Global mortality, disability, and the contribution of risk factors: Global Burden of Disease Study

Readmission and associated clinical factors among individuals admitted with bipolar affective disorder at a psychiatry facility in Uganda

BACKGROUND

Bipolar affective disorder (BAD) is a common severe mental health condition with a relapsing course that may include periods of hospital re-admissions. With recurrent relapses and admissions, the course, prognosis, and patient's overall quality of life can be affected negatively. This study aims to explore the rates and clinical factors associated with re-admission among individuals with BAD.

METHOD

This study used data from a retrospective chart review of all records of patients with BAD admitted in 2018 and followed up their hospital records for four years till 2021 at a large psychiatric unit in Uganda. Cox regression analysis was used to determine the clinical characteristics associated with readmission among patients diagnosed with BAD.

RESULTS

A total of 206 patients living with BAD were admitted in 2018 and followed up for four years. The average number of months to readmission was 9.4 (standard deviation = 8.6). The incidence of readmission was 23.8% (n = 49/206). Of those readmitted during the study period, 46.9% (n = 23/49) and 28.6% (n = 14/49) individuals were readmitted twice and three times or more, respectively. The readmission rate in the first 12 months following discharge was 69.4% (n = 34/49) at first readmission, 78.3% (n = 18/23) at second readmission, and 87.5% (n = 12/14) at third or more times. For the next 12 months, the readmission rate was 22.5% (n = 11/49) for the first, 21.7% (n = 5/23) for the second, and 7.1% (n = 1/14) for more than two readmissions. Between 25 and 36 months, the readmission rate was 4.1% (n = 2/49) for the first readmission and 7.1% (n = 1/14) for the third or more times. Between 37 and 48 months, the readmission rate was 4.1% (n = 2/49) for those readmitted the first time. Patients who presented with poor appetite and undressed in public before admission were at increased risk of being readmitted with time. However, the following symptoms/clinical presentations, were protective against having a readmission with time, increased number of days with symptoms before admission, mood lability, and high energy levels.

CONCLUSION

The incidence of readmission among individuals living with BAD is high, and readmission was associated with patients' symptoms presentation on previous admission. Future studies looking at BAD using a prospective design, standardized scales, and robust explanatory model are warranted to understand causal factors for hospital re-admission and inform management strategies.

Photobiomodulation: An Emerging Treatment Modality for Depression

Major depressive disorder (MDD) is considered a global crisis. Conventional treatments for MDD consist of pharmacotherapy and psychotherapy, although a significant number of patients with depression respond poorly to conventional treatments and are diagnosed with treatment-resistant depression (TRD). Transcranial photobiomodulation (t-PBM) therapy uses near-infrared light, delivered transcranially, to modulate the brain cortex. The aim of this review was to revisit the antidepressant effects of t-PBM, with a special emphasis on individuals with TRD. A search on PubMed and ClinicalTrials.gov tracked clinical studies using t-PBM for the treatment of patients diagnosed with MDD and TRD.

Context matters for disability and priority setting for musculoskeletal diseases: revisiting the egalitarian approach to disability weights and disability-adjusted life-years

Health metrics have evolved with increasing sophistication. The disability-adjusted life-year (DALY) has emerged as a widely used metric. While DALYs vary between countries, the global disability weights (DWs) that are integral to the DALY ignore the potential impact of local factors on the burden of disease. Developmental dysplasia of the hip (DDH), a spectrum of hip pathologies, typically develops during early childhood and is a leading cause of early hip osteoarthritis. This paper explores the variability in the DW for DDH in relation to to local health environments using select health system indicators.The DW for DDH increases with decreasing income level of countries. The Human Development Index and the Gross Domestic Product per capita are both negatively correlated with (p<0.05) the DW for DDH per country. For the indicators surgical workforce, surgical procedures and hospital beds per 1000 population, there is a significant negative correlation in countries not meeting the minimum standard of that indicator (p<0.05), while for countries meeting that minimum standard, the correlation between DW for DDH and the respective indicator is not significantly different from zero.Consideration should be given to re-establishing the DWs for health entities in countries that do not meet the minimum standards of a functional health system. This would more accurately reflect the burden of disease from a functional perspective in LMICs, and perhaps allow for more informed priority setting within LMICs and for donors. The establishment of these DWs should not start from scratch; our data suggest that the variability in DWs due to context can most likely be modelled using health system and financial protection indicators already in use today.

Global Smile Foundation's Cleft Surgical Outreach Program: Clinical and Economic Impact During the Past 14 Years

Clefts of the lip and/or palate can result in significant morbidity as well as economic and psychosocial distress for patients and families. Global Smile Foundation is a non-profit organization committed to providing comprehensive cleft care to patients with cleft of the lip/palate around the world. Primary cleft lip and primary cleft palate repairs performed by the Global Smile Foundation in the last decade were reviewed. Averted disability-adjusted life years were estimated and assessed for their economic value. A total of 15,310 disability-adjusted life years were averted. The financial gain was estimated between $78,323,624 and $152,906,604, with an average financial benefit of $48,021 to $93,750 per patient.

Encapsulation of Pioglitazone into Polymer-Nanoparticles for Potential Treatment of Atherosclerotic Diseases

Atherosclerosis is one of the most urgent global health subjects, causes millions of deaths worldwide, and is associated with enormous healthcare costs. Macrophages are the root cause for inflammatory onset and progression of the disease but are not addressed by conventional therapy. Therefore, we used pioglitazone, which is a drug initially used for diabetes therapies, but at the same time has great potential regarding the mitigation of inflammation. As yet, this potential of pioglitazone cannot be exploited, as drug concentrations at the target site in vivo are not sufficient. To overcome this shortcoming, we established PEG-PLA/PLGA-based nanoparticles loaded with pioglitazone and tested them in vitro. Encapsulation of the drug was analyzed by HPLC and revealed an outstanding encapsulation efficiency of 59% into the nanoparticles, which were 85 nm in size and had a PDI of 0.17. Further, uptake of our loaded nanoparticles in THP-1 macrophages was comparable to the uptake of unloaded nanoparticles. On the mRNA level, pioglitazone-loaded nanoparticles were superior to the free drug by 32% in increasing the expression of the targeted receptor PPAR-γ. Thereby the inflammatory response in macrophages was ameliorated. In this study, we take the first step toward an anti-inflammatory, causal antiatherosclerotic therapy, using the potential of the already established drug pioglitazone, and enable it to enrich at the target site by using nanoparticles. An additional crucial feature of our nanoparticle platform is the versatile modifiability of ligands and ligand density, to achieve an optimal active targeting effect in the future.

Association between Depressive Symptom Trajectory and Chronic Kidney Disease Progression: Findings from the Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort Study

Key Points

Depressive symptoms are largely stable over time among individuals with mild-to-moderate CKD Low educational attainment, cigarette smoking, and poor quality of life are associated with persistent depressive symptoms Persistent depressive symptoms are associated with nonlinear and rapid decline in kidney function

Background

Although depression is highly prevalent among individuals with CKD, little is known about the course of depressive symptoms over time. We characterized trajectories of depressive symptoms and CKD progression and evaluated the association between depressive symptoms trajectory and CKD progression.

Methods

Two thousand three hundred sixty-one individuals with mild-to-moderate CKD enrolled in the Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort Study were analyzed. The Beck Depression Inventory (BDI) was used to assess depressive symptoms at baseline and biennially. Higher BDI scores indicate worse depressive symptoms. eGFR was calculated using the 2021 CKD-EPI equation. Group-based trajectory models were used to determine trajectories of BDI score and eGFR change over time. Multinomial logistic regression was used to examine factors associated with BDI trajectories and to evaluate the association of BDI trajectories with eGFR change.

Results

Over 8 years of follow-up, three patterns of depressive symptoms were identified: persistently low BDI score (57.7%), persistently moderate BDI score (33.1%), and persistently high BDI score (9.2%). Three eGFR trajectory groups were identified: nonlinear, rapid eGFR decline (21.5%); linear, expected eGFR decline (54.8%); and stable eGFR (23.7%). Predictors of persistently moderate and high BDI trajectories included low educational attainment, smoking, and poor quality of life. Compared with those with a persistently low BDI score, the odds for nonlinear, rapid eGFR decline were higher for those with persistently moderate BDI scores (odds ratio [OR], 1.45; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.04 to 2.03) and persistently high BDI scores (OR, 1.90; 95% CI, 1.02 to 3.56). No association between moderate BDI score and linear, expected eGFR decline was observed.

Conclusions

Depressive symptoms remained largely stable among individuals with mild-to-moderate CKD, and persistently moderate and high BDI scores were associated with nonlinear, rapid eGFR decline. Future work is needed to better understand the interplay between depression and CKD progression.

Investigating the association between alcohol intake and male reproductive function: A current meta-analysis

Background

Alcohol use and alcohol-related health problems are on the rise in developing countries. This meta-analysis was conducted to determine the effects of alcohol consumption on human male reproductive function through semen parameters, antioxidants in semen, sperm DNA fragmentation, and sex hormones.

Methods

Studies regarding the effects of alcohol consumption on male reproductive function were searched on databases. Based on the random-effects model, STATA software was used to analyze and synthesize the selected studies. Alcoholics, moderate alcoholics, heavy alcoholics, and no alcoholics values were compared using the standard mean difference. Publications were assessed for publication bias by the Egger test.

Result

Forty studies were selected from databases examining the effect of alcohol consumption on male reproductive health in 23,258 people on five continents of the world. The meta-analysis revealed that alcohol intake reduced semen volume during each ejaculation (SMD = -0.51; 95% CI -0.77, -0.25). However, there were no significant associations with other semen indicators such as density, mobility, and normal and abnormal sperm count from this analysis. In addition, drinking alcohol lowered antioxidant enzymes in semen (SMD = -7.93; 95% CI -12.59, -3.28) but had no effect on sperm DNA fragmentation. Finally, the results showed a decrease in general testosterone levels (SMD = -1.60; 95% CI -2.05, -1.15), Follicle Stimulating Hormone (SMD = -0.47; 95% CI -0.88, -0.05), Luteinizing Hormone (SMD = -1.35; 95% CI -1.86, -0.83), but no effect in other sex hormones named as estradiol, Inhibin B and Sex Hormone-Binding Globulin. Furthermore, when analyzing subgroups at different drinking levels, the results showed that the moderate alcoholic group (less than 7 units/week) had no change in the semen index. Meanwhile, the group of heavy alcoholics (more than 7 units/week) harmed the semen index and sex hormones, especially by increasing estradiol.

Conclusion

There is evidence that alcohol consumption affected semen volume and antioxidant, reproductive hormones thus negatively affecting male reproductive function. This study might be necessary to make recommendations regarding alcohol consumption for men.

Global burden of chronic respiratory diseases and risk factors, 1990-2019: an update from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019

Background

Updated data on chronic respiratory diseases (CRDs) are vital in their prevention, control, and treatment in the path to achieving the third UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs), a one-third reduction in premature mortality from non-communicable diseases by 2030. We provided global, regional, and national estimates of the burden of CRDs and their attributable risks from 1990 to 2019.

Methods

Using data from the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2019, we estimated mortality, years lived with disability, years of life lost, disability-adjusted life years (DALYs), prevalence, and incidence of CRDs, i.e. chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), asthma, pneumoconiosis, interstitial lung disease and pulmonary sarcoidosis, and other CRDs, from 1990 to 2019 by sex, age, region, and Socio-demographic Index (SDI) in 204 countries and territories. Deaths and DALYs from CRDs attributable to each risk factor were estimated according to relative risks, risk exposure, and the theoretical minimum risk exposure level input.

Findings

In 2019, CRDs were the third leading cause of death responsible for 4.0 million deaths (95% uncertainty interval 3.6-4.3) with a prevalence of 454.6 million cases (417.4-499.1) globally. While the total deaths and prevalence of CRDs have increased by 28.5% and 39.8%, the age-standardised rates have dropped by 41.7% and 16.9% from 1990 to 2019, respectively. COPD, with 212.3 million (200.4-225.1) prevalent cases, was the primary cause of deaths from CRDs, accounting for 3.3 million (2.9-3.6) deaths. With 262.4 million (224.1-309.5) prevalent cases, asthma had the highest prevalence among CRDs. The age-standardised rates of all burden measures of COPD, asthma, and pneumoconiosis have reduced globally from 1990 to 2019. Nevertheless, the age-standardised rates of incidence and prevalence of interstitial lung disease and pulmonary sarcoidosis have increased throughout this period. Low- and low-middle SDI countries had the highest age-standardised death and DALYs rates while the high SDI quintile had the highest prevalence rate of CRDs. The highest deaths and DALYs from CRDs were attributed to smoking globally, followed by air pollution and occupational risks. Non-optimal temperature and high body-mass index were additional risk factors for COPD and asthma, respectively.

Interpretation

Albeit the age-standardised prevalence, death, and DALYs rates of CRDs have decreased, they still cause a substantial burden and deaths worldwide. The high death and DALYs rates in low and low-middle SDI countries highlights the urgent need for improved preventive, diagnostic, and therapeutic measures. Global strategies for tobacco control, enhancing air quality, reducing occupational hazards, and fostering clean cooking fuels are crucial steps in reducing the burden of CRDs, especially in low- and lower-middle income countries.

Global burden of hepatitis B attributable to modifiable risk factors from 1990 to 2019: a growing contribution and its association with socioeconomic status

BACKGROUND

Hepatitis B is a global public health concern, and modifiable risk factors can accelerate progression of this disease. The burden of hepatitis B attributable to modifiable risk factors has not been well evaluated. We aimed to estimate the disease burden of hepatitis B attributable to tobacco, alcohol use, and a high body mass index (BMI) to guide lifestyle interventions in the management of patients with hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection.

RESULTS

In 2019, 33.73% of hepatitis B age-standardized deaths and 34.52% of disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) were attributable to tobacco, alcohol use, and a high BMI. The proportion showed an increasing trend that 28.23% of deaths and 27.56% of DALYs were attributable to the three modifiable risk factors in 1990. The hepatitis B burden attributable to modifiable risk factors was disparate across regions and countries. Countries with a low socioeconomic status have a high burden of hepatitis B owing to modifiable risk factors. Countries with a high-level sociodemographic index also had an increasing burden of hepatitis B attributable to a high BMI.

CONCLUSIONS

Lifestyle interventions are warranted in hepatitis prevention strategies and plans of action. Countries with low and middle socioeconomic development should be prioritized, and countries with high socioeconomic development should be aware of the novel challenge of a high BMI-related disease burden.

Role of DSM5 anxious distress specifier interview in acute manic episode: sociodemographic characteristics, clinical presentation and quality of life

Background

DSM 5 anxious distress specifier is one of the newly added specifiers for bipolar and related disorders. It may have impacts on the symptoms severity, insight, impulsivity, and different domains of quality of life of acute manic episodes of bipolar disorders. The current study aimed to study the effects of DSM 5 anxious distress specifier in acute manic episodes and its relation to sociodemographic data, clinical characteristics, and quality of life. 380 patients with the diagnosis of acute manic episode were recruited in the study, sociodemographic data, clinical features, DSM 5 anxious distress specifier interview, attitude and insight of the disorder, impulsivity and different aspects of quality of life were also evaluated in those patients.

Results

The studied patients were divided into 2 subgroups according to the presence of high DSM5 anxious distress specifier interview score. The duration of a manic episode (P < 0.001), the severity of the manic episode (P < 0.001), and the presence of psychotic features (P = 0.002) were more common in the subgroup with high DSM 5 anxious distress. DSM 5 anxious distress specifier was severe (P < 0.001) and more frequent (P < 0.001) in the 1st subgroup than the 2nd one. There was a statistically significant difference regarding the attentional facet of the Barratt impulsiveness scale between the studied groups (P = 0.002). In addition, there was a statistically significant difference regarding the mean score (P < 0.001) and severe impairment (P < 0.001) domains of work and social adjustment scale between the 2 subgroups.

Conclusions

DSM 5 anxious distress specifier interview is a very crucial parameter of evaluation the patients with acute manic episodes which may have implications on the clinical presentations, symptoms severity, impulsivity, and variable aspects of quality of life in those patients. All these implications might change the course, prognosis, and outcomes of an acute manic episode of bipolar disorder.

Recovery of Patients With Upper Limb Paralysis Due to Stroke Who Underwent Intervention Using Low-Frequency Repetitive Transcranial Magnetic Stimulation Combined With Occupational Therapy: A Retrospective Cohort Study

OBJECTIVES

The combination of repetitive transcranial magnetic stimulation (rTMS) and motor practice is based on the theory of neuromodulation and use-dependent plasticity. Predictive planning of occupational therapy (OT) is important for patients with rTMS conditioning. Recovery characteristics based on the severity of pretreatment upper extremity paralysis can guide the patient's practice plan for using the paretic hand. Therefore, we evaluated the recovery of patients with upper limb paralysis due to stroke who underwent a novel intervention of rTMS combined with OT (NEURO) according to the severity of upper limb paralysis based on the scores of the Fugl-Meyer assessment for upper extremity (FMA-UE) with recovery in proximal upper extremity, wrist, hand, and coordination.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

In this multicenter retrospective cohort study, the recovery of 1397 patients with upper limb paralysis was analyzed by severity at six hospitals that were accredited by the Japanese Stimulation Therapy Society for treatment. The delta values of the FMA-UE scores before and after NEURO were compared among the groups with severe, moderate, and mild paralysis using the generalized linear model.

RESULTS

NEURO significantly improved the FMA-UE total score according to the severity of paralysis (severe = 5.3, moderate = 6.0, and mild = 2.9). However, when the FMA-UE subscores were analyzed separately, the results indicated specific improvements in shoulder/elbow, wrist, fingers, and coordination movements, depending on the severity.

CONCLUSIONS

This study had enough patients who were divided according to severity and stratified by lesion location and handedness parameters. Our results suggest that independently of these factors, the extent of recovery of upper limb motor parts after NEURO varies according to the severity of paralysis.

Changing Epidemiology of Pathogenic Bacteria Over the Past 20 Years in Korea

BACKGROUND

The epidemiology of pathogenic bacteria varies according to the socioeconomic status and antimicrobial resistance status. However, longitudinal epidemiological studies to evaluate the changes in species distribution and antimicrobial susceptibility of pathogenic bacteria nationwide are lacking. We retrospectively investigated the nationwide trends in species distribution and antimicrobial susceptibility of pathogenic bacteria over the last 20 years in Korea.

METHODS

From 1997 to 2016, annual cumulative antimicrobial susceptibility and species distribution data were collected from 12 university hospitals in five provinces and four metropolitan cities in South Korea.

RESULTS

The prevalence of Staphylococcus aureus was the highest (13.1%) until 2012 but decreased to 10.3% in 2016, consistent with the decrease in oxacillin resistance from 76.1% in 2008 to 62.5% in 2016. While the cefotaxime resistance of Escherichia coli increased from 9.0% in 1997 to 34.2% in 2016, E. coli became the most common species since 2013, accounting for 14.5% of all isolates in 2016. Pseudomonas aeruginosa and Acinetobacter baumannii rose to third and fifth places in 2008 and 2010, respectively, while imipenem resistance increased from 13.9% to 30.8% and 0.7% to 73.5% during the study period, respectively. Streptococcus agalactiae became the most common pathogenic streptococcal species in 2016, as the prevalence of Streptococcus pneumoniae decreased since 2010. During the same period, pneumococcal penicillin susceptibility decreased to 79.0%, and levofloxacin susceptibility of S. agalactiae decreased to 77.1% in 2016.

CONCLUSION

The epidemiology of pathogenic bacteria has changed significantly over the past 20 years according to trends in antimicrobial resistance in Korea. Efforts to confine antimicrobial resistance would change the epidemiology of pathogenic bacteria and, consequently, the diagnosis and treatment of infectious diseases.

Burden of chronic kidney diseases and underlying causes in Zambia: evidence from the global burden of disease study 2019

INTRODUCTION

Chronic kidney disease (CKD) has been a global public health problem and a major source of suffering and poor quality of life for those afflicted. Using data from the global burden of disease (GBD) study 2019, we estimated the magnitude of the burden of CKD as well as the underlying causes of CKD in the Zambian population.

METHOD

The data used for this study were extracted from the GBD 2019 study. The GBD 2019 provides estimates of several metrics of disease burden including the commonly used disability-adjusted life year (DALYs) for over 369 diseases and injuries, and 87 risk factors and combinations of these in 204 countries and territories from 1990 to 2019. We estimated the burden of CKD as the number and rates (per 100,000 population) of DALYs, disaggregated by year, sex, and age group. We examined the underlying causes of CKD by estimating the population attributable fraction as the percentage contributions of risk factors to CKD DALY.

RESULTS

The number of DALYs for CKD was estimated as 76.03 million (95% UI: 61.01 to 93.36) in 2019 compared to 39.42 million (95% UI: 33.09 to 45.90) in 1990, representing 93% increase whereas the DALYs rate per 100,000 population was estimated as 416.89 (95% UI: 334.53 to 511.93) in 2019 compared to 496.38 (95% UI: 416.55 to 577.87) in 1990, representing 16% reduction. CKD due to hypertension accounted for 18.7% of CKD DALYs and CKD due to diabetes (types 1 and 2) accounted for 22.7%, while CKD from glomerulonephritis accounted for the most DALYs at 33%. The age group most impacted from CKD were adolescents and young adults.

CONCLUSION

The burden of CKD remains high in the Zambian population with diabetes, high blood pressure, and glomerulonephritis as important causes. The results highlight the need to develop a comprehensive action plan to prevent and treat kidney disease. Increasing the awareness of CKD among the public as well as adaptation of guidelines for treating patients with end stage kidney disease are important considerations.

Systematic review of structured care pathways in major depressive disorder and bipolar disorder

BACKGROUND

Structured care pathways (SCPs) consist of treatment algorithms that patients advance through with the goal of achieving remission or response. These SCPs facilitate the application of current evidence and adequate treatment, which potentially benefit patients with mood disorders. The aim of this systematic review was to provide an updated synthesis of SCPs for the treatment of depressive disorders and bipolar disorder (BD).

METHOD

PubMed, PsycINFO, and Embase were searched through June 2022 for peer-reviewed studies examining outcomes of SCPs. Eligibility criteria included being published in a peer-reviewed journal in the English language, reporting of intervention used in the SCP, and having quantitative outcomes. Studies Cochrane risk of bias tool was used to assess quality of RCTs.

RESULTS

Thirty-six studies including 15,032 patients were identified for qualitative synthesis. Six studies included patients with BD. The studies were highly heterogeneous in design, outcome measures, and algorithms. More than half of the studies reported superiority of SCPs over treatment as usual, suggesting that the standardized structure and consistent monitoring inherent in SCPs may be contributing to their effectiveness. We also found accumulating evidence supporting feasibility of SCPs in different settings, although dropout rates were generally higher in SCPs. The studies included were limited to being published in peer-reviewed journals in English language. The heterogeneity of studies did not allow quantitative evaluation.

CONCLUSIONS

The findings of our study suggest that SCPs are equally or more effective than treatment as usual in depression and BD. Further studies are required to ascertain their effectiveness, particularly for BD, and to identify factors that influence their feasibility and success.

The global burden of disease attributable to metabolic risks in 204 countries and territories from 1990 to 2019

AIM

Our study aimed to survey the burden of disease attributed to metabolic risks (MRs) and secondary MR from 1990 to 2019.

METHODS

Using methodological framework of the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019, we reported the global number, age-standardized rate and population attributable fraction of deaths and disability adjusted life years related to MRs and secondary MR. Furthermore, we analyzed the global burden caused by MRs and secondary MR in detail by gender, age, region, country, disease and Socio-demographic Index level.

RESULTS

The number (million) of deaths and DALYs caused by MRs was 18.6 and 462.8 in 2019, with an increase of 43.6 % and 75.0 % since 1990. However, the ASR of deaths and DALYs attributed to MRs had a decrease of 23.3 % and 17.0 % since 1990. The burden caused by MRs and secondary MR raised with age, and the burden was the heaviest in low - and middle-income countries, especially in Middle East & North Africa. For diseases, the heaviest burden attributed to MRs was observed in ischemic heart disease, followed by stroke.

CONCLUSION

The burden of disease attributed to MRs has continued to rise in the past 30 years, particularly for men and low-middle SDI regions. Therefore, the government should take corresponding actions to reduce the impact of MRs on population health.

Medical and social implications of alcohol use among adult women in a rural area of Ranchi, Jharkhand: A cross-sectional study

Introduction

The harmful use of alcohol is increasing at a huge pace leading to the occurrence of multiple diseases and has become a leading risk factor for global burden of diseases.

Aims and Objectives

The aim of this study is to assess the health profile of adult women and to find out the medical and social effects of alcohol consumption.

Methodology

A cross-sectional study was conducted in the rural field practice area, Ormanjhi of RIMS, Ranchi, for a duration of 27 months (September 2016 to November 2018) among 336 women by multistage random sampling. A pretested semi-structured questionnaire was used for data collection. Templates were generated in MS Excel sheet and analysis of data was done using SPSS software (20.0).

Results

The mean BMI of the study subjects was 21.62 ± 3.33 kg/m2. Anaemia was present in 42.6% of the women, 10.4% women were hypertensive and 9.2% were suffering from diabetes. The association between alcohol consumption and occurrence of co-morbidities was found insignificant. The social effects of alcoholism varied ranging from going into debts seen in 35.42% of the women; 62.5% of the women were criticised about their drinking habit by relatives or children. About 9.5% of the women were found to consume alcohol during their last pregnancy, and among women who were on regular intake of alcohol even during pregnancy, majority (65.62%) of them delivered by normal vaginal delivery.

Conclusion

Alcohol consumption among females caused several adverse social consequences without any significant effect on health.

Clinical and Imaging Phenotypes and Outcomes in a Costa Rican Cohort of Acute Ischemic Stroke Survivors: A Retrospective Study

BACKGROUND

We characterized clinical and imaging phenotypes and their association with clinical outcomes in acute ischemic stroke (AIS) survivors in the understudied region of Costa Rica.

METHODS

We conducted a retrospective cohort study in AIS patients treated at a tertiary stroke center in Costa Rica from 2011-2015. Participants underwent detailed phenotyping for cardiovascular risk factors and stroke etiology. We assessed the association of ischemic brain lesion features and clinical outcomes using the Oxfordshire Community Stroke Project (OCSP) classification.

RESULTS

We included 684 AIS survivors (60.2% males, aged 68.1 ± 13.6 years, mean ± SD). While the cardiovascular risk profiles and mortality rates of our patients were similar to populations in European and North American countries, only 20.2% of patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) received anticoagulation. On multivariable analysis, patients with total anterior circulation infarct (TACI) displayed an increased risk of complications (OR: 4.2; 95% CI: 2.2-7.8; p < 0.001), higher mortality (OR: 6.9; 95% CI: 2.9-16.1; p < 0.001) and lower chance of functional independence at discharge (OR: 8.9; 95% CI: 4.1-19; p < 0.001) compared to non-TACI. The comorbidity of bronchopneumonia increased the probability of death by 14.5 times.

CONCLUSIONS

Our observations in a Costa Rican cohort of AIS survivors might help improve local measures for preventing and managing AIS.

Global Burden of Ischemic Stroke in Young Adults in 204 Countries and Territories

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

To estimate the rates of incidence, death, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) of ischemic stroke in young adults aged 15-49 years and the relevant risk factors by sex, age group, and sociodemographic index (SDI) in 204 countries and territories.

METHODS

Data from the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors (GBD) 2019 study were used. The estimated annual percentage changes (EAPCs) were calculated to evaluate the temporal trends from 1990 to 2019. We also estimated the risk factors contributing to DALYs resulting from ischemic stroke.

RESULTS

From 1990 to 2019, the global age-standardized incidence (EAPC = -0.97), death (EAPC = -0.11), and DALYs rates (EAPC = -0.55) of ischemic stroke in young adults decreased. The largest increases in age-standardized incidence, death, and DALYs rates were observed in the low and low-middle SDI quintiles. At the regional level, North Africa and the Middle East and Southeast Asia showed the largest increases in the age-standardized incidence, death, and DALYs rates of ischemic stroke. The age-standardized incidence rate was higher among young women than among young men in 2019. Globally, a high environmental temperature, high body mass index (BMI), and a high fasting plasma glucose contributed to the largest increases in age-standardized DALYs rates between 1990 and 2019. In the same period, the largest increases in the age-standardized DALYs rates in high-SDI and low-SDI regions were attributable to high environmental temperatures and alcohol use, respectively.

DISCUSSION

The burden of ischemic stroke in young adults continues to increase in low-SDI regions such as North Africa and the Middle East and Southeast Asia. There were differences in the primary risk factors related to the burden of ischemic stroke in different SDI regions. Targeted implementation of cost-effective policies and interventions is an urgent need to reduce the burden of ischemic stroke in young adults.

Demographic, social and economic factors affecting the adoption of green toilets among rural households in India

This study investigates the demographic, social and economic factors as key determinants of green toilet adoption among rural households in India. The Rural Impact Survey data of the World Bank have been used for this study, covering 2731 rural households from Bihar, Madhya Pradesh, and Uttar Pradesh. The chi-square test and regression analysis with marginal estimate have been used to analyze the data. Result of the analysis indicates that about 36.2 percent surveyed rural households have reported access to green toilets having proper effluent discharge systems as per the environmental norms. Further, there is a significant association between the adoption of green toilets and demographic, social and economic characteristics of rural households. Finally, the regression analysis indicates that a number of demographic, social and economic factors i.e., age, education, income, social category, access to information, access to drinking water, and asset ownership have a significant marginal effect on the adoption of green toilets in rural India. Considering the importance of ensuring total sanitation and commitment under the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) of the United Nations for eradicating open defecation for all by 2030 in the country, the results of the study provide useful policy directions for enhancing the adoption of green toilets among the rural households in India.

The NIH childhood adversity portfolio: unmet needs, emerging challenges

Despite the significant increase in pediatric funding, an important question is whether recent changes in the burden of disease and conditions (child and adolescent mortality and nonfatal health loss) are reflected in the National Institutes of Health's (NIH) allocation process. As it sets future priorities, NIH acknowledges "a need to scan the landscape for unmet needs and emerging challenges" so that supported "research translates into meaningful health benefits." Our focus is to scan the pediatric budgetary landscape, report research funding for childhood adversity and adverse childhood experiences, and to illuminate gun violence, suicide, and drug abuse/overdose as prime examples of pediatric unmet needs and emerging challenges. Our findings suggest that pediatric researchers must reconceptualize gun violence as a form of childhood adversity and adverse childhood experiences, as we also need to do for other leading causes of child and adolescent mortality such as suicide and drug abuse/overdose. As it relates to the leading cause of death for children and adolescents, pediatric-related gun violence research spending remains only 0.0017% of the NIH pediatric portfolio. IMPACT: New data on NIH spending on ACEs and childhood adversity. New data to assess the relationship of spending to pediatric burden of disease. New data on pediatrics-related gun violence, suicide and drug abuse/overdose spending.

National and subnational burden of brain and central nervous system cancers in Iran, 1990-2019: Results from the global burden of disease study 2019

INTRODUCTION

Central nervous system cancers (CNS cancers) impose a significant burden upon healthcare systems worldwide. Currently, the lack of a comprehensive study to assess various epidemiological indexes of CNS cancers on national and subnational scales in Iran can hamper healthcare planning and resource allocation in this regard. This study aims to fill this gap by providing estimates of CNS cancer epidemiological measures on national and subnational levels in Iran from 1990 to 2019.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

This study is a part of Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2019 that contains epidemiological measures including prevalence, incidence, mortality, Disability-Adjusted Life Years (DALYs), Years Lived with Disability (YLDs), and Years of Life Lost (YLLs) of CNS cancers. Age standardization was utilized for comparing different provinces.

RESULTS

In 2019, 5811 (95% Uncertainty Interval: 2942-7046) national new cases and 3494 (1751-4173) deaths due to CNS cancers were reported. National age-standardized incidence (ASIR), deaths (ASDR), and DALYs rates were 7.3 (3.7-8.8), 4.6 (2.3-5.5), and 156.4 (82.0-187.0) per 100,000 in 2019, respectively. Subnational results revealed that ASDR and ASIR have increased in the past 30 years in all provinces. Although incidence rates have increased in all age groups and genders since 1990, death rates have remained the same for most age groups and genders except for young patients aged under 15, where a decrease in mortality and YLLs can be observed.

CONCLUSION

The incidence, deaths, and DALYs of CNS cancers increased at national and subnational levels. These findings should be considered for planning and resource allocation.

Exposure to construction dust and health impacts - A review

Construction dust contributes a significant proportion of airborne particulate matter, affecting the health of its surrounding environment and population. Construction workers are normally exposed to dust at high levels and bear severe health risks. The existing articles concerning the exposure and health impacts of construction dust are limited, but this research field has received more and more attention. This work reviews literature in the field and tries to systematically assess the current research state. Here, we review (1) methods used to monitor or sample construction dust; (2) main characteristics of construction dust, including dust classification, exposed populations, and exposure concentrations; (3) potential health hazards and (4) health risk assessment of construction dust. From existing literature, the exposure concentrations of different types and sources of construction dust are usually the focus of attention, while its particle size distribution and chemical composition are rarely mentioned. The classification and characteristics of populations exposed to construction dust ought to be a key consideration but not clear enough so far. There still lacks in-depth study of health hazards and systematic assessment of risks associated with construction dust. In future, it is valuable to develop utility instruments to precisely monitor construction dust. Besides, control means to reduce the pollution of construction dust deserve more studies. Health hazards of construction dust should be verified by biological experiments. Moreover, emerging algorithm models should be utilized in the risk assessment. The findings will help gain a better understanding of construction dust exposure and associated health risks.

Social burden of three major diseases in Japan: A time trend and future projections using the comprehensive cost of illness method

BACKGROUND

Three major diseases in Japan, cancer, heart disease, and cerebrovascular disease (CVD) are the leading causes of death in Japan. This study aimed to clarify the social burden of these diseases, including long-term care (LTC), and to predict future trends.

METHODS

The comprehensive cost of illness (C-COI), a modification of the cost of illness (COI), was used to estimate the social burden of the three major diseases in Japan. The C-COI can macroscopically estimate both direct and indirect costs, including the LTC. A new method for future projections of the C-COI was developed according to the method for future projections of the COI. All data sources were government statistics.

RESULTS

The C-COI of cancer, heart diseases, and CVD in 2017 amounted to 11.0 trillion JPY, 5.3 trillion JPY, and 6.5 trillion JPY, respectively. The projected future C-COI in 2029 was 10.3 trillion JPY, 5.3 trillion JPY, and 4.4 trillion JPY, respectively. In 2029, the LTC costs accounted for 4.4%, 12.8%, and 44.1% of the total C-COI, respectively. Informal care costs are projected to be approximately 1.7 times higher, assuming that all family caregivers will be replaced by professional caregivers in 2029.

CONCLUSION

Indirect costs for all three diseases were projected to decrease owing to aging of the patient. In contrast to the other two diseases, the LTC cost of CVD accounted for a large proportion of the burden. The burden of CVD is expected to decrease in the future, but informal care by older family caregivers is suggested to reach its limits. In the future, the focus of resource allocation should shift from medical care to LTC, especially support for family caregivers. A method of future projections for the social burden based on the C-COI was considered effective for identifying issues for healthcare policy in the context of the times.

Higher serum interleukin-12 levels are associated with the pathophysiology of major depressive disorder: A case-control study results

Background and Aims

Major depressive disorder (MDD) is the fourth biggest health-related concern that dramatically impacts individuals' mental and physical health. Alteration of serum proinflammatory cytokine levels may take part in the development and progression of MDD. We aimed to explore and compare the role of interleukin-12 (IL-12) in MDD patients and healthy controls (HCs) and its involvement with the disease severity.

Methods

The present study included 85 patients and 87 age-sex matched HCs. A qualified psychiatrist utilized the diagnostic and statistical manual of mental disorders, fifth edition (DSM-5) criteria to diagnose patients and evaluate HCs. We applied the Ham-D rating scale to measure the severity of depression. Serum IL-12 levels were measured using ELISA kits.

Results

We observed a notable increase in the serum levels of IL-12 in MDD patients compared to HCs (164.27 ± 10.18 pg/ml and 82.55 ± 4.40 pg/ml; p < 0.001). Moreover, we noticed a positive correlation between serum IL-12 levels and Ham-D scores in MDD patients (r = 0.363; p = 0.001). Receiver operating characteristic analysis showed a good predictive performance (AUC = 0.871; p < 0.001) at the cut-off point of 53.46 pg/ml for serum IL-12.

Conclusion

The current study findings support that IL-12 levels are involved with the pathogenesis and inflammatory process in MDD. At the same time, this involvement may make this cytokine eligible for the risk evaluation of MDD. However, we recommend further interventional studies to explore more accurate associations between IL-12 and depressive disorder.

[Seroprevalence and risk factors for congenital toxoplasmosis in the northeastern region of ColombiaSoroprevalência e fatores de risco associados à toxoplasmose gestacional no nordeste da Colômbia]

Introduction

Toxoplasmosis is a zoonosis prevalent in one-third of the world's population, adversely affecting maternal-fetal health by causing varying degrees of damage to the fetus. Objective: To assess the seroprevalence of Toxoplasma gondii IgG and IgM antibodies and associated risk factors in first- trimester pregnant women in Cúcuta, Colombia, in 2018.

Materials and Methods

Cross-sectional and correlational study in 111 women who voluntarily participated. Specific IgM and IgG antibodies were detected by luminescence immunoassay (LIA).

Results

Total seropositivity for IgM and IgG was 19.8% and 35.1%, respectively, 11.7% was for IgM only, and 53.2% corresponded to the overall seronegativity rate for T. gondii. Risk factors (CI = 95%) such as undercooked meat consumption (54.1% of cases, OR = 1.8, p = 0.120), tap water consumption (48.6%, OR = 1.4, p = 0.421), and goat or cow raw milk consumption (39.6%, OR = 0.78, p = 0.553) were identified; in addition, living with cats (23.4%) was identified as a risk factor significantly associated with parasite seropositivity (OR = 2.8, p = 0.025).

Discussion and conclusions

Our findings showed a possible risk of primary infection in more than half of the pregnant population, given the seronegativity against the parasite. A considerable frequency of suspected cases of very recent infection was also found. In additionto being associated with a previously recognized risk factor, this fact suggests the presence of other dietary risks that should be addressed through prevention strategies during prenatal care and the need to strengthen event surveillance.

The impact of air pollution on physical disability in a middle-aged and older Chinese population using regression discontinuity design

Emerging evidence has shown the association between ambient air pollution exposure and comorbid chronic diseases, which can subsequently impair physical function. However, less is known about the causal and contextual effect of air pollution on physical disability. Using data from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS), this study employs a geographical regression discontinuity design based on the Huai River Policy to estimate the impact of ambient air pollution on physical disability in activities of daily living (ADL) in China. We find that a 10 μg/m³ increase in particulate matter [particulate matter smaller than 10 μm (PM₁₀)] leads to a 5.4% increase in the incidence of physical disability among middle-aged and older adults. This result is robust to using alternative measurement of key variables, different bandwidths and polynomial functions, and adjustment for a set of sociodemographic covariates. Stroke might be one of the potential pathological pathways linking air pollution and physical disability, with a 10 μg/m³ increase in PM₁₀ leading to a 4.7% increase in the incidence of stroke. In heterogeneity analyses, we find that older adults, males, urban residents, and people with lower socioeconomic status are more vulnerable to air pollution. These results contribute to the limited evidence on the causal and contextual effect of air pollution on physical health, and further provide policy implications for air quality control and health protection for vulnerable populations.

Traumatic Brain Injury in Honduras: The Use of a Paper-based Surveillance System to Characterize Injuries Patterns

BACKGROUND

Traumatic brain injuries (TBI) are a leading cause of death and disability worldwide. Violence is the leading cause of mortality in Honduras. However, the incidence and impact of TBI in this low-middle income country (LMIC) is unknown. The aim of this study is to describe the epidemiology of TBI in Honduras, as captured by an injury surveillance tool in the country's major referral center.

METHODS

A cross sectional review of all TBI-related emergency department visits at the main referral hospital in Honduras from January to December 2013 was conducted. The calculation of descriptive statistics from Injury Surveillance System (InSS) data was performed.

RESULTS

Of 17,971 total injuries seen in 2013, 20% were traumatic brain injuries (n=3,588). The main mechanisms of injury were falls (41.11%), road traffic accidents (23.91%), blunt trauma (20.82%), penetrating knife injuries (5.85%), and firearm injuries (2.26%). Most TBI were classified as mild; 99.69% (Glasgow Coma Scale=15). Emergency room mortality was low (1.11%). The modified Kampala Trauma Score median was 8 (interquartile range 7-8).

CONCLUSION

Mild TBI accounts for a significant percentage of all injuries presenting to a high-volume referral center in Honduras in 2013. Despite the high incidence of violence in this country, most TBI were accidental, secondary to road traffic accidents and falls. Further research is required with more recent data as well as with prospective data collection methods.

Effect of exercise on vascular function in hypertension patients: A meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials

Objective

The purpose of this study was to systematically evaluate the effect of exercise on vascular function in patients with pre- and hypertension.

Methods

A systematic review of articles retrieved via the PubMed, Embase, EBSCO, and Web of Science databases was conducted. All the randomized controlled trials published between the establishment of the databases and October 2022 were included. Studies that evaluated the effects of exercise intervention on vascular function in patients with pre- and hypertension were selected.

Results

A total of 717 subjects were included in 12 randomized controlled trials. The meta-analysis showed that in patients with pre- and hypertension, exercise can significantly reduce systolic blood pressure (SBP) (MD = -4.89; 95% CI, -7.05 to -2.73; P < 0.00001) and diastolic blood pressure (DBP) (MD = -3.74; 95% CI, -5.18 to -2.29; P < 0.00001) and can improve endothelium-dependent flow-mediated dilatation (MD = 2.14; 95% CI, 1.71-2.61; P < 0.00001), and exercise did not reduce pulse wave velocity (PWV) (MD = 0.03, 95% CI, -0.45-0.50; P = 0.92). Regression analysis showed that changes in exercise-related vascular function were independent of subject medication status, baseline SBP, age and duration of intervention.

Conclusion

Aerobic, resistance, and high-intensity intermittent exercise all significantly improved SBP, DBP, and FMD in pre- and hypertensive patients, however, they were not effective in reducing PWV, and this effect was independent of the subject's medication status, baseline SBP, age and duration of intervention.

Systematic review registration

https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/PROSPERO/, identifier CRD42022302646.

Disability during Early Pregnancy: Using the Sheehan Disability Scale during the First Trimester in Japan

Background: Many pregnant women experience impairments in social, occupational, or other important functioning. Aim: This study aimed to confirm measurement and structural invariance of the Sheehan Disability Scale (SDS) and its validity during early pregnancy. Design: Longitudinal study with two observations. Methods: Questionnaires were distributed to pregnant women attending antenatal clinics at gestational weeks 10-13. Of 382 respondents, 129 responded to the SDS again 1 week later. Results: Confirmatory factor analysis shows good fit with the data: χ2/df = 0, comparative fit index (CFI) = 1.000, standardized root mean square residual (SRMR) = 0, and root mean square error of approximation (RMSEA) = 0.718. There is acceptable configural, measurement, and structural invariance of the factor structure between primiparas and multiparas as well as between two observation occasions. The Pregnancy-Unique Quantification of Emesis and Nausea, Patient Health Questionnaire-9, and Insomnia Severity Index subscales explain 47% of the variance in SDS scores. Conclusion: Perinatal health care professionals should pay more attention to the difficulties and disabilities that pregnant women face.

Effects of Probiotics Supplementation on CRP, IL-6, and Length of ICU Stay in Traumatic Brain Injuries and Multiple Trauma Patients: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis of Randomized Controlled Trials

METHOD

This meta-analysis aims to evaluate the effectiveness of probiotics in reducing inflammatory biomarkers and the length of intensive care unit (ICU) stays. PubMed-Medline, SCOPUS, Embase, and Google Scholar databases up to July 2021 were searched. The meta-analysis was carried out using random-effect analysis. To determine the sources of heterogeneity, subgroup analyses were performed. In case of the presence of publication bias, trim and fill analysis was carried out. The Cochrane Collaboration tool was used for checking the quality assessment. We hypothesized that probiotics would improve inflammatory markers (CRP and IL-6) and the length of ICU stay in traumatic brain injury and multiple trauma patients.

RESULTS

The present meta-analysis, which includes a total of seven studies, showed that there were no significant effects of probiotics supplementation on interleukin (IL)-6 (Hedges's g = -2.46 pg/ml; 95% CI: -12.16, 7.25; P=0.39), C-reactive protein (CRP) (Hedges's g = -1.10 mg/L; 95% CI: -2.27, 0.06; P=0.06), and the length of staying in ICU. The overall number of RCTs included in the analysis and the total sample size were insufficient to make firm conclusions.

CONCLUSION

As a result, more carefully designed RCTs are needed to investigate the effect of probiotics on inflammatory biomarkers and the length of ICU stay in traumatic brain injuries and multiple trauma patients in greater detail.

Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis of Damage Associated Molecular Patterns HMGB1 and S100B in Schizophrenia

OBJECTIVE

Immune system dysregulation is hypothesised to be central to the aetiopathogenesis of schizophrenia; however, the role of sterile inflammation remains unclear. Damage associated molecular patterns are key initiators of sterile inflammation and are detectable in peripheral blood.

METHODS

A defined systematic search of the Web of Science, PubMed, and Scopus was performed to identify adult case-control studies published between January 1990 and June 2022. Three studies consisting of 242 cases and 83 controls met inclusion for the systematic review and meta-analysis of HMGB1 while twenty-eight studies consisting of 1,544 cases and 1,248 healthy controls were included for S100B.

RESULTS

A significant standardised mean difference in peripheral S100B and HMGB1 concentrations was detected between cases and controls. S100B subgroup analysis determined the largest significant effect size for unmedicated individuals diagnosed with schizophrenia.

CONCLUSION

This study provides evidence that peripheral S100B and HMGB1 concentrations are elevated in individuals diagnosed with schizophrenia when compared with healthy controls. These results should be interpreted with caution as significant heterogeneity was present during meta-analysis of S100B in the entire sample and in sub-group analysis. The persistence of significant heterogeneity throughout subgroup analysis indicates that the current diagnostic groupings may be a barrier to understanding human behaviours and emotions.

How well do Cognitive Behavioural Therapy and Behavioural Activation for depression repair anhedonia? A secondary analysis of the COBRA randomized controlled trial

A secondary analysis of the COBRA randomized controlled trial was conducted to examine how well Cognitive Behavioural Therapy (CBT) and Behavioural Activation (BA) repair anhedonia. Patients with current major depressive disorder (N = 440) were randomized to receive BA or CBT, and anhedonia and depression outcomes were measured after acute treatment (six months) and at two further follow up intervals (12 and 18 months). Anhedonia was assessed using the Snaith Hamilton Pleasure Scale (SHAPS; a measure of consummatory pleasure). Both CBT and BA led to significant improvements in anhedonia during acute treatment, with no significant difference between treatments. Participants remained above healthy population averages of anhedonia at six months, and there was no further significant improvement in anhedonia at 12-month or 18-month follow up. Greater baseline anhedonia severity predicted reduced repair of depression symptoms and fewer depression-free days across the follow-up period in both the BA and CBT arms. The extent of anhedonia repair was less marked than the extent of depression repair across both treatment arms. These findings demonstrate that CBT and BA are similarly and only partially effective in treating anhedonia. Therefore, both therapies should be further refined or novel treatments should be developed in order better to treat anhedonia.

Trajectories of mobility difficulty and falls in community-dwelling adults aged 50 + in Taiwan from 2003 to 2015

BACKGROUND

A decline in mobility leads to fall occurrence and poorer performance in instrumental activities of daily living, which are widely proved to be associated with older adults' health-related quality of life. To inform potential predicaments faced by older adults at different age levels, predictors of this mobility change and falls along with the ageing process need to be further evaluated. Therefore, this study examined the risk factors associated with the longitudinal course of mobility difficulty and falls among community-dwelling middle-aged and older adults in the Taiwanese community.

METHODS

We evaluated data for the period between 2003 and 2015 from the Taiwan Longitudinal Study on Aging; the data cover 5267 community-based middle-aged and older adults with approximately 12 years of follow-up. In terms of mobility, the participants self-reported difficulties in mobility tasks (eg, ambulation) and whether they used a walking device. We employed linear mixed-effects regression models and cumulative logit models to examine whether personal characteristics are associated with mobility difficulty and falls.

RESULTS

Mobility difficulty significantly increased over time for the participants aged ≥ 60 years. Perceived difficulties in standing, walking, squatting, and running became apparent from a younger age than limitations with hand function. The probability of repeated falls increased significantly with older age at 70 (p = .002), higher level of mobility difficulty (p < .0001), lower cognitive status (p = .001), living alone (p = .001), higher number of comorbid illnesses (p < .001), walking device use (p = .003), longer time in physical activities (p < .011), and elevated depressive symptoms (p = .006). Although walking aid use increased the probability of falls, individuals with mobility difficulty had a reduced probability of repeated falls when using a walking device (p = .02).

CONCLUSION

Community-dwelling Taiwanese adults face an earlier mobility difficulty starting in 60 years old. Individuals with more leisure and physical activities in daily life were more likely to maintain mobility and walking safety. Long-term, regular, social, and physical activity could be a referral option for falls prevention program. The use of a walking device and safety precautions are warranted, particularly for individuals with walking difficulties.

A Revision on the Effectiveness of Omega-3 Polyunsaturated Fatty Acids as Monotherapy in the Treatment of Major Depressive Disorder

BACKGROUND

Insufficient effectiveness and a difficult tolerability profile of antidepressant drugs for the treatment of major depressive disorder (MDD) have been reported, and polyunsaturated fatty acids (PUFAs) have been posited as reliable therapeutic alternatives. The present study investigated the efficacy of omega-3 PUFAs as monotherapy for MDD.

METHODS

Two well-trained reviewers independently looked at the most significant randomized clinical trials (RCTs) from the PubMed database regarding PUFAs' employment in MDD compared to placebo; "major depressive disorder" and "omega-3 fatty acids," or "omega-6 fatty acids," or "polyunsaturated fatty acids (PUFA)," or "n - 3 polyunsaturated fatty acids," or "eicosapentaenoic acid (EPA)," or "docosahexaenoic acid (DHA)" were used as the medical subject keywords.

RESULTS

Of the initial 96 potential RCTs based on titles and abstracts, 82 studies did not meet the inclusion criteria and were excluded. Six studies were excluded from the remaining 14 after full text revision. Eight RCTs met all the inclusion/exclusion criteria without reporting clear evidence of PUFAs' effectiveness in the treatment of MDD.

CONCLUSION

At present, there is no opportunity to recommend the use of omega-3 PUFAs monotherapy for the treatment of MDD, although their supplementation may be useful in some specific populations.

Visualization of the inflammatory response to injury by neutrophil phenotype categories

Purpose

The risk of infectious complications after trauma is determined by the amount of injury-related tissue damage and the resulting inflammatory response. Recently, it became possible to measure the neutrophil phenotype in a point-of-care setting. The primary goal of this study was to investigate if immunophenotype categories based on visual recognition of neutrophil subsets are applicable to interpret the inflammatory response to trauma. The secondary goal was to correlate these immunophenotype categories with patient characteristics, injury severity and risk of complications.

Methods

A cohort study was conducted with patients presented at a level 1 trauma center with injuries of any severity, who routinely underwent neutrophil phenotyping. Data generated by automated point-of-care flow cytometry were prospectively gathered. Neutrophil phenotypes categories were defined by visual assessment of two-dimensional CD16/CD62L dot plots. All patients were categorized in one of the immunophenotype categories. Thereafter, the categories were validated by multidimensional analysis of neutrophil populations, using FlowSOM. All clinical parameters and endpoints were extracted from the trauma registry.

Results

The study population consisted of 380 patients. Seven distinct immunophenotype Categories (0–6) were defined, that consisted of different neutrophil populations as validated by FlowSOM. Injury severity scores and risk of infectious complications increased with ascending immunophenotype Categories 3–6. Injury severity was similarly low in Categories 0–2.

Conclusion

The distribution of neutrophil subsets that were described in phenotype categories is easily recognizable for clinicians at the bedside. Even more, multidimensional analysis demonstrated these categories to be distinct subsets of neutrophils. Identification of trauma patients at risk for infectious complications by monitoring the immunophenotype category is a further improvement of personalized and point-of-care decision-making in trauma care.

Greenspace exposure and poststroke disability: A nationwide longitudinal study

INTRODUCTION

Exposure to greenspace has been reported to reduce stroke mortality, but there is a lack of evidence regarding poststroke disability. This study aimed to investigate the association between long-term greenspace exposure and the risk of poststroke disability.

METHODS

Based on the China National Stroke Screening Survey from 2013 to 2019, a total of 65,892 visits from 28,085 stroke survivors with ≥ 2 visits were included in this longitudinal study. Long-term greenspace exposure was assessed by a 3-year average of the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) and the proportion of green land cover according to participants' residential communities. Poststroke functional status was assessed with the modified Ranking Score (mRS) at each visit; a cutoff score > 2 indicated disability. Fixed effects regressions were used to examine the association of greenspace exposure with continuous mRS scores or binary indicators for disability.

RESULTS

The annual mean NDVI value was 0.369 (standard deviation = 0.120) for all visits among stroke survivors. With full adjustments, each 0.05 increase in NDVI was associated with a 0.056-unit (95 % confidence interval (CI): 0.034, 0.079) decrease in the mRS score and a 46.6 % (95 % CI: 10.0 %, 68.3 %) lower risk of poststroke disability. An L-shaped curve was observed for the nonlinear associations between NDVI and mRS score or disability. Additionally, each 1 % increase in grasslands, savannas, forest, and croplands was associated with 0.008- (95 % CI: 0.002, 0.014), 0.003- (95 % CI: 0.001, 0.005), 0.001- (95 % CI: -0.015, 0.018), and 0.002-unit (95 % CI: -0.003, 0.007) decreases in the mRS score, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Increasing greenspace was inversely associated with mRS score. Greenspace planning can be a potential intervention to prevent poststroke disability.

The dirty business of eliminating open defecation: The effect of village sanitation on child height from field experiments in four countries

We examine the impacts of a sanitation program designed to eliminate open defecation in at-scale randomized field experiments in four countries: India, Indonesia, Mali, and Tanzania. The programs - all variants of the widely-used Community-Led Total Sanitation (CLTS) approach - increase village private sanitation coverage in all four locations by 7-39 percentage points. We use the experimentally-induced variation in access to sanitation to identify the causal relationship between village sanitation coverage and child height. We find evidence of threshold effects where increases in child health of 0.3 standard deviations are realized once village sanitation coverage reaches 50-75%. There do not appear to be further gains beyond this threshold. These results suggest that there are large health benefits to achieving coverage levels well below the 100% coverage pushed by the CLTS movement. Open defecation decreased in all countries through improved access to private sanitation facilities, and additionally through increased use of sanitation facilities in Mali who implemented the most intensive behavior change intervention.

Neighbourhood natural space and the narrowing of socioeconomic inequality in years of life lost: a cross-sectional ecological analysis of the Scottish Burden of Disease

BACKGROUND

Natural space is associated with reduced risk of, and narrower socioeconomic inequalities in, diseases that affect older populations, and some contributors to premature mortality in younger individuals. Burden of disease measures such as years of life lost (YLL) are influenced by premature poor health and death. We hypothesised some association between natural space and both rates of and inequalities in YLL might be present.

METHODS

The outcome data were the YLL component from Scottish Burden of Disease 2016, provided at small-area level (datazone) for males and females under 65 years of age in Scotland, UK. Exposure variables were the percentages of land cover within each datazone defined as 'natural space' (NS), and 'natural space and private gardens' (NSG). Together with a measure of area income deprivation, these were fitted in a multilevel Poisson model accounting for intra-datazone level variation, and spatial autocorrelation between datazones.

RESULTS

An increased percentage cover of NSG was associated with lower YLL in males (incident rate ratio (IRR) 0.993, 95% credible interval (CrI) 0.989 to 0.997) and females (IRR 0.993, CrI 0.987 to 0.998); each 10% increase of natural space cover was associated with a 7% decrease in the incidence rate. An increased amount of natural space within local areas was associated with reduced disparity in YLL between the most and least income deprived areas.

CONCLUSIONS

The health benefits of natural space also apply when indicators sensitive to health events at younger ages are used. An increased amount of natural space within local areas has the potential to reduce the disparity in YLL between the most and least income deprived areas-the 'equigenic' effect.

Research on major depression in China: A perspective from bibliometric analysis

BACKGROUND

Major depressive disorder (MDD) is a major psychiatric disorder with increasing research intensity. However, papers written in languages other than English are less accessible to international readers. This study examined the bibliometric features of English and Chinese language research papers about major depressive disorder in China.

METHODS

The Web of Science (WoS) and China National Knowledge Infrastructure (CNKI) databases were searched for eligible studies. Authorship collaboration networks and keyword co-occurrences were estimated and visualized.

RESULTS

There were 2,220 and 63,306 publications on MDD in the WoS and CNKI between 1990 and 2021, respectively. The number of papers increased annually during the period. For papers written in English, the Journal of Affective Disorders (201; 9.05 %) had the highest activity and the Shanghai Jiao Tong University had the most publications (232; 10.45 %). For papers in Chinese, the highest activity was with the Journal of Clinical Psychiatry (1,025; 1.62 %) and the Beijing University of Chinese Medicine (1,098; 1.73 %). Xiang YT (68; 3.06 %) and Yuan YG (179; 0.28 %) were the most productive authors in the English and Chinese languages, respectively. Keyword analysis showed that English and Chinese publications differed in emphasis (English: related psychiatric conditions, study design, clinical aspects, and assessment instruments; Chinese: somatic comorbidities, antidepressants, related psychiatric conditions, treatment of depression, and electrophysiological).

CONCLUSIONS

The number of scientific papers on MDD increased yearly, and Chinese authors writing in English have an increasing influence. Except for a few authors, productivity and influence were dominated by national universities and specialized medical universities.

The Burden of Proof studies: assessing the evidence of risk

Exposure to risks throughout life results in a wide variety of outcomes. Objectively judging the relative impact of these risks on personal and population health is fundamental to individual survival and societal prosperity. Existing mechanisms to quantify and rank the magnitude of these myriad effects and the uncertainty in their estimation are largely subjective, leaving room for interpretation that can fuel academic controversy and add to confusion when communicating risk. We present a new suite of meta-analyses-termed the Burden of Proof studies-designed specifically to help evaluate these methodological issues objectively and quantitatively. Through this data-driven approach that complements existing systems, including GRADE and Cochrane Reviews, we aim to aggregate evidence across multiple studies and enable a quantitative comparison of risk-outcome pairs. We introduce the burden of proof risk function (BPRF), which estimates the level of risk closest to the null hypothesis that is consistent with available data. Here we illustrate the BPRF methodology for the evaluation of four exemplar risk-outcome pairs: smoking and lung cancer, systolic blood pressure and ischemic heart disease, vegetable consumption and ischemic heart disease, and unprocessed red meat consumption and ischemic heart disease. The strength of evidence for each relationship is assessed by computing and summarizing the BPRF, and then translating the summary to a simple star rating. The Burden of Proof methodology provides a consistent way to understand, evaluate and summarize evidence of risk across different risk-outcome pairs, and informs risk analysis conducted as part of the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study.

Estimating the changing burden of disease attributable to high body mass index in South Africa for 2000, 2006 and 2012

Background. A high body mass index (BMI) is associated with several cardiovascular diseases, diabetes and chronic kidney disease, cancers, and other selected health conditions. Objectives. To quantify the deaths and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) attributed to high BMI in persons aged ≥20 years in South Africa (SA) for 2000, 2006 and 2012. Methods. The comparative risk assessment (CRA) methodology was followed. Meta-regressions of the BMI mean and standard deviation from nine national surveys spanning 1998 - 2017 were conducted to provide estimates by age and sex for adults aged ≥20 years. Population attributable fractions were calculated for selected health outcomes using relative risks identified by the Global Burden of Disease Study (2017), and applied to deaths and DALY estimates from the second South African National Burden of Disease Study to estimate the burden attributed to high BMI in a customised Microsoft Excel workbook. Monte Carlo simulation-modelling techniques were used for the uncertainty analysis. BMI was assumed to follow a log-normal distribution, and the theoretical minimum value of BMI below which no risk was estimated was assumed to follow a uniform distribution from 20 kg/m2 to 25 kg/m2. Results. Between 2000 and 2012, mean BMI increased by 6% from 27.7 kg/m2 (95% confidence interval (CI) 27.6 - 27.9) to 29.4 kg/m2 (95% CI 29.3 - 29.5) for females, and by 3% from 23.9 kg/m2 (95% CI 23.7 - 24.1) to 24.6 kg/m2 (95% CI 24.5 - 24.8) for males. In 2012, high BMI caused 58 757 deaths (95% uncertainty interval (UI) 46 740 - 67 590) or 11.1% (95% UI 8.8 - 12.8) of all deaths, and 1.42 million DALYs (95% UI 1.15 - 1.61) or 6.9% (95% UI 5.6 - 7.8) of all DALYs. Over the study period, the burden in females was ~1.5 - 1.8 times higher than that in males. Type 2 diabetes mellitus became the leading cause of death attributable to high BMI in 2012 (n=12 382 deaths), followed by hypertensive heart disease (n=12 146), haemorrhagic stroke (n=9 141), ischaemic heart disease (n=7 499) and ischaemic stroke (n=4 044). The age-standardised attributable DALY rate per 100 000 population for males increased by 6.6% from 3 777 (95% UI 2 639 - 4 869) in 2000 to 4 026 (95% UI 2 831 - 5 115) in 2012, while it increased by 7.8% for females from 6 042 (95% UI 5 064 - 6 702) to 6 513 (95% UI 5 597 - 7 033). Conclusion. Average BMI increased between 2000 and 2012 and accounted for a growing proportion of total deaths and DALYs. There is a need to develop, implement and evaluate comprehensive interventions to achieve lasting change in the determinants and impact of overweight and obesity, particularly among women.

Estimating the changing burden of disease attributable to high fasting plasma glucose in South Africa for 2000, 2006 and 2012

Background. Worldwide, higher-than-optimal fasting plasma glucose (FPG) is among the leading modifiable risk factors associated with all- cause mortality and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) due to the direct sequelae of diabetes and the increased risk for cardiovascular and chronic kidney disease. Objectives. To report deaths and DALYs of health outcomes attributable to high FPG by age and sex for South Africa (SA) for 2000, 2006 and 2012. Methods. Comparative risk assessment methodology was used to estimate the burden attributable to high FPG. A meta-regression analysis was performed using data from national and small-area studies to estimate the population distribution of FPG and diabetes prevalence. Attributable fractions were calculated for selected health outcomes and applied to local burden estimates from the second South African National Burden of Disease Study (SANBD2). Age-standardised rates were calculated using World Health Organization world standard population weights. Results. We estimated a 5% increase in mean FPG from 5.31 (95% confidence interval (CI) 5.18 - 5.43) mmol/L to 5.57 (95% CI 5.41 - 5.72) mmol/L and a 75% increase in diabetes prevalence from 7.3% (95% CI 6.7 - 8.3) to 12.8% (95% CI 11.9 - 14.0) between 2000 and 2012. The age-standardised attributable death rate increased from 153.7 (95% CI 126.9 - 192.7) per 100 000 population in 2000 to 203.5 (95% CI 172.2 - 240.8) per 100 000 population in 2012, i.e. a 32.4% increase. During the same period, age-standardised attributable DALY rates increased by 43.8%, from 3 000 (95% CI 2 564 - 3 602) per 100 000 population in 2000 to 4 312 (95% CI 3 798 - 4 916) per 100 000 population in 2012. In each year, females had similar attributable death rates to males but higher DALY rates. A notable exception was tuberculosis, with an age-standardised attributable death rate in males double that in females in 2000 (14.3 v. 7.0 per 100 000 population) and 2.2 times higher in 2012 (18.4 v. 8.5 per 100 000 population). Similarly, attributable DALY rates were higher in males, 1.7 times higher in 2000 (323 v. 186 per 100 000 population) and 1.6 times higher in 2012 (502 v. 321 per 100 000 population). Between 2000 and 2012, the age-standardised death rate for chronic kidney disease increased by 98.3% (from 11.7 to 23.1 per 100 000 population) and the DALY rate increased by 116.9% (from 266 to 578 per 100 000 population). Conclusion. High FPG is emerging as a public health crisis, with an attributable burden doubling between 2000 and 2012. The consequences are costly in terms of quality of life, ability to earn an income, and the economic and emotional burden on individuals and their families. Urgent action is needed to curb the increase and reduce the burden associated with this risk factor. National data on FPG distribution are scant, and efforts are warranted to ensure adequate monitoring of the effectiveness of the interventions.

Non-prescribed antibiotic use for children at community levels in low- and middle-income countries: a systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Non-prescribed antibiotic use is an emerging risky practice around the globe. An inappropriate use involving nonprescription access is one cause of the rapid increase in antibiotic resistance. Children commonly encounter many self-limiting illnesses for which they frequently use antibiotics without prescription. However, no specific and conclusive evidence exists to inform actions against this unsafe practice. We thus aimed to estimate the pooled proportion of non-prescribed antibiotic use for children at community levels in low- and middle-income countries.

METHODS

A systematic search of records was conducted from PubMed/Medline, Embase, Scopus, CINAHL, and Google scholar. Eligible English-language publications were original articles which reported on community-based non-prescribed antibiotic use for children and conducted in low- and middle-income countries. Study features and the number of antibiotics used without prescriptions were extracted and pooled for effect sizes employing a random-effects model. The pooled proportion of non-prescribed antibiotic use was estimated as a percentage.

RESULTS

In this analysis, we included a total of 39 articles consisting of 40,450 participants. Of these, 16,315 participants used non-prescribed antibiotics. The pooled percentage for this use of non-prescribed antibiotics was 45% (95% CI: 40-50%). The estimate was considerably higher in studies involving simulated patient methods (56%; 95% CI: 49-62%) than those studies with community surveys (40%; 95% CI: 34-46%) (P = 0.001). It was also varied by the recall period of antibiotics use-56% (95% CI: 50-62%) for instantly observed practice, 36% (95% CI: 22-50%) for within two week recall, 35% (95% CI: 26-45%) for 1-6 months recall, and 46% (95% CI: 37-54%) for more than six months recall (P = 0.001). Primary access points for the non-prescribed antibiotic uses were retail drug outlets.

CONCLUSIONS

We found that nearly half of the antibiotics used for children in community settings were without prescriptions. For these unsafe practices, caregivers accessed antibiotics mainly from drug outlets. Hence, context-specific educational and regulatory interventions at these outlets and the community levels are the first steps to improving antibiotic usage for children in low- and middle-income countries.

TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER

CRD42021288971 (PROSPERO).  https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/prospero/display_record.php?ID=CRD42021288971 .

Estimating the changing burden of disease attributable to low levels of physical activity in South Africa for 2000, 2006 and 2012

Background. Physical activity is associated with a lower risk of cardiovascular outcomes, certain cancers and diabetes. The previous South African Comparative Risk Assessment (SACRA1) study assessed the attributable burden of low physical activity for 2000, but updated estimates are required, as well as an assessment of trends over time.Objective. To estimate the national prevalence of physical activity by age, year and sex and to quantify the burden of disease attributable to low physical activity in South Africa (SA) for 2000, 2006 and 2012.Methods. Comparative risk assessment methodology was used. Physical activity was treated as a categorical variable with four categories, i.e. inactive, active, very active and highly active. Prevalence estimates of physical activity levels, representing the three different years, were derived from two national surveys. Physical activity estimates together with the relative risks from the Global Burden of Disease, Injuries, and Risk Factors (GBD) 2016 study were used to calculate population attributable fractions due to inactive, active and very active levels of physical activity relative to highly active levels considered to be the theoretical minimum risk exposure (>8 000 metabolic equivalent of time (MET)-min/wk), in accordance with the GBD 2016 study. These were applied to relevant disease outcomes sourced from the Second National Burden of Disease Study to calculate attributable deaths, years of life lost, years lived with disability and disability adjusted life years (DALYs). Uncertainty analysis was performed using Monte Carlo simulation.Results. The prevalence of physical inactivity (<600 METS) decreased by 16% and 8% between 2000 and 2012 for females and males, respectively. Attributable DALYs due to low physical activity increased between 2000 (n=194 284) and 2006 (n=238 475), but decreased thereafter in 2012 (n=219 851). The attributable death age-standardised rates (ASRs) declined between 2000 and 2012 from 60/100 000 population in 2000 to 54/100 000 population in 2012. Diabetes mellitus type 2 displaced ischaemic heart disease as the largest contributor to attributable deaths, increasing from 31% in 2000 to 42% in 2012.Conclusions. Low physical activity is responsible for a large portion of disease burden in SA. While the decreased attributable death ASR due to low physical activity is encouraging, this burden may be lowered further with an additional reduction in the overall prevalence of physical inactivity, in particular. It is concerning that the attributable burden for diabetes mellitus is growing, which suggests that existing non-communicable disease policies need better implementation, with ongoing surveillance of physical activity, and population- and community-based interventions are required in order to reach set targets.

Estimating the changing disease burden attributable to raised low-density lipoprotein cholesterol in South Africa for 2000, 2006 and 2012

Background. Low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) is the most important contributor to atherosclerosis, a causal factor for ischaemic heart disease (IHD) and ischaemic stroke. Although raised LDL-C is a key contributor to cardiovascular disease (CVD), the exact attributable disease risk in South Africa (SA) is unknown. The the first SA comparative risk assessment (SACRA1) study assessed the attributable burden of raised total cholesterol, and not specifically LDL-C. Objectives. To estimate the national mean serum LDL-C by age, year and sex and to quantify the burden of disease attributable to LDL-C in SA for 2000, 2006 and 2012. Methods. The comparative risk assessment (CRA) method was used. Estimates of the national mean of LDL-C, representing the 3 different years, were derived from 14 small observational studies using a meta-regression model. A theoretical minimum risk exposure level (TMREL) of 0.7 - 1.3 mmol/L was used. LDL-C estimates together with the relative risks from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017 were used to calculate a potential impact fraction (PIF). This was applied to IHD and ischaemic stroke estimates sourced from the Second National Burden of Disease Study. Attributable deaths, years of life lost, years lived with disability and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) were calculated. Uncertainty analysis was performed using Monte Carlo simulation. Results. LDL-C declined from 2.74 mmol/L in 2000 to 2.58 mmol/L in 2012 for males, while in females it declined from 3.05 mmol/L in 2000 to 2.91 mmol/L in 2012. The PIFs for LDL-C showed a slight decline over time, owing to the slight decrease in LDL-C levels. Attributable DALYs increased between 2000 (n=286 712) and 2006 (n=315 125), but decreased thereafter in 2012 (n=270 829). Attributable age-standardised death rates declined between 2000 and 2012 in both sexes: in males from 98 per 100 000 members of the population in 2000 to 78 per 100 000 in 2012, and in females from 81 per 100 000 in 2000 to 58 per 100 000 in 2012. Conclusions. Mean LDL-C levels were close to 3 mmol/L, which is the recommended level at which cholesterol-lowering treatment should be initiated for people at low and moderate risk for cardiovascular outcomes. The decreasing trend in the age-standardised attributable burden due to LDL-C is encouraging, but it can be lowered further with the introduction of additional population-based CVD prevention strategies. This study highlights the fact that high LDL-C concentration in relation to the TMREL in SA is responsible for a large proportion of the emerging CVD, and should be targeted by health planners to reduce disease burden.

Estimating the changing burden of disease attributable to low levels of physical activity in South Africa for 2000, 2006 and 2012

Background. Physical activity is associated with a lower risk of cardiovascular outcomes, certain cancers and diabetes. The previous South African Comparative Risk Assessment (SACRA1) study assessed the attributable burden of low physical activity for 2000, but updated estimates are required, as well as an assessment of trends over time.Objective. To estimate the national prevalence of physical activity by age, year and sex and to quantify the burden of disease attributable to low physical activity in South Africa (SA) for 2000, 2006 and 2012.Methods. Comparative risk assessment methodology was used. Physical activity was treated as a categorical variable with four categories, i.e. inactive, active, very active and highly active. Prevalence estimates of physical activity levels, representing the three different years, were derived from two national surveys. Physical activity estimates together with the relative risks from the Global Burden of Disease, Injuries, and Risk Factors (GBD) 2016 study were used to calculate population attributable fractions due to inactive, active and very active levels of physical activity relative to highly active levels considered to be the theoretical minimum risk exposure (>8 000 metabolic equivalent of time (MET)-min/wk), in accordance with the GBD 2016 study. These were applied to relevant disease outcomes sourced from the Second National Burden of Disease Study to calculate attributable deaths, years of life lost, years lived with disability and disability adjusted life years (DALYs). Uncertainty analysis was performed using Monte Carlo simulation.Results. The prevalence of physical inactivity (<600 METS) decreased by 16% and 8% between 2000 and 2012 for females and males, respectively. Attributable DALYs due to low physical activity increased between 2000 (n=194 284) and 2006 (n=238 475), but decreased thereafter in 2012 (n=219 851). The attributable death age-standardised rates (ASRs) declined between 2000 and 2012 from 60/100 000 population in 2000 to 54/100 000 population in 2012. Diabetes mellitus type 2 displaced ischaemic heart disease as the largest contributor to attributable deaths, increasing from 31% in 2000 to 42% in 2012.Conclusions. Low physical activity is responsible for a large portion of disease burden in SA. While the decreased attributable death ASR due to low physical activity is encouraging, this burden may be lowered further with an additional reduction in the overall prevalence of physical inactivity, in particular. It is concerning that the attributable burden for diabetes mellitus is growing, which suggests that existing non-communicable disease policies need better implementation, with ongoing surveillance of physical activity, and population- and community-based interventions are required in order to reach set targets.

Comparison of the predictive value of four insulin resistance surrogates for the prevalence of hypertension: a population-based study

BACKGROUND

Several studies have investigated the association of insulin resistance (IR) surrogates and the risk of hypertension. However, it is unclear whether there exist differences between different IR surrogates and hypertension risk. Therefore, this study aimed to explore the association of four IR surrogates (triglyceride-glucose index (TyG index), triglyceride-glucose index with body mass index (TyG-BMI), triglycerides/high-density lipoprotein cholesterol ratio (TG/HDL-c), and metabolic score for IR (METS-IR)) with the prevalence of hypertension.

METHODS

This is a cross-sectional study with a total of 117,056 participants. Data were extracted from a computerized database established by Rich Healthcare Group in China, which included all medical records of participants who received a health check-up from 2010 to 2016. IR surrogates were grouped into quartiles as continuous variables, and multivariate logistic regression was performed to estimate the association between different IR surrogate levels and the prevalence of hypertension. Results were expressed as odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs). Missing data were accounted by multiple imputation. These analyses were considered as the sensitivity analysis. Meanwhile, the Bayesian network (BN) model was constructed to further evaluate the relationship between baseline characteristics and the four IR surrogates and the prevalence of hypertension, as well as the importance of every single variable for the prevalence of hypertension.

RESULTS

Multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed that TyG-BMI and METS-IR were independent risk factors for the prevalence of hypertension that increased significantly with increasing TyG-BMI and METS-IR (p for trend < 0.001). The area under the TyG-BMI curve (AUC) was 0.681 [95% CI: 0.677-0.685], and the cut-off value was 199.5, with a sensitivity and specificity of 65.57% and 61.18%, respectively. While the area under the METS-IR curve (AUC) was 0.679 [95% CI: 0.674-0.683], and the cut-off value was 33.61, with a sensitivity and specificity of 69.67% and 56.67%, respectively. The BN model presented that among these four IR surrogates and related variables, TyG-BMI was the most important predictor of hypertension prevalence, with a significance of 34%. The results before and after multiple imputation were similar.

CONCLUSION

TyG-BMI and METS-IR were independent risk factors for the prevalence of hypertension. TyG-BMI and METS-IR had good predictive value for the prevalence of hypertension, and TyG-BMI was superior to METS-IR.

Childhood socioeconomic status and adulthood dietary diversity among Indonesian adults

Food insecurity problems still exist among people in low-to-middle income countries. The long-term disadvantages of socioeconomic status may contribute to chronic food insecurity. However, whether childhood socioeconomic status factors are related to food insecurity in adulthood remains unclear. Thus, the aim of this study was to test the association between childhood socioeconomic status factors and one of the proxies for adulthood food security, dietary diversity. This study used the 2014 RAND Indonesia Family Life Survey dataset with 22,559 adult participants as study samples. The childhood socioeconomic status factors consisted of 16 questions about the participants’ conditions when they were 12 years old. Adult dietary diversity was assessed using the United Nations World Food Programme’s food consumption score. A linear regression model was used to analyze the association between variables. This study found that the number of owned books (β coef.: 3.713–7.846, p < 0.001), the use of safe drinking-water sources (β coef.: 0.707–5.447, p < 0.001–0.009) and standard toilets (β coef.: 1.263–4.955, p < 0.001–0.002), parents with the habit of alcohol consumption (β coef.: 2.983, p = 0.044) or the combination with smoking habits (β coef.: 1.878, p < 0.001), self-employed with the permanent worker (β coef.: 2.904, p = 0.001), still married biological parents (β coef.: 1.379, p < 0.001), the number of rooms (β coef.: 0.968, p < 0.001), people (β coef.: 0.231, p < 0.001), and younger siblings (β coef.: 0.209–0.368, p < 0.001–0.039) in the same house were positively and significantly associated with the outcome variable. Furthermore, in the order of childhood socioeconomic status factors, self-employment without permanent workers and casual work types (β coef.: –9.661 to –2.094, p < 0.001–0.001), houses with electricity facilities (β coef.: –4.007, p < 0.001), and parents with smoking habits (β coef.: –0.578, p = 0.006) were negatively and significantly associated with the food security proxy. In conclusion, childhood and early socioeconomic disadvantage is related to adult food security status and may lead to poor health.

Burden of thyroid cancer in North Africa and Middle East 1990-2019

BACKGROUND

Thyroid cancer is the leading cause of mortality and morbidity among cancers of the endocrine system. We aimed to describe the trends of thyroid cancer burden in North Africa and Middle East for 1990-2019.

METHODS

Data on burden of thyroid cancer in North Africa and Middle East from 1990 to 2019 were obtained from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) Study 2019. Decomposition analysis was used to estimate the effects of population growth, aging, and change in incident numbers on overall change of thyroid cancer incidence. Also, we used the comparative risk assessment framework of GBD to determine the burden of thyroid cancer attributable to a high body mass index (BMI).

RESULTS

In 2019, the age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR) and age-standardized mortality rate (ASMR) of thyroid cancer were 3.5 (2.9-4) and 0.5 (0.5-0.7) per 100,000, respectively. The highest age-standardized incidence, deaths, and disability-adjusted life year (DALY) rate were in Lebanon, Afghanistan, and United Arab Emirates, respectively. The ASIR of thyroid cancer in region was about 2.5 times higher among women, which had a positive association with increasing age. In 2019, the age-standardized deaths attributable to a high BMI was 16.7% of all deaths due to thyroid cancer. In 1990-2019, the overall change in thyroid cancer incident cases was a 396% increase which was mostly driven by the increase in disease-specific incidence rate (256.8%).

CONCLUSIONS

Women, the elderly above about 60 years old, and countries with a higher sociodemographic index showed higher incidence rates of thyroid cancer. Regarding our findings, it is recommended to establish preventive plans by modification in life style like weight reduction programs.