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Chen C, Chen D, Du Y, Jiang D, Cao K, Yang M, Wu X, Chen M, Zhou W, Qi J, You Y, Yan R, Yang S. Global patterns and trends in deaths of influenza-associated lower respiratory infections from 1990 to 2019. Epidemiol Infect 2025; 153:e49. [PMID: 40123429 PMCID: PMC11951234 DOI: 10.1017/s0950268824001559] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/08/2024] [Revised: 08/21/2024] [Accepted: 10/10/2024] [Indexed: 03/25/2025] Open
Abstract
This study examined global trends in influenza-associated lower respiratory infections (LRIs) deaths from 1990 to 2019 using data from the GBD 2019. The annual percentage change (APC) and average annual percentage change (AAPC) were used to analyze age-standardized death rates (ASDR). Globally, the ASDR of influenza-associated LRIs was 3.29/100,000 in 2019, which was higher in the African region (6.57/100,000) and among adults aged 70 years and older (29.88/100,000). The ASDR of influenza-associated LRIs decreased significantly from 1990 to 2019 (AAPC = -1.88%, P < 0.05). However, it was significantly increased among adults aged 70 years and older during 2017-2019 (APC = 2.31%, P < 0.05), especially in Western Pacific Region and South-East Asia Regions. The ratio of death rates between adults aged 70 years and older and children aged under 5 years increased globally from 1.63 in 1990 to 5.34 in 2019, and the Western Pacific Region experienced the most substantial increase, with the ratio soaring from 1.83 in 1990 to 12.98 in 2019. Despite a decline in the global ASDR of influenza-associated LRIs, it continues to impose a significant burden, particularly in the African, Western Pacific regions and among the elderly population.
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Affiliation(s)
- Can Chen
- Department of Emergency Medicine, Second Affiliated Hospital, Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, The Key Laboratory of Intelligent Preventive Medicine of Zhejiang Province, Zhejiang University School of Medicine, Hangzhou, China
| | - Dingmo Chen
- Department of Emergency Medicine, Second Affiliated Hospital, Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, The Key Laboratory of Intelligent Preventive Medicine of Zhejiang Province, Zhejiang University School of Medicine, Hangzhou, China
- Shangcheng Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Hangzhou, China
| | - Yuxia Du
- Department of Emergency Medicine, Second Affiliated Hospital, Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, The Key Laboratory of Intelligent Preventive Medicine of Zhejiang Province, Zhejiang University School of Medicine, Hangzhou, China
| | - Daixi Jiang
- Department of Emergency Medicine, Second Affiliated Hospital, Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, The Key Laboratory of Intelligent Preventive Medicine of Zhejiang Province, Zhejiang University School of Medicine, Hangzhou, China
| | - Kexin Cao
- Department of Emergency Medicine, Second Affiliated Hospital, Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, The Key Laboratory of Intelligent Preventive Medicine of Zhejiang Province, Zhejiang University School of Medicine, Hangzhou, China
| | - Mengya Yang
- Department of Emergency Medicine, Second Affiliated Hospital, Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, The Key Laboratory of Intelligent Preventive Medicine of Zhejiang Province, Zhejiang University School of Medicine, Hangzhou, China
| | - Xiaoyue Wu
- Department of Emergency Medicine, Second Affiliated Hospital, Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, The Key Laboratory of Intelligent Preventive Medicine of Zhejiang Province, Zhejiang University School of Medicine, Hangzhou, China
| | - Mengsha Chen
- Department of Emergency Medicine, Second Affiliated Hospital, Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, The Key Laboratory of Intelligent Preventive Medicine of Zhejiang Province, Zhejiang University School of Medicine, Hangzhou, China
| | - Wenkai Zhou
- Department of Emergency Medicine, Second Affiliated Hospital, Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, The Key Laboratory of Intelligent Preventive Medicine of Zhejiang Province, Zhejiang University School of Medicine, Hangzhou, China
| | - Jiaxing Qi
- Department of Emergency Medicine, Second Affiliated Hospital, Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, The Key Laboratory of Intelligent Preventive Medicine of Zhejiang Province, Zhejiang University School of Medicine, Hangzhou, China
| | - Yue You
- Department of Emergency Medicine, Second Affiliated Hospital, Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, The Key Laboratory of Intelligent Preventive Medicine of Zhejiang Province, Zhejiang University School of Medicine, Hangzhou, China
| | - Rui Yan
- Department of Emergency Medicine, Second Affiliated Hospital, Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, The Key Laboratory of Intelligent Preventive Medicine of Zhejiang Province, Zhejiang University School of Medicine, Hangzhou, China
| | - Shigui Yang
- Department of Emergency Medicine, Second Affiliated Hospital, Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, The Key Laboratory of Intelligent Preventive Medicine of Zhejiang Province, Zhejiang University School of Medicine, Hangzhou, China
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Mathew M, Doddaiah N, Hussain S, Nambiar NS, Theempalangad RM, Narayanappa S, Shrisagar RAN. Correlating the Socio-Economic Burden of Influenza Infections and the Cost-Benefit of Vaccination in Paediatric Populations. J Prim Care Community Health 2025; 16:21501319251332150. [PMID: 40275510 PMCID: PMC12035308 DOI: 10.1177/21501319251332150] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/20/2025] [Revised: 03/11/2025] [Accepted: 03/17/2025] [Indexed: 04/26/2025] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Influenza in India is increasingly shifting from seasonal outbreaks to an endemic presence with potential pandemic risks. Despite ongoing surveillance to monitor regional virus circulation, it's crucial to assess the unique socio-economic impact of influenza compared to other respiratory illnesses. METHODOLOGY A retrospective study was conducted from October 2023 to October 2024, analysed 3 years of data from a south Indian tertiary care hospital. Children hospitalised with any subtypes of influenza infection were classified as Group 1, while those vaccinated with at least one dose of influenza vaccine from the hospital's immunisation centre formed Group 2. Trends in infection burden and vaccine utilization among paediatric population were detailed, with separate calculations of the economic burden for each group, leading to a summarized cost-benefit analysis. RESULTS Over three-years, Group 1 included 93 children were with a confirmed positive influenza test, while Group 2 consisted of 453 children who received at least one influenza vaccine at the study site. Hence the study site marked an influenza infection rate of 13.62% and a vaccination rate of 6.93%. Infections were more frequent in children over 1 year (74.19%), while vaccine utilization was highest in those under one (91.83%). Boys had a higher infection rate (65.59%) and demonstrated greater vaccine utilization (56.51%). Vaccine underutilization was evident, with only 1.99% receiving timely boosters, and 23.84% missing them. Infections were more prevalent among middle and lower-income children (86.02%), while vaccination rate was higher in upper income families (81.01%). Vaccination cost was 7.76 times lower than treatment; averaging INR 3252.21 (38.73 USD) per child, compared to treatment at INR 25 237.1 (300.14 USD). Net benefit ranged from INR 611 658.99 to INR 1 135 938.12, based on ±30% wage variations within the study community. CONCLUSION The study underscores the economic benefits of influenza vaccination; with costs nearly eight times lower than treatment. However, socio-economic disparities in vaccine utilization emphasize the need for targeted strategies to improve access in lower-income groups.
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Affiliation(s)
- Merrin Mathew
- JSS Academy of Higher Education and Research, Mysuru, Karnataka, India
| | | | - Sakeer Hussain
- JSS Academy of Higher Education and Research, Mysuru, Karnataka, India
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Morales KF, Brown DW, Dumolard L, Steulet C, Vilajeliu A, Ropero Alvarez AM, Moen A, Friede M, Lambach P. Seasonal influenza vaccination policies in the 194 WHO Member States: The evolution of global influenza pandemic preparedness and the challenge of sustaining equitable vaccine access. Vaccine X 2021; 8:100097. [PMID: 34041476 PMCID: PMC8143996 DOI: 10.1016/j.jvacx.2021.100097] [Citation(s) in RCA: 30] [Impact Index Per Article: 7.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/30/2020] [Revised: 03/30/2021] [Accepted: 04/14/2021] [Indexed: 11/16/2022] Open
Abstract
Introduction As of 2018, 118 of 194 WHO Member States reported the presence of an influenza vaccination policy. Although influenza vaccination policies do not guarantee equitable access or ensure vaccination coverage, they are critical to establishing a coordinated influenza vaccination program, which can reduce morbidity and mortality associated with yearly influenza, especially in high-risk groups. Established programs can also provide a good foundation for pandemic preparedness and response. Methods We utilized EXCEL and STATA to evaluate changes to national seasonal influenza vaccination policies reported on the WHO/UNICEF Joint Reporting Forms on Immunization (JRF) in 2014 and 2018. To characterize countries with or without policies, we incorporated external data on World Bank income groupings, WHO regions, and immunization system strength (using 3 proxy indicators). Results From 2014 to 2018 there was a small net increase in national seasonal influenza vaccination policies from 114 (59%) to 118 (61%). There was an increase in policies targeting high-risk groups from 34 in 2014 (34 /114 policies, 29%) to 56 (56/118 policies, 47%) in 2018. Policies were consistently more frequent in high-income countries, in WHO Regions of the Americas (89% of countries) and Europe (89%), and in countries satisfying all three immunization system strength indicators. Low and low-middle income countries, representing 40% of the worlds' population, accounted for 52/61 (85%) of countries with no evidence of a policy in either year. Conclusion Our results demonstrate that national influenza vaccination policies vary significantly by region, income, and immunization system strength, and are less common in lower-income countries. Barriers to establishing and maintaining policies should be further examined as part of international efforts to expand influenza vaccination policies globally. Next generation influenza vaccine development should work to address barriers to influenza vaccination policy adoption, such as cost, logistics for adult vaccination, country priorities, need for yearly vaccination, and variations in seasonality.
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Affiliation(s)
- Kathleen F Morales
- Sierra Strategy Group, Evian les Baines 74500, France.,Sierra Strategy Group, Den Haag 2291XN, the Netherlands
| | - David W Brown
- Pivot-23.5° / BCGI LLC, 19701 Bethel Church Road, Ste 103-168, Cornelius, NC 28031, USA
| | - Laure Dumolard
- Department of Immunization, Vaccines and Biologicals (IVB), World Health Organization, Geneva, Switzerland
| | - Claudia Steulet
- Department of Immunization, Vaccines and Biologicals (IVB), World Health Organization, Geneva, Switzerland
| | - Alba Vilajeliu
- Comprehensive Family Immunization Unit, Department of Family, Health Promotion, and Life Course (FPL), Pan American Health Organization (PAHO) / WHO Regional Office for the Americas, Washington, DC, USA
| | - Alba Maria Ropero Alvarez
- Comprehensive Family Immunization Unit, Department of Family, Health Promotion, and Life Course (FPL), Pan American Health Organization (PAHO) / WHO Regional Office for the Americas, Washington, DC, USA
| | - Ann Moen
- Influenza Preparedness and Response, Health Emergencies Programme, World Health Organization, Geneva, Switzerland
| | - Martin Friede
- Department of Immunization, Vaccines and Biologicals (IVB), World Health Organization, Geneva, Switzerland
| | - Philipp Lambach
- Department of Immunization, Vaccines and Biologicals (IVB), World Health Organization, Geneva, Switzerland
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Ebama MS, Chu SY, Azziz-Baumgartner E, Lafond KE, McCarron M, Hadler SC, Porter RM, McKinlay M, Bresee J. Ancillary benefits of seasonal influenza vaccination in middle-income countries. Vaccine 2021; 39:1892-1896. [PMID: 33714656 PMCID: PMC11849795 DOI: 10.1016/j.vaccine.2021.02.048] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/15/2020] [Revised: 02/19/2021] [Accepted: 02/22/2021] [Indexed: 10/21/2022]
Abstract
While seasonal influenza vaccines (SIV) remain the best method to prevent influenza-associated illnesses, implementing SIV programs may benefit countries beyond disease reduction, strengthening health systems and national immunization programs, or conversely, introduce new challenges. Few studies have examined perceived impacts of SIV introduction beyond disease reduction on health systems; understanding such impacts will be particularly salient in the context of COVID-19 vaccine introduction. We collected qualitative data from key informants-Partnership for Influenza Vaccine Introduction (PIVI) contacts in six middle-income PIVI vaccine recipient countries-to understand perceptions of ancillary benefits and challenges from SIV implementation. Respondents reported benefits associated with SIV introduction, including improved attitudes to SIV among risk groups (characterized by increased demand) and perceptions that SIV introduction improved relationships with other ministries and collaboration with mass media. Challenges included sustaining investment in SIV programs, as vaccine supply did not always meet coverage goals, and managing SIV campaigns.
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Affiliation(s)
- Malembe S Ebama
- Center for Vaccine Equity, Task Force for Global Health, GA, USA.
| | - Susan Y Chu
- Global Immunization Division, Center for Global Health, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA, USA
| | - Eduardo Azziz-Baumgartner
- Influenza Division, National Center for Immunization and Respiratory Diseases, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA, USA
| | - Kathryn E Lafond
- Influenza Division, National Center for Immunization and Respiratory Diseases, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA, USA
| | - Margaret McCarron
- Influenza Division, National Center for Immunization and Respiratory Diseases, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA, USA
| | - Stephen C Hadler
- Center for Vaccine Equity, Task Force for Global Health, GA, USA
| | - Rachael M Porter
- Influenza Division, National Center for Immunization and Respiratory Diseases, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA, USA
| | - Mark McKinlay
- Center for Vaccine Equity, Task Force for Global Health, GA, USA
| | - Joseph Bresee
- Center for Vaccine Equity, Task Force for Global Health, GA, USA; Influenza Division, National Center for Immunization and Respiratory Diseases, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA, USA
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Niang M, Deming ME, Goudiaby D, Diop OM, Dia N, Diallo A, Ortiz JR, Diop D, Lewis KDC, Lafond KE, Widdowson MA, Victor JC, Neuzil KM. Immunogenicity of seasonal inactivated influenza and inactivated polio vaccines among children in Senegal: Results from a cluster-randomized trial. Vaccine 2020; 38:7526-7532. [PMID: 33012603 PMCID: PMC7936169 DOI: 10.1016/j.vaccine.2020.09.059] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/15/2020] [Revised: 08/25/2020] [Accepted: 09/20/2020] [Indexed: 01/22/2023]
Abstract
Data on influenza vaccine immunogenicity in children are limited from tropical developing countries. We recently reported significant, moderate effectiveness of a trivalent inactivated influenza vaccine (IIV) in a controlled, cluster-randomized trial in children in rural Senegal during 2009, a year of H3N2 vaccine mismatch (NCT00893906). We report immunogenicity of IIV3 and inactivated polio vaccine (IPV) from that trial. We evaluated hemagglutination inhibition (HAI) and polio antibody titers in response to vaccination of three age groups (6 through 35 months, 3 through 5 years, and 6 through 8 years). As all children were IIV naïve, each received two vaccine doses, although titers were assessed after only the first dose for subjects aged 6 through 8 years. Seroconversion rates (4-fold titer rise or increase from <1:10 to ≥1:40) were 74-87% for A/H1N1, 76-87% for A/H3N2, and 54-79% for B/Yamagata. Seroprotection rates (HAI titer ≥ 1:40) were 79-88% for A/H1N1, 88-96% for A/H3N2, and 52-74% for B/Yamagata. IIV responses were lowest in the youngest age group, and they were comparable between ages 3 through 5 years after two doses and 6 through 8 years after one dose. We found that baseline seropositivity (HAI titer ≥ 1:10) was an effect modifier of IIV response. Using a seroprotective titer (HAI titer ≥ 1:160) recommended for IIV evaluation in children, we found that among subjects who were seropositive at baseline, 69% achieved seroprotection for both A/H1N1 and A/H3N2, while among those who were seronegative at baseline, seroprotection was achieved in 11% for A/H1N1 and 22% for A/H3N2. The IPV group had high baseline polio antibody seropositivity and appropriate responses to vaccination. Our data emphasize the importance of a two-dose IIV3 series in vaccine naïve children. IIV and IPV vaccines were immunogenic in Senegalese children.
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Affiliation(s)
- Mbayame Niang
- National Influenza and Other Respiratory Viruses Center, Institut Pasteur de Dakar, Senegal
| | - Meagan E Deming
- Center for Vaccine Development and Global Health, University of Maryland School of Medicine, Baltimore, USA; Institute of Human Virology, University of Maryland School of Medicine, Baltimore, USA
| | - Deborah Goudiaby
- National Influenza and Other Respiratory Viruses Center, Institut Pasteur de Dakar, Senegal
| | | | - Ndongo Dia
- National Influenza and Other Respiratory Viruses Center, Institut Pasteur de Dakar, Senegal
| | - Aldiouma Diallo
- UMR VITROME, Institut de Recherche Pour le Développement, Dakar, Senegal
| | - Justin R Ortiz
- Center for Vaccine Development and Global Health, University of Maryland School of Medicine, Baltimore, USA
| | | | | | - Kathryn E Lafond
- Influenza Division, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA, USA
| | - Marc-Alain Widdowson
- Institute of Tropical Medicine, Antwerp, Belgium; Division Global Health Protection, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Nairobi, Kenya
| | | | - Kathleen M Neuzil
- Center for Vaccine Development and Global Health, University of Maryland School of Medicine, Baltimore, USA.
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Isakova-Sivak I, Grigorieva E, Rudenko L. Insights into current clinical research on the immunogenicity of live attenuated influenza vaccines. Expert Rev Vaccines 2020; 19:43-55. [PMID: 31903816 DOI: 10.1080/14760584.2020.1711056] [Citation(s) in RCA: 10] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/09/2023]
Abstract
Introduction: Live attenuated influenza vaccines (LAIVs) have been in use for more than three decades and are now licensed in many countries. There is evidence that LAIVs can have greater efficacy than inactivated influenza vaccines, especially against mismatched influenza, however, in recent years, a number of trials have found a lack of LAIV efficacy, mainly in relation to the H1N1 virus.Areas covered: In this review, we summarize the results of clinical research published in the past 5 years on the immunogenicity of LAIVs, with special attention to the mechanisms of establishing protective immunity and some factors that may influence immunogenicity and efficacy.Expert opinion: A number of recent clinical studies confirmed that the immune responses to LAIVs are multifaceted, involving different immune mechanisms. These trials suggest that the intrinsic replicative properties of each LAIV component should be taken into account, and the precise effects of adding a fourth vaccine strain to trivalent LAIV formulations are still to be identified. In addition, new data are emerging regarding the impact of pre-vaccination conditions, such as preexisting immunity or concurrent asymptomatic viral and bacterial respiratory infections, on LAIV immunogenicity, suggesting the importance of monitoring them during clinical trials or vaccination campaigns.
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Affiliation(s)
- Irina Isakova-Sivak
- Department of Virology, Institute of Experimental Medicine, St. Petersburg, Russia
| | - Elena Grigorieva
- Department of Virology, Institute of Experimental Medicine, St. Petersburg, Russia
| | - Larisa Rudenko
- Department of Virology, Institute of Experimental Medicine, St. Petersburg, Russia
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