Projected increase in obesity and non-alcoholic-steatohepatitis-related liver transplantation waitlist additions in the United States

Leptin decreases de novo lipogenesis in patients with lipodystrophy

De novo lipogenesis (DNL) plays a role in the development of hepatic steatosis. In humans with lipodystrophy, reduced adipose tissue causes lower plasma leptin, insulin resistance, dyslipidemia, and ectopic triglyceride (TG) accumulation. We hypothesized that recombinant leptin (metreleptin) for 6 months in 11 patients with lipodystrophy would reduce DNL by decreasing insulin resistance and glycemia, thus reducing circulating TG and hepatic TG. The percentage of TG in TG-rich lipoprotein particle (TRLP-TG) derived from DNL (%DNL) was measured by deuterium incorporation from body water into palmitate. At baseline, DNL was elevated, similar to levels previously shown in obesity-associated nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). After metreleptin, DNL decreased into the normal range. Similarly, absolute DNL (TRLP-TG × %DNL) decreased by 88% to near-normal levels. Metreleptin improved peripheral insulin sensitivity (hyperinsulinemic-euglycemic clamp) and lowered hemoglobin A1c and hepatic TG. Both before and after metreleptin, DNL positively correlated with insulin resistance, insulin doses, and hepatic TG, supporting the hypothesis that hyperinsulinemia stimulates DNL and that elevated DNL is integral to the pathogenesis of lipodystrophy-associated NAFLD. These data suggest that leptin-mediated improvement in insulin sensitivity increases clearance of blood glucose by peripheral tissues, reduces hepatic carbohydrate flux, and lowers insulinemia, resulting in DNL reductions and improvements in hepatic steatosis and dyslipidemia.

A Systematic Review of Newer Antidiabetic Agents in the Treatment of Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate glucagon-like peptide 1 receptor agonists (GLP-1 RAs), dipeptidyl-peptidase IV (DPP-4) inhibitors, and sodium-glucose cotransporter 2 (SGLT) inhibitors to treat nondiabetic and type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) as it relates to improvement in hepatosteatosis (HS) or steatohepatitis (SH).

DATA SOURCES

MEDLINE and CINAHL were searched from inception through May 1, 2020. Search terms included nonalcoholic steatohepatitis, nonalcoholic fatty liver disease, fatty liver, dipeptidyl-peptidase IV inhibitors, glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists, and sodium-glucose transporter 2 inhibitors.

STUDY SELECTION AND DATA EXTRACTION

Full-text observational and randomized controlled studies in English were included. Patients diagnosed with NAFLD, treated with GLP-1 RAs, DPP-4 inhibitors, and SGLT2 inhibitors, with measures to evaluate HS or SH were evaluated.

DATA SYNTHESIS

Eight GLP-1 RA trials were reviewed; 7 GLP-1 RA trials showed improvement in HS. Two studies demonstrated improvement in liver histology in patients with SH. Seven SGLT2 inhibitor studies were reviewed; 6 studies demonstrated improvements in NAFLD. Five studies showed improvements in HS, whereas 1 displayed improvement in liver histology in NASH. Six studies that included DPP-4 inhibitors were evaluated, and only 2 demonstrated improvement in NASH.

RELEVANCE TO PATIENT CARE AND CLINICAL PRACTICE

Based on evidence reviewed, GLP-1 RAs and SGLT2 inhibitors decreased HS and SH in NAFLD patients, whereas DPP-4 inhibitor therapy was not effective for patients with HS.

CONCLUSIONS

Based on study data utilizing imaging studies and biopsy results, GLP-1 RAs or SGLT2 inhibitors can benefit NAFLD T2DM patients. Clinical trials with larger patient populations may augment these results.

Outcomes after hepatic encephalopathy in population-based cohorts of patients with cirrhosis

BACKGROUND

Hepatic encephalopathy is a devastating complication of cirrhosis.

AIM

To describe the outcomes after developing hepatic encephalopathy among contemporary, aging patients.

METHODS

We examined data for a 20% random sample of United States Medicare enrolees with cirrhosis and Part D prescription coverage from 2008 to 2014. Among 49 164 persons with hepatic encephalopathy, we evaluated the associations with transplant-free survival using Cox proportional hazard models with time-varying covariates (hazard ratios, HR) and incidence rate ratios (IRR) for healthcare utilisation measured in hospital-days and 30-day readmissions per person-year. We validated our findings in an external cohort of 2184 privately insured patients with complete laboratory values.

RESULTS

Hepatic encephalopathy was associated with median survivals of 0.95 and 2.5 years for those ≥65 or <65 years old and 1.1 versus 3.9 years for those with and without ascites. Non-alcoholic fatty-liver disease posed the highest adjusted risk of death among aetiologies, HR 1.07 95% CI (1.02, 1.12). Both gastroenterology consultation and rifaximin utilisation were associated with lower mortality, respective adjusted-HR 0.73 95% CI (0.67, 0.80) and 0.40 95% CI (0.39, 0.42). Thirty-day readmissions were fewer for patients seen by gastroenterologists (0.71 95% CI [0.57-0.88]) and taking rifaximin (0.18 95% CI [0.08-0.40]). Lactulose alone was associated with fewer hospital-days, IRR 0.31 95% CI (0.30-0.32), than rifaximin alone, 0.49 95% CI (0.45-0.53), but the optimal therapy combination was lactulose/rifaximin, IRR 0.28 95% CI (0.27-0.30). These findings were validated in the privately insured cohort adjusting for model for endstage liver disease-sodium score and serum albumin.

CONCLUSIONS

Hepatic encephalopathy remains morbid and associated with poor outcomes among contemporary patients. Gastroenterology consultation and combination lactulose-rifaximin are both associated with improved outcomes. These data inform the development of care coordination efforts for subjects with cirrhosis.

Randomized placebo-controlled trial of emricasan for non-alcoholic steatohepatitis-related cirrhosis with severe portal hypertension

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Emricasan, an oral pan-caspase inhibitor, decreased portal pressure in experimental cirrhosis and in an open-label study in patients with cirrhosis and severe portal hypertension, defined as a hepatic venous pressure gradient (HVPG) ≥12 mmHg. We aimed to confirm these results in a placebo-controlled study in patients with non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH)-related cirrhosis.

METHODS

We performed a multicenter double-blinded study, randomizing 263 patients with NASH-related cirrhosis and baseline HVPG ≥12 mmHg to twice daily oral emricasan 5 mg, 25 mg, 50 mg or placebo in a 1:1:1:1 ratio for up to 48 weeks. The primary endpoint was change in HVPG (ΔHVPG) at week 24. Secondary endpoints were changes in biomarkers (aminotransferases, caspases, cytokeratins) and development of liver-related outcomes.

RESULTS

There were no significant differences in ΔHVPG for any emricasan dose vs. placebo (-0.21, -0.45, -0.58 mmHg, respectively) adjusted for baseline HVPG, compensation status, and non-selective beta-blocker use. Compensated patients (n = 201 [76%]) tended to have a greater decrease in HVPG (emricasan all vs. placebo, p = 0.06), the decrease being greater in those with higher baseline HVPG (p = 0.018), with a significant interaction between baseline HVPG (continuous, p = 0.024; dichotomous at 16 mmHg [median], p = 0.013) and treatment. Biomarkers decreased significantly with emricasan at week 24 but returned to baseline levels by week 48. New or worsening decompensating events (∼10% over median exposure of 337 days), progression in model for end-stage liver disease and Child-Pugh scores, and treatment-emergent adverse events were similar among treatment groups.

CONCLUSIONS

Despite a reduction in biomarkers indicating target engagement, emricasan was not associated with improvement in HVPG or clinical outcomes in patients with NASH-related cirrhosis and severe portal hypertension. Compensated patients with higher baseline HVPG had evidence of a small treatment effect. Emricasan treatment appeared safe and well-tolerated.

LAY SUMMARY

Cirrhosis (scarring of the liver) is the main consequence of non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH). Cirrhosis leads to high pressure in the portal vein which accounts for most of the complications of cirrhosis. Reducing portal pressure is beneficial in patients with cirrhosis. We studied the possibility that emricasan, a drug that improves inflammation and scarring in the liver, would reduce portal pressure in patients with NASH-related cirrhosis and severe portal hypertension. Our results in a large, prospective, double-blind study could not demonstrate a beneficial effect of emricasan in these patients.

CLINICAL TRIAL NUMBER

Clinical Trials.gov #NCT02960204.

Macrophage Subsets in Obesity, Aligning the Liver and Adipose Tissue

The increasing prevalence of obesity is accompanied by a rising incidence in metabolic syndrome and related pathologies such as non-alcoholic fatty liver disease. Macrophages are hypothesized to play central roles in these diseases, through their role as inflammatory mediators and as such are thought to be potential targets for future therapies. Recently, single cell technologies have revealed significant heterogeneity within the macrophage pool in both liver and adipose tissue in obesity. Thus current efforts are focused on dissecting this heterogeneity and understanding the distinct functions of the individual subsets. In this review, we discuss the current knowledge regarding macrophage heterogeneity, ontogeny and functions in the context of obese adipose tissue and fatty liver disease and attempt to align the distinct populations described to date.

Non-invasive diagnosis: non-alcoholic fatty liver disease and alcoholic liver disease

Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) and alcoholic liver disease (ALD) are becoming the leading causes of chronic liver disease worldwide, significantly impacting public health and healthcare cost. The development of fibrosis is the main factor leading to early mortality and morbidity in NAFLD and ALD. Thus, it is important to timely and reliably evaluate these diseases at early stages, when fibrosis is not advanced or when steatosis predominates. Liver biopsy has been the standard of reference for fibrosis and steatosis, however, its invasiveness precludes its widespread use. There is growing research on non-invasive methods for diagnosing and stratifying fibrosis and steatosis in NAFLD and ALD. This review presents clinical evidence on the use of non-invasive assessment of liver disease (blood-based and imaging-based) in patients with NALFD and ALD, and proposes algorithms incorporating these tests into their management.

Effects of Belapectin, an Inhibitor of Galectin-3, in Patients With Nonalcoholic Steatohepatitis With Cirrhosis and Portal Hypertension

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Increased levels of galectin 3 have been associated with nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) and contribute to toxin-induced liver fibrosis in mice. GR-MD-02 (belapectin) is an inhibitor of galectin 3 that reduces liver fibrosis and portal hypertension in rats and was safe and well tolerated in phase 1 studies. We performed a phase 2b, randomized trial of the safety and efficacy of GR-MD-02 in patients with NASH, cirrhosis, and portal hypertension.

METHODS

Patients with NASH, cirrhosis, and portal hypertension (hepatic venous pressure gradient [HVPG] ≥ 6 mm Hg) from 36 centers were randomly assigned, in a double-blind manner, to groups that received biweekly infusions of belapectin 2 mg/kg (n = 54), 8 mg/kg (n = 54), or placebo (n = 54) for 52 weeks. The primary endpoint was change in HVPG (Δ HVPG) at the end of the 52-week period compared with baseline. Secondary endpoints included changes in liver histology and development of liver-related outcomes.

RESULTS

We found no significant difference in ΔHVPG between the 2 mg/kg belapectin group and placebo group (-0.28 mm HG vs 0.10 mm HG, P = 1.0) or between the 8 mg/kg belapectin and placebo group (-0.25 mm HG vs 0.10 mm HG, P = 1.0). Belapectin had no significant effect on fibrosis or nonalcoholic fatty liver disease activity score, and liver-related outcomes did not differ significantly among groups. In an analysis of a subgroup of patients without esophageal varices at baseline (n = 81), 2 mg/kg belapectin was associated with a reduction in HVPG at 52 weeks compared with baseline (P = .02) and reduced development of new varices (P = .03). Belapectin (2 mg/kg) was well tolerated and produced no safety signals.

CONCLUSIONS

In a phase 2b study of 162 patients with NASH, cirrhosis, and portal hypertension, 1 year of biweekly infusion of belapectin was safe but not associated with significant reduction in HVPG or fibrosis compared with placebo. However, in a subgroup analysis of patients without esophageal varices, 2 mg/kg belapectin did reduce HVPG and development of varices. ClinicalTrials.gov number: NCT02462967.

Genetic Risk Factors and Disease Modifiers of Nonalcoholic Steatohepatitis

Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease is strongly associated with obesity and the metabolic syndrome, but genetic factors also contribute to disease susceptibility. Human genetic studies have identified several common genetic variants contributing to nonalcoholic fatty liver disease initiation and progression. These findings have provided new insights into the pathogenesis of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease and opened up new avenues for the development of therapeutic interventions. In this review, we summarize the current state of knowledge about the genetic determinants of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease, focusing on the most robustly validated genetic risk factors and on recently discovered modifiers of disease progression.

Implications of Nonalcoholic Steatohepatitis as the Cause of End-Stage Liver Disease Before and After Liver Transplant

Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is the most common cause of chronic liver disease. Nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) is the clinically aggressive variant of NAFLD and has a propensity for fibrosis progression and cirrhosis. The prevalence of NAFLD and NASH is projected to increase rapidly in the near future and dramatically add to the already substantial health care burden. Cirrhosis and end-stage liver disease resulting from NASH is now the fastest growing indication for liver transplant (LT) in the United States. Patients with NASH cirrhosis have higher prevalence of cardiometabolic diseases. Following LT, recurrence of NAFLD and NASH is common.

Similarities and Differences Between Nonalcoholic Steatohepatitis and Other Causes of Cirrhosis

Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease includes a spectrum of liver disorders that range from simple steatosis to nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH), fibrosis, and cirrhosis. Risk factors such as obesity, hypertension, hyperlipidemia, chronic kidney disease, and smoking status increase risk of progression to cirrhosis among patients with NASH. Cirrhosis derived from non-NASH causes may share similar features with patients with NASH but embody distinct pathogenetic mechanisms, genetic associations, prognosis, and outcomes. This article discusses in detail the comparison of clinical, genetic, and outcome characteristics between patients with NASH cirrhosis as opposed to alternative causes of chronic liver disease.

Hepatocellular carcinoma in the context of non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH): recent advances in the pathogenic mechanisms

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the most common type of liver cancer. HCC is particularly aggressive and is one of the leading causes of cancer mortality. In recent decades, the epidemiological landscape of HCC has undergone significant changes. While chronic viral hepatitis and excessive alcohol consumption have long been identified as the main risk factors for HCC, non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH), paralleling the worldwide epidemic of obesity and type 2 diabetes, has become a growing cause of HCC in the US and Europe. Here, we review the recent advances in epidemiological, genetic, epigenetic and pathogenic mechanisms as well as experimental mouse models that have improved the understanding of NASH progression toward HCC. We also discuss the clinical management of patients with NASH-related HCC and possible therapeutic approaches.

Post-operative outcomes for patients with liver-related ascites undergoing non-emergent laparoscopic cholecystectomy

INTRODUCTION

Surgical procedures in patients with cirrhosis and associated ascites carry significant morbidity and mortality. However, these patients often undergo non-emergent but necessary procedures such as laparoscopic cholecystectomy. The purpose of this study is to determine the impact of cirrhosis with ascites on non-emergent laparoscopic cholecystectomy.

METHODS

The ACS-NSQIP database was queried from 2005 to 2017 for patients undergoing non-emergent laparoscopic cholecystectomy with or without intra-operative cholangiogram. Groups were propensity score matched for age, sex, BMI, smoking, inpatient status, ASA Class, presence of pre-operative SIRS/sepsis, and the individual components of the 5-item modified frailty index.

RESULTS

346,105 patients were identified, 591 of which who had liver-related ascites. Patients without ascites were matched at a 5:1 ratio, producing 2955 controls. Patients with ascites had significantly higher rates of overall morbidity (15.6% vs. 11.3%, p = 0.0039), mortality (3.6% vs. 1.5%, p = 0.0020), and longer hospitalizations (7.4 vs. 4.4 days, p < 0.0001). Patients with ascites and a MELD score less than or equal to 9 had no difference in morbidity (p = 0.1124) or mortality (p = 0.6021) when compared to patients without ascites. Patients with ascites and a MELD score greater than 9 had significantly higher rates of both morbidity (25.8%, p = 0.0056) and mortality (7.1%, p = 0.0333).

CONCLUSION

Patients with cirrhosis and ascites have many comorbidities in addition to their liver disease. These patients are at significant risk for both morbidity and mortality related to non-emergent laparoscopic cholecystectomy. Surgeons should proceed with caution for patients with ascites and MELD scores greater than 9. These cases should only be performed by surgeons comfortable with difficult gallbladders at facilities equipped to take care of cirrhotic patients.

Posttransplant Outcome of Lean Compared With Obese Nonalcoholic Steatohepatitis in the United States: The Obesity Paradox

Morbid obesity is considered a relative contraindication for liver transplantation (LT). We investigated if body mass index (BMI; lean versus obese) is a risk factor for post-LT graft and overall survival in nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) and non-NASH patients. Using the United Network for Organ Sharing (UNOS) database, LT recipients from January 2002 to June 2013 (age ≥18 years) with follow-up until 2017 were included. The association of BMI categories calculated at LT with graft and overall survival after LT were examined. After adjusting for confounders, all obesity cohorts (overweight and class 1, class 2, and class 3 obesity) among LT recipients for NASH had significantly reduced risk of graft and patient loss at 10 years of follow-up compared with the lean BMI cohort. In contrast, the non-NASH group of LT recipients had no increased risk for graft and patient loss for overweight, class 1, and class 2 obesity groups but had significantly increased risk for graft (P < 0.001) and patient loss (P = 0.005) in the class 3 obesity group. In this retrospective analysis of the UNOS database, adult recipients selected for first LT and NASH patients with the lowest BMI have the worse longterm graft and patient survival as opposed to non-NASH patients where the survival was worse with higher BMI.

Development of new drugs for the treatment of nonalcoholic steatohepatitis

The development of new drugs for nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) is a current focus of research in the management of liver disease. Here we provided an overview of NASH drug pipelines and the challenges faced in conducting phases II and III clinical trials. These challenges include the selection and definition of research populations, rational selection of study end-points, choice of noninvasive diagnostic indicators, accounting for confounding factors and safety assessments. Furthermore, we discussed how to establish guidelines for study design and end-points in complex clinical trials of anti-NASH drugs.

Economic Implications of Hepatocellular Carcinoma Surveillance and Treatment: A Guide for Clinicians

The incidence of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is increasing worldwide, with significant morbidity and associated costs. Treatment allocation depends on the stage of diagnosis; however, resource utilization can be significant across all stages. We aimed to summarize the available data on the cost effectiveness of surveillance of and treatments for HCC in the context of current treatment guidelines. We performed a focused review of studies investigating the economic burden and cost effectiveness of HCC surveillance treatment modalities published between January 2000 and January 2019. The overall economic burden of HCC is increasing in the USA and in several countries worldwide due to its rising incidence and the proliferation of therapies. Liver transplantation is a cost-effective strategy for early-stage HCC treatment in selected patients. In settings where liver transplantation is not available or in patients awaiting transplant, ablative or locoregional therapies are cost effective with increases in quality-adjusted life-years. First-line therapy with sorafenib for advanced stage HCC is cost effective in the treatment of compensated cirrhosis. The cost effectiveness of recently approved systemic therapies for advanced HCC require further investigation. Existing studies have shown that guideline-recommended surveillance techniques and several available therapies for the treatment of HCC are cost effective; however, there are limitations in the literature, including reliance on suboptimal modeling with incomplete/simplified model structure or inadequate inputs. With increasing therapeutic options in patients with HCC, understanding their relative value is critical in designing HCC treatment algorithms.

Mediterranean Diet and NAFLD: What We Know and Questions That Still Need to Be Answered

Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is the hepatic manifestation of metabolic syndrome and is expected to become the leading cause of end-stage liver disease worldwide over the next few decades. In fact, NAFLD encompasses different clinical scenarios, from the simple accumulation of fat (steatosis) to steatohepatitis (NASH), NASH-cirrhosis, and cirrhosis complications. In this context, it is fundamental to pursue strategies aimed at both preventing the disease and reducing the progression of liver fibrosis once liver damage is already initiated. As of today, no pharmacological treatment has been approved for NAFLD/NASH, and the only recommended treatment of proven efficacy are life-style modifications, including diet and physical exercise pointing at weight loss of 5%-7%. Different dietetic approaches have been proposed in this setting, and in this review, we will discuss the evidence regarding the efficacy of the Mediterranean Diet as a treatment for NAFLD. In particular, we will report the effects on liver-related outcomes.

PNPLA3-I148M: a problem of plenty in non-alcoholic fatty liver disease

Fatty liver disease (FLD) affects more than one-third of the population in the western world and an increasing number of children in the United States. It is a leading cause of obesity and liver transplantation. Mechanistic insights into the causes of FLD are urgently needed since no therapeutic intervention has proven to be effective. A sequence variation in patatin like phospholipase domain-containing protein 3 (PNPLA3), rs 738409, is strongly associated with the progression of fatty liver disease. The resulting mutant causes a substitution of isoleucine to methionine at position 148. The underlying mechanism of this disease remains unsolved although several studies have illuminated key insights into its pathogenesis. This review highlights the progress in our understanding of PNPLA3 function in lipid droplet dynamics and explores possible therapeutic interventions to ameliorate this human health hazard.

Incidence of and Risk Factors for Hepatic Encephalopathy in a Population-Based Cohort of Americans With Cirrhosis

Hepatic encephalopathy (HE) is a devastating complication of cirrhosis. Data are limited regarding the incidence of and risk factors for HE among contemporary patients in the context of the shifting epidemiology of cirrhosis. We examined a 20% random sample of U.S. Medicare enrollees with cirrhosis and Part D prescription coverage from 2008 to 2014. We modelled incident HE using demographic, clinical, and pharmacologic data. Risk factors for HE were evaluated, including demographics/socioeconomics, cirrhosis etiology, severity of liver disease, and pharmacotherapy, along with gastroenterology consultation, as time-varying covariates. Among 166,192 Medicare enrollees with cirrhosis followed for 5.25 (interquartile range [IQR], 2.00-7.00) years, the overall incidence of HE was 11.6 per 100 patient-years. The cohort's median age was 65 years (IQR, 57-72), 31% had alcohol-related cirrhosis, and 49% had likely nonalcoholic fatty liver disease cirrhosis. The two strongest associations with HE were alcohol-related cirrhosis (adjusted hazard ratio [AHR], 1.44; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.40, 1.47, relative to nonalcoholic nonviral cirrhosis) and the presence of portal hypertension (AHR, 3.42; 95% CI, 3.34, 3.50). Adjusting for confounders, benzodiazepines (AHR, 1.24; 95% CI, 1.21, 1.27), gamma aminobutyric acid (GABA)ergics (AHR, 1.17; 95% CI, 1.14, 1.21), opioids (AHR, 1.24; 95% CI, 1.21, 1.27), and proton pump inhibitors (PPIs) (AHR, 1.41; 95% CI, 1.38, 1.45) were all associated with incident HE. Only benzodiazepines, however, were associated with the risk of hospitalization with HE (incidence-rate ratio, 1.23; 95% CI, 1.20, 1.26). Conclusion: Novel data regarding the risk of HE for contemporary patients with cirrhosis are provided. The incidence of HE in an older population of Americans with cirrhosis is high, particularly among those with alcohol-related cirrhosis and portal hypertension. Several medication classes, namely PPIs, opiates, GABAergics, and benzodiazepines, represent potentially modifiable risk factors for HE.

Obesity in the Liver Transplant Setting

The obesity epidemic has resulted in an increased prevalence of obesity in liver transplant (LT) candidates and in non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) becoming the fastest growing indication for LT. LT teams will be dealing with obesity in the coming years, and it is necessary for them to recognize some key aspects surrounding the LT in obese patients. Obesity by itself should not be considered a contraindication for LT, but it should make LT teams pay special attention to cardiovascular risk assessment, in order to properly select candidates for LT. Obese patients may be at increased risk of perioperative respiratory and infectious complications, and it is necessary to establish preventive strategies. Data on patient and graft survival after LT are controversial and scarce, especially for long-term outcomes, but morbid obesity may adversely affect these outcomes, particularly in NAFLD. The backbone of obesity treatment should be diet and exercise, whilst being careful not to precipitate or worsen frailty and sarcopenia. Bariatric surgery is an alternative for treatment of obesity, and the ideal timing regarding LT is still unknown. Sleeve gastrectomy is probably the procedure that has the best evidence in LT because it offers a good balance between safety and efficacy.

Prediction of Recurrence Patterns from Hepatic Parenchymal Disease After Resection of Colorectal Liver Metastases

BACKGROUND

Obesity and metabolic syndrome are associated with inflammatory hepatic parenchymal disease (HPD) and increased risk for recurrence after resection of colorectal liver metastases (CRLM). The independent impact of HPD on recurrence patterns has not been well defined.

METHODS

The nonalcoholic fatty liver disease activity score (NAS) was used to quantify HPD including steatosis and fibrosis for all patients with completely resected CRLM between April 2003 and March 2007. Clinicopathologic factors, perioperative history, and outcomes were compared with the NAS. Fisher's exact test was used to examine the association between severe HPD (NAS ≥ 3) with clinical and perioperative characteristics. Kaplan-Meier methods were used to estimate recurrence-free survival (RFS). The cumulative incidences of recurrence [any intrahepatic recurrence (IHR), extrahepatic recurrence only (EHR), and death without recurrence (DWR)] were estimated using competing risks methods.

RESULTS

Among the 357 patients included in this study, microsteatosis was noted in 124 (35%) patients, severe HPD in 31 (9%), steatohepatitis in 14 (4%), and sinusoidal injury in 36 (10%). After median follow-up of 127 months (range 4-175 months), 10-year RFS was 22% [95% confidence interval (CI) 17-27%]. Ten-year cumulative incidence for IHR, EHR, and DWR was 37%, 30%, and 12%, respectively. After controlling for confounders, NAS ≥ 3 was independently associated with higher risk of IHR [hazard ratio (HR) 1.76, 95% CI 1.07-2.90, p = 0.027] and lower risk of EHR (HR 0.18, 95% CI 0.04-0.75, p = 0.019) on multivariable analysis.

CONCLUSIONS

Severe HPD was associated with increased IHR risk and decreased EHR risk. Future investigation into whether improving HPD from reversible etiologies can reduce the risk for IHR is warranted.

Estimated Association Between Organ Availability and Presumed Consent in Solid Organ Transplant

IMPORTANCE

Presumed consent, or an opt-out organ transplant policy, has been adopted by many countries worldwide to increase organ donation. The implication of such a policy for transplants in the United States is uncertain, however.

OBJECTIVE

To simulate the potential implications of a presumed consent policy in the United States.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

In a decision analytical model, a simulation model was developed using cohort data from January 1, 2004, to December 31, 2014, in the Organ Procurement and Transplantation Network Standard Transplant Analysis and Research files. All US patients (n = 524 359) who were on the waiting list for at least 1 solid organ and all deceased organ donors during the study period were included in the analyses. All data and statistical analyses were performed from January 30, 2019, to July 31, 2019.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES

Increase in the organs available for donation and life-years gained associated with a 5%, 15%, or 25% increase in deceased donors, based on the published changes from a presumed consent policy.

RESULTS

This study considered 524 359 unique candidates (aged ≥18 years; 320 908 [61.2%] male) for a solid organ transplant from January 1, 2004, to December 31, 2014. With a base case scenario of a 5% presumed consent-associated increase in donors, the removals (owing to death or illness) from the waiting list for all organs would have an associated 3.2% to 10.4% mean reduction, depending on the random or ideal allocation of new organs to patients on the waiting list. Sensitivity analyses showed that waiting list removals could be decreased up to 52%; however, this reduction was not enough to completely eliminate waiting list removals during the study period. The biggest estimated increases in annual life-years gained associated with a presumed consent policy were in kidney transplant candidates (95% CIs by deceased donor increase: 5% increase, 3440-3466 years; 15% increase, 10 321-10 399 years; 25% increase, 17 201-17 332 years) and liver transplant candidates (95% CIs by deceased donor increase: 5% increase, 898-905 years; 15% increase, 2693-2714 years; 25% increase, 4448-4523 years). Adoption of a presumed consent policy could result in a 4295-year (95% CI, 4277-4313 years) to 11 387-year (95% CI, 11 339-11 435 years) increase in life-years, accounting for the survival advantages associated with a transplant.

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE

In this study, presumed consent was estimated to be associated with modest but important improvement in the number of organ transplants and increases in life-years gained for patients awaiting an organ transplant. Further consideration and even debate about the ethical and public policy implications of a presumed consent policy are warranted.

Twitter As a Noninvasive Bio-Marker for Trends in Liver Disease

With the success of hepatitis C virus (HCV) direct-acting antiviral therapies, there has been a shift in research focus to the other major chronic liver diseases (CLDs). The use of social media, specifically Twitter, has become a popular platform for understanding public health trends and for performing health care research. To evaluate this, we studied the areas of public interest and social media trends of the following three major CLDs: hepatitis B virus (HBV), HCV, and nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD)/nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH). Twitter activity data from January 1, 2013, through January 1, 2019, for HBV, HCV, and NAFLD/NASH were collected using the social media analytic tool Symplur Signals (Symplur LLC) software. Content and regression analyses were performed to understand and predict Twitter activity for each of the CLDs. Over the study period, there were 810,980 tweets generating 4,452,939,516 impressions. HCV tweet activity peaked in 2015 at 243,261 tweets, followed by a decline of 52.4% from 2015 to 2016 with a subsequent plateau through 2018. Meanwhile, NAFLD/NASH and HBV tweet activity has continued to increase, with projections that these two CLDs will surpass HCV by the second half of 2023 and 2024, respectively. Treatment and Management was the most popular content category for HCV and NAFLD/NASH, while Prevention was the most popular content category for HBV. Conclusion: Twitter is a useful social media tool to gauge public interest in liver disease over time. The information provided by Twitter can be used to identify gaps in public knowledge or highlight areas of interest that may need further research. Future studies on the use of Twitter in liver disease are warranted.

Trends in Characteristics, Mortality, and Other Outcomes of Patients With Newly Diagnosed Cirrhosis

IMPORTANCE

Changes in the characteristics of patients with cirrhosis are likely to affect future outcomes and are important to understand in planning for the care of this population.

OBJECTIVE

To identify changes in demographic and clinical characteristics and outcomes in patients with newly diagnosed cirrhosis.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

A retrospective cohort study of patients with a new diagnosis of cirrhosis was conducted using the Indiana Network for Patient Care, a large statewide regional health information exchange, between 2004 and 2014. Patients with at least 1 year of continuous follow-up before the cirrhosis diagnosis were followed up through August 1, 2015. The analysis was conducted from December 2018 to January 2019.

EXPOSURES

Age, cause of cirrhosis, and year of diagnosis.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES

Overall rates for mortality, liver transplant, hepatocellular carcinoma, and hepatic decompensation (composite of ascites, hepatic encephalopathy, or variceal bleeding).

RESULTS

A total of 9261 patients with newly diagnosed cirrhosis were identified (mean [SD] age, 57.9 [12.6] years; 5109 [55.2%] male). A 69% increase in new diagnoses occurred over the course of the study period (620 in 2004 vs 1045 in 2014). The proportion of those younger than 40 years increased by 0.20% per year (95% CI, 0.04% to 0.36%; P for trend = .02), and the proportion of those aged 65 years and older increased by 0.81% per year (95% CI, 0.51% to 1.11%; P for trend < .001). The proportion of patients with alcoholic cirrhosis increased by 0.80% per year (95% CI, 0.49% to 1.12%), and the proportion with nonalcoholic steatohepatitis increased by 0.59% per year (95% CI, 0.30% to 0.87%), whereas the proportion with viral hepatitis decreased by 1.36% per year (95% CI, -1.68% to -1.03%) (P < .001 for all). In patients younger than 40 years, 40 to 64 years, and 65 years and older, mortality rates were 6.4 (95% CI, 5.4 to 7.6), 9.9 (95% CI, 9.5 to 10.4), and 16.2 (95% CI, 15.2 to 17.2) per 100 person-years, respectively (P < .001). Mortality rates decreased during the study period (11.9 [95% CI, 10.7-13.1] per 100 person-years in 2004 vs 10.0 [95% CI, 8.1-12.2] per 100 person-years in 2014; annual adjusted hazard ratio, 0.87 [95% CI, 0.86 to 0.88]) and were lower in those with alcoholic cirrhosis compared with patients with viral hepatitis (adjusted hazard ratio, 0.89 [95% CI, 0.80 to 0.98]). Rates of hepatocellular carcinoma were low in patients younger than 40 years (0.5 [95% CI, 0.2 to 0.9] per 100 person-years). Liver transplant rates were low throughout the study period (0.3 [95% CI, 0.3-0.4] per 100 person-years). In patients with compensated cirrhosis, rates of hepatic decompensation were lower in patients younger than 40 years (adjusted subhazard ratio 0.78; 95% CI, 0.62 to 0.99) and in patients with nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (adjusted subhazard ratio, 0.51; 95% CI, 0.43 to 0.60).

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE

The population of patients with newly diagnosed cirrhosis in Indiana has experienced changes in the age distribution and cause of cirrhosis, with decreasing mortality rates. These findings support investment in the prevention and treatment of alcoholic liver disease and nonalcoholic steatohepatitis, particularly in younger and older patients. Additional study is needed to identify the reasons for decreasing mortality rates.

Contemporary Epidemiology of Cirrhosis

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

We sought to review the contemporary epidemiology of cirrhosis, focusing on the relative burden of the most common chronic liver diseases.

RECENT FINDINGS

The key findings in the review highlight the increasing prevalence and impact of alcohol-related liver disease, particularly among young people, and the epidemic of nonalcoholic fatty liver commensurate with rising rates of obesity. We also contrast recent advances in the care of persons with hepatitis C with the lamentable rise in new infections associated with intravenous drug use. Finally, we highlight the impact of both conventional complications of cirrhosis (namely hepatic encephalopathy) but also the host of patient-reported outcomes adversely impacted by the symptoms of cirrhosis. Cirrhosis is associated with an expanding footprint in contemporary public health. In order to improve global outcomes, we must not only focus on the identifying and treating persons with viral hepatitis but also preventing the rise of alcohol-related liver disease and nonalcoholic fatty liver disease while attending to the urgent patient-centered needs posed by the symptoms of cirrhosis.

Frequency and Outcomes of Abnormal Imaging in Patients With Cirrhosis Enrolled in a Hepatocellular Carcinoma Surveillance Program

There are limited data on the downstream effects of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) surveillance, including the frequency of false-positive results. We aimed to quantify the incidence of indeterminate nodules (INs) and the follow-up testing needed to resolve these findings among patients enrolled in a structured HCC surveillance program. We retrospectively analyzed adult patients with cirrhosis enrolled in a structured HCC surveillance program in a large tertiary care center. Outcomes included surveillance benefits, defined as early HCC detection, and harm, defined as INs prompting additional diagnostic evaluation. Among 999 patients followed for a median of 2.2 years, HCC surveillance imaging was consistently completed every 6, 9, and 12 months in 46%, 51%, and 68% of patients, respectively. Of 256 (25.6%) patients with abnormal imaging, 69 (27.0%) were diagnosed with HCC and 187 (73.0%) with INs. Most HCC (n = 54, 78.3%) were found within Milan criteria. Among those with an IN, 78.1% returned to ultrasound surveillance after a median of 2 (interquartile range [IQR], 1-3) negative computed tomography (CT)/magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) scans, and 21.9% continued CT/MRI imaging (median, 1; IQR, 1-2). Eleven patients underwent diagnostic liver biopsy. Hypoalbuminemia, thrombocytopenia, and larger nodule size were independently associated with HCC diagnosis. In conclusion, 1 in 4 patients enrolled in an HCC surveillance program had abnormal surveillance imaging, but three-fourths of the lesions were INs, resulting in downstream harm. Improved risk-stratification tools are needed to identify nodules that are benign to reduce follow-up diagnostic evaluation.

Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease: Epidemiology, Liver Transplantation Trends and Outcomes, and Risk of Recurrent Disease in the Graft

In parallel with the rising prevalence of metabolic syndrome globally, nonalcoholic fatty liver (NAFL) disease is the most common chronic liver disease in Western countries and nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) has become increasingly associated with hepatocellular carcinoma. Recent studies have identified NASH as the most rapidly growing indication for liver transplantation (LT). As a hepatic manifestation of the metabolic syndrome, NAFL disease can be histologically divided into NAFL and NASH. NAFL is considered a benign condition, with histological changes of hepatocyte steatosis but without evidence of hepatocellular injury or fibrosis. This is distinct from NASH, which is characterized by hepatocyte ballooning and inflammation, and which can progress to fibrosis and cirrhosis, hepatocellular carcinoma, and liver failure. As for any other end-stage liver disease, LT is a curative option for NASH after the onset of decompensated cirrhosis or hepatocellular carcinoma. Although some studies have suggested increased rates of sepsis and cardiovascular complications in the immediate postoperative period, the long-term posttransplant survival of NASH cases is similar to other indications for LT. Recurrence of NAFL following LT is common and can be challenging, although recurrence rates of NASH are lower. The persistence or progression of metabolic syndrome components after LT are likely responsible for NASH recurrence in transplanted liver. Therefore, while maintaining access to LT is important, concerted effort to address the modifiable risk factors and develop effective screening strategies to identify early stages of disease are paramount to effectively tackle this growing epidemic.

Mortality due to cirrhosis and liver cancer in the United States, 1999-2016: observational study

OBJECTIVE

To describe liver disease related mortality in the United States during 1999-2016 by age group, sex, race, cause of liver disease, and geographic region.

DESIGN

Observational cohort study.

SETTING

Death certificate data from the Vital Statistics Cooperative, and population data from the US Census Bureau compiled by the Center for Disease Control and Prevention's Wide-ranging Online Data for Epidemiologic Research (1999-2016).

PARTICIPANTS

US residents.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE

Deaths from cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma, with trends evaluated using joinpoint regression.

RESULTS

From 1999 to 2016 in the US annual deaths from cirrhosis increased by 65%, to 34 174, while annual deaths from hepatocellular carcinoma doubled to 11 073. Only one subgroup-Asians and Pacific Islanders-experienced an improvement in mortality from hepatocellular carcinoma: the death rate decreased by 2.7% (95% confidence interval 2.2% to 3.3%, P<0.001) per year. Annual increases in cirrhosis related mortality were most pronounced for Native Americans (designated as "American Indians" in the census database) (4.0%, 2.2% to 5.7%, P=0.002). The age adjusted death rate due to hepatocellular carcinoma increased annually by 2.1% (1.9% to 2.3%, P<0.001); deaths due to cirrhosis began increasing in 2009 through 2016 by 3.4% (3.1% to 3.8%, P<0.001). During 2009-16 people aged 25-34 years experienced the highest average annual increase in cirrhosis related mortality (10.5%, 8.9% to 12.2%, P<0.001), driven entirely by alcohol related liver disease. During this period, mortality due to peritonitis and sepsis in the setting of cirrhosis increased substantially, with respective annual increases of 6.1% (3.9% to 8.2%) and 7.1% (6.1% to 8.4%). Only one state, Maryland, showed improvements in mortality (-1.2%, -1.7% to -0.7% per year), while many, concentrated in the south and west, observed disproportionate annual increases: Kentucky 6.8% (5.1% to 8.5%), New Mexico 6.0% (4.1% to 7.9%), Arkansas 5.7% (3.9% to 7.6%), Indiana 5.0% (3.8% to 6.1%), and Alabama 5.0% (3.2% to 6.8%). No state showed improvements in hepatocellular carcinoma related mortality, while Arizona (5.1%, 3.7% to 6.5%) and Kansas (4.3%, 2.8% to 5.8%) experienced the most severe annual increases.

CONCLUSIONS

Mortality due to cirrhosis has been increasing in the US since 2009. Driven by deaths due to alcoholic cirrhosis, people aged 25-34 have experienced the greatest relative increase in mortality. White Americans, Native Americans, and Hispanic Americans experienced the greatest increase in deaths from cirrhosis. Mortality due to cirrhosis is improving in Maryland but worst in Kentucky, New Mexico, and Arkansas. The rapid increase in death rates among young people due to alcohol highlight new challenges for optimal care of patients with preventable liver disease.

Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease Cirrhosis: A Review of Its Epidemiology, Risk Factors, Clinical Presentation, Diagnosis, Management, and Prognosis

Cirrhosis is the common end stage of a number of chronic liver conditions and a significant cause of morbidity and mortality. With the growing epidemic of obesity and metabolic syndrome, nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) has become the most common cause of chronic liver disease worldwide and will become one of the leading causes of cirrhosis. Increased awareness and understanding of NAFLD cirrhosis are essential. To date, there has been no published systematic review on NAFLD cirrhosis. Thus, this article reviews recent studies on the epidemiology, risk factors, clinical presentation, diagnosis, management, and prognosis of NAFLD cirrhosis.

Current status of liver transplantation for cholangiocarcinoma

Cholangiocarcinoma (CCA) is the second most common liver cancer, and it is associated with a poor prognosis. CCA can be divided into intrahepatic, hilar, and distal. Despite the subtype, the median survival is 12-24 months without treatment. Liver transplantation (LT) is recognized worldwide as a curative option for hepatocellular carcinoma. On the other hand, the initial results for LT for CCA were very poor mainly due to a lack of adequate patient selection. In the last 2 decades, improvements have been made in the management of unresectable hilar CCA, and the results of LT after neoadjuvant chemoradiation have been shown to be promising. This has prompted a consideration of hilar CCA as an indication for LT in some centers. Furthermore, some recent research has shown promising results after LT for patients with early stages of intrahepatic CCA. A better understanding of the best tools to prognosticate the outcomes of LT for CCA is still needed. Here, we aimed to review the role of LT for the treatment of patients with perihilar and intrahepatic CCA. Also, we will discuss the most recent advances in the field and the future direction of the management of this disease in an era of transplantation oncology. Liver Transplantation 24 294-303 2018 AASLD.