Determining Risk of Colorectal Cancer and Starting Age of Screening Based on Lifestyle, Environmental, and Genetic Factors

Prognostic gene expression profile of colorectal cancer

Colorectal cancer is a major global health burden, with significant heterogeneity in clinical outcomes among patients. Identifying robust prognostic gene expression signatures can help stratify patients, guide treatment decisions, and improve clinical management. This review provides an overview of current prognostic gene expression profiles in colorectal cancer research. We have synthesized evidence from numerous published studies investigating the association between tumor gene expression patterns and patient survival outcomes. The reviewed literature reveals several promising gene signatures that have demonstrated the ability to predict disease-free survival and overall survival in CRC patients, independent of standard clinicopathological risk factors. These genes are crucial in fundamental biological processes, including cell cycle control, epithelial-mesenchymal transition, and immune regulation. The implementation of prognostic gene expression tests in clinical practice holds great potential for enabling more personalized management strategies for colorectal cancer.

Public Preferences for Genetic and Genomic Risk-Informed Chronic Disease Screening and Early Detection: A Systematic Review of Discrete Choice Experiments

PURPOSE

Genetic and genomic testing can provide valuable information on individuals' risk of chronic diseases, presenting an opportunity for risk-tailored disease screening to improve early detection and health outcomes. The acceptability, uptake and effectiveness of such programmes is dependent on public preferences for the programme features. This study aims to conduct a systematic review of discrete choice experiments assessing preferences for genetic/genomic risk-tailored chronic disease screening.

METHODS

PubMed, Embase, EconLit and Cochrane Library were searched in October 2023 for discrete choice experiment studies assessing preferences for genetic or genomic risk-tailored chronic disease screening. Eligible studies were double screened, extracted and synthesised through descriptive statistics and content analysis of themes. Bias was assessed using an existing quality checklist.

RESULTS

Twelve studies were included. Most studies focused on cancer screening (n = 10) and explored preferences for testing of rare, high-risk variants (n = 10), largely within a targeted population (e.g. subgroups with family history of disease). Two studies explored preferences for the use of polygenic risk scores (PRS) at a population level. Twenty-six programme attributes were identified, with most significantly impacting preferences. Survival, test accuracy and screening impact were most frequently reported as most important. Depending on the clinical context and programme attributes and levels, estimated uptake of hypothetical programmes varied from no participation to almost full participation (97%).

CONCLUSION

The uptake of potential programmes would strongly depend on specific programme features and the disease context. In particular, careful communication of potential survival benefits and likely genetic/genomic test accuracy might encourage uptake of genetic and genomic risk-tailored disease screening programmes. As the majority of the literature focused on high-risk variants and cancer screening, further research is required to understand preferences specific to PRS testing at a population level and targeted genomic testing for different disease contexts.

Association of Fusobacterium nucleatum with colorectal cancer molecular subtypes and its outcome: a systematic review

Colorectal cancer (CRC) represents a relevant public health problem, with high incidence and mortality in Western countries. CRC can occur as sporadic (65%-75%), common familial (25%), or as a consequence of an inherited predisposition (up to 10%). While unravelling its genetic basis has been a long trip leading to relevant clinical implementation over more than 30 years, other contributing factors remain to be clarified. Among these, micro-organisms have emerged as critical players in the development and progression of the disease, as well as for CRC treatment response. Fusobacterium nucleatum (Fn) has been associated with CRC development in both pre-clinical models and clinical settings. Fusobacteria are core members of the human oral microbiome, while being less prevalent in the healthy gut, prompting questions about their localization in CRC and its precursor lesions. This review aims to critically discuss the evidence connecting Fn with CRC pathogenesis, its molecular subtypes and clinical outcomes.

Increased risk of colorectal cancer in young males with higher cardiovascular risk: A nationwide population-based cohort study

BACKGROUND

Although the link between cardiovascular disease (CVD) and various cancers is well-established, the relationship between CVD risk and colorectal cancer (CRC) remains underexplored.

AIM

To elucidate the relationship between CVD risk scores and CRC incidence.

METHODS

In this population-based cohort study, participants from the 2009 National Health Checkup were followed-up until 2020. The cardiovascular (CV) risk score was calculated as the sum of risk factors (age, family history of coronary artery disease, hypertension, smoking status, and high-density lipoprotein levels) with high-density lipoprotein (≥ 60 mg/dL) reducing the risk score by one. The primary outcome was incidence of newly diagnosed CRC.

RESULTS

Among 2526628 individuals, 30329 developed CRC during a mean follow-up of 10.1 years. Categorized by CV risk scores (0, 1, 2, and ≥ 3). CRC risk increased with higher CV risk scores after adjusting for covariates [(hazard ratio = 1.155, 95% confidence interval: 1.107-1.205) in risk score ≥ 3, P < 0.001]. This association was exclusively observed in males, most notably in the younger cohort (< 50 years) and was more pronounced in individuals not using statins. Moreover, even in participants without diabetes, a higher CV risk was associated with an increased CRC risk.

CONCLUSION

Increased CV risk scores were significantly associated with higher CRC risk, especially among males, younger populations, and non-statin users. Thus, males with a higher CV risk score, even at a younger age, are recommended to control their risk factors and undergo individualized CRC screening.

CRISPR integrated biosensors: A new paradigm for cancer detection

Cancer remains one of the leading causes of morbidity and mortality globally, necessitating need for advancements of technologies for early therapeutics. Conventional detection methodologies often lag behind in terms of sensitivity, specificity, and cost-effectiveness, leading to delayed diagnosis and inadequate treatment. The need of advanced diagnostic techniques has considerably increased and led to the development of biosensors. Biosensing technologies offer several advantages over conventional methods hence, overcome limitations and improve diagnostic accuracy. Biosensors, particularly CRISPR-Cas based biosensors have emerged as a revolutionary technology for oncology diagnostics due to their high precision and adaptability. CRISPR-based biosensors provide remarkable precision, sensitivity, multiplexing capabilities, specificity, and rapidness for developing a cost-effective and portable point of care diagnostic device for cancer detection. In this review, we have discussed cancer pathogenicity, assessed the traditional detection techniques, and explored the advancements and advantages of biosensors, particularly CRISPR-based biosensors, in the detection of some major cancer types, namely lung, liver, colorectal, prostate, and cervical cancers. CRISPR-based biosensors represent a significant potential in cancer diagnostics, offering precise, cost-effective, and rapid detection of cancer biomarkers. The integration of CRISPR technology with biosensors holds substantial promise for enhancing early detection and improving patient outcomes in cancer diagnostics.

Risk-Adapted Starting Ages of Colorectal Cancer Screening for People With Diabetes or Metabolic Syndrome

BACKGROUND

Individuals with diabetes and metabolic syndrome have an increased risk of colorectal cancer (CRC), suggesting earlier screening than the average-risk population may be warranted.

AIMS

To derive risk-adapted starting ages of CRC screening for people with diabetes or metabolic syndrome.

METHODS

We determined 5-year cumulative risks of CRC at individual ages between 30 and 50 across Europe (overall and individually for Germany, France, the UK and Italy) and North America (the United States and Canada) based on the GLOBOCAN 2022 database. Using risk estimates from meta-analyses (2020-2023), we derived the ages at which individuals with diabetes or metabolic syndrome reach the same CRC risk as the average-risk population at age 50 (aCR50) or 45 (aCR45).

RESULTS

Individuals with diabetes were estimated to reach aCR50 at age 47 (95% confidence interval, 45-49) in Europe and 46 (42-49) in North America. For metabolic syndrome, the corresponding ages were 47 (47-48) in Europe and 46 (46-47) in North America. Disparities across countries were minimal, with deviations of up to no more than one year. For screening programmes starting at age 45, corresponding risk-adapted starting ages for people with diabetes or metabolic syndrome were estimated to be 42 (41-44) and 43 (42-43) for Europe and 41 (38-44) and 41 (41-42) for North America, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

People with diabetes or metabolic syndrome reach risk levels comparable to the average risk population three to four years earlier. Our results offer empirical guidance for defining risk-adapted starting ages of CRC screening for these high-risk groups.

Characterization of Additive Gene-environment Interactions For Colorectal Cancer Risk

BACKGROUND

Colorectal cancer (CRC) is a common, fatal cancer. Identifying subgroups who may benefit more from intervention is of critical public health importance. Previous studies have assessed multiplicative interaction between genetic risk scores and environmental factors, but few have assessed additive interaction, the relevant public health measure.

METHODS

Using resources from CRC consortia, including 45,247 CRC cases and 52,671 controls, we assessed multiplicative and additive interaction (relative excess risk due to interaction, RERI) using logistic regression between 13 harmonized environmental factors and genetic risk score, including 141 variants associated with CRC risk.

RESULTS

There was no evidence of multiplicative interaction between environmental factors and genetic risk score. There was additive interaction where, for individuals with high genetic susceptibility, either heavy drinking (RERI = 0.24, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.13, 0.36), ever smoking (0.11 [0.05, 0.16]), high body mass index (female 0.09 [0.05, 0.13], male 0.10 [0.05, 0.14]), or high red meat intake (highest versus lowest quartile 0.18 [0.09, 0.27]) was associated with excess CRC risk greater than that for individuals with average genetic susceptibility. Conversely, we estimate those with high genetic susceptibility may benefit more from reducing CRC risk with aspirin/nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs use (-0.16 [-0.20, -0.11]) or higher intake of fruit, fiber, or calcium (highest quartile versus lowest quartile -0.12 [-0.18, -0.050]; -0.16 [-0.23, -0.09]; -0.11 [-0.18, -0.05], respectively) than those with average genetic susceptibility.

CONCLUSIONS

Additive interaction is important to assess for identifying subgroups who may benefit from intervention. The subgroups identified in this study may help inform precision CRC prevention.

Colorectal Cancer Incidence and Mortality After Negative Colonoscopy Screening Results

Importance

The current recommendation for a 10-year rescreening interval after a negative colonoscopy screening (NCS) result has been questioned, with some studies showing a persistently lower risk of colorectal cancer (CRC) after NCS results.

Objective

To examine long-term CRC incidence and mortality after NCS results (ie, no presence of CRC or polyps) and according to a risk score based on major demographic and lifestyle risk factors.

Design, Setting, and Participants

In this cohort study, 3 prospective US population-based cohorts from the Nurses' Health Study, Nurses' Health Study II, and Health Professionals Follow-up Study were followed up from 1988 and 1991 to 2020. Data from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) from the January 1, 2017, to December 31, 2018, cycle were used to compare the risk profile distribution with that of the general US population. Data analysis was performed from October 2023 to August 2024.

Exposures

Time-varying status of NCS results and risk score.

Main Outcomes and Measures

Cox proportional hazards regression was used to calculate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% CIs for incidence and mortality of CRC.

Results

A total of 195 453 participants (median [IQR] age, 44 [37-56] years at baseline; 81% female) were followed up for a median (IQR) of 12 (6-20) years. Among 81 151 individuals with NCS results and 114 302 without endoscopy, 394 and 2229 CRC cases and 167 and 637 CRC deaths, respectively, were documented. Negative colonoscopy screening results were consistently associated with lower CRC incidence (HR, 0.51; 95% CI, 0.44-0.58) and mortality (HR, 0.56; 95% CI, 0.46-0.70) for 20 years. Among individuals with NCS results, those with an intermediate risk (scores, 6-7) and low risk (scores, 0-5) did not reach the 10-year cumulative incidence of CRC (0.78%) of the high-risk individuals (scores, 8-12) until 16 and 25 years after initial screening, respectively.

Conclusion and Relevance

These findings provide evidence for shared decision-making between patients and physicians to consider extending the rescreening intervals after an NCS result beyond the currently recommended 10 years, particularly for individuals with a low-risk profile. These results showed, as a proof of concepts, the importance of considering known CRC risk factors when making decisions for colonoscopy rescreening.

Utilization of molecular genetic approaches for colorectal cancer screening

The feasibility of population screening for colorectal cancer has been demonstrated in several studies. Most of these studies have considered individual characteristics, diagnostic approaches, epidemiological data, and socioeconomic factors. In this article, we comment on an editorial by Metaxas et al published in the recent issue of the journal. The authors emphasized the need to raise public awareness through health education programs and the possibility of using easily accessible non-invasive screening methods. Here, we focus on non-invasive molecular genetic approaches that can aid in colorectal cancer screening. On the one hand, we highlighted the use of tumor DNA/RNA markers directly for screening and, on the other hand, underline the use of polygenic risk assessment and hereditary predisposition to select individuals for more thorough cancer screening.

Evaluating the Use of Environmental and Polygenic Risk Scores to Inform Colorectal Cancer Risk-Based Surveillance Intervals

INTRODUCTION

United States Multi-Society Task Force colonoscopy surveillance intervals are based solely on adenoma characteristics, without accounting for other risk factors. We investigated whether a risk model including demographic, environmental, and genetic risk factors could individualize surveillance intervals under an "equal management of equal risks" framework.

METHODS

Using 14,069 individuals from the Prostate, Lung, Colorectal, and Ovarian Cancer Screening Trial who had a diagnostic colonoscopy following an abnormal flexible sigmoidoscopy, we modeled the risk of colorectal cancer, considering the diagnostic colonoscopy finding, baseline risk factors (e.g., age and sex), 19 lifestyle and environmental risk factors, and a polygenic risk score for colorectal cancer. Ten-year absolute cancer risks for each diagnostic colonoscopy finding (advanced adenomas [N = 2,446], ≥3 non-advanced adenomas [N = 483], 1-2 non-advanced adenomas [N = 4,400], and no adenoma [N = 7,183]) were used as implicit risk thresholds for recommended surveillance intervals.

RESULTS

The area under the curve for the model including colonoscopy findings, baseline characteristics, and polygenic risk score was 0.658. Applying the equal management of equal risks framework, 28.2% of individuals with no adenoma and 42.7% of those with 1-2 non-advanced adenomas would be considered high risk and assigned a significantly shorter surveillance interval than currently recommended. Among individuals who developed cancer within 10 years, 52.4% with no adenoma and 48.3% with 1-2 non-advanced adenomas would have been considered high risk and assigned a shorter surveillance interval.

DISCUSSION

Using a personalized risk-based model has the potential to identify individuals with no adenoma or 1-2 non-advanced adenomas, who are higher risk and may benefit from shorter surveillance intervals.

Lifestyle factors in the biomedical literature: an ontology and comprehensive resources for named entity recognition

MOTIVATION

Despite lifestyle factors (LSFs) being increasingly acknowledged in shaping individual health trajectories, particularly in chronic diseases, they have still not been systematically described in the biomedical literature. This is in part because no named entity recognition (NER) system exists, which can comprehensively detect all types of LSFs in text. The task is challenging due to their inherent diversity, lack of a comprehensive LSF classification for dictionary-based NER, and lack of a corpus for deep learning-based NER.

RESULTS

We present a novel lifestyle factor ontology (LSFO), which we used to develop a dictionary-based system for recognition and normalization of LSFs. Additionally, we introduce a manually annotated corpus for LSFs (LSF200) suitable for training and evaluation of NER systems, and use it to train a transformer-based system. Evaluating the performance of both NER systems on the corpus revealed an F-score of 64% for the dictionary-based system and 76% for the transformer-based system. Large-scale application of these systems on PubMed abstracts and PMC Open Access articles identified over 300 million mentions of LSF in the biomedical literature.

AVAILABILITY AND IMPLEMENTATION

LSFO, the annotated LSF200 corpus, and the detected LSFs in PubMed and PMC-OA articles using both NER systems, are available under open licenses via the following GitHub repository: https://github.com/EsmaeilNourani/LSFO-expansion. This repository contains links to two associated GitHub repositories and a Zenodo project related to the study. LSFO is also available at BioPortal: https://bioportal.bioontology.org/ontologies/LSFO.

Recalibrating the Genetics and Epidemiology of Colorectal Cancer Consortium Environmental Risk Score for Use in US Veterans

BACKGROUND

Risk for colorectal cancer may accumulate through multiple environmental factors. Understanding their effects, along with genetics, age, and family history, could allow improvements in clinical decisions for screening protocols. We aimed to extend the previous work by recalibrating an environmental risk score (e-Score) for colorectal cancer among a sample of US veteran participants of the Million Veteran Program.

METHODS

Demographic, lifestyle, and colorectal cancer data from 2011 to 2022 were abstracted from survey responses and health records of 227,504 male Million Veteran Program participants. Weighting for each environmental factor's effect size was recalculated using Veterans Affairs training data to create a recalibrated e-Score. This recalibrated score was compared with the original weighted e-Score in a validation sample of 113,752 (n cases = 590). Nested multiple logistic regression models tested associations between quintiles for recalibrated and original e-Scores. Likelihood ratio tests were used to compare model performance.

RESULTS

Age (P < 0.0001), education (P < 0.0001), diabetes (P < 0.0001), physical activity (P < 0.0001), smoking (P < 0.0001), NSAID use (P < 0.0001), calcium (P = 0.015), folate (P = 0.020), and fruit consumption (P = 0.019) were significantly different between colorectal cancer case and control groups. In the validation sample, the recalibrated e-Score model significantly improved the base model performance (P < 0.001), but the original e-Score model did not (P = 0.07). The recalibrated e-Score model quintile 5 was associated with significantly higher odds for colorectal cancer compared with quintile 1 (Q5 vs. Q1: 1.79; 95% CI, 1.38-2.33).

CONCLUSIONS

Multiple environmental factors and the recalibrated e-Score quintiles were significantly associated with colorectal cancer cases.

IMPACT

A recalibrated, veteran-specific e-Score could be used to help personalize colorectal cancer screening and prevention strategies.

Development, Content Validity and Usability of a Self-Assessment Instrument for the Lifestyle of Breast Cancer Survivors in Brazil

BACKGROUND/OBJECTIVES

Breast cancer is the most common cancer among women globally, and it negatively impacts diet and quality of life, increasing the risk of recurrence. Adhering to World Cancer Research Fund (WCRF) and American Institute for Cancer Research (AICR) lifestyle guidelines, such as healthy eating habits and nutritional status, can help in primary and secondary cancer prevention. However, no questionnaire was found for self-assessment of these guidelines for the Brazilian population. The aim of this study is to carry out content validity, pilot, and usability testing of the self-administered digital instrument "PrevCancer" assessing adherence to the WCRF/AICR recommendations in Brazilian female breast cancer survivors.

METHODS

We conducted a psychometric study that involved the development of an instrument based on WCRF/AICR recommendations. Assessment of content validity involved the Content Validity Index (CVI) based on expert assessments (n = 7). The pilot study involved the System Usability Scale (SUS) after applying the developed instrument (n = 65) and anthropometric assessment for convergent validity by female participants (n = 55). The final usability test consisted of evaluating the satisfaction with the instrument of women with breast cancer (n = 14).

RESULTS

The "PrevCancer" instrument demonstrated good content (CVI = 1.0) as well as good usability and acceptability in the pilot study (mean SUS score = 88.1). The convergent validity stage demonstrated positive associations between the PrevCancer parameters and anthropometric parameters (p < 0.001). In the final usability study (mean SUS score = 90.3), participants' receptivity to the instrument was excellent.

CONCLUSIONS

The PrevCancer instrument had valid content and great usability by the target population, proving to be a useful tool for future cancer research.

Potential of pre-diagnostic metabolomics for colorectal cancer risk assessment or early detection

This systematic review investigates the efficacy of metabolite biomarkers for risk assessment or early detection of colorectal cancer (CRC) and its precursors, focusing on pre-diagnostic biospecimens. Searches in PubMed, Web of Science, and SCOPUS through December 2023 identified relevant prospective studies. Relevant data were extracted, and the risk of bias was assessed with the QUADAS-2 tool. Among the 26 studies included, significant heterogeneity existed for case numbers, metabolite identification, and validation approaches. Thirteen studies evaluated individual metabolites, mainly lipids, while eleven studies derived metabolite panels, and two studies did both. Nine panels were internally validated, resulting in an area under the curve (AUC) ranging from 0.69 to 0.95 for CRC precursors and 0.72 to 1.0 for CRC. External validation was limited to one panel (AUC = 0.72). Metabolite panels and lipid-based biomarkers show promise for CRC risk assessment and early detection but require standardization and extensive validation for clinical use.

Uveal melanoma distant metastasis prediction system: A retrospective observational study based on machine learning

Uveal melanoma (UM) patients face a significant risk of distant metastasis, closely tied to a poor prognosis. Despite this, there is a dearth of research utilizing big data to predict UM distant metastasis. This study leveraged machine learning methods on the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database to forecast the risk probability of distant metastasis. Therefore, the information on UM patients from the SEER database (2000-2020) was split into a 7:3 ratio training set and an internal test set based on distant metastasis presence. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses assessed distant metastasis risk factors. Six machine learning methods constructed a predictive model post-feature variable selection. The model evaluation identified the multilayer perceptron (MLP) as optimal. Shapley additive explanations (SHAP) interpreted the chosen model. A web-based calculator personalized risk probabilities for UM patients. The results show that nine feature variables contributed to the machine learning model. The MLP model demonstrated superior predictive accuracy (Precision = 0.788; ROC AUC = 0.876; PR AUC = 0.788). Grade recode, age, primary site, time from diagnosis to treatment initiation, and total number of malignant tumors were identified as distant metastasis risk factors. Diagnostic method, laterality, rural-urban continuum code, and radiation recode emerged as protective factors. The developed web calculator utilizes the MLP model for personalized risk assessments. In conclusion, the MLP machine learning model emerges as the optimal tool for predicting distant metastasis in UM patients. This model facilitates personalized risk assessments, empowering early and tailored treatment strategies.

Excess Weight, Polygenic Risk Score, and Findings of Colorectal Neoplasms at Screening Colonoscopy

INTRODUCTION

Excess weight is an established risk factor of colorectal cancer (CRC). However, evidence is lacking on how its impact varies by polygenic risk at different stages of colorectal carcinogenesis.

METHODS

We assessed the individual and joint associations of body mass index (BMI) and polygenic risk scores (PRSs) with findings of colorectal neoplasms among 4,784 participants of screening colonoscopy. Adjusted odds ratios (aORs) for excess weight derived by multiple logistic regression were converted to genetic risk equivalents (GREs) to quantify the impact of excess weight compared with genetic predisposition.

RESULTS

Overweight and obesity (BMI 25-<30 and ≥30 kg/m 2 ) were associated with increased risk of any colorectal neoplasm (aOR [95% confidence interval, CI] 1.26 [1.09-1.45] and 1.47 [1.24-1.75]). Obesity was associated with increased risk of advanced colorectal neoplasm (aOR [95% CI] 1.46 [1.16-1.84]). Dose-response relationships were seen for the PRS (stronger for advanced neoplasms than any neoplasms), with no interaction with BMI, suggesting multiplicative effects of both factors. Obese participants with a PRS in the highest tertile had a 2.3-fold (95% CI 1.7-3.1) and 2.9-fold (95% CI 1.9-4.3) increased risk of any colorectal neoplasm and advanced colorectal neoplasm, respectively. The aOR of obesity translated into a GRE of 38, meaning that its impact was estimated to be equivalent to the risk caused by 38 percentiles higher PRS for colorectal neoplasm.

DISCUSSION

Excess weight and polygenic risk are associated with increased risk of colorectal neoplasms in a multiplicative manner. Maintaining normal weight is estimated to have an equivalent effect as having 38 percentiles lower PRS.

Research progress on the correlation between intestinal flora and colorectal cancer

Colorectal cancer (CRC) is one of the most common gastrointestinal malignancies in the world. With the rapid pace of life and changes in diet structure, the incidence and mortality of CRC increase year by year posing a serious threat to human health. As the most complex and largest microecosystem in the human body, intestinal microecology is closely related to CRC. It is an important factor that affects and participates in the occurrence and development of CRC. Advances in next-generation sequencing technology and metagenomics have provided new insights into the ecology of gut microbes. It also helps to link intestinal flora with CRC, and the relationship between intestinal flora and CRC can be continuously understood from different levels. This paper summarizes the relationship between intestinal flora and CRC and its potential role in the diagnosis of CRC providing evidence for early screening and treatment of CRC.

Risk projection for time-to-event outcome from population-based case-control studies leveraging summary statistics from the target population

Risk stratification based on prediction models has become increasingly important in preventing and managing chronic diseases. However, due to cost- and time-limitations, not every population can have resources for collecting enough detailed individual-level information on a large number of people to develop risk prediction models. A more practical approach is to use prediction models developed from existing studies and calibrate them with relevant summary-level information of the target population. Many existing studies were conducted under the population-based case-control design. Gail et al. (J Natl Cancer Inst 81:1879-1886, 1989) proposed to combine the odds ratio estimates obtained from case-control data and the disease incidence rates from the target population to obtain the baseline hazard function, and thereby the pure risk for developing diseases. However, the approach requires the risk factor distribution of cases from the case-control studies be same as the target population, which, if violated, may yield biased risk estimation. In this article, we propose two novel weighted estimating equation approaches to calibrate the baseline risk by leveraging the summary information of (some) risk factors in addition to disease-free probabilities from the targeted population. We establish the consistency and asymptotic normality of the proposed estimators. Extensive simulation studies and an application to colorectal cancer studies demonstrate the proposed estimators perform well for bias reduction in finite samples.

Developing an optimal stratification model for colorectal cancer screening and reducing racial disparities in multi-center population-based studies

BACKGROUND

Early detection of colorectal neoplasms can reduce the colorectal cancer (CRC) burden by timely intervention for high-risk individuals. However, effective risk prediction models are lacking for personalized CRC early screening in East Asian (EAS) population. We aimed to develop, validate, and optimize a comprehensive risk prediction model across all stages of the dynamic adenoma-carcinoma sequence in EAS population.

METHODS

To develop precision risk-stratification and intervention strategies, we developed three trans-ancestry PRSs targeting colorectal neoplasms: (1) using 148 previously identified CRC risk loci (PRS148); (2) SNPs selection from large-scale meta-analysis data by clumping and thresholding (PRS183); (3) PRS-CSx, a Bayesian approach for genome-wide risk prediction (PRSGenomewide). Then, the performance of each PRS was assessed and validated in two independent cross-sectional screening sets, including 4600 patients with advanced colorectal neoplasm, 4495 patients with non-advanced adenoma, and 21,199 normal individuals from the ZJCRC (Zhejiang colorectal cancer set; EAS) and PLCO (the Prostate, Lung, Colorectal, and Ovarian Cancer Screening Trial; European, EUR) studies. The optimal PRS was further incorporated with lifestyle factors to stratify individual risk and ultimately tested in the PLCO and UK Biobank prospective cohorts, totaling 350,013 participants.

RESULTS

Three trans-ancestry PRSs achieved moderately improved predictive performance in EAS compared to EUR populations. Remarkably, the PRSs effectively facilitated a thorough risk assessment across all stages of the dynamic adenoma-carcinoma sequence. Among these models, PRS183 demonstrated the optimal discriminatory ability in both EAS and EUR validation datasets, particularly for individuals at risk of colorectal neoplasms. Using two large-scale and independent prospective cohorts, we further confirmed a significant dose-response effect of PRS183 on incident colorectal neoplasms. Incorporating PRS183 with lifestyle factors into a comprehensive strategy improves risk stratification and discriminatory accuracy compared to using PRS or lifestyle factors separately. This comprehensive risk-stratified model shows potential in addressing missed diagnoses in screening tests (best NPV = 0.93), while moderately reducing unnecessary screening (best PPV = 0.32).

CONCLUSIONS

Our comprehensive risk-stratified model in population-based CRC screening trials represents a promising advancement in personalized risk assessment, facilitating tailored CRC screening in the EAS population. This approach enhances the transferability of PRSs across ancestries and thereby helps address health disparity.

Genetic risk impacts the association of menopausal hormone therapy with colorectal cancer risk

BACKGROUND

Menopausal hormone therapy (MHT), a common treatment to relieve symptoms of menopause, is associated with a lower risk of colorectal cancer (CRC). To inform CRC risk prediction and MHT risk-benefit assessment, we aimed to evaluate the joint association of a polygenic risk score (PRS) for CRC and MHT on CRC risk.

METHODS

We used data from 28,486 postmenopausal women (11,519 cases and 16,967 controls) of European descent. A PRS based on 141 CRC-associated genetic variants was modeled as a categorical variable in quartiles. Multiplicative interaction between PRS and MHT use was evaluated using logistic regression. Additive interaction was measured using the relative excess risk due to interaction (RERI). 30-year cumulative risks of CRC for 50-year-old women according to MHT use and PRS were calculated.

RESULTS

The reduction in odds ratios by MHT use was larger in women within the highest quartile of PRS compared to that in women within the lowest quartile of PRS (p-value = 2.7 × 10-8). At the highest quartile of PRS, the 30-year CRC risk was statistically significantly lower for women taking any MHT than for women not taking any MHT, 3.7% (3.3%-4.0%) vs 6.1% (5.7%-6.5%) (difference 2.4%, P-value = 1.83 × 10-14); these differences were also statistically significant but smaller in magnitude in the lowest PRS quartile, 1.6% (1.4%-1.8%) vs 2.2% (1.9%-2.4%) (difference 0.6%, P-value = 1.01 × 10-3), indicating 4 times greater reduction in absolute risk associated with any MHT use in the highest compared to the lowest quartile of genetic CRC risk.

CONCLUSIONS

MHT use has a greater impact on the reduction of CRC risk for women at higher genetic risk. These findings have implications for the development of risk prediction models for CRC and potentially for the consideration of genetic information in the risk-benefit assessment of MHT use.

Predictive Score for Advanced Colorectal Neoplasia Based on Cardiovascular and Colorectal Cancer Risk Factors

Background and Aims: Cardiovascular disease and colorectal cancer (CRC) are significant health problems and share some risk factors. The aim of our study was to develop and validate a predictive score for advanced colorectal neoplasia (CRN) based on risk factors for cardiovascular disease and CRC. Materials and Methods: A cross-sectional study comprising a derivation cohort and an external validation cohort of 1049 and 308 patients, respectively. A prediction score for advanced CRN (CRNAS: Colorectal Neoplasia Advanced Score) was developed from a logistic regression model, comprising sex, age, first-degree family history for CRC, systolic and diastolic blood pressure, total cholesterol, HDL cholesterol, body mass index, diabetes, smoking, and antihypertensive treatment. Other cardiovascular risk scores (Framingham-Wilson, REGICOR, SCORE, and FRESCO) were also used to predict the risk of advanced CRN. The discriminatory capacity of each score was evaluated using the area under the curve (AUC). Results: CRN were found in 379 subjects from the derivation cohort (36%), including 228 patients (22%) with an advanced CRN. Male sex, age, diabetes, and smoking were identified as independent risk factors for advanced CRN. The newly created score (CRNAS) showed an AUC of 0.68 (95% CI: 0.64-0.73) for advanced CRN, which was better than cardiovascular risk scores (p < 0.001). In the validation cohort, the AUC of CRNAS for advanced CRN was 0.67 (95% CI: 0.57-0.76). Conclusions: The newly validated CRNAS has a better discriminatory capacity to predict advanced CRN than cardiovascular scores. It may be useful for selecting candidates for screening colonoscopy, especially in those with cardiovascular risk factors.

Colon Polyp Surveillance: Separating the Wheat From the Chaff

One goal of colorectal cancer (CRC) screening is to prevent CRC incidence by removing precancerous colonic polyps, which are detected in up to 50% of screening examinations. Yet, the lifetime risk of CRC is 3.9%-4.3%, so it is clear that most of these individuals with polyps would not develop CRC in their lifetime. It is, therefore, a challenge to determine which individuals with polyps will benefit from follow-up, and at what intervals. There is some evidence that individuals with advanced polyps, based on size and histology, benefit from intensive surveillance. However, a large proportion of individuals will have small polyps without advanced histologic features (ie, "nonadvanced"), where the benefits of surveillance are uncertain and controversial. Demand for surveillance will further increase as more polyps are detected due to increased screening uptake, recent United States recommendations to expand screening to younger individuals, and emergence of polyp detection technology. We review the current understanding and clinical implications of the natural history, biology, and outcomes associated with various categories of colon polyps based on size, histology, and number. Our aims are to highlight key knowledge gaps, specifically focusing on certain categories of polyps that may not be associated with future CRC risk, and to provide insights to inform research priorities and potential management strategies. Optimization of CRC prevention programs based on updated knowledge about the future risks associated with various colon polyps is essential to ensure cost-effective screening and surveillance, wise use of resources, and inform efforts to personalize recommendations.

Genome-wide polygenic risk scores for colorectal cancer have implications for risk-based screening

BACKGROUND

Hereditary factors, including single genetic variants and family history, can be used for targeting colorectal cancer (CRC) screening, but limited data exist on the impact of polygenic risk scores (PRS) on risk-based CRC screening.

METHODS

Using longitudinal health and genomics data on 453,733 Finnish individuals including 8801 CRC cases, we estimated the impact of a genome-wide CRC PRS on CRC screening initiation age through population-calibrated incidence estimation over the life course in men and women.

RESULTS

Compared to the cumulative incidence of CRC at age 60 in Finland (the current age for starting screening in Finland), a comparable cumulative incidence was reached 5 and 11 years earlier in persons with high PRS (80-99% and >99%, respectively), while those with a low PRS (< 20%) reached comparable incidence 7 years later. The PRS was associated with increased risk of post-colonoscopy CRC after negative colonoscopy (hazard ratio 1.76 per PRS SD, 95% CI 1.54-2.01). Moreover, the PRS predicted colorectal adenoma incidence and improved incident CRC risk prediction over non-genetic risk factors.

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings demonstrate that a CRC PRS can be used for risk stratification of CRC, with further research needed to optimally integrate the PRS into risk-based screening.

Development of a Polygenic Risk Score to Predict Diverticulitis

BACKGROUND

Despite its prevalence and associated morbidity, we remain limited in our ability to predict the course of a patient with diverticular disease. Although several clinical and genetic risk factors have been identified, we do not know how these factors relate to one another.

OBJECTIVE

Our aim was to determine whether a polygenic risk score could improve risk prediction for diverticulitis and recurrent diverticulitis compared with a model using only clinical factors.

DESIGN

This is an observational study.

SETTING

The study examines the predictive ability of a polygenic risk score for diverticulitis developed using prior genome-wide association studies and validated using the MyCode biobank.

PATIENTS

This study included patients of European ancestry in the Geisinger Health System who were enrolled in the MyCode Community Health biobanking program.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

The ability of a polygenic risk score to predict diverticulosis, diverticulitis, and recurrent diverticulitis was the main outcome measure of this study.

RESULTS

A total of 60,861 patients were included, of whom 9912 (16.3%) had diverticulosis or diverticulitis (5015 with diverticulosis and 4897 with diverticulitis). When divided into deciles, our polygenic risk score stratified patients by risk of both diverticulosis and diverticulitis with a 2-fold difference in disease risk between the highest and lowest deciles for diverticulitis and a 4.8-fold difference for recurrent complicated diverticulitis. When compared with clinical factors alone, our polygenic risk score was able to improve risk prediction of recurrent diverticulitis.

LIMITATIONS

Our population is largely located in a single geographic region and were classified by disease status, using international classification of diseases codes.

CONCLUSIONS

This predictive model stratifies patients based on genetic risk for diverticular disease. The increased frequency of recurrent disease in our high-risk patients suggests that a polygenic risk score, in addition to other factors, may help guide the discussion regarding surgical intervention. See Video Abstract .

DESARROLLO DE UNA PUNTUACIN DE RIESGO POLIGNICO PARA PREDECIR LA DIVERTICULITIS

ANTECEDENTES:A pesar de su prevalencia y morbilidad asociada, nuestra capacidad para predecir el curso en un paciente con enfermedad diverticular sigue siendo limitada. Si bien se han identificado varios factores de riesgo clínicos y genéticos, no sabemos cómo se relacionan estos factores entre sí.OBJETIVO:Determinar si una puntuación de riesgo poligénico podría mejorar la predicción del riesgo de diverticulitis y diverticulitis recurrente en comparación con un modelo que utiliza solo factores clínicos.DISEÑO:Un estudio observacional que examina la capacidad predictiva de una puntuación de riesgo poligénico para la diverticulitis desarrollada usando estudios previos de asociación amplia del genoma y validada usando el biobanco MyCode.ÁMBITOS Y PACIENTES:Pacientes de ascendencia europea en el Sistema de Salud Geisinger que estaban inscritos en el programa de biobancos MyCode Community Health.PRINCIPALES MEDIDAS DE VALORACIÓN:La capacidad de una puntuación de riesgo poligénico para predecir diverticulosis, diverticulitis y diverticulitis recurrente.RESULTADOS:Se incluyeron un total de 60.861 pacientes, de los cuales 9.912 (16,3%) presentaban diverticulosis o diverticulitis (5.015 con diverticulosis y 4.897 con diverticulitis). Cuando se dividió en deciles, nuestra puntuación de riesgo poligénico estratificó a los pacientes según el riesgo de diverticulosis y diverticulitis con una diferencia de 2 veces en el riesgo de enfermedad entre los deciles más alto y más bajo para diverticulitis y una diferencia de 4,8 veces para diverticulitis complicada recurrente. En comparación con los factores clínicos solos, nuestra puntuación de riesgo poligénico pudo mejorar la predicción del riesgo de diverticulitis recurrente.LIMITACIONES:Nuestra población se encuentra en gran parte en una sola región geográfica y se clasificó por estado de enfermedad utilizando códigos de clasificación internacional de enfermedades.CONCLUSIONES:Este modelo predictivo estratifica a los pacientes en función del riesgo genético de enfermedad diverticular. La mayor frecuencia de enfermedad recurrente en nuestros pacientes de alto riesgo sugiere que un puntaje de riesgo poligénico, además de otros factores, puede ayudar a guiar la discusión sobre la intervención quirúrgica. (Traducción- Dr. Ingrid Melo ).

Polygenic risk alters the penetrance of monogenic kidney disease

Chronic kidney disease (CKD) is determined by an interplay of monogenic, polygenic, and environmental risks. Autosomal dominant polycystic kidney disease (ADPKD) and COL4A-associated nephropathy (COL4A-AN) represent the most common forms of monogenic kidney diseases. These disorders have incomplete penetrance and variable expressivity, and we hypothesize that polygenic factors explain some of this variability. By combining SNP array, exome/genome sequence, and electronic health record data from the UK Biobank and All-of-Us cohorts, we demonstrate that the genome-wide polygenic score (GPS) significantly predicts CKD among ADPKD monogenic variant carriers. Compared to the middle tertile of the GPS for noncarriers, ADPKD variant carriers in the top tertile have a 54-fold increased risk of CKD, while ADPKD variant carriers in the bottom tertile have only a 3-fold increased risk of CKD. Similarly, the GPS significantly predicts CKD in COL4A-AN carriers. The carriers in the top tertile of the GPS have a 2.5-fold higher risk of CKD, while the risk for carriers in the bottom tertile is not different from the average population risk. These results suggest that accounting for polygenic risk improves risk stratification in monogenic kidney disease.

Risk-Stratified Screening for Colorectal Cancer Using Genetic and Environmental Risk Factors: A Cost-Effectiveness Analysis Based on Real-World Data

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Previous studies on the cost-effectiveness of personalized colorectal cancer (CRC) screening were based on hypothetical performance of CRC risk prediction and did not consider the association with competing causes of death. In this study, we estimated the cost-effectiveness of risk-stratified screening using real-world data for CRC risk and competing causes of death.

METHODS

Risk predictions for CRC and competing causes of death from a large community-based cohort were used to stratify individuals into risk groups. A microsimulation model was used to optimize colonoscopy screening for each risk group by varying the start age (40-60 years), end age (70-85 years), and screening interval (5-15 years). The outcomes included personalized screening ages and intervals and cost-effectiveness compared with uniform colonoscopy screening (ages 45-75, every 10 years). Key assumptions were varied in sensitivity analyses.

RESULTS

Risk-stratified screening resulted in substantially different screening recommendations, ranging from a one-time colonoscopy at age 60 for low-risk individuals to a colonoscopy every 5 years from ages 40 to 85 for high-risk individuals. Nevertheless, on a population level, risk-stratified screening would increase net quality-adjusted life years gained (QALYG) by only 0.7% at equal costs to uniform screening or reduce average costs by 1.2% for equal QALYG. The benefit of risk-stratified screening improved when it was assumed to increase participation or costs less per genetic test.

CONCLUSIONS

Personalized screening for CRC, accounting for competing causes of death risk, could result in highly tailored individual screening programs. However, average improvements across the population in QALYG and cost-effectiveness compared with uniform screening are small.

Genome-wide interaction analysis of folate for colorectal cancer risk

BACKGROUND

Epidemiological and experimental evidence suggests that higher folate intake is associated with decreased colorectal cancer (CRC) risk; however, the mechanisms underlying this relationship are not fully understood. Genetic variation that may have a direct or indirect impact on folate metabolism can provide insights into folate's role in CRC.

OBJECTIVES

Our aim was to perform a genome-wide interaction analysis to identify genetic variants that may modify the association of folate on CRC risk.

METHODS

We applied traditional case-control logistic regression, joint 3-degree of freedom, and a 2-step weighted hypothesis approach to test the interactions of common variants (allele frequency >1%) across the genome and dietary folate, folic acid supplement use, and total folate in relation to risk of CRC in 30,550 cases and 42,336 controls from 51 studies from 3 genetic consortia (CCFR, CORECT, GECCO).

RESULTS

Inverse associations of dietary, total folate, and folic acid supplement with CRC were found (odds ratio [OR]: 0.93; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.90, 0.96; and 0.91; 95% CI: 0.89, 0.94 per quartile higher intake, and 0.82 (95% CI: 0.78, 0.88) for users compared with nonusers, respectively). Interactions (P-interaction < 5×10-8) of folic acid supplement and variants in the 3p25.2 locus (in the region of Synapsin II [SYN2]/tissue inhibitor of metalloproteinase 4 [TIMP4]) were found using traditional interaction analysis, with variant rs150924902 (located upstream to SYN2) showing the strongest interaction. In stratified analyses by rs150924902 genotypes, folate supplementation was associated with decreased CRC risk among those carrying the TT genotype (OR: 0.82; 95% CI: 0.79, 0.86) but increased CRC risk among those carrying the TA genotype (OR: 1.63; 95% CI: 1.29, 2.05), suggesting a qualitative interaction (P-interaction = 1.4×10-8). No interactions were observed for dietary and total folate.

CONCLUSIONS

Variation in 3p25.2 locus may modify the association of folate supplement with CRC risk. Experimental studies and studies incorporating other relevant omics data are warranted to validate this finding.

Low Incidence of Colorectal Advanced Neoplasia During Surveillance in Individuals with a Family History of Colorectal Cancer

BACKGROUND

Family history of colorectal cancer (CRC) is used to stratify individuals into risk categories which determine timing of initial screening and ongoing CRC surveillance. Evidence for long-term CRC risk following a normal index colonoscopy in family history populations is limited.

AIMS

To assess the incidence of advanced neoplasia and associated risk factors in a population undergoing surveillance colonoscopies due to family history of CRC.

METHODS

Surveillance colonoscopy findings were examined in 425 individuals with a family history of CRC, a normal index colonoscopy and a minimum of 10 years of follow-up colonoscopies. Advanced neoplasia risk was determined for three CRC family history categories (near-average, medium and high-risk), accounting for demographics and time after the first colonoscopy.

RESULTS

The median follow-up was 13.5 years (IQR 11.5-16.0), with an incidence of advanced neoplasia of 14.35% (61/425). The number of affected relatives and age of CRC diagnosis in the youngest relative did not predict the risk of advanced neoplasia (p > 0.05), with no significant differences in advanced neoplasia incidence between the family history categories (p = 0.16). Patients ≥ 60 years showed a fourfold (HR 4.14, 95% CI 1.33-12.89) higher advanced neoplasia risk during surveillance than those < 40 years at index colonoscopy. With each subsequent negative colonoscopy, the risk of advanced neoplasia at ongoing surveillance was reduced.

CONCLUSIONS

The incidence of advanced neoplasia was low (14.35%), regardless of the family history risk category, with older age being the main risk for advanced neoplasia. Delaying onset of colonoscopy or lengthening surveillance intervals could be a more efficient use of resources in this population.

Human cytomegalovirus infection enhances 5‑lipoxygenase and cycloxygenase‑2 expression in colorectal cancer

Colorectal cancer (CRC) is one of the most common and fatal types of cancer. Inflammation promotes CRC development, however, the underlying etiological factors are unknown. Human cytomegalovirus (HCMV), a virus that induces inflammation and other cancer hallmarks, has been detected in several types of malignancy, including CRC. The present study investigated whether HCMV infection was associated with expression of the pro‑inflammatory enzymes 5‑lipoxygenase (5‑LO) and cyclooxygenase‑2 (COX‑2) and other molecular, genetic and clinicopathological CRC features. The present study assessed 146 individual paraffin‑embedded CRC tissue microarray (TMA) cores already characterized for TP53 and KRAS mutations, microsatellite instability (MSI) status, Ki‑67 index and EGFR by immunohistochemistry (IHC). The cores were further analyzed by IHC for the expression of two HCMV proteins (Immediate Early, IE and pp65) and the inflammatory markers 5‑LO and COX‑2. The CRC cell lines Caco‑2 and LS‑174T were infected with HCMV strain VR1814, treated with antiviral drug ganciclovir (GCV) and/or anti‑inflammatory drug celecoxib (CCX) and analyzed by reverse transcription‑quantitative PCR and immunofluorescence for 5‑LO, COX‑2, IE and pp65 transcripts and proteins. HCMV IE and pp65 proteins were detected in ~90% of the CRC cases tested; this was correlated with COX‑2, 5‑LO and KI‑67 expression, but not with EGFR immunostaining, TP53 and KRAS mutations or MSI status. In vitro, HCMV infection upregulated 5‑LO and COX‑2 transcript and proteins in both Caco‑2 and LS‑174T cells and enhanced cell proliferation as determined by MTT assay. Treatment with GCV and CCX significantly decreased the transcript levels of COX‑2, 5‑LO, HCMV IE and pp65 in infected cells. HCMV was widely expressed in CRC and may promote inflammation and serve as a potential new target for CRC therapy.

Comprehensive Analysis of Early-onset Colorectal Cancer: A Review

Early-onset colorectal cancer (CRC), which refers to CRC diagnosed in individuals below the age of 50 years, is a growing health concern that presents unique challenges in diagnosis, treatment, and long-term outcomes. Although approximately 70% of early-onset CRC cases are sporadic, with no apparent family history, approximately 25% have a familial component, and up to 20% may be associated with germline mutations, indicating a higher prevalence compared with the general population. Despite the progress in identifying the environmental, molecular, and genetic risk factors of early-onset CRC, the underlying causes for the global increase in its incidence remain unclear. This comprehensive review aims to provide a thorough analysis of early-onset CRC by examining the trends associated with its incidence, clinical and pathological characteristics, risk factors, molecular and genetic profiles, prognosis and screening strategies. By deepening our understanding of early-onset CRC, significant advances related to improving the outcomes and alleviating the burden of this disease on individuals, families, and healthcare systems can be achieved.

Colorectal Cancer Polygenic Risk Score Is Associated With Screening Colonoscopy Findings but Not Follow-Up Outcomes

Background and Aims

Colorectal cancer (CRC) polygenic risk scores (PRS) may help personalize CRC prevention strategies. We investigated whether an existing PRS was associated with advanced neoplasia (AN) in a population undergoing screening and follow-up colonoscopy.

Methods

We evaluated 10-year outcomes in the Cooperative Studies Program #380 screening colonoscopy cohort, which includes a biorepository of selected individuals with baseline AN (defined as CRC or adenoma ≥10 mm or villous histology, or high-grade dysplasia) and matched individuals without AN. A PRS was constructed from 136 prespecified CRC-risk single nucleotide polymorphisms. Multivariate logistic regression was used to evaluate the PRS for associations with AN prevalence at baseline screening colonoscopy or incident AN in participants with at least one follow-up colonoscopy.

Results

The PRS was associated with AN risk at baseline screening colonoscopy (P = .004). Participants in the lowest PRS quintile had more than a 70% decreased risk of AN at baseline (odds ratio 0.29, 95% confidence interval 0.14-0.58; P < .001) compared to participants with a PRS in the middle quintile. Using a PRS cut-off of more than the first quintile to indicate need for colonoscopy as primary screening, the sensitivity for detecting AN at baseline is 91.8%. We did not observe a relationship between the PRS and incident AN during follow-up (P = .28).

Conclusion

A PRS could identify individuals at low risk for prevalent AN. Ongoing work will determine whether this PRS can identify a subset of individuals at sufficiently low risk who could safely delay or be reassured about noninvasive screening. Otherwise, more research is needed to augment these genetic tools to predict incident AN during long-term follow-up.

Combining Asian and European genome-wide association studies of colorectal cancer improves risk prediction across racial and ethnic populations

Polygenic risk scores (PRS) have great potential to guide precision colorectal cancer (CRC) prevention by identifying those at higher risk to undertake targeted screening. However, current PRS using European ancestry data have sub-optimal performance in non-European ancestry populations, limiting their utility among these populations. Towards addressing this deficiency, we expand PRS development for CRC by incorporating Asian ancestry data (21,731 cases; 47,444 controls) into European ancestry training datasets (78,473 cases; 107,143 controls). The AUC estimates (95% CI) of PRS are 0.63(0.62-0.64), 0.59(0.57-0.61), 0.62(0.60-0.63), and 0.65(0.63-0.66) in independent datasets including 1681-3651 cases and 8696-115,105 controls of Asian, Black/African American, Latinx/Hispanic, and non-Hispanic White, respectively. They are significantly better than the European-centric PRS in all four major US racial and ethnic groups (p-values < 0.05). Further inclusion of non-European ancestry populations, especially Black/African American and Latinx/Hispanic, is needed to improve the risk prediction and enhance equity in applying PRS in clinical practice.

Personalized Initial Screening Age for Colorectal Cancer in Individuals at Average Risk

Importance

Colorectal cancer (CRC) risk varies widely in the population at average risk without a family history, but there are no established routines for translating this variation into personalized starting ages of screening.

Objective

To illustrate derivation of risk-adapted starting ages of CRC screening based on the concept of risk advancement period (RAP) using sex and a polygenic risk score (PRS) as an example.

Design, Setting, and Participants

This cohort study included participants in the UK Biobank study recruited in England, Wales, and Scotland between March 13, 2006, and October 1, 2010. Participants were aged 40 to 69 years, with no previous bowel cancer screening and no family history of CRC. Follow-up of cancer data was completed February 29, 2020, for England and Wales and January 31, 2021, for Scotland. The censoring date for death data was September 30, 2021, for England and Wales and October 31, 2021, for Scotland.

Exposures

Data on age, sex, and family history were collected at the baseline interview. A PRS was calculated based on 139 CRC-related risk loci.

Main Outcomes and Measures

Hazard ratios (HRs) of sex and PRS with CRC risk and mortality were estimated using Cox proportional hazards regression models and were translated to RAPs to quantify how many years of age earlier or later men and individuals in higher or lower PRS deciles would reach risks comparable with those of the reference group (ie, women or those in the 5th and 6th PRS deciles).

Results

Among 242 779 participants (median age, 55 [IQR, 48-61] years; 55.7% women), 2714 incident CRC cases were identified during a median follow-up of 11.2 (IQR, 10.5-11.8) years and 758 deaths during a median follow-up of 12.8 (IQR, 12.0-13.4) years. The HRs of CRC risk were 1.57 (95% CI, 1.46-1.70) for men vs women and ranged from 0.51 (95% CI, 0.41-0.62) to 2.29 (95% CI, 2.01-2.62) across PRS deciles compared with the reference. The RAPs were 5.6 (95% CI, 4.6-6.6) years for men vs women and ranged from -8.4 (95% CI, -11.0 to -5.9) to 10.3 (95% CI, 8.5-12.1) years across PRS deciles compared with the reference deciles. Risk-adapted starting ages of screening would vary by 24 years between men in the highest PRS decile and women in the lowest PRS decile. Similar results were obtained regarding CRC mortality.

Conclusions and Relevance

In this large cohort study including women and men at average risk of CRC, risk-adapted starting ages of screening strongly varied by sex and a PRS. The RAP concept could easily accommodate additional factors for defining personalized starting ages of screening.

Circ_0084188 Regulates the progression of colorectal cancer through the miR-769-5p/KIF20A axis

BACKGROUND

Colorectal cancer (CRC) is one of the major gastrointestinal malignancies threatening human health. More and more studies indicate that circular RNAs (circRNAs) are important regulatory factors of CRC, but the mechanism is still indistinct.

METHODS

Quantitative real-time polymerase chain reaction (qRT-PCR) and Western blot were used to detect the expression of circ_0084188, microRNA-769-5p (miR-769-5p), and kinesin family member 20A (KIF20A) in CRC tissues. Kaplan-Meier curve was used to analyze the relationship between circ_0084188 expression and the survival rate of CRC patients. Cell proliferation, viability, apoptosis, migration, and invasion were analyzed by 3-(4,5-dimethylthiazol-2-yl)-2,5-diphenyltetrazolium bromide (MTT), 5-ethynyl-2'-deoxyuridine (EdU), flow cytometry, wound-healing, and transwell assays, respectively. The relationship between miR-769-5p and circ_0084188 or KIF20A was detected by a dual-luciferase reporter and RNA pull-down. The effect of circ_0084188 on tumor growth was verified by xenograft studies in vivo.

RESULTS

Circ_0084188 and KIF20A were upregulated and miR-769-5p was downregulated in CRC. Circ_0084188 knockdown repressed the proliferation, migration, and invasion of CRC cells, as well as enhanced apoptosis in vitro. Mechanistically, circ_0084188 targeted miR-769-5p, and the reduction of miR-769-5p reversed the effects of circ_0084188 knockdown on cell functional behaviors. KLF20A was a direct miR-769-5p target, and circ_0084188 acted as a sponge for miR-769-5p to regulate the KIF20A level. Moreover, miR-769-5p regulated the functional behaviors of CRC cells by targeting KIF20A. In addition, circ_0084188 knockdown confined the growth of xenograft tumors in vivo.

CONCLUSION

Circ_0084188 upregulated the expression of KIF20A to promote the tumorigenesis of CRC through miR-769-5p, providing a new therapeutic target for CRC.

Surveillance after colorectal polyp resection

Post-polypectomy surveillance has proven to reduce colorectal cancer (CRC) incidence in patients with high-risk polyps, but it implies a major burden on colonoscopy units. Therefore, it should be targeted to individuals with a higher risk. Different societies have published guidelines on surveillance after resection of polyps, with notable discrepancies among them, and many recommendations come from low-quality evidence based on surrogate measures, such as risk of advanced adenoma, and not CRC risk. In this review, we aimed to summarize the evidence supporting post-polypectomy surveillance, compare the recently updated major guidelines, and discuss the existing discrepancies on this topic. Briefly, patients with adenomas ≥10 mm or high-grade dysplasia and patients with serrated polyps ≥10 mm or dysplasia are generally considered to have an increased risk of metachronous CRC and require surveillance, whereas the indication of surveillance is not clearly established in patients without these high-risk features.

PHLPP2: A Prognostic Biomarker in Adenocarcinoma of the Rectum

BACKGROUND/AIMS

Adenocarcinoma of the rectum (READ) is typically diagnosed at advanced stages due to a lack of early-onset spe- cific features.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

The study used bioinformatics analysis of READ ribonucleic acid sequencing data from The Cancer Genome Atlas database to identify differentially expressed genes (DEGs). Overlapping genes between DEGs and autophagy-associated genes were screened for prognosis-associated DEGs, which were then validated in the OncoLnc database.

RESULTS

A total of 129 autophagy-associated DEGs were identified, with 17 genes found to be associated with READ prognosis. Multivariate Cox regression analysis revealed that only the PHLPP2 gene was significantly associated with READ prognosis (hazard ratio = 0.442, P = .026), and its low expression correlated with low survival in patients with brain lower-grade glioma (P = .00623) and pancreatic adenocarcinoma (P = .00109).

CONCLUSIONS

PHLPP2 expression may serve as a READ-specific prognostic biomarker and is involved in the PI3K-Akt signaling pathway.

Elevated EVL Methylation Level in the Normal Colon Mucosa Is a Potential Risk Biomarker for Developing Recurrent Adenomas

BACKGROUND

Individuals with adenomatous colorectal polyps undergo repeated colonoscopy surveillance to identify and remove metachronous adenomas. However, many patients with adenomas do not develop recurrent adenomas. Better methods to evaluate who benefits from increased surveillance are needed. We evaluated the use of altered EVL methylation as a potential biomarker for risk of recurrent adenomas.

METHODS

Patients with ≥1 colonoscopy had EVL methylation (mEVL) measured with an ultra-accurate methylation-specific droplet digital PCR assay on normal colon mucosa. The association between EVL methylation levels and adenoma or colorectal cancer was evaluated using three case/control definitions in three models: unadjusted (model 1), adjusting for baseline characteristics (model 2), and an adjusted model excluding patients with colorectal cancer at baseline (model 3).

RESULTS

Between 2001 and 2020, 136 patients were included; 74 healthy patients and 62 patients with a history of colorectal cancer. Older age, never smoking, and baseline colorectal cancer were associated with higher levels of mEVL (P ≤ 0.05). Each log base 10 difference in mEVL was associated with an increased risk of adenoma(s) or cancer at/after baseline for model 1 [OR, 2.64; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.09-6.36], and adenoma(s) or cancer after baseline for models 1 (OR, 2.01; 95% CI, 1.04-3.90) and model 2 (OR, 3.17; 95% CI, 1.30-7.72).

CONCLUSIONS

Our results suggest that EVL methylation level detected in the normal colon mucosa has the potential to be a biomarker for monitoring the risk for recurrent adenomas.

IMPACT

These findings support the potential utility of EVL methylation for improving the accuracy for assigning risk for recurrent colorectal adenomas and cancer.

Genetical Signature-An Example of a Personalized Skin Aging Investigation with Possible Implementation in Clinical Practice

We conducted a research study to create the groundwork for personalized solutions within a skin aging segment. This test utilizes genetic and general laboratory data to predict individual susceptibility to weak skin characteristics, leveraging the research on genetic polymorphisms related to skin functional properties. A cross-sectional study was conducted in a collaboration between the Private Clinic Medicina Practica Laboratory (Vilnius, Lithuania) and the Public Institution Lithuanian University of Health Sciences (Kaunas, Lithuania). A total of 370 participants agreed to participate in the project. The median age of the respondents was 40, with a range of 19 to 74 years. After the literature search, we selected 15 polymorphisms of the genes related to skin aging, which were subsequently categorized in terms of different skin functions: SOD2 (rs4880), GPX1 (rs1050450), NQO1 (rs1800566), CAT (rs1001179), TYR (rs1126809), SLC45A2 (rs26722), SLC45A2 (rs16891982), MMP1 (rs1799750), ELN (rs7787362), COL1A1 (rs1800012), AHR (rs2066853), IL6 (rs1800795), IL1Beta (rs1143634), TNF-α (rs1800629), and AQP3 (rs17553719). RT genotyping, blood count, and immunochemistry results were analyzed using statistical methods. The obtained results show significant associations between genotyping models and routine blood screens. These findings demonstrate the personalized medicine approach for the aging segment and further add to the growing literature. Further investigation is warranted to fully understand the complex interplay between genetic factors, environmental influences, and skin aging.

The role and molecular mechanism of metabolic reprogramming of colorectal cancer by UBR5 through PYK2 regulation of OXPHOS expression study

Colorectal carcinoma (CRC) is the third most malignant tumor in the world, but the key mechanisms of CRC progression have not been confirmed. UBR5 and PYK2 expression levels were detected by RT-qPCR. The levels of UBR5, PYK2, and mitochondrial oxidative phosphorylation (OXPHOS) complexes were detected by western blot analysis. Flow cytometry was used to detect ROS activity. The CCK-8 assay was used to assess cell proliferation and viability. The interaction between UBR5 and PYK2 was detected by immunoprecipitation. A clone formation assay was used to determine the cell clone formation rate. The ATP level and lactate production of each group of cells were detected by the kit. EdU staining was performed for cell proliferation.Transwell assay was performed for cell migration ability. For the CRC nude mouse model, we also observed and recorded the volume and mass of tumor-forming tumors. The expression of UBR5 and PYK2 was elevated in both CRC and human colonic mucosal epithelial cell lines, and knockdown of UBR5 had inhibitory effects on cancer cell proliferation and cloning and other behaviors in the CRC process by knockdown of UBR5 to downregulate the expression of PYK2, thus inhibiting the OXPHOS process in CRC; rotenone (OXPHOS inhibitor) treatment enhanced all these inhibitory effects. Knockdown of UBR5 can reduce the expression level of PYK2, thus downregulating the OXPHOS process in CRC cell lines and inhibiting the CRC metabolic reprogramming process.

Expression and Clinical Significance of Ki67 and SOX2 in Colorectal Cancer

The purpose of the paper is to explore the expression levels and clinical significance of Ki67 and sex-determining region Y-box 2 (SOX2) in colorectal cancer. From January 2013 to December 2016, 176 patients with colorectal cancer who were pathologically diagnosed after surgery in the Department of General Surgery in Xiamen Chinese Medical Hospital are included in this study. The pathological parameters, including gender, age, pathological stage, depth of tumor invasion, lymph node metastasis, and distant metastasis, are recorded. Immunohistochemistry is used to detect the correlation between Ki67 and Sox2 protein expression and clinicopathological parameters in colorectal cancer. Immunohistochemistry shows that in each stage of colorectal cancer, the positive rate of SOX2 is higher than that of Ki67, and the sensitivity of SOX2 is relatively high. Moreover, the levels of Ki67 and SOX2 in the cancerous tissues are not related to gender, age, lymph node metastasis and distant metastasis (p > 0.05).

Polygenic risk affects the penetrance of monogenic kidney disease

Background

Chronic kidney disease (CKD) is a genetically complex disease determined by an interplay of monogenic, polygenic, and environmental risks. Most forms of monogenic kidney diseases have incomplete penetrance and variable expressivity. It is presently unknown if some of the variability in penetrance can be attributed to polygenic factors.

Methods

Using the UK Biobank (N=469,835 participants) and the All of Us (N=98,622 participants) datasets, we examined two most common forms of monogenic kidney disorders, autosomal dominant polycystic kidney disease (ADPKD) caused by deleterious variants in the PKD1 or PKD2 genes, and COL4A-associated nephropathy (COL4A-AN caused by deleterious variants in COL4A3, COL4A4, or COL4A5 genes). We used the eMERGE-III electronic CKD phenotype to define cases (estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) <60 mL/min/1.73m2 or kidney failure) and controls (eGFR >90 mL/min/1.73m2 in the absence of kidney disease diagnoses). The effects of the genome-wide polygenic score (GPS) for CKD were tested in monogenic variant carriers and non-carriers using logistic regression controlling for age, sex, diabetes, and genetic ancestry.

Results

As expected, the carriers of known pathogenic and rare predicted loss-of-function variants in PKD1 or PKD2 had a high risk of CKD (ORmeta=17.1, 95% CI: 11.1-26.4, P=1.8E-37). The GPS was comparably predictive of CKD in both ADPKD variant carriers (ORmeta=2.28 per SD, 95%CI: 1.55-3.37, P=2.6E-05) and non-carriers (ORmeta=1.72 per SD, 95% CI=1.69-1.76, P< E-300) independent of age, sex, diabetes, and genetic ancestry. Compared to the middle tertile of the GPS distribution for non-carriers, ADPKD variant carriers in the top tertile had a 54-fold increased risk of CKD, while ADPKD variant carriers in the bottom tertile had only a 3-fold increased risk of CKD. Similarly, the GPS was predictive of CKD in both COL4-AN variant carriers (ORmeta=1.78, 95% CI=1.22-2.58, P=2.38E-03) and non-carriers (ORmeta=1.70, 95%CI: 1.68-1.73 P

Conclusions

Variable penetrance of kidney disease in ADPKD and COL4-AN is partially explained by differences in polygenic risk profiles. Accounting for polygenic factors has the potential to improve risk stratification in monogenic kidney disease and may have implications for genetic counseling.

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Key Words

• APOL1
• GWAS
• chronic kidney disease (CKD)
• polygenic risk score (PRS)

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MESH Headings Collapse

Grants

• OT2 OD026556 NIH HHS
• U2C OD023196 NIH HHS
• OT2 OD026551 NIH HHS
• U24 OD023121 NIH HHS
• OT2 OD026552 NIH HHS
• OT2 OD026549 NIH HHS
• OT2 OD025337 NIH HHS
• OT2 OD025277 NIH HHS
• OT2 OD026555 NIH HHS
• OT2 OD026550 NIH HHS
• OT2 OD026553 NIH HHS
• OT2 OD023205 NIH HHS
• U01 HG008680 NHGRI NIH HHS
• OT2 OD025276 NIH HHS
• OT2 OD026557 NIH HHS
• U24 OD023163 NIH HHS
• OT2 OD023206 NIH HHS
• R01 LM013061 NLM NIH HHS
• U24 OD023176 NIH HHS
• OT2 OD026548 NIH HHS
• OT2 OD025315 NIH HHS
• K25 DK128563 NIDDK NIH HHS
• OT2 OD026554 NIH HHS
• UL1 TR001873 NCATS NIH HHS

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Affiliation(s)

Atlas Khan Division of Nephrology, Dept of Medicine, Vagelos College of Physicians & Surgeons, Columbia University, New York, NY
Ning Shang Division of Nephrology, Dept of Medicine, Vagelos College of Physicians & Surgeons, Columbia University, New York, NY
Jordan G. Nestor Division of Nephrology, Dept of Medicine, Vagelos College of Physicians & Surgeons, Columbia University, New York, NY
Chunhua Weng Department of Biomedical Informatics, Vagelos College of Physicians & Surgeons, Columbia University, New York, NY, USA
George Hripcsak Department of Biomedical Informatics, Vagelos College of Physicians & Surgeons, Columbia University, New York, NY, USA
Peter C. Harris Division of Nephrology and Hypertension, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Minnesota 55905, USA
Ali G. Gharavi Division of Nephrology, Dept of Medicine, Vagelos College of Physicians & Surgeons, Columbia University, New York, NY
Krzysztof Kiryluk Division of Nephrology, Dept of Medicine, Vagelos College of Physicians & Surgeons, Columbia University, New York, NY

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Collaborators Collapse

Association of screening status, polygenic risk score and environmental risk factors with colorectal cancer incidence and mortality risks

Whether screening can attenuate the influence of genetic risk and environmental risk factors for colorectal cancer (CRC) mortality risk remains unknown. Our study is to investigate the association of the screening history, genetic risk and environmental risk factors with CRC incidence and mortality risks using UK Biobank data. Screening history was associated with lower CRC incidence (hazard ratio [HR]: 0.63, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.58-0.69) and mortality risk (HR: 0.56, 95% CI: 0.49-0.63). Compared to the HRs of participants with a low genetic risk, low environmental risk and no screening history, the HRs of participants with a high genetic risk, high environmental risk and no screening history were 3.42 (95% CI: 2.76-4.24) for CRC incidence and 3.36 (95% CI: 2.48-4.56) for CRC mortality. In contrast, the HRs of participants with a high genetic risk and no screening history, but a low environmental risk, were 1.92 (95% CI: 1.55-2.36) for CRC incidence and 1.88 (95% CI: 1.39-2.53) for CRC mortality. Furthermore, the HRs of participants with a high genetic risk and a low environmental risk, but a screening history were 1.62 (95% CI: 1.15-2.28) for CRC incidence and 1.77 (95% CI: 1.08-2.89) for CRC mortality. Participants benefited more substantially from screenings for CRC mortality than for CRC incidence risk. A higher environmental risk was associated with higher risk of CRC incidence and mortality within each category of genetic risk. These findings emphasize the importance of CRC screening and identifying environmental factors to reduce CRC incidence and mortality risks.

Factors associated with interval colorectal cancer after negative FIT: Results of two screening rounds in the Dutch FIT-based CRC screening program

The interval colorectal cancer (CRC) rate after negative fecal immunochemical testing (FIT) is an important quality indicator of CRC screening programs. We analyzed the outcomes of two rounds of the FIT-based CRC screening program in the Netherlands, using data from individuals who participated in FIT-screening from 2014 to 2017. Data of individuals with one prior negative FIT (first round) or two prior negative FITs (first and second round) were included. Outcomes included the incidence of interval CRC in FIT-negative participants (<47 μg Hb/g feces [μg/g]), FIT-sensitivity, and the probability of detecting an interval CRC by fecal hemoglobin concentration (f-Hb). FIT-sensitivity was estimated using the detection method and the proportional incidence method (based on expected CRC incidence). Logistic regression analysis was performed to estimate whether f-Hb affects probability of detecting interval CRC, adjusted for sex- and age-differences. Incidence of interval CRC was 10.4 per 10 000 participants after the first and 9.6 after the second screening round. FIT-sensitivity based on the detection method was 84.4% (95%CI 83.8-85.0) in the first and 73.5% (95% CI 71.8-75.2) in the second screening round. The proportional incidence method resulted in a FIT-sensitivity of 76.4% (95%CI 73.3-79.6) in the first and 79.1% (95%CI 73.7-85.3) in the second screening round. After one negative FIT, participants with f-Hb just below the cut-off (>40-46.9 μg/g) had a higher probability of detecting an interval CRC (OR 16.9; 95%CI: 14.0-20.4) than had participants with unmeasurable f-Hb (0-2.6 μg/g). After two screening rounds, the odds ratio for interval CRC was 12.0 (95%CI: 7.8-17.6) for participants with f-Hb just below the cut-off compared with participants with unmeasurable f-Hb. After both screening rounds, the Dutch CRC screening program had a low incidence of interval CRC and an associated high FIT-sensitivity. Our findings suggest there is a potential for further optimizing CRC screening programs with the use of risk-stratified CRC screening based on prior f-Hb.

Unraveling the function of epithelial-mesenchymal transition (EMT) in colorectal cancer: Metastasis, therapy response, and revisiting molecular pathways

Colorectal cancer (CRC) is a dangerous form of cancer that affects the gastrointestinal tract. It is a major global health concern, and the aggressive behavior of tumor cells makes it difficult to treat, leading to poor survival rates for patients. One major challenge in treating CRC is the metastasis, or spread, of the cancer, which is a major cause of death. In order to improve the prognosis for patients with CRC, it is necessary to focus on ways to inhibit the cancer's ability to invade and spread. Epithelial-mesenchymal transition (EMT) is a process that is linked to the spread of cancer cells, also known as metastasis. The process transforms epithelial cells into mesenchymal ones, increasing their mobility and ability to invade other tissues. This has been shown to be a key mechanism in the progression of colorectal cancer (CRC), a particularly aggressive form of gastrointestinal cancer. The activation of EMT leads to increases in the spread of CRC cells, and during this process, levels of the protein E-cadherin decrease while levels of N-cadherin and vimentin increase. EMT also contributes to the development of resistance to chemotherapy and radiation therapy in CRC. Non-coding RNAs, such as long non-coding RNAs (lncRNAs) and circular RNAs (circRNAs), play a role in regulating EMT in CRC, often through their ability to "sponge" microRNAs. Anti-cancer agents have been shown to suppress EMT and reduce the progression and spread of CRC cells. These findings suggest that targeting EMT or related mechanisms may be a promising approach for treating CRC patients in the clinic.

Colorectal Cancer Risk Assessment and Precision Approaches to Screening: Brave New World or Worlds Apart?

Current colorectal cancer (CRC) screening recommendations take a "one-size-fits-all" approach using age as the major criterion to initiate screening. Precision screening that incorporates factors beyond age to risk stratify individuals could improve on current approaches and optimally use available resources with benefits for patients, providers, and health care systems. Prediction models could identify high-risk groups who would benefit from more intensive screening, while low-risk groups could be recommended less intensive screening incorporating noninvasive screening modalities. In addition to age, prediction models incorporate well-established risk factors such as genetics (eg, family CRC history, germline, and polygenic risk scores), lifestyle (eg, smoking, alcohol, diet, and physical inactivity), sex, and race and ethnicity among others. Although several risk prediction models have been validated, few have been systematically studied for risk-adapted population CRC screening. In order to envisage clinical implementation of precision screening in the future, it will be critical to develop reliable and accurate prediction models that apply to all individuals in a population; prospectively study risk-adapted CRC screening on the population level; garner acceptance from patients and providers; and assess feasibility, resources, cost, and cost-effectiveness of these new paradigms. This review evaluates the current state of risk prediction modeling and provides a roadmap for future implementation of precision CRC screening.

Validation of a Genetic-Enhanced Risk Prediction Model for Colorectal Cancer in a Large Community-Based Cohort

BACKGROUND

Polygenic risk scores (PRS) which summarize individuals' genetic risk profile may enhance targeted colorectal cancer screening. A critical step towards clinical implementation is rigorous external validations in large community-based cohorts. This study externally validated a PRS-enhanced colorectal cancer risk model comprising 140 known colorectal cancer loci to provide a comprehensive assessment on prediction performance.

METHODS

The model was developed using 20,338 individuals and externally validated in a community-based cohort (n = 85,221). We validated predicted 5-year absolute colorectal cancer risk, including calibration using expected-to-observed case ratios (E/O) and calibration plots, and discriminatory accuracy using time-dependent AUC. The PRS-related improvement in AUC, sensitivity and specificity were assessed in individuals of age 45 to 74 years (screening-eligible age group) and 40 to 49 years with no endoscopy history (younger-age group).

RESULTS

In European-ancestral individuals, the predicted 5-year risk calibrated well [E/O = 1.01; 95% confidence interval (CI), 0.91-1.13] and had high discriminatory accuracy (AUC = 0.73; 95% CI, 0.71-0.76). Adding the PRS to a model with age, sex, family and endoscopy history improved the 5-year AUC by 0.06 (P < 0.001) and 0.14 (P = 0.05) in the screening-eligible age and younger-age groups, respectively. Using a risk-threshold of 5-year SEER colorectal cancer incidence rate at age 50 years, adding the PRS had a similar sensitivity but improved the specificity by 11% (P < 0.001) in the screening-eligible age group. In the younger-age group it improved the sensitivity by 27% (P = 0.04) with similar specificity.

CONCLUSIONS

The proposed PRS-enhanced model provides a well-calibrated 5-year colorectal cancer risk prediction and improves discriminatory accuracy in the external cohort.

IMPACT

The proposed model has potential utility in risk-stratified colorectal cancer prevention.

Genome-wide Interaction Study with Smoking for Colorectal Cancer Risk Identifies Novel Genetic Loci Related to Tumor Suppression, Inflammation, and Immune Response

BACKGROUND

Tobacco smoking is an established risk factor for colorectal cancer. However, genetically defined population subgroups may have increased susceptibility to smoking-related effects on colorectal cancer.

METHODS

A genome-wide interaction scan was performed including 33,756 colorectal cancer cases and 44,346 controls from three genetic consortia.

RESULTS

Evidence of an interaction was observed between smoking status (ever vs. never smokers) and a locus on 3p12.1 (rs9880919, P = 4.58 × 10-8), with higher associated risk in subjects carrying the GG genotype [OR, 1.25; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.20-1.30] compared with the other genotypes (OR <1.17 for GA and AA). Among ever smokers, we observed interactions between smoking intensity (increase in 10 cigarettes smoked per day) and two loci on 6p21.33 (rs4151657, P = 1.72 × 10-8) and 8q24.23 (rs7005722, P = 2.88 × 10-8). Subjects carrying the rs4151657 TT genotype showed higher risk (OR, 1.12; 95% CI, 1.09-1.16) compared with the other genotypes (OR <1.06 for TC and CC). Similarly, higher risk was observed among subjects carrying the rs7005722 AA genotype (OR, 1.17; 95% CI, 1.07-1.28) compared with the other genotypes (OR <1.13 for AC and CC). Functional annotation revealed that SNPs in 3p12.1 and 6p21.33 loci were located in regulatory regions, and were associated with expression levels of nearby genes. Genetic models predicting gene expression revealed that smoking parameters were associated with lower colorectal cancer risk with higher expression levels of CADM2 (3p12.1) and ATF6B (6p21.33).

CONCLUSIONS

Our study identified novel genetic loci that may modulate the risk for colorectal cancer of smoking status and intensity, linked to tumor suppression and immune response.

IMPACT

These findings can guide potential prevention treatments.

Hsa_circ_0079480 enhances cell proliferation, migration, and invasion in colorectal cancer through miR-498/ATP5E axis

Circular RNAs play critical roles in tumorigenesis. hsa_circ_0079480 was reported to be upregulated in colorectal cancer (CRC). However, its specific molecule in CRC is poorly understood. Hsa_circ_0079480, miR-498, and ATP5E expressions in CRC tissues and CRC cells were determined using quantitative real-time polymerase chain reaction assay. ATP5E protein level was assessed using Western blot. Cell proliferation, migration, and invasion were examined by 3-(4, 5-Dimethylthiazolyl2)-2, 5-diphenyltetrazolium bromide assay and Transwell assays, respectively. Dual-luciferase reporter gene assay was performed to analyze the interactions between hsa_circ_0079480, miR-498, and ATP5E. This study results showed that hsa_circ_0079480 and ATP5E expressions were significantly increased in CRC tissues and CRC cells, while miR-498 was downregulated. Hsa_circ_0079480 knockdown dramatically suppressed CRC cell proliferation, migration, and invasion. Meanwhile, it turned out that hsa_circ_0079480 knockdown inhibited CRC tumor growth in vivo. Hsa_circ_0079480 could negatively regulate miR-498 expression by directly targeting miR-498. MiR-498 overexpression dramatically inhibited CRC cell malignant behaviors. miR-498 negatively regulated ATP5E expression by directly binding to ATP5E. ATP5E knockdown suppressed CRC cell malignant behaviors. ATP5E overexpression mitigated the inhibitory effect of hsa_circ_0079480 on CRC cell malignant behaviors. Since hsa_circ_0079480 knockdown inhibited CRC cells malignant behaviors through regulation of the miR-498/ATP5E axis, it can be concluded that hsa_circ_0079480 might have great potential as therapeutic target for CRC.

Risk-Adapted Starting Age for Personalized Colorectal Cancer Screening: Validated Evidence From National Population-Based Studies

BACKGROUND & AIMS

A one-size-fits-all approach to colorectal cancer (CRC) screening that does not account for CRC risk factors is not conducive to personalized screening. On the basis of the principle of equal management of equal risks, we aimed to tailor and validate risk-adapted starting ages of CRC screening for individuals with different CRC risk factors.

METHODS

A multi-center community-based population cohort (N = 3,165,088) was used to evaluate the starting age of CRC screening with comprehensive consideration of risk factors. Age-specific 10-year cumulative risk curves were used to determine when individuals at greater risk for CRC reached the same risk level as the 50-year-old general population, which is currently the recommended starting age for CRC screening in China.

RESULTS

During the study follow-up period (2013-2021), 4,840 incident CRCs were recorded. Family history of CRC, adverse lifestyle, and comorbidities demonstrated heterogeneous associations with CRC risk (hazard ratios, 1.05-1.55; P < .05). Men and women with CRC family history and at least 2 risk factors reached the standard benchmark risk (0.28%) for screening at the age of 40, 10 years earlier than their peers without risk factors in the general population. Proposed starting ages for CRC screening were validated in an independent community-based population cohort (N = 1,023,367).

CONCLUSIONS

We determined a risk-adapted CRC screening starting age for individuals with various CRC risk factors. Earlier, personalized screening based on these findings could allow for scarce health resources to be dedicated to individuals who benefit most.