Prognostic factors in metastatic and hormonally unresponsive carcinoma of the prostate

From biology to the clinic - exploring liver metastasis in prostate cancer

Liver metastases from prostate cancer are associated with an aggressive disease course and poor prognosis. Results from autopsy studies indicate a liver metastasis prevalence of up to 25% in patients with advanced prostate cancer. Population data estimate that ~3-10% of patients with metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer harbour liver metastases at the baseline, rising to 20-30% in post-treatment cohorts, suggesting that selective pressure imposed by novel therapies might promote metastatic spread to the liver. Liver metastases are associated with more aggressive tumour biology than lung metastases. Molecular profiling of liver lesions showed an enrichment of low androgen receptor, neuroendocrine phenotypes and high genomic instability. Despite advancements in molecular imaging modalities such as prostate-specific membrane antigen PET-CT, and liquid biopsy markers such as circulating tumour DNA, early detection of liver metastases from prostate cancer remains challenging, as both approaches are hampered by false positive and false negative results, impeding the accurate identification of early liver lesions. Current therapeutic strategies showed limited efficacy in this patient population. Emerging targeted radionuclide therapies, metastasis-directed therapy, and novel systemic agents have shown preliminary activity against liver metastases, but require further validation. Treatment with various novel prostate cancer therapies might lead to an increase in the prevalence of liver metastasis, underscoring the urgent need for coordinated efforts across preclinical and clinical researchers to improve characterization, monitoring, and management of liver metastases from prostate cancer. Elucidating molecular drivers of liver tropism and interactions with the liver microenvironment might ultimately help to identify actionable targets to enhance survival in this high-risk patient group.

OSCAR: Optimal subset cardinality regression using the L0-pseudonorm with applications to prognostic modelling of prostate cancer

In many real-world applications, such as those based on electronic health records, prognostic prediction of patient survival is based on heterogeneous sets of clinical laboratory measurements. To address the trade-off between the predictive accuracy of a prognostic model and the costs related to its clinical implementation, we propose an optimized L0-pseudonorm approach to learn sparse solutions in multivariable regression. The model sparsity is maintained by restricting the number of nonzero coefficients in the model with a cardinality constraint, which makes the optimization problem NP-hard. In addition, we generalize the cardinality constraint for grouped feature selection, which makes it possible to identify key sets of predictors that may be measured together in a kit in clinical practice. We demonstrate the operation of our cardinality constraint-based feature subset selection method, named OSCAR, in the context of prognostic prediction of prostate cancer patients, where it enables one to determine the key explanatory predictors at different levels of model sparsity. We further explore how the model sparsity affects the model accuracy and implementation cost. Lastly, we demonstrate generalization of the presented methodology to high-dimensional transcriptomics data.

ALP bouncing and LDH normalization in bone metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer patients under therapy with Enzalutamide: an exploratory analysis

Background

In bone metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer (bmCRPC) treated with Enzalutamide commonly used prostate-specific antigen (PSA) can be misleading since initial PSA-flares may occur. In other therapies, bouncing of alkaline phosphatase (ALP-bouncing) was shown to be a promising surrogate for survival outcome. Low lactate dehydrogenase (LDH) is usually associated with better outcome. We evaluated the prognostic ability of ALP-bouncing, LDH, PSA, and the combination of these markers after initiation of Enzalutamide.

Methods

Eighty-nine patients with bmCRPC and dynamic changes of PSA, LDH and ALP were analyzed. ALP-bouncing, an increase after therapy start followed by a decline below baseline during the first 8 weeks, LDH-normalization and PSA-decline were analyzed regarding their association with survival using Kaplan-Meier analyses and uni- and multivariate (UV and MV) Cox-regression models.

Results

In Kaplan-Meier analysis a PSA-decline >50%, LDH-normalization and ALP-bouncing were associated with longer median progression-free survival (PFS) with 7 [95% confidence interval (CI): 4.2-9.8] vs. 3 (2.3-3.7) months for PSA-decline (log-rank P<0.01), 6 (4.1-8) vs. 2 (1.2-2.8) for LDH-normalization (P<0.01) and 8 (0-16.3) vs. 3 (1.9-4.1) for ALP-bouncing (P=0.01). Analysis of overall survival (OS) showed similar, not for all parameters significant, results with 17 (11.7-22.3) vs. 12 (7.0-17.1) months for PSA (P=0.35), 17 (13.2-20.8) vs. 7 (5.8-8.2) for LDH-normalization (P<0.01) and 19 (7.9-30.1) vs. 12 (7.7-16.3) for ALP-bouncing (P=0.32). In UV analysis, ALP-bouncing [hazard ratio (HR): 0.5 (0.3-1.0); P=0.02], PSA-decline >50% [HR: 0.5 (0.3-0.7); P<0.01] and LDH-normalization [HR: 0.4 (0.2-0.6); P<0.01] were significantly associated with longer PFS. For OS, LDH-normalization significantly prognosticated longer survival [HR: 0.4 (0.2-0.6); P<0.01]. In MV analysis, LDH-normalization was associated with a trend towards better OS [HR: 0.5 (0.2-1.1); P=0.09]. Comparing ALP-bouncing, LDH-normalization and PSA-decline with a PSA-decline alone, Kaplan-Meier analysis showed significantly longer PFS [11 (0.2-21.8) vs. 4 (0-8.6); P=0.01] and OS [20 (17.7-22.3) vs. 8 (0.3-15.7); P=0.02] in favor of the group presenting with the beneficial dynamics of all three markers. In UV analysis, the presence of favorable changes in the three markers was significantly associated with longer PFS [HR: 0.2 (0.1-0.7); P<0.01] and OS [HR: 0.3 (0.1-0.8); P=0.02].

Conclusions

ALP-bouncing and LDH-normalization may add to identification of bmCRPC-patients with favorable prognosis under Enzalutamide.

Prognostic role of the duration of response to androgen deprivation therapy in patients with metastatic castration resistant prostate cancer treated with enzalutamide or abiraterone acetate

BACKGROUND

Our retrospective study aims to evaluate the prognostic role of duration of response to androgen deprivation therapy (ADT) in metastatic castration resistant prostate cancer (mCRPC) patients treated with enzalutamide (E) or abiraterone acetate (AA).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Data about ADT start and duration were available in 255 (82%) of 311 patients treated with AA or E. Patients were divided in three groups according to ADT response (group 1 [G1]: <12 months; group 2 [G2]: 12-36 months; group 3 [G3]: >36 months). Outcome measures were progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS).

RESULTS

Patients with longer ADT response had better OS (median 17.3 months G1, 19.9 months G2, 31.6 months G3; HR G3 vs G1 0.41, 95% CI 0.25-0.64; p = 0.001) and better PFS (median 5.9 months G1, 8.8 months G2, 11.7 months G3; HR G3 vs G1 0.41, 95% CI 0.41-0.27; p < 0001). In docetaxel-naive patients, median OS was 18.8 in G1, 35.2 in G2, and not reached in G3 (HR G3 vs G1 0.33, 95% CI 0.14-0.78; p = 0.038), median PFS was 7 months G1, 9.3 months G2, and 20 months G3 (HR G3 vs G1 0.31, 95% CI 0.15-0.62; p = 0.003). In postdocetaxel patients, median OS was 13.1 months in G1, 17.2 months in G2, and 21.4 months in G3 (HR G3 vs G1 0.52, 95% CI 0.29-0.94; p = 0.082), while median PFS was 5.2 months in G1, 6.8 months in G2, and 8.3 months in G3 (HR G3 vs G1 0.54, 95% CI 0.32-0.91; p = 0.067).

CONCLUSIONS

Duration of ADT response is an independent prognostic factor of outcome with AA or E.

Role of routine blood tests for predicting clinical outcomes in osteosarcoma patients

BACKGROUND

This retrospective cohort study aimed to investigate whether simple routine blood tests at presentation (C-reactive protein (CRP), erythrocyte sedimentation rate (ESR), alkaline phosphatase and albumin) predict survival in patients with osteosarcoma.

METHODS

Between January 1998 and February 2015, 134 patients with a histological diagnosis of osteosarcoma were treated in our unit. Of these, 79 patients with high-grade osteosarcomas were included in the study. Demographic and clinical data, and laboratory parameters obtained prior to biopsy (CRP, ESR, alkaline phosphatase and albumin levels), were obtained from patients' records.

RESULTS

There were 44 males and 35 females. Univariate analysis showed that high pre-biopsy CRP ( p = 0.004), raised pre-biopsy ESR ( p = 0.010), older age ( p < 0.001), poor tumour necrosis rates (≤90%, p = 0.023) and metastasis at presentation ( p < 0.001) were poor prognostic factors. Multivariate analysis showed pre-biopsy CRP and ESR levels to be independent predictors of overall survival ( p = 0.020 and p = 0.025, respectively). Kaplan-Meier survival was significantly lower in patients with elevated CRP ( p = 0.002) and ESR ( p = 0.003). Hypoalbuminaemia and elevated alkaline phosphatase levels did not correlate with overall survival.

CONCLUSION

Preoperative CRP and ESR levels may have value in building a prognostic model for patients presenting with osteosarcoma.

Factors related to early castration resistance in metastatic prostate cancer. Results from the National Prostate Cancer Registry in Spain

INTRODUCTION

The objective of the study was to determine the factors independently related with the development of castration resistance (CR) in prostate cancer (PC) in the medium term.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

155 patients diagnosed with metastatic PC with a follow-up of up to 39 months. Data taken from the National PC Registry. The evaluated variables were age, PSA, nadir PSA, Gleason, perineural invasion, TNM stages, and ADT type (intermittent/continuous).

RESULTS

Mean follow-up 26,2±13,4 months. 47.1% developed early CR, with mean time until onset of 12,2±8,7 months. Univariate analysis the mean PSA was correlated with CR (290±905,1 ng/mL in non CR, 519,1±1437,2 ng/mL in CR, P<.001), mean age (73,3±8,3 years in non CR, 69,1±9,3 in CR P=.01), mean PSA nadir (15,5±57,3ng/mL in non CR, 15,9±23,7 ng/mL in CR, p<0,001), Gleason (in ≥8, HR:2,11. 95% CI: 1.22-3.65, p=0.006), and T stage (in T3-T4, HR: 2.85. 95% CI: 1.57-5.19, P<.001). Multivariate analysis the independent variables associated to CR are age (HR: 0.96. 95% CI: 0.94-0.99, P=.01), PSA nadir (HR: 1.65. 95% CI: 1,43-1,91, P<.001), and T3-T4 stage (HR: 2.11. 95% CI: 1.10-4.04, P=.02).

CONCLUSIONS

PSA nadir and T3-T4 tumor stage at diagnosis are associated to an increased risk of developing CR. In addition, age at diagnosis is shown as a variable that decreases risk. Therefore, an older age would be associated with lower risk probability of CR in the medium term.

Prognostic value of serum alkaline phosphatase in spinal metastatic disease

Background

Determination of the appropriateness of invasive management in patients with spinal metastatic disease requires accurate pre-operative estimation of survival. The purpose of this study was to examine serum alkaline phosphatase as a prognostic marker in spinal metastatic disease.

Methods

Chart reviews from two tertiary care centres were used to identify spinal metastatic disease patients. Bivariate and multivariate analyses were used to determine if serum alkaline phosphatase was an independent prognostic marker for survival.

Results

Overall, 732 patients were included with 90-day and 1-year survival of n = 539 (74.9%) and n = 324 (45.7%), respectively. The 1-year survival of patients in the first quartile of alkaline phosphatase (≤73 IU/L) was 78 (57.8%) compared to 31 (24.0%) for patients in the fourth quartile (>140 IU/L). Preoperative serum alkaline phosphatase levels were significantly elevated in patients with multiple spine metastases, non-spine bone metastasis, and visceral metastasis but not in patients with brain metastasis. On multivariate analysis, elevated serum alkaline phosphatase was identified as an independent prognostic factor for survival in spinal metastatic disease.

Conclusion

Serum alkaline phosphatase is associated with preoperative metastatic tumour burden and is a biomarker for overall survival in spinal metastatic disease.

Association of genetic variation of the six gene prognostic model for castration-resistant prostate cancer with survival

BACKGROUND

We previously identified a blood RNA transcript-based model consisting of six immune or inflammatory response genes (ABL2, SEMA4D, ITGAL, C1QA, TIMP1, and CDKN1A) that was prognostic for survival in cohorts of men with castration-resistant prostate cancer (CRPC). We investigated whether inherited variation in these six genes was associated with overall survival (OS) in men with CRPC.

METHODS

The test cohort comprised 600 patients diagnosed with CRPC between 1996 and 2011 at Dana-Farber Cancer Institute. Genotyping of 66 tagging single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) spanning the six genes was performed on blood derived DNAs. For the top four SNPs (P < 0.05), validation was conducted in an independent cohort of 223 men diagnosed with CRPC between 2000 and 2014. Multivariable Cox regression adjusting for known prognostic factors estimated hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) of the association of genetic variants with OS.

RESULTS

Two thirds of patients in both cohorts had metastases at CRPC diagnosis. Median OS from CRPC diagnosis was 3.6 (95%CI 3.3-4.0) years in the test cohort and 4.6 (95%CI 3.8-5.2) years in the validation cohort. Fifty-nine SNPs in Hardy-Weinberg equilibrium were analyzed. The major alleles of rs1318056 and rs1490311 in ABL2, and the minor alleles of rs2073917 and rs3764322 in ITGAL were associated with increased risk of death in the test cohort (adjusted-HRs 1.27-1.39; adjusted-p <0.05; false discovery rate <0.35). In the validation cohort, a similar association with OS was observed for rs1318056 in ABL2 (adjusted-HR 1.44; 95%CI 0.89-2.34) and rs2073917 in ITGAL (adjusted-HR 1.41; 95%CI 0.82-2.42). The associations did not reach statistical significance most likely due to the small sample size of the validation cohort (adjusted-p = 0.142 and 0.209, respectively). Additional eQTL analysis indicated that minor alleles of rs1318056 and rs1490311 in ABL2 are associated with a lower ABL2 expression in blood.

CONCLUSIONS

These findings corroborate our initial work on the RNA expression of genes involved in immunity and inflammation from blood and clinical outcome and suggest that germline polymorphisms in ABL2 and ITGAL may be associated with the risk of death in men with CRPC. Further studies are needed to validate these findings and to explore their functional mechanisms.

Primary Mutational Landscape Linked with Pre-Docetaxel Lactate Dehydrogenase Levels Predicts Docetaxel Response in Metastatic Castrate-Resistant Prostate Cancer

BACKGROUND

Docetaxel chemotherapy is a standard of care for metastatic castrate-resistant prostate cancer (mCRPC): 40-50% of patients achieve a biochemical response. However, there is a lack of response predictive biomarkers.

OBJECTIVE

To assess lactate dehydrogenase (LDH) as a docetaxel response biomarker in mCRPC and to examine the association of LDH with genomic alterations in primary diagnostic biopsies.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

Clinical and associated primary tumour-targeted next-generation sequencing data from matched training (n=150) and test (n=120) cohorts of progressive mCRPC patients receiving docetaxel therapy were analysed. Data were correlated with large-scale prostate cancer genomic datasets.

OUTCOME MEASUREMENTS AND STATISTICAL ANALYSIS

Prostate-specific antigen (PSA) response, radiographic response, biochemical progression-free survival (PFS), overall survival (OS), genomic analysis of primary biopsies, and genomic datasets (Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center [MSKCC] and SU2C/PCF).

RESULTS AND LIMITATIONS

Serum LDH ≥450U/l is a reliable prognostic biomarker (area under the curve: 0.757 [standard deviation 0.054, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.650-0.864, p<0.001]) in progressive mCRPC, predicting PFS at 3 mo. Patients with LDH ≥450U/l were poorer PSA responders, with shorter PFS (213 vs 372 d, hazard ratio [HR] 1.876, 95% CI 1.289-2.7300) and OS (362 vs 563 d, HR 1.630, 95% CI 1.127-2.357). High LDH is an independent surrogate marker for survival following docetaxel and predicts a poor radiological response (p=0.043). Of the 14 patients with LDH ≥450U/l available for next-generation sequencing, nine (64.3%) were more likely to have DNA repair gene mutation(s) (BRCA1/2, ATM, CHEK2, Fanconi anaemia gene) in their primary biopsy. Cross correlation with MSKCC and SU2C/PCF databases revealed a positive correlation between LDHA, PARP1 (r=0.667, p<0.01), and other DNA repair genes.

CONCLUSIONS

Genomic abnormalities of LDHA and DNA repair in primary biopsies link to high pretreatment LDH and poor response to docetaxel in mCRPC.

PATIENT SUMMARY

The presence of mutations of the lactate dehydrogenase and DNA repair pathways are associated with aggressive prostate cancer and poor response to chemotherapy later in the disease.

Serum inflammatory markers in relation to prostate cancer severity and death in the Swedish AMORIS study

Inflammation is a well-documented driver of cancer development and progression. However, little is known about its role in prostate carcinogenesis. Thus, we examined the association of C-reactive protein (CRP), haptoglobin, albumin and white blood cells (WBC) with prostate cancer (PCa) severity (defined by PCa risk category and clinicopathological characteristics) and progression (defined by PCa death). We selected 8,471 Swedish men with newly diagnosed PCa who had exposure measurements taken approximately 14 years prior to diagnosis. We calculated odds ratio (OR) and 95% confidence interval (CI) for the associations between the inflammatory markers and PCa severity using logistic regression, while Cox proportional hazard regression was used for the associations with overall and PCa death. Serum CRP levels were associated with increased odds of high risk and metastatic PCa, and high PSA levels (≥20 µg/L) (OR: 1.29; 95% CI: 1.06-1.56, 1.32; 1.05-1.65 and 1.51; 1.26-1.81, respectively). Similarly, higher haptoglobin levels were associated with increased odds of metastatic PCa, high PSA level and possibly high grade PCa (1.38; 1.10-1.74, 1.50; 1.17-1.93 and 1.25; 1.00-1.56, respectively). Albumin was positively associated with Gleason 4 + 3 tumour (1.38; 1.02-1.86) and overall death (HR_{unit increase in log} : 1.60; 95% CI: 1.11-2.30), but inversely associated with high risk PCa and high PSA levels (≥20 µg/L) (0.71; 0.56-0.89 and 0.72; 0.5 9-0.90). WBC was associated with increased odds of T3-T4 PCa. Except for albumin, none of these markers were associated with PCa death or overall death. Systemic inflammation as early as 14 years prior to diagnosis may influence prostate cancer severity.

Predictors for progression of metastatic prostate cancer to castration-resistant prostate cancer in Indians

Background & objectives:

There is lack of data on natural history and progression of prostate cancer (PC) which have implications in the management of the disease. We undertook this retrospective study to analyze factors predicting progression of metastatic PC to castration-resistant prostate cancer (CRPC) in Indian men.

Methods:

Complete records of 223 of the 489 patients with metastatic PC were obtained from computerized data based system in a tertiary care hospital in north India between January 2000 to June 2012. Patients with follow up of < 6 months were excluded. Age (≤ and > 65 yr), baseline PSA (< and ≥ 50 ng/ml), bone scan and Gleason score (≤7 and >7) were recorded. Extent of bone disease (EOD) was stratified according to the number of bone lesions i.e., < 5, 5-10, > 10. CRPC was defined as two consecutive PSA rise of > 50 per cent from nadir or an absolute value of > 5 ng/ml.

Results:

Mean age of patients was 61.5 ± 12.45 yr and their PSA level was 325.6 ± 631.35 ng/dl. Of the 223 patients, 193 (86%) progressed to CRPC at median time of 10.7 (4-124) months. Median follow up was 24 (6-137) months. On univariate and multivariate analyses EOD on bone scan was found to be a significant predictor (P=0.006) for time to CRPC. Median time to CRPC was 10 months (CI 95%, 7.5-12.48) with >10 lesions or super scan versus 16 months (CI 95%, 10.3-21.6) with <10 bone lesion (P=0.01). Ninety (46.6 %) patients of CRPC died with median time to death from time of CRPC 21 (10-120) months.

Interpretation & conclusions:

Median time for progression of metastatic PC to CRPC ranged from 10-16 months depending on the extent of the bone involvement. In Indians, the aggressive course of advanced prostate cancer warrants further clinical trials to explore the need for additional treatment along with initial castration.

Dynamic changes of alkaline phosphatase are strongly associated with PSA-decline and predict best clinical benefit earlier than PSA-changes under therapy with abiraterone acetate in bone metastatic castration resistant prostate cancer

BACKGROUND

Significant progress in treatment of metastatic castration resistant prostate cancer (mCRPC) has been made. Biomarkers to tailor therapy are scarce. To facilitate decision-making we evaluated dynamic changes of alkaline phosphatase (ALP), lactate dehydrogenase (LDH) and prostate specific antigen (PSA) under therapy with Abiraterone.

METHODS

Men with bone mCRPC (bmCRPC) on Abiraterone 12/2009-01/2014 were analyzed. Dynamic ALP-, LDH- and PSA-changes were analyzed as predictors of best clinical benefit and overall survival (OS) with logistic-regression, Cox-regression and Kaplan-Meier-analysis.

RESULTS

Thirty-nine pre- and 45 post-chemotherapy patients with a median follow up of 14.0 months were analyzed. ALP-Bouncing can be observed very early during therapy with Abiraterone. ALP-Bouncing is defined as rapidly rising ALP-levels independent of baseline ALP during the first 2-4 weeks of Abiraterone-therapy with subsequent equally marked decline to pretreatment levels or better within 8 weeks of therapy, preceding potentially delayed PSA-decline. In univariate analysis failure of PSA-reduction ≥ 50% and failure of ALP-Bouncing were the strongest predictors of progressive disease (p = 0.003 and 0.021). Rising ALP at 12 weeks, no PSA-reduction ≥ 50% and no ALP-Bouncing were strongest predictors of poor OS, (all p < 0.001). Kaplan-Meier-analysis showed worse OS for rising ALP at 12 weeks, no PSA-reduction ≥ 50% and no ALP-Bouncing (p < 0.001). In subgroup-analysis of oligosymptomatic patients all parameters remained significant predictors of poor OS, with no PSA-reduction ≥ 50% and rising ALP at 12 weeks being the strongest (p < 0.001). In multivariate analysis PSA-reduction ≥ 50% remained an independent predictor of OS for the whole cohort and for the oligosymptomatic subgroup (both p = 0.014). No patient with ALP-Bouncing had PD for best clinical benefit. Patients with rising ALP at 12 weeks had no further benefit of Abiraterone.

CONCLUSIONS

Dynamic changes of ALP, LDH and PSA during Abiraterone-therapy are associated with best clinical benefit and OS in bmCRPC. ALP-Bouncing occurring earlier than PSA-changes as well as prior to equivocal imaging results and rising ALP at 12 weeks under Abiraterone may help to decide whether to discontinue Abiraterone. An external validation of these findings on a prospective cohort is planned.

A prognostic index model for predicting overall survival in patients with metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer treated with abiraterone acetate after docetaxel

A prognostic index model was developed, composed of six readily available and assessable factors and categorizing patients with metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer treated with abiraterone–prednisone into distinct prognostic risk groups. This model could be useful for determining patient prognosis for follow-up, monitoring and patient stratification for clinical trials.

Background

Few prognostic models for overall survival (OS) are available for patients with metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer (mCRPC) treated with recently approved agents. We developed a prognostic index model using readily available clinical and laboratory factors from a phase III trial of abiraterone acetate (hereafter abiraterone) in combination with prednisone in post-docetaxel mCRPC.

Patients and methods

Baseline data were available from 762 patients treated with abiraterone–prednisone. Factors were assessed for association with OS through a univariate Cox model and used in a multivariate Cox model with a stepwise procedure to identify those of significance. Data were validated using an independent, external, population-based cohort.

Results

Six risk factors individually associated with poor prognosis were included in the final model: lactate dehydrogenase > upper limit of normal (ULN) [hazard ratio (HR) = 2.31], Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status of 2 (HR = 2.19), presence of liver metastases (HR = 2.00), albumin ≤4 g/dl (HR = 1.54), alkaline phosphatase > ULN (HR = 1.38) and time from start of initial androgen-deprivation therapy to start of treatment ≤36 months (HR = 1.30). Patients were categorized into good (n = 369, 46%), intermediate (n = 321, 40%) and poor (n = 107, 13%) prognosis groups based on the number of risk factors and relative HRs. The C-index was 0.70 ± 0.014. The model was validated by the external dataset (n = 286).

Conclusion

This analysis identified six factors used to model survival in mCRPC and categorized patients into three distinct risk groups. Prognostic stratification with this model could assist clinical practice decisions for follow-up and monitoring, and may aid in clinical trial design.

Trial registration numbers

NCT00638690.

"Natural course" of disease in patients with metastatic castrate-resistant prostate cancer: Survival and prognostic factors without life-prolonging treatment

OBJECTIVE

The aim of this study was to determine survival and prognostic factors in unselected patients with metastatic castrate-resistant prostate cancer (mCRPC), who never received life-prolonging treatment.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

The study was a retrospective analysis of a consecutive sample of patients with mCRPC seen at the urological unit of a local hospital from 2000 to 2005, their mCRPC diagnosis based on rising prostate-specific antigen (PSA) during androgen depletion treatment (ADT).

RESULTS

Median overall survival was 12.3 months (range 0.2-108 months), the 3 year survival was 16.9% (95% confidence interval 0.11-0.24) and two patients were alive at the end of follow-up. Compared to a PSA nadir of greater than 11 μg/l during ADT, a PSA nadir of less than 1 μg/l significantly decreased the risk of death by 71%. A PSA doubling time less than 1.6 months during the early phase of mCRCP almost tripled the risk of death compared to a PSA doubling time longer than 3 months. Alkaline phosphatase serum levels and hemoglobin levels within the normal range indicated a favorable prognosis.

CONCLUSIONS

The "natural course" of mCRPC varies without life-prolonging treatment along with PSA nadir during ADT, PSA doubling time, alkaline phosphatase and hemoglobin level at mCRPC diagnosis. 3-year survival or longer is observed in 16.9% of patients. In clinical intervention trials among mCRPC patients, all known prognostic factors should be taken into account during the randomization process and during survival analyses.

Shifting paradigms in the estimation of survival for castration-resistant prostate cancer: A tertiary academic center experience

OBJECTIVES

Castration-resistant prostate cancer (CRPC) has retained a guarded prognosis, with historical survival estimates of 18 to 24 months. However, the landscape of available therapy has changed, and the emphasis has altered from supportive to active treatment. Few large series from real-world populations exist in the contemporary era with fully mature survival data to confirm the indication based on clinical trials that patients with CRPC are surviving far longer than the historical estimates. We aim to review a large patient cohort with CRPC and provide mature survival data.

METHODS AND MATERIALS

Using the electronic histopathology database at Queen Elizabeth Hospital, Birmingham, UK, all prostate-specific antigentest results between April 2006 and September 2007 were extracted, and patients satisfying the American Society for Radiation Oncology (ASTRO) definition of hormone failure were identified. Electronic records were reviewed and variables were collected, including survival, treatment, biochemistry, histopathology, and demographics. Probability of survival, and of developing metastasis or CRPC, was determined using the Kaplan-Meier method. Patients were stratified into 3 groups, namely, D0--no metastasis at diagnosis but later appearance, D1--no metastasis at diagnosis or at last follow-up, and D2--metastasis at diagnosis.

RESULTS

From 8,062 patient-prostate-specific antigen episodes, we identified 447 patients meeting the criteria. A notes review revealed 147 patients with CRPC. Median overall survival (OS) from diagnosis was 84.7 months (95% CI: 73-89), and 129 deaths had occurred (88%). Median OS from diagnosis for D0, D1, and D2 patients was 100.4, 180.1, and 58.9 months, respectively (P< 0.0001), and median OS from CRPC was 40 months (95% CI: 31-58), 82.9 (95% CI: 72-94; P = 0.0125), and 38.7 months (95% CI: 33-46), respectively. One-quarter of patients survived 6 years after development of CRPC. Metastasis is the key prognostic event.

CONCLUSIONS

Some current international guidelines quote ≤19 months as a survival figure for patients with metastatic CRPC. In our study, median survival is more than double this. We have shown survival more than previously reported figures and believe that these data benefit clinicians and patients in understanding prognosis and treatment choices. Importantly, our patients were diagnosed before the current wave of novel therapeutics for CRPC, so survival for men diagnosed today may be more than our findings.

Predictive clinical indicators of biochemical progression in advanced prostate cancer patients receiving Leuplin depot as androgen deprivation therapy

Therapeutic planning and counseling for advanced prostate cancer patients receiving androgen deprivation therapy (ADT) is complicated because the prognoses are highly variable. The purpose of this study is to identify predictive clinical indicators of biochemical progression (BCP). In this retrospective analysis, data from 107 newly diagnosed patients (from November 1995 to April 2008) with advanced prostate adenocarcinoma receiving Leuprorelin acetate depot were analyzed. Data was collected from the computerized registry of two collaborating medical centers in Taiwan. Cox regression and Kaplan-Meier analyses were used to evaluate the relationship between potential predictive parameters and BCP. Univariate analysis revealed that predictors of BCP included (1) initial serum prostate-specific antigen (PSA) (hazard ratio [HR], 1.00; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.00–1.00); (2) log of initial PSA (HR, 1.35; 95% CI 1.17–1.56); (3) PSA density at diagnosis (HR, 1.00; 95% CI 1.00–1.01), and (4) pathological bone fracture (HR, 2.22; 95% CI 1.20–4.11). Age (HR, 0.94; 95% CI 0.91–0.98) and hemoglobin levels (HR, 0.86; 95% CI 0.76–0.97) were also associated with greater risk of BCP. After adjusting for age, pathologic fracture, and hemoglobin level, the initial PSA and PSA density were no longer significantly associated with BCP. However, age and hemoglobin levels continued to be associated with greater risk of BCP (P≤0.007). Using Kaplan-Meier analysis, patients with higher initial PSA concentration, pathological bone fracture, and low hemoglobin had a greater probability of BCP. Thus, low hemoglobin and age are predictive indicators of BCP and therefore early indicators of BCP despite ADT therapy.

Survival analysis of patients with biochemical relapse after radical prostatectomy treated with androgen deprivation: Castration-resistance influential factors

INTRODUCTION

We evaluate the prognosis of patients with biochemical recurrence (BCR) treated with androgen deprivation therapy (ADT) and to determine the influential factors to castration resistance (CR) and death.

METHODS

From a series of 1310 patients with T1-T2 prostate cancer treated with radical prostatectomy between 1989 and 2012, 371 had BCR. Patients with lymph node involvement were excluded. We analyzed only the 159 treated with salvage ADT. At the end of the study, 77 (48%) had developed CR.

RESULTS

The median follow-up to CR was 9.2 years. The CR-resistant free survival (RFS) was 76 ± 3%, 62 ± 3% and 43 ± 9% in 5, 10 and 15 years, respectively. The RFS median time was 14 years. In the multivariate study, the prostate-specific antigen (PSA) doubling time (PSA-DT) was <6 months (p = 0.01) (hazard ratio [HR] 3; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.4-6.8, p = 0.007); seminal vesicle involvement (HR 3.1; 95% CI 1.5-6.2, p = 0.01) and PSA velocity in ng/mL/year (HR 1.3; 95% CI 1.1-1.5, p = 0.002) with better cut-off points of 0.84 ng/mL/year (p = 0.04) (HR 4; 95% CI 1.7-9.4, p = 0.001) were influential variables. Specific survival (SS) at 5, 10 and 15 years since surgery was 96 ± 1, 85 ± 2 and 76 ± 4, respectively. The time of CR to death was 30 ± 6% at 5 years, with the median at 3.2 years. In the multivariate only Ki 67 (HR 1.04; 95% CI 1.005-1.08, p = 0.02) had an independent influence.

CONCLUSIONS

In BCR patients treated with ADT, the median to CR was 14 years. PSA-DT <6 months, PSA velocity (ng/mL/year) and seminal vesicle involvement were influential variables. From the CR, the median time to death was 3.2 years. Ki-67 marker was an independent influence.

The emerging relevance of heterogeneity of treatment effect in clinical care: a study using stage IV prostate cancer as a model

AIM

Heterogeneity of treatment effect (HTE) occurs when patient factors modify a treatment's effect on health outcomes due to interactions between these factors and the treatment. This article reviews evidence regarding HTE in stage IV prostate cancer (S4PC).

METHOD

A systematic literature review was conducted in the MEDLINE and PubMed databases. Inclusion criteria required that articles examine the treatment-related impact of HTE factors on survival, adverse events or health-related quality of life in S4PC patients. The quality of evidence was graded good, fair or poor based on Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality guidelines.

RESULTS

The search identified 2659 articles, of which 92 met the inclusion/exclusion criteria. HTE in S4PC was studied for biologic factors including age, race, clinical signs/symptoms, measures of S4PC disease severity, genetic factors, laboratory data, prior treatment, concurrent medications and comorbidities. Nonbiologic factors that were studied included social, geographic and dietary factors. Age and race seldom showed any correlation with S4PC outcomes.

CONCLUSION

Diverse biologic and nonbiologic factors contribute to HTE in S4PC. This review in S4PC also provides an approach for examining HTE for other medical conditions. Ultimately, such knowledge can help oncologists prescribe more personalized medicine, help patients make more informed treatment choices, and inform policy-making and treatment coverage decisions.

Low pre-operative levels of serum albumin predict lymph node metastases and ultimately correlate with a biochemical recurrence of prostate cancer in radical prostatectomy patients

Introduction

To date, only few studies focusing on the issue of host general and immune activity have been performed in localized prostate cancer (PCa). The aim of this study was to elucidate potent non tumor–related biomarkers that express aggressiveness of PCa treated by radical prostatectomy (RP).

Materials and methods

Data from 179 patients who underwent RP were analyzed. The correlations between various kinds of non tumor–related factors in addition to tumor–related factors and biochemical recurrence (BCR) were analyzed. The correlations between pre–, intra– and post–operative factors were also analyzed.

Results

Thirty–two cases (17.9%) had a BCR. The factors found to be significantly predictive of BCR using a Cox–proportional hazard model were the pre–operative serum prostate specific antigen (PSA) level and the existence of pathological lymph node metastasis (LNM). A low pre–operative serum albumin level (<4.0 g/dl) was significantly correlated with BCR univariately. Logistic regression analysis revealed that a low pre–operative serum albumin level, an American Society of Anesthesiologists (ASA) score above class 2, and a Gleason score above 8 in the biopsy specimens were significantly predictive of pathological LNM.

Conclusions

Tumor–related characteristics are more important for predicting BCR. However, our results suggest that low pre–operative serum albumin level may indicate extensive disease of clinically localized PCa and may ultimately be correlated with BCR. Although multiple reasons may account for the significance of the serum albumin level, it is noteworthy that delayed diagnostic and therapeutic procedures in comorbid patients with low serum albumin levels may lead to PCa progression.

Glasgow prognostic score as a prognostic factor in metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer treated with docetaxel-based chemotherapy

BACKGROUND

The modified Glasgow Prognostic Score (mGPS), derived from C-reactive protein (CRP) and albumin levels, and the neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) have demonstrated prognostic significance in a number of malignancies.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Baseline mGPS and NLR were calculated in a prospective cohort of chemotherapy-naive patients with metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer (mCRPC) (AT-101-CS-205 trial) who received docetaxel and prednisone ± AT101. Cox proportional hazards regression models estimated their effects on overall survival (OS).

RESULTS

Of 220 eligible patients, mGPS and neutrophil and lymphocyte counts were available for 184, 193, and 112 patients, respectively. Albumin (hazard ratio [HR], 0.28; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.14-0.56; P < .001) and CRP (HR, 1.22; 95% CI, 1.00-1.48; P = .048) were independently prognostic for OS. An association between mGPS and OS was found (HR, 1.87; 95% CI, 1.35-2.59; P < .001; median survival, 23.5 months at mGPS 0 vs. 9.8 months at mGPS 2). mGPS was significant after controlling for 3 previously published nomograms or NLR (P ≤ .001). NLR was not prognostic for OS (HR, 0.98; P = .91), and no association between mGPS and toxicity was noted.

CONCLUSION

Our results demonstrate the prognostic role of the mGPS in mCRPC over variables previously identified. mGPS is inexpensive, easily measured, and could be incorporated into routine clinical testing if our results are confirmed in a subsequent validation study. The utility of the NLR in mCRPC remains uncertain despite evidence in other malignancies.

Influence of nonregional lymph node metastasis as a prognostic factor in metastatic prostate cancer patients

PURPOSE

In advanced prostate cancer, malignant cells generally tend to spread into the bone, and metastasis into nonregional lymph nodes (NRLNs) at the time of initial diagnosis is relatively rare. We investigated the prognostic significance of NRLN metastasis in patients receiving hormonal therapy and chemotherapy.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

From February 2005 to August 2011, we identified 105 patients who had metastatic prostate cancer. First, we assessed the prognostic effect of NRLN metastasis on the prostate-specific antigen response through logistic regression and the progression-free time to castration-resistant prostate cancer (CRPC) by using the Cox proportional hazard regression model. Second, we investigated the prognostic influence of NRLN metastasis on the chemotherapy response through logistic regression and on cancer-specific survival of CRPC patients receiving chemotherapy by using Cox proportional analysis.

RESULTS

Of these 105 patients, 12 patients (11.4%) had only NRLN metastases without bone metastases. Progression-free time to CRPC was significantly less in patients with NRLN metastases by Cox proportional hazard regression multivariate analysis (p=0.020). However, NRLN metastasis was not an independent factor for predicting the response to chemotherapy in CRPC patients, and NRLN metastasis did not reduce cancer-specific survival in the multivariate analysis.

CONCLUSIONS

Twelve (11.4%) of 105 patients with NRLN metastases had lymph node metastases without bone metastases. In addition, NRLN metastasis was a significant prognostic factor for predicting reduced progression-free time to CRPC. Thus, although we speculate that prostate cancer with NRLN metastasis exhibits unique tumor biology, additional molecular and genetic studies are needed.

A whole-blood RNA transcript-based prognostic model in men with castration-resistant prostate cancer: a prospective study

BACKGROUND

Survival for patients with castration-resistant prostate cancer is highly variable. We assessed the effectiveness of a whole-blood RNA transcript-based model as a prognostic biomarker in castration-resistant prostate cancer.

METHODS

Peripheral blood was prospectively collected from 62 men with castration-resistant prostate cancer on various treatment regimens who were enrolled in a training set at the Dana-Farber Cancer Institute (Boston, MA, USA) from August, 2006, to June, 2008, and from 140 patients with castration-resistant prostate cancer in a validation set from Memorial Sloan-Kettering Cancer Center (New York, NY, USA) from August, 2006, to February, 2009. A panel of 168 inflammation-related and prostate cancer-related genes was assessed with optimised quantitative PCR to assess biomarkers predictive of survival.

FINDINGS

A six-gene model (consisting of ABL2, SEMA4D, ITGAL, and C1QA, TIMP1, CDKN1A) separated patients with castration-resistant prostate cancer into two risk groups: a low-risk group with a median survival of more than 34·9 months (median survival was not reached) and a high-risk group with a median survival of 7·8 months (95% CI 1·8-13·9; p<0·0001). The prognostic utility of the six-gene model was validated in an independent cohort. This model was associated with a significantly higher area under the curve compared with a clinicopathological model (0·90 [95% CI 0·78-0·96] vs 0·65 [0·52-0·78]; p=0·0067).

INTERPRETATION

Transcriptional profiling of whole blood yields crucial prognostic information about men with castration-resistant prostate cancer. The six-gene model suggests possible dysregulation of the immune system, a finding that warrants further study.

FUNDING

Source MDX.

Biomarkers in the management and treatment of men with metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer

CONTEXT

We have recently witnessed a rapid increase in the number of effective systemic agents for men with metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer (CRPC), including novel hormonal therapies (abiraterone acetate and MDV3100), immunotherapies (sipuleucel-T), chemotherapies (cabazitaxel), and bone microenvironment targeting agents (denosumab, radium 223). Given the increasing complexity of treatment decisions for this disease, major research and clinical priorities are (1) finding biomarkers that enable an understanding of the natural history and complex biology of this heterogeneous malignancy, (2) defining predictive biomarkers that identify men most likely to benefit from a given therapy, and (3) identifying biomarkers of early response or progression to optimize outcomes.

OBJECTIVE

In this review, we discuss existing and potential biomarkers in CRPC and how they may currently inform prognosis, aid in treatment selection (predictive value), and relate to survival outcomes (surrogacy).

EVIDENCE ACQUISITION

PubMed-based literature searches and abstracts through September 2011 provided the basis for this literature review as well as expert opinion.

EVIDENCE SYNTHESIS

We address blood and urine-based biomarkers such as prostate-specific antigen, lactate dehydrogenase, total and bone alkaline phosphatase and other bone turnover markers, hemoglobin, and circulating tumor cells in the context of prognosis, prediction, and patient selection for therapy. Given the inherent problems associated with defining progression-free survival in CRPC, the importance of biomarker development and the needed steps are highlighted. We place the discussion of biomarkers within the context of the design/intent of a trial and mechanism of action of a given systemic therapy. We discuss novel biomarker development and the pathway for surrogate or predictive biomarkers to become credentialed as useful tests that inform therapeutic decisions.

CONCLUSIONS

A greater understanding of biomarkers in CRPC permits a more personalized approach to care that maximizes benefit and minimizes harm and can inform clinical trials tailored to men most likely to derive benefit.

Do African American Men Have Lower Survival From Prostate Cancer Compared With White Men? A Meta-analysis

Prostate cancer is the second leading cause of cancer-related mortality in men. This meta-analysis was conducted to investigate the relationship between race and survival from prostate cancer. A systematic review of articles published from 1968 to 2007 assessing survival from prostate cancer was conducted. Analysis of unadjusted studies reported that African American men have an increased risk of all-cause mortality (hazard ratio [HR] = 1.47, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.31-1.65, p < .001). However, examination of adjusted studies identified no difference (HR = 1.07, 95% CI = 0.94-1.22, p = .308). No statistically significant difference was observed in prostate cancer—specific survival in both analyses using unadjusted (HR = 1.11, 95% CI = 0.94-1.31, p = .209) and adjusted studies (HR = 1.15, 95% CI = 0.95-1.41, p = .157). This meta-analysis concludes that there are no racial differences in the overall and prostate cancer—specific survival between African American and White men.

Predictors of clinical metastasis in prostate cancer patients receiving androgen deprivation therapy: results from CaPSURE

BACKGROUND

Virtually all patients with prostate cancer who receive androgen deprivation therapy (ADT) will ultimately develop evidence of resistance to treatment. The prognosis for patients who develop metastatic castrate-resistant disease is reported to be poor, with overall survival historically estimated to be 24 to 36 months. The goal of the current study was to identify predictors of clinical disease progression in patients with prostate cancer who were receiving ADT.

METHODS

Of the 13,740 men with biopsy-proven prostate cancer who were enrolled in the Cancer of the Prostate Strategic Urological Research Endeavor (CaPSURE) database from 1995 to 2007, 4003 men treated with ADT after diagnosis without evidence of metastases at treatment initiation were identified. The primary endpoint was the development of bone metastasis. Clinical and pathologic characteristics were compared between patients who developed metastasis and those who did not using chi-square tests in a Cox proportional hazards regression model.

RESULTS

The mean age of the men in the cohort was 70 years (range, 39-94 years). One hundred ninety-one men (4.8%) progressed to metastatic disease at a median of 18 months from the initiation of ADT (range, 1-139 months). On multivariate analyses, risk category (hazards ratio [HR], 2.58; P < .0001), percent of biopsies positive >33% (HR, 3.36; P = .003), age </=65 years at diagnosis (HR, 2.11; P = .001, and prostate-specific antigen velocity on ADT (HR, 1.04; P < .001) were found to be significantly associated with the development of metastatic disease after ADT.

CONCLUSIONS

Younger men with high-risk disease appear to have worse prognosis than older men with similar disease. This, along with the other prognostic variables established in the current study, may help identify candidates for clinical trials evaluating secondary treatments for patients with castrate-resistant disease.

Correlation between pretreatment serum biochemical markers and treatment outcome for prostatic cancer with bony metastasis

BACKGROUND

This study was undertaken to evaluate whether or not pretreatment serum biochemical markers are prognostic factors for prostatic cancer with bony metastasis in patients on hormonal treatment.

METHODS

Between 1983 and 1998, 127 patients with prostatic cancer and bony metastasis were included for evaluation. Serum prostate-specific antigen, alkaline phosphatase, calcium (Ca), lactic dehydrogenase, inorganic phosphate, gamma-glutamine transpeptidase, uric acid, albumin (Alb), iron, cholesterol (Cho), triglyceride, alanine aminotransferase, aspartate aminotransferase, and hemoglobin (Hb) were checked before treatment. The patients were divided into 2 groups according to their response (group 1, good response; group 2, poor response).

RESULTS

There were 54 patients in group 1 and 73 patients in group 2. Pretreatment levels of serum Ca, Alb, Cho and Hb were higher in group 1 than in group 2, while the other parameters were lower in group 1 than in group 2; only pretreatment levels of serum Ca, Alb and Hb were significantly different between groups (p < 0.05). When stratified by tumor grading, patients in group 1 still had significantly higher pretreatment levels of Ca, Alb and Hb than those in group 2.

CONCLUSION

Higher pretreatment serum levels of Ca, Alb and Hb are good prognostic factors for patients with metastatic prostatic cancer on hormonal treatment, irrespective of tumor grading.

Pain predicts overall survival in men with metastatic castration-refractory prostate cancer

PURPOSE

Pain from castration-refractory prostate cancer (CRPC) bone metastases is a common event. Although it is assumed that pain represents an adverse prognostic factor, this variable has not been extensively evaluated. The objective of this study was to determine whether men with CRPC who had higher pain interference scores at baseline had worse clinical outcomes compared with men who had lower pain scores.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Data from three randomized phase III multicenter trials conducted by the Cancer and Leukemia Group B from 1992 to 1998 were combined. Eligible patients had progressive CRPC adenocarcinoma of the prostate, an Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status of 0 to 2, and adequate hematologic, renal, and hepatic functions. Seven items from the Brief Pain Inventory were used to assess the impact of pain on a range of daily activities and quality of life, each rated on a scale from 0 to 10.

RESULTS

In 599 men, the median pain interference scores was 17 (interquartile range, 4 to 34), and 38% of the men had opioid analgesic use at baseline. There was a statistically significant association between pain interference scores and risk of death. The median survival times were 17.6 months (95% CI, 16.1 to 19.1 months) and 10.2 months (95% CI, 8.6 to 11.3 months; P < .001) in men with low (< 17) and high (>or= 17) pain scores, respectively. Pain was inversely associated with likelihood of prostate-specific antigen decline, objective response, and time to bone progression.

CONCLUSION

This analysis demonstrates that pain is a statistically significant predictor of overall survival in men with metastatic CRPC. These results need to be validated prospectively in future phase III trials.

Prognostic and Predictive Factors in Patients with Androgen-Independent Prostate Cancer Treated with Docetaxel and Estramustine: A Single Institution Experience

OBJECTIVES

To investigate potential prognostic and predictive factors in patients with androgen-independent prostate cancer (AIPC) treated with docetaxel chemotherapy.

METHODS

This analysis included 94 consecutive AIPC patients who were treated between March 2001 and May 2006 with biweekly docetaxel 45 mg/m(2) (day 2) and estramustine 140 mg three dimes daily (days 1-3).

RESULTS

Prostate-specific antigen (PSA) responses were observed in 45 of 84 evaluable patients (53%), whereas objective responses were observed in 16 of 40 patients with measurable disease (40%). Median survival (OS) was 16.2 mo (95% confidence interval [CI], 12.9-19.4) and median time to PSA progression (TTP) 5.0 mo (95%CI, 3.6-7.1). OS was independently associated with pain score baseline PSA and weight loss. Patients with only extraosseous disease had higher PSA response rate (87% vs. 49%, p=0.014) and superior TTP compared with patients with bone metastases with or without extraosseous disease (7.3 vs. 4.3 vs. 4 mo, p=0.002). Concurrent bone and extraosseous metastases were associated with worse prognosis compared with each site alone (median OS: 12.3 vs.19 vs.18.3 mo, p=0.007).

CONCLUSIONS

Among patients with AIPC treated with biweekly docetaxel and estramustine, baseline PSA >100, existence of pain, weight loss, and simultaneous extraosseous and bone disease were associated with worse prognosis. Extraosseous metastases seem to be more sensitive than bone disease to this chemotherapy.

A contemporary prognostic nomogram for men with hormone-refractory metastatic prostate cancer: a TAX327 study analysis

PURPOSE

To develop a prognostic model and nomogram using baseline clinical variables to predict death among men with metastatic hormone-refractory prostate cancer (HRPC).

EXPERIMENTAL DESIGN

TAX327 was a clinical trial that randomized 1,006 men with metastatic HRPC to receive every three week or weekly docetaxel or mitoxantrone, each with prednisone. We developed a multivariate Cox model and nomogram to predict survival at 1, 2, and 5 years.

RESULTS

Ten independent prognostic factors other than treatment group were identified in multivariate analysis: (a) presence of liver metastases [hazard ratio (HR), 1.66; P = 0.019], (b) number of metastatic sites (HR, 1.63 if > or =2 sites; P = 0.001), (c) clinically significant pain (HR, 1.48; P < 0.0001), (d) Karnofsky performance status (HR, 1.39 if < or =70; P = 0.016), (e) type of progression (HR, 1.37 for measurable disease progression and 1.29 for bone scan progression; P = 0.005 and 0.01, respectively), (f) pretreatment prostate-specific antigen (PSA) doubling time (HR, 1.19 if <55 days; P = 0.066), (g) PSA (HR, 1.17 per log rise; P < 0.0001), (h) tumor grade (HR, 1.18 for high grade; P = 0.069), (i) alkaline phosphatase (HR, 1.27 per log rise; P < 0.0001), and (j) hemoglobin (HR, 1.11 per unit decline; P = 0.004). A nomogram was developed based on this multivariate model and validated internally using bootstrap methods, with a concordance index of 0.69.

CONCLUSIONS

This multivariate model identified several new independent prognostic factors in men with metastatic HRPC, including PSA doubling time, and led to the successful development of a clinically applicable nomogram. External prospective validation may support the wider use of this prognostic baseline model for men with HRPC treated with chemotherapy.

Granulocyte macrophage colony-stimulating factor--secreting allogeneic cellular immunotherapy for hormone-refractory prostate cancer

PURPOSE

This trial evaluated the safety, clinical activity, and immunogenicity of an allogeneic cellular immunotherapy in 55 chemotherapy-naïve patients with hormone-refractory prostate cancer (HRPC). The immunotherapy, based on the GVAX platform, is a combination of two prostate carcinoma cell lines modified with the granulocyte macrophage colony-stimulating factor (GM-CSF) gene.

EXPERIMENTAL DESIGN

HRPC patients with radiologic metastases (n = 34) or rising prostate-specific antigen (PSA) only (n = 21) received a prime dose of 500 million cells and 12 boost doses of either 100 million cells (low dose) or 300 million cells (high dose) biweekly for 6 months. End points were changes in PSA, time to progression, and survival.

RESULTS

Median survival was 26.2 months (95% confidence interval, 17, 36) in the radiologic group: 34.9 months (8, 57) after treatment with the high dose (n = 10) of immunotherapy and 24.0 months (11, 35) with the low dose (n = 24). The median time to bone scan progression in the radiologic group was 5.0 months (2.6, 11.6) with the high dose and 2.8 months (2.8, 5.7) with the low dose. In the rising-PSA group (n = 21) receiving the low dose, the median time to bone scan progression was 5.9 months (5.6, not reached), and median survival was 37.5 months (29, 56). No dose-limiting or autoimmune toxicities were seen; the most common adverse events were injection site reaction and fatigue.

CONCLUSIONS

These results suggest that this GM-CSF-secreting, allogeneic cellular immunotherapy is well tolerated and may have clinical activity in patients with metastatic HRPC. Phase 3 trials to confirm these results are under way.

Darbepoetin Alfa Administered Every 4 Weeks for Anemia in Patients with Advanced Prostate Cancer

PURPOSE

Anemia is a common morbidity of advanced prostate cancer, and prostate cancer treatment and has been associated with a worse overall survival and reduced quality of life in patients with prostate cancer. We sought to determine if infrequent dosing of darbepoetin alfa is safe and effective in treating anemia in patients receiving systemic therapy for prostate cancer.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Sixteen patients with histologically confirmed prostate cancer with bone metastases on androgen deprivation therapy with or without chemotherapy; and a baseline hemoglobin (Hb) < or = 12 g/dL (amended to < or = 11 g/dL) were enrolled. The primary endpoints were the proportion of patients who had a baseline Hb > or = 12.5 g/dL and the proportion whose baseline Hb increased by > or = 1 g/dL. Patients were initially treated with 300 microg of darbepoetin alfa every 4 weeks. The dose was increased to 500 microg, 800 microg, and 1000 microg at each subsequent visit if the baseline Hb was not at target and had not increased by > or = 1 g/dL during the previous 4 weeks. Treatment was planned for 6 months.

RESULTS

Treatment was well tolerated with no grade > or = 3 toxicities. Fourteen patients were assessable. The median Hb at study entry was 10.7 g/dL (range, 8.4-12). Serum Hb increased by > or = 1 g/dL in 10 patients (71%; 95% confidence interval, 42%-92%) and 7 patients (50%; 95% confidence interval, 23%-77%) reached an Hb of > or = 12.5 g/dL after treatment with doses that ranged from 300 microg to 1000 microg.

CONCLUSION

Darbepoetin alfa administration every 4 weeks is feasible and well tolerated. Target Hb increases were achieved in approximately half of the patients and required doses that ranged from 300 microg to 1000 microg.

Androgen-independent prostate cancer

Androgen-independent or hormone-refractory prostate cancer (AIPC) is prostate cancer that progresses after primary androgen-ablation therapy--either orchiectomy or a gonadotropin-releasing hormone (LHRH) agonist, followed by addition and subsequent withdrawal of an antiandrogen. In the majority of patients, AIPC appears after a median time of 18 months of hormone deprivation. Patients with AIPC have a median survival between 10 and 20 months and the prognosis can be defined by using nomograms. Standard treatment is continued castration by LHRH agonists in combination with docetaxel-containing chemotherapy. Other treatment options to palliate symptoms are hormones, other chemotherapeutic agents, radioisotopes or radiotherapy and bisphosphonates. New targeted drugs and vaccination strategies are evaluated in the treatment of AIPC.

A randomized study of docetaxel and dexamethasone with low- or high-dose estramustine for patients with advanced hormone-refractory prostate cancer

OBJECTIVE

To test the combination of docetaxel with two different doses of estramustine in patients with hormone-refractory prostate cancer (HRPC), to improve response rates and to lower side-effects, as docetaxel-based chemotherapy is an increasing option for men with advanced HRPC, and alone or combined with estramustine, docetaxel improves median survival.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

In all, 72 patients with metastatic HRPC were randomly assigned to receive docetaxel (70 mg/m(2) intravenously, on day 2 every 21 days) and estramustine (3 x 280 mg/day oral starting 1 day before docetaxel, for 5 consecutive days) for arm A, or estramustine (3 x 140 mg/day oral starting 1 day before docetaxel, for 3 consecutive days) for arm B. Premedication with oral dexamethasone at a total daily dose of 16 mg, in divided doses twice a day was administered in arm A on day 1-5 and in arm B on day 1-3. Initially, six cycles were administered. Chemotherapy was restarted after a significant increase in prostate-specific antigen (PSA) level. Patients were monitored for any measurable PSA response and toxicity.

RESULTS

Between the arms there was no statistically significant difference in time to progression and overall survival. However, treatment B had less treatment-related toxicity than A. Independent prognostic variables were baseline factors like PSA level, haemoglobin level, Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status, and bone pain at presentation.

CONCLUSIONS

In this randomized phase II study the combination of docetaxel and estramustine had substantial activity in HRPC, with a significant incidence of severe toxicity, both haematological and not. Nevertheless, treatment-related toxicity was predictable and manageable. There was no better effect with a higher dose of estramustine with docetaxel than for a lower dose. There was a slight tendency to higher toxicity for high-dose estramustine but this was not statistically significant. The present results support the assertion that estramustine is not necessary in docetaxel-based treatment regimens.

Prostate-specific antigen velocity and survival for patients with hormone-refractory metastatic prostate carcinoma

BACKGROUND

The authors investigated whether prostate-specific antigen (PSA) velocity was associated significantly with the time to death after randomization among patients with hormone-refractory metastatic prostate carcinoma (HRMPC) who were treated with cytotoxic, cytotatic, or combination therapy.

METHODS

The study cohort included 213 men with HRMPC who were treated on 3 prospective, randomized Phase II studies between February 1996 and October 2001. Cox regression analysis was used to evaluate whether there was a significant association between PSA velocity and the time to death after randomization, controlling for treatment and known prognostic factors.

RESULTS

Increasing PSA velocity was associated significantly with shorter survival after randomization (P = 0.005) controlling for treatment and known prognostic factors. The adjusted hazard ratio for death was 1.8 (95% confidence interval [95% CI], 1.3-2.5; P = 0.0004) for men who had a PSA velocity > 0.0 ng/mL per month compared with men who had a PSA velocity < or = 0.0 ng/mL per month. Estimates of survival 2 years after randomization for these men were 16% (95% CI, 7-25%) and 44% (95% CI, 35-53%), respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

PSA velocity was associated significantly with the length of survival among men with HRMPC who received cytotoxic, cytostatic, or combination therapy.

Pre-treatment nomogram for disease-specific survival of patients with chemotherapy-naive androgen independent prostate cancer

OBJECTIVE

Our objective was to develop a nomogram that predicts the probability of cancer-specific survival in men with untreated androgen-independent prostate cancer (AIPC).

METHODS

AIPC was diagnosed in 129 consecutive patients between 1989 and 2002. No patient received cytotoxic chemotherapy. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression models were used to test the association between prostate-specific antigen (PSA) level at initiation of androgen deprivation, PSA doubling time (PSADT), PSA nadir on androgen deprivation therapy (ADT), time from ADT to AIPC, and AIPC-specific mortality. Multivariate regression coefficients were then used to develop a nomogram predicting AIPC-specific survival at 12-60 mo after AIPC diagnosis. Two-hundred bootstrap resamples were used to internally validate the nomogram.

RESULTS

AIPC-specific mortality was recorded in 74 of 129 patients (57.4%). Other-cause mortality was recorded in 7 men (5.4%). Median overall survival was 52.0 mo (mean, 36.0 mo) and median AIPC-specific survival was 54.0 mo (mean, 35.0 mo). In univariate regression models, all variables were significant predictors of AIPC-specific survival (p < or = 0.02). In multivariate models, PSADT and time from androgen deprivation to AIPC remained statistically significant (p < or = 0.004). Bootstrap-corrected predictive accuracy of the nomogram was 80.9% versus 74.9% for our previous model.

CONCLUSIONS

A nomogram predicting AIPC-specific survival is between 13% and 14% more accurate than previous nomograms and 6% more accurate than tree regression-based predictions obtained from the same data. Moreover, a nomogram approach combines several advantages, such as user-friendly interface and precise estimation of individual recurrence probability at several time points after AIPC diagnosis, which all patients deserve to know and all treating physicians need to know.

Multicenter randomized phase II study of two schedules of docetaxel, estramustine, and prednisone versus mitoxantrone plus prednisone in patients with metastatic hormone-refractory prostate cancer

PURPOSE

Mitoxantrone-corticosteroid is currently the standard palliative treatment in hormone-refractory prostate cancer (HRPC) patients. Recent clinical trials documented the high activity of the docetaxel-estramustine combination. We conducted a randomized phase II study to evaluate prostate-specific antigen (PSA) response (primary end point) and safety of two docetaxel-estramustine-prednisone (DEP) regimens and mitoxantrone-prednisone (MP).

PATIENTS AND METHODS

One hundred thirty metastatic HRPC patients were randomly assigned to receive docetaxel (70 mg/m2 on day 2 or 35 mg/m2 on days 2 and 9 of each 21-day cycle) and estramustine (280 mg p.o. tid on days 1 through 5 and 8 through 12) or mitoxantrone 12 mg/m2 every 3 weeks; all patients received prednisone (10 mg daily).

RESULTS

One hundred twenty-seven patients were assessable for PSA response and safety. A > or = 50% PSA decline was found in a greater percentage of patients in the docetaxel arms (67% and 63%) compared with MP (18%; P = .0001). Median time to PSA progression was five times longer with DEP than with MP (8.8 and 9.3 v 1.7 months, respectively; P = .000001). Overall survival was better in the docetaxel arms (18.6 and 18.4 months) compared with the MP arm (13.4 months), but not significantly so (P = .3). Crossover rates differed significantly among treatment arms (16%, 10%, and 48% in arms A, B, and C, respectively; P = .00001). Treatment-related toxicities were mild and mainly hematologic.

CONCLUSION

The results of this randomized phase II study showed significantly higher PSA decline < or = 50% and longer times to progression in HRPC patients receiving DEP-based chemotherapy than MP, and that DEP could be proposed in this setting.

The impact of anaemia on outcome in cancer

Anaemia is not an inconsequential side effect of cancer and its treatment should not be ignored. Current practice for anaemia management varies and its role in influencing outcome in cancer patients is under recognized. As a common complication of cancer, anaemia is prevalent in virtually all tumour types to varying degrees. Predictive factors for anaemia include baseline haemoglobin concentration, decrease in haemoglobin concentration within the first month of treatment, tumour type, duration of treatment and prior blood transfusions. Interest in the prognostic significance of anaemia in cancer patients has generated extensive clinical research. Data is now published in a wide range of tumour types confirming that anaemia is a negative prognostic indicator of outcome (e.g. survival, disease-free recurrence and local relapse), with the strongest association in patients receiving radiotherapy. The association has also been documented in patients undergoing chemotherapy and chemoradiation. A retrospective meta-analysis has shown an overall 65% increased risk of death associated with anaemia in cancer patients. The impact of anaemia as an independent prognostic factor for outcome may be mediated by several factors, however the emerging consensus is on the central role of tumour hypoxia. It has been nearly 50 years since R. Thomlinson and L. Gray (British Journal of Cancer 1955, 9: 539) first documented the existence of hypoxia in tumours and it is now well accepted that tumour hypoxia protects tumour cells from therapeutic damage directly by reducing the availability of oxygen-free radicals which are necessary for optimal impact of radiotherapy, certain chemotherapeutic agents and photodynamic therapy. The indirect effects include the impact of hypoxia on gene expression, which affects genetic stability, proliferation kinetics and cellular metabolism. There has been an emergence of preclinical and circumstantial data over recent years that are suggestive of the ability to correct the negative effect of anaemia on outcome by the use of repeated blood transfusions or recombinant human erythropoietin. This has led to some attempts to measure the impact on survival in cancer patients of treating anaemia, but early attempts have served to underline the complexity of the relationship and have produced unexpected results.

THE NATURAL HISTORY OF ANDROGEN INDEPENDENT PROSTATE CANCER

PURPOSE

We describe the natural history of androgen independent prostate cancer (AIPC) in the modern prostate specific antigen (PSA) era.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Data from 160 patients diagnosed with AIPC between 1989 and 2002 were reviewed. No patient had received cytotoxic chemotherapy. Univariate and multivariate proportional hazards models were constructed to identify significant risk factors for cancer specific survival. Recursive partitioning analysis stratified patients into prognostic risk groupings. The types and frequencies of cancer specific complications per risk grouping were compared.

RESULTS

The final prognostic risk model included nadir PSA on androgen deprivation therapy (p = 0.023), time to PSA recurrence (p = 0.006) and prostate specific antigen doubling time (p <0.01). Three highly independent risk groupings were identified. The observed median cancer specific survivals were 14.0 months (95% CI, 8.3-19.8), 38.4 months (95% CI, 26.9-49.9) and 89.1 months (95% CI, 69.0-109.2) for low, intermediate and high risk groupings, respectively (p <0.001). Patients in the low risk grouping experienced significantly fewer cancer specific complications (p = 0.003).

CONCLUSIONS

This prognostic model stratified patients into 3 highly significant and independent risk groupings. A detailed PSA history alone is sufficient to risk stratify patients with AIPC.

Survival of patients with hormone refractory prostate cancer in the prostate specific antigen era

PURPOSE

The historically reported 12 to 18-month duration of survival of patients with hormone refractory prostate cancer is not consistent with current clinical experience. Furthermore, to our knowledge patient survival after serum prostate specific antigen (PSA) progressively increases from a nadir despite castrate testosterone has not been previously reported. For this reason we studied overall survival and the clinical variables that influence survival in patients with hormone refractory prostate cancer.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

The study focused on 254 patients with prostate cancer on androgen deprivation therapy. Hormone refractory prostate cancer was defined as the first in a series of PSA elevations despite castrate levels of testosterone. The duration of survival in the hormone refractory phase was calculated from the date of the first PSA elevation to the date of death.

RESULTS

Median survival after hormone refractory prostate cancer developed in patients initially staged with and without skeletal metastasis was 40 and 68 months, respectively. Six of more than 25 input variables were retained as significant in the final Cox model. Variables associated with longer survival were lower nadir PSA, younger age, higher pretreatment testosterone, no history of obstructive uropathy, no history of tobacco use (past or current) and lower alkaline phosphatase.

CONCLUSIONS

Historical reports of survival in hormone refractory prostate cancer underestimate current survival observations. The likely explanations of this observation include delayed enrollment in clinical trials from which most survival data are derived, PSA lead time in staging and improved supportive care. Models predicting survival in patients with hormone refractory prostate cancer should consider multiple variables.

The patient with hormone-refractory prostate cancer: determining who, when, and how to treat

Hormone-refractory prostate cancer (HRPC) encompasses a wide spectrum of patients, including patients with prostate-specific antigen (PSA)--only disease, those with increasing PSA levels yet stable metastatic disease, and those with increasing PSA levels and objective evidence of progressive metastases. Unfortunately, with the historical lack of effective therapy in this population, the oncologist is faced with few data with which to make difficult clinical decisions. Although our understanding of the biology of androgen independence continues to improve, and our fund of potential therapeutic agents has widened, multiple trial-specific and patient-specific obstacles have contributed to the difficulty in demonstrating clear benefit to therapy. Herein, we will review the biology of androgen-independent prostate cancer, the historical impediments to clinical trials in this population, and the reasons to treat, or not to treat, the patient with HRPC.

Neuroendocrine serum tumour markers in hormone-resistant prostate cancer

OBJECTIVE

The primary aim of the study was to assess the prevalence of elevated serum levels of neuron-specific enolase (NSE) and chromogranin A (CgA) in hormone-resistant prostate cancer (HRPC), and to evaluate these markers' prognostic significance. Secondarily we wanted to assess any change in serum levels of NSE or CgA after palliative radiotherapy.

METHODS

Serum samples from patients with painful bone metastases or symptomatic pelvic tumours due to HRPC were analyzed for prostate specific antigen (PSA), NSE and CgA before and after palliative radiotherapy.

RESULTS

Forty-six of 138 patients (33%) had elevated NSE before radiotherapy, while 80 (58%) had elevated CgA, without correlation between the two markers or with PSA. After radiotherapy the median NSE level was significantly reduced (p=0.004), whereas CgA (p=0.009) and PSA (p=0.019) increased. In the multivariate survival analysis, a reduced performance status, >20 bone metastases on bone scan, low hemoglobin, and pre-radiotherapy elevated NSE levels indicated a short survival.

CONCLUSION

Together with known clinical parameters, NSE predicts survival in patients with HRPC. NSE could become a valuable prognostic marker in patients with this condition.

Prognostic factors for survival in patients with hormone-refractory prostate cancer (HRPC) after initial androgen deprivation therapy (ADT)

Androgen deprivation therapy (ADT) is a standard mode of therapy for patients with metastatic prostate cancer. Controversy exists, however, as to the optimal timing of initiation of ADT, as well as whether this form of therapy imparts a survival benefit to patients with advanced disease. Side effects of ADT are not minimal and can seriously compromise a patient's quality of life. Additionally, ADT eventually results in hormone-refractory prostate cancer (HRPC). Despite new chemotherapeutic regimens and hormonal agents, overall survival in these patients remains universally low. Nonetheless, it is valuable to gauge a patient's prognosis to assist in decision making when considering treatment options. Contemporary series analyzing patients with HRPC have identified several factors prognostic of survival outcomes, such as lactate dehydrogenase (LDH), alkaline phosphatase (ALK), hemoglobin (Hgb), and serum prostate specific antigen (PSA) level. Nomograms have been developed that utilize these pretreatment clinical variables to predict clinical outcomes, including 1-year, 2-year, and median survival times in patients with HRPC. These instruments are capable of more accurately predicting survival outcomes than traditional tables of multivariate results or simple analysis of prognostic factors. We believe these nomograms will become indispensable tools for patient counseling and clinical trial design in patients with HRPC.

Prognostic model for predicting survival in men with hormone-refractory metastatic prostate cancer

PURPOSE

To develop and validate a model that can be used to predict the overall survival probability among metastatic hormone-refractory prostate cancer patients (HRPC).

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Data from six Cancer and Leukemia Group B protocols that enrolled 1,101 patients with metastatic hormone-refractory adenocarcinoma of the prostate during the study period from 1991 to 2001 were pooled. The proportional hazards model was used to develop a multivariable model on the basis of pretreatment factors and to construct a prognostic model. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC) was calculated as a measure of predictive discrimination. Calibration of the model predictions was assessed by comparing the predicted probability with the actual survival probability. An independent data set was used to validate the fitted model.

RESULTS

The final model included the following factors: lactate dehydrogenase, prostate-specific antigen, alkaline phosphatase, Gleason sum, Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status, hemoglobin, and the presence of visceral disease. The area under the ROC curve was 0.68. Patients were classified into one of four risk groups. We observed a good agreement between the observed and predicted survival probabilities for the four risk groups. The observed median survival durations were 7.5 (95% confidence interval [CI], 6.2 to 10.9), 13.4 (95% CI, 9.7 to 26.3), 18.9 (95% CI, 16.2 to 26.3), and 27.2 (95% CI, 21.9 to 42.8) months for the first, second, third, and fourth risk groups, respectively. The corresponding median predicted survival times were 8.8, 13.4, 17.4, and 22.80 for the four risk groups.

CONCLUSION

This model could be used to predict individual survival probabilities and to stratify metastatic HRPC patients in randomized phase III trials.

Increased fibroblast growth factor-like autoantibodies in serum from a subset of patients with cancer-associated hypercalcemia

Basic fibroblast growth factor (bFGF) is a potent tumor angiogenesis factor which lacks an amino-terminal signal sequence and does not normally circulate in serum from normal subjects. Naturally-occurring autoantibodies which mimicked basic fibroblast growth factor were described in serum from patients with multiple endocrine neoplasia type 1 prolactinoma or sporadic growth-hormone-secreting adenoma associated with increased bFGF. Since bFGF was increased in serum from a variety of cancers, we used endothelial cell proliferation assay(s) to test for bioactivity in the IgG fraction of serum from 56 patients with cancer-associated hypercalcemia, and normal or control subjects. We now report increased IgG-like endothelial cell activity in serum from a hyper prolactinemic subset (4/19 breast cancer; 1/14 renal cancer; 0/23 lung cancer) of cancer-associated hypercalcemic subjects. Highest activity was found in serum from three breast cancer patients who suffered spinal cord compression/metastases. The activity had properties of antiidiotype bFGF antibodies including reaction with anti-human IgG antibodies, and complete neutralization by rabbit antibodies to intact bFGF. The activity in endothelial cells persisted after storage at 0-4 C for 5 yrs; and [prepared by SDS-PAGE and immunoblotting with anti-human IgG] had apparent mol wt corresponding to the heavy chains of IgG. Serum IgG-like activity from 5 of 5 breast cancer patients and 2 of 2 prostate cancer subjects tested [prepared by anti-bFGF antibody, protein-A immunoaffinity, and hydroxyapatite (HA) chromatography] yielded peak HA-adsorbed activity that eluted with 0.4 M sodium phosphate, and was neutralized 70% by antibodies to intact bFGF. Cancer sera mean peak specific activity (12.0 ng-eq bFGF/ug protein) (n = 7) significantly exceeded (P < 0.001) normal sera mean peak specific activity (0.46 ng-eq bFGF/ug protein) (n = 6) in the 0.4 M sodium phosphate eluate fraction from hydroxyapatite columns. These results imply that long-lasting, bioactive FGF-like autoantibodies may arise spontaneously (and contribute to pathophysiology) in subsets of cancer patients with osseous metastases.

Weekly epirubicin in patients with hormone-resistant prostate cancer

The aim of this study was to investigate the benefit of weekly epirubicin in the treatment of metastatic hormone-resistant prostate cancer. One hundred and forty-eight patients with metastatic hormone-resistant prostate cancer received weekly 30-min intravenous infusions of epirubicin 30 mg m(2) of body surface area. The primary end-point was palliative response, defined as a reduction in pain intensity and an improvement in performance status. The secondary end-points were the duration of the palliative response, quality of life and survival. Fifty-seven (44%) of the 131 evaluable patients met the primary criterion of palliative response after six treatment cycles and 73 (56%) after 12 cycles; the median duration of the response was 9 months (range 1-11). The median global quality of life improved in 52% of the patients after six cycles and in 68% after 12 cycles. The 12- and 18-month survival rates were respectively 56 and 31%, with a median survival of 13+ months (range 1-36). The treatment was well tolerated: grade 3 neutropenia was observed in 8% of the patients, grade 3 anaemia in 7%, and grade 3 thrombocytopenia in 3%. None of the patients developed grade 4 toxicity or congestive heart failure. Weekly epirubicin chemotherapy can lead to a rapid and lasting palliative result in patients with metastatic HRPC, and have a positive effect on the quality of life and survival.

Suramin's development: what did we learn?

Suramin, a polysulphonated napthylurea, has been extensively evaluated over the past 10 years as an anticancer agent, with the most interest in the treatment of prostate cancer. Early clinical results were promising with response rates of up to 70% being reported. However, a recent double-blind study showed only modest palliative effect in patients with androgen independent prostate cancer. In retrospect, it appears those initial reports failed to control for confounding variables such as antiandrogen withdrawal and hydrocortisone. Suramin causes numerous reversible toxicities (lethargy, rash, fatigue, anemia, hyperglycemia, hypocalcemia, coagulopathies, neutropenia, renal and hepatic complications). Neurotoxicity has been the most significant complication and appears to be related to the intensity of the dosing regimen. An optimal therapeutic dose has not been determined, but it is clear that adaptive controls add little benefit. Aside from moderate toxicities and the low therapeutic index in patients with prostate cancer, suramin's development has taught us some valuable lessons (i.e., anti-androgen withdrawal was noted during suramin's development, the use of PSA as an indicator of tumor burden was initiated during the evaluation of suramin). These lessons can be applied to all clinical trials in hormone refractory prostate cancer. Suramin has significantly enhanced the evolution of our knowledge in several areas of prostate cancer biology and treatment.

The correlation between pretreatment serum hormone levels and treatment outcome for patients with prostatic cancer and bony metastasis

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate whether pretreatment serum hormone levels are a prognostic factor for prostatic cancer with bony metastasis under hormonal treatment.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Between 1980 and 1994, 96 patients with prostate cancer and bony metastasis were included for an evaluation by a retrospective review of their charts. All 96 had received hormonal treatment after a diagnosis of metastatic prostatic carcinoma. Serum testosterone, luteinizing hormone (LH), follicle-stimulating hormone (FSH) and prolactin were assessed before treatment. The patients were divided into two groups according to their response during the follow-up. Group 1 (good response) had no change or resolution of metastatic lesion(s) on the bone scan and a declining prostate-specific antigen (PSA) level. Group 2 had increased PSA or progression of metastatic lesion(s) on the bone scan. Tumours were graded as low (2-4), intermediate (5-7) and high (8-10) using the Gleason score.

RESULTS

There were 43 patients in group 1 and 53 in group 2; the overall mean (sd) age was 72.5 (6.8) years and the follow-up 29.5 (0.5) months. The respective mean (sd) levels of testosterone, LH, FSH and prolactin before treatment were 4.6 (1.6) ng/mL, 20.2 (13.3) mIU/mL, 19.6 (18.6) mIU/mL and 20.7 (12.1) ng/mL in group 1, and 2.6 (1.0) ng/mL, 27.3 (11.0) mIU/mL, 27.1 (9.8) mIU/mL and 41.3 (28.4) ng/mL in group 2. The level of testosterone was significantly higher in group 1 than in group 2, while LH, FSH and prolactin were significantly lower in group 1 than in group 2. When stratified by tumour grade, patients in group 1 still had significantly higher pretreatment testosterone and lower LH, FSH and prolactin than those in group 2.

CONCLUSION

Higher testosterone and lower LH, FSH and prolactin levels were good prognostic factors for patients with metastatic prostatic cancer under hormonal treatment, irrespective of tumour grading.