Sex, birth weight, and the risk of stillbirth in Scotland, 1980-1996

Correlation Between PAPP-A Levels Determined During the First Trimester and Birth Weight at Full-Term

Foetal birth weight is an important determinant of perinatal health. For this reason, various methods have been investigated for estimating this weight during pregnancy. The aim of this study is to evaluate the possible relationship between full-term birth weight and pregnancy-associated plasma protein-A (PAPP-A) levels determined during the first trimester as part of combined screening for aneuploidy carried out in pregnant women. We carried out a single-centre study including pregnant women who were being followed up by the Obstetrics Service Care Units of the XXI de Santiago de Compostela e Barbanza Foundation, who gave birth from March 1, 2015, to March 1, 2017, and who had undergone their first-trimester combined chromosomopathy screening. The sample included a total of 2794 women. We found a significant correlation between MoM PAPP-A and foetal birth weight. When MoM PAPP-A was measured at extremely low levels (< 0.3) during the first trimester, the OR for giving birth to a foetus with weight < p10, adjusting for gestational age and sex, was 2.74. For low levels of MoM PAPP-A (0.3-0.44), the OR was 1.52. With regard to the value of MOM PAPP-A levels as a predictor of foetal macrosomia, a correlation could be observed with elevated levels, although this was not statistically significant. PAPP-A determined during the first trimester acts as a predictor of foetal weight at term as well as for foetal growth disorders.

Glucose and oxygen in the early intrauterine environment and their role in developmental abnormalities

The early life environment can have profound impacts on the developing conceptus in terms of both growth and morphogenesis. These impacts can manifest in a variety of ways, including congenital fetal anomalies, placental dysfunction with subsequent effects on fetal growth, and adverse perinatal outcomes, or via effects on long-term health outcomes that may not be detected until later childhood or adulthood. Two key examples of environmental influences on early development are explored: maternal hyperglycaemia and gestational hypoxia. These are increasingly common pregnancy exposures worldwide, with potentially profound impacts on population health. We explore what is known regarding the mechanisms by which these environmental exposures can impact early intrauterine development and thus result in adverse outcomes in the immediate, short, and long term.

Sex Differences Are Here to Stay: Relevance to Prenatal Care

Sex differences exist in the incidence and presentation of many pregnancy complications, including but not limited to pregnancy loss, spontaneous preterm birth, and fetal growth restriction. Sex differences arise very early in development due to differential gene expression from the X and Y chromosomes, and later may also be influenced by the action of gonadal steroid hormones. Though offspring sex is not considered in most prenatal diagnostic or therapeutic strategies currently in use, it may be beneficial to consider sex differences and the associated mechanisms underlying pregnancy complications. This review will cover (i) the prevalence and presentation of sex differences that occur in perinatal complications, particularly with a focus on the placenta; (ii) possible mechanisms underlying the development of sex differences in placental function and pregnancy phenotypes; and (iii) knowledge gaps that should be addressed in the development of diagnostic or risk prediction tools for such complications, with an emphasis on those for which it would be important to consider sex.

Impact of smoking and fetal gender on preterm delivery

According to the World Health Organization, smoking is the most important risk factor for adverse pregnancy outcomes in industrialized nations. We aimed to establish how fetal gender and smoking interact with regard to perinatal outcomes, especially preterm delivery. Data from 220,339 singleton pregnancies, obtained from the German Perinatal Survey in Schleswig-Holstein and registered between 2004 and 2017 were analyzed in regard to smoking behavior, fetal gender, and preterm delivery. The rate of preterm births was directly proportional to the women's consumption of nicotine. The rate of preterm deliveries was 6.8% among nonsmokers, and 13.2% in women who were very heavy smokers (≥22 cigarettes/day). Very heavy smoking (≥22 cigarettes/day) had a marked impact on extremely preterm births (<28 weeks of gestation) and very preterm births (28-31 weeks of gestation). Preterm births increased by 1.2% from heavy smokers to very heavy smokers; the differences between the other groups ranged between 0.1% and 0.4%. Fetal gender also had an impact on preterm birth: male infants were predominant in nearly all groups of women who delivered preterm infants. Smoking during pregnancy and male gender are both risk factors for preterm delivery. Fetal gender should be given greater attention as one of the several risk factors of preterm birth. Due to the high rate of morbidity among preterm infants and enormous costs for the healthcare system, women should be encouraged to cease or at least reduce smoking during pregnancy.

Anthropometric measurements of singleton live full-term newborns in Aden, Yemen

BACKGROUND

Neonatal anthropometry is the single most portable, universally applicable cheap, and non-invasive technique that deals with a variety of human body measurements. The anthropometric data for newborns, infants and children reflect their general health, nutritional status, and future survival by tracking trends in growth and development over time.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

The present study was conducted on 1000 Yemeni singleton live full-term newborns (37-42 weeks gestation), 488 males and 512 females during first 24 h of delivery at Al-Sadaqa Teaching Hospital, Aden, Yemen during the years 2002-2003.

RESULTS

The data analysis of seven anthropometric values for 1000 Yemeni term newborns of both sexes revealed the mean birth weight and SD was 3113.04 g (±519.52), crown-heel length, head, chest, mid-arm, abdominal and calf circumferences were 48.91 (1.62), 33.78 (1.13), 32.09 (1.48), 10.09 (1.02), 30.10 (1.92), and 10.94 (1.04) respectively. The Ponderal Index was calculated with mean value of 2.65 (0.40). This study showed significant sex differences in all the anthropometric measurements principally in the birth weight (3187.66 versus 3039.04) and crown-heel length CHL (49.28 versus 48.53). (P < .001). The best cut-off point to determine LBW was calf circumference (8.5 cm), which showed the most significant correlation with birth weight (r = 0.5) followed by chest (r = 0.44) and mid-arm circumference (r = 0.41).

CONCLUSIONS

This study of normal reference values will provide basic step for future standardization of Yemen anthropometric parameters to be used for accurate assessment, development and maturity of newborn births that would lead to identify newborns at risk and help in better management.

Association between fetal sex, birthweight percentile and adverse pregnancy outcome

Introduction

The objective was to evaluate the association between fetal sex and adverse pregnancy outcome, while correcting for fetal growth and gestational age at delivery.

Material and methods

Data from the Netherlands Perinatal Registry (1999‐2010) were used. The study population comprised all white European women with a singleton delivery between 25⁺⁰ and 42⁺⁶ weeks of gestation. Fetuses with structural or chromosomal abnormalities were excluded. Outcomes were antepartum death, intrapartum/neonatal death (from onset of labor until 28 days after birth), perinatal death (antepartum death or intrapartum/neonatal death), a composite of neonatal morbidity (including infant respiratory distress syndrome, sepsis, necrotizing enterocolitis, meconium aspiration, persistent pulmonary hypertension of the newborn, periventricular leukomalacia, Apgar score <7 at 5 minutes, and intracranial hemorrhage) and a composite adverse neonatal outcome (perinatal death or neonatal morbidity). Outcomes were expressed stratified by birthweight percentile (<p10 [small for gestation], p10‐90 [normal weight], >p90 [large for gestation]) and gestational age at delivery (25⁺⁰‐27⁺⁶, 28⁺⁰‐31⁺⁶, 32⁺⁰‐36⁺⁶, 37⁺⁰‐42⁺⁶ weeks). The association between fetal sex and outcome was assessed using the fetus at risk approach.

Results

We studied 1 742 831 pregnant women. We found no increased risk of antepartum, intrapartum/neonatal and perinatal death in normal weight and large‐for‐gestation males born after 28⁺⁰ weeks compared with females. We found an increased risk of antepartum death among small‐for‐gestation males born after 28⁺⁰ weeks (relative risk [RR] 1.16‐1.40). All males born after 32⁺⁰ weeks of gestation suffered more neonatal morbidity than females regardless of birthweight percentile (RR 1.07‐1.34). Infant respiratory distress syndrome, sepsis, persistent pulmonary hypertension of the newborn, Apgar score <7 at 5 minutes, and intracranial hemorrhage all occurred more often in males than in females.

Conclusions

Small‐for‐gestation males have an increased risk of antepartum death and all males born after 32⁺⁰ weeks of gestation have an increased risk of neonatal morbidity compared with females. In contrast to findings in previous studies we found no increased risk of antepartum, intrapartum/neonatal or perinatal death in normal weight and large‐for‐gestation males born after 28+0 weeks.

Prevalence of stillbirth at the Buea Regional Hospital, Fako Division south-west region, Cameroon

Introduction

The study investigated the prevalence of stillbirth at the Buea regional hospital, by taking cases of pregnant women who attended antenatal clinic(s) and those who did not attend but had their deliveries at the Buea regional hospital. The study specifically estimated the prevalence of stillbirths; identified possible risk factors associated with stillbirths, and determined whether the number of antenatal clinic visits is related to the occurrence of stillbirths-because during antenatal clinic visits, pregnant women are educated on risk factors of stillbirths such as: preterm deliveries; sex of the stillbirth; history of stillbirth; history of abortion(s); what age group of mothers are more likely to have a stillbirth.

Methods

The study was a hospital based retrospective study at the maternity in which there were 3577 deliveries registered at the Buea regional hospital dated May 1^st, 2014 to April 30^th, 2017. With the aid of a checklist data was collected, analysed and presented with the use of tables, pie-charts and bar charts.

Results

The prevalence of stillbirths was 26‰; possible risk factors associated with stillbirths included: preterm deliveries; women aged 20-29 years; history of abortion(s); a history of stillbirth; sex of stillbirths were more of females than males; and insufficient antenatal clinic attendance (≤1 antenatal clinic attendance) had more stillbirths.

Conclusion

The study established that stillbirths can occur in any woman of child-bearing age. possible risk factors associated with stillbirths included: preterm deliveries; women aged 20-29 years; history of abortion(s); a history of stillbirth; gender of stillbirths were more of females than males; and insufficient antenatal clinic attendance (≤1 antenatal clinic attendance) had more stillbirths.

Placental polyamine metabolism differs by fetal sex, fetal growth restriction, and preeclampsia

Preeclampsia and fetal growth restriction (FGR) are major causes of the more than 5 million perinatal and infant deaths occurring globally each year, and both are associated with placental dysfunction. The risk of perinatal and infant death is greater in males, but the mechanisms are unclear. We studied data and biological samples from the Pregnancy Outcome Prediction (POP) study, a prospective cohort study that followed 4,212 women having first pregnancies from their dating ultrasound scan through delivery. We tested the hypothesis that fetal sex would be associated with altered placental function using multiomic and targeted analyses. We found that spermine synthase (SMS) escapes X-chromosome inactivation (XCI) in the placenta and is expressed at lower levels in male primary trophoblast cells, and male cells were more sensitive to polyamine depletion. The spermine metabolite N1,N12-diacetylspermine (DiAcSpm) was higher in the female placenta and in the serum of women pregnant with a female fetus. Higher maternal serum levels of DiAcSpm increased the risk of preeclampsia but decreased the risk of FGR. To our knowledge, DiAcSpm is the first maternal biomarker to demonstrate opposite associations with preeclampsia and FGR, and this is the first evidence to implicate polyamine metabolism in sex-related differences in placentally related complications of human pregnancy.

Perinatal mortality associated with induction of labour versus expectant management in nulliparous women aged 35 years or over: An English national cohort study

BACKGROUND

A recent randomised controlled trial (RCT) demonstrated that induction of labour at 39 weeks of gestational age has no short-term adverse effect on the mother or infant among nulliparous women aged ≥35 years. However, the trial was underpowered to address the effect of routine induction of labour on the risk of perinatal death. We aimed to determine the association between induction of labour at ≥39 weeks and the risk of perinatal mortality among nulliparous women aged ≥35 years.

METHODS AND FINDINGS

We used English Hospital Episode Statistics (HES) data collected between April 2009 and March 2014 to compare perinatal mortality between induction of labour at 39, 40, and 41 weeks of gestation and expectant management (continuation of pregnancy to either spontaneous labour, induction of labour, or caesarean section at a later gestation). Analysis was by multivariable Poisson regression with adjustment for maternal characteristics and pregnancy-related conditions. Among the cohort of 77,327 nulliparous women aged 35 to 50 years delivering a singleton infant, 33.1% had labour induced: these women tended to be older and more likely to have medical complications of pregnancy, and the infants were more likely to be small for gestational age. Induction of labour at 40 weeks (compared with expectant management) was associated with a lower risk of in-hospital perinatal death (0.08% versus 0.26%; adjusted risk ratio [adjRR] 0.33; 95% CI 0.13-0.80, P = 0.015) and meconium aspiration syndrome (0.44% versus 0.86%; adjRR 0.52; 95% CI 0.35-0.78, P = 0.002). Induction at 40 weeks was also associated with a slightly increased risk of instrumental vaginal delivery (adjRR 1.06; 95% CI 1.01-1.11, P = 0.020) and emergency caesarean section (adjRR 1.05; 95% CI 1.01-1.09, P = 0.019). The number needed to treat (NNT) analysis indicated that 562 (95% CI 366-1,210) inductions of labour at 40 weeks would be required to prevent 1 perinatal death. Limitations of the study include the reliance on observational data in which gestational age is recorded in weeks rather than days. There is also the potential for unmeasured confounders and under-recording of induction of labour or perinatal death in the dataset.

CONCLUSIONS

Bringing forward the routine offer of induction of labour from the current recommendation of 41-42 weeks to 40 weeks of gestation in nulliparous women aged ≥35 years may reduce overall rates of perinatal death.

Biodemographic Analysis of Factors Related to Perinatal Mortality in Portugal (1988-2011)

Background. The purpose of this paper is to determine the relative mortality risks at delivery and during the first week of life with regard to maternal and foetal characteristics. Methods. Yearly individual digital records on live births and early neonatal mortality were used to infer the possible factors involved in perinatal deaths. Results. The results show that the number of births per year declined with time throughout the period studied. At the same time, rates decreased in 66.4% for stillbirths and in 70.2% for early neonatal mortality. Logistic regressions modelled the interaction of the two mortality indicators and covariables such as birth weight and the duration of gestation. Conclusions. This research provides a first biodemographic approach to the knowledge of factors influencing perinatal mortality in Portugal based on a set of foetal and maternal variables. Although the magnitude of the different perinatal mortality rates may be affected by the criteria used for selecting cases (multiple-singletons; minimum birth weight or minimum duration of gestation), one of the conclusions of the present analysis is that the relationship among the maternal and foetal variables that determine the relative risk remains unaltered. Certain resemblance with the factors determining negative birth outcomes in Spain is appreciated.

Medico-legal autopsy of abandoned foetuses and newborns in India

Foeticide and the abandonment of newborns are important, albeit frequently neglected, issues. Concealment of childbirth is often seen in the setting of unwanted pregnancy which has been recognised as one of the most important factors in both cases. This study highlights the medico-legal autopsy findings of 238 abandoned foetuses and newborns over a period of 17 years (1996-2012) from the region of South Delhi, India. There was no sex predilection. The majority of the cases were full term. Nearly 35% of the foetuses were still born, about 29% were live born and the remainder were non-viable. Among the live born, death by homicide was more common than a natural death and most were left by the roadside. The abandoning and killing of newborns needs urgent attention, and strict measures are needed to save thousands of innocent lives.

Aetiological Classification of Stillbirths: A Case Control Study

ABSTRACT

Antepartum stillbirths are a major contributor to perinatal mortality. This study was undertaken to assess the role of the ReCoDe (relevant condition at birth) classification system in evaluation of stillbirths in a tertiary teaching hospital in Central Gujarat.

AIM

To determine etiology of stillbirths using the ReCoDe classification system.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

This was a prospective case control study over a period of 1 year from September 1st, 2012 to August 31st, 2013. Sample size was calculated as 243 cases and 486 controls. Two controls (live births) per case were matched for gestational age and birth weight. Odd's ratios with 95 % confidence intervals were calculated using multivariate logistic regression.

RESULTS

Maternal age and parity that appeared to be highly significant factors on univariate analysis were not found to be independent risk factors with multivariate logistic regression. Gestational age and birth weight were not statistically significant risk factors. Other risk factors like previous stillbirth (26.13; 95 % CI 3.23-211.29), antepartum hemorrhage (11.63; 95 % CI 3.83-35.30), and hypertensive disorders (2.09; 95 % CI 1.20-3.63) were found to be highly significant independent risk factors. Major congenital anomaly (P < 0.001), birth asphyxia (P = 0.0037), cord accidents (P = 0.0037), and rupture uterus (P = 0.001) were also highly significant.

CONCLUSION

The stillbirth rate was 87.83 per 1000 live births. The ReCoDe primary classification system enabled 74.1 % of the cases to be assigned a relevant condition, leaving only 25.9 % as unexplained. The single largest condition associated was fetal growth restriction (25.9 %).

Effects of maternal inflammation and exposure to cigarette smoke on birth weight and delivery of preterm babies in a cohort of indigenous Australian women

Sudden infant death syndrome (SIDS), neonatal deaths, and deaths from infection are higher among Indigenous Australians. This study aimed to determine the effects of inflammatory responses and exposure to cigarette smoke, two important factors associated with sudden death in infancy, on preterm birth, and birth weight in a cohort of Indigenous mothers. Indigenous Australian women (n = 131) were recruited as part of a longitudinal study while attending antenatal care clinics during pregnancy; blood samples were collected up to three times in pregnancy. Serum cotinine, indicating exposure to cigarette smoke, was detected in 50.4% of mothers. Compared with non-Indigenous women, the cohort had 10 times the prevalence of antibodies to Helicobacter pylori (33 vs. 3%). Levels of immunoglobulin G, antibodies to H. pylori, and C-reactive protein (CRP) were all inversely correlated with gestational age (P < 0.05). CRP levels were positively associated with maternal body mass index (BMI; ρ = 0.449, P = 0.001). The effects of cigarette smoke (cotinine) and inflammation (CRP) were assessed in relation to risk factors for SIDS: gestational age at delivery and birth weight. Serum cotinine levels were negatively associated with birth weight (ρ = −0.37, P < 0.001), this correlation held true for both male (ρ = −0.39, P = 0.002) and female (ρ = −0.30, P = 0.017) infants. Cotinine was negatively associated with gestational age at delivery (ρ = −0.199, P = 0.023). When assessed by fetal sex, this was significant only for males (ρ = −0.327, P = 0.011). CRP was negatively associated with gestational age at delivery for female infants (ρ = −0.46, P < 0.001). In contrast, maternal BMI was significantly correlated with birth weight. These data highlight the importance of putting programs in place to reduce cigarette smoke exposure in pregnancy and to treat women with chronic infections such as H. pylori to improve pregnancy outcomes and decrease risk factors for sudden death in infancy.

Effects of Fetal Sex on Expression of the (Pro)renin Receptor and Genes Influenced by its Interaction With Prorenin in Human Amnion

Males are more likely to be born preterm than females. The causes are unknown, but it is suggested that intrauterine tissues regulate fetal growth and survival in a sex-specific manner. We postulated that prorenin binding to its prorenin/renin receptor receptor (ATP6AP2) would act in a fetal sex-specific manner in human amnion to regulate the expression of promyelocytic zinc finger, a negative regulator of ATP6AP2 expression as well as 2 pathways that might influence the onset of labor, namely transforming growth factor β1 (TGFB1) and prostaglandin endoperoxide synthase 2 (PTGS2). Our findings demonstrate that there are strong interactions between prorenin, ATP6AP2, and TGFB1 and that this system has a greater capacity in female amnion to stimulate profibrotic pathways, thus maintaining the integrity of the fetal membranes. In contrast, glucocorticoids or other factors independent of the prorenin/prorenin receptor pathway may be important regulators of PTGS2 in human pregnancy.

Elevated risk of stillbirth in males: systematic review and meta-analysis of more than 30 million births

BACKGROUND

Stillbirth rates have changed little over the last decade, and a high proportion of cases are unexplained. This meta-analysis examined whether there are inequalities in stillbirth risks according to sex.

METHODS

A systematic review of the literature was conducted, and data were obtained on more than 30 million birth outcomes reported in observational studies. The pooled relative risk of stillbirth was estimated using random-effects models.

RESULTS

The crude mean rate (stillbirths/1,000 total births) was 6.23 for males and 5.74 for females. The pooled relative risk was 1.10 (95% confidence interval (CI): 1.07-1.13). The attributable fraction in the whole population was 4.2% (95% CI: 3.70-4.63), and the attributable fraction among male fetuses was 7.8% (95% CI: 7.0-8.66). Study populations from countries with known sex-biased sex selection issues had anomalous stillbirth sex ratios and higher overall stillbirth risks than other countries, reflecting increased mortality among females.

CONCLUSIONS

Risk of stillbirth in males is elevated by about 10%. The population-attributable risk is comparable to smoking and equates to approximately 100,000 stillbirths per year globally. The pattern is consistent across countries of varying incomes. Given current difficulties in reducing stillbirth rates, work to understand the causes of excess male risk is warranted. We recommend that stillbirths are routinely recorded by sex. This will also assist in exposing prenatal sex selection as elevated or equal risks of stillbirth in females would be readily apparent and could therefore be used to trigger investigation.

Birth weight ratio as an alternative to birth weight percentile to express infant weight in research and clinical practice: a nationwide cohort study

Objective. To compare birth weight ratio and birth weight percentile to express infant weight when assessing pregnancy outcome. Study Design. We performed a national cohort study. Birth weight ratio was calculated as the observed birth weight divided by the median birth weight for gestational age. The discriminative ability of birth weight ratio and birth weight percentile to identify infants at risk of perinatal death (fetal death and neonatal death) or adverse pregnancy outcome (perinatal death + severe neonatal morbidity) was compared using the area under the curve. Outcomes were expressed stratified by gestational age at delivery separate for birth weight ratio and birth weight percentile. Results. We studied 1,299,244 pregnant women, with an overall perinatal death rate of 0.62%. Birth weight ratio and birth weight percentile have equivalent overall discriminative performance for perinatal death and adverse perinatal outcome. In late preterm infants (33(+0)-36(+6) weeks), birth weight ratio has better discriminative ability than birth weight percentile for perinatal death (0.68 versus 0.63, P  0.01) or adverse pregnancy outcome (0.67 versus 0.60, P < 0.001). Conclusion. Birth weight ratio is a potentially valuable instrument to identify infants at risk of perinatal death and adverse pregnancy outcome and provides several advantages for use in research and clinical practice. Moreover, it allows comparison of groups with different average birth weights.

In vitro fertilization and late preterm preschoolers' neuropsychological outcomes: the PETIT study

OBJECTIVE

In vitro fertilization (IVF) is considered a generally safe procedure, although associated with a higher incidence of preterm birth. The literature is inconsistent about the psychological impact of IVF, and we found no reports about outcome in late preterm (LPT) children. Our objective was to study neuropsychological and behavioral outcomes in a cohort of preschoolers born LPT between 2004 and 2007.

STUDY DESIGN

Participants were 397 LPT children (mean age, 3.8 years) conceived assisted by IVF (n = 105) or non-IVF (n = 292). Standardized performance-based tests of general conceptual ability (intelligence quotient), executive function, focused/selective attention, visual-spatial perception, visual-motor skill, manual dexterity, learning, and memory were administered. Parents completed behavioral and executive function questionnaires.

RESULTS

IVF group characteristics included older maternal age (P < .001), lower birthweight (P < .001), and higher maternal education (P < .001). No main-effect significant group differences were found for any variable after controlling for these variables. However, sex differences were demonstrated for the neuropsychological variables in copying (P > .001), nonverbal reasoning (P = .001), manual dexterity (P = .001), and inhibitory capacity (P = .006), all favoring girls.

CONCLUSION

Birth following IVF-assisted conception did not increase the risk of intellectual, neuropsychological, or behavioral deficit in LPT preschoolers. As shown in earlier gestational-age participants, girls have selective advantages. These findings should be reassuring for parents who conceive through IVF and deliver infants 1-3 weeks before term gestational age. Future study of these children at elementary school age may detect subtle impairments not yet apparent at age 3 years.

Fetal sex and preterm birth

Rates of preterm birth vary between different populations and ethnic groups. Epidemiologic studies have suggested that the incidence of preterm birth is also higher in pregnancies carrying a male fetus; the male:female difference is greater in earlier preterm pregnancy. Placental or chorion trophoblast cells from pregnancies with a male fetus produced more pro-inflammatory TNFα in response to LPS stimulation and less anti-inflammatory IL-10 and granulocyte colony stimulating factor (G-CSF) than cells from pregnancies with a female fetus, more prostaglandin synthase (PTGS-2) and less prostaglandin dehydrogenase (PGDH). These results suggest that in the presence of a male fetus the trophoblast has the potential to generate a more pro-inflammatory environment. Maturation of the fetal hypothalamic-pituitary-adrenal axis and expression of placental genes, particularly 11β hydroxysteroid dehydrogenase-2 are also expressed in a sex dependent manner, consistent with the sex-biasing influences on gene networks. Sex differences in these activities may affect clinical outcomes of pre- and post-dates pregnancies and fetal/newborn wellbeing. These factors need consideration in studies of placental function and in the development of personalized strategies for the diagnosis of preterm labor and postnatal health.

A decrease in sex ratio at birth nine months after the earthquake in L'Aquila

Introduction. Multiple factors influence the secondary sex ratio (SSR) including stress, which appears to affect mainly the males born. Objective. We evaluate the effects of the earthquake in L'Aquila on the SSR. Materials and Methods. The SSR for the first six months of 2010 was compared to that of the same period of 2008. The chi-square test and Fisher's test were used for the statistical analysis. Results. Nine months after the earthquake, an important reduction in the SSR was recorded: January 2010 versus January 2008 =0.62 versus 0.96. An overall fall in the SSR was also recorded when the first 3 months of 2010 were compared to the first three months of 2008: 0,82 versus 1,11. When the first three months of 2010 were compared with the second three months of 2010, a statistically significant increase of the sex ratio at birth was noted (0,82 versus 1,27).

Ultra-high dose of intra-amniotic or direct fetal intramuscular betamethasone for lung maturation in the preterm goat model

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the effects of intra-amniotic (IA) and fetal injections of a single ultra-high dose of betamethasone (BM) 48 h before preterm delivery on neonatal pulmonary function, using an experimental goat model.

STUDY DESIGN

Eighteen date-mated singleton pregnant Hair goats were randomized into four groups. At gestational day 118 (alveolar phase, term 150-155 days) after obtaining a sample of amniotic fluid, fetuses in group 1 (n=5) received 8 mg/kg IA BM, and in group 2 (n=5) 4 mg/kg fetal IM BM. In group 3 (n=4) (0.3mg/kg/day) maternal BM was administered at day 118 and 119 with a 24h interval; control fetuses (n=4) received 1 mL/kg of IA saline at day 118. At gestational day 120, after obtaining second sample of amniotic fluids 18 kids were delivered by preterm cesarean section, entubated, weighed, and mechanically ventilated for 15 min. Arterial blood gas samples and deflation/inflation lung pressure-volume measurements were obtained. After sacrifice, lungs were removed, weighed, gross examined and processed for further histological and immunohistochemical (IHC) evaluations. On hematoxylin and eosin (HE) stained slides, presence and severity of lung emphysema was evaluated; slides stained for surfactant proteins, and caspases were used for semi-quantitative evaluation of lung maturation. Kruskal-Wallis, Mann-Whitney, Wilcoxon signed rank, and chi-square tests were used for comparisons.

RESULTS

IA BM was associated with increased number of stillbirths (60% vs. 0% in control) (p=0.06) and emphysematous changes. Bodyweight-adjusted pressure-volume measurements were improved after maternal, but not IA or fetal, BM (p=0.06). Following mechanical ventilation, arterial blood gas parameters did not significantly alter across maternal and fetal administrations. However, pH was significantly lower (p<0.05) and carbon dioxide partial pressure was higher (p<0.05) in the control group, indicating hypercapnic acidemia in non-treated pregnancies. None of the treatments induced measurable alterations in amniotic fluid lecithin/sphingomyelin (L/S) values. IA and fetal routes were associated with decreased surfactant protein expressions and increased apoptotic activity in alveolar and bronchio-alveolar epithelial cells.

CONCLUSION

Ultra-high dose IA and fetal IM BM is not superior to the standard dose and maternal way of administration in our experimental design.

National, regional, and worldwide estimates of preterm birth rates in the year 2010 with time trends since 1990 for selected countries: a systematic analysis and implications

BACKGROUND

Preterm birth is the second largest direct cause of child deaths in children younger than 5 years. Yet, data regarding preterm birth (<37 completed weeks of gestation) are not routinely collected by UN agencies, and no systematic country estimates nor time trend analyses have been done. We report worldwide, regional, and national estimates of preterm birth rates for 184 countries in 2010 with time trends for selected countries, and provide a quantitative assessment of the uncertainty surrounding these estimates.

METHODS

We assessed various data sources according to prespecified inclusion criteria. National Registries (563 datapoints, 51 countries), Reproductive Health Surveys (13 datapoints, eight countries), and studies identified through systematic searches and unpublished data (162 datapoints, 40 countries) were included. 55 countries submitted additional data during WHO's country consultation process. For 13 countries with adequate quality and quantity of data, we estimated preterm birth rates using country-level loess regression for 2010. For 171 countries, two regional multilevel statistical models were developed to estimate preterm birth rates for 2010. We estimated time trends from 1990 to 2010 for 65 countries with reliable time trend data and more than 10,000 livebirths per year. We calculated uncertainty ranges for all countries.

FINDINGS

In 2010, an estimated 14·9 million babies (uncertainty range 12·3-18·1 million) were born preterm, 11·1% of all livebirths worldwide, ranging from about 5% in several European countries to 18% in some African countries. More than 60% of preterm babies were born in south Asia and sub-Saharan Africa, where 52% of the global livebirths occur. Preterm birth also affects rich countries, for example, USA has high rates and is one of the ten countries with the highest numbers of preterm births. Of the 65 countries with estimated time trends, only three (Croatia, Ecuador, and Estonia), had reduced preterm birth rates 1990-2010.

INTERPRETATION

The burden of preterm birth is substantial and is increasing in those regions with reliable data. Improved recording of all pregnancy outcomes and standard application of preterm definitions is important. We recommend the addition of a data-quality indicator of the per cent of all live preterm births that are under 28 weeks' gestation. Distinguishing preterm births that are spontaneous from those that are provider-initiated is important to monitor trends associated with increased caesarean sections. Rapid scale up of basic interventions could accelerate progress towards Millennium Development Goal 4 for child survival and beyond.

FUNDING

Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation through grants to Child Health Epidemiology Reference Group (CHERG) and Save the Children's Saving Newborn Lives programme; March of Dimes; the Partnership for Maternal Newborn and Childe Health; and WHO, Department of Reproductive Health and Research.

Fetal sex affects expression of renin-angiotensin system components in term human decidua

The maternal decidua expresses the genes of the renin-angiotensin system (RAS). Human decidua was collected at term either before labor (i.e. cesarean delivery) or after spontaneous labor. The mRNA for prorenin (REN), prorenin receptor (ATP6AP2), angiotensinogen (AGT), angiotensin-converting enzymes 1 and 2 (ACE1 and ACE2), angiotensin II type 1 receptor (AGTR1), and angiotensin 1-7 receptor (MAS1) were measured by quantitative real-time RT-PCR. Decidual explants were cultured in duplicate for 24 and 48 h, and all RAS mRNA, and the secretion of prorenin, angiotensin II, and angiotensin 1-7 was measured using quantitative real-time RT-PCR, ELISA, and radioimmunoassay, respectively. In the decidua collected before labor, REN mRNA levels were higher if the fetus was female. In addition, REN, ATP6AP2, AGT, and MAS1 mRNA abundance was greater in decidual explants collected from women carrying a female fetus, as was prorenin protein. After 24 h, ACE1 mRNA was higher in the decidual explants from women with a male fetus, whereas after 48 h, both ACE1 and ACE2 mRNA was higher in decidual explants from women with a female fetus. Angiotensin II was present in all explants, but angiotensin 1-7 levels often registered below the lower limits of sensitivity for the assay. After labor, decidua, when compared with nonlaboring decidua, demonstrated lower REN expression when the fetus was female. Therefore, the maternal decidual RAS is regulated in a sex-specific manner, suggesting that it may function differently when the fetus is male than when it is female.

Lactobacillus rhamnosus GR-1 stimulates colony-stimulating factor 3 (granulocyte) (CSF3) output in placental trophoblast cells in a fetal sex-dependent manner

Bacterial vaginosis is associated with a 1.4-fold increased risk of preterm birth. We have shown previously that Lactobacillus rhamnosus GR-1 supernatant up-regulates interleukin 10 and down-regulates tumor necrosis factor-alpha output in lipopolysaccharide (LPS)-treated human primary placenta cultures in a fetal sex-dependent manner. We hypothesize that lactobacilli also exert their anti-inflammatory effect by up-regulation of colony-stimulating factor 3 (granulocyte) (CSF3), which is secreted from both immune and placental trophoblast cells, and that this activity is dependent on the sex of the fetus. Placental trophoblast cells were isolated from term elective cesarean section placentae using a Percoll gradient and separated from CD45(+) cells using magnetic purification. Cells were treated with LPS in the presence or absence of pretreatments with L. rhamnosus GR-1 supernatant or chemical inhibitors of the intracellular signaling pathways. Phosphorylations of mitogen-activated protein kinase 14 (MAPK14, previously known as p38) and signal transducer and activator of transcription (STAT) 3 were measured by Western blot analysis, and levels of CSF3 were determined by ELISA. CSF3 output was increased only in the placental trophoblast cells of female fetuses treated with LPS, GR-1 supernatant, and a combination of both treatments. The GR-1 supernatant up-regulated the phosphorylation of STAT3 and MAPK14. CSF3 output was inhibited by both Janus kinases (JAK) and MAPK14 inhibitors. None of the treatments was able to increase CSF3 output in either the pure trophoblast or the CD45(+) cell preparations alone. These results suggest an underlying mechanism for the sex difference in incidence of preterm birth and provide potential evidence for a therapeutic benefit of lactobacilli in reducing the risk of preterm labor.

Examination of genetic polymorphisms in newborns for signatures of sex-specific prenatal selection

Success rate in human pregnancies is believed to be very low and sex-specific mechanisms may operate in prenatal loss. Assuming a sex-differential in prenatal loss exists, we examined genetic markers in biologically plausible targets in the HLA complex, other immune system-related and iron-regulatory genes in 388 healthy newborns from Wales (UK) using one sex as a control group for the other. Genotyping of 333 single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) from 107 genes was achieved mainly by TaqMan assays. Twenty-two of autosomal SNPs showed frequency differences between 187 male and 201 female newborns either individually or as part of a haplotype. Of these, six markers (RXRB rs2076310, HLA complex haplotype HLA-DQA1 rs1142316-HLA-DRA rs7192-HSPA1B rs1061581, HIST1H1T rs198844, IFNG rs2069727, NKG2D rs10772266 and IRF4 heterozygosity) showed statistically robust differences between male and female newborns and multivariable modeling confirmed their independence. There were fewer males homozygote for combined wildtype genotypes of LIF rs929271, TP53 rs1042522 and MDM2 rs2279744 compared with females [OR = 0.3, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 0.1-0.8; P < 0.01] although these SNPs did not show any association individually. It is unlikely that SNPs have clinical utility as single markers in any trait with complex etiology but polygenic predictive models remain a possibility. If their validity is confirmed in larger studies of different populations and functional mechanisms of these preliminary associations are elucidated, these markers from the HLA complex, NKG2D region and cytokines may cumulatively have sufficient predictive value for susceptibility to prenatal selection in each sex.

Effect of Lactobacillus rhamnosus GR-1 supernatant and fetal sex on lipopolysaccharide-induced cytokine and prostaglandin-regulating enzymes in human placental trophoblast cells: implications for treatment of bacterial vaginosis and prevention of preterm labor

OBJECTIVE

The objective of the study was to determine the effect of fetal sex on the output of cytokines and prostaglandin-regulating enzymes in lipopolysaccharide (LPS) and probiotic lactobacilli-treated placental trophoblast cells.

STUDY DESIGN

We examined the effect of LPS and Lactobacillus rhamnosus GR-1 supernatant in placental trophoblast cells on tumor necrosis factor (TNF)-alpha, interleukin (IL)-1beta, and IL-10 using enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay and on prostaglandin-endoperoxide synthase 2 (PTGS2), 15-hydroxy prostaglandin dehydrogenase (PGDH), and toll-like receptor-4 (TLR-4) using Western blotting. Comparisons were performed using one-way analysis of variance and Student t test.

RESULTS

LPS increased the output of TNF-alpha, IL-10, and PTGS2 with a greater response in male placentae. L rhamnosus GR-1 supernatant inhibited the LPS-stimulated TNF-alpha and increased IL-10. It also up-regulated expression of PGDH in female placentae and partially reduced the LPS-stimulated PTGS2 in male placentae. There was no change in IL-1beta. Expression of TLR-4 was greater in placentae of male fetuses.

CONCLUSION

These findings suggest an underlying mechanism for the sex difference in the incidence of preterm birth and provide potential evidence for a therapeutic benefit of lactobacilli in reducing preterm labor.

Male sex and pre-existing diabetes are independent risk factors for stillbirth

AIM

To determine whether the risk of stillbirth is associated with male fetal sex, fetal growth and maternal factors in an Australian population.

METHODS

A retrospective secondary data analysis of 16 445 singleton births was performed using a tertiary referral centre obstetric database (1995-1999). Univariate and multiple logistic regression analyses were performed.

RESULTS

Stillbirth complicated 1% of the pregnancies in the study population, and 59% of stillbirths were associated with a male fetus. Significant characteristics associated with stillbirth were intrauterine growth restriction (IUGR), birth defects, gestational age, Aboriginal ethnicity, previous stillbirth, parity greater than three and placental abruption. Male stillbirths were more likely to occur at a later gestation (median gestation 30.5 weeks, range 20-43 weeks) compared to females (median 25 weeks, range 20-40 weeks), P = 0.01. Sixty per cent of IUGR fetuses were female (P < 0.001). Male sex (odds ratio (OR) 1.5, confidence interval (CI) 1.01, 2.17, P = 0.04) and maternal type 1 diabetes (OR 4.7, CI 1.58, 14.19, P = 0.006) were independently associated with stillbirth.

CONCLUSION

Male fetal sex and pre-existing diabetes are independent risk factors for stillbirth. Diabetes remains a significant risk for stillbirth even with contemporary monitoring and clinical management. Those diabetic pregnancies where the fetus is male require appropriate monitoring and timely interventions to achieve an optimal outcome.

The sex ratio of singleton offspring in assisted-conception pregnancies

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the effect of intracytoplasmic sperm injection (ICSI) and male factor infertility on the sex ratio in births from assisted reproductive technology.

DESIGN

Historic cohort study.

SETTING

Clinic-based data.

PATIENT(S)

The study population included 15,164 singleton live births in the Society for Assisted Reproductive Technology national database for 2005 from cycles using ejaculated sperm, categorized by the use of insemination or ICSI and the absence or presence of male factor infertility, and cleavage- versus blastocyst-stage embryo transfers (ETs).

INTERVENTION(S)

None.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE(S)

The probability of a male infant with and without the use of ICSI and in the presence or absence of male factor infertility.

RESULT(S)

The sex ratio for all U.S. live births in 2005 was 52.5%, versus 48.9% for cleavage-stage and 51.6% for blastocyst-stage embryos. With blastocyst-stage embryos, the sex ratios were 49.6% and 54.9% with and without ICSI and 52.6% and 50.0% with and without male factor infertility, respectively. With cleavage-stage embryos, the sex ratio was not significantly affected by ICSI or male factor infertility, singly or in combination.

CONCLUSION(S)

The use of ICSI, particularly with blastocyst-stage embryos, is associated with a decrease in the sex ratio of male infants.

Epidemiology of stillbirth and fetal central nervous system injury

The epidemiology of stillbirth and fetal central nervous system (CNS) injury is described with some emphasis on maternal and feto-placental risk factors. To maximize utility of the discussion and because it also represents the classical manifestation of fetal CNS injury, we have selected cerebral palsy (CP) to illustrate the epidemiologic aspects of injury to the fetal CNS in general. While trends in stillbirth rates have modestly decreased over time, those of CP seem to be increasing. Interestingly, both stillbirth and CP share traditional as well as emerging risk factors lending credence to the hypothesis that fetuses that would previously have been stillborn are increasingly surviving albeit with some form of morbidity. The existence of shared risk factors also suggests that in some cases of stillbirth fetal CNS injury precedes the in utero fetal demise. Pregnant women bearing these risk indicators represent potential candidates for appropriate and tailored protocols for antenatal fetal testing.

Maternal and biochemical predictors of antepartum stillbirth among nulliparous women in relation to gestational age of fetal death

OBJECTIVE

To determine whether maternal serum levels of alphafetoprotein (alpha-FP) and human chorionic gonadotrophin (hCG) at 15-21 weeks provided clinically useful prediction of stillbirth in first pregnancies.

DESIGN

Retrospective study of record linkage of a regional serum screening laboratory to national registries of pregnancy outcome and perinatal death.

SETTING

West of Scotland, 1992-2001.

POPULATION

A total of 84,769 eligible primigravid women delivering an infant at or beyond 24 weeks of gestation.

METHODS

The risk of stillbirth between 24 and 43 weeks was assessed using the Cox proportional hazards model. Logistic regression models within gestational windows were then used to estimate predicted probability. Screening performance was assessed as area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE

Antepartum stillbirth unrelated to congenital abnormality.

RESULTS

The odds ratio (95% CI) for stillbirth at 24-28 weeks for women in the top 1% were 11.97 (5.34-26.83) for alpha-FP and 5.80 (2.19-15.40) for hCG. The corresponding odds ratios for stillbirth at or after 37 weeks were 2.44 (0.74-8.10) and 0.79 (0.11-5.86), respectively. Adding biochemical to maternal data increased the area under the ROC curve from 0.66 to 0.75 for stillbirth between 24 and 28 weeks but only increased it from 0.64 to 0.65 for stillbirth at term and post-term. Women in the top 5% of predicted risk had a positive likelihood ratio of 7.8 at 24-28 weeks, 3.7 at 29-32 weeks, 5.1 at 33-36 weeks and 3.4 at 37-43 weeks, and the corresponding positive predictive values were 0.97, 0.33, 0.47 and 0.63%, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Maternal serum levels of alpha-FP and hCG were statistically associated with stillbirth risk. However, the predictive ability was generally poor except for losses at extreme preterm gestations, where prevention may be difficult and interventions have the potential to cause significant harm.

Second-trimester maternal serum levels of alpha-fetoprotein and the subsequent risk of sudden infant death syndrome

BACKGROUND

Unexplained stillbirth and the sudden infant death syndrome (SIDS) share some features. A raised maternal serum level of alpha-fetoprotein during the second trimester of pregnancy is a marker of placental dysfunction and a strong predictor of the risk of unexplained stillbirth. It is unknown whether alpha-fetoprotein levels also predict the risk of SIDS.

METHODS

We linked a prenatal-screening database for women in western Scotland with databases of maternity, perinatal death, and birth and death certifications to assess the association between second-trimester levels of maternal serum alpha-fetoprotein and the subsequent risk of SIDS.

RESULTS

Among 214,532 women with singleton births, there were 114 cases of SIDS (incidence, 2.7 per 10,000 births among women with alpha-fetoprotein levels in the lowest quintile and 7.5 per 10,000 births among those with levels in the highest quintile). When the lowest quintile was used as a referent, the unadjusted odds ratios for SIDS for the second through fifth quintiles were 1.7 (95 percent confidence interval, 0.8 to 3.5), 1.8 (95 percent confidence interval, 0.9 to 3.7), 2.5 (95 percent confidence interval, 1.3 to 4.8), and 2.8 (95 percent confidence interval, 1.4 to 5.4), respectively (P for trend = 0.001). The risk of SIDS varied inversely with the birth-weight percentile and the gestational age at delivery; after adjustment for these factors, the odds ratios for SIDS were 1.7 (95 percent confidence interval, 0.8 to 3.5), 1.7 (95 percent confidence interval, 0.8 to 3.5), 2.2 (95 percent confidence interval, 1.1 to 4.4), and 2.2 (95 percent confidence interval, 1.1 to 4.3), respectively (P for trend = 0.01).

CONCLUSIONS

There is a direct association between second-trimester maternal serum alpha-fetoprotein levels and the risk of SIDS, which may be mediated in part through impaired fetal growth and preterm birth.

Fetal sex and indicated very preterm birth: results of the EPIPAGE study

OBJECTIVE

This study was undertaken to explore the association between fetal sex, mode of onset of labor, and principal cause of very preterm birth. Study design The analysis uses data on 2624 very preterm singleton births less than 33 weeks' gestation from a prospective study of all very preterm births in 9 French regions in 1997.

RESULTS

Fifty-seven percent of the spontaneous births were male versus 50.8% of births after medical decision (P=.005). This pattern was explained by sex differences in causes of preterm birth. Male infants had a greater incidence of very preterm birth after spontaneous labor (relative risk [RR]=1.42 [1.21-1.66]), but one third less risk of indicated preterm birth associated with hypertension both with and without growth restriction (RR=0.73 [0.55-0.97] and 0.77 [0.60-0.97]).

CONCLUSION

These results support previous reports of greater male susceptibility to preterm labor. The finding that pregnancies carrying female infants have a greater predisposition to indicated very preterm birth associated with hypertension has not been reported previously and merits further study.

First trimester origins of fetal growth impairment

The timing of factors that lead to disorders of fetal growth have been studied for many years. Previous studies have focused on disorders of the "second wave" of trophoblast invasion of myometrial arterioles and on fetal weight gain in the third trimester. Over the last 5 years, clinical studies have shown associations between first trimester ultrasound and biochemical parameters and the risk of later adverse perinatal outcome. First trimester growth restriction is associated with an increased risk of low birth weight, low birth weight percentile for gestational age and extremely preterm birth. This may reflect a defect in early pregnancy placentation and later adverse outcome. Consistent with this hypothesis, low first trimester circulating maternal concentrations of pregnancy-associated plasma protein A, a trophoblast-derived regulator of the insulin-like growth factor system, are associated with an increased risk of later stillbirth, growth restriction, pre-term birth and pre-eclampsia. Even among healthy women having normal pregnancies, first trimester circulating concentrations of pregnancy-associated plasma protein A correlate with the timing of spontaneous labor and the eventual birth weight. These analyses suggest that in some women complications of late pregnancy have their origins in the very earliest weeks of gestation and precede first attendance for prenatal care.

Risk of sudden infant death syndrome and week of gestation of term birth

OBJECTIVE

We sought to determine if the risk of sudden infant death syndrome (SIDS) varied according to week of delivery at term among elective and nonelective births.

DESIGN

Retrospective cohort study.

PARTICIPANTS

All single infants live born between 37 and 42 weeks gestation in Scotland between 1992 and 1995 documented in the Scottish Morbidity Record.

OUTCOME

Death in the first year of life where SIDS was in the principal position on the death certificate.

RESULTS

There were 202,622 eligible births and 119 deaths attributed to SIDS. Among infants delivered electively, there was no significant association between risk of SIDS and week of delivery. Among those delivered nonelectively, the risk of SIDS declined significantly with each week of gestation (odds ratio .72, 95% confidence interval .60-.86). This trend was only minimally attenuated by adjustment for maternal age, parity, smoking and socioeconomic deprivation category, infant sex, Apgar score, mode of delivery, and birth weight decile (adjusted odds ratio .78, 95% confidence interval .65-.93).

CONCLUSIONS

We hypothesize that early spontaneous labor at term and SIDS may be linked because of a common association with suboptimal intrauterine environment.

Pregnancy complications and maternal risk of ischaemic heart disease: a retrospective cohort study of 129,290 births

BACKGROUND

Individuals who are small at birth are at increased risk of ischaemic heart disease (IHD) in later life. One hypothesis to explain this association is fetal adaptation to a suboptimum intrauterine environment. We investigated whether pregnancy complications associated with low birthweight are related to risk of subsequent IHD in the mother.

METHODS

Routine discharge data were used to identify all singleton first births in Scotland between 1981 and 1985. Linkage to the mothers' subsequent admissions and deaths provided 15--19 years of follow-up. The mothers' risks of death from any cause or from IHD and admission for or death from IHD were related to adverse obstetric outcomes in the first pregnancy. Hazard ratios were adjusted for socioeconomic deprivation, maternal height and age, and essential hypertension.

FINDINGS

Complete data were available on 129,920 (95.6%) eligible deliveries. Maternal risk of IHD admission or death was associated with delivering a baby in the lowest birthweight quintile for gestational age (adjusted hazard ratio 1.9 [95% CI 1.5--2.4]), preterm delivery (1.8 [1.3--2.5]), and pre-eclampsia (2.0 [1.5--2.5]). The associations were additive; women with all three characteristics had a risk of IHD admission or death seven times (95% CI 3.3--14.5) greater than the reference category.

INTERPRETATION

Complications of pregnancy linked to low birthweight are associated with an increased risk of subsequent IHD in the mother. Common genetic risk factors might explain the link between birthweight and risk of IHD in both the individual and the mother.

Life-table analysis of the risk of perinatal death at term and post term in singleton pregnancies

OBJECTIVE

This study was undertaken to estimate the cumulative risk of perinatal death associated with delivery at each gestational week both at term and post term.

STUDY DESIGN

The numbers of antepartum stillbirths, intrapartum stillbirths, neonatal deaths, and surviving neonates delivered at between 37 and 43 weeks' gestation in Scotland, 1985-1996, were obtained from national databases (n = 700,878) after exclusion of multiple pregnancies and deaths caused by congenital abnormality. The numbers of deaths at each gestational week were related to appropriate denominators: antepartum stillbirths were related to ongoing pregnancies, intrapartum stillbirths were related to all births (excluding antepartum stillbirths), and neonatal deaths were related to live births. The cumulative probability of perinatal death associated with delivery at each gestational week was estimated by means of life-table analysis.

RESULTS

The gestational week of delivery associated with the lowest cumulative risk of perinatal death was 38 weeks' gestation, whereas the perinatal mortality rate was lowest at 41 weeks' gestation. The risk of death increased more sharply among primigravid women after 38 weeks' gestation because of a greater risk of antepartum stillbirth. The relationships between risk of death and gestational age were similar for the periods 1985-1990 and 1991-1996.

CONCLUSION

Delivery at 38 weeks' gestation was associated with the lowest risk of perinatal death.

A population study of birthweight and the risk of caesarean section: Scotland 1980-1996

OBJECTIVES

1. To describe the relation between birthweight and risk of emergency caesarean section at term; 2. to determine whether the relation between birthweight and caesarean section differed between male and female babies; and 3. to determine what proportion of the increased rates of caesarean section could be related to greater birthweights.

DESIGN

Retrospective population study.

SETTING

Data collected from Scottish Morbidity Record 1980 to 1996.

POPULATION

All first singleton deliveries by emergency caesarean section and non-elective vaginal birth of live babies at 40 weeks of gestation (n = 120,854).

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE

Delivery by emergency caesarean section.

RESULTS

There was a U-shaped relation between birthweight and the risk of caesarean section, with the lowest risk associated with weights in the range 3,000-3,500 g. Overall, male, were more likely to be delivered by caesarean section (relative risk = 1.2, 95% CI 1.2-1.3). The association between male sex and increased risk of caesarean section persisted after adjusting for birthweight, but only males weighing < 4,000 g were at increased risk of caesarean section compared with similarly sized females. Between 1980 and 1996, there were linear increases in the rate of caesarean section (from 7.1% to 10.7%, r2 = 0.8, P < 0.001) and median birthweight (from 3,360 g in 1980 to 3,420 g in 1996, r2 = 0.8, P < 0.001). The population attributable fraction of caesarean sections related to year of delivery 1981-1996 was not significantly altered by adjusting for birthweight (22.3% vs 21.6%).

CONCLUSIONS

There is no evidence to suggest that increasing birthweights have contributed to increasing rates of caesarean section in Scotland between 1980 and 1996 among singleton first births non-electively delivered at 40 weeks of gestation.