Test of the National Death Index and Equifax Nationwide Death Search

Lifetime Exposure to Cigarette Smoke, B-Cell Tumor Immune Infiltration, and Immunoglobulin Abundance in Ovarian Tumors

BACKGROUND

Cigarette smoke exposure has been linked to systemic immune dysfunction, including for B-cell and immunoglobulin (Ig) production, and poor outcomes in patients with ovarian cancer. No study has evaluated the impact of smoke exposure across the life-course on B-cell infiltration and Ig abundance in ovarian tumors.

METHODS

We measured markers of B and plasma cells and Ig isotypes using multiplex immunofluorescence on 395 ovarian cancer tumors in the Nurses' Health Study (NHS)/NHSII. We conducted beta-binomial analyses evaluating odds ratios (OR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) for positivity of immune markers by cigarette exposure among cases and Cox proportional hazards models to evaluate hazard ratios (HR) and 95% CI for developing tumors with low (

RESULTS

There were no associations between smoke exposure and B-cell or IgM infiltration in ovarian tumors. Among cases, we observed higher odds of IgA+ among ever smokers (OR, 1.54; 95% CI, 1.14-2.07) and ever smokers with no parental smoke exposure (OR, 2.03; 95% CI, 1.18-3.49) versus never smokers. Women with parental cigarette smoke exposure versus not had higher risk of developing ovarian cancer with low IgG+ (HR, 1.51; 95% CI, 1.10-2.09), whereas ever versus never smokers had a lower risk (HR, 0.74; 95% CI, 0.56-0.99).

CONCLUSIONS

Ever smoking was associated with increased odds of IgA in ovarian tumors.

IMPACT

IgA has been associated with improved ovarian cancer outcomes, suggesting that although smoking is associated with poor outcomes in patients with ovarian cancer, it may lead to improved tumor immunogenicity.

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Key Words Collapse

MESH Headings

• Humans
• Female
• Ovarian Neoplasms/immunology
• Ovarian Neoplasms/pathology
• Ovarian Neoplasms/epidemiology
• Middle Aged
• Adult
• B-Lymphocytes/immunology
• Immunoglobulins/blood
• Lymphocytes, Tumor-Infiltrating/immunology
• Aged
• Cigarette Smoking/adverse effects
• Cigarette Smoking/immunology

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Grants

• P01 CA087969 NCI NIH HHS
• U01 CA176726 NCI NIH HHS
• UM1 CA186107 NCI NIH HHS
• U01 CA232758 NCI NIH HHS
• 9JK02 Florida Department of Health (DOH)
• UM1 CA186107 NCI NIH HHS
• P01 CA87969 National Cancer Institute (NCI)
• U01 CA176726 NCI NIH HHS

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Affiliation(s)

Cassandra A Hathaway Department of Cancer Epidemiology, Moffitt Cancer Center, Tampa, Florida
Mary K Townsend Department of Cancer Epidemiology, Moffitt Cancer Center, Tampa, Florida
Tianyi Wang Department of Cancer Epidemiology, Moffitt Cancer Center, Tampa, Florida
Christine Vinci Department of Health Outcomes and Behavior, Moffitt Cancer Center, Tampa, Florida
Danielle E Jake-Schoffman Department of Health Education and Behavior, University of Florida, Gainesville, Florida
Jonathan L Hecht Department of Pathology, Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center and Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts
Daryoush Saeed-Vafa Department of Anatomic Pathology, Moffitt Cancer Center, Tampa, Florida Advanced Analytical and Digital Laboratory, Moffitt Cancer Center, Tampa, Florida
Carlos Moran Segura Advanced Analytical and Digital Laboratory, Moffitt Cancer Center, Tampa, Florida
Jonathan V Nguyen Advanced Analytical and Digital Laboratory, Moffitt Cancer Center, Tampa, Florida
Jose R Conejo-Garcia Department of Immunology, Duke University School of Medicine, Durham, North Carolina
Brooke L Fridley Department of Biostatistics and Bioinformatics, Moffitt Cancer Center, Tampa, Florida
Shelley S Tworoger Department of Cancer Epidemiology, Moffitt Cancer Center, Tampa, Florida Knight Cancer Institute and Division of Oncological Sciences, Oregon Health & Science University, Portland, Oregon

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Multivitamin use after diagnosis and prostate cancer survival among men with nonmetastatic prostate cancer

BACKGROUND

Multivitamin use is common among cancer patients. Whether post-diagnostic multivitamin supplementation is beneficial for prostate cancer survival is largely unknown, and some evidence even suggests potential harm.

METHODS

We prospectively assessed post-diagnostic multivitamin use in relation to prostate cancer survival among 4756 men with nonmetastatic prostate cancer at diagnosis in the Health Professionals Follow-up Study (1986-2016). Cox regression models were used to evaluate the association between post-diagnostic multivitamin use and frequency and risk of lethal prostate cancer (distant metastases or prostate cancer-specific death) and all-cause mortality.

RESULTS

We observed 438 lethal prostate cancer and 2609 deaths during a median follow-up of 11 years. Compared to non-users, post-diagnostic multivitamin use was not associated with risk of lethal prostate cancer (HR [95% CI], 0.98 [0.74-1.30]) or all-cause mortality (1.00 [0.88-1.12]), after adjustment for potential confounders. Similarly, null associations were observed across various categories of use frequency. Compared to non-users, men who used multivitamins regularly (6-9 tablets/week) after cancer diagnosis had similar risk of lethal prostate cancer (0.96 [0.72-1.28]) and all-cause mortality (0.99 [0.88-1.12]).

CONCLUSIONS

We found no evidence that post-diagnostic multivitamin use among men with nonmetastatic prostate cancer was associated with better or worse survival in a well-nourished population.

Breast cancer incidence and mortality by metabolic syndrome and obesity: The Women's Health Initiative

BACKGROUND

In the Women's Health Initiative (WHI) randomized trial, dietary intervention significantly reduced breast cancer mortality, especially in women with more metabolic syndrome (MetS) components. Therefore, this study investigated the associations of MetS and obesity with postmenopausal breast cancer after long-term follow-up in the WHI clinical trials.

METHODS

A total of 68,132 postmenopausal women, without prior breast cancer and with normal mammogram, were entered into WHI randomized clinical trials; 63,330 women with an entry MetS score comprised the study population. At entry, body mass index (BMI) was determined; MetS score (0, 1-2, and 3-4) included the following: (1) high waist circumference (≥88 cm), (2) high blood pressure (systolic ≥130 mm Hg and/or diastolic ≥85 mm Hg, or hypertension history), (3) high-cholesterol history, and (4) diabetes history. Study outcomes included breast cancer incidence, breast cancer mortality, deaths after breast cancer, and results by hormone receptor status.

RESULTS

After a >20-year mortality follow-up, a higher MetS score (3-4), adjusted for BMI, was significantly associated with more poor prognosis, estrogen receptor (ER)-positive, progesterone receptor (PR)-negative cancers (p = .03), 53% more deaths after breast cancer (p < .001), and 44% higher breast cancer mortality (p = .03). Obesity status, adjusted for MetS score, was significantly associated with more good prognosis, ER-positive, PR-positive cancers (p < .001), more total breast cancers (p < .001), and more deaths after breast cancer (p < .001), with higher breast cancer mortality only in women with severe obesity (BMI, ≥35 kg/m2; p < .001).

CONCLUSIONS

MetS and obesity status have independent, but differential, adverse associations with breast cancer receptor subtypes and breast cancer mortality risk. Both represent separate targets for breast cancer prediction and prevention strategies.

Ductal carcinoma in situ and cause-specific mortality among younger and older postmenopausal women: the Women's Health Initiative

BACKGROUND

Whether DCIS is associated with higher breast cancer-specific and all-cause mortality is unclear with few studies in older women. Therefore, we examined DCIS and breast cancer-specific, cardiovascular (CVD)-specific, and all-cause mortality among Women's Health Initiative (WHI) Clinical Trial participants overall and by age (< 70 versus ≥ 70 years).

METHODS

Of 68,132 WHI participants, included were 781 postmenopausal women with incident DCIS and 781 matched controls. Serial screening mammography was mandated with high adherence. DCIS cases were confirmed by central medical record review. Adjusted multivariable Cox proportional hazard regression models were used to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CI). Kaplan Meier (KM) plots were used to assess 10-year and 20-year mortality rates.

RESULTS

After 20.3 years total, and 13.2 years median post-diagnosis follow-up, compared to controls, DCIS was associated with higher breast cancer-specific mortality (HR 3.29; CI = 1.32-8.22, P = 0.01). The absolute difference in 20-year breast cancer mortality was 1.2% without DCIS and 3.4% after DCIS, log-rank P = 0.026. Findings were similar by age (< 70 versus ≥ 70 years) with no interaction (P interaction = 0.80). Incident DCIS was not associated with CVD-specific mortality (HR 0.77; CI-0.54-1.09, P = 0.14) or with all-cause mortality (HR 0.96; CI = 0.80-1.16, P = 0.68) with similar findings by age.

CONCLUSIONS

In postmenopausal women, incident DCIS was associated with over three-fold higher breast cancer-specific mortality, with similar findings in younger and older postmenopausal women. These finding suggest caution in using age to adjust DCIS clinical management or research strategies.

Long-Term Effect of Randomization to Calcium and Vitamin D Supplementation on Health in Older Women : Postintervention Follow-up of a Randomized Clinical Trial

BACKGROUND

Although calcium and vitamin D (CaD) supplementation may affect chronic disease in older women, evidence of long-term effects on health outcomes is limited.

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate long-term health outcomes among postmenopausal women in the Women's Health Initiative CaD trial.

DESIGN

Post hoc analysis of long-term postintervention follow-up of the 7-year randomized intervention trial of CaD. (ClinicalTrials.gov: NCT00000611).

SETTING

A multicenter (n = 40) trial across the United States.

PARTICIPANTS

36 282 postmenopausal women with no history of breast or colorectal cancer.

INTERVENTION

Random 1:1 assignment to 1000 mg of calcium carbonate (400 mg of elemental calcium) with 400 IU of vitamin D3 daily or placebo.

MEASUREMENTS

Incidence of colorectal, invasive breast, and total cancer; disease-specific and all-cause mortality; total cardiovascular disease (CVD); and hip fracture by randomization assignment (through December 2020). Analyses were stratified on personal supplement use.

RESULTS

For women randomly assigned to CaD versus placebo, a 7% reduction in cancer mortality was observed after a median cumulative follow-up of 22.3 years (1817 vs. 1943 deaths; hazard ratio [HR], 0.93 [95% CI, 0.87 to 0.99]), along with a 6% increase in CVD mortality (2621 vs. 2420 deaths; HR, 1.06 [CI, 1.01 to 1.12]). There was no overall effect on other measures, including all-cause mortality (7834 vs. 7748 deaths; HR, 1.00 [CI, 0.97 to 1.03]). Estimates for cancer incidence varied widely when stratified by whether participants reported supplement use before randomization, whereas estimates on mortality did not vary, except for CVD mortality.

LIMITATION

Hip fracture and CVD outcomes were available on only a subset of participants, and effects of calcium versus vitamin D versus joint supplementation could not be disentangled.

CONCLUSION

Calcium and vitamin D supplements seemed to reduce cancer mortality and increase CVD mortality after more than 20 years of follow-up among postmenopausal women, with no effect on all-cause mortality.

PRIMARY FUNDING SOURCE

National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute of the National Institutes of Health.

Lifetime Duration of Breastfeeding and Cardiovascular Risk in Women With Type 2 Diabetes or a History of Gestational Diabetes: Findings From Two Large Prospective Cohorts

OBJECTIVE

Breastfeeding duration is inversely associated with risks of cardiovascular disease (CVD) and type 2 diabetes in parous women. However, the association among women at high risk, including women with type 2 diabetes or gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM) is unclear.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

We included 15,146 parous women with type 2 diabetes from the Nurses' Health Study I and II (NHS, NHS II) and 4,537 women with a history of GDM from NHS II. Participants reported history of breastfeeding via follow-up questionnaires. Incident CVD by 2017 comprised stroke or coronary heart disease (CHD) (myocardial infarction, coronary revascularization). Adjusted hazard ratios (aHRs) and 95% CIs were estimated using Cox models.

RESULTS

We documented 1,159 incident CVD cases among women with type 2 diabetes in both cohorts during 188,874 person-years of follow-up and 132 incident CVD cases among women with a GDM history during 100,218 person-years of follow-up. Longer lifetime duration of breastfeeding was significantly associated with lower CVD risk among women with type 2 diabetes, with pooled aHR of 0.68 (95% CI 0.54-0.85) for >18 months versus 0 months and 0.94 (0.91-0.98) per 6-month increment in breastfeeding. Similar associations were observed with CHD (pooled aHR 0.93 [0.88-0.97]) but not with stroke (0.96 [0.91-1.02]) per 6-month increment in breastfeeding. Among women with GDM history, >18 months versus 0 months of breastfeeding was associated with an aHR of 0.49 (0.28-0.86) for total CVD.

CONCLUSIONS

Longer duration of breastfeeding was associated with lower risk of CVD in women with type 2 diabetes or GDM.

Specific dairy foods and risk of frailty in older women: a prospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

Dairy contains a complex mixture of lipids, proteins, and micronutrients. Whether habitual dairy consumption is associated with health benefits is not well established. Since dairy is high in nutrients that are potentially protective against frailty, the association between dairy products and the risk of frailty is of interest.

METHODS

We analyzed data from 85,280 women aged ≥ 60 years participating in the Nurses' Health Study. Consumption of milk, yogurt, and cheese was obtained from repeated food frequency questionnaires administered between 1980 and 2010. Frailty was defined as having at least three of the following five criteria from the FRAIL scale: fatigue, low strength, reduced aerobic capacity, having ≥ 5 chronic illnesses, and a weight loss of ≥ 5%. The occurrence of frailty was assessed every four years from 1992 to 2018. Cox proportional hazard models were used to examine the association between the intake of dairy foods and frailty.

RESULTS

During follow-up we identified 15,912 incident cases of frailty. Consumption of milk or yogurt was not associated with the risk of frailty after adjustment for lifestyle factors, medication use, and overall diet quality. Cheese consumption was positively associated with risk of frailty [relative risk (95% confidence interval) for one serving/day increment in consumption: 1.10 (1.05, 1.16)]. Replacing one serving/day of milk, yogurt, or cheese with one serving/day of whole grains, nuts, or legumes was associated with a significant lower risk of frailty, while replacing milk, yogurt, or cheese with red meat or eggs was associated with an increased risk. When milk was replaced with a sugar-sweetened or artificially sweetened beverage, a greater risk of frailty was observed, while replacing milk with orange juice was associated with a lower risk of frailty.

CONCLUSIONS

The results suggest that the association between milk, yogurt, and cheese and frailty partly depends on the replacement product. Habitual consumption of milk or yogurt was not associated with risk of frailty, whereas cheese consumption may be associated with an increased risk.

WITHDRAWN: Impact of spatial clustering of cytotoxic and tumor infiltrating lymphocytes on overall survival in women with high grade serous ovarian cancer

The authors have withdrawn their manuscript owing to incorrect handling of multiple measures in the survival analyses. Therefore, the authors do not wish this work to be cited as reference for the project. If you have any questions, please contact the corresponding author.

Dietary Intervention Favorably Influences Physical Functioning: The Women's Health Initiative Randomized Dietary Modification Trial

BACKGROUND

In the Women's Health Initiative Dietary Modification randomized trial, the dietary intervention reduced breast cancer mortality by 21% (P = .02) and increased physical activity as well.

OBJECTIVE

Therefore, the aim was to examine whether or not these lifestyle changes attenuated age-related physical functioning decline.

DESIGN

In a randomized trial, the influence of 8 years of a low-fat dietary pattern intervention was examined through 20 years of cumulative follow-up.

PARTICIPANTS AND SETTING

From 1993 to 1998, 48,835 postmenopausal women, ages 50 to 79 years with no prior breast cancer and negative baseline mammogram were randomized at 40 US clinical centers to dietary intervention or usual diet comparison groups (40 out of 60). The intervention significantly reduced fat intake and increased vegetable, fruit, and grain intake.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

In post hoc analyses, physical functioning, assessed using the RAND 36-Item Short Form Health Survey, evaluated quality or limitations of 10 hierarchical physical activities. Longitudinal physical functioning, reported against a disability threshold (when assistance in daily activities is required) was the primary study outcome.

STATISTICAL ANALYSES PERFORMED

Semiparametric linear mixed effect models were used to contrast physical functioning trajectories by randomization groups.

RESULTS

Physical functioning score, assessed 495,317 times with 11.0 (median) assessments per participant, was significantly higher in the intervention vs comparison groups through 12 years of cumulative follow-up (P = .001), representing a reduction in age-related functional decline. The intervention effect subsequently attenuated and did not delay time to the disability threshold. Among women in the dietary intervention vs comparison groups, aged 50 to 59 years, who were physically inactive at entry, a persistent, statistically significant, favorable influence on physical functioning with associated delay in crossing the disability threshold by approximately a year was seen (P value for interaction = .007).

CONCLUSIONS

In the Women's Health Initiative Dietary Modification randomized trial, a dietary intervention that significantly reduced breast cancer mortality also significantly reduced age-related functional decline through 12 years, which was attenuated with longer follow-up.

A long and resilient life: the role of coping strategies and variability in their use in lifespan among women

OBJECTIVES

Associations of stress-related coping strategies with lifespan among the general population are understudied. Coping strategies are characterized as being either adaptive or maladaptive, but it is unknown the degree to which variability in tailoring their implementation to different contexts may influence lifespan.

METHOD

Women (N = 54,353; Mage = 47) completed a validated coping inventory and reported covariate information in 2001. Eight individual coping strategies (e.g., Acceptance, Denial) were considered separately. Using a standard deviation-based algorithm, participants were also classified as having lower, moderate, or greater variability in their use of these strategies. Deaths were ascertained until 2019. Accelerated failure time models estimated percent changes and 95% confidence intervals (CI) in predicted lifespan associated with coping predictors.

RESULTS

In multivariable models, most adaptive and maladaptive strategies were associated with longer and shorter lifespans, respectively (e.g., per 1-SD increase: Active Coping = 4.09%, 95%CI = 1.83%, 6.41%; Behavioral Disengagement = -6.56%, 95%CI = -8.37%, -4.72%). Moderate and greater (versus lower) variability levels were similarly and significantly related to 8-10% longer lifespans. Associations were similar across age, racial/ethnic, residential income, and marital status subgroups.

CONCLUSIONS

Findings confirm the adaptive and maladaptive nature of specific coping strategies, and further suggest benefits from both moderate and greater variability in their use for lifespan among women.

Non-exercise estimated cardiorespiratory fitness and cancer incidence: The NIH-AARP diet and health study

BACKGROUND

Non-exercise estimated cardiorespiratory fitness (NEE-CRF) has been shown to be associated with mortality, although its association with cancer incidence is unknown. The study aimed to assess the prospective association between NEE-CRF and cancer incidence in a large cohort of men and women.

METHODS

The National Institutes of Health-American Association of Retired Persons diet and health study is a prospective cohort that included 402,548 participants aged 50-71 years who were free from cancer at baseline (1995-1996) (men (n = 238,835) and women (n = 163,713)) and were followed until December 31, 2015. The exposure variable was NEE-CRF expressed in metabolic equivalents. NEE-CRF was estimated using a validated equation of self-reported predictors on demographics and lifestyle behaviors derived from baseline questionnaires. Primary outcomes were total cancer incidence and incidence of prostate, breast, lung, and colorectal cancers. Cox proportional hazards models were analyzed for the association between NEE-CRF and cancer incidence outcomes adjusted for established cancer risk factors.

RESULTS

During 13.7 ± 3.2 years of follow-up (mean ± SD), 64,344 men and 31,315 women developed a new cancer. For every 1-metabolic equivalent higher NEE-CRF, the hazard ratios and 95% confidence intervals (95%CIs) were 0.96 (95%CI: 0.94-0.97) and 0.88 (95%CI: 0.84-0.92) of total and colorectal cancer incidence among men, and 0.95 (95%CI: 0.93-0.97) and 0.94 (95%CI: 0.91-0.97) of total and breast cancer incidence among women, respectively (all p < 0.001). NEE-CRF was not associated with incidence of prostate and lung cancers in men or colorectal and lung cancers in women.

CONCLUSION

These results suggest that higher CRF levels, as assessed by the applied non-exercise estimated method, may provide preventive benefits against the development of cancer, while low CRF could potentially serve as a modifiable cancer risk factor. Integrating NEE-CRF into screening paradigms and referring low-fit individuals to improve CRF could complement the public health prevention strategy against cancer.

Association of Gestational Diabetes With Subsequent Long-Term Risk of Mortality

Importance

Gestational diabetes has been associated with numerous chronic diseases. However, few studies have examined the association of gestational diabetes with long-term mortality risk.

Objective

To investigate the associations between gestational diabetes and long-term risks of total and cause-specific mortality.

Design, Setting, and Participants

This cohort study analyzed participants of the Nurses' Health Study II who were followed for 30 years (1989-2019). Participants included US female nurses aged 25 to 42 years who reported at least 1 pregnancy (≥6 months) at 18 years or older across their reproductive life span. Data were analyzed from May 1, 2022, to May 25, 2023.

Exposure

Gestational diabetes across the reproductive life span.

Main Outcomes and Measures

Hazard ratios (HRs with 95% CIs) for total and cause-specific mortality were estimated by Cox proportional hazards regression models.

Results

A total of 91 426 parous participants were included, with a mean (SD) age of 34.9 (4.7) years and a body mass index of 24.1 (4.7) at baseline. During a follow-up period of 2 609 753 person-years, 3937 deaths were documented, including 255 deaths from cardiovascular disease and 1397 from cancer. Participants with a history of gestational diabetes had a higher crude mortality rate than those without a history of gestational diabetes (1.74 vs 1.49 per 1000 person-years; absolute difference = 0.25 per 1000 person-years). The corresponding HR for total mortality was 1.28 (95% CI, 1.13-1.44), which did not materially change after additional adjustment for potential confounders and lifestyle factors during the reproductive life span (HR, 1.25; 95% CI, 1.11-1.41). The association persisted regardless of the subsequent development of type 2 diabetes and was more robust among participants who adopted less healthy lifestyles; experienced gestational diabetes in 2 or more pregnancies (HR, 1.48; 95% CI, 0.99-2.19); had gestational diabetes both in the initial and subsequent pregnancies (HR, 1.71; 95% CI, 1.11-2.63); and concurrently reported hypertensive disorders in pregnancy (HR, 1.80; 95% CI, 1.21-2.67), preterm birth (HR, 2.46; 95% CI, 1.66-3.64), or low birth weight (HR, 2.11; 95% CI, 1.21-3.68). Cause-specific mortality analyses revealed that gestational diabetes was directly associated with the risk of mortality due to cardiovascular disease (HR, 1.59; 95% CI, 1.03-2.47). Additionally, gestational diabetes was inversely associated with cancer mortality (HR, 0.76; 95% CI, 0.59-0.98); however, it was only evident among participants who later developed type 2 diabetes.

Conclusions and Relevance

Results of this cohort study suggest that participants who reported a history of gestational diabetes exhibited a small but elevated risk of subsequent mortality over 30 years. The findings emphasize the importance of considering gestational diabetes as a critical factor in later-life mortality risk.

Vitamin C intake and colorectal cancer survival according to KRAS and BRAF mutation: a prospective study in two US cohorts

BACKGROUND

The associations of vitamin C intake with colorectal cancer (CRC) survival according to tumour KRAS or BRAF mutation status remain unclear.

METHODS

We used the inverse probability weighted multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression model to calculate the hazard ratio (HR) of mortality, and spline analysis to evaluate the dose-response relationship in the Nurses' Health Study and Health Professionals Follow-up Study. We also assessed SLC2A1 mRNA expression according to KRAS or BRAF mutation in the TCGA database.

RESULTS

During an average of 12.0 years of follow-up, we documented 2,096 CRC cases, of which 703 cases had KRAS and BRAF mutation data. The association between total vitamin C intake and CRC-specific mortality suggestively differed according to KRAS or BRAF mutation status (Pinteraction = 0.04), with the multivariable HR (95% CI) per 400 mg/day increase in vitamin C intake for CRC-specific mortality of 1.07 (0.87-1.32, Ptrend = 0.52) in cases with both wild type and 0.74 (0.55-1.00, Ptrend < 0.05) in cases with either KRAS or BRAF mutant type. TCGA analysis showed a higher mRNA SLC2A1 expression in KRAS or BRAF-mutated tumours than in wild-type tumours (P = 0.02).

CONCLUSION

Our findings support the laboratory evidence for a potential benefit of vitamin C for CRC patients with KRAS or BRAF mutated tumours.

The relationship of lifetime history of depression on the ovarian tumor immune microenvironment

BACKGROUND

Depression is associated with a higher ovarian cancer risk. Prior work suggests that depression can lead to systemic immune suppression, which could potentially alter the anti-tumor immune response.

METHODS

We evaluated the association of pre-diagnosis depression with features of the anti-tumor immune response, including T and B cells and immunoglobulins, among women with ovarian tumor tissue collected in three studies, the Nurses' Health Study (NHS; n = 237), NHSII (n = 137) and New England Case-Control Study (NECC; n = 215). Women reporting depressive symptoms above a clinically relevant cut-point, antidepressant use, or physician diagnosis of depression at any time prior to diagnosis of ovarian cancer were considered to have pre-diagnosis depression. Multiplex immunofluorescence was performed on tumor tissue microarrays to measure immune cell infiltration. In pooled analyses, we estimated odds ratios (OR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) for the positivity of tumor immune cells using a beta-binomial model comparing those with and without depression. We used Bonferroni corrections to adjust for multiple comparisons.

RESULTS

We observed no statistically significant association between depression status and any immune markers at the Bonferroni corrected p-value of 0.0045; however, several immune markers were significant at a nominal p-value of 0.05. Specifically, there were increased odds of having recently activated cytotoxic (CD3+CD8+CD69+) and exhausted-like T cells (CD3+Lag3+) in tumors of women with vs. without depression (OR = 1.36, 95 %CI = 1.09-1.69 and OR = 1.24, 95 %CI = 1.01-1.53, respectively). Associations were comparable when considering high grade serous tumors only (comparable ORs = 1.33, 95 %CI = 1.05-1.69 and OR = 1.25, 95 %CI = 0.99-1.58, respectively). There were decreased odds of having tumor infiltrating plasma cells (CD138+) in women with vs. without depression (OR = 0.54, 95 %CI = 0.33-0.90), which was similar among high grade serous carcinomas, although not statistically significant. Depression was also related to decreased odds of having naïve and memory B cells (CD20+: OR = 0.54, 95 %CI = 0.30-0.98) and increased odds of IgG (OR = 1.22, 95 %CI = 0.97-1.53) in high grade serous carcinomas.

CONCLUSION

Our results provide suggestive evidence that depression may influence ovarian cancer outcomes through changes in the tumor immune microenvironment, including increasing T cell activation and exhaustion and reducing antibody-producing B cells. Further studies with clinical measures of depression and larger samples are needed to confirm these results.

A Comparative Study of Healthy Dietary Patterns for Incident and Fatal Digestive System Cancer

INTRODUCTION

We examined multiple dietary patterns in relation to total digestive system cancer (DSC) incidence and death.

METHODS

A total of 213,038 health professionals from the Health Professionals Follow-up Study (1986-2016), the Nurses' Health Study (1986-2018), and the Nurses' Health Study II (1991-2017) with no cancer diagnosis at baseline were analyzed. DSC incidence and death were estimated using time-varying Cox proportional hazards regression models.

RESULTS

During up to 32 years of follow-up, 5,724 DSC cases accrued. Adherence to 8 healthy diet patterns was associated with a 7%-13% lower risk of DSC, particularly for digestive tract cancers. An inverse association with gastrointestinal tract cancer was also shown for all pattern scores except Alternate Mediterranean Diet and the healthful Plant-based Diet Index, with hazard ratios between 0.84 and 0.89. Inverse associations were shown for the reversed empirical dietary index for hyperinsulinemia (hazard ratio for 90th vs 10th percentile 0.64, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.47-0.87) and the empirical dietary index associated with lower inflammation (rEDIP) (0.53, 95% CI 0.39-0.72) for stomach cancer, and for the rEDIP (0.58, 95% CI 0.37-0.92) for small intestine cancer. Among accessory cancers, the Alternate Healthy Eating Index-2010, alternate Mediterranean diet, and diabetes risk reduction diet were associated with a 43%-51% lower risk of liver cancer. The reversed empirical dietary index for hyperinsulinemia, rEDIP, and the Alternate Healthy Eating Index-2010 were inversely associated with the risk of fatal DSC.

DISCUSSION

Adherence to healthy diets was associated with a lower risk of incident and fatal DSC, although the magnitude of the association varied slightly among the patterns.

Sex-Specific Associations between Adiponectin and Leptin Signaling and Pancreatic Cancer Survival

BACKGROUND

Circulating adiponectin and leptin have been associated with risk of pancreatic cancer. However, the relationship between long-term exposure to these adipokines in the prediagnostic period with patient survival has not been investigated.

METHODS

Adipokine levels were measured in prospectively collected samples from 472 patients with pancreatic cancer. Because of sex-specific differences in adipokine levels, associations were evaluated separately for men and women. In a subset of 415 patients, we genotyped 23 SNPs in adiponectin receptor genes (ADIPOR1 and ADIPOR2) and 30 SNPs in the leptin receptor gene (LEPR).

RESULTS

Adiponectin levels were inversely associated with survival in women [HR, 1.71; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.15-2.54]; comparing top with bottom quartile but not in men (HR, 0.89; 95% CI, 0.46-1.70). The SNPs rs10753929 and rs1418445 in ADIPOR1 were associated with survival in the combined population (per minor allele HR, 0.66; 95% CI, 0.51-0.84, and HR, 1.33; 95% CI, 1.12-1.58, respectively). Among SNPs in LEPR, rs12025906, rs3790431, and rs17127601 were associated with survival in the combined population [HRs, 1.54 (95% CI, 1.25-1.90), 0.72 (95% CI, 0.59-0.88), and 0.70 (95% CI, 0.56-0.89), respectively], whereas rs11585329 was associated with survival in men only (HR, 0.39; 95% CI, 0.23-0.66; Pinteraction = 0.0002).

CONCLUSIONS

High levels of adiponectin in the prediagnostic period were associated with shorter survival among women, but not among men with pancreatic cancer. Several polymorphisms in ADIPOR1 and LEPR are associated with patient survival.

IMPACT

Our findings reveal the association between adipokine signaling and pancreatic cancer survival and demonstrate the importance of examining obesity-associated pathways in relation to pancreatic cancer in a sex-specific manner.

Association between Outdoor Light at Night and Prostate Cancer in the Health Professionals Follow-up Study

BACKGROUND

Circadian disruption is a potential risk factor for advanced prostate cancer, and light at night (LAN) exposure may disrupt circadian rhythms. We evaluated whether outdoor LAN increases the risk of prostate cancer.

METHODS

We prospectively followed 49,148 participants in the Health Professionals Follow-up Study from 1986 through 2016. We estimated baseline and cumulative time-varying outdoor LAN with ∼1 km2 resolution using data from the US Defense Meteorological Satellite Program's Operational Linescan System, which was assigned to participants' geocoded addresses. Participants reside in all 50 U.S. states and reported a work or home address. We used multivariable Cox models to estimate HRs and 95% confidence intervals (CI) for the association between outdoor LAN and risk of overall (7,175 cases) and fatal (915 cases) prostate cancer adjusting for individual and contextual factors.

RESULTS

There was no association between the interquartile range increase in cumulative LAN and total (HR, 1.02; 95% CI, 0.98-1.06) or fatal (HR, 1.05; 95% CI, 0.96-1.15) prostate cancer in adjusted models. However, there was a positive association between baseline LAN and total prostate cancer among non-movers (HR, 1.06; 95% CI, 1.00-1.14) including among highly screened participants (HR, 1.11; 95% CI, 1.01-1.23).

CONCLUSIONS

There was a suggestive positive association between baseline outdoor LAN and total prostate cancer. Additional studies with different measures of outdoor LAN and in more diverse populations are necessary.

IMPACT

To our knowledge, this is the first longitudinal cohort study exploring the relationship between outdoor LAN and prostate cancer.

Associations of Recreational and Nonrecreational Physical Activity and Body Weight Change on Cardiovascular Disease Mortality During the Obesogenic Transition in the United States: National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey Follow-up Study

BACKGROUND

To investigate cardiovascular disease mortality associated with longitudinal changes in body weight, and recreational and nonrecreational physical activity during the obesogenic transition in the United States since the 1970s.

METHODS

Data were analyzed from 4921 individuals aged 25-74 years who participated in the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey between 1971 and 1979 and follow-up studies to 1992. Mortality was confirmed by searching the National Death Index or proxy interview; clinical data were collected in person. Changes in self-reported recreational and nonrecreational physical activity categories over time were coded as stable, increase, or decrease. Competing risks regression was used to determine hazard ratios adjusted for covariates. A logit model in a generalization method was used to explore mediation effects of change in body weight.

RESULTS

Compared with the "moderate-vigorous stable" group (reference), individuals who remained inactive ("inactive stable") or reduced their participation in physical activity ("active to inactive") experienced the highest mortality, with a 50% to 176% and 22% to 222% relative increased hazard ratios for nonrecreational and recreational physical activity, respectively, across all models adjusted for covariates. This corresponded to significant loss of life (up to 3 y; all P < .05). Individuals who became active ("inactive to active") were not at increased risk. We found weak (but nonstatistically significant) evidence of mediation effects of body weight change on mortality.

CONCLUSIONS

Longitudinal changes in moderate-vigorous recreational and nonrecreational physical activity were important predictors of cardiovascular disease mortality during the obesogenic transition period in the United States and were mostly unexplained by changes in body weight.

Probable Parasomnias and Mortality: A Prospective Study in US Men

OBJECTIVE

To examine the association between parasomnias, including rapid eye movement sleep behavior disorder (RBD) and sleep walking (SW), and mortality risk in a large-scale population-based cohort.

METHODS

This prospective cohort study was based on 25,695 participants from the Health Professionals Follow-up Study, a population-based cohort of male health professionals in the United States. Probable SW (pSW) and probable RBD (pRBD) were measured by questions adapted from the Mayo Sleep Questionnaire in 2012. All-cause mortality and cause-specific mortality were ascertained through the national registry, reports by the families, and the postal system from January 1, 2012, through June 30, 2018.

RESULTS

Of the studied population, 223 reported pSW and 2720 reported pRBD. During 6 years of follow-up (2012 to 2018), 4743 mortality cases were documented. The co-occurrence of both probable parasomnias was associated with higher all-cause mortality risk (Ptrend=.008), and the adjusted hazard ratio (HR) of mortality was 1.65 (95% CI, 1.20 to 2.28) compared with participants without either probable parasomnia after adjustment for major lifestyle, sleep, and metabolic risk factors, and chronic diseases. Significant associations were found for mortality attributed to neurodegenerative diseases (adjusted HR for both parasomnias vs none, 4.57; 95% CI, 2.62 to 7.97) and accidents (adjusted HR for both parasomnias vs none, 7.36; 95% CI, 2.95 to 18.4). Having pSW alone was associated with all-cause mortality, and pSW and pRBD were individually associated with mortality attributed to neurodegenerative diseases and accidents too (P<.05 for all).

CONCLUSION

Probable parasomnia was associated with a higher risk of all-cause mortality and mortality attributed to neurodegenerative diseases and accidents.

Associations between long-term aircraft noise exposure, cardiovascular disease, and mortality in US cohorts of female nurses

There is limited research examining aircraft noise and cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk. The objective of this study was to investigate associations of aircraft noise with CVD among two US cohorts, the Nurses' Health Study (NHS) and Nurses' Health Study II (NHSII).

Methods

Between 1994 and 2014, we followed 57,306 NHS and 60,058 NHSII participants surrounding 90 airports. Aircraft noise was modeled above 44 A-weighted decibels (dB(A)) and linked to geocoded addresses. Based on exposure distributions, we dichotomized exposures at 50 dB(A) and tested sensitivity of this cut-point by analyzing aircraft noise as categories (<45, 45-49, 50-54, ≥55) and continuously. We fit cohort-specific Cox proportional hazards models to estimate relationships between time-varying day-night average sound level (DNL) and CVD incidence and CVD and all-cause mortality, adjusting for fixed and time-varying individual- and area-level covariates. Results were pooled using random effects meta-analysis.

Results

Over 20 years of follow-up, there were 4529 CVD cases and 14,930 deaths. Approximately 7% (n = 317) of CVD cases were exposed to DNL ≥50 dB(A). In pooled analyses comparing ≥50 with <50 dB(A), the adjusted hazard ratio for CVD incidence was 1.00 (95% confidence interval: 0.89, 1.12). The corresponding adjusted hazard ratio for all-cause mortality was 1.02 (95% confidence interval: 0.96, 1.09). Patterns were similar for CVD mortality in NHS yet underpowered.

Conclusions

Among participants in the NHS and NHSII prospective cohorts who generally experience low exposure to aircraft noise, we did not find adverse associations of aircraft noise with CVD incidence, CVD mortality, or all-cause mortality.

Measurement of Ovarian Tumor Immune Profiles by Multiplex Immunohistochemistry: Implications for Epidemiologic Studies

BACKGROUND

Despite the immunogenic nature of many ovarian tumors, treatment with immune checkpoint therapies has not led to substantial improvements in ovarian cancer survival. To advance population-level research on the ovarian tumor immune microenvironment, it is critical to understand methodologic issues related to measurement of immune cells on tissue microarrays (TMA) using multiplex immunofluorescence (mIF) assays.

METHODS

In two prospective cohorts, we collected formalin-fixed, paraffin-embedded ovarian tumors from 486 cases and created seven TMAs. We measured T cells, including several sub-populations, and immune checkpoint markers on the TMAs using two mIF panels. We used Spearman correlations, Fisher exact tests, and multivariable-adjusted beta-binomial models to evaluate factors related to immune cell measurements in TMA tumor cores.

RESULTS

Between-core correlations of intratumoral immune markers ranged from 0.52 to 0.72, with more common markers (e.g., CD3+, CD3+CD8+) having higher correlations. Correlations of immune cell markers between the whole core, tumor area, and stromal area were high (range 0.69-0.97). In multivariable-adjusted models, odds of T-cell positivity were lower in clear cell and mucinous versus type II tumors (ORs, 0.13-0.48) and, for several sub-populations, were lower in older tissue (sample age > 30 versus ≤ 10 years; OR, 0.11-0.32).

CONCLUSIONS

Overall, high correlations between cores for immune markers measured via mIF support the use of TMAs in studying ovarian tumor immune infiltration, although very old samples may have reduced antigenicity.

IMPACT

Future epidemiologic studies should evaluate differences in the tumor immune response by histotype and identify modifiable factors that may alter the tumor immune microenvironment.

Flavonoid intake and survival after diagnosis of colorectal cancer: a prospective study in 2 US cohorts

BACKGROUND

Although experimental evidence supports anticancer effects of flavonoids, the influence of flavonoid intake on colorectal cancer (CRC) survival remains unknown.

OBJECTIVES

This study aimed to assess the association of postdiagnostic flavonoid intake with mortality.

METHODS

We prospectively assessed the association of postdiagnostic flavonoid intake with CRC-specific and all-cause mortality in 2552 patients diagnosed with stage I-III CRC in 2 cohort studies-the Nurses' Health Study and the Health Professionals Follow-up Study. We assessed the intake of total flavonoids and their subclasses using validated food frequency questionnaires. We used the inverse probability-weighted multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression model to calculate the hazard ratio (HR) of mortality after adjusting for prediagnostic flavonoid intake and other potential confounders. We performed spline analysis to evaluate dose-response relationships.

RESULTS

The mean [standard deviation (SD)] age of patients at diagnosis was 68.7 (9.4) y. During 31,026 person-y of follow-up, we documented 1689 deaths, of which 327 were due to CRC. The total flavonoid intake was not associated with mortality, but a higher intake of flavan-3-ols was suggestively associated with lower CRC-specific and all-cause mortality, with multivariable HR (95% CI) per 1-SD increases of 0.83 (0.69-0.99; P = 0.04) and 0.91 (0.84-0.99; P = 0.02), respectively. The spline analysis showed a linear relationship between postdiagnostic flavan-3-ol intake and CRC-specific mortality (P = 0.01 for linearity). As the major contributor to flavan-3-ol intake, tea showed an inverse association with CRC-specific and all-cause mortality, with multivariable HRs per 1 cup/d of tea of 0.86 (0.75-0.99; P = 0.03) and 0.90 (0.85-0.95; P < 0.001), respectively. No beneficial associations were found for other flavonoid subclasses.

CONCLUSIONS

Higher intake of flavan-3-ol after CRC diagnosis was associated with lower CRC-specific mortality. Small, readily achievable increases in the intake of flavan-3-ol-rich foods, such as tea, may help improve survival in patients with CRC.

Prediagnostic Vitamin D Status and Colorectal Cancer Survival by Vitamin D Binding Protein Isoforms in US Cohorts

CONTEXT

Lower 25-hydroxyvitamin D (25(OH)D) levels have consistently been associated with higher mortality among participants with colorectal cancer (CRC).

OBJECTIVE

To investigate whether the association between 25(OH)D and CRC mortality differs according to vitamin D binding protein (also known as Gc) isoforms.

METHODS

We examined the association between prediagnostic 25(OH)D levels and overall and CRC-specific mortality among participants with CRC within 2 prospective US cohorts. Cox proportional hazards regression was used to estimate the hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% CIs.

RESULTS

588 participants with CRC were observed until the date of death or last follow-up (2018), whichever came first. Deficient vs sufficient 25(OH)D concentrations (<30 vs ≥50 nmol/L) were associated with higher overall mortality (HR 2.06; 95% CI 1.34-3.18) but not with CRC-specific mortality (HR 1.51; 95% CI 0.75-3.07). The HRs for overall mortality comparing deficient vs sufficient concentrations were 2.43 (95% CI 1.26-4.70) for those with the Gc1-1 isoform (rs4588 CC) and 1.63 (95% CI 0.88-3.02) for those with the Gc1-2 or Gc2-2 (rs4588 CA or AA) isoform (P for interaction = .54). The HRs for CRC-specific mortality were 1.18 (95% CI 0.27-5.14) for those with the Gc1-1 isoform and 1.41 (95% CI 0.62-3.24) for those with the Gc1-2 or Gc2-2 isoform (P for interaction = .94).

CONCLUSION

In these 2 US cohorts, we found that lower 25(OH)D levels were associated with higher overall mortality, but this association did not differ by Gc isoforms.

Change in habitual intakes of flavonoid-rich foods and mortality in US males and females

BACKGROUND

Higher baseline intakes of flavonoid-rich foods and beverages are associated with a lower risk of chronic disease and mortality in observational studies. However, associations between changes in intakes and mortality remain unclear. We aimed to evaluate associations between 8-year changes in intakes of (1) individual flavonoid-rich foods and (2) a composite measure (termed the 'flavodiet') of foods and beverages that are known to be main contributors to flavonoid intake and subsequent total and cause-specific mortality.

METHODS

We evaluated associations between 8-year changes in intakes of (1) individual flavonoid-rich foods and (2) a novel 'flavodiet' score and total and cause-specific mortality. We included 55,786 females from the Nurses' Health Study (NHS) and 29,800 males from the Health Professionals Follow-up Study (HPFS), without chronic disease at baseline in our analyses. Using multivariable-adjusted Cox proportional hazard models, we examined associations of 8-year changes in intakes of (1) flavonoid-rich foods and (2) the flavodiet score with subsequent 2-year lagged 6-year risk of mortality adjusting for baseline intakes. Data were pooled using fixed-effects meta-analyses.

RESULTS

We documented 15,293 deaths in the NHS and 8988 deaths in HPFS between 1986 and 2018. For blueberries, red wine and peppers, a 5%, 4% and 9% lower risk of mortality, respectively, was seen for each 3.5 servings/week increase in intakes while for tea, a 3% lower risk was seen for each 7 servings/week increase [Pooled HR (95% CI) for blueberries; 0.95 (0.91, 0.99); red wine: 0.96 (0.93, 0.99); peppers: 0.91 (0.88, 0.95); and tea: 0.97 (0.95, 0.98)]. Conversely, a 3.5 servings/week increase in intakes of onions and grapefruit plus grapefruit juice was associated with a 5% and 6% higher risk of total mortality, respectively. An increase of 3 servings per day in the flavodiet score was associated with an 8% lower risk of total mortality [Pooled HR: 0.92 (0.89, 0.96)], and a 13% lower risk of neurological mortality [Pooled HR: 0.87 (0.79, 0.97)], after multivariable adjustments.

CONCLUSIONS

Encouraging an increased intake of specific flavonoid-rich foods and beverages, namely tea, blueberries, red wine, and peppers, even in middle age, may lower early mortality risk.

Association of early life physical and sexual abuse with premature mortality among female nurses: prospective cohort study

OBJECTIVE

To explore associations between early life physical and sexual abuse and subsequent risk of premature mortality (death before age 70 years).

DESIGN

Prospective cohort study.

SETTING

The Nurses' Health Study II (2001-19).

PARTICIPANTS

67 726 female nurses aged 37-54 years when completing a violence victimization questionnaire in 2001.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Hazard ratios and 95% confidence intervals for total and cause specific premature mortality by childhood or adolescent physical and sexual abuse, estimated by multivariable Cox proportional hazard models.

RESULTS

2410 premature deaths were identified over 18 years of follow-up. Nurses who experienced severe physical abuse or forced sexual activity in childhood and adolescence had a higher crude premature mortality rate than nurses without such abuse in childhood or adolescence (3.15 v 1.83 and 4.00 v 1.90 per 1000 person years, respectively). The corresponding age adjusted hazard ratios for premature deaths were 1.65 (95% confidence interval 1.45 to 1.87) and 2.04 (1.71 to 2.44), respectively, which were materially unchanged after further adjusting for personal characteristics and early life socioeconomic status (1.53, 1.35 to 1.74, and 1.80, 1.50 to 2.15, respectively). Cause specific analyses indicated that severe physical abuse was associated with a greater risk of mortality due to external causes of injury and poisoning (multivariable adjusted hazard ratio 2.81, 95% confidence interval 1.62 to 4.89), suicide (3.05, 1.41 to 6.60), and diseases of the digestive system (2.40, 1.01 to 5.68). Forced sexual activity as a child and adolescent was associated with greater risk of mortality due to cardiovascular disease (2.48, 1.37 to 4.46), external injury or poisoning (3.25, 1.53 to 6.91), suicide (4.30, 1.74 to 10.61), respiratory disease (3.74, 1.40 to 9.99), and diseases of the digestive system (4.83, 1.77 to 13.21). The association of sexual abuse with premature mortality was stronger among women who smoked or had higher levels of anxiety during adulthood. Smoking, low physical activity, anxiety, and depression each explained 3.9-22.4% of the association between early life abuse and premature mortality.

CONCLUSION

Early life physical and sexual abuse could be associated with a greater risk of adult premature mortality.

Pancreatic cancer is associated with medication changes prior to clinical diagnosis

Patients with pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) commonly develop symptoms and signs in the 1-2 years before diagnosis that can result in changes to medications. We investigate recent medication changes and PDAC diagnosis in Nurses' Health Study (NHS; females) and Health Professionals Follow-up Study (HPFS; males), including up to 148,973 U.S. participants followed for 2,994,057 person-years and 991 incident PDAC cases. Here we show recent initiation of antidiabetic (NHS) or anticoagulant (NHS, HFS) medications and cessation of antihypertensive medications (NHS, HPFS) are associated with pancreatic cancer diagnosis in the next 2 years. Two-year PDAC risk increases as number of relevant medication changes increases (P-trend <1 × 10^-5), with participants who recently start antidiabetic and stop antihypertensive medications having multivariable-adjusted hazard ratio of 4.86 (95%CI, 1.74-13.6). These changes are not associated with diagnosis of other digestive system cancers. Recent medication changes should be considered as candidate features in multi-factor risk models for PDAC, though they are not causally implicated in development of PDAC.

Low-Carbohydrate Diet Scores and Mortality Among Adults With Incident Type 2 Diabetes

OBJECTIVE

The current study aims to prospectively examine the association between postdiagnosis low-carbohydrate diet (LCD) patterns and mortality among individuals with type 2 diabetes (T2D).

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

Among participants with incident diabetes identified in the Nurses' Health Study and Health Professionals Follow-up Study, an overall total LCD score (TLCDS) was calculated based on the percentage of energy as total carbohydrates. In addition, vegetable (VLCDS), animal (ALCDS), healthy (HLCDS), and unhealthy (ULCDS) LCDS were further derived that emphasized different sources and quality of macronutrients. Multivariable-adjusted Cox models were used to assess the association between the LCDS and mortality.

RESULTS

Among 10,101 incident T2D cases contributing 139,407 person-years during follow-up, we documented 4,595 deaths of which 1,389 cases were attributed to cardiovascular disease (CVD) and 881 to cancer. The pooled multivariable-adjusted hazard ratios (HRs, 95% CIs) of total mortality per 10-point increment of postdiagnosis LCDS were 0.87 (0.82, 0.92) for TLCDS, 0.76 (0.71, 0.82) for VLCDS, and 0.78 (0.73, 0.84) for HLCDS. Both VLCDS and HLCDS were also associated with significantly lower CVD and cancer mortality. Each 10-point increase of TLCDS, VLCDS, and HLCDS from prediagnosis to postdiagnosis period was associated with 12% (7%, 17%), 25% (19%, 30%), and 25% (19%, 30%) lower total mortality, respectively. No significant associations were observed for ALCDS and ULCDS.

CONCLUSIONS

Among people with T2D, greater adherence to LCD patterns that emphasize high-quality sources of macronutrients was significantly associated with lower total, cardiovascular, and cancer mortality.

Inflammatory and insulinemic dietary patterns and risk of endometrial cancer among US women

BACKGROUND

Although unopposed estrogen exposure is considered a major driver of endometrial carcinogenesis, chronic inflammation and insulin resistance and hyperinsulinemia are also major endometrial cancer risk factors. However, it is unclear whether diets with inflammatory or insulinemic potential are associated with risk of endometrial cancer.

METHODS

We followed 48 330 women from the Nurses' Health Study (1984-2016) and 85 426 women from the Nurses' Health Study II (1989-2017). Using food frequency questionnaires, we calculated repeated measures of empirical dietary inflammatory pattern (EDIP) and empirical dietary index for hyperinsulinemia (EDIH) scores, which characterize the potential of the whole diet to modulate circulating biomarkers of inflammation or C-peptide, respectively. We used multivariable-adjusted Cox regression to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for type I endometrial cancer risk.

RESULTS

We documented 1462 type I endometrial cancer cases over 2 823 221 person-years of follow-up. In the pooled multivariable-adjusted analyses, women in the highest compared with lowest quintiles were at higher risk of type I endometrial cancer (EDIP HRQ5vsQ1 = 1.46, 95% CI = 1.24 to 1.73; Ptrend < .001; EDIH HRQ5vsQ1 = 1.58, 95% CI = 1.34 to 1.87; Ptrend < .001). Additional adjustment for body mass index attenuated the associations (EDIP HR = 1.03, 95% CI = 0.87 to 1.22; EDIH HR = 1.01, 95% CI = 0.85 to 1.21), and mediation analyses showed that body mass index may explain 60.4% (95% CI = 37.4% to 79.6%; P < .001) and 71.8% (95% CI = 41.0% to 90.4%; P < .001) of the association of endometrial cancer with EDIP and EDIH, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

In this large cohort study, higher dietary inflammatory and insulinemic potential were each associated with increased endometrial cancer incidence, and this association may be almost entirely mediated by adiposity.

Optimal dietary patterns for prevention of chronic disease

Multiple dietary patterns have been associated with different diseases; however, their comparability to improve overall health has yet to be determined. Here, in 205,852 healthcare professionals from three US cohorts followed for up to 32 years, we prospectively assessed two mechanism-based diets and six diets based on dietary recommendations in relation to major chronic disease, defined as a composite outcome of incident major cardiovascular disease (CVD), type 2 diabetes and cancer. We demonstrated that adherence to a healthy diet was generally associated with a lower risk of major chronic disease (hazard ratio (HR) comparing the 90th with the 10th percentile of dietary pattern scores = 0.58-0.80). Participants with low insulinemic (HR = 0.58, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 0.57, 0.60), low inflammatory (HR = 0.61, 95% CI = 0.60, 0.63) or diabetes risk-reducing (HR = 0.70, 95% CI = 0.69, 0.72) diet had the largest risk reduction for incident major CVD, type 2 diabetes and cancer as a composite and individually. Similar findings were observed across gender and diverse ethnic groups. Our results suggest that dietary patterns associated with markers of hyperinsulinemia and inflammation and diabetes development may inform on future dietary guidelines for chronic disease prevention.

Neighborhood socioeconomic status and mortality in the nurses' health study (NHS) and the nurses' health study II (NHSII)

Few studies have prospectively examined long-term associations between neighborhood socioeconomic status (nSES) and mortality risk, independent of demographic and lifestyle risk factors.

Methods

We assessed associations between nSES and all-cause, nonaccidental mortality among women in the Nurses' Health Study (NHS) 1986-2014 (N = 101,701) and Nurses' Health Study II (NHSII) 1989-2015 (N = 101,230). Mortality was ascertained from the National Death Index (NHS: 19,228 deaths; NHSII: 1556 deaths). Time-varying nSES was determined for the Census tract of each residential address. We used principal component analysis (PCA) to identify nSES variable groups. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards models were conditioned on age and calendar period and included time-varying demographic, lifestyle, and individual SES factors.

Results

For NHS, hazard ratios (HRs) comparing the fifth to first nSES quintiles ranged from 0.89 (95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.84, 0.94) for percent of households receiving interest/dividends, to 1.11 (95% CI = 1.06, 1.17) for percent of households receiving public assistance income. In NHSII, HRs ranged from 0.72 (95% CI: 0.58, 0.88) for the percent of households receiving interest/dividends, to 1.27 (95% CI: 1.07, 1.49) for the proportion of households headed by a single female. PCA revealed three constructs: education/income, poverty/wealth, and racial composition. The racial composition construct was associated with mortality (HRNHS: 1.03; 95% CI = 1.01, 1.04).

Conclusion

In two cohorts with extensive follow-up, individual nSES variables and PCA component scores were associated with mortality. nSES is an important population-level predictor of mortality, even among a cohort of women with little individual-level variability in SES.

Rotating Night Shift Work and Bladder Cancer Risk in Women: Results of Two Prospective Cohort Studies

Bladder cancer is the sixth most common cancer in the United States. Night shift work has previously been linked with cancer risk. Whether there is an association between rotating night shift work and bladder cancer in women has not been studied previously. Eligible participants in the Nurses' Health Study (NHS, n = 82,147, 1988-2016) and Nurses' Health Study II (NHSII, n = 113,630, 1989-2015) were prospectively followed and a total of 620 and 122 incident bladder cancer cases were documented during the follow-up of NHS and NHSII, respectively. Cox proportional hazards models were used to estimate hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (95% CI) for bladder cancer incidence. We observed a significantly increased risk of bladder cancer among women with >5 years of night shift work history compared with women who never worked rotating night shifts in NHS (HR = 1.24; 95%CI = 1.01-1.54, p for trend = 0.06), but not in the pooled NHS and NHS II (HR = 1.18; 95%CI = 0.97-1.43, p for trend = 0.08). Secondary analyses stratified by smoking status showed no significant interaction (p = 0.89) between the duration of rotating night shift work and smoking status. In conclusion, our results did not provide strong evidence for an association between rotating night shift work and bladder cancer risk.

A model for predicting both breast cancer risk and non-breast cancer death among women > 55 years old

BACKGROUND

Guidelines recommend shared decision making (SDM) for mammography screening for women ≥ 75 and not screening women with < 10-year life expectancy. High-quality SDM requires consideration of women's breast cancer (BC) risk, life expectancy, and values but is hard to implement because no models simultaneously estimate older women's individualized BC risk and life expectancy.

METHODS

Using competing risk regression and data from 83,330 women > 55 years who completed the 2004 Nurses' Health Study (NHS) questionnaire, we developed (in 2/3 of the cohort, n = 55,533) a model to predict 10-year non-breast cancer (BC) death. We considered 60 mortality risk factors and used best-subsets regression, the Akaike information criterion, and c-index, to identify the best-fitting model. We examined model performance in the remaining 1/3 of the NHS cohort (n = 27,777) and among 17,380 Black Women's Health Study (BWHS) participants, ≥ 55 years, who completed the 2009 questionnaire. We then included the identified mortality predictors in a previously developed competing risk BC prediction model and examined model performance for predicting BC risk.

RESULTS

Mean age of NHS development cohort participants was 70.1 years (± 7.0); over 10 years, 3.1% developed BC, 0.3% died of BC, and 20.1% died of other causes; NHS validation cohort participants were similar. BWHS participants were younger (mean age 63.7 years [± 6.7]); over 10-years 3.1% developed BC, 0.4% died of BC, and 11.1% died of other causes. The final non-BC death prediction model included 21 variables (age; body mass index [BMI]; physical function [3 measures]; comorbidities [12]; alcohol; smoking; age at menopause; and mammography use). The final BC prediction model included age, BMI, alcohol and hormone use, family history, age at menopause, age at first birth/parity, and breast biopsy history. When risk factor regression coefficients were applied in the validation cohorts, the c-index for predicting 10-year non-BC death was 0.790 (0.784-0.796) in NHS and 0.768 (0.757-0.780) in BWHS; for predicting 5-year BC risk, the c-index was 0.612 (0.538-0.641) in NHS and 0.573 (0.536-0.611) in BWHS.

CONCLUSIONS

We developed and validated a novel competing-risk model that predicts 10-year non-BC death and 5-year BC risk. Model risk estimates may help inform SDM around mammography screening.

Lifetime Exposure to Cigarette Smoke and Risk of Ovarian Cancer by T-cell Tumor Immune Infiltration

BACKGROUND

Exposure to cigarette smoke, particularly in early life, is modestly associated with ovarian cancer risk and may impact systemic immunity and the tumor immune response. However, no studies have evaluated whether cigarette smoke exposure impacts the ovarian tumor immune microenvironment.

METHODS

Participants in the Nurses' Health Study (NHS) and NHSII reported on early life exposure to cigarette smoke and personal smoking history on questionnaires (n = 165,760). Multiplex immunofluorescence assays were used to measure markers of T cells and immune checkpoints in tumor tissue from 385 incident ovarian cancer cases. We used Cox proportional hazards models to evaluate HRs and 95% confidence intervals (CI) for developing ovarian tumors with a low (<median) or high (≥median) immune cell percentage by cigarette exposure categories.

RESULTS

Women exposed versus not to cigarette smoke early in life had a higher risk of developing ovarian cancer with low levels of T cells overall (CD3+: HR: 1.54, 95% CI: 1.08-2.20) and recently activated cytotoxic T cells (CD3+CD8+CD69+: HR: 1.45, 95% CI: 1.05-2.00). These findings were not statistically significant at the Bonferroni-corrected P value of 0.0083. Adult smoking was not significantly associated with tumor immune markers after Bonferroni correction.

CONCLUSIONS

These results suggest early life cigarette smoke exposure may modestly increase risk of developing ovarian tumors with low abundance of total T cells and recently activated cytotoxic T cells.

IMPACT

Future research should focus on understanding the impact of exposures throughout the life course on the ovarian tumor immune microenvironment.

Incident Early- and Later-Onset Type 2 Diabetes and Risk of Early- and Later-Onset Cancer: Prospective Cohort Study

OBJECTIVE

We evaluated prospectively the association between incident early-onset (diagnosed before 40 years of age) and later-onset type 2 diabetes and early-onset (diagnosed before 50 years of age) and later-onset cancer risk.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

We prospectively followed 228,073 eligible participants in the Nurses' Health Studies for up to 38 years. Hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% CI were estimated using Cox models.

RESULTS

We documented 18,290 type 2 diabetes, 6,520 early-onset cancer, and 36,907 later-onset cancer cases during follow-up. In fully adjusted analyses, early-onset type 2 diabetes was associated with increased risk of early-onset total cancer (HR [95% CI] 1.47 [1.06-2.04]), diabetes-related cancer (2.11 [1.38-3.23]), and obesity-related cancer (1.75 [1.08-2.82]), and the risk elevations were restricted to those with a BMI at 18 years of age of ≥21 kg/m2 (total cancer: 1.75 [1.20-2.56]; diabetes-related cancer: 2.43 [1.50-3.94]; and obesity-related cancer: 1.84 [1.05-3.22]). Early-onset type 2 diabetes was associated with higher risk of later-onset diabetes-related and obesity-related cancer specifically among individuals with higher BMI at 18 years of age. Later-onset type 2 diabetes was associated with a higher risk of later-onset total cancer (1.15 [1.11-1.20]), diabetes-related cancer (1.17 [1.12-1.22]), and obesity-related cancer (1.18 [1.13-1.24]). In analyses based on refined timing, the HRs attenuated substantially with aging.

CONCLUSIONS

Incident early-onset type 2 diabetes was associated with increased risk of early-onset total cancer and diabetes- and obesity-related cancer, especially in those with higher BMI at 18 years of age. The impact of early-onset type 2 diabetes on cancer risk may be inherently stronger than that of later-onset type 2 diabetes.

Long-term Weight Training and Mortality in U.S. Male Health Professionals With and Without Type 2 Diabetes

OBJECTIVE

To investigate the relationship between long-term weight training and mortality in male health professionals with and without type 2 diabetes.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

We analyzed 31,140 men without type 2 diabetes and 2,588 with type 2 diabetes from the Health Professionals Follow-up Study (1992-2018). Information on weight training was repeatedly assessed using a biennial questionnaire. Cox regression was used to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% CIs.

RESULTS

During up to 26 years of follow-up, we documented 12,607 deaths (988 deaths among men with type 2 diabetes). Among participants without type 2 diabetes, 1-59 and 60-149 min/week of long-term weight training were associated with 14% (HR 0.86; 95% CI 0.82-0.89) and 8% (HR 0.92; 95% CI 0.85-0.99) lower mortality versus no weight training, respectively, after adjustment for aerobic activity. However, ≥150 min/week of weight training was not significantly associated with mortality (HR 1.05; 95% CI 0.91-1.20; overall P trend = 0.94; P quadratic < 0.001). Meeting the recommended aerobic physical activity guideline (≥150 min/week) and performing any weight training were associated with 20-34% lower mortality. Among participants with type 2 diabetes, a moderate level of pre-diagnosis weight training was associated with lower mortality, whereas post-diagnosis weight training showed no association. Performing both weight training and aerobic activity before and after diagnosis was associated with lower mortality.

CONCLUSIONS

A moderate level of long-term weight training was associated with lower mortality, independently of aerobic activity, among male health professionals with and without type 2 diabetes. Addition of weight training to aerobic activities may provide further benefit in mortality risk reduction. Studies are required to confirm our findings in diverse populations.

Herpes Zoster and Long-Term Risk of Cardiovascular Disease

Background We investigated the longitudinal association of herpes zoster (HZ), commonly known as "shingles," and long-term risk of stroke or coronary heart disease (CHD) among participants in 3 large US cohorts, the NHS (Nurses' Health Study), NHS II (Nurses' Health Study II), and HPFS (Health Professionals Follow-Up Study). Methods and Results Participants were 79 658 women in the NHS (2000-2016), 93 932 women in the NHS II (2001-2017), and 31 440 men in the HPFS (2004-2016), without prior stroke or CHD. Information on HZ, stroke, and CHD was collected on biennial questionnaires and confirmed by medical record review. Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to estimate multivariable-adjusted hazard ratios for stroke and for CHD according to years since HZ compared with never HZ. During >2 million person-years of follow-up, 3603 incident stroke and 8620 incident CHD cases were documented. History of HZ was significantly and independently associated with higher long-term risk of stroke and CHD. In pooled analyses, compared with individuals with no history of HZ, the multivariable-adjusted hazard ratios (95% CIs) for stroke were 1.05 (0.88-1.25) among those with 1 to 4 years since HZ, 1.38 (1.10-1.74) for among those with 5 to 8 years since HZ, 1.28 (1.03-1.59) among those with for 9 to 12 years since HZ, and 1.19 (0.90-1.56) among those with ≥13 years since HZ. For CHD, the corresponding multivariable-adjusted hazard ratios (95% CIs) were 1.13 (1.01-1.27) for 1 to 4 years, 1.16 (1.02-1.32) for 5 to 8 years, 1.25 (1.07-1.46) for 9 to 12 years, and 1.00 (0.83-1.21) for ≥13 years. Conclusions HZ is associated with higher long-term risk of a major cardiovascular event. These findings suggest there are long-term implications of HZ and underscore the importance of prevention.

Clinical and Genomic Characterization of Interval Colorectal Cancer in 3 Prospective Cohorts

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Interval colorectal cancers (CRCs), cancers diagnosed after a screening/surveillance examination in which no cancer is detected, and before the date of next recommended examination, reflect an unprecedented challenge in CRC detection and prevention. To better understand this poorly characterized CRC variant, we examined the clinical and mutational characteristics of interval CRCs in comparison with screen detected CRCs.

METHODS

We included 1175 CRCs documented in the Prostate, Lung, Colorectal, and Ovarian (PLCO) cancer screening trial and 3661 CRCs in the Nurses' Health Study (NHS) and Health Professionals Follow-up Study (HPFS). Multivariable Cox models were performed to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) of death risk. Whole exome sequencing was conducted in 147 PLCO cases and 796 NHS/HPFS cases.

RESULTS

A total of 619 deaths (312 CRC-specific) and 2404 deaths (1904 CRC-specific) were confirmed during follow-up of PLCO and NHS/HPFS, respectively. Compared with screen detected CRCs, interval CRCs had a multivariate-adjusted HR (95% CI) of 1.47 (1.21-1.78) for CRC-specific mortality and 1.27 (1.09-1.47) for overall mortality (meta-analysis combining all 3 cohorts). However, we did not observe significant differences in mutational features between interval and screen detected CRCs (false discovery rate adjusted P > .05).

CONCLUSION

Interval CRCs had a significantly increased risk of death compared with screen detected CRCs that were not explained by established clinical prognostic factors, including stage at diagnosis. The survival disadvantage of interval CRCs did not appear to be explained by differences in the genomic landscape of tumors characterized by whole exome sequencing.

Breastfeeding duration and subsequent risk of mortality among US women: A prospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

Breastfeeding has been associated with a reduced maternal long-term risk of chronic diseases, but its association with mortality is poorly known.

METHODS

We included 166,708 female United States (US) nurses from the Nurses' Health Study (1986-2016) and the Nurses' Health Study II (1989-2019) who experienced at least one pregnancy lasting at least six months across their reproductive lifespan. Hazard ratios and 95% confidence intervals (CI) for mortality according to lifetime breastfeeding duration were estimated with time-dependent Cox proportional hazards regression models.

FINDINGS

During 4,705,160 person-years of follow-up, 36,634 deaths were documented in both cohorts, including 9880 from cancer and 7709 from cardiovascular disease (CVD). Lifetime total breastfeeding duration was associated with a lower subsequent risk of all-cause mortality in a non-linear manner (p-value for non-linearity=0.0007). The pooled multivariable-adjusted hazard ratios of all-cause mortality were 0.95 (95% CI: 0.92 to 0.98), 0.94 (95% CI: 0.91 to 0.98), 0.93 (95% CI: 0.90 to 0.97), and 0.93 (95% CI: 0.89 to 0.97), respectively, for women reporting lifetime total breastfeeding duration of 4-6, 7-11, 12-23, and ≥24 months, compared to women who breastfed for ≤3 months over their reproductive lifespan. Cause-specific analysis showed a similar pattern of non-linear inverse associations between lifetime total breastfeeding duration and CVD and cancer mortality (both p-values for non-linearity <0.01). There was no evidence of interactions between breastfeeding duration and pre-pregnancy lifestyle factors on mortality risk.

INTERPRETATION

Parous women with longer lifetime breastfeeding duration had a modestly lower risk of mortality.

FUNDING

The National Institutes of Health grants.

A prospective analysis of red blood cell membrane polyunsaturated fatty acid levels and risk of non-Hodgkin lymphoma

Published studies report inconsistent associations of polyunsaturated fatty acid (PUFA) intake with non-Hodgkin lymphoma (NHL) risk. We conducted a nested case-control study in Nurses' Health Study and Health Professionals Follow-Up Study participants to evaluate a hypothesis of inverse association of pre-diagnosis red blood cell (RBC) membrane PUFA levels with risk of NHL endpoints. We confirmed 583 NHL cases and matched 583 controls by cohort/sex, age, race and blood draw date/time. We estimated odds ratios (OR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) for risk of NHL endpoints using logistic regression. RBC PUFA levels were not associated with all NHL risk; cis 20:2n-6 was associated with follicular lymphoma risk (OR [95% CI] per one standard deviation increase: 1.35 [1.03-1.77]), and the omega-6/omega-3 PUFA ratio was associated with diffuse large B-cell lymphoma risk (2.33 [1.23-4.43]). Overall, PUFA did not demonstrate a role in NHL etiology; the two unexpected positive associations lack clear biologic explanations.

Diets with higher insulinaemic potential are associated with increased risk of overall and cardiovascular disease-specific mortality

Hyperinsulinaemia and insulin resistance have been proposed to be associated with mortality risk, and diet can modulate insulin response. However, whether dietary patterns with high insulinaemic potential are associated with mortality remains unknown. We prospectively examined the associations between hyperinsulinaemic diets and the risk of total and cause-specific mortality in a large nationally representative population. Dietary factors were assessed by 24-h recalls. Two empirical dietary indices for hyperinsulinaemia (EDIH) and insulin resistance (EDIR) were developed to identify food groups most predictive of biomarkers for hyperinsulinaemia (C-peptide and insulin) and insulin resistance (homoeostatic model assessment for insulin resistance), respectively. Deaths from date of the first dietary interview until 31 December 2015 were identified by the National Death Index. Multivariable hazard ratios (HR) and 95 % CI were calculated using Cox regression models. During a median follow-up of 7·8 years, 4904 deaths were documented among 40 074 participants. For EDIH, the multivariable-adjusted HR (comparing extreme quintiles) were 1·20 (95 % CI 1·09, 1·32, P-trend<0·001) for overall mortality and 1·41 (95 % CI 1·15, 1·74, P-trend = 0·002) for CVD mortality. Similar associations were observed for EDIR with HR of 1·18 (95 % CI 1·07, 1·29, P-trend < 0·001) for total and 1·35 (95 % CI 1·09, 1·67, P-trend = 0·005) for CVD mortality. After further adjustments for BMI and diabetes, these positive associations were somewhat attenuated. Our findings suggested that diets with higher insulinaemic potential are associated with increased risk of overall and CVD-specific mortality.

Urinary phthalate concentrations and mortality risk: A population-based study

Phthalates are widely used as plasticizers. Laboratory-based mechanistic and epidemiological studies suggest that phthalates are detrimental to human health. Here, we present prospective analyses on phthalate exposure and all-cause, as well as cause-specific, mortality from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES), a population-based cohort. Between 1999 and 2018, urinary concentrations of 12 phthalate metabolites were measured by high-performance liquid chromatography-electrospray ionization tandem mass spectrometry in spot urine samples of 10,881 adults aged 40-85 years, of which 2382 died over a median duration of 8.9 years after sample provision. Multivariable Cox regression analyses adjusted for a wide range of lifestyle factors and comorbidities showed that higher concentrations of mono-benzyl phthalate (MBzP) and Mono-n-butyl phthalate (MnBP) were associated with increased mortality. The hazard ratios for participants in the highest quartiles of MBzP and MnBP concentrations were at 1.27 [95% confidence interval: 1.08, 1.49; p _{linear trend} = 0.002] and 1.35 [1.13, 1.62; p _{linear trend} = 0.005). These findings reinforce the need for monitoring of phthalate exposure in relation to health outcomes.

Birth weight and long-term risk of mortality among US men and women: Results from three prospective cohort studies

Background

Weight at birth has been associated with the development of various adult diseases, but its association with mortality remains unclear.

Methods

We included 22,389 men from the Health Professionals Follow-up Study (1994-2018) and 162,231 women from the Nurses' Health Study (1992-2018) and the Nurses' Health Study II (1991-2019). The hazard ratios (HRs) of mortality according to birth weight were estimated by Cox proportional hazards regression models with adjustment for potential confounders.

Findings

Compared to women reporting a birth weight of 3.16-3.82 kg, the pooled HRs for all-cause mortality were 1.13 (95% CI, 1.08 to 1.17), 0.99 (95% CI, 0.96 to 1.02), 1.04 (95% CI, 1.00 to 1.08), and 1.03 (95% CI, 0.96 to 1.10), respectively, for women with a birth weight of <2.5, 2.5-3.15, 3.83-4.5, and >4.5 kg. In cause-specific mortality analyses, women reporting birth weight >4.5 kg had a higher risk of cancer mortality (HR=1.15, 95% CI: 1.00 to 1.31), whereas women with a birth weight <2.5 kg had an elevated risk of mortality from cardiovascular diseases (HR=1.15; 95% CI, 1.05 to 1.25) and respiratory diseases (HR=1.35; 95% CI, 1.18 to 1.54). Birth weight was unrelated to all-cause mortality among men, but cause-specific mortality analyses showed an inverse association with cardiovascular disease mortality and a positive association with cancer mortality (p for linear trend = 0.012 and 0.0039, respectively).

Interpretation

low birth weight was associated with a greater risk of cardiovascular and respiratory disease mortality among women, while large birth weight was associated with a greater cancer mortality risk in both men and women.

Funding

The National Institutes of Health grants U01-HL145386, U01-CA176726, R01-HL034594, R01-HL088521, UM-CA186107, P01-CA87969, R01-CA49449, R01-CA67262, U01-HL145386, U01-CA167552, R01-HL35464, and R24-ES028521-01 support this study.

A prospective cohort study of starchy and non-starchy vegetable intake and mortality risk

Whether starchy and non-starchy vegetables have distinct impacts on health remains unknown. We prospectively investigated the intake of starchy and non-starchy vegetables in relation to mortality risk in a nationwide cohort. Diet was assessed using 24-h dietary recalls. Deaths were identified via the record linkage to the National Death Index. Hazard ratios (HR) and 95 % CI were calculated using Cox regression. During a median follow-up of 7·8 years, 4904 deaths were documented among 40 074 participants aged 18 years or older. Compared to those with no consumption, participants with daily consumption of ≥ 1 serving of non-starchy vegetables had a lower risk of mortality (HR = 0·76, 95 % CI 0·66, 0·88, P_trend = 0·001). Dark-green and deep-yellow vegetables (HR = 0·79, 95 % CI 0·63, 0·99, P_trend = 0·023) and other non-starchy vegetables (HR = 0·80, 95 % CI 0·70, 0·92, P_trend = 0·004) showed similar results. Total starchy vegetable intake exhibited a marginally weak inverse association with mortality risk (HR = 0·89, 95 % CI 0·80, 1·00, P_trend = 0·048), while potatoes showed a null association (HR = 0·93, 95 % CI 0·82, 1·06, P_trend = 0·186). Restricted cubic spline analysis suggested a linear dose-response relationship between vegetable intake and death risk, with a plateau at over 300 and 200 g/d for total and non-starchy vegetables, respectively. Compared with starchy vegetables, non-starchy vegetables might be more beneficial to health, although both showed a protective association with mortality risk. The risk reduction in mortality plateaued at approximately 200 g/d for non-starchy vegetables and 300 g/d for total vegetables.

Menstrual Cycle Regularity and Length Across the Reproductive Lifespan and Risk of Cardiovascular Disease

Importance

Menstrual cycle characteristics may be associated with an increased risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD). However, existing studies are limited, and few have explored the mediating role of established CVD risk factors.

Objective

To explore the associations of menstrual cycle characteristics across the reproductive lifespan with the risk of CVD and to what extent these associations were mediated by hypercholesterolemia, chronic hypertension, and type 2 diabetes.

Design, Setting, and Participants

This cohort study prospectively followed Nurses' Health Study II participants between 1993 and 2017 who reported menstrual cycle regularity and length for ages 14 to 17 years and 18 to 22 years at enrollment in 1989 and updated current cycle characteristics in 1993 (at ages 29 to 46 years). Data analysis was performed from October 1, 2019, to January 1, 2022.

Exposures

Menstrual cycle regularity and length across the reproductive lifespan.

Main Outcomes and Measures

Incident CVD events of interest, including fatal and nonfatal coronary heart disease (CHD; myocardial infarction [MI] or coronary revascularization) and stroke.

Results

A total of 80 630 Nurses' Health Study II participants were included in the analysis, with a mean (SD) age of 37.7 (4.6) years and body mass index of 25.1 (5.6) at baseline. Over 24 years of prospective follow-up, 1816 women developed their first CVD event. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards models showed that, compared with women reporting very regular cycles at the same ages, women who had irregular cycles or no periods at ages 14 to 17, 18 to 22, or 29 to 46 years had hazard ratios for CVD of 1.15 (95% CI, 0.99-1.34), 1.36 (95% CI, 1.06-1.75), and 1.40 (95% CI, 1.14-1.71), respectively. Similarly, compared with women reporting a cycle length of 26 to 31 days, women reporting a cycle length 40 days or more or a cycle too irregular to estimate from ages 18 to 22 or 29 to 46 years had hazard ratios for CVD of 1.44 (95% CI, 1.13-1.84) and 1.30 (95% CI, 1.09-1.57), respectively. Mediation analyses showed that subsequent development of hypercholesteremia, chronic hypertension, and type 2 diabetes only explained 5.4% to 13.5% of the observed associations.

Conclusions and Relevance

In this cohort study, both irregular and long menstrual cycles were associated with increased rates of CVD, which persisted even after accounting for subsequently established CVD risk factors.

Depression, smoking, and lung cancer risk over 24 years among women

BACKGROUND

Studies evaluating depression's role in lung cancer risk revealed contradictory findings, partly because of the small number of cases, short follow-up periods, and failure to account for key covariates including smoking exposure. We investigated the association of depressive symptoms with lung cancer risk in a large prospective cohort over 24 years while considering the role of smoking.

METHODS

Women from the Nurses' Health Study completed measures of depressive symptoms, sociodemographics, and other factors including smoking in 1992 (N = 42 913). Depressive symptoms were also queried in 1996 and 2000, whereas regular antidepressant use and physician-diagnosed depression were collected starting in 1996. Multivariable Cox regression models estimated hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) of lung cancer risk until 2016.

RESULTS

We identified 1009 cases of lung cancer. Women with the highest v. lowest level of depressive symptoms had an increased lung cancer risk (HRsociodemographics-adjusted = 1.62, 95% CI 1.34-1.95; HRfully-adjusted = 1.25, 95% CI 1.04-1.51). In a test of mediation, lifetime pack-years of smoking accounted for 38% of the overall association between depressive symptoms and disease risk. When stratifying by smoking status, the elevated risk was evident among former smokers but not current or never smokers; however, the interaction term suggested no meaningful differences across groups (p = 0.29). Results were similar or stronger when considering time-updated depression status (using depressive symptoms, physician diagnosis, and regular antidepressant use) and chronicity of depressive symptoms.

CONCLUSIONS

These findings suggest that greater depressive symptoms may contribute to lung cancer incidence, directly and indirectly via smoking habits, which accounted for over a third of the association.

Association of Proton Pump Inhibitor Use With All-Cause and Cause-Specific Mortality

BACKGROUND & AIMS

The use of proton pump inhibitors (PPIs) has increased rapidly in the past 2 decades. Concerns about the regular use of PPIs contributing to mortality have been raised.

METHODS

We conducted a prospective cohort study using data collected from the Nurses' Health Study (2004-2018) and the Health Professionals Follow-up Study (2004-2018). Cox proportional hazards models were used to estimate the hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% CIs for mortality according to PPI use. We used a modified lag-time approach to minimize reverse causation (ie, protopathic bias).

RESULTS

Among 50,156 women and 21,731 men followed for 831,407 person-years and a median of 13.8 years, we documented 22,125 deaths, including 4592 deaths from cancer, 5404 from cardiovascular diseases, and 12,129 deaths from other causes. Compared with nonusers of PPIs, PPI users had significantly higher risks of all-cause mortality (HR, 1.19; 95% CI, 1.13-1.24) and mortality due to cancer (HR, 1.30; 95% CI, 1.17-1.44), cardiovascular diseases (HR, 1.13; 95% CI, 1.02-1.26), respiratory diseases (HR, 1.32; 95% CI, 1.12-1.56), and digestive diseases (HR, 1.50; 95% CI, 1.10-2.05). Upon applying lag times of up to 6 years, the associations were attenuated and no longer statistically significant (all-cause: HR, 1.04; 95% CI, 0.97-1.11; cancer: HR, 1.07; 95% CI, 0.89-1.28; cardiovascular diseases: HR, 0.94; 95% CI, 0.81-1.10; respiratory diseases: HR, 1.20; 95% CI, 0.95-1.50; digestive diseases: HR, 1.38; 95% CI, 0.88-2.18). Longer duration of PPI use did not confer higher risks for all-cause and cause-specific mortality.

CONCLUSIONS

After accounting for protopathic bias, PPI use was not associated with higher risks of all-cause mortality and mortality due to major causes.

Estrogen therapy and breast cancer in randomized clinical trials: a narrative review

IMPORTANCE AND OBJECTIVE

In the Women's Health Initiative (WHI) randomized trial with 10,739 postmenopausal women with prior hysterectomy, conjugated equine estrogen (CEE) alone significantly reduced breast cancer incidence and breast cancer mortality. In contrast, epidemiological studies in a meta-analysis from the Collaborative Group on Hormonal Factors in Breast Cancer (Collaborative Group) with 108,647 breast cancers and the Million Women's Study cohort significantly associated estrogen-alone therapy with higher breast cancer incidence and breast cancer mortality. The Collaborative Group included a meta-analysis of five smaller randomized trials and the WHI randomized trial; however, findings were restricted to the Collaborative Group appendix. Our objective is to facilitate understanding of these discordant results.

METHODS

Data sources supporting our review findings include the randomized WHI CEE-alone trial and the meta-analysis of five smaller randomized trials evaluating estrogen alone. We summarize the smaller randomized trials' details of breast cancer relevance and place the findings in clinical context. We review findings of the WHI randomized trial evaluating CEE alone in the context of issues raised by Collaborative Group and the Million Women Study authors. We trace the evolution of the time-from-menopause, "window of opportunity" concept and augment the Collaborative Group meta-analysis by including the most recent WHI findings.

DISCUSSION AND CONCLUSIONS

Consideration of the smaller randomized trials evaluating estrogen alone with breast cancer signals that the WHI findings of lower breast cancer incidence and lower breast cancer mortality with CEE-alone use are not a "stand-alone" outcome or due to the play of chance. The serial reports of consistent favorable breast cancer findings through 20 years of cumulative follow-up suggest CEE-alone use initiates changes that persist. After full consideration of risks and benefits, randomized trial evidence provides reassurance for postmenopausal women with prior hysterectomy who are close to menopause considering estrogen alone for climacteric symptom management.

Long-Term Leisure-Time Physical Activity Intensity and All-Cause and Cause-Specific Mortality: A Prospective Cohort of US Adults

BACKGROUND

The 2018 physical activity guidelines for Americans recommend a minimum of 150 to 300 min/wk of moderate physical activity (MPA), 75 to 150 min/wk of vigorous physical activity (VPA), or an equivalent combination of both. However, it remains unclear whether higher levels of long-term VPA and MPA are, independently and jointly, associated with lower mortality.

METHODS

A total of 116 221 adults from 2 large prospective US cohorts (Nurses' Health Study and Health Professionals Follow-up Study, 1988-2018) were analyzed. Detailed self-reported leisure-time physical activity was assessed with a validated questionnaire, repeated up to 15 times during the follow-up. Cox regression was used to estimate the hazard ratio and 95% CI of the association between long-term leisure-time physical activity intensity and all-cause and cause-specific mortality.

RESULTS

During 30 years of follow-up, we identified 47 596 deaths. In analyses mutually adjusted for MPA and VPA, hazard ratios comparing individuals meeting the long-term leisure-time VPA guideline (75-149 min/wk) versus no VPA were 0.81 (95% CI, 0.76-0.87) for all-cause mortality, 0.69 (95% CI, 0.60-0.78) for cardiovascular disease (CVD) mortality, and 0.85 (95% CI, 0.79-0.92) for non-CVD mortality. Meeting the long-term leisure-time MPA guideline (150-299 min/wk) was similarly associated with lower mortality: 19% to 25% lower risk of all-cause, CVD, and non-CVD mortality. Compared with those meeting the long-term leisure-time physical activity guidelines, participants who reported 2 to 4 times above the recommended minimum of long-term leisure-time VPA (150-299 min/wk) or MPA (300-599 min/wk) showed 2% to 4% and 3% to 13% lower mortality, respectively. Higher levels of either long-term leisure-time VPA (≥300 min/wk) or MPA (≥600 min/wk) did not clearly show further lower all-cause, CVD, and non-CVD mortality or harm. In joint analyses, for individuals who reported <300 min/wk of long-term leisure-time MPA, additional leisure-time VPA was associated with lower mortality; however, among those who reported ≥300 min/wk of long-term leisure-time MPA, additional leisure-time VPA did not appear to be associated with lower mortality beyond MPA.

CONCLUSIONS

The nearly maximum association with lower mortality was achieved by performing ≈150 to 300 min/wk of long-term leisure-time VPA, 300 to 600 min/wk of long-term leisure-time MPA, or an equivalent combination of both.

A Multi-State Survival Model for Time to Breast Cancer Mortality among a Cohort of Initially Disease-Free Women

BACKGROUND

Identifying risk factors for aggressive forms of breast cancer is important. Tumor factors (e.g., stage) are important predictors of prognosis, but may be intermediates between prediagnosis risk factors and mortality. Typically, separate models are fit for incidence and mortality postdiagnosis. These models have not been previously integrated to identify risk factors for lethal breast cancer in cancer-free women.

METHODS

We combined models for breast cancer incidence and breast cancer-specific mortality among cases into a multi-state survival model for lethal breast cancer. We derived the model from cancer-free postmenopausal Nurses' Health Study women in 1990 using baseline risk factors. A total of 4,391 invasive breast cancer cases were diagnosed from 1990 to 2014 of which 549 died because of breast cancer over the same period.

RESULTS

Some established risk factors (e.g., family history, estrogen plus progestin therapy) were not associated with lethal breast cancer. Controlling for age, the strongest risk factors for lethal breast cancer were weight gain since age 18: > 30 kg versus ± 5 kg, RR = 1.94 [95% confidence interval (CI) = 1.38-2.74], nulliparity versus age at first birth (AAFB) < 25, RR = 1.60 (95% CI = 1.16-2.22), and current smoking ≥ 15 cigarettes/day versus never, RR = 1.42 (95% CI = 1.07-1.89).

CONCLUSIONS

Some breast cancer incidence risk factors are not associated with lethal breast cancer; other risk factors for lethal breast cancer are not associated with disease incidence.

IMPACT

This multi-state survival model may be useful for identifying prediagnosis factors that lead to more aggressive and ultimately lethal breast cancer.

Association of Diet and Physical Activity With All-Cause Mortality Among Adults With Parkinson Disease

IMPORTANCE

Greater diet quality and physical activity level are associated with a lower risk of developing Parkinson disease (PD). However, information regarding the association between lifestyle behaviors and survival after PD diagnosis remains limited.

OBJECTIVE

To examine the association of prediagnosis and postdiagnosis overall diet quality and physical activity with all-cause mortality among individuals with PD.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

This population-based cohort study analyzed male participants in the Health Professionals Follow-up Study from 1986 to 2012 and female participants in the Nurses' Health Study from 1984 to 2012. Participants who were diagnosed with PD and had complete baseline dietary assessment data were included. Data were analyzed from January 2021 to February 2022.

EXPOSURES

Prediagnosis diet quality, assessed by the Alternative Healthy Eating Index (AHEI), and physical activity, assessed by metabolic equivalent task (MET) hours per week reported on questionnaires, were the primary exposures of interest to minimize reverse causation.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES

Mortality, which was followed up until 2018, was the primary outcome. Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to estimate the association of diet and physical activity with mortality individually and jointly, and the models were adjusted for age, total energy intake, caffeine intake, and other lifestyle risk factors.

RESULTS

The sample comprised 1251 individuals with PD, which included 652 men (52.1%) with a median (IQR) age at diagnosis of 73.4 (67.5-78.7) years. During the 32 to 34 years of follow-up, 942 participants died. The adjusted hazard ratio (HR) comparing the highest vs the lowest AHEI quartile was 0.69 (95% CI, 0.56- 0.85) for prediagnosis analyses and 0.57 (95% CI, 0.42-0.78) for postdiagnosis analyses. Similar results were obtained for cumulative mean MET hours per week in the prediagnosis analyses (HR, 0.71; 95% CI, 0.57-0.87) and postdiagnosis analyses (HR, 0.47; 95% CI, 0.35-0.63). The inverse association persisted for PD-specific mortality (postdiagnosis AHEI: HR, 0.52 [95% CI, 0.33-0.80]; postdiagnosis physical activity: HR, 0.37 [95% CI, 0.25-0.55]). In the joint analyses of diet quality and physical activity before the PD diagnosis, the adjusted HR was 0.51 (95% CI, 0.36-0.73) for individuals in the highest vs lowest tertiles for both variables. The HR for diet quality and physical activity after the diagnosis was 0.35 (95% CI, 0.23-0.52).

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE

Results of this study showed that a healthy dietary pattern and an active lifestyle were associated with a lower rate of all-cause mortality among individuals with PD. Consuming a healthy diet and engaging in physical activity or exercise could be targeted to improve PD outcomes.