Prevalence and burden of dengue infection in Europe: A systematic review and meta‐analysis

Current status of the development of dengue vaccines

Dengue fever is caused by the mosquito-borne dengue virus (DENV), which is endemic in more than 100 countries. Annually, there are approximately 390 million dengue cases, with a small subset manifesting into severe illnesses, such as dengue haemorrhagic fever or dengue shock syndrome. Current treatment options for dengue infections remain supportive management due to the lack of an effective vaccine and clinically approved antiviral. Although the CYD-TDV (Dengvaxia®) vaccine with an overall vaccine efficacy of 60 % has been licensed for clinical use since 2015, it poses an elevated risk of severe dengue infections especially in dengue-naïve children below 9 years of age. The newly approved Qdenga vaccine was able to achieve an overall vaccine efficacy of 80 % after 12 months, but it was not able to provide a protective effect against DENV-3 in dengue naïve individuals. The Butantan-DV vaccine candidate is still undergoing phase 3 clinical trials for safety and efficacy evaluations in humans. Apart from live-attenuated vaccines, various other vaccine types are also currently being studied in preclinical and clinical studies. This review discusses the current status of dengue vaccine development.

Tracing the Origin, Spread, and Molecular Evolution of Dengue Type 1 Cases That Occurred in Northern Italy in 2023

The dengue virus (DENV) is a mosquito-borne flavivirus endemic to many tropical and subtropical regions. Over the past few decades, the global incidence of dengue has risen dramatically, with the virus now present in over 100 countries, putting nearly half of the world's population at risk. This increase is attributed to several factors, including urbanization, climate change, and global travel, which facilitate the spread of both the virus and its mosquito vectors. While dengue is primarily associated with tropical regions, outbreaks in temperate areas are becoming increasingly common due to the spread of Aedes albopictus, a competent vector for DENV that can adapt to cooler climates. This study investigates the molecular dynamics and geographic evolution of DENV type 1 (DENV-1) strains isolated from 13 patients during an autochthonous outbreak in Lombardy, Northern Italy, between August and September 2023. Additionally, Aedes albopictus mosquitoes were collected from a neighboring area to assess their potential role in the outbreak. A metagenomic approach was used to recover DENV-1 consensus sequences from clinical samples. Genotype classification and phylogenetic analyses were performed using Bayesian methods and a comprehensive dataset of DENV-1 sequences from other countries. The Italian autochthonous strains clustered with South American strains collected between 2020 and 2023, specifically those belonging to genotype V, subtype D. Bayesian analysis estimated a mean evolutionary substitution rate of 8.234 × 10-4 substitutions per site per year (95% HPD interval: 7.1448 × 10-4-9.3343 × 10-4), with the time to the most recent common ancestor (tMRCA) dating back to 1972 (95% HPD interval: 1968-1976). These findings suggest the likely introduction of the virus into the region from endemic areas in South America, followed by local transmission. This study offers valuable insights into the dynamics of the DENV-1 outbreak in Lombardy, underscoring the importance of genomic surveillance in monitoring viral spread and evolution. The findings emphasize the critical need for enhanced molecular and entomological surveillance to detect and respond to emerging autochthonous DENV cases in temperate regions where competent vectors, such as Aedes albopictus, are present. Public health strategies should prioritize integrated vector management, real-time genomic monitoring, and awareness campaigns to mitigate the risk of future outbreaks. These measures are essential to address the growing threat posed by the geographic expansion of the dengue virus.

Discovery of Potent Dengue Virus NS2B-NS3 Protease Inhibitors Among Glycyrrhizic Acid Conjugates with Amino Acids and Dipeptides Esters

This study investigated a library of known and novel glycyrrhizic acid (GL) conjugates with amino acids and dipeptide esters, as inhibitors of the DENV NS2B-NS3 protease. We utilized docking algorithms to evaluate the interactions of these GL derivatives with key residues (His51, Asp75, Ser135, and Gly153) within 10 Å of the DENV-2 NS2B-NS3 protease binding pocket (PDB ID: 2FOM). It was found that compounds 11 and 17 exhibited unique binding patterns, forming hydrogen bonds with Asp75, Tyr150, and Gly153. Based on the molecular docking data, conjugates 11 with L-glutamic acid dimethyl ester, 17 with β-alanine ethyl ester, and 19 with aminoethantic acid methyl ester were further demonstrated as potent inhibitors of DENV-2 NS3 protease, with IC50 values below 1 μM, using NS3-mediated cleavage assay. Compound 11 was the most potent, with EC50 values of 0.034 μM for infectivity, 0.042 μM for virus yield, and a selective index over 2000, aligning with its strong NS3 protease inhibition. Compound 17 exhibited better NS3 protease inhibition than compound 19 but showed weaker effects on infectivity and virus yield. While all compounds strongly inhibited viral infectivity post-entry, compound 19 also blocked viral entry. This study provided valuable insights into the interactions between active GL derivatives and DENV-2 NS2B-NS3 protease, offering a comprehensive framework for identifying lead compounds for further drug optimization and design as NS2B-NS3 protease inhibitors against DENV.

Clinical and Laboratory Features and Treatment Outcomes of Dengue Fever in Pediatric Cases

Background Globally, dengue fever (DF) is the leading cause of arthropod-borne viral illness, which considerably contributes to an atrocious death rate. The disease is now endemic in some parts of the world, including Bangladesh. The disorder exhibits a wide range of clinical and laboratory features in children. Judicial fluid resuscitation during the critical phase and prompt referral to the appropriate health facility can be lifesaving. Objectives This research appraised clinical and laboratory features and treatment outcomes of DF in pediatric cases. Methods This prospective investigative work was conducted at Islami Bank Hospital, Dhaka, India, from July to October 2023. The study included 135 admitted pediatric cases of DF, either dengue nonstructural protein 1 (NS1) or anti-dengue antibody IgM or IgG positive. Results Among the selected cases, boys were more predominant than girls, and most patients were in the age group of 5 to 10 years (n=46, 34%), most of them belonging to lower-middle-class families (n=56, 41.5%). All of the study participants had raised body temperatures, and most had abdominal pain (n=82, 60.7%), vomiting (n=77, 57%), cough (n=43, 31.9%), headache (n=38, 28.2%), body aches (n=32, 23.7%), and diarrhea (n=23, 17%). Dengue NS1 was positive in 91.1% (n=123) of cases. Raised hematocrit was found in 36.3% (n=49) of cases, leukopenia in 47% (n=63), and thrombocytopenia in 69.6% (n=94) of cases. Most of our patients were categorized as having DF (68.1%, n=92), followed by dengue with warning signs (16.3%, n=22), and severe dengue was present in 15.6% (n=21) of patients. Most were treated with crystalloid, and some with crystalloid and colloid solution. Fortunately, most of them recovered with no death. Conclusion DF may manifest with varied clinical and laboratory features in children. Appropriate treatment of critical phases, depending on clinical and laboratory features, is crucial to reducing dengue-induced miseries and fatal clinical outcomes among the pediatric population.

Portable all-in-one microfluidic system for CRISPR-Cas13a-based fully integrated multiplexed nucleic acid detection

Point-of-care testing of "sample in, answer out" is urgently needed for communicable diseases. Recently, rapid nucleic acid tests for infectious diseases have been developed for use in resource-limited areas, but they require types of equipment in central laboratories and are poorly integrated. In this work, a portable centrifugal microfluidic testing system is developed, integrated with magnetic bead-based nucleic acid extraction, recombinase-assisted amplification and CRISPR-Cas13a detection. The system, with the advantage of its power-supplied active rotating chip and highly programable flow control through integrated addressable active thermally-triggered wax valves, has a rapid turnaround time within 45 min, requiring only one user step. All reagents are preloaded into the chip and can be automatically released. By exploiting a multichannel chip, it is capable of simultaneously detecting 10 infectious viruses with limits of detection of 1 copy per reaction and 5 copies per reaction in plasmid samples and mock plasma samples, respectively. The system was used to analyse clinical plasma samples with good consistency compared to laboratory-based molecular testing. Moreover, the generalizability of our device is reported by successfully testing nasopharyngeal swabs and whole blood samples. The portable device does not require the operation of professional technicians, making it an excellent assay for on-site testing.

Infections diagnosed in children and young people screened for malaria in UK emergency departments: a retrospective multi-centre study

BACKGROUND

Data on imported infections in children and young people (CYP) are sparse.

AIMS

To describe imported infections in CYP arriving from malaria-endemic areas and presenting to UK emergency departments (ED) who were screened for malaria.

METHODS

This is a retrospective, multi-centre, observational study nested in a diagnostic accuracy study for malaria rapid diagnostic tests. Any CYP < 16 years presenting to a participating ED with a history of fever and travel to a malaria-endemic area between 1 January 2016 and 31 December 2017 and who had a malaria screen as a part of standard care were included. Geographical risk was calculated for the most common tropical infections.

RESULTS

Of the 1414 CYP screened for malaria, 44.0% (n = 622) arrived from South Asia and 33.3% (n = 471) from sub-Saharan Africa. Half (50.0%) had infections common in both tropical and non-tropical settings such as viral upper respiratory tract infection (URTI); 21.0% of infections were coded as tropical if gastro-enteritis is included, with a total of 4.2% (60) cases of malaria. CYP diagnosed with malaria were 7.44 times more likely to have arrived from sub-Saharan Africa than from South Asia (OR 7.44, 3.78-16.41).

CONCLUSION

A fifth of CYP presenting to participating UK EDs with fever and a history of travel to a malaria-endemic area and who were screened for malaria had a tropical infection if diarrhoea is included. A third of CYP had no diagnosis. CYP arriving from sub-Saharan Africa had the greatest risk of malaria.Abbreviations: CYP: children and young people; ED: emergency department; PERUKI: Paediatric Emergency Research in the UK and Ireland; RDT: rapid diagnostic test; VFR: visiting friends and relatives.

Genotype of dengue virus serotype 1 in relation to severe dengue in Guangzhou, China

Guangzhou has been the city most affected by the dengue virus (DENV) in China, with a predominance of DENV serotype 1 (DENV-1). Viral factors such as dengue serotype and genotype are associated with severe dengue (SD). However, none of the studies have investigated the relationship between DENV-1 genotypes and SD. To understand the association between DENV-1 genotypes and SD, the clinical manifestations of patients infected with different genotypes were investigated. A total of 122 patients with confirmed DENV-1 genotype infection were recruited for this study. The clinical manifestations, laboratory tests, and levels of inflammatory mediator factors were statistically analyzed to investigate the characteristics of clinical manifestations and immune response on the DENV-1 genotype. In the case of DENV-1 infection, the incidence of SD with genotype V infection was significantly higher than that with genotype I infection. Meanwhile, patients infected with genotype V were more common in ostealgia and bleeding significantly. In addition, levels of inflammatory mediator factors including IFN-γ, TNF-α, IL-10, and soluble vascular cell adhesion molecule 1 were higher in patients with SD infected with genotype V. Meanwhile, the concentrations of regulated upon activation normal T-cell expressed and secreted and growth-related gene alpha were lower in patients with SD infected with genotype V. The higher incidence of SD in patients infected with DENV-1 genotype V may be attributed to elevated cytokines and adhesion molecules, along with decreased chemokines.

The potential habitat and environmental fitness change of Aedes albopictus in Western Eurasia for 2081-2100

BACKGROUND OBJECTIVES

The range of Aedes albopictus, the most important vector mosquito in Western Eurasia is growing due to climate change. However, it is not known how it will influence the habitats occupied by the species and its environmental fitness within its future range.

METHODS

To study this question, the habitat characteristic of the mosquito was investigated for 2081-2100.

RESULTS

The models suggest a notable future spread of the mosquito in the direction of Northern Europe and the parallel northward and westward shift of the southern and eastern potential occurrences of the mosquito. The models suggest a notable increase in generation numbers in the warmest quarter, which can reach 4-5 generations in the peri-Mediterranean region. However, both the joint survival rate of larvae and pupae and the number of survival days of adults in the warmest quarter exhibit decreasing values, as does the potential disappearance of the mosquito in the southern regions of Europe and Asia Minor, along with the growing atmospheric CO2 concentration-based scenarios.

INTERPRETATION CONCLUSION

While in 1970-2000 Aedes albopictus mainly occupied the hot and warm summer temperate regions of Europe, the species will inhabit dominantly the cool summer temperate (oceanic) and the humid continental climate territories of North and North-Eastern Europe in 2081-2100.

Serum Stabilities and Antiviral Activities of Chemically Modified Peptides Against Dengue Serotypes 1-4

Dengue presents a major public health concern in over 100 countries due to the absence of an effective vaccine and antiviral therapy against all four dengue virus (DENV) serotypes. Several antiviral peptides were previously reported to inhibit at least three or all four DENV serotypes. Chemical modifications such as d-amino acid substitutions, polyethylene glycol (PEG)ylation, and cyclization could be applied to peptides to improve their biological activities and stability in serum. The PEGylated peptide 3 (PEG-P3) was identified to be the most promising antiviral candidate as it demonstrated good inhibitory effects against all four DENV serotypes during the pre- and post-infection stages, Based on the RP-HPLC and LC/MS analysis, peptide 4 was identified to be more stable in human serum than peptide 3, with 78.9 % and 41.6 % of the peptides remaining after 72 h of incubation in human serum, respectively. Both peptides were also able to retain their antiviral activities against specific DENV serotypes after 72 h incubation in human serum. PEG-P3 was found to be more stable than the unmodified peptide 3 with 89.4 % of PEG-P3 remaining in the human serum after 72 h of incubation. PEG-P3 was able to retain its inhibitory effects against DENV-1 to 4 after 72 h of incubation in human serum. This study provided insights into the antiviral activities and stabilities of the unmodified and chemically modified peptides in human serum.

Clinical manifestations of dengue, Zika and chikungunya in the Pacific Islands: A systematic review and meta-analysis

Dengue, Zika and chikungunya outbreaks pose a significant public health risk to Pacific Island communities. Differential diagnosis is challenging due to overlapping clinical features and limited availability of laboratory diagnostic facilities. There is also insufficient information regarding the complications of these arboviruses, particularly for Zika and chikungunya. We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis to calculate pooled prevalence estimates with 95% confidence intervals (CI) for the clinical manifestations of dengue, Zika and chikungunya in the Pacific Islands. Based on pooled prevalence estimates, clinical features that may help to differentiate between the arboviruses include headache, haemorrhage and hepatomegaly in dengue; rash, conjunctivitis and peripheral oedema in Zika; and the combination of fever and arthralgia in chikungunya infections. We estimated that the hospitalisation and mortality rates in dengue were 9.90% (95% CI 7.67-12.37) and 0.23% (95% CI 0.16-0.31), respectively. Severe forms of dengue occurred in 1.92% (95% CI 0.72-3.63) of reported cases and 23.23% (95% CI 13.58-34.53) of hospitalised patients. Complications associated with Zika virus included Guillain-Barré syndrome (GBS), estimated to occur in 14.08 (95% CI 11.71-16.66) per 10,000 reported cases, and congenital brain malformations such as microcephaly, particularly with first trimester maternal infection. For chikungunya, the hospitalisation rate was 2.57% (95% CI 1.30-4.25) and the risk of GBS was estimated at 1.70 (95% CI 1.06-2.48) per 10,000 reported cases. Whilst ongoing research is required, this systematic review enhances existing knowledge on the clinical manifestations of dengue, Zika and chikungunya infections and will assist Pacific Island clinicians during future arbovirus outbreaks.

Comparative analysis of the susceptibility of Aedes aegypti and Japanese Aedes albopictus to all dengue virus serotypes

BACKGROUND

Dengue fever, caused by the dengue virus (DENV), is the most common viral infection transmitted by Aedes mosquitoes (mainly Ae. aegypti and Ae. albopictus) worldwide. Aedes aegypti is not currently established in Japan, and Ae. albopictus is the primary vector mosquito for DENV in the country, but knowledge of its viral susceptibility is limited. Therefore, we aimed to clarify the status of DENV susceptibility by comparing the infection and dissemination dynamics of Japanese Ae. albopictus to all known DENV serotypes with those of Ae. aegypti.

METHODS

After propagation of each DENV serotype in Vero cells, the culture supernatants were mixed with defibrinated rabbit blood and adenosine triphosphate, and the mixture was artificially blood-sucked by two colonies of Ae. albopictus from Japan and one colony of Ae. aegypti from a dengue-endemic country (Vietnam). After 14 days of sucking, the mosquito body was divided into two parts (thorax/abdomen and head/wings/legs) and total RNA was extracted from each sample. DENV RNA was detected in these extracted RNA samples using a quantitative RT-PCR method specific for each DENV serotype, and infection and dissemination rates were analyzed.

RESULTS

The Japanese Ae. albopictus colonies were susceptible to all DENV serotypes. Its infection and dissemination rates were significantly lower than those of Ae. aegypti. However, the number of DENV RNA copies in Ae. albopictus was almost not significantly different from that in Ae. aegypti. Furthermore, Japanese Ae. albopictus differed widely in their susceptibility to each DENV serotype.

CONCLUSIONS

In Japanese Ae. albopictus, once DENV overcame the midgut infection barrier, the efficiency of subsequent propagation and dissemination of the virus in the mosquito body was comparable to that of Ae. aegypti. Based on the results of this study and previous dengue outbreak trends, Ae. albopictus is predicted to be highly compatible with DENV-1, suggesting that this serotype poses a high risk for future epidemics in Japan.

Dengue overview: An updated systemic review

Dengue is caused by the dengue virus (DENVs) infection and clinical manifestations include dengue fever (DF), dengue hemorrhagic fever (DHF), or dengue shock syndrome (DSS). Due to a lack of antiviral drugs and effective vaccines, several therapeutic and control strategies have been proposed. A systemic literature review was conducted according to PRISMA guidelines to select proper references to give an overview of DENV infection. Results indicate that understanding the virus characteristics and epidemiology are essential to gain the basic and clinical knowledge as well as dengue disseminated pattern and status. Different factors and mechanisms are thought to be involved in the presentation of DHF and DSS, including antibody-dependent enhancement, immune dysregulation, viral virulence, host genetic susceptibility, and preexisting dengue antibodies. This study suggests that dissecting pathogenesis and risk factors as well as developing different types of therapeutic and control strategies against DENV infection are urgently needed.

Dengue Uveitis - A Major Review

Dengue fever is a significant global public health concern with increasing incidence over the past two decades. The symptoms range from mild to severe, including fever, headache, rash, and joint pain. Ocular complications are prevalent among hospitalized patients, estimated to be between 10% and 40.3%, with varying incidences based on the serotype and severity of dengue. These complications can be hemorrhagic or inflammatory and typically occur after the onset of fever. Modern diagnostic tools such as Optical Coherence Tomography (OCT) and Fundus Fluorescein Angiography (FFA) have enabled physicians to better understand the extent of ocular involvement and guide treatment. This article provides an updated overview of the various manifestations of dengue uveitis, including their diagnosis and treatment.

Trends in ELISA-Based Flavivirus IgG Serosurveys: A Systematic Review

Flaviviruses include virus species that are major public health threats worldwide. To determine the immunity landscape of these viruses, seroprevalence studies are often performed using IgG ELISA, which is a simple and rapid alternative to the virus neutralization test. In this review, we aim to describe the trends in flavivirus IgG ELISA-based serosurveys. A systematic literature review using six databases was performed to collate cohort and cross-sectional studies performed on the general population. A total of 204 studies were included in this review. The results show that most studies were performed on dengue virus (DENV), whereas Japanese Encephalitis Virus (JEV) was the least studied. For geographic distribution, serosurveys followed known disease prevalence. Temporally, the number of serosurveys increased after outbreaks and epidemics except for JEV, for which studies were performed to demonstrate the effectiveness of vaccination campaigns. Commercial kits were more commonly used than in-house assays for DENV, West Nile Virus (WNV), and Zika virus (ZIKV). Overall, most studies employed an indirect ELISA format, and the choice of antigens varied per virus. This review shows that flavivirus epidemiology is related to the regional and temporal distribution of serosurveys. It also highlights that endemicity, cross-reactivities, and kit availabilities affect assay choice in serosurveys.

Hydration and clinical warning signs of Dengue fever in primary care: an observational prospective study

OBJECTIVES

Dengue fever is an arbovirosis expanding worldwide, for which hydration has been reported to reduce the risk of hospitalization. Our objective was to estimate the volume of hydration in Reunionese patients with dengue.

METHODS

A prospective observational study included patients presenting with a 'dengue-like' syndrome in ambulatory care. General practitioners recruited patients during consultation, and beverage consumption over the previous 24 hours was reported at two different times. Warning signs were defined according to the 2009 WHO guidelines.

RESULTS

GPs included 174 patients from April to July 2019. Average oral hydration volume was 1863 mL and 1944 mL, at the 1^st and 2^nd medical consultations, respectively. Water was the most wide consumed liquid. Drinking at least 5 glasses of liquid was significantly associated with fewer clinical warning signs at the 1^st medical consultation (p = 0.044).

CONCLUSIONS

Sufficient hydration volume could prevent dengue warning signs. Further studies with standardized measurement of hydration would be needed.

Mathematical model estimation of dengue fever transmission risk from Southeast and South Asia into Japan between 2016 and 2018

BACKGROUND

Dengue fever is a viral infection transmitted to humans through the bite of a mosquito infected with the dengue virus. Dengue is one of the most common infectious diseases in the world, and its incidence is rapidly increasing. We estimated the risk of dengue importation from endemic countries to Japan and the transmission risk within Japan using data collected between 2016 and 2018.

METHODS

We conducted simulations that included the number of reported dengue infections and travelers per month in ten countries in Southeast and South Asia.

RESULTS

The estimated importation risks for Japanese returnees and international travelers from each of the ten endemic countries was approximately 1.0 every month from 2016 to 2018. The autochthonous transmission risk in Japan from any target country was 1.0 from June to September yearly. The estimated number of Japanese dengue cases returning to Japan is approximately 25 times higher than that of imported cases reported in Japan.

CONCLUSIONS

The risk of dengue importation into Japan can be sufficiently high. Attention should be paid to autochthonous transmission spread between June and September when mosquitoes are active in Japan. Estimates of seasonal risk variation from each dengue virus-endemic country can be used to inform preventive and control measures for dengue in Japan.

The Serological Confirmation and Outcome of the Pediatric Dengue Patients Presenting to Emergency Department: A Cross-Sectional Study

Background

In the emergency department, it is very uncommon perform a differential diagnosis to serologically differentiate between dengue, dengue hemorrhagic fever, and dengue shock syndrome. Prompt differential diagnosis and treatment is essential with the presentation of dengue. This study aims to determine the serological confirmation and outcome of the dengue epidemic in the pediatric population presenting to the ED in a tertiary care hospital.

Methods

A single-center cross-sectional study was conducted. All pediatric patients aged less than 18 years presented to ED with clinical features suggestive of DF, DFF, and DSS while also doing the serological confirmation for the dengue were enrolled in the study. Data was collected on demographics, clinical characteristics, diagnosis, and outcomes of 324 pediatric patients. Multivariable binary logistic regression was applied for the analysis.

Results

Out of 324 patients, 191 (59.13%) underwent NS1 testing and 132 (40.87%) did the IgM test. Most participants were in the age range of 13 to 18 years in both groups. Fever was the most common complaint in both groups 191 (100%) and 132 (100%). In each group, around one-third of the participants complained about body aches 69 (36.13%) and 44 (33.33%). The patient having a history of traveling within the past 14 days created a 1.51 (95% CI: 1.27-2.25) times higher odds of contracting dengue fever as compared to no history of travel.

Conclusion

The serologic confirmation of dengue in the ED helps in both the adequate and timely treatment as well as patient disposition and ultimately saves lives.

Glycyrrhizic Acid Derivatives Bearing Amino Acid Residues in the Carbohydrate Part as Dengue Virus E Protein Inhibitors: Synthesis and Antiviral Activity

Dengue virus (DENV) is one of the most geographically distributed mosquito-borne flaviviruses, like Japanese encephalitis virus (JEV), and Zika virus (ZIKV). In this study, a library of the known and novel Glycyrrhizic acid (GL) derivatives bearing amino acid residues or their methyl/ethyl esters in the carbohydrate part were synthesized and studied as DENV inhibitors in vitro using the cytopathic effect (CPE), viral infectivity and virus yield assays with DENV1 and DENV-2 in Vero E6 and A549 cells. Among the GL conjugates tested, compound hits GL-D-ValOMe 3, GL-TyrOMe 6, GL-PheOEt 11, and GL-LysOMe 21 were discovered to have better antiviral activity than GL, with IC50 values ranging from <0.1 to 5.98 μM on the in vitro infectivity of DENV1 and DENV2 in Vero E6 and A549 cells. Compound hits 3, 6, 11, and 21 had a concentration-dependent inhibition on the virus yield in Vero E6, in which GL-D-ValOMe 3 and GL-PheOEt 11 were the most active inhibitors of DENV2 yield. Meanwhile, the time-of-addition assay indicated that conjugates GL-D-ValOMe 3 and GL-PheOEt 11 exhibited a substantial decrease in the DENV2 attachment stage. Subsequently, chimeric single-round infectious particles (SRIPs) of DENV2 C-prM-E protein/JEV replicon and DENV2 prM-E/ZIKV replicon were utilized for the DENV envelope I protein-mediated attachment assay. GL conjugates 3 and 11 significantly reduced the attachment of chimeric DENV2 C-prM-E/JEV and DENV2 prM-E/ZIKV SRIPs onto Vero E6 cells in a concentration-dependent manner but did not impede the attachment of wild-type JEV CprME/JEV and ZIKV prM-E/ZIKV SRIPs, indicating the inhibition of Compounds 3 and 11 on DENV2 E-mediated attachment. Molecular docking data revealed that Compounds 3 and 11 have hydrophobic interactions within a hydrophobic pocket among the interfaces of Domains I, II, and the stem region of the DENV2 envelope (E) protein. These results displayed that Compounds 3 and 11 were the lead compounds targeting the DENV E protein. Altogether, our findings provide new insights into the structure−activity relationship of GL derivatives conjugated with amino acid residues and can be the new fundamental basis for the search and development of novel flavivirus inhibitors based on natural compounds.

Epidemiology of Indigenous Dengue Cases in Zhejiang Province, Southeast China

Objective

Autochthonous transmission of the dengue virus (DENV) occurred each year from 2014 to 2018 in Zhejiang province, and became an emerging public health problem. We characterized the autochthonous transmission of the DENV and traced the source of infection for further control and prevention of dengue.

Methods

Descriptive and spatiotemporal cluster analyses were conducted to characterize the epidemiology of autochthonous transmission of the DENV. Molecular epidemiology was used to identify the infection source.

Results

In total, 1,654 indigenous cases and 12 outbreaks, with no deaths, were reported during 2004-2018. Before 2017, all outbreaks occurred in suburban areas. During 2017-2018, five out of eight outbreaks occurred in urban areas. The median duration of outbreaks (28 days) in 2017-2018 was shortened significantly (P = 0.028) in comparison with that in 2004-2016 (71 days). The median onset-visiting time, visiting-confirmation time, and onset-confirmation time was 1, 3, and 4 days, respectively. The DENV serotypes responsible for autochthonous transmission in Zhejiang Province were DENV 1, DENV 2, and DENV 3, with DENV 1 being the most frequently reported. Southeast Asia was the predominant source of indigenous infection.

Conclusions

Zhejiang Province witnessed an increase in the frequency, incidence, and geographic expansion of indigenous Dengue cases in recent years. The more developed coastal and central region of Zhejiang Province was impacted the most.

Data-driven methods for dengue prediction and surveillance using real-world and Big Data: A systematic review

Background

Traditionally, dengue surveillance is based on case reporting to a central health agency. However, the delay between a case and its notification can limit the system responsiveness. Machine learning methods have been developed to reduce the reporting delays and to predict outbreaks, based on non-traditional and non-clinical data sources. The aim of this systematic review was to identify studies that used real-world data, Big Data and/or machine learning methods to monitor and predict dengue-related outcomes.

Methodology/Principal findings

We performed a search in PubMed, Scopus, Web of Science and grey literature between January 1, 2000 and August 31, 2020. The review (ID: CRD42020172472) focused on data-driven studies. Reviews, randomized control trials and descriptive studies were not included. Among the 119 studies included, 67% were published between 2016 and 2020, and 39% used at least one novel data stream. The aim of the included studies was to predict a dengue-related outcome (55%), assess the validity of data sources for dengue surveillance (23%), or both (22%). Most studies (60%) used a machine learning approach. Studies on dengue prediction compared different prediction models, or identified significant predictors among several covariates in a model. The most significant predictors were rainfall (43%), temperature (41%), and humidity (25%). The two models with the highest performances were Neural Networks and Decision Trees (52%), followed by Support Vector Machine (17%). We cannot rule out a selection bias in our study because of our two main limitations: we did not include preprints and could not obtain the opinion of other international experts.

Conclusions/Significance

Combining real-world data and Big Data with machine learning methods is a promising approach to improve dengue prediction and monitoring. Future studies should focus on how to better integrate all available data sources and methods to improve the response and dengue management by stakeholders.

Dengue is one of the most important arbovirus infections in the world and its public health, societal and economic burden is increasing. Although the majority of dengue cases are asymptomatic or mild, severe disease forms can lead to death. For this reason, early diagnosis and monitoring of dengue are crucial to decrease mortality. However, most endemic regions still rely on traditional monitoring methods, despite the growing availability of novel data sources and data-driven methods based on real-world data, Big Data, and machine learning algorithms. In this systematic review, we identified and analyzed studies that used these novel approaches for dengue monitoring and/or prediction. We found that novel data streams, such as Internet search engines and social media platforms, and machine learning methods can be successfully used to improve dengue management, but are still vastly ignored in real life. These approaches should be combined with traditional methods to help stakeholders better prepare for each outbreak and improve early responsiveness.

Updates on Dengue Vaccine and Antiviral: Where Are We Heading?

Approximately 100–400 million people from more than 100 countries in the tropical and subtropical world are affected by dengue infections. Recent scientific breakthroughs have brought new insights into novel strategies for the production of dengue antivirals and vaccines. The search for specific dengue inhibitors is expanding, and the mechanisms for evaluating the efficacy of novel drugs are currently established, allowing for expedited translation into human trials. Furthermore, in the aftermath of the only FDA-approved vaccine, Dengvaxia, a safer and more effective dengue vaccine candidate is making its way through the clinical trials. Until an effective antiviral therapy and licensed vaccine are available, disease monitoring and vector population control will be the mainstays of dengue prevention. In this article, we highlighted recent advances made in the perspectives of efforts made recently, in dengue vaccine development and dengue antiviral drug.

Evaluation of VIDAS® Diagnostic Assay Prototypes Detecting Dengue Virus NS1 Antigen and Anti-Dengue Virus IgM and IgG Antibodies

Dengue is a serious tropical disease caused by the mosquito-borne dengue virus (DENV). Performant, rapid, and easy-to-use assays are needed for the accurate diagnosis of acute DENV infection. We evaluated the performance of three prototype assays developed for the VIDAS^® automated platform to detect dengue NS1 antigen and anti-dengue IgM and IgG antibodies. Positive and negative agreement with competitor enzyme-linked immunosorbent assays (ELISA) and rapid diagnostic tests (RDT) was evaluated in 91 Lao patients (57 adults, 34 children) with acute DENV infection. The VIDAS^® NS1 assay showed the best overall agreement (95.6%) with the competitor NS1 ELISA. Both VIDAS^® NS1 and NS1 ELISA assays also demonstrated high sensitivity relative to DENV RNA RT-PCR set as gold standard (85.7% and 83.9%, respectively). In contrast, NS1 RDT was less sensitive relative to DENV RNA RT-PCR (72.7%). The overall agreement of VIDAS^® IgM and IgG assays with the competitor assays was moderate (72.5% for IgM ELISA, 76.9% for IgG ELISA, and 68.7% for IgM and IgG RDT). In most analyses, test agreements of the VIDAS^® assays were comparable in adults and children. Altogether, the VIDAS^® dengue prototypes performed very well and appear to be suitable for routine detection of dengue NS1 antigen and anti-dengue IgM/IgG antibodies.

Fatal outcomes of imported dengue fever in adult travelers from non-endemic areas are associated with primary infections

BACKGROUND

The case-fatality rate of dengue in travelers is low. Secondary dengue virus (DENV) infections are considered a risk factor for fatal outcome in endemic populations; however, the impact of secondary infections on mortality in travelers has not been studied systematically. We performed a descriptive analysis of case reports of dengue fatalities in travelers.

METHODS

We searched Medline for clinical case reports, using the free terms and MeSH headings: 'Dengue' OR 'Severe Dengue' AND 'Travel-Related Illness' OR 'travel' AND 'Mortality' OR 'Fatal Outcome'. We analyzed case reports of fatal dengue in returning travelers published from 1995 to 2020, with the objective to detail risk factors for dengue mortality in this population. We verified the authors' classifications of primary or secondary dengue infections; infections were considered as primary by absence of anti-DENV immunoglobulin (Ig)G or by IgM-to-IgG ratios greater than or equal to 1.8 in the first 7 days post symptom onset.

RESULTS

We identified nine detailed reports of dengue with fatal outcome among travelers from non-endemic countries. Eight fatalities were female. The median age was 32 years (range 21-63). Out of nine fatal cases, seven travelers had a primary DENV infection, one had a secondary infection and, in one, these data were not reported. The infecting DENV serotypes were DENV-1 (n = 2), DENV-2 (n = 2) and DENV-3 (n = 3); DENV-1 or 2 (n = 1) and in one case, the serotype could not be determined.

CONCLUSIONS

Dengue-related deaths in travelers are rare. Most dengue cases in travelers are primary infections. Contrary to prevailing conceptions, we found that fatal outcomes of dengue in travelers from non-endemic countries were reported mainly with primary DENV infections. We alert health care providers that primary DENV infections are not always harmless and that in adult travelers from non-endemic countries, primary infections may contribute more to dengue-related mortality than secondary infections.

Assessment of the global circulation and endemicity of dengue

Dengue is a significant public health issue, affecting hundreds of millions of people worldwide. As it is spreading from tropical and subtropical zones, some regions previously recognised as non-endemic are at risk of becoming endemic. However, the global circulation of dengue is not fully understood and quantitative measurements of endemicity levels are lacking, posing an obstacle in the precise control of dengue spread. In this study, a sequence-based pipeline was designed based on random sampling to study the transmission of dengue. The limited intercontinental transmission was identified, while regional circulation of dengue was quantified in terms of importation, local circulation and exportation. Additionally, hypo- and hyper-endemic regions were identified using a new metric, with the former characterised by low local circulation and increased importation, whereas the latter by high local circulation and reduced importation. In this study, the global circulation pattern of dengue was examined and a sequence-based endemicity measurement was proposed, which will be helpful for future surveillance and targeted control of dengue.

Covid-19 and dengue: Double punches for dengue-endemic countries in Asia

The coronavirus disease 2019 (Covid-19) pandemic, caused by severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), is an international public health crisis with devastating effects. In particular, this pandemic has further exacerbated the burden in tropical and subtropical regions of the world, where dengue fever, caused by dengue virus (DENV), is already endemic to the population. The similar clinical manifestations shared by Covid-19 and dengue fever have raised concerns, especially in dengue-endemic countries with limited resources, leading to diagnostic challenges. In addition, cross-reactivity of the immune responses in these infections is an emerging concern, as pre-existing DENV-antibodies might potentially affect Covid-19 through antibody-dependent enhancement. In this review article, we aimed to raise the issue of Covid-19 and dengue fever misdiagnosis, not only in a clinical setting but also with regards to cross-reactivity between SARS-CoV-2 and DENV antibodies. We also have discussed the potential consequences of overlapping immunological cascades between dengue and Covid-19 on disease severity and vaccine development.

The Ecology of Protective Behaviors: A Study in New Risk Areas for Mosquito-Borne Diseases

During the last decade, tiger mosquitoes have rapidly colonized a large number of European countries, increasing the risk of infection with mosquito-borne diseases (MBDs), and constituting an emerging health threat in the region. The objectives of the present study were to prospectively investigate changes in Self-protective Behaviors, beliefs and attitudes regarding MBDs in Mediterranean France, and to assess the influence of social and cognitive time-varying covariates on behaviors. Data were collected using the same computer-assisted telephone survey in 2012, 2013 and 2014 among respondents residing in French Mediterranean regions. Weighted estimates in multivariate analysis were computed using the generalized estimating equation technique, with Self-protective Behaviors as a repeated outcome. Perceived exposure to tiger mosquitoes and knowledge about MBDs increased significantly between 2012 and 2014. Most respondents suffered from mosquito bites over the same period, but only 4 in 10 adopted Self-protective Behaviors. These behaviors were mostly related to the frequency of mosquito bites, perceived exposure to tiger mosquitoes, and to higher perceived vulnerability to MBDs. In conclusion, French Mediterranean residents are increasingly knowledgeable about MBDs and the proximity of tiger mosquitoes. However, self-protection was predominantly related to the frequency of mosquito bites and higher perceived vulnerability. These results suggest that Self-protective Behaviors are being shaped more in new risk areas by environmental cues to which people are exposed than by other common personal determinants of health behaviors.