Diagnostic Accuracy of Noninvasive Fibrosis Scores in a Population of Individuals With a Low Prevalence of Fibrosis

The Asian Pacific association for the study of the liver clinical practice guidelines for the diagnosis and management of metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease

Metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD) affects over one-fourth of the global adult population and is the leading cause of liver disease worldwide. To address this, the Asian Pacific Association for the Study of the Liver (APASL) has created clinical practice guidelines focused on MAFLD. The guidelines cover various aspects of the disease, such as its epidemiology, diagnosis, screening, assessment, and treatment. The guidelines aim to advance clinical practice, knowledge, and research on MAFLD, particularly in special groups. The guidelines are designed to advance clinical practice, to provide evidence-based recommendations to assist healthcare stakeholders in decision-making and to improve patient care and disease awareness. The guidelines take into account the burden of clinical management for the healthcare sector.

Non-Alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease (NAFLD) Management in the Community

Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) has frequently been associated with obesity, type 2 diabetes (T2D), and dyslipidemia, all of which are shared by increased insulin resistance. It has become the most common liver disorder in Korea as well as in developed countries and is therefore associated with an increased health burden of morbidity and mortality. It has an association with T2D, and T2D increases the risk of cirrhosis and related complications. NAFLD encompasses a disease continuum from simple steatosis to non-alcoholic steatohepatitis which is characterized by faster fibrosis progression. Although its liver-related complication is estimated to be, at most, 10%, it will be a leading cause of cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma soon in Korea. Although the main causes of death in people with NAFLD are cardiovascular disease and extra-hepatic malignancy, advanced liver fibrosis is a key prognostic marker for liver-related outcomes and can be assessed with combinations of non-invasive tests in the community. A number of components of metabolic syndrome involved could be another important prognostic information of NAFLD assessed easily in the routine care of the community. There is a few approved therapies for NAFLD, although several drugs, including antioxidants, attract practitioners' attention. Because of the modest effect of the present therapeutics, let alone complex pathophysiology and substantial heterogeneity of disease phenotypes, combination treatment is a viable option for many patients with NAFLD in the Korean community. Comprehensive approach taking healthy lifestyle and weight reduction into account remain a mainstay to the prevention and treatment of NAFLD.

Obesity in Prediabetic Patients: Management of Metabolic Complications and Strategies for Prevention of Overt Diabetes

Obesity and prediabetes affect a substantial part of the general population, but are largely underdiagnosed, underestimated, and undertreated. Prediabetes differs from diabetes only in the degree of hyperglycaemia consequent to the progressive decline in residual beta-cell function. Both prediabetes and diabetes occur as a consequence of insulin resistance that starts several years before the clinical onset of overt diabetes. Macrovascular complications in patients with diabetes are mainly caused by insulin resistance. This is why in prediabetes, the overall cardiovascular risk is, by all means, similar to that in patients with diabetes. It is important, therefore, to identify prediabetes and treat patients not only to prevent or delay the onset of diabetes, but to reduce the cardiovascular risk associated with prediabetes. This review provides an overview of the pathophysiology of prediabetes in patients with obesity and the progression toward overt diabetes. We have reviewed nutritional and pharmacological approaches to the management of obesity and reduced glucose tolerance, and the treatment of the major comorbidities in these patients, including hypertension, dyslipidaemia, and Metabolic dysfunction-associated Steatotic Liver Disease (MASLD), has also been reviewed. In patients with obesity and prediabetes, the nutritional approach is similar to that adopted for patients with obesity and diabetes; treatments of dyslipidaemia and hypertension also have the same targets compared to patients with diabetes. MASLD is a critical issue in these patients; in the prediabetic state, MASLD rarely progresses into fibrosis. This highlights the importance of the early recognition of this pathological condition before patients become diabetic when the risk of fibrosis is much higher. It is necessary to raise awareness of the clinical relevance of this pathological condition in order to prompt early intervention before complications occur. The single most important therapeutic goal is weight loss, which must be early and persistent.

Disease Progression for Histologic Diagnosis of Metabolic Dysfunction-Associated Steatotic Liver Disease in the Real-World: A Nationwide US Study

INTRODUCTION

We compared clinical characteristics and outcomes in real-world metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) patients with or without liver biopsy using a nationwide cohort in United States (USA) to fill in gaps in selection of biopsy patients.

METHODS

We conducted a retrospective cohort study of adult MASLD patients using Marketscan® Databases (1/2007-12/2021). Patients were categorized into those with or without liver biopsy during follow-up.

RESULTS

We analyzed 540,326 MASLD patients: 23,732 with and 516,594 without biopsy. Only 4% of MASLD patients received liver biopsy and biopsy rate decreased in the last 5 years (9.4%-3.6%). After 1:5 propensity score matching on baseline characteristics including age, sex, and comorbidities, a total of 23,731 patients with biopsy and 118,396 matched patients without biopsy were analyzed. The incidence per 1,000 person-years for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) was 0.22 versus 2.18, cirrhosis 29.75 versus 90.44, and hepatic decompensation 15.84 versus 28.25 compared patients with and without biopsy. In multivariable analysis, patients with biopsy had more than 9 times higher risk of developing HCC, 3 times higher risk of cirrhosis, and 78% higher risk of hepatic decompensation. In subgroup analysis, the association remained consistent when stratified by age (<50 and ≥50), sex, and diabetes mellitus. Predictors of having biopsy included age, metabolic diseases, and living in North central or Northeast of USA.

CONCLUSION

These data can inform clinical patient management that biopsy patients likely represent a selected group at higher risk for disease progression, especially in clinical trials for MASLD therapies.

INTRODUCTION

We compared clinical characteristics and outcomes in real-world metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) patients with or without liver biopsy using a nationwide cohort in United States (USA) to fill in gaps in selection of biopsy patients.

METHODS

We conducted a retrospective cohort study of adult MASLD patients using Marketscan® Databases (1/2007-12/2021). Patients were categorized into those with or without liver biopsy during follow-up.

RESULTS

We analyzed 540,326 MASLD patients: 23,732 with and 516,594 without biopsy. Only 4% of MASLD patients received liver biopsy and biopsy rate decreased in the last 5 years (9.4%-3.6%). After 1:5 propensity score matching on baseline characteristics including age, sex, and comorbidities, a total of 23,731 patients with biopsy and 118,396 matched patients without biopsy were analyzed. The incidence per 1,000 person-years for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) was 0.22 versus 2.18, cirrhosis 29.75 versus 90.44, and hepatic decompensation 15.84 versus 28.25 compared patients with and without biopsy. In multivariable analysis, patients with biopsy had more than 9 times higher risk of developing HCC, 3 times higher risk of cirrhosis, and 78% higher risk of hepatic decompensation. In subgroup analysis, the association remained consistent when stratified by age (<50 and ≥50), sex, and diabetes mellitus. Predictors of having biopsy included age, metabolic diseases, and living in North central or Northeast of USA.

CONCLUSION

These data can inform clinical patient management that biopsy patients likely represent a selected group at higher risk for disease progression, especially in clinical trials for MASLD therapies.

Distribution of Fibrosis-4 index and vibration-controlled transient elastography-derived liver stiffness measurement for patients with metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease in health check-up

AIMS

The multisociety consensus nomenclature has introduced steatotic liver disease (SLD) with diverse subclassifications, which are metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD), metabolic dysfunction and alcohol-associated steatotic liver disease (MetALD), alcohol-associated liver disease (ALD), specific etiology, and cryptogenic. We investigated their prevalence, as per the new definition, in individuals undergoing health check-ups. Additionally, we analyzed the distribution of Fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) index and vibration-controlled transient elastography (VCTE)-derived liver stiffness measurement (LSM) for MASLD.

METHODS

In this cross-sectional study, 6530 subjects undergoing a health check-up in Japan were included. Conventional B-mode ultrasound was carried out on all 6530 subjects, and those with MASLD underwent VCTE.

RESULTS

The prevalence of SLD was 39.5%, comprising MASLD 28.7%, MetALD 8.6%, ALD 1.2%, specific etiology SLD 0.3%, and cryptogenic SLD 0.7%. Subjects with VCTE-derived LSM ≥8 kPa constituted 2.1% of MASLD. FIB-4 ≥1.3 showed that the sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), and negative predictive value for diagnosing VCTE-derived LSM ≥8 kPa were 60.6%, 77.0%, 5.3%, and 98.9%, respectively. The referral rate to specialists was 23.8% using FIB-4 ≥1.30. "FIB-4 ≥1.3 in subjects <65 years and FIB-4 ≥2.0 in subjects ≥65 years" showed higher PPV (6.7%) and lower referral rate (17.1%) compared with FIB-4 ≥1.3, but the sensitivity (54.5%) did not show adequate diagnostic capability as a noninvasive test for diagnosing VCTE-derived LSM ≥8 kPa.

CONCLUSIONS

Acknowledging the selection bias in hepatology centers, we undertook this prospective health check-up study. Although the FIB-4 index proves to be a convenient marker, it might not perform well as a primary screening tool for liver fibrosis in the general population (UMIN Clinical Trials Registry No. UMIN000035188).

Association between higher duodenal levels of the fructose carrier glucose transporter-5 and nonalcoholic fatty liver disease and liver fibrosis

BACKGROUND

An increased dietary fructose intake has been shown to exert several detrimental metabolic effects and contribute to the pathogenesis of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). An augmented intestinal abundance of the fructose carriers glucose transporter-5 (GLUT-5) and glucose transporter-2 (GLUT-2) has been found in subjects with obesity and type 2 diabetes. Herein, we investigated whether elevated intestinal levels of GLUT-5 and GLUT-2, resulting in a higher dietary fructose uptake, are associated with NAFLD and its severity.

METHODS

GLUT-5 and GLUT-2 protein levels were assessed on duodenal mucosa biopsies of 31 subjects divided into 2 groups based on ultrasound-defined NAFLD presence who underwent an upper gastrointestinal endoscopy.

RESULTS

Individuals with NAFLD exhibited increased duodenal GLUT-5 protein levels in comparison to those without NAFLD, independently of demographic and anthropometric confounders. Conversely, no difference in duodenal GLUT-2 abundance was observed amongst the two groups. Univariate correlation analyses showed that GLUT-5 protein levels were positively related with body mass index, waist circumference, fasting and 2 h post-load insulin concentrations, and insulin resistance (IR) degree estimated by homeostatic model assessment of IR (r = 0.44; p = 0.02) and liver IR (r = 0.46; p = 0.03) indexes. Furthermore, a positive relationship was observed between duodenal GLUT-5 abundance and serum uric acid concentrations (r = 0.40; p = 0.05), a product of fructose metabolism implicated in NAFLD progression. Importantly, duodenal levels of GLUT-5 were positively associated with liver fibrosis risk estimated by NAFLD fibrosis score.

CONCLUSION

Increased duodenal GLUT-5 levels are associated with NAFLD and liver fibrosis. Inhibition of intestinal GLUT-5-mediated fructose uptake may represent a strategy for prevention and treatment of NAFLD.

Algorithms for Early Detection of Silent Liver Fibrosis in the Primary Care Setting

More than one-third of the adult world population has steatotic liver disease (SLD), with a few percent of individuals developing cirrhosis after decades of silent liver fibrosis accumulation. Lack of systematic early detection causes most patients to be diagnosed late, after decompensation, when treatment has limited effect and survival is poor. Unfortunately, no isolated screening test in primary care can sufficiently predict advanced fibrosis from SLD. Recent efforts, therefore, combine several parameters into screening algorithms, to increase diagnostic accuracy. Besides patient selection, for example, by specific characteristics, algorithms include nonpatented or patented blood tests and liver stiffness measurements using elastography-based techniques. Algorithms can be composed as a set of sequential tests, as recommended by most guidelines on primary care pathways. Future use of algorithms that are easy to interpret, cheap, and semiautomatic will improve the management of patients with SLD, to the benefit of global health care systems.

Liver fibrosis in NAFLD/NASH: from pathophysiology towards diagnostic and therapeutic strategies

Liver fibrosis, as an excess deposition of extracellular matrix (ECM) components, results from chronic liver injury as well as persistent activation of inflammatory response and of fibrogenesis. Liver fibrosis is a major determinant for chronic liver disease (CLD) progression and in the last two decades our understanding on the major molecular and cellular mechanisms underlying the fibrogenic progression of CLD has dramatically improved, boosting pre-clinical studies and clinical trials designed to find novel therapeutic approaches. From these studies several critical concepts have emerged, starting to reveal the complexity of the pro-fibrotic microenvironment which involves very complex, dynamic and interrelated interactions between different hepatic and extrahepatic cell populations. This review will offer first a recapitulation of established and novel pathophysiological basic principles and concepts by intentionally focus the attention on NAFLD/NASH, a metabolic-related form of CLD with a high impact on the general population and emerging as a leading cause of CLD worldwide. NAFLD/NASH-related pro-inflammatory and profibrogenic mechanisms will be analysed as well as novel information on cells, mediators and signalling pathways which have taken advantage from novel methodological approaches and techniques (single cell genomics, imaging mass cytometry, novel in vitro two- and three-dimensional models, etc.). We will next offer an overview on recent advancement in diagnostic and prognostic tools, including serum biomarkers and polygenic scores, to support the analysis of liver biopsies. Finally, this review will provide an analysis of current and emerging therapies for the treatment of NAFLD/NASH patients.

Is Aspartate Aminotransferase to Platelet Ratio Index a Better Noninvasive Score for Predicting Advanced Fibrosis in Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease Patients?

Background

In the 21st century, nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is the most prevalent liver disorder. The prevalence of NAFLD within the general population in India ranges from 9 to 53%. The gold standard for assessing the severity of liver fibrosis is liver biopsy. However, due to various difficulties involved with liver biopsy, it is imperative to identify different non-invasive tools that can replace liver biopsy.

Methodology

A prospective observational study of 130 patients meeting the inclusion criteria for NAFLD was done for a period of 18 months. We aimed to compare the performance characteristics of different noninvasive scores [fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) score, nonalcoholic fatty liver disease fibrosis score (NFS), and aspartate aminotransferase to platelet ratio index (APRI)] in predicting advanced fibrosis as assessed by FibroScan.

Results

In the study, 76.9% of patients were male. Advanced fibrosis was seen in 12.3% of the patients. Majority of the patients with advanced fibrosis had metabolic syndrome. Based on the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC), the new cut-off for ruling out advanced fibrosis for FIB-4, NFS, and APRI were 1.18, -0.9, and 0.65, respectively, and APRI had the best AUROC (0.768).

Conclusion

Abnormal glycemic status and metabolic syndrome were risk factors for advanced fibrosis. The newly derived cut-offs for the FIB-4 score, NFS score, and APRI score had a better Negative predictive value compared to the original cut-offs.

How to cite this article

Bhayani PD, Parameswaran SA, Palaniswamy KR, et al. Is Aspartate Aminotransferase to Platelet Ratio Index a Better Noninvasive Score for Predicting Advanced Fibrosis in Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease Patients? Euroasian J Hepato-Gastroenterol 2024;14(1):35-39.

MAFLD fibrosis score: Using routine measures to identify advanced fibrosis in metabolic-associated fatty liver disease

BACKGROUND

Early screening may prevent fibrosis progression in metabolic-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD).

AIMS

We developed and validated MAFLD fibrosis score (MFS) for identifying advanced fibrosis (≥F3) among MAFLD patients.

METHODS

This cross-sectional, multicentre study consecutively recruited MAFLD patients receiving tertiary care (Malaysia as training cohort [n = 276] and Hong Kong and Wenzhou as validation cohort [n = 431]). Patients completed liver biopsy, vibration-controlled transient elastography (VCTE), and clinical and laboratory assessment within 1 week. We used machine learning to select 'highly important' predictors of advanced fibrosis, followed by backward stepwise regression to construct MFS formula.

RESULTS

MFS was composed of seven variables: age, body mass index, international normalised ratio, aspartate aminotransferase, gamma-glutamyl transpeptidase, platelet count, and history of type 2 diabetes. MFS demonstrated an area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve of 0.848 [95% CI 0.800-898] and 0.823 [0.760-0.886] in training and validation cohorts, significantly higher than aminotransferase-to-platelet ratio index (0.684 [0.603-0.765], 0.663 [0.588-0.738]), Fibrosis-4 index (0.793 [0.735-0.854], 0.737 [0.660-0.814]), and non-alcoholic fatty liver disease fibrosis score (0.785 [0.731-0.844], 0.750 [0.674-0.827]) (DeLong's test p < 0.05). MFS could include 92.3% of patients using dual cut-offs of 14 and 15, with a correct prediction rate of 90.4%, resulting in a larger number of patients with correct diagnosis compared to other scores. A two-step MFS-VCTE screening algorithm demonstrated positive and negative predictive values and overall diagnostic accuracy of 93.4%, 89.5%, and 93.2%, respectively, with only 4.0% of patients classified into grey zone.

CONCLUSION

MFS outperforms conventional non-invasive scores in predicting advanced fibrosis, contributing to screening in MAFLD patients.

Poor Performance of Non-invasive Tests for Advanced Fibrosis in Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease: A Multicentric Asian Study

BACKGROUND

Non-invasive tests (NITs) are useful to assess advanced fibrosis (AF) in nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). Data from Asian countries suggest that these tests have poor performance. We aimed to assess diagnostic accuracy of established thresholds of biomarker-based NITs and Transient Elastography (TE) in identifying AF and evaluated the utility of a two-step test approach.

METHODS

Biopsy-proven 641 NAFLD patients (55.2% males, median age 42 years) were included from three different centers of Asia. AF (≥ F3) was identified as per histological staging (24.8%).

RESULTS

TE had the highest area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) 0.82 (0.79-0.86), and all other biomarker-based NITs had low AUROC (< 0.7). NITs performed poorly at established thresholds. The combination of NITs utilizing liver stiffness measurement (LSM) and biomarkers, Agile 3+ and FAST, demonstrated acceptable diagnostic accuracy (AUROC 0.82 and 0.78, respectively), but none were superior to LSM alone. LSM measured using appropriate M and XL probes remained accurate regardless of body mass index (BMI); NFS and APRI scores were less accurate at higher BMI ranges. A two-step approach using NFS rule-out criteria (< - 2.97 to rule out) followed by LSM (< 7.3 kPa to rule out and ≥ 12.7 kPa to rule in) correctly classified 62.4% of patients, with only 10.2% of patients incorrectly classified.

CONCLUSION

NITs have not been validated to identify AF in the Asian NAFLD population, and internationally accepted thresholds yield high false-negative rates. LSM and LSM-based combination tests remain the most accurate.

Clinical care pathway to detect advanced liver disease in patients with type 2 diabetes through automated fibrosis score calculation and electronic reminder messages: a randomised controlled trial

OBJECTIVE

We aimed to test the hypothesis that automated fibrosis score calculation and electronic reminder messages could increase the detection of advanced liver disease in patients with type 2 diabetes.

DESIGN

In this pragmatic randomised controlled trial at five general medical or diabetes clinics in Hong Kong and Malaysia, we randomly assigned patients in a 1:1 ratio to the intervention group with Fibrosis-4 index and aspartate aminotransferase-to-platelet ratio index automatically calculated based on routine blood tests, followed by electronic reminder messages to alert clinicians of abnormal results, or the control group with usual care. The primary outcome was the proportion of patients with increased fibrosis scores who received appropriate care (referred for hepatology care or specific fibrosis assessment) within 1 year.

RESULTS

Between May 2020 and Oct 2021, 1379 patients were screened, of whom 533 and 528 were assigned to the intervention and control groups, respectively. A total of 55 out of 165 (33.3%) patients with increased fibrosis scores in the intervention group received appropriate care, compared with 4 of 131 (3.1%) patients in the control group (difference 30.2% (95% CI 22.4% to 38%); p<0.001). Overall, 11 out of 533 (2.1%) patients in the intervention group and 1 out of 528 (0.2%) patients in the control group were confirmed to have advanced liver disease (difference 1.9% (95% CI 0.61% to 3.5%); p=0.006).

CONCLUSION

Automated fibrosis score calculation and electronic reminders can increase referral of patients with type 2 diabetes and abnormal fibrosis scores at non-hepatology settings.

TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER

NCT04241575.

Liver Fibrosis Scores Are Associated With Resting and Exercise Fontan and Pulmonary Artery Wedge Pressures: Insights Into FALD

BACKGROUND

Alterations in liver perfusion and venous hypertension have been implicated in the pathophysiology of Fontan-associated liver disease (FALD). However, the correlation between exercise hemodynamics and markers of FALD have not been studied.

METHODS

We performed a retrospective review of 32 consecutive adults undergoing exercise catheterisation at the Mayo Clinic, Minnesota. Invasive hemodynamics were correlated with aspartate transaminase to platelet ratio index (APRI) and the Fibrosis-4 (Fib-4) score, well validated surrogates of liver fibrosis.

RESULTS

The mean age was 30.9 ± 7 years. The mean APRI was 0.5 ± 0.2 and the mean Fib-4 score 1.3 ± 0.8. Fib-4 scores correlated with spleen size on abdominal imaging (r = 0.40; P = 0.03). Resting Fontan pressure was 13.9 ± 3.9 mm Hg and pulmonary artery wedge pressure (PAWP) 10.0 ± 3.5 mm Hg. At peak exercise (69.4 ± 23.2 W), Fontan pressures increased to 26.5 ± 6.2 mm Hg and PAWP to 22.4 ± 7.1 mm Hg. APRI and Fib-4 score were directly related to Fontan pressure and PAWP at rest and during exercise, and inversely related to exercise arterial O2 saturation. Fib-4 inversely correlated with O2 delivery indices. Similarly, when categorising patients according to high APRI (> 0.5 vs ≤ 0.5) or Fib-4 score (≥ 1.45 vs < 1.45) according to previously proposed cutoffs for diagnosis of liver fibrosis, those with elevated scores had higher resting and exercise Fontan and PAWP pressure with lower O2 arterial saturation.

CONCLUSIONS

APRI and Fib-4 score correlated with resting and exercise Fontan pressure and PAWP. In addition, Fib-4 scores were inversely related to O2 delivery indices. These findings support a role played by hepatic venous hypertension and reduced O2 supply in patients with FALD.

Emerging concepts in the detection of liver fibrosis in non-alcoholic fatty liver disease

INTRODUCTION

The non-invasive identification of liver fibrosis related to Non-Alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease is crucial for risk-stratification of patients. Currently, the reference standard to stage hepatic fibrosis relies on liver biopsy, but multiple approaches are developed to allow for non-invasive diagnosis and risk stratification. Non-invasive tests, including blood-based scores and vibration-controlled transient elastography, have been widely validated and represent a good surrogate for risk stratification according to recent European and American guidelines.

AREAS COVERED

Novel approaches are based on 'liquid' biomarkers of liver fibrogenesis, including collagen-derived markers (PRO-C3 or PRO-C6), or 'multi-omics' technologies (e.g. proteomic-based molecules or miRNA testing), bearing the advantage of tailoring the intrahepatic disease activity. Alternative approaches are based on 'dry' biomarkers, including magnetic resonance-based tools (including proton density fat fraction, magnetic resonance elastography, or corrected T1), which reach similar accuracy of liver histology and will potentially help identify the best candidates for pharmacological treatment of fibrosing non-alcoholic steatohepatitis.

EXPERT OPINION

In the near future, the sequential use of non-invasive tests, as well as the complimentary use of liquid and dry biomarkers according to the clinical need (diagnosis, risk stratification, and prognosis, or treatment response) will guide and improve the management of this liver disease.

Noninvasive Assessment of Liver Fibrosis in NAFLD

Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) has emerged as a leading cause of liver-related morbidity and mortality worldwide, afflicting approximately a billion individuals. NAFLD is a slowly progressive disease that may evolve in a subset of patients toward cirrhosis, hepatocellular carcinoma, and end-stage liver disease. Liver fibrosis severity is the strongest predictor of clinical outcomes. The emergence of effective therapeutics on the horizon highlights the need to identify among patients with NAFLD, those with severe fibrosis or cirrhosis, who are the most at risk of developing complications and target them for therapy. Liver biopsy has been the reference standard for this purpose. However, it is not suitable for large-scale population evaluation, given its well-known limitations (invasiveness, rare but severe complications, and sampling variability). Thus, there have been major efforts to develop simple noninvasive tools that can be used in routine clinical settings and in drug development. Noninvasive approaches are based on the quantification of biomarkers in serum samples or on the measurement of liver stiffness, using either ultrasound- or magnetic resonance-based elastography techniques. This review provides a roadmap for future development and integration of noninvasive tools in clinical practice and in drug development in NAFLD. We discuss herein the principles for their development and validation, their use in clinical practice, including for diagnosis of NAFLD, risk stratification in primary care and hepatology settings, prediction of long-term liver-related and non-liver-related outcomes, monitoring of fibrosis progression and regression, and response to future treatment.

Identifying Patients with Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease in Primary Care: How and for What Benefit?

Despite its increasing prevalence, nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) remains under-diagnosed in primary care. Timely diagnosis is critical, as NAFLD can progress to nonalcoholic steatohepatitis, fibrosis, cirrhosis, hepatocellular carcinoma, and death; furthermore, NAFLD is also a risk factor linked to cardiometabolic outcomes. Identifying patients with NAFLD, and particularly those at risk of advanced fibrosis, is important so that healthcare practitioners can optimize care delivery in an effort to prevent disease progression. This review debates the practical issues that primary care physicians encounter when managing NAFLD, using a patient case study to illustrate the challenges and decisions that physicians face. It explores the pros and cons of different diagnostic strategies and tools that physicians can adopt in primary care settings, depending on how NAFLD presents and progresses. We discuss the importance of prescribing lifestyle changes to achieve weight loss and mitigate disease progression. A diagnostic and management flow chart is provided, showing the key points of assessment for primary care physicians. The advantages and disadvantages of advanced fibrosis risk assessments in primary care settings and the factors that influence patient referral to a hepatologist are also reviewed.

Special Population: Lean Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease

Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is strongly associated with obesity but around 10% to 20% of patients with NAFLD have normal body mass index, a condition referred to as lean or nonobese NAFLD. Although lean patients more often have milder liver disease, a proportion may nonetheless develop steatohepatitis and advanced liver fibrosis. Both genetic and environmental factors contribute to the development of NAFLD. Noninvasive tests have similarly good accuracy as initial assessments for lean NAFLD. Future studies should determine the most appropriate treatment in this special population.

Geographical similarity and differences in the burden and genetic predisposition of NAFLD

NAFLD has become a major public health problem for more than 2 decades with a growing prevalence in parallel with the epidemic of obesity and type 2 diabetes (T2D). The disease burden of NAFLD differs across geographical regions and ethnicities. Variations in prevalence of metabolic diseases, extent of urban-rural divide, dietary habits, lifestyles, and the prevalence of NAFLD risk and protective alleles can contribute to such differences. The rise in NAFLD has led to a remarkable increase in the number of cases of cirrhosis, hepatocellular carcinoma, hepatic decompensation, and liver-related mortality related to NAFLD. Moreover, NAFLD is associated with multiple extrahepatic manifestations. Most of them are risk factors for the progression of liver fibrosis and thus worsen the prognosis of NAFLD. All these comorbidities and complications affect the quality of life in subjects with NAFLD. Given the huge and growing size of the population with NAFLD, it is expected that patients, healthcare systems, and the economy will suffer from the ongoing burden related to NAFLD. In this review, we examine the disease burden of NAFLD across geographical areas and ethnicities, together with the distribution of some well-known genetic variants for NAFLD. We also describe some special populations including patients with T2D, lean patients, the pediatric population, and patients with concomitant liver diseases. We discuss extrahepatic outcomes, patient-reported outcomes, and economic burden related to NAFLD.

An Observational Data Meta-analysis on the Differences in Prevalence and Risk Factors Between MAFLD vs NAFLD

BACKGROUND & AIMS

The shift to redefine nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) as metabolic associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD) can profoundly affect patient care, health care professionals, and progress within the field. To date, there remains no consensus on the characterization of NAFLD vs MAFLD. Thus, this study sought to compare the differences between the natural history of NAFLD and MAFLD.

METHODS

Medline and Embase databases were searched to include articles on prevalence, risk factors, or outcomes of patients with MAFLD or NAFLD. Meta-analysis of proportions was conducted using the generalized linear mix model. Risk factors and outcomes were evaluated in conventional pairwise meta-analysis.

RESULTS

Twenty-two articles involving 379,801 patients were included. Pooled prevalence of MAFLD was 39.22% (95% confidence interval [CI], 30.96%-48.15%) with the highest prevalence in Europe and Asia, followed by North America. The current MAFLD Definition only accounted for 81.59% (95% CI, 66.51%-90.82%) of NAFLD diagnoses. Patients had increased odds of being diagnosed with MAFLD compared with NAFLD (odds ratio, 1.37; 95% CI, 1.16-1.63; P < .001). Imaging modality resulted in a significantly higher odds of being diagnosed with MAFLD compared with NAFLD, but not biopsy. MAFLD was significantly associated with males, higher body mass index, hypertension, diabetes, lipids, transaminitis, and greater fibrosis scores compared with NAFLD.

CONCLUSIONS

There were stark differences in the prevalence and risk factors between MAFLD and NAFLD. However, in the use of the MAFLD Definition, a greater emphasis on the management of concomitant metabolic diseases and a collaborative effort is required to explore the complex pathophysiologic mechanisms underlying the disease.

Expert Panel Consensus on Clinical Assertion Statements Describing Noninvasive Tools for Diagnosing Nonalcoholic Steatohepatitis

GOALS AND BACKGROUND

A panel of 9 experts in nonalcoholic steatohepatitis gathered to assess multiple components of the diagnostic process.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

The Clinical Assertion Statements covered screening of patients with type 2 diabetes for high-risk nonalcoholic fatty liver disease, which-if any-noninvasive tests could determine whether to delay or defer biopsy, whether primary care providers and endocrinologists should routinely calculate Fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) scores in patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease or those at risk for it, optimal noninvasive tests to stage fibrosis, the need to consider fibrosis in patients with normal transaminase levels, periodic monitoring for progressive fibrosis, whether patients should undergo biopsy before pharmacotherapy, and the clinical utility of genetic testing.

RESULTS AND CONCLUSIONS

Evidence was presented to support or refute each Clinical Assertion Statement; the panel voted on the nature of the evidence, level of support, and level of agreement with each Statement. Panel level of agreement and rationale of each Clinical Assertion Statement are reported here.

Risk of liver-related events by age and diabetes duration in patients with diabetes and nonalcoholic fatty liver disease

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Several guidelines recommend screening for NAFLD in patients with type 2 diabetes (T2D). We aimed to determine if there is a threshold of age and duration of T2D for liver-related event development to guide screening strategies.

APPROACH AND RESULTS

We conducted a territory-wide retrospective cohort study of adult patients with NAFLD and T2D diagnosed between 2000 and 2014 in Hong Kong to allow for at least 5 years of follow-up. The primary endpoint was liver-related events, defined as a composite of HCC and cirrhotic complications. This study included 7028 patients with NAFLD with T2D (mean age, 56.1 ± 13.3 years; 3363 male [47.9%]). During a follow-up of 77,308 person-years, there was a threshold effect with 1.1%, 4.9%, and 94.0% of patients developing liver-related events at the age of <40, 40-50, and ≥50 years, respectively. Similarly, 3.1%, 5.1%, and 91.8% of patients developed cirrhosis at the age of <40, 40-50, and ≥50 years, respectively. In contrast, liver-related events increased linearly with diabetes duration, with no difference in the annual incidence rate between the first 10 years of T2D diagnosis and subsequent years (0.06% vs. 0.10%; p = 0.136). On multivariable analysis, baseline age ≥50 years (adjusted HR [aHR] 2.01) and cirrhosis (aHR 3.12) were the strongest risk factors associated with liver-related events. Substitution of cirrhosis with the aspartate aminotransferase-to-platelet ratio index or the Fibrosis-4 index yielded similar results.

CONCLUSIONS

Age rather than duration of T2D predicts liver-related events in patients with NAFLD and T2D. It is reasonable to screen patients with NAFLD and T2D for advanced liver disease starting at 50 years of age.

Management of NAFLD in primary care settings

Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) affects at least 25% of the general population and is an increasingly important cause of cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma. Although it is the research focus of the hepatology field, it is clear that primary care physicians are seeing the majority of NAFLD patients and are in a pivotal position to provide quality care. In this article, we review the role of primary care in the management of NAFLD. NAFLD is common in patients with diabetes, obesity and other metabolic risk factors. Abdominal ultrasonography is the most commonly used method to diagnose fatty liver. Simple fibrosis scores have high negative predictive values in excluding advanced liver fibrosis and future liver-related events and can be used in primary care as initial evaluation. An abnormal result should be followed by subsequent workup or specialist referral. Primary care is the ideal setting to institute multidisciplinary care, especially the involvement of dietitians and physical activity trainers in lifestyle intervention, as well as initiating the discussion of bariatric surgery in patients with severe obesity. Although specific drug treatment for steatohepatitis would require a more precise diagnosis, metabolic drugs that improve both steatohepatitis and cardiovascular outcomes (e.g. glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists) may be considered in patients with NAFLD.

Comparison of non-invasive fibrosis scores to predict increased liver stiffness in the general population with unknown liver disease: Searching for the primary physician's best friend

BACKGROUND

Serum-based scores (SBS) appear to be a high applicability strategy for assessment of liver fibrosis in primary care. Aim of the study was to evaluate their performance to detect ≥F2 in a general population and to design a highly-applicable strategy for screening.

METHODS

prospective population-based cohort study in randomly identified subjects, aged 40-70y. Medical history, blood tests and elastography were obtained, ≥F2 was determined by using LSM cutoff ≥9.2/7.8 kPa for M/XL probe and SBS diagnostic accuracies were evaluated.

RESULTS

986 patients were analyzed. LSM prevalence estimate suggestive of ≥F2 was 1.9% and Metabolic Sindrome (MS) (OR 3.4, 1.3-9.0;p = 0.01), was the only factor independently associated with ≥F2, with increasing prevalence according to the number of criteria (0 criterion:0%,1:0.3%,2:2.8%,3:2.4%,4:6.9%,5:14.3%;p<0.001). FLI and NFS were the two best-performing tests in the cross-sectional study, with AUROCs for ≥F2 of 0.89 (95%CI,0.84- 0.95) and 0.82 (95%CI,0.74-0.90), respectively. Predefined cutoff for FLI≥60 (Sn89.5%, Sp72.1%, NPV99.9%) and NFS≥-1.455 (Sn83.3%, Sp68%, NPV99.6%) showed adequate diagnostic accuracy. Based on these findings, a 3- step algorithm strategy to detect liver fibrosis in the community setting is proposed (Sn84.2%, Sp75.2%, NVP99.6%).

CONCLUSIONS

A staged risk-stratification model improves the detection of ≥F2 in the community setting, while reducing unnecessary referrals.

Systematic screening for advanced liver fibrosis in patients with coronary artery disease: The CORONASH study

Although coronary artery disease (CAD) and advanced liver fibrosis (AdLF) are commonly associated in patients with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD), the prevalence of AdLF and the diagnostic performance of non-invasive fibrosis tests (NITs) in CAD patients remains unknown. We aimed to prospectively screen for AdLF in patients with documented CAD using NITs and Fibroscan. High and intermediate zones of NITs were combined to define AdLF. AdLF was suspected whenever APRI ≥ 0.5, Forns index ≥ 4.2, NAFLD fibrosis score (NFS) ≥ -1.455/0.12 for age </≥ 65 yrs), Fib4 (≥ 1.30/2.0 for age </≥ 65 yrs) and eLIFT≥ 8. A presumed AdLF assessed by Fibroscan ≥ 8 kPa was the primary outcome measure. Results were given on the basis of intent-to-diagnose liver stiffness ≥ 8 kPa. Among 189 patients (age 60±7years), 10 (5.3%) had a Fibroscan ≥ 8 kPa, of whom 5 underwent liver biopsy (F3/F4: n = 3; no fibrosis: n = 2). AdLF was suspected in 31% of cases using eLIFT (specificity, Sp 70%), 85% with Forns (Sp 16%), 38% with NFS (Sp 63%), 25% with Fib4 (Sp 74%), and 10% with APRI (Sp 91%). In 149 patients “at-risk” of NAFLD (i.e., elevated ALT or diabetes or hypertriglyceridemia or BMI ≥25 kg/m²), AdLF ranged between 10% (APRI) to 84% (Forns). In this subgroup, the most efficient NITs to predict Fibroscan ≥ 8 kPa were eLIFT (Se 60%, Sp 70%) and NFS (Se 70%, Sp 60%). Finally, in CAD patients with risk factors for NAFLD, NFS or the more user-friendly eLIFT are the most attractive first-line biochemical NITs to discriminate good candidates for Fibroscan.

Validation model of fibrosis-8 index score to predict significant fibrosis among patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease

BACKGROUND

Identifying hepatic fibrosis is crucial for nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) management. The fibrosis-8 (FIB-8) score, recently developed by incorporating four additional variables into the fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) score, showed better performance in predicting significant fibrosis in NAFLD.

AIM

To validate the FIB-8 score in a biopsy-proven NAFLD cohort and compare the diagnostic performance of the FIB-8 and FIB-4 scores and NAFLD fibrosis score (NFS) for predicting significant fibrosis.

METHODS

We collected the data of biopsy-proven NAFLD patients from three Asian centers in three countries. All the patients with available variables for the FIB-4 score (age, platelet count, and aspartate and alanine aminotransferase levels) and FIB-8 score (the FIB-4 variables plus 4 additional parameters: The body mass index (BMI), albumin to globulin ratio, gamma-glutamyl transferase level, and presence of diabetes mellitus) were included. The fibrosis stage was scored using nonalcoholic steatohepatitis CRN criteria, and significant fibrosis was defined as at least fibrosis stage 2.

RESULTS

A total of 511 patients with biopsy-proven NAFLD and complete data were included for validation. Of these 511 patients, 271 (53.0%) were female, with a median age of 51 (interquartile range: 41, 58) years. The median BMI was 29 (26.3, 32.6) kg/m2, and 268 (52.4%) had diabetes. Among the 511 NAFLD patients, 157 (30.7%) had significant fibrosis (≥ F2). The areas under the receiver operating characteristic curves of the FIB-8 and FIB-4 scores and NFS for predicting significant fibrosis were 0.774, 0.743, and 0.680, respectively. The FIB-8 score demonstrated significantly better performance for predicting significant fibrosis than the NFS (P = 0.001) and was also clinically superior to FIB-4, although statistical significance was not reached (P = 0.073). The low cutoff point of the FIB-8 score for predicting significant fibrosis of 0.88 showed 92.36% sensitivity, and the high cutoff point of the FIB-8 score for predicting significant fibrosis of 1.77 showed 67.51% specificity.

CONCLUSION

We demonstrated that the FIB-8 score had significantly better performance for predicting significant fibrosis in NAFLD patients than the NFS, as well as clinically superior performance vs the FIB-4 score in an Asian population. A novel simple fibrosis score comprising commonly accessible basic laboratories may be beneficial to use for an initial assessment in primary care units, excluding patients with significant liver fibrosis and aiding in patient selection for further hepatologist referral.

Influence of Body Mass Index, Cancer Type and Treatment on Long-Term Metabolic and Liver Outcomes in Childhood Cancer Survivors

In the last decade, the survival of subjects affected by cancer in childhood has significantly improved. The increased lifespan of childhood cancer survivors (CCS) led to a greater risk for long-term, therapy-related morbidity. To identify the clinical predictors of metabolic adverse outcomes in CCS (average off-therapy period: 12 years), we recruited 126 survivors of different childhood cancers (86.5% hematological cancers) who received at least anticancer chemotherapy, consecutively approached during their annual oncohematological outpatient visit. At examination, anthropometric measures and cancer-related history were collected. Moreover, a fasting venous sample was carried out for measuring fasting plasma glucose and insulin, glycated hemoglobin, lipid panel, and transaminases. We calculated the indexes of insulin resistance (HOMA-IR, McAuley, and QUICKI) and secretion (HOMA-β), liver steatosis (Hepatic Steatosis Index) and fibrosis (FIB-4 and NAFLD fibrosis score), and visceral fat dysfunction (Visceral Adiposity Index). More than one-third of the subjects (37.3%) did not have normal weight, with 11.1% of them affected by obesity. At recruitment, obese subjects were at significantly higher risk for impaired fasting glucose, metabolic syndrome, visceral adipose dysfunction, and liver steatosis/fibrosis. Subjects who received bone marrow transplantation were prone to insulin resistance, while survivors of lymphoma presented a visceral adipose dysfunction These results suggest a carefully metabolic monitoring of CCS, particularly in subgroups at higher risk, to early detect these conditions, promptly begin therapeutic interventions, and mitigate the dysmetabolic-related health burden.

Non-invasive tests of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease

ABSTRACT

For the detection of steatosis, quantitative ultrasound imaging techniques have achieved great progress in past years. Magnetic resonance imaging proton density fat fraction is currently the most accurate test to detect hepatic steatosis. Some blood biomarkers correlate with non-alcoholic steatohepatitis, but the accuracy is modest. Regarding liver fibrosis, liver stiffness measurement by transient elastography (TE) has high accuracy and is widely used across the world. Magnetic resonance elastography is marginally better than TE but is limited by its cost and availability. Several blood biomarkers of fibrosis have been used in clinical trials and hold promise for selecting patients for treatment and monitoring treatment response. This article reviews new developments in the non-invasive assessment of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). Accumulating evidence suggests that various non-invasive tests can be used to diagnose NAFLD, assess its severity, and predict the prognosis. Further studies are needed to determine the role of the tests as monitoring tools. We cannot overemphasize the importance of context in selecting appropriate tests.

Validation of a two-step approach combining serum biomarkers and liver stiffness measurement to predict advanced fibrosis

BACKGROUND AND AIM

The Gut and Obesity in Asia Workgroup recently reported that a two-step approach using fibrosis scores followed by liver stiffness measurement (LSM) could accurately detect patients with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) having advanced fibrosis in low-risk fibrosis populations. This study aimed to validate the utility of this approach using a Japanese health checkup registry.

METHODS

This cross-sectional study included subjects who underwent a health checkup from 2014 to 2019. Using estimated fibrosis stage measured by LSM as a standard, we calculated the percentage of misclassification from assessments made based on fibrosis scores (NAFLD fibrosis score [NFS] or Fibrosis-4 score [FIB-4]) and LSM, alone or in combination.

RESULTS

Of 630 subjects with NAFLD, 4 (0.8%) had advanced fibrosis. In the first-step evaluation, only 21.4-38.0% of subjects needed further testing. This approach was associated with a high specificity of approximately 100% and a negative predictive value of 99.7%. The percentage of misclassification based on NFS or FIB-4 values followed by LSM in all subjects and using LSM after NFS or FIB-4 determination only in subjects with indeterminate/high NFS or FIB-4 values (two-step approach) was 0% and 0.3% and 0.16% and 0.3%, respectively. In addition, very few false negatives occurred for both NFS and FIB-4.

CONCLUSION

The two-step approach helps to identify the subjects with NAFLD who have advanced fibrosis during a routine health checkup and is associated with only a few false negatives.

Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease

Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) has a global prevalence of 25% and is a leading cause of cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma. NAFLD encompasses a disease continuum from steatosis with or without mild inflammation (non-alcoholic fatty liver), to non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH), which is characterised by necroinflammation and faster fibrosis progression than non-alcoholic fatty liver. NAFLD has a bidirectional association with components of the metabolic syndrome, and type 2 diabetes increases the risk of cirrhosis and related complications. Although the leading causes of death in people with NAFLD are cardiovascular disease and extrahepatic malignancy, advanced liver fibrosis is a key prognostic marker for liver-related outcomes and overall mortality, and can be assessed with combinations of non-invasive tests. Patients with cirrhosis should be screened for hepatocellular carcinoma and oesophageal varices. There is currently no approved therapy for NAFLD, although several drugs are in advanced stages of development. Because of the complex pathophysiology and substantial heterogeneity of disease phenotypes, combination treatment is likely to be required for many patients with NAFLD. Healthy lifestyle and weight reduction remain crucial to the prevention and treatment of NAFLD.

Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease does not increase dementia risk although histology data might improve risk prediction

Background & Aims

Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is common in the general population, but its association with dementia is unclear. We aimed to assess the risk of dementia related to NAFLD, and to determine whether histological parameters could improve the predictive capacity of a conventional risk model for dementia in patients with biopsy-proven NAFLD.

Methods

A retrospective matched cohort study of 656 NAFLD patients underwent liver biopsy at 2 hospitals between 1971 and 2009. Up to 10 individuals (controls) from the general population (n = 6,436) were matched for age, sex, and municipality to each patient. Dementia was ascertained from National registers until 2014. Using Cox regression, we estimated hazard ratios for dementia with 95% confidence intervals. In the biopsy cohort, the discriminative power of adding histological markers to a conventional risk model was assessed by Harrell’s C-index and compared with a likelihood-ratio test.

Results

During a mean follow-up of 19.7 ± 8.7 years, 3.3% of the NAFLD patients and 4.9% of the controls developed dementia (p = 0.07). Overall, NAFLD was not significantly associated with incident dementia. In the biopsy cohort, the model of conventional risk factors (age, sex, hypertension, and cardiovascular diseases) had a C-index of 0.912 to predict incident dementia. Adding individual histological parameters significantly increased the prediction of dementia, with the most pronounced improvement for fibrosis stage (C-index = 0.938, p <0.05).

Conclusions

Although NAFLD was not associated with the risk of dementia, we found that adding histological markers to a conventional risk model for dementia enhanced the predictive capacity, indicating a shared metabolic origin.

Lay summary

Both non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) and dementia are increasing in prevalence because of a more sedentary lifestyle, increased prevalence of obesity and population ageing. However, the link between these 2 diseases is not well studied. We investigated the association between NAFLD and the risk of dementia and found no association. However, liver histology parameters, especially fibrosis, could significantly improve the prediction of dementia risk.

•

The link between NAFLD and dementia is unclear.

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We assessed the association between biopsy-proven NAFLD and dementia.

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NAFLD is not associated with an increased risk of dementia.

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Adding histological markers to a conventional risk model for dementia enhanced its predictive capacity.

Performance of Simple Fibrosis Scores in Nonobese Patients With Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease

Because only a minority of patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) have advanced fibrosis and would eventually develop liver-related complications, current guidelines recommend initial assessment with noninvasive tests of fibrosis.^1-3 Most previous studies focused on overweight and obese patients. Despite a strong association between obesity and NAFLD, 3%-30% of people with relatively normal body mass index (BMI) may still have NAFLD.^4,5 Hence, this study aims to evaluate the performance of the common noninvasive tests in non-obese (BMI <25 kg/m²) and obese (BMI ≥25 kg/m²) NAFLD patients.

Current NAFLD guidelines for risk stratification in diabetic patients have poor diagnostic discrimination

Patients with type 2 diabetes (T2D) are at risk for non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) and associated complications. This study evaluated the performance of international (EASL-EASD-EASO) and national (DGVS) guidelines for NAFLD risk stratification. Patients with T2D prospectively underwent ultrasound, liver stiffness measurement (LSM) and serum-based fibrosis markers. Guideline-based risk classification and referral rates for different screening approaches were compared and the diagnostic properties of simplified algorithms, genetic markers and a new NASH surrogate (FAST score) were evaluated. NAFLD risk was present in 184 of 204 screened patients (age 64.2 ± 10.7 years; BMI 32.6 ± 7.6 kg/m2). EASL-EASD-EASO recommended specialist referral for 60-77% depending on the fibrosis score used, only 6% were classified as low risk. The DGVS algorithm required LSM for 76%; 25% were referred for specialised care. The sensitivities of the diagnostic pathways were 47-96%. A simplified referral strategy revealed a sensitivity/specificity of 46/88% for fibrosis risk. Application of the FAST score reduced the referral rate to 35%. This study (a) underlines the high prevalence of fibrosis risk in T2D, (b) demonstrates very high referral rates for in-depth hepatological work-up, and (c) indicates that simpler referral algorithms may produce comparably good results and could facilitate NAFLD screening.

Risk stratification of patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease using a case identification pathway in primary care: a cross-sectional study

BACKGROUND

Identification of patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) with advanced liver fibrosis in primary care remains an unmet need. Our primary objective was to implement a pathway driven by shear wave elastography (SWE) to facilitate risk stratification of patients with NAFLD within primary care and evaluate whether SWE assessment can reduce referrals of patients with NAFLD at low risk for fibrosis to hepatology.

METHODS

A multidisciplinary NAFLD clinical care pathway was codeveloped by hepatologists, radiologists and primary care physicians in Calgary to provide access to SWE-based screening of patients with NAFLD risk factors in primary care. The study outcome measures were estimated NAFLD-related referrals to the hepatology service in Calgary after implementation of the NAFLD pathway and characteristics of patients with NAFLD at risk for advanced fibrosis. The NAFLD pathway was implemented in January 2018 and was made available to all primary care physicians in the Calgary Health Zone. Patients with NAFLD who had liver stiffness (SWE value ≥ 8.0 kPa) or an inconclusive assessment were referred to hepatology. A serum liver fibrosis score was also measured with the fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) index, and performance of an FIB-4 index score of 1.30 or greater to risk stratify patients with NAFLD was evaluated. Demographic, clinical and laboratory characteristics of study groups were compared.

RESULTS

Between March and October 2018, 2084 patients with suspected NAFLD were evaluated. Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease was confirmed by ultrasonography in 1958 (94.1%). A majority of the cohort had elevated liver enzyme values (1028 [52.5%]) and obesity (body mass index ≥ 30) (1063/1764 [60.3%]). Most patients with NAFLD (1791 [91.5%]) had an SWE value less than 8.0 kPa and were not referred to hepatology. Sixty-seven patients (3.4%) had an SWE value of 8.0 kPa or more, and 100 (5.1%) had an inconclusive SWE; these patients were referred to hepatology. Using an FIB-4 index score cut-off of 1.30 would have led to hepatology referral of 396/1251 patients (31.6%).

INTERPRETATION

Implementation of a primary care-accessible SWE pathway for patients with NAFLD facilitated fibrosis risk stratification and greatly reduced hepatology referrals. Using the FIB-4 index score alone would led to higher rates of referral of patients with NAFLD.

Non-invasive tests for liver fibrosis in NAFLD: Creating pathways between primary healthcare and liver clinics

Despite affecting around one-fourth of the general population worldwide, non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) remains a largely under-recognized disease in primary healthcare, with not more than 10% of patients diagnosed with NAFLD referred to specialists. The main challenge in clinical practice is the identification of those with advanced liver fibrosis or cirrhosis, as they are at the greatest risk of developing complications. Liver biopsy appears to be an unrealistic and unsuitable option because of the large number of high-risk patients and the well-known limitations of this technique. This has favoured the development of non-invasive tests, which have been an area of intensive research in the past decade. Transient elastography, FIB-4 and the NAFLD fibrosis score are the most extensively used and best validated tests, with summary AUROC values for detecting advanced fibrosis in NAFLD patients of 0.88, 0.84 and 0.84 respectively. Although much work remains to be done to establish cost-effective strategies for the screening for advanced fibrosis, the sequential use of non-invasive tests (serum biomarkers, then measurement of liver stiffness using transient elastography) appears to be the most promising strategy. The next step is to establish effective pathways in primary healthcare and/or diabetes clinics where most NAFLD patients are seen, to identify those who need to be referred to liver clinics for further assessment.

Confounding factors of non-invasive tests for nonalcoholic fatty liver disease

Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) affects at least 25% of the general adult population worldwide. Because only a fraction of the patients would develop liver-related complications, it is preferable to perform non-invasive tests as the initial assessment. This review summarizes the known and potential confounding factors that affect the performance of non-invasive tests of hepatic steatosis and fibrosis in patients with NAFLD. Clinicians may apply the knowledge and exercise caution in selecting investigations and interpreting test results when confounding factors are present.

Daily Aspirin Use Associated With Reduced Risk For Fibrosis Progression In Patients With Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease

BACKGROUND & AIMS

There are few data from prospective studies on the effects of aspirin on fibrosis in patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD).

METHODS

We performed a prospective cohort study of 361 adults with biopsy-confirmed NAFLD, from 2006 through 2015, examined every 3-12 months for incident advanced fibrosis defined using serial measurements of validated indices (the Fibrosis-4, NAFLD fibrosis score, and aspartate aminotransferase to platelet ratio indices). Histologic analyses of liver biopsies collected at baseline were performed by a blinded pathologist. Information collected at baseline and at each examination included frequency and duration of aspirin and nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drug (NSAID) use. Using multivariable-adjusted logistic regression, we estimated the association of aspirin use with prevalent steatohepatitis (NASH) and fibrosis. Using multivariable-adjusted Cox proportional hazards modeling, we estimated the association between aspirin use and risk for fibrosis progression.

RESULTS

At enrollment, 151 subjects used aspirin daily. Compared with non-regular use, daily aspirin use was associated with significantly lower odds of NASH (adjusted odds ratio, 0.68; 95% CI, 0.37-0.89) and fibrosis (adjusted odds ratio, 0.54; 95% CI, 0.31-0.82). Among individuals with baseline F0-F2 fibrosis (n = 317), 86 developed advanced fibrosis over 3692 person-years. Daily aspirin users had significantly lower risk for developing incident advanced fibrosis vs non-regular users (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR], 0.63; 95% CI, 0.43-0.85). This relationship appeared to be duration dependent (adjusted P trend=.026), with the greatest benefit found with at least 4 years or more of aspirin use (aHR, 0.50; 95% CI, 0.35-0.73). Conversely, use of nonaspirin NSAIDs was not associated with risk for advanced fibrosis (aHR, 0.93; 95% CI, 0.81-1.05).

CONCLUSIONS

In a prospective study of patients with biopsy-proven NAFLD, daily aspirin use was associated with less severe histologic features of NAFLD and NASH, and lower risk for progression to advanced fibrosis with time.

Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease Among Individuals with HIV Mono-infection: A Growing Concern?

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

Liver disease is a leading cause of non-AIDS-related death in the HIV population since the introduction of highly active antiretroviral treatment (HAART). Recent studies suggest that patients with HIV are at high risk for nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) and progressive liver fibrosis. Evidence for the prevalence, risk factors, and diagnostic methodologies of NAFLD in patients with HIV mono-infection is summarized here.

RECENT FINDINGS

Although limited, published studies suggest that the prevalence of NAFLD is higher (30-50%) and progresses at an increased rate in patients with HIV compared to the general population. Identifying those at risk for significant liver fibrosis is critical, preferably with non-invasive screening tests. While there is a paucity of evidence in this population, transient elastography (TE) appears to provide a sensitive, non-invasive screening modality. Identifying NAFLD early will allow for dietary and lifestyle interventions, as well as future drug therapies to decrease the risk of progressive liver fibrosis and cirrhosis in the high-risk HIV population. Clinicians should be aware of this risk and consider using TE for NAFLD diagnosis and surveillance.

Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease, liver fibrosis score and cognitive function in middle-aged adults: The Framingham Study

BACKGROUND

Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is common and has been recently related to brain health. We aimed to assess the relationships of NAFLD and its severity, using the NAFLD fibrosis score (NFS), with cognitive performance.

METHODS

Framingham study Offspring and 3rd generation participants were included if they attended exams 9 (2002-2008) and 2 (2008-2011), respectively, were free of dementia and stroke, and did not have excessive alcohol intake. Between 2008 and 2011, participants underwent Multi-detector computed tomography scans of the abdomen to determine NAFLD diagnosis and the NFS was used to categorize the severity of fibrosis. Cross-sectional relationships of NAFLD and the NFS with cognitive testing of memory, abstract reasoning, visual perception, attention and executive function were assessed, while adjusting for multiple cardiometabolic variables including visceral adipose tissue, diabetes and insulin resistance.

RESULTS

Of the 1287 participants (mean age = 61±12 years, 48% men), 378 (29%) had NAFLD. The presence of NAFLD was not associated with cognitive function. However, among those with NAFLD (mean age = 61±12 years; 58% men), high compared to low risk of advanced fibrosis was associated with poorer performance on similarities (β = -2.22 ± 0.83; P = 0.009) and trail-making B minus A (β = -0.11 ± 0.05; P = 0.028), independently of potential confounders.

CONCLUSIONS

Participants with high risk of advanced fibrosis may have poorer cognitive function compared to those with low risk, particularly in executive function and abstract reasoning. Future findings are necessary to evaluate the value of the NFS as a biomarker that predicts cognitive impairment and dementia and to explore the role of hepatic fibrosis in brain health.

Validation of Serum Test for Advanced Liver Fibrosis in Patients With Nonalcoholic Steatohepatitis

BACKGROUND & AIMS

We analyzed markers of fibrosis in serum samples from patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD), assessed by liver biopsy. We used serum levels of markers to develop an algorithm to discriminate patients with advanced fibrosis from those with mild or moderate fibrosis and validated its performance in 2 independent cohorts of patients with NAFLD.

METHODS

We performed a retrospective analysis of serum samples from 396 patients with NAFLD and different stages of fibrosis (F0-F4), collected from 2007 through 2017 on the day of liver biopsy (training cohort 1). We measured serum concentrations of alpha-2 macroglobulin (A2M), hyaluronic acid (HA), and TIMP metallopeptidase inhibitor 1 (TIMP1), and used measurements to develop an algorithm that could discriminate patients with NAFLD with advanced fibrosis (F3-F4; 24.1% of cohort) from those with mild or moderate fibrosis (F0-F2; 79.5% of cohort). We validated the algorithm using serum samples collected from a separate 396 patients from the same time period and location (validation cohort 1), as well as 244 patients with NAFLD evaluated at a separate location, from 2011 through 2017, within a median of 11 days of liver biopsy (cohort 2).

RESULTS

The algorithm identified patients with advanced fibrosis vs mild or moderate fibrosis in training cohort 1 with an area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUROC) curve of 0.867 (95% CI, 0.827-0.907), 84.8% sensitivity (95% CI, 75.5%-91.0%), and 72.3% specificity (95% CI, 66.9%-77.3%), at a cutoff score of 17. The AUROC for the combined validation cohorts 1 and 2 (n=640) was 0.856 (95% CI, 0.820-0.892), identifying patients with 79.7% sensitivity (95% CI, 71.9%-86.2%) and 75.7% specificity (95% CI, 71.8%-79.4%) at the predetermined cutoff score of 17. The algorithm had negative predictive values that ranged from 92.5% to 94.7% in the validation cohorts; it correctly classified 90.0% of F0 samples, 75.0% of F1 samples, 77.4% of F3 samples, and 94.4% of F4 samples.

CONCLUSION

We developed an algorithm that identifies patients with advanced fibrosis from those with mild to moderate fibrosis in patients with NAFLD with an AUROC value of approximately 0.86, based on levels of serum biomarkers. We validated the findings in 2 separate sets of patients with biopsy-proven NAFLD. The algorithm can be used non-invasively to determine risk of advanced fibrosis in patients with NAFLD.

Repeating measurements by transient elastography in non-alcoholic fatty liver disease patients with high liver stiffness

BACKGROUND AND AIM

The Baveno VI Consensus recommends repeating examination in patients with high liver stiffness measurement (LSM) by transient elastography to reduce false-positive diagnosis of advanced liver disease. We tested whether repeating transient elastography can increase the overall diagnostic accuracy.

METHODS

Ninety-seven patients with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease who underwent two FibroScan examinations within 6 months prior to liver biopsy were evaluated. An LSM cut-off of 7.9 kPa was used to exclude F3-4 fibrosis.

RESULTS

Seventy-eight patients had high LSM at baseline, among whom 27 had low LSM on repeated testing; only four had F3 and none had cirrhosis. In contrast, 31 of 51 patients with high LSM at both examinations had F3-4. Nineteen patients had low LSM at baseline; none of them had F3-4 regardless of the second LSM results. If we took LSM <7.9 kPa at either examination as sufficient to exclude F3-4, the negative predictive value remained high at 91%. The positive predictive value for F3-4 increased from 45% in patients with high LSM at baseline to 61% in those with high LSM at both examinations. Sensitivity analysis using different cut-offs yielded similar results, with 76% of patients with LSM >12 kPa at both examinations having F3-4.

CONCLUSIONS

Transient elastography is a highly sensitive screening test to exclude F3-4 fibrosis in non-alcoholic fatty liver disease patients. One-third of patients with high LSM may have normal results on repeated examination. By repeating examination in cases with high LSM, one may spare patients from unnecessary liver biopsy.

Speculation of the Time-Dependent Change of FIB4 Index in Patients with Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease: A Retrospective Study

AIM

To speculate on the time-dependent change of FIB4 index in patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) and its increase-decrease rate per year, simply and accurately.

METHODS

In all 23 patients with NAFLD with the value of FIB4 index over 1.30 at the peak, the period from the first to each examination date was calculated and this period (years) was regarded as x. Next, the mean value of FIB4 index during the past year to each examination date was regarded as y. In every y, the minimum and the maximum y value were found out. Between x corresponding to this minimum y and x corresponding to this maximum y, the correlation between x and y was analyzed as the main subject. Then, the slope of each correlation was investigated, because it should indicate increase-decrease rate per year.

RESULTS

In all 23 patients, the correlations as the main subject were recognized and the mean absolute value of correlation coefficient (r) was 0.91 ± 0.08. As for the slope, the mean absolute value was 0.1371 ± 0.1147 (/year).

CONCLUSION

Simply and accurately, the time-dependent change of FIB4 index and its increase-decrease rate per year could be approximately speculated.