infectious complications are associated with decreased overall and disease-free survival rates.

A meta-analysis and systematic review of percutaneous catheter drainage in treating infected pancreatitis necrosis

BACKGROUND

In the current meta-analysis, we focus on the exploration of percutaneous catheter drainage (PCD) in terms of its overall safety as well as efficacy in the treatment of infected pancreatitis necrosis based on qualified studies.

METHODS

The following electronic databases were searched to identify eligible studies through the use of index words updated to May 2018: PubMed, Cochrane, and Embase. Relative risk (RR) or mean difference (MD) along with 95% confidence interval (95% CI) were utilized for the main outcomes.

RESULTS

A total of 622 patients in the PCD group and 650 patients in the control group from 13 studies were included in the present meta-analysis. The aggregated results indicated that the incidence of bleeding was decreased significantly (RR: 0.42, 95% CI: 0.25-0.70) in the PCD group as compared with the control group. In addition, PCD decreased the mortality (RR: 0.76, 95% CI: 0.41-1.42), hospital duration (SMD: -0.22, 95% CI: -0.77 to -0.33), duration in intensive care unit (ICU) (SMD: -0.13, 95% CI: -0.30 to -0.04), pancreatic fistula (RR: 0.73, 95% CI: 0.46-1.17), and organ failure (RR: 0.91, 95% CI: 0.45-1.82) in comparison with the control group, but without statistical significance.

CONCLUSION

Our findings provide evidence for the treatment effect of PCD in the decrease of bleeding, mortality, duration in hospital and ICU, pancreatic fistula, organ failure as compared with the surgical treatment. In conclusion, further studies based on high-quality RCTs with larger sample size and long-term follow-ups are warranted for the confirmation of PCD efficacy in treating infected pancreatitis necrosis.

Risk Factors for Microbiologically-documented Infections, Mortality and Prolonged Hospital Stay in Children with Febrile Neutropenia

OBJECTIVE

To analyze the risk factors for microbiologically documented infection, mortality and hospital stay more than 5 days in children with febrile neutropenia.

DESIGN

Cross-sectional study (July 2013-September 2014).

SETTING

Government-run, tertiary-care, university hospital in Chandigarh, Northern India.

PARTICIPANTS

414 episodes in 264 children aged <12 years, not undergoing stem-cell transplantation.

OUTCOME MEASURES

Predictors for 'high-risk' febrile neutropenia.

RESULTS

Microbiologically-documented infections were observed in 82 children (19.8%); bacterial 14.2%, fungal 4.3%, polymicrobial 9.7%. Complications were documented in 109 (26%) children. 43 (10.3%) died: 8 due to fungal and 35 due to bacterial sepsis. Children admitted within 7 days of the last chemotherapy (P<0.01) and having a non-upper respiratory focus of infection (P<0.02) were at risk of developing microbiologically-documented infections and death. Platelet count <20000/uL (P=0.03) was an additional predictor for microbiologically-documented infections, while albumin <2.5 g/dL (P=0.04) and C-reactive protein >90 mg/L (P=0.02) were risk factors predicting mortality. The median (IQR) duration of hospital stay was 5 (3,8) days. Hospital stay <5 days was seen in 144 (35%) children. Children with acute myeloid leukaemia (P<0.01) and admitted within 7 days of chemotherapy (P=0.02) were likely to have a prolonged hospital stay >5 days.

CONCLUSIONS

Febrile neutropenic children admitted within 7 days of completion of chemotherapy, those with a non-upper respiratory focus of infection, CRP >90 mg/dL, platelet <20000/uL and albumin <2.5 g/dL need to be considered as 'high risk' for complications and mortality.