Randomized controlled trial of screening for hepatocellular carcinoma

Mapping the Hidden Terrain of Hepatocellular Carcinoma: Exploring Regional Differences in Incidence and Mortality across Two Decades by Using the Largest US Datasets

Background: There is an observed variation in the burden of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) across different US populations. Our study aims to comprehensively assess variations in HCC incidence and mortality rates across different regions of the US. Understanding these geographical differences is crucial, given prior evidence indicating variations in the incidence of viral hepatitis and metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease and varying access to curative HCC treatment among states. Methods: HCC age-adjusted incidence rates between 2001 and 2021 were obtained from the United States Cancer Statistics (USCS) database (which covers approximately 98% of the US population). HCC age-adjusted mortality rates between 2000 and 2022 were obtained from the National Center of Health Statistics (NCHS) database (covering approximately 100% of the US population). The rates were categorized by US geographical region into West, Midwest, Northeast, and South. Incidence rates were also categorized by race/ethnicity. Time trends [annual percentage change (APC) and average APC (AAPC)] were estimated by using Joinpoint Regression via the weighted Bayesian Information Criteria (p < 0.05). Results: Between 2001 and 2021, there were 491,039 patients diagnosed with HCC in the US (74.2% males). The highest incidence rate per 100,000 population was noted in the West (7.38), followed by the South (6.85). Overall incidence rates increased between 2001 and 2015 and then significantly decreased until 2021 (APC = -2.29). Most cases were in the South (38.8%), which also had the greatest increase in incidence (AAPC = 2.74). All four geographical regions exhibited an overall similar trend with an increase in incidence over the first 10-15 years followed by stable or decreasing rates. While stratification of the trends by race/ethnicity showed slight variations among the regions and groups, the findings are largely similar to all race/ethnic groups combined. Between 2000 and 2022, there were 370,450 patients whose death was attributed to HCC in the US (71.6% males). The highest mortality rate per 100,000 population was noted in the South (5.02), followed by the West (4.99). Overall mortality rates significantly increased between 2000 and 2013 (APC = 1.90), then stabilized between 2013 and 2016, and then significantly decreased till 2022 (APC = -1.59). Most deaths occurred in the South (35.8%), which also had the greatest increase in mortality (AAPC = 1.33). All four geographical regions followed an overall similar trend, with an increase in mortality over the first 10-15 years, followed by stable or decreasing rates. Conclusions: Our analysis, capturing about 98% of the US population, demonstrates an increase in HCC incidence and mortality rates in all geographical regions from 2000 to around 2014-2016, followed by stabilizing and decreasing incidence and mortality rates. We observed regional variations, with the highest incidence and mortality rates noted in the West and South regions and the fastest increase in both incidence and mortality noted in the South. Our findings are likely attributable to the introduction of antiviral therapy. Furthermore, demographic, socioeconomic, and comorbid variability across geographical regions in the US might also play a role in the observed trends. We provide important epidemiologic data for HCC in the US, prompting further studies to investigate the underlying factors responsible for the observed regional variations in HCC incidence and mortality.

Cost-effectiveness of a precision hepatocellular carcinoma surveillance strategy in patients with cirrhosis

Background

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) surveillance is currently performed using a one-size-fits-all strategy with ultrasound plus AFP (US + AFP). There is increasing interest in risk-stratified and precision surveillance strategies incorporating individual risk and variance in surveillance test performance; however, the cost-effectiveness of these approaches has not been evaluated.

Methods

We conducted a cost-effectiveness analysis to evaluate four surveillance strategies (no surveillance, universal US + AFP surveillance, risk-stratified surveillance, and precision surveillance) in a simulated cohort of 50-year-old patients with compensated cirrhosis. The most cost-effective strategy was that with the highest incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) and below the willingness-to-pay (WTP) threshold of $150,000/QALY gained. Model inputs were based on literature review, and costs were derived from the Medicare fee schedule.

Findings

The precision surveillance strategy demonstrated variation in recommended surveillance test based on HCC risk category and patient factors. US + AFP, risk-stratified, and precision surveillance detected more HCC cases per 100,000 population than no surveillance, with a higher proportion of early-stage cases for precision surveillance (67.6%) than risk-stratified (63.8%), universal ultrasound (63.2%), and no surveillance (38.0%). Compared to no surveillance, precision surveillance was most cost-effective, with an ICER of $104,614/QALY gained, whereas US + AFP and risk-stratified surveillance were both dominated. Compared to US + AFP, risk-stratified surveillance was cost saving and dominated US + AFP, whereas precision surveillance was cost-effective, with an ICER of $98,103/QALY gained. Results were sensitive to survival with early-stage HCC, cost of early-stage HCC treatment, and surveillance utilization. Precision surveillance remained the most cost-effective when WTP thresholds exceeded $110,000/QALY gained.

Interpretation

A precision surveillance strategy is the most cost-effective method for HCC surveillance. This approach could maximize surveillance benefits in high-risk patients, while minimizing surveillance harms in low-risk individuals.

Funding

National Cancer Institute (U01 CA230694, R01 CA222900, R01 CA212008, and U24ca086368) and Cancer Prevention Research Institute of Texas (CPRIT) (RP200554).

Phenotypes of Metabolic Dysfunction-Associated Steatotic Liver Disease-Associated Hepatocellular Carcinoma

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) typically develops as a consequence of liver cirrhosis, but HCC epidemiology has evolved drastically in recent years. Metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD), including metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis, has emerged as the most common chronic liver disease worldwide and a leading cause of HCC. A substantial proportion of MASLD-associated HCC (MASLD-HCC) also can develop in patients without cirrhosis. The specific pathways that trigger carcinogenesis in this context are not elucidated completely, and recommendations for HCC surveillance in MASLD patients are challenging. In the era of precision medicine, it is critical to understand the processes that define the profiles of patients at increased risk of HCC in the MASLD setting, including cardiometabolic risk factors and the molecular targets that could be tackled effectively. Ideally, defining categories that encompass key pathophysiological features, associated with tailored diagnostic and treatment strategies, should facilitate the identification of specific MASLD-HCC phenotypes. In this review, we discuss MASLD-HCC, including its epidemiology and health care burden, the mechanistic data promoting MASLD, metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis, and MASLD-HCC. Its natural history, prognosis, and treatment are addressed specifically, as the role of metabolic phenotypes of MASLD-HCC as a potential strategy for risk stratification. The challenges in identifying high-risk patients and screening strategies also are discussed, as well as the potential approaches for MASLD-HCC prevention and treatment.

Patient Experience of Hepatocellular Carcinoma and Their Treatment Goals: An International Qualitative Study and Patient Journey Map

INTRODUCTION

Understanding the patient journey of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) may inform future clinical decision-making and enhance the patient experience. The objectives of this study were to explore the patient experience of HCC in relation to treatment options, treatment decision-making and treatment goals throughout the disease journey. This study also aimed to determine the symptoms and impacts of HCC across early, intermediate and advanced HCC.

METHODS

Semi-structured 60-min interviews were conducted with n = 50 patients with HCC and n = 12 healthcare professionals (HCPs) with experience of treating patients with HCC. Interview data were analyzed using directed content analysis techniques with a hybrid inductive and deductive approach. An assessment of conceptual saturation was conducted for patients' symptom experience.

RESULTS

Patients described treatment decisions as mostly HCP-led. In this study, surgery/resection was the most frequently offered treatment option across the HCC journey, and most patients were satisfied with the treatment options presented to them. Overall, patients described extending their overall survival (OS) and preserving quality of life (QoL) as their most important treatment goals, with patients diagnosed with advanced/unresectable HCC prioritizing QoL. HCPs also prioritized OS and progression-free survival (PFS) though reported that QoL became more important as HCC progressed. Patients experienced various symptoms across the HCC journey including fatigue, nausea, appetite loss, diarrhea and pain.

CONCLUSION

Overall, HCPs and patients collaborate throughout the treatment journey regarding treatment decisions and shared treatment goals. OS is critically important to patients and HCPs, though treatment goals may change depending on various clinical factors.

Preoperative prediction of hepatocellular carcinoma microvascular invasion based on magnetic resonance imaging feature extraction artificial neural network

BACKGROUND

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) recurrence is highly correlated with increased mortality. Microvascular invasion (MVI) is indicative of aggressive tumor biology in HCC.

AIM

To construct an artificial neural network (ANN) capable of accurately predicting MVI presence in HCC using magnetic resonance imaging.

METHODS

This study included 255 patients with HCC with tumors < 3 cm. Radiologists annotated the tumors on the T1-weighted plain MR images. Subsequently, a three-layer ANN was constructed using image features as inputs to predict MVI status in patients with HCC. Postoperative pathological examination is considered the gold standard for determining MVI. Receiver operating characteristic analysis was used to evaluate the effectiveness of the algorithm.

RESULTS

Using the bagging strategy to vote for 50 classifier classification results, a prediction model yielded an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.79. Moreover, correlation analysis revealed that alpha-fetoprotein values and tumor volume were not significantly correlated with the occurrence of MVI, whereas tumor sphericity was significantly correlated with MVI (P < 0.01).

CONCLUSION

Analysis of variable correlations regarding MVI in tumors with diameters < 3 cm should prioritize tumor sphericity. The ANN model demonstrated strong predictive MVI for patients with HCC (AUC = 0.79).

Proportion trends, cancer stage, and survival of patients with cancer diagnosed through emergency and nonemergency departments: a nationwide cohort study

Introduction

To reduce mortality, the Taiwan government has vigorously promoted free cancer screening and preventive health screening services. Cancers are usually advanced by the time they are discovered in the emergency department. Through this study, we aimed to understand the characteristics of cancer patients diagnosed through the emergency department and thus identify high-risk populations by comparing cancer staging and survival rates in patients diagnosed in the emergency department and those diagnosed in the non-emergency department.

Methods

The retrospective study enrolled a total of 389,043 patients over the age of 20 who were newly diagnosed with one of the five major cancers (including lung cancer, colorectal cancer, breast cancer, prostate cancer, and oral cancer) between 2008 and 2017 and analyzed their diagnostic pathway, cancer stage at diagnosis, and survival time.

Results

Of the study participants, 59,423 patients (about 15.3%) were diagnosed with cancer through the emergency department. We found that a sizable proportion of older people and patients with low education and low incomes were diagnosed through emergency department visits, and those with a health condition comorbidity severity of 3 had the highest proportion diagnosed by the emergency department, advanced stages at diagnosis, and risk of death. These can be classified as high-risk groups. In addition, 76.4% of patients diagnosed in the emergency department had advanced cancer, and the risk of death was 1.46 times higher than that of patients diagnosed in the non-emergency department. Although cancer screening is available, it does not reduce the proportion of patients with advanced cancer who are diagnosed through or at the time of diagnosis in the emergency department.

Conclusions

The present study found that the government's cancer screening did not affect the proportion or number of cancers diagnosed through emergency department visits. Therefore, the government should focus on more cancer screening, health education in high-risk groups, and strengthening the link between emergency and oncology departments to reduce the risk of death for patients diagnosed through emergency department visits.

Improving hepatocellular carcinoma surveillance in the United Kingdom: challenges and solutions

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) prognosis remains dismal due to late-stage diagnosis; surveillance has been demonstrated to increase early diagnosis rates and receipt of curative treatment. Acknowledging limitations in the evidence base for HCC surveillance, international professional bodies reiterate the recommendation for biannual HCC surveillance and NHS England supports measures aimed to increase surveillance uptake. The current ad hoc provision of HCC surveillance is prone to failures, evident by low surveillance uptake and high numbers of patients being diagnosed outside of surveillance. We discuss challenges related to HCC surveillance in the UK and potential solutions to addressing them. We highlight the requirements of a consistent and effective national surveillance process, and suggest pathways on how this can be achieved.

Implementation of a Hepatocellular Carcinoma Surveillance Program in a Community-Based Integrated Health System in Patients With Hepatitis C Cirrhosis

INTRODUCTION

Underutilization of hepatocellular cancer (HCC) surveillance has been reported, although data evaluating interventions to improve surveillance are sparse. We assessed the effect of a population-based HCC surveillance program on HCC surveillance utilization and outcomes.

METHODS

In this retrospective cohort study, we assessed preinclusion and postinclusion HCC surveillance patterns among 597 patients with hepatitis C virus cirrhosis enrolled in a program at an integrated health system between 2013 and 2020. Adequate surveillance was defined as at least 5 surveillance studies within 36 months pre-enrollment and postenrollment; a secondary outcome was proportion of time covered by surveillance over 36 months. Tumor size, stage, and receipt of curative therapy were compared between HCC detected on the first imaging examination (prevalent HCC) and surveillance-detected HCC (incident HCC). We performed Kaplan-Meier analysis and multivariable competing risk analysis to characterize the association between surveillance and mortality.

RESULTS

The surveillance program significantly improved surveillance completion (77.6% vs 5.0%, P < 0.001) and proportion time covered (80.9% vs 15.8%, P < 0.001). Compared with prevalent HCC, surveillance-detected cases were more likely unifocal (77.8% vs 44.8%, P < 0.001), early-stage (85.2% vs 44.8%, P < 0.001), with smaller maximum diameter (median 2.3 vs 3.2 cm), and more likely to undergo curative therapy (92.5% vs 72.4% P = 0.010). Survival was improved compared with prevalent cases hazard ratio (HR) 0.23 (0.11-0.51) after adjusting for age and Model for End Stage Liver Disease score.

DISCUSSION

Implementation of a population-based program resulted in significant improvement in HCC surveillance use and clinical outcomes among patients with hepatitis C virus cirrhosis. These findings may inform similar interventions by other healthcare systems.

Clinical outcomes of hepatocellular carcinoma surveillance in Melbourne, Australia

BACKGROUND

Ultrasound surveillance for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) may improve early tumour detection but may additionally result in surveillance-related harm through increased evaluation of non-HCC lesions. The incidence of these outcomes has not been reported outside North America.

AIMS

We aimed to report the outcomes of HCC surveillance with respect to both surveillance-related benefits and harms.

METHODS

We reviewed all HCC surveillance ultrasounds at a large Victorian tertiary hospital network in 2017 and followed their outcomes until 2021. Surveillance-related benefits were defined as early-stage HCC detection. Surveillance-related harm was defined as contrast imaging, biopsies or surgery performed to evaluate non-HCC liver lesions or false-positive alpha-fetoprotein levels.

RESULTS

Five hundred and fifty-three patients were included (mean age 54.5 ± 12.3 years, males 67.5%, cirrhosis 50.3%). The most common liver disease aetiology was hepatitis B (53.9%). Over a median of 4.7 years follow-up, early-stage HCC was detected in 3.3% (5.4% in cirrhotic vs 1.1% in non-cirrhotic patients, P < 0.01). 75% of all HCCs were early-stage. Surveillance-related harm occurred in 12.5% (15.5% in cirrhotic vs 9.5% in non-cirrhotic patients, P < 0.04), although most harm was mild (12.1%). In subgroup analysis, the detection of early-stage HCC ranged between 0% (screened outside of guideline criteria and alcoholic cirrhotic patients) and 7.2% (hepatitis C cirrhosis). Harm occurred between 9% (non-cirrhotic hepatitis B) and 20.8% (thrombocytopenia).

CONCLUSION

In our study, HCC surveillance was associated with early tumour detection, although many patients experienced mild surveillance-related harm. Novel surveillance strategies and pathways are required to improve detection in high-risk patients and minimise harm in low-risk patients.

Hepatocellular carcinoma outcomes and potential implications for surveillance in elderly patients

International liver societies recommend hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) surveillance for those at high-risk of developing HCC. While previous studies have shown the benefits of surveillance for middle-aged patients, but its necessity for elderly patients is unclear. This study aimed to assess the benefits of HCC surveillance in the elderly by comparing diagnosis mode of HCC. Consecutive, elderly patients aged 75 years or older who were newly diagnosed with HCC were screened at our institution between January 2009 and December 2021. Patients were grouped into those who were diagnosed with HCC during surveillance (n = 235, surveillance group) and those who were diagnosed with HCC due to symptoms (n = 184, symptomatic group). The study outcome was overall survival. It was compared in the overall cohort and a propensity score (PS)-matched cohort. Early-stage diagnosis was more frequent in the surveillance group than in the symptomatic group (mUICC stage I/II: 72.3% vs. 39.1%, p < 0.001). The overall survival rate was better in the surveillance group than in the symptomatic group (median 4.4 vs. 2.1 years, log-rank p < 0.001). In multivariable-adjusted models, the hazard ratio (HR) of mortality of the surveillance group compared to the symptomatic group was 0.64 (95% confidence interval (CI): 0.47-0.87). However, further adjustment for the tumor stage markedly attenuated this association, which was no longer statistically significant (adjusted HR = 0.75; 95% CI: 0.54-1.02). In the PS-matched cohort analysis, outcomes were similar when the PS matching variables included the tumor stage. In contrast, when PS matching variables did not include the tumor stage, outcomes were better for the surveillance group. The surveillance group of elderly patients showed better survival than the symptomatic group, which was largely explained by earlier tumor stage at diagnosis. This suggests that the overall outcome of elderly HCC patients could be improved by increasing surveillance-detected cases compared to symptom-driven cases.

Retinol-binding protein 4 as a promising serum biomarker for the diagnosis and prognosis of hepatocellular Carcinoma

BACKGROUND

The prognosis of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is universally poor. Early diagnosis plays a pivotal role in determining the outcome of HCC.

METHODS

We employed a comparative proteomics approach to identify potential biomarkers and validated the application of retinol-binding protein 4 (RBP4) as a biomarker for HCC. RBP4 protein expression was examined in liver tissues from 80 HCC patients through immunohistochemical analysis. Serum RBP4 concentrations were measured by ELISA in a cohort comprising 290 HCC patients, matched 202 chronic hepatitis B patients and 269 healthy controls. Survival data were collected from HCC patients. The diagnostic and prognostic values of RBP4 were evaluated using receiver operating curve (ROC) analysis.

RESULTS

The validation results demonstrated a significant reduction in RBP4 levels in both liver tissues and serum samples from HCC patients. ROC analysis of the diagnostic value of RBP4 revealed an AUC of 0.879 (95 % CI: 0.854∼0.903) for HCC. When combined with AFP, the AUC increased to 0.919, with a sensitivity of 87.9 % and specificity of 80 %. Survival analysis revealed significantly reduced overall survival time in individuals with low-expression of RBP4 compared to those with high-expression. The joint prognostic model exhibited an AUC of 0.926 (95 % CI: 0.888∼0.964), which was significantly higher than that of AFP alone (AUC=0.809; P <0.0001).

CONCLUSIONS

RBP4 shows a great potential as a biomarker with appreciable diagnostic value, complementing the AFP in HCC diagnosis. Additionally, it holds promise as a prognostic biomarker that, when integrated into a combined prognostic model, could greatly improve HCC prognosis efficiency.

CARMIL1 regulates liver cancer cell proliferation by activating the ERK/mTOR pathway through the TRIM27/p53 axis

Capping protein regulatory factor and myosin 1 linker 1 is termed CARMIL1. CARMIL1 is involved in several physiological processes; it forms an actin filament network and plasma membrane-bound cellular projection tissues and positively regulates the cellular components and tissues. CARMIL1 exhibits important biological functions in cancer; nonetheless, these functions have not been completely explored. We aimed to investigate the novel functions of CARMIL1 in liver cancer, particularly in cell proliferation. The cell counting kit-8, 5-ethynyl-2'-deoxyuridine, Component A experiments, and subcutaneous tumor formation model suggest that CARMIL1 is central to the proliferation of liver cancer cells both in vivo and in vitro. We extracted CARMIL1 samples from The Cancer Genome Atlas Program and analyzed its enrichment. CARMIL1 regulated the pathway activity by affecting the expression of star molecular proteins of the extracellular signal-regulated kinase (ERK) and mammalian target of rapamycin (mTOR). Moreover, it influenced the proliferation ability of liver cancer cells. Western blotting suggested that CARMIL1 downregulation could affect ERK and mTOR phosphorylation. Results of the co-immunoprecipitation demonstrated that CARMIL1 binds to tripartite motif (TRIM)27, which in turn binds to p53. Subsequently, CARMIL1 can regulate p53 stability and promote its degradation through TRIM27. Additionally, CARMIL1 inhibition enhanced the sensitivity of liver cancer cells to sorafenib. Tumor growth was significantly inhibited in the group treated with sorafenib and CARMIL1, compared with the group treated with CARMIL1 alone. Sorafenib is a first-line targeted chemotherapeutic drug for hepatocellular carcinoma treatment. It increases the long-term survival of hepatocellular carcinoma by 44%. In this study, downregulated CARMIL1 combined with sorafenib significantly reduced the tumor volume and weight of the mouse subcutaneous tumor model, indicating the potential possibility of combining CARMIL1 with sorafenib in hepatocellular carcinoma treatment. In summary, CARMIL1 promotes liver cancer cell proliferation by regulating the TRIM27/p53 axis and activating the ERK/mTOR pathway.

A prognostic four-gene signature and a therapeutic strategy for hepatocellular carcinoma: Construction and analysis of a circRNA-mediated competing endogenous RNA network

BACKGROUND

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) has a poor long-term prognosis. The competition of circular RNAs (circRNAs) with endogenous RNA is a novel tool for predicting HCC prognosis. Based on the alterations of circRNA regulatory networks, the analysis of gene modules related to HCC is feasible.

METHODS

Multiple expression datasets and RNA element targeting prediction tools were used to construct a circRNA-microRNA-mRNA network in HCC. Gene function, pathway, and protein interaction analyses were performed for the differentially expressed genes (DEGs) in this regulatory network. In the protein-protein interaction network, hub genes were identified and subjected to regression analysis, producing an optimized four-gene signature for prognostic risk stratification in HCC patients. Anti-HCC drugs were excavated by assessing the DEGs between the low- and high-risk groups. A circRNA-microRNA-hub gene subnetwork was constructed, in which three hallmark genes, KIF4A, CCNA2, and PBK, were subjected to functional enrichment analysis.

RESULTS

A four-gene signature (KIF4A, CCNA2, PBK, and ZWINT) that effectively estimated the overall survival and aided in prognostic risk assessment in the The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) cohort and International Cancer Genome Consortium (ICGC) cohort was developed. CDK inhibitors, PI3K inhibitors, HDAC inhibitors, and EGFR inhibitors were predicted as four potential mechanisms of drug action (MOA) in high-risk HCC patients. Subsequent analysis has revealed that PBK, CCNA2, and KIF4A play a crucial role in regulating the tumor microenvironment by promoting immune cell invasion, regulating microsatellite instability (MSI), and exerting an impact on HCC progression.

CONCLUSIONS

The present study highlights the role of the circRNA-related regulatory network, identifies a four-gene prognostic signature and biomarkers, and further identifies novel therapy for HCC.

Hepatitis B virus as a risk factor for hepatocellular carcinoma: There is still much work to do

Hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection is a significant health problem that can result in progression to liver cirrhosis, decompensation, and the development of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). On a country level, the prevalence of chronic HBV infection varies between 0.1% and 35.0%, depending on the locality and the population being investigated. One-third of all liver cancer fatalities worldwide are attributable to HBV. The adoption of standard birth-dose immunization exerted the most significant impact on the decline of HBV prevalence. HCC incidence ranges from 0.01% to 1.40% in noncirrhotic patients and from 0.9% to 5.4% annually, in the settings of liver cirrhosis. Although antiviral therapy significantly reduces the risk of developing HBV-related HCC, studies have demonstrated that the risk persists, and that HCC screening is still essential. This review discusses the complex relationship between HBV infection and HCC, recent epidemiological data, different aspects of clinical disease characteristics, and the impact of antiviral therapy in this context.

Alpha-fetoprotein: Past, present, and future

Alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) is a glycoprotein that plays an important role in immune regulation with critical involvement in early human development and maintaining the immune balance during pregnancy. Postfetal development, the regulatory mechanisms controlling AFP undergo a shift and AFP gene transcription is suppressed. Instead, these enhancers refocus their activity to maintain albumin gene transcription throughout adulthood. During the postnatal period, AFP expression can increase in the setting of hepatocyte injury, regeneration, and malignant transformation. It is the first oncoprotein discovered and is routinely used as part of a screening strategy for HCC. AFP has been shown to be a powerful prognostic biomarker, and multiple HCC prognosis models confirmed the independent prognostic utility of AFP. AFP is also a useful predictive biomarker for monitoring the treatment response of HCC. In addition to its role as a biomarker, AFP plays important roles in immune modulation to promote tumorigenesis and thus has been investigated as a therapeutic target in HCC. In this review article, we aim to provide an overview of AFP, encompassing the discovery, biological role, and utility as an HCC biomarker in combination with other biomarkers and how it impacts clinical practice and future direction.

Proportion of Time Covered by Hepatocellular Carcinoma Surveillance in Patients With Cirrhosis

INTRODUCTION

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) surveillance is associated with improved early tumor detection, but effectiveness is limited by underuse. We characterized adherence to HCC surveillance using proportion of time covered (PTC) and estimated its association with clinical outcomes among patients with cirrhosis.

METHODS

We conducted a retrospective cohort study of patients diagnosed with HCC between January 2008 and December 2022 at 2 large US health systems. We characterized PTC by imaging in the 12 and 24 months before HCC diagnosis. We used multivariable logistic and Cox regression analyses to assess the association between PTC and early HCC detection, receipt of curative treatment, and overall survival.

RESULTS

Among 2,027 patients with HCC, 331 (51.4% Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer 0/A) had been followed up for at least 12 months before diagnosis. The median PTC was 24.9% (interquartile range 1.1%-50.7%), with only 16.0% having semiannual imaging and 42.0% having annual surveillance. Semiannual and annual surveillance decreased to 6.3% and 29.6% when assessed over 24 months, although the median PTC remained unchanged at 24.9%. Receipt of gastroenterology/hepatology care had the strongest association with PTC, with median PTC of 36.7% and 3.8% for those with and without gastroenterology/hepatology care, respectively. PTC was independently associated with improved early HCC detection, curative treatment receipt, and overall survival. The median survival was 15.7, 26.8, and 32.7 months among those with PTC of <25% (n = 168 patients), PTC 25%-50% (n = 69 patients), and PTC >50% (n = 94 patients), respectively.

DISCUSSION

The proportion of time covered by HCC surveillance in patients with cirrhosis remains low, highlighting a need for multilevel interventions.

The Future Role of Abdominal US in Hepatocellular Carcinoma Surveillance

Abdominal US is currently the best-validated surveillance strategy for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in at-risk patients. It is the only modality shown to have completed all five phases of validation and can achieve high sensitivity and specificity for HCC detection, especially when conducted by expert sonographers in high-volume centers. However, US also has limitations, including operator dependency and varying sensitivity in clinical practice. Further, the sensitivity of US for early-stage HCC detection is lower in patients with obesity or nonviral liver disease, increasingly common populations undergoing surveillance. Imaging-based and blood-based surveillance strategies, including abbreviated MRI and biomarker panels, may overcome some limitations of US-based surveillance. Both strategies have promising test performance in phase II and phase III biomarker studies and are undergoing prospective validation. Considering the variation in HCC risk and test performance between patients, there will likely be a shift away from a one-size-fits-all approach and toward precision screening, in which the "best" test is selected based on individual patient characteristics. In this upcoming era of precision HCC screening among patients with cirrhosis, US will likely continue to have an important, albeit reduced, surveillance role.

Stigmatization of drinking patients with liver cancer: The role of socioeconomic status

Patients with liver cancer may face stigmatization due to cancer, alcohol consumption, or both. This study addresses gaps in the existing literature regarding stigmatization of alcohol-related liver cancer patients, particularly its connection with socioeconomic status (SES). The study explores whether the SES of a fictional character with alcohol addiction and liver cancer influences stigma levels reported by participants. Additionally, it investigates how participants' personal characteristics, such as alcohol consumption and healthcare professional status, impact stigmatization. This study aims to provide new insights regarding the role of stigmatization in liver cancer treatment and management, emphasizing in socioeconomic determinants. The method is based on three scenarios describing a woman character with alcohol abuse and liver cancer. The scenarios depicted a woman character with either low, medium or high SES. Each participant (N = 991) was randomly assigned to one of the three scenarios. After reading it, each participant answered questionnaires assessing negative attitudes towards the character. Four scales were used: "Negative attributions about people with health problems", "Causality of cancer", "Controllability of drinking" and "Reluctance to helping behavior". Data were analyzed using ANOVA and t-tests. The scenario describing a character with a low SES significantly received more "Negative attributions about people with health problems" than the character with medium or high SES. Participants having higher alcohol consumption themselves showed lower stigma scores for three out of four scales than participants with lower consumption. In addition, participants identified as health professionals had lower stigma scores regarding the scales "Negative attributions about people with health problems" and "Controllability of drinking", and higher scores for the subscale "Reluctance to helping behavior", compared with non-professionals. A character with low SES received more negative attributions than the one with higher SES. Participants' own alcohol consumption and professional status (being health professional or not), influenced their stigmatizing attitudes.

Monitoring for liver cancer post-gene therapy-How much and how often?

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) has long been recognized as a complication in people with chronic liver disease, particularly those with cirrhosis. Two gene therapies for haemophilia A and B recently approved in Europe and the US utilize adeno-associated virus (AAV) vectors designed to target hepatocytes. A number of other AAV gene therapies are undergoing clinical investigation for both liver and extrahepatic diseases, many of which likely transduce hepatocytes as well. Although AAV vectors predominantly persist in episomal forms, concerns about insertional mutagenesis have arisen due to findings in pre-clinical models and in a small subset of human HCC cases featuring wild-type AAV integrations in proximity to potential oncogenes. Despite the absence of any causative link between AAV vector therapy and HCC in approved extrahepatic gene therapies or haemophilia gene therapy trials, the package inserts for the recently approved haemophilia gene therapies advise HCC screening in subsets of individuals with additional risk factors. In this review, we discuss HCC risk factors, compare various screening modalities, discuss optimal screening intervals, and consider when to initiate and possibly discontinue screening. At this early point in the evolution of gene therapy, we lack sufficient data to make evidence-based recommendations on HCC screening. While AAV vectors may eventually be shown to be unassociated with risk of HCC, we presently favour a cautious approach that entails regular surveillance until such time as it is hopefully proven to be unnecessary.

Non-contrast short MRI surveillance for HCC screening: the study protocol of the SMS-HCC prospective multicenter study

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) comprises 75 to 85% of all primary liver cancers. Current guidelines recommend a biannual HCC surveillance using ultrasound (US) for high-risk patients. However, due to its low sensitivity for detection of early-stage HCC lesions, there is an urgency for more sensitive surveillance tools. Here, we describe the potential of a short MRI surveillance (SMS) protocol for HCC, including axial T1-weighted in-out phase, fat-saturated T2-weighted, and diffusion-weighted sequences. In this prospective, multicenter, patient cohort study, patients will be recruited from existing HCC surveillance cohorts of six medical centers in The Netherlands. Surveillance patients who undergo biannual US, will be invited for SMS on the same day for 3 years. In case of a suspicious finding on either US or SMS, patients will be invited for a full MRI liver protocol including gadolinium-based contrast agent intravenous injection within 2 weeks. To our knowledge, this will be the first study to perform a head-to-head comparison with a paired US-MRI design. We hypothesize that the sensitivity of SMS for detection of early-stage HCC will be higher than that of US leading to improved survival of surveillance patients through timely HCC diagnosis. Furthermore, we hypothesize that the SMS-HCC protocol will prove cost-effective.Relevance statement The US sensitivity for detecting early-stage HCC has been reported to be less than 50%. We expect that the proposed SMS will detect at least twice as many early-stage HCC lesions and therefore prove to be cost-effective. Key points • The low sensitivity of US necessitates better imaging tools for HCC screening.• This is the first study with a paired US-MRI design.• This design will allow a head-to-head comparison in both diagnostics and patient-acceptance.• We expect that SMS can contribute to a higher survival rate.

Hepatocellular Carcinoma Surveillance Patterns and Outcomes in Patients With Cirrhosis

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) surveillance is associated with improved early detection and reduced mortality, although practice patterns and effectiveness vary in clinical practice. We aimed to characterize HCC surveillance patterns in a large, diverse cohort of patients with HCC.

METHODS

We conducted a retrospective cohort study of patients diagnosed with HCC between January 2008 and December 2022 at 2 large US health systems. We recorded imaging receipt in the year before HCC diagnosis: ultrasound plus α-fetoprotein (AFP), ultrasound alone, multiphasic contrast-enhanced computed tomography (CT)/magnetic resonance imaging (MRI), and no liver imaging. We used multivariable logistic and Cox regression analysis to compare early tumor detection, curative treatment receipt, and overall survival between surveillance strategies.

RESULTS

Among 2028 patients with HCC (46.7% Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer stage A), 703 (34.7%) had ultrasound plus AFP, 293 (14.5%) had ultrasound alone, 326 (16.1%) had multiphasic CT/MRI, and 706 (34.8%) had no imaging in the year before HCC diagnosis. Over the study period, proportions without imaging were stable, whereas use of CT/MRI increased. Compared with no imaging, CT/MRI and ultrasound plus AFP, but not ultrasound alone, were associated with early stage HCC detection and curative treatment. Compared with ultrasound alone, CT/MRI and ultrasound plus AFP were associated with increased early stage detection.

CONCLUSIONS

HCC surveillance patterns vary in clinical practice and are associated with differing clinical outcomes. While awaiting data to determine if CT or MRI surveillance can be performed in a cost-effective manner in selected patients, AFP has a complementary role to ultrasound-based surveillance, supporting its adoption in practice guidelines.

Expanding the Boundaries for Liver Transplantation for Hepatocellular Carcinoma

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the most common type of primary liver cancer, which was the third most common cause of cancer death worldwide in 2020. Transplantation remains the preferred treatment for cure in otherwise unresectable HCC. There are several areas of active research that have led to expansion of eligibility criteria for transplantation including local-regional therapy for downstaging patients presenting outside of the Milan criteria and identification of tumor biomarkers aiding in the early diagnosis, determining prognosis and likelihood of recurrence after transplantation for HCC. New neoadjuvant therapies and post-transplant immunosuppression regimens may also result in expansion of transplant eligibility criteria for HCC.

Skull Metastasis With Orbital Invasion as a Primary Manifestation of Hepatocellular Carcinoma

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a common worldwide cancer with a poor prognosis despite treatment advancements. Patients typically exhibit signs and symptoms pertaining to the liver. Extrahepatic metastasis of HCC is documented to be as low as 5% of cases. Bone metastasis ranks third following lungs and regional lymph nodes. The typical locations for bone metastasis include the vertebral column, pelvis, femora, and ribs, with skull metastasis, being reported in less than 1.6% of cases. Herein, we describe a case of HCC presenting with skull metastases and orbital invasion as the initial manifestation.

Cost-Utility Analysis of Non-Contrast Abbreviated Magnetic Resonance Imaging for Hepatocellular Carcinoma Surveillance in Cirrhosis

BACKGROUND/AIMS

Ultrasonography has a low sensitivity for detecting early-stage hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in cirrhotic patients. Non-contrast abbreviated magnetic resonance imaging (aMRI) demonstrated a comparable performance to that of magnetic resonance imaging without the risk of contrast media exposure and at a lower cost than that of full diagnostic MRI. We aimed to investigate the cost-effectiveness of non-contrast aMRI for HCC surveillance in cirrhotic patients, using ultrasonography with alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) as a reference.

METHODS

Cost-utility analysis was performed using a Markov model in Thailand and the United States. Incremental cost-effectiveness ratios were calculated using the total costs and quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) gained in each strategy. Surveillance protocols were considered cost-effective based on a willingness-to-pay value of $4,665 (160,000 Thai Baht) in Thailand and $50,000 in the United States.

RESULTS

aMRI was cost-effective in both countries with incremental cost-effectiveness ratios of $3,667/QALY in Thailand and $37,062/QALY in the United States. Patient-level microsimulations showed consistent findings that aMRI was cost-effective in both countries. By probabilistic sensitivity analysis, aMRI was found to be more cost-effective than combined ultrasonography and AFP with a probability of 0.77 in Thailand and 0.98 in the United States. By sensitivity analyses, annual HCC incidence was revealed as the most influential factor affecting cost-effectiveness. The cost-effectiveness of aMRI increased in settings with a higher HCC incidence. At a higher HCC incidence, aMRI would remain cost-effective at a higher aMRI-to-ultrasonography with AFP cost ratio.

CONCLUSIONS

Compared to ultrasonography with AFP, non-contrast aMRI is a cost-effective strategy for HCC surveillance and may be useful for such surveillance in cirrhotic patients, especially in those with high HCC risks.

Hepatocellular Carcinoma: Surgical Management and Evolving Therapies

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the fifth most common cancer in men and the eighth most common cancer in women worldwide. It is also the second leading cause of cancer death worldwide, with 780,000 deaths in 2018. Seventy-two percent of HCC cases occur in Asia, 10% in Europe, 8% in Africa, 5% in North America, and 5% in Latin America (Singal et al. in J Hepatol 72(2):250-261, 2020 [1]).

A randomized trial of mailed outreach with behavioral economic interventions to improve liver cancer surveillance

BACKGROUND

Surveillance rates for HCC remain limited in patients with cirrhosis. We evaluated whether opt-out mailed outreach increased uptake with or without a $20 unconditional incentive.

METHODS

This was a pragmatic randomized controlled trial in an urban academic health system including adult patients with cirrhosis or advanced fibrosis, at least 1 visit to a specialty practice in the past 2 years and no surveillance in the last 7 months. Patients were randomized in a 1:2:2 ratio to (1) usual care, (2) a mailed letter with a signed order for an ultrasound, or (3) a mailed letter with an order and a $20 unconditional incentive. The main outcome was the proportion with completion of ultrasound within 6 months.

RESULTS

Among the 562 patients included, the mean age was 62.1 (SD 11.1); 56.8% were male, 51.1% had Medicare, and 40.6% were Black. At 6 months, 27.6% (95% CI: 19.5-35.7) completed ultrasound in the Usual care arm, 54.5% (95% CI: 47.9-61.0) in the Letter + Order arm, and 54.1% (95% CI: 47.5-60.6) in the Letter + Order + Incentive arm. There was a significant increase in the Letter + Order arm compared to Usual care (absolute difference of 26.9%; 95% CI: 16.5-37.3; p<0.001), but no significant increase in the Letter + Order + Incentive arm compared to Letter + Order (absolute difference of -0.4; 95% CI: -9.7 to 8.8; p=0.93).

CONCLUSIONS

There was an increase in HCC surveillance from mailed outreach with opt-out framing and a signed order slip, but no increase in response to the financial incentive.

Hepatocellular Carcinoma Surveillance: Evidence-Based Tailored Approach

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) surveillance is recommended by professional society guidelines given a consistent association with reduced HCC-related mortality. HCC surveillance should be performed using semiannual abdominal ultrasound and alpha-fetoprotein, although this combination has suboptimal sensitivity and can miss more than one-third of HCC at an early stage. There are promising emerging blood-based and imaging-based strategies, including abbreviated MRI and biomarker panels; however, these require further validation before routine use in clinical practice. HCC surveillance is underused in clinical practice due to patient-related and provider-related barriers, highlighting a need for interventions to improve surveillance utilization in clinical practice.

Regular Alpha-Fetoprotein Tests Boost Curative Treatment and Survival for Hepatocellular Carcinoma Patients in an Endemic Area

Guidelines vary on alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) testing for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) screening. This study aims to reassess AFP's role in HCC surveillance, utilizing a comprehensive, recent, nationwide cohort. Utilizing the National Health Claims Database from the Korean National Health Insurance Service, this research included data from 185,316 HCC patients registered between 2008 and 2018. Specifically, 81,520 patients diagnosed with HCC from 2008 to 2014 were analyzed. The study focused primarily on mortality and, secondarily, on the status of curative treatments. Multivariate analysis revealed that frequent AFP testing significantly impacts overall survival in HCC patients. Specifically, each additional AFP test correlated with a 6% relative improvement in survival (hazard ratio = 0.94, 95% CI: 0.940-0.947, p < 0.001). Patients who underwent AFP testing three or more times within two years prior to HCC diagnosis showed improved survival rates, with 55.6% receiving liver transplantation or hepatectomy. This trend was particularly pronounced in hepatitis B patients undergoing antiviral treatment. The findings highlight the potential of regular AFP testing to enhance survival in HCC patients, especially those with hepatitis B. Integrating frequent AFP testing with ultrasonography could increase the likelihood of early detection and access to curative treatments.

Hepatocellular carcinoma surveillance - utilization, barriers and the impact of changing aetiology

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the third leading cause of cancer death worldwide. Surveillance for HCC is critical for early detection and treatment, but fewer than one-quarter of individuals at risk of HCC undergo surveillance. Multiple failures across the screening process contribute to the underutilization of surveillance, including limited disease awareness among patients and health-care providers, knowledge gaps, and difficulty recognizing patients who are at risk. Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease and alcohol-associated liver disease are the fastest-rising causes of HCC-related death worldwide and are associated with unique barriers to surveillance. In particular, more than one-third of patients with HCC related to non-alcoholic fatty liver disease do not have cirrhosis and therefore lack a routine indication for HCC surveillance on the basis of current practice guidelines. Semi-annual abdominal ultrasound with measurement of α-fetoprotein levels is recommended for HCC surveillance, but the sensitivity of this approach for early HCC is limited, especially for patients with cirrhosis or obesity. In this Review, we discuss the current status of HCC surveillance and the remaining challenges, including the changing aetiology of liver disease. We also discuss strategies to improve the utilization and quality of surveillance for HCC.

Chinese expert consensus statement on the clinical application of AFP/AFP-L3%/DCP using GALAD and GALAD-like algorithm in HCC

BACKGROUND

Primary hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is one of the most prevalent world-wide malignancies. Half of the newly developed HCC occurs in China. Optimizing the strategies for high-risk surveillance and early diagnosis are pivotal for improving 5-year survival. Constructing the scientific non-invasive detection technologies feasible for medical and healthcare institutions is among the key routes for elevating the efficacies of HCC identification and follow-up.

RESULTS

Based on the Chinese and international guidelines, expert consensus statements, literatures and evidence-based clinical practice experiences, this consensus statement puts forward the clinical implications, application subjects, detection techniques and results interpretations of the triple-biomarker (AFP, AFP-L3%, DCP) based GALAD, GALAD like models for liver cancer.

CONCLUSIONS

The compile of this consensus statement aims to address and push the reasonable application of the triple-biomarker (AFP, AFP-L3%, DCP) detections thus to maximize the clinical benefits and help improving the high risk surveillance, early diagnosis and prognosis of HCC.

Hepatocellular Carcinoma from a Hepatologist's Perspective

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), the most common type of primary liver cancer, represents a growing health challenge worldwide. The incidence of HCC is rising, which, in turn, has led to a corresponding increase in the associated number of deaths. HCC will become the third leading cause of cancer-related deaths in the United States by 2030. HCC usually develops in the setting of chronic liver disease. Individuals at increased risk of HCC are recommended to undergo surveillance with ultrasound every 6 months along with serum α-fetoprotein testing. Computed tomography (CT) and magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) are considered alternatives based on specific patient factors. Lesions suspicious for HCC are recommended to undergo a diagnostic testing, which includes contrast-enhanced multiphase CT or MRI and liver biopsy when findings are indeterminate. The Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer prognosis and treatment strategy is the most used assessment for patients with HCC ( Fig. 2 ). Curative therapies include resection, liver transplantation, and ablation. Locoregional therapies, such as transarterial chemoembolization and radioembolization, can be used for patients with intermediate-stage HCC. For patients with advanced-stage HCC, systemic therapy is often used. This review aims to provide an overview of HCC from a hepatologist's perspective, including epidemiology, screening, surveillance, diagnosis, and management.

Global trends in hepatocellular carcinoma epidemiology: implications for screening, prevention and therapy

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) mortality rates are increasing globally, and particularly in the Western world. Cirrhosis remains the predominant risk factor for HCC. However, epidemiological shifts in the incidence of HCC from patients with virus-related liver disease to those with non-viral aetiologies, including alcohol-associated and metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease, have important implications for prevention, surveillance and treatment. Hepatitis B vaccination and antiviral therapy for hepatitis B and C are effective for primary prevention of virus-related HCCs, but chemoprevention strategies for non-viral liver disease remain an unmet need. Emerging data suggest associations between aspirin, statins, metformin and coffee and reduced HCC incidence, although none has been proved to be causally related. Secondary prevention of HCC via semi-annual surveillance is associated with improvements in early detection and thus reduced mortality; however, current tools, including abdominal ultrasonography, have suboptimal sensitivity for the detection of early stage HCC, particularly in patients with obesity and/or non-viral liver disease. Promising blood-based or imaging-based surveillance strategies are emerging, although these approaches require further validation before adoption in clinical practice. In the interim, efforts should be focused on maximizing use of the existing surveillance tools given their prevalent underuse globally. Remarkable advances have been made in the treatment of HCC, including expanded eligibility for surgical therapies, improved patient selection for locoregional treatments and increased systemic treatment options, including immune-checkpoint inhibitors. In this Review, we discuss trends in the epidemiology of HCC and their implications for screening, prevention and therapy.

Hepatocellular carcinoma surveillance in Australia: current and future perspectives

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a leading cause of cancer-related death worldwide, and is increasing in incidence in Australia. For most people with cirrhosis and chronic hepatitis B, HCC screening and surveillance is recommended with 6-monthly ultrasound. However, most patients with HCC are still diagnosed outside of surveillance with incurable disease. While HCC surveillance almost certainly reduces cancer-related mortality, the potential harms of surveillance are incompletely understood. Surveillance uptake remains suboptimal in many contexts, and stems from a combination of patient, clinician and system level barriers. Improved case-finding strategies may be required to identify high risk individuals in need of surveillance, as cirrhosis and viral hepatitis are often asymptomatic. HCC prediction models and novel surveillance tools such as biomarker panels, computed tomography and magnetic resonance imaging may have a future role in personalised HCC surveillance. Analyses suggest surveillance may be cost-effective, but Australian data remain limited. A centralised HCC surveillance program may ultimately have a role in delivering improved and more equitable care.

Development and clinical validation of a novel algorithmic score (GAAD) for detecting HCC in prospective cohort studies

BACKGROUND

Alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) and des-gamma carboxyprothrombin (DCP), also known as protein induced by vitamin K absence-II (PIVKA-II [DCP]) are biomarkers for HCC with limited diagnostic value when used in isolation. The novel GAAD algorithm is an in vitro diagnostic combining PIVKA-II (DCP) and AFP measurements, age, and gender (biological sex) to generate a semi-quantitative result. We conducted prospective studies to develop, implement, and clinically validate the GAAD algorithm for differentiating HCC (early and all-stage) and benign chronic liver disease (CLD), across disease stages and etiologies.

METHODS

Patients aged ≥18 years with HCC or CLD were prospectively enrolled internationally into algorithm development [n = 1084; 309 HCC cases (40.7% early-stage) and 736 controls] and clinical validation studies [n = 877; 366 HCC cases (47.6% early-stage) and 303 controls]. Serum samples were analyzed on a cobas® e 601 analyzer. Performance was assessed using receiver operating characteristic curve analyses to calculate AUC.

RESULTS

For algorithm development, AUC for differentiation between early-stage HCC and CLD was 90.7%, 84.4%, and 77.2% for GAAD, AFP, and PIVKA-II, respectively. The sensitivity of GAAD for the detection of early-stage HCC was 71.8% with 90.0% specificity. Similar results were shown in the clinical validation study; AUC for differentiation between early-stage HCC and CLD was 91.4% with 70.1% sensitivity and 93.7% specificity. GAAD also showed strong specificity, with a lower rate of false positives regardless of disease stage, etiology, or region.

CONCLUSIONS

The GAAD algorithm significantly improves early-stage HCC detection for patients with CLD undergoing HCC surveillance. Further phase III and IV studies are warranted to assess the utility of incorporating the algorithm into clinical practice.

Guidelines for the Diagnosis and Treatment of Primary Liver Cancer (2022 Edition)

Background

Primary liver cancer, of which around 75-85% is hepatocellular carcinoma in China, is the fourth most common malignancy and the second leading cause of tumor-related death, thereby posing a significant threat to the life and health of the Chinese people.

Summary

Since the publication of Guidelines for Diagnosis and Treatment of Primary Liver Cancer in China in June 2017, which were updated by the National Health Commission in December 2019, additional high-quality evidence has emerged from researchers worldwide regarding the diagnosis, staging, and treatment of liver cancer, that requires the guidelines to be updated again. The new edition (2022 Edition) was written by more than 100 experts in the field of liver cancer in China, which not only reflects the real-world situation in China but also may reshape the nationwide diagnosis and treatment of liver cancer.

Key Messages

The new guideline aims to encourage the implementation of evidence-based practice and improve the national average 5-year survival rate for patients with liver cancer, as proposed in the "Health China 2030 Blueprint."

GALAD outperforms aMAP and ALBI for predicting HCC in patients with compensated advanced chronic liver disease: A 12-year prospective study

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Surveillance programs are strongly recommended in patients with liver cirrhosis for early detection of HCC development. Six-monthly ultrasound sonography is the most reliable and commonly used technique, especially when associated with serum determination of α-fetoprotein, but different score systems have been proposed to overcome the unsatisfactory diagnostic accuracy of α-fetoprotein. The aim of this 12-year prospective study is to compare the gender, age, AFP-L3, AFP, des-gamma-carboxy prothrombin (GALAD) versus age, gender, bilirubin, albumin, and platelets and albumin-bilirubin scores in predicting HCC onset.

APPROACH AND RESULTS

A cohort of 545 consecutive patients with compensated advanced chronic liver disease without suspected focal lesions was followed up every 6 months by liver imaging and α-fetoprotein to detect HCC occurrence. Harrell's C-index for censored data was employed to evaluate the performance of any parameters or scores helping to predict HCC development. ROC curve analysis showed that the GALAD score was more accurate in evaluating HCC development than albumin-bilirubin and age, gender, bilirubin, albumin, and platelets. The AUC ranged from 0.7268 to 0.6851 at 5 and 10 years, both in the total cohort and in the sub-cohorts (viral hepatitis, NASH, and alcohol). The HCC Risk model was constructed using univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazard regression analysis, showing a strong association of GALAD with HR > 1, p < 0.05, in the total and sub-cohorts, and a better risk prediction in the alcohol cohort, both alone and standardized with other blood parameters.

CONCLUSIONS

GALAD is the most reliable and accurate score system to detect HCC risk of development in patients with compensated advanced chronic liver disease.

Serial increase and high alpha-fetoprotein levels predict the development of hepatocellular carcinoma in 6 months

AIM

Alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) checkup with abdominal ultrasonography for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) surveillance remains controversial. We evaluated a serial AFP-increase and high AFP levels in the prediction of HCC.

METHODS

At-risk patients with chronic liver disease underwent HCC surveillance with trimonthly AFP measurement were included and categorized into HCC and non-HCC groups. Their AFP levels at 12, 9, and 6 months (-6M) before the outcome date were evaluated. Group-based trajectory analysis and multivariable regression analysis were performed to identify AFP trajectories as risk predictors for HCC.

RESULTS

Overall, 2776 patients were included in the HCC (n = 326) and non-HCC (n = 2450) groups. Serial AFP levels were significantly higher in the HCC than the non-HCC groups. Trajectory analysis identified AFP-increase group (11%) increased 24-fold risks of HCC compared with the AFP-stable (89%) group. Compared with patients without the AFP-increase, a serial 3-month AFP-increase ≥10% elevated HCC risk by 12.1-fold (95% CI: 6.5-22.4) in 6 months, and the HCC risks increased 13-60 fold in patients with cirrhosis, hepatitis B, or C receiving antiviral therapy, or AFP levels <20 ng/ml. Combining serial AFP-increase ≥10% and AFP ≥20 ng/ml at -6M significantly increased 41.7-fold (95% CI: 13.8-126.2) HCC risks. In patients who underwent biannual AFP checkups, those with both 6-month AFP-increase ≥10% and AFP ≥20 ng/ml increased 22.1-fold (95% CI: 12.52-39.16) HCC risks in 6 months. Most HCCs were detected at an early stage.

CONCLUSIONS

Serial 3-6-month AFP-increase of ≥10% previously and AFP level of ≥20 ng/ml significantly increased HCC risks in 6 months.

Diagnostic performance of gadoxetic acid-enhanced abbreviated magnetic resonance imaging protocol in small hepatocellular carcinoma (≤2 cm) in high-risk patients

BACKGROUND

Biannual Ultrasound showed insufficient sensitivity in detecting small or early-stage hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Abbreviated magnetic resonance imaging (A-MRI) protocols with fewer sequences demonstrated higher HCC detection sensitivity than ultrasound with acceptable cost and examination time.

PURPOSE

To compare the diagnostic performance of gadoxetic acid-enhanced A-MRI with a full sequence MRI (F-MRI) protocol for small HCC (≤2 cm) in cirrhotic or hepatitis B virus-infected high-risk patients.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

Two hundred and four consecutive patients with 166 pathologically confirmed small HCC who underwent preoperative gadoxetic acid-enhanced MRI were retrospectively included. A-MRI set comprised T1-weighted hepatobiliary phase imaging, T2-weighted imaging, diffusion-weighted imaging and apparent diffusion coefficient mapping. Two independent radiologists blinded to clinical data assessed the A-MRI set and F-MRI set. Per-patient HCC and per-lesion HCC diagnostic performance were compared.

RESULTS

Per-patient HCC detection sensitivity of A-MRI set was 93.8% and 91.2% for observer 1 and observer 2, and, for the F-MRI set, the per-patient HCC detection sensitivity was 96.6% and 95.2%, respectively. There was no significant difference in per-patient sensitivity, specificity and per-lesion HCC detection sensitivity between the two imaging sets for both readers. (P = 0.06-0.25) The A-MRI set showed higher sensitivity on HCC without arterial phase hyperenhancement, and the F-MRI set demonstrated with higher sensitivity on HCC with arterial phase hyperenhancement (P < 0.05).

CONCLUSION

A-MRI using diagnostic criteria including hypointensity on hepatobiliary phase plus mild to moderate hyperintensity on T2-weighted imaging or restricted diffusion demonstrated comparable sensitivity and specificity for small HCC compared to the F-MRI protocol in high-risk patients.

Prognostic model of hepatocellular carcinoma based on cancer grade

BACKGROUND

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the most common type of primary liver cancer. With highly invasive biological characteristics and a lack of obvious clinical manifestations, HCC usually has a poor prognosis and ranks fourth in cancer mortality. The aetiology and exact molecular mechanism of primary HCC are still unclear.

AIM

To select the characteristic genes that are significantly associated with the prognosis of HCC patients and construct a prognosis model of this malignancy.

METHODS

By comparing the gene expression levels of patients with different cancer grades of HCC, we screened out differentially expressed genes associated with tumour grade. By protein-protein interaction (PPI) network analysis, we obtained the top 2 PPI networks and hub genes from these differentially expressed genes. By using least absolute shrinkage and selection operator Cox regression, 13 prognostic genes were selected for feature extraction, and a prognostic risk model of HCC was established.

RESULTS

The model had significant prognostic ability in HCC. We also analysed the biological functions of these prognostic genes.

CONCLUSION

By comparing the gene profiles of patients with different stages of HCC, We have constructed a prognosis model consisting of 13 genes that have important prognostic value. This model has good application value and can be explained clinically.

Improved Survival in At-Risk Patients Undergoing Surveillance for Hepatocellular Carcinoma - A Nationwide Swedish Register-Based Study

Purpose

Surveillance for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is recommended in at-risk patients, but its effectiveness in Western populations has been questioned. The purpose was to evaluate the effect of surveillance in patients with HCC in a Northern European setting.

Patients and Methods

Data on patients diagnosed with HCC between 2009 and 2019 were collected from the nationwide Swedish National Registry for Tumors of the Liver and Bile Ducts (SweLiv). Patients who had undergone HCC surveillance were compared to those who had not (but had an obvious indication for surveillance, ie, liver cirrhosis or hepatic porphyria and an age of ≥50 years) regarding etiology, tumor burden, presence of extrahepatic spread, treatment and lead-time adjusted overall survival.

Results

A total of 4979 patients with index HCC were identified and information regarding surveillance was available in 4116 patients. Among these, 1078 had got their HCC diagnosis during surveillance, whereas 1647 had been diagnosed without surveillance despite a presumed indication. The most common underlying etiologies for HCC were hepatitis C (28.2%) and alcoholic liver disease (26.9%), and 94.8% had cirrhosis. The surveillance cohort more frequently met the University of California San Francisco-criteria (79% vs 53%, p <0.001), more often received a potentially curative treatment (62% vs 28%, p <0.001) and had less extrahepatic spread (7.6% vs 22.4% p <0.001). After adjustment for lead-time bias (sojourn time of 270 days), the surveillance group had a significantly longer estimated median survival time than the non-surveillance group (34 months vs 11 months, p <0.001). A multivariable cox regression analysis showed an adjusted hazard ratio of 0.59 (95% CI 0.51-0.67) in favor of surveillance.

Conclusion

Surveillance for HCC in at-risk patients is associated with diagnosis at an earlier tumor stage, treatment with curative intent and with improved lead-time adjusted overall survival. These findings encourage HCC surveillance of at-risk patients also in a Western population.

Benefits and harms of screening for hepatocellular carcinoma in high-risk populations: systematic review and meta-analysis

OBJECTIVE

The incidence and mortality of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) have been increasing around the world. Current guidelines recommend HCC screening in high-risk population. However, the strength of evidence of benefits and harms of HCC screening to support the recommendation was unclear. The objective is to systematically synthesize current evidence on the benefits and harms of HCC screening.

METHODS

We searched PubMed and nine other databases until August 20, 2021. We included cohort studies and RCTs that compared the benefits and harms of screening and non-screening in high-risk population of HCC. Case series studies that reported harms of HCC screening were also included. Pooled risk ratio (RR), according to HCC screening status, was calculated for each benefit outcome (e.g., HCC mortality, survival rate, proportion of early HCC), using head-to-head meta-analysis. The harmful outcomes (e.g., proportion of physiological harms provided by non-comparative studies were pooled by prevalence of meta-analysis. Analysis on publication bias and quality of life, subgroup analysis, and sensitivity analysis were also conducted.

RESULTS

We included 70 studies, including four random clinical trials (RCTs), 63 cohort studies,three case series studies. The meta-analysis of RCTs showed HCC screening was significantly associated with reduced HCC mortality (RR [risk ratio], 0.73 [95% CI, 0.56-0.96]; I 2 = 75.1%), prolonged overall survival rates (1-year, RR, 1.72 [95% CI, 1.13-2.61]; I 2 = 72.5%; 3-year, RR, 2.86 [95% CI, 1.78-4.58]; I 2 = 10.1%; and 5-year, RR, 2.76 [95% CI, 1.37-5.54]; I 2 = 28.3%), increased proportion of early HCC detection (RR, 2.68 [95% CI, 1.77-4.06]; I 2 = 50.4%). Similarly, meta-analysis of cohort studies indicated HCC screening was more effective than non-screening. However, pooled proportion of physiological harms was 16.30% (95% CI: 8.92%-23.67%) and most harms were of a mild to moderate severity.

CONCLUSION

The existing evidence suggests HCC screening is more effective than non-screening in high-risk population. However, harms of screening should not be ignored.

Is Screening for Hepatocellular Carcinoma Effective?

Hepatocellular carcinoma occurs primarily in patients with cirrhosis and is an important cause of cancer death. Screening for hepatocellular carcinoma every 6 months with ultrasound with or without alpha fetoprotein measurement is recommended by multiple professional societies. There are no randomized controlled trials in patients with cirrhosis documenting the effectiveness of screening in improving survival, however, making screening controversial. There are multiple retrospective and cohort studies, as well as pooled analyses that do show an association of screening with earlier stage at diagnosis, increased receipt of curative intent treatment, and improved overall survival. Though these studies are limited by lead and length time biases, they make compelling arguments in favor of screening. Additional research into barriers to receiving screening, barriers to receiving treatment, and the optimal screening modalities given the shift of cirrhosis etiology in the United States are needed to further improve patient outcomes.

Performance and effectiveness of hepatocellular carcinoma screening in individuals with HBsAg seropositivity in China: a multicenter prospective study

Current guidelines recommend hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) surveillance for at-risk individuals, including individuals with hepatitis B virus infection. However, the performance and survival benefits of annual screening have not been evaluated through multicenter prospective studies in a Chinese population. Between 2017 and 2021, we included 14,426 participants with hepatitis B surface antigen seropositivity in an annual HCC screening study in China using a multicenter prospective design with ultrasonography and serum alpha-fetoprotein. After four rounds of screening and follow-up, the adjusted hazard ratios of death after correction for lead-time and length-time biases for screen-detected cancers at the prevalent and incident rounds were 0.74 (95% confidence interval = 0.60-0.91) and 0.52 (95% confidence interval = 0.40-0.68), respectively. A meta-analysis demonstrated that HCC screening was associated with improved survival after adjusting for lead-time bias. Our findings highlight the 'real-world' feasibility and effectiveness of annual HCC screening in community settings for the early detection of HCC and to improve survival.