Prediabetes defined by HbA1c and by fasting glucose: differences in risk factors and prevalence

Prevalence of prediabetes by the fasting plasma glucose and HbA1c screening criteria among the children and adolescents of Shenzhen, China

Background

Prediabetes is associated with an increased risk of cardiovascular diseases and all-cause mortality. Rare research in China has evaluated the prevalence of prediabetes among children and adolescents using the HbA1c criterion or the combined FPG-or-HbA1c diagnostic criterion, and researchers paid no attention to the distributions of blood glucose in Shenzhen, especially for juveniles.

Methods

We conducted a school-based cross-sectional study based on the first-year students from 17 primary, middle, and high schools. Prediabetes was defined as FPG of 5.6-6.9 mmol/L or HbA1c of 5.7%-6.4%. The crude and standardized prevalence of prediabetes with 95% confidence interval (95% CI) was estimated.

Results

A total of 7519 participants, aged 6 to 17 years, were included. For all subjects, the crude prevalence (95% CI) of prediabetes was 1.49% (1.21-1.77), 8.72% (8.08-9.36), and 9.80% (9.13-10.47) by the FPG-only, HbA1c-only, and FPG-or-HbA1c criteria, respectively. Based on the 2010 Shenzhen census population, the standardized prevalence was 1.56% (males 1.85%, females 1.19%), 11.05% (males 11.47%, females 10.53%), and 12.19% (males 13.01%, females 11.15%) by the corresponding criteria. The proportion of prediabetes was higher for males than females, and the prevalence decreased with grade for males but increased for females. The association of BMI and prediabetes was U-shaped curve, indicating higher rates of prediabetes for underweight and obesity people.

Conclusion

The blood glucose status of children and adolescents in Shenzhen is worrisome, and the early detection and management of prediabetes are imperative.

From normal population to prediabetes and diabetes: study of influencing factors and prediction models

OBJECTIVE

The purpose of this study is to investigate the independent influencing factors of the transition from normal population to prediabetes, and from prediabetes to diabetes, and to further construct clinical prediction models to provide a basis for the prevention and management of prediabetes and diabetes.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

The data for this study were based on clinical information of participants from the Health Management Center of Peking University Shenzhen Hospital. Participants were classified into normal group, prediabetes group, and diabetes group according to their functional status of glucose metabolism. Spearman's correlation coefficients were calculated for the variables, and a matrix diagram was plotted. Further, univariate and multivariate logistic regression analysis were conducted to explore the independent influencing factors. The independent influencing factors were used as predictors to construct the full-variable prediction model (Full.model) and simplified prediction model (Simplified.model).

RESULTS

This study included a total of 5310 subjects and 22 variables, among which there were 1593(30%) in the normal group, 3150(59.3%) in the prediabetes group, and 567(10.7%) in the diabetes group. The results of the multivariable logistic regression analysis showed that there were significant differences in 9 variables between the normal group and the prediabetes group, including age(Age), body mass index(BMI), systolic blood pressure(SBP), urinary glucose(U.GLU), urinary protein(PRO), total protein(TP), globulin(GLB), alanine aminotransferase(ALT), and high-density lipoprotein cholesterol(HDL-C). There were significant differences in 7 variables between the prediabetes group and the diabetes group, including Age, BMI, SBP, U.GLU, PRO, triglycerides(TG), and HDL.C. The Full.model and Simplified.model constructed based on the above influencing factors had moderate discriminative power in both the training set and the test set.

CONCLUSION

Age, BMI, SBP, U.GLU, PRO, TP, and ALT are independent risk factors, while GLB and HDL.C are independent protective factors for the development of prediabetes in the normal population. Age, BMI, SBP, U.GLU, PRO, and TG are independent risk factors, while HDL.C is an independent protective factor for the progression from prediabetes to diabetes. The Full.model and Simplified.model developed based on these influencing factors have moderate discriminative power.

Global prevalence of prediabetes in children and adolescents: A systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Prediabetes is a pivotal risk factor for developing diabetes. This meta-analysis was performed to assess the global prevalence of childhood prediabetes.

METHODS

A systematic search was conducted for studies of prediabetes prevalence in the general pediatric population from inception until December 2021. Random-effects meta-analysis was used to combine the data. Variations in the prevalence estimates in different subgroups (age group, sex, setting, investigation period, body mass index [BMI] group, family history of diabetes, diagnosis criteria, World Health Organization [WHO] and World Bank [WB] regions) were examined by subgroup meta-analysis.

RESULTS

A total of 48 studies were included in the meta-analysis. The pooled prevalence was 8.84% (95% CI, 6.74%-10.95%) for prediabetes in childhood. Subgroup meta-analyses showed that the prevalence was higher in males than females (8.98% vs 8.74%, P < .01), in older compared to younger children (7.56% vs. 2.51%, p < 0.01), in urban compared to rural areas (6.78% vs. 2.47, p < 0.01), and higher in children with a family history of diabetes than in those without such a history (7.59% vs. 6.80%, p < 0.01). We observed an upward trend in prediabetes prevalence from 0.93% to 10.66% over past decades (p < 0.01). The pooled prevalence increased from 7.64% to 14.27% with increased BMI (p < 0.01). Pooled prevalence was the lowest for criterion A among different diagnosis criteria (p < 0.01). For WHO and WB regions, the European Region and high-income countries yielded the lowest pooled prevalence (p < 0.01).

CONCLUSIONS

Elevated prediabetes prevalence in childhood reaches an alarming level. Intensive lifestyle modification is needed to improve the prediabetes epidemic.

Aging of glucose profiles in an adult population without diabetes

AIMS

This study aimed to determine the effect of aging on glucose profiles in a population without diabetes.

METHODS

We investigated the evolution of glucose profiles in an adult population without diabetes using continuous glucose monitoring (CGM) in two periods separated by 5 years. Anthropometrics, laboratory tests (HbA1c, fasting blood glucose) and CGM data (mean glycemia level, coefficient of variation, time in range) were measured in both periods to study the change in values over time.

RESULTS

125 participants (68% women) mean age 43.1 ± 12.4 years and classified as normoglycemic at baseline were included. Of the total population 15.2% had worsened glycemic status after 5 years, age and baseline glucose values (HbA1c and percentage of values above 175 mg/dL) were the variables related with this change. Related to CGM, we found that after 5 years there was a decrease in the percentage of values between 70 and 99 mg/dl (45.0% to 38.7%, p = 0.002) and an increase in the 100-139 mg/dL range (52.9% to 57.5% p = 0.016).

CONCLUSIONS

Our results indicate that in an adult population without diabetes there are changes in glucose profiles with aging highlighting the reduction of blood glucose values below 100 mg/dL.

Differences in the prevalence of intermediate hyperglycaemia and the associated incidence of type 2 diabetes mellitus by ethnicity: The HELIUS study

AIMS

We aimed to describe differences in the prevalence of intermediate hyperglycaemia (IH) between six ethnic groups. Moreover, to investigate differences in the association of the classifications of IH with the incidence of T2DM between ethnic groups.

METHODS

We included 3759 Dutch, 2826 African Surinamese, 1646 Ghanaian, 2571 Turkish, 2691 Moroccan and 1970 South Asian Surinamese origin participants of the HELIUS study. IH was measured by fasting plasma glucose (FPG) and HbA1c. We calculated age-, BMI and physical-activity-adjusted prevalence of IH by sex, and calculated age and sex-adjusted hazard ratios (HR)for the association between IH and T2DM in each ethnic group.

RESULTS

The prevalence of IH was higher among ethnic minority groups (68.6-41.7%) than the Dutch majority (34.9%). The prevalence of IH categories varied across subgroups. Combined increased FPG and HbA1c was most prevalent in South-Asian Surinamese men (27.6%, 95 %CI: 24.5-30.9%), and in Dutch women (4.2%, 95 %CI: 3.4-5.1%). The HRs for T2DM for each IH-classification did not differ significantly between ethnic groups. HRs were highest for the combined classification, e.g., HR = 8.1, 95 %CI: 2.5-26.6 in the Dutch.

CONCLUSION

We found a higher prevalence of IH in ethnic minority versus majority groups, but did not find evidence for a differential association of IH with incident T2DM.

The prevalence and correlates of pre-diabetes in middle- to older-aged Irish adults using three diagnostic methods

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

Type 2 diabetes is a leading cause of death and disability worldwide and pre-diabetes is a strong predictor of diabetes development. To date, studies estimating the prevalence of pre-diabetes in the Irish population are sparse and conflicting. Monitoring the prevalence of pre-diabetes and a knowledge of associated factors is required to inform policies and to prevent development of type 2 diabetes. Therefore, this research examined the prevalence and correlates of pre-diabetes in a sample of middle- to older-aged Irish adults using three different methods for diagnosis.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

The Mitchelstown Cohort Rescreen (2016/17) was a follow-up, cross-sectional study of the Mitchelstown Cohort Study (2010/11). 1,378 participants were recruited from a random sample of patients attending a single primary care centre. Pre-diabetes was defined using three diagnostic criteria: American Diabetes Association (ADA) glycated haemoglobin A1c (HbA1c) cut-offs between 5.7%-6.4% (39-46 mmol/mol), World Health Organization International Expert Committee (WHO-IEC) HbA1c cut-offs between 6.0%-6.4% (42-46 mmol/mol) and ADA fasting plasma glucose (FPG) cut-offs between 5.6-6.9 mmol/l. Univariate and multivariable logistic regression analyses were used to determine factors associated with pre-diabetes.

RESULTS

The prevalence of pre-diabetes was found to be 43.9% (95% CI: 41.2%─46.5%), 14.5% (95% CI: 12.7%─16.5%) and 15.8% (95% CI: 13.9%─17.8%) according to HbA1c ADA, HbA1c WHO-IEC and FPG ADA definitions, respectively. Depending on diagnostic method, factors associated with pre-diabetes in univariate analyses included sex, age, marital status, health rating, education and poor diet quality. In multivariable analysis, subjects classified by the FPG ADA pre-diabetes criterion displayed the least optimal metabolic profile defined by overweight and obesity (OR = 2.88, 95% CI: 1.53-5.43), hypertension (OR = 2.27, 95% CI: 1.51-3.40) and low high-density lipoprotein cholesterol concentrations (OR = 1.75, 95% CI: 1.07-2.87).

CONCLUSIONS

The discordance between prevalence estimates according to method of diagnosis is concerning. A National Diabetes Prevention Programme is currently being developed in Ireland. Monitoring the prevalence of pre-diabetes over time will be important to assess the effectiveness of this programme. This study will inform national decision-makers on which definition of pre-diabetes to use for monitoring purposes.

Predictive Performance of Glycated Hemoglobin for Incident Diabetes Compared with Glucose Tolerance Test According to Central Obesity

BACKGROUND

To examine whether glycated hemoglobin (HbA1c) test would be a suitable screening tool for detecting high-risk subjects for diabetes compared to oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT) according to accompanied central obesity.

METHODS

In this prospective population-based cohort study, both OGTT and HbA1c tests were performed and continued every 2 years up to 12 years among individuals with non-diabetic state at baseline (aged 40 to 69 years, n=7,512). Incident diabetes was established by a doctor, HbA1c ≥6.5%, and/or fasting plasma glucose (FPG) ≥126 mg/dL, and/or 2-hour postprandial glucose (2hPG) level based on OGTT ≥200 mg/dL. Discriminative capacities of high HbA1c (≥5.7%) versus high 2hPG (≥140 mg/dL) for predicting incident diabetes were compared using Cox-proportional hazard regression and C-index.

RESULTS

During the median 11.5 years of follow-up period, 1,341 (17.6%) developed diabetes corresponding to an incidence of 22.1 per 1,000 person-years. Isolated high 2hPG was associated with higher risk for incident diabetes (hazard ratio [HR], 4.29; 95% confidence interval [CI], 3.56 to 5.17) than isolated high HbA1c (HR, 2.79; 95% CI, 2.40 to 3.26; P<0.05). In addition, high 2hPG provided better discriminatory capacity than high HbA1c (C-index 0.79 vs. 0.75, P<0.05). Meanwhile, in subjects with central obesity, the HR (3.95 [95% CI, 3.01 to 5.18] vs. 2.82 [95% CI, 2.30 to 3.46]) and discriminatory capacity of incident diabetes (C-index 0.75 vs. 0.75) between two subgroups became comparable.

CONCLUSION

Even though the overall inferior predictive capacity of HbA1c test than OGTT, HbA1c test might plays a complementary role in identifying high risk for diabetes especially in subjects with central obesity with increased sensitivity.

Obesity- and Lipid-Related Parameters in the Identification of Older Adults with a High Risk of Prediabetes According to the American Diabetes Association: An Analysis of the 2015 Health, Well-Being, and Aging Study

This study evaluated the predictive ability of 11 obesity- and lipid-related parameters, including body mass index (BMI), waist circumference (WC), waist-to-height ratio (WtHR), body roundness index (BRI), "A" body-shape index (ABSI), conicity index (CI), visceral adiposity index (VAI), triglyceride-to-glucose fasting index (TyG), triglyceride-to-glucose fasting related to BMI (TyG-BMI), triglyceride-to-glucose fasting related to WC (TyG-WC), and triglyceride-to-glucose fasting related to WtHR (TyG-WtHR), to identify patients from an elderly Colombian population with a high risk of prediabetes according to the 2016 American Diabetes Association criteria. The data were obtained from the 2015 Colombian Health and Wellbeing and Aging Survey. A total of 3307 elderly Colombian individuals (aged over 60 years) were included. Anthropometric data, fasting plasma glucose, blood lipid profiles, family history, and health-related behaviors were assessed, and prediabetes was defined as a fasting plasma glucose of 100 to 125 mg/dL. The areas under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves (AUCs) were calculated for each anthropometric indicator, using the prediabetes classification to identify their sensitivity and specificity, and these indicated that the prevalence of prediabetes was 25.3% in this population. After adjusting for potential confounding factors, the TyG index was strongly associated with the odds of having prediabetes in both sexes, and multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that the ORs for prediabetes increased across quartiles (p < 0.001). The TyG index was best able to identify prediabetes in either sex (AUC and optimal cut-off = 0.700 and 8.72, and 0.695 and 8.92 for men and women, respectively), suggesting that compared to the other parameters, the TyG index has the best discriminative power to predict prediabetes in the whole population. Thus, we propose the TyG index be used as a complementary marker for assessing prediabetes in older adults.