Risk factors and patterns of early recurrence after curative hepatectomy for hepatocellular carcinoma

Combined TACE with Targeted and Immunotherapy versus TACE Alone Improves DFS in HCC with MVI: A Multicenter Propensity Score Matching Study

Background

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) with microvascular invasion (MVI) is associated with high recurrence and poor survival outcomes. Although adjuvant therapies such as transcatheter arterial chemoembolization (TACE), targeted therapy, and immunotherapy show potential in improving outcomes, the optimal postoperative treatment strategy remains undetermined. This study evaluates the efficacy of different adjuvant treatments on disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS) in HCC patients with MVI following curative resection.

Methods

A retrospective cohort of 409 HCC patients with MVI who underwent curative resection from three clinical centers between 2017 and 2024 was analyzed. Patients were stratified into three groups: TACE alone (n=132), TACE + targeted therapy (n=58), and TACE + targeted immunotherapy (n=68). Propensity score matching (PSM) was employed to balance confounding factors. Kaplan-Meier survival curves and Cox regression models were used to assess DFS and OS. A nomogram was constructed for individualized DFS prediction.

Results

After PSM, both the TACE + targeted therapy and TACE + targeted immunotherapy groups exhibited significantly prolonged DFS compared to TACE alone (median DFS: 16 vs 22 and 21 months, respectively; p=0.027). No significant differences were observed in OS across the groups. The nomogram for DFS demonstrated robust predictive performance, with a C-index of 0.709 and 0.645 in the training and validation cohorts, respectively, supporting its utility in clinical decision-making.

Conclusion

In HCC patients with MVI, adjuvant TACE combined with targeted therapy or targeted immunotherapy significantly enhances DFS, though no OS benefit was observed. The developed nomogram provides a reliable tool for risk stratification and personalized postoperative management in this high-risk patient population.

Albumin-Butyrylcholinesterase as a Novel Prognostic Biomarker for Hepatocellular Carcinoma Post-hepatectomy: A Retrospective Cohort Study with the Hiroshima Surgical Study Group of Clinical Oncology

BACKGROUND

This study aimed to investigate the association between a new biomarker that incorporates albumin (Alb) and butyrylcholinesterase (BCHE) levels, as well as the prognosis of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) after hepatectomy.

METHODS

The study enrolled 1712 patients who underwent primary hepatectomy for HCC between January 2003 and December 2019 at seven institutions belonging to the Hiroshima Surgical Study Group of Clinical Oncology. The entire dataset was randomly split into discovery and validation cohorts in a 7:3 ratio. The product of the preoperative Alb and BCHE levels was defined as the ABC. In the discovery cohort, the patients in the high-ABC group (≥ 951) were compared with those in the low-ABC group (< 951). These findings then were confirmed in the validation cohort.

RESULTS

In the discovery cohort, a significant difference was observed in the 5-year survival rate between the high- and low-ABC groups (p < 0.001), and ABC was identified as an independent prognostic factor for HCC. Similarly, in the validation cohort, a significant difference was observed in the 5-year survival rate between the high- and low-ABC groups (p < 0.001), and ABC was identified as an independent prognostic factor for HCC. Furthermore, in the discovery and validation cohorts, significant differences in the early recurrence rate between the two groups were observed (p < 0.001 and p = 0.020, respectively).

CONCLUSIONS

For patients with HCC, ABC is a useful predictive biomarker because it can be calculated in a simple manner and because it provides accurate prognostic information.

Mac-2 binding protein glycosylation isomer as a novel predictor of early recurrence after resection for hepatocellular carcinoma

PURPOSE

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) frequently recurs after radical resection, resulting in a poor prognosis. This study assessed the prognostic value of Mac-2 binding protein glycosylation isomer (M2BPGi) for early recurrence (ER) in patients with HCC.

METHODS

Patients who underwent radical resection for HCC between 2015 and 2021. HCC recurrence within one year after curative resection was defined as ER.

RESULTS

The 150 patients were divided into two groups: non-ER (116, 77.3%) and ER (34, 22.7%). The ER group had a lower overall survival rate (p < 0.0001) and significantly higher levels of M2BPGi (1.06 vs. 2.74 COI, p < 0.0001) than the non-ER group. High M2BPGi levels (odds ratio [OR] 1.78, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.31-2.41, p < 0.0001) and a large tumor size (OR 1.31, 95% CI, 1.05-1.63; p = 0.0184) were identified as independent predictors of ER. M2BPGi was the best predictor of ER according to a receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis (area under the ROC curve 0.82, p < 0.0001).

CONCLUSIONS

M2BPGi can predict ER after surgery and is useful for risk stratification in patients with HCC.

A preoperative risk score based on early recurrence for estimating outcomes after resection of hepatocellular carcinoma in the non-cirrhotic liver

BACKGROUND

Liver resection is the mainstay treatment option for patients with hepatocellular carcinoma in the non-cirrhotic liver (NCL-HCC), but almost half of these patients will experience a recurrence within five years of surgery. Therefore, we aimed to develop a rationale-based risk evaluation tool to assist surgeons in recurrence-related treatment planning for NCL-HCC.

METHODS

We analyzed single-center data from 263 patients who underwent liver resection for NCL-HCC. Using machine learning modeling, we first determined an optimal cut-off point to discriminate early versus late relapses based on time to recurrence. We then constructed a risk score based on preoperative variables to forecast outcomes according to recurrence-free survival.

RESULTS

We computed an optimal cut-off point for early recurrence at 12 months post-surgery. We identified macroscopic vascular invasion, multifocal tumor, and spontaneous tumor rupture as predictor variables of outcomes associated with early recurrence and integrated them into a scoring system. We thus stratified, with high concordance, three groups of patients on a graduated scale of recurrence-related survival.

CONCLUSION

We constructed a preoperative risk score to estimate outcomes after liver resection in NCL-HCC patients. Hence, this score makes it possible to rationally stratify patients based on recurrence risk assessment for better treatment planning.

Clinical impact of very early recurrence after conversion surgery for stage IV gastric cancer

Background

The development and improved response to chemotherapy has resulted in a survival benefit of conversion surgery (CS) for advanced gastric cancer (GC). However, this benefit is limited in some cases, such as in those with very early recurrence (VER). This study investigated the relationship between outcome and clinicopathological characteristics after CS for stage IV GC, and the risk factors for VER after CS.

Methods

We retrospectively studied 184 patients with stage IV GC who initially underwent chemotherapy, including 36 patients who underwent CS between May 2007 and January 2022. We evaluated the long-term outcome after CS for stage IV GC and the clinicopathological characteristics of the patients who underwent CS.

Results

Median survival times (MSTs) in the chemotherapy alone and CS groups were 13.4 and 36.5 months, respectively (p < 0.0001). Of the 27 patients who underwent R0 resection, 22 remained free of early recurrence and five experienced VER. MSTs in the VER and free of early recurrence groups were 15.2 and 44.1 months, respectively (p < 0.0001). Significantly more patients had liver metastasis before initial treatment in the VER group than in the FER group (p = 0.016). There were more patients with preoperative PNI <40 in the VER group (p = 0.046).

Conclusion

CS is an effective treatment for stage IV GC, but VER is associated with poor prognosis. We need to carefully consider the indications for CS, especially for patients with poor nutritional status and liver metastases.

Preoperative MRI features predicting very early recurrence of intrahepatic mass-forming cholangiocarcinoma after R0 resection: a comparison with the AJCC 8th edition staging system

PURPOSE

This study aimed to establish a nomogram based on preoperative magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) features to predict the very early recurrence (VER, less than 6 months) of intrahepatic mass-forming cholangiocarcinoma (IMCC) after R0 resection.

METHODS

This study enrolled a group of 193 IMCC patients from our institution between March 2010 and January 2022. Patients were allocated into the development cohort (n = 137) and the validation cohort (n = 56), randomly, and the preoperative clinical and MRI features were collected. Univariate and multivariate stepwise logistic regression assessments were adopted to assess predictors of VER. Nomogram was constructed and certificated in the validation cohort. The performance of the prediction nomogram was evaluated by its discrimination, calibration, and clinical utility. The performance of the nomogram was compared with the T stage of the American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) 8th edition staging system.

RESULTS

Fifty-three patients (27.5%) experienced VER of the tumor and 140 patients (72.5%) with non-VER, during the follow-up period. After multivariate stepwise logistic regression, number of lesions, diffuse hypoenhancement on arterial phase, necorsis and suspicious lymph nodes were independently associated with VER. The nomogram demonstrated significantly higher area under the curve (AUC) of 0.813 than T stage (AUC = 0.666, P = 0.006) in the development cohort, whereas in the validation cohort, the nomogram showed better discrimination performance, with an AUC of 0.808 than T stage (0.705) with no significantly difference (P = 0.230). Decision curve analysis reflected the clinical net benefit of the nomogram.

CONCLUSION

The nomogram based on preoperative MRI features is a reliable tool to predict VER for patients with IMCC after R0 resection. This nomogram will be helpful to improve survival prediction and individualized treatment.

Effect of ABO blood group on postoperative overall survival and recurrence-free survival rate in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma after hepatectomy: a multi-center retrospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is one of the most common malignancies worldwide. The survival rate after hepatectomy as the first line of treatment for HCC depends on various factors. This study evaluated the association of the ABO blood group and Rh with overall survival (OS) and Recurrence-free survival (RFS) rate after hepatectomy.

METHODS

This multicenter retrospective cohort study reviewed the medical files of 639 HCC patients who underwent hepatectomy from 2010 to 2022 in three medical centers affiliated with the Iran University of Medical Sciences. Patient data, including demographic, clinical, tumor characteristics, and post-surgery outcomes, were collected by referring to the patient's medical profiles. The Cox proportional hazard investigated the relationship between ABO blood group type and OS and RFS rate after hepatectomy.

RESULTS

The five-year OS and RFS rates were 25.4% and 18.7%, respectively. The five-year OS (Lok rank:40.89, P:0.001) and RFS rate in patients with blood type A were significantly lower than in non-A patients. (Lok rank:10.8, P:0.001) The multivariate Cox analysis showed that blood type A, age < 45 years, tumor size > 5 cm, Poor tumor differentiation, presence of metastasis, The number of involved lymph nodes ≤ 2, and serum Alpha-Fetoprotein)AFP( level ≥ 400 were significantly related to the decreased survival rate of HCC patients after hepatectomy (P < 0.05) There was no significant association between Rh with OS and RFS (P > 0.05).

CONCLUSION

Blood group type A, compared to non-A, can be associated with decreased OS and RFS rates in patients with HCC after hepatectomy.

Tenofovir vs Entecavir Among Patients With HBV-Related HCC After Resection

Importance

Tenofovir disoproxil and entecavir are both commonly used first-line antiviral treatments, but their comparative recurrence and overall survival (OS) benefits remain unclear.

Objective

To explore differences of tenofovir disoproxil vs entecavir in recurrence-free survival (RFS) and OS after liver resection with curative intent in patients with hepatocellular cancer (HCC) related to hepatitis B virus (HBV).

Design, Setting, and Participants

This retrospective cohort study was conducted at Eastern Hepatobiliary Surgery Hospital, a tertiary referral hospital in Shanghai, China, between January 4, 2015, and April 1, 2023. Participants included patients with HBV-related HCC who underwent liver resection with curative intent from January 2015 to December 2018. Patients who received tenofovir disoproxil were matched with patients who received entecavir in a 1:1 ratio using propensity score matching. Data were analyzed from April 3 to May 31, 2023.

Exposures

Receiving tenofovir disoproxil or entecavir as antiviral treatment for HBV.

Main Outcomes and Measures

Primary end points were RFS and OS rates.

Results

Among 4451 patients (mean [SD] age, 58.1 [10.0] years; 3764 male [84.6%]; median [range] follow-up, of 51 [3 to 91] months), 989 patients in each of the groups were selected in propensity score matching. Baseline characteristics were comparable. In propensity score-matched groups, OS rates were 92.2% at 1 year, 70.9% at 3 years, and 54.2% at 5 years in the entecavir group, compared with 90.9% at 1 year, 75.2% at 3 years, and 64.0% at 5 years in the tenofovir disoproxil group. RFS rates were 83.9% at 1 year, 50.0% at 3 years, and 43.3% at 5 years in the entecavir group, compared with 85.3% at 1 year, 55.6% at 3 years, and 51.4% at 5 years in the tenofovir disoproxil group. Patients in the tenofovir disoproxil group had better OS (hazard ratio, 0.82; 95% CI, 0.72 to 0.94; P = .004) and RFS rates (hazard ratio, 0.81; 95% CI, 0.72 to 0.92; P = .001) compared with the entecavir group. Restricted mean survival time differences of entecavir vs tenofovir disoproxil groups were -0.05 (95% CI, -0.18 to 0.08) months at 1 year (P = .45), 0.20 (95% CI, -0.62 to 1.03) months at 3 years (P = .63), and 1.82 (95% CI, 0.14 to 3.51) months at 5 years (P = .03).

Conclusions and Relevance

These findings suggest that in patients undergoing curative liver resection for HBV-related HCC, tenofovir disoproxil was associated with better long-term OS and RFS rates compared with entecavir, providing insights for antiviral treatment.

Advances in Histological and Molecular Classification of Hepatocellular Carcinoma

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a primary liver cancer characterized by hepatocellular differentiation. HCC is molecularly heterogeneous with a wide spectrum of histopathology. The prognosis of patients with HCC is generally poor, especially in those with advanced stages. HCC remains a diagnostic challenge for pathologists because of its morphological and phenotypic diversity. However, recent advances have enhanced our understanding of the molecular genetics and histological subtypes of HCC. Accurate diagnosis of HCC is important for patient management and prognosis. This review provides an update on HCC pathology, focusing on molecular genetics, histological subtypes, and diagnostic approaches.

Deep learning nomogram based on Gd-EOB-DTPA MRI for predicting early recurrence in hepatocellular carcinoma after hepatectomy

OBJECTIVES

The accurate prediction of post-hepatectomy early recurrence in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is crucial for decision-making regarding postoperative adjuvant treatment and monitoring. We aimed to explore the feasibility of deep learning (DL) features derived from gadoxetate disodium (Gd-EOB-DTPA) MRI, qualitative features, and clinical variables for predicting early recurrence.

METHODS

In this bicentric study, 285 patients with HCC who underwent Gd-EOB-DTPA MRI before resection were divided into training (n = 195) and validation (n = 90) sets. DL features were extracted from contrast-enhanced MRI images using VGGNet-19. Three feature selection methods and five classification methods were combined for DL signature construction. Subsequently, an mp-MR DL signature fused with multiphase DL signatures of contrast-enhanced images was constructed. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were used to identify early recurrence risk factors including mp-MR DL signature, microvascular invasion (MVI), and tumor number. A DL nomogram was built by incorporating deep features and significant clinical variables to achieve early recurrence prediction.

RESULTS

MVI (p = 0.039), tumor number (p = 0.001), and mp-MR DL signature (p < 0.001) were independent risk factors for early recurrence. The DL nomogram outperformed the clinical nomogram in the training set (AUC: 0.949 vs. 0.751; p < 0.001) and validation set (AUC: 0.909 vs. 0.715; p = 0.002). Excellent DL nomogram calibration was achieved in both training and validation sets. Decision curve analysis confirmed the clinical usefulness of DL nomogram.

CONCLUSION

The proposed DL nomogram was superior to the clinical nomogram in predicting early recurrence for HCC patients after hepatectomy.

KEY POINTS

• Deep learning signature based on Gd-EOB-DTPA MRI was the predominant independent predictor of early recurrence for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) after hepatectomy. • Deep learning nomogram based on clinical factors and Gd-EOB-DTPA MRI features is promising for predicting early recurrence of HCC. • Deep learning nomogram outperformed the conventional clinical nomogram in predicting early recurrence.

Macrotrabecular-massive subtype-based nomogram to predict early recurrence of hepatocellular carcinoma after surgery

OBJECTIVES

To analyze the predictive factors on early postoperative recurrence of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and to establish a new nomogram to predict early postoperative recurrence of HCC.

METHODS

A retrospective analysis of 383 patients who had undergone curative resection between February 2012 and September 2020 in our center was performed. The Kaplan-Meier method was used for survival curve analysis. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression were performed to identify independent risk factors associated with early recurrence, and a nomogram for predicting early recurrence of HCC was established.

RESULTS

A total of 152/383 patients developed recurrence after surgery, of which 83 had recurrence within 1 year. Multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that preoperative alpha-fetoprotein level ≥400 ng/ml (P = 0.001), tumor diameter ≥5 cm (P = 0.009) and MVI (P = 0.007 and macrotrabecular-massive HCC (P = 0.003) were independent risk factors for early postoperative recurrence of HCC. The macrotrabecular-massive-based nomogram obtained a good C-index (0.74) for predicting early recurrence of HCC, and the area under the curve for predicting early recurrence was 0.767, which was better than the single American Joint Committee on Cancer T stage and Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer stage.

CONCLUSIONS

The nomogram based on macrotrabecular-massive HCC can effectively predict early postoperative recurrence of HCC.

Clinical application of Magnetic resonance elastography in hepatocellular carcinoma: from diagnosis to prognosis

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the most common primary liver cancer and a major public health problem worldwide. Liver fibrosis is closely correlated with liver functional reserve and the risk of HCC development. Meanwhile, malignant tumors generally have high cellularity compared to benign tumors, which results in increased stiffness. Magnetic resonance elastography (MRE) has emerged as a new non-invasive technique for assessing tissue stiffness with excellent diagnostic accuracy, not only for assessing liver fibrosis but also for measuring tumor stiffness. Recent studies provide new evidence that MRE may play an important role in the management of patients with HCC and show several novel clinical applications, such as predicting the development of HCC, differentiating between benign/malignant liver lesions (FLL) and HCC pathological grades, assessing treatment response, and predicting recurrence after treatment, although some findings are controversial. Therefore, we conducted this review to summarize these novel applications of MRE in HCC patients and also discuss their limitations and future advancement.

Predictive Value of the TP53 p.G245S Mutation Frequency for the Short-Term Recurrence of Hepatocellular Carcinoma as Detected by Pyrophosphate Sequencing

Aims: We explored the relationship between the mutation of the p.G245S site in TP53 and the short-term recurrence of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Materials and Methods: One hundred one HCC patients were included in this study. The TP53 p.G245S mutation frequency spectrum was examined by direct sequencing of genomic DNA from tissue specimens of HCC patients. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression were used to evaluate the independent prognostic factors of tumor recurrence. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was applied to determine the cutoff value of p.G245S mutation frequency and verify the predictive ability of the Cox model compared with single risk factor indices. Results: Multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that TP53 p.G245S mutation frequency (hazard ratio [HR] = 1.231, 95% CI: 1.006-1.505, p = 0.043), alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) (HR = 2.432, 95% CI: 1.297-4.561, p = 0.006), macrotrabecular-massive (MTM) (HR = 2.656, 95% CI: 0.930-7.583, p = 0.068), and portal vein tumor thrombus (PVTT) (HR = 14.297, 95% CI: 3.085-66.243, p = 0.001) were independent prognostic factors for short-term recurrence. The cutoff value of TP53 p.G245S mutation frequency (18.5%) was determined by ROC analysis. The prediction model integrating TP53 p.G245S mutation frequency, PVTT, MTM, and AFP could be a predictive indicator of short-term recurrence in HCC patients (AUC = 0.849, 95% CI: 0.748-0.950, p = 0.000001). Survival analysis indicated that the probability of short-term recurrence-free survival was significantly different among different TP53 p.G245S mutation frequency, MTM, PVTT, and AFP risk groups (p < 0.05). Conclusion: The mutation frequency of the p.G245S site was a novel prognostic risk factor for the short-term recurrence of HCC.

Very Early Recurrence After Curative-Intent Surgery for Gastric Adenocarcinoma

BACKGROUND

Recurrence after curative-intent surgery can occur in more than 50% of gastric cancer (GC) patients. We sought to identify predictors of very early recurrence (VER) among GC patients who underwent curative-intent surgery.

METHODS

A multi-institutional database of GC patients undergoing curative-intent surgery between 2000 and 2020 at 8 major institutions was queried. VER was defined as local or distant tumor recurrence within 6 months from surgery. Univariable Cox proportional hazard models were used to evaluate the predictive value of clinical-pathological features on VER. A regularized Cox regression model was employed to build a predictive model of VER and recurrence within 12 months. The discriminant ability of the Cox regularized models was evaluated by reporting a ROC curve together with the calibration plot, considering 200 runs.

RESULTS

Among 1133 patients, 65 (16.0%) patients experienced a VER. Preoperative symptoms (HR 1.198), comorbidities (HR 1.289), tumor grade (HR 1.043), LNR (HR 4.339) and T stage (HR 1.639) were associated with an increased likelihood of VER. Model performance was very good at predicting VER at 6 months (AUC of 0.722) and 12 months (AUC 0.733). Two nomograms to predict 6-month and 12-month VER were built based on the predictive model. A higher nomogram score was associated with worse prognosis. There was good prediction between observed and estimated VER with minimal evidence of overfitting and good performance on internal bootstrapping validation.

CONCLUSION

One in 6 patients experienced VER following curative-intent surgery for GC. Nomograms to predict risk of VER performed well on internal validation, and stratified patients into distinct prognostic groups relative to 6- and 12-months recurrence.

Adjuvant stereotactic body radiotherapy after marginal resection for hepatocellular carcinoma with microvascular invasion: A randomised controlled trial

BACKGROUND

Marginal resection frequently occurred in hepatectomy for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), leading to increased local recurrence, especially among patients with microvascular invasion (MVI). Stereotactic body radiotherapy (SBRT) showed effectiveness in controlling tumour and tumour thrombosis. This study aimed to investigate the efficacy of SBRT, targeting on suboptimal resection margin, as adjuvant setting in MVI-positive HCC.

METHODS

This was a single-centre randomised controlled trial conducted in Eastern Hepatobiliary Surgery Hospital, Shanghai, China. Participants with MVI-positive HCC receiving marginal resection were randomly assigned to the postoperative adjuvant SBRT or surgery alone (SA) group. SBRT was delivered by the CyberKnife® system with marker tracking devices, targeting on resection margin one month after surgery. The disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS) were compared between the groups, and the adverse events (AEs) were monitored. This trial was registered on ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT04891874.

FINDINGS

A total of 76 participants were enrolled, with 38 in each group. The one-, three-, and five-year DFS rates were 92.1%, 65.8%, and 56.1% in SBRT group versus 76.3%, 36.8%, and 26.3% in SA group, respectively (p = 0.005). The one-, three-, and five-year OS rates were 100%, 89.5%, and 75.0% in SBRT group versus 100.0%, 68.4%, and 53.7% in SA group, respectively (p = 0.053). The total dose of SBRT for single participant was 35 Gy, and the biological effective dose (BED) was 59.5 Gy. The overall incidence of radiotherapy-related AE was 31.6% (12/38), and no grade 3 or higher grade AE was developed.

INTERPRETATION

SBRT on the resection margin provides a safe therapeutic modality of adjuvant setting in MVI-positive HCC with suboptimal resection margin. It prevents local recurrence and improves DFS.

TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER

NCT04891874.

A Novel Multimodal Radiomics Model for Predicting Prognosis of Resected Hepatocellular Carcinoma

OBJECTIVE

To explore a new model to predict the prognosis of liver cancer based on MRI and CT imaging data.

METHODS

A retrospective study of 103 patients with histologically proven hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) was conducted. Patients were randomly divided into training (n = 73) and validation (n = 30) groups. A total of 1,217 radiomics features were extracted from regions of interest on CT and MR images of each patient. Univariate Cox regression, Spearman's correlation analysis, Pearson's correlation analysis, and least absolute shrinkage and selection operator Cox analysis were used for feature selection in the training set, multivariate Cox proportional risk models were established to predict disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS), and the models were validated using validation cohort data. Multimodal radiomics scores, integrating CT and MRI data, were applied, together with clinical risk factors, to construct nomograms for individualized survival assessment, and calibration curves were used to evaluate model consistency. Harrell's concordance index (C-index) values were calculated to evaluate the prediction performance of the models.

RESULTS

The radiomics score established using CT and MR data was an independent predictor of prognosis (DFS and OS) in patients with HCC (p < 0.05). Prediction models illustrated by nomograms for predicting prognosis in liver cancer were established. Integrated CT and MRI and clinical multimodal data had the best predictive performance in the training and validation cohorts for both DFS [(C-index (95% CI): 0.858 (0.811-0.905) and 0.704 (0.563-0.845), respectively)] and OS [C-index (95% CI): 0.893 (0.846-0.940) and 0.738 (0.575-0.901), respectively]. The calibration curve showed that the multimodal radiomics model provides greater clinical benefits.

CONCLUSION

Multimodal (MRI/CT) radiomics models can serve as effective visual tools for predicting prognosis in patients with liver cancer. This approach has great potential to improve treatment decisions when applied for preoperative prediction in patients with HCC.

Development and validation of nomogram to predict very early recurrence of combined hepatocellular-cholangiocarcinoma after hepatic resection: a multi-institutional study

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

Combined hepatocellular cholangiocarcinoma (cHCC) has a high incidence of early recurrence. The objective of this study is to construct a model predicting very early recurrence (VER) (i.e., recurrence within 6 months after surgery) of cHCC.

METHODS

One hundred thirty-one consecutive patients from Eastern Hepatobiliary Surgery Hospital served as a development cohort to construct a nomogram predicting VER by using multi-variable logistic regression analysis. The model was internally and externally validated in a validation cohort of 90 patients from Mengchao Hepatobiliary Hospital using the C concordance statistic, calibration analysis, and decision curve analysis (DCA).

RESULTS

The VER nomogram contains microvascular invasion (MiVI), macrovascular invasion (MaVI), and CA19-9 > 25 mAU/mL. The model shows good discrimination with C-indexes of 0.77 (95% CI: 0.69-0.85) and 0.76 (95% CI: 0.66-0.86) in the development cohort and validation cohort respectively. Decision curve analysis demonstrated that the model is clinically useful and the calibration of our model was favorable. Our model stratified patients into two different risk groups, which exhibited significantly different VER.

CONCLUSIONS

Our model demonstrated favorable performance in predicting VER in cHCC patients.

Contrast-enhanced ultrasound-based ultrasomics score: a potential biomarker for predicting early recurrence of hepatocellular carcinoma after resection or ablation

OBJECTIVES

This study aimed to construct a prediction model based on contrast-enhanced ultrasound (CEUS) ultrasomics features and investigate its efficacy in predicting early recurrence (ER) of primary hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) after resection or ablation.

METHODS

This study retrospectively included 215 patients with primary HCC, who were divided into a developmental cohort (n = 139) and a test cohort (n = 76). Four representative images-grayscale ultrasound, arterial phase, portal venous phase and delayed phase-were extracted from each CEUS video. Ultrasomics features were extracted from tumoral and peritumoral area inside the region of interest. Logistic regression was used to establish models, including a tumoral model, a peritumoral model and a combined model with additional clinical risk factors. The performance of the three models in predicting recurrence within 2 years was verified.

RESULTS

The combined model performed best in predicting recurrence within 2 years, with an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.845, while the tumoral model had an AUC of 0.810 and the peritumoral model one of 0.808. For prediction of recurrence-free survival, the 2-year cumulative recurrence rate was significant higher in the high-risk group (76.5%) than in the low-risk group (9.5%; p < 0.0001).

CONCLUSION

These CEUS ultrasomics models, especially the combined model, had good efficacy in predicting early recurrence of HCC. The combined model has potential for individual survival assessment for HCC patients undergoing resection or ablation.

ADVANCES IN KNOWLEDGE

CEUS ultrasomics had high sensitivity, specificity and PPV in diagnosing early recurrence of HCC, and high efficacy in predicting early recurrence of HCC (AUC > 0.8). The combined model performed better than the tumoral ultrasomics model and peritumoral ultrasomics model in predicting recurrence within 2 years. Recurrence was more likely to occur in the high-risk group than in the low-risk group, with 2-year cumulative recurrence rates, respectively, 76.5% and 9.5% (p < 0.0001).

A preoperative nomogram for predicting long-term survival after resection of large hepatocellular carcinoma (>10 cm)

BACKGROUND

It has previously been demonstrated that a fraction of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) > 10 cm can benefit from liver resection. However, there is still a lack of effective decision-making tools to inform intervention in these patients.

METHODS

We analysed a comprehensive set of clinical data from 234 patients who underwent liver resection for HCC >10 cm at the National Cancer Institute of Peru between 1990 and 2015, monitored their survival, and constructed a nomogram to predict the surgical outcome based on preoperative variables.

RESULTS

We identified cirrhosis, multifocality, macroscopic vascular invasion, and spontaneous tumour rupture as independent predictors of survival and integrated them into a nomogram model. The nomogram's ability to forecast survival at 1, 3, and 5 years was subsequently confirmed with high concordance using an internal validation. Through applying this nomogram, we stratified three groups of patients with different survival probabilities.

CONCLUSION

We constructed a preoperative nomogram to predict long-term survival in patients with HCC >10 cm. This nomogram is useful in determining whether a patient with large HCC might truly benefit from liver resection, which is paramount in low- and middle-income countries where HCC is often diagnosed at advanced stages.

Concurrent Cholecystectomy Is Associated with a Lower Risk of Recurrence after Curative Resection in Early-Stage Hepatocellular Carcinoma: A 10 Year Observational Single-Center Study

Background: Cholecystectomy has been reported to be associated with increased risk of developing hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). However, there is little information about the impact of cholecystectomy on the outcome of HCC. Aims: To evaluate the long-term effect of concurrent cholecystectomy on recurrence and overall survival in HCC after curative hepatectomy. Patients and Methods: We retrospectively enrolled 857 patients with BCLC stage 0 or A HCC who underwent primary resection from January 2001 to June 2016. The impact of concurrent cholecystectomy on overall survival (OS) and recurrence-free survival (RFS) were analyzed by Cox’s proportional hazards models after one-to-one propensity score matching (PSM). Results: Of the 857 patients, 539 (62.9%) received concurrent cholecystectomy (cholecystectomy group) and 318 (37.1%) did not (non-cholecystectomy group). During the mean follow-up period of 75.0 months, 471 (55.0%) patients experienced recurrence, and 321 (37.5%) died. RFS and OS were not significantly different between the groups. After PSM, a total of 298 patients were enrolled in each group. RFS was significantly higher in the cholecystectomy than non-cholecystectomy group (p = 0.044). In multivariate analysis, age (p = 0.022), serum AFP (p = 0.008), liver cirrhosis (p < 0.001), diabetes (p = 0.004), tumor number (p = 0.005), tumor size (p = 0.002), histological grade (p = 0.001), microvascular invasion (p < 0.001) and cholecystectomy (p = 0.021) were independent risk factors for HCC recurrence. However, there were no significant differences in OS between the cholecystectomy and non-cholecystectomy groups. Conclusions: Concurrent cholecystectomy may reduce recurrence in early-stage HCC after curative resection. Further studies are needed to validate our results.

Association Between Adjuvant Sorafenib and the Prognosis of Patients With Hepatocellular Carcinoma at a High Risk of Recurrence After Radical Resection

Background

The use of sorafenib in the adjuvant management of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is controversial.

Aim

To analyze the effects of adjuvant sorafenib therapy in patients with HCC at high recurrence risk after radical resection.

Methods

This was a retrospective study of patients who underwent radical resection (R0 resection) for HCC at the Cancer Hospital of Tianjin Medical University between August 2009 and August 2017. All patients had microvascular invasion and were evaluated for portal vein tumor thrombus. The outcomes were overall survival (OS), recurrence-free survival (RFS), and survival after recurrence. Propensity score matching (PSM) was used.

Results

Before matching, there were 56 and 167 patients in the sorafenib and non-sorafenib groups. After PSM, there were 42 patients/group, and there were no significant differences in patient characteristics (all P>0.05). After PSM, compared with the non-sorafenib group, the sorafenib group showed longer median OS (34 vs. 26 months, P=0.032) and survival after recurrence (16 vs. 9 months, P=0.002), but no difference in RFS (14 vs. 11 months, P=0.564). Adjuvant sorafenib was the only factor independently associated with OS (HR=0.619, 95% CI: 0377–0.994, P=0.047). No factors were independently associated with RFS (all P>0.05).

Conclusion

Although adjuvant sorafenib therapy for patients with HCC and high recurrence risk does not reduce the recurrence risk of HCC, it might be associated with longer survival and a lower risk of death.

Finding the seed of recurrence: Hepatocellular carcinoma circulating tumor cells and their potential to drive the surgical treatment

The treatment for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) relies on liver resection, which is, however, burdened by a high rate of recurrence after surgery, up to 60% at 5 years. No pre-operative tools are currently available to assess the recurrence risk tailored to every single patient. Recently liquid biopsy has shown interesting results in diagnosis, prognosis and treatment allocation strategies in other types of cancers, since its ability to identify circulating tumor cells (CTCs) derived from the primary tumor. Those cells were advocated to be responsible for the majority of cases of recurrence and cancer-related deaths for HCC. In fact, after being modified by the epithelial-mesenchymal transition, CTCs circulate as "seeds" in peripheral blood, then reach the target organ as dormant cells which could be subsequently "awakened" and activated, and then initiate metastasis. Their presence may justify the disagreement registered in terms of efficacy of anatomic vs non-anatomic resections, particularly in the case of microvascular invasion, which has been recently pointed as a histological sign of the spread of those cells. Thus, their presence, also in the early stages, may justify the recurrence event also in the contest of liver transplant. Understanding the mechanism behind the tumor progression may allow improving the treatment selection according to the biological patient-based characteristics. Moreover, it may drive the development of novel biological tailored tests which could address a specific patient to neoadjuvant or adjuvant strategies, and in perspective, it could also become a new method to allocate organs for transplantation, according to the risk of relapse after liver transplant. The present paper will describe the most recent evidence on the role of CTCs in determining the relapse of HCC, highlighting their potential clinical implication as novel tumor behavior biomarkers able to influence the surgical choice.

Tenofovir Is Superior to Entecavir on Tertiary Prevention for BCLC Stage 0/A Hepatocellular Carcinoma after Curative Resection

BACKGROUND

It is unclear whether entecavir (ETV) and tenofovir disoproxil fumarate (TDF) have different effects on hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) recurrence and death in patients receiving curative hepatectomy for hepatitis B virus (HBV)-related HCC.

AIMS

The aim of this study was to compare the long-term efficacy of ETV and TDF in HCC recurrence and overall survival (OS) of patients after curative hepatectomy.

METHODS

From January 2010 to December 2019, 20,572 patients with HCC who received hepatectomy were screened for study eligibility. Finally, a total of 219 consecutive patients treated with ETV (n = 146) or TDF (n = 73) after curative hepatectomy for HBV-related HCC of Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer stage 0 or A were analyzed by propensity score matching (PSM) (2:1) analysis and competing risk analysis. HCC recurrence and OS of patients were compared between ETV and TDF groups.

RESULT

After a median follow-up of 52.2 months, 81 patients (37.0%) had HCC recurrence, 33 (15.1%) died, and 5 (2.3%) received liver transplantation. TDF therapy was an independent protective factor for HCC recurrence compared with ETV therapy (HR, 1.687; 95% CI, 1.027-2.770, p = 0.039); however, no difference in the risk of death or liver transplantation. Results were similar in competing risk analysis. We further found that TDF therapy was significantly associated with a lower risk of late recurrence (HR, 4.705; 95% CI, 1.763-12.558, p = 0.002), but not in early recurrence.

CONCLUSIONS

TDF therapy is associated with a significantly lower risk of HCC recurrence, especially of late recurrence, than ETV therapy among patients who undergo curative hepatectomy for HBV-related early-stage HCC.

Different Risk Factors for Early and Late Recurrence After Curative Resection of Hepatocellular Carcinoma

BACKGROUND

Factors of early and late recurrence after curative resection of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) may be different. The aim of this study was to identify clinical factors, including liver stiffness measurement (LSM), which are associated with HCC recurrence after curative resection.

METHODS

Patients who underwent preoperative LSM and primary curative resection for HCC between October 2015 and May 2018 were retrospectively reviewed, with 1 year as the cut-off between early and late recurrence.

RESULTS

Recurrence was observed in 42/149 (28.2%) patients over a median follow-up of 38.3 months (early recurrence: 10 [6.7%] patients; late recurrence: 32 [21.5%] patients). Multivariate analysis identified LSM (P = 0.026) and tumor size (P = 0.010) as the only factors that were significantly associated with recurrence-free survival. Compared with patients without recurrence, those with early recurrence had larger tumor size (P = 0.035) and those with late recurrence had higher LSM (P = 0.024). Receiver-operating characteristic analysis indicated that the optimal LSM cut-off value for predicting HCC recurrence was 7.4 kPa.

CONCLUSION

Tumor size was associated with early HCC recurrence after curative resection and LSM was associated with late recurrence. LSM cut-off of 7.4 kPa is recommended in predicting recurrence.

Clinical impact of the treatment modality on small, solitary, recurrent intrahepatic hepatocellular carcinomas after primary liver resection

Purpose

The aim of this study was to determine the survival benefit based on different treatment strategies in patients with small, solitary, recurring intrahepatic hepatocellular carcinomas (HCCs) that were defined as recurred Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer stage O (reBCLC-O).

Methods

Among the 917 patients with HCC recurrence after primary hepatic resection, 394 patients with reBCLC-O were selected. Of these, 150 patients underwent curative treatment (re-resection, radiofrequency ablation, and liver transplantation) and 203 underwent transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) group for recurrent HCC. After propensity score matching (PSM), both the groups were well balanced (89 patients in each group).

Results

Before PSM, the 1-, 3-, and 5-year overall survival (OS) rates of patients in the curative treatment group (96.7%, 78.6%, and 70.5%, respectively) were significantly better than those in the TACE treatment group (95.6%, 53.7%, and 44.2%, respectively) (P < 0.001). After PSM, the 1-, 3-, and 5-year OS rates also differed significantly (92.0%, 79.6%, and 71.1% in the curative treatment group vs. 88.8%, 65.6%, and 57.9% in the TACE group) (P = 0.005). The independent predictors of worse OS were tumor number at the time of resection and treatment modality for the recurrence, time interval to recurrence, and prothrombin time international normalized ratio and alpha-fetoprotein levels at the time of recurrence.

Conclusion

The OS of patients in the curative treatment group was better than that in the non-curative treatment group after PSM. Based on our results, curative treatment should be strongly recommended in the patients with reBCLC-O recurrence for better survival.

Impact of MAFLD on HBV-Related Stage 0/A Hepatocellular Carcinoma after Curative Resection

Backgrounds and Aim: Metabolic-associated fatty liver dis-ease (MAFLD) is a novel term proposed in 2020 to avoid the exclusion of certain subpopulations, though the application of this term in the real world is very limited. Here, we aimed to evaluate the impact of MAFLD on hepatitis B virus (HBV)-related hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) after curative resection. Methods: Patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB)-related HCC who received hepatectomy between January 2010 and December 2019 were consecutively selected. The association between histologically proven concurrent MAFLD and clinical outcomes were retrospectively analyzed. Results: Among the 812 eligible patients with CHB-related HCC, 369 (45.4%) were diagnosed with concurrent MAFLD. After a mean follow-up of 65 months, 303 patients (37.3%) developed HCC recurrence, 111 (13.7%) died, and 12 (1.5%) received liver transplantation. Although no differences in the incidences of HCC recurrence (HR: 0.902, 95% CI: 0.719–1.131, p = 0.370) and death or liver transplantation (HR: 0.743, 95% CI: 0.518–1.006, p = 0.107) were observed between patients with and without MAFLD in multivariate analysis, the patients with MAFLD tended to achieve better recurrent-free survival compared to patients without MAFLD. Notably, lean MAFLD (BMI < 23 kg/m²) was a relative risk factor for tumor recurrence (HR: 2.030, 95% CI: 1.117–3.690, p = 0.020) among patients with MAFLD. Conclusions: The overall prognosis in HBV-related early-stage HCC, in terms of HCC recurrence and death or liver transplantation, was not significantly different between patients with and without MAFLD. Among patients with MALFD, lean-MAFLD was a risk factor for HCC recurrence. Further studies are warranted to validate these results.

The Role of Protease-Activated Receptor 2 in Hepatocellular Carcinoma after Hepatectomy

Background and Objectives: Protease activated receptor-2 (PAR2) is elevated in a variety of cancers and has been promoted as a potential therapeutic target. However, the clinical and prognostic values of PAR2 in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) are poorly characterized. This study aimed to evaluate the expression of PAR2 in HCC tissues and examine the prognostic value of PAR2 after resection in HCC. Materials and Methods: Two hundred and eight resected specimens were collected from HCC patients at Kaohsiung Chang Gung Memorial Hospital. PAR2 protein expression was assessed by western blotting in HCC tissues and matched normal tissues. The correlation between PAR2 expression and clinicopathological parameters was analyzed. Disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS) were compared using the log-rank test. A Cox regression model was used to identify independent prognostic factors. Results: PAR2 was expressed at higher levels in HCC tissues than the paired adjacent nontumor tissues. High expression of PAR2 was associated with advanced tumor, node, metastasis (TNM )stage and histological grade. Kaplan-Meier analysis indicated high PAR2 expression was associated with poorer DFS and OS compared to low PAR2 expression. Multivariate analyses indicated high PAR2 expression [hazard ratio (HR), 1.779, p = 0.006), α-fetoprotein (AFP) (HR, 1.696, p = 0.003), liver cirrhosis (HR, 1.735, p = 0.002), and advanced TNM stage (HR, 2.061, p < 0.001) were prognostic factors for DFS, and advanced TNM stage (HR, 2.741, p < 0.001) and histological grade (HR, 2.675, p = 0.002) and high PAR2 expression (HR, 1.832, p = 0.012) were significant risk factors for OS. In subgroup analyses, the combination of PAR2 expression and serum AFP provided improved prognostic ability for OS and DFS. Conclusion: Combination PAR2 and AFP predict HCC outcomes after resection. PAR2 represents a potentially clinically relevant biomarker for HCC.

Change in the Recurrence Pattern and Predictors over Time after Complete Cure of Hepatocellular Carcinoma

BACKGROUND/AIMS

We investigated changes in recurrence rates and significant recurrence predictors over time after complete cure of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

METHODS

A total of 1,491 patients with first-time diagnosis of Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer stage A HCC, completely cured by treatment between 2007 and 2016, were recruited from two Korean tertiary institutes.

RESULTS

The mean age of the population (1,144 men and 347 women) was 58.6 years. Of the total population, 914 patients (61.3%) had liver cirrhosis. Nine-hundred and forty-one (63.1%) and 550 (36.9%) patients were treated with surgical resection and radiofrequency ablation (RFA), respectively. One-year cumulative incidences of HCC recurrence were 14.3%, 9.9%, and 5.1% from the time of treatment, 3 years after treatment, and 5 years after treatment, respectively. Upon multivariate analysis, multiple tumors, maximal tumor size ≥3 cm, and high Model for End-Stage Liver Disease scores were independently associated with increased HCC recurrence risk from the time of treatment and 1 and 2 years after curative treatment (all p<0.05, except for maximal tumor size ≥3 cm for recurrence 2 years after treatment). Meanwhile, liver cirrhosis and RFA were independently associated with the increased HCC recurrence risk for almost all time points (liver cirrhosis: all p<0.05; RFA: all p<0.005 except for recurrence from 5 years after treatment).

CONCLUSIONS

The recurrence rate of HCC after curative treatment gradually decreased over time. Two years after treatment, when tumor-related factors lose their prognostic implications, may be used as a cutoff to define the boundary between early and late recurrence of HCC.

Risk factors for early postoperative recurrence in single and small hepatitis B virus-associated primary hepatocellular carcinoma

Objective

To investigate the risk factors of early postoperative recurrence in patients with single and small (≤3 cm) hepatitis B virus-associated primary hepatocellular carcinoma (HBV-HCC).

Methods

This retrospective study analyzed patients with single and small HBV-HCC. All patients were followed up for 1 year after surgery.

Results

Among 182 patients, 54 patients had early recurrence within 1 year. The recurrence group had higher proportions of men, drinking history, Child–Turcotte–Pugh (CTP) class C, patients who underwent transarterial chemoembolization (TACE), and serum alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) >10 ng/mL as well as higher gamma-glutamyl transpeptidase (GGT) levels and lower total protein (TP) and CD8⁺ T lymphocyte levels than the no recurrence group. Cox multivariate regression analysis demonstrated that drinking history (HR, 1.312; 95% CI, 1.042–1.652), CTP class C (HR, 1.236; 95% CI, 1.037–1.473), TACE treatment (HR, 1.241; 95% CI, 1.026–1.501), GGT (HR, 1.138; 95% CI, 1.042–1.243), TP (HR, 0.729; 95% CI, 0.555–0.957), and AFP (HR, 2.519; 95% CI, 1.343–4.726) were independently associated with early postoperative recurrence.

Conclusion

Drinking history, CTP class C, TACE, serum AFP, GGT, and TP levels were independently associated with early postoperative recurrence in patients with single and small HBV-HCC.

Peritumoral edema in preoperative magnetic resonance imaging is an independent prognostic factor for hepatocellular carcinoma

BACKGROUND

Peritumoral edema is an independent prognostic risk factor for malignant tumors. Therefore, assessment of peritumoral edema in preoperative magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) may provide better prognostic information in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

AIM

To determine whether peritumoral edema in preoperative MRI is a prognostic factor for HCC.

METHODS

A retrospective analysis of 90 patients with HCC confirmed by surgical pathology was performed. All patients' peritumoral edema in preoperative MRI was reviewed by two radiologists. The association of disease recurrence with peritumoral edema and clinicopathological features was assessed using the Cox proportional hazards model. Interobserver agreement for evaluating peritumoral edema was determined using Cohen's κ coefficient.

RESULTS

Recurrence and non-recurrence after an average 20.8 month follow-up was 25.6% (23/90) and 74.4% (67/90), respectively. The ratio of peritumoral edema of 90 patients with HCC in preoperative MRI was 35.6% (32/90). In univariate Cox regression analysis, peritumoral edema [hazard ratio (HR) 11.08, P < 0.001], tumor diameter (HR 4.12, P = 0.001), microvascular invasion (HR 2.78, P = 0.020), gender (HR 0.29, P = 0.006), cirrhosis (HR 2.45, P = 0.049), ascites syndrome (HR 2.83, P = 0.022), aspartate aminotransferase(AST)/alanine aminotransferase(ALT) (HR 5.07, P = 0.003) were indicators for HCC recurrence. In multivariate Cox regression analysis, the tumor diameter (HR 2.53, P = 0.032) and peritumoral edema (HR 8.71, P < 0.001) were independent prognostic factors of HCC. The sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value and negative predictive value of peritumoral edema and tumor diameter were 82.6%&60.9%, 80.6%&77.6%, 59.4%&48.3%, and 93.1%&85.3%, respectively.

CONCLUSION

Peritumoral edema in preoperative MRI may be considered as a biomarker of prognostic information for patients with HCC.

Statin use is associated with a lower risk of recurrence after curative resection in BCLC stage 0-A hepatocellular carcinoma

Background

Use of statins is associated with a reduced risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). However, the effect of statin use on HCC recurrence is unclear. This study aimed to evaluate the effect of statin use on recurrence after curative resection among patients with HCC.

Methods

We retrospectively assessed 820 patients with Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) stage 0 or A HCC who underwent primary resection between January 2001 and June 2016 at Kaohsiung Chang Gung Memorial Hospital. Exposure to statins was defined as use of a statin for at least 3 months before HCC recurrence. Factors that influenced overall survival (OS) and recurrence-free survival (RFS) were analyzed using Cox proportional hazards models.

Results

Of the 820 patients, 46 (5.6%) used statins (statin group) and 774 (94.4%) did not (non-statin group). During the mean follow-up of 76.5 months, 440 (53.7%) patients experienced recurrence and 146 (17.8%) patients died. The cumulative incidence of HCC recurrence was significantly lower in the statin group than the non-statin group (p = 0.001); OS was not significantly different between groups. In multivariate analysis, age (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.291; p = 0.010), liver cirrhosis (HR: 1.743; p < 0.001), diabetes (HR:1.418; p = 0.001), number of tumors (HR: 1.750; p < 0.001), tumor size (HR: 1.406; p = 0.004) and vascular invasion (HR: 1.659; p < 0.001) were independent risk factors for HCC recurrence, whereas statin use (HR: 0.354; p < 0.001) and antiviral therapy (HR: 0.613; p < 0.001) significantly reduced the risk of HCC recurrence. The statin group still had lower RFS than the non-statin group after one-to-four propensity score matching.

Conclusion

Statins may exert a chemo-preventive effect on HCC recurrence after curative resection.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12885-021-07796-7.

Extrapolating Prognostic Factors of Primary Curative Resection to Postresection Recurrences Hepatocellular Carcinoma Treatable by Radiofrequency Ablation

Objective

Recurrence after curative resection for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a major cause of death from this disease. Factors of primary curative resection are available and potential in the prognosis of follow-up treatment. Our aim was to assess the prognostic significance of primary curative resection factors in recurrent HCC patients undergoing radiofrequency ablation therapy (RFA).

Methods

In this retrospective study, we assessed 235 patients who underwent limited RFA of HCC recurrences (tumors ≤ 5 cm; nodules ≤ 3) after primary curative resection. Factors of primary curative resection were collected, and overall survival and recurrence-free survival were evaluated by the Kaplan-Meier method. Univariate and multivariate analyses were used to identify significant prognostic factors.

Results

After a median follow-up of 36 months, 54 patients died, and 128 patients had hepatic recurrence. On univariate analyses, patients whose primary tumors were less differentiated (p = 0.032 and p = 0.048) and required less time to recur (p = 0.013 and p = 0.001) after curative resection displayed poorer overall survival and higher recurrence rates following RFA. On multivariate analyses, the pathologic tumor grade (p = 0.026 and p = 0.038) and recurrence-free survival after primary curative resection (p = 0.028 and p < 0.001) emerged as independent risk factors of survival and HCC recurrence.

Conclusions

Primary tumor differentiation and time to recurrence after curative resection are viable prognostic factors of overall survival and further recurrence risk in patients undergoing RFA of recurrent HCC.

Effect of surgical margin on recurrence based on preoperative circulating tumor cell status in hepatocellular carcinoma

BACKGROUND

High rates of recurrence after resection severely worsen hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) prognosis. This study aims to explore whether circulating tumor cell (CTC) is helpful in determine the appropriate liver resection margins for HCC patients.

METHODS

HCC patients who underwent liver resection were enrolled into training (n=117) or validation (n=192) cohorts, then classified as CTC-positive (CTC≥1) or CTC-negative (CTC=0). A standardized pathologic sampling method was used in the training cohort to quantify microvascular invasion (mVI) and the farthest mVI from the tumor (FMT).

FINDINGS

CTC number positively correlated with mVI counts (r=0.655, P<0.001) and FMT (r=0.495, P<0.001). The CTC-positive group had higher mVI counts (P=0.032) and greater FMT P=0.008) than the CTC-negative group. In the CTC-positive group, surgical margins of >1 cm independently protected against early recurrence (training cohort, P=0.004; validation cohort, P=0.001) with lower early recurrence rates (training cohort, 20.0% vs. 65.1%, P=0.005; validation cohort, 36.4% vs. 65.1%, P=0.003) compared to surgical margins of ≤1 cm. No differences in postoperative liver function were observed between patients with margins >1 cm vs. ≤1 cm. Surgical margin size minimally impacted early postoperative HCC recurrence in CTC-negative patients when using 0.5 cm or 1 cm as the threshold.

INTERPRETATIONS

Preoperative CTC status predicts mVI severity in HCC patients and is a potential factor for determining optimal surgical margin size to ensure disease eradication and conserve liver function. A surgical margin of >1 cm should be achieved for patients with positive CTC.

FUNDING

A full list of funding bodies that contributed to this study can be found in the Acknowledgement section.

Preoperative prediction of microvascular invasion in non-metastatic hepatocellular carcinoma based on nomogram analysis

Purpose

The presence of microvascular invasion (MVI) is an unfavorable prognostic factor for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). This study aimed to construct a nomogram-based preoperative prediction model of MVI, thereby assisting to preoperatively select proper surgical procedures.

Methods

A total of 714 non-metastatic HCC patients undergoing radical hepatectomy were retrospectively selected from Zhongshan Hospital between 2010 and 2018, followed by random assignment into training (N = 520) and validation cohorts (N = 194). Nomogram-based prediction model for MVI risk was constructed by incorporating independent risk factors of MVI presence identified from multivariate backward logistic regression analysis in the training cohort. The performance of nomogram was evaluated by calibration curve and ROC curve. Finally, decision curve analysis (DCA) was used to determine the clinical utility of the nomogram.

Results

In total, 503 (70.4%) patients presented MVI. Multivariate analysis in the training cohort revealed that age (OR: 0.98), alpha-fetoprotein (≥400 ng/mL) (OR: 2.34), tumor size (>5 cm) (OR: 3.15), cirrhosis (OR: 2.03) and γ-glutamyl transpeptidase (OR: 1.61) were significantly associated with MVI presence. The incorporation of five risk factors into a nomogram-based preoperative estimation of MVI risk demonstrated satisfactory discriminative capacity, with C-index of 0.702 and 0.690 in training and validation cohorts, respectively. Calibration curve showed good agreement between actual and predicted MVI risks. Finally, DCA revealed the clinical utility of the nomogram.

Conclusion

The nomogram showed a satisfactory discriminative capacity of MVI risk in HCC patients, and could be used to preoperatively estimate MVI risk, thereby establishing more rational therapeutic strategies.

Substantial risk of recurrence even after 5 recurrence-free years in early-stage hepatocellular carcinoma patients

Background/Aims

Although hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is notorious for its high recurrence rate, some patients do not experience recurrence for more than 5 years after resection or radiofrequency ablation for early-stage HCC. For those with five recurrence-free period, the risk of HCC recurrence within the next 5 years remains unknown.

Methods

A total of 1,451 consecutive patients (median, 55 years old; males, 79.0%; hepatitis B virus-related, 79.3%) with good liver function (Child-Pugh class A) diagnosed with early-stage HCC by Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer Staging and received radiofrequency ablation or resection as an initial treatment between 2005 and 2010 were analyzed.

Results

During a median follow-up period of 8.1 years, 961 patients (66.2%) experienced HCC recurrence. The cumulative recurrence rates increased to 39.7%, 60.3%, and 71.0% at 2, 5, and 10 years, respectively, and did not reach a plateau. Five years after HCC diagnosis, 487 patients were alive without experiencing a recurrence. Among them, during a median of 3.9 additional years of follow-up (range, 0.1–9.0 years), 127 patients (26.1%) experienced recurrence. The next 5-year cumulative recurrence rate (5–10 years from initial diagnosis) was 27.0%. Male sex, higher fibrosis-4 scores, and alpha-fetoprotein levels at 5 years were associated with later HCC recurrence among patients who did not experience recurrence for more than 5 years.

Conclusions

The HCC recurrence rate following 5 recurrence-free years after HCC treatment was high, indicating that HCC patients warrant continued HCC surveillance, even after 5 recurrence-free years.

Very Early Recurrence After Liver Resection for Intrahepatic Cholangiocarcinoma: Considering Alternative Treatment Approaches

IMPORTANCE

Although surgery offers the best chance of a potential cure for patients with localized, resectable intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC), prognosis of patients remains dismal largely because of a high incidence of recurrence.

OBJECTIVE

To predict very early recurrence (VER) (ie, recurrence within 6 months after surgery) following resection for ICC in the pre- and postoperative setting.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

Patients who underwent curative-intent resection for ICC between May 1990 and July 2016 were identified from an international multi-institutional database. The study was conducted at The Ohio State University in collaboration with all other participating institutions. The data were analyzed in December 2019.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES

Two logistic regression models were constructed to predict VER based on pre- and postoperative variables. The final models were used to develop an online calculator to predict VER and the tool was internally and externally validated.

RESULTS

Among 880 patients (median age, 59 years [interquartile range, 51-68 years]; 388 women [44.1%]; 428 [50.2%] white; 377 [44.3%] Asian; 27 [3.2%] black]), 196 (22.3%) developed VER. The 5-year overall survival among patients with and without VER was 8.9% vs 49.8%, respectively (P < .001). A preoperative model was able to stratify patients relative to the risk for VER: low risk (6-month recurrence-free survival [RFS], 87.7%), intermediate risk (6-month RFS, 72.3%), and high risk (6-month RFS, 49.5%) (log-rank P < .001). The postoperative model similarly identified discrete cohorts of patients based on probability for VER: low risk (6-month RFS, 90.0%), intermediate risk (6-month RFS, 73.1%), and high risk (6-month RFS, 48.5%) (log-rank, P < .001). The calibration and predictive accuracy of the pre- and postoperative models were good in the training (C index: preoperative, 0.710; postoperative, 0.722) as well as the internal (C index: preoperative, 0.715; postoperative, 0.728; bootstrapping resamples, n = 5000) and external (C index: postoperative, 0.672) validation data sets.

CONCLUSION AND RELEVANCE

An easy-to-use online calculator was developed to help clinicians predict the chance of VER after curative-intent resection for ICC. The tool performed well on internal and external validation. This tool may help clinicians in the preoperative selection of patients for neoadjuvant therapy as well as during the postoperative period to inform surveillance strategies.

Postoperative adjuvant treatment strategy for hepatocellular carcinoma with microvascular invasion: a non-randomized interventional clinical study

BACKGROUND

Microvascular invasion (MVI) is considered to be one of the important prognostic factors that affect postoperative recurrence in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) with variable results across their treatment options. This study was carried out to investigate efficacy of postoperative adjuvant RT in HCC patients with MVI.

METHODS

This was single center, prospective study carried out in HCC patients with MVI, aged 35-72 years. All patients were non-randomly allocated to receive standard postoperative treatment of HBV/HCV and nutritional therapy or RT in addition to standard postoperative treatment (1:1). The primary endpoints assessed were relapse-free survival and overall survival. The prognostic factors associated with survival outcomes were also analyzed. The safety events were graded according to NCI-CTCAE v4.03 criteria.

RESULTS

Of the 115 patients eligible for study, 59 patients were included in analysis. Univariate analysis revealed that MVI classification (P = 0.009), post-operative treatment strategies (P = 0.009) were prognostic factors for worst RFS; tumor size (P = 0.011), MVI classification (P = 0.005) and post-operative treatment (P = 0.015) were associated for OS. The 1-, 2-, 3-year RFS rates were 86.2, 70.5 and 63.4% for patients in RT group, and 46.4, 36.1, and 36.1% in control group. For OS, corresponding rates were 96.6, 80.7, and 80.7% for patients in RT group and 79.7, 58.3, and 50.0% in control group. Subgroup classification of HCC patients according to low risk MVI showed significantly longer RFS (P = 0.035) and OS (P = 0.004) in RT group than control group, while for high risk MVI, RT depicted longer OS than control group with no significance (P = 0.106). Toxicities were usually observed in acute stage with no grade 4 toxicities.

CONCLUSION

Postoperative adjuvant RT following hepatectomy offers better RFS for HCC patients with MVI than with standard postoperative therapy. Also, it will be useful to control microscopic lesions in both M1 (low risk) and M2 (high risk) subgroups of HCC patients with MVI.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

Trial Registration number: ChiCTR1800017371 . Date of Registration: 2018-07-26. Registration Status: Retrospectively registered.

Integrated nomogram based on five stage-related genes and TNM stage to predict 1-year recurrence in hepatocellular carcinoma

Background

The primary tumor, regional lymph nodes and distant metastasis (TNM) stage is an independent risk factor for 1-year hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) recurrence but has insufficient predictive efficiency. We attempt to develop and validate a nomogram to predict 1-year recurrence in HCC and improve the predictive efficiency of the TNM stage.

Methods

A total of 541 HCC patients were enrolled in the study. The risk score (RS) model was established with the logistic least absolute shrinkage and selector operation algorithm. The predictive nomogram was further validated in the internal testing cohort and external validation cohort. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curves (AUCs), decision curves and clinical impact curves were used to evaluate the predictive accuracy and clinical value of the nomogram.

Results

In the training cohort, we identified a RS model consisting of five stage-related genes (NUP62, EHMT2, RANBP1, MSH6 and FHL2) for recurrence at 1 year. The 1-year disease-free survival of patients was worse in the high-risk group than in the low-risk group (P < 0.0001), and 1-year recurrence was more likely in the high-risk group (Hazard ratio: 3.199, P < 0.001). The AUC of the nomogram was 0.739, 0.718 and 0.693 in the training, testing and external validation cohort, respectively, and these values were larger than the corresponding AUC of the TNM stage (0.681, 0.688 and 0.616, respectively).

Conclusions

A RS model consisting of five stage-related genes was successfully identified for predicting 1-year HCC recurrence. Then, a novel nomogram based on the RS model and TNM stage to predict 1-year HCC recurrence was also developed and validated.

Adjuvant transarterial chemoembolization after curative hepatectomy for hepatocellular carcinoma with microvascular invasion: A systematic review and meta-analysis

OBJECTIVE

Microvascular invasion (MVI) has been associated with a poor prognosis for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients. This study aimed to evaluate the efficacy and safety of adjuvant transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) after curative hepatectomy for HCC with MVI.

METHODS

An online search on Embase and Ovid MEDLINE(R) was conducted to identify the appropriate articles published prior to March 11, 2019. The primary endpoint was the overall survival (OS) of patients treated using adjuvant TACE after hepatectomy (HTAT) versus hepatectomy (HT) alone for HCC with MVI. The secondary endpoints were disease-free survival (DFS) and safety.

RESULTS

Seven studies with 1869 patients were included in this analysis. Meta-analyses demonstrated that HTAT was superior to HT in OS (Hazard Ratio [HR]: 0.67, 95%CI: 0.58-0.77, P<0.001) and DFS (HR: 0.71, 95%CI: 0.62-0.81, P<0.001) for treating HCC with MVI. Subgroup analysis revealed that for early-stage HCC, HTAT was associated with longer OS (P=0.009) and DFS (P=0.066) as compared with HT. For HCC larger than 5cm, HTAT also prolonged the DFS (P=0.008) of patients, but the difference in OS was not statistically significant (P=0.266). Adjuvant TACE commonly caused nausea and vomiting, liver dysfunction, leucopenia, pain, and fever.

CONCLUSIONS

Adjuvant TACE after hepatectomy is effective and safe for patients with HCC accompanied by MVI. However, the benefit of adjuvant TACE in patients who have HCC with a diameter >5cm is not clear. Further randomized controlled studies are warranted to test these conclusions.

Postoperative recurrent factors and therapeutic and preventive strategies for hepatocellular carcinoma

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is one of the most common malignant tumors in China. The recurrence rate is about 50% at 3 years and over 70% at 5 years after hepatectomy for HCC. The high recurrence rate seriously affects the curative effect and long-term survival of patients with HCC, and is the primary cause of death after operation. Postoperative recurrence of HCC is a complex multi-step, multi-factorial process involving three factors: the body, microenvironment, and tumor tissue, which include body immunity, local pH value, interstitial pressure, vascular osmotic pressure, inflammatory reaction, tumor cell adhesion, extracellular matrix degradation, cell migration, cell proliferation, and tumor angiogenesis. HCC recurrence is closely related to abnormal gene expression and related molecular function changes, but the molecular mechanism has not been fully elucidated. How to treat the recurrence of HCC after operation directly affects the prognosis of patients with HCC, and treatments include reoperation, liver transplantation, local minimally invasive treatment, radiotherapy, molecular targeted drugs, immunotherapy, and traditional Chinese medicine treatment. It is difficult to cure or control tumor progression by a single therapy. Two or more therapeutic methods need to be combined organically to achieve a synergistic therapeutic effect. According to the specific situation of patients with HCC, it is key to analyze the individual characteristics of patients, to combine the clinical experience of clinicians and the best evidence, to adopt the individualized treatment plan, and to choose the appropriate treatment methods. For HCC patients with high-risk factors for recurrence, selecting the appropriate treatment is important to reduce the recurrence of HCC after operation and prolong the survival of patients.

Postoperative adjuvant sorafenib improves survival outcomes in hepatocellular carcinoma patients with microvascular invasion after R0 liver resection: a propensity score matching analysis

BACKGROUND

Microvascular invasion (MVI) is a major determinant of survival outcome for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). This study aimed to investigate the efficacy of postoperative adjuvant Sorafenib (PA-Sorafenib) in HCC patients with MVI after R0 liver resection (LR).

METHODS

The data of patients who underwent R0 LR for HCC with histologically confirmed MVI at the Eastern Hepatobiliary Surgery Hospital were retrospectively analyzed. The survival outcomes for patients who underwent PA-Sorafenib were compared with those who underwent R0 LR alone. Propensity score matching (PSM) analysis was performed.

RESULTS

728 HCC patients had MVI in the resected specimens after R0 resection, with 581 who underwent LR alone and 147 patients who received in additional adjuvant sorafenib. PSM matched 113 patients in each of these two groups. The overall survival (OS) and recurrence free survival (RFS) were significantly better for patients in the PA-sorafenib group (for OS: before PSM, P = 0.003; after PSM, P = 0.007), (for RFS: before PSM, P = 0.029; after PSM, P = 0.001), respectively. Similar results were obtained in patients with BCLC 0-A, BCLC B and Child-Pugh A stages of disease.

CONCLUSIONS

PA-Sorafenib was associated with significantly better survival outcomes than LR alone for HCC patients with MVI.

Anatomic resection and wide resection margin play an important role in hepatectomy for hepatocellular carcinoma with peritumoural micrometastasis

BACKGROUND

Anatomic hepatectomy and wide resection margin may improve surgical outcome of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), but not everyone gain survival benefit. It remains unclear what kind of patients would benefit from those surgical methods. We investigated the factors affecting survival of patients with HCC, with special attention paid to the surgical methods and pathological factors.

METHODS

A retrospective analysis was conducted on 231 patients with hepatitis B-related HCC who underwent surgery from August 2011 to November 2013 in authors' institute. The survival analysis included the following variables: gender, age, viral load, alpha-fetoprotein, des-γ-carboxy prothrombin, tumour size, cirrhosis, blood transfusion, complications, resection method, resection margin, microvascular invasion (mVI), peritumoural satellite nodule, recurrence time and recurrent burden.

RESULTS

The median follow-up time was 59 months. A total of 196 patients (84.9%) recurred and 151 patients (65.4%) deceased due to the disease. Multivariate analysis showed that cirrhosis, mVI and periturmoral satellite nodules were independent risk factors affecting overall survival after operation. The comparison between anatomic resection and local resection, and wide resection margin and narrow resection margin showed no significant differences for recurrence-free survival and overall survival, respectively (P = 0.089 and 0.068, 0.108 and 0.122). Stratified analysis revealed that anatomic resection and wide resection margin surgery improved survival when mVI or peritumoural satellite existed.

CONCLUSION

Anatomic resection and wide resection margin are effective methods to improve the surgical outcome of HCC with periturmoral micrometastasis, although tumour characteristics affect patients' survival more than surgical techniques.

Predictive Effects of Inflammatory Scores in Patients with BCLC 0-A Hepatocellular Carcinoma after Hepatectomy

Background: Inflammatory markers are regarded as prognostic factors of the outcomes of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Examples include the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR); platelet to lymphocyte ratio (PLR); the albumin and lymphocyte counts used in the prognostic nutritional index (PNI); and the neutrophil, lymphocyte, and platelet counts used in the systemic immune-inflammation index (SII). This study evaluates the effects of PNI, NLR, PLR, and SII to predict recurrence and survival in patients with Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) stages 0-A of HCC after hepatectomy. Methods: This retrospective study was conducted at Kaohsiung Chung-Gung Memorial Hospital, Taiwan. The study enrolled 891 patients (77.9% males; mean age 58.53 ± 11.60 years) with BCLC stage 0/A HCC undergoing hepatectomy between 2001 and 2016. PNI, NLR, PLR and SII were measured before hepatectomy. Results: High NLR (>1.8) was adversely associated with overall survival (p = 0.032). Low PNI (≤45) was adversely associated with overall survival and disease-free survival (p < 0.001). Low SII (≤45) also had an adverse association with overall survival (p = 0.008) and disease-free survival (p < 0.001). Diabetes mellitus, cirrhosis, microvascular invasion, low PNI (≤45), and low SII (≤160) were independently associated with poor overall survival in a multivariate analysis. HCV infection, diabetes mellitus, cirrhosis, microvascular invasion, low PNI, and low SII were independent prognostic factors of recurrent HCC. The combined use of PNI and SII provided improved prognostic information. Conclusions: Low PNI and low SII are significantly poor prognostic factors for overall survival and recurrence in patients with BCLC 0-A hepatocellular carcinoma after hepatectomy.

A nomogram predicting the recurrence of hepatocellular carcinoma in patients after laparoscopic hepatectomy

BACKGROUND

Patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) undergoing surgical resection still have a high 5-year recurrence rate (~ 60%). With the development of laparoscopic hepatectomy (LH), few studies have compared the efficacy between LH and traditional surgical approach on HCC. The objective of this study was to establish a nomogram to evaluate the risk of recurrence in HCC patients who underwent LH.

METHODS

The clinical data of 432 patients, pathologically diagnosed with HCC, underwent LH as initial treatment and had surgical margin > 1 cm were collected. The significance of their clinicopathological features to recurrence-free survival (RFS) was assessed, based on which a nomogram was constructed using a training cohort (n = 324) and was internally validated using a temporal validation cohort (n = 108).

RESULTS

Hepatitis B surface antigen (hazard ratio [HR], 1.838; P = 0.044), tumor number (HR, 1.774; P = 0.003), tumor thrombus (HR, 2.356; P = 0.003), cancer cell differentiation (HR, 0.745; P = 0.080), and microvascular tumor invasion (HR, 1.673; P  =0.007) were found to be independent risk factors for RFS in the training cohort, and were used for constructing the nomogram. The C-index for RFS prediction in the training cohort using the nomogram was 0.786, which was higher than that of the 8th edition of the American Joint Committee on Cancer TNM classification (C-index, 0.698) and the Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer staging system (C-index, 0.632). A high consistency between the nomogram prediction and actual observation was also demonstrated by a calibration curve. An improved predictive benefit in RFS and higher threshold probability of the nomogram were determined by receiver operating characteristic curve analysis, which was also confirmed in the validation cohort compared to other systems.

CONCLUSIONS

We constructed and validated a nomogram able to quantify the risk of recurrence after initial LH for HCC patients, which can be clinically implemented in assisting the planification of individual postoperative surveillance protocols.

IVIM improves preoperative assessment of microvascular invasion in HCC

PURPOSE

To prospectively evaluate the potential role of intravoxel incoherent motion (IVIM) and conventional radiologic features for preoperative prediction of microvascular invasion (MVI) in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

METHODS

Institutional review board approval and written informed consent were obtained for this study. A cohort comprising 115 patients with 135 newly diagnosed HCCs between January 2016 and April 2017 were evaluated. Two radiologists independently reviewed the radiologic features and the apparent diffusion coefficient (ADC), true diffusion coefficient (D), pseudodiffusion coefficient (D*), and pseudodiffusion component fraction (f) were also measured. Interobserver agreement was checked and univariate and multivariate logistic regressions were used for screening the risk factors. Receiver operating characteristics (ROC) curve analyses were performed to evaluate the diagnostic performance.

RESULTS

Features significantly related to MVI of HCC at univariate analysis were reduced ADC (odds ratio, 0.341; 95% CI, 0.211-0.552; p < 0.001), D (odds ratio, 0.141; 95% CI, 0.067-0.299; p < 0.001), and irregular circumferential enhancement (odds ratio, 9.908; 95% CI, 3.776-25.996; p < 0.001). At multivariate analysis, only D value (odds ratio, 0.096; 95% CI, 0.025-0.364; p < 0.001) was the independent risk factor for MVI of HCC. The mean D value for MVI of HCC showed an area under ROC curves of 0.815 (95% CI, 0.740-0.877).

CONCLUSION

IVIM model-derived D value is superior to ADC measured with mono-exponential model for evaluating the MVI of HCC. Among MR imaging features, tumor margin, enhancement pattern, tumor capsule, and peritumoral enhancement were not predictive for MVI.

KEY POINTS

• Diffusion MRI is useful for non-invasively evaluating the microvascular invasion of hepatocellular carcinoma. • IVIM model is advantageous over mono-exponential model for assessing the microvascular invasion of hepatocellular carcinoma. • Decreased D value was the independent risk factor for predicting MVI of HCC.

Association of tagSNPs at lncRNA MALAT-1 with HCC Susceptibility in a Southern Chinese Population

As a long non-coding RNA (lncRNA) and a transcriptional regulator, Metastasis associated lung adenocarcioma transcript-1 (MALAT-1) has been reported to be associated with proliferation and metastasis of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). However, the effects of MALAT-1 single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) on HCC remains poorly understood. This study, including 624 HCC cases and 618 controls, aimed to explore the potential associations between three common tagSNPs at MALAT-1 and HCC risk in a Southern Chinese population. No significant associations were observed between the three tagSNPs and HCC risk under any genetic models after adjusting for potential confounders. Additionally, there were no any significant associations in the stratified analysis, combined effect analysis, and multifactor dimensionality reduction (MDR) analysis. Unification analysis of mediation and interaction on HCC risk further showed that four decomposition of total effects ((controlled direct effect (CDE), the reference interaction effect (INTref), the mediated interaction effect (INTmed), or the pure indirect effect (PIE)) were also not significant. Neither was the association between the MALAT-1 SNPs and progression factors of HCC, including TNM staging, metastasis, and cancer embolus; Overall, this study suggested that tagSNPs rs11227209, rs619586, and rs3200401 at MALAT-1 were not significantly associated with HCC susceptibility. Nevertheless, large population-based studies are warranted to further explore the role of MALAT-1 SNPs in HCC incidence and development.