High risk of complications and acute-on-chronic liver failure in cirrhosis patients with acute pancreatitis

Outcomes of Acute Pancreatitis in Patients With and Without Liver Cirrhosis: A Retrospective Analysis

Background Acute pancreatitis (AP) is a common cause of hospitalization in the United States. Our study aimed to investigate the impact of liver cirrhosis (LC) on the outcomes of AP in adult patients hospitalized with AP. Methods We performed a retrospective study of adult patients with AP utilizing the Nationwide Inpatient Sample (NIS) database from 2020 to 2022. We compared AP outcomes in patients with and without LC. The primary outcome was all-cause inpatient mortality. Secondary outcomes were the length of stay (LOS), healthcare cost utilization adjusted to 2022, the incidence of acute renal failure (ARF), sepsis, shock, venous thromboembolism (VTE), and the need for intensive care unit (ICU) admission. Statistical analyses were performed using STATA, version 16.1 (StataCorp., College Station, Texas, USA). A multivariate logistic regression analysis was conducted to assess if gender was an independent predictor for these outcomes and to adjust for any confounders. Results From 2020 to 2022, 738,139 adult patients underwent AP admissions. Among the patients, 723,959 had AP without LC, and 14,180 had AP with LC. The mean age for patients with and without LC was the same, 50.9 years. Patients without LC had a higher prevalence of cerebrovascular accident (CVA) and obesity. Patients with LC had a higher prevalence of congestive heart failure (CHF), diabetes mellitus type 2 (DM2), diabetes mellitus type 1 (DM1), chronic kidney disease (CKD), and smoking/tobacco use. We found that AP patients with LC had a significantly higher likelihood of in-hospital mortality (aOR: 1.74, 95% CI: 1.22-2.42, P < 0.01), longer LOS (+ 0.46 days, 95% CI: 0.26-0.67, P < 0.01), higher healthcare utilization cost (+ $4163, 95% CI: $1530.9-$6796.0, P < 0.01), shock (aOR: 1.87, 95% CI: 1.42-2.46, P < 0.01), ARF (aOR: 1.44, 95% CI: 1.30-1.59, P < 0.01), ICU admission (aOR: 1.67, 95% CI: 1.38-1.91, P < 0.01), and acute VTE (aOR: 1.65, 95% CI: 1.30-2.11, P < 0.01).  Conclusions We found that patients with AP who concomitantly had LC had significantly poor clinical outcomes, including higher mortality, ARF, shock, ICU admission, VTE, LOS, and total hospitalization charges as compared to AP patients who did not have LC. Our study highlights that cirrhotic patients with AP have poor inpatient hospital outcomes and need aggressive treatment to prevent morbidity and mortality.

[The value of sequential organ failure assessment and its dynamic changes in predicting mortality in hematology intensive care unit]

Objective: To investigate the value of Sequential Organ Failure (SOFA) score and its dynamics (ΔSOFA) in predicting mortality in hematology care unit (HCU) . Methods: A retrospective clinical study was conducted on 79 critically ill hematologic patients admitted to the Center for Critical Care Medicine, Institute of Hematology & Blood Diseases Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences, between May and June 2024. SOFA scores and ΔSOFA were calculated within 2 days before and after HCU admission. The predictive value of SOFA and ΔSOFA in mortality was assessed using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis. Results: Among the 79 patients, the HCU mortality rate was 54.4%. The SOFA scores on days 1-3 (D1, D2, and D3) and ΔSOFA on day 1 (ΔD_1) of all patients, leukemia patients and hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (HSCT) patients were significantly higher in the death group compared with the non-death group (all P<0.05). ROC curve analysis revealed that the D_1, D_2, D_3 scores, and ΔD_1 significantly predicted mortality (P<0.001), with areas under the curve (AUCs) of 0.786, 0.866, 0.901, and 0.843, respectively. The sensitivity values were 74.36%, 57.89%, 62.85%, and 86.84%, while specificity values were 70%, 100%, 100%, and 67.65%, respectively. In the HSCT group, the D_-1, D_1, D_2, D_ 3, scores and ΔD_1 were predictive of HCU mortality, with AUCs of 0.833, 0.794, 0.871, 0.846, and 0.795, respectively. Sensitivity values for these scores were 100%, 85.71%, 71.43%, 57.14%, and 57.14%, while specificity values were 73.33%, 70.59%, 91.33%, 100%, and 100%, respectively. In the leukemia group, the D_1, D_2, D_3 scores, and ΔD_1 were predictive of HCU mortality, with AUCs of 0.760, 0.829, 0.846, and 0.756, respectively. Sensitivity values were 71.43%, 78.57%, 53.85%, and 71.43%, while specificity values were 76.19%, 78.95%, 100%, and 63.16%, respectively. For all patients, the D_3 score exhibited the highest specificity, while the ΔD_1 demonstrated the highest sensitivity. For patients in both the HSCT and leukemia groups, the sensitivity and specificity values of the D_1 and D_3 scores exceeded those of the ΔD_1. Conclusion: For patients with hematologic critical illness, including leukemia and those undergoing HSCT hospitalized in the HCU, D_1, D_2, D_ 3 scores and ΔD_1 are significantly associated with HCU mortality.

Development of a nomogram for predicting pancreatic portal hypertension in patients with acute pancreatitis: a retrospective study

INTRODUCTION

Pancreatic portal hypertension (PPH) is a rare complication of acute pancreatitis (AP) that can lead to severe gastrointestinal bleeding. The risk factors associated with PPH, as well as the overall prognosis, warrant further investigation. This study aims to develop and validate a nomogram to predict PPH in patients with AP.

METHODS

Consecutive patients with AP from 2015 to 2023 were retrospectively included in the study. Demographic data, clinical manifestations within the first week of AP onset, and initial contrast-enhanced CT findings were used to develop the predictive model. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses were performed to identify risk factors for PPH. Based on the results of the multivariate analysis, a nomogram was developed. The patients were randomly divided into training and validation sets at a 7:3 ratio. The accuracy and discriminative power of the predictive model were assessed using the area under the curve (AUC) from the receiver operating characteristic curve and the calibration curve.

RESULTS

Of the 1473 patients with AP, 107 (7.3%) developed PPH within 6 months (range: 2-22 months) during follow-up. Multivariate regression analysis showed that body mass index (BMI) (HR, 1.10; 95% CI 1.04 to 1.16; p=0.001), moderately severe grade (HR, 9.36; 95% CI 4.58 to 19.13; p<0.001), severe grade (HR, 12.95; 95% CI 6.22 to 26.94; p<0.001), diabetes (HR, 2.26; 95% CI 1.47 to 3.47; p<0.001), acute fluid accumulation (HR, 2.13; 95% CI 1.31 to 3.47; p=0.002), and necrosis (HR, 3.64; 95% CI 2.30 to 5.78; p<0.001) were independent risk factors for PPH. A nomogram for predicting PPH was developed, with the predictive curves showing an AUC of 0.859 at 6 months and 0.846 at 9 months. In the validation set, the AUC at both time points was 0.812.

CONCLUSION

In summary, we identified BMI, moderately severe or severe AP, diabetes, acute fluid accumulation, and necrosis as risk factors for AP-related PPH. Using the largest cohort of patients with AP to date, we developed a highly accurate nomogram with strong discriminative ability for predicting PPH. Future studies with larger sample sizes are necessary to confirm our findings and conduct external validation.

DGA ameliorates severe acute pancreatitis through modulating macrophage pyroptosis

Severe acute pancreatitis (SAP) is an inflammatory disease with varying severity, ranging from mild local inflammation to severe systemic disease, with a high incidence rate and mortality. Current drug treatments are not ideal. Therefore, safer and more effective therapeutic drugs are urgently needed. 7α,14β-dihydroxy-ent-kaur-17-dimethylamino-3,15-dione DGA, a diterpenoid compound derivatized from glaucocalyxin A, exhibits anti-inflammatory activity. In this study, we demonstrated the therapeutic potential of DGA against SAP and elucidated the underlying mechanisms. Treatment with DGA markedly (1) inhibited death of RAW264.7 and J774a.1 cells induced by Nigericin and lipopolysaccharide, (2) alleviated edema, acinar cell vacuolation, necrosis, and inflammatory cell infiltration of pancreatic tissue in mice, and (3) inhibited the activity of serum lipase and the secretion of inflammatory factor IL-1β. DGA significantly reduced the protein expression of IL-1β and NLRP3 and inhibited the phosphorylation of NF-κB. However, DGA exhibited no inhibitory effect on the expression of caspase-1, gasdermin D (GSDMD), NF-κB, TNF-α, or apoptosis-associated speck-like protein (ASC) and on the cleavage of caspase-1 or GSDMD. Molecular docking simulation confirmed that DGA can bind to TLR4 and IL-1 receptor. In conclusion, DGA may effectively alleviate the symptoms of SAP in mice and macrophages by inhibiting the binding of TLR4 and IL-1 receptor to their ligands; therefore, DGA is a promising drug candidate for the treatment of patients with SAP.

Chronic liver disease is an important risk factor for worse outcomes in acute pancreatitis: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Chronic liver diseases (CLD) affect 1.5 billion patients worldwide, with dramatically increasing incidence in recent decades. It has been hypothesized that the chronic hyperinflammation associated with CLD may increase the risk of a more severe course of acute pancreatitis (AP). This study aims to investigate the underlying impact of CLD on the outcomes of AP. A systematic search was conducted in Embase, Medline, and Central databases until October 2022. Studies investigating patients with acute pancreatitis and CLD, were included in the meta-analysis. A total of 14,963 articles were screened, of which 36 were eligible to be included. CLD was a risk factor for increased mortality with an odds ratio (OR) of 2.53 (CI 1.30 to 4.93, p = 0.01). Furthermore, renal, cardiac, and respiratory failures were more common in the CLD group, with ORs of 1.92 (CI 1.3 to 2.83, p = 0.01), 2.11 (CI 0.93 to 4.77, p = 0.062) and 1.99 (CI 1.08 to 3.65, p = 0.033), respectively. Moreover, the likelihood of developing Systemic Inflammatory Response Syndrome (SIRS) was significantly higher, with an OR of 1.95 (CI 1.03 to 3.68, p = 0.042). CLD is an important risk factor for worse outcomes in AP pancreatitis, leading to higher mortality and increased rates of local and systemic complications.

Intravoxel incoherent motion diffusion-weighted imaging for evaluating the pancreatic perfusion in cirrhotic patients

PURPOSE

To assess the characteristics of pancreatic perfusion in normal pancreas versus cirrhotic patients using intravoxel incoherent motion (IVIM) diffusion-weighted imaging (DWI).

METHODS

A total of 67 cirrhotic patients and 33 healthy subjects underwent IVIM on a 3.0 T MRI scanner. Diffusion coefficient (ADCslow), pseudo-diffusion coefficient (ADCfast), and perfusion fraction (f) were calculated based on the bi-exponential model. The pancreatic IVIM-derived parameters were then compared. In the cirrhotic group, the relationship was analyzed between IVIM-derived pancreatic parameters and different classes of hepatic function as determined by the Child-Pugh classification. Also, the pancreatic IVIM-derived parameters were compared among different classes of cirrhosis as determined by the Child-Pugh classification.

RESULTS

The f value of the pancreas in cirrhotic patients was significantly lower than that in normal subjects (p = 0.01). In the cirrhotic group, the f value of the pancreas decreased with the increase of the Child-Pugh classification (R = - 0.49, p = 0.00). The f value of the pancreas was significantly higher in Child-Pugh class A patients than in class B and C patients (p = 0.02, 0.00, respectively), whereas there was no significant difference between class B and C patients (p = 0.16).

CONCLUSION

The IVIM-derived perfusion-related parameter (f value) could be helpful for the evaluation of pancreatic perfusion in liver cirrhosis. Our data also suggest that the blood perfusion decrease in the pancreas is present in liver cirrhosis, and the pancreatic perfusion tends to decrease with the increasing severity of hepatic function.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

Trial registration number is 2021-ky-68 and date of registration for prospectively registered trials is February 23, 2022.

Analysis of risk factors for acute pancreatitis complicated with pancreatic sinistral portal hypertension and construction of predictive model

Objective: Pancreatic sinistral portal hypertension (PSPH) is a common complication of acute pancreatitis (AP) and can cause massive gastrointestinal bleeding, which is one of the causes of AP-related mortality. However, there is currently no predictive model for AP concurrent with PSPH. This study aimed to identify the risk factors for AP concurrent with PSPH and use these factors to build a related predictive model. Materials and methods: We collected clinical data from 282 patients with AP. 192 patients were used as a training group and 90 patients as a validation group. Univariate and multivariate analyses were used to identify independent risk factors for AP complicated with PSPH, and then a nomogram was established. The models are cross verification and Internal verification. The predictive ability and accuracy of the model were evaluated based on the working curve of the subjects and the calibration curve, respectively. The clinical value of the model was evaluated using decision curve analysis (DCA). Results: The univariate analysis revealed significant differences in the occurrence of PSPH with respect to sex, recurrent AP, history of hypertension, smoking history, patency of the splenic vein, pancreatic necrosis or pancreatic pseudocyst formation, the most significant site of pancreatic swelling, presence of a Dmure D polymer, MCTSI, and involvement of lipase and amylase. The logistic multivariate regression analysis showed that male sex, splenic-vein stenosis or occlusion and swelling were located in the body-tail, and MCTSI was an independent risk factor for PSPH. The nomogram and ROC curve were constructed. The area under the working curve of the subjects was 0.91, and the sensitivity and specificity were 82.5% and 89.1%, respectively. In the validation group, the C-index is 0.826. The nomogram was internally validated using 1,000 bootstrap samples, and the c-index was 0.898. The calibration curve demonstrated that the predicted probability was concordant with the observed probability, and the DCA confirmed that the model had robust clinical utility. Conclusion: Male sex, splenic-vein stenosis or occlusion, recurrent AP, and swelling are located in the body-tail, and MCTSI is an independent risk factor for the occurrence of PSPH. The predictive model developed for AP complicated with PSPH may serve toward developing preventive and therapeutic approaches for PSPH.