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Auerbach AJ, Charles KK, Coile CC, Gale W, Goldman D, Lee R, Lucas CM, Orszag PR, Sheiner LM, Tysinger B, Weil DN, Wolfers J, Wong R. HOW THE GROWING GAP IN LIFE EXPECTANCY MAY AFFECT RETIREMENT BENEFITS AND REFORMS. THE GENEVA PAPERS ON RISK AND INSURANCE. ISSUES AND PRACTICE 2017; 42:475-499. [PMID: 31768091 PMCID: PMC6876930 DOI: 10.1057/s41288-017-0057-0] [Citation(s) in RCA: 8] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.1] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 06/10/2023]
Abstract
Older Americans have experienced dramatic gains in life expectancy in recent decades, but an emerging literature reveals that these gains are accumulating mostly to those at the top of the income distribution. We explore how growing inequality in life expectancy affects lifetime benefits from Social Security, Medicare, and other programs and how this phenomenon interacts with possible program reforms. We first project that life expectancy at age 50 for males in the two highest income quintiles will rise by 7 to 8 years between the 1930 and 1960 birth cohorts, but that the two lowest income quintiles will experience little to no increase over that time period. This divergence in life expectancy will cause the gap between average lifetime program benefits received by men in the highest and lowest quintiles to widen by $130,000 (in $2009) over this period. Finally we simulate the effect of Social Security reforms such as raising the normal retirement age and changing the benefit formula to see whether they mitigate or enhance the reduced progressivity resulting from the widening gap in life expectancy.
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Yeo S, Enoch MA, Gorodetsky E, Akhtar L, Schuebel K, Roy A, Goldman D. The influence of FKBP5 genotype on expression of FKBP5 and other glucocorticoid-regulated genes, dependent on trauma exposure. GENES BRAIN AND BEHAVIOR 2016; 16:223-232. [PMID: 27648526 DOI: 10.1111/gbb.12342] [Citation(s) in RCA: 21] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/01/2016] [Revised: 09/01/2016] [Accepted: 09/16/2016] [Indexed: 01/17/2023]
Abstract
The FK506 binding protein 51 (FKBP5), an intrinsic regulator of the glucocorticoid receptor, has been associated with pathological behaviors particularly in the context of childhood trauma (CT), via a putatively regulatory polymorphism, rs1360780. However, trans- and cis-acting effects of this locus and its interaction with CT are incompletely understood. To study its effects on the expression of glucocorticoid-regulated genes including FKBP5, we used lymphoblastoid cell lines (LCLs) derived from 16 CT-exposed patients with greater than two substance dependence/suicidal behavior diagnoses (casesCT+) and 13 non-CT-exposed controls (controlsCT-). This study in LCLs measures long-term trait-like differences attributable to genotype or lasting epigenetic modification. Through analysis of differential allelic expression (DAE) using an FKBP5 3'-UTR reporter single nucleotide polymorphism (SNP), rs3800373, that is in strong linkage disequilibrium with rs1360780, we confirmed that the rs1360780 risk allele (A) (or conceivably that of a linked SNP) leads to higher FKBP5 expression in controlsCT-. Intriguingly, casesCT+ did not show DAE, perhaps because of a genotype-predicted difference in FKBP5 DNA methylation restricted to casesCT+. Furthermore, through correlation analyses on FKBP5 expression at baseline and after induction by dexamethasone, we observed that casesCT+ had lower induction of FKBP5 expression, indicating that overall they may have strong ultra-short negative-feedback. Only casesCT+ showed an effect of rs1360780 genotype on expression of FKBP5 and other glucocorticoid-regulated genes. Together, these results confirm that the rs1360780 locus alters FKBP5 expression and further that in trans-fashion this locus affects the expression of other glucocorticoid-regulated genes after a glucocorticoid challenge. The CT exposure appears to be essential for trans-effects of rs1360780 on glucocorticoid-regulated genes.
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Dzau VJ, Ginsburg GS, Chopra A, Goldman D, Green ED, Leonard DGB, McClellan M, Plump A, Terry SF, Yamamoto KR. Realizing the Full Potential of Precision Medicine in Health and Health Care: A Vital Direction for Health and Health Care. NAM Perspect 2016. [DOI: 10.31478/201609k] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/23/2022]
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Abstract
IMPORTANCE Use of opioids during and shortly after an acute hospitalization is warranted in some clinical settings. However, given the potential of opioids for short-term adverse events and long-term physiologic tolerance, it is important to understand the frequency of opioid prescribing at hospital discharge, hospital variation, and patient and hospital factors associated with opioid prescribing, which is currently unknown in the United States. OBJECTIVE To estimate the frequency of opioid prescribing at hospital discharge among Medicare beneficiaries without an opioid prescription claim 60 days prior to hospitalization; to document hospital variation in prescribing; and to analyze patient and hospital factors associated with prescribing, including hospital average performance on pain-related Hospital Consumer Assessment of Healthcare Providers and Systems (HCAHPS) measures. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS Analysis of pharmacy claims of a 20% random sample of Medicare beneficiaries hospitalized in 2011 without an opioid prescription claim in the 60 days before hospitalization. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES Our main outcome was a new opioid claim within 7 days of hospital discharge. We estimated a multivariable linear probability model of patient factors associated with new opioid use and described hospital variation in adjusted rates of new opioid use. In multivariable linear regression analysis, we also analyzed hospital factors associated with average adjusted new opioid use at the hospital level, including the percentage of each hospital's patients who reported that their pain during hospitalization was always well controlled in the 2011 HCAHPS surveys. RESULTS Among 623 957 hospitalizations, 92 882 (14.9%) were associated with a new opioid claim. Among those hospitalizations with an associated opioid claim within 7 days of hospital discharge, 32 731 (42.5%) of 77 092 were associated with an opioid claim after 90 days postdischarge. Across 2512 hospitals, the average adjusted rate of new opioid use within 7 days of hospitalization was 15.1% (interquartile range, 12.3%-17.4%; interdecile range, 10.5%-20.0%). A hospital's adjusted rate of new opioid use was modestly positively associated with the percentage of its inpatients reporting that their pain was always well managed (increase from 25th to the 75th percentile in the HCAHPS measure was associated with an absolute increase in new opioid use of 0.89 percentage points or a relative increase of 6.0%; P < .001). CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE New opioid use after hospitalization is common among Medicare beneficiaries, with substantial variation across hospitals and a large proportion of patients using a prescription opioid 90 days after hospitalization. The degree to which observed hospital variation in short- and longer-term opioid use reflects variation in inappropriate prescribing at hospital discharge is unknown.
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Gorodetsky E, Carli V, Sarchiapone M, Roy A, Goldman D, Enoch MA. Predictors for self-directed aggression in Italian prisoners include externalizing behaviors, childhood trauma and the serotonin transporter gene polymorphism 5-HTTLPR. GENES BRAIN AND BEHAVIOR 2016; 15:465-73. [PMID: 27062586 DOI: 10.1111/gbb.12293] [Citation(s) in RCA: 12] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/15/2015] [Revised: 03/24/2016] [Accepted: 04/04/2016] [Indexed: 12/16/2022]
Abstract
Suicidal behavior and self-mutilation can be regarded as the expression of self-directed aggression and both are common in prison populations. We investigated the influence of externalizing behaviors, depressive symptoms, childhood trauma, 5-HTTLPR variants on self-directed aggression (N = 145) in a group of 702 male Italian prisoners. Participants were comprehensively evaluated, including for psychiatric disorders, impulsive traits, lifetime aggressive behavior [Brown-Goodwin Lifetime History of Aggression (BGHA)], hostility, violent behavior during incarceration, depressive symptomatology [Hamilton Depression Rating Scale (HDRS)], childhood trauma [Childhood Trauma Questionnaire (CTQ)]. Logistic regression analysis showed false discovery rate corrected independent main effects of externalizing behaviors: BGHA (P = 0.001), violent behavior in jail (P = 0.007), extraversion (P = 0.015); HDRS (P = 0.0004), Axis I disorders (P = 0.015), CTQ (P = 0.004) and 5-HTTLPR genotype (P = 0.02). Carriers of 5-HTTLPR high (LA LA ), intermediate (LA LG , SLA ) activity variants were more likely to have exhibited self-directed aggression relative to the low activity (LG LG , SLG , SS) variant: high/low: odds ratio (OR) = 2.3, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.27-4.68, P = 0.007; intermediate/low: OR = 1.96, 95% CI 1.09-3.68, P = 0.025. The CTQ main effect was driven by physical abuse. There was no interactive effect of 5-HTTLPR and CTQ. Secondary logistic regression analyses in (1) all suicide attempters (N = 88) and (2) all self-mutilators (N = 104), compared with controls showed that in both groups, childhood trauma (P = 0.008-0.01), depression (P = 0.0004-0.001) were strong predictors. BGHA, violent behavior in jail predicted self-mutilation (P = 0.002) but not suicide attempts (P = 0.1). This study was able to distinguish differing influences on self-directed aggression between groups of closely related predictor variables within the externalizing behavioral domain. 5-HTTLPR had an independent, variant dosage effect.
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Abstract
Biomedicine has made enormous progress in the last half century in treating common diseases. However, we are becoming victims of our own success. Causes of death strongly associated with biological aging, such as heart disease, cancer, Alzheimer's disease, and stroke-cluster within individuals as they grow older. These conditions increase frailty and limit the benefits of continued, disease-specific improvements. Here, we show that a "delayed-aging" scenario, modeled on the biological benefits observed in the most promising animal models, could solve this problem of competing risks. The economic value of delayed aging is estimated to be $7.1 trillion over 50 years. Total government costs, including Social Security, rise substantially with delayed aging--mainly caused by longevity increases--but we show that these can be offset by modest policy changes. Expanded biomedical research to delay aging appears to be a highly efficient way to forestall disease and extend healthy life.
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Van Nuys K, Globe D, Ng-Mak D, Cheung H, Sullivan J, Goldman D. The association between employee obesity and employer costs: evidence from a panel of U.S. employers. Am J Health Promot 2015; 28:277-85. [PMID: 24779722 DOI: 10.4278/ajhp.120905-quan-428] [Citation(s) in RCA: 35] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.9] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/12/2022]
Abstract
PURPOSE To estimate the employer costs associated with employee obesity. DESIGN The study used cross-sectional analysis of employee health-risk assessment, disability, workers' compensation, and medical claims data from 2006 to 2008. SETTING The study took place in the United States from 2006 to 2008. SUBJECTS A panel database with 29,699 employees drawn from a panel of employers and observed for 3 years each (N = 89,097) was used. MEASURES Workdays lost owing to illness and disability; the cost of medical, short-term disability, and workers' compensation claims; and employees' adjusted body mass indices (BMI) were measured. ANALYSIS We model the number and probability of workdays lost from illness, short-term disability, and workers' compensation events; short-term disability and workers' compensation payments; and health care spending as a function of BMI. We estimate spline regression models and fit results using a third-degree fractional polynomial. RESULTS Probability of disability, workers' compensation claims, and number of days missed owing to any cause increase with BMI above 25, as do total employer costs. The probability of a short-term disability claim increases faster for employees with hypertension, hyperlipidemia, or diabetes. Normal weight employees cost on average $3830 per year in covered medical, sick day, short-term disability, and workers' compensation claims combined; morbidly obese employees cost more than twice that amount, or $8067, in 2011 dollars. CONCLUSION Obesity is associated with large employer costs from direct health care and insurance claims and indirect costs from lost productivity owing to workdays lost because of illness and disability.
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Sarkaria I, Grosser R, Goldman D, Ghanie A, Sima C, Bains M, Adusumilli P, Rusch V, Jones D, Rizk N. F-123QUALITY OF LIFE AND PAIN OUTCOMES AFTER ROBOTIC-ASSISTED MINIMALLY INVASIVE OESOPHAGECTOMY AND OPEN OESOPHAGECTOMY: SHORT-TERM RESULTS OF A PROSPECTIVE TRIAL. Interact Cardiovasc Thorac Surg 2015. [DOI: 10.1093/icvts/ivv204.123] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/12/2022] Open
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Suchankova P, Yan J, Schwandt ML, Stangl BL, Caparelli EC, Momenan R, Jerlhag E, Engel JA, Hodgkinson CA, Egli M, Lopez MF, Becker HC, Goldman D, Heilig M, Ramchandani VA, Leggio L. The glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor as a potential treatment target in alcohol use disorder: evidence from human genetic association studies and a mouse model of alcohol dependence. Transl Psychiatry 2015; 5:e583. [PMID: 26080318 PMCID: PMC4490279 DOI: 10.1038/tp.2015.68] [Citation(s) in RCA: 70] [Impact Index Per Article: 7.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/08/2015] [Revised: 03/18/2015] [Accepted: 04/06/2015] [Indexed: 12/24/2022] Open
Abstract
The hormone glucagon-like peptide-1 (GLP-1) regulates appetite and food intake. GLP-1 receptor (GLP-1R) activation also attenuates the reinforcing properties of alcohol in rodents. The present translational study is based on four human genetic association studies and one preclinical study providing data that support the hypothesis that GLP-1R may have a role in the pathophysiology of alcohol use disorder (AUD). Case-control analysis (N = 908) was performed on a sample of individuals enrolled in the National Institute on Alcohol Abuse and Alcoholism (NIAAA) intramural research program. The Study of Addiction: Genetics and Environment (SAGE) sample (N = 3803) was used for confirmation purposes. Post hoc analyses were carried out on data from a human laboratory study of intravenous alcohol self-administration (IV-ASA; N = 81) in social drinkers and from a functional magnetic resonance imaging study in alcohol-dependent individuals (N = 22) subjected to a Monetary Incentive Delay task. In the preclinical study, a GLP-1R agonist was evaluated in a mouse model of alcohol dependence to demonstrate the role of GLP-1R for alcohol consumption. The previously reported functional allele 168Ser (rs6923761) was nominally associated with AUD (P = 0.004) in the NIAAA sample, which was partially replicated in males of the SAGE sample (P = 0.033). The 168 Ser/Ser genotype was further associated with increased alcohol administration and breath alcohol measures in the IV-ASA experiment and with higher BOLD response in the right globus pallidus when receiving notification of outcome for high monetary reward. Finally, GLP-1R agonism significantly reduced alcohol consumption in a mouse model of alcohol dependence. These convergent findings suggest that the GLP-1R may be an attractive target for personalized pharmacotherapy treatment of AUD.
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Goldman D, Enoch MA. Genetic epidemiology of ethanol metabolic enzymes: a role for selection. World Rev Nutr Diet 2015; 63:143-60. [PMID: 2197794 DOI: 10.1159/000418505] [Citation(s) in RCA: 24] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/30/2022]
Abstract
Human ethanol consumption has a profound impact on nutritional status, causing major alterations in intermediary metabolism and critical deficiencies of vitamins and trace elements. The major enzyme systems responsible for the principal steps in ethanol metabolism have been characterized and the genes cloned, and significant functional polymorphisms have been identified. An inactive allele of the mitochondrial ALDH is associated with flushing and reduced alcohol intake. This allele may also confer greater sensitivity to some of ethanol's toxic effects. In populations not possessing this variant, twin and adoptive studies have revealed that heritability for alcoholism is greater than 50%. The occurrence of three functional polymorphisms in the ethanol metabolic pathway, including two mutations which are conserved across populations, suggests a role for selection in their maintenance. The two general categories of selective forces to maintain these polymorphisms are food toxins and infectious diseases. Of the infectious agents, amoebi and other anaerobic and microaerophilic organisms of the gut are the most logical candidates.
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Turakhia M, Shafrin J, Bognar K, Trocio J, Abdulsattar Y, Wiederkehr D, Goldman D. ECONOMIC BURDEN OF UNDIAGNOSED NONVALVULAR ATRIAL FIBRILLATION IN THE UNITED STATES. J Am Coll Cardiol 2015. [DOI: 10.1016/s0735-1097(15)60475-2] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 10/23/2022]
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Goldman D, Fastenau J, Dirani R, Helland E, Joyce G, Conrad R, Lakdawalla D. Medicaid prior authorization policies and imprisonment among patients with schizophrenia. THE AMERICAN JOURNAL OF MANAGED CARE 2014; 20:577-586. [PMID: 25295404] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 06/03/2023]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE To examine the impact of Medicaid prior authorization for atypical antipsychotics on the prevalence of schizophrenia among the prison population. Study DESIGN We collected drug-level information on prior authorization restrictions from Medicaid programs in 30 states to determine which states had prior authorization requirements before 2004. We linked the regulatory data to a survey of prison inmates conducted in 2004. METHODS We used a sample of 16,844 inmates from a nationally representative survey and analyzed the data using cross-sectional regression. To capture the impact of prior authorization, we estimated 2 models: the first included an indicator variable for states requiring prior authorization, and a second model used per capita atypical usage. RESULTS Evidence indicated that prior authorization restrictions on atypical antipsychotics are associated with an increase in the odds of a schizophrenic resident being imprisoned in a state. State-level prior authorization requirements for atypical antipsychotics are associated with a 2.7% increase in the likelihood that an imprisoned inmate displays psychotic symptoms, and a 1.25 increase in the likelihood that an inmate was previously diagnosed with schizophrenia by a physician. Higher state-level atypical prescriptions per capita are also associated with lower likelihood of psychotic symptoms and of prior schizophrenia diagnosis among prisoners. CONCLUSIONS Prior authorization requirements for atypical antipsychotics, which are designed to reduce healthcare costs, are associated with greater prevalence of mental illness within the criminal justice system.This association raises important questions about whether increased costs to the criminal justice system might mitigate or offset prescription drug savings created by prior authorization requirements.
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Gorodetsky E, Bevilacqua L, Carli V, Sarchiapone M, Roy A, Goldman D, Enoch MA. The interactive effect of MAOA-LPR genotype and childhood physical neglect on aggressive behaviors in Italian male prisoners. GENES BRAIN AND BEHAVIOR 2014; 13:543-9. [PMID: 24805005 DOI: 10.1111/gbb.12140] [Citation(s) in RCA: 27] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/06/2014] [Revised: 03/25/2014] [Accepted: 05/02/2014] [Indexed: 11/29/2022]
Abstract
Aggressive disorders are moderately heritable; therefore, identification of genetic influences is important. The X-linked MAOA gene, encoding the MAOA enzyme, has a functional 30 bp repeat polymorphism in the promoter region (MAOA-LPR) that has been shown to influence aggression. Childhood trauma is a known risk factor for numerous psychopathologies in adulthood including aggressive behaviors. We investigated the interactive effect of MAOA-LPR genotype and a history of childhood trauma in predicting aggressive behaviors in a prisoner population. A total of 692 male prisoners were genotyped for MAOA-LPR with genotypes grouped into high and low transcriptional activity. Participant evaluations included measures of aggression (Brown-Goodwin Lifetime History of Aggression, BGHA), hostility (Buss-Durkee Hostility Inventory), impulsivity (Barratt Impulsiveness Scale), violence directed toward self and others, and childhood trauma [Childhood Trauma Questionnaire (CTQ)]. MAOA-LPR interacted with CTQ physical neglect (PN), the most common (47%) form of childhood trauma in this sample, to predict BGHA aggression (P = 0.002). Within the group not exposed to PN, carriers of the MAOA-LPR high-activity variant were more aggressive: (tR = 2.47, P < 0.014). We observed a crossover effect in that the increase in aggression scores with PN was greater in low-activity individuals (tR = 5.55, P < 0.0001) than in high-activity individuals (tR = 4.18, P < 0.0001). These findings suggest that childhood trauma and the functional MAOA-LPR polymorphism may interact to specifically increase risk for over aggressive behavior but not impulsivity or hostility. The MAOA-LPR low-activity variant may be protective against the development of aggressive behavior under low stress conditions, at least in this prisoner population.
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Peciña M, Martínez-Jauand M, Hodgkinson C, Stohler C, Goldman D, Zubieta J. FAAH selectively influences placebo effects. Mol Psychiatry 2014; 19:385-91. [PMID: 24042479 PMCID: PMC4222079 DOI: 10.1038/mp.2013.124] [Citation(s) in RCA: 66] [Impact Index Per Article: 6.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/07/2013] [Revised: 08/01/2013] [Accepted: 08/14/2013] [Indexed: 11/09/2022]
Abstract
Endogenous opioid and cannabinoid systems are thought to act synergistically regulating antinociceptive and reward mechanisms. To further understand the human implications of the interaction between these two systems, we investigated the role of the common, functional missense variant Pro129Thr of the gene coding fatty acid amide hydrolase (FAAH), the major degrading enzyme of endocannabinoids, on psychophysical and neurotransmitter (dopaminergic, opioid) responses to pain and placebo-induced analgesia in humans. FAAH Pro129/Pro129 homozygotes, who constitute nearly half of the population, reported higher placebo analgesia and more positive affective states immediately and 24 h after placebo administration; no effects on pain report in the absence of placebo were observed. Pro129/Pro129 homozygotes also showed greater placebo-induced μ-opioid, but not D(2/3) dopaminergic, enhancements in neurotransmission in regions known involved in placebo effects. These results show that a common genetic variation affecting the function of the cannabinoid system is serving as a probe to demonstrate the involvement of cannabinoid and opioid transmitters on the formation of placebo effects.
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Snider JT, Bognar K, Globe D, Ng-Mak D, Sullivan J, Summers N, Goldman D. Identifying Patients at Risk for High Medical Costs and Good Candidates for Obesity Intervention. Am J Health Promot 2014; 28:218-27. [DOI: 10.4278/ajhp.121116-quan-561] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/28/2022]
Abstract
Purpose. To develop a risk-scoring tool to identify in a base year patients likely to have high medical spending in the subsequent year and to understand the role obesity and obesity reduction may play in mitigating this risk. Design. Cross-sectional analysis, using commercial claims and health risk assessment data. Setting. United States, 2004–2009. Subjects. Panel of 192,750 person-year observations from 116,868 unique working-age employees of large companies. Measures. Probability of high medical expenses (80th percentile or above) in the following year; adjusted body mass index (BMI). Analysis. Generate risk scores by modeling the likelihood of high next-year expenses as a function of base-year age, sex, medical utilization, comorbidities, and BMI. Estimate the effect of simulated bariatric intervention on patient risk scores. Results. Individuals with higher BMI were more likely to be categorized in the very high risk group, in which the average annual medical expense was $8621. A weight-loss intervention transitioning a patient to the next lower obesity class was predicted to reduce this risk by 1.5% to 27.4%—comparable to hypothetically curing a patient of depression or type 2 diabetes. Conclusion. A logistic model was used to capture the effect of BMI on the risk of high future medical spending. Weight-loss interventions for obese patients may generate significant savings by reducing this risk.
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Jena AB, Goldman D, Weaver L, Karaca-Mandic P. Opioid prescribing by multiple providers in Medicare: retrospective observational study of insurance claims. BMJ 2014; 348:g1393. [PMID: 24553363 PMCID: PMC3928962 DOI: 10.1136/bmj.g1393] [Citation(s) in RCA: 92] [Impact Index Per Article: 9.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/16/2022]
Abstract
OBJECTIVES To estimate the frequency and characteristics of opioid prescribing by multiple providers in Medicare and the association with hospital admissions related to opioid use. DESIGN Retrospective cohort study. SETTING Database of prescription drugs and medical claims in 20% random sample of Medicare beneficiaries in 2010. PARTICIPANTS 1,808,355 Medicare beneficiaries who filled at least one prescription for an opioid from a pharmacy in 2010. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES Proportion of beneficiaries who filled opioid prescriptions from multiple providers; proportion of these prescriptions that were concurrently supplied; adjusted rates of hospital admissions related to opioid use associated with multiple provider prescribing. RESULTS Among 1,208,100 beneficiaries with an opioid prescription, 418,530 (34.6%) filled prescriptions from two providers, 171,420 (14.2%) from three providers, and 143,344 (11.9%) from four or more providers. Among beneficiaries with four or more opioid providers, 110,671 (77.2%) received concurrent opioid prescriptions from multiple providers, and the dominant provider prescribed less than half of the mean total prescriptions per beneficiary (7.9/15.2 prescriptions). Multiple provider prescribing was highest among beneficiaries who were also prescribed stimulants, non-narcotic analgesics, and central nervous system, neuromuscular, and antineoplastic drugs. Hospital admissions related to opioid use increased with multiple provider prescribing: the annual unadjusted rate of admission was 1.63% (95% confidence interval 1.58 to 1.67%) for beneficiaries with one provider, 2.08% (2.03% to 2.14%) for two providers, 2.87% (2.77% to 2.97%) for three providers, and 4.83% (4.70% to 4.96%) for four or more providers. Results were similar after covariate adjustment. CONCLUSIONS Concurrent opioid prescribing by multiple providers is common in Medicare patients and is associated with higher rates of hospital admission related to opioid use.
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Jena AB, Sun E, Goldman D. Community-acquired pneumonia and proton pump inhibitors. J Gen Intern Med 2013; 28:874-5. [PMID: 23549958 PMCID: PMC3682033 DOI: 10.1007/s11606-013-2430-4] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 10/27/2022]
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Kano S, Colantuoni C, Han F, Zhou Z, Yuan Q, Wilson A, Takayanagi Y, Lee Y, Rapoport J, Eaton W, Cascella N, Ji H, Goldman D, Sawa A. Genome-wide profiling of multiple histone methylations in olfactory cells: further implications for cellular susceptibility to oxidative stress in schizophrenia. Mol Psychiatry 2013; 18:740-2. [PMID: 22925834 PMCID: PMC3582810 DOI: 10.1038/mp.2012.120] [Citation(s) in RCA: 71] [Impact Index Per Article: 6.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 02/04/2023]
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Lee MR, Gallen CL, Ross TJ, Kurup P, Salmeron BJ, Hodgkinson CA, Goldman D, Stein EA, Enoch MA. A preliminary study suggests that nicotine and prefrontal dopamine affect cortico-striatal areas in smokers with performance feedback. GENES, BRAIN, AND BEHAVIOR 2013; 12:554-63. [PMID: 23433232 PMCID: PMC3890256 DOI: 10.1111/gbb.12027] [Citation(s) in RCA: 7] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/06/2012] [Revised: 01/23/2013] [Accepted: 02/17/2013] [Indexed: 12/01/2022]
Abstract
Nicotine and tonic dopamine (DA) levels [as inferred by catechol-O-methyl tranferase (COMT) Val158Met genotype] interact to affect prefrontal processing. Prefrontal cortical areas are involved in response to performance feedback, which is impaired in smokers. We investigated whether there is a nicotine × COMT genotype interaction in brain circuitry during performance feedback of a reward task. We scanned 23 healthy smokers (10 Val/Val homozygotes, 13 Met allele carriers) during two fMRI sessions while subjects were wearing a nicotine or placebo patch. A significant nicotine × COMT genotype interaction for BOLD signal during performance feedback in cortico-striatal areas was seen. Activation in these areas during the nicotine patch condition was greater in Val/Val homozygotes and reduced in Met allele carriers. During negative performance feedback, the change in activation in error detection areas such as anterior cingulate cortex (ACC)/superior frontal gyrus on nicotine compared to placebo was greater in Val/Val homozygotes compared to Met allele carriers. With transdermal nicotine administration, Val/Val homozygotes showed greater activation with performance feedback in the dorsal striatum, area associated with habitual responding. In response to negative feedback, Val/Val homozygotes had greater activation in error detection areas, including the ACC, suggesting increased sensitivity to loss with nicotine exposure. Although these results are preliminary due to small sample size, they suggest a possible neurobiological mechanism underlying the clinical observation that Val/Val homozygotes, presumably with elevated COMT activity compared to Met allele carriers and therefore reduced prefrontal DA levels, have poorer outcomes with nicotine replacement therapy.
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Goldman D, Maestas N. MEDICAL EXPENDITURE RISK AND HOUSEHOLD PORTFOLIO CHOICE. JOURNAL OF APPLIED ECONOMETRICS (CHICHESTER, ENGLAND) 2013; 28:527-550. [PMID: 23997424 PMCID: PMC3757955 DOI: 10.1002/jae.2278] [Citation(s) in RCA: 14] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 05/09/2023]
Abstract
Medical expenses are an increasingly important contributor to household financial risk. We examine the effect of medical expenditure risk on the willingness of Medicare beneficiaries to hold risky assets. Using a discrete factor maximum likelihood method to address the endogeneity of insurance choices, we find that having a moderately protective Medigap or employer supplemental policy increases risky asset holding by 7.1 percentage points relative to those without supplemental coverage, while participation in a highly protective Medicare HMO increases risky asset holding by 13.0 percentage points. Our results highlight an important link between the availability of health insurance and financial behavior.
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Chernew ME, McKellar R, Aubry W, Beck R, Benner J, Berger JE, Fendrick AM, Forma F, Goldman D, Peters Harmel A, Killion R, Lakdawalla D, Owens DK, Stahl J. Comparative effectiveness research and formulary placement: the case of diabetes. THE AMERICAN JOURNAL OF MANAGED CARE 2013; 19:93-96. [PMID: 23448106] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [MESH Headings] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 06/01/2023]
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Darkow T, Maclean R, Joyce GF, Goldman D, Lakdawalla DN. Coverage and use of cancer therapies in the treatment of chronic myeloid leukemia. THE AMERICAN JOURNAL OF MANAGED CARE 2012; 18:S272-S278. [PMID: 23327459] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 06/01/2023]
Abstract
OBJECTIVES This study was designed to assess the effect of tyrosine kinase inhibitor (TKI) use on nonpharmaceutical medical spending for patients with chronic myeloid leukemia (CML), and estimate the association between cost-sharing and the TKI medication possession ratio (MPR). STUDY DESIGN The retrospective study covered the 13 years from 1997 to 2009. METHODS Analyses were conducted using a large administrative health insurance claims database covering 45 large employers. From this database, 995 unique patients with CML were identified, with 3,765 patient-years; of these patients, 415 (or 1,689 patientyears) were TKI users. We estimated the association of TKI use with total pharmaceutical spending and total non-pharmaceutical medical spending. In addition, we characterized plan-level cost-sharing rules for TKIs and assessed whether these were associated with the MPR for TKI therapy among CML patients. RESULTS TKI users averaged $26,406 in annual non-pharmaceutical medical spending, compared with $38,194 for non-users; this was a difference of approximately 30%, which was statistically significant at the 5% level. The median patient out-ofpocket payment was $25, which increased to $63 at the 75th percentile and to $122 at the 95th percentile. MPRs were 94.8 at the median cost-sharing level and 100.0 at the 75th percentile and higher. There was no statistically significant association between cost-sharing and MPR. CONCLUSIONS Use of TKIs was associated with a 30% reduction in non-pharmaceutical medical spending for CML patients. This difference is approximately equal to 40% of the incremental pharmaceutical cost associated with using TKI therapy. The net annual cost of TKI therapy is roughly $15,000. An informal calculation suggests that this is well within the range of conventional cost-effectiveness thresholds. On balance, coverage of TKIs is relatively generous, with the vast majority of patients exhibiting high levels of adherence to therapy.
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Philipson TJ, Sun E, Goldman D, Jena AB. A Reexamination of the Costs of Medical R&D Regulation. Forum Health Econ Policy 2012; 15:1-28. [PMID: 31419852 DOI: 10.1515/fhep-2012-0020] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/15/2022]
Abstract
Recent evidence suggests that the economic value of increased health has been enormous, with most of these gains being driven by medical R&D. The R&D process for pharmaceuticals is particularly expensive and time consuming, with well-known studies from the Tufts Center for the Study of Drug Development suggesting that developing a single successful drug costs around $1 billion and takes roughly 12 years. We argue that these estimates are incomplete because they do not incorporate the social costs imposed by the regulatory process, namely the costs to producers in terms of forgone profits and the costs to consumers in terms of delayed access to drugs. In this article, we develop a framework to estimate the social costs imposed by the regulatory process. Under this framework, delays in drug development are socially costly because of reduced consumer surplus (due to delayed access to beneficial therapies), reduced producer variable profits, and increased R&D expenditures. We apply this framework to the case of therapies aimed at treating AIDS, non-Hodgkin's lymphoma, and breast cancer. In each case, we find that the effects of drug delays on consumer surplus and variable producer profits are far larger than the effects on R&D costs. These findings suggest that patients, not firms, would be the primary beneficiaries from any improvements in streamlining the drug development process.
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Romley J, Goldman D, Eber M, Dastani H, Kim E, Raparla S. Cost-sharing and initiation of disease-modifying therapy for multiple sclerosis. THE AMERICAN JOURNAL OF MANAGED CARE 2012; 18:460-464. [PMID: 22928761] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 06/01/2023]
Abstract
OBJECTIVES To assess the effects of patient cost sharing on initiation of disease-modifying therapies (DMTs) in multiple sclerosis (MS). STUDY DESIGN Retrospective claims database study of privately insured patients newly diagnosed with MS between 2004 and 2008 from 33 large employers. METHODS We assessed the effects of plan-level cost-sharing on DMT initiation during a 2-year follow-up period after diagnosis. Incident cases were identified by 2 or more claims with ICD-9 codes for MS within a year, subsequent to a year with no such claims. Covariates for adjustment included age, gender, relationship to primary beneficiary, comorbid conditions, and calendar year, as well as unobserved factors that did not vary within plans over time. RESULTS Out of a sample of 3460 patients meeting criteria for inclusion, only 17% initiated a DMT within 2 years of diagnosis. An increase in the cost-sharing rate from zero to the 95th percentile (17.8%) was predicted to decrease initiation within 2 years of diagnosis by 2.9 percentage points, or 12.7% (P = .019). CONCLUSIONS High cost-sharing is associated with delayed initiation of effective MS therapies.
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