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Environmentally relevant uptake, elimination, and metabolic changes following early embryonic exposure to 2,3,7,8-tetrachlorodibenzo-p-dioxin in zebrafish. CHEMOSPHERE 2023; 310:136723. [PMID: 36241106 PMCID: PMC9835613 DOI: 10.1016/j.chemosphere.2022.136723] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/16/2022] [Revised: 08/16/2022] [Accepted: 09/30/2022] [Indexed: 06/03/2023]
Abstract
Dioxin and dioxin-like compounds are ubiquitous environmental contaminants that induce toxicity by binding to the aryl hydrocarbon receptor (AHR), a ligand activated transcription factor. The zebrafish model has been used to define the developmental toxicity observed following exposure to exogenous AHR ligands such as the potent agonist 2,3,7,8-tetrachlorodibenzo-p-dioxin (dioxin, TCDD). While the model has successfully identified cellular targets of TCDD and molecular mechanisms mediating TCDD-induced phenotypes, fundamental information such as the body burden produced by standard exposure models is still unknown. We performed targeted gas chromatography (GC) high-resolution mass spectrometry (HRMS) in tandem with non-targeted liquid chromatography (LC) HRMS to quantify TCDD uptake, model the elimination dynamics of TCDD, and determine how TCDD exposure affects the zebrafish metabolome. We found that 50 ppt, 10 ppb, and 1 ppb waterborne exposures to TCDD during early embryogenesis produced environmentally relevant body burdens: 38 ± 4.34, 26.6 ± 1.2, and 8.53 ± 0.341 pg/embryo, respectively, at 24 hours post fertilization. TCDD exposure was associated with the dysregulation of metabolic pathways that are associated with the AHR signaling pathway as well as pathways shown to be affected in mammals following TCDD exposure. In addition, we discovered that TCDD exposure affected several metabolic pathways that are critical for brain development and function including glutamate metabolism, chondroitin sulfate biosynthesis, and tyrosine metabolism. Together, these data demonstrate that existing exposure methods produce environmentally relevant body burdens of TCDD in zebrafish and provide insight into the biochemical pathways impacted by toxicant-induced AHR activation.
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Systematic review and meta-analysis of cancer risks in relation to environmental waste incinerator emissions: a meta-analysis of case-control and cohort studies. Epidemiol Health 2022; 44:e2022070. [PMID: 36097807 PMCID: PMC9849852 DOI: 10.4178/epih.e2022070] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/05/2022] [Accepted: 09/01/2022] [Indexed: 01/28/2023] Open
Abstract
OBJECTIVES Various toxic substances can be generated from incinerators, exposing nearby residents, and epidemiological studies have shown wide variations in risk estimates for cancer risk in populations living close to incinerators. METHODS Following the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) guidelines, a literature search and systematic review were conducted to identify studies conducted on general populations exposed to environmental incinerator emissions and cancer outcomes. Meta-analysis was performed according to the cancer types for which 2 or more studies were reported. Subgroup analysis was done for sex, the exposure estimation method, the study period, and the type of outcome. RESULTS Eleven studies were found for the qualitative review and meta-analysis. Seven studies had a case-control design, and 4 had a cohort design. The pooled effect size was not significant for breast, colorectal, liver, lung, lymphohematopoietic, stomach, bladder, central nervous system, and laryngeal cancers, non-Hodgkin lymphoma, sarcoma, leukemia, and all cancers. In the subgroup analysis, the pooled effect size of laryngeal cancer in females was 1.82 (95% confidence interval, 1.10 to 3.01), although only 2 studies were identified. CONCLUSIONS The meta-analysis did not provide evidence of an increased risk for any cancer among populations living near waste incinerators, except for laryngeal cancer in females. However, since relatively few studies were reviewed and some cancer types showed significant increases in individual studies, this evidence needs to be updated regularly.
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The impact of left truncation of exposure in environmental case-control studies: evidence from breast cancer risk associated with airborne dioxin. Eur J Epidemiol 2021; 37:79-93. [PMID: 34254231 DOI: 10.1007/s10654-021-00776-y] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/01/2020] [Accepted: 06/15/2021] [Indexed: 12/24/2022]
Abstract
In epidemiology, left-truncated data may bias exposure effect estimates. We analyzed the bias induced by left truncation in estimating breast cancer risk associated with exposure to airborne dioxins. Simulations were run with exposure estimates from a Geographic Information System (GIS)-based metric and considered two hypotheses for historical exposure, three scenarios for intra-individual correlation of annual exposures, and three exposure-effect models. For each correlation/model combination, 500 nested matched case-control studies were simulated and data fitted using a conditional logistic regression model. Bias magnitude was assessed by estimated odds-ratios (ORs) versus theoretical relative risks (TRRs) comparisons. With strong intra-individual correlation and continuous exposure, left truncation overestimated the Beta parameter associated with cumulative dioxin exposure. Versus a theoretical Beta of 4.17, the estimated mean Beta (5%; 95%) was 73.2 (67.7; 78.8) with left-truncated exposure and 4.37 (4.05; 4.66) with lifetime exposure. With exposure categorized in quintiles, the TRR was 2.0, the estimated ORQ5 vs. Q1 2.19 (2.04; 2.33) with truncated exposure versus 2.17 (2.02; 2.32) with lifetime exposure. However, the difference in exposure between Q5 and Q1 was 18× smaller with truncated data, indicating an important overestimation of the dose effect. No intra-individual correlation resulted in effect dilution and statistical power loss. Left truncation induced substantial bias in estimating breast cancer risk associated with exposure with continuous and categorical models. With strong intra-individual exposure correlation, both models detected associations, but categorical models provided better estimates of effect trends. This calls for careful consideration of left truncation-induced bias in interpreting environmental epidemiological data.
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The Metabolism and Potential Bioactivity of Chlorophyll and Metallo‐chlorophyll Derivatives in the Gastrointestinal Tract. Mol Nutr Food Res 2021; 65:e2000761. [DOI: 10.1002/mnfr.202000761] [Citation(s) in RCA: 11] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/30/2020] [Revised: 12/08/2020] [Indexed: 12/24/2022]
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Association between dioxin and cancer incidence and mortality: a meta-analysis. Sci Rep 2016; 6:38012. [PMID: 27897234 PMCID: PMC5126552 DOI: 10.1038/srep38012] [Citation(s) in RCA: 36] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/14/2016] [Accepted: 11/03/2016] [Indexed: 01/11/2023] Open
Abstract
The objective of the present study was to systematically assess the association between dioxin/2,3,7,8-tetrachlorodibenzo-p-dioxin (TCDD) and cancer incidence and mortality. Systematic literature searches were conducted until July 2015 in Pubmed, Embase and Cochrane library to identify relevant studies. A random-effects model was applied to estimate the pooled odds ratio (OR), risk ratio (RR), standard incidence ratio (SIR) or standard mortality ratio (SMR) for cancer incidence or mortality. In addition, dose-response, meta-regression, subgroup, and publication bias analyses were conducted. Thirty-one studies involving 29,605 cancer cases and 3,478,748 participants were included. Higher external exposure level of TCDD was significantly associated with all cancer mortality (pooled SMR = 1.09, 95% CI: 1.01-1.19, p = 0.04), but not all cancer incidence (pooled RR = 1.01, 95% CI: 0.97-1.06, p = 0.49). Higher blood level of TCDD was both significantly associated with all cancer incidence (pooled RR = 1.57, 95% CI: 1.21-2.04, p = 0.001) and all cancer mortality (pooled SMR = 1.45, 95% CI: 1.25-1.69, p < 0.001). Subgroup analysis suggested that higher external exposure and blood level of TCDD were both significantly associated with the mortality caused by non-Hodgkin's lymphoma. In conclusion, external exposure and blood level of TCDD were both significantly associated with all cancer mortality, especially for non-Hodgkin's lymphoma.
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Uncertainty analysis in 2,3,7,8-tetrachlorodibenzo-p-dioxin (TCDD) cancer dose-response for three occupational cohorts. ENVIRONMENT INTERNATIONAL 2016; 88:53-59. [PMID: 26708281 DOI: 10.1016/j.envint.2015.12.010] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.1] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/11/2015] [Revised: 11/19/2015] [Accepted: 12/10/2015] [Indexed: 06/05/2023]
Abstract
While the U.S. EPA has issued a draft report with a 1% TCDD effective dose (ED01) of 87.9pg/kg/day based on continuous integration of key scientific evidence, a detailed and comprehensive uncertainty analysis has not been well documented. In this study, a new estimate for ED01 was derived based on uncertainty analysis by quantitatively assessing the potential bias arising from the selection of kinetic models, dose-response models and cohorts. The cumulative serum lipid concentration (CSLC) and cumulative body burden (CBB) were reconstructed as dose metrics using a concentration- and age-dependent pharmacokinetic model (CADM), physiologically based pharmacokinetic model (PBPK), and age-dependent half-life model (FV), and the reconstructed dose metrics based on CADM and PBPK were generally higher than those based on the FV model. Three dose-response curves (linear, multiplicative and power) were used to link dose metrics and cancer risk to estimate ED01, and the linear model resulted in the lowest ED01, followed by the power model and multiplicative model, for the same cohort. Meanwhile, ED01 based on the CADM model was the highest, followed by those based on the PBPK model and first-order model. Finally, the ED01 was estimated to be 17.03±7.83pg/kg/day by statistically analyzing the distribution of ED01 values based on various kinetic models, cohorts and dose-response models. The study presented here strengthens the scientific basis for understanding the potential health implications of TCDD exposure.
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Trend of cancer risk of Chinese inhabitants to dioxins due to changes in dietary patterns: 1980-2009. Sci Rep 2016; 6:21997. [PMID: 26912346 PMCID: PMC4766489 DOI: 10.1038/srep21997] [Citation(s) in RCA: 10] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/28/2015] [Accepted: 02/03/2016] [Indexed: 11/12/2022] Open
Abstract
Food ingestion is a major route for human exposure and body burden to dioxins. We estimated the potential influence of changes in dietary patterns in Chinese population on human health risk to 2,3,7,8-TCDD (2,3,7,8-tetrachlorodibenzo-p-dioxin) over the last three decades. We performed multiple modeling scenario investigations to discriminate the contribution of 2,3,7,8-TCDD emissions and changes in dietary patterns to the cancer risks (CR) to dioxins. Results showed that changes in dietary patterns, featured by decreasing consumption of total grain (including all unprocessed grains) and vegetables and increasing intake of animal-derived foodstuffs, caused increasing CR from 7.3 × 10(-8) in 1980 to 1.1 × 10(-7) in 2009. Varying dietary patterns contributed 17% to the CR of Chinese population in 2009 under the fixed emission in 1980. The CR to 2,3,7,8-TCDD in urban and eastern China residents was higher considerably than those who lived in rural area and western China, attributable to higher emissions, household income, and greater intake of animal-derived foodstuffs in urban and eastern China inhabitants. On the other hand, more rapid increasing trend of the CR was found in rural residents due to their more rapid increase in the consumption of fat-dominated foods as compared with urban residents.
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Abstract
UNLABELLED The largest U.S. environmental health risk is cardiopulmonary mortality from ambient PM2.5. The concentration-response (C-R) for ambient PM2.5 in the U.S. is generally assumed to be linear: from any initial baseline, a given concentration reduction would yield the same improvement in health risk. Recent evidence points to the perplexing possibility that the PM2.5 C-R for cardiopulmonary mortality and some other major endpoints might be supralinear: a given concentration reduction would yield greater improvements in health risk as the initial baseline becomes cleaner. We explore the implications of supralinearity for air policy, emphasizing U.S. CONDITIONS If C-R is supralinear, an economically efficient PM2.5 target may be substantially more stringent than under current standards. Also, if a goal of air policy is to achieve the greatest health improvement per unit of PM2.5 reduction, the optimal policy might call for greater emission reductions in already-clean locales-making "blue skies bluer"-which may be at odds with environmental equity goals. Regardless of whether the C-R is linear or supralinear, the health benefits of attaining U.S. PM2.5 levels well below the current standard would be large. For the supralinear C-R considered here, attaining the current U.S. EPA standard, 12 μg m(-3), would avert only ~17% (if C-R is linear: ∼ 25%) of the total annual cardiopulmonary mortality attributable to PM2.5.
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Uncertainties in human health risk assessment of environmental contaminants: A review and perspective. ENVIRONMENT INTERNATIONAL 2015; 85:120-32. [PMID: 26386465 DOI: 10.1016/j.envint.2015.09.008] [Citation(s) in RCA: 20] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/06/2015] [Revised: 08/31/2015] [Accepted: 09/02/2015] [Indexed: 05/24/2023]
Abstract
Addressing uncertainties in human health risk assessment is a critical issue when evaluating the effects of contaminants on public health. A range of uncertainties exist through the source-to-outcome continuum, including exposure assessment, hazard and risk characterisation. While various strategies have been applied to characterising uncertainty, classical approaches largely rely on how to maximise the available resources. Expert judgement, defaults and tools for characterising quantitative uncertainty attempt to fill the gap between data and regulation requirements. The experiences of researching 2,3,7,8-tetrachlorodibenzo-p-dioxin (TCDD) illustrated uncertainty sources and how to maximise available information to determine uncertainties, and thereby provide an 'adequate' protection to contaminant exposure. As regulatory requirements and recurring issues increase, the assessment of complex scenarios involving a large number of chemicals requires more sophisticated tools. Recent advances in exposure and toxicology science provide a large data set for environmental contaminants and public health. In particular, biomonitoring information, in vitro data streams and computational toxicology are the crucial factors in the NexGen risk assessment, as well as uncertainties minimisation. Although in this review we cannot yet predict how the exposure science and modern toxicology will develop in the long-term, current techniques from emerging science can be integrated to improve decision-making.
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Dioxin risk assessment: mechanisms of action and possible toxicity in human health. ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE AND POLLUTION RESEARCH INTERNATIONAL 2015; 22:19434-50. [PMID: 26514567 DOI: 10.1007/s11356-015-5597-x] [Citation(s) in RCA: 42] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/24/2015] [Accepted: 10/08/2015] [Indexed: 05/11/2023]
Abstract
Dioxin-like compounds (DLCs) have been classified by the World Health Organization (WHO) as one of the most persistent toxic chemical substances in the environment, and they are associated with several occupational activities and industrial accidents around the world. Since the end of the 1970s, these toxic chemicals have been banned because of their human toxicity potential, long half-life, wide dispersion, and they bioaccumulate in the food web. This review serves as a primer for environmental health professionals to provide guidance on short-term risk assessment of dioxin and to identify key findings for health and exposure assessment based on policies of different agencies. It also presents possible health effects of dioxins, mechanisms of action, toxic equivalency factors (TEFs), and dose-response characterization. Key studies related to toxicity values of dioxin-like compounds and their possible human health risk were identified through PubMed and supplemented with relevant studies characterized by reviewing the reference lists in the review articles and primary literature. Existing data decreases the scope of analyses and models in relevant studies to a manageable size by focusing on the set of important studies related to the perspective of developing toxicity values of DLCs.
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Hierarchical regression for analyses of multiple outcomes. Am J Epidemiol 2015; 182:459-67. [PMID: 26232395 DOI: 10.1093/aje/kwv047] [Citation(s) in RCA: 49] [Impact Index Per Article: 5.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/02/2014] [Accepted: 02/11/2015] [Indexed: 01/17/2023] Open
Abstract
In cohort mortality studies, there often is interest in associations between an exposure of primary interest and mortality due to a range of different causes. A standard approach to such analyses involves fitting a separate regression model for each type of outcome. However, the statistical precision of some estimated associations may be poor because of sparse data. In this paper, we describe a hierarchical regression model for estimation of parameters describing outcome-specific relative rate functions and associated credible intervals. The proposed model uses background stratification to provide flexible control for the outcome-specific associations of potential confounders, and it employs a hierarchical "shrinkage" approach to stabilize estimates of an exposure's associations with mortality due to different causes of death. The approach is illustrated in analyses of cancer mortality in 2 cohorts: a cohort of dioxin-exposed US chemical workers and a cohort of radiation-exposed Japanese atomic bomb survivors. Compared with standard regression estimates of associations, hierarchical regression yielded estimates with improved precision that tended to have less extreme values. The hierarchical regression approach also allowed the fitting of models with effect-measure modification. The proposed hierarchical approach can yield estimates of association that are more precise than conventional estimates when one wishes to estimate associations with multiple outcomes.
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Exposure to TCDD from base perimeter application of Agent Orange in Vietnam. THE SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT 2015; 511:82-90. [PMID: 25531592 DOI: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2014.11.083] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/07/2014] [Revised: 11/09/2014] [Accepted: 11/25/2014] [Indexed: 06/04/2023]
Abstract
Using recognized methods routinely employed by pesticide regulatory agencies, the exposures of military personnel that were mixer/loader/applicators (M/L/A) of Agent Orange (AO) for perimeter foliage at bases during the Vietnam War were estimated. From the fraction of TCDD in AO, absorbed dosage of the manufacturing contaminant was estimated. Dermal exposure estimated from spray drift to residents of the bases was calculated using internationally recognized software that accounted for proximity, foliar density of application site, droplet size and wind speed among other factors, and produced estimates of deposition. Those that directly handled AO generally had much higher exposures than those further from the areas of use. The differences in exposure potential varied by M/L/A activity, but were typically orders of magnitude greater than bystanders. However, even the most-exposed M/L/A involved in perimeter application had lifetime exposures comparable to persons living in the U.S. at the time, i.e., ~1.3 to 5 pg TCDD/kg bodyweight.
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Net survival after exposure to polychlorinated biphenyls and dioxins: the Yusho study. ENVIRONMENT INTERNATIONAL 2014; 73:28-32. [PMID: 25086376 DOI: 10.1016/j.envint.2014.07.008] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/01/2014] [Revised: 07/02/2014] [Accepted: 07/02/2014] [Indexed: 05/20/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Net survival is an important measure of the overall outcome of disease management. This net survival is the most appropriate for international comparisons of disease impact between countries or time periods with different patterns of all-cause mortality because it is not influenced by other causes of death. However, little information is available on net survival among Yusho patients, who were accidentally exposed to PCBs and other dioxin-related compounds. METHODS We estimated the net survival of 1664 Yusho patients (860 males, 804 females) as Yusho cohort subjects using the unbiased Pohar-Perme method. RESULTS Among males, 1-, 5-, 10-, and 15-year net survival were 99.5% (95% confidence interval (CI): 97.9, 99.9), 99.1% (CI: 95.0, 99.9), 97.4% (CI: 86.5, 99.5), and 97.4% (CI: 84.2, 99.6), respectively. Among females, net survival remained almost constant. 1-, 5-, 10-, and 15-year net survival were generally higher in females than in males. CONCLUSIONS This study provides the first unbiased estimations of net survival among Yusho patients. We confirmed that older male Yusho patients have experienced a significant decrease in net survival. Our results suggest that the excess hazard of PCBs and dioxins must be taken into account when evaluating unbiased estimates of net survival.
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Human urinary biomarkers of dioxin exposure: Analysis by metabolomics and biologically driven data dimensionality reduction. Toxicol Lett 2014; 230:234-43. [DOI: 10.1016/j.toxlet.2013.10.031] [Citation(s) in RCA: 42] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/11/2013] [Revised: 10/16/2013] [Accepted: 10/26/2013] [Indexed: 12/31/2022]
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Biomarker-based calibration of retrospective exposure predictions of perfluorooctanoic acid. ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY 2014; 48:5636-42. [PMID: 24730513 PMCID: PMC4032181 DOI: 10.1021/es4053736] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 05/05/2023]
Abstract
Estimated historical exposures and serum concentrations of perfluorooctanoic acid (PFOA) have been extensively used in epidemiologic studies that examined associations between PFOA exposures and adverse health outcomes among residents in highly exposed areas in the Mid-Ohio Valley. Using measured serum PFOA levels in 2005-2006, we applied two calibration methods to these retrospective exposure predictions: (1) multiplicative calibration and (2) Bayesian pharmacokinetic calibration with larger adjustments to more recent exposure estimates and smaller adjustments to exposure estimates for years farther in the past. We conducted simulation studies of various hypothetical exposure scenarios and compared hypothetical true historical intake rates with estimates based on mis-specified baseline exposure and pharmacokinetic models to find the method with the least bias. The Bayesian method outperformed the multiplicative method if a change to bottled water consumption was not reported or if the half-life of PFOA was mis-specified. On the other hand, the multiplicative method outperformed the Bayesian method if actual tap water consumption rates were systematically overestimated. If tap water consumption rates gradually decreased over time because of substitution with bottled water or other liquids, neither method clearly outperformed another. Calibration of retrospective exposure estimates using recently collected biomarkers may help reduce uncertainties in environmental epidemiologic studies.
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Bias in half-life estimates using log concentration regression in the presence of background exposures, and potential solutions. JOURNAL OF EXPOSURE SCIENCE & ENVIRONMENTAL EPIDEMIOLOGY 2012; 22:299-303. [PMID: 22333729 DOI: 10.1038/jes.2012.2] [Citation(s) in RCA: 14] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/29/2010] [Accepted: 10/11/2011] [Indexed: 05/17/2023]
Abstract
Regression of log serum concentrations or log urine concentrations on time elapsed after primary exposure ceases is a common method for estimating the elimination rates and corresponding half-lives for environmental contaminants. However, this method produces bias in the presence of ongoing background exposures. A general formula for the amount of bias introduced by background exposures under any single compartment pharmacokinetic model is derived here, and simpler expressions and graphical results are presented for the special case of regularly spaced biomarker measurements. The formulas are also applied to evaluate the potential bias from background exposures in recently published half-life estimates for perfluorooctanoate. These published half-lives are likely to be overestimated because of bias from background exposures, by about 1-26%. Background exposures can contribute substantial bias to half-life estimates based on longer follow-up times, even when the background contribution constitutes a small fraction of total exposure at baseline.
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Retrospective Exposure Assessment of Perfluorooctanoic Acid Serum Concentrations at a Fluoropolymer Manufacturing Plant. ANNALS OF OCCUPATIONAL HYGIENE 2012; 56:1025-37. [DOI: 10.1093/annhyg/mes023] [Citation(s) in RCA: 26] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/09/2023]
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The cutaneous lesions of dioxin exposure: lessons from the poisoning of Victor Yushchenko. Toxicol Sci 2011; 125:310-7. [PMID: 21998131 DOI: 10.1093/toxsci/kfr223] [Citation(s) in RCA: 100] [Impact Index Per Article: 7.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/14/2022] Open
Abstract
Several million people are exposed to dioxin and dioxin-like compounds, primarily through food consumption. Skin lesions historically called "chloracne" are the most specific sign of abnormal dioxin exposure and classically used as a key marker in humans. We followed for 5 years a man who had been exposed to the most toxic dioxin, 2,3,7,8-tetrachlorodibenzo-p-dioxin (TCDD), at a single oral dose of 5 million-fold more than the accepted daily exposure in the general population. We adopted a molecular medicine approach, aimed at identifying appropriate therapy. Skin lesions, which progressively covered up to 40% of the body surface, were found to be hamartomas, which developed parallel to a complete and sustained involution of sebaceous glands, with concurrent transcriptomic alterations pointing to the inhibition of lipid metabolism and the involvement of bone morphogenetic proteins signaling. Hamartomas created a new compartment that concentrated TCDD up to 10-fold compared with serum and strongly expressed the TCDD-metabolizing enzyme cytochrome P450 1A1, thus representing a potentially significant source of enzymatic activity, which may add to the xenobiotic metabolism potential of the classical organs such as the liver. This historical case provides a unique set of data on the human tissue response to dioxin for the identification of new markers of exposure in human populations. The herein discovered adaptive cutaneous response to TCDD also points to the potential role of the skin in the metabolism of food xenobiotics.
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TCDD and cancer: a critical review of epidemiologic studies. Crit Rev Toxicol 2011; 41:622-36. [PMID: 21718216 PMCID: PMC3154583 DOI: 10.3109/10408444.2011.560141] [Citation(s) in RCA: 71] [Impact Index Per Article: 5.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/27/2010] [Revised: 01/31/2011] [Accepted: 02/01/2011] [Indexed: 11/13/2022]
Abstract
The authors reviewed the epidemiologic studies on exposure to 2,3,7,8-tetrachlorodibenzo-p-dioxin (TCDD) and cancer risk, published since the last full-scale review made by the International Agency for Research on Cancer Monographs program in 1997. The update of a cohort of US herbicide producers generated negative results overall; the internal analysis provided evidence of an increased "all-cancer" risk in the highest exposure category, with a statistically significant exposure-response association in some of the many analyses performed. The update of a similar Dutch cohort did not confirm the previously observed association with TCDD exposure. The updated surveillance of the Seveso population provided evidence of increased all-cancer mortality 15-20 years after exposure among those living in the most contaminated area but might also reflect random variation, as overall excesses in the most recent follow-up were not observed. Corresponding data on cancer incidence offer little support to the mortality results. Updated results from cohort studies of Vietnam veterans potentially exposed to TCDD did not consistently suggest an increased risk of cancer. Results of additional, smaller studies of other occupational groups potentially exposed to TCDD, and of community-based case-control studies, did not provide consistent evidence of an increased cancer risk. In conclusion, recent epidemiological evidence falls far short of conclusively demonstrating a causal link between TCDD exposure and cancer risk in humans. The emphasis on results for overall cancer risk-rather than risk for specific neoplasms-is not justified on epidemiologic grounds and is not a reason for ignoring the weaknesses of the available evidence.
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Thyroid follicular lesions induced by oral treatment for 2 years with 2,3,7,8-tetrachlorodibenzo-p-dioxin and dioxin-like compounds in female Harlan Sprague-Dawley rats. Toxicol Pathol 2010; 38:1037-50. [PMID: 20924081 DOI: 10.1177/0192623310382560] [Citation(s) in RCA: 7] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/17/2022]
Abstract
2,3,7,8-Tetrachlorodibenzo-p-dioxin (TCDD) and structurally-similar dioxin-like compounds affect thyroid function and morphology and thyroid hormone metabolism in animals and humans. The National Toxicology Program conducted eight 2-year gavage studies in female Harlan Sprague-Dawley rats to determine the relative potency of chronic toxicity and carcinogenicity of TCDD, 3,3',4,4',5-pentachlorobiphenyl (PCB126), 2,3,4,7,8-pentachlorodibenzofuran (PeCDF), 2,3',4,4',5-pentachlorobiphenyl (PCB118), 2,2',4,4',5,5'-hexachloro-biphenyl (PCB153), a tertiary mixture of TCDD/PCB126/PeCDF, and two binary mixtures (PCB126/PCB153 and PCB126/PCB118). Administration of these compounds was associated with increased incidences of thyroid follicular cell hypertrophy, variably observed in the 14-, 31-, and 53-week interim and 2-year sacrifice groups. In all studies, the incidences of follicular cell adenoma and carcinoma were not increased. Decreased levels of serum thyroxine were primarily noted in the 14-or-later -week interim groups of all chemicals. Serum triiodothyronine (T3) levels were increased in the TCDD, PCB126, PeCDF, TCDD/PCB126/PeCDF, and PCB126/PCB153 studies, while decreased levels were noted in the PCB153 and PCB126/PCB118 studies. TCDD, PCB126, PCB126/PCB153, and PCB126/PCB118 increased levels of serum thyroid-stimulating hormone almost in a dose-dependent manner in the 14-week groups. These data suggest that although dioxin-like compounds alter thyroid hormones and increase follicular cell hyperplasia, there is not an increase in thyroid adenoma or carcinoma in female Sprague-Dawley rats.
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TCDD exposure estimation for workers at a New Zealand 2,4,5-T manufacturing facility based on serum sampling data. JOURNAL OF EXPOSURE SCIENCE & ENVIRONMENTAL EPIDEMIOLOGY 2010; 20:417-426. [PMID: 19491942 DOI: 10.1038/jes.2009.31] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/06/2009] [Revised: 04/16/2009] [Accepted: 04/30/2009] [Indexed: 05/27/2023]
Abstract
Employment in the manufacture of the herbicide 2,4,5-trichlorophenoxyacetic acid (2,4,5-T) is associated with potential exposure to 2,3,7,8-tetrachlorodibenzo-p-dioxin (TCDD) and elevated serum lipid TCDD concentrations can be measured in workers for decades after terminated occupational exposure. As part of an epidemiological study of 1599 workers employed at a facility in New Plymouth, New Zealand that manufactured 2,4,5-T, serum TCDD concentrations measured in blood samples from 346 workers were used with work history records and a simple pharmacokinetic model in a linear regression to estimate dose rates associated with specific job exposure groups at the facility. The model was used to estimate serum TCDD concentration profiles over time for each individual in the full study group and accounted for 30% of the observed variance in TCDD concentrations in the serum donor subgroup. The model underestimated measured concentrations substantially for eleven individuals in the study group; examination of questionnaire data revealed a variety of activities apart from routine employment at the facility that may have contributed to the measured serum TCDD concentrations. Estimated serum TCDD concentrations were below 300 p.p.t. for all individuals in the cohort over the entire study time period, lower than estimates for other 2,4,5-T worker populations. This finding is consistent with occupational medicine records, which indicated that no cases of chloracne were ever diagnosed among workers employed on the site. The modeled exposures will be used in an evaluation of mortality patterns of workers at this facility.
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RE: "Mortality rates among trichlorophenol workers with exposure to 2,3,7,8-tetrachlorodibenzo-p-dioxin". Am J Epidemiol 2010; 171:129-30; author reply 130-1. [PMID: 19995829 DOI: 10.1093/aje/kwp380] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.1] [Reference Citation Analysis] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/12/2022] Open
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THREE AUTHORS REPLY. Am J Epidemiol 2009. [DOI: 10.1093/aje/kwp381] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/14/2022] Open
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Reproductive Lesions in Female Harlan Sprague-Dawley Rats Following Two-Year Oral Treatment with Dioxin and Dioxin-like Compounds. Toxicol Pathol 2009; 37:921-37. [DOI: 10.1177/0192623309351721] [Citation(s) in RCA: 18] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/18/2022]
Abstract
Results from previously published animal studies suggest that prenatal and postnatal exposure to dioxin and dioxin-like compounds (DLCs) may profoundly affect the reproductive system of both sexes via endocrine disruption. In the present work, we evaluate the toxicity and carcinogenicity of various DLCs, with an emphasis on their effect on the reproductive organs, induced by chronic exposure of female adult Harlan Sprague-Dawley rats. This investigation represents part of an initiative of the National Toxicology Program to determine the relative potency of chronic toxicity and carcinogenicity of polychlorinated dioxins, furans, and biphenyls. For fourteen, thirty-one, or fifty-three weeks or for two years, animals were administered by gavage 2,3,7,8-tetrachlorodibenzo- p-dioxin (TCDD); 3,3′,4,4′,5-pentachlorobiphenyl (PCB126); 2,3,4,7,8-pentachlorodibenzofuran (PeCDF); 2,2′,4,4′,5,5′-hexachlorobiphenyl (PCB153); 2,3′,4,4′,5-pentachlorobiphenyl (PCB118); a tertiary mixture of TCDD, PCB126, and PeCDF; a binary mixture of PCB126 and 153; or a binary mixture of PCB126 and PCB118. The ranges of treatment-related changes in the reproductive system included chronic active inflammation in the ovary that occurred in the 1,000 and 3,000 μg/kg core groups (two-year exposure) of PCB153 and in the 300 ng/3,000 μg/kg core group of binary mixture of PCB126 and PCB153. Increases in the incidence of acute and/or chronic active inflammation of the uterus were observed in all dosed groups, including the stop-exposure group (withdrawal after thirty-week exposure) of PeCDF and the 1,000 μg/kg and/or higher group dosed with PCB153. The incidence of cystic endometrial hyperplasia was marginally increased in the 92 PeCDF ng/kg group at two years. The incidence of squamous metaplasia was significantly increased in the 44 ng/kg and higher dose group, including the stop-exposure group. The incidence of uterine squamous cell carcinoma was significantly or marginally increased in the 6 ng/kg core and 100 ng/kg stop-exposure groups of TCDD and in the 300 ng/300 μg/kg core group that received the binary mixture of PCB126 and 153. The incidence of uterine carcinoma was marginally increased in the 92 ng/kg PeCDF group at two years and clearly increased in the 1,000 and 4,600 μg/kg PCB118 core group and the 4,600 μg/kg stop group. In the studies of PCB 126, the tertiary mixture, and the binary mixture of PCB126 and PCB118, no increased incidence of any change occurred in the reproductive systems. The range of changes seen with the different compounds suggests that more than one mechanism may have been involved in promoting the female reproductive pathology.
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Cancer incidence in the population exposed to dioxin after the "Seveso accident": twenty years of follow-up. Environ Health 2009; 8:39. [PMID: 19754930 PMCID: PMC2754980 DOI: 10.1186/1476-069x-8-39] [Citation(s) in RCA: 83] [Impact Index Per Article: 5.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/08/2009] [Accepted: 09/15/2009] [Indexed: 05/18/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND The Seveso, Italy accident in 1976 caused the contamination of a large population by 2,3,7,8-tetrachlorodibenzo-p-dioxin (TCDD). Possible long-term effects have been examined through mortality and cancer incidence studies. We have updated the cancer incidence study which now covers the period 1977-96. METHODS The study population includes subjects resident at the time of the accident in three contaminated zones with decreasing TCDD soil levels (zone A, very high; zone B, high; zone R, low) and in a surrounding non-contaminated reference territory. Gender-, age-, and period-adjusted rate ratios (RR) and 95% confidence intervals (95% CI) were calculated by using Poisson regression for subjects aged 0-74 years. RESULTS All cancer incidence did not differ from expectations in any of the contaminated zones. An excess of lymphatic and hematopoietic tissue neoplasms was observed in zones A (four cases; RR, 1.39; 95% CI, 0.52-3.71) and B (29 cases; RR, 1.56; 95% CI, 1.07-2.27) consistent with the findings of the concurrent mortality study. An increased risk of breast cancer was detected in zone A females after 15 years since the accident (five cases, RR, 2.57; 95% CI, 1.07-6.20). No cases of soft tissue sarcomas occurred in the most exposed zones (A and B, 1.17 expected). No cancer cases were observed among subjects diagnosed with chloracne early after the accident. CONCLUSION The extension of the Seveso cancer incidence study confirmed an excess risk of lymphatic and hematopoietic tissue neoplasms in the most exposed zones. No clear pattern by time since the accident and zones was evident partly because of the low number of cases. The elevated risk of breast cancer in zone A females after 15 years since the accident deserves further and thorough investigation. The follow-up is continuing in order to cover the long time period (even decades) usually elapsing from exposure to carcinogenic chemicals and disease occurrence.
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Inflammatory and chloracne-like skin lesions in B6C3F1 mice exposed to 3,3',4,4'-tetrachloroazobenzene for 2 years. Toxicology 2009; 265:1-9. [PMID: 19737593 DOI: 10.1016/j.tox.2009.08.017] [Citation(s) in RCA: 11] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/08/2009] [Revised: 08/27/2009] [Accepted: 08/31/2009] [Indexed: 12/19/2022]
Abstract
Exposure to dioxin and dioxin-like compounds (DLCs) has been connected to the induction of chloracne in humans and animals. 3,3',4,4'-Tetrachloroazobenzene (TCAB) is an environmental contaminant that induces chloracne in humans. TCAB has been studied only to a limited extent in laboratory animals. While performing a 2-year gavage study in B6C3F1 mice to evaluate the toxic and carcinogenic effects of TCAB, we also explored potential chloracnegenic properties. Groups of 50 male and 50 female B6C3F1 mice were exposed by gavage to TCAB at dose levels of 0, 3, 10 and 30 mg/kg for 5 days a week for 2 years. The animals developed treatment-related gross inflammatory skin lesions, which were characterized histologically by inflammation, fibrosis, hyperplasia, and ulcers. Additionally, many of the animals developed follicular dilatation and sebaceous gland atrophy, consistent with chloracne-like lesions. This current 2-year study supports recently published papers showing susceptibility to chloracne in mouse strains other than hairless mice. The chloracne-like lesions were not clinically evident; therefore, our study highlights the need for careful examination of the skin in order to identify subtle lesions consistent with chloracne-like changes in rodents exposed to dioxin and DLCs. Since previous short-term studies did not demonstrate any skin lesions, we suggest that reliable assessment of all safety issues involving dioxin and DLCs requires evaluation following chronic exposure. Such studies in animal models will help to elucidate the mechanisms of dioxin-related health hazards.
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Pulmonary lesions in female Harlan Sprague-Dawley rats following two-year oral treatment with dioxin-like compounds. Toxicol Pathol 2007; 35:880-9. [PMID: 18098034 PMCID: PMC2633090 DOI: 10.1080/01926230701748396] [Citation(s) in RCA: 6] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/20/2023]
Abstract
Dioxin and dioxin-related compounds have been associated with high incidences of pulmonary dysfunctions and/or cancers in humans. To evaluate the relative potencies of effects of these compounds, the National Toxicology Program completed a series of two-year bioassays which were conducted using female Harlan Sprague-Dawley rats. The rats were treated orally for up to 2 years with 2,3,7,8-tetrachlorodibenzo-p-dioxin (TCDD), 3,3',4,4',5-pentachlorobiphenyl (PCB126), 2,3,4,7,8-pentachlorodibenzofuran (PeCDF), and a ternary mixture of TCDD, PCB126 and PeCDF. In addition to treatment-related effects reported in other organs, a variety of pulmonary lesions were observed that were related to exposure. Pulmonary CYP1A1-associated 7-ethoxyresorufin-O-deethylase (EROD) activity was increased in all dosed groups. The most common non-neoplastic lesions, which occurred in all studies, were bronchiolar metaplasia and squamous metaplasia of the alveolar epithelium. Cystic keratinizing epithelioma was the most commonly observed neoplasm which occurred in all studies. A low incidence of squamous cell carcinoma was associated only with PCB126 treatment. Potential mechanisms leading to altered differentiation and/or proliferation of bronchiolar and alveolar epithelia may be through CYP1A1 induction or disruption of retinoid metabolism.
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Caution in drawing conclusions from PBPK models based on sparse human data. RISK ANALYSIS : AN OFFICIAL PUBLICATION OF THE SOCIETY FOR RISK ANALYSIS 2007; 27:7-8; author reply 9-10. [PMID: 17362395 DOI: 10.1111/j.1539-6924.2006.00876.x] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 05/14/2023]
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Use of a physiologically based pharmacokinetic model for rats to study the influence of body fat mass and induction of CYP1A2 on the pharmacokinetics of TCDD. ENVIRONMENTAL HEALTH PERSPECTIVES 2006; 114:1394-400. [PMID: 16966094 PMCID: PMC1570044 DOI: 10.1289/ehp.8805] [Citation(s) in RCA: 33] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 05/03/2023]
Abstract
2,3,7,8-Tetrachlorodibenzo-p-dioxin (TCDD) is a highly lipophilic chemical that distributes into adipose tissue, especially at low doses. However, at high doses TCDD sequesters in liver because it induces cytochrome P450 1A2 (CYP1A2) that binds TCDD. A physiologically based pharmacokinetic (PBPK) model was developed that included an inducible elimination rate of TCDD in the Sprague-Dawley rat. Objectives of this work were to characterize the influence of induction of CYP1A2 and adipose tissue mass fraction on the terminal elimination half-life (t1/2) of TCDD using this PBPK model. When the model assumes a fixed elimination of TCDD, t1/2 increases with dose, due to hepatic sequestration. Because experimental data indicate that the t1/2 of TCDD decreases with dose, the model was modified to include an inducible elimination rate. The PBPK model was then used to compare the t1/2 after an increase of adipose tissue mass fraction from 6.9 to 70%. The model suggests that at low exposures, increasing adipose tissue mass increases the terminal t1/2. However, at higher exposures, as CYP1A2 is induced, the relationship between adipose tissue mass and t1/2 reaches a plateau. This demonstrates that an inducible elimination rate is needed in a PBPK model in order to describe the pharmacokinetics of TCDD. At low exposures these models are more sensitive to parameters related to partitioning into adipose tissue.
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TCDD exposure-response analysis and risk assessment. RISK ANALYSIS : AN OFFICIAL PUBLICATION OF THE SOCIETY FOR RISK ANALYSIS 2006; 26:1059-71. [PMID: 16948697 DOI: 10.1111/j.1539-6924.2006.00800.x] [Citation(s) in RCA: 11] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 05/11/2023]
Abstract
We examined the relation between cancer mortality and time-dependent cumulative exposure to 2,3,7,8-tetrachlorodibenzo-p-dioxin (TCDD) estimated from a concentration- and age-dependent kinetic model of elimination, and we estimated incremental cancer risks at age 75. Data from the National Institute for Occupational Safety and Health study of 3,538 workers with occupational exposure to TCDD were analyzed using standardized mortality ratios and Cox regression procedures. Analyses adjusted for potential confounding by age, year of birth, and race and considered exposure lag periods of 0, 10, or 15 years. Other potential confounders including smoking and other occupational exposures were evaluated indirectly. To explore the influence of extreme values of cumulative TCDD ppt-years, we restricted the analysis to observations with exposure below the 95th percentile or used logarithmic (ln) transformed exposure values. We applied penalized smoothing splines to examine variation in the exposure-response relation across the exposure range. TCDD was not statistically significantly associated with cancer mortality using the full data set, regardless of the lag period. When we restricted the analysis to observations with exposure below the 95th percentile, TCDD was associated positively with cancer mortality, particularly when a 15-year lag was applied (untransformed exposure data: regression coefficient , standard error (s.e.) = 1.4 x 10(-6), p < 0.05; ln-transformed exposure data: , s.e. = 2.9 x 10(-2), p < 0.05). The estimated incremental lifetime risk of mortality at age 75 from all cancers was about 6 to more than 10 times lower than previous estimates derived from this cohort using exposure models that did not consider the age and concentration dependence of TCDD elimination.
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Prostate cancer in US Air Force veterans of the Vietnam war. JOURNAL OF EXPOSURE SCIENCE & ENVIRONMENTAL EPIDEMIOLOGY 2006; 16:184-90. [PMID: 16047038 DOI: 10.1038/sj.jea.7500448] [Citation(s) in RCA: 21] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 05/03/2023]
Abstract
US Air Force veterans of Operation Ranch Hand sprayed herbicides contaminated with 2,3,7,8-tetrachlorodibenzo-p-dioxin (TCDD) in Vietnam from 1962 to 1971. Comparisons served in Southeast Asia (SEA) during the same time period but did not spray herbicides. Here we investigate a potential association between exposure to TCDD and prostate cancer. Data were available for 2516 veterans (1019 Ranch Hand and 1497 Comparison) who participated in at least one of six physical examinations starting in 1982 and had a measurement of serum TCDD. We assigned Ranch Hands to two exposure categories: Lower and Higher, based on their median 20-year cumulative TCDD level. In total, 81 Comparison and 59 Ranch Hand prostate cancers were identified between 1 January 1982 and 31 December 2003. We found no overall increase in the risk of prostate cancer in Ranch Hand veterans versus the Comparisons. There was a positive association in Ranch Hand veterans in the Higher TCDD category who served in SEA before 1969 (RR=2.27, 95% CI 1.11-4.66) when more contaminated herbicides were used, but the number of cases was small (n=15). A within-group comparison found that in Comparison veterans, time served in SEA was associated with an increased risk of prostate cancer (RR=2.18, 95% CI 1.27-3.76, >789 days versus < or =789 days). No increase in the risk of prostate cancer was observed within the Ranch Hand group in association with TCDD or time served in SEA. These analyses suggest that a longer service in SEA and exposures other than TCDD may have increased the risk of prostate cancer in Comparison veterans.
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Identifying soil cleanup criteria for dioxins in urban residential soils: how have 20 years of research and risk assessment experience affected the analysis? JOURNAL OF TOXICOLOGY AND ENVIRONMENTAL HEALTH. PART B, CRITICAL REVIEWS 2006; 9:87-145. [PMID: 16613806 DOI: 10.1080/10937400500538482] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 05/08/2023]
Abstract
This article reviews the scientific evidence and methodologies that have been used to assess the risks posed by 2,3,7,8-tetrachlorodibenzo-p-dioxin (TCDD) and presents a probabilistic analysis for identifying virtually safe concentrations of TCDD toxicity equivalents (TEQ) in residential soils. Updated data distributions that consider state-of-the-science cancer and noncancer toxicity criteria, child soil ingestion and dermal uptake, bioavailability in soil, and residential exposure duration are incorporated. The probabilistic analysis shows that the most sensitive determinants of dose and risk are childhood soil ingestion, exposure duration, and the selected TCDD cancer potency factor. It also shows that the cancer risk at 1 per 100,000 predicted more conservative (lower) soil criteria values than did the noncancer hazard (e.g., developmental and reproductive effects). In this analysis, acceptable or tolerable soil dioxin concentrations (TCDD TEQ) ranged from 0.4 to 5.5 ppb at the 95th percentile for cancer potency factors from 9600 to 156,000 (mg/kg/d)(-1) with site-specific adjustments not included. Various possible soil guidelines based on cancer and noncancer risks are presented and discussed. In the main, the current toxicology, epidemiology, and exposure assessment data indicate that the historical 1 ppb TEQ soil guidance value remains a reasonable screening value for most residential sites. This analysis provides risk managers with a thorough and transparent methodology, as well as a comprehensive information base, for making informed decisions about selecting soil cleanup values for PCDD/Fs in urban residential settings.
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A Weight-of-Evidence Analysis of the Cancer Dose-Response Characteristics of 2,3,7,8-Tetrachlorodibenzodioxin (TCDD). Toxicol Sci 2005; 89:361-9. [PMID: 16267338 DOI: 10.1093/toxsci/kfj016] [Citation(s) in RCA: 26] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/13/2022] Open
Abstract
Cancer risk assessment for TCDD and other compounds must focus on the cancer dose-response relationship and corresponding potency for the range of human doses before it can have relevance to the human exposure environment. Major differences of opinion exist over whether the dose-response curve for TCDD and other dioxin congeners is non-linear (incorporating a threshold dose region below which tumors are unlikely to be elicited) or linear (implying that any exposure has a statistical likelihood of causing cancer). The World Health Organization and others strongly support a non-linear dose-response relationship for TCDD and cancer, whereas USEPA characterizes the dose-response function as linear. This review critically summarizes the available information on TCDD dose-response relationship for cancer utilizing a weight-of-evidence approach. This assessment concludes that the available data support a non-linear dose-response relationship as being most likely and appropriate for human cancer risk assessment, i.e., the evidence suggests that a biological threshold exists in the dose-response. While proof of a threshold is not absolute, and never can be, the level of certainty for TCDD is substantial because of the concordance of many lines of evidence and the consistency of repeated observations pointing to non-linearity.
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Abstract
Dioxins and dioxin-like chemicals demonstrate high affinity binding to the aryl hydrocarbon receptor (AhR), a ligand activated transcription factor, which mediates most, if not all, of the toxic responses of these agents. Since dioxins are not directly genotoxic their carcinogenic effect is likely the result of their tumor promoting activity produced by activation of the AhR. For the purpose of risk assessment extrapolation from effects in the observable high dose range to background dietary exposure is necessary. In the present review, we discuss various aspects of low-dose-response of receptor-mediated processes in general, including threshold phenomena with regard to tumor promotion during multi-stage carcinogenesis. In this connection the reversibility of tumor promotion plays an important role but this may not be valid for dioxins due to their long half life. The relevance of cytochrome P 4501 A-induction as biomarker for prediction of carcinogenic effects of dioxins at low doses is considered. Dioxins may act in concert with endogenous ligands of the AhR, an effect which becomes particularly relevant at low toxicant concentrations. At present, however, the nature and role of these postulated ligands are unknown. Furthermore, it is unclear whether dioxins produce synergistic tumor promotional effects with non-dioxin-like chemicals to which humans are also exposed. Dioxins and, e.g., non-dioxin-like PCBs act through different receptors and there is, albeit yet limited, experimental evidence from experimental studies to suggest that they may act on different target cell populations within the same target organ. From the available data the existence of a (physiological) threshold of effects cannot be proven and may not even exist. For regulatory purposes the application of a so called "practical threshold" for the carcinogenic effect of dioxins is proposed. Further mechanistic studies should be conducted to get insight into the dose-response characteristics of relevant events of dioxin-like and non-dioxin-like agents and into the consequences of potential interactions between both group of compounds during carcinogenesis.
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Multiple imputation of missing values in a cancer mortality analysis with estimated exposure dose. Comput Stat Data Anal 2005. [DOI: 10.1016/j.csda.2004.06.013] [Citation(s) in RCA: 17] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.9] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/01/2022]
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Evaluation of serum dioxin congeners among residents near continuously burning municipal solid waste incinerators in Korea. Int Arch Occup Environ Health 2005; 78:205-10. [PMID: 15744508 DOI: 10.1007/s00420-005-0603-0] [Citation(s) in RCA: 14] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/26/2004] [Accepted: 12/14/2004] [Indexed: 10/25/2022]
Abstract
The objective of this study was to evaluate the congeners of polychlorinated dibenzo-p-dioxins (PCDDs) and polychlorinated dibenzofurans (PCDFs) in Korean serum samples as biological markers. Serum samples from 103 participants were analyzed. Participants consisted of 28 workers in municipal solid waste incinerators (MSWIs), and 21 men and 54 women who had lived for at least 3 years prior to 2002 in areas within 300 m of incinerators in large Korean cities. Serum samples were analyzed for 17 PCDD/PCDFs congeners by high resolution gas chromatography-high resolution mass spectrometry. Geometric mean (GM) PCDD/PCDF levels in the serum samples were 3.14, 8.04, 6.12 and 6.60 pg TEQ/g lipid for workers, male residents, female residents and the sum of male and female residents, respectively. The GM PCDD/PCDF level in the serum of workers was not significantly different from the values for residents near MSWIs. In the 75 participants who resided near MSWIs, the congeners that most contributed to the total TEQ were 1,2,3,6,7,8-hexachlorodibenzofuran (1,6-HxCDF), 2,3,4,7,8-pentachlorodibenzofuran (4-PeCDF), 1,2,3,4,6,7,8-heptachlorodibenzofuran (1,4,6-HpCDF), 1,2,3,7,8,9-hexachlorodibenzofuran (1,9-HxCDF), 1,2,3,4,7,8-hexachlorodibenzo-p-dioxin (1,4-HxCDD), 1,2,3,6,7,8-hexachlorodibenzo-p-dioxin (1,6-HxCDD). In the workers, the congeners that made the greatest contribution were 1,6-HxCDD, 4-PeCDF, 1,2,3,4,6,7,8-heptachlorodibenzop-dioxin (HpCDD), and 1,6-HxCDF. In conclusion, the serum TEQ levels for PCDD/PCDFs in the incinerator workers and residents near the MSWIs in Korea were lower than those reported for other countries. Comparison of the PCDD/PCDF levels of workers at MSWIs and nearby residents revealed no significant enhancement of PCDD/PCDF exposure in workers. PCDD/PCDF intake from animal origin was assumed to be lower than that of Europeans. Further studies of Korean foods are needed to clarify the exposure route for PCDD/PCDFs in the Korean population.
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Mechanisms of exocrine pancreatic toxicity induced by oral treatment with 2,3,7,8-tetrachlorodibenzo-p-dioxin in female Harlan Sprague-Dawley Rats. Toxicol Sci 2005; 85:594-606. [PMID: 15716480 DOI: 10.1093/toxsci/kfi121] [Citation(s) in RCA: 18] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.9] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/12/2022] Open
Abstract
In previous 2-year studies of 2,3,7,8-tetrachlorodibenzo-p-dioxin (TCDD) conducted by the National Toxicology Program on female Harlan Sprague-Dawley rats, acinar-cell vacuolation, atrophy, inflammation, and arteritis developed at high incidence, and a rare occurrence of pancreatic acinar-cell adenomas and carcinomas was noted. In this investigation, we sought to identify the mechanism involved in the early formative stages of acinar-cell lesions. Pancreas from animals treated for 14 and 31 weeks with 100 ng TCDD/kg body weight or corn oil vehicle was examined immunohistochemically and/or morphometrically. Acinar-cell kinetics were analyzed using staining with hematoxylin and eosin and proliferating cell nuclear antigen. Expressions of cytochrome P450 (CYP) 1A1 and aryl hydrocarbon receptor (AhR) were evaluated to assess direct effects of TCDD exposure. The cholecystokinin-A receptor (CCK-A receptor; CCKAR) and duodenal cholecystokinin 8 (CCK) revealed the associations of dioxin treatment with hormonal changes. Amylase localization showed acinar structural changes that could affect enzymatic production. Increased apoptotic activity in acinar cells occurred in 14- and 31-week-treated animals, with an increase in proliferative activity in the latter. Also in the latter, in the vacuolated acinar cells, CYP1A1 was overexpressed, and statistically significant decreases in expressions of AhR, CCKAR, and amylase occurred. The intensity of CCKAR expression increased in nonvacuolated acinar cells; a decrease in the size of CCK-positive epithelial cells occurred in duodenum. Our findings indicate that dioxin-induced acinar-cell lesions might be related to a direct effect of TCDD on the pancreas. Increase in CYP1A1 and decrease in CCKAR expressions in vacuolated acinar cells may be involved in the pathogenesis of pancreatic lesions. Changes in the expression of CYP or CCKAR may have induced the acinar-cell tumors by initiating proliferation.
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Abstract
AIMS To evaluate mortality in New Zealand phenoxy herbicide producers and sprayers exposed to dioxins. METHODS Phenoxy herbicide producers (n = 1025) and sprayers (n = 703) were followed up from 1 January 1969 and 1 January 1973 respectively to 31 December 2000. A total of 813 producers and 699 sprayers were classified as exposed to dioxin and phenoxy herbicides. Standardised mortality ratios (SMR) were calculated using national mortality rates. RESULTS At the end of follow up, 164 producers and 91 sprayers had died. Cancer mortality was reduced for sprayers (SMR = 0.82, 95% CI 0.57 to 1.14) and increased in exposed production workers (SMR = 1.24, 95% CI 0.90 to 1.67), especially for synthesis workers (SMR = 1.69), formulation and lab workers (SMR = 1.64), and maintenance/waste treatment/cleaning workers (SMR = 1.46). Lymphohaematopoietic cancer mortality was increased in exposed production workers (SMR = 1.65, 95% CI 0.53 to 3.85), especially for multiple myeloma (SMR = 5.51, 95% CI 1.14 to 16.1). Among sprayers, colon cancer (SMR = 1.94, 95% CI 0.84 to 3.83) showed increased mortality. CONCLUSIONS Results showed 24% non-significant excess cancer mortality in phenoxy herbicide producers, with a significant excess for multiple myeloma. Associations were stronger for those exposed to multiple agents including dioxin during production. Overall cancer mortality was not increased for producers and sprayers mainly handling final technical products, although they were likely to have been exposed to TCDD levels far higher than those currently in the general New Zealand population.
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Concentration-dependent TCDD elimination kinetics in humans: toxicokinetic modeling for moderately to highly exposed adults from Seveso, Italy, and Vienna, Austria, and impact on dose estimates for the NIOSH cohort. JOURNAL OF EXPOSURE ANALYSIS AND ENVIRONMENTAL EPIDEMIOLOGY 2005; 15:51-65. [PMID: 15083163 DOI: 10.1038/sj.jea.7500370] [Citation(s) in RCA: 77] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.1] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/23/2003] [Accepted: 01/23/2004] [Indexed: 05/24/2023]
Abstract
Serial measurements of serum lipid 2,3,7,8-tetrachlorodibenzo-p-dioxin (TCDD) concentrations in 36 adults from Seveso, Italy, and three patients from Vienna, Austria, with initial serum lipid TCDD concentrations ranging from 130 to 144,000 ppt, were modeled using a modified version of a previously published toxicokinetic model for the distribution and elimination of dioxins. The original model structure accounted for a concentration-dependent increase in overall elimination rate for TCDD due to nonlinear distribution of TCDD to the liver (secondary to induction of the binding protein CYP1A2), from which elimination takes place via a first-order process. The original model structure was modified to include elimination due to lipid partitioning of TCDD from circulation into the large intestine, based on published human data. We optimized the fit of the modified model to the data by varying the hepatic elimination rate parameter for each of the 39 people. The model fits indicate that there is significant interindividual variability of TCDD elimination efficiency in humans and also demonstrate faster elimination in men compared to women, and in younger vs. older persons. The data and model results indicate that, for males, the mean apparent half-life for TCDD (as reflected in changes in predicted serum lipid TCDD level) ranges from less than 3 years at serum lipid levels above 10,000 ppt to over 10 years at serum lipid levels below 50 ppt. Application of the model to serum sampling data from the cohort of US herbicide-manufacturing workers assembled by the National Institute of Occupational Safety and Health (NIOSH) indicates that previous estimates of peak serum lipid TCDD concentrations in dioxin-exposed manufacturing workers, based on first-order back-extrapolations with half-lives of 7-9 years, may have underestimated the maximum concentrations in these workers and other occupational cohorts by several-fold to an order of magnitude or more. Such dose estimates, based on a single sampling point decades after last exposure, are highly variable and dependent on a variety of assumptions and factors that cannot be fully determined, including interindividual variations in elimination efficiency. Dose estimates for these cohorts should be re-evaluated in light of the demonstration of concentration-dependent elimination kinetics for TCDD, and the large degree of uncertainty in back-calculated dose estimates should be explicitly incorporated in quantitative estimates of TCDD's carcinogenic potency based on such data.
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Dioxin revisited: developments since the 1997 IARC classification of dioxin as a human carcinogen. ENVIRONMENTAL HEALTH PERSPECTIVES 2004; 112:1265-8. [PMID: 15345337 PMCID: PMC1247514 DOI: 10.1289/ehp.7219] [Citation(s) in RCA: 149] [Impact Index Per Article: 7.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/30/2004] [Accepted: 06/10/2004] [Indexed: 05/02/2023]
Abstract
In 1997 the International Agency for Research on Cancer (IARC) classified 2,3,7,8-tetrachlorodibenzo-p-dioxin (TCDD; the most potent dioxin congener) as a group 1 carcinogen based on limited evidence in humans, sufficient evidence in experimental animals, and extensive mechanistic information indicating that TCDD acts through a mechanism involving the aryl hydrocarbon receptor (AhR), which is present in both humans and animals. The judgment of limited evidence in humans was based primarily on an elevation of all cancers combined in four industrial cohorts. The group 1 classification has been somewhat controversial and has been challenged in the literature in recent years. In this article we review the epidemiologic and mechanistic evidence that has emerged since 1997. New epidemiologic evidence consists primarily of positive exposure-response analyses in several of the industrial cohorts, as well as evidence of excesses of several specific cancers in the Seveso accident cohort. There are also new data regarding how the AhR functions in mediating the carcinogenic response to TCDD. The new evidence generally supports the 1997 IARC classification.
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Abstract
Legislation of chemicals is complex and doubts have often been expressed as to its effectiveness, but there are many problems involved in regulating chemicals from synthesis and use through to disposal. Using dioxins as an example of a chemical currently with complicating factors surrounding its control, this paper reviews its occupational legislation, chemistry, formation, toxicity, occurrence, and disposal in industrial situations, and sets this information in context by reference to its environmental occurrence and associated legislation. The role and limitations of legislation to control chemicals like dioxins, which are micropollutants and not intentionally produced, are discussed. Dioxins were chosen as the example because they are widespread, exposure occurs through a variety of routes, and they possess a reputation that ensures public concern. Because dioxins are ubiquitous and are predominantly produced by incineration, whether accidental or deliberate, intake is a total of all exposures from diet, environment and occupation. Occupational exposure is only one factor in this total, but this exposure may push total intake above recommended levels. Although overall exposure is reducing, public concern is rising, and this may be a consequence of greater scientific knowledge. Potential workplace exposures have been evaluated, and a sampling survey was recently undertaken in some of these sectors. The legal options are discussed, and the reasons for some decisions explained. Regulators have an unenviable task, and I believe there is only a fine balance between effective control and over-complicated prescriptive legislation.
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Abstract
Dose-response modeling in occupational epidemiology is usually motivated by questions of causal inference (eg, is there a monotonic increase of risk with increasing exposure?) or risk assessment (eg, how much excess risk exists at any given level of exposure?). We focus on several approaches to dose-response in occupational cohort studies. Categorical analyses are useful for detecting the shape of dose-response. However, they depend on the number and location of cutpoints and result in step functions rather than smooth curves. Restricted cubic splines and penalized splines are useful parametric techniques that provide smooth curves. Although splines can complement categorical analyses, they do not provide interpretable parameters. The shapes of these curves will depend on the degree of "smoothing" chosen by the analyst. We recommend combining categorical analyses and some type of smoother, with the goal of developing a reasonably simple parametric model. A simple parametric model should serve as the goal of dose-response analyses because (1) most "true" exposure response curves in nature may be reasonably simple, (2) a simple parametric model is easily communicated and used by others, and (3) a simple parametric model is the best tool for risk assessors and regulators seeking to estimate individual excess risks per unit of exposure. We discuss these issues and others, including whether the best model is always the one that fits the best, reasons to prefer a linear model for risk in the low-exposure region when conducting risk assessment, and common methods of calculating excess lifetime risk at a given exposure from epidemiologic results (eg, from rate ratios). Points are illustrated using data from a study of dioxin and cancer.
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Inhibition of Human Polymorphonuclear Cell Oxidative Burst by 17-β-estradiol and 2,3,7,8-tetrachlorodibenzo-p-dioxin. Am J Reprod Immunol 2003; 50:463-72. [PMID: 14750553 DOI: 10.1046/j.8755-8920.2003.00111.x] [Citation(s) in RCA: 13] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 02/07/2023] Open
Abstract
PROBLEM Polymorphonuclear cell (PMN) function may be directly influenced by 17-beta-estradiol and the endocrine disruptor, 2,3,7,8-tetrachloro-dibenzo-p-dioxin (TCDD). This may have significant consequences on PMN function within the female reproductive tract. This study evaluated the effects of 17-beta-estradiol and TCDD on PMN oxidative burst. METHOD OF STUDY Peripheral blood PMN were isolated from normal male donors. Following treatment with 17-beta-estradiol, TCDD or both, PMN were stimulated with phorbol 12-myristate 13-acetate. Superoxide production was measured by lucigenin-enhanced chemiluminescence. RESULTS Following 24-hr culture with either 17-beta-estradiol or TCDD, PMN superoxide production was significantly reduced, however, no such inhibition was observed when PMN were cultured with both estradiol and TCDD. Using antagonists, the estradiol and TCDD effects on PMN superoxide production was shown to be estrogen and aryl hydrocarbon receptor mediated. CONCLUSIONS Estradiol and TCDD influence PMN oxidative burst through receptor mediated events. Such altered PMN function may have profound effects upon the normal endometrial cycle.
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Human exposure to dioxins through the diet in Catalonia, Spain: carcinogenic and non-carcinogenic risk. CHEMOSPHERE 2003; 50:1193-200. [PMID: 12547333 DOI: 10.1016/s0045-6535(02)00630-6] [Citation(s) in RCA: 63] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 05/21/2023]
Abstract
The main objectives of this study were to estimate the dietary intake of dioxins by the population of Catalonia, Spain, to determine which food groups showed the greatest contribution to this intake, and to assess the health risks potentially associated with the dietary dioxin intake. From June to August 2000, food samples were randomly acquired in seven cities of Catalonia. Dioxin concentrations were determined in 108 samples belonging to the following groups: vegetables, fruits, pulses, cereals, fish and shellfish, meats and meat products, eggs, milk and dairy products, and oils and fats. Estimates of average daily food consumption were obtained from recent studies. Total dietary intake of dioxins for the general population of Catalonia was estimated to be 95.4 pg WHO-TEQ/day (78.4 pg I-TEQ/day), with fish and shellfish (31%), diary products (25%), cereals (14%) and meat (13%) showing the greatest percentages of contribution to dioxin intake. The contribution of all the rest of food groups to the total dietary intake was under 20%. The non-carcinogenic risk index of dioxin intake through the diet was in the range 0.34-1.36, while the carcinogenic risk level was 1,360 excess cancer over a lifetime of 70 years. Our results corroborate the decreasing tendency in dietary intake of dioxins found in recent studies (2000-2001) from various countries.
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Dose-response relationship in tobacco-related cancers of bladder and lung: A biochemical interpretation. Int J Cancer 2003; 108:2-7. [PMID: 14618608 DOI: 10.1002/ijc.11467] [Citation(s) in RCA: 37] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/23/2023]
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Cause specific mortality and cancer incidence among employees exposed to 2,3,7,8-TCDD after a 1953 reactor accident. Occup Environ Med 1996; 25:945-56. [PMID: 16268942 DOI: 10.1111/j.1539-6924.2005.00645.x] [Citation(s) in RCA: 15] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 04/20/2023]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE To evaluate the long term health consequences of past occupational exposure to 2,3,7,8 tetrachlorodibenzo-p-dioxin (TCDD). METHODS Cancer incidence and cause specific mortality were examined up to and including 1992 in a group of 243 men with external comparisons and internal dose-response analyses. Model based estimates of TCDD dose (expressed in micrograms/kg body weight) were developed for all cohort members with an approach that incorporated detailed accounts of each employee's work activities, analyses of TCDD in blood lipid of 138 employees, and internally derived estimates of elimination rates of TCDD. RESULTS The estimated dose of TCDD for 135 men was > or = 0.1 microgram/kg body weight and for 69 men > or = 1 microgram/kg body weight. Increased cancer risk ratios were found with higher doses of TCDD and longer interval since first exposure for all sites combined and digestive and respiratory cancers in particular. Within the high dose group (> or = 1 microgram/kg body weight), total cancer mortality was increased > or = 20 years after first exposure (13 cases, standardised mortality ratio (SMR) 1.97, 95% confidence interval (95% CI) 1.05-3.36) as was respiratory cancer (six cases, SMR 3.06; 95% CI 1.12-6.66). Among current cigarette smokers, 12 cancer deaths occurred in the high dose group (SMR 3.42, 95% CI 1.77-5.97) compared with seven deaths at lower doses of TCDD (SMR 1.29, 95% CI 0.52-2.66). Regression analyses based on the Cox's proportional hazards model provided further evidence of a relation between cumulative dose of TCDD and occurrence of both overall and digestive cancer. No evidence of an effect of TCDD on overall mortality or deaths due to circulatory disease was found and no cases of non-Hodgkin's lymphoma or soft tissue sarcoma have been found to date. CONCLUSIONS Our findings are consistent with a carcinogenic effect induced by TCDD at doses > or = 1 microgram/kg body weight. With such a small cohort, the risk estimates are not very stable and could be affected by selection and confounding.
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