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Lara J, López-Labrador F, González-Candelas F, Berenguer M, Khudyakov YE. Computational models of liver fibrosis progression for hepatitis C virus chronic infection. BMC Bioinformatics 2014; 15 Suppl 8:S5. [PMID: 25081062 PMCID: PMC4120150 DOI: 10.1186/1471-2105-15-s8-s5] [Citation(s) in RCA: 16] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/13/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Chronic infection with hepatitis C virus (HCV) is a risk factor for liver diseases such as fibrosis, cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma. HCV genetic heterogeneity was hypothesized to be associated with severity of liver disease. However, no reliable viral markers predicting disease severity have been identified. Here, we report the utility of sequences from 3 HCV 1b genomic regions, Core, NS3 and NS5b, to identify viral genetic markers associated with fast and slow rate of fibrosis progression (RFP) among patients with and without liver transplantation (n = 42). METHODS A correlation-based feature selection (CFS) method was used to detect and identify RFP-relevant viral markers. Machine-learning techniques, linear projection (LP) and Bayesian Networks (BN), were used to assess and identify associations between the HCV sequences and RFP. RESULTS Both clustering of HCV sequences in LP graphs using physicochemical properties of nucleotides and BN analysis using polymorphic sites showed similarities among HCV variants sampled from patients with a similar RFP, while distinct HCV genetic properties were found associated with fast or slow RFP. Several RFP-relevant HCV sites were identified. Computational models parameterized using the identified sites accurately associated HCV strains with RFP in 70/30 split cross-validation (90-95% accuracy) and in validation tests (85-90% accuracy). Validation tests of the models constructed for patients with or without liver transplantation suggest that the RFP-relevant genetic markers identified in the HCV Core, NS3 and NS5b genomic regions may be useful for the prediction of RFP regardless of transplant status of patients. CONCLUSIONS The apparent strong genetic association to RFP suggests that HCV genetic heterogeneity has a quantifiable effect on severity of liver disease, thus presenting opportunity for developing genetic assays for measuring virulence of HCV strains in clinical and public health settings.
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Féray C, Bouscaillou J, Falissard B, Mohamed MK, Arafa N, Bakr I, El-Hoseiny M, Daly ME, El-Kafrawy S, Plancoulaine S, Abdel-Hamid M, Thiers V, Fontanet A. A novel method to identify routes of hepatitis C virus transmission. PLoS One 2014; 9:e86098. [PMID: 24465895 PMCID: PMC3900465 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0086098] [Citation(s) in RCA: 10] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.9] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/23/2013] [Accepted: 12/04/2013] [Indexed: 01/18/2023] Open
Abstract
Background We propose a new approach based on genetic distances among viral strains to infer about risk exposures and location of transmission at population level. Methods We re-analysed 133 viral sequences obtained during a cross-sectional survey of 4020 subjects living in a hepatitis C virus (HCV) endemic area in 2002. A permutation test was used to analyze the correlation between matrices of genetic distances in the NS5b region of all pairwise combinations of the 133 viral strains and exposure status (jointly exposed or not) to several potential HCV risk factors. Results Compared to subjects who did not share the same characteristics or iatrogenic exposures, the median Kimura genetic distances of viral strains were significantly smaller between brothers and sisters (0.031 versus 0.102, P<0.001), mother and child (0.044 versus 0.102, P<0.001), father and child (0.045 versus 0.102, P<0.001), or subjects exposed to periodontal treatment (0.084 versus 0.102, P = 0.02). Conversely, viral strains were more divergent between subjects exposed to blood transfusions (0.216 versus 0.102, P = 0.04) or tooth filling or extraction (0.108, versus 0.097, P = 0.05), suggesting acquisition of the virus outside of the village. Conclusion This method provided insights on where infection took place (household, village) for several socio-demographic characteristics or iatrogenic procedures, information of great relevance for targeting prevention interventions. This method may have interesting applications for virologists and epidemiologists studying transmission networks in health-care facilities or among intravenous drug users.
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Affiliation(s)
- Cyrille Féray
- Inserm 955, Hopital Henri Mondor, Créteil, France
- * E-mail:
| | - Julie Bouscaillou
- Institut Pasteur, Unité d’Epidémiologie des Maladies Emergentes, Paris, France
| | | | - Mostafa K. Mohamed
- Department of Community, Environmental and Occupational Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, Ain Shams University, Cairo, Egypt
| | - Naglaa Arafa
- Department of Community, Environmental and Occupational Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, Ain Shams University, Cairo, Egypt
| | - Iman Bakr
- Department of Community, Environmental and Occupational Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, Ain Shams University, Cairo, Egypt
| | - Mostafa El-Hoseiny
- Department of Community, Environmental and Occupational Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, Ain Shams University, Cairo, Egypt
| | - Mai El Daly
- National Liver Institute, Menoufia University, Shebeen El-Kom, Menufia, Egypt
- Viral Hepatitis Research Laboratory, National Hepatology and Tropical Medicine Research Institute, Cairo, Egypt
| | - Sherif El-Kafrawy
- National Liver Institute, Menoufia University, Shebeen El-Kom, Menufia, Egypt
- Viral Hepatitis Research Laboratory, National Hepatology and Tropical Medicine Research Institute, Cairo, Egypt
| | | | - Mohamed Abdel-Hamid
- Viral Hepatitis Research Laboratory, National Hepatology and Tropical Medicine Research Institute, Cairo, Egypt
- Department of Microbiology, Faculty of Medicine, Minia University, Minya, Egypt
| | - Valérie Thiers
- Unité INSERM 785, Centre Hépato-Biliaire, Villejuif, France
| | - Arnaud Fontanet
- Institut Pasteur, Unité d’Epidémiologie des Maladies Emergentes, Paris, France
- Conservatoire National des Arts et Métiers, Chaire Santé et Développement, Paris, France
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Matas M, Picornell A, Cifuentes C, Payeras A, Bassa A, Homar F, López-Labrador FX, Moya A, Ramon MM, Castro JA. Relating the liver damage with hepatitis C virus polymorphism in core region and human variables in HIV-1-coinfected patients. INFECTION, GENETICS AND EVOLUTION : JOURNAL OF MOLECULAR EPIDEMIOLOGY AND EVOLUTIONARY GENETICS IN INFECTIOUS DISEASES 2010; 10:1252-1261. [PMID: 20732459 DOI: 10.1016/j.meegid.2010.08.009] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/04/2010] [Revised: 08/14/2010] [Accepted: 08/16/2010] [Indexed: 02/07/2023]
Abstract
Hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection is the most important cause of chronic hepatitis, cirrhosis and end-stage liver disease leading to liver transplantation worldwide. Chronic infection by HCV causes liver fibrosis, which is accelerated by unknown mechanisms in patients with human immunodeficiency virus-1 (HIV-1) coinfection. Although the genetic variability of both HCV and HIV has been extensively studied in the context of monoinfections, more limited data is available regarding HCV-HIV coinfection. HCV disease progression among HIV coinfected patients may be influenced not only by demographic, epidemiological and clinical background variables, but also by genetic differences in infecting viruses. To explore this issue, we carried out a study in coinfected patients trying to associate the degree of liver damage to several demographic, clinical, and epidemiological characteristics of the patients, and also to the genetic variability of HCV between patients. For this purpose, we have applied different statistical techniques including the statistical generalized linear model (GLM) framework. The stage of fibrosis was indirectly measured by noninvasive means using the indexes Forns, APRI and FIB-4. HCV genetic variability between patients was estimated by sequencing the core region and by reconstructions of consensus maximum parsimony phylogenetic trees with 50% and 75% bootstrap majority rules. The results showed a direct correlation of the fibrosis biomarkers with the AST/ALT ratio, MoftIDU and with 3a HCV genotype clades, among others.
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Affiliation(s)
- Marina Matas
- Institut Universitari d'Investigacions en Ciències de la Salut (IUNICS) i Laboratori de Genètica, Departament de Biologia, Universitat de les Illes Balears, Campus de la UIB, Palma de Mallorca, Illes Balears, Spain
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Are viral or host factors predictive of response to interferon-ribavirin in transplant patients with hepatitis C? J Hepatol 2010; 52:630-2. [PMID: 20334948 DOI: 10.1016/j.jhep.2010.01.023] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.1] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/22/2010] [Accepted: 01/22/2010] [Indexed: 12/18/2022]
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González-Candelas F, López-Labrador FX. Clinical relevance of genetic heterogeneity in HCV. Future Virol 2010. [DOI: 10.2217/fvl.09.63] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/03/2023]
Abstract
Infection by HCV affects an estimated 170 million people worldwide and it represents one of the major causes of liver transplantation and a heavy burden to healthcare systems. As with many other RNA viruses, HCV is characterized by very high levels of genetic variation, which have been associated to differences in disease progression and efficiency of antiviral treatment. Studies show many contradictory results and little consensus on such associations. Nevertheless, some general guidelines translating research results to clinical practice have been postulated. Here, we review the main research results obtained on HCV variation so far and explore the reasons for their lack of congruence under a population genetics framework. Understanding the factors responsible for the variable dynamics of HCV diversity in human populations and variation within infected individuals is even more necessary in face of the soon-to-arrive new HCV therapies.
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Affiliation(s)
- Fernando González-Candelas
- Institut Cavanilles de Biodiversitat i Biologia Evolutiva, Universitat de València, Apartado Oficial 22085, 46071-Valencia, Spain
| | - F Xavier López-Labrador
- Genomics and Health Area, CSISP – Centre for Public Health Research, Public Health Department, Generalitat Valenciana, Av. Catalunya, 21, 46020 Valencia, Spain
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Kalambokis G, Manousou P, Samonakis D, Grillo F, Dhillon AP, Patch D, O'Beirne J, Rolles K, Burroughs AK. Clinical outcome of HCV-related graft cirrhosis and prognostic value of hepatic venous pressure gradient. Transpl Int 2008; 22:172-81. [PMID: 18786149 DOI: 10.1111/j.1432-2277.2008.00744.x] [Citation(s) in RCA: 29] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/25/2022]
Abstract
Hepatitis C virus (HCV) allograft cirrhosis may progress rapidly requiring re-transplantation but its course is little studied. We evaluated serially biopsied patients who developed HCV-related allograft cirrhosis. We assessed outcome of graft cirrhosis in 55 out of 234 consecutive patients and predictors of decompensation and mortality, including hepatic venous pressure gradient (HVPG) in 38. Allograft cirrhosis (Ishak stage 6, 60%; stage 5, 40%) was diagnosed between 12 and 172 months (median, 52) from transplantation; subsequent follow up was 22 (1-78) months. Faster development (<or=48 months) was associated with tacrolimus and nonuse of azathioprine and prednisolone. Decompensation occurred in 22% with a probability of not developing decompensation reaching 60% at 5 years. Survival among compensated patients was 77% at 5 years, but fell rapidly after decompensation (12% at 1 year). Decompensation and mortality were independently associated with HVPG >or= 10 mmHg, Child-Pugh score >or= 7, and albumin levels <or= 32 g/dl but not with fibrosis stage 5 or 6, HCV genotype (1b, 34%) or immunosuppression used after diagnosis of cirrhosis. In conclusion, Ishak stage 5 and 6 HCV-related cirrhosis have similar prognosis after liver transplantation. An HVPG >or= 10 mmHg, in addition to liver dysfunction, gives independent prognostic information prior to decompensation, allowing early relisting before prognosis becomes extremely poor.
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Affiliation(s)
- Georgios Kalambokis
- The Royal Free Sheila Sherlock Liver Centre, University Department of Surgery, Royal Free Hospital, London, UK
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Munné MS, Vladimirsky S, Moreiro R, Ciocca M, Cuarterolo M, Otegui L, Soto S, Brajterman L, Castro R, Sasbón J, Gianivelli S, Buamscha D, Quarleri J, González JE. Molecular characterization of hepatitis A virus in children with fulminant hepatic failure in Argentina. Liver Int 2008; 28:47-53. [PMID: 18028318 DOI: 10.1111/j.1478-3231.2007.01634.x] [Citation(s) in RCA: 16] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.9] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 02/13/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Hepatitis A infection, a vaccine-preventable disease, is an important cause of fulminant hepatic failure (FHF) in children in Argentina. Universal vaccination in 1-year-old children was implemented in June 2005. The limited studies about the correlation between the characteristics of the hepatitis A virus (HAV) and FHF have been carried out in adults. METHODS Samples from 41 children with FHF were studied from September 2003 to January 2006 and HAV RNA was detected, sequenced and analysed in the 5' non-coding region and VP1/2A region. RESULTS Eighteen HAV strains were characterized and found to be different at the nucleotide level from the self-limited acute infection strains that have been circulating in Argentina with no temporal or geographical pattern. They did not form a genetic cluster, but some of them were identical in the largest fragment characterized and some of them seemed to be more closely related in time and/or geographically. CONCLUSION Our results suggest that viral factors could be involved in the severity of the clinical presentation of HAV infection in children in Argentina.
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Affiliation(s)
- María Silvina Munné
- National Reference Laboratory in Viral Hepatitis, National Institute of Infectious Diseases, Buenos Aires, Argentina.
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Massaguer A, Ramírez S, Carrión JA, González P, Sánchez-Tapias JM, Forns X. Evolution of the NS3 and NS5B regions of the hepatitis C virus during disease recurrence after liver transplantation. Am J Transplant 2007; 7:2172-9. [PMID: 17608833 DOI: 10.1111/j.1600-6143.2007.01894.x] [Citation(s) in RCA: 9] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/25/2023]
Abstract
In patients with hepatitis C virus (HCV)-related cirrhosis, infection recurrence is universal after liver transplantation (LT). The relevance of host and virus-related factors on the outcome of hepatitis C recurrence is poorly understood. This study analyzed the relationship between the genetic evolution of the Non-Structural (NS)3 protease and NS5B polymerase regions of HCV and the severity of hepatitis C recurrence. Thirty-three patients were classified as having mild (n = 16) or severe recurrence (n = 17), according to the degree of fibrosis in liver biopsies obtained 1 year after transplantation. Viral load and consensus sequences of the NS3 and NS5B domains were determined in a pre-LT and in four post-LT sequential serum samples. At week 12 after LT, viremia was significantly higher in patients with severe recurrence. NS3 and NS5b regions evolved independently after LT. The genetic evolution of NS3 domain was not related to the severity of the recurrence. However, the diversification in the NS5B region later than 12 weeks after LT was greater in patients with mild than in those with severe recurrence, suggesting a stronger immune pressure in the first group. These observations highlight the complex interplay between viral evolution and clinical outcomes in the LT setting.
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Affiliation(s)
- A Massaguer
- Liver Unit, Institut de Malalties Digestives, Hospital Clínic, Ciberehd and Institut d'Investigacions Biomèdiques August Pi i Sunyer (IDIBAPS), Barcelona, Spain
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Samuel D, Roche B. Ribavirin in the treatment of recurrent hepatitis C after liver transplantation: difficult to manage but essential for success. J Hepatol 2007; 46:988-91. [PMID: 17445936 DOI: 10.1016/j.jhep.2007.03.004] [Citation(s) in RCA: 15] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/06/2023]
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10
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López-Labrador FX, Bracho MA, Berenguer M, Coscollà M, Rayón JM, Prieto M, Carrasco D, Gómez MD, Moya A, González-Candelas F. Genetic similarity of hepatitis C virus and fibrosis progression in chronic and recurrent infection after liver transplantation. J Viral Hepat 2006; 13:104-115. [PMID: 16436128 DOI: 10.1111/j.1365-2893.2005.00670.x] [Citation(s) in RCA: 11] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 02/05/2023]
Abstract
The effect of hepatitis C virus (HCV) genetic heterogeneity on clinical features of post-transplantation hepatitis C is controversial. Different regions of the HCV genome have been associated with apoptosis, fibrosis, and other pathways leading to liver damage in chronic HCV infection. Besides, differences in immunodominant regions, such as NS3, may influence HCV-specific immune responses and disease outcome. In the liver transplant setting, a recent study has reported a positive association between HCV-1b Core region genetic relatedness 5-year post-transplantation and histological severity of recurrent hepatitis C. We have compared nucleotide sequences of HCV Core, NS3 and NS5b regions in HCV-1b-infected patients 3 years post-transplantation (n = 22). A cohort of nontransplanted patients (n = 22) was used as control of natural chronic HCV-1b infection. Histological evaluation was used to define the rate of fibrosis progression. Molecular variance analysis did not show significant differences in HCV sequences between transplanted and nontransplanted patients, or between those with fast or slow fibrosis progression. The same results were obtained when analysing phylogenetic trees for Core, NS3 and NS5b regions. A more appropriate clustering method (using minimum spanning networks) revealed a significant positive relationship between HCV genetic similarity in Core (r = 0.550, P < 0.01) and NS5b regions (r = 0.847, P < 0.01) and the yearly rate of fibrosis progression in nontransplanted patients which, in contrast, was not observed in transplanted patients. Our results indicate that some strains of HCV-1b might be more pathogenic in the natural course of chronic infection by this virus subtype. In the liver transplant setting, when the immune response is severely compromised, other mechanisms are probably more important in determining hepatitis C progression.
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Affiliation(s)
- F-X López-Labrador
- Microbiology/Exp. Immunology, Research Centre, Hospital Universitari La Fe, Valencia, Spain
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Affiliation(s)
- Marina Berenguer
- Hospital Universitario La FE, Servicio de Medicina Digestiva, Avda Campanar 21, Valencia 46009, Spain
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Samuel D. Antiviral treatment of recurrent hepatitis C after liver transplantation: the need for a multifaceted approach. Hepatology 2005; 41:436-8. [PMID: 15723322 DOI: 10.1002/hep.20623] [Citation(s) in RCA: 10] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/27/2023]
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13
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Mackiewicz V, Roque-Afonso AM, Marchadier E, Nicand E, Fki-Berrajah L, Dussaix E. Rapid investigation of hepatitis A virus outbreak by single strand conformation polymorphism analysis. J Med Virol 2005; 76:271-8. [PMID: 15834883 DOI: 10.1002/jmv.20355] [Citation(s) in RCA: 8] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/09/2022]
Abstract
Investigation of hepatitis A virus (HAV) outbreaks often implies nucleotide sequence analysis. As an alternative method for the identification of related strains, single strand conformation polymorphism method (SSCP) was compared to sequence analysis. Twenty-three strains from sporadic and outbreak cases were studied retrospectively. SSCP, sequence identity and phylogenetic analyses were conducted on a 267 bp fragment of the VP1-2A variable region. The results of SSCP pattern comparison and sequence identity were highly correlated (r = 0.92, P < 0.001). If SSCP showed similar patterns, the VP1-2A fragments had a high and significant probability to have a sequence identity over 99.6%. Results were concordant for outbreak strains. The only discordant result concerned a cluster of three sporadic cases evidenced by phylogenetic analysis while SSCP showed similar patterns for only two of these three cases. A prospective SSCP analysis of a recent HAV outbreak confirmed the reliability of this technique. SSCP may thus provide a rapid and cost-effective tool for preliminary investigation of HAV outbreaks, before undertaking exhaustive nucleotide sequence analysis.
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Affiliation(s)
- Vincent Mackiewicz
- Centre National de Référence du Virus de l'Hépatite A, Laboratoire de Virologie, Hôpital Paul Brousse, Assistance Publique-Hôpitaux de Paris, Villejuif, France.
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15
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López-Labrador FX, Berenguer M, Sempere A, Prieto M, Sirera R, González-Molina A, Ortiz V, Marty ML, Berenguer J, Gobernado M. Genetic variability of hepatitis C virus NS3 protein in human leukocyte antigen-A2 liver transplant recipients with recurrent hepatitis C. Liver Transpl 2004; 10:217-27. [PMID: 14762859 DOI: 10.1002/lt.20066] [Citation(s) in RCA: 16] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/01/2023]
Abstract
The association between the severity of chronic hepatitis C and the variability of the hepatitis C virus (HCV) genome remains controversial, but to our knowledge few data are available to date regarding T-cell epitope coding regions in transplant patients. In the current study, we identified 21 human leukocyte antigen (HLA)-A2-positive Spanish patients with chronic hepatitis C, 14 immunosuppressed liver transplant recipients, and 7 immunocompetent controls. Alanine aminotransferase, aspartate aminotransferase, viral load, and rate of fibrosis progression were determined. Genetic distances of HCV isolates and variations in epitopes of the HCV nonstructural 3 protein (NS3-1393 LIFCHSKKK and NS3-1406 KLVALGINAV) were compared between patients with slow or fast progression of fibrosis. Isolates from transplant patients with fast progression were found to be more divergent (P =.03), had a higher mean value of synonymous (dS) variations (P =.02), and some were differentiated in a phylogenetic tree, compared with isolates from patients with slow progression. The HLA-A2-restricted NS3-1406 epitope was found to be more variable (20 of 21 isolates differed from the prototype) compared with the A3-restricted NS3-1392 epitope (19% vs. 1.25% variation). A shift in the viral peptide was not detected in a subset of transplant patients, but was evident in two of three nontransplant patients with follow-up. There was no correlation noted between a particular amino acid variation and fibrosis progression (slow or fast) in either transplant or nontransplant patients. The results of the current study suggest that 1) there may be different HCV-1b strains in our geographic area, 2) immunosuppression appears to have little effect in amino acid variation at the HCV NS3-1406 epitope, and 3) variations over time might be more frequent in nonimmunosuppressed patients.
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Berenguer M, Wright TL. Treatment strategies for hepatitis C: intervention prior to liver transplant, pre-emptively or after established disease. Clin Liver Dis 2003; 7:631-50, vii. [PMID: 14509531 DOI: 10.1016/s1089-3261(03)00059-x] [Citation(s) in RCA: 11] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/31/2023]
Abstract
Cirrhosis secondary to chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection accounts for most liver transplants performed in the United States and European transplant centers. Given the high prevalence of HCV infection in the general population, the lack of consistently effective antiviral therapy, and the eventual progression to cirrhosis of a subset of those infected, predictions for the future are that the number of patients in need of transplantation will increase in the coming decade. In addition, viral infection recurs nearly universally leading to the development of chronic HCV in most recipients and progression to cirrhosis after a median of 9 to 12 years in a significant proportion of these recipients.
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Affiliation(s)
- Marina Berenguer
- Hospital Universitario La FE, Servicio de Gastroenterología y Hepatología, Avda Campanar 21 Valencia 46009, Spain
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Berenguer M, Crippin J, Gish R, Bass N, Bostrom A, Netto G, Alonzo J, Garcia-Kennedy R, Rayón JM, Wright TL. A model to predict severe HCV-related disease following liver transplantation. Hepatology 2003; 38:34-41. [PMID: 12829984 DOI: 10.1053/jhep.2003.50278] [Citation(s) in RCA: 176] [Impact Index Per Article: 8.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/18/2022]
Abstract
Post-transplantation recurrence is increasing in patients with HCV. Early antiviral therapy may be of benefit in this setting. Thus, accurate and early prediction of progression may help select candidates for treatment. We developed a model based on pre- and/or early post-transplantation variables, which may predict progression to severe disease. Clinical and histologic outcomes were assessed in 554 liver recipients. A total of 1,353 biopsy specimens obtained after 1 year (median of 2 biopsies per patient; range, 1-8) were scored. Two outcome measures were used: cumulative probability of developing severe disease (fibrosis 3 and 4) within 5 years and actual progression to severe disease in 2 years. We used Cox proportional hazard survival analysis for the whole cohort. Predictors analyzed included HCV genotype and recipient, donor, and transplant-related variables. The cumulative risk of progressing to fibrosis 3 and 4 was significantly greater in patients transplanted recently (P <.001) and was present in all centers. Factors increasing this risk were genotype, induction with mycophenolate, donor age, short course of azathioprine, and prednisone (<12 months). To create a model of prediction, 285 patients with 2-year follow-up were used to create a logistic regression analysis. The estimated probability of being at high risk for severe disease was calculated from a formula that included donor age and recipient therapy as critical variables. In conclusion, we have developed a model that uses early post-transplantation variables to predict severe HCV recurrence. Accuracy of the model is not perfect (c-statistic 0.80), probably reflecting the complexity of HCV in the liver transplant setting.
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Affiliation(s)
- Marina Berenguer
- Hepato-Gastroenterology Service, Pathology Service, Hospital Universitario La FE, Valencia, Spain.
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Abstract
Hepatitis C virus-related liver failure is the single leading indication for liver transplantation, and the study of HCV in the transplant setting has enhanced the understanding of the natural history of disease and putative mechanisms by which HCV causes liver injury. In a subset of patients, allograft cirrhosis develops within a few years after transplantation, and recent findings suggest these individuals are immunologically impaired compared with individuals with mild HCV recurrence at long-term follow-up. Fig. 9 shows a conceptual paradigm of mechanisms potentially involved in shaping HCV outcome after transplantation. It is possible that relative antiviral control by innate and adaptive immune responses (to maintain HCV replication below a certain threshold) prevents direct cytopathic injury and induction of oxidative stress and apoptosis of cells. Additional phenomena that may contribute to induction of apoptosis (eg, genetic polymorphisms within the donor organ. CMV coinfection, and ischemic-preservation injury) may augment the initial cascade of liver injury. Recruitment to the allograft of nonspecific cells may decrease viral replication by way of noncytolytic mechanisms or augment viral replication (eg, Th2 phenotype) and direct cytopathic injury. The immune response is likely insufficiently vigorous to keep viral replication under control, but may maintain chronic liver injury. The liver transplant model is unique in that distinct phenotypic outcomes can be observed over a short period of time. A consideration of the temporal evolution of different mechanisms is also important, because mechanisms that initially predominate may become less important over time, and conversely, as suggested with the inverse correlation between viral load at 5 years and allograft fibrosis, new immune responses may emerge that modify the host-virus interaction. Prospective characterization of the immunoregulatory and virologic mechanisms involved in the liver transplantation model hopefully will help unravel the causal basis of reported associations, lead to the development of highly specific therapeutic strategies, and ultimately diminish the rate of graft loss from recurrent disease.
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Affiliation(s)
- Hugo R Rosen
- Department of Medicine, Liver Transplantation Program, Oregon Health & Science University, 3181 Sam Jackson Park Road, Portland, OR 97207, USA.
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Abstract
1. After liver transplantation for hepatitis C virus (HCV)-related cirrhosis, recurrence of infection is universal, with development of histological hepatitis in the majority of patients. 2. The natural history of recurrent hepatitis C is highly variable. Although 30% to 50% of patients develop posttransplantation viremia with minimal liver injury, 10% to 30% progress to cirrhosis after a median of 5 years. 3. Progression of hepatitis C is accelerated in immunocompromised liver transplant recipients compared with immunocompetent patients, both before and after the development of compensated cirrhosis. 4. HCV-related disease progression is faster in patients who underwent transplantation in recent years compared with those who underwent transplantation earlier. 5. HCV infection significantly impairs patient and allo-graft survival after liver transplantation. 6. Several variables, including donor age, degree of immunosuppression, viral load either pretransplantation or early posttransplantation, timing of recurrence, and early histological findings, are implicated in the outcome of hepatitis C posttransplantation.
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Affiliation(s)
- Marina Berenguer
- Hepato-Gastroenterology Service, La Fe Hospital, Valencia, Spain.
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