When to start highly active antiretroviral therapy in chronically HIV-infected patients: evidence from the ICONA study

sHIV-1 drug resistance in people on dolutegravir-based ART: Collaborative analysis of cohort studies

Background

The widespread use of the integrase strand transfer inhibitor (INSTI) dolutegravir (DTG) in first- and second-line antiretroviral therapy (ART) may facilitate emerging resistance. We combined data from HIV cohorts to examine patterns of drug resistance mutations (DRMs) and identify risk factors for DTG resistance.

Methods

Eight cohorts from Canada, Europe, and South Africa contributed data on individuals with genotypic resistance testing on DTG-based ART. Resistance levels were categorised using the Stanford algorithm. We identified risk factors for resistance using mixed-effects ordinal logistic regression models.

Results

We included 750 people with genotypic resistance testing on DTG-based ART between 2013 and 2022. Most had HIV subtype B (N=444, 59·2%) and were treatment-experienced; 134 (17.9%) were on DTG dual and 19 (2.5%) on DTG monotherapy. INSTI DRMs were detected in 100 (13·3%) individuals; 21 (2·8%) had more than one mutation. Most (N=713, 95·1%) were susceptible to DTG, 8 (1·1%) had potential-low, 5 (0·7%) low, 18 (2·4%) intermediate and 6 (0·8%) high-level DTG resistance. The risk of DTG resistance was higher on DTG monotherapy (adjusted odds ratio (aOR) 37·25, 95% CI 11·17 to 124·2) and DTG lamivudine dual therapy (aOR 6·59, 95% CI 1·70 to 25·55) compared to combination ART, and higher in the presence of potential-low/low (aOR 4.62, 95% CI 1.24 to 17.2) or intermediate/high-level (aOR 7·01, 95% CI 2·52 to 19·48) nucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitors (NRTI) resistance. Viral load on DTG showed a trend towards increased DTG resistance (aOR 1·42, 95% CI 0·92 to 2·19 per standard deviation of log10 area under the viral load curve).

Interpretation

Among people experiencing virological failure on DTG-based ART, INSTI DRMs were uncommon, and DTG resistance was rare. DTG monotherapy and NRTI resistance substantially increased the risk for DTG resistance, which is of concern, notably in resource-limited settings.

Validation of the BD FACSPresto system for the measurement of CD4 T-lymphocytes and hemoglobin concentration in HIV-negative and HIV-positive subjects

This study aimed to compare the performance of the BD FACSPresto system with the conventional standard-of-care technologies for the measurement of absolute CD4 count (AbsCD4), CD4 percentage (CD4%) and total hemoglobin concentration (Hb) in capillary and venous blood samples of HIV-negative and HIV-positive subjects. A total of 1304 participants were included in this prospective cohort study. Both venous and capillary blood samples were analyzed using the BD FACSPresto system and the results were compared against the BD FACSCalibur for enumerating AbsCD4 and CD4% and Sysmex XT-4000i hematology analyzer for determining Hb levels. Method comparison studies were performed using Deming regression and Bland–Altman plots. The Deming regression analyses comparing the accuracy of the BD FACSPresto system with the reference standard technologies demonstrated a significant linear correlation between the AbsCD4, CD4%, and Hb values generated by the two platforms. The 95% CI of the slopes for AbsCD4, CD4%, and Hb levels were 0.94–0.99, 0.99–1.01 and 0.86–0.93, respectively (P < 0.001). Bland–Altman plots for AbsCD4, CD4%, and Hb levels demonstrated close agreement between the BD FACSPresto system and the reference standards for all study participants. The performance and accuracy of BD FACSPresto system was comparable to the reference standard technologies. The BD FACSPresto system can be used interchangeably with BD FACSCalibur platform for CD4 and Sysmex XT-4000i hematology analyzer for Hb concentrations in resource-limited settings thus, improving accessibility to point-of-care testing services.

Impact of initiation of combination antiretroviral therapy according to the WHO recommendations on the survival of HIV-positive patients in Taiwan

BACKGROUND/PURPOSE

Early initiation of antiretroviral therapy (ART) reduces the risks for serious infections and mortality. We aimed to assess the outcomes of initiating ART among HIV-positive Taiwanese according to the CD4 cut-off values by the WHO recommendations.

METHODS

We reviewed medical records of patients with newly diagnosed HIV infection between 2004 and 2015 and 3 groups of patients were defined according to the timing of ART initiation based on CD4 count recommended by WHO: Group 1 between 2004 and 2009; Group 2 between 2010 and 2012; and Group 3 between 2013 and 2015. The primary outcome was all-cause mortality. All patients were followed until 2 years after the last patient was included in each group.

RESULTS

Of 2022 patients included, the mortality rate was 18.28, 14.01, and 9.10 deaths per 1000 person-years of follow-up (PYFU) in Groups 1, 2, and 3, respectively. In multivariable Cox regression analysis, factors associated with mortality were age (per 1-year increase, adjusted hazard ratio [AHR], 1.06; 95% CI, 1.05-1.08), presence of AIDS-defining disease at HIV diagnosis (AHR, 4.81; 95% CI, 2.99-7.74), solid-organ malignancy (AHR, 3.10; 95% CI, 1.86-5.18), and initiation of ART (AHR, 0.09; 95% CI, 0.05-0.16). By competing risk regression model for non-AIDS-related death, the AHR for Group 3 versus Group 1 was 0.27 (95% CI, 0.09-0.80).

CONCLUSIONS

While continued efforts are needed to improve early diagnosis and linkage to care, initiation of cART improved survival among HIV-positive patients in Taiwan according to the increasing CD4 cut-off values that were recommended by the WHO.

Effectiveness of an Integrated Approach to HIV and Hypertension Care in Rural South Africa: Controlled Interrupted Time-Series Analysis

Supplemental Digital Content is Available in the Text.

Background:

South Africa faces a dual burden of HIV/AIDS and noncommunicable diseases. In 2011, a pilot integrated chronic disease management (ICDM) model was introduced by the National Health Department into selected primary health care (PHC) facilities. The objective of this study was to assess the effectiveness of the ICDM model in controlling patients' CD4 counts (>350 cells/mm³) and blood pressure [BP (<140/90 mm Hg)] in PHC facilities in the Bushbuckridge municipality, South Africa.

Methods:

A controlled interrupted time-series study was conducted using the data from patients' clinical records collected multiple times before and after the ICDM model was initiated in PHC facilities in Bushbuckridge. Patients ≥18 years were recruited by proportionate sampling from the pilot (n = 435) and comparing (n = 443) PHC facilities from 2011 to 2013. Health outcomes for patients were retrieved from facility records for 30 months. We performed controlled segmented regression to model the monthly averages of individuals' propensity scores using autoregressive moving average model at 5% significance level.

Results:

The pilot facilities had 6% greater likelihood of controlling patients' CD4 counts than the comparison facilities (coefficient = 0.057; 95% confidence interval: 0.056 to 0.058; P < 0.001). Compared with the comparison facilities, the pilot facilities had 1.0% greater likelihood of controlling patients' BP (coefficient = 0.010; 95% confidence interval: 0.003 to 0.016; P = 0.002).

Conclusions:

Application of the model had a small effect in controlling patients' CD4 counts and BP, but showed no overall clinical benefit for the patients; hence, the need to more extensively leverage the HIV program for hypertension treatment.

HIV Diagnosis and Treatment through Advanced Technologies

Human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) is the chief contributor to global burden of disease. In 2010, HIV was the fifth leading cause of disability-adjusted life years in people of all ages and leading cause for people aged 30-44 years. It is classified as a member of the family Retroviridae and genus Lentivirus based on the biological, morphological, and genetic properties. It infects different cells of the immune system, such as CD4+ T cells (T-helper cells), dendritic cells, and macrophages. HIV has two subtypes: HIV-1 and HIV-2. Among these strains, HIV-1 is the most virulent and pathogenic. Advanced diagnostic methods are exploring new ways of treatment and contributing in the reduction of HIV cases. The diagnostic techniques like PCR, rapid test, EIA, p24 antigen, and western blot have markedly upgraded the diagnosis of HIV. Antiretroviral therapy and vaccines are promising candidates in providing therapeutic and preventive regimes, respectively. Invention of CRISPR/Cas9 is a breakthrough in the field of HIV disease management.

Previously Unidentified Single Nucleotide Polymorphisms in HIV/AIDS Cases Associate with Clinical Parameters and Disease Progression

The genetic background of an individual plays an important role in the progression of HIV infection to AIDS. Identifying previously unknown or uncharacterized single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) that associate with disease progression may reveal important therapeutic targets and provide a greater understanding of disease pathogenesis. In the present study, we employed ultra-high multiplex PCR on an Ion Torrent next-generation sequencing platform to sequence 23 innate immune genes from 94 individuals with HIV/AIDS. This data was used to identify potential associations of SNPs with clinical parameters and disease progression. SNPs that associated with an increased viral load were identified in the genes for the interleukin 15 receptor (IL15RA), toll-like receptor 7 (TLR7), tripartite motif-containing protein 5 (TRIM5), and two killer-cell immunoglobulin-like receptors (KIR2DL1 and KIR2DL3). Additionally, SNPs that associated with progression from HIV infection to AIDS were identified in two 2'-5'-oligoadenylate synthetase genes (OAS2 and OAS3). In contrast, other SNPs identified in OAS2 and OAS3 genes, as well as in the TRIM5 and KIR2DS4 genes, were associated with a slower progression of disease. Taken together, our data demonstrates the utility of ultra-high multiplex PCR in identifying polymorphisms of potential clinical significance and further,identifies SNPs that may play a role in HIV pathogenesis.

Efficacy and safety of lopinavir/ritonavir-based antiretroviral therapy in HIV-1-infected subjects with advanced disease: a systematic review and meta-analysis

ABSTRACT 

Aim: We examined the literature for the efficacy, safety and tolerability of lopinavir/ritonavir (LPV/r)-based regimens in antiretroviral therapy naive HIV-1-infected subjects with advanced disease. Materials & methods: Virologic and immunologic efficacy and adverse event results from prospective, randomized controlled trials evaluating LPV/r + two nucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitors were examined using random-effects meta-analyses. Emergence of resistance was determined using data extracted from published material. Results: Thirteen studies (including ten 96-week studies) met search criteria. Virologic responses were similar at 96 weeks between subjects with HIV-1 infection treated with LPV/r-based antiretroviral therapy when stratified by baseline HIV-1 RNA or CD4+ T-cell count; immunologic responses were similar when stratified by CD4+ T-cell count. Conclusion: Through 96 weeks of treatment, the efficacy, safety and tolerability of LPV/r-based regimens were comparable in subjects with and without advanced HIV-1 disease.

CD4 cell count trends after commencement of antiretroviral therapy among HIV-infected patients in Tigray, Northern Ethiopia: a retrospective cross-sectional study

Background

The rate and extent of CD4 cell recovery varies widely among HIV-infected patients with different baseline CD4 cell count strata. The objective of the study was to assess trends in CD4 cell counts in HIV-infected patients after initiation of antiretroviral therapy in Tigray, Northern Ethiopia.

Methods

A retrospective cross-sectional study was conducted by reviewing medical records of HIV patients who received antiretroviral treatment at twenty health centers in Tigray region during 2008–2012. Multi-stage cluster sampling technique was employed to collect data, and the data were analyzed using SPSS version 20.0 software.

Results

The median change from baseline to the most recent CD4 cell count was +292 cells/μl. By 5 years, the overall median (inter-quartile range, IQR) CD4 cell count was 444(263-557) cells/μl while the median (IQR) CD4 cell count was 342(246-580) cells/μl among patients with baseline CD4 cell counts ≤200 cells/μl, 500(241-557) cells/μl among those with baseline CD4 cell counts of 201–350 cells/μl, and 652(537-767) cells/μl among those with baseline CD4 cell counts >350 cells/μl. Higher baseline CD4 cell counts and being male were independently associated with the risk of immunological non-response at 12 months. Furthermore, it was also investigated that these factors were significant predictors of subsequent CD4 cell recovery.

Conclusions

Patients with higher baseline CD4 cell stratum returned to normal CD4 Cell counts though they had an increased risk of immunological non-response at 12 months compared to those with the least baseline CD4 cell stratum. The findings suggest that consideration be given to initiation of HAART at a CD4 cell count >350 cells/μl to achieve better immune recovery, and to HIV-infected male patients to improve their health seeking behavior.

Early initiation of antiretroviral therapy in HIV-infected adults and adolescents: a systematic review

OBJECTIVES

The objective of this review was to update evidence on when to initiate antiretroviral therapy (ART) to inform revision of the 2013 WHO guidelines for ART in low and middle-income countries.

DESIGN

A systematic review and meta-analysis.

METHODS

We comprehensively searchescohorts. Outcomes were mortality, clinical progression, virologic failure, immunologic recover, and severe adverse events. We pooled data across studies and estimated summary effect sizes. We graded the quality of evidence from the literature for each outcome.

RESULTS

We identified 24 studies; 3 were RCTs. Studies found reduced risk of mortality [1 RCT: hazard ratio 0.77, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.34-1.76; 13 cohorts: relative risk (RR) 0.66, 95% CI 0.55-0.79], progression to AIDS or death (2 RCTs: RR 0.48, 95% CI 0.26-0.91; 9 cohorts: RR 0.70, 95% CI 0.40-1.24) and diagnosis of a non-AIDS-defining illness (1 RCT: RR 0.14, 95% CI 0.03-0.64; 1 cohort: RR 0.47, 95% CI 0.23-0.98), and an increased risk of grade 3/4 laboratory abnormalities in patients initiating ART at at least 350 cells/μl (1 RCT: RR 1.49, 95% CI 1.25-1.77). The quality of evidence was low or very low for clinical outcomes due to few events and imprecision, and high for adverse events.

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings contributed to the evidence base for the revised 2013 WHO guidelines on ART, which recommend initiating ART at CD4 T-cell counts of 350-500 cells/μl, but not above 500 cells/μl compared to initiating it later when CD4 T-cell counts fall below 350 cells/μl.

HIV/AIDS pathogenesis and treatment options focusing on the viral entry inhibitors

The advent of highly active antiretroviral therapy (HAART) has revolutionized the treatment of HIV. A wide variety of antiretroviral agents are now available, allowing patients and physicians a choice of effective therapy. However, drug resistance and toxicities are emerging as major treatment challenges in the HAART era. The development of agents within existing and novel antiretroviral classes remains paramount in order to preserve the reduced morbidity and mortality we have come to expect from HAART use. This article details the development of the HIV epidemic, reviewing current and future treatment strategies, and concentrating upon the viral entry inhibitors.

Use of observational data in evaluating treatments: antiretroviral therapy and HIV

Observational data are increasingly used in various therapeutic areas to evaluate the use, effectiveness and side effects of new treatments. Whilst randomized clinical trials remain the gold standard for evaluating the efficacy of new agents, they have a number of limitations for HIV, including the limited number of combinations that are compared and the costs of long-term follow-up. Observational data from seroconverter and clinical cohorts have been used to compare the short- and longer-term effectiveness of different therapy combinations and to evaluate the longer-term risks associated with antiretroviral therapy. Furthermore, they provide the opportunity to evaluate the relative success of more complex patterns of therapy, such as sequencing of different regimens over time. However, because of the nature of these data, a number of potential biases may arise which can influence interpretation.

Population-based CD4 counts in a rural area in South Africa with high HIV prevalence and high antiretroviral treatment coverage

Background

Little is known about the variability of CD4 counts in the general population of sub-Saharan Africa countries affected by the HIV epidemic. We investigated factors associated with CD4 counts in a rural area in South Africa with high HIV prevalence and high antiretroviral treatment (ART) coverage.

Methods

CD4 counts, health status, body mass index (BMI), demographic characteristics and HIV status were assessed in 4990 adult resident participants of a demographic surveillance in rural KwaZulu-Natal in South Africa; antiretroviral treatment duration was obtained from a linked clinical database. Multivariable regression analysis, overall and stratified by HIV status, was performed with CD4 count levels as outcome.

Results

Median CD4 counts were significantly higher in women than in men overall (714 vs. 630 cells/µl, p<0.0001), both in HIV-uninfected (833 vs. 683 cells/µl, p<0.0001) and HIV-infected adults (384.5 vs. 333 cells/µl, p<0.0001). In multivariable regression analysis, women had 19.4% (95% confidence interval (CI) 16.1–22.9) higher CD4 counts than men, controlling for age, HIV status, urban/rural residence, household wealth, education, BMI, self-reported tuberculosis, high blood pressure, other chronic illnesses and sample processing delay. At ART initiation, HIV-infected adults had 21.7% (95% CI 14.6–28.2) lower CD4 counts than treatment-naive individuals; CD4 counts were estimated to increase by 9.2% (95% CI 6.2–12.4) per year of treatment.

Conclusions

CD4 counts are primarily determined by sex in HIV-uninfected adults, and by sex, age and duration of antiretroviral treatment in HIV-infected adults. Lower CD4 counts at ART initiation in men could be a consequence of lower CD4 cell counts before HIV acquisition.

When to start antiretroviral therapy: as soon as possible

BACKGROUND

The debate regarding 'When to Start' antiretroviral therapy has raged since the introduction of zidovudine in 1987. Based on the entry criteria for the original Burroughs Wellcome 002 study, the field has been anchored to CD4 cell counts as the prime metric to indicate treatment initiation for asymptomatic individuals infected with Human Immunodeficiency Virus. The pendulum has swung back and forth based mostly on the relative efficacy, toxicity and convenience of available regimens.

DISCUSSION

In today's world, several factors have converged that compel us to initiate therapy as soon as possible: 1) The biology of viral replication (1 to 10 billion viruses per day) strongly suggests that we should be starting early. 2) Resultant inflammation from unchecked replication is associated with earlier onset of multiple co-morbid conditions. 3) The medications available today are more efficacious and less toxic than years past. 4) Clinical trials have demonstrated benefits for all but the highest CD4 strata (>500 cells/μl). 5) Some cohort studies have demonstrated the clear benefit of antiretroviral therapy at any CD4 count and no cohort studies have demonstrated that early therapy is more detrimental than late therapy at the population level. 6) In addition to the demonstrated and inferred benefits to the individual patient, we now have evidence of a Public Health benefit from earlier intervention: treatment is prevention.

SUMMARY

From a practical, common sense perspective we are talking about life-long therapy. Whether we start at a CD4 count of 732 cells/μl or 493 cells/μl, the patient will be on therapy for over 40 to 50 years. There does not seem to be much benefit in waiting and there likely is significant long-term harm. Do not wait. Treat early.

Short communication: factors influencing time to CD4(+) T cell counts >200 cells/mm(3) in HIV-infected individuals with CD4(+) T cell <50 cells/mm(3) at the time of starting combination antiretroviral therapy

We evaluated factors influencing time to CD4(+) T cell counts >200 cells/mm(3) in HIV-infected individuals with CD4(+) T cell <50 cells/mm(3) starting combination antiretroviral therapy (cART). We included a total of 29 patients on successful cART for more than 1 year. In a logistic regression model, higher pre-cART CD4(+) T cell counts were significantly associated with shorter time to CD4(+) T cell counts >200cells/mm(3) in HIV-infected individuals with baseline CD4(+) T cell <50 cells/mm(3). In survival analysis, patients having higher pre-cART CD4(+) T cell counts, especially 40-49 cells/mm(3), were at significantly higher risk of achieving CD4(+) T cell counts >200 cells/mm(3).

Balancing immunological benefits and cardiovascular risks of antiretroviral therapy: when is immediate treatment optimal?

We developed a mathematical model to identify the timing of antiretroviral therapy (ART) initiation that optimizes patient outcomes as a function of patient CD4 count, age, cardiac mortality risk, sex, and personal preferences. Our goal was to find the conditions that maximize patient quality-adjusted life expectancy (QALE) in the context of our model. Under the assumption that ART confers disease progression and mortality benefits at any CD4 count, immediate treatment initiation yields the greatest remaining QALE for young patients under most circumstances. The timing of ART initiation depends on the magnitude of benefit from ART at high CD4 counts, the magnitude of increases in cardiac risk, and patients' preferences. If ART reduces HIV progression at high CD4 counts, immediate ART is preferable for most newly infected individuals <35 years even if ART doubles age- and sex-specific cardiac risk.

Mean CD4 cell count changes in patients failing a first-line antiretroviral therapy in resource-limited settings

Background

Changes in CD4 cell counts are poorly documented in individuals with low or moderate-level viremia while on antiretroviral treatment (ART) in resource-limited settings. We assessed the impact of on-going HIV-RNA replication on CD4 cell count slopes in patients treated with a first-line combination ART.

Method

Naïve patients on a first-line ART regimen with at least two measures of HIV-RNA available after ART initiation were included in the study. The relationships between mean CD4 cell count change and HIV-RNA at 6 and 12 months after ART initiation (M6 and M12) were assessed by linear mixed models adjusted for gender, age, clinical stage and year of starting ART.

Results

3,338 patients were included (14 cohorts, 64% female) and the group had the following characteristics: a median follow-up time of 1.6 years, a median age of 34 years, and a median CD4 cell count at ART initiation of 107 cells/μL. All patients with suppressed HIV-RNA at M12 had a continuous increase in CD4 cell count up to 18 months after treatment initiation. By contrast, any degree of HIV-RNA replication both at M6 and M12 was associated with a flat or a decreasing CD4 cell count slope. Multivariable analysis using HIV-RNA thresholds of 10,000 and 5,000 copies confirmed the significant effect of HIV-RNA on CD4 cell counts both at M6 and M12.

Conclusion

In routinely monitored patients on an NNRTI-based first-line ART, on-going low-level HIV-RNA replication was associated with a poor immune outcome in patients who had detectable levels of the virus after one year of ART.

Determinants of access to experimental antiretroviral drugs in an Italian cohort of patients with HIV: a multilevel analysis

Background

Identification of the determinants of access to investigational drugs is important to promote equity and scientific validity in clinical research. We aimed to analyze factors associated with the use of experimental antiretrovirals in Italy.

Methods

We studied participants in the Italian Cohort of Antiretroviral-Naive Patients (ICoNA). All patients 18 years or older who had started cART (≥ 3 drugs including at least two NRTI) after their enrolment and during 1997-2007 were included in this analysis. We performed a random effect logistic regression analysis to take into account clustering observations within clinical units. The outcome variable was the use of an experimental antiretroviral, defined as an antiretroviral started before commercial availability, in any episode of therapy initiation/change. Use of an experimental antiretroviral obtained through a clinical trial or an expanded access program (EAP) was also analyzed separately.

Results

A total of 9,441 episodes of therapy initiation/change were analyzed in 3,752 patients. 392 episodes (360 patients) involved an experimental antiretroviral. In multivariable analysis, factors associated with the overall use of experimental antiretrovirals were: number of experienced drugs (≥ 8 drugs versus "naive": adjusted odds ratio [AOR] = 3.71) or failed antiretrovirals(3-4 drugs and ≥ 5 drugs versus 0-2 drugs: AOR = 1.42 and 2.38 respectively); calendar year (AOR = 0.80 per year) and plasma HIV-RNA copies/ml at therapy change (≥ 4 log versus < 2 log: AOR = 1.55). The probability of taking an experimental antiretroviral through a trial was significantly lower for patients suffering from liver co-morbidity(AOR = 0.65) and for those who experienced 3-4 drugs (vs naive) (AOR = 0.55), while it increased for multi-treated patients(AOR = 2.60). The probability to start an experimental antiretroviral trough an EAP progressively increased with the increasing number of experienced and of failed drugs and also increased for patients with liver co-morbidity (AOR = 1.44; p = 0.053). and for male homosexuals (vs heterosexuals: AOR = 1.67). Variability of the random effect associated to clinical units was statistically significant (p < 0.001) although no association was found with specific characteristics of clinical unit examined.

Conclusions

Among patients with HIV infection in Italy, access to experimental antiretrovirals seems to be influenced mainly by exhaustion of treatment options and not by socio-demographic factors.

A microfabricated electrical differential counter for the selective enumeration of CD4+ T lymphocytes

We have developed a microfabricated biochip that enumerates CD4+ T lymphocytes from leukocyte populations obtained from human blood samples using electrical impedance sensing and immunoaffinity chromatography. T cell counts are found by obtaining the difference between the number of leukocytes before and after depleting CD4+ T cells with immobilized antibodies in a capture chamber. This differential counting technique has been validated to analyze physiological concentrations of leukocytes with an accuracy of ∼9 cells per µL by passivating the capture chamber with bovine serum albumin. In addition, the counter provided T cell counts which correlated closely with an optical control (R(2) = 0.997) for CD4 cell concentrations ranging from approximately 100 to 700 cells per µL. We believe that this approach can be a promising method for bringing quantitative HIV/AIDS diagnostics to resource-poor regions in the world.

A decision tree to help determine the best timing and antiretroviral strategy in HIV-infected patients

Optimal antiretroviral strategies for HIV-infected patients still need to be established. To this end a decision tree including different antiretroviral strategies that could be adopted for HIV-infected patients was built. A 10-year follow-up was simulated by using transitional probabilities estimated from a large cohort using a time-homogeneous Markov model. The desired outcome was for patients to maintain a CD4 cell count of >500 cells/mm3 without experiencing AIDS or death. For patients with a baseline HIV viral load ⩾5 log10 copies/ml, boosted protease inhibitor-based immediate highly active antiretroviral therapy (HAART) allowed them to spend 12% more time with CD4 ⩾500/mm3 than did delayed HAART (6·40 vs. 5·69 and 5·57 vs. 4·90 years for baseline CD4 ⩾500 and 350–499/mm3, respectively). In patients with a baseline HIV viral load ⩽3·5 log10 copies/ml, delayed HAART performed better than immediate HAART (6·43 vs. 6·26 and 5·95 vs. 5·18 for baseline CD4 ⩾500 and 350–499/mm3, respectively). Immediate HAART is beneficial in patients with a baseline HIV viral load ⩾5 log10 copies/ml, whereas deferred HAART appears to be the best option for patients with CD4 ⩾350/mm3 and baseline HIV viral load <3·5 log10 copies/ml.

Predicting the magnitude of short-term CD4+ T-cell recovery in HIV-infected patients during first-line highly active antiretroviral therapy

BACKGROUND

The extent of short-term CD4(+) T-cell recovery in patients tolerating first-line highly active antiretroviral therapy (HAART) and attaining undetectable HIV RNA levels is inadequately defined.

METHODS

We retrospectively analysed patients in four Italian cohorts who started HAART between January 1996 and September 2006. All patients had known HCV coinfection status, did not modify the regimen for 6 months and had <50 HIV RNA copies/ml at the end of the sixth month.

RESULTS

The analysis involved 1,488 patients (1,096 males, 73.7%) with a median age of 43 years (interquartile range [IQR] 39-49); 435 (29.2%) were positive for HCV, 71 (4.8%) were positive for hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg) and 76 (5.1%) had experienced a previous AIDS-defining event. At baseline, patient CD4(+) T-cell counts were 226 cells/microl (IQR 99-332), CD4(+) T-cell percentages were 14.7% (IQR 8.7-21.2) and HIV RNA levels were 4.91 log(10) copies/ml (IQR 4.38-5.34). Overall, 24-week CD4(+) T-cell recovery was 144 cells/microl (IQR 70-240). At multivariable analysis, T-cell recovery was positively related to the use of a boosted protease inhibitor (P<0.0001) or thymidine analogues (P<0.0001), baseline HIV RNA levels (P<0.0001), the baseline percentage of CD4(+) T-cells (P<0.0001) and the absence of HCV coinfection (P=0.006). Age, gender, baseline CD4(+)/CD8(+) T-cell ratio and a history of AIDS-defining events had no independent effect on CD4(+) T-cell recovery.

CONCLUSIONS

Among HIV-infected patients tolerating first-line HAART and with undetectable HIV RNA after 6 months, CD4(+) T-cell recovery is significantly greater in those without HCV coinfection, with a high baseline viral load, a high baseline percentage of CD4(+) T-cells and in those treated with a boosted protease inhibitor.

[Initiation of antiretroviral therapy in HIV-infected patients with severe immunodeficiency in Belo Horizonte, Minas Gerais State, Brazil]

The main objective was to assess the proportion of delayed initiation of antiretroviral therapy (ART) and associated factors. This was a cross-sectional study of 310 patients enrolled in two public health centers in Belo Horizonte, Minas Gerais State, Brazil. Delayed ART initiation was defined as starting treatment with a CD4 count lower than 200 cells/mm(3) or clinical symptoms of severe immunodepression at the time of first antiretroviral prescription. The majority of participants were males (63.9%), had no health insurance (76.1%), and started ART less than 120 days after the first medical visit (75.2%). The proportion of delayed ART initiation was 68.4%. Unemployment, referral by a health professional for HIV testing, fewer than two medical visits in the six months prior to ART initiation, and time between first medical visit and ART initiation less than 120 days were independently associated with the outcome. Our results suggest that every patient 13 to 64 years of age should be offered HIV testing, which could increase the rate of early HIV diagnosis, and thus patients that tested positive could benefit from timely follow-up and antiretroviral therapy.

CD4 responses in the setting or suboptimal virological responses to antiretroviral therapy: features, outcomes, and associated factors

The factors associated with discordant viroimmunological responses following antiretroviral therapy are unclear. We studied 1380 patients who initiated a protease inhibitor (PI)-based antiretroviral regimen and who fulfilled the criteria for inclusion. Of them, 255 (18.5%) had CD4 increases > or =100 cells/microl after 1 year of therapy despite detectable viral load (immunological responders); they were compared with 669 patients (48.5%) who had CD4 increases <100 cells/microl regardless of their final viral load (immunological nonresponders). Immunological responders had higher rates of sexual acquisition of HIV (p = 0.03), lower rates of clinical progression (p = 0.02), higher probabilities of being naive to antiretroviral therapy (p = 0.006) or to PI if antiretroviral experienced (p = 0.03), higher rates of receiving only nucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitors in addition to the PI (p = 0.04), and lower baseline CD4 counts (p = 0.007) and higher viral loads (p = 0.009), as compared with nonresponders. Multivariate analysis revealed that sexual transmission of HIV (homosexual p = 0.004, heterosexual p = 0.03), no prior PI experience (p = 0.005), absence of clinical progression (p = 0.02), and lower baseline CD4 counts (p = 0.03) were independently associated with immunological response. However, these factors differed according to the patients' prior antiretroviral status, as higher baseline viral load was also associated with immunological response in antiretroviral-experienced patients (p = 0.02), whereas baseline CD4 count (p = 0.007) was the only predictive parameter in antiretroviral-naive patients. We conclude that immunological responses despite suboptimal viral suppression are common. Prior PI experience, HIV transmission category, baseline CD4 counts, and clinical progression were independently predictive of this condition, although the associated factors were different depending on the patient's prior antiretroviral history.

Long-term patterns in CD4 response are determined by an interaction between baseline CD4 cell count, viral load, and time: The Asia Pacific HIV Observational Database (APHOD)

BACKGROUND

Random effects models were used to explore how the shape of CD4 cell count responses after commencing combination antiretroviral therapy (cART) develop over time and, in particular, the role of baseline and follow-up covariates.

METHODS

Patients in Asia Pacific HIV Observational Database who first commenced cART after January 1, 1997, and who had a baseline CD4 cell count and viral load measure and at least 1 follow-up measure between 6 and 24 months, were included. CD4 cell counts were determined at every 6-month period after the commencement of cART for up to 6 years.

RESULTS

A total of 1638 patients fulfilled the inclusion criteria with a median follow-up time of 58 months. Lower post-cART mean CD4 cell counts were found to be associated with increasing age (P < 0.001), pre-cART hepatitis C coinfection (P = 0.038), prior AIDS (P = 0.019), baseline viral load < or equal to 100,000 copies per milliliter (P < 0.001), and the Asia Pacific region compared with Australia (P = 0.005). A highly significant 3-way interaction between the effects of time, baseline CD4 cell count, and post-cART viral burden (P < 0.0001) was demonstrated. Higher long-term mean CD4 cell counts were associated with lower baseline CD4 cell count and consistently undetectable viral loads. Among patients with consistently detectable viral load, CD4 cell counts seemed to converge for all baseline CD4 levels.

CONCLUSIONS

Our analysis suggest that the long-term shape of post-cART CD4 cell count changes depends only on a 3-way interaction between baseline CD4 cell count, viral load response, and time.

Effect of early versus deferred antiretroviral therapy for HIV on survival

BACKGROUND

The optimal time for the initiation of antiretroviral therapy for asymptomatic patients with human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) infection is uncertain.

METHODS

We conducted two parallel analyses involving a total of 17,517 asymptomatic patients with HIV infection in the United States and Canada who received medical care during the period from 1996 through 2005. None of the patients had undergone previous antiretroviral therapy. In each group, we stratified the patients according to the CD4+ count (351 to 500 cells per cubic millimeter or >500 cells per cubic millimeter) at the initiation of antiretroviral therapy. In each group, we compared the relative risk of death for patients who initiated therapy when the CD4+ count was above each of the two thresholds of interest (early-therapy group) with that of patients who deferred therapy until the CD4+ count fell below these thresholds (deferred-therapy group).

RESULTS

In the first analysis, which involved 8362 patients, 2084 (25%) initiated therapy at a CD4+ count of 351 to 500 cells per cubic millimeter, and 6278 (75%) deferred therapy. After adjustment for calendar year, cohort of patients, and demographic and clinical characteristics, among patients in the deferred-therapy group there was an increase in the risk of death of 69%, as compared with that in the early-therapy group (relative risk in the deferred-therapy group, 1.69; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.26 to 2.26; P<0.001). In the second analysis involving 9155 patients, 2220 (24%) initiated therapy at a CD4+ count of more than 500 cells per cubic millimeter and 6935 (76%) deferred therapy. Among patients in the deferred-therapy group, there was an increase in the risk of death of 94% (relative risk, 1.94; 95% CI, 1.37 to 2.79; P<0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

The early initiation of antiretroviral therapy before the CD4+ count fell below two prespecified thresholds significantly improved survival, as compared with deferred therapy.

Cost-effectiveness of alternative strategies for initiating and monitoring highly active antiretroviral therapy in the developing world

OBJECTIVE

Determine the cost-effectiveness of initiating and monitoring highly active antiretroviral therapy (HAART) in developing countries according to developing world versus developed world guidelines.

DESIGN

Lifetime Markov model incorporating costs, quality of life, survival, and transmission to sexual contacts.

METHODS

We evaluated treating patients with HIV in South Africa according to World Health Organization (WHO) "3 by 5" guidelines (treat CD4 counts <or=200 cells/mm or patients with AIDS, and monitor CD4 cell counts every 6 months) versus modified WHO guidelines that incorporate the following key differences from developed world guidelines: treat CD4 counts <or=350 cells/mm or viral loads >100,000 copies/mL, and monitor CD4 cell counts and viral load every 3 months.

RESULTS

Incorporating transmission to partners (excluding indirect costs), treating patients according to developed versus developing world guidelines increased costs by US $11,867 and increased life expectancy by 3.00 quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs), for an incremental cost-effectiveness of $3956 per QALY. Including indirect costs, over the duration of the model, there are net cost savings to the economy of $39.4 billion, with increased direct medical costs of $60.5 billion offset by indirect cost savings of $99.9 billion.

CONCLUSIONS

Treating patients with HIV according to developed versus developing world guidelines is highly cost-effective and may result in substantial long-term savings.

[Spanish cohort of naïve HIV-infected patients (CoRIS): rationale, organization and initial results]

OBJECTIVE

To describe the methodology and baseline results of the Spanish cohort of naïve HIV-infected patients included in the Research Network on HIV/AIDS (CoRIS).

METHODS

CoRIS is a multicenter, hospital-based prospective cohort of HIV sero-prevalent, retroviral-naïve subjects, over 13 years old, and seen at 17 hospitals in 8 of the 17 Autonomous Regions in Spain from January 2004 to October 2005. The socio-demographic characteristics, as well as epidemiological, clinical, laboratory and treatment data were recorded, and biological samples were collected at baseline and during follow-up.

RESULTS

A total of 1,591 subjects have been included in CoRIS; 24% are women, median age at cohort entry is 36 years, and 74% were diagnosed during 2004 or 2005. Twenty-seven percent came from countries other than Spain, mainly Latin-America (16%) and sub-Saharan Africa (5%). Thirty-two percent had completed secondary education and 16% university studies. The most frequent categories of transmission were men having sex with men (37%) and heterosexual sex (36%); only 21% were injection drug users. At cohort entry, median CD4 count was 317 cells/mm 3 and median viral load was 52,300 copies/mL; 18% were diagnosed with AIDS. Main AIDS-defining illnesses were Pneumocystis jiroveci pneumonia (6.1%), esophageal candidiasis (3.3%) and tuberculosis (extrapulmonary, 3.0% and pulmonary 2.7%). There were 35 deaths (2.2%). Thirty-three percent of patients gave a baseline sample to the BioBank.

CONCLUSIONS

CoRIS offers relevant information about the current epidemiological profile of HIV infection in Spain, where sexual transmission has become predominant. The type and amount of information obtained from clinical and epidemiological data collection together with biological samples demonstrate the viability of the project, which offers many possibilities for future research.

[Recommendations from the GESIDA/Spanish AIDS Plan regarding antiretroviral treatment in adults with human immunodeficiency virus infection (update January 2007)]

OBJECTIVE

This consensus document is an update of antiretroviral therapy (ART) recommendations for adult patients infected with the human immunodeficiency virus (HIV-1).

METHODS

To formulate these recommendations, a panel composed of members of the Grupo de Estudio de Sida (GESIDA; AIDS Study Group) and the Plan Nacional sobre el Sida (PNS; Spanish AIDS Plan) reviewed the advances in the current understanding of the pathophysiology of HIV, the safety and efficacy findings from clinical trials, and the results from cohort and pharmacokinetic studies published in biomedical journals or presented at scientific meetings over the last years. Three levels of evidence were defined according to the source of the data: randomized studies (level A), cohort or case-control studies (level B), and expert opinion (level C). The decision to recommend, consider or not recommend ART was established in each situation.

RESULTS

Currently, the treatment of choice for chronic HIV infection is the combination of three drugs of two different classes, including 2 nucleosides or nucleotide analogs (NRTI) plus 1 non-nucleoside (NNRTI) or 1 boosted protease inhibitor (PI/r). Initiation of ART is recommended in patients with symptomatic HIV infection. In asymptomatic patients, initiation of ART is recommended on the basis of CD4+ lymphocyte counts and plasma viral load, as follows: 1) therapy should be started in patients with CD4+ counts of < 200 cells/microl; 2) therapy should be started in most patients with CD4+ counts of 200-350 cells/microl, although it can be delayed when CD41 count persists at around 350 cells/microL and viral load is low, and 3) initiation of therapy can be delayed in patients with CD4+ counts of > 350 cells/microL. The initial objective of ART is to achieve an undetectable viral load. Adherence to therapy plays an essential role in maintaining the antiviral response. Therapeutic options are limited with the development of cross resistance and ART failure. Genotype studies are useful in these cases. More information regarding the studies analyzed and the panel recommendations for adherence, toxicity, treatment during pregnancy, patients with hepatitis B or C virus co-infection, and post-exposure prophylaxis can be accessed at www.gesida.seimc.org.

CONCLUSIONS

CD4+ lymphocyte count is the most important reference factor for initiating ART in asymptomatic patients. The large number of available drugs, the increased sensitivity of tests to monitor viral load, and the ability to determine viral resistance is leading to a more individualized approach to therapy.

When to start antiretroviral therapy

The current literature is controversial in providing evidence to determine the optimal time to initiate therapy among patients with HIV. However, there is evidence that initiating early treatment might provide benefits by treating primary HIV infection, preserving normal immune function, suppressing HIV viral replication, deferring clinical progression, and reducing HIV transmission. The biggest challenges in initiating treatment early are issues related with long-term management, including toxicities, adherence, and drug resistance. However, the availability of superior new antiretroviral drugs and simplified regimens, the development of effective treatment strategy, and further improvement of adherence through directly observed treatment are addressing the issues and changing the balance towards earlier treatment.

Establishing CD4 thresholds for highly active antiretroviral therapy initiation in a cohort of HIV-infected adult Chinese in Hong Kong

Studies on the use and outcome of highly active antiretroviral therapy (HAART) in HIV-infected Chinese have been scarce. We evaluated risk of progression to (1) nonaccidental death and (2) new AIDS-defining illness (ADI) or death in 223, 89.9% of 248 HIV-1-infected adult Chinese patients who were first initiated on HAART between 1997 and 2002, and followed through 2003. The study subjects were mostly male (88.3%), aged between 30-49 years (43.9%), and acquired HIV via sexual contact (95.7%). After a median follow-up of 38.6 months, 13 nonaccidental deaths were observed. Overall, 25 patients developed new ADI or died. Using Kaplan-Meier analyses, there was no survival difference of starting HAART at various CD4 strata but a higher risk of progression to new ADI/death in patients with pretreatment CD4 count less than 100 cells per microliter (p = 0.01). On Cox proportional hazards multivariate regression analyses, pretreatment CD4 counts of less than 100 cells per microliter and less than 150 cells per microliter but not higher levels were the cutoffs for increased progression to death (adjusted hazard ratio [HR] = 4.90, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.08-22.22) and new ADI/death (adjusted HR = 14.44, 95% CI: 1.95-106.89), respectively. Age 50 years or greater was the only other independent predictor of mortality and new ADI/death after HAART. Further studies are indicated to validate and discern implications of these preliminary findings of a lower CD4 threshold for antiretroviral therapy in a small Chinese HIV cohort.

CD4 count and viral load time-courses in patients treated with highly active antiretroviral therapy and association with the CDC staging system

OBJECTIVES

The aim of the study was to analyse CD4 cell count and viral load dynamics in patients undergoing antiretroviral therapy and their association with the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) classification system.

METHODS

CD4 cell count and viral load were determined in 2982 patients who were classified according to clinical and immunological CDC stages. Measurements were carried out at baseline and at the 3rd, 6th and 12th months.

RESULTS

Clear differences in the immunological and virological responses to therapy were observed depending on the CDC stage, with better results associated with less advanced stages. There was a marked parallelism in the CD4 cell count curves of the different CDC stages over the year of follow up, in both naïve and experienced patients, indicating that the increase in CD4 cell count at each time-point was similar for all clinical and immunological CDC stages. However, as the baseline values were closely associated with CDC stage, the CD4 cell counts finally reached were clearly dependent on CDC stage. The highest virological responses were observed during the initial 3 months, particularly in naïve patients, but whereas naïve patients showed additional increases up to the 6th month experienced patients reached a plateau at the 3rd month. The CD4 increases were also higher during the initial 3 months but persisted during the year of follow-up.

CONCLUSION

Both clinical and immunological CDC stages at baseline are highly predictive of the immunological and virological response to therapy, a finding that could have clinical implications.

Lopinavir/Ritonavir or Efavirenz plus two Nucleoside Analogues as First-Line Antiretroviral Therapy: A Non-Randomized Comparison

Background

Although efavirenz (EFV) and lopinavir/ritonavir (LPV/r) are both recommended antiretroviral agents for combination therapy in drug-naive HIV-infected patients, no randomized comparison of their efficacy and tolerability is available yet. A multi-cohort prospective observational comparative study was performed.

Methods

Efficacy was examined comparing time to virological failure, CD4 recovery and clinical progression. Tolerability was examined comparing time to treatment discontinuation for any reason and for toxicity and time to liver enzymes or lipid alterations. Survival analysis was conducted by an intent-to-treat principle using the Kaplan–Meier method, and standard and weighted Cox regression models.

Results

A total of 674 antiretroviral-naive patients starting a two nucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitor regimen plus either EFV ( n=481) or LPV/r ( n=193) were examined. At baseline, patients starting LPV/r had higher HIV RNA and lower CD4+ T-cell counts. There was no difference in the adjusted hazards of virological failure (LPV/r versus EFV relative hazard [RH] 1.16, 95% confidence intervals [CI]: 0.58–2.32, P=0.67), CD4 recovery (RH=0.93, 95% CI: 0.66–1.30, P=0.66), clinical progression (RH=1.64, 95% CI: 0.70–3.84, P=0.25), drug discontinuation for toxicity (RH=0.92, 95% CI: 0.51–1.64, P=0.76) and for any reason, and rates of liver enzyme and total/low density lipoprotein (LDL) cholesterol elevation. In contrast, the rate of triglycerides elevations (>1 NCEP Adult Treatment Panel III category increase) was higher in the LPV/r group (RH=1.69, 95% CI: 1.14–2.50; P=0.01). Models weighted for the inverse of conditional probability of receiving either drug applied to the efficacy endpoints yielded similar results. CD4 recovery with both drugs was also similar in the lowest CD4 strata.

Conclusions

Our analysis suggests similar efficacy and tolerability for EFV- or LPV/r-based first-line antiretroviral regimens. LPV/r was associated with higher rates of hypertriglyceridaemia.

Impact of baseline viral load and adherence on survival of HIV-infected adults with baseline CD4 cell counts > or = 200 cells/microl

BACKGROUND

Baseline plasma HIV RNA levels > 100 000 copies/ml have been associated with elevated mortality rates after the initiation of HAART. There is uncertainty regarding the optimal strategy for patients with high plasma HIV RNA but CD4 cell count > or = 200 cells/microl.

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the impact of baseline plasma HIV RNA on survival among patients with CD4 cell counts > or = 200 cells/microl.

METHODS

Patients were stratified by plasma HIV RNA, CD4 cell count and adherence level. Mortality rates were evaluated using Kaplan-Meier methods and Cox regression.

RESULTS

Among 1166 patients initiating HAART with a CD4 cell count > or = 200 cells/microl, a baseline HIV RNA > or = 100 000 copies/ml was statistically associated with elevated mortality among non-adherent patients (log-rank P = 0.032), but not for adherent patients (log-rank P = 0.690). In a multivariate Cox model comparing patients with a baseline CD4 cell count > or = 200 cells/microl and a baseline plasma HIV RNA < 100 000 copies/ml, the mortality rate was statistically similar among patients with a baseline CD4 cell count > or = 200 cells/microl and a baseline plasma HIV RNA > or = 100 000 copies/ml (relative hazard, 1.21; 95% confidence interval, 0.89-1.65; P = 0.232).

CONCLUSION

HIV RNA > or = 100 000 copies/ml was only associated with mortality among HIV-infected patients initiating HAART with CD4 cell counts > or= 200 cells/microl if the patients were non-adherent.

Difference of progression to AIDS according to CD4 cell count, plasma HIV RNA level and the use of antiretroviral therapy among HIV patients infected through blood products in japan

BACKGROUND

It is important to examine progression to acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (AIDS) or death and its predictors among human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) infected persons before and after the introduction of the highly active antiretroviral therapy (HAART) available in Japan since 1997.

METHODS

The data used were from a survey of persons with HIV infected through blood coagulation factor products in Japan. Progression to AIDS or death during two periods, between January 1994 and March 1997, and between April 1997 and March 2002, were observed.

RESULTS

The AIDS-free proportion after 3 years was 74% among 417 participants for the earlier period and 94% among 605 participants in the later one. The hazard ratio of low CD4 cell count (less than 200 cells/microL) was 50.8 for the earlier period and 4.7 for the later one compared with that of 500 cells/microL or more. After adjustment by plasma HIV RNA levels and use of antiretroviral therapy, the hazard ratios of the low CD4 cell count for the later period were still significant.

CONCLUSION

The AIDS-free proportion among people with HIV infected through blood products in Japan largely increased after the introduction of HAART. The CD4 cell count remains an important predictor of future progression, but its importance might be less because of HAART.

Access to HIV care among migrant Africans in Britain. What are the issues?

In the UK, substantial numbers of new HIV diagnoses are within migrant communities, especially African communities. Current surveillance shows that despite health promotion efforts and advances in therapy these communities are accessing HIV care late. This paper explores the issues influencing the access and uptake of HIV care by migrant Africans in Britain. Using Kleinman's model of health care systems (Kleinman, 1980) as a theoretical framework, we highlight the importance of placing health within its broader context if we are to make significant improvement to the health of HIV-infected Africans in Britain.

Significant link between sCD30 changes and HIV viremia in patients treated with HAART

Elevated sCD30 levels were generally associated with poor prognosis in chronic HIV infection prior to the era of highly active antiretroviral therapy (HAART). Little information is available on sCD30 and HIV-1 viremia. In this study, the association between sCD30 and HIV-1 viremia was investigated in HIV-infected patients who underwent HAART. sCD30 was measured in 276 patients prior (T0) and 6 months after HAART (T6). Standard survival analyses were used to evaluate the prognostic value of sCD30 and sCD30 change from baseline to predict the virological response to HAART. Higher levels (>30 U/ml) of sCD30 prior to HAART were associated with relatively higher viremia (P = 0.0001) and tended to be associated with a lower chance of achieving virological success (P = 0.13). The median T6 sCD30 level in patients who concomitantly had viremia >500 copies/ml was higher than the median sCD30 level of those with viremia </=500 copies/ml (P = 0.002). Conversely, within the patients who achieved viral suppression on HAART, those who had concomitantly a larger reduction in sCD30 subsequently experienced a higher rate of virological failure (P = 0.04). A strong, but complex, link exists between sCD30 levels and HIV viremia in the era of HAART. The change in sCD30 levels from pre-therapy to the date of first viral suppression could be used to identify patients who are more likely to experience later virological rebound among those who achieve initially virological success.

Factors associated with the occurrence of AIDS-related non-Hodgkin lymphoma in the era of highly active antiretroviral therapy: Aquitaine Cohort, France

BACKGROUND

High grade non-Hodgkin lymphoma (NHL) remains the most common Acquired Immune Deficiency Syndrome (AIDS)-associated neoplasia and an important cause of mortality in people living with human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) infection in industrialized countries in the era of highly active antiretroviral therapy (HAART).

METHOD

A case-control study was implemented in a large cohort of HIV-infected patients. Case patients had newly diagnosed NHL, and control subjects were matched for CD4(+) cell count, calendar period, sex, and length of follow-up.

RESULTS

Variables associated with a decreased risk of NHL were the use of HAART during follow-up for at least 6 months (odds ratio [OR], 0.46; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.21-0.98), receipt of a diagnosis of AIDS before the censoring date (OR, 0.37; 95% CI, 0.18-0.76), and undetectable level of HIV RNA during follow-up (OR, 0.34; 95% CI, 0.15-0.77). The use of antiherpetic drug for at least 6 months was associated with a nonsignificant decreased risk of NHL (OR, 0.40; 95% CI, 0.11-1.44; P=.16). In multivariate analysis, variables significantly associated with a decreased risk of NHL were the use of HAART for at least 6 months during follow-up (OR, 0.37; 95% CI, 0.16-0.87) and receipt of an AIDS-related diagnosis before the censoring date (OR, 0.44; 95% CI, 0.21-0.93). Age, transmission group, hepatitis B and C coinfections, CD4(+) and CD8(+) cell count nadir, and previous history of herpes virus infection were not associated with an increased risk for NHL.

CONCLUSION

The use of HAART for at least 6 months was associated with a decreased risk of NHL, whereas uncontrolled HIV RNA load may be associated with an increased risk. The role of antiherpetic drugs needs further investigation.

Economic evaluation of HIV treatments: The I.CO.N.A. cohort study

OBJECTIVE

To describe the changes in costs of care for HIV-positive patients in Italy after the spread of antiretroviral combination therapies (HAART).

METHODS

Five thousand four hundred and twenty-two patients from the I.CO.N.A. (Italian Cohort Naive Antiretrovirals) study were followed between 1997 and 2002. Costs included antiretroviral therapies (ART), hospital admissions, prophylaxis, and main laboratory examinations. The perspective was that of the National Health Service.

RESULTS

Admission costs per person-year decreased from 2148 euro in 1997 to 256 in 2002, while the average annual costs of ART increased from 2145 to 3149 euro (1997 prices). From 1997 to 1999, ART costs increased from 42.3 to 85.9% of the total, while admission costs decreased from 42.3 to 7.0% and prophylaxis from 7.3 to 1.7%. The breakdown of ART costs shows how dual therapies decreased over time in favor of HAART, falling from 26.8% in 1997 to 5.9% in 2002. Patients with fewer than five treatment switches had the lowest costs distributions over the entire observation period.

CONCLUSIONS

From 1997 to 2002 inpatient costs progressively decreased in favor of antiretroviral therapy. Annual average costs per patient decreased, while total direct costs increased over time: health resources, initially concentrated on hospitalized patients were then distributed over a growing number of subjects.

Priorities for antiretroviral therapy research in sub-Saharan Africa: a 2002 consensus conference in Zambia

BACKGROUND

A consensus conference was held to discuss priorities for antiretroviral therapy (ART) research in Zambia, one of the world's most heavily HIV-afflicted nations. Zambia, like other resource-limited settings, has increasing access to highly active antiretroviral therapy (HAART) because of declining drug costs, use of government-purchased generic medications, and increased global donations. For sustained delivery of care with HAART in a resource-constrained medical and public health context, operational research is required and clinical trials are desirable. The priority areas for research are most relevant today given the increasing availability of HAART.

METHODS

A conference was held in Lusaka, Zambia, in January 2002 to discuss priority areas for ART research in Zambia, with participants drawn from a broad cross section of Zambian society. State-of-the-art reviews and 6 intensive small group discussions helped to formulate a suggested research agenda.

RESULTS

Conference participants believed that the most urgent research priorities were to assess how therapeutic resources could be applied for the greatest overall benefit and to minimize the impact of nonadherence and viral resistance. Identified research priorities were as follows:Conference participants recommended that HIV-related clinical care and research be integrated within home-based care services and operated within the existing health delivery structures to ensure sustainability, reduce costs, and strengthen the structures.

CONCLUSION

Our consensus was that antiretroviral clinical trials and operational research are essential for Zambia to address the new challenges arising from increasing ART availability. There is global consensus that antiretroviral clinical trials in resource-constrained countries are possible, and the capacity for such trials should be developed further in Africa.

Antiretroviral therapy: when and what to start-- an American perspective

The major US treatment guidelines now recommend starting antiretroviral therapy (ART) later in the course of HIV infection because of an increasing awareness of the difficulties associated with these regimens. Most of the data to support this change come from observational cohort studies. When deciding to start ART, several patient-specific factors and other issues should be considered. Because of the many choices for initial ART, clinicians should individualize the choice, taking into account regimen antiretroviral potency, durability, side effects, toxicities, and convenience to ensure a sustained clinical benefit for the patient.

When to initiate antiretroviral therapy in HIV-1-infected adults: a review for clinicians and patients

One of the most controversial topics in the medical management of HIV disease is the optimal time to initiate highly active antiretroviral therapy (HAART) in HIV-1-infected adults. Premature exposure to antiretrovirals may precipitate early evolution of resistance and unnecessary side-effects, whereas remaining off HAART until late in the course of HIV disease may lead to reduced therapeutic benefits and elevated mortality. The lack of a randomised clinical trial to consider this issue has resulted in ongoing revision of expert recommendations and substantial variability between international consensus guidelines regarding the optimal time to initiate therapy. Since this uncertainty is a source of unease for both patients and clinicians, we summarise the latest evidence regarding the optimal time to initiate HAART with consideration of the potential benefits and drawbacks of starting HIV treatment at the different levels presently recommended in leading consensus guidelines.

Low CD4+ T-lymphocyte values in human immunodeficiency virus-negative adults in Botswana

CD4+-lymphocyte counts (LCs) play a crucial role in the management and monitoring of HIV infection. Variability in CD4+ LCs has been reported to occur as a result of measurement techniques and/or biological variations. We report on the CD4+ LCs of healthy human immunodeficiency virus (HIV)-seronegative adults in Botswana. Samples were obtained from HIV-seronegative blood donors. The median CD4+ LC was 726 cells/mm3 (for females, 782 cells/mm3; for males, 698 cells/mm3). The median CD8+ LC was 488 cells/mm3 (for females, 494 cells/mm3; for males, 485 cells/mm3). The median CD4+-to-CD8+ ratio was 1.57 (for females, 1.66; for males, 1.51). Our findings of low CD4+ LCs among HIV-negative adults in Botswana are significant and have important implications for the management of HIV disease in the population of this sub-Saharan African country.

Determinants of clinical progression in antiretroviral-naive HIV-infected patients starting highly active antiretroviral therapy. Aquitaine Cohort, France, 1996-2002

OBJECTIVES

To determine the factors associated with clinical progression (AIDS events and death) in antiretroviral-naive patients who have begun highly active antiretroviral therapy (HAART).

METHODS

HIV-infected patients naive to antiretroviral therapy were included in a prospective hospital-based cohort who began HAART between June 1996 and December 2001. Progression was explained by baseline characteristics using Cox proportional hazards models.

RESULTS

Overall, data for 709 patients were analysed. In multivariate analysis, factors associated with an increased risk of progression were CD4 count < 50 cells/microL [hazard ratio (HR) = 13.0 (95% confidence interval 3.8-44.3)] and between 50 and 199 cells/microL [HR = 5.1 (1.6-16.3)], when compared with patients with CD4 count>350 cells/microL; AIDS events before HAART prescription [HR = 2.1 (1.2-3.7)]; CD8 count < 400 cells/microL [HR = 1.8 (1.1-3.0)]; and older age (HR = 1.2 by 10 years (1.0-1.5)]. In a second model including CD4 percentage, factors associated with progression were CD4 < 10% [HR = 6.3 (2.2-17.9)] and 10%<CD4 < 15% [HR = 4.2 (1.4-12.5)], when compared with patients with CD4 > 20%; CD8 count; AIDS events before HAART prescription; and older age. In a third model including the CD4:CD8 ratio, factors associated with progression were CD4:CD8 < 15% [HR = 8.2 (2.3-28.8)] and 15% < CD4:CD8 < 30% [HR = 4.6 (1.3-16.0)], when compared with patients with CD4:CD8 > 45%; AIDS events before HAART prescription; and older age. The Akaike information criteria for model analysis were 803, 805 and 815, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Consideration of CD4 level in terms of CD4:CD8 ratio or CD4 percentage can be a good alternative to absolute CD4 count. Other prognostic factors such as older age, CD8 count < 400 cells/microL and AIDS events also have to be considered in the decision to initiate HAART.

The effect of baseline CD4 cell count and HIV-1 viral load on the efficacy and safety of nevirapine or efavirenz-based first-line HAART

BACKGROUND

A substantial number of patients start their first-line antiretroviral therapy at an advanced stage of an HIV-1 infection. Potential differences between specific drug regimens in antiviral efficacy and safety in these patients are of major importance.

METHODS

A post-hoc analysis within the randomized controlled 2NN trial comparing efficacy between regimes containing nevirapine (NVP), efavirenz (EFV), or both, in addition to stavudine and lamivudine.

PRIMARY OUTCOME

risk of virologic failure in different strata of baseline CD4 T-lymphocyte counts and plasma HIV-1 RNA concentrations (pVL). Virologic failure: never reaching a pVL < 400 copies/ml, or a rebound to two consecutive values > 400 copies/ml.

RESULTS

The risk of virologic failure was increased at very low CD4 counts (< 25 x 10(6) cells/l) compared to CD4 counts > 200 x 10(6) cells/l [hazard ratio (HR), 1.28; 95% confidence interval (CI), 0.93-1.77]. The same was seen for a pVL > or = 100,000 copies/ml compared to a lower pVL (HR, 1.20; CI, 0.96-1.50). There were no statistically significant differences between NVP and EFV in risk of virologic failure within any of the CD4 or pVL strata, although EFV performed slightly better in the low CD4 stratum. The incidence of rash in the NVP group was significantly higher in female patients with higher CD4 cell counts, while adverse events in the EFV group were not associated with CD4 cell count.

CONCLUSIONS

Initial antiretroviral therapy including NVP or EFV is effective in patients with an advanced HIV-1 infection. A high baseline CD4 cell count is associated with the occurrence of rash in female patients using NVP.

Cost-effectiveness of screening for HIV in the era of highly active antiretroviral therapy

BACKGROUND

The costs, benefits, and cost-effectiveness of screening for human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) in health care settings during the era of highly active antiretroviral therapy (HAART) have not been determined.

METHODS

We developed a Markov model of costs, quality of life, and survival associated with an HIV-screening program as compared with current practice. In both strategies, symptomatic patients were identified through symptom-based case finding. Identified patients started treatment when their CD4 count dropped to 350 cells per cubic millimeter. Disease progression was defined on the basis of CD4 levels and viral load. The likelihood of sexual transmission was based on viral load, knowledge of HIV status, and efficacy of counseling.

RESULTS

Given a 1 percent prevalence of unidentified HIV infection, screening increased life expectancy by 5.48 days, or 4.70 quality-adjusted days, at an estimated cost of 194 dollars per screened patient, for a cost-effectiveness ratio of 15,078 dollars per quality-adjusted life-year. Screening cost less than 50,000 dollars per quality-adjusted life-year if the prevalence of unidentified HIV infection exceeded 0.05 percent. Excluding HIV transmission, the cost-effectiveness of screening was 41,736 dollars per quality-adjusted life-year. Screening every five years, as compared with a one-time screening program, cost 57,138 dollars per quality-adjusted life-year, but was more attractive in settings with a high incidence of infection. Our results were sensitive to the efficacy of behavior modification, the benefit of early identification and therapy, and the prevalence and incidence of HIV infection.

CONCLUSIONS

The cost-effectiveness of routine HIV screening in health care settings, even in relatively low-prevalence populations, is similar to that of commonly accepted interventions, and such programs should be expanded.

Cellular HIV-1 DNA load predicts HIV-RNA rebound and the outcome of highly active antiretroviral therapy

OBJECTIVE

To assess whether cellular HIV-1 DNA prior to highly active antiretroviral therapy (HAART) initiation predicts its outcome.

DESIGN AND METHODS

Patients included all 51 hemophiliacs of the Greek component of the Multicenter Hemophilia Cohort Study who had initiated HAART and for whom cryopreserved lymphocyte samples before HAART initiation were available. Cellular HIV-1 DNA quantification was performed by a molecular beacon-based real-time PCR assay in multiple samples per patient with a median (interquartile range) follow-up of 76 (45-102) weeks.

RESULTS

The median (range) baseline HIV-1 DNA load was 297 (< 10 to 3468) copies per 1 x 10(6) peripheral blood mononuclear cells. Baseline HIV-1 DNA load did not predict initial virological response (VR). None of the patients with initial VR and baseline HIV-1 DNA load at or below the median experienced a subsequent virological rebound, while the cumulative probability of virological rebound by week 104 was 55% among those with HIV-1 DNA load greater than the median (P < 0.008). Cellular HIV-1 DNA load was the only parameter associated with sustained virological response as shown by univariate or multivariate analyses [adjusted odds ratio (95% confidence interval) 0.197 (0.048-0.801) per 1 log10 increase in DNA copies, P = 0.023].

CONCLUSION

Low cellular HIV-1 DNA load is a marker of sustained virological response in patients with initial VR and it can reliably predict the long-term success of HAART.