Burden of Pertussis in Adults Aged 50 Years and Older: A Retrospective Database Study in England

Epidemiology of Pertussis and Pertussis-Related Complications in Adults: A German Claims Data Analysis

INTRODUCTION

Pertussis is a highly contagious respiratory infection. It affects people of all ages, yet evidence of the impact of pertussis in adults with underlying conditions (UCs) is scarce. This study investigated the incidence and complication rate of pertussis in adult patients with and without UC.

METHODS

A retrospective analysis was conducted using routinely collected German claims data between 2015 and 2019. Patients with and without different pneumological, cardiovascular, endocrinological, musculoskeletal, and psychological UCs were matched for incidence estimation. Logistic regression models were used to estimate the risk of pertussis depending on the presence of UCs. Negative binomial models were used to assess complication rates in patients with pertussis and with and without UC.

RESULTS

In total, 4383 patients were diagnosed with pertussis during the study period. Patients with any UC had an increased risk for pertussis compared to matched patients without UC (odds ratio [OR] 1.72; 95% confidence interval [CI]1.60-1.84, p < 0.0001). Underlying asthma had the highest risk of pertussis (OR 2.70; 95% CI 2.50-2.91, p < 0.0001), followed by chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (OR 2.35; 95% CI 2.10-2.60, p < 0.0001) and depression (OR 2.08; 95% CI 1.95-2.22, p < 0.0001). Severe complications occurred in 10.8% of the pertussis cohort (13.4% with UC vs. 9.5% without UC). The UC-attributable effect on the risk of severe pertussis-related complications was significantly increased for any UC (incidence rate ratio [IRR] 1.29, 95% CI 1.19-1.39). The severe complication risk was also increased for patients aged 60+ (IRR 1.59, 95% CI 1.46-1.72).

CONCLUSION

This study shows that adults with certain UCs have an increased risk for pertussis and are more likely to have complications. These results provide further evidence that pertussis is a relevant and impactful infectious disease in adults with and without certain UC, indicating that these patients need to be considered when developing vaccination recommendations to avoid pertussis and its associated complications. A graphical abstract is available with this article.

Assessing the Underestimation of Adult Pertussis Disease in Five Latin American Countries

INTRODUCTION

Pertussis, a contagious respiratory disease, is underreported in adults. The study objective was to quantify underestimation of pertussis cases in adults aged ≥ 50 years in five Latin American countries (Argentina, Brazil, Chile, Mexico, Peru).

METHODS

A previously published probabilistic model was adapted to adjust the number of pertussis cases reported to national surveillance systems by successive multiplication steps (proportion of pertussis cases seeking healthcare; proportion with a specimen collected; proportion sent for confirmatory testing; proportion positive for pertussis; proportion reported to passive surveillance). The proportions at each step were added in a random effects model to produce a pooled overall proportion, and a final multiplier was calculated as the simple inverse of this proportion. This multiplier was applied to the number of cases reported to surveillance to estimate the number of pertussis cases. Monte Carlo simulation with 10,000 iterations estimated median as well as upper and lower 90% values. Input data were obtained from surveillance systems and published sources.

RESULTS

The estimated median underestimation factor for pertussis cases in adults ranged from 104 (90% limits 40, 451) in Chile to 114 (90% limits 39, 419) in Argentina. In all five countries, the largest estimated number of cases was in the group aged 50-59 years. The highest number per 100,000 population was in the group aged ≥ 90 years in most countries. The estimated median underestimation factor for pertussis hospitalizations was 2.3 (90% limits 1.8, 3.3) in Brazil and 2.4 (90% limits 1.8, 3.2) in Chile (data not available for other countries).

CONCLUSION

This analysis indicates that the number of pertussis cases in adults aged ≥ 50 years in five Latin American countries is approximately 100 times higher than the number captured in surveillance data. These results could support decision-making in the diagnosis, management, and prevention of pertussis disease in adults.

Cost of illness due to pertussis in adults ≥50 years of age in the United Kingdom

BACKGROUND

Pertussis is an endemic respiratory tract infection caused by Bordetella pertussis that may affect all individuals from infants to older adults. Pertussis incidence in adults is often underreported and in various countries, including the United Kingdom (UK), there are evidence gaps on pertussis-associated economic burden in the older adult population. We aimed to quantify the economic burden of pertussis in adults aged ≥50 years in the UK.

METHODS

A cost-of-illness study was conducted to estimate the cost of pertussis from a societal perspective. We utilized a sum diagnosis cost approach in which costs related to infection with pertussis were included. Medical, patient, and indirect costs were calculated individually and combined to calculate total costs. A framework was developed to assess costs for consecutive age groups from 50-54 years of age to ≥85 years of age. Sensitivity and scenario analyses were used to assess analysis uncertainty.

RESULTS

The base-case analysis estimated the total annual economic burden of pertussis to be approximately £238 million (M). This comprised approximately £159 M in indirect costs, £66 M in medical costs, and £13 M in patient costs. Costs for the age group 55-59 years had the highest impact on the economic burden, with approximately £79 M in total annual costs. Visits to general practitioners and nurses were the largest contributors to medical costs (∼£37 M) followed by inpatient visits (∼£21 M). Transportation costs (∼£10 M) were the major patient costs. Productivity loss (∼£71 M) and leisure time loss (∼£72 M) had comparable contributions to annual indirect costs. Sensitivity and scenario analyses suggested that incidence rates, indirect costs, and underreporting estimates had the highest impact on outcomes.

CONCLUSION

Total cost of pertussis in the UK among adults ≥50 years of age is substantial and highest for adults 55-59 years of age. Indirect costs were the main contributors to the economic burden.