Development and validation of a novel predictive scoring model for microvascular invasion in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma

Evaluating microvascular invasion in hepatitis B virus-related hepatocellular carcinoma based on contrast-enhanced computed tomography radiomics and clinicoradiological factors

BACKGROUND

Microvascular invasion (MVI) is a significant indicator of the aggressive behavior of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Expanding the surgical resection margin and performing anatomical liver resection may improve outcomes in patients with MVI. However, no reliable preoperative method currently exists to predict MVI status or to identify patients at high-risk group (M2).

AIM

To develop and validate models based on contrast-enhanced computed tomography (CECT) radiomics and clinicoradiological factors to predict MVI and identify M2 among patients with hepatitis B virus-related HCC (HBV-HCC). The ultimate goal of the study was to guide surgical decision-making.

METHODS

A total of 270 patients who underwent surgical resection were retrospectively analyzed. The cohort was divided into a training dataset (189 patients) and a validation dataset (81) with a 7:3 ratio. Radiomics features were selected using intra-class correlation coefficient analysis, Pearson or Spearman's correlation analysis, and the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator algorithm, leading to the construction of radscores from CECT images. Univariate and multivariate analyses identified significant clinicoradiological factors and radscores associated with MVI and M2, which were subsequently incorporated into predictive models. The models' performance was evaluated using calibration, discrimination, and clinical utility analysis.

RESULTS

Independent risk factors for MVI included non-smooth tumor margins, absence of a peritumoral hypointensity ring, and a high radscore based on delayed-phase CECT images. The MVI prediction model incorporating these factors achieved an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.841 in the training dataset and 0.768 in the validation dataset. The M2 prediction model, which integrated the radscore from the 5 mm peritumoral area in the CECT arterial phase, α-fetoprotein level, enhancing capsule, and aspartate aminotransferase level achieved an AUC of 0.865 in the training dataset and 0.798 in the validation dataset. Calibration and decision curve analyses confirmed the models' good fit and clinical utility.

CONCLUSION

Multivariable models were constructed by combining clinicoradiological risk factors and radscores to preoperatively predict MVI and identify M2 among patients with HBV-HCC. Further studies are needed to evaluate the practical application of these models in clinical settings.

Combined Hounsfield units of hepatocellular carcinoma on computed tomography and PET as a noninvasive predictor of early recurrence after living donor liver transplantation: Time-to-recurrence survival analysis

BACKGROUND

Liver transplantation is an effective treatment for preventing hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) recurrence. This retrospective study aimed to quantitatively evaluate the attenuation in Hounsfield units (HU) on contrast-enhanced computed tomography (CECT) as a prognostic factor for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) following liver transplantation as a treatment. Our goal is to optimize its predictive ability for early tumor recurrence and compare it with the other imaging modality-positron emission tomography (PET).

METHODS

In 618 cases of LDLT for HCC, only 131 patients with measurable viable HCC on preoperative CECT and preoperative positron emission tomography (PET) evaluations were included, with a minimum follow-up period of 6 years. Cox regression models were developed to identify predictors of postoperative recurrence. Performance metrics for both CT and PET were assessed. The correlation between these two imaging modalities was also evaluated. Survival analyses were conducted using time-dependent receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis and area under the curve (AUC) to assess accuracy and determine optimized cut-off points.

RESULTS

Univariate and multivariate analyses revealed that both arterial-phase preoperative tumor attenuation (HU) and PET were independent prognostic factors for recurrence-free survival. Both lower arterial tumor enhancement (Cut-off value = 59.2, AUC 0.88) on CT and PET positive (AUC 0.89) increased risk of early tumor recurrence 0.5-year time-dependent ROC. Composites with HU < 59.2 and a positive PET result exhibited significantly higher diagnostic accuracy in detecting early tumor recurrence (AUC = 0.96).

CONCLUSION

Relatively low arterial tumor enhancement values on CECT effectively predict early HCC recurrence after LDLT. The integration of CT and PET imaging may serve as imaging markers of early tumor recurrence in HCC patients after LDLT.

Clinical prediction of microvascular invasion in hepatocellular carcinoma using an MRI-based graph convolutional network model integrated with nomogram

OBJECTIVES

Based on enhanced MRI, a prediction model of microvascular invasion (MVI) for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) was developed using graph convolutional network (GCN) combined nomogram.

METHODS

We retrospectively collected 182 HCC patients confirmed histopathologically, all of them performed enhanced MRI before surgery. The patients were randomly divided into training and validation groups. Radiomics features were extracted from the arterial phase (AP), portal venous phase (PVP), and delayed phase (DP), respectively. After removing redundant features, the graph structure by constructing the distance matrix with the feature matrix was built. Screening the superior phases and acquired GCN Score (GS). Finally, combining clinical, radiological and GS established the predicting nomogram.

RESULTS

27.5% (50/182) patients were with MVI positive. In radiological analysis, intratumoural artery (P = 0.007) was an independent predictor of MVI. GCN model with grey-level cooccurrence matrix-grey-level run length matrix features exhibited area under the curves of the training group was 0.532, 0.690, and 0.885 and the validation group was 0.583, 0.580, and 0.854 for AP, PVP, and DP, respectively. DP was selected to develop final model and got GS. Combining GS with diameter, corona enhancement, mosaic architecture, and intratumoural artery constructed a nomogram which showed a C-index of 0.884 (95% CI: 0.829-0.927).

CONCLUSIONS

The GCN model based on DP has a high predictive ability. A nomogram combining GS, clinical and radiological characteristics can be a simple and effective guiding tool for selecting HCC treatment options.

ADVANCES IN KNOWLEDGE

GCN based on MRI could predict MVI on HCC.

Multiparametric MRI combined with clinical factors to predict glypican-3 expression of hepatocellular carcinoma

OBJECTIVES

The present study aims at establishing a noninvasive and reliable model for the preoperative prediction of glypican 3 (GPC3)-positive hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) based on multiparametric magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) and clinical indicators.

METHODS

As a retrospective study, the subjects included 158 patients from two institutions with surgically-confirmed single HCC who underwent preoperative MRI between 2020 and 2022. The patients, 102 from institution I and 56 from institution II, were assigned to the training and the validation sets, respectively. The association of the clinic-radiological variables with the GPC3 expression was investigated through performing univariable and multivariable logistic regression (LR) analyses. The synthetic minority over-sampling technique (SMOTE) was used to balance the minority group (GPC3-negative HCCs) in the training set, and diagnostic performance was assessed by the area under the curve (AUC) and accuracy. Next, a prediction nomogram was developed and validated for patients with GPC3-positive HCC. The performance of the nomogram was evaluated through examining its calibration and clinical utility.

RESULTS

Based on the results obtained from multivariable analyses, alpha-fetoprotein levels > 20 ng/mL, 75th percentile ADC value < 1.48 ×103 mm2/s and R2* value ≥ 38.6 sec-1 were found to be the significant independent predictors of GPC3-positive HCC. The SMOTE-LR model based on three features achieved the best predictive performance in the training (AUC, 0.909; accuracy, 83.7%) and validation sets (AUC, 0.829; accuracy, 82.1%) with a good calibration performance and clinical usefulness.

CONCLUSIONS

The nomogram combining multiparametric MRI and clinical indicators is found to have satisfactory predictive efficacy for preoperative prediction of GPC3-positive HCC. Accordingly, the proposed method can promote individualized risk stratification and further treatment decisions of HCC patients.

Model containing sarcopenia and visceral adiposity can better predict the prognosis of hepatocellular carcinoma: a multicenter study

AIM

This study aimed to explore whether the addition of sarcopenia and visceral adiposity could improve the accuracy of model predicting progression-free survival (PFS) in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

METHODS

In total, 394 patients with HCC from five hospitals were divided into the training and external validation datasets. Patients were initially treated by liver resection or transarterial chemoembolization. We evaluated adipose and skeletal muscle using preoperative computed tomography imaging and then constructed three predictive models, including metabolic (ModelMA), clinical-imaging (ModelCI), and combined (ModelMA-CI) models. Their discrimination, calibration, and decision curves were compared, to identify the best model. Nomogram and subgroup analysis was performed for the best model.

RESULTS

ModelMA-CI containing sarcopenia and visceral adiposity had good discrimination and calibrations (integrate area under the curve for PFS was 0.708 in the training dataset and 0.706 in the validation dataset). ModelMA-CI had better accuracy than ModelCI and ModelMA. The performance of ModelMA-CI was not affected by treatments or disease stages. The high-risk subgroup (scored > 198) had a significantly shorter PFS (p < 0.001) and poorer OS (p < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

The addition of sarcopenia and visceral adiposity improved accuracy in predicting PFS in HCC, which may provide additional insights in prognosis for HCC in subsequent studies.

Preoperative prediction and risk assessment of microvascular invasion in hepatocellular carcinoma

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is one of the most common and highly lethal tumors worldwide. Microvascular invasion (MVI) is a significant risk factor for recurrence and poor prognosis after surgical resection for HCC patients. Accurately predicting the status of MVI preoperatively is critical for clinicians to select treatment modalities and improve overall survival. However, MVI can only be diagnosed by pathological analysis of postoperative specimens. Currently, numerous indicators in serology (including liquid biopsies) and imaging have been identified to effective in predicting the occurrence of MVI, and the multi-indicator model based on deep learning greatly improves accuracy of prediction. Moreover, several genes and proteins have been identified as risk factors that are strictly associated with the occurrence of MVI. Therefore, this review evaluates various predictors and risk factors, and provides guidance for subsequent efforts to explore more accurate predictive methods and to facilitate the conversion of risk factors into reliable predictors.

Predicting Outcome after Percutaneous Ablation for Early-Stage Hepatocellular Carcinoma Using Various Imaging Modalities

Percutaneous ablation is a low-invasive, repeatable, and curative local treatment that is now recommended for early-stage hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) that is not suitable for surgical resection. Poorly differentiated HCC has high-grade malignancy potential. Microvascular invasion is frequently seen, even in tumors smaller than 3 cm in diameter, and prognosis is poor after percutaneous ablation. Biopsy has a high risk of complications such as bleeding and dissemination; therefore, it has limitations in determining HCC tumor malignancy prior to treatment. Advances in diagnostic imaging have enabled non-invasive diagnosis of tumor malignancy. We describe the usefulness of ultrasonography, computed tomography, magnetic resonance imaging, and 18F-fluorodeoxyglucose positron emission tomography for predicting outcome after percutaneous ablation for HCC.

A Reliable and Repeatable Model for Predicting Microvascular Invasion in Patients With Hepatocellular Carcinoma

RATIONALE AND OBJECTIVES

The reproducibility of imaging models for predicting microvascular invasion (MVI) in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) remains questionable due to inconsistent interpretation of image signs. Our aim was to screen for high-consensus MRI features to develop a repeatable model for predicting MVI.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We included 219 patients with HCC who underwent surgical resection, and patients were divided into a training cohort (n = 145) and a validation cohort (n = 74). Morphological characteristics, signal features on hepatobiliary phases, and dynamic enhancement patterns were qualitatively interobserver evaluated. Interobserver agreement was assessed using Cohen's κ for selecting features with high interobserver agreement. Risk factors that were significant in stepwise multivariate analysis and that could be measured with good interobserver agreement were used to construct a predictive model, which was assessed in the validation cohort. The diagnostic performance of the model was evaluated based on area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC).

RESULTS

Multivariate analysis identified nonsmooth tumor margin, absence of radiologic capsule, and intratumoral artery as independent risk factors of MVI. These MRI-based features showed good or nearly perfect interobserver agreement between radiologists (κ > 0.6). The predictive model predicted MVI well in the training (AUC 0.734) and validation cohorts (AUC 0.759) and fitted well to calibration curves.

CONCLUSION

MRI features included nonsmooth tumor margin, absence of radiologic capsule, and intratumoral artery that can be assessed with high interobserver agreement can predict MVI in HCC patients. The predictive model described here may be useful to radiologists, regardless of experience level.

Prognostic and pathological implications of contrast-enhanced ultrasound features in hepatocellular carcinoma

Background

Contrast-enhanced ultrasound (CEUS) plays a vital role in diagnosing hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and, to some extent, reflects tumor prognosis. This suggests that some pathological features of HCC may be associated with CEUS features.

Aim

This study aimed to verify the prognostic significance of four CEUS features and further explore their pathological significance.

Materials and Methods

This study included 243 HCC patients who underwent a preoperative CEUS examination. All pathological diagnoses and immunohistochemical information were obtained from the pathological report. The prognostic significance of four CEUS features, including nodule-in-nodule architecture, mosaic architecture, intratumoral feeding arteries, and peritumoral arterial phase (AP) hyperenhancement, was analyzed. The correlation between prognostic-related features and immunohistochemical information was further analyzed.

Results

The disease-free survival (DFS) of HCC was significantly affected by mosaic architecture or intratumoral feeding arteries (HR = 1.79; 95% confidence interval (95% CI), 1.09-2.95; P = 0.004; HR = 1.70; 95% CI, 1.07-2.71; P = 0.025, respectively). Intratumoral feeding arteries were positively correlated with the expression of serum alpha-fetoprotein (AFP), microvascular invasion (MVI), differentiation, size, and Ki-67, among which the correlation with size was the strongest, followed by Ki-67 and MVI. The mosaic architecture was positively correlated with serum AFP, MVI, differentiation, and size, among which the correlation with size was strongest, followed by MVI.

Conclusion

The mosaic architecture and intratumoral feeding arteries of CEUS were closely related to the postoperative progression of HCC. Mosaic architecture had a good correlation with tumor size and MVI, whereas intratumoral feeding arteries were closely associated with tumor size and Ki-67 expression.

Prediction of microvascular invasion in combined hepatocellular-cholangiocarcinoma based on preoperative contrast-enhanced CT and clinical data

OBJECTIVE

Microvascular invasion (MVI) is significantly associated with prognosis in combined hepatocellular-cholangiocarcinoma (cHCC-CCA) patients. The study aimed to explore the value of preoperative contrast-enhanced CT (CECT) features and clinical data in predicting MVI of cHCC-CCA.

METHODS

A total of 33 patients with MVI-positive and 27 with MVI-negative were enrolled, and underwent preoperative CECT imaging from January 2016 to December 2021. Preoperative clinical data and CECT imaging features were retrospectively analyzed. Univariable and multivariable logistic regression analysis were performed to identify potential predictors of MVI in cHCC-CCA. The diagnostic performance was evaluated by the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and its area under the curve (AUC) value.

RESULTS

The mean age of the patients was 54.0 ± 10.3 years, and 53 of the 60 patients (88.3%) were male. Preoperative imaging features on CECT (non-smooth contour and arterial phase peritumoral enhancement) and clinical data (hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection and protein induced by vitamin K absence or antagonist-II (PIVKA-II)) were highly distinct between those in MVI-positive group and MVI-negative group. On multivariable logistic analysis, arterial phase peritumoral enhancement (odds ratio (OR), 6.514; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.588-26.728, p = 0.012) and high serum PIVKA-II level (OR, 6.810; 95% CI, 1.796-25.820, p = 0.005) were independent predictors associated with MVI of cHCC-CCA. The combination of these two predictors had high sensitivity (31/33, 93.9%; 95% CI, 80.4% - 98.3%) in the prediction of MVI with an area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve of 0.763 (95% CI, 0.635-0.863).

CONCLUSIONS

The findings indicated that arterial phase peritumoral enhancement on preoperative CECT and high serum PIVKA-II level were identified as potential predictors for MVI in cHCC-CCA patients.

Comparison of preoperative ultrasound and MRI in the diagnosis of microvascular invasion in hepatocellular carcinoma

Ultrasound has few reports on its application in prediction of microvascular invasion (MVI) in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). The purpose of this study was to explore the diagnostic efficacies of preoperative ultrasound and magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) for HCC MVI and compare these two imaging methods for the diagnosis of this condition. The clinical and preoperative ultrasound and MR imaging data of 26 patients with newly diagnosed HCC were collected between October 2020 and October 2021. According to the gold standard (postoperative pathology), the patients were divided into MVI-positive and MVI-negative groups, and the efficacies of ultrasound and MRI in diagnosing HCC MVI and the consistency between the two imaging modalities were analyzed. For the preoperative diagnosis of MVI using ultrasound, the sensitivity was 93.33%, the specificity was 81.82%, and the accuracy was 88.46%. For preoperative MRI, the sensitivity was 66.67%, the specificity was 100%, and the accuracy was 80.77%. In diagnosing MVI, the two methods had significantly different efficacy (P = 0.031). Ultrasound and MRI have high diagnostic efficiency for MVI, but the accuracy of preoperative MRI was lower than that of preoperative ultrasound. These results indicate that ultrasound has a certain guiding significance in the diagnosis of HCC MVI.

Prediction of therapeutic response of advanced hepatocellular carcinoma to combined targeted immunotherapy by MRI

PURPOSE

To assess the value of pre-treatment MRI in predicting treatment response to combined targeted immunotherapy in advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

METHODS

Totally 35 HCC participants who underwent pre-treatment contrast-enhanced MRI and received combined tyrosine kinase inhibitor (TKI) and anti-PD-1 antibody treatment were enrolled. Univariable and multivariable logistic regression analyses were carried out for comparing clinical and MRI characteristics between patients with therapeutic response and those without. A predictive model based on MRI data and the corresponding nomogram were developed using data generated by multivariate analysis, and the diagnostic performance was evaluated. A cutoff for the combined index was measured by receiver operating characteristic curve analysis, and progression-free survival (PFS) rates were compared between cases with high and low combined index values.

RESULTS

Fifteen (42.86%) cases achieved overall response during treatment. Multivariable analysis revealed that homogeneous signal (odds ratio [OR] = 13.51, P = 0.010) and no arterial peritumoral enhancement (APE; OR = 10.29, P = 0.024) independently predicted treatment response. The combined model including both significant MRI parameters showed a satisfactory predictive performance with the largest area under the curve of 0.837 (95%CI 0.673-0.939), and both sensitivity and specificity of 80.0%. HCCs with high-combined index had higher PFS rate compared with those showing a low value (P = 0.034).

CONCLUSION

The combination of pre-treatment MRI features of homogeneous signal and no APE could be used for predicting treatment response to combined targeted immunotherapy in advanced HCC.

A Synopsis of Artificial Intelligence and its Applications in Surgery

Artificial intelligence (AI) has made steady in-roads into the healthcare scenario over the last decade. While widespread adoption into clinical practice remains elusive, the outreach of this discipline has progressed beyond the physician scientist, and different facets of this technology have been incorporated into the care of surgical patients. New AI applications are developing at rapid pace, and it is imperative that the general surgeon be aware of the broad utility of AI as applicable in his or her day-to-day practice, so that healthcare continues to remain up-to-date and evidence based. This review provides a broad account of the tip of the AI iceberg and highlights it potential for positively impacting surgical care.

A nomogram model integrating LI-RADS features and radiomics based on contrast-enhanced magnetic resonance imaging for predicting microvascular invasion in hepatocellular carcinoma falling the Milan criteria

PURPOSE

To establish and validate a nomogram model incorporating both liver imaging reporting and data system (LI-RADS) features and contrast enhanced magnetic resonance imaging (CEMRI)-based radiomics for predicting microvascular invasion (MVI) in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) falling the Milan criteria.

METHODS

In total, 161 patients with 165 HCCs diagnosed with MVI (n = 99) or without MVI (n = 66) were assigned to a training and a test group. MRI LI-RADS characteristics and radiomics features selected by the LASSO algorithm were used to establish the MRI and Rad-score models, respectively, and the independent features were integrated to develop the nomogram model. The predictive ability of the nomogram was evaluated with receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves.

RESULTS

The risk factors associated with MVI (P<0.05) were related to larger tumor size, nonsmooth margin, mosaic architecture, corona enhancement and higher Rad-score. The areas under the ROC curve (AUCs) of the MRI feature model for predicting MVI were 0.85 (95% CI: 0.78-0.92) and 0.85 (95% CI: 0.74-0.95), and those for the Rad-score were 0.82 (95% CI: 0.73-0.90) and 0.80 (95% CI: 0.67-0.93) in the training and test groups, respectively. The nomogram presented improved AUC values of 0.87 (95% CI: 0.81-0.94) in the training group and 0.89 (95% CI: 0.81-0.98) in the test group (P<0.05) for predicting MVI. The calibration curve and decision curve analysis demonstrated that the nomogram model had high goodness-of-fit and clinical benefits.

CONCLUSIONS

The nomogram model can effectively predict MVI in patients with HCC falling within the Milan criteria and serves as a valuable imaging biomarker for facilitating individualized decision-making.

Predictive machine learning model for microvascular invasion identification in hepatocellular carcinoma based on the LI-RADS system

Purposes

This study aimed to establish a predictive model of microvascular invasion (MVI) in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) by contrast-enhanced computed tomography (CT), which relied on a combination of machine learning approach and imaging features covering Liver Imaging and Reporting and Data System (LI-RADS) features.

Methods

The retrospective study included 279 patients with surgery who underwent preoperative enhanced CT. They were randomly allocated to training set, validation set, and test set (167 patients vs. 56 patients vs. 56 patients, respectively). Significant imaging findings for predicting MVI were identified through the Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (LASSO) logistic regression method. Predictive models were performed by machine learning algorithm, support vector machine (SVM), in the training set and validation set, and evaluated in the test set. Further, a combined model adding clinical findings to the radiologic model was developed. Based on the LI-RADS category, subgroup analyses were conducted.

Results

We included 116 patients with MVI which were diagnosed through pathological confirmation. Six imaging features were selected about MVI prediction: four LI-RADS features (corona enhancement, enhancing capsule, non-rim aterial phase hyperehancement, tumor size) and two non-LI-RADS features (internal arteries, non-smooth tumor margin). The radiological feature with the best accuracy was corona enhancement followed by internal arteries and tumor size. The accuracies of the radiological model and combined model were 0.725–0.714 and 0.802–0.732 in the training set, validation set, and test set, respectively. In the LR-4/5 subgroup, a sensitivity of 100% and an NPV of 100% were obtained by the high-sensitivity threshold. A specificity of 100% and a PPV of 100% were acquired through the high specificity threshold in the LR-M subgroup.

Conclusion

A combination of LI-RADS features and non-LI-RADS features and serum alpha-fetoprotein value could be applied as a preoperative biomarker for predicting MVI by the machine learning approach. Furthermore, its good performance in the subgroup by LI-RADS category may help optimize the management of HCC patients.

Development and validation of a deep learning model for survival prognosis of transcatheter arterial chemoembolization in patients with intermediate-stage hepatocellular carcinoma

PURPOSE

We aimed to develop a deep learning-based approach to evaluate both time-to-progression (TTP) and overall survival (OS) prognosis of transcatheter arterial chemoembolization (TACE) in treatment-naïve patients with intermediate-stage hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and compare the approach's performance with those of radiomics and clinical models.

METHODS

EfficientNetV2 was used to build a prognosis model for treatment-naïve patients with HCC. Data of 414 intermediate-stage HCC patients from one participant center were collected to construct the training and validation datasets (70%:30%) for TTP prognosis, while data of 129 intermediate-stage HCC patients from another participant center were collected as the test dataset for both TTP and OS prognosis. Three radiomics and three clinical models were then constructed for comparison.

RESULTS

Patients with EfficientNetV2-based model score ≤ 0.5 had better TTP than those with higher scores (hazard ratio [HR]: 0.32, 95%CI: 0.22-0.46, P < 0.0001; HR: 0.28, 95%CI: 0.20-0.41, P < 0.0001; and HR: 0.55, 95%CI: 0.36-0.88, P = 0.005 in the training, validation, and test datasets, respectively). Patients with model score ≤ 0.5 had better OS (38.8 months vs 20.9 months, HR: 0.58, 95%CI: 0.37-0.90, P = 0.008). Compared with the radiomics (intra-tumoral and peri-tumoral) and three clinical models, the EfficientNetV2-based model showed better survival prognosis for TACE (P < 0.05) in the test dataset.

CONCLUSIONS

The EfficientNetV2-based model enables assessment of both TTP and OS prognosis of TACE in treatment-naïve, intermediate-stage HCC. Patients with lower scores will benefit from TACE. The model can potentially be used by clinicians to improve decision making regarding TACE treatment choices.

MRI-based Nomogram Predicts the Risk of Progression of Unresectable Hepatocellular Carcinoma After Combined Lenvatinib and anti-PD-1 Antibody Therapy

RATIONALE AND OBJECTIVES

Combined immune and anti-angiogenic treatment has shown promising results for unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), but with a high risk of early progression. In this study, we aimed to investigate whether pre-treatment magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) features and MRI-based nomogram could predict the risk of disease progression of unresectable HCC after first-line lenvatinib/anti-PD-1 antibody therapy.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Thirty-seven HCC participants with qualified pre-treatment contrast-enhanced MRI were enrolled. All patients received combined lenvatinib and anti-PD-1 antibody treatment. Progression free survival rate was analyzed using the Kaplan-Meier method. Potential clinical-radiological risk factors for progression were analyzed using the log-rank tests and Cox regression model. The performance of MRI-based nomogram was evaluated based on C-index, calibration, and decision curve analyses.

RESULTS

The 6-month and 12-month cumulative progression free survival rates were 59.5% (95% confidence interval (CI), 43.6%-75.4%) and 48.0% (95% CI, 31.7%-64.3%). On multivariate analysis, no or incomplete tumor capsule (hazard ratio (HR) = 15.215 [95% CI 2.707-85.529], p = 0.002), heterogeneous signal on T2-weighted imaging (HR = 28.179 [95% CI 2.437-325.838]; p = 0.008) and arterial contrast-to-noise ratio ≤95.45 (HR = 5.113 [95% CI 1.538-17.00]; p = 0.008) were independent risk factors for disease progression. Satisfactory predictive performance of the nomogram incorporating the three independent imaging features was obtained with a C-index value of 0.880 (95% CI 0.824-0.937), and the combined nomogram had more favorable clinical prediction performance than any single feature.

CONCLUSION

MRI features can be considered effective predictors of disease progression for unresectable HCC with first-line lenvatinib plus anti-PD-1 antibody therapy, and the combined MRI-based nomogram achieved a superior prognostic model, which may help to identify appropriate candidates for the therapy.

Contrast-enhanced MRI could predict response of systemic therapy in advanced intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma

OBJECTIVE

To investigate whether pre-treatment contrast-enhanced MRI could predict the therapeutic response of systemic treatment in advanced intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC).

METHODS

This retrospective study enrolled 61 ICC participants with contrast-enhanced MRI before combined systemic therapy. Clinical characteristics and MRI features were compared between patients with and without therapeutic response by univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses. Then, a combined MRI-based model and the nomogram were established based on the results of the multivariate analysis. The diagnostic performances of significant findings and the combined model were evaluated and compared. The progression-free survival (PFS) rates between patients with high and low combined index values were compared.

RESULTS

Thirty (49.18%) patients showed overall response after therapy. In multivariate analysis, tumor margin (odds ratio (OR) = 5.004, p = 0.014), T2 homogeneity (OR = 14.93, p = 0.019), and arterial peritumoral enhancement (OR = 5.076, p = 0.042) were independent predictive factors associated with therapeutic response. The C-index with the formulated nomogram incorporating the three independent imaging features was 0.828 (95% CI 0.710-0.913). Diagnostic characteristics of the combined index were superior to any single feature alone (p = 0.0007-0.0141). ICCs with high combined index values showed higher PFS rates than those with low values (χ² = 13.306, p < 0.0001).

CONCLUSIONS

Pre-treatment contrast-enhanced MRI can be used to predict therapeutic response in advanced ICC with systemic therapy. The combination model incorporating significant MRI features achieved an improved predictive value, which may play an important role in identifying appropriate therapeutic candidates.

KEY POINTS

• Contrast-enhanced MRI can predict response of systemic therapy in advanced ICC. • MRI features of tumor margin, T2 homogeneity, and arterial peritumoral enhancement are related to therapeutic response. • The combined MRI-based model may help to identify appropriate therapeutic candidates.

Using Systemic Inflammatory Markers to Predict Microvascular Invasion Before Surgery in Patients With Hepatocellular Carcinoma

Background

Mounting studies reveal the relationship between inflammatory markers and post-therapy prognosis. Yet, the role of the systemic inflammatory indices in preoperative microvascular invasion (MVI) prediction for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) remains unclear.

Patients and Methods

In this study, data of 1,058 cases of patients with HCC treated in the First Affiliated Hospital of Sun Yat-sen University from February 2002 to May 2018 were collected. Inflammatory factors related to MVI diagnosis in patients with HCC were selected by least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression analysis and were integrated into an “Inflammatory Score.” A prognostic nomogram model was established by combining the inflammatory score and other independent factors determined by multivariate logistic regression analysis. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and the area under the curve (AUC) were used to evaluate the predictive efficacy of the model.

Results

Sixteen inflammatory factors, including neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio, platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio, etc., were selected by LASSO regression analysis to establish an inflammatory score. Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that inflammatory score (OR = 2.14, 95% CI: 1.63–2.88, p < 0.001), alpha fetoprotein (OR = 2.02, 95% CI: 1.46–2.82, p < 0.001), and tumor size (OR = 2.37, 95% CI: 1.70–3.30, p < 0.001) were independent factors for MVI. These three factors were then used to establish a nomogram for MVI prediction. The AUC for the training and validation group was 0.72 (95% CI: 0.68–0.76) and 0.72 (95% CI: 0.66–0.78), respectively.

Conclusion

These findings indicated that the model drawn in this study has a high predictive value which is capable to assist the diagnosis of MVI in patients with HCC.

Preoperative prediction of microvascular invasion in hepatocellular carcinoma: a radiomic nomogram based on MRI

AIM

To develop a reliable model to predict microvascular invasion (MVI) in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) by combining a large number of clinical and imaging examinations, especially the radiomic features of magnetic resonance imaging (MRI).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Three hundred and one consecutive patients from two centres were enrolled. Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression was used to shrink the feature size, and logistic regression was used to construct a predictive radiomic signature. The ability of the nomogram to discriminate MVI in patients with HCC was evaluated using area under the curve (AUC) of receiver operating characteristics (ROC), accuracy, and calibration curves.

RESULTS

The radiomic signature showed a significant association with MVI (p<0.001 for all data sets). Other useful predictors of MVI included non-smooth tumour margin, internal arteries, and the alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) level. The nomogram demonstrated a strong prognostic capability in the training set and both validation sets, providing AUCs of 0.914 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.853-0.956), 0.872 (95% CI: 0.757-0.946), and 0.881 (95% CI: 0.806-0.934), respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

The preoperative radiomic nomogram, incorporating clinical risk factors and a radiomic signature, could predict MVI in patients with HCC. The MRI-based radiomic-clinical model predicted the MVI of HCC effectively and was more efficient compared with the radiomic model or clinical model alone.

Evaluation of microvascular invasion of hepatocellular carcinoma using whole-lesion histogram analysis with the stretched-exponential diffusion model

OBJECTIVES

To evaluate the potential role of histogram analysis of stretched exponential model (SEM) through whole-tumor volume for preoperative prediction of microvascular invasion (MVI) in single hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

METHODS

This study included 43 patients with pathologically proven HCCs by surgery who underwent multiple b-values diffusion-weighted imaging (DWI) and contrast-enhanced MRI.The histogram metrics of distributed diffusion coefficient (DDC) and heterogeneity index (α) from SEM were compared between HCCs with and without MVI, by using the independent t-test. Morphologic features of conventional MRI and clinical data were evaluated with chi-squared or Fisher's exact tests. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) and multivariable logistic regression analyses were performed to evaluate the diagnostic performance of different parameters for predicting MVI.

RESULTS

The tumor size and non-smooth tumor margin were significantly associated with MVI (all p < 0.05). The mean, fifth, 25th, 50th percentiles of DDC, and the fifth percentile of ADC between HCCs with and without MVI were statistically significant differences (all p < 0.05). The histogram parameters of α showed no statistically significant differences (all p > 0.05). At multivariate analysis,the fifth percentile of DDC was independent risk factor for MVI of HCC(p = 0.006).

CONCLUSIONS

Histogram parameters DDC and ADC, but not the α value, are useful predictors of MVI. The fifth percentile of DDC was the most useful value to predict MVI of HCC.

ADVANCES IN KNOWLEDGE

There is limited literature addressing the role of SEM for evaluating MVI of HCC. Our findings suggest that histogram analysis of SEM based on whole-tumor volume can be useful for MVI prediction.

Deep convolutional neural network for preoperative prediction of microvascular invasion and clinical outcomes in patients with HCCs

OBJECTIVES

We aimed to develop and validate a deep convolutional neural network (DCNN) model for preoperative prediction of microvascular invasion (MVI) in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and its clinical outcomes using contrast-enhanced computed tomography (CECT) in a large population of candidates for surgery.

METHODS

This retrospective study included 1116 patients with HCC who had undergone preoperative CECT and curative hepatectomy. Radiological (R), DCNN, and combined nomograms were constructed in a training cohort (n = 892) respectively based on clinicoradiological factors, DCNN probabilities, and all factors; the performance of each model was confirmed in a validation cohort (n = 244). Accuracy and the AUC to predict MVI were calculated. Disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS) after surgery were recorded.

RESULTS

The proportion of MVI-positive patients was respectively 38.8% (346/892) and 35.7 % (87/244) in the training and validation cohorts. The AUCs of the R, DCNN, and combined nomograms were respectively 0.809, 0.929, and 0.940 in the training cohorts and 0.837, 0.865, and 0.897 in the validation cohort. The combined nomogram outperformed the R nomogram in the training (p < 0.001) and validation (p = 0.009) cohorts. There was a significant difference in DFS and OS between the R, DCNN, and combined nomogram-predicted groups with and without MVI (p < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

The combined nomogram based on preoperative CECT performs well for preoperative prediction of MVI and outcome.

KEY POINTS

• A combined nomogram based on clinical information, preoperative CECT, and DCNN can predict MVI and clinical outcomes of patients with HCC. • DCNN provides added diagnostic ability to predict MVI. • The AUCs of the combined nomogram are 0.940 and 0.897 in the training and validation cohorts, respectively.

The importance of a nonsmooth tumor margin and incomplete tumor capsule in predicting HCC microvascular invasion on preoperative imaging examination: a systematic review and meta-analysis

OBJECTIVES

Microvascular invasion (MVI) is a key factor affecting the prognosis of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Preoperative imaging plays an important role in the diagnosis of HCC, treatment planning and treatment evaluation, but it is still difficult to detect MVI directly. Whether the appearance of the tumor margin and the capsule on radiological images can predict MVI is still controversial. The aim of this study is to explore the correlation of the presence of MVI with the smoothness of the tumor margin and the integrity of the capsule in HCC.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

The PubMed, Embase, Medline, SCI and Cochrane Library databases up to January 2020. Heterogeneity among studies was assessed by sensitivity analysis, subgroup analysis and meta-regression, and the influence of threshold effects was also analyzed.

RESULTS

Eleven studies with 1618 patients were included. The results of the meta-analysis indicated that there was a significant relationship between MVI and nonsmooth tumor margin (DOR = 4.62 [2.73, 7.81]) and between MVI and incomplete tumor capsule (DOR = 2.25 [1.22, 4.15]); the sensitivity and specificity of these two parameters were 0.757 [0.602, 0.865], 0.597 [0.450, 0.728] and 0.646 [0.455, 0.800], 0.552 [0.419, 0.678], respectively. We drew the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, and the area under curve (AUC) of the nonsmooth tumor margin variable for predicting MVI was 0.72 [0.69, 0.77], and the AUC of the incomplete tumor capsule variable for predicting MVI was 0.62 [0.58, 0.66].

CONCLUSION

Nonsmooth tumor margins and incomplete tumor capsules observed by imaging are important for the preoperative prediction of MVI in HCC.

MRI-Based Radiomics: Nomograms predicting the short-term response after transcatheter arterial chemoembolization (TACE) in hepatocellular carcinoma patients with diameter less than 5 cm

PURPOSE

To construct MRI radiomics nomograms that can predict short-term response after TACE in HCC patients with diameter less than 5 cm.

METHODS

MRI images and clinical data of 153 cases with tumor diameter less than 5 cm before TACE from 3 hospitals were collected retrospectively and divided into 1 internal training set and 1 external validation set. The T2-weighted imaging (T2WI) and dynamic contrast-enhanced MRI arterial phase (DCE-MR AP) images were studied. Multivariable logistic regression was used to construct Radiomics models, Clinics models, and Nomograms based on T2WI and DCE-MR AP, respectively. The receiver characteristic curve (ROC) was used to evaluate the predictive performance of each model.

RESULTS

In this study, 113 eligible cases in Hospital 1 were collected as the training set, and 40 eligible cases in other hospitals were used as the verification set. 11 T2WI features and 11 DCE-MRI AP features with the most predictive value were finally screened. 3 models based on T2WI and 3 models based on DCE-MRI AP were established, respectively. The area under curve (AUC) value of Nomogram based on T2WI of training set and validation set was 0.83 and 0.81, respectively. The AUC value of the models based on T2WI and models based on AP was almost equal, and Nomograms were the most effective models among all three types of models.

CONCLUSION

MRI-based Nomogram has greater predictive efficacy to predict the response after TACE than Radiomics and Clinics models alone, and the efficacy of T2WI-based models and DCE-MRI AP-based models was almost equal.

Magnetic resonance imaging and diffusion-weighted imaging-based histogram analyses in predicting glypican 3-positive hepatocellular carcinoma

PURPOSE

We aimed to investigate the potential MR imaging findings in predicting glypican-3 (GPC3)-positive hepatocellular carcinomas (HCCs), with special emphasis on diffusion-weighted imaging (DWI)-based histogram analyses.

METHODS

Forty-three patients with pathologically-confirmed GPC3-negative HCCs and 100 patients with GPC3-positive HCCs were retrospectively evaluated using contrast-enhanced MRI and DWI. Clinical characteristics and MRI features including DWI-based histogram features were assessed and compared between the two groups. Univariate and multivariate analyses were used to identify the significant clinico-radiologic variables associated with GPC3 expressions that were then incorporated into a predictive nomogram. Nomogram performance was evaluated based on calibration, discrimination, and decision curve analyses.

RESULTS

Features significantly related to GPC3-positive HCCs at univariate analyses were serum alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) levels >20 ng/mL (P < 0.0001), absence of enhancing capsule (P = 0.040), peritumoral enhancement appearance on the arterial phase (P = 0.049), as well as lower mean (P = 0.0278), median (P = 0.0372) and 75th percentile (P = 0.0085) apparent diffusion coefficient (ADC) values. At multivariate analysis, the AFP levels (odds ratio, 11.236; P < 0.0001) and 75th percentile ADC values (odds ratio, 1.009; P = 0.033) were independent risk factors associated with GPC3-positive HCCs. When both criteria were combined, both sensitivity (79.0 %) and specificity (79.1 %) greater than 75 % were achieved, and satisfactory predictive nomogram performance was obtained with a C-index of 0.804 (95 % confidence interval, 0.729-0.866). Decision curve analysis further confirmed the clinical usefulness of the nomogram.

CONCLUSIONS

Elevated serum AFP levels and lower 75th percentile ADC values were helpful in differentiating GPC3-positive and GPC3-negative HCCs. The combined nomogram achieved satisfactory preoperative risk prediction of GPC3 expression in HCC patients.

Radiomic Feature-Based Predictive Model for Microvascular Invasion in Patients With Hepatocellular Carcinoma

Objective

This study aimed to build and evaluate a radiomics feature-based model for the preoperative prediction of microvascular invasion (MVI) in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma.

Methods

A total of 145 patients were retrospectively included in the study pool, and the patients were divided randomly into two independent cohorts with a ratio of 7:3 (training cohort: n = 101, validation cohort: n = 44). For a pilot study of this predictive model another 18 patients were recruited into this study. A total of 1,231 computed tomography (CT) image features of the liver parenchyma without tumors were extracted from portal-phase CT images. A least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) logistic regression was applied to build a radiomics score (Rad-score) model. Afterwards, a nomogram, including Rad-score as well as other clinicopathological risk factors, was established with a multivariate logistic regression model. The discrimination efficacy, calibration efficacy, and clinical utility value of the nomogram were evaluated.

Results

The Rad-score scoring model could predict MVI with the area under the curve (AUC) of 0.637 (95% CI, 0.516–0.758) in the training cohort as well as of 0.583 (95% CI, 0.395–0.770) in the validation cohort; however, the aforementioned discriminative approach could not completely outperform those existing predictors (alpha fetoprotein, neutrophilic granulocyte, and preoperative hemoglobin). The individual predictive nomogram which included the Rad-score, alpha fetoprotein, neutrophilic granulocyte, and preoperative hemoglobin showed a better discrimination efficacy with AUC of 0.865 (95% CI, 0.786–0.944), which was higher than the conventional methods’ AUCs (nomogram vs Rad-score, alpha fetoprotein, neutrophilic granulocyte, and preoperative hemoglobin at P < 0.001, P = 0.025, P < 0.001, and P = 0.001, respectively). When applied to the validation cohort, the nomogram discrimination efficacy was still outbalanced those above mentioned three remaining methods (AUC: 0.705; 95% CI, 0.537–0.874). The calibration curves of this proposed method showed a satisfying consistency in both cohorts. A prospective pilot analysis showed that the nomogram could predict MVI with an AUC of 0.844 (95% CI, 0.628–1.000).

Conclusions

The radiomics feature-based predictive model improved the preoperative prediction of MVI in HCC patients significantly. It could be a potentially valuable clinical utility.

Preoperative Prediction Power of Imaging Methods for Microvascular Invasion in Hepatocellular Carcinoma: A Systemic Review and Meta-Analysis

Background: To compare the predictive power between radiomics and non-radiomics (conventional imaging and functional imaging methods) for preoperative evaluation of microvascular invasion (MVI) in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

Methods: Comprehensive publications were screened in PubMed, Embase, and Cochrane Library. Studies focusing on the discrimination values of imaging methods, including radiomics and non-radiomics methods, for MVI evaluation were included in our meta-analysis.

Results: Thirty-three imaging studies with 5,462 cases, focusing on preoperative evaluation of MVI status in HCC, were included. The sensitivity and specificity of MVI prediction in HCC were 0.78 [95% confidence interval (CI): 0.75–0.80; I² = 70.7%] and 0.78 (95% CI: 0.76–0.81; I² = 0.0%) for radiomics, respectively, and were 0.73 (95% CI: 0.71–0.75; I² = 83.7%) and 0.82 (95% CI: 0.80–0.83; I² = 86.5%) for non-radiomics, respectively. The areas under the receiver operation curves for radiomics and non-radiomics to predict MVI status in HCC were 0.8550 and 0.8601, respectively, showing no significant difference.

Conclusion: The imaging method is feasible to predict the MVI state of HCC. Radiomics method based on medical image data is a promising application in clinical practice and can provide quantifiable image features. With the help of these features, highly consistent prediction performance will be achieved in anticipation.

MRI features predict microvascular invasion in intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma

Background

The presence of microvascular invasion (MVI) in intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC) is a significant adverse prognostic factor. This study sought to investigate the correlation between preoperative imaging parameters and MVI in ICC.

Methods

A total of 108 patients with surgically resected single ICC tumors (34 MVI-positive and 74 MVI-negative lesions) who underwent MRI examination, including T1WI, T2WI, DWI, and dynamic enhancement imaging, were enrolled in this retrospective study. The following qualitative and quantitative characteristics were evaluated: tumor morphology, signal features on T1WI and T2WI, intrahepatic duct dilatation, hepatic capsule retraction, target sign on DWI, dynamic enhancement pattern, arterial phase enhancement pattern, dot−/band-like enhancement inside the tumor, visible vessel penetration inside the tumor (hepatic artery, portal vein, or hepatic vein), integrity of the enhancement edge of the arterial phase, peripheral hepatic enhancement, tumor size, maximum enhancement edge thickness, arterial edge enhancement ratio, and delayed phase enhancement ratio. Other clinicopathological features were also used to predict and evaluate MVI in ICC. Chi-square test, Fisher’s exact test, and independent t-test were used for univariate analysis to determine the relationships among the presence of MVI and these MR parameters. Logistic regression analysis was used to identify predictors of MVI among these MR parameters.

Results

Among MRI characteristics, tumor morphology, intrahepatic duct dilatation, arterial phase enhancement pattern, visible hepatic artery penetration sign, maximum diameter of the tumor and the arterial phase edge enhancement ratio were correlated with MVI (P = 0.007, 0.003, 0.008, 0.000, 0.003, and 0.002, respectively). Furthermore, higher CA19–9 levels (≥37 U/ml) and pathological tumor grade III were also related to MVI (P = 0.014 and 0.004, respectively). However, multivariate logistic regression analysis demonstrated that none of the parameters were independent risk factors for the diagnosis of MVI in ICCs.

Conclusion

For the preoperative prediction of MVI in ICC, six qualitative and quantitative data obtained on preoperative MRI, as well as one tumorigenic marker and the pathological tumor grade, were statistically significant. More research is needed to identify MR characteristics that can be used as independent risk factors.

Incomplete tumor capsule on preoperative imaging reveals microvascular invasion in hepatocellular carcinoma: a systematic review and meta-analysis

PURPOSE

Microvascular invasion (MVI), which is difficult to diagnose before surgery, is a major factor affecting postoperative recurrence in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). The relationship between the radiological tumor capsule and MVI is controversial. This study aimed to evaluate the association between the tumor capsule and MVI.

METHODS

We searched Medline (by PubMed) and Embase (by OvidSP). Two review authors independently screened titles and abstracts, selected studies about MVI prediction with radiologic tumor capsule and studies with enough data for extracted, assessed the methodological quality and collected data. Summary results were presented as the diagnostic odds ratio (DOR), sensitivity, specificity, and 95% confidence interval.

RESULTS

Fifteen studies with 2038 patients were included; fourteen studies, including 1331 patients, with no significant heterogeneity indicated no relationship between absent tumor capsule and MVI [DOR = 0.90 (0.64, 1.26)]. Six studies, including 541 patients, with no significant heterogeneity showed incomplete capsule could be used to predict MVI of HCC preoperatively [DOR = 1.85 (1.13, 3.04)]. The overall sensitivity and specificity estimate were 0.50 (0.37, 0.64) and 0.64 (0.53, 0.74), respectively. Eight studies, including 1349 patients, with highly significant heterogeneity revealed that complete capsule could be a protective factor for MVI [DOR = 1.97 (1.01, 3.86)].

CONCLUSIONS

For MVI of HCC, incomplete tumor capsule is a risk factor, while a complete tumor capsule might be a protective factor. However, absent capsule doesn't show significant relationship with MVI. This might be due to combination of the risk and protective effects of present capsule in MVI.

Microvascular invasion and grading in hepatocellular carcinoma: correlation with major and ancillary features according to LIRADS

PURPOSE

To assess major and ancillary parameters that could be correlated with Microvascular Invasion (MIV) and with histologic grade of HCC.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

In this retrospective study, we assessed 62 patients (14 women-48 men; mean age, 63 years; range 38-80 years) that underwent hepatic resection for HCC. All patients were subject to Multidetector computed tomography (MDCT); 40 to Magnetic Resonance (MR) study. The radiologist assessed major and ancillary features according to LIRADS (v. 2018) and reported any radiological accessory findings if detected.

RESULTS

No major feature showed statistically significant differences and correlation with grading. Mean ADC value was correlated with grading and with MIV status. No major feature was correlated to MIV; progressive contrast enhancement and satellite nodules showed statistically different percentages with respect to the presence of MIV, so as at the monovariate correlation analysis, satellite nodules were correlated with the presence of MIV. At multivariate regression analysis, no factor proved to be strong predictors of grading while progressive contrast enhancement and satellite nodules were significantly associated with the MIV.

CONCLUSION

Mean ADC value is correlated to HCC grading and MIV status. Progressive contrast enhancement and the presence of satellite nodules are correlated to MIV status.

Radiomic analysis of contrast-enhanced CT predicts microvascular invasion and outcome in hepatocellular carcinoma

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Microvascular invasion (MVI) impairs surgical outcomes in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). As there is no single highly reliable factor to preoperatively predict MVI, we developed a computational approach integrating large-scale clinical and imaging modalities, especially radiomic features from contrast-enhanced CT, to predict MVI and clinical outcomes in patients with HCC.

METHODS

In total, 495 surgically resected patients were retrospectively included. MVI-related radiomic scores (R-scores) were built from 7,260 radiomic features in 6 target volumes. Six R-scores, 15 clinical factors, and 12 radiographic scores were integrated into a predictive model, the radiographic-radiomic (RR) model, with multivariate logistic regression.

RESULTS

Radiomics related to tumor size and intratumoral heterogeneity were the top-ranked MVI predicting features. The related R-scores showed significant differences according to MVI status (p <0.001). Regression analysis identified 8 MVI risk factors, including 5 radiographic features and an R-score. The R-score (odds ratio [OR] 2.34) was less important than tumor capsule (OR 5.12), tumor margin (OR4.20), and peritumoral enhancement (OR 3.03). The RR model using these predictors achieved an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.909 in training/validation and 0.889 in the test set. Progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) were significantly different between the RR-predicted MVI-absent and MVI-present groups (median PFS: 49.5 vs. 12.9 months; median OS: 76.3 vs. 47.3 months). RR-computed MVI probability, histologic MVI, tumor size, and Edmondson-Steiner grade were independently associated with disease-specific recurrence and mortality.

CONCLUSIONS

The computational approach, integrating large-scale clinico-radiologic and radiomic features, demonstrates good performance for predicting MVI and clinical outcomes. However, radiomics with current CT imaging analysis protocols do not provide statistically significant added value to radiographic scores.

LAY SUMMARY

The most effective treatment for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is surgical removal of the tumor but often recurrence occurs, partly due to the presence of microvascular invasion (MVI). Lacking a single highly reliable factor able to preoperatively predict MVI, we developed a computational approach to predict MVI and the long-term clinical outcome of patients with HCC. In particular, the added value of radiomics, a newly emerging form of radiography, was comprehensively investigated. This computational method can enhance the communication with the patient about the likely success of the treatment and guide clinical management, with the aim of finding drugs that reduce the risk of recurrence.

Is anatomical resection necessary for early hepatocellular carcinoma? A single institution retrospective experience

Aim: The present study aimed to determine whether anatomical resection was necessary for early hepatocellular carcinoma. Methods: A log-rank test or two-stage test was used for univariate analysis. A Cox proportional hazards model was used for multivariable analysis. Results: For patients without microvascular invasion, a resection margin ≥1 cm provided the longest recurrence-free survival time regardless of whether they underwent anatomical resection (p = 0.005) or nonanatomical resection (p = 0.006). For patients with microvascular invasion, anatomical resection combined with a resection margin ≥1 cm provided the longest recurrence-free survival time compared with other treatments (p = 0.001). Conclusion: Anatomical resection was not necessary for patients without microvascular invasion. However, for patients with microvascular invasion, both anatomical resection and a resection margin ≥1 cm were necessary.

A radiomics nomogram for preoperative prediction of microvascular invasion risk in hepatitis B virus-related hepatocellular carcinoma

PURPOSE

We aimed to develop and validate a radiomics nomogram for preoperative prediction of microvascular invasion (MVI) in hepatitis B virus (HBV)-related hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

METHODS

A total of 304 eligible patients with HCC were randomly divided into training (n=184) and independent validation (n=120) cohorts. Portal venous and arterial phase computed tomography data of the HCCs were collected to extract radiomic features. Using the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator algorithm, the training set was processed to reduce data dimensions, feature selection, and construction of a radiomics signature. Then, a prediction model including the radiomics signature, radiologic features, and alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) level, as presented in a radiomics nomogram, was developed using multivariable logistic regression analysis. The radiomics nomogram was analyzed based on its discrimination ability, calibration, and clinical usefulness. Internal cohort data were validated using the radiomics nomogram.

RESULTS

The radiomics signature was significantly associated with MVI status (P < 0.001, both cohorts). Predictors, including the radiomics signature, nonsmooth tumor margin, hypoattenuating halos, internal arteries, and alpha-fetoprotein level were reserved in the individualized prediction nomogram. The model exhibited good calibration and discrimination in the training and validation cohorts (C-index [95% confidence interval]: 0.846 [0.787-0.905] and 0.844 [0.774-0.915], respectively). Its clinical usefulness was confirmed using a decision curve analysis.

CONCLUSION

The radiomics nomogram, as a noninvasive preoperative prediction method, shows a favorable predictive accuracy for MVI status in patients with HBV-related HCC.

Multidisciplinary management of recurrent and metastatic hepatocellular carcinoma after resection: an international expert consensus

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the sixth-most common cancer and the third leading cause of cancer-related death in the world. However, 40-70% patients eventually suffer from postoperative recurrence within 5 years. HCC recurrence after surgery severely affects prognosis of the patients. Nevertheless, there is an opportunity to improve patients' prognosis if doctors and researchers can recognize the importance of a standardized perioperative management and study it in clinical and pre-clinical settings. Hence, based on our own experience and published studies from other researchers, we develop this consensus regarding multidisciplinary management of locally recurrent and metastatic hepatocellular carcinoma after resection. This consensus consists of the entire course of recurrent hepatocellular carcinoma (RHCC) management, including prediction of recurrence, prevention, diagnosis, treatment and surveillance of RHCC. Consensus recommendations are presented with grades of evidences (Ia, Ib, IIa, IIb, III and IV), and strength of recommendations (A, B, C, D and E). We also develop a decision-making path for RHCC treatment, which can intuitively demonstrate the management for RHCC. It is hoped that we may make some effort to standardize the management of RHCC and ultimately understand how to improve outcomes.

Noninvasive imaging of hepatocellular carcinoma: From diagnosis to prognosis

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the most common primary liver cancer and a major public health problem worldwide. Hepatocarcinogenesis is a complex multistep process at molecular, cellular, and histologic levels with key alterations that can be revealed by noninvasive imaging modalities. Therefore, imaging techniques play pivotal roles in the detection, characterization, staging, surveillance, and prognosis evaluation of HCC. Currently, ultrasound is the first-line imaging modality for screening and surveillance purposes. While based on conclusive enhancement patterns comprising arterial phase hyperenhancement and portal venous and/or delayed phase wash-out, contrast enhanced dynamic computed tomography and magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) are the diagnostic tools for HCC without requirements for histopathologic confirmation. Functional MRI techniques, including diffusion-weighted imaging, MRI with hepatobiliary contrast agents, perfusion imaging, and magnetic resonance elastography, show promise in providing further important information regarding tumor biological behaviors. In addition, evaluation of tumor imaging characteristics, including nodule size, margin, number, vascular invasion, and growth patterns, allows preoperative prediction of tumor microvascular invasion and patient prognosis. Therefore, the aim of this article is to review the current state-of-the-art and recent advances in the comprehensive noninvasive imaging evaluation of HCC. We also provide the basic key concepts of HCC development and an overview of the current practice guidelines.

Preoperative prediction of microvascular invasion of hepatocellular carcinoma using 18F-FDG PET/CT: a multicenter retrospective cohort study

PURPOSE

The aim of this study was to assess the potential of tumor ¹⁸F-fluorodeoxyglucose (FDG) avidity as a preoperative imaging biomarker for the prediction of microvascular invasion (MVI) of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

METHODS

One hundred and fifty-eight patients diagnosed with Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer stages 0 or A HCC (median age, 57 years; interquartile range, 50-64 years) who underwent ¹⁸F-FDG positron emission tomography with computed tomography (PET/CT) before curative surgery at seven university hospitals were included. Tumor FDG avidity was measured by tumor-to-normal liver standardized uptake value ratio (TLR) of the primary tumor on FDG PET/CT imaging. Logistic regression analysis was performed to identify significant parameters associated with MVI. The predictive performance of TLR and other clinical variables was assessed using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis.

RESULTS

MVI was present in 76 of 158 patients with HCCs (48.1%). Multivariable logistic regression analysis revealed that TLR, serum alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) level, and tumor size were significantly associated with the presence of MVI (P < 0.001). Multinodularity was not significantly associated with MVI (P = 0.563). The area under the ROC curve (AUC) for predicting the presence of MVI was best with TLR (AUC = 0.704), followed by tumor size (AUC = 0.685) and AFP (AUC = 0.670). We were able to build an improved prediction model combining TLR, tumor size, and AFP by using multivariable logistic regression modeling (AUC = 0.756).

CONCLUSIONS

Tumor FDG avidity measured by TLR on FDG PET/CT is a preoperative imaging biomarker for the prediction of MVI in patients with HCC.

A non-smooth tumor margin on preoperative imaging assesses microvascular invasion of hepatocellular carcinoma: A systematic review and meta-analysis

Microvascular invasion (MVI) is rarely diagnosed preoperatively in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). The aim of this meta-analysis is to assess the diagnostic power of a non-smooth tumor margin on preoperative imaging for MVI. We performed a literature search using the PubMed, Embase and Cochrane Library databases, and 11 studies were included involving 618 MVI-positive cases and 1030 MVI-negative cases. Considerable heterogeneity was found, and was indicated to be attributable to the mean patient ages in the included studies. In subgroups of studies with a mean patient age older than 60 years and studies with computed tomography (CT) as the imaging method (as opposed to magnetic resonance imaging (MRI)), heterogeneity was low, and the diagnostic odds ratio (DOR) of the single two-dimensional imaging feature for MVI was 21.30 (95% CI [12.52, 36.23]) and 28.78 (95% CI [13.92, 59.36]), respectively; this power was equivalent to or greater than that of certain multivariable-based scoring systems. In conclusion, a non-smooth tumor margin on preoperative imaging is of great value for MVI assessment and should be considered for inclusion in future scoring systems.