Liver stiffness accurately predicts portal hypertension related complications in patients with chronic liver disease: a prospective study

The new definition of metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease: the role of ultrasound and elastography

In 2023, nonalcoholic fatty liver disease was renamed metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease by the American and European liver associations. This new nomenclature recognizes metabolic dysfunction as the central driver of the disease, and the diagnostic criteria now require the presence of hepatic steatosis plus at least one of five cardiometabolic risk factors. B-mode ultrasonography remains the most common and practical method for detecting hepatic steatosis, although newer ultrasound techniques based on attenuation, backscatter, and speed of sound have gained traction as tools to diagnose and quantify hepatic steatosis. Additionally, ultrasound elastography is increasingly used in routine clinical practice to assess liver fibrosis, diagnose cirrhosis, and identify clinically significant portal hypertension.

Liver Elastography Methods for Diagnosis of De Novo and Recurrent Hepatocellular Carcinoma

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), a common consequence of chronic liver disease, ranks among the most prevalent cancers globally and contributes significantly to cancer-related mortality. Liver fibrosis is intimately associated with hepatic function and the likelihood of future HCC occurrence. Despite the fact that liver biopsy continues to be the gold standard for diagnosing fibrosis, its utility is hindered by cost and invasiveness, along with patient unease, procedural rejection, and potential adverse effects. Liver elastography has become a leading noninvasive means of assessing tissue stiffness with considerable diagnostic precision. Malignant tumors generally exhibit higher cellularity in comparison to benign ones, resulting in increased stiffness. Elastography techniques capitalize on alterations in tissue elasticity stemming from specific pathological or physiological processes. Technological innovations, such as advanced ultrasound imaging and artificial intelligence (AI)-integrated systems, are paving the way for enhanced diagnostic accuracy and risk prediction. Recent research underscores the potential of elastography in managing HCC patients, presenting novel clinical applications, including prediction of HCC development, differentiation between malignant and benign liver lesions, evaluating treatment response, and forecasting recurrence post-treatment, though certain findings remain contentious. Therefore, this review aims to sum up the latest advancements in liver elastography for HCC patients, outlining its applications while addressing existing limitations and avenues for future progress.

Preventing the progression of cirrhosis to decompensation and death

Two main stages are differentiated in patients with advanced chronic liver disease (ACLD), one compensated (cACLD) with an excellent prognosis, and the other decompensated (dACLD), defined by the appearance of complications (ascites, variceal bleeding and hepatic encephalopathy) and associated with high mortality. Preventing the progression to dACLD might dramatically improve prognosis and reduce the burden of care associated with ACLD. Portal hypertension is a major driver of the transition from cACLD to dACLD, and a portal pressure of ≥10 mmHg defines clinically significant portal hypertension (CSPH) as the threshold from which decompensating events may occur. In recent years, innovative studies have provided evidence supporting new strategies to prevent decompensation in cACLD. These studies have yielded major advances, including the development of noninvasive tests (NITs) to identify patients with CSPH with reasonable confidence, the demonstration that aetiological therapies can prevent disease progression and even achieve regression of cirrhosis, and the finding that non-selective β-blockers can effectively prevent decompensation in patients with cACLD and CSPH, mainly by reducing the risk of ascites, the most frequent decompensating event. Here, we review the evidence supporting new strategies to manage cACLD to prevent decompensation and the caveats for their implementation, from patient selection using NITs to ancillary therapies.

Role of Spleen Stiffness Measurements with 2D Shear-Wave Elastography for Esophageal Varices in Patients with Compensated Advanced Chronic Liver Disease

Background/Objectives: Esophageal varices (EVs) represent an important portal hypertension complication in patients with compensated advanced chronic liver disease (cACLD). Although upper gastrointestinal endoscopy is currently the gold standard for EV diagnosis, recent guidelines recommend non-invasive approaches to assess EV risk in cACLD patients to reduce unnecessary endoscopies. Our study aims to evaluate spleen stiffness measurement (SSM) using 2D shear-wave elastography (2D-SWE) as a non-invasive predictor of EV presence and severity in patients with cACLD. Methods: We included 73 cACLD patients referred to our liver clinic over one year. SSM and liver stiffness measurement (LSM) were performed using 2D-SWE, with specific cut-off values applied to rule in or rule out clinically significant portal hypertension (CSPH) according to Baveno VII consensus criteria. Upper gastrointestinal endoscopy was performed in all patients to confirm EV presence and grade. Results: Among all patients, 49.3% had no EV, while 50.7% presented with different EV grades (15.1% grade I, 13.7% grade II, 9.6% grade III, and 12.3% grade IV). A strong correlation was observed between elevated SSM values and EV presence, with SSM values > 32.8 kPa highly suggestive of EV (AUROC = 0.95, 95% CI: 0.909-0.995, p < 0.001). SSM values exceeding 40.4 kPa were associated with more advanced EV grades. Combining LSM and SSM improved diagnostic accuracy, effectively stratifying EV risk without invasive procedures. Conclusions: SSM via 2D-SWE is a promising, non-invasive tool for EV prediction in cACLD, aligning with Baveno VII recommendations to minimize unnecessary endoscopies. Further validation is required to refine diagnostic thresholds and expand applicability across different chronic liver disease etiologies.

Non-invasive assessment of portal hypertension: Liver stiffness and beyond

Portal hypertension (PH) leads to life-threatening clinical manifestations such as bleeding from gastro-oesophageal varices, ascites and its complications, and portosystemic encephalopathy. It can develop because of advanced chronic liver disease (ACLD) or due to rarer causes such as vascular liver disease. Reference standard methods to assess PH in ACLD include the measurement of hepatic venous pressure gradient and endoscopy, which have limitations due to their high resource utilisation and invasiveness. Non-invasive tests (NITs) have entered clinical practice and allow invasive procedures to be reserved for patients with indeterminate findings on NITs or for specific clinical questions. In this review, we present an update on the role of NITs, and in particular ultrasound elastography, to diagnose PH in ACLD and vascular liver disease, and to stratify the risk of liver-related events. We also provide insights into the open research questions and design of studies in this field.

Role of noninvasive tests in the prognostication of metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease

In managing metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease, which affects over 30% of the general population, effective noninvasive biomarkers for assessing disease severity, monitoring disease progression, predicting the development of liver-related complications, and assessing treatment response are crucial. The advantage of simple fibrosis scores lies in their widespread accessibility through routinely performed blood tests and extensive validation in different clinical settings. They have shown reasonable accuracy in diagnosing advanced fibrosis and good performance in excluding the majority of patients with a low risk of liver-related complications. Among patients with elevated serum fibrosis scores, a more specific fibrosis and imaging biomarker has proved useful to accurately identify patients at risk of liver-related complications. Among specific fibrosis blood biomarkers, enhanced liver fibrosis is the most widely utilized and has been approved in the United States as a prognostic biomarker. For imaging biomarkers, the availability of vibration-controlled transient elastography has been largely improved over the past years, enabling the use of liver stiffness measurement (LSM) for accurate assessment of significant and advanced fibrosis, and cirrhosis. Combining LSM with other routinely available blood tests enhances the ability to diagnose at-risk metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis and predict liver-related complications, some reaching an accuracy comparable to that of liver biopsy. Magnetic resonance imaging-based modalities provide the most accurate quantification of liver fibrosis, though the current utilization is limited to research settings. Expanding their future use in clinical practice depends on factors such as cost and facility availability.

Clinical application of subharmonic aided pressure estimation (SHAPE) in the assessment of portal hypertension in patients with decompensated cirrhosis: A pilot study

PurposeThe aim of the study was to explore the possibility of subharmonic aided pressure estimation (SHAPE) measurement for noninvasive evaluation of portal hypertension in patients with decompensated liver cirrhosis.Materials and MethodsPatients diagnosed with decompensated liver cirrhosis were prospectively enrolled. SHAPE measurement was performed by using an ultrasound system. A continuous infusion of sonazoid at a rate of 0.18 ml/kg/h and saline at 120 ml/h was performed. The hepatic venous pressure gradient (HVPG) value are the gold standard for evaluating portal hypertension. The Pearson coefficient and areas under the receiver operating characteristic curves (AUCs) were analyzed.ResultsFrom February 2023 to August 2023, 15 patients (mean age, 61.1 ± 8.3 years; eight men and seven women) were included. The correlation coefficient of the SHAPE gradient and HVPG was 0.33. The mean SHAPE gradient of patients with clinically significant portal hypertension (CSPH) (HVPG ≥ 10 mmHg) was significantly higher than that of patients with lower risk (0.5 ± 4.4 dB vs. -7.4 ± 5.1 dB, P = 0.01). Patients with increased risk for variceal hemorrhage (HVPG ≥ 12 mmHg) had a significantly higher mean SHAPE gradient than patients with lower risk (HVPG < 12 mmHg) (1.3 ± 4.4 dB vs. -5.9 ± 4.8 dB; P = 0.01). The optimal cut-off values of the SHAPE gradient for diagnosing patients with CSPH and at increased risk for variceal hemorrhage were -1.3 dB and -0.6 dB (both AUC = 0.89), respectively.ConclusionSHAPE measurement is a potential noninvasive, effective imaging method to evaluate portal hypertension among patients diagnosed with decompensated liver cirrhosis in clinical practice.

Unsuccessful Direct Acting Antiviral Hepatitis C Treatment Among People With HIV: Findings From an International Cohort

BACKGROUND

Historically, hepatitis C virus (HCV) was difficult to treat among people with HIV. However, treatment with direct-acting antivirals (DAAs) results in 90%-95% of people being cured. There is a need to understand why a proportion of people are not cured. We aimed to examine characteristics that may indicate an increased probability of unsuccessful DAA HCV treatment.

METHODS

Data were from the International Collaboration on Hepatitis C Elimination in HIV Cohorts. People who commenced DAA HCV treatment between 2014 and 2019 were included. Unsuccessful treatment was defined as a positive HCV RNA test at a person's first RNA test at least 4 weeks (SVR4+) following the end of treatment. Multivariable mixed-effects logistic regression was used to examine characteristics associated with unsuccessful treatment.

RESULTS

Of 4468 people who commenced DAA treatment, 4098 (91.7%) had an SVR test 4+ weeks following the end of treatment, 207 (5%) of whom were unsuccessfully treated. Compared to a CD4+ cell count > 500 cells/mm3, cell counts < 200 (aOR 1.81, 95%CI 1.00-3.29) and between 200 and 349 (aOR 1.95, 95%CI 1.30-2.93) were associated with increased odds of unsuccessful treatment. Among 1921 people with data on injection drug use in the 12 months prior to treatment, there was some evidence that recent injection drug use was associated with increased odds of unsuccessful treatment; however, this was not statistically significant (aOR 1.67, 95%CI 0.99-2.82).

CONCLUSIONS

The overwhelming majority of people were successfully treated for HCV. Overall, 5% of those with an SVR4+ test were unsuccessfully treated; this was more likely among people with evidence of immunodeficiency and those who reported recently injecting drugs.

Correlation of endoscopic ultrasound-guided portal pressure gradient measurements with hepatic venous pressure gradient: a prospective study

BACKGROUND

Hepatic venous portal gradient (HVPG) measurement remains the gold standard for estimating portal pressure gradient (PPG). This study aimed to evaluate the correlation between endoscopic ultrasound (EUS)-guided PPG and HVPG in patients with chronic portal hypertension.

METHODS

Patients with chronic portal hypertension in whom HVPG assessment was clinically indicated were invited to undergo transjugular HVPG and EUS-PPG with a 22-G needle in separate sessions for comparison. Intraclass correlation coefficient (ICC) and the Bland-Altman method were used to evaluate the agreement between techniques.

RESULTS

33 patients were included. No significant differences in technical success were observed: EUS-PPG (31/33, 93.9%) vs. HVPG (31/33, 93.9%). Overall, 30 patients who underwent successful EUS-PPG and HVPG were analyzed. Correlation between the two techniques showed an ICC of 0.82 (0.65-0.91). Four patients had major discrepancies (≥5 mmHg) between HVPG and EUS-PPG. No significant differences in adverse events were observed.

CONCLUSIONS

The correlation between EUS-PPG and HVPG was almost perfect. EUS-PPG could be a safe and reliable method for direct PPG measurement in patients with cirrhosis and a valid alternative to HVPG.

Two-Dimensional and Point Shear-Wave Elastography to Predict Esophageal Varices and Clinically Significant Portal Hypertension in Patients with Chronic Liver Disease

Introduction: The non-invasive assessment of disease severity remains pivotal in patients with chronic liver disease (CLD) as it has wide implications in predicting liver-related complications or death. Shear-wave elastography (SWE) is an emerging ultrasound-based method to non-invasively measure liver stiffness. The aim of our study was to evaluate two-dimensional (2D) and point (p) SWE to predict the presence of esophageal varices (EV) or clinically significant portal hypertension (CSPH). Methods: This was a retrospective analysis of a prospectively performed cohort study of patients with CLD treated in the outpatient clinic of the Frankfurt University Hospital. PSWE using the Hitachi HI Vision ASCENDUS system and the Siemens ACUSON S2000TM system or 2D-SWE using the Toshiba APLIO500 system were analyzed at baseline and during follow-up to predict EV or surrogate parameters of CSPH. ROC curves were calculated for pooled liver stiffness measurements (LSMs) using a bootstrap approach. A combined model of SWE and platelet count was created and a mixed-effect logistic regression analysis using log-transformed values was performed. Results: Overall, 511 patients with CLD and 919 consecutive LSMs were included and 315 patients (61.6%) had signs of CSPH. 2D-SWE performed best to predict EV and CSPH, and the addition of platelet count to the predictive model significantly increased test results for EV (AUC 0.83, 95%-CI: 0.76-0.89; difference in AUC 0.11, 95%-CI: 0.03-0.19, p = 0.004), but only marginally for CSPH (AUC 0.75, 95%-CI: 0.64-0.85; difference in AUC 0.06, 95%-CI: 0.02-0.14, p = 0.150). LSM > 18.5 and >20 kPa were indicative of CSPH and EV, while LSM < 10 kPa and <11 kPa ruled out CSPH and EV, respectively. Conclusions: Our study found that 2D-SWE in combination with platelet count performed best (in comparison to the other SWE methods) to predict EV or CSPH in patients with CLD. Future prospective trials are needed to validate our results.

Hepatic venous pressure gradient predicts risk of hepatic decompensation and liver-related mortality in patients with MASLD

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) is a leading cause of advanced chronic liver disease (ACLD). Portal hypertension drives hepatic decompensation and is best diagnosed by hepatic venous pressure gradient (HVPG) measurement. Here, we investigate the prognostic value of HVPG in MASLD-related compensated ACLD (MASLD-cACLD).

METHODS

This European multicentre study included patients with MASLD-cACLD characterised by HVPG at baseline. Hepatic decompensation (variceal bleeding/ascites/hepatic encephalopathy) and liver-related mortality were considered the primary events of interest.

RESULTS

A total of 340 patients with MASLD-cACLD (56.2% male; median age 62 [55-68] years, median MELD 8 [7-9], 71.2% with diabetes) were included. Clinically significant portal hypertension (CSPH: i.e., HVPG ≥10 mmHg) was found in 209 patients (61.5%). During a median follow-up of 41.5 (27.5-65.8) months, 65 patients developed hepatic decompensation with a cumulative incidence of 10.0% after 2 years (2Y) and 30.7% after 5 years (5Y) in those with MASLD-cACLD with CSPH, compared to 2.4% after 2Y and 9.4% after 5Y in patients without CSPH. Variceal bleeding did not occur without CSPH. CSPH (subdistribution hazard ratio [SHR] 5.13; p <0.001) was associated with an increased decompensation risk and a higher HVPG remained an independent risk factor in the multivariable model (adjusted SHR per mmHg: 1.12, p <0.001). Liver-related mortality occurred in 37 patients at a cumulative incidence of 3.3% after 2Y and 21.4% after 5Y in CSPH. Without CSPH, the incidence after 5Y was 0.8%. Accordingly, a higher HVPG was also independently associated with a higher risk of liver-related death (adjusted SHR per mmHg: 1.20, p <0.001).

CONCLUSION

HVPG measurement is of high prognostic value in MASLD-cACLD. In patients with MASLD-cACLD without CSPH, the short-term risk of decompensation is very low and liver-related mortality is rare, while the presence of CSPH substantially increases the risk of both.

IMPACT AND IMPLICATIONS

While the incidence of compensated advanced chronic liver disease (cACLD) due to metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) is increasing worldwide, insights into the impact of clinically significant portal hypertension (CSPH) on the risk of liver-related events in MASLD-cACLD remain limited. Based on the findings of this European multicentre study including 340 MASLD-cACLD patients, we could show that increasing HVPG values and the presence of CSPH in particular were associated with a significantly higher risk of first hepatic decompensation and liver-related mortality. In contrast, the short-term incidence of decompensation in patients with MASLD-cACLD without CSPH was low and the risk of liver-mortality remained negligible. Thus, HVPG measurements can provide important prognostic information for individualised risk stratification in MASLD-cACLD and may help facilitate the study of novel and promising treatment possibilities for MASLD.

Noninvasive Assessment of Portal Hypertension

The progressive use of noninvasive tests (NITs) has changed the way hepatologists diagnose and manage patients with chronic liver disease, mainly because of their easiness to use and the ability to be repeated during follow-up. Liver stiffness measurement is the NIT with more scientific evidence. NITs have demonstrated to be useful to detect not only liver fibrosis but also the presence of clinically significant portal hypertension. Moreover, current evidence supports they can also be useful to evaluate the prognosis of patients with chronic liver disease.

Impact of mechanical cues on key cell functions and cell-nanoparticle interactions

In recent years, it has been recognized that mechanical forces play an important regulative role in living organisms and possess a direct impact on crucial cell functions, ranging from cell growth to maintenance of tissue homeostasis. Advancements in mechanobiology have revealed the profound impact of mechanical signals on diverse cellular responses that are cell type specific. Notably, numerous studies have elucidated the pivotal role of different mechanical cues as regulatory factors influencing various cellular processes, including cell spreading, locomotion, differentiation, and proliferation. Given these insights, it is unsurprising that the responses of cells regulated by physical forces are intricately linked to the modulation of nanoparticle uptake kinetics and processing. This complex interplay underscores the significance of understanding the mechanical microenvironment in shaping cellular behaviors and, consequently, influencing how cells interact with and process nanoparticles. Nevertheless, our knowledge on how localized physical forces affect the internalization and processing of nanoparticles by cells remains rather limited. A significant gap exists in the literature concerning a systematic analysis of how mechanical cues might bias the interactions between nanoparticles and cells. Hence, our aim in this review is to provide a comprehensive and critical analysis of the existing knowledge regarding the influence of mechanical cues on the complicated dynamics of cell-nanoparticle interactions. By addressing this gap, we would like to contribute to a detailed understanding of the role that mechanical forces play in shaping the complex interplay between cells and nanoparticles.

Utility of ElastPQ point-shear wave elastography in the work-up of patients with primary sclerosing cholangitis

Background & Aims

Liver stiffness measurement (LSM) and spleen stiffness measurement (SSM) have been shown to be useful tools for assessing the risk of fibrosis and portal hypertension, respectively. However, data on the accuracy of LSM and SSM measured by point-shear wave elastography (pSWE) in patients affected by primary sclerosing cholangitis (PSC) are still lacking. Thus, we aimed to prospectively assess their performance in a cohort of patients with PSC.

Methods

We determined the correlation between LSM assessed by a pSWE technique (ElastPQ) and by FibroScan-transient elastography (F-TE). Furthermore, we used receiver-operating characteristic curves and area under the curves (AUROC) to evaluate the performance of LSM by ElastPQ for the staging of fibrosis, using F-TE as a reference standard, and the performance of LSM and SSM by ElastPQ in predicting the presence of oesophageal varices (OVs).

Results

One hundred and fifty-two patients with PSC (93 males [61.2%], mean age 46 ± 16 years) were prospectively recruited. ElastPQ and F-TE LSMs were available for all patients, while ElastPQ SSM was available in 109 (72%) patients of whom 35 underwent upper gastrointestinal endoscopy within 1 year of the ultrasound assessment. ElastPQ LSM showed an excellent correlation with F-TE (p <0.001, Spearman's 0.93; Lin's 0.86) and a good diagnostic accuracy for fibrosis staging along all stages of liver fibrosis (AUROCs 0.96, 0.97, 0.97 and 0.99 for fibrosis stages F≥1, F≥2, F≥3 and F=4, respectively), using F-TE as a surrogate of histological fibrosis. ElastPQ SSM showed a good diagnostic performance in predicting the presence of OVs at endoscopy.

Conclusions

LSM and SSM by ElastPQ can be used as accurate tools for liver fibrosis risk assessment and fibrosis staging, as well as for predicting the presence of OVs in the work-up of patients with PSC.

Impact and implications

Liver and spleen stiffness measurement (LSM and SSM, respectively) by ElastPQ point-shear wave elastography in patients with primary sclerosing cholangitis represent reliable and reproducible tools for non-invasively staging the severity of liver disease and stratifying patients according to their risk of developing liver-related outcomes. In particular, LSM shows good accuracy for staging liver fibrosis and therefore detecting those patients at high risk of having compensated advanced chronic liver disease who require close monitoring. SSM seems to be promising to detect the risk of portal hypertension and therefore of oesophageal varices, enabling the triaging of patients who really need to undergo a screening endoscopy.

Prediction of High-Risk Varices in Patients with Compensated Advanced Chronic Liver Disease in Saudi Arabia

Purpose

Liver stiffness and low platelet count can predict portal hypertension and high-risk varices (HRVs) in patients with cirrhosis. Thus, screening endoscopy may not be required for all patients with compensated advanced chronic liver disease (cACLD). However, data from Saudi Arabia are limited. This study aimed to validate the Baveno VI and expanded Baveno VI criteria for screening endoscopy and identify the risk factors associated with HRVs in patients with cACLD in Saudi Arabia.

Patients and Methods

We analyzed data from 215 patients with cACLD diagnosed on transient elastography (LSM > 10 kPa) and had paired platelet count and screening upper endoscopy performed within one year of diagnosis. HRVs or varices needing treatment (VNTs) were defined as medium-to-large esophageal varices (EVs), small EVs with red flags, or gastric varices. Sensitivity, specificity, and area under the receiver operating characteristic curve were calculated. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses identified HRV risk factors.

Results

The Baveno VI criteria spared 50.7% of endoscopies, missing 3.7% of VNTs, while the expanded Baveno VI criteria spared 63.7% of endoscopies, missing 5.1% VNTs. An LSM <20 kPa and platelet count > 150,000/µL were associated with HRV in 8.1% and 8.3%, respectively. While an LSM <25 kPa and platelet count > 110,000/µL were associated with HRV in 9.7% and 9%, respectively. The Baveno VI criteria had sensitivity and specificity of 76% and 55%, while the expanded criteria had 67% and 69%, respectively. Baveno VI criteria performed better in hepatitis C virus patients than nonalcoholic fatty liver disease patients. Multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed platelet count and LSM as predictors of HRV.

Conclusion

The Baveno VI criteria effectively identified HRVs in cACLD patients from Saudi Arabia, reducing unnecessary endoscopies. Although the expanded criteria avoided more endoscopies, it led to a higher rate of missed HRVs.

Diagnosis and Management of Esophagogastric Varices

Acute variceal bleeding (AVB) is a potentially fatal complication of clinically significant portal hypertension and is one of the most common causes of acute upper gastrointestinal bleeding. Thus, esophagogastric varices represent a major economic and population health issue. Patients with advanced chronic liver disease typically undergo an upper endoscopy to screen for esophagogastric varices. However, upper endoscopy is not recommended for patients with liver stiffness < 20 KPa and platelet count > 150 × 109/L as there is a low probability of high-risk varices. Patients with high-risk varices should receive primary prophylaxis with either nonselective beta-blockers or endoscopic band ligation. In cases of AVB, patients should receive upper endoscopy within 12 h after resuscitation and hemodynamic stability, whereas endoscopy should be performed as soon as possible if patients are unstable. In cases of suspected variceal bleeding, starting vasoactive therapy as soon as possible in combination with endoscopic treatment is recommended. On the other hand, in cases of uncontrolled bleeding, balloon tamponade or self-expandable metal stents can be used as a bridge to more definitive therapy such as transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt. This article aims to offer a comprehensive review of recommendations from international guidelines as well as recent updates on the management of esophagogastric varices.

The Natural History of Advanced Chronic Liver Disease Defined by Transient Elastography

BACKGROUND & AIMS

The clinical course of cirrhosis does not follow a predictable trajectory. Transient elastography (TE) is commonly used in clinical practice to diagnose liver fibrosis and increasingly to risk stratify patients. The aim of this study was to assess the natural history of advanced chronic liver disease (ACLD) defined by TE using electronic health record (EHR) data in a multistate framework.

METHODS

TE data were collected between 2008 and 2019. Patients with a liver stiffness measurement (LSM) >10 kPa were included. Disease and procedure code information held in EHR was analyzed. Clinical events including decompensation, hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), and death were identified. Outcomes were described in a multistate model using flexible parametric survival methods including LSM and the albumin bilirubin (ALBI) score.

RESULTS

Three thousand and twenty eight patients were included. Median follow up was 3.1 years. LSM and ALBI were associated with the development of varices and decompensation, and ALBI, age, sex, and viral liver disease were associated with the development of HCC from the compensated state. The cumulative incidence of HCC before decompensation was low for patients with alcohol-related liver disease (3.8%) and nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (1.3%) at 5 years after TE. Importantly, death was predicted to occur before decompensation or HCC in most cases.

CONCLUSIONS

Liver stiffness, ALBI score, and disease etiology are each associated with outcomes in a large contemporary cohort with ACLD. EHR data can be used to define clinical progression in these patients, facilitating large clinical effectiveness trials and cost-effectiveness analyses.

Cirrhosis and non-hepatic surgery in 2023 - a precision medicine approach

INTRODUCTION

Patients with liver disease and portal hypertension frequently require surgery carrying high morbidity and mortality. Accurately estimating surgical risk remains challenging despite improved medical and surgical management.

AREAS COVERED

This review aims to outline a comprehensive approach to preoperative assessment, appraise methods used to predict surgical risk, and provide an up-to-date overview of outcomes for patients with cirrhosis undergoing non-hepatic surgery.

EXPERT OPINION

Robust preoperative, individually tailored, and precise risk assessment can reduce peri- and postoperative complications in patients with cirrhosis. Established prognostic scores aid stratification, providing an estimation of postoperative mortality, albeit with limitations. VOCAL-Penn Risk Score may provide greater precision than established liver severity scores. Amelioration of portal hypertension in advance of surgery may be considered, with prospective data demonstrating hepatic venous pressure gradient as a promising surrogate marker of postoperative outcomes. Morbidity and mortality vary between types of surgery with further studies required in patients with more advanced liver disease. Patient-specific considerations and practicing precision medicine may allow for improved postoperative outcomes.

Impact of liver fibrosis and clinical characteristics on dose-adjusted serum methadone concentrations

BACKGROUND

There is limited knowledge on the causes of large variations in serum methadone concentrations and dose requirements.

OBJECTIVES

We investigated the impact of the degree of liver fibrosis on dose-adjusted steady-state serum methadone concentrations.

METHODS

We assessed the clinical and laboratory data of 155 Norwegian patients with opioid use disorder undergoing methadone maintenance treatment in outpatient clinics in the period 2016-2020. A possible association between the degree of liver fibrosis and dose-adjusted serum methadone concentration was explored using a linear mixed-model analysis.

RESULTS

When adjusted for age, gender, body mass index, and genotypes of CYP2B6 and CYP3A5, the concentration-to-dose ratio of methadone did not increase among the participants with liver fibrosis (Coefficient: 0.70; 95% CI: -2.16, 3.57; P: 0.631), even among those with advanced cirrhosis (-0.50; -4.59, 3.59; 0.810).

CONCLUSIONS

Although no correlation was found between the degree of liver stiffness and dose-adjusted serum methadone concentration, close clinical monitoring should be considered, especially among patients with advanced cirrhosis. Still, serum methadone measurements can be considered a supplement to clinical assessments, taking into account intra-individual variations.

Non-invasive methods to evaluate liver fibrosis in patients with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease

Non-alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease (NAFLD) is a chronic liver disease that is strongly related to insulin resistance and metabolic syndrome, and it has become the most common liver disorder in developed countries. NAFLD embraces the full pathological process of three conditions: steatosis, non-alcoholic steatohepatitis, and finally, cirrhosis. As NAFLD progresses, symptoms will become increasingly severe as fibrosis develops. Therefore, evaluating the fibrosis stage is crucial for patients with NAFLD. A liver biopsy is currently considered the gold standard for staging fibrosis. However, due to the limitations of liver biopsy, non-invasive alternatives were extensively studied and validated in patients with NAFLD. The advantages of non-invasive methods include their high safety and convenience compared with other invasive approaches. This review introduces the non-invasive methods, summarizes their benefits and limitations, and assesses their diagnostic performance for NAFLD-induced fibrosis.

Clinical Outcomes in Patients with Advanced Chronic Liver Disease and Hepatic Venous Pressure Gradient ≤ 10 mm Hg

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Clinically significant portal hypertension (CSPH), defined as hepatic venous pressure gradient (HVPG) ≥ 10 mmHg predicts clinical decompensation (CD) in cirrhosis. A proportion of cirrhosis patients have HVPG 6-10 mmHg. Their natural history is largely unknown.

DESIGN

Consecutive patients with advanced chronic liver disease (aCLD) [histological cirrhosis(n = 196) or liver stiffness measurement (LSM) > 15 kPa(n = 65)] and HVPG 6-10 mmHg were included. Primary objective was to study their natural course and patterns of CD. We also analyzed the predictors of CD at presentation and on follow-up and response to carvedilol.

RESULTS

Of 261 patients with HVPG 6-10 mmHg, 129(49.4%) had CD at first presentation; 78(29.9%) had single and 51(19.5%) had ≥ 2 CD. The most common CDs were ascites(n = 77) and jaundice(n = 65). A baseline HVPG ≥ 8 mmHg was independently associated with greater risk of CD [HR:1.7; p-0.002, AUROC:0.85(95%CI-0.81-0.91)]. New CD developed in 14.4% patients with compensated aCLD (median duration-23.1 months). Despite comparable baseline HVPG, patients developing new CD had higher HVPG on follow-up(15.3 ± 3.7 vs. 8 ± 2.1 mmHg; p < 0.001). Baseline LSM > 26.6 kPa, portosystemic shunt and serum albumin independently predicted new CD. Overall HVPG response to carvedilol(n = 60) was 23.3%, independent of baseline CD and HVPG. Five-year mortality was higher with ≥ 2 CD compared to single or no CD (23.5, 10 and 3%, respectively; p < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

Nearly one-half of aCLD patients with HVPG 6-10 mmHg had CD, justifying the need to redefine CSPH. Interventions to reduce portal pressure in patients with HVPG ≥ 8 mmHg might improve long-term outcomes.

Spleen volume-based non-invasive tool for predicting hepatic decompensation in people with compensated cirrhosis (CHESS1701)

Background & Aims

Non-invasive stratification of the liver decompensation risk remains unmet in people with compensated cirrhosis. This study aimed to develop a non-invasive tool (NIT) to predict hepatic decompensation.

Methods

This retrospective study recruited 689 people with compensated cirrhosis (median age, 54 years; 441 men) from 5 centres from January 2016 to June 2020. Baseline abdominal computed tomography (CT), clinical features, and liver stiffness were collected, and then the first decompensation was registered during the follow-up. The spleen-based model was designed for predicting decompensation based on a deep learning segmentation network to generate the spleen volume and least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO)-Cox. The spleen-based model was trained on the training cohort of 282 individuals (Institutions I–III) and was validated in 2 external validation cohorts (97 and 310 individuals from Institutions IV and V, respectively) and compared with the conventional serum-based models and the Baveno VII criteria.

Results

The decompensation rate at 3 years was 23%, with a 37.6-month median (IQR 21.1–52.1 months) follow-up. The proposed model showed good performance in predicting decompensation (C-index ≥0.84) and outperformed the serum-based models (C-index comparison test p <0.05) in both the training and validation cohorts. The hazard ratio (HR) for decompensation in individuals with high risk was 7.3 (95% CI 4.2–12.8) in the training and 5.8 (95% CI 3.9–8.6) in the validation (log-rank test, p <0.05) cohorts. The low-risk group had a negligible 3-year decompensation risk (≤1%), and the model had a competitive performance compared with the Baveno VII criteria.

Conclusions

This spleen-based model provides a non-invasive and user-friendly method to help predict decompensation in people with compensated cirrhosis in diverse healthcare settings where liver stiffness is not available.

Lay summary

People with compensated cirrhosis with larger spleen volume would have a higher risk of decompensation. We developed a spleen-based model and validated it in external validation cohorts. The proposed model might help predict hepatic decompensation in people with compensated cirrhosis when invasive tools are unavailable.

•

Spleen volume is a predictor for decompensation by rapid risk increasement after spleen volume >364 cm³.

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The spleen-based model revealed incremental prognostic improvement (C-index >0.84).

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Low-risk patients identified by the spleen-based model had a negligible 3-year risk (≤1%) of decompensation.

A Novel SAVE Score to Stratify Decompensation Risk in Compensated Advanced Chronic Liver Disease (CHESS2102): An International Multicenter Cohort Study

INTRODUCTION

In patients with compensated advanced chronic liver disease (cACLD), the invasive measurement of hepatic venous pressure gradient is the best predictor of hepatic decompensation. This study aimed at developing an alternative risk prediction model to provide a decompensation risk assessment in cACLD.

METHODS

Patients with cACLD were retrospectively included from 9 international centers within the Portal Hypertension Alliance in China (CHESS) network. Baseline variables from a Japanese cohort of 197 patients with cACLD were examined and fitted a Cox hazard regression model to develop a specific score for predicting hepatic decompensation. The novel score was validated in an external cohort (n = 770) from 5 centers in China, Singapore, Korea, and Egypt, and was further assessed for the ability of predicting clinically significant portal hypertension in a hepatic venous pressure gradient cohort (n = 285).

RESULTS

In the derivation cohort, independent predictors of hepatic decompensation were identified including Stiffness of liver, Albumin, Varices, and platElets and fitted to develop the novel score, termed "SAVE" score. This score performed significantly better (all P < 0.05) than other assessed methods with a time-dependent receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.89 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.83-0.94) and 0.83 (95% CI: 0.73-0.92) in the derivation and validation cohorts, respectively. The decompensation risk was best stratified by the cutoff values at -6 and -4.5. The 5-year cumulative incidences of decompensation were 0%, 24.9%, and 69.0% in the low-risk, middle-risk, and high-risk groups, respectively ( P < 0.001). The SAVE score also accurately predicted clinically significant portal hypertension (AUC, 0.85 95% CI: 0.80-0.90).

DISCUSSION

The SAVE score can be readily incorporated into clinical practice to accurately predict the individual risk of hepatic decompensation in cACLD.

ABC: a novel algorithm to stratify decompensation risk in patients with compensated advanced chronic liver disease (CHESS2108): an international, multicenter cohort study

BACKGROUND

Liver-related death is preceded by clinical decompensation; therefore, the risk stratification of decompensation in compensated advanced chronic liver disease (cACLD) is extraordinary significant.

METHODS

The international, multicenter study included three cohorts from January 2009 to August 2021. In training cohort, the unfavorable Baveno VI criteria patients were used to develop the novel CHESS criteria to stratify decompensation risk. The Algorithm based on Baveno VI criteria plus CHESS criteria (ABC model) was validated in validation cohort, and used to diagnose clinically significant portal hypertension (CSPH) in hepatic venous pressure gradient (HVPG)-performed cohort.

RESULTS

A total of 1377 cACLD patients were enrolled. In training cohort, multivariate analysis revealed that liver stiffness measurement (LSM), platelet count (PLT), albumin, alanine aminotransferase (ALT) and varices were the independent risk factors for hepatic decompensation. The novel CHESS criteria was produced (0.036 × LSM [kPa]) + (- 0.013 × PLT [109/L]) + (- 0.068 × Albumin [g/L])) + (- 0.016 × ALT [U/L]) + (0.651 × Varices [present: 1, absent: 0]), and < - 4.4, - 4.4 to - 3.1 and > - 3.1 indicated the low risk, medium risk, and high risk of decompensation, with a 3 year-time-dependent area under the curve (tAUC) of 0.851 (0.800-0.901). In validation cohort, the 3 year-tAUC of ABC model was 0.843 (0.742-0.943). Notably, in HVPG cohort, the high risk group was used to rule in CSPH with a positive predictive value of 93.0%.

CONCLUSIONS

The ABC model can stratify the risk of decompensation in cACLD. HVPG evaluation can be waived in both low risk and high risk cACLD patients as they can be managed by Baveno VI criteria and non-selective β-blockers intervention, respectively, and the remaining medium risk patients need further HVPG evaluation.

The role of microRNAs on the pathogenesis, diagnosis and management of portal hypertension in patients with chronic liver disease

INTRODUCTION

Portal hypertension (PH) is the elevated pressure in the portal vein, which results in poor functioning of the liver and is influenced by various factors like liver cirrhosis, nonalcoholic fatty liver disease, schistosomiasis, thrombosis, and angiogenesis. Though the diagnosis and treatment have been advanced, early diagnosis of the disease remains a challenge, and the diagnosis methods are often invasive. Hence, the clear understanding of the molecular mechanisms of PH can give rise to the development of novel biomarkers which can pave way for early diagnosis in noninvasive methods, and also the identification of target genes can elucidate an efficient therapeutic target.

AREAS COVERED

PubMed and Embase database was used to search articles with search terms 'Portal Hypertension' or 'pathophysiology' and 'diagnosis' and 'treatment' or "role of miRNAs in portal hypertension.

EXPERT OPINION

Interestingly, biomarkers like microRNAs (miRNAs) have been studied for their potential role in various diseases including hypertension. In recent years, miRNAs have been proved to be an efficient biomarker and therapeutic target and few studies have assessed the roles of miRNAs in PH. The present paper highlights the potential roles of miRNAs in PH.

Non-invasive diagnosis and follow-up of portal hypertension

Compensated advanced chronic liver disease (cACLD) describes the spectrum of advanced fibrosis/cirrhosis in asymptomatic patients at risk of developing clinically significant portal hypertension (CSPH, defined by a hepatic venous pressure gradient (HVPG) ≥10 mmHg). Patients with cACLD are at high risk of liver-related morbidity and mortality. In patients at risk of chronic liver disease, cACLD is strongly suggested by a liver stiffness (LSM) value >15 kPa or clinical/biological/radiological signs of portal hypertension, and ruled out by LSM <10 kPa, or Fibrotest® ≤0.58, or Fibrometer® ≤0.786. Patients with chronic liver disease (excluding vascular diseases) with a LSM <10 kPa are at low risk of developing portal hypertension complications. The presence of CSPH can be strongly suspected when LSM is ≥20 kPa. In a patient without clinical, endoscopic or radiological features of portal hypertension, measurement of the HVPG is recommended before major liver or intra-abdominal surgery, before extra-hepatic transplantation and in patients with unexplained ascites. Endoscopic screening for oesophageal varices can be avoided in patients with LSM <20 kPa and a platelet count >150 G/L (favourable Baveno VI criteria) at the time of diagnosis. There is no non-invasive method alternative for oeso-gastroduodenal endoscopy in patients with unfavourable Baveno criteria (liver stiffness ≥20 kPa or platelet count ≤50 G/l). Platelet count and liver stiffness measurements must be performed once a year in patients with cACLD with favourable Baveno VI criteria at the time of diagnosis. A screening oeso-gastroduodenal endoscopy is recommended if Baveno VI criteria become unfavourable.

Prognostic importance of interleukin 2 receptor for patients with a history of cirrhotic variceal bleeding

OBJECTIVES

Variceal hemorrhage is a fatal complication of cirrhosis. In this study, we aimed to investigate the role of serum interleukin 2 receptor (sIL-2R) as a predictive indicator in patients with a previous history of cirrhosis-related variceal bleeding.

METHODS

A total of 340 cirrhotic patients who had experienced variceal bleeding from December 2016 to December 2018 were enrolled, and were randomly assigned to the modeling group and the validation group. The 3-year variceal rebleeding rate and other outcomes including adverse events were analyzed between patients with different sIL-2R levels.

RESULTS

A time-dependent receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve of variceal rebleeding indicated that sIL-2R had an area under the ROC curve (AUROC] of 0.731 and 0.837 for the modeling and validation groups, respectively, with a cut-off value of 426 U/mL. Kaplan-Meier analysis showed that higher sIL-2R level was related to an increased risk of variceal rebleeding rate (55.33% vs 24.34%, P = 0.024 and 51.28% vs 15.32%, P = 0.049) and decreased 3-year survival rate (91.16% vs 98.92%, P = 0.013 and 90.52% vs 97.50%, P = 0.180) in the modeling and validation groups. Elevated sIL-2R levels were associated with an increased risk of portal vein thrombosis and severe ascites as well as inferior liver function, hypercoagulable state, and increased portal pressure.

CONCLUSION

High sIL-2R levels were associated with poor prognosis in cirrhotic patients with previous variceal bleeding.

FIB-4 Improves LSM-Based Prediction of Complications in Overweight or Obese Patients With Compensated Advanced Chronic Liver Disease

Liver stiffness measurement (LSM) by transient elastography (TE) is able to stratify the risk of decompensation in patients with compensated advanced chronic liver disease (cACLD).¹ Recently, we demonstrated that this holds true also in overweight or obese patients with cACLD due to nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) studied by the XL probe. An LSM cutoff of ≥21 kPa remained associated with a high risk of complications in this population.².

Liver stiffness-based model predicts hepatic venous pressure gradient in patients with liver disease

BACKGROUND

The aim was to develop a model to predict clinically significant portal hypertension, hepatic venous pressure gradient (HVPG) ≥10 mmHg using pre-operative noninvasive makers.

METHODS

Patients who have been programmed for liver resection/transplantation were enrolled prospectively. Preoperative liver stiffness measurement (LSM), liver function test (LFT), and intraoperative HVPG were assessed. A probability score model to predict HVPG≥10 mmHg called HVPG₁₀ score was developed and validated.

RESULTS

A total of 161 patients [66% men, median age of 63 years] were recruited for the study. Median LSM, and HVPG were 9.5 kPa, and 5 mmHg respectively. HVPG₁₀ score was developed using independent predictors of HVPG≥10 mmHg in the training set were LSM, total bilirubin, alkaline phosphatase, and international normalized ratio. Area under receiver operating curve of HVPG₁₀ score in the training and validation sets were 0.91 and 0.93 respectively with a cutoff of 15. In the overall cohort, HVPG₁₀ score≥15 had 83% accuracy, 90% sensitivity, 81% specificity and 96% negative predictive value in predicting HVPG≥10 mmHg.

CONCLUSION

HVPG₁₀ score is an easy-to-use noninvasive continuous scale tool to rule out clinically significant portal hypertension in >95% patients with chronic liver disease.

Assessment of liver cirrhosis severity with extracellular volume fraction MRI

We aimed to investigate the diagnostic utility of MRI extracellular volume fraction (ECV) for the assessment of liver cirrhosis severity as defined by Child–Pugh class. In this retrospective study, 90 patients (68 cirrhotic patients and 22 controls), who underwent multiparametric liver MRI, were identified. Hepatic T1 relaxation times and ECV were assessed. Clinical scores of liver disease severity were calculated. One-way analysis of variance (ANOVA) followed by Tukey’s multiple comparison test, Spearman’s correlation coefficient, and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis were used for statistical analysis. In cirrhotic patients, hepatic native T1 increased depending on Child–Pugh class (620.5 ± 78.9 ms (Child A) vs. 666.6 ± 73.4 ms (Child B) vs. 828.4 ± 91.2 ms (Child C), P < 0.001). ECV was higher in cirrhotic patients compared to the controls (40.1 ± 11.9% vs. 25.9 ± 4.5%, P < 0.001) and increased depending of Child–Pugh class (33.3 ± 6.0% (Child A) vs. 39.6 ± 4.9% (Child B) vs. 52.8 ± 1.2% (Child C), P < 0.001). ECV correlated with Child–Pugh score (r = 0.64, P < 0.001). ECV allowed differentiating between Child–Pugh classes A and B, and B and C with an AUC of 0.785 and 0.944 (P < 0.001, respectively). The diagnostic performance of ECV for differentiating between Child–Pugh classes A and B, and B and C was higher compared to hepatic native T1 (AUC: 0.651 and 0.910) and MELD score (AUC: 0.740 and 0.795) (P < 0.05, respectively). MRI-derived ECV correlated with Child–Pugh score and had a high diagnostic performance for the discrimination of different Child–Pugh classes. ECV might become a valuable non-invasive biomarker for the assessment of liver cirrhosis severity.

Conventional and artificial intelligence-based imaging for biomarker discovery in chronic liver disease

Chronic liver diseases, resulting from chronic injuries of various causes, lead to cirrhosis with life-threatening complications including liver failure, portal hypertension, hepatocellular carcinoma. A key unmet medical need is robust non-invasive biomarkers to predict patient outcome, stratify patients for risk of disease progression and monitor response to emerging therapies. Quantitative imaging biomarkers have already been developed, for instance, liver elastography for staging fibrosis or proton density fat fraction on magnetic resonance imaging for liver steatosis. Yet, major improvements, in the field of image acquisition and analysis, are still required to be able to accurately characterize the liver parenchyma, monitor its changes and predict any pejorative evolution across disease progression. Artificial intelligence has the potential to augment the exploitation of massive multi-parametric data to extract valuable information and achieve precision medicine. Machine learning algorithms have been developed to assess non-invasively certain histological characteristics of chronic liver diseases, including fibrosis and steatosis. Although still at an early stage of development, artificial intelligence-based imaging biomarkers provide novel opportunities to predict the risk of progression from early-stage chronic liver diseases toward cirrhosis-related complications, with the ultimate perspective of precision medicine. This review provides an overview of emerging quantitative imaging techniques and the application of artificial intelligence for biomarker discovery in chronic liver disease.

The Value of Liver and Spleen Stiffness for Evaluation of Portal Hypertension in Compensated Cirrhosis

Patients with compensated advanced chronic liver disease who develop clinically significant portal hypertension (CSPH) are at high risk for hepatic decompensation and mortality if left untreated. Liver biopsy and hepatic venous pressure gradient (HVPG) measurements are the current gold standard procedures for determining fibrosis severity and diagnosing CSPH, respectively; however, both are invasive, limiting their use in clinical practice and larger trials of novel agents. As such, there is an unmet clinical need for reliable, validated, noninvasive measures to detect CSPH and to further assess portal hypertension (PH) severity. Alterations in the biomechanical properties of the liver or spleen in patients with cirrhosis can be quantified by tissue elastography, which examines the elastic behavior of tissue after a force has been applied. A variety of methods are available, including magnetic resonance elastography, shear-wave elastography, and the most thoroughly investigated measure, vibration-controlled transient elastography. Liver stiffness (LS) and spleen stiffness (SS) measurements offer valuable alternatives to detect and monitor CSPH. Both LS and SS correlate well with HVPG, with thresholds of LS >20-25 kPa and SS >40-45 kPa indicating a high likelihood of CSPH. Because SS is a direct and dynamic surrogate of portal pressure, it has the potential to monitor PH severity and assess PH improvement as a surrogate marker for clinical outcomes. Importantly, SS seems to be superior to LS for monitoring treatment response in clinical trials focusing on reducing PH.

Endoscopic Treatment of Esophageal Varices

Acute variceal bleeding is a complication of portal hypertension, usually due to cirrhosis, with high morbidity and mortality. There are 3 scenarios for endoscopic treatment of esophageal varices: prevention of first variceal bleed, treatment of active variceal bleed, and prevention of rebleeding. Patients with cirrhosis should be screened for esophageal varices. Recommended endoscopic therapy for acute variceal bleeding is endoscopic variceal banding. Although banding is the first-choice treatment, sclerotherapy may have a role. Treatment with Sengstaken-Blakemore tube or self-expanding covered metallic esophageal stent can be used for acute variceal bleeding refractory to standard pharmacologic and endoscopic therapy.

Two-dimensional shear wave elastography predicts survival in advanced chronic liver disease

OBJECTIVE

Liver stiffness measurement (LSM) is a tool used to screen for significant fibrosis and portal hypertension. The aim of this retrospective multicentre study was to develop an easy tool using LSM for clinical outcomes in advanced chronic liver disease (ACLD) patients.

DESIGN

This international multicentre cohort study included a derivation ACLD patient cohort with valid two-dimensional shear wave elastography (2D-SWE) results. Clinical and laboratory parameters at baseline and during follow-up were recorded. LSM by transient elastography (TE) was also recorded if available. The primary outcome was overall mortality. The secondary outcome was the development of first/further decompensation.

RESULTS

After screening 2148 patients (16 centres), 1827 patients (55 years, 62.4% men) were included in the 2D-SWE cohort, with median liver SWE (L-SWE) 11.8 kPa and a model for end stage liver disease (MELD) score of 8. Combination of MELD score and L-SWE predict independently of mortality (AUC 0.8). L-SWE cut-off at ≥20 kPa combined with MELD ≥10 could stratify the risk of mortality and first/further decompensation in ACLD patients. The 2-year mortality and decompensation rates were 36.9% and 61.8%, respectively, in the 305 (18.3%) high-risk patients (with L-SWE ≥20 kPa and MELD ≥10), while in the 944 (56.6%) low-risk patients, these were 1.1% and 3.5%, respectively. Importantly, this M10LS20 algorithm was validated by TE-based LSM and in an additional cohort of 119 patients with valid point shear SWE-LSM.

CONCLUSION

The M10LS20 algorithm allows risk stratification of patients with ACLD. Patients with L-SWE ≥20 kPa and MELD ≥10 should be followed closely and receive intensified care, while patients with low risk may be managed at longer intervals.

NS34A resistance-associated substitutions in chronic hepatitis C in Upper Egypt and regression of liver fibrosis after direct-acting antiviral therapy

Background

Viral resistance-associated substitutions (RASs) can develop in the setting of DAAs therapy (i.e., emerging RASs). Long-term monitoring of fibrosis regression after achieving SVR to simiprevir (SMV)/sofosbuvir (SOF) is essential. The aim of this study was to determine the prevalence of baseline and emerging NS34A RASs in chronic HCV patients in Upper Egypt and to assess the impact of SMV/SOF therapy on liver stiffness.

Results

The enrolled 59 patients had HCV genotype 4a without any baseline RASs in the NS34A region. 96.6% (57/59) of patients achieved sustained virological response (SVR12). Of the two patients who failed to achieve SVR12, one of them developed emerging RASs Q80K in the NS34A region. Seventy-two weeks after SMV/SOF therapy, the percentage of patients with liver fibrosis stage (F2, F3, and F4) decreased from 75.4% before treatment to 42.1% after treatment. The combination of SOF and SMV appeared to be well tolerated.

Conclusions

All patients had HCV genotype 4a without any baseline RASs in the NS34A region. In addition, there was improvement of non-invasive measures of liver fibrosis in patients who achieved SVR, 72 weeks after SMV/SOF therapy.

Resistance to thrombomodulin correlates with liver stiffness in chronic liver disease a prospective single-center cohort study

INTRODUCTION

Chronic liver disease (CLD) is characterized by changes in haemostasis, embracing both hypo- and hypercoagulability. Global hemostatic tests such as thrombin generation assays evaluate the hemostatic balance, to better assess bleeding and thrombotic risks. In addition, procoagulant state in patients with CLD has been demonstrated using modified thrombin generation assays with thrombomodulin, a cofactor for protein C activation. In this study, we prospectively determined thrombin generation and thrombomodulin resistance in patients with CLD staged with liver stiffness measurement (LSM), using both the fully automated analyzer ST Genesia® Thrombin Generation System (STG) and the calibrated automated thrombogram assay (CAT).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Demographic, clinical and laboratory characteristics, and blood samples were collected from 65 patients with CLD. Liver stiffness was measured by transient elastography, and thrombin generation and thrombomodulin resistance, by STG and CAT.

RESULTS

Patients were separated based on LSM of <21 and ≥21 kilopascals (kPa). The propagation rate of thrombin generation was higher in patients with LSM ≥21 kPa and the thrombin generation rate increased as LSM increased. In addition, thrombomodulin resistance assessed by STG and CAT was higher in patients with LSM ≥21 kPa. However, ETP inhibition by activated protein C was comparable in patients with LSM <21 and ≥21 kPa. Finally, LSM correlated with most thrombin generation parameters.

CONCLUSION

The STG automated system may have value in the assessment of patients with chronic liver disease in the routine coagulation laboratory. LSM ≥21 kPa identify a procoagulant phenotype in these patients, including thrombomodulin resistance.

Risk assessment of hepatocellular carcinoma and liver-related events using ultrasonography and transient elastography in patients with chronic hepatitis B

Cirrhosis has prognostic value. We investigated whether the combined use of ultrasonography (US) and transient elastography (TE) to diagnose cirrhosis is beneficial for the risk assessment of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and liver-related events in patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB). A total of 9300 patients with CHB who underwent US and TE in two institutions between 2006 and 2018 were enrolled. TE value ≥13 kPa was set to indicate cirrhosis. Patients were divided into four groups: US(+)TE(+) (cirrhosis by US and TE), US(+)TE(-) (cirrhosis by US, but not by TE), US(-)TE(+) (cirrhosis by TE, but not by US) and US(-)TE(-) (non-cirrhosis by US and TE).The patients were predominantly male (n = 5474, 58.9%) with a mean age of 47.5 years. The proportions of patients with cirrhosis diagnosed by US and TE were 17.2% (n = 1595) and 13.2% (n = 1225), respectively. The proportion of patients with discordant results in diagnosing cirrhosis by US and TE was 18.7% (n = 1740). During follow-up (median: 60.0 months), HCC and liver-related events developed in 481 (5.2%) and 759 (8.2%) patients, respectively. The cumulative incidence rates of HCC and liver-related events were highest in the US(+)TE(+) group, intermediate-high in the US(-)TE(+) group, intermediate-low in the US(+)TE(-) group and lowest in the US(-)TE(-) group (overall p < .001). Cirrhosis assessed using US and TE was a major predictor of HCC and liver-related event development in patients with CHB. Cirrhosis assessed using TE seemed better in predicting HCC or liver-related events than using US, when cirrhosis diagnosis was discordant by US and TE.

Development of a machine learning model to predict bleed in esophageal varices in compensated advanced chronic liver disease: A proof of concept

BACKGROUND AND AIM

Risk stratification beyond the endoscopic classification of esophageal varices (EVs) to predict first episode of variceal bleeding (VB) is currently limited in patients with compensated advanced chronic liver disease (cACLD). We aimed to assess if machine learning (ML) could be used for predicting future VB more accurately.

METHODS

In this retrospective analysis, data from patients of cACLD with EVs, laboratory parameters and liver stiffness measurement (LSM) were used to generate an extreme-gradient boosting (XGBoost) algorithm to predict the risk of VB. The performance characteristics of ML and endoscopic classification were compared in internal and external validation cohorts. Bleeding rates were estimated in subgroups identified upon risk stratification with combination of model and endoscopic classification.

RESULTS

Eight hundred twenty-eight patients of cACLD with EVs, predominantly related to non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (28.6%), alcohol (23.7%) and hepatitis B (23.1%) were included, with 455 (55%) having the high-risk varices. Over a median follow-up of 24 (12-43) months, 163 patients developed VB. The accuracy of machine learning (ML) based model to predict future VB was 98.7 (97.4-99.5)%, 93.7 (88.8-97.2)%, and 85.7 (82.1-90.5)% in derivation (n = 497), internal validation (n = 149), and external validation (n = 182) cohorts, respectively, which was better than endoscopic classification [58.9 (55.5-62.3)%] alone. Patients stratified high risk on both endoscopy and model had 1-year and 3-year bleeding rates of 31-43% and 64-85%, respectively, whereas those stratified as low risk on both had 1-year and 3-year bleeding rates of 0-1.6% and 0-3.4%, respectively. Endoscopic classification and LSM were the major determinants of model's performance.

CONCLUSION

Application of ML model improved the performance of endoscopic stratification to predict VB in patients with cACLD with EVs.

EASL Clinical Practice Guidelines on non-invasive tests for evaluation of liver disease severity and prognosis - 2021 update

Non-invasive tests are increasingly being used to improve the diagnosis and prognostication of chronic liver diseases across aetiologies. Herein, we provide the latest update to the EASL Clinical Practice Guidelines on the use of non-invasive tests for the evaluation of liver disease severity and prognosis, focusing on the topics for which relevant evidence has been published in the last 5 years.

Noninvasive Assessment of Hepatitis C Virus Infected Patients Using Vibration-Controlled Transient Elastography

Chronic infection with hepatitis C virus (HCV) is one of the leading causes of cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Surveillance of these patients is an essential strategy in the prevention chain, including in the pre/post-antiviral treatment states. Ultrasound elastography techniques are emerging as key methods in the assessment of liver diseases, with a number of advantages such as their rapid, noninvasive, and cost-effective characters. The present paper critically reviews the performance of vibration-controlled transient elastography (VCTE) in the assessment of HCV patients. VCTE measures liver stiffness (LS) and the ultrasonic attenuation through the embedded controlled attenuation parameter (CAP), providing the clinician with a tool for assessing fibrosis, cirrhosis, and steatosis in a noninvasive manner. Moreover, standardized LS values enable proper staging of the underlying fibrosis, leading to an accurate identification of a subset of HCV patients that present a high risk for complications. In addition, VCTE is a valuable technique in evaluating liver fibrosis prior to HCV therapy. However, its applicability in monitoring fibrosis regression after HCV eradication is currently limited and further studies should focus on extending the boundaries of VCTE in this context. From a different perspective, VCTE may be effective in identifying clinically significant portal hypertension (CSPH). An emerging prospect of clinical significance that warrants further study is the identification of esophageal varices. Our opinion is that the advantages of VCTE currently outweigh those of other surveillance methods.

Systematic review: Investigating the prognostic performance of four non-invasive tests in alcohol-related liver disease

BACKGROUND AND AIM

Mortality of alcohol-related liver disease (ArLD) is increasing, and liver fibrosis stage is the best mortality predictor. Non-invasive tests (NITs) are increasingly used to detect fibrosis, but their value as prognostic tests in chronic liver disease, and in particular in ArLD, is less well recognized. We aimed to describe the prognostic performance of four widely used NITs (Fibrosis 4 test [FIB4], Enhanced Liver Fibrosis [ELF] test, FibroScan, and FibroTest) in ArLD.

METHODS

Applying systematic review methodology, we searched four databases from inception to May 2020. Inclusion/exclusion criteria were applied to search using Medical Subject Heading terms and keywords. The first and second reviewers independently screened results, extracted data, and performed risk-of-bias assessment using Quality in Prognosis Studies tool.

RESULTS

Searches produced 25 088 articles. After initial screening, 1020 articles were reviewed independently by both reviewers. Eleven articles remained after screening for eligibility: one on ELF, four on FibroScan, four on FIB4, one on FIB4 + FibroScan, and one on FibroTest + FIB4. Area under the receiver operating characteristic curves for outcome prediction ranged from 0.65 to 0.76 for FibroScan, 0.64 to 0.83 for FIB4, 0.69 to 0.79 for FibroTest, and 0.72 to 0.85 for ELF. Studies scored low-moderate risk of bias for most domains but high risk in confounding/statistical reporting domains. The results were heterogeneous for outcomes and reporting, making pooling of data unfeasible.

CONCLUSIONS

This systematic review returned 11 papers, six of which were conference abstracts and one unpublished manuscript. While the heterogeneity of studies precluded direct comparisons of NITs, each NIT performed well in individual studies in predicting prognosis in ArLD (area under the receiver operating characteristic curves >0.7 in each NIT category) and may add value to prognostication in clinical practice.

Noninvasive Detection of Clinically Significant Portal Hypertension in Compensated Advanced Chronic Liver Disease

Patients with compensated advanced chronic liver disease have different prognoses depending on the presence of portal hypertension. Current non-invasive diagnostic methods allow identification of clinically significant portal hypertension. Portosystemic collaterals on imaging or liver stiffness of more than 20 to 25 kPa by using transient elastography identifies patients with clinically significant portal hypertension. Patients with liver stiffness of less than 20 kPa and platelet count of greater than 150 g/L can avoid endoscopy. This rule could be expanded using spleen stiffness. Methods to risk stratify for portal hypertension in compensated advanced chronic liver disease and successfully treated chronic hepatitis C and B are subject of research.

The role of liver and spleen elastography in advanced chronic liver disease

Portal hypertension is the main driver of complications in patients with advanced chronic liver disease (ACLD). In the last decade, many non-invasive tests, such us liver and spleen elastography, have been proposed and validated for the identification of patients with clinically significant portal hypertension (CSPH) and its complications, mainly hepatic decompensation and liver-related morbidity and mortality. Moreover, elastography accurately stratifies for the risk of HCC development, HCC recurrence and decompensation after liver surgery. Recent studies suggest a role of SSM in monitoring response to treatments and interventions in ACLD, such as viral eradication, non-selective beta-blockers and transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt placement. However, one of the most indications to perform elastography in ACLD still remains the screening for esophageal varices. In fact, according to the Baveno VI consensus, liver stiffness measurement (LSM) <20 kPa and platelet count >150,000/mm³ can safely identify patients at low risk of varices requiring treatment (VNT) and could therefore avoid invasive upper invasive endoscopy; LSM>20-25 kPa can accurately rule-in CSPH in patients with viral etiology. Spleen stiffness measurement (SSM) is a direct surrogate of portal hypertension and has been demonstrated more accurate in predicting portal hypertension severity and VNT. A combined model including Baveno VI Criteria and SSM (≤46 kPa) can significantly increase the number of spared endoscopies (>40-50%), maintaining a low (<5%) of missed VNT.

Assessing liver stiffness with conventional cut-off values overestimates liver fibrosis staging in patients who received the Fontan procedure

AIM

Patients who undergo the Fontan procedure for complex congenital heart disease are prone to liver cirrhosis. Liver stiffness (LS) reflects liver fibrosis stage in patients with chronic viral hepatitis; however, its accuracy in predicting liver fibrosis stage in Fontan patients is controversial. We aimed to clarify the correlation between LS and liver fibrosis stage in Fontan patients.

METHODS

Fifty-eight Fontan patients were prospectively measured for LS with transient elastography. We undertook liver biopsy, cardiac catheterization, and laboratory tests in 22 of these patients (median age, 14.7 years; range, 9.9-32.1 years) with LS > 11.0 kPa (median, 19.2 kPa; range, 12.2-39.8 kPa); these elevated LS values suggest liver cirrhosis.

RESULTS

Histologically, all patients showed mild-to-severe portal and sinusoidal fibrosis but no cirrhosis. Statistically, LS did not predict histological liver fibrosis scores (p = 0.175). Liver stiffness was not correlated with central venous pressure (p = 0.456) or with the hepatic venous pressure gradient (HVPG; p = 0.062), although the p value for HVPG was only slightly above the threshold for significance.

CONCLUSIONS

Fontan patients are prone to developing both portal and sinusoidal fibrosis. Liver stiffness could be influenced by HVPG, and using the conventional cut-off values for LS overestimates and overtreats liver fibrosis in these patients.

Role of transient elastography in the prediction of de novo recurrence of hepatocellular carcinoma after radiofrequency ablation: single-center Egyptian study

Background

Radiofrequency is one of the curative treatment options for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Despite the progressive improvements in the efficacy of radiofrequency, the survival of patients with HCC who undergo radiofrequency remains disappointing, mainly due to frequent intrahepatic recurrence of HCC after radiofrequency. We aimed to evaluate the role of transient elastography (TE) in the prediction of de novo recurrence of HCC after radiofrequency and to compare between transient elastography and the serological fibrosis indices in the prediction of de novo recurrence of HCC.

Results

Thirty HCC patients underwent baseline transient elastography for preinterventional assessment of the degree of fibrosis. Also noninvasive serum fibrosis indices were calculated from baseline data, including age platelet index (API), cirrhosis discrimination score (CDS), and FIB-4 index. Patients achieving complete response after 1 month post radiofrequency ablation were followed for further 12 months by triphasic abdominal CT scan to detect de novo lesions according to modified RECIST criteria. Baseline means of CDS, FIB4, and API were 6.03 ± 1.5, 3.98 ± 2.58, and 1.24 ± 1.08, respectively. Transient elastography revealed 28 patients with F4 and only 2 patients with F3 (mean liver stiffness 22.45 ± 10.36 Kba). There was a significant negative correlation between liver stiffness (LS) and de novo recurrence of HCC (mean of LS in patients with a complete response was 17.19 ± 3.32 while in those with de novo recurrence was 36.94 ± 5.93, with the best cut off value ≥24.65 (p value < 0.001). There was no significant correlation between CDC, FIB4, API scores, and de novo recurrence of HCC. It was found that the liver stiffness was significantly associated with the prediction of hepatic decompensation (p value <0.001). Also, liver stiffness at the cutoff value > 42.75 (p value = 0.031) was significantly associated with the prediction of 1-year mortality after radiofrequency ablation.

Conclusion

Our data suggested that liver stiffness measurement in hepatocellular carcinoma patients was a useful predictor of de novo recurrence, overall survival, and possibility of hepatic decompensation after radiofrequency ablation.

Noninvasive Diagnosis of Portal Hypertension in Patients With Compensated Advanced Chronic Liver Disease

INTRODUCTION:

We aimed to explore the prevalence of portal hypertension in the most common etiologies of patients with compensated advanced chronic liver disease (cACLD) and develop classification rules, based on liver stiffness measurement (LSM), that could be readily used to diagnose or exclude clinically significant portal hypertension (CSPH) in clinical practice.

METHODS:

This is an international cohort study including patients with paired LSM/hepatic venous pressure gradient (HVPG), LSM ≥10 kPa, and no previous decompensation. Portal hypertension was defined by an HVPG >5 mm Hg. A positive predictive value ≥90% was considered to validate LSM cutoffs for CSPH (HVPG ≥10 mm Hg), whereas a negative predictive value ≥90% ruled out CSPH.

RESULTS:

A total of 836 patients with hepatitis C (n = 358), nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH, n = 248), alcohol use (n = 203), and hepatitis B (n = 27) were evaluated. Portal hypertension prevalence was >90% in all cACLD etiologies, except for patients with NASH (60.9%), being even lower in obese patients with NASH (53.3%); these lower prevalences of portal hypertension in patients with NASH were maintained across different strata of LSM values. LSM ≥25 kPa was the best cutoff to rule in CSPH in alcoholic liver disease, chronic hepatitis B, chronic hepatitis C, and nonobese patients with NASH, whereas in obese NASH patients, the positive predictive value was only 62.8%. A new model for patients with NASH (ANTICIPATE-NASH model) to predict CSPH considering body mass index, LSM, and platelet count was developed, and a nomogram was constructed. LSM ≤15 kPa plus platelets ≥150 × 109/L ruled out CSPH in most etiologies.

DISCUSSION:

Patients with cACLD of NASH etiology, especially obese patients with NASH, present lower prevalences of portal hypertension compared with other cACLD etiologies. LSM ≥25 kPa is sufficient to rule in CSPH in most etiologies, including nonobese patients with NASH, but not in obese patients with NASH.