Smoking and Alcohol Consumption and Risk of Incident Diverticulitis in Women

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Much of what is known about the effects of alcohol and tobacco use on diverticular disease derives from studies of asymptomatic diverticulosis or complicated diverticulitis. We examined smoking and alcohol consumption and risk of incident diverticulitis in a large cohort of women.

METHODS

We conducted a prospective study of 84,232 women in the Nurses' Health Study II (NHS II) who were 39-52 years old and without known diverticulitis at baseline in 2003. Smoking was ascertained every 2 years and alcohol use every 4 years. We used Cox proportional hazards regression to estimate multivariable-adjusted hazards ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs).

RESULTS

During 1,139,660 person-years of follow up, we identified 3018 incident cases of diverticulitis. After adjustment for other risk factors, current (HR, 1.20; 95% CI, 1.04-1.39) and past smoking (HR, 1.20; 95% CI, 1.11-1.30) were associated with increased risk of diverticulitis when compared with never smokers. Women who consumed ≥30 g/d of alcohol had a multivariate HR of 1.26 (95% CI, 1.05-1.50) when compared with women who did not drink. A joint analysis of smoking and alcohol found that individuals who ever smoked and consumed ≥15 g/d of alcohol were at highest risk of diverticulitis (multivariate HR, 1.60; 95% CI, 1.16-2.21), compared with participants who never smoked and reported no alcohol use.

CONCLUSIONS

In this large prospective study of women, smoking and alcohol consumption were associated with an increased risk of incident diverticulitis. These data highlight additional modifiable risk factors for diverticulitis that may aid in prevention.

A prospective study of birth weight and prostate cancer risk and mortality in the Health Professionals Follow-up Study

BACKGROUND

Previous studies have observed inconsistent associations between birth weight and aggressive prostate cancer risk. This study aimed to prospectively analyse this association in the Health Professionals Follow-up Study (HPFS).

METHODS

Birth weight was self-reported in 1994, and prostate cancer diagnoses were assessed biennially through January 2017 and confirmed by medical record review. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression was used to evaluate the association between birth weight and prostate cancer risk and mortality.

RESULTS

Among 19,889 eligible men, 2520 were diagnosed with prostate cancer, including 643 with higher-grade/advanced stage, 296 with lethal, and 248 with fatal disease. Overall, no association was observed for increasing birth weight with risk of overall prostate cancer, lower-grade, and organ-confined disease. However, a borderline statistically significant positive trend was observed for increasing birth weight with risk of higher-grade and/or advanced-stage prostate cancer (adjusted hazard ratio [HRadj] per pound: 1.05; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.99-1.11; P-trend = 0.08), but no associations were observed with risk of lethal or fatal disease (HRadj: 0.99, 95% CI: 0.91-1.08; P-trend = 0.83; and HRadj: 0.99, 95% CI: 0.90-1.08; P-trend = 0.82, respectively).

CONCLUSION

No consistent associations were observed between birth weight and prostate cancer risk or mortality in this 22-year prospective cohort study.

Appendectomy and risk of prostate cancer in the Health Professionals Follow-up Study

BACKGROUND

Appendectomy is a common surgical procedure to treat appendicitis. Limited studies examined its association on prostate cancer, with one large cohort study suggesting significant increased risk of overall and advanced prostate cancer, especially among younger men.

METHODS

A total of 49,104 men in the Health Professionals Follow-up Study were followed from 1986 to 2016. Cox proportional hazards models were applied to evaluate the association between self-reported history of appendectomy and risk of overall and subtype specific prostate cancer, adjusted for multiple risk factors.

RESULTS

During 30 years of follow-up, we documented 7,253 overall prostate cancer including 579 advanced and 1,092 lethal events. Compared to men without appendectomy, those who reported at baseline having had appendectomy were not at higher risk of overall (hazard ratio (HR)=1.01, 95% CI = 0.95 to 1.07), advanced (HR=0.99, 95% CI = 0.81 to 1.23) or lethal (HR=1.04, 95% CI = 0.89 to 1.20) prostate cancer. The association remained null when stratified by age.

CONCLUSIONS

We found no evidence of an association between appendectomy and risk of overall and clinically important prostate cancer.

IMPACT

We showed that appendectomy was not associated with overall or advanced prostate cancer adjusted for multiple risk factors among a large population of men with 30 years of follow-up.

Sedentary lifestyle, physical activity, and gastrointestinal diseases: evidence from mendelian randomization analysis

BACKGROUND

The causal associations of physical activity and sedentary behavior with the risk of gastrointestinal disease are unclear. We performed a Mendelian randomization analysis to examine these associations.

METHODS

Genetic instruments associated with leisure screen time (LST, an indicator of a sedentary lifestyle) and moderate-to-vigorous intensity physical activity (MVPA) at the genome-wide significance (P < 5 × 10-8) level were selected from a genome-wide association study. Summary statistics for gastrointestinal diseases were obtained from the UK Biobank study, the FinnGen study, and large consortia. Multivariable MR analyses were conducted for genetically determined LST with adjustment for MVPA and vice versa. We also performed multivariable MR with adjustment for genetically proxied smoking, body mass index (BMI), waist-to-hip ratio, type 2 diabetes, and fasting insulin for both exposures.

FINDINGS

Genetically proxied longer LST was associated with an increased risk of gastrointestinal reflux, gastric ulcer, duodenal ulcer, chronic gastritis, irritable bowel syndrome, diverticular disease, Crohn's disease, ulcerative colitis, non-alcoholic fatty liver disease, alcoholic liver disease, cholangitis, cholecystitis, cholelithiasis, acute pancreatitis, chronic pancreatitis, and acute appendicitis. Most associations remained after adjustment for genetic liability to MVPA. Genetic liability to MVPA was associated with decreased risk of gastroesophageal reflux, gastric ulcer, chronic gastritis, irritable bowel syndrome, cholecystitis, cholelithiasis, acute and chronic pancreatitis. The associations attenuated albeit directionally remained after adjusting for genetically predicted LST. Multivariable MR analysis found that BMI and type 2 diabetes mediated the associations of LST and MVPA with several gastrointestinal diseases.

INTERPRETATION

The study suggests that a sedentary lifestyle may play a causal role in the development of many gastrointestinal diseases.

FUNDING

Natural Science Fund for Distinguished Young Scholars of Zhejiang Province (LR22H260001), Natural Science Foundation of Hunan Province (2021JJ30999), Swedish Heart-Lung Foundation (Hjärt-Lungfonden, 20210351), Swedish Research Council (Vetenskapsrådet, 2019-00977), Swedish Cancer Society (Cancerfonden), the Wellcome Trust (225790/7/22/Z), United Kingdom Research and Innovation Medical Research Council (MC_UU_00002/7) and National Institute for Health Research Cambridge Biomedical Research Centre (NHIR203312).

Associations of Regional Body Fat with Risk of Cardiovascular Disease and Mortality among Individuals with Type 2 Diabetes

OBJECTIVES

We aimed to prospectively examine the association between regional body fat and risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD) in individuals with type 2 diabetes (T2D), who often exhibit changes in relative fat distribution and have increased CVD risk.

METHODS

The main analysis included 21,472 participants with T2D from the UK Biobank. Regional body fat was measured by bioelectric impedance assessment. Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs).

RESULTS

Over a median of 7.7 years of follow-up, 3,976 CVD events occurred. After multivariable adjustment, upper and lower body fat were independently and oppositely associated with CVD risk among patients with T2D. Higher arm fat percentage was linearly associated with increased CVD risk (P nonlinear >0.05), while higher trunk fat percentage was nonlinearly associated with increased CVD risk (P nonlinear <0.05). In contrast, higher leg fat percentage was nonlinearly associated with lower CVD risk (P nonlinear <0.05). When comparing extreme quartiles, the multivariable-adjusted HR (95% CI) of CVD was 0.72 (0.58, 0.90) for leg fat percentage, 1.63 (1.29, 2.05) for arm fat percentage, and 1.27 (1.06, 1.52) for trunk fat percentage. Similar patterns of associations were observed for all-cause and CVD mortality. In addition, leg fat percentage, but not other regional fat percentage, was associated with CVD risk independently of traditional measures of obesity.

CONCLUSIONS

Among people with T2D, arm fat and trunk fat were positively, whereas leg fat was inversely, associated with the risk of CVD and mortality. These findings highlight the importance of considering both the amount and the location of body fat when assessing CVD and mortality risk among individuals with T2D.

Joint Associations of Diet and Device-measured Physical Activity with Mortality and Incident CVD and Cancer: a prospective analysis of the UK Biobank Study

BACKGROUND

We examined the joint associations of diet and device-measured intensity-specific PA with all-cause mortality (ACM), cardiovascular disease (CVD) and cancer incidence.

METHODS

We used data from 79,988 participants from the UK Biobank, a population-based prospective cohort study. Light PA (LPA), moderate-to-vigorous PA (MVPA), vigorous PA (VPA) and total PA (TPA) were measured using a wrist-worn accelerometer. Diet Quality Score (DQS) was based on 10 foods and ranged from 0 (unhealthiest) to 100 (healthiest) points. We derived joint PA and diet variables. Outcomes were all-cause mortality, CVD and cancer incidence including PA, diet and adiposity-related (PDAR) cancer.

RESULTS

During a median follow-up of 8 years, 2,863 deaths occurred, 11,053 participants developed CVD, 7,005 developed cancer and 3,400 developed PDAR cancer. Compared with the least favourable referent group (bottom PA tertile/low DQS), participants with middle and high (total and intensity specific) PA, except for LPA, had lower all-cause mortality risk and incident CVD risk, regardless of DQS. For example, among middle and high VPA and high DQS groups, CVD HR were 0.79 (95%CI 0.74-0.86) and 0.75 (95%CI 0.69-0.82), respectively. The pattern of cancer results was less pronounced but in agreement with the ACM and CVD incidence findings (e.g. HR 0.90, 95%CI 0.81-0.99; 0.88,0.79-0.98 and 0.82,0.74-0.92 among high VPA for low, moderate and high DQS group, respectively).

CONCLUSIONS

Device-measured PA reveals novel joint associations with diet on health outcomes.

IMPACT

Our results emphasize the crucial role of PA in addition to a healthy diet for reducing chronic diseases and mortality risk.

Post-diagnostic multivitamin supplement use and colorectal cancer survival: A prospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

Use of multivitamin supplements has been associated with lower incidence of colorectal cancer (CRC). However, its influence on CRC survival remains unknown.

METHODS

Among 2424 patients with stage I-III CRC who provided detailed information about multivitamin supplements in the Nurses' Health Study and Health Professionals Follow-up Study, the authors calculated multivariable hazard ratios (HRs) of multivitamin supplements for all-cause and CRC-specific mortality according to post-diagnostic use and dose of multivitamin supplements.

RESULTS

During a median follow-up of 11 years, the authors documented 1512 deaths, among which 343 were of CRC. Compared to non-uses, post-diagnostic users of multivitamin supplements at a dose of 3-5 tablets/week had lower CRC-specific mortality (HR, 0.55; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.36-0.83, p = .005), and post-diagnostic users at doses of 3-5 and 6-9 tablets/week had lower all-cause mortality (HR, 0.81; 95% CI, 0.67-0.99, p = .04; HR, 0.79; 95% CI, 0.70-0.88), p < .001). The dose-response analysis showed a curvilinear relationship for both CRC-specific (pnonlinearity < .001) and all-cause mortality (pnonlinearity  = .004), with the maximum risk reduction observed at 3-5 tablets/week and no further reduction at higher doses. Compared to non-users in both pre- and post-diagnosis periods, new post-diagnostic users at dose of <10 tablets/week had a lower all-cause mortality (HR, 0.81; 95% CI, 0.71-0.94, p = .005), whereas new users at a dose of ≥10 tablets/week (HR, 1.58; 95% CI, 1.07-2.33) and discontinued users (HR, 1.35; 95% CI, 1.14-1.59) had a higher risk of mortality.

CONCLUSIONS

Use of multivitamin supplements at a moderate dose after a diagnosis of nonmetastatic CRC is associated with lower CRC-specific and overall mortality, whereas a high dose (≥10 tablets/week) use is associated with higher CRC-specific mortality.

Association between weight cycling and risk of colorectal cancer: a prospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

Weight cycling is the repeated episodes manifesting intentional weight loss and subsequent unintentional weight gain. Whether the frequency and magnitude of weight cycling is associated with colorectal cancer risk independent of body mass index (BMI) remains unknown.

METHODS

Two prospective cohort studies, Nurses' Health Study I and Health Professionals Follow-up Study, followed 85,562 participants from 1992 to 2014. Participants completed a questionnaire regarding the frequency and magnitude of intentional weight loss in the past 4 years at the baseline. Hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were estimated using Cox proportional hazard model.

RESULTS

We identified 1626 colorectal cancer cases during up to 22 years of follow-up. In the pooled analysis of HPFS and NHS, compared to non-weight cycling, moderate weight cycling (≥3 times of intentional weight loss of ≥2.3-4.4 kg) was associated with a reduced risk of colorectal cancer after adjustment for confounders, including attained BMI after weight cycling (HR = 0.82, 95% CI 0.69, 0.97). However, no significant association was observed in mild weight cyclers and in severe weight cyclers.

CONCLUSIONS

Moderate weight cycling was associated with a lower risk of colorectal cancer independent of BMI. This finding needs further studies for replication and putative biological mechanisms.

Cancer Diagnoses After Recent Weight Loss

Importance

Weight loss is common in primary care. Among individuals with recent weight loss, the rates of cancer during the subsequent 12 months are unclear compared with those without recent weight loss.

Objective

To determine the rates of subsequent cancer diagnoses over 12 months among health professionals with weight loss during the prior 2 years compared with those without recent weight loss.

Design, Setting, and Participants

Prospective cohort analysis of females aged 40 years or older from the Nurses' Health Study who were followed up from June 1978 until June 30, 2016, and males aged 40 years or older from the Health Professionals Follow-Up Study who were followed up from January 1988 until January 31, 2016.

Exposure

Recent weight change was calculated from the participant weights that were reported biennially. The intentionality of weight loss was categorized as high if both physical activity and diet quality increased, medium if only 1 increased, and low if neither increased.

Main Outcome and Measures

Rates of cancer diagnosis during the 12 months after weight loss.

Results

Among 157 474 participants (median age, 62 years [IQR, 54-70 years]; 111 912 were female [71.1%]; there were 2631 participants [1.7%] who self-identified as Asian, Native American, or Native Hawaiian; 2678 Black participants [1.7%]; and 149 903 White participants [95.2%]) and during 1.64 million person-years of follow-up, 15 809 incident cancer cases were identified (incident rate, 964 cases/100 000 person-years). During the 12 months after reported weight change, there were 1362 cancer cases/100 000 person-years among all participants with recent weight loss of greater than 10.0% of body weight compared with 869 cancer cases/100 000 person-years among those without recent weight loss (between-group difference, 493 cases/100 000 person-years [95% CI, 391-594 cases/100 000 person-years]; P < .001). Among participants categorized with low intentionality for weight loss, there were 2687 cancer cases/100 000 person-years for those with weight loss of greater than 10.0% of body weight compared with 1220 cancer cases/100 000 person-years for those without recent weight loss (between-group difference, 1467 cases/100 000 person-years [95% CI, 799-2135 cases/100 000 person-years]; P < .001). Cancer of the upper gastrointestinal tract (cancer of the esophagus, stomach, liver, biliary tract, or pancreas) was particularly common among participants with recent weight loss; there were 173 cancer cases/100 000 person-years for those with weight loss of greater than 10.0% of body weight compared with 36 cancer cases/100 000 person-years for those without recent weight loss (between-group difference, 137 cases/100 000 person-years [95% CI, 101-172 cases/100 000 person-years]; P < .001).

Conclusions and Relevance

Health professionals with weight loss within the prior 2 years had a significantly higher risk of cancer during the subsequent 12 months compared with those without recent weight loss. Cancer of the upper gastrointestinal tract was particularly common among participants with recent weight loss compared with those without recent weight loss.

Vitamin D and human health: evidence from Mendelian randomization studies

We summarized the current evidence on vitamin D and major health outcomes from Mendelian randomization (MR) studies. PubMed and Embase were searched for original MR studies on vitamin D in relation to any health outcome from inception to September 1, 2022. Nonlinear MR findings were excluded due to concerns about the validity of the statistical methods used. A meta-analysis was preformed to synthesize study-specific estimates after excluding overlapping samples, where applicable. The methodological quality of the included studies was evaluated according to the STROBE-MR checklist. A total of 133 MR publications were eligible for inclusion in the analyses. The causal association between vitamin D status and 275 individual outcomes was examined. Linear MR analyses showed genetically high 25-hydroxyvitamin D (25(OH)D) concentrations were associated with reduced risk of multiple sclerosis incidence and relapse, non-infectious uveitis and scleritis, psoriasis, femur fracture, leg fracture, amyotrophic lateral sclerosis, anorexia nervosa, delirium, heart failure, ovarian cancer, non-alcoholic fatty liver disease, dyslipidemia, and bacterial pneumonia, but increased risk of Behçet's disease, Graves' disease, kidney stone disease, fracture of radium/ulna, basal cell carcinoma, and overall cataracts. Stratified analyses showed that the inverse association between genetically predisposed 25(OH)D concentrations and multiple sclerosis risk was significant and consistent regardless of the genetic instruments GIs selected. However, the associations with most of the other outcomes were only pronounced when using genetic variants not limited to those in the vitamin D pathway as GIs. The methodological quality of the included MR studies was substantially heterogeneous. Current evidence from linear MR studies strongly supports a causal role of vitamin D in the development of multiple sclerosis. Suggestive support for a number of other health conditions could help prioritize conditions where vitamin D may be beneficial or harmful.

The metabolic potential of inflammatory and insulinaemic dietary patterns and risk of type 2 diabetes

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS

Diets with higher inflammatory and insulinaemic potential have been associated with an increased risk of type 2 diabetes. However, it remains unknown whether plasma metabolomic profiles related to proinflammatory/hyperinsulinaemic diets and to inflammatory/insulin biomarkers are associated with type 2 diabetes risk.

METHODS

We analysed 6840 participants from the Nurses' Health Study and Health Professionals Follow-up Study to identify the plasma metabolome related to empirical dietary inflammatory pattern (EDIP), empirical dietary index for hyperinsulinemia (EDIH), four circulating inflammatory biomarkers and C-peptide. Dietary intakes were assessed using validated food frequency questionnaires. Plasma metabolomic profiling was conducted by LC-MS/MS. Metabolomic signatures were derived using elastic net regression. Multivariable Cox regression was used to examine associations of the metabolomic profiles with type 2 diabetes risk.

RESULTS

We identified 27 metabolites commonly associated with both EDIP and inflammatory biomarker z score and 21 commonly associated with both EDIH and C-peptide. Higher metabolomic dietary inflammatory potential (MDIP), reflecting higher metabolic potential of both an inflammatory dietary pattern and circulating inflammatory biomarkers, was associated with higher type 2 diabetes risk. The HR comparing highest vs lowest quartiles of MDIP was 3.26 (95% CI 2.39, 4.44). We observed a strong positive association with type 2 diabetes risk for the metabolomic signature associated with EDIP-only (HR 3.75; 95% CI 2.71, 5.17) or inflammatory biomarkers-only (HR 4.07; 95% CI 2.91, 5.69). In addition, higher metabolomic dietary index for hyperinsulinaemia (MDIH), reflecting higher metabolic potential of both an insulinaemic dietary pattern and circulating C-peptide, was associated with greater type 2 diabetes risk (HR 3.00; 95% CI 2.22, 4.06); further associations with type 2 diabetes were HR 2.79 (95% CI 2.07, 3.76) for EDIH-only signature and HR 3.89 (95% CI 2.82, 5.35) for C-peptide-only signature. The diet scores were significantly associated with risk, although adjustment for the corresponding metabolomic signature scores attenuated the associations with type 2 diabetes, these remained significant.

CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION

The metabolomic signatures reflecting proinflammatory or hyperinsulinaemic diets and related biomarkers were positively associated with type 2 diabetes risk, supporting that these dietary patterns may influence type 2 diabetes risk via the regulation of metabolism.

Modifiable risk factors for subsequent lethal prostate cancer among men with an initially negative prostate biopsy

BACKGROUND

Previously suggested modifiable risk factors for prostate cancer could have resulted from detection bias because diagnosis requires a biopsy. We investigated modifiable risk factors for a subsequent cancer diagnosis among men with an initially negative prostate biopsy.

METHODS

In total, 10,396 participants of the Health Professionals Follow-up Study with an initial negative prostate biopsy after 1994 were followed for incident prostate cancer until 2017. Potential risk factors were based on previous studies in the general population. Outcomes included localised, advanced, and lethal prostate cancer.

RESULTS

With 1851 prostate cancer cases (168 lethal) diagnosed over 23 years of follow-up, the 20-year risk of any prostate cancer diagnosis was 18.5% (95% CI: 17.7-19.3). Higher BMI and lower alcohol intake tended to be associated with lower rates of localised disease. Coffee, lycopene intake and statin use tended to be associated with lower rates of lethal prostate cancer. Results for other risk factors were less precise but compatible with and of similar direction as for men in the overall cohort.

CONCLUSIONS

Risk factors for future prostate cancer among men with a negative biopsy were generally consistent with those for the general population, supporting their validity given reduced detection bias, and could be actionable, if confirmed.

Vitamin C intake and colorectal cancer survival according to KRAS and BRAF mutation: a prospective study in two US cohorts

BACKGROUND

The associations of vitamin C intake with colorectal cancer (CRC) survival according to tumour KRAS or BRAF mutation status remain unclear.

METHODS

We used the inverse probability weighted multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression model to calculate the hazard ratio (HR) of mortality, and spline analysis to evaluate the dose-response relationship in the Nurses' Health Study and Health Professionals Follow-up Study. We also assessed SLC2A1 mRNA expression according to KRAS or BRAF mutation in the TCGA database.

RESULTS

During an average of 12.0 years of follow-up, we documented 2,096 CRC cases, of which 703 cases had KRAS and BRAF mutation data. The association between total vitamin C intake and CRC-specific mortality suggestively differed according to KRAS or BRAF mutation status (Pinteraction = 0.04), with the multivariable HR (95% CI) per 400 mg/day increase in vitamin C intake for CRC-specific mortality of 1.07 (0.87-1.32, Ptrend = 0.52) in cases with both wild type and 0.74 (0.55-1.00, Ptrend < 0.05) in cases with either KRAS or BRAF mutant type. TCGA analysis showed a higher mRNA SLC2A1 expression in KRAS or BRAF-mutated tumours than in wild-type tumours (P = 0.02).

CONCLUSION

Our findings support the laboratory evidence for a potential benefit of vitamin C for CRC patients with KRAS or BRAF mutated tumours.

Moderate alcohol consumption, types of beverages and drinking pattern with cardiometabolic biomarkers in three cohorts of US men and women

Underlying mechanisms of the inverse relationship between moderate alcohol consumption and cardiometabolic disorders are unclear. Modification by types of alcoholic beverages consumed and drinking pattern remains understudied. We aimed to provide insight into the mechanisms by examining 14 insulinemic/glycemic, inflammatory and lipid markers. We used cross-sectional data from 15,436 women in the Nurses' Health Study, 19,318 women in the Nurses' Health Study II, and 6872 men in the Health Professionals Follow-up Study. Multivariable linear regression was used to estimate the percentage differences in biomarker concentrations according to alcohol intakes. The average alcohol intake in the combined cohort was 3.3 servings/week. We found a 1 serving/d increment in alcohol intake (14 g ethanol, 44 ml liquor or 355 ml beer or 118 ml wine per day) was associated with a 0.6% lower level of HbA1c, 1.7-3.6% lower proinflammatory markers and 4.2% higher adiponectin, as well as 7.1% higher HDL-cholesterol and 2.1% lower triglyceride with a significant linear trend. Wine, especially red wine, was associated with lower inflammation in particular. Beer had weaker favorable to null associations with blood lipids and adiponectin. Liquor was associated with higher C-peptide and interleukin-6, yet equally associated with lower HbA1c and higher HDL-cholesterol as other beverages. Drinking 3 days or more per week was related to a better biomarker profile than nonregular drinking independent of intake levels. Drinking appeared to have similar associations irrespective whether done with meals or not. Our data indicated moderate alcohol intake, especially if consumed from wine and done regularly, was associated with favorable profiles of insulinemic/glycemic and inflammatory markers and blood lipids.

Association between antibiotic use during early life and early-onset colorectal cancer risk overall and according to polygenic risk and FUT2 genotypes

Early-onset colorectal cancer (EOCRC) has been increasing worldwide. Potential risk factors may have occurred in childhood or adolescence. We investigated the associations between early-life factors and EOCRC risk, with a particular focus on long-term or recurrent antibiotic use (LRAU) and its interaction with genetic factors. Data on the UK Biobank participants recruited between 2006 and 2010 and followed up to February 2022 were used. We used logistic regression to estimate adjusted odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (95% CIs) of the associations between LRAU during early life and EOCRC risk overall and by polygenic risk score (constructed by 127 CRC-related genetic variants) and Fucosyltransferase 2 (FUT2), a gut microbiota regulatory gene. We also assessed the associations for early-onset colorectal adenomas, as precursor lesion of CRC, to examine the effect of LRAU during early-life and genetic factors on colorectal carcinogenesis. A total of 113 256 participants were included in the analysis, with 165 EOCRC cases and 719 EOCRA cases. LRAU was nominally associated with increased risk of early-onset CRC (OR = 1.48, 95% CI = 1.01-2.17, P = .046) and adenomas (OR = 1.40, 95% CI = 1.17-1.68, P < .001). When stratified by genetic polymorphisms of FUT2, LRAU appeared to confer a comparatively greater risk for early-onset adenomas among participants with rs281377 TT genotype (OR = 1.10, 95% CI = 0.79-1.52, P = .587, for CC genotype; OR = 1.75, 95% CI = 1.16-2.64, P = .008, for TT genotype; Pinteraction  = .089). Our study suggested that LRAU during early life is associated with increased risk of early-onset CRC and adenomas, and the association for adenomas is predominant among individuals with rs281377 TT/CT genotype. Further studies investigating how LRAU contributes together with genetic factors to modify EOCRC risk, particularly concerning the microbiome-related pathway underlying colorectal carcinogenesis, are warranted.

Association of gallstone disease with risk of colorectal cancer: a systematic review and meta-analysis of observational studies

BACKGROUND

Numerous studies have assessed the association of gallstones or cholecystectomy (CE) with risk of colorectal cancer (CRC). However, the findings are mixed.

OBJECTIVE

To systematically review and meta-analyse the association between the presence of gallstone disease (GD), or CE and the incidence of CRC. Secondary endpoints were the risk based on type of exposure, study design, tumour subsites and sex.

METHODS

PubMed and EMBASE were searched from September 2020 to May 2021. The protocol was registered on the Open Science Foundation Platform. We identified and classified studies according to their design into prospective cohort, population-based case-control, hospital-based case-control and necropsy studies reporting CRC incidence among individuals with diagnosed GD or after CE (or both). Among 2157 retrieved studies, 65 (3%) met the inclusion criteria. We followed the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-analyses (PRISMA) reporting guidelines. Data were extracted by two independent reviewers. We evaluated the quality of the study according to the Newcastle-Ottawa Scale and only studies with a score of 6 and above were included in the final analyses. We pooled log-transformed odds ratios/risk ratios from the available adjusted models to estimate a summary relative risk (RR) and 95% confidence interval (CI) in a random-effects model. The primary outcome was overall CRC incidence. We also conducted secondary analyses according to sex and CRC subsites (proximal colon, distal colon and rectum). The outcome was measured by RRs with 95% CIs.

RESULTS

The overall association of GD and/or CE with CRC was RR = 1.15 (1.08; 1.24), primarily driven by hospital-based case-control studies [RR = 1.61 (1.29; 2.01)], whereas a more modest association was found in population-based case-control and cohort studies [RR = 1.10 (1.02; 1.19)]. Most hospital-based case-control and necropsy studies reported estimates that were adjusted for age and sex only, leaving room for residual confounding; therefore we restricted to population-based case-control and cohort studies for our subsequent analyses. Similar associations were found for women [RR = 1.21 (1.05; 1.4) and men (RR = 1.24 (1.06; 1.44)]. When assessed by CRC subsites, GD and CE were primarily associated with higher risk of proximal colon cancer [RR = 1.16 (1.07; 1.26)] but not distal colon cancer [RR = 0.99 (0.96; 1.03)] or rectal cancer [RR = 0.94 (0.89; 1.00)].

CONCLUSIONS

Gallstones are associated with a modestly increased risk of colon cancer, primarily in the proximal colon.

Sex-Specific Associations between Adiponectin and Leptin Signaling and Pancreatic Cancer Survival

BACKGROUND

Circulating adiponectin and leptin have been associated with risk of pancreatic cancer. However, the relationship between long-term exposure to these adipokines in the prediagnostic period with patient survival has not been investigated.

METHODS

Adipokine levels were measured in prospectively collected samples from 472 patients with pancreatic cancer. Because of sex-specific differences in adipokine levels, associations were evaluated separately for men and women. In a subset of 415 patients, we genotyped 23 SNPs in adiponectin receptor genes (ADIPOR1 and ADIPOR2) and 30 SNPs in the leptin receptor gene (LEPR).

RESULTS

Adiponectin levels were inversely associated with survival in women [HR, 1.71; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.15-2.54]; comparing top with bottom quartile but not in men (HR, 0.89; 95% CI, 0.46-1.70). The SNPs rs10753929 and rs1418445 in ADIPOR1 were associated with survival in the combined population (per minor allele HR, 0.66; 95% CI, 0.51-0.84, and HR, 1.33; 95% CI, 1.12-1.58, respectively). Among SNPs in LEPR, rs12025906, rs3790431, and rs17127601 were associated with survival in the combined population [HRs, 1.54 (95% CI, 1.25-1.90), 0.72 (95% CI, 0.59-0.88), and 0.70 (95% CI, 0.56-0.89), respectively], whereas rs11585329 was associated with survival in men only (HR, 0.39; 95% CI, 0.23-0.66; Pinteraction = 0.0002).

CONCLUSIONS

High levels of adiponectin in the prediagnostic period were associated with shorter survival among women, but not among men with pancreatic cancer. Several polymorphisms in ADIPOR1 and LEPR are associated with patient survival.

IMPACT

Our findings reveal the association between adipokine signaling and pancreatic cancer survival and demonstrate the importance of examining obesity-associated pathways in relation to pancreatic cancer in a sex-specific manner.

Plasma total cholesterol concentration and risk of higher-grade prostate cancer: A nested case-control study and a dose-response meta-analysis

Our previous publication found an increased risk of higher-grade (Gleason sum ≥7) prostate cancer for men with high total cholesterol concentration (≥200 mg/dl) in the Health Professionals Follow-up Study (HPFS). With additional 568 prostate cancer cases, we are now able to investigate this association in more detail. For the nested case-control study, we included 1260 men newly diagnosed with prostate cancer between 1993 and 2004, and 1328 controls. For the meta-analyses, 23 articles studied the relationship between total cholesterol level and prostate cancer incidence were included. Logistic regression models and dose-response meta-analysis were performed. An increased risk of higher-grade (Gleason sum ≥4 + 3) prostate cancer for high vs low quartile of total cholesterol level was observed in the HPFS (ORmultivariable  = 1.56; 95% CI = 1.01-2.40). This finding was compatible with the association noted in the meta-analysis of highest vs lowest group of total cholesterol level, which suggested a moderately increased risk of higher-grade prostate cancer (Pooled RR =1.21; 95%CI: 1.11-1.32). Moreover, the dose-response meta-analysis indicated that an increased risk of higher-grade prostate cancer occurred primarily at total cholesterol levels ≥200 mg/dl, where the RR was 1.04 (95%CI: 1.01-1.08) per 20 mg/dl increase in total cholesterol level. However, total cholesterol concentration was not associated with the risk of prostate cancer overall either in the HPFS or in the meta-analysis. Our primary finding, as well as the result of the meta-analysis suggested a modest increased risk of higher-grade prostate cancer, at total cholesterol concentrations exceeding 200 mg/dl.

Different operationalizations of the 2018 WCRF/AICR cancer prevention recommendations and risk of cancer

BACKGROUND

The standardized scoring system assessing adherence to the 2018 World Cancer Research Fund (WCRF)/American Institute for Cancer Research (AICR) cancer prevention recommendations assigns equal weight for each recommendation, thereby giving higher weight to dietary factors collectively (5 points) than adiposity (1 point) and physical activity (1 point). An alternative score assigning equal weights to the adiposity, physical activity, alcohol, and other dietary (composite) recommendations may better predict cancer associations.

METHODS

We examined associations between standardized and alternative scores with cancer risk in two US prospective cohorts. Multivariable-adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated using Cox regression.

RESULTS

During 28 years of follow-up, 16,342 incident cancer cases in women and 8729 cases in men occurred. Individuals in the highest versus lowest quintile of the standardized score had a reduced overall cancer risk (women: HR = 0.89, 95% CI: 0.85, 0.94; men: HR = 0.87, 95% CI: 0.81, 0.94). Results were slightly stronger for the alternative score (women: HR = 0.83, 95% CI: 0.79, 0.87; men: HR = 0.81, 95% CI: 0.75, 0.86). Similar patterns were observed for obesity-related, alcohol-related, smoking-related, and digestive system cancers.

CONCLUSIONS

Greater adherence to the WCRF/AICR cancer prevention recommendations was associated with lower cancer risk. A score assigning equal weights to the adiposity, physical activity, alcohol, and all remaining diet components yielded stronger associations than the standardized score.

Being Breastfed in Infancy and Risk of Colorectal Cancer and Precursor Lesions

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Emerging evidence implicates the importance of perinatal and early-life exposures in colorectal cancer (CRC) development. However, it remains unclear whether being breastfed in infancy is associated with CRC risk in adult life, particularly early adulthood.

METHODS

We prospectively investigated the association between history of being breastfed and risk of CRC and its precursor lesions among 66,634 women 46-93 years of age from the Nurses' Health Study and 92,062 women 27-68 years of age from the Nurses' Health Study II. Cox regression and logistic regression for clustered data were used to estimate hazard ratios for CRC and odds ratios for CRC precursors, respectively.

RESULTS

During 3.5 million person-years of follow-up, we identified 1490 incident cases of CRC in 2 cohorts. Having been breastfed was associated with a 23% (95% confidence interval [CI], 10% to 38%) increased risk of CRC. The risk of CRC increased with duration of being breastfed (Ptrend < .001). These findings were validated using breastfeeding information from the mothers of a subset of participants. Among younger participants from the Nurses' Health Study II, a significant association was observed between being breastfed and increased risk of high-risk adenomas under 50 years of age (odds ratio, 1.46; 95% CI, 1.16 to 1.83). Consistently, having been breastfed was associated with increased risk of CRC among participants ≤55 years of age (hazard ratio, 1.38; 95% CI, 1.06 to 1.80).

CONCLUSIONS

Being breastfed in infancy was associated with increased risk of CRC in adulthood, including among younger adults. However, further research is needed to understand the underlying biological mechanisms, as this association does not establish causation.

Genetic Susceptibility to Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease and Risk for Pancreatic Cancer: Mendelian Randomization

BACKGROUND

There are conflicting data on whether nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is associated with susceptibility to pancreatic cancer. Using Mendelian randomization (MR), we investigated the relationship between genetic predisposition to NAFLD and risk for pancreatic cancer.

METHODS

Data from genome-wide association studies (GWAS) within the Pancreatic Cancer Cohort Consortium (PanScan; cases n = 5,090, controls n = 8,733) and the Pancreatic Cancer Case Control Consortium (PanC4; cases n = 4,163, controls n = 3,792) were analyzed. We used data on 68 genetic variants with four different MR methods [inverse variance weighting (IVW), MR-Egger, simple median, and penalized weighted median] separately to predict genetic heritability of NAFLD. We then assessed the relationship between each of the four MR methods and pancreatic cancer risk, using logistic regression to calculate ORs and 95% confidence intervals (CI), adjusting for PC risk factors, including obesity and diabetes.

RESULTS

No association was found between genetically predicted NAFLD and pancreatic cancer risk in the PanScan or PanC4 samples [e.g., PanScan, IVW OR, 1.04; 95% confidence interval (CI), 0.88-1.22; MR-Egger OR, 0.89; 95% CI, 0.65-1.21; PanC4, IVW OR, 1.07; 95% CI, 0.90-1.27; MR-Egger OR, 0.93; 95% CI, 0.67-1.28]. None of the four MR methods indicated an association between genetically predicted NAFLD and pancreatic cancer risk in either sample.

CONCLUSIONS

Genetic predisposition to NAFLD is not associated with pancreatic cancer risk.

IMPACT

Given the close relationship between NAFLD and metabolic conditions, it is plausible that any association between NAFLD and pancreatic cancer might reflect host metabolic perturbations (e.g., obesity, diabetes, or metabolic syndrome) and does not necessarily reflect a causal relationship between NAFLD and pancreatic cancer.

Cheese consumption and multiple health outcomes: an umbrella review and updated meta-analysis of prospective studies

This umbrella review aims to provide a systematic and comprehensive overview of current evidence from prospective studies on the diverse health effects of cheese consumption. We searched PubMed, Embase, and Cochrane Library to identify meta-analyses/pooled analyses of prospective studies examining the association between cheese consumption and major health outcomes from inception to August 31, 2022. We reanalyzed and updated previous meta-analyses and performed de novo meta-analyses with recently published prospective studies, where appropriate. We calculated the summary effect size, 95% prediction confidence intervals, between-study heterogeneity, small-study effects, and excess significance bias for each health outcome. We identified 54 eligible articles of meta-analyses/pooled analyses. After adding newly published original articles, we performed 35 updated meta-analyses and 4 de novo meta-analyses. Together with 8 previous meta-analyses, we finally included 47 unique health outcomes. Cheese consumption was inversely associated with all-cause mortality (highest compared with lowest category: RR = 0.95; 95% CI: 0.92, 0.99), cardiovascular mortality (RR = 0.93; 95% CI: 0.88, 0.99), incident cardiovascular disease (CVD) (RR = 0.92; 95% CI: 0.89, 0.96), coronary heart disease (CHD) (RR = 0.92; 95% CI: 0.86, 0.98), stroke (RR = 0.93; 95% CI: 0.89, 0.98), estrogen receptor-negative (ER-) breast cancer (RR = 0.89; 95% CI: 0.82, 0.97), type 2 diabetes (RR = 0.93; 95% CI: 0.88, 0.98), total fracture (RR = 0.90; 95% CI: 0.86, 0.95), and dementia (RR = 0.81; 95% CI: 0.66, 0.99). Null associations were found for other outcomes. According to the NutriGrade scoring system, moderate quality of evidence was observed for inverse associations of cheese consumption with all-cause and cardiovascular mortality, incident CVD, CHD, and stroke, and for null associations with cancer mortality, incident hypertension, and prostate cancer. Our findings suggest that cheese consumption has neutral to moderate benefits for human health.

Overall and abdominal obesity and risks of all-cause and cause-specific mortality in Korean adults: a pooled analysis of three population-based prospective cohorts

BACKGROUND

Studies found a J-shaped association between body mass index (BMI) and mortality. However, it is unclear whether the association is driven by biases, particularly confounding by fat-free mass.

METHODS

We conducted an individual-level pooled analysis of three cohorts of Korean adults (aged ≥ 40 years; n = 153 248). Mortality was followed up through December 2019. Anthropometric data were directly measured at baseline. Fat and fat-free mass were predicted using validated prediction models. Using Cox proportional hazards models, we estimated the associations of BMI and waist circumference (WC) with all-cause and cause-specific mortality. To account for biases, we excluded participants aged ≥ 70 years, deaths that occurred within 5 years of follow-up and ever smokers, and adjusted for fat-free mass index (FFMI).

RESULTS

During the follow-up of up to 18 years, 6061 deaths were identified. We observed J-shaped association of BMI (nadir at 22-26) and monotonically positive association of WC with all-cause, cardiovascular, and cancer mortality among Korean adults without a history of cancer or cardiovascular disease. In the BMI analysis, excluding ever smokers and adjusting for FFMI attenuated the excess mortality in underweight participants and transformed the J-shaped association into a monotonically positive shape, suggesting an increased mortality at BMI > 22.0. Excluding participants aged ≥ 70 years and deaths that occurred within 5 years of follow-up did not change the results. In the WC analysis, the monotonic positive associations did not change after the control. Similar results were observed among participants with a history of cancer or cardiovascular disease.

CONCLUSIONS

Our data suggest that both overall and abdominal body fat are associated with increased mortality in Korean adults.

Field Synopsis of Environmental and Genetic Risk Factors of Sporadic Early-Onset Colorectal Cancer and Advanced Adenoma

BACKGROUND

To systematically appraise and synthesize available epidemiologic evidence on the associations of environmental and genetic factors with the risk of sporadic early-onset colorectal cancer (EOCRC) and early-onset advanced colorectal adenoma (EOCRA).

METHODS

Multiple databases were comprehensively searched to identify eligible observational studies. Genotype data from UK Biobank were incorporated to examine their associations with EOCRC in a nested case-control design. Meta-analyses of environmental risk factors were performed, and the strength of evidence was graded based on predefined criteria. Meta-analyses of genetic associations were conducted using the allelic, recessive, and dominant models, respectively.

RESULTS

A total of 61 studies were included, reporting 120 environmental factors and 62 genetic variants. We found 12 risk factors (current overweight, overweight in adolescence, high waist circumference, smoking, alcohol, sugary beverages intake, sedentary behavior, red meat intake, family history of colorectal cancer, hypertension, hyperlipidemia, and metabolic syndrome) and three protective factors (vitamin D, folate, and calcium intake) for EOCRC or EOCRA. No significant associations between the examined genetic variants and EOCRC risk were observed.

CONCLUSIONS

Recent data indicate that the changing patterns of traditional colorectal cancer risk factors may explain the rising incidence of EOCRC. However, research on novel risk factors for EOCRC is limited; therefore, we cannot rule out the possibility of EOCRC having different risk factors than late-onset colorectal cancer (LOCRC).

IMPACT

The potential for the identified risk factors to enhance the identification of at-risk groups for personalized EOCRC screening and prevention and for the prediction of EOCRC risk should be comprehensively addressed by future studies.

Racial/ethnic disparities in the cause of death among patients with prostate cancer in the United States from 1995 to 2019: a population-based retrospective cohort study

Background

Racial/ethnic disparities in prostate cancer are reported in the United States (US). However, long-term trends and contributors of racial/ethnic disparities in all-cause and cause-specific death among patients with prostate cancer remain unclear. We analysed the trends and contributors of racial/ethnic disparities in prostate cancer survivors according to the cause of death in the US over 25 years.

Methods

In this retrospective, population-based longitudinal cohort study, we identified patients diagnosed with first primary prostate cancer between 1995 and 2019, with follow-up until Dec 31, 2019, using population-based cancer registries' data from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) Program. We calculated the cumulative incidence of death for each racial/ethnic group (Black, white, Hispanic, Asian or Pacific Islander [API], and American Indian or Alaska Native [AI/AN] people), by diagnostic period and cause of death. We quantified absolute disparities using rate changes for the 5-year cumulative incidence of death between racial/ethnic groups and diagnostic periods. We estimated relative (Hazard ratios [HR]) racial/ethnic disparities and the percentage of potential factors contributed to racial/ethnic disparities using Cox regression models.

Findings

Despite a decreasing trend in the cumulative risk of death across five racial/ethnic groups, AI/AN and Black patients consistently had the highest rate of death between 1995 and 2019 with an adjusted HR of 1.48 (1.40-1.58) and 1.40 (1.38-1.42) respectively. The disparities in all-cause mortality between AI/AN and white patients increased over time, with adjusted HR 1.32 (1.17-1.49) in 1995-1999 and 1.95 (1.53-2.49) in 2015-2019. Adjustment of stage at diagnosis, initial treatment, tumor grade, and household income explained 33% and 24% of the AI/AN-white and Black-white disparities in all-cause death among patients with prostate cancer.

Interpretation

The enduring racial/ethnic disparities in patients with prostate cancer, call for new interventions to eliminate health disparities. Our study provides important evidence and ways to address racial/ethnic inequality.

Funding

National Key R&D Program of China, National Natural Science Foundation of China, Beijing Municipal Administration of Hospitals Clinical Medicine Development of Special Funding Support, the Open Research Fund from Beijing Advanced Innovation Center for Big Data-Based Precision Medicine, Key Projects of Philosophy and Social Sciences Research, Ministry of Education of China.

Artificially Sweetened Beverages and Health Outcomes: An Umbrella Review

The consumption of artificially sweetened beverages (ASBs) is increasing in some countries. However, some meta-analyses have found that habitual consumers of ASBs (compared with low or no consumption) had an increased risk on some health outcomes. We performed an umbrella review of meta-analyses to grade the credibility of the evidence of claimed observational associations between ASBs and health outcomes. Data were searched in Web of Science, Embase, and PubMed for systematic reviews published up to 25 May 2022, examining association between ASBs and any health outcomes. Certainty of the evidence for each health outcome was obtained based on statistical results of tests used in umbrella reviews. The AMSTAR-2 tool (16 items) was used to identify high-quality systematic reviews. Answers of each item were rated as yes, no, or partial yes (for a partial adherence to the standard). We included data from 11 meta-analyses with unique population, exposure, comparison group, outcome obtained from 7 systematic reviews (51 cohort studies and 4 case-control studies). ASBs were associated with higher risk of obesity, type 2 diabetes, all-cause mortality, hypertension, and cardiovascular disease incidence (supported by highly suggestive evidence). Evidence for other outcomes (colorectal cancer, pancreatic cancer, gastrointestinal cancer, cancer mortality, cardiovascular mortality, chronic kidney disease, coronary artery disease, and stroke) was weak. Results of the quality assessment of systematic reviews using AMSTAR-2 showed some notable deficiencies: unclear sources of funding of eligible studies and lack of predefined study protocols to guide authors. The consumption of ASBs was associated with a higher risk of obesity, type 2 diabetes, all-cause mortality, hypertension, and cardiovascular disease incidence. However, further cohort studies and clinical trials in humans are still needed to understand the impact of ASBs on health outcomes.

Dietary Inflammatory and Insulinemic Potentials, Plasma Metabolome and Risk of Colorectal Cancer

The inflammatory and insulinemic potentials of diets have been associated with colorectal cancer risk. However, it is unknown whether the plasma metabolite profiles related to inflammatory diets, or to insulinemic diets, underlie this association. The aim of this study was to evaluate the association between metabolomic profile scores related to the food-based empirical dietary inflammatory patterns (EDIP), the empirical dietary index for hyperinsulinemia (EDIH), and plasma inflammation (CRP, IL-6, TNFα-R2, adiponectin) and insulin (C-peptide) biomarkers, and colorectal cancer risk. Elastic net regression was used to derive three metabolomic profile scores for each dietary pattern among 6840 participants from the Nurses' Health Study and Health Professionals Follow-up Study, and associations with CRC risk were examined using multivariable-adjusted logistic regression, in a case-control study of 524 matched pairs nested in both cohorts. Among 186 known metabolites, 27 were significantly associated with both the EDIP and inflammatory biomarkers, and 21 were significantly associated with both the EDIH and C-peptide. In men, odds ratios (ORs) of colorectal cancer, per 1 standard deviation (SD) increment in metabolomic score, were 1.91 (1.31-2.78) for the common EDIP and inflammatory-biomarker metabolome, 1.12 (0.78-1.60) for EDIP-only metabolome, and 1.65 (1.16-2.36) for the inflammatory-biomarkers-only metabolome. However, no association was found for EDIH-only, C-peptide-only, and the common metabolomic signatures in men. Moreover, the metabolomic signatures were not associated with colorectal cancer risk among women. Metabolomic profiles reflecting pro-inflammatory diets and inflammation biomarkers were associated with colorectal cancer risk in men, while no association was found in women. Larger studies are needed to confirm our findings.

Influence of analytic methods, data sources, and repeated measurements on the population attributable fraction of lifestyle risk factors

Population attributable risk (PAR%) reflects the preventable fraction of disease. However, PAR% estimates of cancer have shown large variation across populations, methods, data sources, and timing of measurements. Three statistical methods to estimate PAR% were identified from a systematic literature review: the Levin's formula, the comparative incidence rate method, and the comparative risk assessment method. We compared the variations in PAR% of postmenopausal breast cancer in the Nurses' Health Study to evaluate the influence by method choice, source of prevalence data, use of single vs repeated exposure measurements, and potential joint effects of obesity, alcohol, physical activity, fruit and vegetable intake. Across models of the three methods, the estimated PAR% using repeated measurements were higher than that using baseline measurement; overall PAR% for the baseline, simple update, and cumulative average models were 13.8%, 21.1%, 18.6% by Levin's formula; 13.7%, 28.0%, 31.2% by comparative risk assessment; and 17.4%, 25.2%, 29.3% by comparative incidence rate method. The estimated PAR% of the combination of multiple risk factors was higher than the product of the individual PAR%: 18.9% when assuming independence and 31.2% when considering the risk factors jointly. The three methods provided similar PAR% based on the same data source, timing of measurements, and target populations. However, sizable increases in the PAR% were observed for repeated measures over a single measure and for calculations based on achieving all recommendations jointly rather than individually.

Flavonoid intake and survival after diagnosis of colorectal cancer: a prospective study in 2 US cohorts

BACKGROUND

Although experimental evidence supports anticancer effects of flavonoids, the influence of flavonoid intake on colorectal cancer (CRC) survival remains unknown.

OBJECTIVES

This study aimed to assess the association of postdiagnostic flavonoid intake with mortality.

METHODS

We prospectively assessed the association of postdiagnostic flavonoid intake with CRC-specific and all-cause mortality in 2552 patients diagnosed with stage I-III CRC in 2 cohort studies-the Nurses' Health Study and the Health Professionals Follow-up Study. We assessed the intake of total flavonoids and their subclasses using validated food frequency questionnaires. We used the inverse probability-weighted multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression model to calculate the hazard ratio (HR) of mortality after adjusting for prediagnostic flavonoid intake and other potential confounders. We performed spline analysis to evaluate dose-response relationships.

RESULTS

The mean [standard deviation (SD)] age of patients at diagnosis was 68.7 (9.4) y. During 31,026 person-y of follow-up, we documented 1689 deaths, of which 327 were due to CRC. The total flavonoid intake was not associated with mortality, but a higher intake of flavan-3-ols was suggestively associated with lower CRC-specific and all-cause mortality, with multivariable HR (95% CI) per 1-SD increases of 0.83 (0.69-0.99; P = 0.04) and 0.91 (0.84-0.99; P = 0.02), respectively. The spline analysis showed a linear relationship between postdiagnostic flavan-3-ol intake and CRC-specific mortality (P = 0.01 for linearity). As the major contributor to flavan-3-ol intake, tea showed an inverse association with CRC-specific and all-cause mortality, with multivariable HRs per 1 cup/d of tea of 0.86 (0.75-0.99; P = 0.03) and 0.90 (0.85-0.95; P < 0.001), respectively. No beneficial associations were found for other flavonoid subclasses.

CONCLUSIONS

Higher intake of flavan-3-ol after CRC diagnosis was associated with lower CRC-specific mortality. Small, readily achievable increases in the intake of flavan-3-ol-rich foods, such as tea, may help improve survival in patients with CRC.

Association of Obesity With Diverticulitis in the Hispanic Community Health Study/Study of Latinos

This cohort study evaluates the association between obesity and diverticulitis among Hispanic and Latino American individuals.

Prediagnostic Vitamin D Status and Colorectal Cancer Survival by Vitamin D Binding Protein Isoforms in US Cohorts

CONTEXT

Lower 25-hydroxyvitamin D (25(OH)D) levels have consistently been associated with higher mortality among participants with colorectal cancer (CRC).

OBJECTIVE

To investigate whether the association between 25(OH)D and CRC mortality differs according to vitamin D binding protein (also known as Gc) isoforms.

METHODS

We examined the association between prediagnostic 25(OH)D levels and overall and CRC-specific mortality among participants with CRC within 2 prospective US cohorts. Cox proportional hazards regression was used to estimate the hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% CIs.

RESULTS

588 participants with CRC were observed until the date of death or last follow-up (2018), whichever came first. Deficient vs sufficient 25(OH)D concentrations (<30 vs ≥50 nmol/L) were associated with higher overall mortality (HR 2.06; 95% CI 1.34-3.18) but not with CRC-specific mortality (HR 1.51; 95% CI 0.75-3.07). The HRs for overall mortality comparing deficient vs sufficient concentrations were 2.43 (95% CI 1.26-4.70) for those with the Gc1-1 isoform (rs4588 CC) and 1.63 (95% CI 0.88-3.02) for those with the Gc1-2 or Gc2-2 (rs4588 CA or AA) isoform (P for interaction = .54). The HRs for CRC-specific mortality were 1.18 (95% CI 0.27-5.14) for those with the Gc1-1 isoform and 1.41 (95% CI 0.62-3.24) for those with the Gc1-2 or Gc2-2 isoform (P for interaction = .94).

CONCLUSION

In these 2 US cohorts, we found that lower 25(OH)D levels were associated with higher overall mortality, but this association did not differ by Gc isoforms.

Helicobacter pylori Seropositivity, ABO Blood Type, and Pancreatic Cancer Risk From 5 Prospective Cohorts

BACKGROUND

Helicobacter pylori infection may be a risk factor for pancreatic cancer, particularly infection by strains without the cytotoxin-associated gene A (CagA) virulence factor. Non-O blood type is a known risk factor for pancreatic cancer, and H. pylori gastric colonization occurs largely from bacterial adhesins binding to blood group antigens on gastric mucosa.

METHODS

We included 485 pancreatic cancer cases and 1,122 matched controls from 5 U.S. prospective cohorts. Prediagnostic plasma samples were assessed for H. pylori and CagA antibody titers. Conditional logistic regression was used to estimate odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for pancreatic cancer. ABO blood type was assessed using genetic polymorphisms at the ABO gene locus or self-report.

RESULTS

Compared with H. pylori -seronegative participants, those who were seropositive did not demonstrate an increased risk of pancreatic cancer (OR 0.83, 95% CI 0.65-1.06). This lack of association was similar among CagA-seropositive (OR 0.75, 95% CI 0.53-1.04) and -seronegative (OR 0.89, 95% CI 0.65-1.20) participants. The association was also similar when stratified by time between blood collection and cancer diagnosis ( P -interaction = 0.80). Consistent with previous studies, non-O blood type was associated with increased pancreatic cancer risk, but this increase in risk was similar regardless of H. pylori seropositivity ( P -interaction = 0.51).

DISCUSSION

In this nested case-control study, history of H. pylori infection as determined by H. pylori antibody serology was not associated with pancreatic cancer risk, regardless of CagA virulence factor status. The elevated risk associated with non-O blood type was consistent in those with or without H. pylori seropositivity.

Pancreatic cancer is associated with medication changes prior to clinical diagnosis

Patients with pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) commonly develop symptoms and signs in the 1-2 years before diagnosis that can result in changes to medications. We investigate recent medication changes and PDAC diagnosis in Nurses' Health Study (NHS; females) and Health Professionals Follow-up Study (HPFS; males), including up to 148,973 U.S. participants followed for 2,994,057 person-years and 991 incident PDAC cases. Here we show recent initiation of antidiabetic (NHS) or anticoagulant (NHS, HFS) medications and cessation of antihypertensive medications (NHS, HPFS) are associated with pancreatic cancer diagnosis in the next 2 years. Two-year PDAC risk increases as number of relevant medication changes increases (P-trend <1 × 10^-5), with participants who recently start antidiabetic and stop antihypertensive medications having multivariable-adjusted hazard ratio of 4.86 (95%CI, 1.74-13.6). These changes are not associated with diagnosis of other digestive system cancers. Recent medication changes should be considered as candidate features in multi-factor risk models for PDAC, though they are not causally implicated in development of PDAC.

Circulating markers of microbial translocation and host response to bacteria with risk of colorectal cancer: a prospective, nested case-control study in men

BACKGROUND

Gut microbial dysbiosis contributes to colorectal cancer (CRC) pathogenesis, possibly mediated in part by increased intestinal permeability to endotoxin lipopolysaccharide (LPS), microbial translocation, and subsequent endotoxemia and inflammation. However, epidemiologic evidence linking circulating markers of microbial translocation with CRC risk is limited.

METHODS

We conducted a prospective, nested case-control study of 261 incident CRC cases and 261 controls (matched on age and time of blood draw) among 18,159 men with pre-diagnostic blood specimens in the Health Professionals Follow-Up Study (1993-2009). We examined three complementary markers of microbial translocation and host response to bacteria, including LPS-binding protein (LBP), soluble CD14 (sCD14), and endotoxincore antibody (EndoCAb) immunoglobulin M (IgM), with subsequent risk of CRC. Unconditional logistic regressions were used to estimate odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs).

FINDINGS

Pre-diagnostic circulating levels of sCD14 were associated with a higher risk of incident CRC. Compared to men in the lowest quartile, the multivariable OR was 1.90 (95% CI, 1.13-3.22) for men in the highest quartile (OR _{per standard deviation [SD] increase}, 1.28; 95%CI 1.06-1.53; P_trend = 0.01). This positive association remained similar after adjusting for C-reactive protein, interleukin-6, and soluble tumor necrosis factor receptor-2, and within strata of putative CRC risk factors. We also observed a suggestive inverse association between EndoCAb IgM and risk of CRC (OR _{per SD increase}, 0.84; 95%CI 0.69-1.02; P_trend = 0.09).

INTERPRETATION

Microbial translocation and host response to bacteria, as reflected by sCD14, is associated with risk of incident CRC in men.

FUNDING

US National Institutes of Health.

Abstract 4203: A prospective study of birth weight and prostate cancer risk: extended analysis in the Health Professionals Follow-up Study

Introduction: Birth weight, a potential marker of the in utero hormonal and growth factor milieu, has been associated with an increased risk of prostate cancer (PCa) in some, but not all, previous studies. It was also associated with a non-significantly greater risk of advanced stage PCa (relative risk [RR] = 1.37, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.61-3.05 for ≥10 lbs compared to 7.0-8.4 lbs, p-trend = 0.087) in our previous analysis in the Health Professionals Follow-up Study (HPFS). However, these suggestive findings were based on a relatively small number of advanced stage cases and short follow-up. We have now updated our previous analysis of birthweight and PCa risk in the HPFS with an additional 14 years of follow-up.

Method: Birth weight was assessed by self-report on the 1994 follow-up questionnaire using pre-specified categories. PCa diagnoses were ascertained on each biennial follow-up questionnaire and confirmed by medical record review. Cox proportional hazards regression was used to evaluate the association between birth weight and PCa risk through 2016.

Result: Of the 17,949 eligible men who reported their birth weight in 1994, 3,167 were subsequently diagnosed with PCa. With the exception of a suggestive positive trend between increasing birth weight and high-grade PCa (RRadj per pound: 1.06; 95% CI: 0.98-1.16; p-trend=0.15), no associations were observed between birth weight and risk of total, organ-confined, low-grade, advanced stage, lethal, or fatal PCa.

Conclusion: Overall, no association was observed between birth weight and PCa risk and mortality in this large prospective cohort study of US male health professionals.

Table 1. Associations between self-reported birth weight and prostate cancer in the Health Professionals Follow-up Study, 1994-2016 Birth weight (lbs) &lt;5.5(&lt;2,495 g) 5.5-6.9(2,495-3,174 g) 7.0-8.4(3,175-3,855 g) 8.5-9.9(3,856-4,535 g) ≥10.0(≥4,536 g) Per 1 lb (454g) increase Total prostate cancer Cases/person-years 125/17,019 518/80,053 1,931/297,495 396/60,445 197/22,993 HRa (95% CI) 0.98 (0.81-1.18) 0.86 (0.78-0.95) 1.00 0.85 (0.76-0.95) 0.98 (0.84-1.13) 1.01 (0.96-1.05) High-grade prostate cancer (Score 4+3 and higher) Cases/person-years 23/17,117 119/80,434 453/299,015 105/60,741 52/23,148 HRa (95% CI) 0.76 (0.50-1.16) 0.83 (0.68-1.03) 1.00 0.93 (0.75-1.16) 1.03 (0.76-1.39) 1.06 (0.98-1.16) Advanced stage prostate cancer (T3b+) at diagnosis Cases/person-years 4/17,135 29/80,516 109/299,370 25/60,811 12/23,195 HRa (95% CI) 0.53 (0.19-1.46) 0.91 (0.60-1.40) 1.00 0.98 (0.62-1.54) 1.02 (0.54-1.92) 1.08 (0.91-1.29) Lethal prostate cancer Cases/person-years 11/17,127 70/80,491 225/299,247 51/60,791 27/23,178 HRa (95% CI) 0.81 (0.43-1.50) 1.15 (0.86-1.52) 1.00 1.07 (0.78-1.47) 1.01 (0.66-1.54) 1.00 (0.89-1.13) Fatal prostate cancer Cases/person-years 10/17,551 59/82,316 197/307,363 43/62,246 23/23,996 HRa (95% CI) 0.88 (0.45-1.67) 1.17 (0.86-1.60) 1.00 1.11 (0.78-1.56) 1.03 (0.65-1.63) 1.00 (0.87-1.14) RR=relative risk; CI = confidence interval a Adjusted for age, calendar time, race, smoking status, family history of prostate cancer (yes or no), PSA testing in &gt;50% of previous cycles (yes or no), physical activity, diabetes, diet (tomato sauce intake, coffee, and energy intake), alcohol intake, multivitamin use, vitamin E supplement use, and aspirin use.

Citation Format: Qinran Liu, Yiwen Zhang, Jane B. Vaselkiv, Lorelei A. Mucci, Edward L. Giovannucci, Elizabeth A. Platz, Siobhan Sutcliffe. A prospective study of birth weight and prostate cancer risk: extended analysis in the Health Professionals Follow-up Study. [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the American Association for Cancer Research Annual Meeting 2023; Part 1 (Regular and Invited Abstracts); 2023 Apr 14-19; Orlando, FL. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2023;83(7_Suppl):Abstract nr 4203.

Abstract 5220: Prediagnostic vitamin D status and colorectal cancer survival by vitamin D-binding protein isoforms in the US cohorts

Background: Lower levels of 25-hydroxyvitamin D [25(OH)D], a major form of circulating vitamin D, have consistently been associated with higher mortality among colorectal cancer (CRC) patients, though the dose-response relation is not well characterized {Ng 2008; Fedirko 2012; Wesa 2015; Zgaga 2014}. A study showed a strong effect modification (P for interaction = 0.0002) {Gibbs 2020} by Gc2 (or, vitamin D-binding protein) isoform where patients with the isoform had significantly higher mortality if they had deficient vitamin D levels. However, it is unknown whether this association differs by Gc isoforms in other populations.

Methods: We examined the association between prediagnostic 25(OH)D levels and overall and CRC-specific mortality among CRC patients within the two ongoing prospective US cohorts: Nurses’ Health Study and Health Professionals Follow-Up Study. Cox proportional hazards regression model was used to estimate the hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs). We evaluated potential nonlinear association using the restricted cubic splines and assessed effect modification by Gc2 isoform with stratified analyses. Individuals with the Gc rs4588 CC, CA and AA genotypes were classified as having Gc1-1, Gc1-2, and Gc2-2 isoforms, respectively. Participants with a minor allele at Gc rs4588 (rs4588*CA or rs4588*AA genotypes) were defined as having the Gc2 isoform.

Results: A total of 588 patients were observed until the date of death or last follow-up in 2018, whichever came first. Deficient versus sufficient 25(OH)D concentrations (&lt;30 vs ≥50 nmol/L) were associated with higher overall mortality (HR, 2.06; 95% CI, 1.34-3.18) and suggestively with higher CRC-specific mortality (HR, 1.51; 95% CI, 0.75-3.07). Spline results showed that the potential beneficial role of vitamin D plateaued around 50 nmol/L (P for nonlinearity = 0.04). The HRs for overall mortality comparing deficient versus sufficient concentrations were 2.43 (95% CI, 1.26-4.70) for patients with Gc1-1 isoform (rs4588 CC) and 1.63 (95% CI, 0.88-3.02) for patients with Gc1-2 or Gc2-2 (rs4588 CA or AA) isoforms (P for interaction = 0.54). The HRs for CRC-specific mortality were 1.18 (95% CI, 0.27-5.14) for patients with Gc1-1 isoform and 1.41 (95% CI, 0.62-3.24) for patients with Gc1-2 or Gc2-2 isoforms (P for interaction = 0.94).

Conclusions: We found that lower 25(OH)D levels up to 50 nmol/L were associated with higher overall mortality, but this association did not differ by Gc isoforms in the two US cohorts.

Citation Format: Hanseul Kim, Chen Yuan, Long H. Nguyen, Kimmie Ng, Edward L. Giovannucci. Prediagnostic vitamin D status and colorectal cancer survival by vitamin D-binding protein isoforms in the US cohorts. [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the American Association for Cancer Research Annual Meeting 2023; Part 1 (Regular and Invited Abstracts); 2023 Apr 14-19; Orlando, FL. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2023;83(7_Suppl):Abstract nr 5220.

Prospective Study of Avocado Consumption and Cancer Risk in U.S. Men and Women

Avocados contain nutrients and phytochemicals that make it promising for cancer prevention, and chemopreventive properties have been demonstrated in prior studies. Prospective studies on avocado consumption and cancer risk have yet to be conducted. This study included data from 45,289 men in the Health Professionals Follow-Up Study (HPFS, 1986-2016) and 67,039 women in the Nurses' Health Study (NHS, 1986-2014). Avocado consumption was assessed using validated food frequency questionnaires every 4 years. Cox proportional hazards models calculated multivariable HRs and 95% confidence intervals (CI) for associations between avocado consumption and risk of total and site-specific cancers in each cohort. In HPFS, consumption of ≥1 weekly serving of avocados was associated with decreased risk of total (HR, 0.85; 95% CI, 0.80-0.91), colorectal (HR, 0.71; 95% CI, 0.59-0.85), lung (HR, 0.71; 95% CI, 0.57-0.90), and bladder cancer (HR, 0.72; 95% CI, 0.57-0.90). In NHS, avocado consumption was associated with increased risk of breast cancer (HR, 1.21; 95% CI, 1.07-1.37). No associations were observed between avocado consumption and risk of total cancer (HR, 1.06; 95% CI, 0.98-1.14) or other site-specific cancers in NHS. Considering the surprising breast cancer finding, analyses were repeated using data from 93,230 younger women in the parallel NHSII (1991-2017). In NHSII, avocado consumption was not associated with breast cancer risk (HR, 0.93; 95% CI, 0.76-1.13). Overall, avocado consumption may be associated with reduced risk of total and some site-specific cancers in men. The positive association with breast cancer risk in NHS was not seen in the younger NHSII.

PREVENTION RELEVANCE

The results of this prospective study suggest that avocado consumption may be associated with decreased risk of total and some site-specific cancers in men. See related Spotlight, p. 187.

Gastrointestinal Consequences of Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus and Impaired Glycemic Homeostasis: A Mendelian Randomization Study

OBJECTIVE

We conducted a Mendelian randomization (MR) study to examine the associations of type 2 diabetes and glycemic traits with gastrointestinal diseases (GDs).

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

Uncorrelated genetic variants associated with type 2 diabetes (n = 231), fasting insulin (n = 38), fasting glucose (n = 71), and hemoglobin A1c (n = 75) at the genome-wide significance were selected as instrument variables. Genetic associations with 23 common GDs were obtained from the FinnGen and UK Biobank studies and other large consortia.

RESULTS

Genetic liability to type 2 diabetes was associated with the risk of 12 GDs. Per 1-unit increase in the log-transformed odds ratio (OR) of type 2 diabetes, the OR was 1.06 (95% CI, 1.03-1.09) for gastroesophageal reflux disease, 1.12 (95% CI, 1.07-1.17) for gastric ulcer, 1.11 (95% CI, 1.03-1.20) for acute gastritis, 1.07 (95% CI, 1.01-1.13) for chronic gastritis, 1.08 (95% CI, 1.03-1.12) for irritable bowel syndrome, 1.04 (95% CI, 1.01-1.07) for diverticular disease, 1.08 (95% CI, 1.02-1.14) for acute pancreatitis, 1.09 (95% CI, 1.05-1.12) for cholelithiasis, 1.09 (95% CI, 1.05-1.13) for cholelithiasis with cholecystitis, 1.29 (95% CI, 1.17-1.43) for nonalcoholic fatty liver disease, 1.12 (95% CI, 1.03-1.21) for liver cirrhosis, and 0.93 (95% CI, 0.89-0.97) for ulcerative colitis. Genetically predicted higher levels of fasting insulin and glucose were associated with six and one GDs, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Associations were found between genetic liability to type 2 diabetes and an increased risk of a broad range of GDs, highlighting the importance of GD prevention in patients with type 2 diabetes.

Optimal dietary patterns for prevention of chronic disease

Multiple dietary patterns have been associated with different diseases; however, their comparability to improve overall health has yet to be determined. Here, in 205,852 healthcare professionals from three US cohorts followed for up to 32 years, we prospectively assessed two mechanism-based diets and six diets based on dietary recommendations in relation to major chronic disease, defined as a composite outcome of incident major cardiovascular disease (CVD), type 2 diabetes and cancer. We demonstrated that adherence to a healthy diet was generally associated with a lower risk of major chronic disease (hazard ratio (HR) comparing the 90th with the 10th percentile of dietary pattern scores = 0.58-0.80). Participants with low insulinemic (HR = 0.58, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 0.57, 0.60), low inflammatory (HR = 0.61, 95% CI = 0.60, 0.63) or diabetes risk-reducing (HR = 0.70, 95% CI = 0.69, 0.72) diet had the largest risk reduction for incident major CVD, type 2 diabetes and cancer as a composite and individually. Similar findings were observed across gender and diverse ethnic groups. Our results suggest that dietary patterns associated with markers of hyperinsulinemia and inflammation and diabetes development may inform on future dietary guidelines for chronic disease prevention.

Different correlation of body mass index with body fatness and obesity-related biomarker according to age, sex and race-ethnicity

The relationship between body mass index (BMI) and body fatness could differ according to age, sex, and race-ethnicity. We aimed to evaluate in which contexts BMI could be a good measure for body fatness compared to dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry (DXA) derived measures. The study population included 18,061 participants (9141 men and 8920 women) aged 18 and older who tested DXA from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) database from 1999 to 2006, and 8107 men and 10,754 women with DXA data from Korea NHANES from 2008 to 2011 to represent the Asian population. We calculated Pearson correlation coefficients between BMI and DXA derived fat mass index (FMI) and percentage body fat (PBF) depending on age, sex, and race-ethnicity. The correlation between BMI, FMI and PBF and obesity-related biomarkers was also estimated among the subgroup with both DXA and information on each biomarker. BMI was strongly correlated with FMI (r = 0.944 in men and 0.976 in women), PBF (r = 0.735 in men and 0.799 in women), and truncal fat mass (r = 0.914 in men and 0.941 in women) with correlations stronger in women than in men except for with waist-height ratio (r = 0.921 in men and 0.911 in women). The correlation between BMI and DXA derived adiposity weakened with age in both sexes. BMI was less correlated with FMI (r = 0.840 in men and 0.912 in women), PBF (r = 0.645 in men and 0.681 in women), and truncal fat mass (r = 0.836 in men and 0.884 in women) in Korean compared to other race-ethnicities. Among obesity-related biomarkers, insulin was the most strongly correlated to body adiposity indices in both sexes and strength of these correlations generally decreased with age. BMI predicted obesity-related biomarkers as well as FMI and truncal fat mass and superior to PBF. BMI could be a good measure for body fatness, particularly among young age groups, women, the US population, but less so in Korean populations. The lower correlation between BMI and body fatness in older compared to younger age groups could be related to increasing PBF and decreasing lean body mass.

Simple Prediction Model for Colorectal Serrated Polyps: Development and External Validation Study in US Prospective Cohorts

Serrated polyps (SPs) are precursors for colorectal cancer (CRC) and contribute disproportionately to post-colonoscopy cancers. Leveraging three US cohorts (43974 women and 5322 men), we developed prediction models for high-risk SPs (sized ≥10 mm or ≥3) among individuals undergoing their first colonoscopy screening. We then validated the model in the Partners Colonoscopy Cohort (51203 women and 39077 men). We evaluated discrimination and calibration using the C-statistic and Hosmer-Lemeshow test, respectively. The age & family history model generated a C-statistic (95% CI) of 0.57 (0.56-0.58) in women and 0.58 (0.55-0.61) in men. Further inclusion of smoking, alcohol, and body mass index (the simple model) increased the C-statistic (95% CI) to 0.68 (0.67-0.69) in women and 0.68 (0.66-0.71) in men (all P<0.001). Adding more predictors did not provide much incremental predictivity. In the validation cohort, moderate discrimination was observed in both women (0.60, 0.58-0.61) and men (0.60, 0.59-0.62). Notably, the simple model also yielded similar C-statistics for a composite endpoint of SPs and high-risk conventional adenomas (HRAs) (women, 0.62, 0.62-0.63; men, 0.63, 0.61-0.64). The model was adequately calibrated in both sets of cohorts. In summary, we developed and externally validated a simple prediction model based on five major risk factors for high-risk SPs that may be useful for healthy lifestyle recommendations and tailored CRC screening.

Fructose consumption from different food sources and cardiometabolic biomarkers: cross-sectional associations in US men and women

BACKGROUND

Previous studies on the relationship between fructose intake and cardiometabolic biomarkers have yielded inconsistent results, and the metabolic effects of fructose are likely to vary across food sources such as fruit versus sugar-sweetened beverages (SSB).

OBJECTIVES

We aimed to examine associations of fructose from 3 major sources (SSB, fruit juice, and fruit) with 14 insulinemic/glycemic, inflammatory, and lipid markers.

METHODS

We utilized cross-sectional data from 6858 men in the Health Professionals Follow-up Study, 15,400 women in NHS, and 19,456 women in NHSII who were free of type 2 diabetes, CVDs, and cancer at blood draw. Fructose intake was assessed via a validated FFQ. Multivariable linear regression was used to estimate the percentage differences of biomarker concentrations according to fructose intake.

RESULTS

We found a 20 g/d increase in total fructose intake was associated with 1.5%- 1.9% higher concentrations of proinflammatory markers plus 3.5% lower adiponectin, as well as 5.9% higher TG/HDL cholesterol ratio. Unfavorable profiles of most biomarkers were only associated with fructose from SSB and juice. In contrast, fruit fructose was associated with lower concentrations of C-peptide, CRP, IL-6, leptin, and total cholesterol. Substituting 20 g/d fruit fructose for SSB fructose was associated with 10.1% lower C-peptide, 2.7%-14.5% lower proinflammatory markers and 1.8%-5.2% lower blood lipids.

CONCLUSIONS

Beverage fructose intake was associated with adverse profiles of multiple cardiometabolic biomarkers.

The Contribution of Genetic Risk and Lifestyle Factors in the Development of Adult-Onset Inflammatory Bowel Disease: A Prospective Cohort Study

INTRODUCTION

The joint associations across genetic risk, modifiable lifestyle factors, and inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) remains unclear.

METHODS

Genetic susceptibility to Crohn's disease (CD) and ulcerative colitis (UC) was estimated by polygenic risk scores and further categorized into high, intermediate, and low genetic risk categories. Weighted healthy lifestyle scores were constructed based on 5 common lifestyle factors and categorized into favorable (4 or 5 healthy lifestyle factors), intermediate (3 healthy lifestyle factors), and unfavorable (0-2 healthy lifestyle factors) groups. Cox proportional hazards regression model was used to estimate the hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence interval (CI) for their associations.

RESULTS

During the 12-year follow-up, 707 cases with CD and 1576 cases with UC were diagnosed in the UK Biobank cohort. Genetic risk and unhealthy lifestyle categories were monotonically associated with CD and UC risk with no multiplicative interaction between them. The HR of CD and UC were 2.24 (95% CI 1.75-2.86) and 2.15 (95% CI 1.82-2.53) for those with a high genetic risk, respectively. The HR of CD and UC for individuals with an unfavorable lifestyle were 1.94 (95% CI 1.61-2.33) and 1.98 (95% CI 1.73-2.27), respectively. The HR of individuals with a high genetic risk but a favorable lifestyle (2.33, 95% CI 1.58-3.44 for CD, and 2.05, 95% CI 1.58-2.66 for UC) were reduced nearly by half, compared with those with a high genetic risk but an unfavorable lifestyle (4.40, 95% CI 2.91-6.66 for CD and 4.44, 95% CI 3.34-5.91 for UC).

DISCUSSION

Genetic and lifestyle factors were independently associated with susceptibility to incident CD and UC. Adherence to a favorable lifestyle was associated with a nearly 50% lower risk of CD and UC among participants at a high genetic risk.

Postdiagnosis recreational physical activity and breast cancer prognosis: Global Cancer Update Programme (CUP Global) systematic literature review and meta-analysis

It is important to clarify the associations between modifiable lifestyle factors such as physical activity and breast cancer prognosis to enable the development of evidence-based survivorship recommendations. We performed a systematic review and meta-analyses to summarise the evidence on the relationship between postbreast cancer diagnosis physical activity and mortality, recurrence and second primary cancers. We searched PubMed and Embase through 31st October 2021 and included 20 observational studies and three follow-up observational analyses of patients enrolled in clinical trials. In linear dose-response meta-analysis of the observational studies, each 10-unit increase in metabolic equivalent of task (MET)-h/week higher recreational physical activity was associated with 15% and 14% lower risk of all-cause (95% confidence interval [CI]: 8%-22%, studies = 12, deaths = 3670) and breast cancer-specific mortality (95% CI: 4%-23%, studies = 11, deaths = 1632), respectively. Recreational physical activity was not associated with breast cancer recurrence (HR = 0.97, 95% CI: 0.91-1.05, studies = 6, deaths = 1705). Nonlinear dose-response meta-analyses indicated 48% lower all-cause and 38% lower breast cancer-specific mortality with increasing recreational physical activity up to 20 MET-h/week, but little further reduction in risk at higher levels. Predefined subgroup analyses across strata of body mass index, hormone receptors, adjustment for confounders, number of deaths, menopause and physical activity intensities were consistent in direction and magnitude to the main analyses. Considering the methodological limitations of the included studies, the independent Expert Panel concluded 'limited-suggestive' likelihood of causality for an association between recreational physical activity and lower risk of all-cause and breast cancer-specific mortality.

Postdiagnosis dietary factors, supplement use and breast cancer prognosis: Global Cancer Update Programme (CUP Global) systematic literature review and meta-analysis

Little is known about how diet might influence breast cancer prognosis. The current systematic reviews and meta-analyses summarise the evidence on postdiagnosis dietary factors and breast cancer outcomes from randomised controlled trials and longitudinal observational studies. PubMed and Embase were searched through 31st October 2021. Random-effects linear dose-response meta-analysis was conducted when at least three studies with sufficient information were available. The quality of the evidence was evaluated by an independent Expert Panel. We identified 108 publications. No meta-analysis was conducted for dietary patterns, vegetables, wholegrains, fish, meat, and supplements due to few studies, often with insufficient data. Meta-analysis was only possible for all-cause mortality with dairy, isoflavone, carbohydrate, dietary fibre, alcohol intake and serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D (25(OH)D), and for breast cancer-specific mortality with fruit, dairy, carbohydrate, protein, dietary fat, fibre, alcohol intake and serum 25(OH)D. The results, with few exceptions, were generally null. There was limited-suggestive evidence that predefined dietary patterns may reduce the risk of all-cause and other causes of death; that isoflavone intake reduces the risk of all-cause mortality (relative risk (RR) per 2 mg/day: 0.96, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.92-1.02), breast cancer-specific mortality (RR for high vs low: 0.83, 95% CI: 0.64-1.07), and recurrence (RR for high vs low: 0.75, 95% CI: 0.61-0.92); that dietary fibre intake decreases all-cause mortality (RR per 10 g/day: 0.87, 95% CI: 0.80-0.94); and that serum 25(OH)D is inversely associated with all-cause and breast cancer-specific mortality (RR per 10 nmol/L: 0.93, 95% CI: 0.89-0.97 and 0.94, 95% CI: 0.90-0.99, respectively). The remaining associations were graded as limited-no conclusion.

Postdiagnosis body fatness, recreational physical activity, dietary factors and breast cancer prognosis: Global Cancer Update Programme (CUP Global) summary of evidence grading

Based on the Global Cancer Update Programme, formally known as the World Cancer Research Fund/American Institute for Cancer Research Continuous Update Project, we performed systematic reviews and meta-analyses to investigate the association of postdiagnosis body fatness, physical activity and dietary factors with breast cancer prognosis. We searched PubMed and Embase for randomised controlled trials and longitudinal observational studies from inception to 31 October 2021. We calculated summary relative risks (RRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) using random-effects meta-analyses. An independent Expert Panel graded the quality of evidence according to predefined criteria. The evidence on postdiagnosis body fatness and higher all-cause mortality (RR per 5 kg/m2 in body mass index: 1.07, 95% CI: 1.05-1.10), breast cancer-specific mortality (RR: 1.10, 95% CI: 1.06-1.14) and second primary breast cancer (RR: 1.14, 95% CI: 1.04-1.26) was graded as strong (likelihood of causality: probable). The evidence for body fatness and breast cancer recurrence and other nonbreast cancer-related mortality was graded as limited (likelihood of causality: limited-suggestive). The evidence on recreational physical activity and lower risk of all-cause (RR per 10 metabolic equivalent of task-hour/week: 0.85, 95% CI: 0.78-0.92) and breast cancer-specific mortality (RR: 0.86, 95% CI: 0.77-0.96) was judged as limited-suggestive. Data on dietary factors was limited, and no conclusions could be reached except for healthy dietary patterns, isoflavone and dietary fibre intake and serum 25(OH)D concentrations that were graded with limited-suggestive evidence for lower risk of the examined outcomes. Our results encourage the development of lifestyle recommendations for breast cancer patients to avoid obesity and be physically active.