Assessing the impact of single or short-term administration on a therapy's cost-effectiveness: a hypothetical disease-agnostic model

AIMS

Assessing the value of single or short-term therapies (SSTs) within traditional cost-effectiveness analyses (CEAs) has been a topic of discussion as the number of SSTs increases, particularly regarding the effect of discounting on valuation. To quantify the impact of discounting in economic evaluations, a CEA of a hypothetical SST and equivalent chronic therapy was conducted using standard methods.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A lifetime Markov model was developed for a hypothetical chronic, progressive disease that could be treated with an SST, chronic therapy, or no novel treatment, termed standard of care (SoC). Incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) with quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) comparing SST vs. SoC and an equivalent chronic therapy vs. SoC were assessed from a payer perspective. Both treatments had equal benefits and undiscounted lifetime costs; 3% discounting was applied to costs/benefits in the base case, and the impact of discounting was assessed.

RESULTS

In the base case example, both the SST and equivalent chronic therapy vs. SoC had ICERs of $86,000/QALY without discounting. With 3% discounting, the ICER for the SST increased by 116% ($186,000/QALY) while the ICER for the chronic therapy increased by 10% ($95,000/QALY) despite equal clinical benefit. In scenario analyses, the ICER of the SST was consistently higher than the equivalent chronic therapy across a range of assumptions/inputs. Varying the cost/benefit discount rates had a greater impact on the SST. Differences in the ICERs between the therapies increased with increasing life expectancy/time horizon.

LIMITATIONS

The simple model structure may not be reflective of acute or more complex diseases. Also, the scenario of perfect equivalency in efficacy and lifetime costs is hypothetical.

CONCLUSIONS

This quantitative assessment showed the extent to which SST CEAs are highly sensitive to discounting, resulting in worse value assessments for SSTs than equivalent chronic therapies.

Cost-effectiveness analysis of the SMART quit clinic program in smokers with cardiovascular disease in Thailand

INTRODUCTION

The SMART Quit Clinic Program (FAHSAI Clinic) has been implemented in Thailand since 2010; however, it remains unclear whether the benefits gained from this program justify its costs. We assessed its cost-effectiveness compared to usual care in a population of Thai smokers with cardiovascular disease (CVD) from a societal perspective.

METHODS

We conducted a cost-utility analysis using a Markov model to simulate lifetime costs and quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) of Thai smokers aged ≥35 years receiving smoking cessation services offered from FAHSAI Clinic or usual care over a horizon of 50 years. The model used a 6-month continuous abstinence rate from a multicenter prospective study of 24 FAHSAI Clinics. A series of sensitivity analyses including probabilistic sensitivity analysis were conducted to assess robustness of study findings. Cost data are presented in US$ for 2020.

RESULTS

The FAHSAI Clinic was dominant as it was less costly ($9537.92 vs $10964.19) and more effective (6.06 vs 5.96 QALYs) compared with usual care over the 50-year time horizon. Changes in risks of stroke and coronary heart disease among males had the largest impact on the cost-effectiveness findings. The probability that FAHSAI Clinic was cost-effective was 99.8% at a willingness-to-pay threshold of $5120.

CONCLUSIONS

The FAHSAI Clinic smoking cessation program was clinically superior and cost-saving compared to usual care for Thai patients with CVD in all scenarios. A budget impact analysis is needed to estimate the financial impact of adopting this program within the Thai healthcare system.

Cost-Effectiveness of Venetoclax Plus Obinutuzumab Versus Chlorambucil Plus Obinutuzumab for the First-Line Treatment of Adult Patients With Chronic Lymphocytic Leukemia: An Extended Societal View

OBJECTIVES

Efficacy of venetoclax plus obinutuzumab (VenO) compared with chlorambucil plus obinutuzumab (ClbO) for treatment-naïve adult patients with chronic lymphocytic leukemia (CLL) with coexisting medical conditions was investigated in CLL14 (NCT02242942). Our aim was to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of VenO versus ClbO for these patients from a Dutch societal perspective.

METHODS

A 3-state partitioned survival model was constructed to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of VenO. The outcome of the analysis was the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) with effectiveness measured in quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) gained. Uncertainty was explored through deterministic and probabilistic sensitivity analyses, scenario analyses, and value of information analysis (VOI).

RESULTS

The base case resulted in a discounted ICER -49 928 EUR/QALY gained (with incremental negative costs and positive effects). None of the ICERs resulted from deterministic sensitivity and scenario analyses exceeded the chosen willingness-to-pay threshold of 20 000 EUR/QALY, and > 99% of the iterations in the probabilistic sensitivity analysis were cost-effective. VOI analyses showed a maximum expected value of eliminating all model parameter uncertainty of 183 591 EUR.

CONCLUSIONS

Our study demonstrated VenO being dominant over ClbO in treatment-naïve adult patients with CLL assuming a Dutch societal perspective. We concluded that our results are robust as tested through sensitivity and scenario analyses. Additionally, the VOI analyses confirmed that our current evidence base is strong enough to generate reliable results for our study. Nevertheless, further research based on real-world data or longer follow-up period could further contribute to the robustness of the current study's conclusions.

Pneumococcal Vaccination in Children: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis of Cost-Effectiveness Studies

OBJECTIVES

Pneumococcal conjugate vaccines (PCVs) have significantly reduced disease burden caused by Streptococcus pneumoniae, a leading cause of childhood morbidity and mortality globally. This systematic review and meta-analysis aimed to assess the incremental net benefit (INB) of the 13-valent PCV (PCV13) and 10-valent PCV (PCV10) in children.

METHODS

We performed a comprehensive search in several databases published before May 2022. Studies were included if they were cost-effectiveness or cost-utility analyses of PCV13 or PCV10 compared with no vaccination or with each other in children. Various monetary units were converted to purchasing power parity, adjusted to 2021 US dollars. The INBs were calculated and then pooled across studies stratified by country income level, perspective, and consideration of herd effects, using a random-effect model.

RESULTS

Seventy studies were included. When herd effects were considered, PCV13 was cost-effective compared with PCV10 from the payer perspective in both high-income countries (HICs) (INB, $103.94; 95% confidence interval, $75.28-$132.60) and low- and middle-income countries (LMICs) (INB, $53.49; 95% confidence interval, $30.42-$76.55) with statistical significance. These findings were robust across a series of sensitivity analyses. PCV13 was cost-effective compared with no vaccination across perspectives and consideration of herd effects in both HICs and LMICs, whereas findings were less consistent for PCV10.

CONCLUSION

PCVs were generally cost-effective compared with no vaccination in HICs and LMICs. Our study found that PCV13 was cost-effective compared with PCV10 when herd effects were considered from the payer perspective in both HICs and LMICs. The results are sensitive to the consideration of herd effects.

Cost-utility and budget impact analysis of CPAP therapy compared to no treatment in the management of moderate to severe obstructive sleep apnea in Colombia from a third-party payer perspective

OBJECTIVES

To conduct cost-utility and budget impact analysis of providing Continuous Positive Airway Pressure (CPAP) therapy versus no treatment for moderate to severe obstructive sleep apnea (OSA) in Colombia from a third-party payer perspective.

METHODS

We used a Markov model to assess the cost-utility and budget impact analysis of CPAP in patients over 40 years old with moderate to severe OSA. Data on effectiveness and utility values were obtained from published literature. A discount rate of 5% was applied for outcomes and costs. ICER was calculated and compared against the threshold estimated for Colombia, which is 86% of the GDP per capita.

RESULTS

Over a lifetime horizon, the base case analysis showed the incremental cost per quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) gained with CPAP therapy was COP$3,503,804 (USD$1,011 in 2020 prices). The budget impact analysis showed that the adoption of CPAP therapy in the target population would lead to a cumulative net budget impact of COP$411,722 million (USD$118,784,412 in, 2020 prices) over five years of time horizon.

CONCLUSIONS

CPAP was cost-effective compared to no-treatment in OSA. According to the budget impact analysis, adopting this technology would require a budget allocation that is partially offset by reduced number of strokes and traffic accident events.

Comparison of three alternatives for the management of moderate asthma in children aged 6-11 years: a cost-utility analysis

BACKGROUND

Recent asthma guidelines for children 6-11 years with persistent asthma advocate three alternatives: SMART (budesonide/formoterol 80/4.5 mcg qd plus additional doses as needed), fixed combination of budesonide/formoterol, and fixed-dose budesonide. Concerns have arisen as to which of the proposed alternatives has the best possible cost-effectiveness profile. This study aimed to assess the health and economic consequences of SMART, fixed combination, and fixed-dose budesonide therapy in children 6-11 years old with persistent asthma.

METHODS

A probabilistic Markov model was created to estimate the cost and quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) of patients with persistent asthma. Total costs and QALYs of SMART, fixed combination, and fixed-dose budesonide therapy were calculated over a time horizon of 6 years. Multiple sensitivity analyses were conducted.

RESULTS

The mean QALY per patient was 0.57 and 0.56 QALYs per patient per year of SMART and fixed combination and 0,52 with fixed-dose budesonide. The total mean of discounted costs per patient per cycle were US$111 for SMART, US$133 for fixed combination, and US$67 for fixed-dose budesonide. The net monetary benefit of SMART was US$12,549, US$12278 for fixed combination, and US$11,380 for fixed-dose budesonide.

CONCLUSION

Our study showed that SMART was more cost-effective than fixed combination and fixed-dose budesonide. These findings complement and support the GINA 2021 and National Asthma Education and Prevention Program asthma guideline recommendations for use of inhaled corticosteroids-formoterol in children 6-11 years old with persistent asthma.

Economic analysis of cerliponase alfa for treatment of late-infantile neuronal ceroid lipofuscinosis type 2 (CLN2)

BACKGROUND

Cerliponasealfa is an orphan drug approved for the treatment of late-infantile neuronalceroid lipofuscinosis type 2 (CLN2).

AIM

Ourgoal was to assess the cost-effectiveness of cerliponase alfa in patients withCLN2 in the socioeconomic contexts of the Republic of Serbia in contrast tosymptomatic therapy.

METHOD

Forthis study, a forty-year horizon and the perspective ofthe Serbian Republic Health Insurance Fund were used. Quality-adjusted lifeyears gained with cerliponase alfa and comparator, as well as direct treatment costs,were the study's key outcomes. The creation and simulation of a discrete-eventsimulation model served as the basis for the investigation. Monte Carlo microsimulation was performed on a sample of1000 virtual patients.

RESULTS

Whencompared to symptomatic therapy, cerliponase alfa treatment was notcost-effective and was linked to negative net monetary benefit regardless ofwhen the illness signs started.

CONCLUSION

Cerliponasealfa is not more economical than symptomatic therapy for the treatment of CLN2when using typical pharmacoeconomic analysis. Cerliponase alfa has been shownto be effective, but more has to be done to make it accessible to all CLN2patients.

Cost-effectiveness of acalabrutinib regimens in treatment-naïve chronic lymphocytic leukemia in the United States

BACKGROUND

Clinical outcomes in chronic lymphocytic leukemia (CLL) have improved with targeted therapy, including Bruton tyrosine kinase inhibitors such as acalabrutinib.

METHODS

A semi-Markov model with 3 health states (progression-free, progressed disease, and death) estimated cost per quality-adjusted life-year (QALY) gained for acalabrutinib ± obinutuzumab vs chlorambucil + obinutuzumab in treatment-naïve CLL (based on ELEVATE-TN). The model used direct costs and resource utilization from the US Medicare perspective and utility values sourced from literature. Sensitivity analyses tested the robustness of the model.

RESULTS

Over a 30-year lifetime horizon, the model base case analysis suggested that acalabrutinib monotherapy had an incremental cost of $206,329 and 2.52 QALYs gained versus chlorambucil + obinutuzumab, resulting in an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) of $81,960/QALY. Acalabrutinib + obinutuzumab had an incremental cost of $423,747 and 2.79 QALYs gained (ICER: $152,153/QALY). Probabilistic sensitivity analysis showed the probability of acalabrutinib monotherapy being cost effective as 59% to 73% at a $100,000-to-150,000/QALY willingness-to-pay threshold; the probability of acalabrutinib + obinutuzumab being cost effective ranged from 34% to 51%.

CONCLUSIONS

Although the analysis is limited by uncertainty in postprogression survival outcomes, acalabrutinib monotherapy is likely cost effective vs chlorambucil + obinutuzumab in treatment-naïve CLL in the US Medicare setting.

Cost-Effectiveness of Targeted Prophylaxis among Allogenic Stem Cell Transplant Recipients

Bloodstream infections (BSI) are life-threatening complications for onco-hematologic patients. Fluoroquinolones prophylaxis (FQP) was recommended for patients with neutropenia. Later, it was correlated with increased resistance rates among this population and its role became debated. While the role of FQ prophylaxis is still being studied, its cost-effectiveness is also unknown. The objective of this study was to evaluate the costs and effects associated with two alternative strategies (FQP vs. no prophylaxis) for patients with hematological malignancies undergoing allogenic stem cell transplant (HSCT). A decision-tree model was built integrating retrospectively collected data from a single transplant center, part of a tertiary teaching hospital in Northern Italy. Probabilities, costs and effects were considered in the assessment of the two alternative strategies. Probabilities of colonization, BSIs, extended-spectrum beta lactamase (ESBL) and Klebsiella pneumoniae carbapenemase (KPC) BSIs and mortality associated with infection, as well as median duration of length of stay (LOS) were calculated based on data collected between 2013 and 2021. The center applied the strategy of FQP between 2013 and 2016, and of no prophylaxis between 2016 and 2021. Data on 326 patients were collected during the considered time period. Overall, the rates of colonization, BSI, KPC/ESBL BSI, and mortality were 6.8% (95% confidence interval (CI) 2.7-13.5), 42% (9.9-81.4) and 20.72 (16.67-25.26), respectively. A mean bed-day cost of 132€ was estimated. Considering no prophylaxis vs. prophylaxis, the difference in costs ranged between additional 33.61 and 80.59€ per patient, whereas the difference in effects ranged between 0.11 and 0.03 life-years (LYs) lost (around 40 and 11 days). Given the small differences in terms of costs and effects between the two strategies, no prophylaxis seems an appropriate choice. Furthermore, this analysis did not consider the broader effect on hospital ecology of multiple doses of FQP, which could provide further support for the strategy of no prophylaxis. Our results suggest that the necessity for FQP in onco-hematologic setting should be determined based on local antibiotic resistance patterns.

The Use of Economic Evaluation Tools in Essential Health Benefits Package Selection for Universal Health Coverage

OBJECTIVES

The sustainable development goals launched in 2015 are a follow-up commitment to the successful Millennium Development Goals. Goal number 3 of ensuring "good health and well-being" is a target to ensure universal health coverage. Universal health coverage means the provision of quality services that meet the needs of populations without risking financial impoverishment in the process. The guaranteed minimum health services in every health system constitute the health benefits package (HBP), which should be explicit and be composed of services that represent the best value for money and guarantee the best return on investment. The objective of this study was to review the application of cost-effectiveness analysis (CEA) and budget impact analysis in the development of HBP in low-to-middle income countries across the world.

METHODOLOGY

A literature review using a systematic approach was used. A search of PubMed, Google Scholar, World Health Organization, and World Bank databases was made for articles outlining the development of HBP in low- and middle-income countries, and a narrative synthesis was used for analysis.

RESULTS

Results from processes in Armenia, Ethiopia, Kyrgyz Republic, Lebanon, and Malawi showed CEA and budget impact analysis as 2 criteria used in HBP development in a limited number of countries with either no reference to the two or no reporting from the others. Local CEA estimates and cost data limitations were the biggest challenges to efforts to use robust methods.

CONCLUSION

Sustained efforts are needed to understand and address the challenges to the use of economic evaluation in the development of HBPs.

Cost-effectiveness analysis of herbal medicines in children with idiopathic short stature

BACKGROUND

Herbal medicines have been used for a long time to treat idiopathic short stature (ISS) in children in East Asian countries. The aim of this study was to analyze the cost-effectiveness of 5 herbal medicines frequently used in clinical settings for children with ISS based on medical records.

METHODS

Patients with ISS who had been prescribed a 60-day supply of herbal medicines in 1 Korean medicine hospital were included in this analysis. Their height and height percentile were measured before and after treatment within 6-months. The average cost-effectiveness ratios (ACERs) of 5 herbal medicines for height (cm) and height percentile were calculated for boys and girls, respectively.

RESULTS

The ACERs per 1 cm height growth were USD 56.2 (Naesohwajung-Tang), USD 74.8 (Ogapi-Growth decoction), USD 86.6 (Gamcho-Growth decoction), USD 94.6 (Gwakhyangjeonggi-San plus Yukmijihwang-Tang), and USD 113.8 (Boyang-Growth decoction). The ACERs per 1 percentile height growth were USD 205 (Naesohwajung-Tang), USD 293 (Ogapi-Growth decoction), USD 470 (Gamcho-Growth decoction), USD 949 (Boyang-Growth decoction), and USD 1051 (Gwakhyangjeonggi-San plus Yukmijihwang-Tang).

CONCLUSION

Herbal medicine might be a potential economical alternative treatment for ISS.

Equity-Informative Economic Evaluations of Vaccines: A Systematic Literature Review

The Immunization Agenda 2030 prioritizes the populations without access to vaccines. Health equity has been increasingly incorporated into economic evaluations of vaccines to foster equitable access. Robust and standardized methods are needed to evaluate the health equity impact of vaccination programs to ensure monitoring and effective addressing of inequities. However, methods currently in place vary and potentially affect the application of findings to inform policy decision-making. We performed a systematic review by searching PubMed, Embase, Econlit, and the CEA Registry up to 15 December 2022 to identify equity-informative economic evaluations of vaccines. Twenty-one studies were included that performed health equity impact analysis to estimate the distributional impact of vaccines, such as deaths averted and financial risk protection, across equity-relevant subgroups. These studies showed that the introduction of vaccines or improved vaccination coverage resulted in fewer deaths and higher financial risk benefits in subpopulations with higher disease burdens and lower vaccination coverage-particularly poorer income groups and those living in rural areas. In conclusion, methods to incorporate equity have been evolving progressively. Vaccination programs can enhance equity if their design and implementation address existing inequities in order to provide equitable vaccination coverage and achieve health equity.

Cost-effectiveness analysis of vaccination against COVID-19 in China

Introduction

Since September 2020, Chinese populations aged > 3 years have been encouraged to receive a two-dose inoculation with vaccines against coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). This study aims to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of the current vaccination strategy amongst the general population in mainland China from a societal perspective.

Methods

In this study, we construct a decision tree with Markov models to compare the economic and health consequences of the current vaccination strategy versus a no-vaccination scenario, over a time horizon of one year and an annual discount rate of 5%. Transition probabilities, health utilities, healthcare costs, and productivity losses are estimated from literature. Outcome measures include infection rates, death rates, quality-adjusted life years (QALYs), and costs. The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) is then calculated to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of the current vaccination strategy, and both one-way deterministic sensitivity analysis and probabilistic sensitivity analysis (PSA) are applied to assess the impact of uncertainties on results.

Results

Our simulation indicates that compared with a no-vaccination scenario, vaccination amongst the general population in mainland China would reduce the infection rate from 100% to 45.3% and decrease the death rate from 6.8% to 3.1%. Consequently, the strategy will lead to a saving of 37,664.77 CNY (US$5,256.70) and a gain of 0.50 QALYs per person per year on average (lifetime QALY and productivity loss due to immature death are included). The cost-saving for each QALY gain is 74,895.69 CNY (US$10,452.85). Result of the PSA indicates that vaccination is the dominating strategy with a probability of 97.9%, and the strategy is cost-effective with a probability of 98.5% when the willingness-to-pay (WTP) is 72,000 CNY (US$10,048.71) per QALY.

Conclusion

Compared with a no-vaccination scenario, vaccination among the general population in mainland China is the dominating strategy from a societal perspective. The conclusion is considered robust in the sensitivity analyses.

Cost-Benefit Analysis versus Cost-Effectiveness Analysis from a Societal Perspective in Healthcare

Cost-effectiveness analysis (CEA) is the main way that economic evaluations are carried out in the health care field. However, CEA has limited validity in deciding whether any health care evaluation is socially worthwhile and hence justifies funding. Cost-Benefit Analysis (CBA) is the economic evaluation method that should be used to help decide what to invest in when the objective is to record the impact on everyone in society. Cost-utility analysis (CUA), which has its roots in CEA, can be converted into CBA under certain circumstances that are not general. In this article, the strengths and weaknesses of CEA relative to CBA are analyzed in stages, starting in its most classical form and then proceeding via CUA to end up as CBA. The analysis takes place mainly in the context of five actual dementia interventions that have already been found to pass a CBA test. The CBA data is recast into CEA and CUA terms in tabular form in order that the contrast been CEA and CBA is most transparent. We find that how much of the fixed budget that is used up to fund other alternatives determines how much is left over to fund the particular intervention one is evaluating.

Cost-Effectiveness of Breast Cancer Early Detection Program in Low- and Middle-Income Countries: A Systematic Review

OBJECTIVES

This review explores the cost-effectiveness of the strategies used in the breast cancer early detection programs of low- to middle-income countries.

METHODS

A systematic review was performed to identify related studies, published up to August 2021, on PubMed, Cochrane, ProQuest, and the Cumulative Index to Nursing and Allied Health Literature. The Cochrane Handbook and the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses protocol were referenced during the reporting process. The Consolidated Health Economic Evaluation Reporting Standards 2022 criteria were used to assess the requirements of the selected studies. Articles with original data and full texts were included in the review. Non-low- to middle-income countries and non-English articles were excluded.

RESULTS

This review identified 12 suitable studies, wherein 6 investigated the cost-effectiveness of clinical breast examinations (CBEs), whereas 10 looked into mammogram (MMG) with or without CBE. In 2 studies, the cost-effectiveness of raising awareness through mass media and the use of ultrasounds combined with CBE were investigated. Although cost-effective, MMG incurs greater costs and requires more skill to be performed. MMG screenings before the age of 40 years were not cost-effective. The limitations of this review include variability in the methodological approaches of its selected studies. Most of the chosen studies met the Consolidated Health Economic Evaluation Reporting Standards 2022 criteria.

CONCLUSIONS

This review shows that adopting an age- and risk-based MMG screening approach could be viable in countries with limited resources. Future cost-effectiveness analysis research should include a section on patient and stakeholder engagement with the study's results.

Cost-effectiveness analysis of fissure sealants for caries prevention in children

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the cost-effectiveness of resin-based and glass ionomer-based fissure sealants compared with no intervention for children.

METHODS

We developed a Markov-based decision analytic model that simulated Turkish children from aged 6 to 15 years. Two types of costs were explored from the payers' perspective and the health care system perspectives. A cost-effectiveness analysis of resin-based and glass ionomer-based fissure sealants was conducted to quantify their effectiveness using the number of caries prevented and the quality-adjusted tooth years (QATYs). Costs and effectiveness measures were discounted at 3% per year.

RESULTS

The most cost-effective intervention was resin-based fissure sealant, with an additional $5.34 per caries prevented and $1.86 per QATY gained compared with no treatment.

CONCLUSION

Fissure sealants particularly resin-based sealants are cost-effective for children in Turkey due to their low cost and highly preventive characteristics.

The Influence of US Drug Price Dynamics on Cost-Effectiveness Analyses of Biologics

OBJECTIVES

This study aimed to evaluate the influence of drug price dynamics in cost-effectiveness analyses.

METHODS

We evaluated scenarios involving typical US drug price increases during the exclusivity period and price decreases after the loss of exclusivity (LOE). Worked examples are presented using the Institute for Clinical and Economic Review's assessments of tezepelumab for the treatment of severe asthma and targeted immune modulators for rheumatoid arthritis.

RESULTS

Tezepelumab case: yearly 2% price increases during the period of exclusivity and a post-LOE price decrease of 25% yielded an incremental cost per quality-adjusted life-year (QALY) gained that increased over the base case from $430 300 to $444 600 (+3.2%). Yearly 2% price increases followed by a steeper post-LOE price reduction of 40% resulted in a cost per QALY gained of $401 400 (6.8% reduction vs the base case). Rheumatoid arthritis case: incorporating post-LOE price reductions for etanercept (intervention) and adalimumab (comparator) ranging from 25% to 40% yielded an incremental cost per QALY of $121 000 and $122 300, respectively (< 3% increase from the base case of $119 200/QALY). Including a 2% yearly price increase during the projected exclusivity periods of both intervention and comparator increased the cost per QALY gained by > 60%.

CONCLUSION

Two biologic treatment cases incorporating price dynamics in cost-effectiveness analyses had varied impacts on the cost-effectiveness ratio depending on the magnitude of pre-LOE price increase and post-LOE price decrease and whether the LOE also affected the comparator. Yearly price increase magnitude during the period of exclusivity, among other factors, may counterbalance the effects of lower post-LOE intervention prices.

Economic Evaluation of Immune Tolerance Induction in Children With Severe Hemophilia A and High-Responding Inhibitors: A Cost-Effectiveness Analysis of Prophylaxis With Emicizumab

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to measure the cost-effectiveness of prophylaxis with emicizumab in PsHAhri on ITI in Brazil.

METHODS

A cost-effectiveness modeling analysis was used to estimate the costs per PsHAhri on ITI and the number of prevented bleedings from undertaking one intervention (prophylaxis with BpA) over another (prophylaxis with emicizumab), based on the Brazilian Ministry of Health perspective. Costs of ITI with recombinant FVIII, prophylaxis with BpA or emicizumab, and treated bleeding episodes with BpA costs were evaluated for PsHAhri who had ITI success or failure. This study was conducted with the perspective of the Brazilian Ministry of Health (payer).

RESULTS

During ITI, prophylaxis with BpA cost US $924 666/PsHAhri/ITI, whereas prophylaxis with emicizumab cost US $488 785/PsHAhri/ITI. During ITI, there was an average of 9.32 bleeding episodes/PsHAhri/ITI when BpA were used as prophylaxis and 0.67 bleeding/PsHAhri/ITI when emicizumab was used. By univariate deterministic sensitivity analysis, emicizumab remained dominant whichever variable was modified.

CONCLUSION

In this study, prophylaxis with emicizumab during ITI is a dominant option compared with prophylaxis with BpA during ITI.

Saliva microRNA signature to diagnose endometriosis: A cost-effectiveness evaluation of the Endotest®

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate a saliva diagnostic test (Endotest®) for endometriosis compared with the conventional algorithm.

DESIGN

A cost-effectiveness analysis with a decision-tree model based on literature data.

SETTING

France.

POPULATION

Women with chronic pelvic pain.

METHODS

Strategy I is the French algorithm, representing the comparator. For strategy II, all patients have an Endotest®. For strategy III, patients undergo ultrasonography to detect endometrioma and patients with no endometrioma detected have an Endotest®. For strategy IV, patients with no endometrioma detected on ultrasonography undergo pelvic magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) to detect endometrioma and/or deep endometriosis. An Endotest® is then performed for patients with a negative result on MRI.

MAIN OUTCOMES MEASURES

Costs and accuracy rates and incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs). Three analyses were performed with an Endotest® priced at €500, €750, and €1000. Probabilistic sensitivity analysis was conducted with Monte Carlo simulations.

RESULTS

With an Endotest® priced at €750, the cost per correctly diagnosed case was €1542, €990, €919 and €1000, respectively, for strategies I, II, III and IV. Strategy I was dominated by all other strategies. Strategies IV, III and II were, respectively, preferred for a willingness-to-pay threshold below €473, between €473 and €4670, and beyond €4670 per correctly diagnosed case. At a price of €500 per Endotest®, strategy I was dominated by all other strategies. At €1000, the ICERs of strategies II and III were €724 and €387 per correctly diagnosed case, respectively, compared with strategy I.

CONCLUSION

The present study demonstrates the value of the Endotest® from an economic perspective.

Effectiveness and costs of a stepwise versus an all-in-one approach to diagnose mild bleeding disorders

The diagnostic work-up of patients referred to the haematologist for bleeding evaluation is performed in a stepwise way: bleeding history and results of screening laboratory tests guide further diagnostic evaluation. This can be ineffective, time-consuming and burdensome for patients. To improve this strategy, the initial laboratory investigation can be extended. In a model-based approach, effectiveness and costs of a conventional stepwise versus a newly proposed all-in-one diagnostic approach for bleeding evaluation were evaluated and compared, using data from an observational patient cohort study, including adult patients referred for bleeding evaluation. In the all-in-one approach, specialized platelet function tests, coagulation factors, and fibrinolysis tests were included in the initial investigation. Final diagnosis, hospital resource use and costs and patient burden were compared. A total of 150 patients were included. Compared to the stepwise approach, in the all-in-one approach, 19 additional patients reached a diagnosis and patient burden was lower, but total costs per patient were higher [€359, 95% bootstrapped confidence interval (BCI) 283-518, p = 0.001]. For bleeding evaluation of patients referred to the haematologist, an all-in-one diagnostic approach has a higher diagnostic yield and reduces patient burden, at a higher cost. This raises the question what costs justify the diagnosis of a bleeding disorder and a less burdensome diagnostic strategy.

Cost-Utility Analysis of Biologic Disease-Modifying Antirheumatic Drugs for Patients With Psoriatic Arthritis in Thailand

OBJECTIVES

This study aimed to assess the cost-effectiveness of biologic disease-modifying antirheumatic drugs (bDMARDs) for treating patients with psoriatic arthritis who failed conventional synthetic disease-modifying antirheumatic drugs (csDMARDs).

METHODS

A decision tree and Markov model were constructed to capture long-term costs and outcomes from a societal perspective. Patients with psoriatic arthritis who failed 2 previous csDMARDs were modeled over a 3-month cycle with a lifetime horizon. Clinical probabilities were derived from a published meta-analysis. Prices of bDMARDs were proposed by pharmaceutical companies. Other costs and utilities were based on data in Thailand. All costs and outcomes were discounted at a 3% annual rate. Incremental cost-effectiveness ratio and a series of sensitivity analyses were performed.

RESULTS

All 11 bDMARDs (3 infliximab originator and biosimilars, 2 etanercept originator and biosimilar, golimumab, 2 secukinumab 150 mg and 300 mg, 3 adalimumab biosimilars) gained better quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) with more costly than csDMARDs. Infliximab had the highest QALYs compared with other bDMARDs. Only secukinumab 150 mg showed the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio below the Thai threshold of 5152 US dollars per QALY. Cost of bDMARDs was the most influential factor.

CONCLUSIONS

At the current price, secukinumab 150 mg shows the value for money in the Thai context. Price negotiation is of great importance for other bDMARDs.

Value-Based Pricing for Patent-Protected Medicines Over the Product Life Cycle: Pricing Anomalies in the "Age of Cures" and Their Implications for Dynamic Efficiency

OBJECTIVES

Conventional cost-effectiveness analysis (CEA) for the value-based pricing of new medicines largely ignores the implications of limited market exclusivity (ie, patent-protection periods plus any exclusivity granted by regulators). This paper explores the implications of this methodological shortcoming, which produces several pricing anomalies with potentially unintended effects on research and development (R&D) incentives.

METHODS

We illustrate these implications by comparing 4 stylized examples of increasing complexity, from short-term cures for acute conditions to long-term cures for rare, health-catastrophic conditions.

RESULTS

(1) Conventional-CEA will project a different result than an adjusted CEA that considers generic or biosimilar entry; (2) free and flexible pricing of long-term treatments (eg, statins for hypercholesterolemia) or repeated-dose cures (eg, insulin for type 1 diabetes) for chronic conditions will likely result in predictable price increases at the end of the exclusivity period that may be perceived as unjustified or unsupported; and (3) one-time administration "cures" (eg, gene therapy for spinal muscular atrophy) have the potential to allocate a large share of the social surplus to the manufacturer over the product lifetime, which may or may not be dynamically efficient per se, but may also inadvertently disadvantage the development of valuable long-term treatments or repeated-dose cures for chronic conditions.

CONCLUSIONS

We highlight the need for additional research on long-term solutions to these issues that would aim to promote dynamically efficient global R&D. More work is needed on the following: (1) relationships between social surplus allocation and the amount and composition of global R&D, as we may be as likely to be encouraging excessive R&D in some areas as to be undersupplying it in others; and (2) relating the size of the surplus reward to R&D cost and, thus, the return on investment.

Cost-Effectiveness of First-Line Pembrolizumab Monotherapy Versus Chemotherapy in High Programmed Death-Ligand 1 Advanced Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer in the Irish Healthcare Setting

OBJECTIVES

This study aimed to assess the cost-effectiveness of pembrolizumab monotherapy in the first-line treatment of advanced non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) in adults whose tumors expressed programmed death-ligand 1 (PD-L1) with a tumor proportion score (TPS) ≥ 50% in the Irish healthcare setting.

METHODS

Effectiveness inputs were derived from the 5-year analysis of KEYNOTE-024 phase III clinical trial. The intervention was pembrolizumab monotherapy; the comparator was a weighted average of the 5 chemotherapy regimens from the trial. The population included those with previously untreated advanced PD-L1 TPS ≥ 50% NSCLC. A de novo partitioned survival model was developed. Survival modeling was done using Bayesian model averaging on fitted parametric functions. Costs included drug acquisition, treatment initiation, administration and monitoring, adverse events, subsequent treatments, and terminal care. Costs and health state utilities were sourced from the literature and Irish sources. The model had a 20-year time horizon. The perspective taken was the Health Service Executive. A 4% discount rate was applied. Outcomes were expressed as an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER), measured in terms of incremental costs per quality-adjusted life-year (QALY). Probabilistic sensitivity analysis and 1-way sensitivity analyses were conducted.

RESULTS

The model estimated a base case ICER of €54 237 per QALY. The probabilistic sensitivity analysis estimated an average ICER of €54 568 per QALY and a 11% probability of cost-effectiveness at the Irish cost-effectiveness threshold of €45 000 per QALY.

CONCLUSION

At the current list price, first-line pembrolizumab monotherapy is not considered cost-effective for the treatment of advanced PD-L1 TPS ≥ 50% NSCLC in the Irish healthcare setting.

Cost-Effectiveness Analysis of Macitentan in Comparison With Bosentan in the Treatment of Pulmonary Arterial Hypertension in Iran

OBJECTIVES

Pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH) is a chronic and progressive disease that, if left untreated, shortens the life expectancy of patients. Endothelin receptor antagonists, such as macitentan and bosentan, play an essential role in improving the patient's symptoms, quality of life, and life expectancy. This study aimed to evaluate the cost-utility of macitentan compared with bosentan in treating PAH from the health system perspective in Iran.

METHODS

For evaluating the cost-effectiveness of macitentan, a Markov model consisting of 5 states, functional class (FC) I, FC II, FC III, FC IV, and death, was designed using the TreeAge software. The lifetime time horizon and a 3-month cycle length were set. Patients entered the model from FC II or FC III states based on the initial probabilities. Costs were measured in US dollars (USD), and outcomes were measured in terms of quality quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs). Consequently, the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) was calculated. In addition, sensitivity analysis was performed to determine the robustness of the model by examining the possible effects of uncertainties on the final result.

RESULTS

The costs of treatment with macitentan and bosentan in PAH in Iran were calculated at 19 429 and 17 246 USD, and the outcomes were 4.02 and 3.04 QALYs, respectively. Therefore, ICER was calculated at 2233.46 USD/QALY. One-way sensitivity analysis demonstrates that the model is robust; nevertheless, it is most sensitive to the price of macitentan and bosentan.

CONCLUSION

Treatment with macitentan was associated with both higher costs and QALYs than bosentan. Nevertheless, it is considered the cost-effective treatment strategy in Iran given that the calculated ICER falls below the willingness to pay threshold.

The Impact on Cost-Effectiveness of Accounting for Generic Drug Pricing: Four Case Studies

OBJECTIVES

Guidance on the conduct of health technology assessments rarely recommends accounting for anticipated future price declines that can follow loss of marketing exclusivity. This article explores when it is appropriate to account for generic pricing and whether it can influence cost-effectiveness estimates.

METHODS

This article presents 4 case studies. Case study 1 considers a hypothetical drug used by a first patient cohort at branded prices and by subsequent, "downstream" cohorts at generic prices. Case study 2 explores whether statin assessments should account for generic prices for downstream cohorts that gain access after the initial cohort. Case study 3 uses a simplified spreadsheet model to assess the impact of accounting for generic pricing for inclisiran, used when statins insufficiently reduce cholesterol. Case study 4 amends this model for a hypothetical, advanced, follow-on treatment displacing inclisiran.

RESULTS

Assessments should include generic pricing even if the first cohort using a drug pays branded prices and only downstream cohorts pay generic prices (case study 1). Because eventual generic pricing for statins did not depend on decisions for downstream cohorts, assessing reimbursement for those cohorts could safely omit generic pricing (case study 2). For inclisiran (case study 3), including generic pricing notably improved estimated cost-effectiveness. Displacing inclisiran with an advanced therapy (case study 4) modestly affected estimated cost-effectiveness.

CONCLUSIONS

Although this analysis relies on simplified and hypothetical models, it demonstrates that accounting for generic pricing might substantially reduce estimated cost-effectiveness ratios. Doing so when warranted is crucial to improving health technology assessment validity.

Cost-effectiveness of a cardiac rehabilitation program specifically designed for patients with obesity within the OPTICARE XL randomized controlled trial

OBJECTIVE

To assess the cost-effectiveness of a cardiac rehabilitation (CR) program specifically designed for cardiac patients with obesity versus standard CR.

DESIGN

Cost-effectiveness analysis based on observations in a randomized controlled clinical trial.

SETTING

Three regional CR centres in the Netherlands.

PARTICIPANTS

Cardiac patients (N=201) with obesity (BMI≥30 kg/m²) referred to CR.

INTERVENTIONS

Participants were randomised to a CR program specifically designed for patients with obesity (OPTICARE XL; N=102) or standard CR. OPTICARE XL included aerobic and strength exercise and behavioural coaching on diet and physical activity during 12 weeks, followed by a 9 month after-care program with 'booster' educational sessions. Standard CR consisted of a 6 to 12-week aerobic exercise program, supplemented with cardiovascular lifestyle education.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

An economic evaluation, with an 18-month time horizon, in terms of quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) and costs from the societal perspective was performed. Costs were reported in 2020 Euros, discounted at a 4% annual rate, and health effects were discounted at a 1.5% annual rate.

RESULTS

OPTICARE XL CR and standard CR resulted in comparable health gain per patient (0.958 versus 0.965 QALYs, respectively; p=0.96). Overall, OPTICARE XL CR saved costs (-€4,542) compared to the standard CR group. The direct costs for OPTICARE XL CR were higher than for standard CR (€10,712 vs. €9,951), whereas indirect costs were lower (€51,789 vs. €57,092), but these differences were not significant.

CONCLUSIONS

This economic evaluation showed no differences between OPTICARE XL CR and standard CR in health effects and costs in cardiac patients with obesity.

Cost-effectiveness of recombinant factor VIII Fc versus emicizumab for prophylaxis in adults and adolescents with haemophilia A without inhibitors in the UK

INTRODUCTION

The economic and clinical burden of haemophilia A is high. Primary prophylaxis with factor VIII replacement therapy is the recognised standard of care, but the emergence of non-factor therapies, such as emicizumab, is extending treatment options for people with haemophilia A.

AIM

There are currently no direct comparisons of efficacy or cost between recombinant factor FVIII Fc-fusion protein efmoroctocog alfa (a recombinant factor FVIII Fc-fusion protein referred to herein as rFVIIIFc) and emicizumab; therefore, a cost-effectiveness model was developed to compare prophylactic treatment with rFVIIIFc versus emicizumab in patients with haemophilia A without inhibitors in the UK.

METHODS

The cost-effectiveness model was based on a matching-adjusted indirect comparison and included male patients, aged ≥12 years, with haemophilia A without inhibitors. The model was designed as a Markov process with a flexible lifelong time horizon, and cost-effectiveness was presented as an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio. Base-case analysis and sensitivity analyses (including scenario analyses, one-way deterministic sensitivity analysis [DSA] and probability sensitivity analysis [PSA]) were performed using the following treatment strategies: individualised prophylaxis with rFVIIIFc and prophylaxis with emicizumab administered once weekly (scenario analyses used regimens of once every 2 weeks or once every 4 weeks).

RESULTS

Base-case analysis, DSA and PSA indicated that, compared with emicizumab administered once weekly, rFVIIIFc individualised prophylaxis was the dominant treatment strategy, with lower costs, a greater number of quality-adjusted life years, and a lower number of bleeds.

CONCLUSIONS

rFVIIIFc has proven efficacy and is cost-effective compared with emicizumab, providing clinicians with a viable treatment option to improve the health outcomes for adults and adolescents with haemophilia A in the UK.

Cost-effectiveness analysis of recombinant factor IX Fc fusion protein compared with recombinant factor IX for the treatment of moderate-severe to severe hemophilia B in China

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the lifetime cost-effectiveness of recombinant factor IX Fc fusion protein (rFIXFc) and recombinant factor IX (rFIX) for the treatment of hemophilia B (HB) in China.

METHODS

We developed a decision-analytic Markov model including three health states: alive, requiring surgery, and dead. This model estimated the lifetime cost and quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) of prophylaxis in childhood, followed by on-demand treatment in adulthood for moderate-severe to severe HB patients from China's healthcare system perspective. Efficacy data derived from pivotal clinical trials, clinical guideline recommendations, and expert consultation were applied to two scenarios (full dose and low dose). One-way sensitivity analysis and probabilistic sensitivity analysis (PSA) were performed to assess the robustness of the model.

OUTCOMES

Lifetime cost, QALYs, and the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio were calculated, and the results were compared with willingness-to-pay (WTP) thresholds of one to three times the gross domestic product per capita of China in 2021 ($12,551-$37,653).

RESULTS

RFIXFc was associated with lower cost and more QALYs than rFIX in both scenarios, which suggested that it is a dominant strategy (more effective and cheaper) for moderate-severe to severe HB in China. In the full-dose scenario, rFIXFc saved more money and yielded more QALYs than in the low-dose scenario (low doses are the typical clinical reality in China). PSA demonstrated that rFIXFc had an over 90% probability of being cost-effective with full-dose and low-dose treatment at WTP thresholds of $12,551-$37,653.

CONCLUSIONS

Compared with rFIX, rFIXFc appears to be a cost-effective option for the lifetime management of moderate-severe to severe HB patients in China.

Economic evaluation of population-based expanded reproductive carrier screening for genetic diseases in Australia

PURPOSE

To evaluate the cost-effectiveness of population-based expanded reproductive carrier screening (RCS) for a 300 recessive genes panel from health service and societal perspectives.

METHODS

A microsimulation model (PreConMod) was developed using 2016 Australian Census data as the base population. Epidemiological, health and indirect cost data were based on literature review. The study assessed the incremental-cost-effectiveness-ratio (ICER) of expanded RCS compared with (i) no population screening (ii) three-condition screening for cystic fibrosis, spinal muscular atrophy, and fragile X syndrome in a single birth cohort. Averted affected births and health service savings with expanded RCS were projected to year 2061. Both one-way and probability sensitivity analyses were conducted to assess the uncertainty of the parameter inputs.

RESULTS

Expanded RCS was cost-saving compared with no population screening and cost-effective compared to the three-condition screening (ICER of $6,287 per QALY gained) at an uptake rate of 50% for RCS, 59% for IVF and preimplantation genetic testing, 90% for prenatal diagnosis testing and 50% for elective termination of affected pregnancies and a cost of A$595 per couple screened. Our model predicts that expanded RCS would avert one-third of affected births in a single birth cohort and reduce lifetime health service spending by A$632.0 million. Expanded RCS was estimated to be cost saving from the societal perspective.

CONCLUSION

Expanded RCS is cost-effective from the health service and societal perspectives. Expanded RCS is projected to avert significantly more affected births and result in health service saving beyond those expected from three-condition screening or no population screening.

The Value of Tucatinib in Metastatic HER2-Positive Breast Cancer Patients: An Italian Cost-Effectiveness Analysis

BACKGROUND

This study was aimed at estimating the appropriate price of tucatinib plus trastuzumab and capecitabine (TXC), as third-line treatment, in HER2⁺ breast cancer (BC) patients from the Italian National Health System (NHS) perspective.

METHODS

A partitioned survival model with three mutually exclusive health states (i.e., progression-free survival (PFS), progressive disease (PD), and death) was used to estimate the price of tucatinib vs trastuzumab emtansine (TDM-1), considering a willingness to pay (WTP) of 60,000 EUR. Data from the HER2CLIMB trial, the Italian population, and the literature were used as input. The model also estimated the total costs and the life-years (LY) of TXC and TDM1. Deterministic and probabilistic (PSA) sensitivity analyses were conducted to evaluate the robustness of the model.

RESULTS

In the base case scenario, the appropriate price of tucatinib was 4828.44 EUR per cycle. The TXC resulted in +0.28 LYs and +16,628 EUR compared with TDM-1. Results were mainly sensitive to therapy intensity variation. In PSA analysis, TXC resulted cost-effective in 53% of the simulations. Assuming a WTP ranging 20,000-80,000 EUR, the tucatinib price ranged from 4090.60 to 5197.41 EUR.

CONCLUSIONS

This study estimated the appropriate price for tucatinib according to different WTP in order to help healthcare decision makers to better understand the treatment value.

Cost-effectiveness analysis of durvalumab plus chemotherapy as first-line treatment for biliary tract cancer

Objective

The TOPAZ-1 trial reported a significant survival benefit of durvalumab in combination with chemotherapy for the first-line treatment of biliary tract cancer (BTC). However, no studies have evaluated the economics of this treatment option. The aim of this study was to assess the cost effectiveness of durvalumab plus chemotherapy compared to placebo plus chemotherapy from the perspective of US and Chinese payers.

Methods

Based on clinical data from the TOPAZ-1 trial, a Markov model was developed to simulate 10-year life expectancy and total healthcare costs for patients with BTC. The treatment group received durvalumab in combination with chemotherapy and the control group received placebo plus chemotherapy. The primary outcomes analyzed included quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) and incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs). Uncertainty in the analysis results was assessed by sensitivity analysis.

Results

For US payers, the placebo plus chemotherapy group had a total cost of $56,157.05 and a utility of 1.10 QALYs, while the durvalumab plus chemotherapy group had a total cost of $217,069.25, a utility of 1.52 QALYs, resulting in an ICER of $381,864.39/QALY. For Chinese payers, the ICER of durvalumab plus chemotherapy group was $367,608.51/QALY. Sensitivity analysis showed that the analysis was most sensitive to the price of durvalumab. For US and Chinese payers, under the respective willing to pay thresholds, the likelihood of the durvalumab plus chemotherapy arm being cost-effective was 0%.

Conclusions

Both in China and in the US, durvalumab in combination with chemotherapy is not a cost-effective option for the first-line treatment of BTC compared with chemotherapy.

Cost-Effectiveness of Comprehensive Quadruple Therapy for Heart Failure With Reduced Ejection Fraction

BACKGROUND

Heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) is one of the most costly and deadly chronic disease states. The cost effectiveness of a comprehensive quadruple therapy regimen for HFrEF has not been studied.

OBJECTIVES

The authors sought to determine the cost-effectiveness of quadruple therapy comprised of beta-blockers, mineralocorticoid receptor antagonists, angiotensin receptor-neprilysin inhibitors, and sodium glucose cotransporter-2 inhibitors vs regimens composed of only beta-blockers, angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors, and mineralocorticoid receptor antagonists (triple therapy), and angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors and beta-blockers (double therapy).

METHODS

Using a 2-state Markov model, the authors performed a cost-effectiveness study using simulated populations of 1,000 patients with HFrEF based on the participants in the PARADIGM-HF (Prospective comparison of ARNI with ACEI to Determine Impact on Global Mortality and morbidity in Heart Failure) trial and compared them by treatment strategy (quadruple therapy vs triple and double therapy) from a United States health care system perspective. The authors also performed 10,000 probabilistic simulations.

RESULTS

Treatment with quadruple therapy resulted in an increase of 1.73 and 2.87 life-years compared with triple therapy and double therapy, respectively, and an increase in quality-adjusted life-years of 1.12 and 1.85 years, respectively. The incremental cost-effectiveness ratios of quadruple therapy vs triple therapy and double therapy were $81,000 and $51,081, respectively. In 91.7% and 99.9% of probabilistic simulations quadruple therapy had an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of <$150,000 compared with triple therapy and double therapy, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

At current pricing, the use of quadruple therapy in patients with HFrEF was cost effective compared with triple therapy and double therapy. These findings highlight the need for improved access and optimal implementation of comprehensive quadruple therapy in eligible patients with HFrEF.

Cost-Effectiveness Analysis of Vaccination With Recombinant Zoster Vaccine Among Hematopoietic Cell Transplant Recipients and Persons With Other Immunocompromising Conditions Aged 19 to 49 Years

OBJECTIVES

This study aimed to estimate the cost-effectiveness of the use of recombinant zoster vaccine (RZV) (Shingrix), which protects against herpes zoster (HZ), among immunocompromised adults aged 19 to 49 years, as a contribution to deliberations of the Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices.

METHODS

Hematopoietic cell transplant (HCT) recipients experience a high incidence of HZ, and the efficacy of RZV in preventing HZ has been studied in clinical trials. The cost-effectiveness model calculated incremental cost-effectiveness ratios that compared vaccination with RZV with a no vaccination strategy among adults aged 19 to 49 years. Costs and outcomes were calculated until age 50 years using the healthcare sector perspective and summarized as cost per quality-adjusted life-year (QALY) gained. The base case represents HCT recipients, with scenario analyses representing persons with other immunocompromising conditions, including hematologic malignancies, human immunodeficiency virus, and autoimmune and inflammatory conditions. Uncertainty was investigated using univariate, multivariate, and probabilistic sensitivity analyses.

RESULTS

Base-case results indicated vaccination with RZV would avert approximately 35% of HZ episodes and complications, while saving approximately 11% of net costs. Compared with no vaccination, vaccination of HCT recipients with RZV generated cost-savings (ie, lower costs and improved health) in the base case and in 81% of simulations in the probabilistic analysis. In scenario analyses, vaccination cost US dollar ($) 9500/QALY among patients with hematologic malignancies, $79 000/QALY among persons living with human immunodeficiency virus, and $208 000/QALY among persons with selected autoimmune and inflammatory conditions.

CONCLUSIONS

Generally favorable economic estimates supported recommendations for vaccination of immunocompromised adults with RZV to prevent episodes of HZ and related complications.

Fluticasone furoate plus vilanterol in patients with moderate persistent asthma: a cost-utility analysis

BACKGROUND

In recent years, the combination of fluticasone furoate and vilanterol (FF/VI) has emerged as an alternative therapy, since it is administered every 24 h, in contrast to other ICS/LABAs such as fluticasone propionate plus salmeterol (FP/Salm), which requires administration every 12 h. Concerns have arisen over whether the benefit generated by FF/VI justifies the additional costs it involves over FP/Salm. This study aimed at assessing the health and economic consequences of FF/VI in patients with moderate-severe persistent asthma.

METHODS

A probabilistic Markov model was created to estimate the cost and quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) of patients with persistent asthma. Total costs and QALYs for FF/VI and FP/Salm were calculated over a lifetime horizon. Multiple sensitivity analyses were conducted. Cost-effectiveness was evaluated at a willingness-to-pay value of $19,000.

RESULTS

We estimated a gain of 16.8 and 10.7 QALYs per patient per year on FF/VI and FP/Salm, respectively. At the same time, we observed a difference of US$216 in total discounted cost per person-year on FF/VI with respect to FP/Salm. The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) of FF/VI was USD $70 per QALY with respect to FP/Salm. In the deterministic and probabilistic sensitivity analyses, our base-case results were robust to variations in all assumptions and parameters.

CONCLUSION

FF/VI is more cost-effective than FP/Salm. The evidence supports using FF/VI therapy in Colombia, and the study should be replicated in other middle-income countries.

Cost-Effectiveness Analysis of Universal Screening for Biliary Atresia in Japan

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the cost-effectiveness of universal newborn screening using stool color card or direct bilirubin (DB) testing when comparing with no screening for biliary atresia in Japanese setting.

STUDY DESIGN

A decision analytic Markov microsimulation model was developed to evaluate the universal screening for biliary atresia. Our screening strategies included stool color card, DB, or no screening. The outcomes of all newborns undergoing 3 strategies were simulated to analyze event-free life-years defined as liver transplant-free survival, costs, and incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) over a 25-year period with an annual discount rate of 2% applied for both costs and outcomes. A 1-way sensitivity analysis was performed to assess the uncertainty.

RESULTS

There were 941 000 newborn infants in our cohort and 114 cases of biliary atresia. The base case analysis showed that the stool color card strategy was $14 927 337 higher than no screening with an increase in 44 more event-free life-years gained, resulting in an ICER of $339 258 per event-free life-year gained. The DB screening strategy compared with stool color card was $138 994 060 higher with an increase in 271 more event-free life-years gained and an ICER of $512 893 per event-free life-year gained. The DB screening strategy compared with no screening resulted in an ICER of $488 639 per event-free life-year gained. The DB screening resulted in 16 fewer liver transplants than stool color card and stool color card had 2 fewer liver transplants than no screening.

CONCLUSIONS

Universal screening for biliary atresia could be cost-effective depending on the willingness to pay thresholds for health benefits.

Navigated intramedullary nailing for patients with intertrochanteric hip fractures is cost-effective at high-volume hospitals in mainland China: A markov decision analysis

Objective

Previous studies have reported that navigation systems can improve clinical outcomes of intramedullary nailing (IMN) for patients with intertrochanteric fractures. However, information is lacking regarding the relationship between the costs of navigated systems and clinical outcomes. The present research aimed to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of navigated IMN as compared with traditional freehand IMN for patients with intertrochanteric fractures.

Methods

A Markov decision model with a 5-year time horizon was constructed to investigate the costs, clinical outcomes and incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) of navigated IMN for a 70-year-old patient with an intertrochanteric fracture in mainland China. The costs [Chinese Yuan (¥)], health utilities (quality-adjusted life-years, QALYs) and transition probabilities were obtained from published studies. The willingness-to-pay threshold for ICER was set at ¥1,40,000/QALY following the Chinese gross domestic product in 2020. Three institutional surgical volumes were used to determine the average navigation-related costs per patient: low volume (100 cases), medium volume (200 cases) and high volume (300 cases).

Results

Institutes at which 300, 200 and 100 cases of navigated IMN were performed per year showed an ICER of ¥43,149/QALY, ¥76,132.5/QALY and ¥1,75,083/QALY, respectively. Navigated IMN would achieve cost-effectiveness at institutes with an annual volume of more than 125 cases.

Conclusions

Our analysis demonstrated that the navigated IMN could be cost-effective for patients with inter-trochanteric fracture as compared to traditional freehand IMN. However, the cost-effectiveness was more likely to be achieved at institutes with a higher surgical volume.

Cost-effectiveness analysis of ultra-hypofractionated radiotherapy and conventionally fractionated radiotherapy for intermediate- to high-risk localized prostate cancer

Background

Radiotherapy is an effective curative treatment option for intermediate- to high-risk localized prostate cancer. According to the HYPO-RT-PC trial (ISRCTN45905321), there was no significant difference in 5 years of follow-up in terms of failure-free survival, overall survival, urinary toxicity, and bowel toxicity, while erectile function decreased between ultra-hypofractionated radiotherapy with conventionally fractionated radiotherapy, except that the incidence of urinary toxicity in ultra-hypofractionated radiotherapy was higher at 1 year of follow-up. We evaluated the cost-effectiveness of ultra-hypofractionated radiotherapy and conventionally fractionated radiotherapy for intermediate- to high-risk localized prostate cancer from the Chinese payer's perspective.

Methods

We developed a Markov model with a 15-year time horizon to compare the cost and effectiveness of ultra-hypofractionated radiotherapy with those of conventionally fractionated radiotherapy for localized intermediate- to high-risk prostate cancer. The outcomes were measured in quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs), incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER), and willingness-to-pay (WTP). Univariable and probability sensitivity analyses were performed to evaluate the robustness of the Markov model.

Results

Based on the Markov model, conventionally fractionated radiotherapy yielded 2.32 QALYs compared with 2.14 QALYs in ultra-hypofractionated radiotherapy in China. The cost of ultra-hypofractionated radiotherapy was found to be decreased by about 14% folds ($4,251.04) in comparison with that of conventionally fractionated radiotherapy. The ICER of conventionally fractionated radiotherapy versus that of ultra-hypofractionated radiotherapy was $23,616.89 per QALY in China. The failure-free survival with grade 2 or worse urinary toxicity and the discount rate per annum were the most sensitive parameters utilized in ultra-hypofractionated radiotherapy. The cost-effectiveness acceptability curve showed that conventionally fractionated radiotherapy had 57.7% probability of being cost-effective under the Chinese WTP threshold.

Conclusion

From the perspective of Chinese payers, ultra-hypofractionated radiotherapy was not a cost-effective strategy compared with conventionally fractionated radiotherapy for patients with localized intermediate- to high-risk prostate cancer. Nevertheless, reduction of the grade 2 or worse urinary toxicity of ultra-hypofractionated radiotherapy could alter the results.

Cost-Effectiveness Analysis of Hp and New Gastric Cancer Screening Scoring System for Screening and Prevention of Gastric Cancer

Gastric cancer is one of the most common gastrointestinal cancers. Early diagnosis can improve the 5-year survival rate. This study aimed to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of Helicobacter pylori (Hp) and a new gastric cancer screening scoring system (NGCS) in areas with a high incidence of gastric cancer. A decision-analytic Markov model was constructed based on the theory and method of cost-effectiveness analysis, which included three decisions: no screening, Hp screening, and NGCS screening. The uncertainty of each parameter in the model was determined using a one-way sensitivity analysis and probability sensitivity analysis. The results of the cost-effectiveness analysis revealed that the application of the NGCS had the highest cost-effectiveness, while the one-way sensitivity analysis revealed that the probability of intestinal metaplasia progression to dysplasia had the most significant effect on the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio. The probability sensitivity analysis concluded that the result of the NGCS having the highest cost-effectiveness was stable. Although the application of the NGCS will require upfront screening costs, it can significantly improve the detection rate of early gastric cancer and save the consequent long-term healthcare costs. It is practicable and can be popularized in China.

Immunotherapy or targeted therapy as the first-line strategies for unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma: A network meta-analysis and cost-effectiveness analysis

Introduction

The existence of many phase III randomized controlled trials (RCTs) of first-line treatment for unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) puzzle doctors and patients in choosing the most effective treatment strategies. We aimed to assess the efficacy, safety, and cost-effectiveness of immunotherapy or targeted therapy as the first-line strategy for unresectable HCC.

Methods

The included clinical trials were retrieved from PubMed, Embase, the Cochrane library, and Web of Science databases, in which immunotherapy or targeted therapy was regarded as the first-line treatment for unresectable HCC, published in English between January 1, 2010, and September 20, 2022. We conducted a network meta-analysis (NMA) and cost-effectiveness analysis (CEA) from the Chinese payer's perspective. Overall survival (OS), progression-free survival (PFS), the ranks of different treatments using P-score, and adverse events (AEs) were evaluated by NMA. Total costs, life-years (LYs), quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs), and incremental cost-benefit ratio (ICER) were estimated from 15-year Markov models developed by CEA.

Results

We identified 2,825 records, including 11,796 patients, from 15 RCTs. The NMA revealed that sintilimab plus a bevacizumab biosimilar (HR, 0.57; 95% CI, 0.43 to 0.75; P = 0.96) and camrelizumab plus rivoceranib (HR, 0.56; 95% CI, 0.41 to 0.66; P = 0.94) could lead to great improvements in OS and PFS compared with sorafenib-related survival. The CEA indicated that tislelizumab increased by 0.220 QALYs (0.312 LYs) and decreased by $1,938 compared with sorafenib, which yielded ICERs of -$8,809/QALY (-$2,612/LY). Sensitivity analysis showed that the model was stable.

Conclusion

Sintilimab plus a bevacizumab biosimilar and camrelizumab plus rivoceranib significantly prolonged OS and PFS, respectively. Further considering the pharmacoeconomics factors, tislelizumab is the most cost-effective first-line treatment strategy for unresectable HCC in China.

Cost-effectiveness analysis on implementing newborn hearing screening programmes in a low- to middle-income country

OBJECTIVE

To analyse the cost-effectiveness (CE) of implementing different newborn hearing screening protocols in a low- to middle-income country.

DESIGN

A decision analytical model with a 78-year time horizon.

STUDY SAMPLE

Direct medical, direct non-medical and indirect costs were collected from 126 subjects in southern Thailand. Various protocols involving universal newborn hearing screening (UNHS) and targeted newborn hearing screening (TNHS), using two technologies, namely automated otoacoustic emissions (aOAEs) and automated auditory brainstem responses (aABRs), were evaluated. Incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) were calculated for all protocols in United States dollars (US$)/quality-adjusted life year (QALY) gained. Also, probabilistic sensitivity analyses with 1000 trials for each specific protocol were performed.

RESULTS

The ICERs of UNHS with aOAE, UNHS with aABR, TNHS with aABR and UNHS with optimised baseline parameters were 3702, 3545, 1545 and 2483 US$/QALY gained, respectively. With the CE threshold of 5000 US$/QALY gained, the chances of ICERs to be cost-effective for UNHS with aOAE, UNHS with aABR, TNHS with aABR and UNHS with optimised baseline parameters were 72, 77, 93 and 94%, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

All screening protocols were considered as cost-effective, and a very high chance of being cost-effective for UNHS could be achieved when certain baseline parameters were optimised.

The cost-effectiveness analysis of serplulimab versus regorafenib for treating previously treated unresectable or metastatic microsatellite instability-high or deficient mismatch repair colorectal cancer in China

Objective

The aim of this study was to investigate the cost-effectiveness of serplulimab versus regorafenib in previously treated unresectable or metastatic microsatellite instability-high (MSI-H)/deficient mismatch repair (dMMR) colorectal cancer in China.

Methods

From the perspective of China's health-care system, a Markov model with three health states (progression free, progression, death) was developed for estimating the costs and health outcomes of serplulimab and regorafenib. Data for unanchored matching-adjusted indirect comparison (MAIC), standard parametric survival analysis, the mixed cure model, and transition probabilities calculation were obtained from clinical trials (ASTRUM-010 and CONCUR). Health-care resource utilization and costs were derived from government-published data and expert interviews. Utilities used to calculate quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) were obtained from clinical trials and literature reviews. The primary outcome was the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) expressed as cost/QALY gained. Four scenarios were considered in scenario analysis: (a) using original survival data without conducting MAIC; (b) limiting the time horizon to the follow-up time of the clinical trial of serplulimab; (c) adopting a fourfold increase in the risk of death; and (d) applying utilities from two other sources. One-way sensitivity analysis and probabilistic sensitivity analysis were also performed to assess the uncertainty of the results.

Results

In the base-case analysis, serplulimab provided 6.00 QALYs at a cost of $68,722, whereas regorafenib provided 0.69 QALYs at a cost of $40,106. Compared with that for treatment with regorafenib, the ICER for treatment with serplulimab was $5,386/QALY, which was significantly lower than the triple GDP per capita of China in 2021 ($30,036), which was the threshold used to define the cost-effectiveness. In the scenario analysis, the ICERs were $6,369/QALY, $20,613/QALY, $6,037/QALY, $4,783/QALY, and $6,167/QALY, respectively. In the probabilistic sensitivity analysis, the probability of serplulimab being cost-effective was 100% at the threshold of $30,036/QALY.

Conclusion

Compared with regorafenib, serplulimab is a cost-effective treatment for patients with previously treated unresectable or metastatic MSI-H/dMMR colorectal cancer in China.

Cost-Effectiveness of Bariatric Surgery in Tunisia

PURPOSE

Obesity is a growing global issue with evidence linking it to an increase in loss of disease-free years, reduced quality of life, increased mortality, and additional economic burden. This study sought to establish the cost-effectiveness of gastric bypass and sleeve gastrectomy, compared to conventional therapy in patients with obesity, from a Tunisian healthcare payor perspective.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

A Markov model compared lifetime costs and outcomes of bariatric surgery with conventional treatment among patients with body mass index (BMI) ≥ 40 kg/m², BMI ≥ 35 kg/m² with obesity-related co-morbidities (Group 1), or BMI ≥ 35 kg/m² with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) (Group 2). Inputs were sourced from the Tunisian Health Examination Survey, local clinician data and literature sources. Health states were associated with different cost and utility decrements. Changes in body mass index, systolic blood pressure, lipid ratio and diabetes remission rates were modelled on a yearly basis. The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER), quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) and net monetary benefit (NMB) were key outcomes. Sensitivity and scenario analyses were performed to test the model's robustness.

RESULTS

The model showed that the benefits of bariatric surgery were favorable compared to conventional treatment, with an ICER of 1844 TND/QALY in Group 1 patients and 2413 TND/QALY in Group 2 patients. Bariatric surgery resulted in a QALY gain of 3.26 per patient in Group 1 and a gain of 1.77 per patient in Group 2. At a willingness to pay threshold of 31,379 TND/QALY, the incremental NMB was 96,251 TND and 51,123 TND for Group 1 and Group 2, respectively.

CONCLUSION

From the Tunisian healthcare payor perspective, bariatric surgery is cost-effective for patients with obesity and those with T2DM and obesity-related comorbidities. These findings may have impact on future decision-making on funding and reimbursement of bariatric surgery in Tunisia.

Implementation of the Management of Anticoagulation in the Periprocedural Period App into an Electronic Health Record: A Cost-Effectiveness Analysis

The Management of Anticoagulation in the Periprocedural Period (MAPPP) app is a free tool providing up-to-date guidelines on the periprocedural management of patients on long-term anticoagulants. After validating its effectiveness in the post-procedural period, we aimed to study its overall cost-effectiveness. SF-12 surveys were sent to eligible patients, converted into SF-6D forms, and subsequently into quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) to calculate the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER). The number of 30-day readmissions was used to calculate hospitalization costs, utilizing publicly available data. From 1/1/2018 to 1/31/2019, 642 patients were screened for enrollment, with an overall response rate of 94% (164/175) among the consented and 49% (164/336) among all eligible patients. The average QALY score was 0.7134 (95% CI [0.6836, 0.7431]) for the patients whose treatment plan followed the MAPPP app recommendations (acceptance group) and 0.7104 (95% CI [0.6760, 0.7448]) for those who did not (rejection group), without statistically significant differences. The difference in ICER scores was -$429 866.67, with the negative sign demonstrating that acceptance was the dominant strategy. By utilizing QALYs and ICER scores we have shown that the acceptance of MAPPP app recommendations is the dominant strategy for the periprocedural management of patients on long-term anticoagulation.

Cost-Effectiveness of a Specialized Breathlessness Service Versus Usual Care for Patients With Advanced Diseases

OBJECTIVES

The Munich Breathlessness Service (MBS) significantly improved control of breathlessness measured by the Chronic Respiratory Questionnaire (CRQ) Mastery in a randomized controlled fast track trial with waitlist group design spanning 8 weeks in Germany. This study aimed to assess the within-trial cost-effectiveness of MBS from a societal perspective.

METHODS

Data included generic (5-level version of EQ-5D) health-related quality of life and disease-specific CRQ Mastery. Quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) were calculated based on 5-level version of EQ-5D utilities valued with German time trade-off. Direct medical costs and productivity loss were calculated based on standardized unit costs. Incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICER) and cost-effectiveness-acceptance curves were calculated using adjusted mean differences (AMD) in costs (gamma-distributed model) and both effect parameters (Gaussian-distributed model) and performing 1000 simultaneous bootstrap replications. Potential gender differences were investigated in stratified analyses.

RESULTS

Between March 2014 and April 2019, 183 eligible patients were enrolled. MBS intervention demonstrated significantly better effects regarding generic (AMD of QALY gains of 0.004, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.0003 to 0.008) and disease-specific health-related quality of life at nonsignificantly higher costs (AMD of €605 [95% CI -1109 to 2550]). At the end of the intervention, the ICER was €152 433/QALY (95% CI -453 545 to 1 625 903) and €1548/CRQ Mastery point (95% CI -3093 to 10 168). Intervention costs were on average €357 (SD = 132). Gender-specific analyses displayed dominance for MBS in males and higher effects coupled with significantly higher costs in females.

CONCLUSIONS

Our results show a high ICER for MBS. Considering dominance for MBS in males, implementing MBS on approval within the German health care system should be considered.

Cost-effectiveness of broadly neutralizing antibody prophylaxis for HIV-exposed infants in sub-Saharan African settings

INTRODUCTION

Infant HIV prophylaxis with broadly neutralizing anti-HIV antibodies (bNAbs) could provide long-acting protection against vertical transmission. We sought to estimate the potential clinical impact and cost-effectiveness of hypothetical bNAb prophylaxis programmes for children known to be HIV exposed at birth in three sub-Saharan African settings.

METHODS

We conducted a cost-effectiveness analysis using the CEPAC-Pediatric model, simulating cohorts of infants from birth through death in Côte d'Ivoire, South Africa and Zimbabwe. These settings were selected to reflect a broad range of HIV care cascade characteristics, antenatal HIV prevalence and budgetary constraints. We modelled strategies targeting bNAbs to only WHO-designated "high-risk" HIV-exposed infants (HR-HIVE) or to all HIV-exposed infants (HIVE). We compared four prophylaxis approaches within each target population: standard of care oral antiretroviral prophylaxis (SOC), and SOC plus bNAbs at birth (1-dose), at birth and 3 months (2-doses), or every 3 months throughout breastfeeding (Extended). Base-case model inputs included bNAb efficacy (60%/dose), effect duration (3 months/dose) and costs ($60/dose), based on published literature. Outcomes included paediatric HIV incidence and incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) calculated from discounted life expectancy and lifetime HIV-related costs.

RESULTS

The model projects that bNAbs would reduce absolute infant HIV incidence by 0.3-2.2% (9.6-34.9% relative reduction), varying by country, prophylaxis approach and target population. In all three settings, HR-HIVE-1-dose would be cost-saving compared to SOC. Using a 50% GDP per capita ICER threshold, HIVE-Extended would be cost-effective in all three settings with ICERs of $497/YLS in Côte d'Ivoire, $464/YLS in South Africa and $455/YLS in Zimbabwe. In all three settings, bNAb strategies would remain cost-effective at costs up to $200/dose if efficacy is ≥30%. If the bNAb effect duration were reduced to 1 month, the cost-effective strategy would become HR-HIVE-1-dose in Côte d'Ivoire and Zimbabwe and HR-HIVE-2-doses in South Africa. Findings regarding the cost-effectiveness of bNAb implementation strategies remained robust in sensitivity analyses regarding breastfeeding duration, maternal engagement in postpartum care, early infant diagnosis uptake and antiretroviral treatment costs.

CONCLUSIONS

At current efficacy and cost estimates, bNAb prophylaxis for HIV-exposed children in sub-Saharan African settings would be a cost-effective intervention to reduce vertical HIV transmission.

Cost-Effectiveness of Pediatric Universal Screening for Familial Hypercholesterolemia in Argentina

OBJECTIVE

Our study aimed to evaluate the expected cost-effectiveness of pediatric universal screening for the early diagnosis of familial hypercholesterolemia in Argentina using a probabilistic model.

METHODS

Two different healthcare technologies were compared: (1) Universal screening of hypercholesterolemia at 6 years of age and (2) previous diagnostic situation (comparator). The perspective of the public Argentine healthcare system funded by the National Ministry of Health was used, considering only direct costs. Effectiveness was evaluated in terms of the number of life-years gained (LYG) and quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) obtained by identifying familial hypercholesterolemia through each of the screening strategies. Only direct costs of screening and treatment of each strategy were evaluated. The time horizon was extended to 60 years. Future avoided costs of prevented coronary events were also included. Cost-effectiveness was measured in terms of the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) per LYG and QALYs. Different scenarios were evaluated: (1) only index case, (2) index case and first-degree relatives, and (3) index case and first-degree relatives measuring QALYs. Sensitivity studies were conducted.

RESULTS

Each identified child complying with follow-up visits and treatment gains 8.14 life-years. The ICER values obtained were 1465.35 USD/LYG and 1726.50 USD/LYG when applying a discount rate of 5%. The ICER was 10%-17% of the gross domestic product per capita in Argentina (mean 2010-2019: 12 446 USD) and did not exceed the minimum annual retirement income.

CONCLUSION

Pediatric universal screening for familial hypercholesterolemia could be considered a cost-effective health technology in Argentina.

Fecal microbiota transplantation for patients with active ulcerative colitis: A cost-effectiveness analysis

BACKGROUND AND AIM

Growing studies have demonstrated clinical benefits of fecal microbiota transplantation (FMT) therapy (administered by colonoscopy, enema, or both) for active ulcerative colitis (UC). This study aimed to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of standard treatment with and without FMT therapy for mild-to-moderate active UC from the perspective of US healthcare provider.

METHODS

A 10-year Markov model was developed to evaluate the costs and quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) of standard treatment plus FMT therapy versus standard treatment alone. Model inputs were retrieved from publish data in literature. Base-case and sensitivity analyses were performed.

RESULTS

In the base-case analysis, standard treatment plus FMT therapy was more effective than standard treatment alone (by 0.068 QALYs). Comparing to standard treatment alone, standard treatment plus FMT therapy varied from cost-saving to incremental cost, subject to the number of FMT administrations. One-way sensitivity analysis identified the relative risk of achieving remission with FMT therapy to be the most influential factor on the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of standard treatment plus FMT therapy. Monte-Carlo simulations showed that standard treatment plus FMT therapy with 3 and 6 administrations per FMT course was cost-effective (at willingness-to-pay threshold = 50 000 USD/QALY) in 90.77% and 67.03% of time, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Standard treatment plus FMT therapy appears to be more effective in gaining higher QALYs than standard therapy alone for patients with mild-to-moderate active UC. Cost-effectiveness of standard treatment plus FMT therapy is highly subject to the relative improvement in achieving remission with standard therapy plus FMT therapy and number of FMT administrations per FMT course.

Use of Advanced Flexible Modeling Approaches for Survival Extrapolation from Early Follow-up Data in two Nivolumab Trials in Advanced NSCLC with Extended Follow-up

OBJECTIVES

Immuno-oncology (IO) therapies are often associated with delayed responses that are deep and durable, manifesting as long-term survival benefits in patients with metastatic cancer. Complex hazard functions arising from IO treatments may limit the accuracy of extrapolations from standard parametric models (SPMs). We evaluated the ability of flexible parametric models (FPMs) to improve survival extrapolations using data from 2 trials involving patients with non-small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC).

METHODS

Our analyses used consecutive database locks (DBLs) at 2-, 3-, and 5-y minimum follow-up from trials evaluating nivolumab versus docetaxel in patients with pretreated metastatic squamous (CheckMate-017) and nonsquamous (CheckMate-057) NSCLC. For each DBL, SPMs, as well as 3 FPMs-landmark response models (LRMs), mixture cure models (MCMs), and Bayesian multiparameter evidence synthesis (B-MPES)-were estimated on nivolumab overall survival (OS). The performance of each parametric model was assessed by comparing milestone restricted mean survival times (RMSTs) and survival probabilities with results obtained from externally validated SPMs.

RESULTS

For the 2- and 3-y DBLs of both trials, all models tended to underestimate 5-y OS. Predictions from nonvalidated SPMs fitted to the 2-y DBLs were highly unreliable, whereas extrapolations from FPMs were much more consistent between models fitted to successive DBLs. For CheckMate-017, in which an apparent survival plateau emerges in the 3-y DBL, MCMs fitted to this DBL estimated 5-y OS most accurately (11.6% v. 12.3% observed), and long-term predictions were similar to those from the 5-y validated SPM (20-y RMST: 30.2 v. 30.5 mo). For CheckMate-057, where there is no clear evidence of a survival plateau in the early DBLs, only B-MPES was able to accurately predict 5-y OS (14.1% v. 14.0% observed [3-y DBL]).

CONCLUSIONS

We demonstrate that the use of FPMs for modeling OS in NSCLC patients from early follow-up data can yield accurate estimates for RMST observed with longer follow-up and provide similar long-term extrapolations to externally validated SPMs based on later data cuts. B-MPES generated reasonable predictions even when fitted to the 2-y DBLs of the studies, whereas MCMs were more reliant on longer-term data to estimate a plateau and therefore performed better from 3 y. Generally, LRM extrapolations were less reliable than those from alternative FPMs and validated SPMs but remained superior to nonvalidated SPMs. Our work demonstrates the potential benefits of using advanced parametric models that incorporate external data sources, such as B-MPES and MCMs, to allow for accurate evaluation of treatment clinical and cost-effectiveness from trial data with limited follow-up.

HIGHLIGHTS

Flexible advanced parametric modeling methods can provide improved survival extrapolations for immuno-oncology cost-effectiveness in health technology assessments from early clinical trial data that better anticipate extended follow-up.Advantages include leveraging additional observable trial data, the systematic integration of external data, and more detailed modeling of underlying processes.Bayesian multiparameter evidence synthesis performed particularly well, with well-matched external data.Mixture cure models also performed well but may require relatively longer follow-up to identify an emergent plateau, depending on the specific setting.Landmark response models offered marginal benefits in this scenario and may require greater numbers in each response group and/or increased follow-up to support improved extrapolation within each subgroup.

Cost-effectiveness and cost-utility analysis of somatrogon once-weekly injections vs. daily growth hormone injection for treating paediatric growth hormone deficiency in Ireland

OBJECTIVES

Paediatric growth hormone deficiency (pGHD) manifests as growth failure associated with inadequate growth hormone (GH) production. Daily injections of recombinant human GH (dGH) [somatropin] is the current standard of care, which has been shown to be well tolerated and effective, but associated with suboptimal adherence, leading to reduced effectiveness. Somatrogon, a once-weekly injectable long-acting human GH, has demonstrated clinical non-inferiority and significantly lower life interference (i.e. treatment burden) vs. somatropin in two Phase 3 studies. This work evaluated cost-effectiveness and cost-utility of somatrogon vs dGHs from an Irish payer perspective.

METHODS

A Markov model was developed for patients starting somatrogon or dGHs treatment at 3-12 years and continuing up to achievement of near adult height (NAH), with growth driven by trial-based height velocity (HV) and treatment-specific adherence. Patients could discontinue treatment at the end of Year 1 (4%). DGH adherence (95.3%-65% over treatment duration) and adherence-growth relationship were based on published evidence. Higher Year 1 adherence of 4%, tapering over time, for somatrogon vs. dGHs was based on clinical consultation. Treatment costs, monitoring costs and costs due to different wastage types (device setting and adherence) were sourced from local data. Health utilities based on height and injection frequency were derived from published literature. Scenario analysis, deterministic and probabilistic sensitivity analysis were performed.

RESULTS

Somatrogon treatment led to 1.87-3.66 cm greater NAH gain and 0.21-0.50 higher quality adjusted life years (QALYs) vs. dGHs, across the base case and scenarios evaluated. Somatrogon treatment was associated with cost savings of €5,699-€21,974 and lower cost per cm gained vs. dGHs (€197-€527), per patient. Somatrogon was cost-effective vs. dGHs, with the result consistent across the sensitivity analyses conducted.

CONCLUSION

Somatrogon weekly injections were estimated to result in higher NAH, higher QALYs, lower overall costs and lower costs per cm gained than dGHs, in pGHD.