Fine-Scale Air Pollution Models for Epidemiologic Research: Insights From Approaches Developed in the Multi-ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis and Air Pollution (MESA Air)

Greenspace proximity in relation to sleep health among a racially and ethnically diverse cohort of US women

Sleep is essential for overall health. Greenspace may contribute to sleep health through, for instance, improving mood, reducing sleep disruptors (e.g., poor air quality), and promoting physical activity. Although greenspace likely differs across populations, few studies have included diverse populations. To investigate greenspace-sleep health associations, overall and by age, race and ethnicity, and socioeconomic status, we used data collected at enrollment (2003-2009) from women in the Sister Study (n = 1612 Hispanic/Latina, n = 4421 non-Hispanic (NH)-Black, and n = 41,657 NH-White). Participants' geocoded home addresses were linked to NASA's Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer Normalized Difference Vegetation Index data (250m resolution) to capture greenspace tertiles (further categorized as low/moderate vs. high). Participants reported seven sleep dimensions, which we assessed individually, along with a multidimensional sleep health measure (categories: favorable, moderate, poor). Adjusting for individual- and environmental/neighborhood-level characteristics, we used Poisson regression with robust variance to estimate prevalence ratios and 95 % confidence intervals (PR[CI]). We tested for interaction and estimated age-, race and ethnicity-, and educational attainment category-specific associations. Among participants (mean ± SD age = 55.7 ± 9.0 years), those with low/moderate vs. high greenspace had a lower prevalence of favorable sleep (58 % vs. 66 %). After adjustment, low/moderate vs. high greenspace was associated with a 32 % higher prevalence of moderate (PR = 1.32 [1.27-1.38]) and 12 % higher prevalence of poor (PR = 1.12 [1.07-1.16]) vs. favorable sleep health. Magnitudes of associations were higher among NH-White women vs. minoritized racial-ethnic groups and women with higher vs. lower educational attainment. Higher greenspace was associated with favorable sleep, with stronger associations among groups with more social advantages.

Early-Life Ozone Exposure and Asthma and Wheeze in Children

Importance

Ozone (O3) is the most frequently exceeded air pollutant standard in the US. While short-term exposure is associated with acute respiratory health, the epidemiologic evidence linking postnatal O3 exposure to childhood asthma and wheeze is inconsistent and rarely evaluated as a mixture with other air pollutants.

Objectives

To determine associations between ambient O3 and subsequent asthma and wheeze outcomes both independently and in mixture with fine particulate matter and nitrogen dioxide in regions with low annual O3 concentrations.

Design, Setting, and Participants

This cohort study consisted of a pooled, multisite analysis across 6 US cities using data from the prospective ECHO-PATHWAYS consortium (2007-2023). Included children had complete airway surveys, complete address histories from age 0 to 2 years, and a full term birth (≥37 weeks). Logistic regression and bayesian kernel machine regression (BKMR) mixture analyses were adjusted for child anthropomorphic, socioeconomic, and neighborhood factors.

Exposures

Exposure to ambient O3 in the first 2 years of life derived from a validated point-based spatiotemporal model using residential address histories.

Main Outcomes and Measures

The primary outcome was asthma and wheeze at ages 4 to 6 years; the secondary outcome was asthma and wheeze at ages 8 to 9 years. Outcomes were based on caregiver reports derived from a validated survey.

Results

The analytic sample of 1188 participants had a mean (SD) age of 4.5 (0.6) years at the age 4 to 6 years visit and consisted of 614 female participants (51.7%) and 663 mothers who had a bachelor's degree or higher (55.8%). The mean (SD) O3 concentration was 26.1 (2.9) parts per billion (ppb). At age 4 to 6 years, 148 children had current asthma (12.3%) and 190 had current wheeze (15.8%). The odds ratio per 2 ppb higher O3 concentration was 1.31 (95% CI, 1.02-1.68) for current asthma and 1.30 (95% CI, 1.05-1.64) for current wheeze at age 4 to 6 years; null associations were observed for outcomes at age 8 to 9 years, and for sensitivity covariate adjustment. BKMR suggested that higher exposure to O3 in mixture was associated with current asthma and wheeze in early childhood.

Conclusions and Relevance

In this cohort study with relatively low ambient O3 exposure, early-life O3 was associated with asthma and wheeze outcomes at age 4 to 6 years and in mixture with other air pollutants but not at age 8 to 9 years. Regulating and reducing exposure to ambient O3 may help reduce the significant public health burden of asthma among US children.

Leveraging low-cost sensors to predict nitrogen dioxide for epidemiologic exposure assessment

BACKGROUND

Statistical models of air pollution enable intra-urban characterization of pollutant concentrations, benefiting exposure assessment for environmental epidemiology. The new generation of low-cost sensors facilitate the deployment of dense monitoring networks and can potentially be used to improve intra-urban models of air pollution.

OBJECTIVE

Develop and evaluate a spatiotemporal model for nitrogen dioxide (NO2) in the Puget Sound region of WA, USA for the Adult Changes in Thought Air Pollution (ACT-AP) study and assess the contribution of low-cost sensor data to the model's performance through cross-validation.

METHODS

We developed a spatiotemporal NO2 model for the study region incorporating data from 11 agency locations, 364 supplementary monitoring locations, and 117 low-cost sensor (LCS) locations for the 1996-2020 time period. Model features included long-term time trends and dimension-reduced land use regression. We evaluated the contribution of LCS network data by comparing models fit with and without sensor data using cross-validated (CV) summary performance statistics.

RESULTS

The best performing model had one time trend and geographic covariates summarized into three partial least squares components. The model, fit with LCS data, performed as well as other recent studies (agency cross-validation: CV- root mean square error (RMSE) = 2.5 ppb NO2; CV- coefficient of determination (R 2 ) = 0.85). Predictions of NO2 concentrations developed with LCS were higher at residential locations compared to a model without LCS, especially in recent years. While LCS did not provide a strong performance gain at agency sites (CV-RMSE = 2.8 ppb NO2; CV-R 2  = 0.82 without LCS), at residential locations, the improvement was substantial, with RMSE = 3.8 ppb NO2 andR 2  = 0.08 (without LCS), compared to CV-RMSE = 2.8 ppb NO2 and CV-R 2  = 0.51 (with LCS).

IMPACT

We developed a spatiotemporal model for nitrogen dioxide (NO2) pollution in Washington's Puget Sound region for epidemiologic exposure assessment for the Adult Changes in Thought Air Pollution study. We examined the impact of including low-cost sensor data in the NO2 model and found the additional spatial information the sensors provided predicted NO2 concentrations that were higher than without low-cost sensors, particularly in recent years. We did not observe a clear, substantial improvement in cross-validation performance over a similar model fit without low-cost sensor data; however, the prediction improvement with low-cost sensors at residential locations was substantial. The performance gains from low-cost sensors may have been attenuated due to spatial information provided by other supplementary monitoring data.

Long-Term Air Pollution Exposure and Severity of Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis: Data from the Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis Prospective Outcomes (IPF-PRO) Registry

Rationale: Although exposure to air pollution is a known risk factor for adverse pulmonary outcomes, its impact in individuals with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) is less well understood. Objectives: To investigate the effects of long-term exposure to air pollution on disease severity and progression in patients with IPF and to determine whether genomic factors, such as MUC5B promoter polymorphism or telomere length, modify these associations. Methods: We performed analyses at enrollment and after 1 year of follow-up in the IPF-PRO (Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis Prospective Outcomes) Registry, a prospective observational registry that enrolled individuals with IPF at 46 U.S. sites from June 2014 to October 2018. Five-year average pollution exposures (particulate matter ≤2.5 μm in aerodynamic diameter [PM2.5], nitrogen dioxide, ozone) before the enrollment date were estimated at participants' residential addresses with validated national spatiotemporal models. Multivariable regression models estimated associations between pollution exposure and physiologic measurements (forced vital capacity [FVC], diffusing capacity of the lung for carbon monoxide, supplemental oxygen use at rest) and quality-of-life measurements (St. George's Respiratory Questionnaire, EuroQoL, Cough and Sputum Assessment Questionnaire) at enrollment. Cox proportional hazards models estimated associations between pollutants and a composite outcome of death, lung transplant, or >10% absolute decline in FVC percent predicted in the year after enrollment. Models were adjusted for individual-level and spatial confounders, including proxies for disease onset. Gene-environment interactions with MUC5B and telomere length were assessed. Results: Of 835 participants, 94% were non-Hispanic White individuals, 76% were male, and the mean (standard deviation) age was 70 (7.7) years. In fully adjusted analyses, higher PM2.5 exposure was associated with worse quality of life per St. George's Respiratory Questionnaire activity score (3.48 [95% confidence interval (CI), 0.64, 6.32] per 2 μg/m3 PM2.5) and EuroQoL scores (-0.04 [95% CI, -0.06, -0.01] per 2 μg/m3 PM2.5), as well as lower FVC percent predicted and lower diffusing capacity of the lung for carbon monoxide percent predicted at enrollment. Each 3 parts per billion difference in O3 exposure was associated with a 1.57% (95% CI, 0.15, 2.98) higher FVC percent predicted at enrollment, although this effect was attenuated in multipollutant models. There was no association between nitrogen dioxide and enrollment measures or between pollution exposure and 1-year outcomes and no evidence for gene-environment interactions. Conclusions: In the IPF-PRO Registry, long-term exposure to PM2.5 was associated with worse quality of life and lung function at enrollment, but not with short-term disease progression or mortality. There was no evidence of effect modification by interaction of genomic factors with pollution. The reason for the unexpected relationship between O3 exposure and higher FVC is unclear. Clinical trial registered with www.clinicaltrials.gov (NCT01915511).

Prenatal ozone exposure and child lung function: Exploring effect modification by oxidative balance score

BACKGROUND

Prenatal exposures to ozone (O3) may impact child lung function, including through oxidative stress pathways, contributing to lifelong morbidity. Diet, reflected in oxidative balance scores (OBS), may modify these pathways and is a potential target for interventions to mitigate O3 effects.

METHODS

We examined associations between prenatal exposure to O3 and child lung function at age 8-9 years via spirometry in the CANDLE cohort within the ECHO-PATHWAYS Consortium. O3 was estimated using a point-based spatiotemporal model and averaged over fetal morphological lung development phases: pseudoglandular, canalicular, and saccular. Lung function z-scores were calculated for FEV1, FVC, FEV1/FVC, and FEF25-75. OBS during pregnancy was derived using maternal diet and lifestyle factors. Linear regression models adjusted for child, maternal, and neighborhood characteristics and exposure in other prenatal windows. Using two and three-way multiplicative interaction terms, we explored effect modification by OBS and maternal race.

RESULTS

Women (N = 661) self-identified as Black (61%), White (33%), or another race (6%); 40.7% attended some college/technical school. Mean O3 concentrations ranged from 26.1 to 29.5 ppb across exposure windows. No associations between prenatal O3 exposure and lung function were observed in primary models, although there was a suggestive adverse association of 10 ppb higher O3 in the saccular window (24-35 weeks) with lower z-scores for FEV1/FVC (-0.23, 95% CI: -0.52, 0.05) and FEF25-75 (-0.17, 95% CI: -0.43, 0.09). No effect modification by OBS or maternal race was found in two-way models. In three-way interaction models, higher O3 was associated with lower child FEV1 among Black women with lower OBS and among White women with higher OBS although data was sparse for those with the highest OBS.

CONCLUSIONS

In a large, well-characterized pregnancy cohort, we did not find robust evidence of an effect of prenatal O3 on lung function. There was suggestion of enhanced vulnerability for some subgroups in exploratory analyses.

Racial residential segregation is associated with ambient air pollution exposure after adjustment for multilevel sociodemographic factors: Evidence from eight US-based cohorts

Objective

We examined if racial residential segregation (RRS) - a fundamental cause of disease - is independently associated with air pollution after accounting for other neighborhood and individual-level sociodemographic factors, to better understand its potential role as a confounder of air pollution-health studies.

Methods

We compiled data from eight large cohorts, restricting to non-Hispanic Black and White urban-residing participants observed at least once between 1999 and 2005. We used 2000 decennial census data to derive a spatial RRS measure (divergence index) and neighborhood socioeconomic status (NSES) index for participants' residing Census tracts, in addition to participant baseline data, to examine associations between RRS and sociodemographic factors (NSES, education, race) and residential exposure to spatiotemporal model-predicted PM2.5 and NO2 levels. We fit random-effects meta-analysis models to pool estimates across adjusted cohort-specific multilevel models.

Results

Analytic sample included eligible participants in CHS (N = 3,605), MESA (4,785), REGARDS (22,649), NHS (90,415), NHSII (91,654), HPFS (32,625), WHI-OS (77,680), and WHI-CT (56,639). In adjusted univariate models, a quartile higher RRS was associated with 3.73% higher PM2.5 exposure (95% CI: 2.14%, 5.32%), and an 11.53% higher (95% CI: 10.83%, 12.22%) NO2 exposure on average. In fully adjusted models, higher RRS was associated with 3.25% higher PM2.5 exposure (95% CI: 1.45%, 5.05%; P < 0.05) and 10.22% higher NO2 exposure (95% CI: 6.69%, 13.74%; P < 0.001) on average.

Conclusions

Our findings indicate that RRS is associated with the differential distribution of poor air quality independent of NSES or individual race, suggesting it may be a relevant confounder to be considered in future air pollution epidemiology studies.

Fine particulate matter and nonaccidental and cause-specific mortality: Do associations vary by exposure assessment method?

Background

There is considerable heterogeneity in fine particulate matter (PM2.5)-mortality associations between studies, potentially due to differences in exposure assessment methods. Our aim was to evaluate associations of PM2.5 predicted from different models with nonaccidental and cause-specific mortality.

Methods

We followed 107,906 participants of the Nurses' Health Study cohort from 2001 to 2016. PM2.5 concentrations were estimated from spatiotemporal models developed by researchers at the University of Washington (UW), Pennsylvania State University (PSU), and Harvard TH Chan School of Public Health (HSPH). We calculated 12-month moving average concentrations and we used time-varying Cox proportional hazard ratios (HRs).

Results

There were 30,242 nonaccidental deaths in 1,435,098 person-years. We observed high correlations and similar temporal trends between the PM2.5 predictions. We found no associations of UW, PSU, or HSPH PM2.5 with nonaccidental mortality, but suggestive positive associations with cancer, cardiovascular, and respiratory disease mortality. There were small differences in HRs between the PM2.5 predictions. All three predictions showed the strongest associations with cancer mortality: HRs (95% confidence interval, expressed per 5 µg/m3 increase) were 1.06 (1.01, 1.12) for UW, 1.08 (1.03, 1.13) for PSU, and 1.05 (1.00, 1.10) for HSPH. In a subset restricted to participants who were always exposed to PM2.5 below 12 µg/m3, we observed positive associations with nonaccidental mortality.

Conclusion

We found that differences between PM2.5 exposure assessment methods could lead to minor differences in strengths of associations between PM2.5 and cause-specific mortality in a population of US female nurses.

National PM2.5 spatiotemporal model integrating intensive monitoring data and land use regression in a likelihood-based universal kriging framework in the United States: 2000-2019

Nationwide PM2.5 exposure models typically rely on regulatory monitoring data as the only ground-level measurements. In this study, we develop a high-resolution spatiotemporal PM2.5 model for the contiguous United States from 2000 to 2019 with dense monitoring data at both regulatory and residential sites. Specifically, we combine publicly-available data from 1843 regulatory monitors with our own set of multiple 2-week measurements at 939 residential locations. As we show, these additional data enhance the spatiotemporal prediction capabilities of the model. The model can handle varying data densities and regional variations; it predicts two-week average PM2.5 concentrations at fine spatial scale for the contiguous United States. Cross-validation performance indicates a spatial R2 of 0.93 and a root mean square error (RMSE) of 1.19 (μg/m3), and a temporal R2 of 0.85 and RMSE of 2.05 (μg/m3). Regional spatial R2 ranged from 0.80 (northwest) to 0.93 (northeast and central). Over time, the average PM2.5 across the United Stats decreased from 7.6 μg/m3 in 2000 to 4.7 μg/m3 in 2019. Our model effectively captured local PM2.5 gradients, highlighting its ability to address fine-scale variations related to local sources and roadways.

Growing Evidence for the Role of Air Pollution in Breast Cancer Development

In the article that accompanies this editorial, Wu et al., observed that residential exposure to fine particulate matter was associated with higher breast cancer incidence using prospective data from over 58,000 California women in the Multiethnic Cohort Study. These findings, together with a meta-analysis of findings from cohort studies included in the manuscript, highlight the importance of environmental contributors to breast cancer risk.

Long-term nighttime aircraft noise exposure and risk of hypertension in a prospective cohort of female nurses

There is growing interest in cardiometabolic outcomes associated with nighttime noise, given that noise can disturb sleep and sleep disturbance can increase cardiometabolic risk such as hypertension. However, there is little empirical research evaluating the association between nighttime aircraft noise and hypertension risk. In this study, we expand on previous work to evaluate associations between nighttime aircraft noise exposure and self-reported hypertension incidence in the Nurses' Health Studies (NHS/NHSII), two US-wide cohorts of female nurses. Annual nighttime average aircraft sound levels (Lnight) surrounding 90 airports for 1995-2015 (in 5-year intervals) were modeled using the Aviation Environmental Design Tool and assigned to participants' geocoded addresses over time. Hypertension risk was estimated for each cohort using time-varying Cox proportional-hazards models for Lnight dichotomized at 45 dB (dB), adjusting for individual-level hypertension risk factors, area-level socioeconomic status, region, and air pollution. Random effects meta-analysis was used to combine cohort results. Among 63,229 NHS and 98,880 NHSII participants free of hypertension at study baseline (1994/1995), we observed 33,190 and 28,255 new hypertension cases by 2014/2013, respectively. Although ∼1% of participants were exposed to Lnight ≥45 dB, we observed an adjusted hazard ratio (HR) of 1.10 (95% CI: 0.96, 1.27) in NHS and adjusted HR of 1.12 (95% CI: 0.98, 1.28) in NHSII, comparing exposure to Lnight ≥45 versus <45 dB(A). In meta-analysis, we observed an adjusted HR of 1.11 (95% CI: 1.01, 1.23). These results were attenuated with adjustment for additional variables such as body mass index. Our findings support a modest positive association between nighttime aircraft noise and hypertension risk across NHS/NHSII, which may reinforce the concept that sleep disturbance contributes to noise-related disease burden.

Childhood exposure to air pollution, noise, and surrounding greenness and incident hypertension in early adulthood in a US nationwide cohort-the Growing Up Today Study (GUTS)

Exposure to increased air pollution, noise, and reduced surrounding greenness have been suggested as potential environmental risk factors for hypertension in adults, but limited evidence exists regarding early-life exposure, particularly from prospective studies. We investigated independent and joint associations of childhood exposure to these factors with incident hypertension in early adulthood in a US nationwide cohort. Study participants were from the Growing Up Today Study (GUTS) established in 1996 (GUTSI) and 2004 (GUTSII), who were ages 9-14 (GUTSI) or 10-17 (GUTSII) at enrollment. Incident hypertension was identified by self-report on questionnaires from 2010 to 2021. We estimated residential exposures to air pollution (from spatiotemporal models), noise, and surrounding greenness throughout childhood (10-18y). We applied Cox proportional hazards models adjusted for potential confounders to assess hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) associated with each interquartile range (IQR) change in exposure. We performed a quantile g-computation to assess the joint association of simultaneous exposure to the mixture. We considered potential effect modification by sex, maternal history of hypertension, overweight/obese status at age 18, urbanicity, and neighborhood socioeconomic status. Among 17,762 participants, 1530 hypertensive cases occurred during an average follow-up of 12.8 years. HRs for all exposures were small with CIs including unity. A joint HR of 1.03 (95% CI: 0.95, 1.11) was associated with a one-quartile increase across simultaneous exposure to the environmental mixture. The joint associations were stronger among non-obese participants or participants living in less advantaged neighborhoods: HRs of 1.07 (95% CI: 0.97, 1.18) and 1.08 (95% CI: 0.98, 1.18), respectively. In conclusion, we did not identify an independent or joint association between childhood exposure to air pollution, noise, and surrounding greenness and early adulthood hypertension. However, a positive joint association was suggested among non-obese participants or those living in less advantaged neighborhoods.

Association between fine particulate matter (PM2.5) and infant mortality in a North Carolina birth cohort (2003-2015)

Background

While the association between fine particulate matter (PM2.5) and adult mortality is well established, few studies have examined the association between long-term PM2.5 exposure and infant mortality.

Methods

We conducted an unmatched case-control study of 5992 infant mortality cases and 60,000 randomly selected controls from a North Carolina birth cohort (2003-2015). PM2.5 during critical exposure periods (trimesters, pregnancy, first month alive) was estimated using residential address and a national spatiotemporal model at census block centroid. We fit adjusted logistic regression models and calculated odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs). Due to differences in PM2 .5 over time, we stratified analyses into two periods: 2003-2009 (mean = 12.1 µg/m3, interquartile range [IQR]: 10.8-13.5) and 2011-2015 (mean = 8.4 µg/m3, IQR: 7.7-9.0). We assessed effect measure modification by birthing parent race/ethnicity, full-term birth, and PM2.5 concentrations.

Results

For births 2003-2015, the odds of infant mortality increased by 12% (95% CI: 1.06, 1.17) per 4.0 µg/m3 increase in PM2.5 exposure averaged over the pregnancy. After stratifying, we observed an increase of 4% (95% CI: 0.95, 1.14) for births in 2003-2009 and a decrease of 15% (95% CI: 0.72, 1.01) for births in 2011-2015. Among infants with higher PM2.5 exposure (≥12 µg/m3) during pregnancy, the odds of infant mortality increased (OR: 2.69; 95% CI: 2.17, 3.34) whereas the lower exposure (<8 µg/m3) group reported decreased odds (OR: 0.50; 95% CI: 0.28, 0.89).

Conclusions

We observed differing associations of PM2.5 exposure with infant mortality across higher versus lower PM2.5 concentrations. Research findings suggest the importance of accounting for long-term trends of decreasing PM2.5 concentrations in future research.

The Tailpipe's Tale: Traffic-Related Air Pollutants and Ovarian Cancer Risk

Higher NO 2 exposure was associated with increased risk of ovarian cancer. Results hinted that age at exposure might matter.

A Review of Urban Planning Approaches to Reduce Air Pollution Exposures

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

With only 12% of the human population living in cities meeting the air quality standards set by the WHO guidelines, there is a critical need for coordinated strategies to meet the requirements of a healthy society. One pivotal mechanism for addressing societal expectations on air pollution and human health is to employ strategic modeling within the urban planning process. This review synthesizes research to inform coordinated strategies for a healthy society. Through strategic modeling in urban planning, we seek to uncover integrated solutions that mitigate air pollution, enhance public health, and create sustainable urban environments.

RECENT FINDINGS

Successful urban planning can help reduce air pollution by optimizing city design with regard to transportation systems. As one specific example, ventilation corridors i.e. aim to introduce natural wind into urban areas to improve thermal comfort and air quality, and they can be effective if well-designed and managed. However, physical barriers such as sound walls and vegetation must be carefully selected following design criteria with significant trade-offs that must be modeled quantitatively. These tradeoffs often involve balancing effectiveness, cost, aesthetics, and environmental impact. For instance, sound walls are highly effective at reducing noise, provide immediate impact, and are long-lasting. However, they are expensive to construct, visually unappealing, and may block views and sunlight. To address the costly issue of sound walls, a potential solution is implementing vegetation with a high leaf area index or leaf area density. This alternative is also an effective method for air pollution reduction with varying land-use potential. Ultimately, emission regulations are a key aspect of all such considerations. Given the broad range of developments, concerns, and considerations spanning city management, ventilation corridors, physical barriers, and transportation planning, this review aims to summarize the effect of a range of urban planning methods on air pollution considerations.

Prenatal exposure to ambient fine particulate matter and child lung function in the CANDLE cohort

BACKGROUND

Ambient fine particulate matter (PM2.5) exposure adversely impacts child airway health; however, research on prenatal PM2.5 exposure, and child lung function is limited. We investigated these associations in the ECHO-PATHWAYS Consortium, focusing on the role of exposure timing during different phases of fetal lung development.

METHODS

We included 675 children in the CANDLE cohort born between 2007 and 2011 in Memphis, TN, USA. Prenatal exposure to ambient PM2.5 was estimated using a spatiotemporal model based on maternal residential history and averaged over established prenatal periods of lung development. Forced expiratory volume in the first second (FEV1) and forced vital capacity (FVC) were measured by spirometry at age 8-9 years. We used linear regression and Bayesian Distributed Lag Interaction Models (BDLIM) to estimate associations between exposure and lung function z-scores, adjusting for maternal/child characteristics, prenatal/postnatal tobacco exposure, and birth year/season, and evaluating effect modification by child sex and allergic sensitization.

RESULTS

The average ambient concentration of PM2.5 during pregnancy was 11.1 µg/m3 (standard deviation:1.0 µg/m3). In the adjusted linear regression and BDLIM models, adverse, but not statistically significant, associations were observed between exposure during the pseudoglandular (5-16 weeks of gestation) and saccular (24-36 weeks) phases of lung development and FEV1 and FVC. The strongest association was between a 2 μg/m3 higher concentration of PM2.5 during the saccular phase and FEV1 z-score (-0.176, 95% Confidence Interval [CI]: -0.361, 0.010). The FEV1/FVC ratio was not associated with PM2.5 in any exposure window. No effect modification by child sex or allergic sensitization was observed.

CONCLUSIONS

We did not find strong evidence of associations between prenatal ambient PM2.5 exposure and child lung function in a large, well-characterized study sample. However, there was a suggested adverse association between FEV1 and exposure during late pregnancy. The saccular phase of lung development might be an important window for exposure to PM2.5.

Structural and social determinants of health: The multi-ethnic study of atherosclerosis

BACKGROUND

Researchers have increasingly recognized the importance of structural and social determinants of health (SSDOH) as key drivers of a multitude of diseases and health outcomes. The Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA) is an ongoing, longitudinal cohort study of subclinical cardiovascular disease (CVD) that has followed geographically and racially/ethnically diverse participants starting in 2000. Since its inception, MESA has incorporated numerous SSDOH assessments and instruments to study in relation to CVD and aging outcomes. In this paper, we describe the SSDOH data available in MESA, systematically review published papers using MESA that were focused on SSDOH and provide a roadmap for future SSDOH-related studies.

METHODS AND FINDINGS

The study team reviewed all published papers using MESA data (n = 2,125) through January 23, 2023. Two individuals systematically reviewed titles, abstracts, and full text to determine the final number of papers (n = 431) that focused on at least one SSDOH variable as an exposure, outcome, or stratifying/effect modifier variable of main interest (discrepancies resolved by a third individual). Fifty-seven percent of the papers focused on racialized/ethnic groups or other macrosocial/structural factors (e.g., segregation), 16% focused on individual-level inequalities (e.g. income), 14% focused on the built environment (e.g., walking destinations), 10% focused on social context (e.g., neighborhood socioeconomic status), 34% focused on stressors (e.g., discrimination, air pollution), and 4% focused on social support/integration (e.g., social participation). Forty-seven (11%) of the papers combined MESA with other cohorts for cross-cohort comparisons and replication/validation (e.g., validating algorithms).

CONCLUSIONS

Overall, MESA has made significant contributions to the field and the published literature, with 20% of its published papers focused on SSDOH. Future SSDOH studies using MESA would benefit by using recently added instruments/data (e.g., early life educational quality), linking SSDOH to biomarkers to determine underlying causal mechanisms linking SSDOH to CVD and aging outcomes, and by focusing on intersectionality, understudied SSDOH (i.e., social support, social context), and understudied outcomes in relation to SSDOH (i.e., sleep, respiratory health, cognition/dementia).

Modification of asthma treatment efficacy by healthcare access: A reanalysis of AsthmaNet Step-Up Yellow Zone Inhaled Corticosteroids to Prevent Exacerbations (STICS) clinical trial

BACKGROUND

While randomized controlled trials (RCTs) in asthma management are designed to balance known and unknown variables across treatment groups, including social and environmental co-exposures, it remains important to consider how these co-exposures influence disease progression and treatment outcomes. The importance of considering socio-environmental co-exposures in the context of asthma is twofold: 1) asthma disproportionately affects low-income urban communities, where air pollution and chronic stress are pervasive; and 2) despite the wide range of asthma treatments, inadequate disease control persists.

METHODS

In the present ancillary study of the Step-Up Yellow Zone Inhaled Corticosteroids to Prevent Exacerbations (STICS) RCT, we investigated how socio-environmental factors, such as air pollution exposure and healthcare access, modify the effect of inhaled corticosteroid (ICS) therapy in children with asthma. The original STICS RCT evaluated the efficacy and safety of increasing the dose of inhaled glucocorticoids from a baseline daily low dose to five times the daily dose for 7 days in school-age children with mild -to-moderate persistent asthma who began to have short-term loss of asthma control (Jackson et al., 2018 Mar 8) [1]. Our study adds onto those findings by incorporating residential level particulate matter 2.5 μg/m3 (PM2.5) and geographic health provider shortage areas (HPSA) as potential modifiers.

RESULTS

Consistent with the main trial results, we did not find a difference in the number of exacerbations between treatment arms. However, we found the effect of receiving 5xICS, as compared with 1xICS on the time to prednisone was significantly different for children living in areas a shortage of health professionals (HR: 2.09; 95 % CI: 0.74, 5.95) than for children living in no shortage areas (HR: 0.40; 95 % CI: 0.21, 0.77).

CONCLUSION

This finding underscores the importance of considering environmental and social factors in asthma treatment.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

ClinicalTrials.gov ID NCT02066129 https://clinicaltrials.gov/study/NCT02066129.

Estimating ambient air pollutant concentrations outside and inside homes in the Subpopulations and Intermediate outcomes in COPD air pollution (SPIROMICS air) cohort

BACKGROUND

Valid, high-resolution estimates of population-level exposure to air pollutants are necessary for accurate estimation of the association between air pollution and the occurrence or exacerbation of adverse health outcomes such as Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease (COPD).

OBJECTIVES

We produced fine-scale individual-level estimates of ambient concentrations of multiple air pollutants (fine particulate matter [PM2.5], NOX, NO2, and O3) at residences of participants in the Subpopulations and Intermediate Outcomes in COPD Air Pollution (SPIROMICS Air) study, located in seven regions in the US. For PM2.5, we additionally integrated modeled estimates of particulate infiltration based on home characteristics and measured total indoor concentrations to provide comprehensive estimates of exposure levels.

METHODS

To estimate ambient concentrations, we used a hierarchical high-resolution spatiotemporal model that integrates hundreds of geographic covariates and pollutant measurements from regulatory and study-specific monitors, including ones located at participant residences. We modeled infiltration efficiency based on data on house characteristics, home heating and cooling practices, indoor smoke and combustion sources, meteorological factors, and paired indoor-outdoor pollutant measurements, among other indicators.

RESULTS

Cross-validated prediction accuracy (R2) for models of ambient concentrations was above 0.80 for most regions and pollutants. Particulate matter infiltration efficiency varied by region, from 0.51 in Winston-Salem to 0.72 in Los Angeles, and ambient-source particles constituted a substantial fraction of total indoor PM2.5.

CONCLUSION

Leveraging well-validated fine-scale approaches for estimating outdoor, ambient-source indoor, and total indoor pollutant concentrations, we can provide comprehensive estimates of short and long-term exposure levels for cohorts undergoing follow-up in multiple different regions.

Association of midlife air pollution exposures and residential road proximity with incident dementia: The Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study

BACKGROUND

Increasing evidence links higher air pollution exposures to increased risk of cognitive impairment. While midlife risk factors are often most strongly linked to dementia risk, few studies have considered associations between midlife roadway proximity or ambient air pollution exposure and incident dementia decades later, in late life.

OBJECTIVES

Our objective was to determine if midlife exposures to ambient air pollution or roadway proximity are associated with increased risk of dementia in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study over up to 29 years of follow-up.

METHODS

Our eligible sample included Black and White ARIC participants without dementia at Visit 2 (1990-1992). Participants were followed through Visit 7 (2018-2019), with dementia status and onset date defined based on formal dementia ascertainment at study visits, informant interviews, and surveillance efforts. We used adjusted Weibull survival models to assess the associations of midlife ambient air pollution and road proximity with incident dementia.

RESULTS

The median age at baseline (1990-1992, Visit 2) of the 12,700 eligible ARIC participants was 57.0 years; 56.0% were female, 24.2% were Black, and 78.9% had at least a high school education. Over up to 29 years of follow-up, 2511 (19.8%) persons developed dementia. No associations were found between ambient air pollutants and proximity to major roadways with risk of incident dementia. In exploratory analyses, living closer to roadways in midlife increased dementia risk in individuals younger at baseline and those without midlife hypertension, and there was evidence of increased risk of dementia with increased midlife exposure to NOx, several PM2.5 components, and trace metals among those with diabetes in midlife.

CONCLUSIONS

Midlife exposure to ambient air pollution and midlife roadway proximity was not associated with dementia risk over decades of follow-up. Further investigation to explore potential for greater susceptibility among specific subgroups identified here is needed.

Long-term air pollution exposure and incident physical disability in older US adults: a cohort study

BACKGROUND

Disability is a key marker of overall physical health in older adults and is often preceded by chronic disease. Although air pollution is a well recognised risk factor for multiple chronic diseases, its association with physical disability has not been well characterised. We investigated the associations of air pollutants with physical disability in a large cohort representative of older adults in the USA.

METHODS

We used biennial data on incident activities of daily living (ADL) disability collected from respondents of the Health and Retirement Survey between 2000 and 2016. As part of the Environmental Predictors of Cognitive Health and Aging study, we estimated 10-year average PM2·5, PM10-2·5, nitrogen dioxide (NO2), and ozone (O3) concentrations at participant residences before each survey using spatiotemporal prediction models. We used a time-varying, weighted Cox model to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) for incident physical disability per interquartile increase of air pollution with detailed adjustments for confounders.

FINDINGS

Among 15 411 respondents aged 65 years and older (mean age 70·2 [SD 6·5] years; 55% female, 45% male), 48% of respondents reported newly having ADL disability during a mean follow-up of 7·9 years (SD 4·7). In fully adjusted models, we found greater risks of ADL disability associated with higher concentrations of PM2·5 (HR 1·03 per 3·7 μg/m³ [95% CI 0·99-1·08], p=0·16), PM10-2·5 (1·05 per 4·9 μg/m³ [1·00-1·11], p=0·022), and NO2 (1·03 per 7·5 ppb [0·99-1·08]. p=0·064), although not all these associations were statistically significant. In contrast, O3 was associated with a lower risk of ADL disability (0·95 per 3·7 ppb [0·91-1·00], p=0·030). In a multi-pollutant model, associations were similar to the single-pollutant models for PM10-2·5 (1·05 per 4·9 μg/m³ [1·00-1·11], p=0·041) and O3 (0·94 per 3·7 ppb [0·88-1·01], p=0·083).

INTERPRETATION

Our findings suggest that air pollution might be an underappreciated risk factor for physical disability in later life, although additional research is needed.

FUNDING

National Institutes of Environmental Health Sciences and National Institute on Aging.

Different types of greenspace within urban parks and depressive symptoms among older U.S. adults living in urban areas

Access to greenspace in the form of urban parks is frequently used to study the mental health benefits of nature and may alleviate depression. However, there is a lack of research that considers the different types of vegetated and non-vegetated spaces that parks can provide. Our aim was to investigate whether different types of accessible park area, grassy; tree covered; and non-vegetated, were associated with depressive symptoms among older (≥50 years) urban US adults. We used interviews from the Health and Retirement Study spanning 2010 through 2016 as our primary data source. We calculated total grassy, tree covered, and non-vegetated park space accessible to participants using a comprehensive national database of US parks and a high resolution (10 m) landcover dataset. To measure depressive symptoms, we used the CESD-8 analyzed as a continuous scale. We used Poisson regression to estimate the percent difference in CESD-8 scores comparing quartiles of accessible park space. To control for confounding, we adjusted for sociodemographic characteristics, geography, and climate. Aggregated accessible park area was not substantively associated with depressive symptoms. However, having grassy park area near the home was associated with as much as 27 % fewer depressive symptoms. In contrast, non-vegetated park area was associated with up to 54 % more depressive symptoms. Our findings were robust to adjustment for air pollution, environmental noise, and artificial light at night. Different types of accessible park space may have disparate effects on mental health among older urban US adults.

Association of Urinary Metals With Cardiovascular Disease Incidence and All-Cause Mortality in the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA)

BACKGROUND

Exposure to metals has been associated with cardiovascular disease (CVD) end points and mortality, yet prospective evidence is limited beyond arsenic, cadmium, and lead. In this study, we assessed the prospective association of urinary metals with incident CVD and all-cause mortality in a racially diverse population of US adults from MESA (the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis).

METHODS

We included 6599 participants (mean [SD] age, 62.1 [10.2] years; 53% female) with urinary metals available at baseline (2000 to 2001) and followed through December 2019. We used Cox proportional hazards models to estimate the adjusted hazard ratio and 95% CI of CVD and all-cause mortality by baseline urinary levels of cadmium, tungsten, and uranium (nonessential metals), and cobalt, copper, and zinc (essential metals). The joint association of the 6 metals as a mixture and the corresponding 10-year survival probability was calculated using Cox Elastic-Net.

RESULTS

During follow-up, 1162 participants developed CVD, and 1844 participants died. In models adjusted by behavioral and clinical indicators, the hazard ratios (95% CI) for incident CVD and all-cause mortality comparing the highest with the lowest quartile were, respectively: 1.25 (1.03, 1.53) and 1.68 (1.43, 1.96) for cadmium; 1.20 (1.01, 1.42) and 1.16 (1.01, 1.33) for tungsten; 1.32 (1.08, 1.62) and 1.32 (1.12, 1.56) for uranium; 1.24 (1.03, 1.48) and 1.37 (1.19, 1.58) for cobalt; 1.42 (1.18, 1.70) and 1.50 (1.29, 1.74) for copper; and 1.21 (1.01, 1.45) and 1.38 (1.20, 1.59) for zinc. A positive linear dose-response was identified for cadmium and copper with both end points. The adjusted hazard ratios (95% CI) for an interquartile range (IQR) increase in the mixture of these 6 urinary metals and the corresponding 10-year survival probability difference (95% CI) were 1.29 (1.11, 1.56) and -1.1% (-2.0, -0.05) for incident CVD and 1.66 (1.47, 1.91) and -2.0% (-2.6, -1.5) for all-cause mortality.

CONCLUSIONS

This epidemiological study in US adults indicates that urinary metal levels are associated with increased CVD risk and mortality. These findings can inform the development of novel preventive strategies to improve cardiovascular health.

Air Pollution Exposure and Interstitial Lung Features in SPIROMICS Participants with Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease

Rationale: It is unknown whether air pollution is associated with radiographic features of interstitial lung disease in individuals with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD). Objectives: To determine whether air pollution increases the prevalence of interstitial lung abnormalities (ILA) or percent high-attenuation areas (HAA) on computed tomography (CT) in individuals with a heavy smoking history and COPD. Methods: We performed a cross-sectional study of SPIROMICS (Subpopulations and Intermediate Outcome Measures in COPD Study), focused on current or former smokers with COPD. Ten-year exposure to particulate matter ⩽2.5 μm in aerodynamic diameter (PM2.5), nitrogen oxides (NOx), nitrogen dioxide (NO2), and ozone before enrollment CT (completed between 2010 and 2015) were estimated with validated spatiotemporal models at residential addresses. We applied adjusted multivariable modified Poisson regression and linear regression to investigate associations between pollution exposure and relative risk (RR) of ILA or increased percent HAA (between -600 and -250 Hounsfield units), respectively. We assessed for effect modification by MUC5B-promoter polymorphism (variant allele carriers GT or TT vs. GG at rs3705950), smoking status, sex, and percent emphysema. Results: Among 1,272 participants with COPD assessed for HAA, 424 were current smokers, and 249 were carriers of the variant MUC5B allele. A total of 519 participants were assessed for ILA. We found no association between pollution exposure and ILA or HAA. Associations between pollutant exposures and risk of ILA were modified by the presence of MUC5B polymorphism (P value interaction term for NOx = 0.04 and PM2.5 = 0.05) and smoking status (P value interaction term for NOx = 0.05; NO2 = 0.01; and ozone = 0.05). With higher exposure to NOx and PM2.5, MUC5B variant carriers had an increased risk of ILA (RR per 26 ppb NOx, 2.41; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.97-6.0; and RR per 4 μg ⋅ m-3 PM2.5, 1.43; 95% CI, 0.93-2.2, respectively). With higher exposure to NO2, former smokers had an increased risk of ILA (RR per 10 ppb, 1.64; 95% CI, 1.0-2.7). Conclusions: Exposure to ambient air pollution was not associated with interstitial features on CT in this population of heavy smokers with COPD. MUC5B modified the association between pollution and ILA, suggesting that gene-environment interactions may influence prevalence of interstitial lung features in COPD.

Local exposure misclassification in national models: relationships with urban infrastructure and demographics

BACKGROUND

National-scale linear regression-based modeling may mischaracterize localized patterns, including hyperlocal peaks and neighborhood- to regional-scale gradients. For studies focused on within-city differences, this mischaracterization poses a risk of exposure misclassification, affecting epidemiological and environmental justice conclusions.

OBJECTIVE

Characterize the difference between intraurban pollution patterns predicted by national-scale land use regression modeling and observation-based estimates within a localized domain and examine the relationship between that difference and urban infrastructure and demographics.

METHODS

We compare highly resolved (0.01 km2) observations of NO2 mixing ratio and ultrafine particle (UFP) count obtained via mobile monitoring with national model predictions in thirteen neighborhoods in the San Francisco Bay Area. Grid cell-level divergence between modeled and observed concentrations is termed "localized difference." We use a flexible machine learning modeling technique, Bayesian Additive Regression Trees, to investigate potentially nonlinear relationships between discrepancy between localized difference and known local emission sources as well as census block group racial/ethnic composition.

RESULTS

We find that observed local pollution extremes are not represented by land use regression predictions and that observed UFP count significantly exceeds regression predictions. Machine learning models show significant nonlinear relationships among localized differences between predictions and observations and the density of several types of pollution-related infrastructure (roadways, commercial and industrial operations). In addition, localized difference was greater in areas with higher population density and a lower share of white non-Hispanic residents, indicating that exposure misclassification by national models differs among subpopulations.

IMPACT

Comparing national-scale pollution predictions with hyperlocal observations in the San Francisco Bay Area, we find greater discrepancies near major roadways and food service locations and systematic underestimation of concentrations in neighborhoods with a lower share of non-Hispanic white residents. These findings carry implications for using national-scale models in intraurban epidemiological and environmental justice applications and establish the potential utility of supplementing large-scale estimates with publicly available urban infrastructure and pollution source information.

A comparison of PM2.5 exposure estimates from different estimation methods and their associations with cognitive testing and brain MRI outcomes

BACKGROUND

Reported associations between particulate matter with aerodynamic diameter ≤2.5 μm (PM2.5) and cognitive outcomes remain mixed. Differences in exposure estimation method may contribute to this heterogeneity.

OBJECTIVES

To assess agreement between PM2.5 exposure concentrations across 11 exposure estimation methods and to compare resulting associations between PM2.5 and cognitive or MRI outcomes.

METHODS

We used Visit 5 (2011-2013) cognitive testing and brain MRI data from the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) Study. We derived address-linked average 2000-2007 PM2.5 exposure concentrations in areas immediately surrounding the four ARIC recruitment sites (Forsyth County, NC; Jackson, MS; suburbs of Minneapolis, MN; Washington County, MD) using 11 estimation methods. We assessed agreement between method-specific PM2.5 concentrations using descriptive statistics and plots, overall and by site. We used adjusted linear regression to estimate associations of method-specific PM2.5 exposure estimates with cognitive scores (n = 4678) and MRI outcomes (n = 1518) stratified by study site and combined site-specific estimates using meta-analyses to derive overall estimates. We explored the potential impact of unmeasured confounding by spatially patterned factors.

RESULTS

Exposure estimates from most methods had high agreement across sites, but low agreement within sites. Within-site exposure variation was limited for some methods. Consistently null findings for the PM2.5-cognitive outcome associations regardless of method precluded empirical conclusions about the potential impact of method on study findings in contexts where positive associations are observed. Not accounting for study site led to consistent, adverse associations, regardless of exposure estimation method, suggesting the potential for substantial bias due to residual confounding by spatially patterned factors.

DISCUSSION

PM2.5 estimation methods agreed across sites but not within sites. Choice of estimation method may impact findings when participants are concentrated in small geographic areas. Understanding unmeasured confounding by factors that are spatially patterned may be particularly important in studies of air pollution and cognitive or brain health.

Long-term exposure to air pollution, greenness and temperature and survival after a nonfatal myocardial infarction

BACKGROUND

Little is known about the impact of environmental exposures on mortality risk after a myocardial infarction (MI).

OBJECTIVE

The goal of this study was to evaluate associations of long-term temperature, air pollution and greenness exposures with mortality among survivors of an MI.

METHODS

We used data from the US-based Nurses' Health Study to construct an open cohort of survivors of a nonfatal MI 1990-2017. Participants entered the cohort when they had a nonfatal MI, and were followed until death, loss to follow-up, end of follow-up, or they reached 80 years old, whichever came earliest. We assessed residential 12-month moving average fine particulate matter (PM2.5) and nitrogen dioxide (NO2), satellite-based annual average greenness (in a circular 1230 m buffer), summer average temperature and winter average temperature. We used Cox proportional hazard models adjusted for potential confounders to assess hazard ratios (HR and 95% confidence intervals). We also assessed potential effect modification.

RESULTS

Among 2262 survivors of a nonfatal MI, we observed 892 deaths during 19,216 person years of follow-up. In single-exposure models, we observed a HR (95%CI) of 1.20 (1.04, 1.37) per 10 ppb NO2 increase and suggestive positive associations were observed for PM2.5, lower greenness, warmer summer average temperature and colder winter average temperature. In multi-exposure models, associations of summer and winter average temperature remained stable, while associations of NO2, PM2.5 and greenness attenuated. The strength of some associations was modified by other exposures. For example, associations of greenness (HR = 0.88 (0.78, 0.98) per 0.1) were more pronounced for participants in areas with a lower winter average temperature.

CONCLUSION

We observed associations of air pollution, greenness and temperature with mortality among MI survivors. Some associations were confounded or modified by other exposures, indicating that it is important to explore the combined impact of environmental exposures.

Multiple Environmental Exposures and the Development of Hypertension in a Prospective US-Based Cohort of Female Nurses: A Mixture Analysis

We investigated the independent and joint associations between multiple environmental exposures and incident hypertension in a US nationwide prospective cohort of women: the Nurses' Health Study II. We followed 107,532 nonhypertensive participants from 1989 to diagnosis of hypertension, loss to follow-up, death, or end of follow-up in June 2019. We applied Cox proportional hazards models to assess associations of incident hypertension with time-varying residential exposure to air pollution, noise, surrounding greenness, temperature, and neighborhood socioeconomic status (nSES), adjusting for potential confounders and coexposures. We evaluated the joint association of simultaneous exposure using quantile g-computation. We observed 38,175 hypertension cases over 2,062,109 person-years. Increased hypertension incidence was consistently associated with lower nSES and higher levels of fine particles (PM2.5) and nighttime noise exposures: hazard ratio (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) of 1.06 (1.04, 1.08), 1.04 (1.01, 1.07), and 1.01 (1.00, 1.03), respectively, per interquartile range change. Joint HR for a one-quartile change in simultaneous exposure to the mixture was 1.05 (95% CI: 1.02, 1.09), assuming additivity, or 1.13 (95% CI: 1.06, 1.20), considering potential interactions within the mixture. Hypertension prevention should focus on enhancing nSES and reducing PM2.5 and noise levels, recognizing that reducing the overall exposures may yield additional benefits.

The Association between Exposure to Fine Particulate Matter and MRI-Assessed Locus Coeruleus Integrity in the Vietnam Era Twin Study of Aging (VETSA)

BACKGROUND

Increased exposure to ambient air pollution, especially fine particulate matter ≤ 2.5 μ m (PM 2.5 ) is associated with poorer brain health and increased risk for Alzheimer's disease (AD) and related dementias. The locus coeruleus (LC), located in the brainstem, is one of the earliest regions affected by tau pathology seen in AD. Its diffuse projections throughout the brain include afferents to olfactory areas that are hypothesized conduits of cerebral particle deposition. Additionally, extensive contact of the LC with the cerebrovascular system may present an additional route of exposure to environmental toxicants.

OBJECTIVE

Our aim was to investigate if exposure to PM 2.5 was associated with LC integrity in a nationwide sample of men in early old age, potentially representing one pathway through which air pollution can contribute to increased risk for AD dementia.

METHODS

We examined the relationship between PM 2.5 and in vivo magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) estimates of LC structural integrity indexed by contrast to noise ratio (LC CNR ) in 381 men [mean age = 67.3 ; standard deviation ( SD ) = 2.6 ] from the Vietnam Era Twin Study of Aging (VETSA). Exposure to PM 2.5 was taken as a 3-year average over the most recent period for which data were available (average of 5.6 years prior to the MRI scan). We focused on LC CNR in the rostral-middle portion of LC due to its stronger associations with aging and AD than the caudal LC. Associations between PM 2.5 exposures and LC integrity were tested using linear mixed effects models adjusted for age, scanner, education, household income, and interval between exposure and MRI. A co-twin control analysis was also performed to investigate whether associations remained after controlling for genetic confounding and rearing environment.

RESULTS

Multiple linear regressions revealed a significant association between PM 2.5 and rostral-middle LC CNR (β = - 0.16 ; p = 0.02 ), whereby higher exposure to PM 2.5 was associated with lower LC CNR . A co-twin control analysis found that, within monozygotic pairs, individuals with higher PM 2.5 exposure showed lower LC CNR (β = - 0.11 ; p = 0.02 ), indicating associations were not driven by genetic or shared environmental confounds. There were no associations between PM 2.5 and caudal LC CNR or hippocampal volume, suggesting a degree of specificity to the rostral-middle portion of the LC.

DISCUSSION

Given previous findings that loss of LC integrity is associated with increased accumulation of AD-related amyloid and tau pathology, impacts on LC integrity may represent a potential pathway through which exposure to air pollution increases AD risk. https://doi.org/10.1289/EHP14344.

Outdoor air pollution exposure and uterine cancer incidence in the Sister Study

BACKGROUND

Outdoor air pollution is a ubiquitous exposure that includes endocrine-disrupting and carcinogenic compounds that may contribute to the risk of hormone-sensitive outcomes such as uterine cancer. However, there is limited evidence about the relationship between outdoor air pollution and uterine cancer incidence.

METHODS

We investigated the associations of residential exposure to particulate matter less than 2.5 µm in aerodynamic diameter (PM2.5) and nitrogen dioxide (NO2) with uterine cancer among 33 417 Sister Study participants with an intact uterus at baseline (2003-2009). Annual average air pollutant concentrations were estimated at participants' geocoded primary residential addresses using validated spatiotemporal models. Cox proportional hazards models were used to estimate hazard ratios and 95% confidence intervals for the association between time-varying 12-month PM2.5 (µg/m3) and NO2 (parts per billion; ppb) averages and uterine cancer incidence.

RESULTS

Over a median follow-up period of 9.8 years, 319 incident uterine cancer cases were identified. A 5-ppb increase in NO2 was associated with a 23% higher incidence of uterine cancer (hazard ratio = 1.23, 95% confidence interval = 1.04 to 1.46), especially among participants living in urban areas (hazard ratio = 1.53, 95% confidence interval = 1.13 to 2.07), but  PM2.5 was not associated with increased uterine cancer incidence.

CONCLUSION

In this large US cohort, NO2, a marker of vehicular traffic exposure, was associated with a higher incidence of uterine cancer. These findings expand the scope of health effects associated with air pollution, supporting the need for policy and other interventions designed to reduce air pollutant exposure.

Airway Tree Caliber and Susceptibility to Pollution-associated Emphysema: MESA Air and Lung Studies

Rationale: Airway tree morphology varies in the general population and may modify the distribution and uptake of inhaled pollutants. Objectives: We hypothesized that smaller airway caliber would be associated with emphysema progression and would increase susceptibility to air pollutant-associated emphysema progression. Methods: MESA (Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis) is a general population cohort of adults 45-84 years old from six U.S. communities. Airway tree caliber was quantified as the mean of airway lumen diameters measured from baseline cardiac computed tomography (CT) (2000-2002). Percentage emphysema, defined as percentage of lung pixels below -950 Hounsfield units, was assessed up to five times per participant via cardiac CT scan (2000-2007) and equivalent regions on lung CT scan (2010-2018). Long-term outdoor air pollutant concentrations (particulate matter with an aerodynamic diameter ⩽2.5 μm, oxides of nitrogen, and ozone) were estimated at the residential address with validated spatiotemporal models. Linear mixed models estimated the association between airway tree caliber and emphysema progression; modification of pollutant-associated emphysema progression was assessed using multiplicative interaction terms. Measurements and Main Results: Among 6,793 participants (mean ± SD age, 62 ± 10 yr), baseline airway tree caliber was 3.95 ± 1.1 mm and median (interquartile range) of percentage emphysema was 2.88 (1.21-5.68). In adjusted analyses, 10-year emphysema progression rate was 0.75 percentage points (95% confidence interval, 0.54-0.96%) higher in the smallest compared with largest airway tree caliber quartile. Airway tree caliber also modified air pollutant-associated emphysema progression. Conclusions: Smaller airway tree caliber was associated with accelerated emphysema progression and modified air pollutant-associated emphysema progression. A better understanding of the mechanisms of airway-alveolar homeostasis and air pollutant deposition is needed.

An assessment of the mediating role of hypertension in the effect of long-term air pollution exposure on dementia

Background

Growing evidence links air pollution exposure to the risk of dementia. We hypothesized that hypertension may partially mediate this effect.

Methods

We previously documented an association between air pollution and dementia in the Ginkgo Evaluation of Memory Study, a randomized, placebo-controlled trial of 3069 adults ≥75 years across four US sites who were evaluated for dementia every 6 months from 2000-2008. We utilized a two-stage regression approach for causal mediation analysis to decompose the total effect of air pollution on dementia into its natural direct and indirect effect through prevalent hypertension. Exposure to air pollution in the 10 or 20 years before enrollment was assigned using estimates from fine-scale spatial-temporal models for PM2.5, PM10, and NO2. We used Poisson regression models for hypertension and Cox proportional hazard models for time-to-incident all-cause dementia, adjusting for a priori confounders.

Results

Participants were free of mild cognitive impairment at baseline (n = 2564 included in analyses); 69% had prevalent hypertension at baseline. During follow-up, 12% developed all-cause dementia (Alzheimer's disease [AD] = 212; vascular dementia with or without AD [VaD/AD mixed] = 97). We did not find an adverse effect of any air pollutant on hypertension. Hypertension was associated with VaD/AD mixed (HR, 1.92 [95% CI = 1.14, 3.24]) but not AD. We did not observe mediation through hypertension for the effect of any pollutant on dementia outcomes.

Conclusions

The lack of mediated effect may be due to other mechanistic pathways and the minimal effect of air pollution on hypertension in this cohort of older adults.

Association of Gaseous Ambient Air Pollution and Dementia-Related Neuroimaging Markers in the ARIC Cohort, Comparing Exposure Estimation Methods and Confounding by Study Site

BACKGROUND

Evidence linking gaseous air pollution to late-life brain health is mixed.

OBJECTIVE

We explored associations between exposure to gaseous pollutants and brain magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) markers among Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) Study participants, with attention to the influence of exposure estimation method and confounding by site.

METHODS

We considered data from 1,665 eligible ARIC participants recruited from four US sites in the period 1987-1989 with valid brain MRI data from Visit 5 (2011-2013). We estimated 10-y (2001-2010) mean carbon monoxide (CO), nitrogen dioxide (NO 2 ), nitrogen oxides (NO x ), and 8- and 24-h ozone (O 3 ) concentrations at participant addresses, using multiple exposure estimation methods. We estimated site-specific associations between pollutant exposures and brain MRI outcomes (total and regional volumes; presence of microhemorrhages, infarcts, lacunes, and severe white matter hyperintensities), using adjusted linear and logistic regression models. We compared meta-analytically combined site-specific associations to analyses that did not account for site.

RESULTS

Within-site exposure distributions varied across exposure estimation methods. Meta-analytic associations were generally not statistically significant regardless of exposure, outcome, or exposure estimation method; point estimates often suggested associations between higher NO 2   and   NO x and smaller temporal lobe, deep gray, hippocampal, frontal lobe, and Alzheimer disease signature region of interest volumes and between higher CO and smaller temporal and frontal lobe volumes. Analyses that did not account for study site more often yielded significant associations and sometimes different direction of associations.

DISCUSSION

Patterns of local variation in estimated air pollution concentrations differ by estimation method. Although we did not find strong evidence supporting impact of gaseous pollutants on brain changes detectable by MRI, point estimates suggested associations between higher exposure to CO, NO x , and NO 2 and smaller regional brain volumes. Analyses of air pollution and dementia-related outcomes that do not adjust for location likely underestimate uncertainty and may be susceptible to confounding bias. https://doi.org/10.1289/EHP13906.

Associations of fine particulate matter with incident cardiovascular disease; comparing models using ZIP code-level and individual-level fine particulate matter and confounders

BACKGROUND

PM2.5 has been positively associated with cardiovascular disease (CVD) incidence. Most evidence has come from cohorts and administrative databases. Cohorts typically have extensive information on potential confounders and residential-level exposures. Administrative databases are usually more representative but typically lack information on potential confounders and often only have exposures at coarser geographies (e.g., ZIP code). The weaknesses in both types of studies have been criticized for potentially jeopardizing the validity of their findings for regulatory purposes.

METHODS

We followed 101,870 participants from the US-based Nurses' Health Study (2000-2016) and linked residential-level PM2.5 and individual-level confounders, and ZIP code-level PM2.5 and confounders. We used time-varying Cox proportional hazards models to examine associations with CVD incidence. We specified basic models (adjusted for individual-level age, race and calendar year), individual-level confounder models, and ZIP code-level confounder models.

RESULTS

Residential- and ZIP code-level PM2.5 were strongly correlated (Pearson r = 0.88). For residential-level PM2.5, the hazard ratio (HR, 95 % confidence interval) per 5 μg/m3 increase was 1.06 (1.01, 1.11) in the basic and 1.04 (0.99, 1.10) in the individual-level confounder model. For ZIP code-level PM2.5, the HR per 5 μg/m3 was 1.04 (0.99, 1.08) in the basic and 1.02 (0.97, 1.08) in the ZIP code-level confounder model.

CONCLUSION

We observed suggestive positive, but not statistically significant, associations between long-term PM2.5 and CVD incidence, regardless of the exposure or confounding model. Although differences were small, associations from models with individual-level confounders and residential-level PM2.5 were slightly stronger than associations from models with ZIP code-level confounders and PM2.5.

Long-term exposure to ambient fine particulate matter and risk of liver cancer in the NIH-AARP Diet and Health Study

BACKGROUND

Fine particulate matter (PM2.5) exposure has been associated with liver cancer incidence and mortality in a limited number of studies. We sought to evaluate this relationship for the first time in a U.S. cohort with historical exposure assessment.

METHODS

We used spatiotemporal prediction models to estimate annual average historical PM2.5 concentrations (1980-2015) at residential addresses of 499,729 participants in the NIH-AARP Diet and Health Study, a cohort in 6 states (California, Florida, Louisiana, New Jersey, North Carolina, and Pennsylvania) and 2 metropolitan areas (Atlanta, Georgia, and Detroit, Michigan) enrolled in 1995-1996 and followed up through 2017. We used a time-varying Cox model to estimate the association for liver cancer and the predominant histologic type, hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), per 5 µg/m3 increase in estimated outdoor PM2.5 levels, incorporating a 5-year average, lagged 10 years prior to cancer diagnosis and adjusting for age, sex, race/ethnicity, education level and catchment state. We also evaluated PM2.5 interactions with hypothesized effect modifiers.

RESULTS

We observed a non-significantly increased risk of liver cancer associated with estimated PM2.5 exposure (Hazard ratio [HR] = 1.05 [0.96-1.14], N = 1,625); associations were slightly stronger for HCC, (84 % of cases; HR = 1.08 [0.98-1.18]). Participants aged 70 or older at enrollment had an increased risk of liver cancer versus other age groups (HR = 1.50 [1.01-2.23]); p-interaction = 0.01) and risk was elevated among participants who did not exercise (HR = 1.81 [1.22-2.70]; p-interaction = 0.01). We found no evidence of effect modification by sex, smoking status, body mass index, diabetes status, or alcohol consumption (p-interaction > 0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings in this large cohort suggest that residential ambient PM2.5 levels may be associated with liver cancer risk. Further exploration of the variation in associations by age and physical activity are important areas for future research.

Associations of prenatal ambient air pollution exposures with asthma in middle childhood

We examined associations between prenatal fine particulate matter (PM2.5), nitrogen dioxide (NO2), and ozone (O3) exposures and child respiratory outcomes through age 8-9 years in 1279 ECHO-PATHWAYS Consortium mother-child dyads. We averaged spatiotemporally modeled air pollutant exposures during four fetal lung development phases: pseudoglandular (5-16 weeks), canalicular (16-24 weeks), saccular (24-36 weeks), and alveolar (36+ weeks). We estimated adjusted relative risks (RR) for current asthma at age 8-9 and asthma with recent exacerbation or atopic disease, and odds ratios (OR) for wheezing trajectories using modified Poisson and multinomial logistic regression, respectively. Effect modification by child sex, maternal asthma, and prenatal environmental tobacco smoke was explored. Across all outcomes, 95% confidence intervals (CI) included the null for all estimates of associations between prenatal air pollution exposures and respiratory outcomes. Pseudoglandular PM2.5 exposure modestly increased risk of current asthma (RRadj = 1.15, 95% CI: 0.88-1.51); canalicular PM2.5 exposure modestly increased risk of asthma with recent exacerbation (RRadj = 1.26, 95% CI: 0.86-1.86) and persistent wheezing (ORadj = 1.28, 95% CI: 0.86-1.89). Similar findings were observed for O3, but not NO2, and associations were strengthened among mothers without asthma. While not statistically distinguishable from the null, trends in effect estimates suggest some adverse associations of early pregnancy air pollution exposures with child respiratory conditions, warranting confirmation in larger samples.

Windows of sensitivity for risk of adverse birth outcomes related to gestational PM2.5 exposure: Evidence from a natural experiment

While numerous studies have associated maternal exposure to PM2.5 with adverse birth outcomes, findings remain inconsistent and difficult to generalize. We aimed to investigate the causal relationship and window of sensitivity between gestational exposure to PM2.5 and birth outcomes. We leveraged high-resolution satellite data to quantify gestational PM2.5 exposure at the individual level, along with a combined model to determine daily relative risks (RRs) of birth outcomes in COVID-19 prelockdown and lockdown groups. RRs between the two groups were further compared using a longitudinal pre-post non-experimental design to identify sensitivity windows of adverse birth outcomes. A total of 73,781 pregnant women from the COVID-19 prelockdown group and 6267 pregnant women from the lockdown group were included for analysis. The daily mean PM2.5 concentrations in the lockdown group decreased by 21.7% compared to the prelockdown group. During the first trimester, every 10 μg/m3 increase in PM2.5 significantly increased the risk of congenital abnormalities of major organs such as the cardiovascular system, gastrointestinal tract, nervous system, urinary system, and respiratory system. Moreover, gestational exposure to PM2.5 during the first trimester was associated with higher risks of premature delivery and term low birth weight. While PM2.5 exposure during the second trimester was positively correlated with macrosomia. Gestational exposure to PM2.5 is associated with increased risks of various adverse birth outcomes with specific sensitive windows. We demonstrated that gestational exposure to PM2.5 increased risks of various adverse birth outcomes with specific window of sensitivity through the natural experiment design. Our findings underscore the urgent need for policies and initiatives targeting PM2.5 reduction, especially during critical periods of pregnancy.

Ambient air pollution and rate of spontaneous abortion

Spontaneous abortion (SAB), defined as a pregnancy loss before 20 weeks of gestation, affects up to 30% of conceptions, yet few modifiable risk factors have been identified. We estimated the effect of ambient air pollution exposure on SAB incidence in Pregnancy Study Online (PRESTO), a preconception cohort study of North American couples who were trying to conceive. Participants completed questionnaires at baseline, every 8 weeks during preconception follow-up, and in early and late pregnancy. We analyzed data on 4643 United States (U.S.) participants and 851 Canadian participants who enrolled during 2013-2019 and conceived during 12 months of follow-up. We used country-specific national spatiotemporal models to estimate concentrations of particulate matter <2.5 μm (PM2.5), nitrogen dioxide (NO2), and ozone (O3) during the preconception and prenatal periods at each participant's residential address. On follow-up and pregnancy questionnaires, participants reported information on pregnancy status, including SAB incidence and timing. We fit Cox proportional hazards regression models with gestational weeks as the time scale to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for the association of time-varying prenatal concentrations of PM2.5, NO2, and O3 with rate of SAB, adjusting for individual- and neighborhood-level factors. Nineteen percent of pregnancies ended in SAB. Greater PM2.5 concentrations were associated with a higher incidence of SAB in Canada, but not in the U.S. (HRs for a 5 μg/m3 increase = 1.29, 95% CI: 0.99, 1.68 and 0.94, 95% CI: 0.83, 1.08, respectively). NO2 and O3 concentrations were not appreciably associated with SAB incidence. Results did not vary substantially by gestational weeks or season at risk. In summary, we found little evidence for an effect of residential ambient PM2.5, NO2, and O3 concentrations on SAB incidence in the U.S., but a moderate positive association of PM2.5 with SAB incidence in Canada.

Residential greenspace and major depression among older adults living in urban and suburban areas with different climates across the United States

BACKGROUND AND AIM

Residential greenspace could alleviate depression - a leading cause of disability. Fewer studies of depression and greenspace have considered major depression, and, to our knowledge, none have considered how climate, which determines vegetation abundance and type, may change the impacts of greenspace. Our aim was to investigate whether residential greenspace is associated with major depression among older adults and explore effect modification by climate.

METHODS

We used biennial interviews between 2008 and 2016 from the Health and Retirement Study. We calculated greenness within walking distance of home addresses as the maximum NDVI for the year of each participant interview averaged within a 1 km buffer. Reflecting clinical criteria, a score of ≥5 on the CIDI-SF indicated major depression in the preceding 12-months. We characterized climate using Köppen-Geiger classifications. To estimate prevalence ratios, we used Poisson regression. Our models adjusted for sociodemographic characteristics, geography, annual sunshine, and bluespace.

RESULTS

The 21,611 eligible participants were 65 ± 10 years old on average, 55% female, 81% White, 12% Black, 10% Hispanic/Latino, and 31% had at least a 4-year college degree. The 12-month prevalence of a major depression was 8%. In adjusted models, more residential greenspace was associated with a lower prevalence of major depression (prevalence ratio per IQR, 0.91; 95% CI, 0.84 to 0.98). There was evidence of effect modification by climate (P forinteraction, 0.062). We observed stronger associations in tropical (prevalence ratio per IQR 0.69; 95% CI, 0.47 to 1.01) and cold (prevalence ratio per IQR, 0.83; 95% CI, 0.74 to 0.93) climates compared to arid (prevalence ratio per IQR 0.99; 95% CI, 0.90 to 1.09) and temperate (prevalence ratio per IQR 0.98; 95% CI, 0.86 to 1.11) climates.

CONCLUSIONS

Residential greenspace may help reduce major depression. However, climate may influence how people benefit from greenspace.

Outdoor Ultrafine Particulate Matter and Risk of Lung Cancer in Southern California

Rationale: Particulate matter ⩽2.5 μm in aerodynamic diameter (PM2.5) is an established cause of lung cancer, but the association with ultrafine particulate matter (UFP; aerodynamic diameter < 0.1 μm) is unclear. Objectives: To investigate the association between UFP and lung cancer overall and by histologic subtype. Methods: The Los Angeles Ultrafines Study includes 45,012 participants aged ⩾50 years in southern California at enrollment (1995-1996) followed through 2017 for incident lung cancer (n = 1,770). We estimated historical residential ambient UFP number concentrations via land use regression and back extrapolation using PM2.5. In Cox proportional hazards models adjusted for smoking and other confounders, we estimated associations between 10-year lagged UFP (per 10,000 particles/cm3 and quartiles) and lung cancer overall and by major histologic subtype (adenocarcinoma, squamous cell carcinoma, and small cell carcinoma). We also evaluated relationships by smoking status, birth cohort, and historical duration at the residence. Measurements and Main Results: UFP was modestly associated with lung cancer risk overall (hazard ratio [HR], 1.03 [95% confidence interval (CI), 0.99-1.08]). For adenocarcinoma, we observed a positive trend among men; risk was increased in the highest exposure quartile versus the lowest (HR, 1.39 [95% CI, 1.05-1.85]; P for trend = 0.01) and was also increased in continuous models (HR per 10,000 particles/cm3, 1.09 [95% CI, 1.00-1.18]), but no increased risk was apparent among women (P for interaction = 0.03). Adenocarcinoma risk was elevated among men born between 1925 and 1930 (HR, 1.13 [95% CI, 1.02-1.26] per 10,000) but not for other birth cohorts, and was suggestive for men with ⩾10 years of residential duration (HR, 1.11 [95% CI, 0.98-1.26]). We found no consistent associations for women or other histologic subtypes. Conclusions: UFP exposure was modestly associated with lung cancer overall, with stronger associations observed for adenocarcinoma of the lung.

Long-term ozone exposure and lung function in middle childhood

BACKGROUND

Ozone (O3) exposure interrupts normal lung development in animal models. Epidemiologic evidence further suggests impairment with higher long-term O3 exposure across early and middle childhood, although study findings to date are mixed and few have investigated vulnerable subgroups.

METHODS

Participants from the CANDLE study, a pregnancy cohort in Shelby County, TN, in the ECHO-PATHWAYS Consortium, were included if children were born at gestational age >32 weeks, completed a spirometry exam at age 8-9, and had a valid residential history from birth to age 8. We estimated lifetime average ambient O3 exposure based on each child's residential history from birth to age 8, using a validated fine-resolution spatiotemporal model. Spirometry was performed at the age 8-9 year study visit to assess Forced Expiratory Volume in the first second (FEV1) and Forced Vital Capacity (FVC) as primary outcomes; z-scores were calculated using sex-and-age-specific reference equations. Linear regression with robust variance estimators was used to examine associations between O3 exposure and continuous lung function z-scores, adjusted for child, sociodemographic, and home environmental factors. Potential susceptible subgroups were explored using a product term in the regression model to assess effect modification by child sex, history of bronchiolitis in infancy, and allergic sensitization.

RESULTS

In our sample (n = 648), O3 exposure averaged from birth to age 8 was modest (mean 26.6 [SD 1.1] ppb). No adverse associations between long-term postnatal O3 exposure were observed with either FEV1 (β = 0.12, 95% CI: -0.04, 0.29) or FVC (β = 0.03, 95% CI: -0.13, 0.19). No effect modification by child sex, history of bronchiolitis in infancy, or allergic sensitization was detected for associations with 8-year average O3.

CONCLUSIONS

In this sample with low O3 concentrations, we did not observe adverse associations between O3 exposures averaged from birth to age 8 and lung function in middle childhood.

Air Pollutants and Risk of Parkinson's Disease among Women in the Sister Study

BACKGROUND

Air pollutants may contribute to the development of Parkinson's disease (PD), but empirical evidence is limited and inconsistent.

OBJECTIVES

This study aimed to prospectively investigate the associations of PD with ambient exposures to fine particulate matter with aerodynamic diameter ≤ 2.5 μ m (PM 2.5 ) and nitrogen dioxide (NO 2 ).

METHODS

We analyzed data from 47,108 US women from the Sister Study, enrolled from 2003-2009 (35-80 years of age) and followed through 2018. Exposures of interest included address-level ambient PM 2.5 and NO 2 in 2009 and their cumulative averages from 2009 to PD diagnosis with varying lag-years. The primary outcome was PD diagnosis between 2009 and 2018 (n = 163 ). We used multivariable Cox proportional hazards and time-varying Cox models to calculate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs).

RESULTS

NO 2 exposure in 2009 was associated with PD risk in a dose-response manner. The HR and 95% CI were 1.22 (95% CI: 1.03, 1.46) for one interquartile [4.8 parts per billion (ppb)] increment in NO 2 , adjusting for age, race and ethnicity, education, smoking status, alcohol drinking, caffeine intake, body mass index, physical activity, census region, residential area type, area deprivation index (ADI), and self-reported health status. The association was confirmed in secondary analyses with time-varying averaged cumulative exposures. For example, the multivariable adjusted HR for PD per 4.8   ppb increment in NO 2 was 1.25 (95% CI: 1.05, 1.50) in the 2-year lag analysis using cumulative average exposure. Post hoc subgroup analyses overall confirmed the association. However, statistical interaction analyses found that the positive association of NO 2 with PD risk was limited to women in urban, rural, and small town areas and women with ≥ 50 th percentile ADI but not among women from suburban areas or areas with < 50 th percentile ADI. In contrast, PM 2.5 exposure was not associated with PD risk with the possible exception for women from the Midwest region of the US (HR interquartile -range = 2.49 , 95% CI: 1.20, 5.14) but not in other census regions.

DISCUSSION

In this nationwide cohort of US women, higher level exposure to ambient NO 2 is associated with a greater risk of PD. This finding needs to be independently confirmed and the underlying mechanisms warrant further investigation. https://doi.org/10.1289/EHP13009.

Comparison of PM2.5 Air Pollution Exposures and Health Effects Associations Using 11 Different Modeling Approaches in the Women's Health Initiative Memory Study (WHIMS)

BACKGROUND

Many approaches to quantifying air pollution exposures have been developed. However, the impact of choice of approach on air pollution estimates and health-effects associations remains unclear.

OBJECTIVES

Our objective is to compare particulate matter with aerodynamic diameter ≤ 2.5 μ m (PM 2.5 ) concentrations and resulting health effects associations using multiple estimation approaches previously used in epidemiologic analyses.

METHODS

We assigned annual PM 2.5 exposure estimates from 1999 to 2004 derived from 11 different approaches to Women's Health Initiative Memory Study (WHIMS) participant addresses within the contiguous US. Approaches included geostatistical interpolation approaches, land-use regression or spatiotemporal models, satellite-derived approaches, air dispersion and chemical transport models, and hybrid models. We used descriptive statistics and plots to assess relative and absolute agreement among exposure estimates and examined the impact of approach on associations between PM 2.5 and death due to natural causes, cardiovascular disease (CVD) mortality, and incident CVD events, adjusting for individual-level covariates and climate-based region.

RESULTS

With a few exceptions, relative agreement of approach-specific PM 2.5 exposure estimates was high for PM 2.5 concentrations across the contiguous US. Agreement among approach-specific exposure estimates was stronger near PM 2.5 monitors, in certain regions of the country, and in 2004 vs. 1999. Collectively, our results suggest but do not quantify lower agreement at local spatial scales for PM 2.5 . There was no evidence of large differences in health effects associations with PM 2.5 among estimation approaches in analyses adjusted for climate region.

CONCLUSIONS

Different estimation approaches produced similar spatial patterns of PM 2.5 concentrations across the contiguous US and in areas with dense monitoring data, and PM 2.5 -health effects associations were similar among estimation approaches. PM 2.5 estimates and PM 2.5 -health effects associations may differ more in samples drawn from smaller areas or areas without substantial monitoring data, or in analyses with finer adjustment for participant location. Our results can inform decisions about PM 2.5 estimation approach in epidemiologic studies, as investigators balance concerns about bias, efficiency, and resource allocation. Future work is needed to understand whether these conclusions also apply in the context of other air pollutants of interest. https://doi.org/10.1289/EHP12995.

Understanding the role of environmental and socioeconomic factors in the geographic variation of breast cancer risk in the US-wide Sister Study

OBJECTIVE

To describe the geographic pattern of breast cancer incidence in a nationwide prospective cohort and investigate whether environmental exposures and/or neighborhood socioeconomic status explain observed geographic disparities.

METHODS

Using accelerated failure time models with a spatial random effect term, we mapped the health region-level association between residential location and breast cancer incidence for 44,707 participants in the Sister Study after controlling for established individual-level breast cancer risk factors. We performed a variable selection process to select environmental exposures [i.e., ambient nitrogen dioxide (NO2) and fine particulate matter (PM2.5), PM2.5 chemical composition, outdoor light at night (LAN), ambient noise, ultraviolet radiation, and greenspace] and neighborhood-level factors [i.e., population density and area deprivation index (ADI)] that predicted breast cancer incidence and quantified the spatial variation explained by the selected factors. We also considered whether the geographic pattern and predictors were similar when restricting to estrogen receptor-positive (ER+) tumors.

RESULTS

We observed a spatial patterning in the incidence of overall breast cancer (Moran's I = 16.7, p < 0.05) and ER+ breast cancer (Moran's I = 13.2, p < 0.05), with a lower risk observed in the South and Southeast and a greater risk in the Northwest and certain areas of the Midwest and Northeast. NO2, LAN, and ADI explained 21.4% of the spatial variation in overall breast cancer incidence whereas NO2, PM2.5 chemical composition, LAN, greenspace, and ADI together explained 63.3% of the spatial variation in ER+ breast cancer incidence.

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings provide additional evidence for a role of environmental exposures in breast cancer incidence and suggest that geographic-based risk factors may vary according to breast cancer subtype. Our findings support the need for additional research to quantify the relative contributions of geographic-based risk factors for breast cancer.

Associations between air pollution, residential greenness, and glycated hemoglobin (HbA1c) in three prospective cohorts of U.S. adults

BACKGROUND

While studies suggest impacts of individual environmental exposures on type 2 diabetes (T2D) risk, mechanisms remain poorly characterized. Glycated hemoglobin (HbA1c) is a biomarker of glycemia and diagnostic criterion for prediabetes and T2D. We explored associations between multiple environmental exposures and HbA1c in non-diabetic adults.

METHODS

HbA1c was assessed once in 12,315 women and men in three U.S.-based prospective cohorts: the Nurses' Health Study (NHS), Nurses' Health Study II (NHSII), and Health Professionals Follow-up Study (HPFS). Residential greenness within 270 m and 1,230 m (normalized difference vegetation index, NDVI) was obtained from Landsat. Fine particulate matter (PM2.5) and nitrogen dioxide (NO2) were estimated from nationwide spatiotemporal models. Three-month and one-year averages prior to blood draw were assigned to participants' addresses. We assessed associations between single exposure, multi-exposure, and component scores from Principal Components Analysis (PCA) and HbA1c. Fully-adjusted models built on basic models of age and year at blood draw, BMI, alcohol use, and neighborhood socioeconomic status (nSES) to include diet quality, race, family history, smoking status, postmenopausal hormone use, population density, and season. We assessed interactions between environmental exposures, and effect modification by population density, nSES, and sex.

RESULTS

Based on HbA1c, 19% of participants had prediabetes. In single exposure fully-adjusted models, an IQR (0.14) higher 1-year 1,230 m NDVI was associated with a 0.27% (95% CI: 0.05%, 0.49%) lower HbA1c. In basic component score models, a SD increase in Component 1 (high loadings for 1-year NDVI) was associated with a 0.19% (95% CI: 0.04%, 0.34%) lower HbA1c. CI's crossed the null in multi-exposure and fully-adjusted component score models. There was little evidence of associations between air pollution and HbA1c, and no evidence of effect modification.

CONCLUSIONS

Among non-diabetic adults, environmental exposures were not consistently associated with HbA1c. More work is needed to elucidate biological pathways between the environment and prediabetes.

Indoor Pollution and Lung Function Decline in Current and Former Smokers: SPIROMICS AIR

Rationale: Indoor pollutants have been associated with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease morbidity, but it is unclear whether they contribute to disease progression. Objectives: We aimed to determine whether indoor particulate matter (PM) and nitrogen dioxide (NO2) are associated with lung function decline among current and former smokers. Methods: Of the 2,382 subjects with a history of smoking in SPIROMICS AIR, 1,208 participants had complete information to estimate indoor PM and NO2, using individual-based prediction models, in relation to measured spirometry at two or more clinic visits. We used a three-way interaction model between time, pollutant, and smoking status and assessed the indoor pollutant-associated difference in FEV1 decline separately using a generalized linear mixed model. Measurements and Main Results: Participants had an average rate of FEV1 decline of 60.3 ml/yr for those currently smoking compared with 35.2 ml/yr for those who quit. The association of indoor PM with FEV1 decline differed by smoking status. Among former smokers, every 10 μg/m3 increase in estimated indoor PM was associated with an additional 10 ml/yr decline in FEV1 (P = 0.044). Among current smokers, FEV1 decline did not differ by indoor PM. The results of indoor NO2 suggest trends similar to those for PM ⩽2.5 μm in aerodynamic diameter. Conclusions: Former smokers with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease who live in homes with high estimated PM have accelerated lung function loss, and those in homes with low PM have lung function loss similar to normal aging. In-home PM exposure may contribute to variability in lung function decline in people who quit smoking and may be a modifiable exposure.

Advancing application of satellite remote sensing technologies for linking atmospheric and built environment to health

Background

The intricate interplay between human well-being and the surrounding environment underscores contemporary discourse. Within this paradigm, comprehensive environmental monitoring holds the key to unraveling the intricate connections linking population health to environmental exposures. The advent of satellite remote sensing monitoring (SRSM) has revolutionized traditional monitoring constraints, particularly limited spatial coverage and resolution. This innovation finds profound utility in quantifying land covers and air pollution data, casting new light on epidemiological and geographical investigations. This dynamic application reveals the intricate web connecting public health, environmental pollution, and the built environment.

Objective

This comprehensive review navigates the evolving trajectory of SRSM technology, casting light on its role in addressing environmental and geographic health issues. The discussion hones in on how SRSM has recently magnified our understanding of the relationship between air pollutant exposure and population health. Additionally, this discourse delves into public health challenges stemming from shifts in urban morphology.

Methods

Utilizing the strategic keywords "SRSM," "air pollutant health risk," and "built environment," an exhaustive search unfolded across prestigious databases including the China National Knowledge Network (CNKI), PubMed and Web of Science. The Citespace tool further unveiled interconnections among resultant articles and research trends.

Results

Synthesizing insights from a myriad of articles spanning 1988 to 2023, our findings unveil how SRMS bridges gaps in ground-based monitoring through continuous spatial observations, empowering global air quality surveillance. High-resolution SRSM advances data precision, capturing multiple built environment impact factors. Its application to epidemiological health exposure holds promise as a pioneering tool for contemporary health research.

Conclusion

This review underscores SRSM's pivotal role in enriching geographic health studies, particularly in atmospheric pollution domains. The study illuminates how SRSM overcomes spatial resolution and data loss hurdles, enriching environmental monitoring tools and datasets. The path forward envisions the integration of cutting-edge remote sensing technologies, novel explorations of urban-public health associations, and an enriched assessment of built environment characteristics on public well-being.

Air pollution and fecundability in a North American preconception cohort study

BACKGROUND

Animal and epidemiologic studies indicate that air pollution may adversely affect fertility. However, the level of evidence is limited and specific pollutants driving the association are inconsistent across studies.

METHODS

We used data from a web-based preconception cohort study of pregnancy planners enrolled during 2013-2019 (Pregnancy Study Online; PRESTO). Eligible participants self-identified as female, were aged 21-45 years, resided in the United States (U.S.) or Canada, and were trying to conceive without fertility treatments. Participants completed a baseline questionnaire and bi-monthly follow-up questionnaires until conception or 12 months. We analyzed data from 8,747 participants (U.S.: 7,304; Canada: 1,443) who had been trying to conceive for < 12 cycles at enrollment. We estimated residential ambient concentrations of particulate matter < 2.5 µm (PM2.5), nitrogen dioxide (NO2), and ozone (O3) using validated spatiotemporal models specific to each country. We fit country-specific proportional probabilities regression models to estimate the association between annual average, menstrual cycle-specific, and preconception average pollutant concentrations with fecundability, the per-cycle probability of conception. We calculated fecundability ratios (FRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) and adjusted for individual- and neighborhood-level confounders.

RESULTS

In the U.S., the FRs for a 5-µg/m3 increase in annual average, cycle-specific, and preconception average PM2.5 concentrations were 0.94 (95% CI: 0.83, 1.08), 1.00 (95% CI: 0.93, 1.07), and 1.00 (95% CI: 0.93, 1.09), respectively. In Canada, the corresponding FRs were 0.92 (95% CI: 0.74, 1.16), 0.97 (95% CI: 0.87, 1.09), and 0.94 (95% CI: 0.80, 1.09), respectively. Likewise, NO2 and O3 concentrations were not strongly associated with fecundability in either country.

CONCLUSIONS

Neither annual average, menstrual cycle-specific, nor preconception average exposure to ambient PM2.5, NO2, and O3 were appreciably associated with reduced fecundability in this cohort of pregnancy planners.

Source apportionment of heavy metals in PM2.5 samples and effects of heavy metals on hypertension among schoolchildren in Tianjin

The prevalence of hypertension in children has increased significantly in recent years in China. The aim of this study was to provide scientific support to control ambient heavy metals (HMs) pollution and prevent childhood hypertension. In this study, ambient HMs in PM2.5 were collected, and 1339 students from Tianjin were randomly selected. Positive matrix factorization (PMF) was used to identify and determine the sources of HMs pollution. The generalized linear model, Bayesian kernel machine regression (BKMR) and the quantile g-computation method were used to analyze the relationships between exposure to HMs and the risk of childhood hypertension. The results showed that HMs in PM2.5 mainly came from four sources: soil dust, coal combustion, incineration of municipal waste and the metallurgical industry. The positive relationships between As, Se and Pb exposures and childhood hypertension risk were found. Coal combustion and incineration of municipal waste were important sources of HMs in the occurrence of childhood hypertension. Based on these accomplishments, this study could provide guidelines for the government and individuals to alleviate the damaging effects of HMs in PM2.5. The government must implement policies to control prime sources of HMs pollution.

Air pollution and epigenetic aging among Black and White women in the US

BACKGROUND

DNA methylation-based measures of biological aging have been associated with air pollution and may link pollutant exposures to aging-related health outcomes. However, evidence is inconsistent and there is little information for Black women.

OBJECTIVE

We examined associations of ambient particulate matter <2.5 μm and <10 μm in diameter (PM2.5 and PM10) and nitrogen dioxide (NO2) with DNA methylation, including epigenetic aging and individual CpG sites, and evaluated whether associations differ between Black and non-Hispanic White (NHW) women.

METHODS

Validated models were used to estimate annual average outdoor residential exposure to PM2.5, PM10, and NO2 in a sample of self-identified Black (n=633) and NHW (n=3493) women residing in the contiguous US. We used sampling-weighted generalized linear regression to examine the effects of pollutants on six epigenetic aging measures (primary: DunedinPACE, GrimAgeAccel, and PhenoAgeAccel; secondary: Horvath intrinsic epigenetic age acceleration [EAA], Hannum extrinsic EAA, and skin & blood EAA) and epigenome-wide associations for individual CpG sites. Wald tests of nested models with and without interaction terms were used to examine effect measure modification by race/ethnicity.

RESULTS

Black participants had higher median air pollution exposure than NHW participants. GrimAgeAccel was associated with both PM10 and NO2 among Black participants, (Q4 versus Q1, PM10: β=1.09, 95% CI: 0.16-2.03; NO2: β=1.01, 95% CI 0.08-1.94) but not NHW participants (p-for-heterogeneity: PM10=0.10, NO2=0.20). In Black participants, we also observed a monotonic exposure-response relationship between NO2 and DunedinPACE (Q4 versus Q1, NO2: β=0.029, 95% CI: 0.004-0.055; p-for-trend=0.03), which was not observed in NHW participants (p-for-heterogeneity=0.09). In the EWAS, pollutants were significantly associated with differential methylation at 19 CpG sites in Black women and one in NHW women.

CONCLUSIONS

In a US-wide cohort study, our findings suggest that air pollution is associated with DNA methylation alterations consistent with higher epigenetic aging among Black, but not NHW, women.