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Epstein RL, Munroe S, Taylor LE, Duryea PR, Buzzee B, Pramanick T, Feld JJ, Baptiste D, Carroll M, Castera L, Sterling RK, Thomas A, Chan PA, Linas BP. Clinical- and Cost-Effectiveness of Liver Disease Staging in Hepatitis C Virus Infection: A Microsimulation Study. Clin Infect Dis 2025; 80:300-313. [PMID: 39535186 PMCID: PMC11848265 DOI: 10.1093/cid/ciae485] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/03/2024] [Indexed: 11/16/2024] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Liver disease assessment is a key aspect of chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection pre-treatment evaluation but guidelines differ on the optimal testing modality given trade-offs in availability and accuracy. We compared clinical outcomes and cost-effectiveness of common fibrosis staging strategies. METHODS We simulated adults with chronic HCV receiving care at US health centers through a lifetime microsimulation across five strategies: (1) no staging or treatment (comparator), (2) indirect serum biomarker testing (Fibrosis-4 index [FIB-4]) only, (3) transient elastography (TE) only, (4) staged approach: FIB-4 for all, TE only for intermediate FIB-4 scores (1.45-3.25), and (5) both tests for all. Outcomes included infections cured, cirrhosis cases, liver-related deaths, costs, quality-adjusted life years (QALYs), and incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs). We used literature-informed loss to follow-up (LTFU) rates and 2021 Medicaid perspective and costs. RESULTS FIB-4 alone generated the best clinical outcomes: 87.7% cured, 8.7% developed cirrhosis, and 4.6% had liver-related deaths. TE strategies cured 58.5%-76.6%, 16.8%-29.4% developed cirrhosis, and 11.6%-22.6% had liver-related deaths. All TE strategies yielded worse clinical outcomes at higher costs per QALY than FIB-4 only, which had an ICER of $12 869 per QALY gained compared with no staging or treatment. LTFU drove these findings: TE strategies were only cost-effective with no LTFU. In a point-of-care HCV test-and-treat scenario, treatment without any staging was most clinically and cost-effective. CONCLUSIONS FIB-4 staging alone resulted in optimal clinical outcomes and was cost-effective. Treatment for chronic HCV should not be delayed while awaiting fibrosis staging with TE.
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Affiliation(s)
- Rachel L Epstein
- Department of Medicine, Section of Infectious Diseases, Boston University Chobanian & Avedisian School of Medicine, Boston, Massachusetts, USA
- Department of Pediatrics, Section of Infectious Diseases, Boston University Chobanian & Avedisian School of Medicine, Boston, Massachusetts, USA
- Section of Infectious Diseases, Boston Medical Center, Boston, Massachusetts, USA
| | - Sarah Munroe
- Section of Infectious Diseases, Boston Medical Center, Boston, Massachusetts, USA
| | - Lynn E Taylor
- Department of Pharmacy Practice and Clinical Research, University of Rhode Island, Kingston, Rhode Island, USA
- Department of Primary Care, HealthFirst Family Care Center Inc., Fall River, Massachusetts, USA
| | - Patrick R Duryea
- Department of Pharmacy Practice and Clinical Research, University of Rhode Island, Kingston, Rhode Island, USA
| | - Benjamin Buzzee
- Section of Infectious Diseases, Boston Medical Center, Boston, Massachusetts, USA
| | - Tannishtha Pramanick
- Section of Infectious Diseases, Boston Medical Center, Boston, Massachusetts, USA
| | - Jordan J Feld
- Toronto Centre for Liver Disease, University Health Network, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
| | - Dimitri Baptiste
- Section of Infectious Diseases, Boston Medical Center, Boston, Massachusetts, USA
| | - Matthew Carroll
- Section of Infectious Diseases, Boston Medical Center, Boston, Massachusetts, USA
| | - Laurent Castera
- Department of Hepatology, Beaujon Hospital, Assistance Publique-Hopitaux de Paris, Université Paris Cité, Clichy, France
| | - Richard K Sterling
- Department of Internal Medicine, Division of Gastroenterology, Hepatology and Nutrition, Virginia Commonwealth University, Richmond, Virginia, USA
| | - Aurielle Thomas
- Department of Pharmacy Practice and Clinical Research, University of Rhode Island, Kingston, Rhode Island, USA
| | - Philip A Chan
- Rhode Island Department of Health, Providence, Rhode Island, USA
- Department of Medicine, Brown University, Providence, Rhode Island, USA
| | - Benjamin P Linas
- Department of Medicine, Section of Infectious Diseases, Boston University Chobanian & Avedisian School of Medicine, Boston, Massachusetts, USA
- Section of Infectious Diseases, Boston Medical Center, Boston, Massachusetts, USA
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Epstein RL, Buzzee B, White LF, Feld JJ, Castera L, Sterling RK, Linas BP, Taylor LE. Test characteristics for combining non-invasive liver fibrosis staging modalities in individuals with Hepatitis C virus. J Viral Hepat 2024; 31:277-292. [PMID: 38326950 PMCID: PMC11102317 DOI: 10.1111/jvh.13925] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/20/2023] [Revised: 12/27/2023] [Accepted: 01/17/2024] [Indexed: 02/09/2024]
Abstract
Non-invasive methods have largely replaced biopsy to identify advanced fibrosis in hepatitis C virus (HCV). Guidelines vary regarding testing strategy to balance accuracy, costs and loss to follow-up. Although individual test characteristics are well-described, data comparing the accuracy of using two tests together are limited. We calculated combined test characteristics to determine the utility of combined strategies. This study synthesizes empirical data from fibrosis staging trials and the literature to estimate test characteristics for Fibrosis-4 (FIB4), APRI or a commercial serum panel (FibroSure®), followed by transient elastography (TE) or FibroSure®. We simulated two testing strategies: (1) second test only for those with intermediate first test results (staged approach), and (2) second test for all. We summarized empiric data with multinomial distributions and used this to estimate test characteristics of each strategy on a simulated population of 10,000 individuals with 4.2% cirrhosis prevalence. Negative predictive value (NPV) for cirrhosis from a single test ranged from 98.2% (95% CB 97.6-98.8%) for FIB-4 to 99.4% (95% CB 99.0-99.8%) for TE. Using a staged approach with TE second, sensitivity for cirrhosis rose to 93.3-96.9%, NPV to 99.7-99.8%, while PPV dropped to <32%. Using TE as a second test for all minimally changed estimated test characteristics compared with the staged approach. Combining two non-invasive fibrosis tests barely improves NPV and decreases or does not change PPV compared with a single test, challenging the utility of serial testing modalities. These calculated combined test characteristics can inform best methods to identify advanced fibrosis in various populations.
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Affiliation(s)
- Rachel L. Epstein
- Department of Medicine, Section of Infectious Diseases, Boston University Chobanian and Avedisian School of Medicine, Boston, Massachusetts, USA
- Department of Pediatrics, Section of Infectious Diseases, Boston University Chobanian and Avedisian School of Medicine, Boston, Massachusetts, USA
| | - Benjamin Buzzee
- Section of Infectious Diseases, Boston Medical Center, Boston, Massachusetts, USA
| | - Laura F. White
- Department of Biostatistics, Boston University School of Public Health, Boston, Massachusetts, USA
| | - Jordan J. Feld
- Toronto Centre for Liver Disease, University Health Network, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
| | - Laurent Castera
- Department of Hepatology, Beaujon Hospital, Assistance Publique-Hopitaux de Paris, Université Paris Cité, Clichy, France
| | - Richard K. Sterling
- Department of Internal Medicine, Division of Gastroenterology, Hepatology and Nutrition, Virginia Commonwealth University, Richmond, Virginia, USA
| | - Benjamin P. Linas
- Department of Medicine, Section of Infectious Diseases, Boston University Chobanian and Avedisian School of Medicine, Boston, Massachusetts, USA
- Department of Epidemiology, Boston University School of Public Health, Boston, Massachusetts, USA
| | - Lynn E. Taylor
- College of Pharmacy, University of Rhode Island, Kingston, Rhode Island, USA
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Shih ST, Cheng Q, Carson J, Valerio H, Sheehan Y, Gray RT, Cunningham EB, Kwon JA, Lloyd AR, Dore GJ, Wiseman V, Grebely J. Optimizing point-of-care testing strategies for diagnosis and treatment of hepatitis C virus infection in Australia: a model-based cost-effectiveness analysis. THE LANCET REGIONAL HEALTH. WESTERN PACIFIC 2023; 36:100750. [PMID: 37547040 PMCID: PMC10398594 DOI: 10.1016/j.lanwpc.2023.100750] [Citation(s) in RCA: 9] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/02/2022] [Revised: 03/09/2023] [Accepted: 03/15/2023] [Indexed: 04/05/2023]
Abstract
Background Timely diagnosis and treatment of hepatitis C virus (HCV) is critical to achieve elimination goals. This study evaluated the cost-effectiveness of point-of-care testing strategies for HCV compared to laboratory-based testing in standard-of-care. Methods Cost-effectiveness analyses were undertaken from the perspective of Australian Governments as funders by modelling point-of-care testing strategies compared to standard-of-care in needle and syringe programs, drug treatment clinics, and prisons. Point-of-care testing strategies included immediate point-of-care HCV RNA testing and combined point-of-care HCV antibody and reflex RNA testing for HCV antibody positive people (with and without consideration of previous treatment). Sensitivity analyses were performed to investigate the cost per treatment initiation with different testing strategies at different HCV antibody prevalence levels. Findings The average costs per HCV treatment initiation by point-of-care testing, from A$890 to A$1406, were up to 35% lower compared to standard-of-care ranging from A$1248 to A$1632 depending on settings. The average costs per treatment initiation by point-of-care testing for three settings ranged from A$1080 to A$1406 for RNA, A$960-A$1310 for combined antibody/RNA without treatment history consideration, and A$890-A$1189 for combined antibody/RNA with treatment history consideration. When HCV antibody prevalence was <74%, combined point-of-care HCV antibody and point-of-care RNA testing were the most cost-effective strategies. Modest increases in treatment uptake by 8%-31% were required for immediate point-of-care HCV RNA testing to achieve equivalent cost per treatment initiation compared to standard-of-care. Interpretation Point-of-care testing is more cost-effective than standard of care for populations at risk of HCV. Testing strategies combining point-of-care HCV antibody and RNA testing are likely to be cost-effective in most settings. Funding National Health and Medical Research Council.
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Affiliation(s)
- Sophy T.F. Shih
- The Kirby Institute, University of New South Wales, Level 6, Wallace Wurth Building, Sydney 2052, Australia
| | - Qinglu Cheng
- The Kirby Institute, University of New South Wales, Level 6, Wallace Wurth Building, Sydney 2052, Australia
| | - Joanne Carson
- The Kirby Institute, University of New South Wales, Level 6, Wallace Wurth Building, Sydney 2052, Australia
| | - Heather Valerio
- The Kirby Institute, University of New South Wales, Level 6, Wallace Wurth Building, Sydney 2052, Australia
| | - Yumi Sheehan
- The Kirby Institute, University of New South Wales, Level 6, Wallace Wurth Building, Sydney 2052, Australia
| | - Richard T. Gray
- The Kirby Institute, University of New South Wales, Level 6, Wallace Wurth Building, Sydney 2052, Australia
| | - Evan B. Cunningham
- The Kirby Institute, University of New South Wales, Level 6, Wallace Wurth Building, Sydney 2052, Australia
| | - Jisoo A. Kwon
- The Kirby Institute, University of New South Wales, Level 6, Wallace Wurth Building, Sydney 2052, Australia
| | - Andrew R. Lloyd
- The Kirby Institute, University of New South Wales, Level 6, Wallace Wurth Building, Sydney 2052, Australia
| | - Gregory J. Dore
- The Kirby Institute, University of New South Wales, Level 6, Wallace Wurth Building, Sydney 2052, Australia
| | - Virginia Wiseman
- The Kirby Institute, University of New South Wales, Level 6, Wallace Wurth Building, Sydney 2052, Australia
- Department of Global Health and Development, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK
| | - Jason Grebely
- The Kirby Institute, University of New South Wales, Level 6, Wallace Wurth Building, Sydney 2052, Australia
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Epstein RL, Pramanick T, Baptiste D, Buzzee B, Reese PP, Linas BP, Sawinski D. A Microsimulation Study of the Cost-Effectiveness of Hepatitis C Virus Screening Frequencies in Hemodialysis Centers. J Am Soc Nephrol 2023; 34:205-219. [PMID: 36735375 PMCID: PMC10103100 DOI: 10.1681/asn.2022030245] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/02/2022] [Accepted: 10/14/2022] [Indexed: 12/15/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND National guidelines recommend twice-yearly hepatitis C virus (HCV) screening for patients receiving in-center hemodialysis. However, studies examining the cost-effectiveness of HCV screening methods or frequencies are lacking. METHODS We populated an HCV screening, treatment, and disease microsimulation model with a cohort representative of the US in-center hemodialysis population. Clinical outcomes, costs, and cost-effectiveness of the Kidney Disease Improving Global Outcomes (KDIGO) 2018 guidelines-endorsed HCV screening frequency (every 6 months) were compared with less frequent periodic screening (yearly, every 2 years), screening only at hemodialysis initiation, and no screening. We estimated expected quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) and incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) between each screening strategy and the next less expensive alternative strategy, from a health care sector perspective, in 2019 US dollars. For each strategy, we modeled an HCV outbreak occurring in 1% of centers. In sensitivity analyses, we varied mortality, linkage to HCV cure, screening method (ribonucleic acid versus antibody testing), test sensitivity, HCV infection rates, and outbreak frequencies. RESULTS Screening only at hemodialysis initiation yielded HCV cure rates of 79%, with an ICER of $82,739 per QALY saved compared with no testing. Compared with screening at hemodialysis entry only, screening every 2 years increased cure rates to 88% and decreased liver-related deaths by 52%, with an ICER of $140,193. Screening every 6 months had an ICER of $934,757; in sensitivity analyses using a willingness-to-pay threshold of $150,000 per QALY gained, screening every 6 months was never cost-effective. CONCLUSIONS The KDIGO-recommended HCV screening interval (every 6 months) does not seem to be a cost-effective use of health care resources, suggesting that re-evaluation of less-frequent screening strategies should be considered.
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Affiliation(s)
- Rachel L. Epstein
- Department of Medicine, Section of Infectious Diseases, Boston University School of Medicine, Boston, Massachusetts
- Department of Pediatrics, Section of Infectious Diseases, Boston University School of Medicine, Boston, Massachusetts
| | | | - Dimitri Baptiste
- Section of Infectious Diseases, Boston Medical Center, Boston, Massachusetts
| | - Benjamin Buzzee
- Section of Infectious Diseases, Boston Medical Center, Boston, Massachusetts
| | - Peter P. Reese
- Department of Medicine, Renal-Electrolyte Hypertension Division, Perelman School of Medicine, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
- Department of Biostatistics, Epidemiology, and Informatics, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
| | - Benjamin P. Linas
- Department of Medicine, Section of Infectious Diseases, Boston University School of Medicine, Boston, Massachusetts
- Department of Epidemiology, Boston University School of Public Health, Boston, Massachusetts
| | - Deirdre Sawinski
- Department of Nephrology and Transplantation, Weill Cornell College of Medicine, New York, New York
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Jiang X, Diaby V, Vouri SM, Lo-Ciganic W, Parker RL, Wang W, Chang SH, Wilson DL, Henry L, Park H. Economic Impact of Universal Hepatitis C Virus Testing for Middle-Aged Adults Who Inject Drugs. Am J Prev Med 2023; 64:96-104. [PMID: 36257884 PMCID: PMC10074824 DOI: 10.1016/j.amepre.2022.08.016] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/09/2022] [Revised: 08/02/2022] [Accepted: 08/24/2022] [Indexed: 02/05/2023]
Abstract
INTRODUCTION The objective of this study was to estimate the economic impact of providing universal hepatitis C virus testing in commercially insured middle-aged persons who inject drugs in the U.S. METHODS This study developed a dynamic 10-year economic model to project the clinical and economic outcomes associated with hepatitis C virus testing among middle-aged adult persons who inject drugs, from a payer's perspective. Costs related to hepatitis C virus testing, direct-acting antiviral, and liver-related outcomes between the (1) current hepatitis C virus testing rate (i.e., 8%) and (2) universal hepatitis C virus testing rate (i.e., 100%) were compared. Among patients testing positive, 21% of those without cirrhosis and 48% of those with cirrhosis were assumed to initiate direct-acting antivirals. Sensitivity analyses were performed to identify variables (e.g., direct-acting antiviral drug costs, hepatitis C virus testing costs, direct-acting antiviral treatment rate) influencing this study's conclusion. RESULTS The model predicts that during the 10-year period, universal hepatitis C virus testing will cost an additional $242 per person who injects drugs to the payers' healthcare budgets compared with the current scenario. Sensitivity analyses showed values ranging from $1,656 additional costs to $1,085 cost savings across all varied parameters and scenarios. A total of 80% of the current direct-acting antiviral costs indicated that cost savings will be $383 per person who injects drugs. CONCLUSIONS Universal hepatitis C virus testing among persons who inject drugs would not achieve cost savings within 10 years, with the cost of direct-acting antivirals contributing the most to the spending. To promote universal hepatitis C virus testing among persons who inject drugs, decreasing direct-acting antiviral costs and sustainable funding streams for hepatitis C virus testing should be considered.
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Affiliation(s)
- Xinyi Jiang
- Department of Pharmaceutical Outcomes & Policy, University of Florida College of Pharmacy, Gainesville, Florida
| | - Vakaramoko Diaby
- Department of Pharmaceutical Outcomes & Policy, University of Florida College of Pharmacy, Gainesville, Florida; Center for Drug Evaluation and Safety (CoDES), University of Florida College of Pharmacy, Gainesville, Florida
| | - Scott Martin Vouri
- Department of Pharmaceutical Outcomes & Policy, University of Florida College of Pharmacy, Gainesville, Florida; Center for Drug Evaluation and Safety (CoDES), University of Florida College of Pharmacy, Gainesville, Florida
| | - Weihsuan Lo-Ciganic
- Department of Pharmaceutical Outcomes & Policy, University of Florida College of Pharmacy, Gainesville, Florida; Center for Drug Evaluation and Safety (CoDES), University of Florida College of Pharmacy, Gainesville, Florida
| | - Robert L Parker
- Department of Biostatistics, University of Florida College of Public Health and Health Professions & College of Medicine, Gainesville, Florida
| | - Wei Wang
- Department of Pharmaceutical Outcomes & Policy, University of Florida College of Pharmacy, Gainesville, Florida
| | - Shao-Hsuan Chang
- Department of Pharmaceutical Outcomes & Policy, University of Florida College of Pharmacy, Gainesville, Florida
| | - Debbie L Wilson
- Department of Pharmaceutical Outcomes & Policy, University of Florida College of Pharmacy, Gainesville, Florida
| | - Linda Henry
- Department of Pharmaceutical Outcomes & Policy, University of Florida College of Pharmacy, Gainesville, Florida
| | - Haesuk Park
- Department of Pharmaceutical Outcomes & Policy, University of Florida College of Pharmacy, Gainesville, Florida; Center for Drug Evaluation and Safety (CoDES), University of Florida College of Pharmacy, Gainesville, Florida.
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