Weather and triggering of ventricular arrhythmias in patients with implantable cardioverter-defibrillators

Effects of Extreme Humidity and Heat on Ventricular Arrhythmia Risk in Patients With Cardiac Devices

Background

Climate change is increasing the frequency of high heat and high humidity days. Whether these conditions can trigger ventricular arrhythmias [ventricular tachycardia/ventricular fibrillation, VT/VF] in susceptible persons is unknown.

Objectives

The purpose of this study was to determine the relationship between warm-season weather conditions and risk of VT/VF in individuals with pacemakers and defibrillators.

Methods

Baseline clinical and device data from 5,944 patients in North Carolina (2010-2021) were linked to daily weather data geocoded to individuals' residential addresses. Associations between extreme humidity, temperature, and VT/VF overall and by patient, community, and built environment factors were estimated using a case time-series design with distributed lag nonlinear models, adjusting for temporal trends and individual factors.

Results

VT/VF events occurred on 4,486 of the 484,988 person-days. Extreme humidity (95th percentile: 90% relative humidity) increased odds of VT/VF in the 7 days following exposure (aOR 1.23 [95% CI: 1.00-1.51]). Humidity-associated VT/VF risk was highest among those who were male (aOR: 1.38 [95% CI: 1.08-1.76]), age 67 to 75 years (aOR: 1.65 [95% CI: 1.16-2.35]) with coronary artery disease (aOR: 1.79 [95% CI: 1.25-2.57]), heart failure (aOR: 1.72 [95% CI: 1.2-2.46]), diabetes (aOR: 3.01 [95% CI: 1.99-4.56]), hypertension (aOR: 2.06 [95% CI: 1.48-2.88]), and prior myocardial infarction (aOR: 1.75 [95% CI: 1.23-2.48]). Communities with high socioeconomic deprivation (aOR: 1.83 [95% CI: 1.28-2.62]), high income inequality (aOR: 1.56 [95% CI: 1.19-2.04]), and urban areas with less greenspace (aOR: 1.29 [95% CI: 0.93-1.78]) also had increased VT/VF risk. High temperatures were not associated with VT/VF.

Conclusions

In patients with preexisting cardiovascular disease, exposure to extreme humidity increased VT/VF risk, especially among vulnerable individuals, disadvantaged communities, and urban areas with less green space. These findings emphasize the need for policies that address environmental risks in susceptible individuals and communities.

Short-term exposures to temperature and risk of sudden cardiac death in women: A case-crossover analysis in the Nurses' Health Study

Background

Sudden cardiac death (SCD) is a major source of mortality and is the first manifestation of heart disease for most cases. Thus, there is a definite need to identify risk factors for SCD that can be modified on the population level. Short-term exposures to temperature have been implicated as a potential risk factor. Our objective was to determine if short-term temperature exposures were associated with increased risk of SCD in a US-based time-stratified case-crossover study.

Methods

A total of 465 cases of SCD were identified among participants of the prospective Nurses' Health Study (NHS). Control days were selected from all other matching days of the week within the same month as the case day. Average ambient temperature on the current day (Lag0) and preceding 27 days (Lags1-27) was determined at the residence level using 800-m resolution estimates. Conditional logistic distributed lag nonlinear models (DLNMs) were used to assess the relative risk (RR) of the full range of temperature exposures over the lag period.

Results

Warmer exposures in the days before event and colder temperatures 21-28 days prior were associated with increased risks of SCD. These results were driven by associations in regions other than the Northeast and among married women.

Conclusions

Both warm and cold ambient temperatures are suggestively associated with risks of SCD among middle-aged and older women living across the United States.

Association between short-term daily temperature variability and blood pressure in the Chinese population: From the China hypertension survey

BACKGROUND

We aimed to evaluate the impacts of short-term daily temperature variability (DTV) on blood pressure (BP) among participants with normotension, prehypertension, and hypertension, respectively, and explore the effects in different climate zones and seasons.

METHODS

A representative population sample (n = 397,173) covering the subtropical, temperate continental, and temperate monsoon zones was obtained from the China Hypertension Survey. DTV was calculated as the standard deviation of daily minimum and maximum temperatures during the exposure days. The linear mixed effect regression model was used to estimate the associations between DTV exposure and BP among normotension, prehypertension, and hypertension, respectively, and further stratified analysis was performed by climate zones and seasons.

RESULTS

After adjustment for confounders, per interquartile range (IQR) increase in DTV (2.28 °C) at 0-6 days of exposure was associated with an increase of 0.41 mmHg (95 % confidence interval [CI]: 0.07, 0.75) in systolic BP (SBP) and 0.41 mmHg (95 % CI: 0.09, 0.72) in pulse pressure (PP) among hypertensive participants in the subtropical zone. Similarly, DTV exposure was associated with an increase of 0.31 mmHg (95 % CI: 0.06, 0.55) in SBP and 0.59 mmHg (95 % CI: 0.24, 0.94) in PP among prehypertensive participants in the temperate continental zone. Additionally, during the warm season, DTV was positively associated with SBP among populations with prehypertension and hypertension, and with PP among all three populations.

CONCLUSION

Short-term DTV exposure was associated with an increase in SBP and PP among hypertensive and prehypertensive participants in the subtropical zone and the temperate continental zone. In addition, positive associations of DTV with SBP and PP were observed among participants with prehypertension and hypertension in the warm season. Comprehensive health education and effective intervention strategies should be implemented to mitigate the effects of temperature variations on BP, particularly among prehypertensive and hypertensive populations.

Relationship between temperature variability and daily hospitalisations in Hong Kong over two decades

Background

Studies have highlighted the impacts of temperature variability (TV) on mortality from respiratory diseases and cardiovascular diseases, with inconsistent results specifically in subtropical urban areas than temperate ones. We aimed to fully determine TV-associated health risks over a spectrum of diseases and various subgroups in a subtropical setting.

Methods

Using inpatient data from all public hospitals in Hong Kong from 1999 to 2019, we examined the TV-hospitalisation associations by causes, ages, and seasons by fitting a quasi-Poisson regression. We presented the results as estimated percentage changes of hospitalisations per interquartile range (IQR) of TV.

Results

TVs in exposure days from 0-5 days (TV0-5) to 0-7 days (TV0-7) had detrimental effects on hospitalisation risks in Hong Kong. The overall population was significantly affected over TV0-5 to TV0-7 in endocrine, nutritional and metabolic (from 0.53% to 0.58%), respiratory system (from 0.38% to 0.53%), and circulatory systems diseases (from 0.47% to 0.56%). While we found no association with seasonal disparities, we did observe notable disparities by age, highlighting older adults' vulnerability to TVs. For example, people aged ≥65 years experienced the highest change of 0.88% (95% CI = 0.34%, 1.41%) in hospitalizations for injury and poisoning per IQR increase in TV0-4.

Conclusions

Our population-based study highlighted that TV-related health burden, usually regarded as minimal compared to other environmental factors, should receive more attention and be addressed in future relevant health policies, especially for vulnerable populations during the cold seasons.

A nationwide analysis of the outcomes in hospitalized patients with atrial fibrillation and temperature-related illnesses

OBJECTIVES

The authors evaluated mortality and indices of cost of care among inpatients with Atrial Fibrillation (AF) and a diagnosis of a Temperature-Related Illness (TRI). The authors also assessed trends in the prevalence of TRIs among AF hospitalizations.

METHODS

In this cross-sectional study, the authors used discharge data from the Nationwide Inpatient Sample (NIS) collected between January 2005 and September 2015 to identify patients with a diagnosis of AF and TRI. Outcomes of interest included in-hospital mortality, invasive mechanical ventilation, hospital length of stay, and cost of hospitalization.

RESULTS

A total of 37,933 encounters were included. The median age was 79 years. Males were slightly overrepresented relative to females (54.2% vs. 45.8%, respectively). Although Blacks were only 6.6% of the cohort, they represented 12.2% of the TRI cases. Compared to non-TRI-related hospitalizations, a diagnosis of a TRI was associated with an increased likelihood of invasive mechanical ventilation (16.5% vs. 4.1%, p < 0.001), longer length-of-stay (5 vs. 4 days, p < 0.001), higher cost of care (10,082 vs. 8,607, in US dollars p < 0.001), and increased mortality (18.6% vs. 5.1%, p < 0.001). Compared to non-TRI, cold-related illness portends higher odds of mortality 4.68, 95% Confidence Interval (4.35-5.04), p < 0.001, and heat-related illness was associated with less odds of mortality, but this was not statistically significant 0.77 (0.57-1.03), p = 0.88.

CONCLUSION

The occurrence of TRI among hospitalized AF patients is small but there is an increasing trend in the prevalence, which more than doubled over the decade in this study. Individuals with AF who are admitted with a TRI face significantly poorer outcomes than those admitted without a TRI including higher mortality. Cold-related illness is associated with higher odds of mortality. Further research is required to elucidate the pathogenic mechanisms underlying these findings and identify strategies to prevent TRIs in AF patients.

Impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on changes in temperature-sensitive cardiovascular and respiratory disease mortality in Japan

Some cardiovascular and respiratory diseases are triggered by changes in ambient temperature or extremes of temperature. This study aimed to clarify the changes in mortality associated with temperature-sensitive diseases in Japan during the COVID-19 pandemic. We used data from three major cities (Sapporo City, Tokyo 23 wards, and Osaka City) from 2010 to 2019 to determine disease mortality rates and monthly mean temperatures from April to December. If the pandemic had not occurred in 2020, the results showed that temperature-sensitive disease death counts would have increased from 324 to 980, based on a 95% confidence interval estimated from the past 10 years in Sapporo (19-56% increase in actual deaths from 2020), from 651 to 2,653 in Tokyo (10-39% increase), and from 235 to 1,343 in Osaka (8-48% increase). Analyses of meshed population data during the COVID-19 pandemic indicated that inhibiting people's behaviour and outdoor mobility, especially in older men, caused a decrease in mortality.

Influenza Vaccination and the Risk of Ventricular Arrhythmias in Patients With Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease: A Population-Based Longitudinal Study

Backgrounds: Influenza vaccination could decrease the risk of major cardiac events in patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD). However, the effects of the vaccine on decreasing the risk of ventricular arrhythmia (VA) development in such patients remain unclear. Methods: We retrospectively analyzed the data of 18,658 patients with COPD (≥55 years old) from the National Health Insurance Research Database from January 1, 2001, to December 31, 2012. After a 1:1 propensity score matching by the year of diagnosis, we divided the patients into vaccinated and unvaccinated groups. Time-varying Cox proportional hazards regression was applied to assess the time to event hazards of influenza vaccination exposure. Results: The risk of VA occurrence was significantly lower in the vaccinated group during influenza season and all seasons [adjusted hazard ratio (aHR): 0.62, 95% CI: 0.41-0.95; aHR: 0.69, 95% CI: 0.44-1.08; and aHR: 0.65, 95% CI: 0.48-0.89, in the influenza season, non-influenza season, and all seasons, respectively]. Among patients with CHA₂DS₂-VASc scores (conditions and characteristics included congestive heart failure, hypertension, diabetes, stroke, vascular disease, age, and sex) of 2-3, receiving one time and two to three times of influenza vaccination were associated with lower risk of VA occurrence in all seasons (aHR: 0.28, 95% CI: 0.10-0.80; aHR: 0.27, 95% CI: 0.10-0.68, respectively). Among patients without stroke, peripheral vascular disease, and diabetes, a lower risk of VA occurrence after receiving one and two to three times vaccination was observed in all seasons. Among patients with a history of asthma and patients without a history of heart failure, ischemic heart disease, angina hypertension, or renal failure, a significantly lower risk of VA occurrence was observed after the first time of vaccination in all seasons. Conclusions: Influenza vaccination may be associated with lower risks of VA among patients with COPD aged 55-74. Further investigation is still needed to resolve this clinical question.

Effects of Apparent Temperature on the Incidence of Ventricular Tachyarrhythmias in Patients With an Implantable Cardioverter-Defibrillator: Differential Association Between Patients With and Without Electrical Storm

Background: Electrical storm (ES) has profound psychological effects and is associated with a higher mortality in patients with implantable cardioverter–defibrillator (ICD). Assessing the incidence and features of ES, is vital. Previous studies have shown winter peaks for ventricular tachyarrhythmia (VTA) in ICD patients. However, the effects of heat with a high relative humidity remain unclear. Thus, this study aimed to assess the nonlinear and lagged effects of apparent temperature [or heat index (HI)] on VTA among patients with and without ES after ICD implantation.

Methods: Of 626 consecutive patients who had ICDs implanted from January 2004 to June 2017 at our hospital, 172 who experienced sustained VTAs in ICD recording were analyzed, and their clinical records were abstracted to assess the association between VTA incidence and HI by time-stratified case-crossover analysis. Cubic splines were used for the nonlinear effect of HI, with adjustment for air pollutant concentrations.

Results: A significant seasonal effect for ES patients was noted. Apparent temperature, but not ambient temperature, was associated with VTA occurrences. The low and high HI thresholds for VTA incidence were <15° and >30°C, respectively, with a percentage change in odds ratios of 1.06 and 0.37, respectively, per 1°C. Lagged effects could only be demonstrated in ES patients, which lasted longer for low HI (in the next 4 days) than high HI (in the next 1 day).

Conclusion: VTA occurrence in ICD patients was strongly associated with low HI and moderately associated with high HI. Lagged effects of HI on VTA were noted in patients with ES. Furthermore, patients with ES were more vulnerable to heat stress than those without ES. Patients with ICD implantation, particularly in those with ES, should avoid exposure to low and high HI to reduce the risk of VTAs, improve quality of life and possibly reduce mortality.

Ambient temperatures, heatwaves and out-of-hospital cardiac arrest in Brisbane, Australia

BACKGROUND

The health impacts of temperatures are gaining attention in Australia and worldwide. While a number of studies have investigated the association of temperatures with the risk of cardiovascular diseases, few examined out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) and none have done so in Australia. This study examined the exposure-response relationship between temperatures, including heatwaves and OHCA in Brisbane, Australia.

METHODS

A quasi-Poisson regression model coupled with a distributed lag non-linear model was employed, using OHCA and meteorological data between 1 January 2007 and 31 December 2019. Reference temperature was chosen to be the temperature of minimum risk (21.4°C). Heatwaves were defined as daily average temperatures at or above a heat threshold (90th, 95th, 98th, 99th percentile of the yearly temperature distribution) for at least two consecutive days.

RESULTS

The effect of any temperature above the reference temperature was not statistically significant; whereas low temperatures (below reference temperature) increased OHCA risk. The effect of low temperatures was delayed for 1 day, sustained up to 3 days, peaking at 2 days following exposures. Heatwaves significantly increased OHCA risk across the operational definitions. When a threshold of 95th percentile of yearly temperature distribution was used to define heatwaves, OHCA risk increased 1.25 (95% CI 1.04 to 1.50) times. When the heat threshold for defining heatwaves increased to 99th percentile, the relative risk increased to 1.48 (1.11 to 1.96).

CONCLUSIONS

Low temperatures and defined heatwaves increase OHCA risk. The findings of this study have important public health implications for mitigating strategies aimed at minimising temperature-related OHCA.

Exposure to Air Pollution and Particle Radioactivity With the Risk of Ventricular Arrhythmias

BACKGROUND

Individuals are exposed to air pollution and ionizing radiation from natural sources through inhalation of particles. This study investigates the association between cardiac arrhythmias and short-term exposures to fine particulate matter (particulate matter ≤2.5 µm aerodynamic diameter; PM2.5) and particle radioactivity.

METHODS

Ventricular arrhythmic events were identified among 176 patients with dual-chamber implanted cardioverter-defibrillators in Boston, Massachusetts between September 2006 and June 2010. Patients were assigned exposures based on residential addresses. Daily PM2.5 levels were estimated at 1-km×1-km grid cells from a previously validated prediction model. Particle gross β activity was used as a surrogate for particle radioactivity and was measured from several monitoring sites by the US Environmental Protection Agency's monitoring network. The association of the onset of ventricular arrhythmias (VA) with 0- to 21-day moving averages of PM2.5 and particle radioactivity (2 single-pollutant models and a 2-pollutant model) before the event was examined using time-stratified case-crossover analyses, adjusted for dew point and air temperatures.

RESULTS

A total of 1,050 VA were recorded among 91 patients, including 123 sustained VA among 25 of these patients. In the single-pollutant model of PM2.5, each interquartile range increase in daily PM2.5 levels for a 21-day moving average was associated with 39% higher odds of a VA event (95% CI, 12%-72%). In the single-pollutant model of particle radioactivity, each interquartile range increase in particle radioactivity for a 2-day moving average was associated with 13% higher odds of a VA event (95% CI, 1%-26%). In the 2-pollutant model, for the same averaging window of 21 days, each interquartile range increase in daily PM2.5 was associated with an 48% higher odds of a VA event (95% CI, 15%-90%), and each interquartile range increase of particle radioactivity with a 10% lower odds of a VA event (95% CI, -29% to 14%). We found that with higher levels of particle radioactivity, the effect of PM2.5 on VAs is reduced.

CONCLUSIONS

In this high-risk population, intermediate (21-day) PM2.5 exposure was associated with higher odds of a VA event onset among patients with known cardiac disease and indication for implanted cardioverter-defibrillator implantation independently of particle radioactivity.

Association of ambient temperature with the outcomes in witnessed out-of-hospital cardiac arrest patients: a population-based observational study

This study aimed to identify the association between ambient temperature (AT) and patient outcome of witnessed out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) occurring outdoors. This retrospective nationwide, population-based cohort study recruited witnessed adult OHCA patients in South Korea from January 2012 to December 2016. Meteorological data of 17 metropolitan cities and provinces were retrieved from the Korea Meteorological Administration database. Primary outcome was sustained return of spontaneous circulation (ROSC) in hospital. Secondary outcome was survival to hospital discharge. By the standard of quartile categories of AT (Q1 = 7.1 °C; Q2 = 17.7 °C; Q3 = 23.5 °C), three comparative analyses for ROSC and survival were performed between low and high AT groups. Propensity score matching (1:1) was performed for both AT groups. Among the 142,906 OHCA patients, 1,295 were included. In the multivariate analysis for matched groups by the standard of 7.1 °C (Q1), proportion of ROSC was significantly higher in the high AT-Q1 group than in the low AT-Q1 group (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] 2.02, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.19-3.44). No significant difference in survival was shown between both AT-Q1 groups (aOR 1.24, 95% CI 0.61-2.52). In the standard of 17.7 °C (Q2) and 23.5 °C (Q3), no significant differences in ROSC and survival were found between the low and high AT groups. In conclusion, no obvious correlation existed between AT and patient outcomes such as sustained ROSC or survival to discharge in this study.

Temperature variability and hospitalization for ischaemic heart disease in Brazil: A nationwide case-crossover study during 2000-2015

BACKGROUND

Previous studies have suggested a potential relationship between temperature variability (TV) and ischaemic heart disease (IHD) but the nature and strength differ between studies. We quantify the association between TV and risk of hospitalization for IHD across Brazilian regions and examine how the relationship varies across important population subgroups.

METHODS

Data on hospitalization for IHD and meteorological parameters were collected from 1814 cities during 2000-2015. TV was defined as the standard deviation of daily minimum and maximum temperatures during exposure days. City-specific estimates were quantified using a time-stratified case-crossover approach, and then pooled at the national level using a random-effect meta-analysis. Stratified analyses were performed by region, sex and three age-groups.

RESULTS

There were 2,864,904 IHD hospitalizations during 2000-2015. The estimate of TV effect was strongest on 0-1 days' exposure: odds ratio was 1.019 [95% confidence interval (CI): 1.013-1.025] per 5 °C increase in TV. The relationship was stronger in men [1.025 (95%CI: 1.017-1.033)] than in women [1.011 (95%CI: 1.002-1.019)] and in successively older age groups [1.034 (95%CI: 1.018-1.050)]. Regional differences existed, with the association only apparent in the most ageing parts of Brazil.

CONCLUSIONS

Exposure to TV is associated with increased risk of hospitalization for IHD, particularly in men and in older age groups. Our findings add to the growing evidence regarding the potential impact of climatic factors on important health outcomes.

The association of air temperature with cardiac arrhythmias

The body response to meteorological influences may activate pathophysiological mechanisms facilitating the occurrence of cardiac arrhythmias in susceptible patients. Putative underlying mechanisms include changes in systemic vascular resistance and blood pressure, as well as a network of proinflammatory and procoagulant processes. Such a chain reaction probably occurs within the time window of several hours, so use of daily average values of meteorological elements do not seem appropriate for investigation in this area. In addition, overall synoptic situation, and season-specific combinations of meteorological elements and air pollutant levels probably cause the overall effect rather than a single atmospheric element. Particularly strong interrelations have been described among wind speed, air pressure and temperature, relative air humidity, and suspended particulate matter. This may be the main reason why studies examining the association between temperature and ventricular arrhythmias have found linear positive, negative, J-shaped or no association. Further understanding of the pathophysiological adaptation to atmospheric environment may help in providing recommendations for protective measures during "bad" weather conditions in patients with cardiac arrhythmias.

Relationship of Extreme Cold Weather and Implantable Cardioverter Defibrillator Shocks

Cold weather to 0°C has been implicated as a risk factor for ventricular arrhythmias and implantable cardioverter defibrillator (ICD) shocks. The effect of more extreme cold weather on the risk of ventricular arrhythmias and ICD shocks is unknown. We sought to describe the relationship between extreme cold weather and the risk of ICD shocks. We retrospectively identified patients seen at the Pacemaker and Defibrillator Clinic at St. Boniface Hospital in Winnipeg, Manitoba, Canada between 2010 and 2015 with an ICD shock. We excluded multiple shocks occurring on the same day in a single patient. We collected weather data, and evaluated the relationship between ICD shocks and weather on the same day as the shock using Negative Binomial regression. Three hundred and sixty patients experienced a total of 1,355 shocks. When excluding multiple shocks occurring in a single patient on the same day, there were 756 unique shocks. The daily high (DH) was the strongest predictor of receiving an ICD shock. Compared with the warmest days (DH above 10°C), shocks were 25% more common on the coldest days (DH below -10°C), and 8% more common on cold days (DH between -10°C and 10°C). This linear trend was statistically significant, with a p-value of 0.04. In conclusion, we found an association between extreme cold weather and ICD shocks.

Fine-scale spatial and temporal variation in temperature and arrhythmia episodes in the VA Normative Aging Study

Many studies have demonstrated that cold and hot temperatures are associated with increased deaths and hospitalization rates; new findings indicate also an association with more specific cardiac risk factors. Most of these existing studies have relied on few weather stations to characterize exposures; few have used residence-specific estimates of temperature, or examined the exposure-response function. We investigated the association of arrhythmia episodes with spatial and temporal variation in temperature. We also evaluated the association btween monitored ambient temperature (central) and the same outcome. This longitudinal analysis included 701 older men participating in the VA Normative Aging Study. Arrhythmia episodes were measured as ventricular ectopy (VE) (bigeminy, trigeminy, or couplets episodes) by 4-min electrocardiogram (ECG) monitoring in repeated visits during 2000-2010. The outcome was defined as having or not VE episodes during a study visit. We applied a mixed-effect logistic regression model with a random intercept for subject, controlling for seasonality, weekday, medication use, smoking, diabetes status, body mass index, and age. We also examined effect modification by personal characteristics, confounding by air pollution, and the exposure-response function. For 1°C increase in the same day residence-specific temperature, the odds of having VE episodes was 1.10 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.04-1.17). The odds associated with 1°C increase in central temperature was 1.05 (95% CI: 1.02-1.09). The exposure-response function was nonlinear for averages of temperature, presenting a J-shaped pattern, suggesting greater risk at lower and higher temperatures. Increased warm temperature and decreased cold temperature may increase the risk of ventricular arrhythmias.

IMPLICATIONS

This is the first study to provide evidence that residence-specific temperature exposure is associated with increased risk of ventricular arrhythmias in cohort of elderly subjects without known chronic medical conditions; that the delayed effect of temperature has a nonlinear relationship; and therefore that both warm and cold temperature increase the risk of having ventricular arrhythmias. Moreover, we show that the use of residence-specific temperature data reduces downward bias due to exposure error, by comparing the estimated health effect based on our spatiotemporal exposure prediction model to those based on a single local weather monitor.

Hospitalizations from Hypertensive Diseases, Diabetes, and Arrhythmia in Relation to Low and High Temperatures: Population-Based Study

Little is known about the extent to which ambient temperatures contribute to the burden of hospitalizations from hypertensive diseases, diabetes, and arrhythmia. To fill this knowledge gap, we conducted a time-series study comprising entire population of Ontario, Canada during 1996–2013. A distributed lag non-linear model was developed to estimate the cumulative effect of temperatures over a 21-day lag period. We computed the burden of hospitalizations attributable to cold and heat. Furthermore, we separated the burden into components related to mild and extreme temperatures. Compared to the temperature with minimum risk of morbidity, cold temperatures (1^st percentile) were associated with a 37% (95% confidence interval: 5%, 78%) increase in hypertension-related hospitalizations whereas no significant association with hot temperatures (99^th percentile) was observed. Cold and hot temperatures were also associated with a 12% (1%, 24%) and a 30% (6%, 58%) increase in diabetes-related hospitalizations, respectively. Arrhythmia was not linked to temperatures. These estimates translate into ~10% of hypertension-related hospitalizations attributable to total cold, and ~9% from mild cold. Similarly, ~11% of diabetes-related hospitalizations were due to total heat, virtually all of which were from mild heat. In conclusion, ambient temperatures, especially in moderate ranges, contribute to excess hospitalizations from hypertension and diabetes.

Drier air, lower temperatures, and triggering of paroxysmal atrial fibrillation

BACKGROUND

The few previous studies on the onset of paroxysmal atrial fibrillation and meteorologic conditions have focused on outdoor temperature and hospital admissions, but hospital admissions are a crude indicator of atrial fibrillation incidence, and studies have found other weather measures in addition to temperature to be associated with cardiovascular outcomes.

METHODS

Two hundred patients with dual chamber implantable cardioverter-defibrillators were enrolled and followed prospectively from 2006 to 2010 for new onset episodes of atrial fibrillation. The date and time of arrhythmia episodes documented by the implanted cardioverter-defibrillators were linked to meteorologic data and examined using a case-crossover analysis. We evaluated associations with outdoor temperature, apparent temperature, air pressure, and three measures of humidity (relative humidity, dew point, and absolute humidity).

RESULTS

Of the 200 enrolled patients, 49 patients experienced 328 atrial fibrillation episodes lasting ≥30 seconds. Lower temperatures in the prior 48 hours were positively associated with atrial fibrillation. Lower absolute humidity (ie, drier air) had the strongest and most consistent association: each 0.5 g/m decrease in the prior 24 hours increased the odds of atrial fibrillation by 4% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0%, 7%) and by 5% (95% CI: 2%, 8%) for exposure in the prior 2 hours. Results were similar for dew point but slightly weaker.

CONCLUSIONS

Recent exposure to drier air and lower temperatures were associated with the onset of atrial fibrillation among patients with known cardiac disease, supporting the hypothesis that meteorologic conditions trigger acute cardiovascular episodes.